Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 4 Showdown - AT&T Pebble Beach | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 02/15/26

Transcript

PGA Round 4 Showdown - AT&T Pebble Beach | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 02/15/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, all system's gone clear.
• 0:05
  Speaker 2: We left.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Good evening. East Coasters. I hope you guys had a
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: great nap. I know it is late, but that's life
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: when you're on the West Coast. I am very, very
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: tired of a long day of traveling down from UH
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: Monterey to Los Angeles. UH played some golf, but happily
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: in the Airbnb. This is one of the most makeshift
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: setups of my of my career. I am hunched over
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: on the bed. The desk situation was just way too low.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: It was just it was a gag desk. It was
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: it was a joke desk. So this is going to
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: be the setup for today, Tomorrow, Monday, Tuesday, and uh,
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: I guess we're gonna have to make the best of it.
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: First off, I want to say I want to give
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: a quick thumbs down to the tour because they they
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: did me wrong. You guys know from the Boots show,
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: from the preseason or the pre tournament talk. I was
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: pretty heavy into the driving distance thing, the h bomb
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: it out there and get hot with the wedges, avoid
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: avoid mistakes, and I really though I probably should have
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: known better. They would avoid the weather because they can
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: do whatever they want. But also maybe I shouldn't have
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: known better, because knowing the PGA Tour, they blatantly don't
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: move tea times up. Sometimes when they're like, all right,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: there's weather coming in, move the tea times up. Sometimes
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: they don't and then there's a la or something like that.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: But I thought the weather would be more of a
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: factor than it turned out to be Thursday, Friday, Saturday.
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: And I will own that. I will say I played
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: that edge, so therefore I'm not really crushing it in
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: a week long. Sometimes we have better weeks than we're
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: having here. So yeah, I thought it would be more
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: of a factor. And I don't take back anything I said.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Like I said with Rory mc Rory McRoy literally said
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: in his pressure, this is a golf course where you
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: can rip driver as much as you want because there's
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: no penalty for being in the rough. And when the
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: weather kicks up, that would be a massive advantage to
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: avoid bogies and get up and down from one hundred
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: yards in the rough versus one hundred and fifty yards
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: in the fairway to these small greens when it's blowing.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: So with that being said, tomorrow could be a bit
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: of a mess and that could lead to fruition in
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: terms of a showdown guys we're looking for. But also
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: I'll get to it. In terms of the stats, the
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: way guys are doing it this week has been different
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: basically every single day. This is one of the most
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: unique and weird showdown weeks I could ever I've ever remembered.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: So uh, let's get into it. Let's bring the screen
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: up and we'll talk. Will Victory lap it real quick?
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: Will Victory lap the waves split from day three about
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: two strokes easier the early guys than the PM guys.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: I know they went out in a very similar window,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: but the earlier guys had the scoring and that shows
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: in the stats. But earlier guys were three and a
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: half strokes in a par the later guys were one
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: point one strokes under part. And like I said in
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: the show yesterday, we did not stacked any specific stat yesterday.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: We stacked the tea times and I know we were
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: some There was some chatter in the discord not everything
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: is going to be right. The stacks aren't going to
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: be right, the projections aren't going to be right, the
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: core isn't going to always be right. It's about piecing
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: together in pieces of information for multi different facets. If
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: you've got Ben Griff, if you played Ben Griffin and
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: then didn't play the few other guys in the corps,
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: you probably did really great. If you did the opposite,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: then you probably did bad. You're not gonna do good
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: every day. You're gonna win some, you're gonna lose some.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: So shout out BG was a great round. And all
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: the best scores today they came from the morning. So
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: the best scores today Colin Morrikawa, Maverick McNeely, Ben Griffin,
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: and Niko Artavuria eight forty four, Ben Griffin eight twenty two,
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: Maverick McNeely eight forty four, Colin Morrikawa nine oh six.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: All of the earliest tea times, some of the earliest
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: tea times came to fruition, So I would say that
