Latest / The Death Of Journalism / Episode Fifty Five: America is Better Than This
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to episode number fifty five of the Death of Journalism podcast. My name
- 0:05is John Ziggler. I am your host and on today's program, The New
- 0:09York Times Things it knows why Tucker Carlson was really fired from Fox News.
- 0:16Americans are convinced in overwhelming numbers that the news media is a destructive force,
- 0:21and I further detail my plan to save the de Santist campaign from being defeated
- 0:27before it even ever actually exists. I'm known as the Dutch Digital marketing Man.
- 0:33I'm a digital advertising SEO and EMMO marketing specialist that also happens to be
- 0:38a big fan of John Ziggler and the Death of journalisten. Do you need
- 0:42help preaching your target audience? Let me help you develop the right messaging and
- 0:47confaded message in the best channels for your business. Please visit my website,
- 0:52the Dutch Digital marketing Man dot com and let me help you tell your story.
- 0:57The website is the Dutch Digital Marketingman dot com. If you want to
- 1:02grow your business, Peter can help. That's the Dutch Digital marketing Man dot
- 1:07com. And hey, thanks for sponsoring the show. So The New York
- 1:11Times has now weighed in on why it thinks, or at least someone from
- 1:19Fox News is telling them to think why Tucker Carlson was fired from Fox News
- 1:26Channel. This is becoming frankly comical now as Tucker is a universal martyr for
- 1:34almost any cause you want. It's almost religious, where no matter what your
- 1:41pet cause is, you could argue that's why Tucker Carlson really got fired.
- 1:49And there are so many of them. If I start listening them, I'm
- 1:52gonna get ticked off of myself because I'm sure I'm going to forget one or
- 1:55two on the list, but I'm sure we'll at least reference them as we
- 1:59go along here, Just to review, in episode number fifty four, I
- 2:02thought we had pretty much gotten to the bottom of this. I mean,
- 2:07it's kind of it's bizarre to me that the Wall Street Journal owned by News
- 2:14Corp. Therefore having extremely good sourcing. Now I realized they have a conflict
- 2:19of interest, and that should be considered, But I mean, this is
- 2:22the same company owned by the same people, run by the same people,
- 2:25have the same bosses effectively as Fox News Channel does, so they have their
- 2:31finger on the pulse of what really happened with Fox News Channel and their explanation
- 2:38for why Tucker Carlson was fired to me, makes perfect sense. It's not,
- 2:43you know, it doesn't answer of every single question, but it's exactly
- 2:46what I told you that it was. On the very day this happened,
- 2:51I said this. I went on NewsNation television with Dan Abrams MC and Kelly
- 2:55David Schuster, and I said, guys, this is about the dominion voting
- 3:00systems lawsuit, redacted messages disparaging his bosses, and that's why he got fired.
- 3:07Well, the Wall Street Journal was able to further detail what I had
- 3:12told you, which was from very good sourcing, although odd sourcing, and
- 3:15they said that the primary cause of Tucker Carlson's firing was a redacted message where
- 3:23he had referred to the top female boss at Fox News Channel as the C
- 3:30word. And then, maybe most importantly and most amusingly in a weird way,
- 3:37when they came to Tucker to brag to him that they had redacted this
- 3:43from the discovery on his behalf to protect him, he essentially said, well,
- 3:47why are you doing that. I want everyone to know that I think
- 3:50that she's the C word, because she's really the C word. Those are
- 3:53my words. But that's essentially what happened. And then the Wall Street Journal
- 3:58went in and did a extensive, very detailed, very long story on every
- 4:04aspect of what led to Tucker Carlson's firing, But that was the primary thing.
- 4:11And I've always said, look, the timing here is is pretty telling,
- 4:15and I think it's a good It's a good metaphor, so I'll use
- 4:17it again. When you have an earthquake, like an eight hundred million dollar
- 4:23lawsuits settlement, and something as public as the dominion voting system's lawsuits settlement,
- 4:29and then a couple of days later, a building that seemed to be in
- 4:30good shape suddenly collapses, which would be Tucker and his role at Fox News
- 4:35Channel. There's probably more than just a correlation there. There's a causation.
- 4:43One caused the other, which is kind of ironic, by the way,
- 4:46because I didn't even realize that Tucker Carlson is a nine to eleven conspiracy theorist
- 4:50who can't understand why Building seven collapsed on nine to eleven, which is just
- 4:58you know how much I just spies conspiracy theories, but that one is one
- 5:02of the more nonsensical ones. Just not to get aside here, not to
- 5:10get side tracked, but it's somewhat relevant to the not just the metaphor,
- 5:15but to where Tucker's head was over the last several months before he was fired.
- 5:19I really do think that Tucker was starting to lose it. I mean,
- 5:23he believed that you would get fired if you even questioned why Building seven
- 5:28collapsed on nine to eleven. You mean, because there were not one,
- 5:32but two earthquakes right across the street from Building seven on that day. And
- 5:38gee, I wonder why a building would collapse when two earthquakes occurred. But
- 5:42anyway, I digress. The point here is that it was very obvious,
- 5:46at least to me from both my sourcing and using my own brain, that
- 5:50the dominion voting System's lawsuit had to be at least indirectly, if not directly,
- 5:57related to why Tucker Carlson got fired. And I thought that the Wall
- 6:01Street Journal story, well, I knew it wasn't going to be accepted by
- 6:03the public because it's not for some reason. Juice enough, can we just
- 6:09for a second contemplate how weird it is that this explanation for his firing just
- 6:15hasn't even been accepted within the media. I'm sorry, if you call your
- 6:20female boss in twenty twenty three, or at least becomes known in twenty twenty
- 6:26three that you call your female boss the C word and you want it to
- 6:30be public when they tell you it's redacted, that's a fireable offense. Now,
- 6:38if I was in charge, what I have tried to suspend Tucker Carlson
- 6:42first and see how that went. Yeah, probably, But this shouldn't be
- 6:46that much of a mystery. How did this? How is this not a
- 6:49good enough explanation? I mean, anyone I know would be immediately fired under
- 6:57that situation. And there is some weirdness to the delay that occurred from the
- 7:01time that they found out about this and Tucker said no, please don't redact
- 7:05it, and then that Friday night late when Tucker Carlson was finally fired,
- 7:11and then he gets fine, he gets notified of that on the following Monday.
- 7:14So I'm still a little confused about the timing of it all. But
- 7:17I thought the Wall Street Journal had pretty much figured it out within their own
- 7:21company and pretty much proved in the case. But according to The New York
- 7:26Times, that's not good enough. Now, somehow, in the post B
- 7:30two world, calling your female boss the C word. That's just not good
- 7:34enough. No, no, no, The New York Times thinks they know.
- 7:39So here's what The New York Times is reporting as of this taping the
- 7:44morning that I'm taping this on Wednesday, headline, Carlson's text that alarmed Fox
- 7:49leaders quote it's not how white men fight. So we're still talking about redacted
- 7:58texts from the Dominion Voting Systems lawsuit. But this isn't a completely different realm.
- 8:03Their subhadline is the discovery of the text message contributed to a chain of
- 8:07events that ultimately led to Tucker Carlson's firing. Okay, so right there,
- 8:11they're admitting this is not the main reason. And the way I interpret this
- 8:16now having read the article and read the text in question, that this is
- 8:22this is bs. This is them coming up with a reason to make this
- 8:26more important, way more important than it really is. But they're even admitting
- 8:31this ain't the real reason, but for they have a political agenda here to
- 8:35try to make this at least be perceived as one of the reasons. Are
- 8:41part of a series of events that resulted in Tucker Carlson's firing. And by
- 8:46the way, I am perfectly willing to accept that there's more than one reason.
- 8:50I mean, usually when something this big, in this shocking happens,
- 8:54there's a confluence of events, there's a domino effect, there's more than one
- 8:58reason. But I'm still of the belief that calling his female boss the C
- 9:03word and wanting that to be public, it's the primary reason for why this
- 9:07happened. But I think it's interesting what The New York Times is doing here,
- 9:11and it's also kind of funny in a weird way. So I'm going
- 9:16to share it with you. Here's more of the actual article in The New
- 9:18York Times. A text message sent by Tucker Carlson that set off a panic
- 9:24at the highest levels of Fox on the eve of its billion dollar defamation trial,
- 9:31showed its most popular host sharing his private, inflammatory views about violence and
- 9:39race. The discovery of the message contributed to a chain of events that ultimately
- 9:43led to mister Carlson's firing. In the message, sent to one of his
- 9:50producers in the hours after violent Trump supporters storm the Capitol on January six,
- 9:56twenty twenty one, mister Carlson this scribed how he had recently watched a video
- 10:03of a group of men Trump supporters, he said, violently attacking quote an
- 10:09Antifa kid. It was three against one at least, he wrote, and
- 10:16then he expressed a sense of dismay that the attackers, like him were white.
- 10:24The text alarmed the Fox board, which saw the message a day before
- 10:28Fox was set to defend itself against dominion voting systems before a jury. The
- 10:35board grew concerned that the message could become public at trial when mister Carlson was
- 10:41on the stand, creating a sensational and damaging moment that would raise broader questions
- 10:48about the company. What when when you when you hear the entire text,
- 10:54I think you're going to realize this is just bullcrap. There's there's no way
- 10:58that this off this kind of alarm bells that this would have even theoretically become
- 11:03part of the trial testimony, because I can't believe any judge would have considered
- 11:09it to be remotely relevant to the issues at hand. But The New York
- 11:13Times continues the day after the discovery, and this is where the timing of
- 11:18all this is still confusing to me. The day after the discovery, the
- 11:22board told Fox executives it was bringing in an outside law firm to conduct an
- 11:28investigation into mister Carlson's conduct. The text message added to a growing number of
- 11:33internal issues involving mister Carlson that led the company's leadership to conclude he was more
- 11:39of a problem than an asset and had to go, according to several people
- 11:46with knowledge of the decision. In other message, this is where The New
- 11:48York Times decides texts who refer to what really happened. In other messages,
- 11:54he had referred to women, including a senior Fox executive, in rude and
- 12:00misogynistic terms. He called her the C word. The message about the fight
- 12:05also played a role in the company's decision to settle with Dominion for seven and
- 12:11eighty seven point five million dollars, the highest known payout in a defamation case.
