Latest / The Death Of Journalism / Episode Sixty Six: Wokeback Mountain, A Covid Bromance
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to episode number sixty six of the Death of Journalism podcast. My name
- 0:04is John Zigler. I'm your host on today's program. Donald Trump gets indicted
- 0:09again, but this time they really need it. Gavin Newsom throws Ron de
- 0:14Sanders's campaign a lifeline, but they don't seem to want to grab it.
- 0:19And it appears that nearly everyone except for me, got it at least mostly
- 0:23wrong on the story of the alleged PGA Tour Live golf merger. I'm known
- 0:29as the Dutch Digital marketing Man. I'm a digital advertising SEO and EMO marketing
- 0:34specialist. It also happens to be a big fan of John Ziggler and the
- 0:38Death of Journalism. Do you need help preaching your target audience? Let me
- 0:43help you develop the right messaging and confaded message in the best channels for your
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- 0:52let me help you tell your story. The website is the Dutch Digital marketing
- 0:58Man dot com. If you want to grow your business, Peter can help.
- 1:02That's the Dutch Digital Marketingman dot com. And hey, thanks for sponsoring
- 1:07the show. Since our last episode of this podcast, a lot has happened.
- 1:11News broke that Donald Trump was going to be indicted federally with regard to
- 1:18the classified documents case, So that news broke. And when that first broke,
- 1:23it appeared as if this was going to be a redo largely, if
- 1:29not entirely, of the bogus New York City case involving campaign hush money to
- 1:37a porn star. But then we got the actual details. Because you know,
- 1:42the news media invariably always jumps the gun, and the initial narrative on
- 1:46big stories is almost always wrong, especially when all the information is not known
- 1:51at the time when people are trying to make their assessments, and this I
- 1:55think was a pretty good example of that. But it turns out that Trump
- 2:00was indicted federally on thirty seven counts related to his possession of top secret documents
- 2:06at Mara Lago. Now that first reaction, which is so very very important.
- 2:10I mean, we live in this age of instant reaction, instant information,
- 2:15and the first narrative, even when it turns out to be wrong,
- 2:20is so often what dictates everything that happens afterwards. I've seen this happen numerous
- 2:25times in many stories, and the bigger the story the more prevalent this phenomenon
- 2:31is because there's more coverage, there's more viewership, there's more excitement, and
- 2:38the first thing that people here sticks, or at least tends to stick,
- 2:42and it's very difficult to change people's minds. We've seen this throughout history,
- 2:46but specifically in recent times. Obviously COVID was the most dramatic example of this,
- 2:53and I do think that the first reaction here played very much to Donald
- 2:59Trump's advance, which of course stopped me. If you've heard that before,
- 3:01it seems like that happens all the time. Almost everything eventually, in some
- 3:06way, shape or form, plays to his advantage. I'll give you an
- 3:08example. Dan Abrams, my former boss at Mediaite, on whose news Nation
- 3:15show I appear about once every two weeks or so. I really respect him
- 3:22in general, but especially on legal issues, and his first reaction was that
- 3:27he wished that this indictment was not coming down. It was bad for the
- 3:30country. While he was waiting to find out what the details where, he
- 3:36really wasn't all that impressed with the whole concept of indicting a former president on
- 3:43this kind of charge, especially when from a perception standpoint, other Democrats have
- 3:49had big problems in this area and never been charged, specifically Hillary Clinton and
- 3:54Joe Biden. That was basically his take, and I think that was a
- 3:58take that was shared by a lot of people not on the right, who,
- 4:02of course, we're immediately knee jerk reaction, going to support Trump no
- 4:05matter what the details were. But then the next day we found out what
- 4:11was actually in the indictment, and for some people, some very significant people,
- 4:17things change. Now it should be pointed out that part of what's driving
- 4:23all this is an assumption, and it's not an irrational assumption. The assumption
- 4:29is that all of this is pointless because Republicans are not going to be convinced
- 4:35by anything in this realm, especially given the history of Hillary Clinton and Joe
- 4:41bidenn't even do a lesser extent Barack Obama on this particular issue, even though
- 4:46the details are different, the fact pattern is different, the level of evidence
- 4:50is different. It's assumed, and I'm one of those that assumes this that
- 4:55it's not going to matter because we don't live in a world where facts really
- 4:58matter, where details matter, especially on a complicated issue. It's really all
- 5:03about perception, and the perception is that Democrats don't get charged for this,
- 5:09So why would you be charging Donald Trump or something that didn't seem to have
- 5:14any real world impact. No one really seemingly got harmed by what Trump is
- 5:20alleged to have done. And I understand all that. I get it,
- 5:25probably more than anybody. I don't like it, but I get it.
- 5:30And so that really kind of cuts the legs out from under this entire concept
- 5:33of Okay, well what's in the indictment, Well, what's in the indictment
- 5:38is pretty significant stuff. At least if we lived in the world and we
- 5:43lived in prior to Donald Trump. The world we lived in prior to Donald
- 5:46Trump, it seemed like things like breaking the law mattered, and having incredible
- 5:53evidence, including a recording that proves that you basically knew you were breaking the
- 5:58law mattered. And as from a Republican standpoint, there was always this concept
- 6:01of Okay, well, the law might not always apply to the other side,
- 6:05morals may not always apply to the other side, but we're better than
- 6:09they are, so we're going to hold our own people to a higher standard.
- 6:13That used to be something that Republicans at least pretended to care about.
- 6:17Well, that's long gone in the age of Trump. Now it's screw you,
- 6:21We're not going to play by your rules anymore. And again I get
- 6:27that. I get it to a large extent, what the left has done
- 6:30here has created a situation where large portions of the right have PTSD, where
- 6:36they've lost their minds because they've been abused so much and have been treated so
- 6:43unfairly, and they've seen so much injustice that they've just stopped caring. And
- 6:47it actually draws people to Trump because they see him as a vehicle through which
- 6:53they can express their frustration. That's why Trump's bizarre campaign slow and if you
- 7:00will, I am your retribution really does work for him because there are a
- 7:04lot of people who feel as if they have been screwed by the system,
- 7:09and they now see Shrump as their their vehicle, their voice box, that
- 7:16he's one of them, he too is being screwed by the system and being
- 7:21treated unfairly. And so I am fully aware that details and facts and the
- 7:29law don't really matter, but I do think that for the record, they
- 7:34ought at least matter a little bit. And I gotta I have to tell
- 7:39you that even I was a bit surprised by how strong the indictment was because
- 7:45I had basically blown this thing off that there's really no chance of this going
- 7:50anywhere significant because of the reasons I've already laid out. But this is a
- 7:57significant indictment. And I guarantee to you that if the same indictment had been
- 8:03filed against Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden or Barack Obama or anyone on the left,
- 8:09the right would be going apoplectic and Donald Trump would be leading that charge.
- 8:13And it's important to point out, see, these are things that it's
- 8:16so weird that it works in Trump's favor when in fact it should work against
- 8:22him. I mean, here's a guy who won in twenty sixteen partially on
- 8:26this issue of how he was going to handle this situation involving classified documents better
- 8:33than Hillary Clinton did. He was having his crowds chant lock her up largely
- 8:39over this issue, and yet here he is a former president essentially using top
- 8:48secret classified documents as if they are trophies to be shown off at Marlago,
- 8:56like he's bringing strangers into his trophy room and being so stupid that he's being
- 9:05recorded doing this, and he's doing this to strangers, showing them war plans
- 9:13for a run again like their trophies. Like their trophies, this is top
- 9:18secret information where he is showing them to strangers, not keeping them securely.
- 9:26They're not in his they're not his that he does not own them. They're
- 9:31the property of the United States government. They are very significant apparently in the
- 9:37information that they had. He knows, according to the recording, that he
- 9:43did not declassify them. He admits that in a recording. And by the
- 9:48way, forget about the legality of all this. What about the lack of
- 9:54judgment, I mean, the lack of judgment here alone should just quality why
- 10:00Donald Trump from being the twenty twenty four Republican presidential nominee. I mean that,
- 10:05to me is the most overwheding part of this. I'm not a law
- 10:09expert, it certainly seems as if he has broken several laws that the indictment
- 10:13can be backed up with facts and with a strong argument. But from a
- 10:20judgment standpoint, especially given the history of his campaign against Hillary Clinton, this
- 10:26is just unbelievable, even by Trump standards. And I have to say,
- 10:31and no one that I've seen has pointed this out, but maybe because it's
- 10:35so obvious, but what I kept thinking in reading the indictment is if they
- 10:41caught him doing this, if he happened to be recorded here partially because he
- 10:48was doing this with a reporter, a stranger who's a reporter and he's being
- 10:56recorded. If they caught him like this, how many other times has he
- 11:01been doing this and we just don't know about it. I mean, this
- 11:05can't be the only time he's been doing this. He was there was nothing
- 11:09that provoked him to do this, and he got nailed. It's kind of
- 11:15like, you know, if you catch someone speeding at one hundred and five
- 11:18miles an hour or in a fifty five mile an hour zone, pretty good
- 11:22chance that's not the only time they've done it. Pretty good chance that this
- 11:28is their m O and the circumstances just happened to conspire in that moment for
- 11:33them to be caught. And so Trump has been doing this, in my
- 11:37view, on a consistent basis. He's you know, reusing top secret documents
- 11:43from the United States government essentially as trophies to be shown off to guests at
- 11:50Marlago, and he's not even really vetting his guests that he does this too
- 11:56at all. And so that that's to me the most shocking part of this.
- 12:03Now now legally, obviously there's a completely different story to be told here,
- 12:07because legally brings up the issue of whether or not Trump's freedom is ultimately
- 12:15going to be at stake, And that's where I want to go to next,
- 12:18because that might be the only thing in the long run here that truly
- 12:24matters, at least theoretically. Now one of the many, many, many,
- 12:28many problems we have, and this all goes back to media fragmentation,
- 12:33which I have decried for decades, wrote a book about it in two thousand
- 12:37and five, way ahead of the curve. I have said that media fragmentation
- 12:43was going to divide this country in ways that we don't even understand, That
- 12:48it was going to make it impossible for the truth to win, that everyone
- 12:52was going to pick their own facts, that they would have their own truths,
- 12:56and that this was going to be a very dangerous especially in like a
- 13:01crisis set of circumstances. Not that this is necessarily a crisis, although you
- 13:07know, free Trump. I do think having the Republican presidential front runner and
- 13:13a guy who could be the next president indicted on federal charges would be considered
- 13:18a crisis, but we've been so desensitized to the Trump insanity that we probably
- 13:24don't feel like it's a crisis. But this really is a crisis. And
- 13:28so taking that concept of media fragmentation out of the theoretical and putting into the
- 13:33practical, there are so few people that have both the incentive to tell the
- 13:43truth about this indictment in a negative Trump way, and who also have any
- 13:50semblance of credibility on the right. I mean, that is a very small
- 13:56subset of people, people who have the intelligence and the courage and they care
- 14:01enough about the truth to say, hey, wait a minute, this is
- 14:05very serious stuff. But who are not automatically labeled as leftists, because if
- 14:11you're a leftist you have absolutely, positively zero, in fact, you have
- 14:16inverse credibility on this issue. Because if the left is saying that Trump broke
- 14:20the law not to go to jail, that actually only helps him. On
- 14:24the right, that's how much distrust there is, that's how much division there
- 14:31is, and that's how few people are still credible. And by the way
- 14:35I understand it, I decry it all the time. I have said previously
- 14:41that the media deserves blame for why no one will trust them on these kind
- 14:48of issues because they blew their credibility long ago. And I've used the analogy
- 14:54of a firefighter that your credibility is basically the water in your hose, and
- 15:01they have used up all that credibility in being wrong so many times before,
- 15:07and specifically with regard to Trump. They have been wrong many times before,
- 15:11most notably with regard to Russia Gate, and they were obviously very very wrong
- 15:16when it came to COVID, and they used COVID to destroy Trump's reelection campaign.
