Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 16 with Scooch, Darren Rovell, and Simon Hunter

Transcript

NFL Week 16 with Scooch, Darren Rovell, and Simon Hunter · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:08
Speaker 1: Welcome do the Favorites the podcast from the Action Network.
0:14
Speaker 1: I am Chad noment of the Action Network. Later on
0:17
Speaker 1: in the show Professional Better Simon Hunter and Darren Ravel
0:22
Speaker 1: Professional stunt Man. If you're following along with our Points
0:27
Speaker 1: Bet promo, Dan Ravel, in the past couple of weeks
0:30
Speaker 1: has submerged himself in a nice bath for three minutes,
0:35
Speaker 1: to great pain and delight of his followers. He has
0:39
Speaker 1: been pelted by Andy Roddick from close range with tennis balls,
0:44
Speaker 1: to the point where he was yelling so much. A
0:46
Speaker 1: neighbor who did not know what was happening, um uh,
0:50
Speaker 1: came out to see if he was okay. And yesterday
0:53
Speaker 1: he had lunch Curry fall Curry. I think it's called
0:58
Speaker 1: at the hottest dish in all of New York two
1:01
Speaker 1: point two million scoviol units Brick Lane in New York.
1:07
Speaker 1: He ate it all because he keeps losing bets. We've
1:09
Speaker 1: got a promotion going out with Points Bet every week.
1:12
Speaker 1: If you fade revel, that's what it's called. He takes
1:15
Speaker 1: one side, better to take the other side. They get
1:17
Speaker 1: boosted odds promotional odds. This past week he was on
1:22
Speaker 1: the Redskins to cover he was bragging, he was making
1:25
Speaker 1: videos how glad he was he was gonna have to
1:28
Speaker 1: eat this hot dish. And then Dayne Haskins happened, and
1:32
Speaker 1: then if fumble happened, and then recovery happened, and then
1:35
Speaker 1: a touchdown happened with no time left, and the Eagles
1:38
Speaker 1: back doored the cover of that game, much to the
1:42
Speaker 1: pain of Darren's mouth, stomach, and attendant parts. Where things
1:47
Speaker 1: end up coming out of Darren will be on the
1:49
Speaker 1: show in a little bit. We're gonna talk about our
1:51
Speaker 1: Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest pics. We're gonna figure out
1:54
Speaker 1: what Darren is doing for his points bet promo. I've
1:57
Speaker 1: got a surprise what the punishment is going to be.
2:00
Speaker 1: Before we get there, I am joined by bookmaker of
2:05
Speaker 1: the World from New Orleans, representing all the BOYD gaming
2:09
Speaker 1: books in the state of Nevada. Mr Bob Scucci, My
2:27
Speaker 1: brother Chad. What's going on? How are you? I'm surviving?
2:35
Speaker 1: I gotta say, when you jumped on the phone, sounded
2:38
Speaker 1: like normally you get on the phone and I feel like,
2:42
Speaker 1: no matter what's going on in your life, you're happy
2:46
Speaker 1: to be on this call. And it actually just felt
2:49
Speaker 1: like I was annoying you when I said hello, No,
2:56
Speaker 1: not at all, like like you can appreciate this. Uh,
3:01
Speaker 1: last week, my sixteen year old son had the flu.
3:04
Speaker 1: He came down with the flu, like Tuesday afternoon, came
3:07
Speaker 1: home from school, wasn't feeling well, you know, puking and fever,
3:11
Speaker 1: and Thursday night like still wasn't getting better. And so
3:17
Speaker 1: we're like, ship, he really does have the flu, Like
3:19
Speaker 1: those first forty hours, you're not sure, Like, you know,
3:22
Speaker 1: he tends to be a puker when he gets six,
3:23
Speaker 1: so it could be anything. And then my wife was like, uh, shoot,
3:28
Speaker 1: she didn't say that. She's like I didn't get him
3:30
Speaker 1: flu shots, Like there were a couple events we had
3:33
Speaker 1: going on. She didn't want to get him before because
3:35
Speaker 1: sometimes the kids get sick and all this kind of stuff.
3:38
Speaker 1: And so Friday morning, when she's like done being internet
3:42
Speaker 1: doctor for eight hours overnight and freaking out and being
3:44
Speaker 1: sad that the kids didn't get flu shots and she's
3:47
Speaker 1: feeling like she's a bad parent. I slept through all this,
3:50
Speaker 1: By the way, I did not feel any guilt about
3:52
Speaker 1: any of this in any way. Um, but you know,
3:55
Speaker 1: she's reading about how the flu can be fatal and
3:57
Speaker 1: all this kind of stuff. So in the morning, we
3:59
Speaker 1: get the young en off to school. She and I
4:01
Speaker 1: are sitting at the king counter having a cup of tea,
4:04
Speaker 1: and she's like, I cannot believe I didn't get in
4:06
Speaker 1: flu shots and I didn't want to get him before,
4:08
Speaker 1: like our younger kid got bar mitzvah. She didn't want
4:10
Speaker 1: to do it before the bar Mitzvah. And I said
4:12
Speaker 1: to her, innocuous lee, no judgment. I just said, what
4:19
Speaker 1: was your theory for not getting it before the bar Mitzvah?
4:23
Speaker 1: And instead of like it was a harmless question, harmless
4:27
Speaker 1: she said to me. She said to me, you could
4:30
Speaker 1: have gotten flu shots? Why is there well being only
4:34
Speaker 1: my responsibility. I looked at her and I go danger
4:39
Speaker 1: Will Robinson right, like, you're right. Just you said something
4:47
Speaker 1: about the bar mitzvah and the timing, and I was
4:49
Speaker 1: just curious, like why does that matter. I wasn't saying
4:52
Speaker 1: you should have done it. I wasn't saying you made
4:54
Speaker 1: a bad decision. I wasn't saying this is your fault.
4:57
Speaker 1: I just was curious, Like in that moment, I had
4:59
Speaker 1: a question, I asked it. I did not speak the
5:02
Speaker 1: rest of the time we were in that kitchen. Sometimes
5:06
Speaker 1: a question is just a question, scooch. When you said
5:09
Speaker 1: a load to me, I kind of felt like you
5:11
Speaker 1: had the same tone as my wife did when I
5:14
Speaker 1: asked why we didn't get the kids flu shots before them. Yeah.
5:20
Speaker 1: Well sometimes just sometimes you're just minded, just preoccupied for
5:24
Speaker 1: a second, and then you you know, so then your
5:27
Speaker 1: response comes out maybe different than what it should. Yeah,
5:30
Speaker 1: well it came out different. And now on the sense
5:32
Speaker 1: of one, sorry about that. Try to get into the
5:38
Speaker 1: Christmas spirit. We're coming up on Christmas, some games coming up,
5:42
Speaker 1: some Christmas presents. I gotta get some people gifts. I
5:46
Speaker 1: get it. Listen the Eagles probably I just thought of No,
5:51
Speaker 1: it's just a funny thing about Christmas. A friend of mine,
5:55
Speaker 1: legendary bookmaker Jimmy vic Carol, He once said, I hate
5:59
Speaker 1: when the public in on the Sunday before Christmas because
6:02
Speaker 1: then they go and they spend money on Christmas presents
6:04
Speaker 1: instead of firing back at the next week's games. Jimmy
6:07
Speaker 1: Vicaro is a legend. He's always thinking bookmaking. He always
6:15
Speaker 1: thinks bookmaking. I love that about him. Speaking of bookmaking, Uh,
6:22
Speaker 1: we got three Saturday games I love the NFL on Saturday.
6:25
Speaker 1: It makes everything better. We got the Los Angeles Rams
6:29
Speaker 1: visiting the San Francisco for the honors. That's the late game.
6:31
Speaker 1: But we're gonna go in reverse order here from eight
6:33
Speaker 1: to four to one. What's your number here right now?
6:37
Speaker 1: Hold on, let me check, let me check. I'm seeing
6:39
Speaker 1: a little bit of value on the Rams. I think
6:41
Speaker 1: a little bit of value on the Rams at plus
6:44
Speaker 1: six and a half. Where do you think, Yeah, I
6:49
Speaker 1: think there's value on the Rams. I think what everybody
6:51
Speaker 1: is gonna look at is the last week's Rams Cowboys
6:53
Speaker 1: game and said, oh, this is the Rams team that
6:55
Speaker 1: was struggling at the beginning of the year, and how
6:57
Speaker 1: they're going to stack up against the best, uh, one
7:00
Speaker 1: of the best teams in the nfcity. But no, these
7:04
Speaker 1: are the kind of spots. Uh. We deliberately made the
7:07
Speaker 1: forty Niners high. Didn't quite give go the touchdown, but
7:11
Speaker 1: pretty pretty close. But this is I say it all
7:15
Speaker 1: the time, these are the games we have to win.
