Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 40 - 5/9/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 40 - 5/9/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 40 of the All Systems Go Sports
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Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on?
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Everyone happy Thirsty Thursday. Our week is winding down.
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The weekend is upon us, guys, and we continue to grind it out
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in the sports betting arena. And today is a big day because I
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tell you what guys every day when I wake up and basically it
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never starts. When you wake up, it starts
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from, you know, the overnight, overnight lines, seeing how
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movement immediately goes, how it develops.
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Morning, early afternoon. But I tell you what, there are a
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lot of games that I could play today and I tried to whittle it
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down to my top plays and I kept saying, hey, let's not force it,
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but I actually could have had more bets.
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I'm going to go with 7 bets for you today, guys.
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A7 pack on a big Thursday Thursday, including four Major
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League Baseball bets, one NBA play, which is a pretty good
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angle here from our friends at Rhythm.
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There's obviously only one game tonight in, or there's two games
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tonight. Cavs, Celtics, Mavs, Thunder.
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I'm going to focus on that Mavs Thunder game and also I got two
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NHL bets for you and they're both two of my favorite system
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matches which basically focus on a desperation spot.
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So maybe you kind of already know which way I'm leaning here,
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but A7 pack overall, big day here in the arena now looking
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back toward yesterday, A bit of a frustrating day overall 3 and
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3 -, 0.76 units. The annoying part, Well, the
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good part was MLB continues to do pretty well.
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We got our finger on the pulse of MLB sometimes.
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I feel like I should only bet MLB and nothing else but as a
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sports better. I know you have your favorite
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sports but you never want to limit yourself in terms of money
2:00
making opportunities. But baseball 2 and 1 grinded out
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another profitable day with with the San Francisco Giants and the
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New York Yankees. The only loss there was with the
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Rays. Ironically the Rays are a big
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favorite but once again that's how we bet to risk not bet to
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win. And then we did get a great
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rhythm bet the over in the Pacers Knicks game a buy low
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over 218 1/2. That thing sailed way over and
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remember rhythm was projecting a 220 1/2.
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So a little golf clap for our friends at rhythm for helping us
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cash that Pacers and Knicks over.
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But the frustrating games were in hockey last night.
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Now the Bruins I get it. You know he probably thought hey
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you know it's a good value play for Boston which I agreed and we
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had a juice reel edge. But you also have a very proud
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team with Florida down O1 at home can't go down O2 and go to
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Boston. So I get it.
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I'm actually proud of the Bruins for sending a message and
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fighting late. That game got pretty insane with
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all the penalties late in the game, but the most frustrating
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game of the night. So we're sitting pretty good
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going into the Lake game. You know, we got Edmonton, the
3:00
Oilers on the money line against Vancouver.
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We're sitting three and two. So we're we're doing pretty good
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looking at a four and two night. The Oilers are up by two goals
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heading into the third period and then the Oilers completely
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implode. So the Oilers, Are you kidding
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me? Remember.
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Remember in ESPN, they still do. Come on man.
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Come on, man, Oilers 4 to 2 lead, you give up three goals.
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In the third, you lose 5 to 4. Stewart Skinner was a sieve in
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net and Edmonton couldn't get anything going, especially late
3:29
when they pulled the goalie. So when you're up four to two
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going into the third in a playoff game, you feel like
3:34
you're going to win that one. So that was a really bad beat
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and a very frustrating loss on Edmonton.
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But Edmonton comes through. I mean that's the that's the the
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thin red line, the razor wire that we walk every day.
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As sports betters, you know, one game can flip you from a winning
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night to a losing night or positive note a losing night to
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a winning night. But either way, guys looking to
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bounce back here today and see if we can have a good night on a
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big, thirsty Thursday. So with that being said, I want
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to start off with some Major League Baseball because I got a
4:04
couple days sweats going. There's only seven games on the
4:06
board, but I kind of liked all of them, so I'm just trying to
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limit myself to the best, most valuable plays overall.
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But the first one I'm going to rock with for tonight, Houston
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and the New York Yankees. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
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Going right back to the well with the Bronx Bombers can be
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New York here. The New York Yankees at home
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against Houston had a big win for us last night as the Yankees
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were able to cash relatively easily.
