Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / MLB Season Best Bets

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MLB Season Best Bets · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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1:17
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
1:21
Speaker 1: I'm Chad Molman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
1:24
Speaker 1: It's almost time for baseball season. We are days away
1:30
Speaker 1: from First Pitch. Colin wood Church, Action Network, Senior editor
1:35
Speaker 1: for Baseball Shan's Reelo, long time senior writer, senior baseball analysts.
1:40
Speaker 1: You can see him all over the airways on MLB Network.
1:43
Speaker 1: You see him on Action Network. They've got a brand
1:48
Speaker 1: new podcast, first episode launching. It's called Payoff Pitch Simon.
1:56
Speaker 1: How excited are we for baseball? My professional betting BFF
2:00
Speaker 1: companion Capadre Cheah, this is the best time of year.
2:02
Speaker 1: We got the very end of March madness, we got
2:05
Speaker 1: playoffs coming up in hockey, playoffs coming up in basketball,
2:08
Speaker 1: and the start of the MLB season where I literally
2:11
Speaker 1: lose all my betting money on MLB the first two weeks,
2:13
Speaker 1: and then I come back probably mid July to start
2:16
Speaker 1: losing some more money. So I just bet way too
2:18
Speaker 1: much when it comes back because I'm just so fired
2:20
Speaker 1: up where it's like, oh, first five innings, give it
2:23
Speaker 1: to me, all of it. I just wanted. Also, I
2:25
Speaker 1: am so happy that lockout ended and it's back. I
2:27
Speaker 1: missed baseball. Well, look, this is what's cool. You know,
2:31
Speaker 1: Collins spent years at Baseball Prospectus, right, he comes at
2:34
Speaker 1: it from a very specific point of view. Zarilla, we
2:38
Speaker 1: know dig so deep into the data. That's literally every
2:42
Speaker 1: single baseball game. And there are so many different markets
2:45
Speaker 1: for baseball. You can be betting run line first five,
2:49
Speaker 1: you can be betting totals. It doesn't really matter, like
2:52
Speaker 1: the way you can bet this sport now, there's so
2:55
Speaker 1: many opportunities. It's a grind, like you gotta keep up
2:58
Speaker 1: with it. And that's what Sean and Colin are four.
3:01
Speaker 1: That's why they're here. I always love this because Sean
3:04
Speaker 1: will come on at the beginning of the baseball season
3:07
Speaker 1: and I'm going a little more in death because we
3:08
Speaker 1: have so many new listeners, like some people don't know
3:11
Speaker 1: that much about betting baseball and sort of the joys
3:13
Speaker 1: of betting baseball. When when you come on, Sean, you
3:17
Speaker 1: will give us like the long shots of the long shots,
3:20
Speaker 1: and by the end of the year. We're like all
3:23
Speaker 1: these games that he talked about in March, it's now
3:26
Speaker 1: these teams. It's coming to fruition. Sean Zarrillo can't wait
3:30
Speaker 1: for you guys to get started. I can't either, chat.
3:33
Speaker 1: I've got fifty futures beats already in the Action Network app.
3:37
Speaker 1: I've been firing on stat prop leaders all day. So
3:40
Speaker 1: like most hits, most runs, most RBIs, picture wins, picture
3:43
Speaker 1: strike out, stuff like that. So we're digging into the
3:45
Speaker 1: player data. Finally put out all of my World Series
3:47
Speaker 1: futures and divisional futures last week, but we've moved on
3:50
Speaker 1: to the player projections. Going to get into some m
3:52
Speaker 1: vps and Cy Young's next week, right before the season
3:54
Speaker 1: starts too. All right, well, listen, that's that I do
3:57
Speaker 1: want to sort of break this down in very specific ways.
4:00
Speaker 1: I want us to go World Series futures, a couple
4:03
Speaker 1: of season win totals. Then I'm gonna want I want
4:06
Speaker 1: to get a little bit into some of this sort
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Speaker 1: of more glamorous player props. Okay, Colin, since you're relatively
4:16
Speaker 1: new to the podcast, you're one year into your reign
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Speaker 1: as baseball editor at Action Network. He started exactly a
4:24
Speaker 1: year ago, almost when baseball season was starting. Now's your chance,
4:27
Speaker 1: wow us with your World Series future. Bet I'm gonna
4:32
Speaker 1: go with the Toronto Blue Jays plus nine hundred to
4:36
Speaker 1: win the World Series. Look, if the Blue Jays had
4:40
Speaker 1: the name Boston or New York across the front of
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Speaker 1: their jersey, I think people would be hyping them up
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Speaker 1: a lot more than they are currently. This is the
4:46
Speaker 1: best team in a loaded a L East. They lost
4:50
Speaker 1: Marcus Simeon and Robbie Ray in the off season, but
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Speaker 1: brought in Kevin Gaussman, who is a legitimate ace to
4:55
Speaker 1: replace Ray. They brought in Matt Chapman, who had a
4:57
Speaker 1: down your offensively last year. It's gonna improve their defense.
5:00
Speaker 1: It's a lot and probably rebound with the stick. The
5:02
Speaker 1: rotation is insanely deep, with five established major league pictures,
5:06
Speaker 1: and that's before you even get two guys like Ross Stripling,
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Speaker 1: who's accompetant swing man. Nor Nate Pearson, a top prospect
5:12
Speaker 1: not all that long ago, who's dealt with injuries in
5:13
Speaker 1: the last few years. Anything they get from him is
5:15
Speaker 1: just an added bonus. Their bullpends a little bit of
5:18
Speaker 1: a question mark. They have a lot of established competent
5:22
Speaker 1: Major league leaguers. They're like Adam Stimber, you mean Garcia.
5:25
Speaker 1: Jordan Romero is a closer that everyone's going to be
5:28
Speaker 1: grabbing in their fantasy leagues if they haven't already. He
5:31
Speaker 1: doesn't have a lot of name recognition, but again has
5:33
Speaker 1: a chance to be one of the top closers in
5:35
Speaker 1: the league. Their win total right now is two and
5:37
Speaker 1: a half, So I obviously like the over there. That's
5:39
Speaker 1: one of my favorite bets. But World Series odds at
5:42
Speaker 1: plus nine hundred right now, that's right in line with
5:45
Speaker 1: the Yankees. But they're significantly better team than the Yankees,
5:47
Speaker 1: significantly better team than the Red Sox, so I really
5:50
Speaker 1: like them at plus nine hundred. I gotta say even
5:55
Speaker 1: only as the as the Blue Jays. Their odds are
5:59
Speaker 1: the second short it's the Dodgers and then the Blue Jays.