7:18
Speaker 1: Um As as bookmakers were making a line, we know
7:21
Speaker 1: the public is going to be all over the forty
7:23
Speaker 1: Niners at minus six and a half. To take account,
7:25
Speaker 1: it's about eight to one. Uh niners too rams. Um,
7:30
Speaker 1: but I think the Rams were looking ahead at this game,
7:34
Speaker 1: I really do, and uh, I wouldn't be surprised to see,
7:37
Speaker 1: uh the Rams make make a game of this. When
7:41
Speaker 1: do you think you're going to get to seventy? Um, well,
7:47
Speaker 1: we'll we'll get there, probably probably Friday. I do think
7:53
Speaker 1: we'll get there, but I want to I don't think
7:56
Speaker 1: the sharp money will get us there. I think the
7:58
Speaker 1: public money will get us there. Yeah, and then I
8:00
Speaker 1: think the sharp guards are just going to take the seven.
8:03
Speaker 1: Well look right now, of the tickets of the money
8:07
Speaker 1: all public at this point. I don't think there's anybody
8:10
Speaker 1: sharp who has bet this game yet. It's still too
8:12
Speaker 1: early and the numbers kind of not in the optimal
8:14
Speaker 1: place as you point out. Um, so yeah, you're definitely
8:17
Speaker 1: gonna get there. The public is going to make you
8:19
Speaker 1: go there, and you're gonna be begging the wise guys
8:22
Speaker 1: that take their rams. Yeah, yeah you are, Yeah, Yeah,
8:27
Speaker 1: you're right. I might test the waters, you know what,
8:30
Speaker 1: I just might test the water sometime today. There's two
8:34
Speaker 1: games I'm going to test the waters on. We'll get
8:36
Speaker 1: to the other game, but um, I just got to
8:39
Speaker 1: talk it over with the staff after a little later. Today.
8:42
Speaker 1: You're such a pro that you don't give it away,
8:44
Speaker 1: you foreshadow. That's what you learn when you're a media
8:48
Speaker 1: major at the University of Southern California. The tease. Here's
8:56
Speaker 1: something interesting to me. Uh, We've got three games on
8:59
Speaker 1: Saturday ms Niners Bills, Patriots, Texans Buccaneers Buccaneers Texans are
9:05
Speaker 1: at one o'clock right now. That game has the most
9:08
Speaker 1: bets on the board from from the data that I'm
9:11
Speaker 1: looking at through the Action Network app. Get everything that
9:16
Speaker 1: I'm looking at for free in the Action Network app.
9:18
Speaker 1: Download it now. Are you seeing that as well? Not
9:24
Speaker 1: the most it's the most bets from wise guys, I'll
9:27
Speaker 1: tell you that. What's that? Okay, we'll get to that. Okay, okay,
9:35
Speaker 1: So which are we gonna stay? Would you like would
9:39
Speaker 1: you like the host to give you some direction? Is
9:42
Speaker 1: that what you're saying? Why don't we talk about let's
9:45
Speaker 1: go in order. Let's let's go in order. The rotation,
9:47
Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna do. Buffalo, New England, Buffalo, New England.
9:50
Speaker 1: I don't know why the rotation has goes from goes
9:53
Speaker 1: outside of the chronological order. Uh yeah, now that's odd. Huh,
9:59
Speaker 1: there a change. I don't know. It's a little weird though,
10:02
Speaker 1: right it is. It's like reverse. It's like, you know,
10:05
Speaker 1: the late game going up to the early game. I'm
10:07
Speaker 1: seeing that. Are you seeing the same thing? Yeah, yeah,
10:10
Speaker 1: it's we absolutely, Um all right, Buffalo at New England.
10:14
Speaker 1: New England is a six and a half point favorite. Boy,
10:16
Speaker 1: this is a crazy game. Wow, who do we believe
10:20
Speaker 1: in right now? A Buffalo Bill's team that went into
10:23
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh beat up on a team that was really playing
10:26
Speaker 1: over its tips. Uh. I still don't think they're that
10:30
Speaker 1: good of a team, Buffalo, Yeah, they're They're one of
10:33
Speaker 1: those teams that, uh, you know, the record indicates them
10:37
Speaker 1: being a lot better than they seem. Um, it's because
10:41
Speaker 1: they don't win a lot of games convincingly. They don't
10:44
Speaker 1: have those blowout victories. Um, they they they're wins, Okay,
10:49
Speaker 1: there can and four. I think last week was only
10:52
Speaker 1: the maybe the second team they beat with a winning record,
10:55
Speaker 1: So it's not like the you know, those four losses,
10:59
Speaker 1: they were all the teams that do have winning records.
11:01
Speaker 1: So that's part of the reasons you're you're looking at
11:04
Speaker 1: the schedule, and you're looking at the teams they're beating
11:06
Speaker 1: up on. Now. They did give New England quite a
11:09
Speaker 1: game the first time out in Buffalo, um and and
11:12
Speaker 1: they covered in that game. Uh so, and most of
11:17
Speaker 1: their games stay way under the total too. So if
11:20
Speaker 1: you're if you're thinking of a low scoring game and
11:23
Speaker 1: you're getting six and a half points, the value seems
11:25
Speaker 1: to me on Buffalo. UM. But it's tough to go
11:28
Speaker 1: against the Patriots this one. Of the Shark guys haven't
11:31
Speaker 1: weighed in on this one, and they probably won't. They
11:33
Speaker 1: usually stay away from UM these these really big public
11:39
Speaker 1: matchup games UM and the public is divided exactly, even
11:42
Speaker 1: the tickets on both teams, So uh it's just a
11:46
Speaker 1: one flip in this one. Do you feel like the
11:49
Speaker 1: wise guys will come in on the total in this game? So?
11:53
Speaker 1: I think the play is to bed it under right
11:56
Speaker 1: now in every way because if there were not a
12:00
Speaker 1: expecting bad weather, but that could change, uh so, So
12:03
Speaker 1: the play is to betted under right now. So I
12:06
Speaker 1: would expect them to come in now, uh in the
12:10
Speaker 1: next couple of days, and then if it turns out
12:12
Speaker 1: that that the weather is clear, that they could always
12:14
Speaker 1: get off of that game and go back on the
12:16
Speaker 1: over later. But to me, the players, the under now
12:20
Speaker 1: the next game is so intriguing because Houston is one
12:23
Speaker 1: of those teams that classically I bet them every week
12:27
Speaker 1: except for the weeks when they cover and Tampa Bay Boy,
12:31
Speaker 1: oh boy, Jamis Winston. He's like an addiction, man. People
12:35
Speaker 1: just love betting Jamis Winston. The Bucks are two and
12:39
Speaker 1: a half point home dogs right now. Um, and Jamis
12:47
Speaker 1: has been on a tear, but he's missing his two
12:51
Speaker 1: best receivers. And I feel like Houston's get a little
12:54
Speaker 1: bit of the benefit of the doubt because they beat
12:57
Speaker 1: up Tennessee at home. But I've already know some wise
13:00
Speaker 1: guys who bet this game from minus one to minus
13:02
Speaker 1: two and now to two and a half. We're actually
13:05
Speaker 1: at three down. I think most places are at three.
13:08
Speaker 1: So many things going on. Dude, if you're at three,
13:10
Speaker 1: then my board isn't caught up because I have you
13:12
Speaker 1: at two and a half. Yeah. No, it's because the
13:16
Speaker 1: lines have been kind of coming on and off, and
13:18
Speaker 1: a lot of the lot of the services that pick
13:21
Speaker 1: up our feed when when you take a line on
13:24
Speaker 1: and off the board, sometimes it struggles to update. But
13:28
Speaker 1: but yeah, so these um uh so much going on
13:32
Speaker 1: in this one. The Sharp guys have been on the
13:35
Speaker 1: Buccaneers four out of the last five weeks, and they've
13:38
Speaker 1: been cashing most of the weeks. I've been saying that
13:41
Speaker 1: week after week it was one of the hottest teams
13:43
Speaker 1: for the Sharp guys to be on, finding value in it.
13:47
Speaker 1: But as we often talked about, at some point, it's
13:51
Speaker 1: like you've got to get off it. That there's an
13:53
Speaker 1: old saying that the trees don't grow to the skies,
13:56
Speaker 1: you know, they just keep it's not just going to
13:58
Speaker 1: keep going. At some point it stops. And uh. And
14:02
Speaker 1: that's the point that not only they're getting off of
14:04
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers because the Texans are obviously the better team here.
14:08
Speaker 1: It's just you know, the home field and everything. But
14:13
Speaker 1: I think the key here is the injuries, and you
14:15
Speaker 1: hit on it. I mean, not only without Mike Evans,
14:18
Speaker 1: without Chris Godwin, uh, Scotty otherwide receiver, he's questionable. Uh,
14:24
Speaker 1: They've got the guys questionable on the defensive side of linebacker,
14:28
Speaker 1: defensive tackle. This Tampa Bay team is banged up and
14:32
Speaker 1: that so so really just two things causing the line move.
14:36
Speaker 1: It was just the overadjustment on Tampa Bay week after
14:39
Speaker 1: week as we kept seeing the shark guys coming on
14:41
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, making the adjustment having him cover again, having
14:45
Speaker 1: to both the public and on them following the wise guys.
14:48
Speaker 1: So eventually the value becomes on the other side, especially
14:52
Speaker 1: with all these injuries. It was just kind of like
14:54
Speaker 1: the perfect opportunity there. I don't know, man, like I would.