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Yankees ended up winning that game nine to four as a nice what
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do we get like -160 on that number.
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But anyway, pitching match up for today we have Ronelle Blanco
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going for Houston, who is 3 and O2 point O 9 ERA.
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He'll be opposed by Marcus Stroman 2 and one 3.41 ERA.
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But to me this is a value play on a good Yankees team with a
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relatively short chalk price at home and a bet against Houston.
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And I'm waiting for Houston to turn it around and look like the
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Astros of all. It's just not happening.
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So I'm going to go Yankees here. I like the line move toward the
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Yankees. The Yankees opened round a -,
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125 home favorite, and now we bet up to round -130 -, 135.
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So we have some movement in favor of New York now.
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A couple things I'm banking on. One is the offense of the
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Yankees. They have scored 185 runs this
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year versus only 158 for Houston.
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Yankees also have the much better bullpen.
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They're actually the number one bullpen in baseball, 2.31 ERA.
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Houston is a 4.71. That's 24th in baseball.
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And Houston's offensive numbers aren't terrible.
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It's really they're they're pitching their starters and
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their relievers that have really let them down this year.
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But we have a classic non division favorite system match.
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Lack of familiarity really being a benefit to the better team
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who's expected to win that would match with New York.
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NY's been good at home, 13 and five.
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Houston only 5 and 12 on the road.
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Yankees are plus 54 and run differential.
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Houston is -32 and then also have some good system matches
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here. Now I'm always interested in in
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finding little angles and cause of sports better.
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You're always trying to find any kind of angle that can help you
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win a bet. And I'm I was curious about,
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like, Thursdays in baseball. Because Thursdays are weird.
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You have a smaller than usual slate.
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It's getaway day. Some teams are off and I was
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wondering, hey, like, you know, what's the deal with Thursdays?
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Is there an edge one way or the other?
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Well, Thursdays are one of the best days to bet favourites,
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which makes sense. If it's a getaway day, maybe the
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cream rises to the top. But Thursday favourites this
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year are 30 and 1567% with a 15% ROI.
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And also, I was playing around last night, 'cause I have my
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system matches I lean on, then I always try to tweak them or try
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to uncover another edge. I found this system match, if
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you're a favorite in which the total falls at least 1/2 run,
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those teams are 116 and 5767% with a 14% ROI.
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So this total was as high as nine.
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It's down to 8, 1/2 or even 8. So angle here is, you know what
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the fear amount of expected run scored.
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They come from quote, more likely to come from quote UN
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quote the better team. So we always talk correlative,
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correlative betting in general. But I was in my database and I
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said, hey, what if the total actually does fall?
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Well, that's a good sign for that home team.
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Or for that favorite, I should say So a couple good matches
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here Thursday. Faves, faves with a total that
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falls. Better offense, better bullpen,
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home. Rd. splits.
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Really benefit. Yankees here.
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I'm going to go with the Yankees shop round.
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I got the Bronx Bombers at -130. Keep on cruising.
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I'll be fully honest with you guys.
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This place scares me to death. But I'm going to trust the
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market, which is something that you learn if you've been on
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sports long enough. The eye test or your bias may
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creep in and say, hey, what am I doing laying a -, 140 with the
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Saint Louis Cardinals, who've been terrible this year.
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Well, the Lions in moving in their favor, so I'm playing the
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Cardinals today. Cardinals are only 15 and 21 on
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the year. They're two and seven in their
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last nine. They're now facing the Milwaukee
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Brewers, who are 21 and 15. But they just did lose four of
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their last five. They fell to the Royals in the
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last game of that series, 6 to 4 as a plus one O 5 Rd.
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Dogg. The Cardinals just lost to the
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Mets. Seven to five is a -, 120
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favorite the other day. But for today's pitching match
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up, I think it's a big part of this really sharp line move
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towards Saint Louis. Like Saint Louis is razor sharp.
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You know, I'm worried because they're not a very good team and
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it's like, how do you not take Milwaukee, a good team at home
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plus money. But again, let's trust the
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market. Cardinals are going with Sonny
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Gray, who's been great four and one 0.89 ERA.