6:02
Speaker 1: And you make the point about if it was Boston
6:04
Speaker 1: or if it was the Yankees, that's like how much
6:06
Speaker 1: respect they're already getting from the market that if someone
6:10
Speaker 1: is just coming to baseball, if so all someone knows
6:12
Speaker 1: about baseball is the bravest one in the World Series.
6:16
Speaker 1: They hibernated, they woke up they found out Will Smith
6:19
Speaker 1: slapped Chris Rock and that the Baseball Block had it ended,
6:22
Speaker 1: they'd be like Blue Jays plus nine hundred, Zerillo. How
6:26
Speaker 1: did this happen? How did this team get so good?
6:28
Speaker 1: And they continually added throughout the off season. And you
6:31
Speaker 1: know what's really interesting is they weren't second in odds
6:34
Speaker 1: until last Tuesday or Wednesday chat when my article dropped,
6:37
Speaker 1: they were sitting behind the Yankees. They were around spots.
6:41
Speaker 1: My article dropped, there were plus nine within ninety minutes.
6:45
Speaker 1: I know we moved that number. I know our listeners
6:47
Speaker 1: move that number when we put out content and we
6:49
Speaker 1: say there's a good numbered bet. Forget my projections, right,
6:52
Speaker 1: look at fan grass projections very similar to my projections.
6:55
Speaker 1: Fan Grass has the Jast to win the Division twelve
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Speaker 1: three pcent to win the World Series. That should be
7:00
Speaker 1: around plus one plus seven hundred, respectively. I think there's
7:04
Speaker 1: still value in the Jay's number. That's my biggest World
7:06
Speaker 1: Series bet, got it? I have a unit and a
7:09
Speaker 1: quarter on the Jason won the World Series. The other
7:12
Speaker 1: two World Series teams that I sprinkled, I have a
7:14
Speaker 1: half unit on the Brewers at sixteen one, and I
7:17
Speaker 1: have a quarter unit on the Phillies at forty two one.
7:19
Speaker 1: I think getting the second seed, particularly me and l
7:22
Speaker 1: is going to be very very important. You get two
7:25
Speaker 1: teams with the bye this year, so advancing to the
7:27
Speaker 1: second round there's that three game wild Card series, So
7:30
Speaker 1: getting that second spot, getting that second by and moving
7:32
Speaker 1: on is gonna be very important. And I would imagine
7:35
Speaker 1: that the Brewers, given the relative strength or the weakness
7:38
Speaker 1: of the teams in their division, are gonna have a
7:39
Speaker 1: good shot of pulling that off. Dodgers plus five hundred
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Speaker 1: Blue Jays plus nine hundred Astros plus a thousand White
7:48
Speaker 1: Sox plus eleven hundred Yankees plus eleven hundred Raised plus
7:53
Speaker 1: eleven hundred Mets plus eleven fifty. Then you've got the
7:56
Speaker 1: Braves and Brewers plus eleven fifty. Uh, and then plus two.
8:01
Speaker 1: It's interesting to me, Simon, I apologize. I just want
8:03
Speaker 1: to get this one point out that teams like the
8:06
Speaker 1: White Sox, teams, like the Mets teams, like the Braves, teams,
8:10
Speaker 1: like the Brewers, they were all in that same category
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Speaker 1: last year, like teams that were creeping into the upper
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Speaker 1: echelon of the shortest odds getting the most action that's
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Speaker 1: a pretty significant see change to me, Colin, Like, now,
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Speaker 1: for the second year in a row, you're getting these
8:33
Speaker 1: teams that have moved beyond oh, this would be a surprise,
8:37
Speaker 1: and Fluke to, oh, yeah, this is the expectation. Yeah,
8:41
Speaker 1: it's it. It is the expectation now. I think I
8:44
Speaker 1: think people have have started to look past the will
8:48
Speaker 1: they and now it's moving to the why haven't they yet?
8:52
Speaker 1: You know you mentioned the White Sox. Obviously it's a
8:55
Speaker 1: team that I know very well. It's World Series expectation.
8:59
Speaker 1: I think after what we saw from the Brewers last
9:01
Speaker 1: year and with their top three starting pitchers of Corven Burns,
9:04
Speaker 1: Brandon Woodruff and Freddie Peralta, it's no longer wow, we
9:09
Speaker 1: really have a shot. It's we need to do this
9:11
Speaker 1: and we should do this. And I think betters are
9:14
Speaker 1: recognizing that as well, where there's more of an expectation. Um,
9:18
Speaker 1: you know some of the regular contenders from years past,
9:22
Speaker 1: the Yankees, the Red Sox, you know, they haven't been
9:25
Speaker 1: there in a while now, so it's it's more wide
9:27
Speaker 1: open than ever. We saw the Braves win the World
9:29
Speaker 1: Series for the first time in almost thirty years last year.
9:33
Speaker 1: The Razor right in there all the time. Now nobody
9:36
Speaker 1: they They're not sneaking up on anyone anymore. The Rays aren't,
9:39
Speaker 1: the Brewers aren't, etcetera. There's now more of an expectation
9:43
Speaker 1: for these teams. They're the new heavyweights, you know, and
9:45
Speaker 1: and people are starting to recognize that instead of just
9:48
Speaker 1: going with the traditional powers and then letting these other
9:50
Speaker 1: teams sneak up on them. All the pressures on showing
9:53
Speaker 1: this year because last year at this point he gave
9:55
Speaker 1: us Brewers last year, which was an amazing call, and
10:00
Speaker 1: Houston Astros, which again was an amazing call. The market
10:03
Speaker 1: is caught up this year. Obviously. This season, these teams
10:06
Speaker 1: that kind of had these sleeper SATs like Check and
10:08
Speaker 1: I touched on aren't really there. I kind of look
10:10
Speaker 1: when then there are seasons like this with baseball. I
10:13
Speaker 1: looked a bet on teams where I feel like I'm
10:15
Speaker 1: just talking a little bit where Boston's down a little
10:17
Speaker 1: bit there one right now and Vandel is that a
10:19
Speaker 1: sneaky team where people are just down on them this season,
10:22
Speaker 1: where I've looked at their prospects they have coming up,
10:24
Speaker 1: I've seen their bullpend, their pictures like that, there just
10:26
Speaker 1: seems like there's a lot of upside to this Boston
10:29
Speaker 1: team where people are gonna be all talking about the
10:31
Speaker 1: Blue Jays, everyone's talking about the Yankees, and I just
10:33
Speaker 1: see there's gonna be value in this Boston team this
10:35
Speaker 1: upcoming season. What do you think, Sean? So I followed
10:37
Speaker 1: five different projections in addition to making my own, and
10:40
Speaker 1: pretty much everybody has the same order of Blue Jays
10:43
Speaker 1: or Yankees one or two, raise three in Red Sox four,
10:46
Speaker 1: and there's you know, very very similar projections between the
10:48
Speaker 1: Rais and the Red Sox. That said, year over year,
10:51
Speaker 1: the Rays continue to get under projected. They're usually three
10:54
Speaker 1: or four wins underneath their win total when you average
10:57
Speaker 1: out the market projections, and because I factor defense more
11:00
Speaker 1: and other things, I tend to be more in line
11:02
Speaker 1: with the Rays. So I actually have the Rays ahead
11:04
Speaker 1: of the Yankees so far by about you know, half
11:07
Speaker 1: a win, two tenths of a win have them both
11:09
Speaker 1: closer to ninety one, and then I have a tear
11:11
Speaker 1: drop sort of to the Red Sox closer to six points,
11:14
Speaker 1: so I can see them threatening for a wild guard spot.