- 15:20I have been consistent about that, probably way before even a lot of
- 15:24Trump fans have been, And so I get it that that hose is empty
- 15:30of credibility, and in fact, oftentimes instead of water to put the fire
- 15:33out, the hose is filled with gasoline, which works to Trump's favor.
- 15:39So there are very very few people who have the credibility, the intelligence,
- 15:45the courage to speak the truth here and who would also be taken even theoretically
- 15:50seriously on the right, and a few of them have spoken out. I
- 15:56think Jonathan Turley is one of the more interesting people in this equation. Jonathan
- 16:00Turley, who's not a conservative but He's a well known, in respected George
- 16:04Washington University law professor who and I've never been quite sure what Kurt Turley's motivation
- 16:11here was. But during Russia Gate and other legal problems for Trump, Turley
- 16:19became a Fox News Channel darling because he was seen as someone who was not
- 16:25a conservative, but who was willing to strongly defend Donald Trump on these issues,
- 16:32and so he became a regular on Fox News Channel. Well, Turley
- 16:37came out and was very critical of Trump thanks to this indictment, said that
- 16:42it was a very devastating indictment, that this is a very serious matter.
- 16:48He did so in a highly incredible way, and I was kind of surprised
- 16:52that Fox News Channel even had him on because they had to know that was
- 16:56basically what he was going to say. He would have told the Bookers before
- 17:00he went on. I don't know if they'll keep having him on because it's
- 17:04clear that Fox News Channel has decided to become Trump TV again. I'm gonna
- 17:08get to that momentarily. But Turley really kind of was the first person that
- 17:15I saw come out on a conservative outlet from a position of credibility and say,
- 17:18hey, wait a minute, this is a very serious situation. Some
- 17:22significant laws were broken, and some important things were done that were wrong by
- 17:29Trump here. Andrew McCarthy, another conservative former federal prosecutor, has said similar
- 17:33things about this indictment against Donald Trump. And Culter, a lawyer who wrote
- 17:41a book and Trump We Trust. You would think that she would have some
- 17:45credibility on the right here, But no, no, because she has abandoned
- 17:49Trump, she lost I guess all of her credibility. But she had similar
- 17:55things to say, not quite as dramatic, were as detailed as McCarthy or
- 17:59Turley, but she definitely was in the camp of this is a serious matter,
- 18:04Unlike, for instance, the New York City indictment Mitt Romney, who
- 18:11was the freaking twenty twelve Republican presidential now monee and who thirty six hours before
- 18:18election day was thought to be the next Ronald Reagan. When Republicans thought he
- 18:22was gonna win, he came out with a scathing statement and bizarrely, no
- 18:27one cares, because that's that's how much Trump changed the world. I happened
- 18:33to respect Romney's position. I don't think he's always right. I think he's
- 18:37a bit two PC for my taste, but I do think that he's a
- 18:41good person. I think he's a smart person. I think he stands up
- 18:45for what he believes to be right. And Romney was very much in the
- 18:48camp of this is this is a very significant situation, very serious, and
- 18:52if true, it's completely disqualifying for Trump to be the Republican presidential mine.
- 19:00But again, because it's meant Romney, and even though Trump almost made Romney
- 19:07his secretary of State, and again, Romney was the twenty twelve Republican presidential
- 19:12now manee at twenty twelve. Wasn't that long ago. It seems like it,
- 19:15but it was only eleven years ago. Somehow Romney doesn't have any credibility.
- 19:22But then there's one other person who was willing to step up and did
- 19:26so in a big way that in a rational world, I mean even a
- 19:30remotely rational world, would be a game changer, and that is Bill Barr,
- 19:38Donald Trump's hand picked second Attorney General. Bill Barr, the guy who
- 19:47was chosen by Trump, took him almost literally out off the couch in his
- 19:53underwear, brought him back into the public sphere because Trump, this is my
- 20:00belief, Trump believed rightly that Barr would protect him on Russia Gate, and
- 20:06that's exactly what Barr did. Bar sabotaged the Mulla report with that bogus summary
- 20:14that he put out there that created the narrative that there was nothing in the
- 20:18Mulla Report, which was not true. I have personally confronted Bill Bar at
- 20:25an event at Ronald Reagan Library about this very issue, and so I have
- 20:30been a critic of Bill Barr, but I also think that Bill Barr is
- 20:34a very intelligent guy. Bill Barr, I think may have been somewhat vindicated
- 20:40with regard to the totality of the issue of Russia Gate, and then I
- 20:45think what he was doing was he knew that the bigger issue was bogus and
- 20:49that it would be wrong to get Trump on obstruction of justice for a situation
- 20:55that may not have had a crime at the heart of it. I think
- 21:00was Barr's view. I disagreed with it, but since then, I think
- 21:03Barr has really done a heck of a job when it comes to telling the
- 21:10truth about Donald Trump, and my view of Bar has evolved. I was
- 21:14furious with Barr when he did that to Mueller, and I still disagree with
- 21:18it, but Barr is a very smart guy who clearly is doing what he
- 21:25thinks is right. It doesn't mean you're always doing the right thing. It's
- 21:29kind of like Romney, I mean, but he at least cares about the
- 21:33truth, and he cares about what's right and wrong, and he cares about
- 21:37the country, and he cares about the Constitution, and what he says on
- 21:42this matter ought to be incredibly significant. One. He's obviously qualified as a
- 21:52former attorney general twice, who was Trump's attorney general, and who obviously would
- 22:00have an incentive to back Trump here. If that's all he really cared about,
- 22:07if he cared about politics, then you know that would be theoretically where
- 22:11his incentives would lie. Well, he went on the Fox News Sunday Morning
- 22:18Show and he did not hold back. He eviscerated Donald Trump on this indictment.
- 22:26He eviscerated him. He took on the claims of the Trumps side.
- 22:33He put forward his argument as to why this was important and why what Trump
- 22:40did was wrong. He did not hold back, and to Fox News Channel's
- 22:45credit, they at least allowed bar to have his say, although, as
- 22:49you'll hear in a second day, they were very quick to point out that
- 22:55you know, you have to prove this in court and innocent until proven guilty,
- 22:59blah blah blah. But what you're about to hear is a clip that
- 23:04if we still lived in a world, we're rationality mattered, we're logic mattered,
- 23:10we're facts mattered, we're credibility mattered. Where it wasn't all about perception,
- 23:15all about politics. If people weren't invested in their own narratives and unwilling
- 23:19to change their minds, this would be a game changer. In fact,
- 23:26I would argue that this could be game set match for Donald Trump. Now,
- 23:30to be clear, it's not gonna be. It's not gonna be.
- 23:33But if we lived in that world, this would be the end of Donald
- 23:38Trump. Via Bill Barr on Fox News Channel this past Sunday. Want to
- 23:44bring in former Attorney General Bill Barr, who served in the Trump administration,
- 23:48knows the former president very well. Mister Attorney General, Welcome back to Foxy
- 23:52Sunday. What about this This chief argument that comes up for the president's allies
- 23:56and his legal team that this should have been handled under the presidential records,
- 24:00not this Espionage Act charge and other federal statutes that were used here. Well,
- 24:04it started out under the Presidential Records Act and the Archives trying to retrieve
- 24:11documents that Trump had no right to have. But it quickly became clear that
- 24:15what the government was really worried about were these classified and very sensitive documents.
- 24:21I was shocked by the degree of sensitivity of these documents and how many there
- 24:25were, frankly, and so the government's agenda was to get those protect those
- 24:30documents, and get them out, and I think it was perfectly appropriate to
- 24:34do that. It was the right thing to do. And I think the
- 24:37counts under the Espionage Act that he willfully retained those documents or solid counts.
- 24:45Now. I do think we have to wait and see what the defense says
- 24:48and what proves to be true. But I do think that even half what
- 24:52Andy McCarthy said, which is, if even half of it is true,
- 24:56then he's toast. I mean, it's a it's a pretty detailed indictment,
- 25:02and it's very very damning. And this idea of presenting Trump as a victim
- 25:07here, a victim of a witch hunt, is ridiculous. Yes, he's
- 25:11been a victim in the past. Yes, his adversaries have obsessively pursued him
- 25:15with phony claims and I've been at his side defending against them when he is
- 25:22a victim, But this is much different. He's not a victim here.
- 25:26He was totally wrong that he had the right to have those documents. Those
- 25:30documents among the most sensitive secrets that the country has. They have to be
- 25:36in the custody of the archivist. He had no right to maintain them and
- 25:40retain them, and he kept them in a way at Mara Lago that anyone
- 25:45who really cares about national security their stomach would churn at it. So you
- 25:49see this as different and separate from what he would term the Russian hoax,
- 25:53where he saw from the Durham Report. You see these as two totally separate
- 25:57tracts. Yes, because there was nothing There was no problem or issue underlying
- 26:04the Russia Gate claim. It was an effort to knock him out with a
- 26:07false claim. Here, I think the government acted responsibly. They gave him
- 26:12every opportunity to return those documents. They acted with the restraint. They were
- 26:18very deferential to him, and they were very patient. They talked to him
- 26:22for almost a year to try to get those documents, and he jerked them
- 26:26around. They finally went to a subpoena and what did he do. According
- 26:29to the government, he lied and obstructed that subpoena. And then they did
- 26:34a search and they found a lot more documents and they're not even I don't
- 26:38think they're even sure now or that they have everything. So they acted in
- 26:42a very patient way and what were they were met with was, according to
- 26:48the government and the indictment, very egregious obstruction. Let me ask you this
- 26:53in clarify, because the Justice Department has wanted to say over and over again,
- 26:57this is not something Marrick Garland Atorney General was involved. And this is
- 27:00the Special Council. Jack Smith has complete autonomy makes these own decisions. But
- 27:06in a case of this important with a special Council statute, would this have
- 27:10to go to the Attorney General for some kind of review or decision making process
- 27:15before this indictment happens and goes public. Well, under the regulation coil can
- 27:22be made just by the Special Council. But I'm sure they had worked out
- 27:26an agreement whereby he would keep the Attorney General in the loop and if the
- 27:30Attorney General had strong feelings, he'd voice them. But I think the Attorney
- 27:33General set pretty early on he would be guided by the recommendation of the Council.
- 27:38Now, we can't forget here that this entire thing came about because of
- 27:44reckless conduct of the president. If he had just turned over the documents,
- 27:48which I think every other person in the country would have done. The government's
- 27:52documents, they're official records. They're not his personal records. Battle plans for
- 27:56an attack on another country or Defense Department documents about our capabilities are in no
- 28:03universe Donald J. Trump's personal documents. They are the government's documents. What
- 28:10about the arguments, They'll say, Okay, when it came to President Obama
- 28:14leaving or you know, President Biden was vice president when some of these documents
- 28:18allegedly and he's got that's a different question. But when you think about somebody
- 28:22like President Obama or President Clinton the socked or case with President Clinton, they'll
- 28:26point to these and say, listen to the two big lies I think that
- 28:30are out there right now. One is, oh, these other presidents took
- 28:32all these documents. Those were situations where they arranged with the archives to set
- 28:37up special space under the management, control and security provided by the archivists to
- 28:44temporarily put documents until the libraries were ready these were not people just putting them
- 28:49in their basement, Okay. And the second thing that the president, this
- 28:53idea that the president has complete authority to declare any document personal is obvious.
- 29:00It's facially ridiculous that opinion had to do with the distinction between official records,
- 29:07which are records prepared by government agencies for the purpose of government action, and
- 29:12personal documents as opposed to official documents, which are things prepared by the president,
- 29:18such as a diary or notes, which are not used in the government's
- 29:22deliberations. And yes, as to the second class stuff that the president himself
- 29:27generates, the president has some discretion, but these are official documents. It's
- 29:33inarguable the president's daily brief provided by the intelligence community is not Donald J.