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Brewers are going with Tobias Myers.
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He's O and two with a 6.23 RA. So I get it.
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Gray's got way better stats here than Myers.
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But this is all about the line move and trusting the market.
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Because this game actually opened with some shops with the
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Cardinals actually has a dog like some books open.
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Milwaukee, like -120. Now it's flipped all the way to
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Saint Louis, -140. I mean, that's as big of a dog
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to fave line move as you're ever going to see.
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Tells us that a lot of respected money came down on Saint Louis.
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Now they're only getting basically 5050 tickets and again
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5050. A line shouldn't move at all.
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Yet we're seeing this line steam toward Saint Louis.
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Only 51% bets to be exact, but 65% of money is on Saint Louis.
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And also a lot of system matches on the Cardinals Rd. favorites
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off a loss. They're 48 and 26 this year,
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65%. Thirteen percent ROI Same system
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match with that favorite with the total that falls.
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That just match with the Yankees.
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It does match with Saint Louis. That total is 8 1/2 down to 8.
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Now 7 1/2. That system match is 116 and
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5767% and then also rest. First tired angle.
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The Cardinals were off yesterday.
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They were rained out against the Mets.
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Meanwhile, Milwaukee played on the road against Kansas City.
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So again, do I want to lay a -, 140 with a team that's six games
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below 500 and has looked just kind of like a dead team?
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The eye test in my gut, in my instinct, says no.
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But again, don't trust your gut. Don't trust your instinct.
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Go with what the market is telling you.
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So again, if Milwaukee wins, I'll be like, damn it, what the
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hell am I doing? But if Saint Louis wins and I
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don't play them, that's something I can't live with.
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So I'm going to go with this sharp line move.
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Say a prayer for the Saint Louis Cardinals.
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I'm on the Cardinals at -140. Keep on cruising Cleveland and
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the Chicago White Sox. I'm going to go with the
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Cleveland Guardians here. Not much of a surprise, but I'm
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going to fade Chicago, even though Chicago unbelievably beat
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Tampa Bay yesterday. I can't believe it.
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What an idiot I was. At least we always bet Tris
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versus bet twin. But I didn't want.
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I really always say I don't want to lay more than -200.
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And I was an idiot and I kind of played Tampa Bay because I like
10:31
this team and again that was a loss.
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So what are we going to do? We're going to bounce back and
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hopefully get it back. Clawed back against the White
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Sox today so pitching matchup Cleveland they're going with Ben
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Lively. He's been pretty good one and
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one two point O 8 ERA. Eric Fetty is going for the
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White Sox two and O 3.46 ERA. But First off, we've seen some
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movement toward Cleveland. It's nothing huge, but they
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opened some shops around -140. You know there's highs around
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-150 now. So a little bit of movement in
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favor of Cleveland now. Cleveland is really good.
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Home Rd. splits. Cleveland's 12:00 and 7:00 on
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the road. White Sox are just five and 12
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at home. Cleveland's plus 41 run
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differential and you have the White Sox.
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We all know they're terrible, -89.
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Cleveland's got a way better bullpen 2.44 ERA verse 4.22 for
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the White Sox. We have some correlative betting
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value. Favorite low total told this one
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is 8. Again, fair amount of expected
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runs scored. More likely to come from quote
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UN quote that better team and then also system matches.
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So we just talked Thursday. Favorites 67% this year.
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Rd. favorite 61 percent 7% ROI and what I like to call
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operation fade CHW. Even though it didn't pay off
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yesterday because the freaking Rays just pathetic.
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How do you know, how do you lose at home against the White Sox
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anyway? Operation Fade White Sox 28 and
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976 percent, 17% ROI. So it also match with Cleveland
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and some shops are juiced under like 8 under -115 like it may
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get to 7 1/2 if that were to happen, but also qualify as our
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favorite with a total that's falling correlative betting
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play. So either way, guys, we got some
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movement, we got some system matches, and hopefully we get
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some revenge against the White Sox here.
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Today. I'm going Cleveland Guardians.