11:16
Speaker 1: But I don't know if those odds are really going
11:18
Speaker 1: to get you know, much better or much worse throughout
11:20
Speaker 1: the year. I think they're going to kind of stay
11:21
Speaker 1: in the same range just because it's so difficult, even
11:24
Speaker 1: with the expanded playoffs to imagine them getting past at
11:27
Speaker 1: least two, if not three, teams in their division. Hold
11:29
Speaker 1: on a second, Simon, when are you doing research on
11:34
Speaker 1: prospects and bullpens fantasy baseball season? Man, I I'm all in.
11:39
Speaker 1: I told you, I go all in hardcore for like
11:41
Speaker 1: a month here and then I get back into football draft.
11:44
Speaker 1: So this is like my time for baseball. I love it.
11:46
Speaker 1: I mean again, I grew up on that Phillies two
11:50
Speaker 1: thousand two two runs, So it's like I grew up
11:54
Speaker 1: in the best era I could possibly live in for
11:56
Speaker 1: Philadelphia baseball. So I just love baseball. If we look
11:59
Speaker 1: down the future Zadd's page, if we want to get
12:03
Speaker 1: the most bang for our buck, who are we looking at? Say,
12:08
Speaker 1: from the l A Angels at one down, you got
12:13
Speaker 1: the Angels, the Mariners, the Giants, the Cardinals, the Phillies
12:18
Speaker 1: all in that thirty one range. Sean, you mentioned the Phillies, obviously,
12:23
Speaker 1: who else are we talking about here? In like long
12:27
Speaker 1: long range Colin. I want to give you a team
12:30
Speaker 1: that I know Sean's going to disagree with here, a
12:32
Speaker 1: very contentious team among the the MLB writers here at
12:35
Speaker 1: the Action Network, and that's the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners
12:39
Speaker 1: haven't been to the postseason in twenty two years. Two
12:44
Speaker 1: thousand one, when they won a hundred and sixteen games
12:47
Speaker 1: and got bounced in the playoffs. That was the last
12:48
Speaker 1: time we saw the Seattle Mariners in the playoffs. I'm
12:51
Speaker 1: drinking the Mariners koolid. This year, they added Robbie Ray
12:55
Speaker 1: to the rotation. They have one of the best farm
12:57
Speaker 1: systems in baseball. We're gonna see Julio Rodrigue as this year.
13:01
Speaker 1: We're gonna see Jared Kelenett, who we saw a little
13:03
Speaker 1: bit last year struggle, still one of the top young
13:06
Speaker 1: talents in baseball. They're brimming with young guys who are
13:09
Speaker 1: ready to make that leap. Chad, you talked about teams
13:12
Speaker 1: that were kind of under the radar waiting to make
13:14
Speaker 1: the leap. The Mariners are the next team on that list.
13:17
Speaker 1: They're gonna break that playoff droute last year. They're gonna
13:19
Speaker 1: break that playoff route this year. And we're gonna start
13:22
Speaker 1: seeing them as perennial World Series contenders for years to come.
13:25
Speaker 1: So I think there's a lot of value on them
13:27
Speaker 1: in that kind of mid tier range. It's really you
13:30
Speaker 1: were nodding. You don't hate what witch Church is saying. No,
13:35
Speaker 1: I mean I get the argument, you know, and I
13:37
Speaker 1: get anybody who's buying into Seattle that said, there's a
13:40
Speaker 1: lot of arguments that I could make going against them, right,
13:43
Speaker 1: So I improve their true talent projection by ten wins
13:45
Speaker 1: Over the off season. I upgraded the type of team
13:47
Speaker 1: they were by ten wins, which was amongst the highest
13:50
Speaker 1: upgrades I made, but they still overachieved by fourteen wins.
13:53
Speaker 1: Last year, their run differentials suggested that there should have
13:56
Speaker 1: been a seventy win team ended up winning ninety games
13:58
Speaker 1: because they led the league in fund differential. There are
14:01
Speaker 1: the Kings of fun. Now looking around the projection market, right,
14:04
Speaker 1: there's no bigger disagreement in terms of an under between
14:07
Speaker 1: the consensus projections and a team other than the Mariners.
14:11
Speaker 1: I have them projected at seventy nine point seven. The
14:13
Speaker 1: market range is as low as seventy six and as
14:16
Speaker 1: high as eighty three. So every single projection that I
14:19
Speaker 1: use likes the Mariners to go under eighty five and
14:22
Speaker 1: a half. I actually got an under eighty six and
14:24
Speaker 1: a half, which I love. I'd probably still bet this
14:26
Speaker 1: down to eighty four and a half. Get all the
14:28
Speaker 1: arguments and the reasons why the Mariners could potentially compete.
14:31
Speaker 1: I see all the prospects coming up, and frankly, it's
14:33
Speaker 1: a week a l West this year too. I'm backing
14:36
Speaker 1: the Angels personally, who was a team I've been against
14:38
Speaker 1: the past couple of years. But I just think the
14:39
Speaker 1: Mariners are a bit over inflated in their win total.