- 29:40Trump's personal document buried. I'm guessing that you're not going to join his legal
- 29:45team together legal team? Well are you? Do you still talk to the
- 29:48president, like, how was he going to feel about your public take on
- 29:52this case? Well, he's been angry with me for a while, But
- 29:56you know, I defend the president on Russia Gate. I stood up and
- 30:03called out Alvin Bragg's politicized hit job, and I have spoken at for thirty
- 30:08years about the abuse of the criminal justice process to influence politics. But this
- 30:17is simply not true. This particular episode of trying to retrieve those documents,
- 30:22the government acted responsibly and it was Donald J. Trump who acted irresponsibly.
- 30:27So again, innocent until presumed innocence unless otherwise proven guilty beyond a reasonable dal
- 30:33Jack Smith said that in a court of law when he talked to us on
- 30:37Friday about this. So we'll watch and see as they now get to present
- 30:40a defense. Now that, in my opinion, was fantastic. It was
- 30:44measured, it was logical, it was factual, it was said by someone
- 30:49who should theoretically have enormous credibility on this issue, and it was done on
- 30:55Fox News Channel, which, even after they've lost an enormous amount of audience
- 31:00due to firing Tucker Carlson, is still obviously the biggest conservative media outlet in
- 31:07the country. And this should rock the Trump campaign to its core. It
- 31:17will not, but it should for the reasons that I've already stated, and
- 31:22you know who knows that it should, and it is at least a little
- 31:26bit worried that it might Donald Trump. Because Donald Trump immediately came out and
- 31:33posted on truth Social the following message, Trump said, Virtually everyone is saying
- 31:41that the indictment is about election interference. That's not true. That I already
- 31:45stated several people with a lot of legitimate conservative street cred who do not believe
- 31:52that at all. Back to what Trump said and should not have been brought
- 31:57except Bill Barr, a quote unquote disgruntled former employee. For the record,
- 32:06Barr was not fired by Donald Trump. Trump lost the election, and therefore
- 32:13Barr lost his job thanks to Trump. Back to Trump's statement, and lazy
- 32:20attorney general who was weak and totally ineffective. Again, this is the guy
- 32:27Trump himself brought in after he fired Jeff Sessions the day out to the twenty
- 32:32eighteen midterm elections, which Trump lost, and he knew that it would get
- 32:38you lost in the media firestorm over the election results. What he did the
- 32:44Sessions was unbelievable because Sessions was the first major endorser for Trump and he had
- 32:50tried to stay as loyal to Trump as possible, even remained loyal to Trump
- 32:52after he humiliated him and fired him. But this is the guy Trump who
- 32:58hires all the best people, right, so he destroys his first attorney general,
- 33:05and this is the second guy he brought in, who was weak and
- 33:07totally ineffective. Trump also says he doesn't mean what he's saying. Now,
- 33:15that's amazing, That is absolutely amazing, because I mean, holy projection,
- 33:21batman. Bill Barr believes what he's saying. He means what he is saying.
- 33:28Now, you can theoretically disagree with it. I don't for the most
- 33:32part. But the idea that Bill Barr is saying something he doesn't mean is
- 33:38just ridiculous. But that's what how Trump is portraying it, because that's the
- 33:44way Trump would do it, because Trump rarely means anything that he's actually saying.
- 33:49But Trump wrote he doesn't mean what he's saying, it's just misinformation,
- 33:54and misinformation is in capital letters, so you know it must be true.
- 34:00Bars doing it because he hates quote unquote Trump again all capital letters for firing
- 34:07him. Now. I don't know where he's getting this idea that the bar
- 34:13was fired. I'm baffled by that. He was deathly afraid of the radical
- 34:19left when they said they would impeach him. He knows the indictment is bull
- 34:25dot dot dot turn off Fox News when that quote unquote gutless pig is on
- 34:35gutless pig. That's how he's referring to his former attorney general, the guy
- 34:40who saved him during Russia Gate and sabotage the Mulla report, the guy who
- 34:47he handpicked. So at the very very least, if we just take Trump
- 34:52at his word, he is horrible at choosing people to be his attorney general.
- 35:00Horrible. I mean, it's unbelievable how bad he is. This was
- 35:06tweeted by a Twitter account Republicans Against Trump. Here are some of the things
- 35:12that Donald Trump said about Jeff Sessions. Quote a disaster quote what kind of
- 35:17man is this? Quote? Weak? Quote beleaguered quote ruined many lives.
- 35:25And then of course he fired him ignominiously and crapped all over him. And
- 35:31then and then when Sessions tried to run for his old job back didn't support
- 35:37him. And then when it comes to Bill Barr, his second attorney general,
- 35:43gutless pig, slob, coward, a stupid person in a lot of
- 35:49ways, weak and slovenly man. So okay, So what you're saying,
- 35:54then, Donald Trump, is that you are really bad at choosing one of
- 36:00the most important positions to be filled. I mean, if you can't,
- 36:05if you're over two, you're dramatically oh for two. When it comes to
- 36:08choosing people to be your attorney general, why should you get this job back?
- 36:14Why should you do that? And this is obviously, you know,
- 36:17not nearly the only area where Trump was terrible based upon his own evaluation,
- 36:22when it came to hiring people. I mean, he's been famously bad because
- 36:28he's he's ripped almost everybody who's ever worked for him, which is why I
- 36:31keep saying, can someone please raise the issue of who's gonna work in his
- 36:36administration? Who's going to be his vice presidential nominee, who's gonna be his
- 36:40attorney general, who's gonna be attorney general after this, who's gonna be Secretary
- 36:45of State, who's gonna be Secretary of Defense, who's gonna fill all these
- 36:49other cabinet positions. He's gonna be down to the D minus team. Forget
- 36:53about the A team. You're gonna be down to the D minus team.
- 36:58It's gonna be a complete joke if he were somehow be elected, which after
- 37:04this indictment I don't believe is likely at all. And the polls are already
- 37:08indicating that so this should be the end of Donald Trump if we still lived
- 37:15in a remotely rational world, being indicted federally on topic as significant as this,
- 37:23even with the hypocrisy issue, and I look, I get the hypocrisy
- 37:28issue with regard to how Hillary and Biden and Obama were treated with regard to
- 37:34this, However, these aren't different allegations with a much different level of evidence.
- 37:40The recording, if it is anything close to as portrayed, is devastating.
- 37:47Even Alan Dershowitz, who is basically a Trump syncophant, now did say,
- 37:52well, you know, most of the indictment is unimpressive, but that
- 37:54recording, that's a problem. I mean, the guy's essentially one that he
- 38:01didn't declassify the documents, and he's effectively admitting a crime. Again, I
- 38:07think the judgment issue is an even bigger topic here. Yeah, I want
- 38:12to be clear, is this, you know, the worst thing that's ever
- 38:15happened as far as presidential behavior. I'm sure it's not. It's not,
- 38:20but it is a significant matter. It is. It is clear from the
- 38:24evidence that what Trump did was wrong, stupid, and seemingly illegal. And
- 38:30so, you know, the Trump argument seems to be well, you can't
- 38:35go after me because you didn't go after Hillary and Biden. And my counter
- 38:40argument is, okay, so you're above the law because you're running for president.
- 38:46How is that any better than not going after Hillary or Biden? And
- 38:52by the way, the Biden thing is still being investigated, not that I
- 38:54think it's going to amount to anything, because I do think that the fact
- 38:58pattern is different from we know with regard to Biden unclassified documents, but who
- 39:02knows. The reality here is that if a Democrat was accused exactly of what
- 39:09Trump has been accused of, with the apparent evidence behind it, Republicans and
- 39:15Trump fans and Trump himself would be universal in saying that this indictment is legitimate
- 39:22and that these are serious crimes, and that this needs to be fully adjudicated.
- 39:28Now, as far as how this is going to go down legally and
- 39:32politically, and why I don't believe this is anything close to the end of
- 39:37Donald Trump, part of it is because of the timing here. The timing
- 39:44is all off. And look, I am an anti conspiracy person, ardently
- 39:49anti conspiracy person. I don't believe the Left is competent enough to pull off
- 39:53conspiracies like this. But I do have to say that they could not have
- 39:58timed these indictments better to help Donald Trump politically, at least in the short
- 40:04run than they have done. I mean, the only thing they could have
- 40:07done differently was if they had announced this indictment, you know, in the
- 40:12middle of Ronda Santis's presidential announcement, which may have actually been helpful to him,
- 40:19since I'm not a fan of how that all went down on Twitter,
- 40:22but I digress. But you know, basically, two weeks after de Santis
- 40:25announces, here we go again. It's all about Trump all the time,
- 40:30and let's give Republicans another reason to rally around Donald Trump. So politically,
- 40:37this is not going to hurt Trump at all. In a Republican primary.
- 40:43It will probably hurt him. And there is some polling already that indicates that
- 40:47there is an ABC poll that is certainly consistent with this idea that it's going
- 40:53to further hurt him. With independence that Republicans in the Majar do not believe
- 41:00that this is a very serious matter. In fact, over sixty percent of
- 41:05Republicans do not believe this is a serious matter. Eighty percent of Republicans believe
- 41:10that he should still be able to be president even if convicted in this case.
- 41:16So let me just give you the data here and from that ABC poll.
- 41:21I'm sorry, this is a CBS poll. CBS poll, sixty one
- 41:24percent say that Trump's indictment won't change their views about Trump. Seventy six percent
- 41:30say that Trump's indictment is politically motivated. This is a Republicans seventy six percent.
- 41:35Eighty percent Republicans say that Trump should be able to be president even if
- 41:38convicted overclassified documents. And there's an ABC poll that indicates that independence view of
- 41:47this is much more serious than, for instance, the first indictment in New
- 41:53York, and that independents are taking this much more seriously than Republicans are,
- 42:00and that kind of fits with what you would expect that the reality is that
- 42:04this is going to hurt Trump even further in a general election against Joe Biden,
- 42:09and theoretically might hurt him in the polling when it comes to the general
- 42:14election, but even there, even there, Trump is saved because you know,
- 42:20in theory, okay, not going to really hurt him on the Republican
- 42:23side, but isn't the Santis is going to be able to say, see,
- 42:28look at these general election polls. Trump is going to lose to Biden
- 42:31and I do better than Trump does against Biden. Well, I don't think
- 42:36that's going to be the case lartually, because one Trump people don't really care
- 42:40about polls. The Santists, I think, is being harmed in general election
- 42:45polls for a number of reasons, some of which I've mentioned previously, including
- 42:49the attacks by Trump, but also because Biden is so damn weak. Biden
- 42:54is so damn weak that it actually keeps the person reception of Trump's viability in
- 43:01a general election alive. So, I mean, it's so frustrating because everything
- 43:09seems to work in Trump's favor. And here, if Biden was stronger,
- 43:15I think more Republicans would go, oh gosh, okay, this is bad.
- 43:20It might be politically motivated, but you know, we just don't need
- 43:22this headache. Can we just get rid of Trump and let's go with a
- 43:27young guy and let's you know, play the age card and move on because
- 43:31Trump's a loser here. Well, but because Biden is so weak, and
- 43:36in the Republican mind, they can't even imagine why anyone would vote for Joe
- 43:40Biden. I mean, there are lots of Trump fans who are just completely
- 43:45convinced there's no possible way that Joe Biden can win reelection, as if they
- 43:49didn't see the twenty twenty election where you got eighty one million votes, almost
- 43:52all of which were anti Trump votes. Of course, they don't believe that
- 43:54because Trump has told them that that election was rigged, and they didn't apparently
- 44:00paying any attention during the twenty twenty two midterm elections, where Republicans basically fought
- 44:05to a draw in an election where they should have had a red wave.
- 44:09Now, since then, Biden's approval ratings have gone down significantly. He looks
- 44:15even weaker physically, and I think that's translated into his political weakness. But
- 44:21that plays right into Trump's hands because the only real negative from a political polling
- 44:27standpoint that Trump is likely to see thanks to this indictment, at least in
- 44:30the short run, is that it's going to hurt him in general election polling.
