Latest / اکو ایران | روند / راه تجارت ایران از پاکستان میگذرد؟
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Currently, Iran is in a difficult situation for its trade
- 0:05Speaker 1: with the world. On the one hand, it is stuck
- 0:08Speaker 1: and its hand is tied to the sea trade. On
- 0:09Speaker 1: the other hand, its trade relationship with one of its
- 0:12Speaker 1: main partners, the Arab Emirates, has been cut. Now, the
- 0:15Speaker 1: issue of rail trade is being discussed through Pakistan, especially
- 0:19Speaker 1: oil exports to China through this route. But does the
- 0:31Speaker 1: Iranian-Pakistan rail network have the capacity to achieve such a
- 0:35Speaker 1: great project?
- 0:36Speaker 2: Stay tuned for this part of Ravand.
- 0:55Speaker 1: A few months ago, the Emirate announced that it would
- 0:57Speaker 1: terminate all its financial and commercial relations with Iran. This
- 1:01Speaker 1: issue can greatly harm the economy of Iran's sanctions.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Which will limit its trade to a few specific countries.
- 1:07Speaker 1: Now it is said that we can use land and
- 1:09Speaker 1: rail trade to replace Pakistan with the Emirate. Now let's
- 1:12Speaker 1: go and check the figures and see how healthy this
- 1:15Speaker 1: issue can be. From 1996 to the end of 2004,
- 1:25Speaker 1: the value of our exports to Pakistan was approximately 1.5
- 1:28Speaker 1: billion dollars and the value of imports from this country
- 1:31Speaker 1: was only half a billion dollars. This means that the
- 1:34Speaker 1: share of Pakistan's non-oil exports in the past 10 months
- 1:37Speaker 1: is about 4% and the share of our imports is
- 1:40Speaker 1: about 1%. If we want to compare this amount with
- 1:53Speaker 1: Emirati trade, this amount is very small.
- 1:55Speaker 2: In addition to limiting.
- 1:56Speaker 1: Iran's trade partners due to sanctions, some of Iran's exports
- 2:00Speaker 1: also reach the rest of the world through re-export. On
- 2:05Speaker 1: the other hand, this country was one of the main
- 2:08Speaker 1: channels of financial investments in Iran after the sanctions.
- 2:13Speaker 2: Therefore, this cut.
- 2:15Speaker 1: Has a lot of costs for Iran's economy and it
- 2:18Speaker 1: can be difficult and time-consuming to deal with countries like Pakistan.
- 2:25Speaker 1: But if we want to have a general view, the
- 2:28Speaker 1: exports of 1.7 billion dollars to Pakistan are mainly petrochemical,
- 2:34Speaker 1: chemical and civil products. On the other hand, a large
- 2:38Speaker 1: part of our imports are related to agricultural and agricultural products.
- 2:42Speaker 1: For example, more than 70% of our $ 557 million imports
- 2:45Speaker 1: from Pakistan are rice. While the majority of our imports
- 2:48Speaker 1: from the Emirates are smartphones, mobile phones, glass bottles, and
- 2:52Speaker 1: oil cans, which are usually imported from Pakistan. from the
- 3:02Speaker 1: same type of new products from this country. The choice
- 3:05Speaker 1: of goods or the delivery of these products can also
- 3:08Speaker 1: be very difficult in terms of land volume. But what
- 3:11Speaker 1: exactly can this difficulty be in rail transfer? Now let's
- 3:14Speaker 1: take a look at the operating situation of the Pakistan-Iran Railway.
- 3:23Speaker 1: In the last few months, in 2024 and 2025, Pakistan's
- 3:26Speaker 1: road has multiplied 7.8 million tons. This means that in
- 3:29Speaker 1: 2018 and 2019, it had a capacity to multiply more
- 3:31Speaker 1: than 8 million tons. This number shows the amount of
- 3:34Speaker 1: multiplication based on volume. But there is another factor that
- 3:37Speaker 1: has caused a lot of trouble in the land trade.
- 3:53Speaker 1: It is also a ton-kilometer, which shows how many kilometers
- 3:56Speaker 1: each ton-bar has been moved. This figure for Pakistan is
- 4:00Speaker 1: currently 7.7 billion tons-kilometers. That is, on average, each ton-bar
- 4:03Speaker 1: has moved about 1,000 kilometers. The importance of this figure
- 4:06Speaker 1: is that it says how much the nuclear.
- 4:10Speaker 2: Power network has moved the length of the bar.
- 4:21Speaker 1: In contrast to Pakistan, Iran's rail network has multiplied more
- 4:23Speaker 1: than 5 times in 403 years, which is more than
- 4:27Speaker 1: 40 million tons. But its ton-kilometer was about 29 billion,
- 4:31Speaker 1: meaning that every ton is multiplied by about 700 kilometers.
- 4:35Speaker 1: In fact, Iran, even if its main rail power is
- 4:38Speaker 1: for the trade of goods, with Pakistan, this country does
- 4:47Speaker 1: not have the capacity to reach this volume and can
- 4:50Speaker 1: take a long time for Iran's foreign trade process. In addition,
- 4:58Speaker 1: there are also a number of technical problems.
- 5:00Speaker 2: For example, the value of.
- 5:02Speaker 1: Pakistan's railways is lower than that of Iran's standard railways,
- 5:06Speaker 1: and Pakistani trains can finally advance to Zahedan in Iran's territory,
- 5:11Speaker 1: and after that, it must be used in other ways to.
- 5:14Speaker 2: Change the railways. In addition, there are civil materials.
- 5:17Speaker 1: In the rail network in Iran, and oil materials have
- 5:19Speaker 1: a very low consumption. And that is why it is
- 5:26Speaker 1: possible to exchange oil products through Iran's rail network, which
- 5:30Speaker 1: is also a little impossible in the upper volume and
- 5:33Speaker 1: cannot be a replacement for marine trade.
- 5:39Speaker 2: This issue is true for Pakistan as well.
- 5:41Speaker 1: However, the number of attacks by this country's road network
- 5:45Speaker 1: is much less than that of Iran. We should pay
- 5:48Speaker 1: attention to the fact that 40% of the number of
- 5:50Speaker 1: attacks by Pakistan's network is made up of stone.
- 5:55Speaker 2: In conclusion, although.
- 5:57Speaker 1: The idea of land trade with marine trade is considered
- 6:00Speaker 1: very important due to the war situation and the protection
- 6:04Speaker 1: of the sea, but it seems not very possible.
- 6:06Speaker 2: Because we do not have.
- 6:08Speaker 1: The necessary resources and infrastructure, and most of our trade,
- 6:14Speaker 1: especially oil, is related to marine channels.
- 6:20Speaker 2: As tarafه دیگه این راهای جایگزین میتونه هزینه های خیلی زیاد رو به تجارت تحمیل کنه که اثر اون مستقیم روی صفره مردم خودشو نشون میده.