14:59
Speaker 1: I think. Chris Raybond from the Action Network worked a
15:01
Speaker 1: really good story earlier today. You can read it in
15:04
Speaker 1: the Action Network app. It's free in the Action Network gap.
15:07
Speaker 1: He wrote this yesterday um writing about games that we
15:11
Speaker 1: bet early. He bet Houston minus one. He said he
15:14
Speaker 1: would bet it all the way up to Houston minus three.
15:18
Speaker 1: But that feels like a really big number to get
15:21
Speaker 1: to bet against Tampa Bay at home with Jamis as
15:25
Speaker 1: hot as he is. And I can't believe I'm saying
15:27
Speaker 1: I might. I might not bet in the Bucks. I
15:31
Speaker 1: might not bet against the Bucks because Jamis is too hot.
15:35
Speaker 1: Well he meets someone to throw too though, and that's
15:38
Speaker 1: the that's the thing. I mean. They could be possibly
15:41
Speaker 1: without three three wide receivers. Yeah, all right, all right,
15:48
Speaker 1: I'm just that's just the one thing, the one thing
15:50
Speaker 1: keeping uh, you know, keeping me from not moving it
15:54
Speaker 1: back to two and a half. I'm respecting the move here,
15:57
Speaker 1: and I'm going to keep it at three and I'll
16:00
Speaker 1: let the I mean, now, if it comes out that
16:02
Speaker 1: one of these guys is playing for sure the wide receivers,
16:06
Speaker 1: then that's a different story. But I've got God and
16:08
Speaker 1: listed it out, so we'll see. And I'm gonna skip
16:12
Speaker 1: Detroit Denver. Denver is listed a six and a half,
16:14
Speaker 1: but the quarterback is still on the side of there.
16:16
Speaker 1: So there's not much to say about this game. Oakland
16:20
Speaker 1: visiting the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chargers are six point favorites.
16:25
Speaker 1: How do you make a line on this craptastic game? Yeah,
16:29
Speaker 1: we uh, we probably put a little bit of a
16:31
Speaker 1: soft line on this one. We hung five, took a
16:33
Speaker 1: bet right out of the gateway to five and a half,
16:35
Speaker 1: went to six. Now they're lay in the six and
16:37
Speaker 1: it's all sharp money, so that the public really isn't
16:40
Speaker 1: weighing in on this one. And we've seen it the
16:43
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. The sharp guys. Yeah, I mean,
16:48
Speaker 1: it's actually kind of against what sharp guys have been
16:51
Speaker 1: doing with both teams that the sharp guys have been
16:54
Speaker 1: uh fading the Chargers and they've been betting on the Raiders.
16:58
Speaker 1: So this is kind of the exact op said of
17:00
Speaker 1: what we would have expected in this one. So that's
17:02
Speaker 1: why we did make the low line on this surprises
17:05
Speaker 1: me a little bit that, but I think it's just
17:07
Speaker 1: an indication maybe they feel like the Raiders just kind
17:10
Speaker 1: of folded the tent after the after last week, but
17:14
Speaker 1: the Chargers they felt it up the tent two years
17:17
Speaker 1: ago they had seven turnovers against the Vikings. Like to me,
17:22
Speaker 1: the Vikings weren't the easiest picks on the board this
17:24
Speaker 1: past week. That's what makes it makes it so hard
17:29
Speaker 1: to handicap a team that has the talent that can
17:32
Speaker 1: compete if they just don't make bone head a mistakes
17:35
Speaker 1: and turnovers. The turnovers are hard to handicap. You can't
17:38
Speaker 1: count on them, and then as soon as you do,
17:40
Speaker 1: they come up with a game where they don't turn
17:42
Speaker 1: the ball over. But it's almost like you have to
17:45
Speaker 1: take it into consideration that they turned the bowl over
17:47
Speaker 1: a lot, but you also have to take into account
17:50
Speaker 1: that they do have the talent to win decisively. In
17:54
Speaker 1: this one, so I could kind of respect the move
17:57
Speaker 1: here too. I see the logic behind it. Jacksonville Atlanta.
18:02
Speaker 1: What a horrible game with horrible teams, and you've got
18:05
Speaker 1: Atlanta listed as a seven point favorite in Atlanta. So
18:12
Speaker 1: I guess the Jacks didn't impress you when they beat
18:14
Speaker 1: up on the Raiders this past week. Well, two things
18:17
Speaker 1: the Jacks have been, uh Like. I said that the
18:20
Speaker 1: professionals have been betting on certain teams and against certain
18:24
Speaker 1: teams the last five weeks, and Jacksonville was a team
18:27
Speaker 1: they were betting against every single week, including last week.
18:30
Speaker 1: There was the week I said they were on the
18:32
Speaker 1: Raiders and against Jacksonville. So knowing that they're going to
18:36
Speaker 1: be against Jacksonville every week, that's one reason. But I
18:39
Speaker 1: disagree with you that there are two bad teams. I
18:41
Speaker 1: think just Atlanta is not a bad team. They got
18:44
Speaker 1: off to a really bad start, but after starting out
18:48
Speaker 1: one and seven, they came back four and two, beaten.
18:51
Speaker 1: Look at the two teams they beat, beat the forty Niners,
18:53
Speaker 1: and they beat the Saints to the favorites to win
18:56
Speaker 1: the NFC. So one time you could say maybe a flute,
19:00
Speaker 1: But I think this team is really good offensively. I
19:04
Speaker 1: think they they leave the NFL and fourth quarter points.
19:08
Speaker 1: I mean, this team has an offense and and they're
19:10
Speaker 1: going up against the Jacksonville team that it's just been
19:14
Speaker 1: in a spiral. I mean, I know they came up
19:17
Speaker 1: last week beating the Raiders, but I'm okay with the
19:20
Speaker 1: big line of seven here, all right, then maybe I'm
19:22
Speaker 1: gonna I think it actually goes up. I think it
19:24
Speaker 1: goes up, all right. So you're telling me I'm gonna
19:27
Speaker 1: take the Falcons. I can live with that because because
19:29
Speaker 1: I had him last week and I was proud of
19:31
Speaker 1: them the way they gamed against UH, San Francisco, and
19:34
Speaker 1: I believe, I believe when we had a special caller,
19:37
Speaker 1: by the way, into our show on Radio dot Com
19:40
Speaker 1: the Radio dot Com apps Sundays at noon, reviewing every
19:43
Speaker 1: previewing every game, Bob Scucci sor the one who's on
19:46
Speaker 1: Twitter called in UH and I asked him which team
19:50
Speaker 1: was most likely to win as the biggest underdog, and
19:54
Speaker 1: he said it was going to be the Broncos, And
19:56
Speaker 1: you said it was going to be the Falcons. He
19:58
Speaker 1: went against. Yeah, I said that I liked the felt
20:03
Speaker 1: because they were my my Scoots Roulette pic and uh,
20:07
Speaker 1: I mean I really felt like that was way too
20:10
Speaker 1: many points, especially with the forty Niners looking ahead, you know,
20:14
Speaker 1: to this this Rams game as well. I mean, it
20:17
Speaker 1: was just it was just a good spot for Atlanta,
20:19
Speaker 1: and I just like the way Atlanta has been playing
20:21
Speaker 1: New Orleans and Drew Brees, record setting quarterback, one of
20:24
Speaker 1: the greatest quarterbacks has ever lived, at least statistically three
20:28
Speaker 1: playing favorites on the road against Tennessee. I don't like it.
20:31
Speaker 1: This is a really really interesting better don't like it.
20:36
Speaker 1: Bookmakers like it. This is one of the games I
20:38
Speaker 1: feel like it's a solid line because nobody knows what
20:41
Speaker 1: to do with it. I'm looking at the ticket count
20:43
Speaker 1: and it's dead even, and I'm looking at the sharp
20:45
Speaker 1: guys plays and they're not very significant. They're not, i mean,
20:49
Speaker 1: very small plays. Uh. So there's not really an opinion here.
20:53
Speaker 1: I will say that the Titans have been one of
20:57
Speaker 1: those teams that they've been playing just like Tampa Bay
21:00
Speaker 1: are at four in the last five weeks. Titans didn't
21:02
Speaker 1: get there last week with Houston and then maybe another
21:05
Speaker 1: indication of why, uh the professionals flip flopped and now
21:10
Speaker 1: they're on Houston, um uh in that game against uh
21:15
Speaker 1: Tampa so um, but this is this is a great line.
21:19
Speaker 1: I mean, Saint's minus three. It looks like nobody knows
21:21
Speaker 1: what to do with it. I think. I think the value, though,
21:24
Speaker 1: is still on the Titans. I just don't think the
21:27
Speaker 1: sharp guys want us to get off at three yet. Um.