- 44:35But being hurt in general election polling is not going to be a big
- 44:38deal because it's not going to be dramatic, largely because of Biden's weakness and
- 44:43because Republicans will not believe it because they look at Biden physically and in the
- 44:49state of the country and they go, now, Trump's gonna crush Biden.
- 44:52He'll crush him. He'll crush him in the debate, so they'll outwork him.
- 44:57And you know, America is to be tied with all this because everyone
- 45:00I know is upset with Biden. So therefore Trump is gonna win. So
- 45:07politically, I do not see how this is gonna hurt Trump at all in
- 45:12the short run. Is it gonna help him? I actually don't think it's
- 45:17going to help him. I know this sounds a little more optimistic than I'm
- 45:22known for being, but it's largely because Trump's numbers have exploded so much in
- 45:28the last three or four months on the Republican side that they don't have much
- 45:32hire to go. He's already winning by at least thirty five to forty points
- 45:38nationally. Since De santis announcement, it's only decreased a few points at best,
- 45:45and so and there's no sign that he was suddenly that everything was gonna
- 45:52change thanks to Ron De Santa's officially getting into the race. So there's not
- 45:55a whole lot more room for Trump to until he hits his ceiling. So
- 46:02my guess is that the national and maybe the state polling on the Republican side
- 46:07is going to stay mostly the same. There might be a couple point bump,
- 46:13you know, maybe we'll see directly a point or two go down.
- 46:16There might be a few Republicans to get offended by this, but I think
- 46:20by and large it's not going to impact the Republican polling, at least not
- 46:27in the short run. I'd like to see some data on that. I
- 46:30don't think we have good data on it yet. It takes some time for
- 46:34these things to flesh out. But that's my general sense and my prediction.
- 46:38Now, if now I have said previously that by Father's Day, which is
- 46:45coming up this weekend, that at the Santist wasn't at least somewhat back in
- 46:50the race, wasn't making some significant headway, that this thing would be essentially
- 46:55over, I'm going to push that back a little bit because of this indictment,
- 47:00and I'd like to see some more time for the data to come in.
- 47:04But I am not of the belief and there are some delusional Descantist people
- 47:07who think that this is actually going to hurt Trump, that they're going to
- 47:12be people who are going to start to see have their eyes be open that
- 47:15I'm seeing it in my own Twitter feed or my own social network, and
- 47:20I'm just not buying that until i see some real data to back it up.
- 47:23So my guess is that we're not going to see a lot of movement
- 47:27on the Republican side. We may see some negative movement whether it comes to
- 47:30Trump in the general election side, but because of Biden's weakness, that really
- 47:35won't be that very significant at all when it comes to the perception of the
- 47:40race, which is what matters so very much. So that's the political side
- 47:45of this. I mean, Trump is in an incredibly strong position there.
- 47:50In that CBS pole I referenced fourteen percent, only fourteen percent of Republicans are
- 47:57not considering Trump as their choice. That's by far the smallest percentage of people
- 48:04who are not considering him as their choice to be the Republican nominee. The
- 48:09Santist is second, but he's a distant second. That means that eighty six
- 48:15percent of Republicans. Now this was before the news of the indictment fully broken,
- 48:21but eighty six percent of Republicans were still considering Donald Trump after seven years
- 48:29of chaos, after three lost elections and an indictment in New York and rumors
- 48:35of an indictment federally, only fourteen percent of crossed Trump off the list.
- 48:40You gotta get somehow to fifty five percent minimum by the time Iowa New Hampshire
- 48:46come around. How do you go from fourteen percent crossing Trump off their list
- 48:52to fifty five percent minimum in six months or seven months? I don't see.
- 48:59I don't see how you do that. Now? Could another indictment on
- 49:06election fraud and Georgia potentially finally hit the threshold where you reach a point of
- 49:13critical mass where it's just too much, where people get tired. I understand
- 49:17that theory, and at that and at this point, that might be the
- 49:22only thing other than physical infirmity that could potentially change things. But as I've
- 49:29said numerous times, even that theory has flaws. I mean, I'm at
- 49:35this point the only path you have if you're a DeSantis person is you've got
- 49:38a root for a third indictment where it just becomes it just becomes too much,
- 49:44too much that from a perception standpoint, that details don't matter, This
- 49:47is just too much. I can't I can't deal with this. It's too
- 49:51much baggage, too much drama. It's going to hurt them too much in
- 49:53the general election, and I need to go elsewhere. That is theoretically possible.
- 49:59And maybe a third indictment, if it is based in some substance like
- 50:02this one seems to be that could have a significant impact in theory. But
- 50:09the counter to that, and I have said this continually and I believe I've
- 50:13been vindicated, is that one of the major problems here is that every time
- 50:17Trump gets indicted, it's Rhonda Santis that has to eat the shit sandwich.
- 50:24Rhonda Santis is forced to put out a statement saying he supports Trump, which
- 50:31doesn't please independence. It doesn't help. Frankly, I think people that were
- 50:37already in his camp who were anti Trump, I mean, if you're an
- 50:39anti Trump person. The idea that the Santis is basically kissing Trump's ass continually
- 50:46every time he gets in trouble and playing the what aboutism game and saying,
- 50:51well, what about Hillary and what about Biden? And this is a political
- 50:54witch and blah blah blah. It's understandable where people might say, well,
- 51:01we'll wait a minute, there's other people in the race. Maybe Desantist isn't
- 51:05the guy, but de Santists feels like he has to do it because if
- 51:09he doesn't, he'll be destroyed in the minds of over half of the Republican
- 51:15voters. So we can't win the nomination anyway in the long run. And
- 51:21even if he did, enough Republicans and Trump supporters would stay home and he
- 51:25wouldn't be able to be Biden. So it's a no win situation for DeSantis.
- 51:30And I have anticipated this and I continually said, the more trouble the
- 51:34Trump gets in the worsess for DeSantis in this upside down world that we're living
- 51:39in, and it's got to be very, very frustrating for the DeSantis people.
- 51:45And I actually give him some slack because I understand the problem. I
- 51:51hate it, but I understand it. There's no good scenario here, and
- 51:57in large part it's because of Trump's enormous popularity still within Republican ranks and within
- 52:06the conservative media. I have said continually this is a lot about leverage,
- 52:12and the reason why my hair has been on fire for the last few months
- 52:17is that I knew that Trump had broken containment. That the only way this
- 52:23was gonna work, was that you contain Trump, that you're at at least
- 52:29eye level with Trump, that it's not clear he's going to be the nominee.
- 52:34Because when it's clear he's the nominee, nobody in power, really in
- 52:39real power, wants to diss him, wants to get on his bad side,
- 52:45wants to make themselves vulnerable to his wrath should he be the nominee or
- 52:50maybe even president. I have used continually the Tom Cruise movie Valkyrie as and
- 52:59now ology for what's happening here, hopefully without people being massacred. But if
- 53:05you've ever seen the Valkyrie movie, if you haven't, I urge you to
- 53:07watch it because it's it's a tremendous depiction of real world politics and how psychology
- 53:14works and a coup. Well, basically we're at the stage now where the
- 53:20coup has been triggered and attempted. But the perception now has been created that
- 53:27Hitler survived the coup and is going to still be the leader. And once
- 53:32that happens, everybody that was on the fence scurries back into Hitler's category because
- 53:42they don't want to die, and all those people that were supporting the person
- 53:46who was leading the coup. They get weak need they run for the hills,
- 53:54and it's a self fulfilling prophecy. And let me again take this out
- 53:59of the theoretical and into the practical. Fox News Channel is a perfect example
- 54:04of this. Imagine a world, if you will. If Trump had never
- 54:09been indicted in New York and Tucker Carlson hadn't revised the history on January sixth,
- 54:19and Trump and De Santis were still eye to eye basically in a two
- 54:24man, pretty even battle as it was at the end of twenty twenty two
- 54:29in the beginning of twenty twenty three, and Fox News Channel had not fired
- 54:32Tucker Carlson and not lost a bunch of their audience as well as their street
- 54:37cred within the anti establishment quote unquote conservative Trump world. If all those things
- 54:45had not happened, and this indictment had come down, Fox News Channel would
- 54:51be in a far, far, far stronger position to create and carry and
- 55:00follow through with the narrative of this is the time to let Trump go,
- 55:06this is the end for Donald Trump, that this is this is the moment,
- 55:12folks, that this is too much, it's not necessary, it's going
- 55:16to help elect Biden. There's a viable alternative. His name is Rhonda Santis,
- 55:22and it's time for that to happen. That could have been the Fox
- 55:27News Channel narrative under the circumstances that I just laid out. But because all
- 55:31those things did happen, Fox has no leverage. Fox can't afford to do
- 55:38this because if they were to do it, they would get destroyed by what's
- 55:45left to their core audience, and they would be in a situation where they
- 55:50would effectively be going up going against Hitler when Hitler had clearly survived the coup
- 55:59Hitler. You know, again, I'm not analogizing Trump to Hitler on a
- 56:01substance basis. I'm using that from the standpoint of the politics of this matter
- 56:06in the movie Valkyrie. And so the reality is Fox News. While they
- 56:12might let Jonathan Turnley on from time to time and Bill Barr from time to
- 56:15time, It'll be fascinated to see if they have either of them on.
- 56:17Ever again, when it comes to this indictment issue, the reality is they
- 56:22can't do this. They cannot do as many people had anticipated at the beginning
- 56:30of the year, which was get a divorce from Donald Trump. They don't
- 56:34have the leverage to do that now, especially after having fired Tucker Carlson.
- 56:37So Fox is on board with Trump now, and so this becomes a self
- 56:44fulfilling prophecy. As I've said many many times, So what's the scenario where
- 56:49Trump gets taken out? Who's gonna do it? Fox is not gonna do
- 56:53it now because they don't have the leverage. They would get destroyed if they
- 57:00did so now, because it's clear that among their base audience, Trump is
- 57:07still the guy. And this is a classic situation where it's not the media
- 57:12outlet that is driving the audience, it's the audience that is driving the media
- 57:15outlet. They can they read the tea leaves better than anybody. They have
- 57:21overnight television ratings that tell them minute by minute what stories pop and which ones
- 57:25don't. By the way, as someone who watches this very carefully, I
- 57:30saw every single conservative media outlet that put out a tweet on this indictment issue
- 57:37that was negative towards Trump. I did not find one that when anything close
- 57:42to viral, most of them were completely ignored. And this is from some
- 57:45major media outlets like The Washington Times, a conservative newspaper, Fox News.
- 57:52When they tweeted out the Bill Barr interview that we played large portions of for
- 57:58you that did not go viral in any sort of way. Most of these
- 58:02things get ignored because the audience on the right just doesn't want to hear it.