- 12:16It remains unclear how the texts escaped more notice earlier, given that the
- 12:22Fox legal team was aware of it and other offensive texts written by mister Carlson.
- 12:28Fox's lawyers had produced the tax as part of the discovery process and were
- 12:33involved in the redactions. Mister Carlson had even been asked about it during a
- 12:39deposition. According to several people who would have read the unredacted transcripts of his
- 12:45deposition. Again, the machinations of this and the timing of this I still
- 12:50have not been able to get a firm hold on. But look, it's
- 12:54pretty clear there was a lot going on. There were a lot of reasons
- 12:58for concern about Tucker's thinking and whether or not Tucker thought he was getting too
- 13:01big for his bridges, which I think is a much bigger issue than the
- 13:05substance of this text. But I think the real issue and why I'm leading
- 13:09this episode of the podcast, is how the New York Times thinks and why
- 13:13it is that they are making such a big deal out of this particular text
- 13:20within the redacted portions of the Dominion Voting System's lawsuit. Because this is just
- 13:26absurd. This is ridiculous that The New York Times is at least pretending to
- 13:31think that this is why Tucker Carlson got fired again. This is context.
- 13:37This is a private message to a producer with him basically venting about seeing video
- 13:46of what happened on January sixth. And as you listen to this and as
- 13:52I read it, obviously you can decide to interpret whatever you want. The
- 13:56first thing that I thought of was Okay, this is actually sounds like a
- 14:00Tucker monologue Number one that would be easily considered, you know, content that
- 14:07would be on Fox's air without even a hint of concern. I mean,
- 14:13this wouldn't even be you know, if you put on a ten scale,
- 14:16this wouldn't even be above a five or six when it came to issues that
- 14:22would create concern from a content standpoint for Tucker's opening monologue on any given night.
- 14:28But number two, as I read this, I'm thinking liberals ought to
- 14:33actually like most of what he says here. And this is a guy who
- 14:37is contemplating what he's seeing and trying to be as open and honest about his
- 14:45reaction as possible. Again in a private message, So here's what Tucker wrote.
- 14:50A couple of weeks ago, I was watching video of people fighting in
- 14:54the street in Washington. Now it's important to point out a couple weeks ago
- 14:58this Again, this message is a Wary seventh twenty twenty one. So this
- 15:03is in the aftermath the day after the January sixth, whatever you call it,
- 15:07riot. So he's referring to something a couple of weeks ago. I
- 15:11was watching video of people fighting in the street in Washington, a group of
- 15:16Trump guys surrounded an Antifa kid and started pounding the living shit out of him.
- 15:22It was three against one. At least, jumping a guy like that
- 15:30is dishonorable. Obviously, it's not how white men fight. Now, that
- 15:37is the phrase that made it into the New York Times headline. That's the
- 15:41phrase that, at this moment, as I tape this is trending on Twitter.
- 15:45That's the money shot. Somehow, that's I guess racist. It's not
- 15:50how white men fight. And you can agree or disagree. I don't know
- 15:54how white men fight. I don't know. I don't know where Tucker is
- 15:58getting that from. But even out of context, I don't think that that
- 16:03is inherently racist. That's just an opinion that he has based on whatever that
- 16:10he doesn't think that that's generally how white men fight. He's talking about.
- 16:11He's a white guy talking about white guys that supposed to give you more leeway.
- 16:18At least it works that way in the opposite direction. So even out
- 16:21of context, I don't see the problem here. But in a larger context,
- 16:23it's not offensive at all. Because he goes on to write, yet
- 16:27suddenly I found myself rooting for the mob against the man, hoping they'd hit
- 16:34him harder kill him. That's a little weird, and I think an indication
- 16:41of there were some problems and Tuckers thinking and he might be losing it a
- 16:44little bit. But then he comes off the rails there and he writes,
- 16:48I really wanted them to hurt the kid. I could taste it. Then,
- 16:52somewhere deep in my brain an alarm went off. This isn't good for
- 16:56me. I'm because something I don't want to be. The Antifa creep is
- 17:03a human being. Much as I despise what he says and does, much
- 17:10as I'm sure i'd hate him personally if I knew him, I shouldn't gloat
- 17:15over his suffering. I should be bothered by it. I should remember that
- 17:22somewhere somebody probably loves this kid and would be crushed if he was killed.
- 17:27If I don't care about those things, if I reduce people to their politics,
- 17:33how am I better than he is? Now? That is again,
- 17:40I don't agree with all of it. Some of it I don't understand.
- 17:42But you know, that's a very introspective message. That's a guy who is
- 17:48clearly battling with what he's perceiving. He's being honest about what he is thinking,
- 17:55even if it doesn't sound particularly good. Again, this is a private
- 17:57message, so that should be understandable and should be interpreted very differently than if
- 18:03this was said publicly. And he's coming to a conclusion that, as I
- 18:10said, liberals really ought to be applauding almost right. I mean, he's
- 18:15kind of realizing his own prejudices and condemning himself for how he reacted to this
- 18:23video. And I'd love to see the video. As of this moment,
- 18:26there's I'm not seeing anybody come up with what they think is the video that
- 18:30Tucker was referring to here. But you know, to me, it was
- 18:33a very introspective and interesting take and an honest take on how he perceives something
- 18:41in a private message. So I don't believe for a second that that's really
- 18:47why Tucker Carlson got fired, or that he even played a significant role.
- 18:52So what's really going on here? Well, there's the first element that everybody
- 18:56wants this story right. Everyone wants to figure out why really happened here,
- 19:02And it's you know, news media and journalistic ego and competitiveness that everyone wants
- 19:10to be able to say we nailed it, we got the story when someone
- 19:15else didn't. And I'm sure there's some jealousy at the New York Times that
- 19:18the Wall Street Journal had a massive advantage here because they are being run by
- 19:25the same company that they have the ability to get more information, get better
- 19:27sources, they can confirm things. People are more willing to talk to the
- 19:32Wall Street Journal because they know they're not going to get screwed over because they
- 19:34all work for the same company. So there's inherent industry jealousy going on as
- 19:41far as might motivate the New York Times to decide, ah see, we
- 19:45really got the reason for why this happened. But I think there's something bigger
- 19:49too, And I think that part of this is to try to paint Tugert
- 19:56Carlson as a racist US. It's not how white men fight, which is
- 20:03the headline here, and I guess that sounds racist in today's day and age.
- 20:07I don't even think it is, as I said, even out of
- 20:11context, but in context, it's clearly not racist in my opinion. But
- 20:15here's why they want to do it. It's not just to paint Tugger Carlson
- 20:18as a racist. They want to explain his popularity. They want to explain
- 20:26his popularity as being based in white racism. That's what I think is really
- 20:33going on here. Whether it's conscious or subconscious whatever, But the real motivation
- 20:38here, the real agenda by the New York Times, is that they need
- 20:42to explain why it is that Tucker is so damn popular. And frankly,
- 20:48his popularity is being exposed even more after his firing than it was while he
- 20:52was at Fox News Channel. Fox News Channels ratings are tanking. The video,
- 20:56the kind of weird, vague video that put out on Twitter, got
- 21:00tens and tens of millions of views, and you know, like a day
- 21:03or two, and so it's quite obvious Tucker Carlson is a very popular figure.
- 21:11Well why is that? I agree, by the way, that part,
- 21:15it's a small part of why Tucker resonated with a mostly white audience,
- 21:22is that there's a lot of white angst in the country, and there ought
- 21:25to be white angst because white people, especially straight white males, are clearly
- 21:30and obviously, no matter what the news media tells you, under systematic attack
- 21:34in this country on almost every front. And that is absolutely driving a lot
- 21:41of Tucker Carlson and people like him their popularity, and there's nothing mysterious or
- 21:48wrong about that. I mean, the left created that. And so the
- 21:55left is really the reason why Tucker Carlson at least not maybe not exist,
- 22:00but certainly prospered to that level because they're the ones that put straight white guys
- 22:06under attack. But they need to turn white angst, which is natural and
- 22:12in most cases perfectly logical and legitimate. They need to turn white angst into
- 22:18white racism, and which, of course, by the way, is further
- 22:22proof that straight white males are under attack. Even our angst isn't allowed because
- 22:27it's racist. We're not even allowed to complain about the fact that we're under
- 22:33attack because oh, clearly, what's really going on here is that white people
- 22:37are just racist and they're afraid of losing their their privilege and their power to
- 22:42people of color. Well, no, no, you're you're you're taking away
- 22:47our jobs, and you're taking away our ability to get our kids into schools,
- 22:49and you know, you're depicting us as you know, the only people
- 22:53you're allowed to attack in the media, and you're taking us out of commercials,
- 22:57and you know it's all sorts of affirmative action in every aspect of society,
- 23:03and we're blaming us for everything. I mean, so no, no,
- 23:04that's the reason why there's there's white eggs. And it's not always racism.
- 23:11Now, is there some racism? Of course there is. There's always
- 23:12going to be racist on every side of this equation, no matter you know
- 23:18what race you're talking about. So I'm not naive I realize that. But
- 23:22is that what's really driving it? Is that even close to the majority.
- 23:26No, it's not. But that's the narrative that the New York Times one.
- 23:30So that's my explanation for what The New York Times is really doing here.
- 23:36I think it's kind of funny, but I also think it's instructive of
- 23:38how the news media really works and what their agenda really is in this situation.
- 23:44It's also, by the way, an indication of just how big Tucker
- 23:48has become in his firing. I think he's bigger in having been fired than
- 23:52he ever was actually at at Fox News Channel. And there really is almost
- 23:59a religious element of his martyrdom. I mean, it is astonishing how many
- 24:04different groups have an invested interest in saying that that's why he got fired.
- 24:10The anti pharmaceutical people, the anti vaccine people think it's because he had RFK
- 24:17Junior on The Trump people think it's because he was getting softer on Trump and
- 24:21more pro Trump, and that the Fox News Channel need to get rid of
- 24:25him for that. The people that don't like our involvement in Ukraine think that
- 24:27it's because he was against our involvement in Ukraine that he got asks acted.