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I got the Guardians at -145, then last by the night for you,
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Kansas City and the Angels. I'm going to stay up late and
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sweat the sweat. The Kansas City Royals, I should
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say. So little background here,
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Royals. They've been a pretty good
12:29
surprise. They spent some money in the
12:30
offseason and they're pretty respectable.
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They're 22 and 16, although they did just lose or sorry.
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They took two or three against the Brewers.
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They won that finale 6 to 4 yesterday as a -, 120 home
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favorite. Meanwhile, the Halos.
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Remember, they start off pretty decent.
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Mike Trout got hurt. They struggled.
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They're 14 and 23 on the year. But they did just take two or
12:49
three against the Pirates. They won yesterday 5 to 4 as a +
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115 Rd. Dogg.
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So pitching match up tonight. Michael Waka the righty one and
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four 5.5 OERA. He'll be opposed by Reed Detmers
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the southpaw for the Angels three and three 4.24 ERA.
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What are we seeing across the market here?
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Big move toward Kansas City. This game actually opened some
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shops, believe it or not with the angels as the favorite.
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Some shops open route like Angels -115.
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Well now we flip to Royals -110 -, 115.
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So dog to fave line movement very similar to that dog to fave
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we saw with Saint Louis telling the smart money here is going
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with KC, Casey is getting 75% of bets but 83% of dollars.
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So decent low bets, higher dollars bet split and a big
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steam move. A lot of system matches here
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that we've discussed. Kansas City Rd. favorites 61
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percent, 7% ROI this year. Thursday favorites 67 percent
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15% ROI. Also have a system match.
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Sweet spot Short Rd. favorites -130 or less 59% They're 61 and
13:53
42 with an 11% ROI. Also have that non division
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favorite system match. Lack of familiarity benefiting
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quote UN quote, the better team. The Royals offense has been
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better. They've scored 175 runs versus
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154 for the Angels. They have the better bullpen,
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3.87, ERA, verse 4.93, and then run differential which is just a
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rudimentary, you know, basically a number here to quantify how
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good or bad you are. Do you school more runs and you
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give up. Well guess what?
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Kansas City's plus 46, LA s -, 34.
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So this feels like a short number on KC.
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They have some line movement. They have a pretty good bet
14:28
split lot of system matches. I'm going KC.
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I got the Royals at -115. So four pack here.
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Can we get three of them? Yankees, Saint Louis Cardinals,
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Cleveland Guardians and the Kansas City Royals.
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Now over to the NBA, now NBA. Last night shout out to our
14:48
friends at Rhythm, which once again I'm going to recommend
14:51
that you go sign up for a free seven day trial of rhythm so you
14:55
can start making sharp bets on your own.
14:57
Let the let the AIAI backed models recommend sharp plays for
15:03
you in order to sign up for the rhythm free trial.
15:06
All you got to do, if you're listening right now to the Pod
15:09
in either iTunes, Apple or Spotify, just go to the bio or
15:13
the description of this podcast and you might have to hit like,
15:17
see more. There's a list of a couple
15:18
things I put in. I put in the bio of the pod.
15:20
What are we talking about today? But then also, I'm going to give
15:23
you a link to the free trial for Rhythm as well as the free trial
15:25
for Juice Reel. So click that custom link, give
15:28
it a shot. Start making smarter bets today
15:31
thanks to our friends at Rhythm. But Rhythm had a winner for us
15:34
last night and they have another recommendation for us tonight.
15:37
Now there are two games here. Cavs Celtics.
15:40
I got nothing. You know it feels like the
15:43
Celtics are going to roll. They're laying 13 1/2 thirteen.
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Although some books look like they might be falling to 13.
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So I don't want to play Cavs in the in the points.
15:52
The total looks like it may be an under play.
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It did fall at some shops 213 after to do 212 1/2.
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But this is a unpredictable Celtics team.
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Maybe they'll blow them out the market saying otherwise.
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I just don't want to touch Cavs Celtics so I got nothing.
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Cavs Celtics I'm going to focus on Mavs and Thunder and I'm
16:10
going to go with OK C to win the damn game now OK C is up one O
16:16
in the series. Remember we got a pretty good
16:18
-125 series price before game one.
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Now OK C is -220 in this line for tonight, a 930 game.