- 58:07And that's what's gonna win the day here. And so Trump is clearly
- 58:14the leader, he is clearly the alpha. He's way ahead, and now
- 58:19nobody is incentivized to try to take him out unless something dramatic changes. Now,
- 58:27what could that be? Well, again, a third indictment I think
- 58:30could underline theoretically have an impact of attrition where it's just we reach a threshold
- 58:38where some portion of the Republican population says enough is enough. I'm skeptical of
- 58:45that, but I'm open to that idea. It's not gonna win the day
- 58:50in and of itself. To me, We're at the point now where it's
- 58:54either heart attack or physical infirmity or physically being in a jail cell. There's
- 59:01something that has to happen to Trump. And I'm not urging this. I'm
- 59:06just saying, as far as Trump not being the nominee, we're now down
- 59:09to it has to be physical, either physical incapacity, or physical presence in
- 59:17a prison cell, and the timing just isn't going to work out when it
- 59:22comes to a prison cell. I don't even think that that it's likely that
- 59:27that scenario will ever happen, regardless of the timing, because one of the
- 59:31things that the media seems to be discounting or forgetting, is that this is
- 59:37Donald Trump we're talking about. Not only does he have lots of money for
- 59:39lawyers, even though his lawyers just quit on this federal indictment, although you
- 59:45could argue that that was to be expected based upon the situation, but that
- 59:51did happen. But he's got money for lawyers, He's obviously got enormous personal
- 59:57charisma. If he's ever in a room, it's only gonna take two jurors
- 1:00:04to be enamored with Donald Trump and this particular trial whenever it happens. Now,
- 1:00:09Jack Smith has claimed it's going to be a speedy process. I don't
- 1:00:13know what the hell that means in a federal case, but it's just impossible
- 1:00:15for me to believe that before the Republican Convention that there's going to be an
- 1:00:22actual trial and they're going to be able to keep two big Trump supporters in
- 1:00:30Florida. In Florida, off the jury, I mean, how do you
- 1:00:35have a fair jury when Donald Trump is the defendant. It's just not possible.
- 1:00:40There's just we've been through this before. They tried O. J.
- 1:00:44Simpson in Los Angeles. There was and he was clearly guilty of killing two
- 1:00:50people, and that that jury, you know, took three hours, less
- 1:00:53than three hours to deliberate an obviously slam dunk case and decided that J was
- 1:01:00somehow not guilty. Well, all it's gonna take in Florida is too strong
- 1:01:05Trump supporters, and there's no way you're gonna get a conviction. I don't
- 1:01:08care what the facts are, especially over something where it's nowhere near as serious
- 1:01:14as murder. So I don't to me, there's all sorts of possibilities where
- 1:01:20this actually works well for Trump. Well in both cases. Now, in
- 1:01:23the Manhattan situation, your jury pool is going to be much worse than in
- 1:01:28Florida. But again, it only takes two and Trump's lawyers are gonna know
- 1:01:32that it's incredibly easy to be able to discern in the jury pool who's a
- 1:01:37potentially big Trump supporter. I mean, so if you can't get two people
- 1:01:42on that jury to hold hands, then you ought to be fired. It
- 1:01:45should not be that difficult, even in New York City, but in Florida
- 1:01:50it should be incredibly easy. So you know, Trump wins if any of
- 1:01:55these cases get thrown out, he'll get vindicated. That way more likely.
- 1:02:00He's able to delay these trials until way beyond when they matter, you know,
- 1:02:07after the convention or even you know, after the presidential election. Of
- 1:02:12course, if he wins, then it's all over anyway, because he can
- 1:02:15get rid of a federal court case against himself very very easily as president of
- 1:02:20the United States, and no one will care about the New York City situation.
- 1:02:25And so you know, he could win there by delay, or he
- 1:02:30wins by a potential acquittal. Now I don't think he'll get acquitted if and
- 1:02:36when there's an actually trial on the classified documents case, but he's probably gonna
- 1:02:42get a hung jury based upon my analysis, and he'll be able to spend
- 1:02:46that as a as a victory. The government wasted all this money, all
- 1:02:51this time, all this investigation. They couldn't get one conviction against me.
- 1:02:55I have been vindicated again, that's the way it'll be perceived. So I
- 1:03:02don't see a path towards the legal process saving Republicans from this looming disaster.
- 1:03:10I just don't see it. And um, you know, look, I
- 1:03:15would be thrilled if if there really was a speedy trial and if in fact
- 1:03:20he was guilty on these charges, he was convicted and then somehow he was
- 1:03:25put in prison. By the way, even under the scenario he was is
- 1:03:29convicted in a speedy trial, there's no way he's going to be put in
- 1:03:34jail as the Republican presidential front runner on a case where you know, nobody
- 1:03:42got killed, he'll be he'll be let out on appeal that he'll appeal forever.
- 1:03:50So he's never going to see the inside of a prison cell between now
- 1:03:53and the presidential election. That's just I just can't perceive that this is an
- 1:03:58area where I'm an expert. But it's just hard for me to imagine how
- 1:04:00that's even theoretically possible given all the circumstances that I just laid out. And
- 1:04:06so this is gonna be bad. I mean, there's almost no good scenario
- 1:04:12here. I don't know how to sugarcoat this. The only if I was
- 1:04:15gonna try to find a silver lining, it's this that things appear this bad,
- 1:04:24and it's only June of twenty twenty three. So you know, if
- 1:04:29you if you believe in the pendulum theory, if they're this bad in June
- 1:04:33of twenty twenty three, there's at least time for somehow the pendulum to swing
- 1:04:40back in the other direction. So from a global perspective, I guess that's
- 1:04:47something to hang onto, because I don't think they can get a whole lot
- 1:04:49worse than what they currently are. However, not to be all negative,
- 1:04:56again, it does not appear to me as if the Des sand Is campaign
- 1:05:00is willing or able to take advantage of the opportunities that they are given.
- 1:05:05In fact, I am now coming to the conclusion that the Santa's campaign is
- 1:05:12really just strategizing based upon the idea that they're going to be there just in
- 1:05:16case Donald Trump is physically infirmed or somehow ends up in jail. That seems
- 1:05:24to be their strategy, at least as of right now. I'm open to
- 1:05:27the idea, though I don't really believe it. I'm open to the idea
- 1:05:30that they are simply waiting, that the Santa's campaign is for a situation where
- 1:05:36Trump is more vulnerable than he currently is. For them to really unload on
- 1:05:42Trump, which is something that I have said in the past, makes sense
- 1:05:45because if you attack him down by thirty five forty points in the polls,
- 1:05:49it doesn't have nearly the same impact as if you attack him when it is
- 1:05:54perceived that he is weak, or if you get him in a debate,
- 1:05:58or you're closer to the actual voting process happening. I get all that,
- 1:06:03but as I've also said, we are at a critical juncture here because we
- 1:06:08are really on this path of Trump either not doing the debates or using his
- 1:06:14leverage, which he's a master ad, to completely eviscerate the debates. And
- 1:06:18I don't think that I've made this part of the debate argument enough where I
- 1:06:24have said that Trump will likely try to bail from the debates, and he'll
- 1:06:28get away with it when he's if he's winning by this much in the national
- 1:06:32polling. But it's not just about bailing on the debates. Trump could also
- 1:06:38do the debates but have the leverage to make the rules as such to where
- 1:06:44there's so much in his advantage that it's really not even worth going through the
- 1:06:50process. And what I mean by that is Trump, because it's going to
- 1:06:56be perceived he's going to be the winner, and the people making these decisions
- 1:06:59will be doing everything they can to placate him. So he'll get to choose
- 1:07:02who's in the debates. So if Avake Ramaswami will be in, Chris Christie
- 1:07:08will be out, there'll be enough people on the stage to where no one
- 1:07:12can actually go after Trump. The rules will be set up to advantage Trump
- 1:07:16in every possible way. You know, the way the crowds will be selected
- 1:07:20will be advantage to Trump. The rules and whether or not the crowds can
- 1:07:26respond will be advantaged to Trump. Everything will be done to Trump's advantage because
- 1:07:31of the leverage he has from the national polling and the perception that he is
- 1:07:38going to be the nominee. And so you know, I am I am
- 1:07:45understanding, while frustrated by I am understanding of the strategy that now seems to
- 1:07:50be pervasive within team to Santis that we just can't go after Trump right now,
- 1:07:58and they certainly don't aren't going after him on the indictment, which I
- 1:08:01somewhat understand, while although I disagree and it frustrates the hell out of me.
- 1:08:06What I don't understand and what is more than frustrating, and which leaves
- 1:08:12me to come to this conclusion that the De Santis campaign really is not running
- 1:08:17a full blown campaign, that they seem to be just sitting there hoping for
- 1:08:23some manner from heaven to fall in their lap, and that for Trump to
- 1:08:27be forced out by some force of nature is what is not happening. When
- 1:08:32it comes to the COVID issue in general, and Andrew Cuomo and Gavin Newsom
- 1:08:40in particular, I have joked previously that the only way that the Santis can
- 1:08:45get back into this race is for De Santis to get indicted in San Francisco,
- 1:08:49ideally for something COVID related or transgender related. Well, last week I
- 1:08:57mentioned that Gavin Newsom was trying to help the Santists on that front by threatening
- 1:09:02absurdly to charge the Santists with kidnapping because he sent some migrants to California,
- 1:09:10and not much was made of that issue, even though that was a potential
- 1:09:15opportunity to show that, you know, Newsom is much more afraid of the
- 1:09:19Santists than he is of Trump, and that therefore, in the conservative mind
- 1:09:24that would have some value in a Republican primary, because Newsom is among if
- 1:09:30he's not the top he ought to be, but certainly within the top five
- 1:09:33most hated and distrusted Democrats in Republican circles nationwide. Well, then Newsom did
- 1:09:43this interview with Sean Hannity, and this is just unbelievable. I mean,
- 1:09:48if if I'm the de Santist camp, and if you had told me that
- 1:09:54the following scenario was going to happen, that Trump would proactively, just after
- 1:10:00we announce, put out a video praising Andrew Cuomo's response to COVID in comparison
- 1:10:06to Ronda Santis and Florida's response to COVID, and that Andrew Cuomo would then
- 1:10:13back Trump and use Trump to disc Florida's response to COVID, and then Gavin
- 1:10:23Newsom would go on Fox News Channel, and not long after Trump had praised
- 1:10:30Newsom on Fox News Channel in an interview with Tucker Carlson go on to praise
- 1:10:36Trump's COVID response and how he handled COVID with him personally, if you had
- 1:10:44told me that scenario, I would have been like, oh my god,
- 1:10:48this is the greatest thing that's ever happened. We're gonna win because we're gonna
- 1:10:55use this issue to destroy Trump's entire street cred as this anti woke crusader.
- 1:11:02We're going to expose how he shipped the bed on COVID. We're gonna tie
- 1:11:08him with two hated figures on the left, Cuomo and Newsome. He's part
- 1:11:13of the deep state establishment, this Biden Trump establishment cabal that I talked about,
- 1:11:19which should be one of the major themes of the de Santist campaign.
- 1:11:24This is fantastic. We can't possibly ask for anything more than that. And
- 1:11:30that's what has happened with the latest piece of this puzzle coming in the form
- 1:11:34and I just I cannot believe how lucky that the Santist people theoretically were to
- 1:11:41have Newsome do an interview with Sean Hannity. By the way, what an
- 1:11:45indictment of Sean Hannity that Newsom, who's an idiot, was confident enough and
- 1:11:50rightfully so that he would be able to outsmart Hannity, that he would be
- 1:11:55willing to do a one on one interview with Hannity, and Hannity basically doesn't
- 1:11:59even lay it love on him. I mean, that's just pathetic job by
- 1:12:02Sean Hannity here. I mean, you've got Gavin Newsom in your clutches and
- 1:12:08you don't even draw blood. But the most significant part of this is he
- 1:12:13gets Newsome to praise Trump when it comes to COVID response. And this should
- 1:12:23be just deathknell in theory in a Republican primary for Trump to be tied to
- 1:12:32Newsom in general, but specifically on COVID. And here's what that sounded like
- 1:12:39on Fox News Channel when Sean Hannity interviewed California Governor Slash King, Gavin Newsom,
- 1:12:45all right, Donald Trump's trying for you. I'd be negligent if I
- 1:12:48didn't get your reaction to what happened in the news said, and I say
- 1:12:54that as an American, I can imagine friendly with him. I was,
- 1:12:57you know, I didn't have a close fist, that an open hand.