21:31
Speaker 1: I'm seeing some movement on the game around town, but
21:34
Speaker 1: not enough to get us all that number. What about
21:36
Speaker 1: the total? I like the over in this one. You
21:40
Speaker 1: almost have to. I mean the way these two teams, Um,
21:44
Speaker 1: they're just putting up points and uh, you know, I'll
21:46
Speaker 1: even go back to that a couple of games that
21:49
Speaker 1: the Saints had early in the season against a good
21:52
Speaker 1: defensive team with Houston, and they just lit up the
21:54
Speaker 1: scoreboard in that one, I think they scored a total
21:57
Speaker 1: of fifty eight. And then you look at another a
22:00
Speaker 1: defensive team that the forty niners that New Orleans played,
22:03
Speaker 1: and that was a track meet. So yeah, I think
22:06
Speaker 1: I'll definitely favor you over here. Eli Manning. He's a
22:11
Speaker 1: two and a half point dog on the road at
22:15
Speaker 1: the Redskins. I need Eli if he's really going to
22:18
Speaker 1: be starting this weekend next, I need Eli to split
22:21
Speaker 1: the games so he can finish his career at five
22:24
Speaker 1: hundred and go into Hall of Fame as a five quarterback.
22:29
Speaker 1: Two and a half point dogs, give me the Redskins here, Yeah,
22:32
Speaker 1: I agree with you. And what is he like, one
22:34
Speaker 1: eighteen and one seventeen right now? I think he's one
22:37
Speaker 1: seventeen and one seventeen. Oh, he's tied right now. Well, yeah,
22:44
Speaker 1: we definitely need to see him get to win. UM, yeah,
22:48
Speaker 1: this is this is another tough one. Um, but two
22:52
Speaker 1: and a half we're getting. Uh, it's probably the least
22:55
Speaker 1: bet game on the board. A matter of fact, I'm
22:56
Speaker 1: looking at it. It is the least bet game on
22:58
Speaker 1: the board. Hardly any tickets on this one. Um, not
23:02
Speaker 1: enough points to to get people to kind of take
23:05
Speaker 1: the giants in this one. Uh. And then after after
23:08
Speaker 1: a couple of nice games where the Redskins covered, uh,
23:13
Speaker 1: last week was just a debacle. So I think the
23:16
Speaker 1: people that did get to have the Redskins. And you
23:19
Speaker 1: were talking about Darren Revel, I feel for employe. What
23:21
Speaker 1: a tough what a tough beat that was this Redskins team.
23:28
Speaker 1: I cannot tell you how much that costs most of
23:30
Speaker 1: the sports books around town with all the favorites covering
23:34
Speaker 1: in the morning. I think seven out of eight favorites
23:36
Speaker 1: covered in the morning. The only saving grace was the
23:39
Speaker 1: Seahawks were laying six and half against the Panthers and
23:41
Speaker 1: they only one by six. Outside of that one saving grace. Uh,
23:47
Speaker 1: you know, we would have gotten even more destroyed than
23:50
Speaker 1: we did in the morning games. But that one, you
23:52
Speaker 1: just felt it coming. It's it's like when you when
23:56
Speaker 1: you're betting an underdog and the other team is winning
24:00
Speaker 1: game out right but not covering, you almost wish that
24:02
Speaker 1: the other team had the ball that was just running
24:05
Speaker 1: out the clock. Oh, I just felt right when you've
24:09
Speaker 1: got an underdog and they're covering, and then you don't
24:12
Speaker 1: want them to have a ball. Nothing good can happen,
24:14
Speaker 1: only your heart in your throat, as every single time
24:18
Speaker 1: the guy drives back, you're worried something bad is going
24:21
Speaker 1: to happen to the ball. Yeah. Yeah, And I can
24:25
Speaker 1: imagine the entire state of Pennsylvania was just on their feet. Uh.
24:31
Speaker 1: You know, now that we have sports books around the country,
24:33
Speaker 1: and we've got a sports book outside Philadelphia, I can't
24:38
Speaker 1: tell you what a big swing that was Oh my god,
24:41
Speaker 1: Oh my god. By the way, so many backdoors. That
24:44
Speaker 1: Eagles back door the Seahawks was a back door. The
24:47
Speaker 1: Panthers were down by three touchdowns in the fourth quarter. Yeah,
24:51
Speaker 1: garbage touched every that killed me killed me. Uh. Pittsburgh
24:57
Speaker 1: is a three point favorite. Yet Pittsburgh is a three
25:00
Speaker 1: point favorite of the Jets. I like the Jets here.
25:04
Speaker 1: This is an interesting one because it's the first one
25:06
Speaker 1: on the board where the public is overwhelmingly on the
25:09
Speaker 1: Steelers and the sharp guys are taking the Jets in
25:12
Speaker 1: this one. So, uh, we don't have too many of
25:17
Speaker 1: those anymore. It seems like both of the sharp guys
25:19
Speaker 1: in the public kind of on the same team lately.
25:22
Speaker 1: Uh So, so this one, it seems like we might
25:24
Speaker 1: be okay with the Steelers minus three, and we're just
25:27
Speaker 1: kind of moving money on this one. So a couple
25:30
Speaker 1: of bets we took on the Jets. We just made
25:32
Speaker 1: the Jets plus three finus dollar fifteen um, and then
25:35
Speaker 1: we'll probably keep moving money until it gets really lopsided.
25:39
Speaker 1: But that public support on the Steelers is going to
25:41
Speaker 1: keep things balanced. Cincinnati visiting Miami. Miami is a one
25:46
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. I really like this Miami team.
25:50
Speaker 1: I feel like they're gonna try so much harder than
25:54
Speaker 1: Cincinnati is going to try. Well, Yes, Cincinnatis looking at
25:58
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, right, I mean, they can't afford to get
26:02
Speaker 1: any more wounds. We're the favorites now. Yeah, so I
26:10
Speaker 1: really I think I like Miami in this spot too.
26:12
Speaker 1: And I know some places are at pick and some
26:14
Speaker 1: places are at one. So we're staying at one and
26:17
Speaker 1: a half. We're trying to get a little Bengals money. Now.
26:19
Speaker 1: I could see this one going up to three by
26:22
Speaker 1: game time. Uh it's and it's one of those plays,
26:25
Speaker 1: you know, a short home favorite just you know, laying
26:28
Speaker 1: one one and a half looks like a wise guy
26:31
Speaker 1: play to me, I like this storyline of Joe Burrow
26:33
Speaker 1: going to play for Cincinnati Ohio kids left Ohio State
26:37
Speaker 1: from the southeast part of the state. That's a good
26:40
Speaker 1: narrative for me, it is. But I mean, on the
26:44
Speaker 1: other side of the coin, you'd like to see a
26:46
Speaker 1: great quarterback do well too. You don't want to see
26:49
Speaker 1: him ending up on such a bad team that it's
26:52
Speaker 1: just it's hard to climb out of that whole. Yeah,
26:56
Speaker 1: I don't care about that. I like narratives. All right.
26:59
Speaker 1: Here's my favorite story of the week so far. Yesterday,
27:01
Speaker 1: I'm on a call with the Action Network content team.
27:04
Speaker 1: It's about one thirty in the afternoon, and we're having
27:07
Speaker 1: very serious discussions. As we do, we're planning a lot
27:09
Speaker 1: of things, a lot of strateagery. Of course, we're interrupted
27:13
Speaker 1: by news that Will Greer is the expected starter in Carolina.
27:16
Speaker 1: Matthew Freedman, one of our genius analysts, does a lot
27:20
Speaker 1: of our fantasy coverage. Um, yells out, all right, I
27:25
Speaker 1: got Will Greer to start more than point five games
27:31
Speaker 1: this year as a future is bet. I'm going to
27:34
Speaker 1: cash that ticket. How many meetings? How many companies have
27:41
Speaker 1: meetings where it's okay to yell out you're about to
27:44
Speaker 1: win a future is bet on Will Greer getting one start?
27:46
Speaker 1: Not many? I would say one, one exactly one, and
27:54
Speaker 1: that might be Matthew Freeman having a bet on Will
27:57
Speaker 1: Greer might be the most interesting thing about this game.
28:00
Speaker 1: I don't know how the Colts are our two and
28:03
Speaker 1: our six and a half point favorites over anybody they
28:06
Speaker 1: laid an egg. I mean, anytime you get you know,
28:12
Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback like that. I mean, dependency is to
28:14
Speaker 1: kind of jack up the line a little bit. So
28:16
Speaker 1: and I'll be honest, we just put this line up,
28:18
Speaker 1: so we haven't really taken any bets yet. Um so, uh,
28:22
Speaker 1: I think we've only got a couple of bets on
28:24
Speaker 1: the game. I wouldn't expect too many people to have
28:27
Speaker 1: an interest, but that will grewer certainly is the storyline.
28:30
Speaker 1: It's great, good for Carolina. They've completely given up on
28:34
Speaker 1: Kyle Allen. Just not enough time to matter for me,
28:37
Speaker 1: where like he didn't backdoor me and cost me money.
28:41
Speaker 1: So I'm a little upset about that. Uh. Baltimore is
28:48
Speaker 1: visiting Cleveland. The Ravens are ten point favorites. No way,
28:53
Speaker 1: no way, There's no way I'm taking the Ravens too much.