16:27
Looking for OK C to take that to a lead.
16:29
We've seen some movement toward OK C The Thunder open at some
16:32
shops as low as -4 or -4 1/2. Now they're up to -5.
16:37
So right off the bat the line is moving toward Oklahoma City.
16:40
Now on the spread, 64% bet, 70% money is on OK C On the money
16:45
line, 63% bet, 68% money is on OK C So line move and a low
16:50
bets, higher dollars bet split on both the spread and the in
16:54
the money line. But I'm going to focus on the
16:55
money line here. Now it's it's a little bit
16:57
expensive, but I was able to shop around and find a money
17:01
line of -190 on OK C, So try to get below -200.
17:07
Again, shop around, have those multiple outs.
17:09
But here's why I like the money line.
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Number one is that playoff home favorites have been pretty damn
17:13
good historically. In this year, playoff home
17:15
favorites winning the game are 32 and 1371%.
17:21
This postseason, that's a 5% ROI.
17:23
OKC on the year is 33 and eight at home, One of the best home
17:27
teams. They have the better offensive
17:29
efficiency, third versus 7th. They have the better defensive
17:32
efficiency 4th versus 16th. Also the deeper bench and the
17:37
younger team here. I know Doncic is still young,
17:41
but Doncic maybe some knee issues.
17:44
It just seems iffy with Doncic. I also think the kids got to
17:47
lose some weight. I mean I should be 1 to speak.
17:49
I'm I need to lose some pounds too.
17:51
But Doncic's knee is iffy to me. You've seen him like Grimace and
17:56
you've heard about rumors of his knee having an issue.
17:58
That just scares me a little bit if you want to back The
18:00
Mavericks and I'm going to also put two other like pieces of the
18:04
puzzle here why I'm going OK C money line one is that if you
18:10
look at one thing that jumped out to me like I was watching
18:12
the OK C Dallas Mavs game one. Obviously we got to play on the
18:16
the Thunder money line doing the same thing here tonight.
18:19
But if you noticed when the game was over, I believe it was ATNT
18:22
game. But they they said they wanted
18:24
to interview. I think it was SGA and the guy
18:27
from TNT went over to interview SGA and it wasn't just SGA.
18:30
He had his whole like starting line up, all his buddies around
18:33
him. Chet was around him, Jalen
18:36
Williams. I don't know if it's giddy or
18:38
somebody else, but they just look like they're happy and
18:41
they're having fun and it's easy when you win to be happy.
18:44
But that just spoke to me. Like I don't really ever see
18:48
when a guy gets interviewed after the game, the star of the
18:50
game, that all of his team mates are around him and like just
18:54
wanting to be there, wanting to be in the spotlight.
18:56
Also the star player willing to share the spotlight.
18:59
So that just spoke to me that like man, OK, CS got good mojo.
19:02
Like they're they're a young team.
19:04
Their togetherness and even I think when SGA he was like
19:09
anyone else got something to say and I think it was Jalen
19:11
Williams. He like barked like a dog like
19:13
they're dogs or something. But I don't know maybe I'm
19:15
grasping at straws maybe that's completely meaningless.
19:18
But that just spoke to me. You don't really see that when
19:20
they interview the the star of the game and all.
19:22
He's got all his boys around him like hey we're we're A-Team.
19:24
It's not me it's we. I just felt like that was a
19:26
really good sign for Oklahoma City Thunder means they're a
19:29
close knit team. And then the cherry on top is
19:32
that we do have a rhythm projection recommendation and
19:35
that is OK C Money line Rhythm is projecting a final score of
19:39
111 to one O 6, which would land right on the 5 S laying.
19:43
A5 don't really have an edge there.
19:44
But on the money line it's got a recommendation for Rhythm from
19:49
Rhythm that OK C will win this game.
19:51
So I'm going to follow this rhythm recommendation.
19:54
They didn't let us down. Game one, I hope they don't let
19:55
us down. Game two I am on OK C Money
19:58
line. Shop around.
20:00
Win the game. OK, C at -190.
20:04
Now over to the NHL Rough night. Last night my bees lost.