- 1:12:59We act incredible relation during COVID. It was incredible. He would play no
- 1:13:02politics or in COVID with California played none whatsoever. It's a fact. And
- 1:13:08by the way, I've got a lot of critique from the left by saying
- 1:13:12that. Now, when I saw that, I was like, Okay,
- 1:13:16this has got to be the moment, right We're finally going to unlease the
- 1:13:20dogs. Right if you're the Santist campaign, I mean, you can't possibly
- 1:13:26resist this opportunity. The ads right themselves. You've got Cuomo and Newsome tying
- 1:13:34themselves to Trump, not just tying themselves to Trump, but tying themselves to
- 1:13:41Trump. On the santis is number one issue, at least theoretically, what
- 1:13:46ought to be his number one issue, which is the response to COVID.
- 1:13:51The ads right themselves. You could have Trump praising Cuomo, Cuomo praising Trump,
- 1:14:01Trump praising Newsom, Newsom praising Trump, and the entire theme of the
- 1:14:06ad would be Woke Back Mountain, a COVID bromance. I mean, how
- 1:14:15great would that be? Get the proper music in the background, Woke Back
- 1:14:20Mountain, a COVID bromance with Trump tied to Cuomo and Newsom on De Santis's
- 1:14:30number one issue, and instead, other than a couple of tweets, nothing
- 1:14:35that I have seen now. Is it possible that the De Santis camp just
- 1:14:41thinks this is not the right time. I guess so. I don't know
- 1:14:45when they think that time is going to be. It's always better to do
- 1:14:48it when it's a news story, because then it doesn't appear as if you
- 1:14:53are dredging up the past. And unfortunately, bizarrely, many people think that
- 1:14:58COVID is the past, and though it's clearly not. That's becoming more and
- 1:15:01more obvious every single day, but that's the perception of it. So that's
- 1:15:06why you know there's urgency for two reasons. One because you've got to close
- 1:15:10the gap to make sure that Trump does the debates, but also there's urgency
- 1:15:14when it comes to the news hook and how it would be perceived for you
- 1:15:17to raise this issue if you wait five months, well, why are you
- 1:15:23doing that now? Plus doing it now helps create a narrative that Trump is
- 1:15:30not a conservative, that he's not a woke crusader, that he doesn't defeat
- 1:15:36the deep state, that he's captive of these people. That all you have
- 1:15:40to do is compliment him or be someone who it's in his self interest to
- 1:15:45compliment. It doesn't matter what your politics are. You can be a boogeyman
- 1:15:50of the right Cuomo and Newsom, and Trump will still for his own selfish
- 1:15:57purposes, not forgetting things done. For his own selfish purposes, he will
- 1:16:02side with them. This is very powerful and Again, it should be pointed
- 1:16:09out that there was polling data that over ninety percent of Republicans favored Florida's response
- 1:16:15to COVID then New York's. You can't get a better polling issue than this,
- 1:16:21And yet largely that Asantist campaign has come back with crickets with crickets,
- 1:16:30And I'm very close to just throwing up my hands and saying, okay,
- 1:16:34so what you're really doing here is you're just gonna play out the string.
- 1:16:41You know, put forward what seems like a good campaign, but you're not
- 1:16:46going to really attack Trump, and you're effectively just keeping your viability for twenty
- 1:16:51twenty eight, and you're gonna be there. Ironically enough, you know what
- 1:16:56the great irony of this is, it seems like that Asantist campaign strategy right
- 1:17:00now is exactly the Gavin Newsom strategy on the Democratic side. The Gavin Newsom
- 1:17:06of the Democratic side is well, if Biden dies, or if Biden just
- 1:17:11can't run, then maybe I've got a shot here. I'm gonna be the
- 1:17:15person that everyone turns to if it's clear that Biden can't do it, and
- 1:17:19if that doesn't happen, I'll be set up for twenty twenty eight. That's
- 1:17:24essentially what it seems like the DeSantis campaign strategy currently is. Now. I'm
- 1:17:29open, again, just to be clear, to the idea that the Dessanta's
- 1:17:33camp is waiting, which I think is wrong. I think it's dangerous.
- 1:17:39You may never get that opportunity if you don't shoot your shot now, it's
- 1:17:43never going to be close enough for you to do it. But maybe they're
- 1:17:45thinking along the lines up, well, there's gonna be a third indictment,
- 1:17:49and then there's gonna be some attrition, and and maybe at that point,
- 1:17:56when we're closer to the actual primaries, that's when we go in for the
- 1:17:59kid. If that's the strategy, I at least understand it. I don't
- 1:18:04agree with it for the reasons I've already stated, but I also don't really
- 1:18:09have any trust that that's where this is going. I'm just open to that
- 1:18:13possibility. I don't trust that that's the case, but this is a if
- 1:18:17things turn out the way they look like they're going to turn out, and
- 1:18:19I'm not coming to any final conclusions yet. I've already said I'm holding off
- 1:18:24on that for at least another couple of weeks. As far as declaring this
- 1:18:28race dead. But if it turns out the way that it looks, this
- 1:18:33is where the Santis campaign lost it on the issue of COVID, because the
- 1:18:40opportunities are numerous, and they're not just Newsome and Cuomo. But it is
- 1:18:45clear now that there are people on the left even who are now either willing
- 1:18:51to or being feeling like they're forced to admit that they were wrong about COVID.
- 1:18:58In at least some significant way. The lab theory is gaining all sorts
- 1:19:02of media credibility and even the gain of function situation with the FAUCI and the
- 1:19:10US government funding that what essentially was the Chinese military now appears as if Zif
- 1:19:15was in on this, and that the once discredited conspiratorial lab theory is now
- 1:19:23being accepted as the actual origins of the virus, and that seems to me
- 1:19:29to be something very significant. That is an opportunity for the Desantist campaign because
- 1:19:34while Trump did try give him some credit, he did try to push this
- 1:19:41this theory early on, he dropped it almost immediately, like he did almost
- 1:19:45everything with COVID. There were moments when Trump's instincts were right on COVID,
- 1:19:50but he never had the balls to trust his instincts and he immediately backed down
- 1:19:56on everything, while DeSantis did not back down. And so that's an issue
- 1:20:00that's in the news right now. But Mark Zuckerberg, obviously the guy owns
- 1:20:05Facebook. He did an interview recently where he was talking about misinformation and how
- 1:20:12to handle misinformation. This is a fascinating clip you're about to hear where Zuckerberg,
- 1:20:18if he's anywhere near as smart as he's perceived to be or thinks that
- 1:20:23he is, is essentially making the argument inadvertently that censoring people is an inherently
- 1:20:32destructive and impossible slippery slope because once you start doing it, you don't know
- 1:20:40where to stop, and inevitably you're going to make mistakes in doing it,
- 1:20:45and you can't be the arbiter of truth. And so here in an interview,
- 1:20:49Zuckerberg is talking about the general issue of misinformation where he basically lets it
- 1:20:57out of the bag that they don't really care about him this information if it's
- 1:21:00not a politically hot topic, that's that's the way. It's not the way
- 1:21:04he phrases it. But I want you to have that in your mindset as
- 1:21:09you're listening to this Basically, if it's not a third rail on the left,
- 1:21:13they don't care about censoring you. Like, for instance, you can
- 1:21:15say anything you want about UFOs, I guess, no matter how crazy that
- 1:21:19is, but that's not a third rail issue. Or you can say anything
- 1:21:24you want about Bigfoot or the Locknest monster, or you know, Epstein didn't
- 1:21:30really kill himself. I guess all the all the crazy theories that are out
- 1:21:34there, that's fine because those are quote unquote harmless. In other words,
- 1:21:38they're not part of the left wing religion. But then he gets to covid,
- 1:21:44which obviously is a central point in the left wing religion, and he
- 1:21:48acknowledges that some of the Facebook censorship turned out to be wrong. There he
- 1:21:57admits this, which is nick ordinary admission coming from Mark Zuckerberg. And here's
- 1:22:03what that sounded like. So misinformation, I think is um has been a
- 1:22:10really tricky one because there are things that are kind of obviously false. Right,
- 1:22:16there may be factual um, but may not be harmful um. Since
- 1:22:24it all right, are you gonna sensor someone for just being wrong? It's
- 1:22:28you know, if there's no kind of harm implication of what they're doing.
- 1:22:30I think that that's there's there's a bunch of real kind of issues and challenges
- 1:22:33there. But then I think that there are other places where it is,
- 1:22:38um it just takes some of the stuff around COVID earlier on in the pandemic,
- 1:22:42where um, there were you know, real health implications, but there
- 1:22:47hadn't been time to fully vet a bunch of the scientific assumptions. And you
- 1:22:50know, unfortunately, I think a lot of the kind of establishment done that
- 1:22:55um, you know, kind of waffled on a bunch of facts and you
- 1:22:58know, asked for a bunch of things to be censored that in retrospect ended
- 1:23:00up being more debatable or true. And that stuff is really tough, right,
- 1:23:06really undermines trust and that And now I found that to be extraordinary that
- 1:23:13Mark Zuckerberg was willing to admit that some of what Facebook censored turned out to
- 1:23:18actually be true. Now I would love for him to be more specific about
- 1:23:21that. I doubt that he would be, but he's right. However,
- 1:23:28I can't stand this new narrative that's forming within the media. It's getting a
- 1:23:33lot of traction, this idea that well, you know, back in early
- 1:23:39twenty twenty, it was a confusing time We really didn't know what was going
- 1:23:44on. The data then changed. We did what we thought was right.
- 1:23:49We aired on the side of good bullshit bullshit bullshit bullshit. We knew far
- 1:23:56more than they're pretending that we did. There's there's been nothing, nothing that
- 1:24:01happened since May of twenty twenty that is different than, for instance, what
- 1:24:08I and others like me were saying at that time, which was, this
- 1:24:14is not as dangerous as we were told. It's not as contagious as we
- 1:24:16were told. Masks do not work. Later on, it was clear a
- 1:24:20couple of months after the vaccines came out that vaccines did not stop transmission.
- 1:24:28It's still open as to how much death they really stop. That this was
- 1:24:31largely a disease that really only impacted old people with coul morbidities, that social
- 1:24:40distancing had no impact, that outdoor events were not dangerous. We knew all
- 1:24:45this. We knew it all but because we were in the middle of a
- 1:24:49presidential election, and because many in the LAFT didn't want to admit that they
- 1:24:53were wrong in their original panic, and because the health elites loved this new
- 1:24:59power they were getting. I didn't want to give it up. All of
- 1:25:01that combined to create a situation that should have been over in a month or
- 1:25:08two, as far as dramatic governmental interventions on what our actions were allowed to
- 1:25:15be an allegedly free country, and turned it into a two year ordeal in
- 1:25:20much of the country and is still going on in some ways today. Absolutely
- 1:25:28unbelievably unbelievably. You can't, I mean, this seems like a fake news
- 1:25:33story. The White House, the Biden White House is announced that and an
- 1:25:39event for college athletes that unvaccinated people, college athletes the most healthy people you
- 1:25:47can possibly find on the planet, that unvaccinated people will be forced to be
- 1:25:53masked and socially distant at the White House. You cannot make this shit up.