28:57
Speaker 1: It's too much. This Cleveland team already beat Bolton Are
29:00
Speaker 1: once this year. I mean, and now you're gonna give
29:03
Speaker 1: them ten points. You have to throw away what you
29:05
Speaker 1: saw last week. Yeah, I mean that's not uh swaying
29:11
Speaker 1: the general public, who obviously thinks the Ravens are and
29:14
Speaker 1: they are, you know, the best team in the NFL
29:16
Speaker 1: right now. But still, these are the type of games
29:19
Speaker 1: that you know, we as bookmakers just have to win.
29:22
Speaker 1: We set the line, uh, you know, as high as
29:25
Speaker 1: we think we can before the sharp guys get involved.
29:28
Speaker 1: They haven't gotten involved yet, so it's a little scary
29:31
Speaker 1: because we've got a ton of money on the ravens um.
29:34
Speaker 1: But I haven't seen anyone go to ten and a
29:37
Speaker 1: half yet. I did see someplace actually open nine and
29:40
Speaker 1: a half. Uh, we opened ten. Were took a lot
29:44
Speaker 1: of money at minus ten, but nothing you know for
29:48
Speaker 1: many of the professionals that we know of. It's just
29:50
Speaker 1: kind of all just big public public money. Are you
29:54
Speaker 1: will you turn it up to eleven? Well, I'm not.
29:58
Speaker 1: I don't even want to go to ten and a half. Yeah.
30:00
Speaker 1: I think it's the kind of game where I don't
30:02
Speaker 1: mind needing I mean it, I don't mind needing a
30:05
Speaker 1: big decision. You need those big decisions, you know, once
30:09
Speaker 1: in a while. These are the type of games we
30:11
Speaker 1: just have to win. So like, there's nothing I can
30:13
Speaker 1: do with the Panthers Colts game. I can't. I can't
30:16
Speaker 1: make that line seven and a half and suddenly think
30:19
Speaker 1: everyone's gonna bet so much on the Panthers that I'm
30:21
Speaker 1: going to have a decision there's nothing I can do
30:23
Speaker 1: with the Bengals Dolphins game. This is the game people
30:27
Speaker 1: are going to be on anyway, So we said it
30:30
Speaker 1: to where we know they're gonna lay the number. We
30:33
Speaker 1: just hope it's big enough and not too big to
30:36
Speaker 1: where the wise guys just take us off the decision completely.
30:40
Speaker 1: So these are the kind of key games for us.
30:42
Speaker 1: We just need to win this one. Dallas Philadelphia? Is
30:44
Speaker 1: that going to be a key game for you? Dallas
30:46
Speaker 1: is a two and a half point favorite on the road,
30:50
Speaker 1: This will be a pretty big one. And and the
30:52
Speaker 1: fact that it's on a key number and the line
30:54
Speaker 1: will probably get the three, and this is going to
30:56
Speaker 1: be probably one that you see bounce back and forth
30:58
Speaker 1: a couple of times too, and a have three, so
31:01
Speaker 1: we're going to kind of hope that it doesn't fall three.
31:04
Speaker 1: The public is already on the Cowboys, and especially like
31:06
Speaker 1: I mentioned earlier, the way they beat up on on
31:09
Speaker 1: the Rams. That's gonna stick in their minds. And even
31:12
Speaker 1: though the Eagles got the cover last week, I think
31:14
Speaker 1: most people are gonna think they were kind of lucky
31:16
Speaker 1: to get that cover. So they're gonna be much more
31:18
Speaker 1: of a lean on the Cowboys in this one. So
31:21
Speaker 1: we're another one we're gonna have to win. We're gonna
31:24
Speaker 1: be Eagles fans here. Have the wise guys waiting in
31:26
Speaker 1: this game yet they have not u But but like
31:30
Speaker 1: I said, at three, I know they're going to take it.
31:33
Speaker 1: And uh, I see a lot of places actually moving
31:38
Speaker 1: this right now. Actually to put minus two and a
31:41
Speaker 1: half minus oh e minus two and a half minus twenty,
31:45
Speaker 1: I don't think that's from sharp money. But like I said,
31:49
Speaker 1: I think this one will bounce back and forth. Kyler
31:52
Speaker 1: Murray really disappointed me this past week. I had the
31:54
Speaker 1: Browns at minus three. He destroyed the Cleveland Browns. The
31:59
Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinal did. Now they're on the road at Seattle
32:02
Speaker 1: nine and a half point. Dogs are on the glass.
32:12
Speaker 1: Guys are on Kyler Murray. I think, yeah, yeah, they
32:16
Speaker 1: are this one. So a lot of places opened up
32:18
Speaker 1: ten in this one. They took the ten at nine
32:21
Speaker 1: and a half. They're not really doing anything with it.
32:24
Speaker 1: We know the public is on Seattle, but I keep
32:26
Speaker 1: saying this, but I mean, the public loves betting on Seattle.
32:30
Speaker 1: But they're kind of a sneaky eleven and three. I
32:33
Speaker 1: mean they're They're one of the best teams in the NFC,
32:35
Speaker 1: but they just seem to not you know, blow people
32:39
Speaker 1: out like I was talking about with a couple of
32:41
Speaker 1: other teams. So, uh, to be laying ten points against
32:45
Speaker 1: the Cardinals team that likes to cover, I mean, they're
32:48
Speaker 1: one of the teams that have covered probably you know,
32:51
Speaker 1: more points spress than uh the other teams in the
32:55
Speaker 1: NFL this year. So there, you know a covering team
32:59
Speaker 1: that it's nine and a half and plays competitive. Um. Yeah,
33:03
Speaker 1: I really think the Cardinals are are the play in
33:06
Speaker 1: this one. And then Seattle has the forty Niners next week.
33:11
Speaker 1: So yeah, I really liked the Cardinals here. Yeah, that's yeah,
33:16
Speaker 1: that's a lock. Kansas City. Kansas City is visiting Chicago
33:23
Speaker 1: late night game on Sunday. Patrick Mahomes just continues to
33:27
Speaker 1: look good. He's actually better on the road than he's
33:29
Speaker 1: at home. You're not a buyer the Bears at all.
33:33
Speaker 1: The majority of the money and tickets are coming into
33:35
Speaker 1: homes right now. This game is at five and a half.
33:38
Speaker 1: Which way do you think the line is going to go?
33:40
Speaker 1: Right now? I'm imagining it to public money, Yeah, it is.
33:44
Speaker 1: It's all public money on the Chiefs. I think the
33:47
Speaker 1: Sharp guys will eventually be on the Bears. And this
33:50
Speaker 1: is the other game I was talking about where I
33:52
Speaker 1: want to test the waters, and I'm actually going to
33:54
Speaker 1: test it right now and go to six line Church.
34:00
Speaker 1: I'll see how long it takes for these guys just
34:02
Speaker 1: come in on this, uh, minus sake. I would imagine
34:05
Speaker 1: they're gonna take it pretty quickly. But we'll see you
34:09
Speaker 1: here in a second. That out there, what are you
34:11
Speaker 1: trying to figure out? I'm trying to figure out the
34:16
Speaker 1: number that the Sharp guys want on the dog this way,
34:20
Speaker 1: I don't because here, here's the thing we know the
34:22
Speaker 1: public is that's going to be one of the biggest
34:24
Speaker 1: games on the board because it's the late game on
34:26
Speaker 1: Sunday after the whole weekend. Uh, and it's gonna our
34:31
Speaker 1: liability is going to be tremendous on the chief So
34:33
Speaker 1: we want to be as high as possible. Oh here,
34:36
Speaker 1: hang on, and just took it. But I gotta go
34:38
Speaker 1: back to five and a half. One change, quick, quick, quick,
34:47
Speaker 1: here we go. What kind of bet? Uh? It was
34:53
Speaker 1: two bets actually, one for five thousand and one for
34:57
Speaker 1: eight thousand. And that's why I was trying. I was
34:59
Speaker 1: trying to move of it quickly because they can. Those
35:01
Speaker 1: can add up real quick, and we have like people
35:04
Speaker 1: all over town. They can just bang bang bang. So
35:07
Speaker 1: but now I know, now I know six is the number,
35:09
Speaker 1: and so I don't have to go to six now
35:11
Speaker 1: I can. I can kind of stay at five and
35:13
Speaker 1: a half, take all the public money at minus five
35:15
Speaker 1: and a half, and uh maybe wait until game day
35:18
Speaker 1: to go to six if I feel like I want
35:20
Speaker 1: a little money back on the Bears, I don't want
35:23
Speaker 1: to take too much, because, like I said, these are
35:25
Speaker 1: the kind of games we just need to win. That
35:27
Speaker 1: was so fun, though, wasn't it when you like when
35:29
Speaker 1: you just want to test the theory. It's like, just
35:31
Speaker 1: see if anybody's paying attention. Boom thirteen times, just like that. Yeah,
35:38
Speaker 1: so awesome. Green Bay at Minnesota. Minnesota is a four
35:42
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. Boy. I like Minnesota in
35:45
Speaker 1: this game. I really just think they're the better team.