14:42
Speaker 1: It's the high bar to clear. I love how imperious
14:46
Speaker 1: Zarrillo can sound when he's talking about his projections and
14:51
Speaker 1: his rankings. You have to have a level when you're
14:54
Speaker 1: when you're making models, which Zillo does, Chris Raybun does it,
14:58
Speaker 1: Sean Kroner does it. When you're making models, you have
15:03
Speaker 1: to have so much confidence in the work that you're doing,
15:06
Speaker 1: in the numbers you're creating, because you are betting a
15:10
Speaker 1: funkload of money on these things on a day to
15:13
Speaker 1: day basis. Zarillo, how long does it take you to
15:17
Speaker 1: build up confidence in that model? It's taking a few years,
15:21
Speaker 1: you know, and I continue to evolve, right, So it's
15:24
Speaker 1: every time I add something, it's almost like I have
15:26
Speaker 1: to go through a new trial period of like did
15:29
Speaker 1: I screw up by adding this element in or is
15:31
Speaker 1: this going to improve my process? So every time, you know,
15:34
Speaker 1: every year and sort of April, I like I changed something,
15:36
Speaker 1: and then I'm a little bit hesitant about firing more
15:38
Speaker 1: aggressively on totals this year too, we have other factors
15:41
Speaker 1: to consider, like all thirty parks are using humand or
15:43
Speaker 1: this year they keep swapping out the baseball, so I
15:46
Speaker 1: might not go as aggressively on totals in April as
15:49
Speaker 1: I have in years past. But yeah, it's you know,
15:51
Speaker 1: it's something that if I see a huge disagreement where
15:55
Speaker 1: I'm either way low or way high on a team,
15:57
Speaker 1: I'm gonna dig into it further. But if I'm sort
15:59
Speaker 1: of in the range with the rest of the projection market,
16:01
Speaker 1: I feel pretty confident that my process is at least sound.
16:04
Speaker 1: And you know, I may have a slight difference from
16:06
Speaker 1: another projection, but as long as I'm within the range
16:09
Speaker 1: of outcomes, I feel pretty confident. Do you think there
16:12
Speaker 1: are teams that have better value that you would rather
16:15
Speaker 1: bet to win the Pennant versus the World Series, Colin,
16:19
Speaker 1: you go first. If you're looking at value in that way,
16:21
Speaker 1: that American League is the way to go, just because
16:23
Speaker 1: the Dodgers are such a strong favorite in the National
16:26
Speaker 1: League and we're once it gets to the playoffs, the
16:28
Speaker 1: Dodgers are just they're tough to beat. I mean, we
16:30
Speaker 1: saw a team beat them last year, but but the
16:32
Speaker 1: American League is generally the way to go. The team
16:35
Speaker 1: I like to look at from a Pennant standpoint is
16:37
Speaker 1: the Raised. The Rays are always impossible to project. Most
16:41
Speaker 1: projection systems have been wrong on them for most of
16:43
Speaker 1: the last five years as they continue to to just
16:47
Speaker 1: overstep their their expectations. So they're also a team that
16:51
Speaker 1: once they get to October, they're even tougher to project
16:54
Speaker 1: somehow because of their picture usage, because of the way
16:57
Speaker 1: they manage their bullpen. Kevin Cash gets a lot of
17:00
Speaker 1: credit as the manager, but the front office runs that
17:02
Speaker 1: that day to day. They're consistently undervalued there, and I
17:05
Speaker 1: think that at you know, the plus seven fifty plus
17:08
Speaker 1: eight hundred range, I I like the value they're just
17:11
Speaker 1: them to make it because they're gonna get to October.
17:14
Speaker 1: I think the odds of them getting too October are
17:16
Speaker 1: very strong, and once they once they make it, their
17:17
Speaker 1: their path becomes a lot more clear, and so I
17:20
Speaker 1: enjoy finding odds in that way. Yeah, I'd see if
17:23
Speaker 1: you see a number that's more than fifty percent of
17:26
Speaker 1: the World Series number, I'd take it. You know, there's
17:28
Speaker 1: I think I saw some like plus nine hundred floating
17:31
Speaker 1: on there on the Brewers where their World Series odds
17:34
Speaker 1: are plus six hundreds. So I looked for discrepancies like that,
17:37
Speaker 1: But by and large, I I rarely bet independent futures
17:40
Speaker 1: as opposed to World series features. I love to hear
17:43
Speaker 1: what you guys think about wind projections because I'm terrible
17:45
Speaker 1: at it. I always always think like I can do it.
17:48
Speaker 1: I'll listen to people and I'll try to bet off
17:50
Speaker 1: of it and then make my own opinion. But it
17:52
Speaker 1: really is one of those you need to build a
17:54
Speaker 1: model and just bet that model because it is so
17:57
Speaker 1: we've just seen it comes down to a couple of games.
17:58
Speaker 1: I mean, you always have the weird team that go
18:00
Speaker 1: over by ten or twenty games, but usually the bookmakers
18:03
Speaker 1: are so good at it. It really does come down
18:05
Speaker 1: to maybe four or five games. Yeah, I'd say half
18:08
Speaker 1: about half the league every year is within like three
18:10
Speaker 1: wins of their win total. It's very night. You have some,
18:14
Speaker 1: you know, huge outliers, like the Giants last year, who
18:16
Speaker 1: were the biggest to ever exceed their win total by
18:19
Speaker 1: thirty plus games. They crushed their propota projection as well.
18:22
Speaker 1: So there's there's two d and two overs that I'm
18:24
Speaker 1: targeting this year, actually two unders in the ALE and
18:27
Speaker 1: two overs in the NL. But let's stick with the
18:30
Speaker 1: ALE because I think those are too much contentious teams.
18:32
Speaker 1: We talked about the Mariners before, right, I like their
18:34
Speaker 1: under the Tigers of the other team who were the
18:37
Speaker 1: buzz team coming into the year. I grabbed some early
18:39
Speaker 1: World Series value on them at seventy five to one,
18:42
Speaker 1: but I didn't really like what they did with their
18:43
Speaker 1: offseason after that. But meanwhile, their future ZAD just dropped
18:45
Speaker 1: to that like forty thirty to one range, similar to
18:48
Speaker 1: the Mariners. Every single projection likes this team to go
18:51
Speaker 1: under this year as low as seventies sixty seven point
18:54
Speaker 1: four the highest seventy five. My projection leans towards the high.