20:08
The Oilers puked all over themselves, which was absolutely
20:10
pathetic and disgusting. But I'm looking for a bounce
20:14
back tonight in the NHL and I can actually have the same
20:17
system on both teams tonight. So I'm going Carolina and I'm
20:21
going Dallas. I'll tell you why I'm taking
20:22
Carolina. Carolina against the Rangers.
20:24
They're down O2 in the series. This isn't a huge line move play
20:28
like basically Carolina open -165 -, 170.
20:32
They pretty much stayed right there.
20:35
But it is a system match play for me.
20:37
So the system match here is a desperate experienced playoff
20:42
team off a loss. So down O2 now going home.
20:46
Teams who made the playoffs the previous year and are coming off
20:49
a loss, they're 12:00 and 6:00 this post season. 67 percent 20%
20:53
ROI. Now it's not just this year.
20:55
If you look since over the last decade, this is a big sample, a
20:58
10 year sample teams who made the playoffs the previous year.
21:01
So you have the experience, desperate off a loss.
21:03
They're 275 and two 1157% with an 11% ROI.
21:08
So this just speaks to you know the grind of the playoffs.
21:11
You've been there, done that. You flush the last game and you
21:13
come back and win the next one. So I like Carolina to come back
21:17
down O2 and be the desperate team who hopefully wins tonight.
21:20
I have another system match on Carolina though.
21:22
If you're a bigger favorite of -150 or more of this post
21:25
season, those teams are 20 and 677% with an 18% ROI this
21:31
postseason. So again, if you're a fave of
21:33
-150 or more, you're winning 77% of the time in the playoffs.
21:37
Also, I noticed that Carolina's going to change their goalie.
21:40
Carolina's going to go with Kochekov who was 2.3 three goals
21:44
against 9/11 save percentage. He's going to replace Frederick
21:47
Anderson Chesterkin will still be in that for New York.
21:51
He had a 2.58 and a nine thirteen save percentage in the
21:54
regular season. He's been good in the
21:56
postseason, 2 point O one and 929.
21:58
But I'm wondering if that goaltending change will be an
22:01
improvement and a message to the locker room for Carolina.
22:04
And then also last one here is if you guys have never seen APNC
22:07
Arena home game, got to give Carolina credit.
22:10
You know the Hartford Whalers, which you know used to be in my
22:14
neck of the woods as a New Englander moved to Carolina when
22:17
was it? 2025 years ago.
22:19
But they like their hockey in Carolina and they their home
22:22
crowd is pretty insane. The PNC Arena home team home
22:27
crowd that goes nuts has helped the Carolina Hurricanes at home.
22:32
Let's see over the last three post seasons for Carolina when
22:36
they are at home, they are 15 and 479% with a 30% ROI that
22:42
includes 3 and O this postseason.
22:44
So they've been great at home. They're desperate.
22:47
They got to win. We got some system matches.
22:49
Not a huge line move, but I'm going to go desperate off a loss
22:52
and take Carolina. Shop around.
22:54
I got Carolina at -165. Then last play of the night,
22:58
Colorado, Dallas. I kind of hinted at it.
23:01
System match, desperate, awful loss.
23:03
I'm going Dallas Stars. Now this one is kind of more of
23:05
a blueprint play because we do have a line move toward Dallas.
23:08
They open around -120 -, 125. Now you're up to -130 -, 135 S
23:14
The line is going toward Dallas. Remember, we cashed the ABS.
23:16
Game one, but it wasn't easy. The ABS got down three O came
23:20
back and won in overtime. So if you're down O1 you're at
23:23
home. You can't go on the road down
23:24
O2. But also Dallas is a pretty
23:27
proud defensive team. A good team and I think after
23:30
blowing a three O lead they're going to come out blazing here
23:32
tonight. They're only getting 58% bets
23:35
but nearly 70% of the money. It also match that playoff
23:38
experience. Desperate off a losses to match.
23:41
Made the post season last year. Come back this year if you're
23:44
coming off a loss 12 and 667% Also you look at the
23:49
goaltenders. Now Georgie have got the win in
23:52
game one but on turns the better goalie in the post season 2.15
23:56
goals against 9/15 save percentage.