- 1:26:00How in the world in June of twenty twenty three, the Biden White
- 1:26:04House can be doing this and not be openly ridiculed by the entirety of the
- 1:26:11news media is absolutely beyond me. But that's where we are. That's how
- 1:26:16utterly dead journalism is because even though every single media outlet knows this is ridiculous,
- 1:26:24because it's still part of their religion and they don't want to admit that
- 1:26:27they were wrong, they will not, at least on the left. They
- 1:26:30will not attack the Biden White House for doing this. I mean, there's
- 1:26:34absolutely no reason, no logic, no data, no nothing to substantiate this,
- 1:26:43and it just happens to occur right on the heels of Novak Djokovic winning
- 1:26:47the French Open, becoming the men's tennis player to have won the most major
- 1:26:54titles, and doing so after he was barred from playing even in the US
- 1:27:01Open tennis tournament thanks to Joe Biden because he is unvaccinated. I mean,
- 1:27:10that is the most underrated sports story of the last couple of years. And
- 1:27:14there's been a lot that have been underrated, almost all of them related to
- 1:27:17COVID. But the idea that Novak Djokovic has overcome the utter discrimination against him
- 1:27:27for no reason whatsoever, all because he decided not to take a vaccine that
- 1:27:31would not help him at all against a virus that he was not vulnerable to,
- 1:27:39and a vaccine that theoretically he could have possibly caused him some harm,
- 1:27:45is maybe the most mind blowing sports development in the entire COVID era. And
- 1:27:51then he wins the French Open, becomes the greatest tennis champion of all time,
- 1:27:58and there's no discussion of this at all. This overcoming, even just
- 1:28:01the overcoming of adversity angle should be something that the sports media and the news
- 1:28:08media should embrace. Right, Oh my god, he was ostracized. He
- 1:28:13was prevented from playing in major tournaments, including in the United fricking States of
- 1:28:19America not far from where the Statue of Liberty is. That's where the US
- 1:28:25Open takes place in New York. And Djokovic couldn't even get into the goddamn
- 1:28:29country legally, and crickets from the news media and the Biden White House gets
- 1:28:36away apparently with hosting an event where the unvaccinated that to be masked and socially
- 1:28:43distant. I mean, you can't make this shit up. It's unbelievable.
- 1:28:47But this is the world we live in, and all of this is set
- 1:28:51up perfectly for De Santis to take advantage of his number one issue, and
- 1:28:57there's no sign that Team to Santra is willing we're able to do that,
- 1:29:00at least as of this moment. Now. As far as Joe Biden is
- 1:29:05concerned, I mentioned recently on the podcast that after Joe Biden's fall at the
- 1:29:13Air Force Academy commencement address, that there was gonna be some major Democrat that
- 1:29:20was gonna finally come forward and say enough is enough, Biden should not be
- 1:29:27the nominee. And there I always has to be someone to go first,
- 1:29:32And I think in this situation, if there was someone prominent to go first,
- 1:29:36who was the right person to go first, that it might open the
- 1:29:40floodgates. Now, in a rational world, Bill Barr doing what he did
- 1:29:45on the Trump indictment on Fox News Channel would open the floodgates on the right.
- 1:29:48But that's not going to happen because Trump has a cult. Biden does
- 1:29:53not have a cult. And I theorized that if I was gonna pick somebody
- 1:29:59who would be the guy or the person to come forward in a prominent way
- 1:30:04on television and say Biden shouldn't be the nominee. I picked Van Jones,
- 1:30:11black commentator who I considered to be a very smart guy. Often he's contrarian,
- 1:30:16and some of the things he's willing to say I don't agree with him
- 1:30:20often, but he's I do think he's a good analyst that Van Jones on
- 1:30:25CNN would have the incentive to do so. One it's CNN. They seem
- 1:30:30to be going in a different direction. Philosophically, he's black. That gives
- 1:30:34him extra protection. He's got lots of street cred, he's prominent, he's
- 1:30:40got a large following, certainly among liberals. Now that has not happened,
- 1:30:46but I found it interesting that someone has jumped forward who is a little bit
- 1:30:53like Van Jones. I did not see this coming. But the person that
- 1:30:58has filled the Van Jones's role, though I don't think it's going to create
- 1:31:00a Floodgate effect is Stephen A. Smith of ESPN. Stephen A. Smith
- 1:31:08is someone I loathe. You know, we're both from the Philadelphia area.
- 1:31:14That's where he began as a sports writer. He is, in my view
- 1:31:16of fraud. Uh. You know, he basically has become a massive celebrity
- 1:31:23because he doesn't act. He basically does a black preacher act on sports television
- 1:31:30and it's entertaining at times. And I don't think he's a I don't think
- 1:31:33he's a complete idiot. I mean he does say some things at times that
- 1:31:38are are accurate. I did not think that he was philosophically predisposed to being
- 1:31:45the person who would come forward to say that Biden shouldn't be the nominee but
- 1:31:48he did so, and of course, immediately Fox News Channel jumped all over
- 1:31:55this, right because you know, they see this as a situation where man
- 1:32:00eats dog. So black guy proceed as a liberal on a liberal outlet like
- 1:32:05ESPN is willing to say, wait a minute, Joe Biden's too old.
- 1:32:12We shouldn't be doing this. We gotta get Stephen A. Smith on our
- 1:32:15programming. And Stephen A. Smith, because he's an attention horror, he
- 1:32:19loves this, and so he goes on Fox News Channel with Sean Hannity and
- 1:32:26he basically makes the case that Joe Biden is too old and that this should
- 1:32:31not be who the Democrats nominated. And here's what that sounded like. Mess.
- 1:32:35Of course, he's a cognitive master. I'm not going to labor excuse
- 1:32:40me, I'm not going to label it that way show on. What I'm
- 1:32:43gonna tell you is this, I'm looking at him, and I don't like
- 1:32:45what I see. I'm not at breast with what I've been very concerned with
- 1:32:50what I've seen, and the fact that he's going to be eighty two years
- 1:32:54of age at election time. If he would have winn an election and he'd
- 1:32:58be in a white House and tell he's eighty six years I think in the
- 1:33:00year twenty twenty three. It is utterly embarrassing that the liberal side has him
- 1:33:06as their best candidate. What does it say about you when that is the
- 1:33:12best candidate that you can give the left? That is ridiculous. That's not
- 1:33:17a knock against Joe Biden, an indictment against the Democratic Party. It took
- 1:33:23a little push. Now I got Stephen A coming out of his shell.
- 1:33:26I was waiting for that. All right, Now, let me move on.
- 1:33:28Now this is a situation where I really have no dog in this hunt
- 1:33:30because Stephen A. Smith has been as wrong as anyone has ever been about
- 1:33:34the whole Penn State Joe Paternal Jerry Sandusky scandal. And there is even a
- 1:33:42supporter of mine, a god in the name of Laton Harmon, who to
- 1:33:45this day every single day tweets a video of Stephen A. Smith claiming that
- 1:33:51he will debate anyone anytime. Just come on, come on, come one,
- 1:33:55come all, just challenge me and I will debate you on the air,
- 1:34:00and has tweeted this video with a challenge to Stephen A. Smith to
- 1:34:02debate me on that topic. And he has tweeted that tweet counting the days
- 1:34:09every single day now for almost two years, and I don't think he's missed
- 1:34:15one day. Just amazing. So kudos to latent harmon. And of course
- 1:34:19we've gotten no response whatsoever from Stephen A. Smith because he's a coward and
- 1:34:24I would crush him on the topic, humiliate him completely, and that's never
- 1:34:29gonna happen. But I think it's an indication of who Stephen A. Smith
- 1:34:32really is. But I found it also fascinating that it would be Stephen A.
- 1:34:38Smith that would jump in and fill this massive void. I mean,
- 1:34:41there is a massive void on the left for people to support this idea that
- 1:34:47Biden should not be the nominee. The polls are overwhelming, both among Liberals
- 1:34:53as well as independence that Joe Biden should not be the Democratic nominee. Yet
- 1:35:00he's going to be unless there really is a massive movement where people are willing
- 1:35:05and able to speak publicly and say, guys, what are we doing?
- 1:35:10And is it possible that Stephen A Smith lit a spark? I doubt it
- 1:35:15because there's no sign of anything happening after this, and Stephen A. Well,
- 1:35:18he's very popular, isn't taking particularly seriously in political circles. However,
- 1:35:26I do think that it may have at least opened the door should there be
- 1:35:30another episode involving Biden where the next time this happens will more seriously. People
- 1:35:38like A Van Jones feel like, Okay, I got some cover from Stephen
- 1:35:43A. Smith, Now I'm going to jump in and fill this void.
- 1:35:47And then are they going to be followed by other people? That's a scenario
- 1:35:50that I can see, which is partially why the Stephen A. Smith thing
- 1:35:56is not just interesting and fascinating from personal standpoint, but also potentially may have
- 1:36:03some political significance. But it's going to take another major episode. I don't
- 1:36:08know how it gets much worse than what happened at the Air Force Academy commencement
- 1:36:12address, but it's Joe Biden, so that's certainly possible. I want to
- 1:36:16end this episode of the podcast with some more thoughts about how I began episode
- 1:36:24number sixty five of the Death of Journalism, which was my take on the
- 1:36:28entire news story that the PGA tour and the lib Golf series had merged.
- 1:36:35Now, if you're not real up to date with all this, I would
- 1:36:40ask you to go back to listen to the first forty minutes or so of
- 1:36:44episode number sixty five of the podcast so that I don't have to revisit all
- 1:36:47of this. Most people at this point probably know at least the basics of
- 1:36:50the story, and it was perceived, including by myself, for a short
- 1:36:56period of time when this story shockingly broke last week, that this was a
- 1:37:01true merger between the PGA Tour and the Lib Golf Tour, and that the
- 1:37:04Lib Golf Tour seemed to have gotten the better of the PGA Tour, and
- 1:37:09that the guy who who runs the fund, the so called PIFF Fund for
- 1:37:15Saudi Arabia, was going to be basically running the new PGA Tour and that
- 1:37:19he would be the chairman of the board, and that from a perception standpoint,
- 1:37:25this looked like Live Golf had won, the PGA Tour had lost,
- 1:37:30and that they had lost so badly that they were forced to eat a giant
- 1:37:33shit sandwich, as I put it, because Jay Monahan, the commissioner of
- 1:37:38the PJA Tour, was forced to admit that, you know, the Saudi
- 1:37:42money that he had been decrying for two years is being tainted as blood money
- 1:37:46because of nine to eleven and other acts of terrorism perpetrated by the Saudi Royal
- 1:37:51family or at least connected to the Saudi Royal family, that he had to
- 1:37:58go back on that and spose himself as a massive, unbelievable, hideous hypocrite
- 1:38:03by now not just taking Saudi money, but merging the PGA tour with the
- 1:38:10Saudi Investment Fund and essentially with Live Golf. And that was the narrative.
- 1:38:16That was how this was portrayed and perceived, and for a short while I
- 1:38:23even perceived it that way because the optics were so dramatic, and it certainly
- 1:38:28felt like Jay monahanan lost. It felt like Live and one the Live players
- 1:38:34were celebrating on social media. And you know, from a perception standpoint,
- 1:38:41there was almost no pushback, even on the Golf Channel, no pushback,
- 1:38:45remarkably, no pushback at all against this narrative. There was no Golf Channel
- 1:38:51reporter saying, look, I've spoken on background to people close to the commissioner
- 1:38:56and they're saying that this is being misperceived and actually Live lost here and that
- 1:39:00Live is probably not even going to exist in a short period of time.
- 1:39:04There was none of that, and I put forward the rather novel theory,
- 1:39:09and I have to say I was a little nervous when I did this because
- 1:39:12I wasn't one hundred person sure about this theory, and I'm sure to some
- 1:39:16people it sounded more than contrarian, maybe crackpot that what was really happening here
- 1:39:24was that Jay Monahan was essentially taking a dive on the pr because he wanted
- 1:39:30the Saudis to be able to save face, or at least that's what the
- 1:39:31Saudis wanted in all this. What the Saudis really wanted was the perception that
- 1:39:35they want the perception, not the reality, and that they wanted to be
- 1:39:40able to get rid of this embarrassment which was live golf, and they wanted
- 1:39:44the prestige and the respect of now being business partners with a revered American institution.
- 1:39:50And part of that would be Monahan eating this shit sandwich and essentially acknowledging
- 1:39:57that he's a hypocrite and that maybe the Saudis really aren't that bad after all.