- 24:33The Christian people Christianity groups think that it was a speech he gave about prayer
- 24:42and the importance of religion and Christianity and our culture that got him fired.
- 24:48I'm sure that the JFK conspiracy people think that's why. You know, he
- 24:52got fired because he very very matter of factly, it absurdly said recently that
- 24:57the CIA had killed JFK, and then he knew this to be true,
- 25:02and then he had a source that was a name that told him, which
- 25:03is just ludicrous. You know, the Epstein didn't kill himself. People,
- 25:10I'm sure to think that that's part of what happened with Tucker, because Tucker,
- 25:14bizarrely and erroneously is one of these morons who thinks that it's very obvious
- 25:19that Epstein was murdered, even though they don't have a damned suspect, when
- 25:22it would be the easiest crime to solve in history because it was happening in
- 25:26a federal prison where you know exactly who the people are there, You could
- 25:30identify them instantaneously and you would at least have a handful of suspects by now.
- 25:36Instead, there's nobody, nobody on the suspect list for the murder of
- 25:41Jeffrey Epstein. And then I've already referenced the nine to eleven conspiracy people,
- 25:45the January six conspiracy people. I'm sure think that that he doing what Tucker
- 25:51did with regard to that story and getting the tapes from Speaker McCarthy was probably
- 25:56part of why he got fired. I mean, the list goes on and
- 26:00on and on. It never ends. Now Tucker is a universal martyr for
- 26:06any cause you want, and it's making him bigger than he ever was at
- 26:10Fox News Channel. To me, I'm an oxymist riser guy. Simplest explanation.
- 26:15I think there are two basic reasons why Tucker Carlson got fired. Maybe
- 26:21there's three, depending on how you had defined them. But I think he
- 26:23was getting too big for himself. I think he lost his mind a little
- 26:27bit. I mean, when he's a genius, right, and when you
- 26:32give a genius that much power and that much money, you know, there's
- 26:36a fine line between genius and insanity. I think Tucker crossed the line.
- 26:41I think Tucker crossed the line from genius to insanity. This is why he
- 26:45got deeply embedded in a lot of these crazy conspiracy theories. I think he
- 26:49became too big for his britches, uncontrollable, which is what scares the living
- 26:55daylights out of management at a place like Fox News Channel. And then it
- 27:00was found out that he called his primary female boss the C word, and
- 27:06that he wanted that to be public. I think that's an important part of
- 27:08the equation here. It wasn't oh my god, guys, I'm so sorry.
- 27:12I said that in a fit of rage, you know, thank you
- 27:15for redacting it for me, which is I'm sure what they expected as reaction
- 27:19was going to be when the lawyers came to him. Instead, it was,
- 27:22what are you guys doing? I want everyone to know that she's the
- 27:25word. Oh fat would be alarming, That would set off the alarm bells
- 27:29that The New York Times was referring to here that is a fireable offense every
- 27:34single day of the week when it comes especially to the media. So I
- 27:40really don't get why that there's still confusion on this issue. I don't know
- 27:42whether or not there's going to be another theory to come out next. My
- 27:45senses, we've kind of reached the end of the line on theories on why
- 27:49Tucker got fired, but you know, I will certainly update you if we
- 27:55get any more of them. Now, the title of this podcast is obviously
- 27:59the Death of journal and the evidence that journalism is dead is overwhelming, and
- 28:03we try to document that on a regular basis. But there's more evidence that
- 28:10the American public is realizing just how dead journalism is. And I wanted to
- 28:17share this poll that came out from the Associated Press, ironically enough, because
- 28:22the Associated Press is I think, a really good example of how journalism has
- 28:26died. But they have a new poll out about just how destructive the American
- 28:33people are currently viewing the news media as being. And it's really dramatic.
- 28:40So here's an article written by The Hill Online newspaper and they write, roughly
- 28:48three quarters of Americans in a new poll, three quarters say the news media
- 28:53is widening the political divide. Seventy four of US adults believe the media is
- 29:02increasing political divisions, six percent said it's decreasing polarization, and eighteen percent said
- 29:10it doesn't have any impact this. According to a new survey from the Associated
- 29:15Press, broken down by party, seventy two percent of Democrats, eighty one
- 29:21percent of Republicans, and sixty one percent of independence said they think the news
- 29:26media is stoking the divisions in American culture. Nearly all adults, or ninety
- 29:34three percent, said that they see the spread of misinformation to be a problem.
- 29:41Of course, who's going to say misinformation isn't a problem? I never
- 29:45understood as someone who's dabbled in polling it was a polling analyst for about fifteen
- 29:48minutes in my very eccentric career. Never understood why anyone would ask such a
- 29:56question like that, Like, who's going to say, no, this misinformation
- 29:57is not a problem. Maybe Donald Trump would answer that misinformation is not a
- 30:03problem because he manipulates it very very well. But I digress. So ninety
- 30:07three percent said they see misinformation as a problem, with roughly three quarters of
- 30:11Democrats and Republicans flagging it as quote a major issue. Sixty one percent of
- 30:18Republicans said the news media is hurting democracy. Frankly, mma is that that
- 30:23number is not higher. Sixty one percent of Republicans said the news media is
- 30:29hurting democracy. By the way, I would love to see a ven diagram
- 30:33on at sixty one percent and support for Donald Trump because it's probably dark near
- 30:37universal since he began the whole fake news and enemy of the people mantra when
- 30:44it comes to the media and his campaign, well just twenty three percent of
- 30:49Democrats. Now, right there, that proves the divide, right, there's
- 30:53one thing to say that the news media is creating or exacerbating a political divide,
- 30:59and then there's the proof of it, which comes within this very poll.
- 31:03Sixty one percent of Republicans say the news media is hurting democracy, only
- 31:07twenty three percent of Democrats. Why. Well, because the news media generally
- 31:12helps the causes they believe in, so they think that that's not hurting democracy.
- 31:18They actually think that's helping democracy. Again, I'm a little confused as
- 31:22to why it's only sixty one percent of Republicans who think the media is hurting
- 31:26democracy. Thirty six percent of independence feel the same. Way, About three
- 31:32quarters of respondents said that news stories that mostly create conflict rather than help address
- 31:37it are a major problem in the United States media three quarters, So that
- 31:45number keeps coming up in this poll. About three quarters of the American people
- 31:48at least have some semblance of understanding of how damaging the news media is to
- 31:55our country. Majorities agreed. Other major problems include outlets that quote spread conspiracy
- 32:01theories and unsubstantiated rumors, journalists from real news organizations making stuff up, and
- 32:08journalists having too much opinion in their stories. So majorities agreed on all three
- 32:15of those particular topics as being problems. And again, this is a poll
- 32:21put out by the Associated Press. And it's funny to me that the Associated
- 32:25Press did this, because I think the Associated Press has become a joke.
- 32:30The Associated Press used to be an outlet that you could at least rely on
- 32:36for at worst mild bias towards the left because everyone working there is a leftist.
- 32:42But they were at least somewhat objective. I mean, the Associated Press
- 32:45was supposed to be the gold standard for eliminating bias and doing substantive reporting.
- 32:53And in my very strong opinion, that's no longer the case. Here's just
- 32:59a seeming small, but I think significant example that just happened in the last
- 33:02few days. Now, this was not something that I figured out on my
- 33:07own. There was a prominent Twitter account that tweeted this and it got quite
- 33:12a few views. But they juxtaposed two different Associated Press headlines about two recent
- 33:19stories. One was about the launching of Robert F. Kennedy Junior's presidential campaign
- 33:27that was a couple of weeks ago, April nineteen, and how the Associated
- 33:31Press headlined that story, and how the Associated Press headlined the story of an
- 33:38illegal immigrant who killed five people in Texas. So this is a mass shooting,
- 33:46five people dead in Texas and this person was found and apprehended. Okay,
- 33:54so we got an illegal immigrant killing five people and we've got a Kennedy
- 34:00running for president right now, what's the possible connection here? Well, back
- 34:07on April nineteenth, the Associated Press headline was anti vaccine activist rf K Junior
- 34:15launches presidential campaign. Anti vaccine activist rf K Junior launches presidential campaign. Now
- 34:25there are dozens of ways, and that's not even really a full sentence.
- 34:30It's barely one sentence headline there are dozens of ways you could frame Robert F.
- 34:37Kennedy junior, nephew of Robert Kennedy, I mean, sorry, nephew
- 34:43of John F. Kennedy's son of Robert F. Kennedy, John Kennedy,
- 34:46former president RFK, Robert Kennedy, his dad, former attorney general, and
- 34:52at one point presidential front runner who gets killed by Sir Hans Snerhan during that
- 34:57presidential campaign. I mean, there's all sorts different ways. This guy has
- 35:00also had a rather accomplished life and outside of his views on vaccines, and
- 35:06so there's all sorts of ways the Associated Press could decide to frame the launching
- 35:12of a presidential campaign. Remember, you only get one bite of that apple.
- 35:15This is the one headline you're gonna get where you know, in theory,
- 35:22it should be positive and at least somewhat fair. And the Associated Press
- 35:27decides to label him anti vaccine activist, which, of course, in the
- 35:31minds of the news media is about the worst thing you can be. It's
- 35:36about the worst thing you can be as an anti vaccine activist. And and
- 35:40you might not even if you're RFK junior, you might not even agree that
- 35:45it's it's accurate to describe him that way. I can understand why someone would
- 35:50refer to RFK Junior that way, but I think he would probably object even
- 35:52to the accuracy of that. Forget about the appropriateness of that when you're launching
- 35:58a presidential campaign. That's how the Associated Press described RFK Jr. Anti vaccine
- 36:04activist. So how did they describe the illegal immigrant who killed five people in
- 36:13Texas? How'd they refer to him? How'd they label him? Suspected gunmen
- 36:22caught after five dead in Texas mass shooting, suspected gunmen, not even suspected
- 36:31murder, not even alleged murderer, not even alleged killer, not illegal immigrant,
- 36:37nothing, nothing. He's not referred to as an illegal immigrant, not
- 36:40even an undocumented worker, which we don't even know if he was working or
- 36:44not. But that's what the media loves to transform these words. That's I
- 36:47think it's I talk a lot about the difference between equity and equality, how
- 36:52equality is morphed into equity in the media's world. Well, this all began,
- 36:57I think with the shifting of legal alien or illegal immigrant to undocumented worker
- 37:04or undocumented migrat or whatever, the all sorts of different words they use to
- 37:07try to mitigate the fact that someone is here illegally because that's got a negative
- 37:14connotation, and there's it's even racist somehow. So we've got a guy who
- 37:20killed five people by all accounts, he gets referred to as suspected gunman.