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: would be a victory lap. Obviously, the core report is
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: not every guy that I'm playing. I'm playing I played
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: a lot of guys from early and had an okay day.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: It's not about just the names on the list. You
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: got to use the stone. You got to use a
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: ton of all the information that we give you here
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: at Chip Nations. So weather talk whether talk. Also, I'll
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: do a little bit more of the round recap today.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: All the guys who did do the good stuff. Colin
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: so Yeah, Colin Maverick, Ben Griffin, Niko Arziia, the four
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: best rounds of the day. They were all very vintage Pebble.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: Drive it straight and hit your irons close. That was
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: all it was today. And that really wasn't always the
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: case on Thursday and Friday, but it usually is the
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: case at Pebble, and that was today for these four
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: early guys. Luckily we were on one of them. And
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: picking three guys as in the core of an eighty
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: man field is not easy, and we had one of
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: the rounds of the day. So I know there was
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: some chatter it's not always going to be right. I
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: promise you guys, it's not always going to be right.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: But if it was always right, I wouldn't share it
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: with you, just keep it for myself. Nonetheless, I'm just
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: trying to help you guys make some more informed decisions.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not here, no one is here at chip in
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: Nation to give you guys picks. It's all about the
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: process and just some some fun while we do the process.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: So weather tomorrow, whether tomorrow. Buckle the hell up, guys,
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: Buckle the hell up. Hello, Beach golf Course Sunday morning.
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: They were going out from seven twenty two to nine
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: to forty five am. And if they weren't going out,
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: they were just going out normal, it would be an
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: absolute mess. But you can see seven am. Okay, it's
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: windy early, uh wind ten to twelve miles an hour,
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: gusting to twenty. And then once the leader's tee off
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: around ninety five, wind's gonna be around ten to fifteen
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: and it's gonna gust up to thirty. And can I
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: show you guys this video. I can show it on
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: the on the camera. I don't know if you guys
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: saw this, but when I was out there on I
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: believe it was Tuesday. Look at what thirty miles an
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: hour of wind looked like. Literally looked like I'm gonna
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: pull up my screen really quickly and show you what
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: this looked like. Here we go, I'm gonn show your
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: life phone. Actually, I don't know if you could hear that,
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: but it was absolutely whipping. And I'll talk about a
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: quote Tommy Fleetwood after his round on Thursday, I asked him,
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: just some I asked him some about the round, and
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: he told me that in the practice round. The only
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: reason he played in the practice round on a Wednesday
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: was because because he thought that the pro am was
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: still going, because they had like an amateur event on
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: Wednesday before the program started on Thursday Friday, he thought
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: it was still on and it was canceled because the
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: weather was so bad, and he was like, I'm out
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: there early, I'm just going to practice, and he said
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: he don't. He didn't think anyone would break par in
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: that weather. And I mean, I told you guys in
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: the reports it was legitimately insane, and that's what we
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: are seeing tomorrow. So I told you guys the I showed.
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: I just showed you guys my screen for the gust
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: and stuff like that. Statistically, what we're looking for tomorrow
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: is nothing. I am not looking for any specific stat
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: for multiple reasons. Because, first of all, if you look
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: at how guys have scored in round one, round two,
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: round three, you can see like how different it's been.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: There's not sorry, it hasn't been one glaring way. See
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: how the highlighted stuff is changing in each little spot
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: in the tournament. You can see some more relative similar similarities,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: but round by round, it's been changing every single day,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: and tomorrow is the most unique conditions. It's gonna be
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: a new way to score. So what I'm gonna look
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: for tomorrow is kind of like that what I wanted
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: going into the week. Driving distance in short game, I
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: really think you can. If you drive it long and straight,
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: you're gonna have so many more opportunities to simply not
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: mess up. And I don't think we're gonna have any
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: sixty fives tomorrow. I don't unless we're going to Tommy
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: Shinacock ground. Avoiding bogies is going to be big tomorrow.