35:49
Speaker 1: I couldn't agree with you more. And I remember going
35:51
Speaker 1: back to the last time they played, and I like
35:53
Speaker 1: the Minnesota against the Green Bay in that one. I
35:58
Speaker 1: just think that not only is this a good spot
36:00
Speaker 1: for them, but there's something in the Packers team we
36:03
Speaker 1: talked about a little bit last week. They come out
36:05
Speaker 1: to just this great start, uh, you know, up fourteen points,
36:09
Speaker 1: and then they let the other team kind of back
36:10
Speaker 1: in in the game, like they did I think with
36:13
Speaker 1: the Redskins game, and then they did it again last
36:15
Speaker 1: week jumping out to a lead. They still ended up
36:17
Speaker 1: getting the cover as four and a half point favorites,
36:20
Speaker 1: but just something where they just seemed to slow down
36:22
Speaker 1: and I don't think they're going to be able to
36:24
Speaker 1: get away with that in Minnesota and with his Vikings team.
36:28
Speaker 1: So I'd like to be on the high side on
36:30
Speaker 1: this one. Um, right now, we're at four and a
36:34
Speaker 1: half and we're pretty heavy. I could probably go to
36:36
Speaker 1: five on this one, and being being that it's a
36:39
Speaker 1: dead dead number, not have too much liability, it's kind
36:42
Speaker 1: of getting middled or anything. So I'm actually going to
36:45
Speaker 1: go to five right now. What wrong change there? We
36:52
Speaker 1: go the three line changes at the middle of the show.
36:56
Speaker 1: Yeah like that, Huh, you're challenging people. Well, I mean,
37:02
Speaker 1: there's not a whole lot of value on five, so
37:04
Speaker 1: it's saying a lot off if the sharp guys do
37:06
Speaker 1: take five with the Packers that that. That's pretty telling
37:09
Speaker 1: to me because there's not a whole lot of value
37:11
Speaker 1: between four and a half and five, not like the
37:15
Speaker 1: other game. Five and half and six is big, and
37:17
Speaker 1: the Chiefs game getting that six points is is pretty big. Scooch,
37:23
Speaker 1: guess what time is to do? Scooch? For that? Scooch?
37:34
Speaker 1: By luck and love? You won last week by luck
37:44
Speaker 1: and love. Yeah you shouldn't have, I should have whatever.
37:53
Speaker 1: So many teams I don't know who to pick from.
37:55
Speaker 1: I mean, I think the Browns have a good shot
37:57
Speaker 1: of covering against the Ravens. I think, you know, I
38:01
Speaker 1: really like this Chiefs team. I last week really was
38:08
Speaker 1: just another instance of them just playing a bad weather
38:11
Speaker 1: and still putting. I mean, you can't slow this team down.
38:13
Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs minus five and a half. How
38:17
Speaker 1: can you not like this Chiefs team? You're gonna go
38:19
Speaker 1: against the wise guys? I am here, Yeah, yep. I
38:25
Speaker 1: like the Vikings too. A tough choice between the three
38:30
Speaker 1: of them, but I thought maybe you'd like the Vikings.
38:32
Speaker 1: I love the Vikings. Minnesota Vikings. Lizz was playing. I
38:38
Speaker 1: looked up that song, so now I know who last
38:41
Speaker 1: time you told me about that song you learned about Lizza.
38:45
Speaker 1: I did. Oh my goodness. Um, Lizza was supposed to
38:50
Speaker 1: play a big concert in Hertford tonight, but she's ill
38:52
Speaker 1: with the flu. Maybe maybe she got it from Zack Milman,
38:56
Speaker 1: and maybe Stacy Milman is like crushed that she didn't
39:00
Speaker 1: get Lizzo a flu shot wow tonight, And somehow this
39:07
Speaker 1: will be my fault that I wasn't looking out for
39:09
Speaker 1: Lizzo's well being. Exactly, I could have done it. It's
39:14
Speaker 1: not just Stacy's responsibility to look out for Lizzo's well being.
39:19
Speaker 1: That that one probably put over the topic. Stacy hears
39:21
Speaker 1: about the podcast, it's gonna be that last joke where
39:24
Speaker 1: she's gonna be like, really, you have to like, can
39:30
Speaker 1: we just have one serious conversation? No, it was actually
39:33
Speaker 1: it was a comment I just made. That's the one
39:35
Speaker 1: that's good. That's the one that's going to put it
39:37
Speaker 1: over the top. Oh my god, Thank god, she doesn't
39:42
Speaker 1: know what I do or doesn't listen to podcast. Um, seriously,
39:47
Speaker 1: I'm going with the You know who I love? Miami Dolphins.
39:53
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, give me the Miami Dolphins. That's what
39:57
Speaker 1: I'm doing. Miami dol Fins. They are one and a
40:01
Speaker 1: half point favorites over the Cincinnati Bungles. We called the
40:04
Speaker 1: Burrow Bowl Burrow Bow. Bob Scucci, we will talk again
40:09
Speaker 1: next week. Thank you so much for coming on your podcast.
40:11
Speaker 1: I'll talk to you later. Thanks. All right, As promised,
40:17
Speaker 1: Darren Ravelle is on the show, he of points bet
40:21
Speaker 1: promotion infamy getting pelted by Andy Roddock eating the hottest
40:28
Speaker 1: dish in New York City, which is saying something Darren, Uh,
40:34
Speaker 1: how are you feeling right now? I I somehow managed
40:38
Speaker 1: to uh not have any esophageal harm. Um and uh,
40:45
Speaker 1: it wasn't that bad coming out last night, if you
40:48
Speaker 1: know what I mean. Um, the the tongue is probably
40:53
Speaker 1: the damage. I think. I think I need a couple
40:56
Speaker 1: more days to get some taste buds back, but I
40:59
Speaker 1: don't minded. I think I the best thing that I
41:02
Speaker 1: did was I brought everything that I needed to bring
41:05
Speaker 1: in terms of the milk and the peanut butter. Good
41:09
Speaker 1: suggestion for my mom. I did the pre toms, the
41:12
Speaker 1: pre pepto. I think I was responsible. I understood how
41:17
Speaker 1: serious it won't and uh, and I think I got
41:20
Speaker 1: out a love what helped the most. And for those
41:23
Speaker 1: who don't know. Go check out Darren's Twitter feed. Check
41:25
Speaker 1: out the video. Darren lost his fade Revel points beat promo.
41:29
Speaker 1: He had the Eagles the year he had the Redskins covering. Uh.
41:34
Speaker 1: In the last play of the game, he was already
41:36
Speaker 1: bragging about the redskin covering and the Eagles. Of course
41:40
Speaker 1: we're gonna touchdow Run a funnel back for a touchdown.
41:42
Speaker 1: They cover with impunity. Darren has to eat the hottest
41:47
Speaker 1: dish of this ever in New York City two point
41:50
Speaker 1: two million scovo units. A cook needs to cook it
41:55
Speaker 1: with a gas mask because the oils and the vapors
41:58
Speaker 1: are so dangerous. Yes, Darren, ate it. You came equipped
42:02
Speaker 1: with a gallon of milk and with um a jar
42:06
Speaker 1: peanut butter. There was also rice. Uh what helped the
42:11
Speaker 1: most with most immediately with the pain, I would say
42:17
Speaker 1: the rice. Actually, I think that that really absorbed everything
42:22
Speaker 1: um and and the milk was really nice. Like I
42:25
Speaker 1: think a lot of people make a mistake with water.
42:27
Speaker 1: I have had a Carolina Reaper pepper before, which is
42:31
Speaker 1: one point five million scobal units, and I was not
42:34
Speaker 1: prepared and I was eating chicken of the sea, biscuits
42:37
Speaker 1: or something like that, which is what whatever I could find.
42:41
Speaker 1: So I just feel like I was prepared, you know.
42:44
Speaker 1: I all all the boys at the Action Network were
42:47
Speaker 1: surprised that at me, even coming back to the office.
42:50
Speaker 1: They thought I'd be incapacitate. I also liked the video
42:54
Speaker 1: where Scott Scott Miller, uh who sort of the editor
42:58
Speaker 1: extraordinaire runs everything for us UM, said to you in
43:01
Speaker 1: the video, you gotta say one more bite. It was
43:05
Speaker 1: so cruel. I wasn't trying to end it, but I
43:08
Speaker 1: felt like, you know, I felt like I had done enough,
43:13
Speaker 1: and he said one more bite. And the first bite
43:17
Speaker 1: was the worst though, within like three or four seconds,
43:20
Speaker 1: I started hiccup ng and burping, you know, because my body,
43:24
Speaker 1: my body was saying, what the hell is it? And
43:28
Speaker 1: uh so, so the last one was fine, and then
43:31
Speaker 1: I I really I think I had my biggest swallow
43:34
Speaker 1: on the last one, and it hit me and I
43:36
Speaker 1: was like, oh my god. And that's when I and
43:40
Speaker 1: you'll see this in the video, I went to the
43:42
Speaker 1: spoon put it in the halo top and didn't. I
43:45
Speaker 1: originally had a different spoon for the ice cream, but
43:49
Speaker 1: somehow in my stupor, and it's much like the ice bath,
43:53
Speaker 1: and you can't think I took the curry spoon and
43:56
Speaker 1: put it in the ice cream and then I had
44:00
Speaker 1: like no relief. So dude, yeah, that was it? All right?