18:58
Speaker 1: I'm at seventy three point six, but I got an
19:00
Speaker 1: early under eighty and a half. I'd continue to bet
19:03
Speaker 1: this under seventy eight and a half all the way
19:04
Speaker 1: down to seventy six and a half one over that
19:07
Speaker 1: I like. My favorite over is the Marlins over seventy
19:10
Speaker 1: five and a half out there right now. A lot
19:12
Speaker 1: of projections actually have them finishing closer to five hundred,
19:14
Speaker 1: which is surprising because this is a very good and
19:16
Speaker 1: the least division this season. My numbers closer to seventy nine,
19:20
Speaker 1: and I'm not even a high man on the board.
19:21
Speaker 1: There's an eighty point one out there from fan Gerralfs.
19:23
Speaker 1: So Marlin's over seventy five and a half, Mariners under
19:26
Speaker 1: seventy eight and a half, and Tigers under seventy eight
19:28
Speaker 1: and a half. I should say the Mariners that are
19:30
Speaker 1: eighty four and a half, that's my bad. Those are
19:32
Speaker 1: my three favorite win totals for this season. Tom, what
19:34
Speaker 1: are you go? Oh look, Trillo just jumping in and
19:37
Speaker 1: like trying to direct traffic here, Like it's like you
19:39
Speaker 1: guys are practicing the payoff pitch right on our show.
19:42
Speaker 1: I'll take my queue there. My two favorite wind totals
19:45
Speaker 1: this year are really ugly. Disgusting wind totals among the
19:49
Speaker 1: worst teams in baseball, and and I'm buying into the
19:53
Speaker 1: hype of of how bad these teams are gonna be.
19:54
Speaker 1: My first one is with the Oakland Athletics. You've all
19:57
Speaker 1: seen the movie Major League. I presume that's what's happening
20:01
Speaker 1: to the Oakland Athletics right now. Oh yea, but nobody
20:09
Speaker 1: recognizes us, not even in our own hometown. The Oakland
20:13
Speaker 1: Athletic ownership is actively trying to make them lose games,
20:16
Speaker 1: and not necessarily in a way like we saw with
20:19
Speaker 1: teams like the Cubs in the Astros early last decade,
20:21
Speaker 1: where they're trying to like save money while while building
20:24
Speaker 1: up the super farm. This team is just like outright
20:27
Speaker 1: making the worst team it possibly can. Its projections are
20:31
Speaker 1: little high right now because they still have Frankie Montis
20:34
Speaker 1: and Shaun and I in the rotation, who they've been
20:36
Speaker 1: actively shopping all offseason, will probably be moved by July
20:40
Speaker 1: at the latest. The wind totals right now are seventy
20:43
Speaker 1: and a half seventy one and a half range. This
20:45
Speaker 1: is a one lost roster. I don't see anyway this
20:48
Speaker 1: team doesn't finish in the last place in the a
20:50
Speaker 1: L West, even behind the Texas Rangers. A hundred losses
20:53
Speaker 1: are within question. I think that the projections are way
20:56
Speaker 1: too high here. And the second team is the team
20:59
Speaker 1: that's going to be competing with Oakland for worst record
21:01
Speaker 1: in the American League. That's the Baltimore Orioles. Oh no,
21:05
Speaker 1: we shuck again. This team loses a hundred games every year.
21:08
Speaker 1: They're currently projected at sixty two and a half. Like
21:11
Speaker 1: the A's, they are consistently trying to be bad. They
21:15
Speaker 1: don't even tink around the margins. You see a lot
21:17
Speaker 1: of bad teams like the Pirates, who will make all
21:19
Speaker 1: these stealth, you know, waiver claims and try to find
21:22
Speaker 1: these reclamation projects. Baltimore doesn't do that. They just stand
21:25
Speaker 1: pat and they sign bad veterans who they're gonna flip
21:28
Speaker 1: at the deadline. They do have a couple of intriguing
21:30
Speaker 1: prospects who are coming down the pipeline. Add Lee Rushman,
21:33
Speaker 1: a lot of people know a former first overall pick
21:35
Speaker 1: is going to take over at catcher pretty soon. They
21:37
Speaker 1: have Grayson Rodriguez, who's one of the most intriguing young
21:40
Speaker 1: pitching prospects out there. But I don't know if or
21:43
Speaker 1: when we're going to see them, and even with them,
21:45
Speaker 1: you know, one or two players don't make that big
21:47
Speaker 1: of a difference in a win total in MLB. I
21:49
Speaker 1: think we're gonna get another hundred losses. They're going to
21:51
Speaker 1: be in the fifties again this year. So Oakland and
21:53
Speaker 1: Baltimore under if those are my two favorite bets ugly one.
21:56
Speaker 1: I love thee I love the stat that next year
22:00
Speaker 1: here gets paid more this season than the entire Orioles team,
22:03
Speaker 1: which is pretty incredible. That one guy makes it more
22:06
Speaker 1: the entire team is going to make Simon actually have
22:10
Speaker 1: a max sure as your story, would you like to
22:12
Speaker 1: hear it? I would love that. When I was a
22:14
Speaker 1: student at the University of Missouri Journalism school many many
22:18
Speaker 1: moons ago, I was in a class and you had
22:21
Speaker 1: to cover a Miszoo sporting event. That was the assignment.
22:25
Speaker 1: You had to go to the live event and cover
22:27
Speaker 1: it and then do an a p style right up
22:29
Speaker 1: at the game. I put it off and put it off,
22:31
Speaker 1: so I didn't have a lot of options. Locked. I
22:33
Speaker 1: finally decided, you know what, I'll borrow my roommates car
22:37
Speaker 1: I'll go to the baseball stadium I'll cover a Friday
22:39
Speaker 1: night game. It'll end pretty early. I can still drive back,
22:43
Speaker 1: type it up, go get hammered, or you know whatever
22:45
Speaker 1: I was doing back. Then I go to this game.
22:48
Speaker 1: There's nobody there. Maszoo's playing. I think, like what Western Illinois,
22:53
Speaker 1: and this guy, Max chures Or, who I didn't know,
22:56
Speaker 1: was also a sophomore. He was my my classmate at Zoo,
22:59
Speaker 1: twenty years old, just like me. He pitches a no
23:03
Speaker 1: hitter through seven innings. He strikes out fourteen dudes, but
23:07
Speaker 1: he's top prospect guy or whatever, so they pull him
23:09
Speaker 1: in the middle of a no hitter. They bring in
23:11
Speaker 1: another guy I think was his name was Michael Cole.