- 37:25Meanwhile, we've got a guy A Kennedy running for president and he's an anti
- 37:30vaccine activist. Same organization, the Associated Press, which is supposed to be
- 37:37the gold standard for objective reporting, which of course it's not, And that's
- 37:43just yet another example of the death of journalism. Now, as far as
- 37:47this issue of the quality versus equity, which I have been pointing towards throughout
- 37:54this entire podcast, is maybe the most dangerous transformation of the definition of a
- 38:01word and the history of the country. And I mean that sincerely, because
- 38:06if we fully accept the idea that equality of opportunity is now going to be
- 38:13interpreted really as equity of outcome, then the United States is done. That's
- 38:19a stake through our heart. And I played the clip many weeks ago of
- 38:23even Bernie Sanders being confronted about this on Bill Maher's HBO show, or even
- 38:30Bernie Sanders who had never even thought about this, seemingly was forced to admit
- 38:35that, no, no, it should be equality of outcome, not equity.
- 38:38I'm sorry, equality of opportunity, not equity of outcome, which is
- 38:44obvious to any thinking American who believes in our not even forget our founding principles,
- 38:51the principles that have guided us throughout the entire history of our country.
- 38:53So even Bernie Sanders, when forced to think about it, admitted, yeah,
- 39:00it's equality of opportunity, not equity of outcome. But don't tell that
- 39:02to the news media, because equity of outcome has become the basis on which
- 39:08they evaluate everything. And here's a story from ABC News that illustrates this in
- 39:14a chilling way. And it's becoming embedded, it's becoming completely normalized. It's
- 39:21becoming just how people in the news media think about everything, especially when it
- 39:28comes to race, and it's now starting to get into subjects that aren't just
- 39:31academic. It's not just about how many commercial actors there are, and how
- 39:37it is that we somehow got to a place where seemingly fifty percent of the
- 39:40people on television and commercials are non white, and at least close to fifty
- 39:46percent of them are black, even though black people only make up about twelve
- 39:50or thirteen percent of the population. That's a somewhat academic I think it's more
- 39:53important than people give it credit for. But it's a somewhat academic issue.
- 40:00It's getting into announced situations where lives literally could be at stake, and that's
- 40:06what I'm referring to in this ABC News article. Listen to this folks headline.
- 40:10More black physicians could improve life expectancy of black patients, say researchers.
- 40:20Diversifying the workforce quote is important for improving public health. Okay, so they're
- 40:28making the argument, and they claim that there's some research to back this up
- 40:31that having more black physicians will improve the life expectancy of black patients. So
- 40:39here's the article. Weeks of shoulder pain landed a reluctant Whitney Nichols in urgent
- 40:46care. As a previously healthy, twenty four year old black woman, she
- 40:52pleaded for additional testing to uncover the cause of her pain. As a last
- 40:57resort, the doctor ordered a CT scan of her chest. The result blood
- 41:01clots in both of her lungs. Even after this seemingly scary diagnosis and after
- 41:07being transferred to a hospital. Nichols said she felt dismissed when a doctor told
- 41:14her she would be fine. Now, first let's stop here for a second.
- 41:20So a black woman gets told by seemingly a non black I'm going to
- 41:25presume white maybe Asian doctor telling her that she's fine, She's gonna be fine.
- 41:31This is dismissive. I mean, that's like bedside manner one on one,
- 41:37especially if you're gonna be the doctor thinks you're gonna be okay, that's
- 41:42what you want to hear, right, You're gonna be fine. That's I
- 41:45mean, how has this become dismissive to me? That the bigger issue here
- 41:50is this is like a seemingly a classic example of where black people of this
- 41:54younger generation have been taught by the media, by academic maybe buy their own
- 42:00families to perceive any slight that is real, perceived, imagined, whatever it
- 42:08is to be because of their race. When here we have a situation where
- 42:14a doctor is trying to make sure that she knows she's gonna be okay,
- 42:19she's gonna be fine, that somehow this is this is a negative, this
- 42:22is dismissive. And then the article goes on Nichols now twenty nine, So
- 42:29eighty minute, that was five years later, and she's still alive and ABC
- 42:32News is doing a story on her, so she's clearly okay. She turned
- 42:37out to be fine. So the original doctor was right, right. So
- 42:43Nichols now twenty nine and a graduating medical student, so she's not like fine,
- 42:47she's on her way to becoming a doctor. Reflected that these interactions with
- 42:53dismissive doctors made her feel quote so alone in that space and so unsafe.
- 43:01What but Nichols said that night everything changed when a black physician, doctor Erica
- 43:09Walker, walked into the room. Walker explained the blood clots were serious but
- 43:15treatable. Walker advised Nichols to stop taking her estrogen base birth control, which
- 43:22can increase the risk of blood clots, and prescribe medication that would break up
- 43:25the clots. She said, it was great, quote just seeing somebody that
- 43:32I felt like I could be comfortable with. Now, look, I'm not
- 43:36dismissing the idea that having someone to whom you can relate, someone you have
- 43:42something in common with, someone who might be able to understand your situation better
- 43:45because they share your race, that that has value in any circumstance in life.
- 43:51I would like that to be fair for every race. I'd like it
- 43:57not to be racist for a white person or an Asian person to say the
- 44:00same thing I like. I like for the standards to be at least somewhat
- 44:04similar. But they're clearly not because if a white person, can you imagine,
- 44:07can you imagine for a minute, if a white person was on an
- 44:14ABC News article saying, you know, I just didn't feel comfortable with those
- 44:16black doctors. I thought they were gonna kill me. But thank god,
- 44:20thank god, this white doctor finally came to see me and told me the
- 44:24same thing that the other doctors said, and I turned out to be okay.
- 44:28That would be obviously seen as racist within the prism of ABC News or
- 44:32anybody else in the news media, but they don't even see it because because
- 44:37this is the reverse racism world in which we live. But then ABC gets
- 44:43to the real crux of the matter, So they're just setting this up as
- 44:45this is the best example they could come up with. By the way,
- 44:49think about how all the how crappy the other examples that didn't make it into
- 44:53the story must have been. If that was the best they got of an
- 44:59example of a black patient being saved because they finally got a black doctor with
- 45:05whom they felt comfortable. No, no, no, The real issue here
- 45:09is equity of outcome, even in the realm of medicine and who becomes a
- 45:15doctor. ABC News Rights Black people make up thirteen percent of the US population,
- 45:22but black doctors are not equally represented. In other words, where's the
- 45:29equity of outcome? For example, only seven percent of primary care physicians are
- 45:35black. According to a study from the Journal of the American Medical Association.
- 45:38Amid a growing recognition that Black Americans experience disparities in health and medical care,
- 45:45new research suggests that black patients are more likely to live longer and healthier lives
- 45:53when their primary care doctors are also black. Now that's interesting if true,
- 46:02But color me highly skeptical and suspicious of whatever data or research is allowing him
- 46:14to come to that conclusion. I mean, I would, I am inherently
- 46:19suspect of this. But here's how the article continues on, and it's a
- 46:23stunning It is a stunning conclusion that this article leads you to. Michael Dill,
- 46:30director of Workforce Studies at the Association of American Medical colleges team analyze the
- 46:37relationship of black primary care physicians and the health outcome of people who lived in
- 46:44those same areas. Evaluating sixteen hundred US counties, Dill and his colleagues found
- 46:52that a ten percent increase in black primary care doctor representation was associated with an
- 47:00extra month of life expectancy for black patients. Now let me stop there for
- 47:06a second. So this is an argument for a ten percent increase in black
- 47:13primary care doctor representation because it was associated with an extra month of life expectancy.
- 47:19Now, let's be clear, a month of life expectancy is sounds like
- 47:24a lot from a statistical standpoint. When you have as many people seemingly were
- 47:30involved in this study, that is basically statistical noise. That's nothing. And
- 47:37there are all sorts of potential explanations for why that would be, including what
- 47:42might make the geography that has more black physicians different than areas that don't have
- 47:50more black physicians. But again, you're also talking about a pretty small difference
- 47:54in the percentage of black primary care doctor representation, because you remember going to
- 48:00talk about seven percent, right, So you have seven percent of doctors in
- 48:04the general doctor population. That happened to be black. So if you're a
- 48:07ten percent, increase of seven percent is nothing. It's almost statistically imperceptible.
- 48:16It's less than one percent of the overall doctor population. So just by going
- 48:22by the numbers, this is highly dubious. But then they get to the
- 48:28really remarkable part. The higher the representation of black physicians. This is back
- 48:34to the ABC report. The higher the representation of black physicians in the workforce
- 48:38per county was associated with less death of any cause for county residents black and
- 48:46white patients. Thus, even people not actively being treated by black physicians benefited
- 48:55from their presence. I don't o that was poorly written, so I'm not
- 49:01sure that was one are articulated by the way that I shared it. But
- 49:07what they're saying. What they're saying here is that this is magic. Black
- 49:12physicians are so magic that they not only increase the life expectancy of black patients,
- 49:17but apparently even of white patients too, and patients that they didn't even
- 49:22treat. So so hiring more black doctors is literally magic. The guy who
- 49:30did the study said, quote, We've found that diversifying the physician of workforce
- 49:36is important for improving public health Okay, look again, I'm not convinced that
- 49:43the data is saying that that is highly highly suspect data that based upon that
- 49:50article. It's hilarious to me that we're living in a country that still doesn't
- 49:53in a middle medical establishment that still doesn't accept that masks don't work, despite
- 50:00a mountain of three years of real world evidence throughout the entire world proving that
- 50:06masks don't work. That's not enough evidence. No, no, no,
- 50:08no, we need more. We need more. We need more studies that
- 50:12are done by people invested in masks before we can determine whether or not masks
- 50:16really work. And no matter how many studies we get to say they don't
- 50:19really work, we're going to come up with rationalizations for why those studies don't
- 50:22really say that or they're not definitive. I mean, so why because politically,
- 50:27we have no interest in being proven wrong about whether or not masks work.