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: So if you drive it straight in or you're just
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: in position to make pars, that's gonna be really solid.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: So I'm looking at that, and I am looking at
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: ownership ownership, ownership ownership. I'm fading chalky guys, because we
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: have insane weathers. Anything can happen tomorrow. I'm fading the chalk,
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: and I am going with the driving distance, and I'm
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: going with the short game tomorrow. So that's what I'm leading.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: That's the strategy tomorrow, and we'll get into some more
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: tools later. First I want to talk about a nice
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: contest that I think is solid tomorrow. This is the
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: fifty five dollars twelve entry max the twenty k up
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: in D and it's perfect. I mean this. I talked
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: about how up and down is going to be important tomorrow,
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: and it's called the up and down for a reason.
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: Like if you max enter this contest, you have twelve
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: percent of the field. I know the top first place
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: gets twenty percent, but you're twelve out of four to
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: one three. That's about like having one in thirty four. Yeah,
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: one in thirty four. So you could definitely have a
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: really chance if everyone's max center and you can bet
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: thirty four people and no one's not everyone's max centering this.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: If you want to put out the big bucks, I
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: think tomorrow's a really good day for it. And also
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: if you're fading that chalk, I really think you could
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: get different easily and possibly uh possibly cash big time tomorrow.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: So this is probably going to be the contest that
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: I am most excited for tomorrow. The twenty k up
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: and down is where I am looking twelve entries max.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: You probably will find me in this contest. Let's look
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: at some ship it Nation tools while we have the
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: chance really quickly. Got to pull up my banner as always,
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: and I'm going to get to other questions at the
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: end like we usually do. I'm not going to show
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: the stone because it is already up. This is a
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: late show, so the stone is already up. But we
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: have ownership in the stone. We have true approach Delta.
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: We have round four scoring projections baked into this. So
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: get over to the site, use the code in the
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: live chat so the at the top of the love chat,
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: and get yourself different, get yourself very different, PGA one
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: of these two. If you just want the content, fine,
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: but you're gonna want to want this optimizer, if you're
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: gonna want to get different, if you're gonna want to
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: build lineups, Optimizer plus core and then once all the
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: other sports come out, bang, you get the all access.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: I would just get the all access because these guys
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: are professionals at every single sport, so definitely do that
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: if possible. Let's talk about some of our week long sweats.
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: We have a chance tomorrow, guys, we have a chance
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: in the outright market. I will bring this screen up. Now,
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: this screen up here we go. Obviously, oxyt leads the way.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: We have Jake Knapp at fifty to one around, we
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: have Tommy Fleetwood, we have Minuly any You know how
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: easily Colin markawo Oxhebtia can shoot seventy four tomorrow so easily.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: So many guys are live. A three four five, A
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: three four under round goes very far. A five hundred
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: round probably wins you this if you're a wreck, if
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: you're at fourteen fifteen hunderd, if you can post that
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: five hunderd round and get lucky. So and one last
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: thing I want to say for strategy, which I missed,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: is remember how gettable pulls one through six are. Remember
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: how gettable holds one through six are. We saw what
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: OCCU did. We saw what I mean, the entire field
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: did this morning. I showed you that weather note before.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: It's not going to be easy in the morning, but
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: it's really going to kick up about two hours after
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: the first guys go off. So I really think if
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: you get guys in your lineups, maybe two to three
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: guys per lineup that we're going off in that first
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: hour of the tea times all of number one, massive advantage, massive, massive,
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: massive advantage because they can just get if they can
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: just get two to three birdies that could go a
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: long way. That nine points he can get you really
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: really integrated into into leaping towards the top. So I
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: love that. I love that. Gonna definitely be grabbing two
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: to three guys per lineup going off in that first
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: hour and then maybe get some more guys towards the
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: top to get some to get some placement points. I
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: guess that leads us to the one golfer than I
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: am on who could it be? We did not have
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: a good day today with Kadiyama. He was the one
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: golfer that I was on. Chutch you under it didn't
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: really get us anywhere. But tomorrow a guy by the
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: name a little bit far out, but he's going out early.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: Why not post a little number. You may have heard
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: of him before, try to guess it, drop a comment
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: if you think you know who he is, give you
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: a hand. He's won the Grand Slam and that's Rory McElroy.