23:14
Speaker 1: He finishes the no hitter, has no idea a no
23:18
Speaker 1: hitters going on. He gets the last out and they
23:20
Speaker 1: mob him and he looks totally baffled because it was
23:24
Speaker 1: twenty five to nothing the Zoo. I go to one
23:27
Speaker 1: baseball game and it was nothing blowout. It's a Max
23:30
Speaker 1: Scherzer no hitter. Was the first Maszoono hitter, like twenty
23:34
Speaker 1: five years. And then after the game, it's me and
23:36
Speaker 1: one other dude one on one with Max Scherzer interviewing him.
23:40
Speaker 1: On the field for my first interview ever. And I
23:43
Speaker 1: do remember he has the two different colored eyes, and
23:45
Speaker 1: I didn't know that I was so close to him.
23:46
Speaker 1: It's very disconcerting. That's my Max Scherzer story. And I
23:51
Speaker 1: assume we're he'd still remember it very well and we're
23:53
Speaker 1: best friends. Oh, I have no doubt your best friends perfect.
23:57
Speaker 1: I was just gonna say, look the Orioles last year,
24:00
Speaker 1: what do they have a nineteen game losing streak? There
24:03
Speaker 1: were a couple of teams last year. The Orioles felt
24:06
Speaker 1: like one of them. The Royals felt like one of them,
24:10
Speaker 1: The Marlins felt like one of them at times where
24:13
Speaker 1: the every single night you were betting on one of
24:17
Speaker 1: those teams because the line was so egregious. You know, Zilla,
24:26
Speaker 1: we always talk about in your projections, like if there's
24:28
Speaker 1: a two percent edge, a three percent edge, you feel
24:32
Speaker 1: obligated to bet it. How do you manage that with
24:35
Speaker 1: teams that you know are going to be terrible? Who's
24:37
Speaker 1: Who's going into the sports book and is ready to
24:39
Speaker 1: find an Orioles over? Who's Who's going in the sports
24:42
Speaker 1: book and is is going there with the intention of
24:44
Speaker 1: firing on a pirate's over? I just need to be
24:46
Speaker 1: contrarian from the sense that my numbers are coming in
24:49
Speaker 1: a few wins higher than these teams, regardless of how
24:51
Speaker 1: terrible they are. So I you know, you have to
24:54
Speaker 1: just take the best available number, like Orioles over sixty
24:57
Speaker 1: two and a half. I'm not taking that. I found
24:59
Speaker 1: it over sixty and so I'm gonna play that. Right
25:01
Speaker 1: when you see a number that's you have to set
25:03
Speaker 1: a cut off before you even go in and look
25:05
Speaker 1: at the numbers. Where at this number I have to
25:07
Speaker 1: play because you can't see the number and go get
25:09
Speaker 1: a little wishy washy about it. So set your targets,
25:11
Speaker 1: play your targets, regardless of the name on the front
25:14
Speaker 1: of the jersey. It sucks. I'm not gonna lie to you,
25:16
Speaker 1: but I'd rather lay two units on the Orioles now
25:19
Speaker 1: at their win total and not think about it and
25:22
Speaker 1: then look to play them during the season when you
25:24
Speaker 1: know they get a three game road series against the
25:26
Speaker 1: Yankees and their plus three hundred every game. I just
25:28
Speaker 1: need them win one of those to come out ahead.
25:30
Speaker 1: So yeah, that the Diamondbacks, for the other team that
25:32
Speaker 1: you were thinking of, they had that twenty four game
25:34
Speaker 1: road at leasing Street last year, I believe is an
25:37
Speaker 1: MLB record now, so we're on the diamond Backs over
25:40
Speaker 1: this year, so best of luck to us. I can't
25:42
Speaker 1: tell you how many times Sean and I both were
25:45
Speaker 1: on the same side of Arizona when they were like
25:47
Speaker 1: plus three hundred last year and they just would break
25:49
Speaker 1: our heart time and time again. They were. They were
25:51
Speaker 1: one of the most unlucky teams in baseball last year,
25:53
Speaker 1: and like Sean, I'm I'm on the rover as well.
25:56
Speaker 1: This year they're gonna they're gonna bounce back a little bit.
25:58
Speaker 1: They had a lead in like every one of those
26:00
Speaker 1: games too, and they would just blow at anything. It
26:02
Speaker 1: was delightful. How much does a guy like bucks Show
26:05
Speaker 1: Walter matter for the Mets. How much of a difference
26:08
Speaker 1: can he make for win totals, for pennant for World
26:11
Speaker 1: World Series. That's a good question. Not managers aren't something
26:15
Speaker 1: that I've tried to like analytically handicap yet or put
26:18
Speaker 1: a number on. Guys like Kevin Cash. You know, they
26:20
Speaker 1: work so closely with the front office. It's almost like
26:23
Speaker 1: the front office and Cash or managing the team is won.
26:25
Speaker 1: And I think that's more what the Mets are going
26:27
Speaker 1: to get out of show Walter. He is a very
26:29
Speaker 1: anne analytically inclined guy, and I think it's possible that
26:32
Speaker 1: helps these younger guys developed to instills them with confidence.
26:35
Speaker 1: So I I certainly like seeing the Mets make a
26:37
Speaker 1: change and going to somebody who's competent as opposed to
26:39
Speaker 1: a manager like Luis Rojas who had no major league experience.
26:43
Speaker 1: I think that alone is certainly an upgrade. But in
26:45
Speaker 1: terms of like actually quantifying it or putting a number
26:48
Speaker 1: on it, and not something I've tried to do yet,
26:50
Speaker 1: I think it's hard to quantify over the course of
26:51
Speaker 1: a full season. Also, when I'm looking at managers, I'm
26:55
Speaker 1: more looking at October track record. Um, and I know,
26:58
Speaker 1: you know, someone like Tony Larus has a great October
27:01
Speaker 1: track record, but but he doesn't have a great track
27:03
Speaker 1: record of game management lately. So if I'm looking at
27:06
Speaker 1: a team with a manager who I know really well,
27:10
Speaker 1: it's like, I'm not gonna go anywhere near a Pennant
27:12
Speaker 1: or a World Series future for the White Sox because
27:15
Speaker 1: I just don't trust that when it's in the nitty
27:17
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27:22
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Speaker 1: net in West Virginia. So we'll start with player props
29:16
Speaker 1: here Sean last year again, I can't thank you enough, man,
29:20
Speaker 1: I cash huge, Laddie, was I think fifty two one
29:23
Speaker 1: to lead them all being arm runs. I am almost
29:25
Speaker 1: positive I was watching the game, but either been his
29:27
Speaker 1: last at bat or is that bat before it to
29:29
Speaker 1: tie the major league lead with the catcher from Kansas City.