- 50:31So data doesn't matter, logic doesn't matter, real world results don't matter,
- 50:37Overwhelming evidence doesn't matter. But when it comes to something that we believe
- 50:42in, which is we want more black doctors, and we're going to do
- 50:45everything we can to facilitate that. Not by the way of, you know,
- 50:51trying to get more people who are black to want to be doctors or
- 50:54to get qualified for being doctors. No, no, no, we're gonna
- 50:58do this through political and the political pressure is going to be where, well,
- 51:02it's going to be on academia to produce more black doctors. How do
- 51:08you do that, Well, you lower the standards for black people to get
- 51:13admission into the right schools and the right medical schools and to become actual doctors.
- 51:17Well, what's the downside of that. Well, it's quite obvious because
- 51:22you're dealing with doctors, and the standard for someone to become a doctor cannot
- 51:28be lowered because guess what, eventually someone, maybe lots of people are gonna
- 51:32die because of that, regardless of whether or not there's some residual psychological benefit
- 51:39that can't really be proven that somehow black people who are patients do better when
- 51:45they have black doctors. And again, I have nothing against black I think
- 51:49it'd be fantastic if we had more people who are qualified to be doctors who
- 51:52happen to be black. Fantastic. But that's not where this is headed.
- 51:58Because we've lost the the plot here, We've lost the entire concept of equality
- 52:02of opportunity. See that's the way this was supposed to work. All right,
- 52:07Let's create equality of opportunity. We've done that. Let's try to get
- 52:10as many people who are qualified to be able to achieve under that environment of
- 52:15equality of opportunity. And see where the you know, the chips land,
- 52:21see how the cards play out. And if it doesn't work out, then
- 52:23we just re emphasize trying to get people interested in becoming doctors. I mean,
- 52:30if this is I have no problem with the goal. It's the way
- 52:32the goal is going to be achieved, because it ain't going to be achieved
- 52:36through equality of opportunity. It's going to be achieved through equity of outcome.
- 52:39And that inherently getting that number from seven percent of doctors being black to thirteen
- 52:46percent as if that's the magic number, because that's the percentage of the overall
- 52:51population, that's going to be the inherent goal. And that's not productive.
- 52:54In fact, that's counterproductive, not just from a philosophical standpoint, but from
- 53:00the standpoint of having qualified doctors. And that is really very very dangerous.
- 53:06All right, Now, I want to move to the Republican primary process,
- 53:09which, as I continue to document. It is absolutely remarkable to me how
- 53:16little attention from a national media perspective now that it's getting no attention. But
- 53:22to me, we are so incredibly close to Donald Trump effectively clinching the Republican
- 53:30nomination, and both the right wing media and the light wing media are just
- 53:35kind of like, Okay, well that's interesting, and there's no focus on
- 53:38it, and there's nothing being done to stop it. Everyone seems fine with
- 53:43it. The right wing media seems fine with it because they they're almost reading
- 53:47a sigh of relief that they're not gonna have to offend their audience by going
- 53:51through a Republican primary process that could be very, very divisive. I mean,
- 53:58if you look at it from the stand point of a conservative media outlet,
- 54:01even though it's fantastic programming and content, and I was thinking about this
- 54:07the other day, I mean, if we don't have a real primary and
- 54:13we don't have real debates, I mean, this is six months of really
- 54:21potentially great content and programming that the conservative media would be giving up if this
- 54:28does not happen, because you know, the debates are supposed to start in
- 54:31August and then you get you know, the primaries in January February March of
- 54:36next year. I mean, so, and that's that's even assuming that it's
- 54:39not a long slog to the convention. So I mean, that's at least
- 54:45six or seven months of really solid content and programming that the conservative media seems
- 54:52to be okay with losing. If in fact, Trump is able to shut
- 54:59this process sessed down before it ever happens, and there's more indication as we
- 55:04speak that that's exactly what his plan is. This is kind of like if
- 55:09ESPN was in a situation where you know, they had to decide whether the
- 55:15NFL Draft is going to get canceled and the NFL draft is basically two or
- 55:21three months of ESPN programming. As absurd as that is, this will actually
- 55:24be bigger, in my opinion, than than ESPN is saying, you know
- 55:30what, sure, we don't need there to be an NFL draft this year.
- 55:31Yeah, do you want to do the NFL draft in in silence or
- 55:35that gets canceled somehow, then that's fine with us. We'll just we'll just
- 55:38abandon that two or three months of programming. That would be ludicrous, that
- 55:44would there would be there would be riots in the ESPN studios in Bristol,
- 55:47Connecticut, and that would never happen. Well, this is way more dramatic,
- 55:53and yet the right wing media seems to be almost relieved, this is
- 55:58my perception of this, because they won't have to pick sides. I mean
- 56:02they you know, picking sides would either mean you're gonna piss off the Trump
- 56:07cult, which is what has been the greatest fear of every media outlet on
- 56:10the right since really late twenty fifteen and why Trump remains so popular in conservative
- 56:19media circles, or you know, if you had a legitimate Trump, say
- 56:24the Santis battle, and you sided with Trump, you're gonna have at least
- 56:30some of your audience pissed off about that too, because there's at least a
- 56:34quarter to a third of the Republican base that is in the never Trump category.
- 56:40So if this thing gets shut down, even though you're gonna lose lots
- 56:45of programming and lots of content, it seems to me, and I don't
- 56:49know whether that they're smart enough to have thought about this, or maybe it's
- 56:52subconscious or what it is, but in a weird way, that might end
- 56:55up being the best scenario for a conservative media outlet, even though you would
- 57:00think. I mean, this is this is the content you live for.
- 57:06A contested primary between a former president and a rising star and Descantis and debates
- 57:15and primary night, I mean primary night, My gosh, that's the easiest
- 57:17thing the media gets to do. There's no work involved. Primary and debate
- 57:23coverage is as good as it gets in for the news media than for the
- 57:30political news media, because then they become like sports reporters. They know exactly
- 57:35when the game is, where the game is. They just sit on their
- 57:37asses and watch, and then they tell you what they think happened. That's
- 57:42the easiest thing that could ever occur. I mean, it's manner from heaven.
- 57:46And we are really close to that being given up. And I'm going
- 57:51to get to why that we're really close to that being given up in a
- 57:54moment, but first I want to give a little bit more context of where
- 57:58we are and how we got there. Now, there's some more polling,
- 58:02and the polling is really quite dramatic in every way, but very very different
- 58:10when it comes to the head to head matchup between Trump and Desantists, which
- 58:15is absolutely going in Trump's direction. Every single especially national poll and even most
- 58:22state poles now show Trump crushing the Santists and everybody else in a Republican primary
- 58:30race. It is an absolute bloodbath. And as a Decantist supporter, you
- 58:35know, I'm more than willing to acknowledge and admit that. In fact,
- 58:38I've gotten into some some hot water with the de Santist people online for being
- 58:45very open to admit that. I mean, apparently that's a that's a sin.
- 58:47You're not allowed to be realistic. I guess. I guess there's it's
- 58:52optimism over everything, and I'm not an optimism over everything guy. I think
- 58:57that oftentimes where reality based pessimism can be very very helpful because it can cause
- 59:02you to realize you're on the wrong path and to try to fix it.
- 59:07If you're wrong the wrong path, you better fix it because only get one
- 59:09shot at this and the country might be at stake, and I believe is
- 59:14at stake here. So I don't have any patients for Oh no, no,
- 59:17it's all gonna be fine. It's all going to magically work out.
- 59:22People are gonna realize Trump can't win, and they're gonna see it once Desandis
- 59:25announces how awesome he is. And you know, these indictments are gonna take
- 59:30their toll on Trump, and DeSantis is going to be clearly the nominee,
- 59:35and there's so much he can use to attack Trump, and logic and facts
- 59:38are gonna make it so clear that the Santist is the better nominee. And
- 59:43I'm like, that's just not the way the world works, folks. In
- 59:45fact, I tweeted out yesterday and seeming a lot of people understood where I
- 59:51was coming from that the reality here is part of why the de Santist crowd
- 59:58is I believe a more optimistic than they should be, is that to them,
- 1:00:04being logical people, that the choice is so incredibly easy that they can't
- 1:00:10understand why anybody else would would not make the same choice. And my argument
- 1:00:17to them is, have you not noticed the nature of the Trump cult for
- 1:00:22the last eight years. These people are are not persuadable. These people are
- 1:00:28not coming to their conclusions based upon logic and facts and reason. They are
- 1:00:34a cult. This is why people refer to cults the way that they do.
- 1:00:39It's not based in logic and reason and facts. It's emotional. It's
- 1:00:45the opposite of being reasoned. And I've said continually, all I really need
- 1:00:52to know is what is the Trump Cult number? What is that number when
- 1:00:57it comes to his troll over the Republican Party? Is the Trump Cult more
- 1:01:01than forty percent of the Republican voting base? Or is an under forty percent?
- 1:01:06And that really will tell you the tale of how this whole thing would
- 1:01:08work out. And so right now it's way above forty percent. Of course,
- 1:01:14it's impossible to know how many of those people are Trump Cult members.
- 1:01:17I believe that the Trump voting base within the Revolving Party is basically three tiered.
- 1:01:25I mean, you could probably argue it's more than that, but I
- 1:01:28think there's three basic tiers. There's the maga hat wearing, rallying, going
- 1:01:35true cult member, which is probably about twenty twenty five percent of the party.