- 1:40:00That would be a win win for both the PGA tour and give the
- 1:40:06Saudies what they wanted. And I put that theory out there in episode number
- 1:40:11sixty five and I'm sure there were some people that thought I was out on
- 1:40:15a limb, but I think that I have been not one hundred percent because
- 1:40:17we don't know all the facts and the details yet, but it's certainly if
- 1:40:20Piers as if I have been vindicated in this view, and the reason why
- 1:40:26I got vindicated in this view is the person that brokered the deal, a
- 1:40:30guy by the name of Jimmy Dunn who's kind of a mythical figure in sports
- 1:40:34and golf specifically. And he's a mythical figure, ironically enough, partially because
- 1:40:41of his connection personally to nine to eleven. He was supposed to be the
- 1:40:45story goes in the World Trade Center on nine eleven. He lost a lot
- 1:40:49of friends on nine to eleven. He's a business titan in the New York
- 1:40:55City area, incredibly well connected in golf, members member some of the most
- 1:41:00prestigious golf clubs in the world, and there's no more connected person in golf
- 1:41:05than Jimmy Dunn, and highly respected person. Partially because of the whole he
- 1:41:12became well more well known because of the nine to eleven situation. Well,
- 1:41:15we now know that it was Jimmy Dunn that brokered this deal. In every
- 1:41:21possible way, including reaching out to the guy who runs the Saudi pif Fund
- 1:41:29and who essentially runs live golf, who controls the purse strings for the Saudi
- 1:41:32royal family. And so it wasn't just that Jimmy Dunn. First of all,
- 1:41:39let's just go by Jimmy Dunn being a key figure here. I mean,
- 1:41:43Jimmy Dunn is as propegiators as it gets. He runs a very famous
- 1:41:49pro am at Seminole Golf Club in Florida where he prevented lived players from playing
- 1:41:57this past year, which was an extraordinary thing for him to do, because
- 1:42:04you know, this is you know, I'm sure ruffled a lot of feathers
- 1:42:09within the golf world, but it also shows the power that he has.
- 1:42:12He also happens to be Rory McElroy's best buddy. So just from the big
- 1:42:18picture, headline optical standpoint, you mean to tell me, Jimmy Dunn broker
- 1:42:26this whole thing was? He was intricately involved in the negotiations. He's the
- 1:42:31one that facilitated this. So Jimmy Dunn's fingerprints are all over this alleged merger,
- 1:42:39and Greg Norman was completely iced out, the guy who runs Live Golf.
- 1:42:44I mean Norman totally iced out, not even part of the negotiations,
- 1:42:48apparently informed of what happened just before it was announced. Since then, normanwell,
- 1:42:58on background, he's been jabbering to some reporters trying to claim that Live
- 1:43:03Golf is alive and well into the future. He has tweeted one time,
- 1:43:08two vague sentences that in no way, shape or form declared victory at all.
- 1:43:15So if Live really had won this, Norman would be crowing at the
- 1:43:21top of his lungs, and instead it's basically crickets from Greg Norman. So
- 1:43:28Jimmy Dunn, who's on the board of the PGA Tour, he's going to
- 1:43:31be on the board of this new entity. So it's from what we were
- 1:43:34being told, four person board. So the Saudie guy is the chairman of
- 1:43:41the board, which sounds incredibly impressive but seems to me as if it's largely
- 1:43:46a ceremonial position, which is keeping in what the Saudi's really want in these
- 1:43:51situations, and they don't really care about money. They want prestige, they
- 1:43:55want respect, they want to be honored. So he gets the position of
- 1:44:00chairman of the board, but it's a four person board, and the other
- 1:44:03three people one's Jay Monahan, one's Jimmy Dunn, and the other is a
- 1:44:08j Monahan sycophant. So Jay Monahan's the CEO, three against one on the
- 1:44:15board. And it certainly seems to me as if the PGA Tour one here
- 1:44:21that they're going to control things, that if they want to get rid of
- 1:44:25live golf, they're gonna get rid of live golf, and that the live
- 1:44:29players are going to be in for a route awakening when it comes to being
- 1:44:34able to return to the quote unquote PGA Tour. Now, a lot of
- 1:44:39this is premature because we don't know all the details. I don't think anyone
- 1:44:43knows all the details. But just from a structural standpoint, this thing is
- 1:44:48in no way shape or form a loss for the PGA Tour and no way
- 1:44:53shape or form a victory for so called live golf. Now, from a
- 1:44:57pr standpoint, it's a disaster for Jay Monahan. But Jay Monahan is banking
- 1:45:02on the idea that in the end he's going to be the victor. In
- 1:45:08five or ten years now, if he survives the storm, he's going to
- 1:45:12be the winner. The PJA Tour is going to be the winner. There's
- 1:45:15gonna be a lot more money on the PGA Tour, Golf will be consolidated,
- 1:45:18Live will have been vanquished, and the biggest thing I think is the
- 1:45:24top players will have lost a lot of their leverage over the PGA Tour because
- 1:45:29there's gonna be no place else to go. That is a huge part of
- 1:45:32this equation, which, by the way, it's possible, and this is
- 1:45:38not an area of an expert in, but there are people who are experts
- 1:45:41who claim that this might actually be too good a move by Jay Monahan and
- 1:45:45the PGA Tour because there now could be a major anti trust violation going on
- 1:45:53that this quote unquote merger may never actually happen, either because it doesn't get
- 1:45:58approved or there's some technical violation of the law that prevents it from happening,
- 1:46:04or and I think this is also possible. I think it's still a chance
- 1:46:09this thing could fall apart politically, that when they get into the details and
- 1:46:13the negotiation, that at that point, you know, that's where maybe the
- 1:46:18Saudis go, Await a minute, you know, this is not a good
- 1:46:23deal for us, or if it works the other way and the quote unquote
- 1:46:28chairman of the board isn't going to play nice and he thinks this isn't a
- 1:46:31ceremonial position. Then Monahan may realize I can't do this because I'm going to
- 1:46:38be forced to give away too much because there's so there's a lot still to
- 1:46:42be decided. I made the analogy in the last episode of the podcast where
- 1:46:45this is kind of like the end of World War two, where you have
- 1:46:48the ceasefire. That's where we're at, and then we have the basic parameters
- 1:46:51for the ceasefire, and then you get together for the Yalta Conference. By
- 1:46:57the way, for some reason, I said Malta in episodes five, which
- 1:47:00really bugged the crap out of me, but we didn't change it. But
- 1:47:02so now I can fix it. The Yalta Conference after World War Two,
- 1:47:08where all of the details are decided and where Europe got divvied up and where
- 1:47:13a lot of major decisions were made. Well, so it's possible that when
- 1:47:15they get to Yalta that this thing still falls apart. But this idea that
- 1:47:20live one as of right now is ridiculous, and it's kind of funny to
- 1:47:24see the evolution of Brandell Shamblee, who is the Golf Channel's number one commentator,
- 1:47:30who's not nearly as smart as he thinks he is, and his initial
- 1:47:33reaction, this is the saddest day in the history of golf. I joked
- 1:47:38that it was actually the saddest day in the history of his career because he's
- 1:47:40been very, very, very very anti Live. But he panicked. Rich
- 1:47:45Eising, by the way, the NFL network also completely panicked on his podcast
- 1:47:48about what this was going to mean. And now it seems as if,
- 1:47:51after the dust is cleared, a lot more people are starting to realize that
- 1:47:57essentially I'm right, My side of this is right, and even Shamblee seems
- 1:48:01to be singing a different tune about it's very slowly but surely coming to the
- 1:48:05realization of wait a minute. From a moral standpoint, this has problems from
- 1:48:11the PGA Tour perspective, but when you look at who won and who lost,
- 1:48:15it's clear that the PGA Tour one and that Live lost, and that
- 1:48:20Live is probably not going to exist, certainly not in its current form,
- 1:48:25for much past this current year, which if that's the way it turns out,
- 1:48:30I'm fine with this. I've always felt that playing the morality card was
- 1:48:34wrong and stupid, and that's what Monahan is paying for here. If you
- 1:48:39can imagine, can you imagine if they had never played the morality card,
- 1:48:43if nine to eleven and nine to eleven families had never become part of this
- 1:48:45issue, and that this was purely a golf topic, that this what's good
- 1:48:50and bad for golf. Monahan would be a conquering hero right now because he
- 1:48:56wouldn't have the hypocrisy issue to deal with. And so I was right about
- 1:49:00that from the beginning. I've always felt that was a mistake. I didn't
- 1:49:02think it was an effective argument, mainly because most people didn't understand it.
- 1:49:06People can't understand the difference between doing business small business with a nefarious entity,
- 1:49:15which everyone is forced to do from time to time, and doing big business
- 1:49:19for that nefarious entity, which is what Live was. Live was doing business
- 1:49:26for the Saudi government. They were the pr arm of the Saudi government.
- 1:49:31They were quote unquote sportswashing on behalf of the Saudi royal family. That's different
- 1:49:39than playing a golf tournament at one time in Saudi Arabia or having a company
- 1:49:45sponsor you that takes money from Saudi Arabia, and they know that's a completely
- 1:49:48different animal, but people were not understanding that, and so it was not
- 1:49:53an effective issue and it's set Monahan up for all sorts of understandable charges of
- 1:49:58hypocrisy. Here's my prediction though, on the narrative. The person that has
- 1:50:03been most silent since this news broke by far has been Tiger Woods. By
- 1:50:10the way, let me before I talk about Tiger. I think Rory McElroy
- 1:50:14deserves so much credit for the way he has handled this throughout the entire situation,
- 1:50:18even post merger talk. I think that he has been almost pitch perfect
- 1:50:23at every moment and deserves an enormous amount of credit. Well, Jimmy Dunn
- 1:50:28and Rory McElroy are buddy buddy, and Rory McElroy and Tiger Woods are buddy
- 1:50:33buddy. They're literally business partners on a new TV golf manure that's starting next
- 1:50:38year. Tiger has been completely silent. Now, Is that because Tiger doesn't
- 1:50:45know what to say if he's on the fence. Is he still being lobbied
- 1:50:50behind the scenes. I don't think so. I think Tiger is waiting.
- 1:50:56He's been injured and isn't playing in the US Open this week. I think
- 1:51:00Tiger is waiting to drop the hammer because when Tiger does his first interview post
- 1:51:10this most recent surgery that he's had, first interview since the Live merger,
- 1:51:15he will have the entire golf world hanging on every word. And when I
- 1:51:21went back and I watched Tiger's comments, specifically at last year's British Open,
- 1:51:27about what it would take for there to be any kind of a merger between
- 1:51:32the PGA Tour and Live, it dovetails exactly with what seems to have happened.
- 1:51:41So I believe that Tiger Woods is going to be completely on board with
- 1:51:45this, and that when he does his first interview he's going to drop the
- 1:51:51hammer on Live. He'll effectively declare victory. And it will be at that
- 1:51:59point because of the magnitude of Tiger and what he has to say, and
- 1:52:02the fact that he didn't say it right away, that will force most of
- 1:52:08the golf establishment to finally, even the idiots and the golf media to finally
- 1:52:13say, oh, oh wow, we got this wrong at first. The
- 1:52:17PGA Tour really did win. So that's my prediction. Watch Tiger Woods,
- 1:52:23because Tiger is really the only guy that still has that kind of authority,
- 1:52:29that kind of power to be able to influence minds and narratives, and that's
- 1:52:34my prediction with regard to that. In the next episode of the podcast,
- 1:52:39we're gonna be joined by Ian Miller, who is really interesting character because he
- 1:52:45writes for Outkicked, the conservative sports media outlet, and he's also written two
- 1:52:53different books about the COVID response. He's most well known for his opposition to
- 1:52:58masks from a scientific standpoint, but he's just written a new book about how
- 1:53:02the COVID experts got it wrong. So Ian Miller will be our guest in
- 1:53:06episode number sixty seven of the podcast. Until then, please remember to subscribe,
- 1:53:12rate, and review this episode of the podcast. Please share it on
- 1:53:15social media. If you do so, tag me and I'll be happy to
- 1:53:17share it as well. Until the next episode of the podcast. Thanks so
- 1:53:21much for listening. This has been episode number sixty six, so the Death
- 1:53:25of Journalism podcast. My name is John Zickler.