29:32
Speaker 1: I think it was Perez crazy. I mean, honestly one
29:35
Speaker 1: of the most fun bets I had, because I had
29:36
Speaker 1: like five bucks on a fifty bucks on it, a
29:39
Speaker 1: hundred bucks, like all these different little bets. I'd made
29:41
Speaker 1: whatever it was for that last weekly enough to it,
29:43
Speaker 1: and that to me, that was my biggest hit by
29:45
Speaker 1: Foreign Baseball last year. You have any other player props
29:47
Speaker 1: this year where you think you have a good shot
29:49
Speaker 1: at a fifty two one or greater. Uh, I'm gonna
29:52
Speaker 1: give you an exactly fifty two one. Simon and I
29:54
Speaker 1: like this bet just as much we were on Vlad
29:56
Speaker 1: most of them round and most RBIs last year around
29:58
Speaker 1: the Saint Price Ridge. My guy this year is Kylie Scharber.
30:01
Speaker 1: I love everything about this bet. I know it. Chadow
30:03
Speaker 1: likes him. Skylo Scharber fifty one out there at a
30:06
Speaker 1: couple of books. So Shoarber pays for forty one home
30:09
Speaker 1: runs last season. He projects for fifteen roughly this year.
30:13
Speaker 1: So this is how I do player props right, Like
30:15
Speaker 1: I look at my projections, I try to bucket guys
30:17
Speaker 1: based on where their projections are. And then I look
30:20
Speaker 1: at the odds board and say, oh, well, this guy's
30:22
Speaker 1: bucketed with the He shouldn't be bucketed with the thirty
30:25
Speaker 1: to one guys, but you're giving me a seventy two
30:27
Speaker 1: one one. Well, Schobert on the odds board is bucketed
30:30
Speaker 1: more with the guys in the sixty to one group
30:33
Speaker 1: when based on projections, he should be in that range. Right.
30:40
Speaker 1: Here's the reason I really liked this bet. Working with
30:42
Speaker 1: Kevin Long, new Phillies hitting coach. He was the Nationals
30:45
Speaker 1: hitting coach last season. If you're not aware of Kevin Long,
30:48
Speaker 1: he helped Curtis Granderson unlocked back to back forty home
30:50
Speaker 1: run seasons, helped Daniel Murphy double his power output with
30:53
Speaker 1: the Mets, went absolutely ballistic in the playoffs, went from
30:57
Speaker 1: thirteen to home runs year over year. How and Zimmerman
31:00
Speaker 1: lake career resurgence. This guy unlocks power. Look at all
31:04
Speaker 1: the data for shoreber last season, highest launch angle of
31:07
Speaker 1: his career, increases fly ball rate by ten percent, ninth
31:10
Speaker 1: and barrels pervatd ball event that ranked in the top
31:12
Speaker 1: ten obviously ranked in the top ten, but amongst guys
31:14
Speaker 1: like Aaron Judge other superstar power hitters, best hard hit
31:18
Speaker 1: rate of his career, and he chased pitches outside the
31:20
Speaker 1: zone less off than it ever before. So improvements across
31:23
Speaker 1: the board for Shoreber modified his swing Under Kevin Long,
31:26
Speaker 1: I think he's probably gonna break that forty home run mark.
31:29
Speaker 1: Whether he gets to the top, whether he plays enough
31:32
Speaker 1: to hit that mark, we'll see. But fifty two one
31:34
Speaker 1: is outrageous value on a guy who should be a
31:36
Speaker 1: top fifteen hume run performer. Kyle Schwarber, Indiana Hoosier. That's right,
31:43
Speaker 1: you got that double that double Shouber connection. Chad favorite
31:47
Speaker 1: college and uh, you know your favorite baseball team. So
31:49
Speaker 1: I covered the Indiana Whosiers baseball team for the Indiana
31:52
Speaker 1: Daily Student back in the day. At any future major
31:58
Speaker 1: leaguers on that team at the time. The only guy
32:00
Speaker 1: who gotta look I remember it very clearly. His name
32:05
Speaker 1: was Phil Dauphin d A U P H I N.
32:09
Speaker 1: And I believe he became a Phillies prospect. If I'm
32:15
Speaker 1: not mistaken, I'm googling it right now. Um, he was
32:21
Speaker 1: drafted by the Cubs. Okay, drafted by the Cubs in
32:24
Speaker 1: the eleventh round. Uh, never never made it to the
32:29
Speaker 1: big leagues, bounced around for a long time, a long
32:32
Speaker 1: time in the in the minors, um and never blames
32:35
Speaker 1: you for never making it. A lot of people blame
32:38
Speaker 1: me for a lot of things that don't happen in
32:39
Speaker 1: their life. I'm used to it. You guys can't do that, though, Colin,
32:46
Speaker 1: what's your long shot? It's only a kind it's only
32:50
Speaker 1: a semi long shot compared to what's the religious gave out,
32:53
Speaker 1: which I do love a lot. It's it's one of
32:55
Speaker 1: those stats that's that's completely unpredictable and not at all
32:59
Speaker 1: tell of a player's skill level. And it's most RB
33:02
Speaker 1: I and it's Freddie Freeman at to one. Freddie Freeman
33:07
Speaker 1: is consistently one of the you know, one of the
33:09
Speaker 1: best hitters and all of baseball. He's also now going
33:11
Speaker 1: to be playing in the best offense in baseball. He
33:13
Speaker 1: didn't come from a bad offense. Obviously, his team just
33:16
Speaker 1: won the World Series. But now I's going to be
33:18
Speaker 1: hitting behind Mookie Betts and Trade Turner every single day.
33:22
Speaker 1: And he actually had some bad RB Dialock last year.
33:26
Speaker 1: I think he finished in the eighties. He he topped
33:28
Speaker 1: out in the one Thames a couple of years ago.