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: Rory McRoy is the first tea time out tomorrow going
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: out with Justin Rose. I like Justin Rose as well,
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: but where Rory's doing off the tee, this is not Rory.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: This is due to change he had one bad drive today,
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: which if his true alter tee delta would change. Look
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: who he's doing that approach. He's setting himself up. The
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: fact that he's second on approach while almost being dead
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: last off the tea is so damn impressive. He's making
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: so many birdies. Rory's making seven. He's made seventeen birdies
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: and two eagles that is that does not He's T
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: two and eagles T twelve and birdies that does not
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: correlate with T thirty nine the leaderboard. He is due
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: to get well up Kenny back to our top ten.
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: Not sure, but he could definitely make a ton of
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: birdies to get close. So Rory McElroy is the one
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: golfer that I am on and as always, the slate
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: plan will be up in very soon. I'm gonna get
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: off when I go off the stream. I'm gonna do
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: this right away because I need to go to bed.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: I woke up so early. I need to go to
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: back to these ghosts. I'll tell you that much. But yeah,
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: that's the one goal for him on Before we get
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: to the questions that the song of the Days come
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: out to La by Don Broco. Check it out. Now,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: let's peep some of these, uh these questions before we get.
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: Out of here.
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: All right, all right, all right, all right, got her up?
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: Got her up? Let's let's talk about gott her up.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: What's what's got her up up to? I do love
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: Chris gotta up, as you guys now, got her I'm
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: not gonna remember screen up for this. I'm gonna talk
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: through Chris gottterr Up is currently T twenty two around
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: to seventy. He is about average off the tee and
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: average pudding. I think that off the tee number is
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: skewed because that lost ball on Friday, driving distance is there,
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: and if that driving distance prevails like I did, like
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: I said it would could and then scrambling, he's twelve
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: from driving distance, and in around the green he's also
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: two off. That is a great, a great uh build
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: for what I'm looking for for tomorrow. So I do
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: think got Her Up could be in for a nice
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: little bounce back tomorrow. Not necessarily. I don't think anything
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: around here is too crazy or not out in front
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: of you, so I would. I don't think you need to.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: It's just the yes, the everyone's going out so early
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: that that doesn't really matter and it's our window. But
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: the weather looks crazy all the time. I think if
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: you can get one to six earlier, the better because
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: the bat that the rest of it is hard. So
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: if you can get those birdies early, I think that
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: will go for you a long way. Any Yeah, let's
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: see what we what we got here, see it's it's
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna write down everything in the in the
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: in the core report, I did say find us that
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: that someone was horrible at and Colin was horrible at putting.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: I did bring them up, yes today, So shout out
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: you for taking advantage of that. Got her up, did
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: smash in the in the wind. I don't hate this
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: at all, Rosie and Rory. So yeah, that's all the questions.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: Let's it is a crapshow tomorrow. I see that comment,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: pick your horses and run with those low owned guys.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: That does it. I will catch you guys tomorrow. I'm
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: not sure if it's gonna be live, but I'm gonna
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: do the Riviera preview tomorrow. The Boots show will be
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Monday night because I'm flying out Tuesday night. Hopefully the
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: weather keeps up with me a little bit. It's not
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: looking great. Right now, early week in LA next week,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna be there no matter what. I'm gonna
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: bring as much content as I possibly can. Any questions,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: you know where to find me, and as always, let's
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: ship it. Peace out,