- 1:01:43And then there's tier two, which is I would still consider to be
- 1:01:47cult like and pretty much unpersuadable, but they like to pretend that they're not
- 1:01:53part of the cult, and that's probably again in the fifteen to twenty percent
- 1:01:59range. And then you have the third tier that don't love Trump, but
- 1:02:04they gravitate towards him. And there's going to be somebody somebody would really have
- 1:02:09to make a hell of an argument to convince him not to be in Trump's
- 1:02:15corner. Well, we add all that up together, it's it's over fifty
- 1:02:19percent of the party for sure. And that's what's happening in the national polling
- 1:02:22is that Trump is now over fifty percent. Now, let's be clear to
- 1:02:28Santis hasn't actually officially announced, and that is absolutely a factor, but I
- 1:02:31don't think it's the massive factor that a lot of the Santists supporters are hoping
- 1:02:36that it is. And what's so frustrating about this. There's so many infuriating
- 1:02:40elements, but one of them is that even as Trump continues to dominate the
- 1:02:45Republican side of the polling, de Santis continues to dominate where it really matters,
- 1:02:53which is head to head with Biden in Key states. The only polling
- 1:02:59down out of it really matters when it comes to who is going to be
- 1:03:02the next president of the United States is who's gonna win a very small number
- 1:03:09of key states. And I've said this numerous times, it bears repeating.
- 1:03:16Georgia is at the top of that list. If there's one state you absolutely
- 1:03:22positively have to win, it's Georgia. And if there was one state that
- 1:03:28really proves the advantage of having to Santas as your nominee over Trump. It's
- 1:03:32Georgia. We just had a twenty twenty two election where a De Santis like
- 1:03:38anti Trump governor Brian Kemp won by a fairly comfortable margin, while the Trump
- 1:03:46supported and endorsed senatorial candidate herschel Walker, who I personally liked, lost not
- 1:03:53once but twice by two solid points. There was about a five to seven
- 1:04:00sent difference there. You could argue that Trump in Georgia is about a seven
- 1:04:05percent weight if you will, on the Republican ticket in Georgia. You cannot
- 1:04:12afford that in a state that has now gone purple like Georgia. Well,
- 1:04:15Georgia happens to border Florida, and it's got a governor that's very popular there
- 1:04:21who is effectively the same kind of character as De Santis is, and actually
- 1:04:28even more anti Trump than DeSantis is, And the santiss on paper would do
- 1:04:34very well in Georgia if only because of the fact that the state borders Florida
- 1:04:39and they basically had the same COVID philosophy. And sure enough, when it
- 1:04:45comes to a general election polling outcome in Georgia, de Santis is six points
- 1:04:55better against Biden than Trump is against Biden himself. Some of the words,
- 1:05:01it matches exactly what we saw in twenty twenty two most recent Paul out of
- 1:05:06Georgia. The Santist betters Trump by six points when it comes to a head
- 1:05:13to head matchup against Biden in Georgia, the most critical state. Six points
- 1:05:19is a lot in a situation where we are this divided and in this is
- 1:05:25a state that clearly knows all about the Santists and clearly is far more likely
- 1:05:31to go for the Santis against Biden than they are Trump against Biden. And
- 1:05:36that's before Trump gets indicted in the state, which is quite possible because of
- 1:05:44issues related to election and inference. So can you imagine how that's going to
- 1:05:47work out if and when Trump gets indicted over his meddling in the post election
- 1:05:56situation in Georgia. So to me, no, I'm reminded the old famous
- 1:06:02you know Brady Bunch episode Marcia Marsha Marcia to me, it's Georgia, Georgia,
- 1:06:06Georgia, Georgia, Georgia, Georgia. This is all that should matter.
- 1:06:13And DeSantis is the clear candidate. But it's not just Georgia, Nevada,
- 1:06:18which is another one of the key states. I mean, this whole
- 1:06:21thing really only comes down to Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, and
- 1:06:29maybe Pennsylvania, while hanging on in North Carolina. That's the whole election right
- 1:06:35there. That's the future of the country right there. And so we know
- 1:06:41de Santa this is clearly the guy in Georgia. And there's a new Poland
- 1:06:44in Nevada that says exactly the same thing once again, same numbers. Basically,
- 1:06:48DeSantis is seven points better against Biden than Trump is in Nevada. Now,
- 1:06:56you know, in Nevada, they probably don't know DeSantis nearly as well
- 1:07:00as they know him in Georgia. So are the numbers is reliable? Probably
- 1:07:04not, But that seven points is extremely significant in a situation where we are
- 1:07:12as divided as we are, and where these are states that are generally decided
- 1:07:16by very very small margins, and the and the margin for error that Republicans
- 1:07:24have in the twenty twenty four presidential map is basically zero. It's basically zero.
- 1:07:31You cannot lose North Carolina, which Trump might. You can't lose Georgia.
- 1:07:36You pretty much gotta win Arizona or Nevada. Ideally you gotta win both.
- 1:07:43And if you don't do that, you certainly gotta win Wisconsin and maybe
- 1:07:45Pennsylvania. Now you don't have to win every state that I just mentioned,
- 1:07:48but you gotta win almost every one of them. And it's very clear that
- 1:07:53the Santis is the guy. But it's also very clear that we're on the
- 1:07:58current path we're on, desantist isn't going to be the guy, barring some
- 1:08:02black swan of end. And it's incredibly frustrating, and you know, I
- 1:08:11don't know what else I can do. I mean, not that I have
- 1:08:13any real control over any of this, but I'm just telling you what the
- 1:08:15reality is, what the situation is. And there you know, the De
- 1:08:20Santis side is trying desperately to come up with some scenario where the polling data
- 1:08:27still provides a path for de Sandis to pull this off. And I'm not
- 1:08:31I want to make this clear. I still believe there is a theoretical path
- 1:08:36for De Sandis to win the nomination. I still believe Trump would sabotage him
- 1:08:41in the general election should it get to that. But at least want to
- 1:08:45at least give that a try, because that's the only hope we have for
- 1:08:48the country on a number of different levels. But there was a CBS poll
- 1:08:53that came out that got a lot of conversation online where I was forced to
- 1:08:57disagree with a lot of people who are on my side in this because a
- 1:09:01lot of the Santis people said, see, this is this has hope for
- 1:09:06us. This shows that Trump is a paper tiger, that this is all
- 1:09:11gonna come collapsing down on him once the Santis is a real candidate and starts
- 1:09:15to get attacked. And let me give you their argument, because it's not
- 1:09:20our interrational argument. I understand where they were coming from. I just having
- 1:09:25to think they're wrong. And the pull from CBS, which it should be
- 1:09:29pointed out, shows Trump beating the Santis by thirty six points nationwide. Okay,
- 1:09:36thirty six points. Thirty six points. It's a mass of margin when
- 1:09:45the guy leading is a former president who has a hundred percent name recognition and
- 1:09:51about whom every single Republican already has a very strong opinion. So right there,
- 1:09:59it's so fa. So you're almost in a situation of okay, it's
- 1:10:02over you how do you overcome that? But okay, fine, the Santis
- 1:10:08isn't a candidate yet, and you know there are things that can happen,
- 1:10:11and who knows, these indictments might finally jar some people loose from the Trump
- 1:10:16train. But here's the part of the CBS poll that a lot of the
- 1:10:20Santis supporters were latching onto. They asked the question and some of these questions
- 1:10:27were good, better than most posters I've seen. At least they tried to
- 1:10:30get to the heart of the matter. How many people are in the only
- 1:10:34Trump category? You're only considering Donald Trump as your choice to be the Republican
- 1:10:44nominee. So these are the only Trumpers. This would be the hardcore cult
- 1:10:48members. And the percentage they got was twenty four percent. Now, that
- 1:10:54number didn't surprise me, because, first of all, you have to remember
- 1:10:58for someone to respond, think about this, folks, if you're going to
- 1:11:02admit to a polster, Nope, I'm only considering Donald Trump. I'm at
- 1:11:08least the only guy I'm considering. I'm with him, come hell or high
- 1:11:12water. There's no one else I'm considering for my choice. You gotta be
- 1:11:16pretty hardcore Trump coldest, because you know, the polster doesn't, at least
- 1:11:23in your mind, the poster doesn't like Trump, And it's kind of inherently
- 1:11:28counterintuitive to say, no, I'm not even considering everybody anybody else, before
- 1:11:31all the candidates are even in the race, before there's ever been a debate,
- 1:11:35before there's even close to a primary. I mean, So to me,
- 1:11:40that number was more troubling than the de Santis supporters, the average the
- 1:11:45Santis supporter online was giving a credit for. Because that number is hard hardcore
- 1:11:53to tell a polster that is pretty extraordinary because you're basically saying, yeah,
- 1:11:58I'm a cult member because I'm not even gonna consider anybody else. So I
- 1:12:02think that number was a bit misinterpreted. And then there was another number that
- 1:12:08seemingly gives some hope, which is the number of people who are in the
- 1:12:12never Trump category. In other words, Trump has already been crossed off their
- 1:12:17list. These are likely Republican primary voters who say, Nope, I'm not
- 1:12:23going to vote for Donald Trump no matter what. I'm going to figure out
- 1:12:27the alternative and that's who I'm gonna go with. That number was twenty seven
- 1:12:31percent, and so on paper, the way they're looking at this, They
- 1:12:35go, well, gee, the never Trump number is slightly higher than the
- 1:12:42only Trump number that gives us a shot. And again I understand why people
- 1:12:48would look at it that way. However, I think that it's a lot
- 1:12:54easier to tell a polster now I've crossed Trump off my list, I'm not
- 1:12:59going to consider voting for him. That doesn't make you a cult test that
- 1:13:03hell in the you know, to the minds of the person they're speaking to.
- 1:13:06That makes you probably a smart person because so you're you're not afraid of
- 1:13:12any kind of negative blowback when you tell a pholster that I'm in the never
- 1:13:15Trump category. So I think that there's some bias when it comes to how
- 1:13:19people would respond to those two questions. But even even if I accept,
- 1:13:25I'm going to accept for the sake of argument, that those two numbers are
- 1:13:28in the ballpark of correct that it does, at least in theory on paper,
- 1:13:33gives some hope, It gives some path to Ron de Sanders defeating Donald
- 1:13:40Trump. But here's the negative way of looking at it, and the way
- 1:13:44I looked at it, which is typical considering I'm perceived as a pessimist.