33:31
Speaker 1: But if you look at his r E twenty four,
33:33
Speaker 1: which is, you know, the best predictive statu of of
33:36
Speaker 1: just consistent hit and run production, he's always in the
33:40
Speaker 1: top ten there. And he's being priced down in the
33:44
Speaker 1: range of guys like Nolan Arronado and Giancarlos Stanton with
33:49
Speaker 1: his injury issues and Kyle Tucker who were less proven.
33:52
Speaker 1: And I think that there's just a lot of value
33:53
Speaker 1: and a guy who he knows is going to be
33:55
Speaker 1: out there for a hundred and fifty plus games hitting
33:58
Speaker 1: in the heart of the order for the best fence
34:00
Speaker 1: in baseball at to one, I just don't really see
34:03
Speaker 1: why he's priced that low. I think he should be
34:04
Speaker 1: up there in the range of the of the Vlad
34:06
Speaker 1: He's at plus eight hundred, of the wand Sotos at
34:08
Speaker 1: plus one thousand, even Pete Alonzo at fourteen to one.
34:12
Speaker 1: Uh Freeman should be in that range. He's not getting
34:14
Speaker 1: any respect in that market. I tried to te you
34:17
Speaker 1: up for some say a Suzuki talk, and you didn't
34:21
Speaker 1: take debit. Oh we're we If we're talking award futures,
34:25
Speaker 1: I'll go all over Suzuki, but it's players specific. Man,
34:29
Speaker 1: whatever you wanted to be, say, a Suzuki is not
34:31
Speaker 1: a long shot by any means, And this is actually
34:34
Speaker 1: a rare instance where I'm I'm siding with with one
34:37
Speaker 1: of the favorites. If you look at baseball perspectus is
34:40
Speaker 1: Pakoda projections for the season and Suzuki's fiftie percentile outcomes.
34:45
Speaker 1: So if everything just breaks in an average fashion for Suzuki,
34:48
Speaker 1: we're still looking at a player who's gonna be worth
34:50
Speaker 1: three point seven war hit, twenty four home runs, and
34:54
Speaker 1: his strikeout to walk numbers in Japan were insane and
34:58
Speaker 1: they project to translate well in the United States seventy
35:02
Speaker 1: one walks against eighty seven strikeouts. He's going to play
35:05
Speaker 1: every day. He's already in his late twenties, and if
35:08
Speaker 1: you can find him in the plus four hundred plus
35:10
Speaker 1: five hundred range, I think that helps pending. He should
35:13
Speaker 1: be the runaway favorite for n L Rookie of the Year,
35:16
Speaker 1: where right now he's tracking in the second, third, fourth range.
35:20
Speaker 1: You see me with my Osaka Tigers hat on, I
35:22
Speaker 1: love I love me some Japanese baseball. He tore it
35:25
Speaker 1: up for the Horosia mccarte over the last couple of years,
35:27
Speaker 1: and he's gonna bring it right back over here to
35:29
Speaker 1: America and it's gonna be very exciting, even especially at
35:32
Speaker 1: Wrigley Field, where we're gonna see those balls fly out
35:35
Speaker 1: of the park. The bleacher bums are gonna love this guy.
35:38
Speaker 1: I'm all over him for an EL Rookie of the Year.
35:40
Speaker 1: It's a good defender too. I was just waiting for
35:43
Speaker 1: Shawn to give me a long shot again so I
35:45
Speaker 1: can just load up. And I've already made this bets.
35:47
Speaker 1: I mean as soon as he said Phillies player, I
35:48
Speaker 1: just started betting all the Phillies guys before he was
35:50
Speaker 1: said Kyle's name. So if we had any sort of bullpen,
35:53
Speaker 1: I'd be all over the Phillies futures. But it's just
35:56
Speaker 1: a negative Phillies fan, I am. I just they spend
35:58
Speaker 1: money on the bats. I love Nick, I love Sharber,
36:01
Speaker 1: but I look at that team. I just I cannot
36:03
Speaker 1: bet their future. But if I had four to the one,
36:04
Speaker 1: I would bet the Phillies. But I'm just not doing it.
36:07
Speaker 1: I like you do a little bit, Simon. They're they're
36:10
Speaker 1: sitting around five to one. I think that's pretty solid.
36:12
Speaker 1: You know, they're They're the kind of team to me
36:14
Speaker 1: like the Angels, pretty similar who They're probably either going
36:17
Speaker 1: to be very competitive for the division or go under
36:19
Speaker 1: their winter total. I disagree with the roller on the Phillies,
36:22
Speaker 1: which means that I know that I'm going to be
36:24
Speaker 1: wrong on the Phillies just because it's it's their defense
36:28
Speaker 1: that concerns me. That's one of the things that's hardest
36:29
Speaker 1: to quantify into a wind total. But with Shoarburn Castie
36:32
Speaker 1: Islands out there, I think they're gonna be among the
36:34
Speaker 1: worst defensive teams in baseball. And also I I just
36:37
Speaker 1: don't know what they're gonna have him pitching behind Zach
36:39
Speaker 1: Wheeler and Aaron Nola. They didn't do a lot to
36:42
Speaker 1: improve their bullpen. You know, Corey Knabele and all of
36:45
Speaker 1: his injury issues. He's not going to solve everything that
36:48
Speaker 1: was an issue with their with their bullpen last year.
36:50
Speaker 1: So I actually leaned towards the under on that wind total.
36:53
Speaker 1: Going against the Rillo makes me nervous, but I just
36:56
Speaker 1: don't see it in Philly this year. I think their
36:57
Speaker 1: playoff droughts going to extend. We're gonna look at another season. Listen,
37:02
Speaker 1: here's the beauty. We're gonna get to find out who's
37:05
Speaker 1: right and who's wrong all season long on our favorite
37:12
Speaker 1: new podcast, Payoff Pitch by the Way early next week,
37:18
Speaker 1: six new episodes covering every betting angle across all six
37:25
Speaker 1: Major League Baseball divisions. Go check out our episode description
37:31
Speaker 1: where you'll find links to pay Off Pitch. Let's all
37:34
Speaker 1: go subscribe. There is no doubt everyone could use more
37:39
Speaker 1: Shawn Zarrillo and Colin Whitchurch in their life A couple
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Speaker 1: of times a week throughout the summer. This is what
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Speaker 1: the world needs right now. It's how we're going to
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Speaker 1: find peace and happiness. If the Oscars can't provide it,
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Speaker 1: the Action Network can. For producer Extraordinaire Matt Mitchell. For
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Speaker 1: my co host Simon Hunter, I am Chad Millman. This
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