44:06
Speaker 1: So this week you're doing the Bills and the Patriots.
44:08
Speaker 1: You're going to take the Bills. Fans on points better,
44:11
Speaker 1: going to get boosted odds on Wait, yeah, you're taking
44:14
Speaker 1: the Bills fans at at points better getting boosted odds
44:18
Speaker 1: to take the Patriots. Fans are gonna have to take
44:20
Speaker 1: the Patriots. Do you want to hear what your punishment
44:22
Speaker 1: is going to be? Yes, I have not heard. So
44:26
Speaker 1: what what is it going to be? Uh, you'll be
44:30
Speaker 1: in Miami, I will be If the Patriots win, you're
44:36
Speaker 1: gonna have to get your back waxed. Oh my god,
44:41
Speaker 1: you gotta be kidding me. Man, that's gonna hurt. How
44:48
Speaker 1: do you feel about that hurt? I think it's safer
44:51
Speaker 1: than many of my stunts. I actually think it's probably
44:55
Speaker 1: the safest, you know, in terms of like I don't
45:00
Speaker 1: feel like I have potential to do damage. It's gonna hurt, Like,
45:05
Speaker 1: what do you say? It's gonna hurt like a mofo?
45:09
Speaker 1: I know I'll scream Kelly Clarkson, all right, that's I'll
45:15
Speaker 1: do that. I'll do that that. That would be a
45:16
Speaker 1: nice vacation day for me on Monday. Yeah, well yeah, yeah,
45:21
Speaker 1: I might need to be reimbursed for the Action Network
45:23
Speaker 1: for causing pain on my vacation day. You know, we'll
45:27
Speaker 1: send your wife a nice gift. Okay, how about she'll
45:30
Speaker 1: be at the spa doing something else while I'm screaming.
45:33
Speaker 1: She won't want to be filming you. No, I think
45:37
Speaker 1: my kids want to film me. You know what, let's
45:42
Speaker 1: not even go through your picks. Let's have let's bring
45:44
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter in it right away and we will all
45:47
Speaker 1: go through the picks together. We got two weeks left
45:49
Speaker 1: to get in the mine. We basically have to go
45:50
Speaker 1: five and oh the next two weeks. Here's Simon Hunter.
45:53
Speaker 1: Here we go, and now a word from a Why
46:00
Speaker 1: Sky with Simon Hunter. Simon, Hello, gentlemen, Simon Simon, Yeah, Simon,
46:14
Speaker 1: you're there. Yeah, I'm just waiting for it. Dude, dude, dude, dude, dude.
46:26
Speaker 1: That was I'm gonna I still want to blame dank
46:28
Speaker 1: because I don't want And four what kind of karma
46:32
Speaker 1: was that we were two and woman in literally one minute,
46:34
Speaker 1: we went oh and three. Oh my god, that was ugly.
46:41
Speaker 1: Was literally felt like someone beat the ship out of me.
46:44
Speaker 1: It was painful. Let's let's revie, let's review what what
46:47
Speaker 1: we had? All right? Do you have it in front
46:50
Speaker 1: of you? I do? Okay, I got what do we have?
46:53
Speaker 1: We had the Redskins at four and a half. Uh so,
46:58
Speaker 1: as most people know, like when if you're on, if
47:00
Speaker 1: you like a side and the line moves keeps going up,
47:03
Speaker 1: you you're gonna keep hitting that line. So I had
47:06
Speaker 1: then a plus four and a half, plus five and
47:08
Speaker 1: a half, plus six and a half and plus seven
47:10
Speaker 1: all awful. Oh my god. We had even more brutal Seattle,
47:17
Speaker 1: who was up twenty with six minutes to go, and
47:22
Speaker 1: they gave up to two back that we're touchdowns. So
47:25
Speaker 1: we lost that by half a point. Then we had Denver,
47:32
Speaker 1: which it was ugly. Yeah, like this. The snow obviously
47:36
Speaker 1: didn't help us like that. They were not ready to
47:38
Speaker 1: play that snow, so that was a big l We
47:41
Speaker 1: had Atlanta, who went outright and ruined a couple of
47:43
Speaker 1: people's lives. Because I don't know how many other people
47:47
Speaker 1: are like me, but that under it, I think it
47:49
Speaker 1: was percent of the bet was on the over, so
47:54
Speaker 1: I I took it for forty eight under, forty nine under,
47:58
Speaker 1: nine and a half under. Uh so I got killed
48:02
Speaker 1: on that one in the final second, and then the
48:05
Speaker 1: top of off. We finished the night with Pittsburgh, who
48:08
Speaker 1: they had their chances, but they just they got outplayed
48:12
Speaker 1: by Alan. They really did. Oh my god, everything about
48:17
Speaker 1: it was just terrible, terrible. Darren, the smartest man in
48:24
Speaker 1: the room, went three one on one, so he was
48:26
Speaker 1: just stomping on my grave. I mean I was already destroyed,
48:29
Speaker 1: and then came Darren with his high and mighty three
48:32
Speaker 1: one on one. Darren was so obnoxious and Darren Darren
48:38
Speaker 1: fell off, so we got to call him back, Um,
48:41
Speaker 1: darreny you back. He's not back yet. The problem is
48:49
Speaker 1: that Darren was so obnoxious in the texts, as if
48:53
Speaker 1: he was the wise guy and knew everything, and we
48:56
Speaker 1: have talked him out of so many things that we
48:58
Speaker 1: thought was so smart, and he was like, we should
49:02
Speaker 1: have done this, We'd be so much better. He's texting
49:06
Speaker 1: us his tickets, how well he's doing it. It ruined,
49:10
Speaker 1: honest to god, ruined my dinner. It was. I mean,
49:14
Speaker 1: he was just going. I was just like, all right,
49:15
Speaker 1: phones go on airplane mode, like I was already crushed
49:19
Speaker 1: from other people. I couldn't even take it. He was
49:21
Speaker 1: just he just kept coming. But it was like any
49:24
Speaker 1: any other gambler, like even when you win or lose
49:27
Speaker 1: one day, it's a new day, and you kind of
49:28
Speaker 1: just even if you win or lose, you just kept
49:31
Speaker 1: to look at and go all right on the next week.
49:32
Speaker 1: So that's how I feel about it. The problem was
49:34
Speaker 1: I was twelve, two and two the week before, and
49:36
Speaker 1: then I went six and ten this week because of
49:38
Speaker 1: all those goddamn bad beats, and those are the that's
49:43
Speaker 1: like anyone that does it long enough, you're gonna run
49:45
Speaker 1: into a couple of the fact that we just we
49:46
Speaker 1: had two of them in our super contest was just brutal.
49:50
Speaker 1: I know, it really really was. Darreny you back, I'm back. Sorry,
49:54
Speaker 1: all right, listen, we made all the picks, I know
49:58
Speaker 1: you didn't. Yeah, we feel good about him, so no, no, no, yeah,
50:03
Speaker 1: I think we're in good place. No not after last week.
50:07
Speaker 1: You don't, all right, Darren, because you were so good
50:11
Speaker 1: last week. Um, what are you thinking, Darren? Tell us
50:16
Speaker 1: what you're thinking? Who are your five picks? Simon and
50:19
Speaker 1: I got. I got Washington minus two and a half
50:22
Speaker 1: against the Giants. Daniel Jones comes back, maybe Eli, Who
50:26
Speaker 1: the hell knows? They're so confused one uh my, uh
50:31
Speaker 1: my slam dunk pick. My lock of the week is
50:34
Speaker 1: BOLTI wore minus ten against the Browns. Forget the sharp stuff.
50:38
Speaker 1: The Browns are a total dumpster fire. They're completely out
50:42
Speaker 1: of it. Freddie Kitchens is worried about his job. These
50:45
Speaker 1: guys don't know what they're doing. They're pointing at people.
50:47
Speaker 1: They're not worrying about the game. I don't care that
50:50
Speaker 1: it's ten. I don't care about you sharp the other
50:53
Speaker 1: way that the other people are thinking. I say minus
50:55
Speaker 1: ten Baltimore over the Browns. I actually doing this because
51:01
Speaker 1: I think Philly is garbage and just because they one
51:05
Speaker 1: doesn't mean anything. I don't necessarily think Dallas is that good.