23:58
Georgie have 2.94 goals against 895 save percentage.
24:03
So I'm really going to bank on the the Dallas Stars to come
24:07
back play well tonight system match you know really kind of
24:11
show some grit after blowing a three nothing lead.
24:14
I think they even up this series.
24:15
I'm going with Dallas and the line is moving in their favor.
24:18
I got Dallas at -135 so that about does it.
24:23
Everyone. Another podcast here in the
24:25
books. Episode 40 of ASG Reminder.
24:28
If you enjoy this pod then will you please help me grow this
24:32
podcast, recommend it to a friend, but also there's one
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very simple, easy, quick thing you can do.
24:37
Can you please give this podcast a five star review on either
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Spotify or Apple iTunes? Really help us to grow and rise
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up the charts of course. I also mentioned that I want you
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to sign up for a Juice Reel 7 Day Free Trial and a Rhythm 7
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Day Free Trial. These are two of the top
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data-driven AI backed sports betting apps on the market that
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can help you win. So all you got to do is click
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the bio or the description of this podcast and either Spotify
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or iTunes and you'll have a link right there to sign up and give
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it a shot. So do that if you haven't done
25:10
it yet. And then of course if you enjoy
25:12
this pod, you enjoy the breakdowns.
25:14
You want to learn more about how to become a data-driven sharp
25:17
contrarian? Better?
25:18
Then guess what? I wrote a book.
25:20
Just go to Amazon, type in the everything Guide to Sports
25:23
betting, pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
25:26
It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
25:28
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
25:31
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
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person or online, How to shop for the best line, how to set up
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a bankroll management plan. It's all included in the
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Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
25:40
So pick one up and when I see at the book, I'll sign it for you
25:43
and I'll buy you a beer. If you don't drink, I'll buy a
25:46
ginger ale about does it everybody for episode 40, of
25:50
course, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
25:53
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Fox or
25:56
Mohegan Sun, Down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain
25:59
Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
26:01
And my neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
26:03
Or of course out in the desert where the true grinders get down
26:06
where Billy Walters sends his number.
26:08
Runners with lowest use possible is found at the South point or
26:11
jumping in the stadium swim pool when you know when the I don't
26:16
know when the Knicks Pacers over cashes for you or getting a a
26:19
victory burger at the end of the night at circa wherever it may
26:21
be. You're going to walk up to me.
26:22
You're going to show me a Giants ticket.
26:25
A Yankees ticket. A Pacers Knicks over ticket.
26:28
Whatever you do. That Oilers man.
26:30
I can't get over the Oilers Blowing a four to two lead last
26:33
night. Absolutely pathetic pathetic
26:35
goaltending by Stewart Skinner. Come on dude.
26:37
Anyway don't show me that Oilers ticket.
26:40
We're going to rip that up and make sure you recycle.
26:42
Don't throw it away. Recycle.
26:43
Be kind to the trees. But anyway, guys, first one's on
26:46
me, next one's on you. We're going to post about the
26:47
book. Sweat sharp, contrarian plays
26:49
all night long. So that being said, some words
26:54
of wisdom that I always love. Love to end each pot on.
26:56
Stay sharp, stay contrarian. Bet against the public.
26:59
Place yourself on the side of the house.
27:01
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
27:03
Will smart money win every time? Of course not.
27:06
Sports betting's hard. We're trying to predict the
27:07
unpredictable. But never let it get you down.
27:09
If you're If you have a losing night, never get cocky or
27:12
arrogant and feel like you're invincible and you have a
27:15
winning night. If we can just consistently play
27:17
those system matches, bypass the games with red flags, and only
27:20
get down on the games where we are simultaneously against the
27:23
public, with the house, with the pros flat bet.
27:26
Avoid parlays and we can get some closing line value.
27:28
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
27:32
So enjoy your Thirsty Thursday. Back at it tomorrow for a big
27:35
Friday episode 41. But First things first, let's
27:38
have a winning night. Let's cash some tickets.
27:40
I'll see you guys tomorrow. I hope you have a great night
27:43
tonight and enjoy the sweats for Thirsty Thursday.
27:46
Good luck.