- 1:13:49So we got twenty seven percent in the never Trump category. You know what
- 1:13:55that means. That means seventy three percent are not in the never Trump category.
- 1:14:04And if you're in the if you're not willing to tell a polster,
- 1:14:08you're in the never Trump category at this stage, after you've seen Trump for
- 1:14:12eight years, after January sixth, after his indictment, after what he's done
- 1:14:19to Rohn de Santis, and all the lies he's told about him for his
- 1:14:24own selfish purposes, all the thousands of reasons why you could be against Donald
- 1:14:30Trump. If you are not at this stage willing to tell a polster you're
- 1:14:35never Trump. That means you're least leaning towards voting for Donald Trump. So
- 1:14:43that means seventy three percent of the repub likely Republican voting base is at least
- 1:14:50leaning towards Donald Trump. And to me, if you're leaning at this stage
- 1:14:57to Donald Trump, there is a very very good chance you're going to vote
- 1:15:01for Donald Trump. Is no? And are some of those people you know,
- 1:15:06there's I'm sure there's different percentages for different tiers of that seventy three percent,
- 1:15:12but that is a daunting number. That is a daunting number at this
- 1:15:15stage. If Trump was going to be defeated. That never Trump number would
- 1:15:23be higher than twenty seven percent, in my opinion. But that's not even
- 1:15:28the most troubling number in the entire poll. The most troubling number in the
- 1:15:31entire poll is they asked for qualities of people that they would support or not
- 1:15:38support, and what they wanted in a candidate, and what they wanted and
- 1:15:43why they liked Trump, and some of those answers were really depressing why they
- 1:15:46liked Trump. By the way, electability was a major reason why they liked
- 1:15:50Donald Trump. Over eighty percent of his supporters said that they support him because
- 1:15:56they think he's the most electable candidate, which is just put a bullet through
- 1:15:59my head. Please not that I think it's impossible for Trump to beat Biden,
- 1:16:03because I do think Biden Harris is going to be a very, very
- 1:16:06historically weak incumbent candidate. But Trump is as toxic as it gets, and
- 1:16:13I do think he would be a significant underdog in defeating Joe Biden unless we
- 1:16:17had an economic collapse. But the idea that somehow electability is a positive for
- 1:16:23Trump is incredibly depressing. And by the way, I'm being told, very
- 1:16:27incredibly from the top top sources within the Desantists. It's not officially a campaign
- 1:16:33yet, but the people that are likely to make up his campaign that in
- 1:16:36focus grouping they are finding that this is exactly the case that people are not
- 1:16:43buying the electability argument when it comes to DeSantis being more electable than Trump.
- 1:16:48Now, can that change, I guess, But you know it's We're living
- 1:16:54in this bizarre world where Trump is touting all of these polls showing him winning
- 1:17:00the Republican primary against the Santists, So those are all accepted as real by
- 1:17:05the Trump supporters, But the polls showing the Santists doing better against Biden than
- 1:17:10Trump, those are fake news and rigged polling because it's cult that's cult like
- 1:17:17thinking, and that's that's what the Santist people are going to run up against
- 1:17:21here. But the number that was most disturbing in the internals in this poll,
- 1:17:29in the qualities that people wanted in a candidate, only seven percent of
- 1:17:36likely Republican voters wanted Donald Trump criticized. Now, it's possible that the way
- 1:17:45they asked that question produced a result that was worse than it sounds, or
- 1:17:51sounds worse than it actually is, But I'm sorry, no matter how you
- 1:17:55slice it, if true, that's game, set match you gotta pull.
- 1:18:01That shows Trump's up by thirty six most people think he's electable. Only twenty
- 1:18:09seven percent of people are in the never Trump category, but only seven percent
- 1:18:15of Republican voters want to see Trump criticized, which means, so how do
- 1:18:19you so, how do you make up the thirty six point deficit if you
- 1:18:25don't criticize him while he's attacking you on a daily basis, when you're not
- 1:18:30even a candidate yet. I mean, I'm sorry. It's sad, but
- 1:18:33it's also funny. I mean, there's just no way to do this.
- 1:18:39Now. I do think there is a way, and I'm going to get
- 1:18:41to the details of the way, which I first articulated in episode fifty four,
- 1:18:45which if you missed, I hope you'll go back and listen to.
- 1:18:48But if you if you did miss it, I think you'll you'll particularly enjoy
- 1:18:53what's coming up at the end of this particular episode number fifty five. But
- 1:18:58before I get to that, I want to review kind of quickly how we
- 1:19:00got to where we are when it comes to this Republican primary process, because
- 1:19:06it really has been extraordinary, and the media has done a terrible job,
- 1:19:12of course of detailing the evolution of this story, because it has been remarkable
- 1:19:20how we have gotten from the mid terms in twenty twenty two. We're just
- 1:19:25after the midterms. This race between Trump and DeSantis, when Trump was a
- 1:19:31declared candidate and DeSantis was not yet a declared candidate. DeSantis was basically almost
- 1:19:41exactly head to head with Trump. He was probably a little bit behind nationally,
- 1:19:46but in many of the state polls he was either head to head,
- 1:19:50dead even or maybe even ahead in certain in certain states. So so if
- 1:19:56we go back to last November December of twenty twenty two, this was effectively
- 1:20:02a dead even race, and today, while nothing you could are, the
- 1:20:10only major thing that's happened either of these candidates is that one of them got
- 1:20:14indicted for campaign hush money to a porn star, and that's the person that
- 1:20:20now has jumped ahead by about thirty five points nationwide. How the hell did
- 1:20:28that happen? Well, here's my very short version. I'm sure at some
- 1:20:33point I'll get into a deeper dive into how and why this happened. But
- 1:20:38the short version is this so in retrospect. When that polling was happening back
- 1:20:45in November and December of twenty twenty two, we had a couple of things
- 1:20:48that were dominating the headlines. Obviously the disappointment among Republicans for how the midterms
- 1:20:56turned out, and Rohn de Santis was literally the only star that broke out.
- 1:21:02He was the only Republican that defied expectations, that did way better than
- 1:21:08expected, won by basically twenty points in Florida, blew the doors off of
- 1:21:12it, despite the media attacking him all for a year and a half two
- 1:21:15years over his COVID response, and he was vindicated and he won big,
- 1:21:23while Trump lost in every race that really mattered, and Republicans did not get
- 1:21:29the red wave. They barely took the House, they lost ground in the
- 1:21:31Senate thanks largely to Trump. Trump was getting not as much as he deserved,
- 1:21:35but at least some blame for that, And so we had a classic
- 1:21:40situation where it's Trump looking like he's the past, the Santis is looking like
- 1:21:45the future. Also in late twenty twenty two, I think COVID was still
- 1:21:50much more at the forefront of people's minds, and even though it's only been
- 1:21:55a few months since then, and I've predicted this, and it's been a
- 1:21:58worry for me about up to the Santis campaign all along. And that is
- 1:22:03people have very short memories, and they really forget bad things. I think,
- 1:22:12much more quickly than certainly I do. And I'll never forget what happened
- 1:22:16during COVID. But for a lot of people, they have either rationalized,
- 1:22:20forgotten, or it's not that relevant anymore. COVID is in the rear view
- 1:22:26mirror, and you know, for people like me like, okay, fine,
- 1:22:29but what are the accountability and where's the making sure this doesn't happen again.
- 1:22:33But I don't think that the majority of even Republican voters are in the
- 1:22:39camp that that is the most important issue, or even close to the most
- 1:22:44important issue. And even those that are in that camp, many of them
- 1:22:48are still part of the Trump cult. So even though they may feel strongly
- 1:22:53about COVID, it doesn't do any good for the Santis because they just rationalize
- 1:22:57how Trump blew it. If he did it, you know, he won't
- 1:23:00blow it again. He learned deep State took over what you know, whatever
- 1:23:04crap that they're going to pollute their minds with to rationalize why their hero shit
- 1:23:10the bed during COVID, and so COVID is fading and the mid term somehow
- 1:23:17is fading. And so I think that really is the foundation for why these
- 1:23:25poll numbers have shifted. And then you add into that the Tucker Carlson factor.
- 1:23:30Basically, then I'm not just talking about his firing. What he did
- 1:23:33on January sixth, I think was a huge help to Trump because it reversed
- 1:23:40the narrative on the right for a lot of people. It continued it get
- 1:23:44forward to this narrative that Trump is being unfairly attacked and that he's vindicated and
- 1:23:48everything, and that he's right and that January sixth wasn't what we were told.
- 1:23:54I mean, January sixth, by the way, should hurt Trump on
- 1:23:57so many levels, not just because it makes him toxic to independent voters and
- 1:24:01he got impeached the second time, but you know, frankly, up until
- 1:24:05very recently, he's done absolutely nothing to support those that went to jail on
- 1:24:11his behalf, despite claims that he would. And instead, Tucker turns January
- 1:24:16sixth somehow into a positive and then Trump gets indicted, and this clearly,
- 1:24:23you know, was the death now in retrospect, if this is the way
- 1:24:27that turns out the death now was that when he got indicted, both the
- 1:24:31left wing and the right wing media is turned exactly into what I feared that
- 1:24:38they would, probably worse than I feared that they would. They did exactly
- 1:24:41what Trump would have wanted, and there was this rally around the flag effect
- 1:24:45on the right towards Trump, and even worse than that, Tucker created and
- 1:24:50Glenn Beck also helped create and promote this absurd narrative that we must nominate Trump
- 1:25:00to prove to the left that they can't get away with this kind of a
- 1:25:04political prosecution against the former president. And that I knew at the moment that
- 1:25:12I heard it, and I raised bloody hell on this podcast about it.
- 1:25:15I knew that was going to be very devastating, at least in the short
- 1:25:19run, because that was going to resonate. And boy did that idea resonate.