51:09
Speaker 1: And I'm not doing it because they're the week that
51:11
Speaker 1: Dallas has had. I got Dallas minus two and a
51:13
Speaker 1: half against Shilly. I think the Jets are very similar
51:19
Speaker 1: to the Giants. Uh And I think Pittsburgh people are
51:22
Speaker 1: gonna fade them because of what happened last week. I
51:26
Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh minus three and we have to go back
51:29
Speaker 1: to my Miami Dolphins at minus one against the Bengals,
51:34
Speaker 1: who stink. Simon, I have opinions on all of these,
51:41
Speaker 1: but I want to hear your take on these five games. First, Skins, Ravens,
51:47
Speaker 1: Dallas Dealers, Fins. I like the best part of that
51:52
Speaker 1: whole thing was Darren just disrespecting all the sharps, being like,
51:56
Speaker 1: it's a dumb player. Pick the Browns as a board
52:00
Speaker 1: where generalized like that you don't want to like overthinking
52:05
Speaker 1: where yes, plus ten, this is a great number for
52:08
Speaker 1: the Browns. But as Darren was saying, the Ravens their
52:13
Speaker 1: world beaters and the Browns look like they're broken. But
52:16
Speaker 1: you just have to know, Dan, you're taking them at
52:17
Speaker 1: the peak, peak peak of the Ravens, so like zero value,
52:22
Speaker 1: You're you're losing points here taking them. But I can't
52:24
Speaker 1: take you talk you off the Ravens. What do you
52:27
Speaker 1: have this? You me the Ravens. No, he can't talk
52:30
Speaker 1: you off the Ravens. Like just everything you said, it's
52:33
Speaker 1: like the sharp the smart side of you take that
52:36
Speaker 1: plus thing because I got this at eight plus eight
52:38
Speaker 1: where every everything you're saying is right, but divisional games
52:42
Speaker 1: are so weird. That's why it's like any any time
52:46
Speaker 1: long term, if you're gonna take a home dog a
52:49
Speaker 1: plus ten in a divisional game, you're gonna come out well,
52:53
Speaker 1: way richer than you would take on this other side.
52:56
Speaker 1: So that's to say we could take the Ravens here,
52:57
Speaker 1: I'm just telling you that if we lose, you have
52:59
Speaker 1: to saying it just wasn't a smart bet. And it's
53:04
Speaker 1: not coming down either. It's not gonna get to eight.
53:06
Speaker 1: It's only going out. No, this will this will keep
53:09
Speaker 1: going up. I mean, I don't even know what the
53:11
Speaker 1: Ticke account is gonna be, but right now it's it's
53:13
Speaker 1: probably of the bet. If not, its gonna be on
53:17
Speaker 1: the Ravens. All right, what do we think about my
53:19
Speaker 1: Dallas pick? Dallas is another thing where you're you're you
53:25
Speaker 1: just watched last week where Dallas looked like world beaters
53:27
Speaker 1: and the Eagles are broken, they have no wide receivers,
53:30
Speaker 1: they're just reading these games out. You're taking a Cowboys
53:34
Speaker 1: team on the road against a divisional opponent, so it's
53:38
Speaker 1: it's another of those You're taking a road divisional game,
53:40
Speaker 1: so the Cowboys gonna be the huge public side and
53:43
Speaker 1: you're getting no value here. So the sharp smart side
53:46
Speaker 1: is gonna be Eagles. But once again, you've you've been.
53:49
Speaker 1: You're on the heater, So the Cowboys could be the
53:51
Speaker 1: right side. He's not on a freaking heater. Don't encourage
53:55
Speaker 1: him in Dann's world, having three winning weeks in a row,
53:58
Speaker 1: that's the eater. All right. What do you think of
54:00
Speaker 1: the Steelers? I want to take them, but it's like
54:07
Speaker 1: what we just watched last week. That kid duck, he's
54:10
Speaker 1: not seeing the open receivers. So this is one of
54:12
Speaker 1: those that we're just gonna be banked on the Steelers
54:14
Speaker 1: defense to win us. This the cover as this number
54:17
Speaker 1: minus story. So it's not it's not terrible, but it's
54:21
Speaker 1: not great value. Are you in the airport, Simon, what's happening? No,
54:25
Speaker 1: I'm picking up my daughter from school. I wasn't expecting
54:28
Speaker 1: such a piercing announcement about hobby hour. I'm sorry, got
54:31
Speaker 1: it all right. I love Darren's Redskins pick, I love
54:37
Speaker 1: his Dolphins pick. I'll be at the Dolphins game too,
54:43
Speaker 1: so I'll I'll yell and scream and do my part
54:47
Speaker 1: we're not. We're taking the Dolphins here in the center
54:49
Speaker 1: were hope and they're the ones that show up. So
54:52
Speaker 1: I do like that number because it's just they just
54:53
Speaker 1: have to win and the Banks they're playing for that
54:55
Speaker 1: number one pick. So I'm dealing with that Dolphins one
54:59
Speaker 1: and there chkins. This is great value, like the odds
55:02
Speaker 1: of the Giants winning two games in a row like
55:04
Speaker 1: that was their everything game. They completely blew out the Dolphins.
55:07
Speaker 1: Everything went right for them. This is this is a
55:10
Speaker 1: nice number with the redskins. All right, So we're we're
55:14
Speaker 1: giving Darren two games Skins and fins. He wants three
55:18
Speaker 1: really public sides. Let me let me make a proposal. Uh,
55:26
Speaker 1: what about the Arizona Cardinals as really big underdogs against
55:31
Speaker 1: a Seattle team that has a hard time winning big
55:34
Speaker 1: by big numbers and has to look ahead to a
55:38
Speaker 1: game against the Niners. That was my alternate pick. I
55:43
Speaker 1: love that number two when it came out, And it's
55:45
Speaker 1: kind of funny where the Seahawks they just don't like
55:49
Speaker 1: you're just saying, every game with them always gets close.
55:51
Speaker 1: They just don't really blow teams out. The only team
55:53
Speaker 1: they really did blow out this year was the Cardinals
55:55
Speaker 1: in Arizona. So this is a nice divisional game where
55:59
Speaker 1: the Cardinals are getting all these points and I could
56:01
Speaker 1: see the backdoor working out for us on this one.
56:04
Speaker 1: How about the Minnesota Vikings. Don't talk that game? Yeah,
56:12
Speaker 1: I can't do it just because Kirk in prime time.
56:15
Speaker 1: I mean, we can look at the numbers. He just
56:16
Speaker 1: always he chokes. This is what he does. Tennessee Titans
56:22
Speaker 1: love it. I mean, that's so much value. Um. They
56:26
Speaker 1: had probably the worst game of the year last year
56:28
Speaker 1: and it still came down to the final two minutes
56:30
Speaker 1: of the game and the Saints would look like world beaters.
56:34
Speaker 1: But they're going now, they're going outdoors again. It's an
56:38
Speaker 1: an FC team where they don't really need this win
56:39
Speaker 1: that much. I mean, I know they wanted to stay
56:41
Speaker 1: up in the top seeds. The Titans really need this game.
56:44
Speaker 1: So I love that we're getting plus three. I'm supportive
56:48
Speaker 1: of that too. Here's my last one, my last suggestion. Ready, yep,
56:55
Speaker 1: New York Jets. Jets are I'm doing it for Darren.
57:00
Speaker 1: The Jets are three point underdogs at home to the Steelers. Uh,
57:08
Speaker 1: it's so tough because it's it's Sam Donald go against
57:11
Speaker 1: that defense. But that's a really good number. Plus three,
57:15
Speaker 1: Like I can see them covering that. I feel like
57:18
Speaker 1: it's bee of those games that maybe they can win
57:21
Speaker 1: by one or two the Steelers, but that's that's a
57:23
Speaker 1: big number for them to be holding on the road.
57:25
Speaker 1: I could see them. What do you have a power
57:26
Speaker 1: rated out, Simon? So I had this game in minus
57:30
Speaker 1: one and then after that game with Duck I put
57:33
Speaker 1: the Jets up to minus two. So we're getting five
57:35
Speaker 1: points of value. But the big thing is we need
57:39
Speaker 1: to wait and see what the deal is with Adams
57:41
Speaker 1: because he might not come back for the Jets this weekend.
57:43
Speaker 1: He's really been the key of the Jets defense, alright,
57:46
Speaker 1: So we'll keep an eye on Adams. You any Saturday games.
57:51
Speaker 1: I didn't love him, but I think about it, Darren,
57:56
Speaker 1: I mean we can uh we I mean I know that, Darren,
58:00
Speaker 1: you're gonna love the Bill. Let's time and have his
58:03
Speaker 1: straight up pick of the week. Why not, Well, my
58:07
Speaker 1: favorite value is definitely going to be the Rams this week.
58:11
Speaker 1: Definitely be the Rams. They just got destroyed, embarrassed and
58:18
Speaker 1: just are hurt that their defense is not what they
58:21
Speaker 1: were earlier in the season. They're they're banged. That is true.
58:26
Speaker 1: Let's take there. Let's take the Rams. So we'll take
58:28
Speaker 1: Can we kick the Rams, the Cardinals, the Dolphins? What
58:33
Speaker 1: was my titles and Redskins? Yeah? That love it? Yeah,
58:40
Speaker 1: I love these picks. I feel better about these picks
58:43
Speaker 1: than any picks we've had this year. Simon Hunter professional better,
58:46
Speaker 1: Damn ravel professional something Boys. Until next week, Another week
58:53
Speaker 1: in the books. We're finishing up Week sixteen. This has
58:56
Speaker 1: been The Favorites podcast from the Action Network. I Am
58:59
Speaker 1: Chad Olmen. Thanks to Dan Ravelle, thanks to Simon Hunter,
59:03
Speaker 1: thanks to Bob SCOOCHI download the podcast at Apple Podcast,
59:06
Speaker 1: Rate Review, subscribe, check it out at radio dot com.
59:10
Speaker 1: Start for the Favorites wherever you get your podcast. Until
59:14
Speaker 1: next time, I Love you,