- 1:25:26And it also gave a lot of people that were on the fence an
- 1:25:29excuse for jumping back on the Trump train. I saw it in my own
- 1:25:33personal life and I saw it in the polling, where you know, people
- 1:25:38who were iffy on the fence decided you know what, screw those assholes.
- 1:25:44They're gonna do this. We're gonna stick it to them by making Trump the
- 1:25:46nominee, and they're gonna be sorry they did this. And I could even
- 1:25:51somewhat understand it, even though it's irrational, I can understand why that happened.
- 1:25:57I was hopeful that that was going to fade, that emotional reaction,
- 1:26:01but it has not faded, and I don't see any sign that it's going
- 1:26:08to fade. And I think the reason why it hasn't faded is that part
- 1:26:13of what was happening here from a psychological perspective is that we're an uncharted territory.
- 1:26:21We're an unprecedented situations here. We've never had in the modern era a
- 1:26:27former president who lost an election who claims that he didn't really lose the election
- 1:26:34run in the next cycle in a contested primary. We've never had anything like
- 1:26:41that happened before. So I think psychologically, there was a lot of people
- 1:26:45on the right who were kind of like, so, are we really going
- 1:26:48to do this Trump thing again? Really? Are we really? I mean
- 1:26:53I'm not totally against it, but are we really going to do this?
- 1:26:57And then the reaction after the indictment basically told them, oh, oh,
- 1:27:01we are going to do this. Okay, all right, if everyone's on
- 1:27:04board, I'll be on board. That's fine, let's do it. Let's
- 1:27:06go. And psychologically, I think that really really inflated the post indictment surge
- 1:27:17or bump or whatever you want to call it, was more than a bump
- 1:27:19because I think there were a significant number of people, maybe twenty percent of
- 1:27:25the party that were really on the fence, and they're the sheep. They
- 1:27:30go, Okay, if everyone's gonna go ahead and do this, I want
- 1:27:32to be on the side of good. I want to be on the side
- 1:27:33that wins. So let's do it. I'm all right. I wasn't sure
- 1:27:39we were going to do this, but clearly we're gonna do it. So
- 1:27:43that shifted a lot of support that was on the fence towards Trump. And
- 1:27:46then something that I have talked a lot on this podcast about and I think
- 1:27:50I've been pression about everyone was incentive incentivized to attack Rhonda Santis, including every
- 1:28:00handidate, not just Trump but all the other Republican candidates. They're not going
- 1:28:02to attack Trump because they don't want to get destroyed by him, and They
- 1:28:06know his support isn't going to move to them, but they know that the
- 1:28:11non Trump support is very much up for grabs and that much of the de
- 1:28:15Santis support is soft. Plus they can get in Trump's good graces by attacking
- 1:28:20the Santis. And the right wing media understands this, and so much of
- 1:28:25the right wing media has been nitpicking the Santis. The left wing media has
- 1:28:29been very happy to see the Santis be brought down several notches because they're much
- 1:28:32more afraid of him than they are of Trump, both as a candidate as
- 1:28:36well as as a president. And I mean the nitpicking, which is something
- 1:28:41I also predicted was going to happen. I mean, you know, Trump
- 1:28:45is immune to all viruses, and the Santis, you know, isn't immune
- 1:28:49to that many. I guess he's immune to the COVID virus, he got
- 1:28:53through that, but apparently not the Mickey mouse virus or the book banning virus,
- 1:28:58or they don't say gay virus. I mean, all this other bull
- 1:29:00crap and the idea that conservatives have been so nitpicky towards the Santis, which
- 1:29:09is something I feared, has just been infuriating. I tweeted yesterday and I
- 1:29:14think this is an apt metaphor that Republicans who don't like Trump and don't think
- 1:29:18he can win, who are hesitant to get on board with the Santis are
- 1:29:24basically like passengers on the Titanic who refuse to get on a lifeboat because the
- 1:29:30seating looked uncomfortable. Get the goddamn boat. This is the last shot.
- 1:29:36You're gonna die if you don't get in the boat. Okay, this is
- 1:29:41it. This is the best we have for you. Sorry, the luxury
- 1:29:45accommodations aren't perfect. If you're gonna nitpick about some bullshit that liberals have mind
- 1:29:51screwed you into believing that the Santis is some sort of a tyrant, or
- 1:29:56he's not ready for prime time or all this other utter bullcrap. But that's
- 1:30:01where we are on this. And so the nitpicking on de Santis has taken
- 1:30:06its toll as well. And you know Fox News, after the indictment,
- 1:30:12they start to bring Trump back into the fold and they normalize him, and
- 1:30:16now Tucker's firing, I think also has created this further narrative that you know,
- 1:30:21we've got to really do something dramatic to get the country back. Even
- 1:30:25Fox isn't even on our side anymore. So I think this all psychologically helps
- 1:30:30Trump and leads us towards Trump being the nominee. And so that's the It's
- 1:30:36not that short of version, but that's that's as short a version as I
- 1:30:40can provide as to how we got from basically a head to head matchup in
- 1:30:45December of last year to now here we are in May, and this thing
- 1:30:50is really close to being over before de Santis has even announced his run.
- 1:30:59And when I say it's close to being over, I mean that literally.
- 1:31:04So there's been a couple of developments just since our last episode of the podcast.
- 1:31:10Number one. Trump has agreed to do a CNN town hall meeting next
- 1:31:15week, and I had to say, this is bizarre on so many levels.
- 1:31:21I mean, I don't understand why how CNN can justify doing this when
- 1:31:28Trump is a grave threat to democracy and they're going to give him a platform
- 1:31:31where he's basically going to attack the Santis. And I'm sure that the attacks
- 1:31:36from the Santists are going to be amplified not just via CNN but every other
- 1:31:42outlet that'll pick up the clips from this appearance. So there's the hypocrisy on
- 1:31:46CNN's part, there's the weirdness that Trump is giving CNN access to him at
- 1:31:54the same time that he's bitching and moaning that he might not do the debates
- 1:31:58because he doesn't want to be vulnerable to left wing questioning, and they stated
- 1:32:03that on True Social and Maggie Habrman, his favorite reporter for The New York
- 1:32:09Times, is reporting that Trump is now likely to skip at least the first
- 1:32:15two presidential debates for a variety of reasons, including the fact that he feels
- 1:32:18screwed over by the Ronald Reagan Library here in southern California because they have the
- 1:32:25audacity to do a series of speaking events called a Time for Choosing, as
- 1:32:30if that's an affront to Trump because you're not allowed to have an actual process
- 1:32:36of choosing since he's supposed to get a coronation as the royalty of the Republican
- 1:32:43Party. And I'm going to get to the debate issue in a moment,
- 1:32:46but it's just very strange and so typical of Trump that, Okay, you
- 1:32:51know, he's being incredibly hypocritical doing a town hall with CNN, so he's
- 1:32:57clearly not afraid of CNN's questioning. I guess he's afraid of who he's going
- 1:33:00to debate, which would be Ronda Santis. So he's obviously more afraid of
- 1:33:04debating Ronda Santis than he is of facing CNN and then the other part of
- 1:33:10the CNN town hall. And this is so odd that I'm not even sure
- 1:33:14it's it's true. I must be misunderstanding this, but I can't find any
- 1:33:18information that contradicts this. But it appears as if this is going to be
- 1:33:25broadcast on CNN's streaming service, which is basically pay per view. So I'm
- 1:33:31not even one hundred percent sure this is going to be on CNN's broadcast air.
- 1:33:38I'm so baffled by that. I'm I must be mistaken in this,
- 1:33:42But that's what has been reported, and that's weird on so many different levels.
- 1:33:49One that CNN is going to be basically profiting from from this guy they
- 1:33:55believe to be a grave threat to democracy and to Trump wouldn't do this in
- 1:34:00a way that it reach the largest audience possible, And he's then going to
- 1:34:03make himself vulnerable to whatever CNN decides to edit and put out to the general
- 1:34:09public. I mean, again, the whole thing is just odd. But
- 1:34:13the most important part of this is the issue of the hypocrisy when it comes
- 1:34:16to facing questioning from somebody else. So Trump is fine with going and having
- 1:34:24CNN, who is you know, he's considered to be fake news and the
- 1:34:30enemy of the people, and he mocks constantly. But he doesn't want to
- 1:34:33do a debate on Fox News. And as I said, Maggie Haberman has
- 1:34:40said, Trump is now telling his advisors that he is likely to skip at
- 1:34:45least the first two debates. And you know, there are those who I'm
- 1:34:48sure are thinking naively that this is just a negotiating tactic, this is Trump
- 1:34:54being Trump, and that he's not actually going to go through with this,
- 1:34:58or that he wouldn't have the ability to pull the US off. I've gotten
- 1:35:00into a battle with the Santra supporters about this issue, and I think they're
- 1:35:05being very naive, and because I think that Trump is in a very very
- 1:35:12strong position to do exactly this, and it's actually in a weird way.
- 1:35:19It's evil, but it's actually genius. And this is one of those classic
- 1:35:25circumstances where I never know, is Trump just incredibly lucky and he's acting like
- 1:35:30a child and it all just turns out for him, because, as he
- 1:35:33once famously said, it's like magic. Everything just works out for him.
- 1:35:39Is it that? Or is he some sort of an evil genius where even
- 1:35:43he doesn't understand the full magnitude of his savant like powers to figure out how
- 1:35:49to manipulate every situation to his advantage. And maybe it's somewhere in between.
- 1:35:55But here's the bottom line on what I think is very likely to happen and
- 1:35:58why I have been sounding the alarm. And i gotta tell you behind the
- 1:36:01scenes, I'm getting ripped by the Santis people for having the audacity to say
- 1:36:06that this thing is a month or two away from being over if the polling
- 1:36:11doesn't dramatically change. And I'm basically giving the Santis two weeks at the re
- 1:36:17announces, which will likely be early June, when I'm being told if in
- 1:36:21two or three weeks after he announces in early June, so basically, you
- 1:36:28know, by mid to late June, if we are still anywhere close to
- 1:36:32this current polling, this thing will be shut down. And let me tell
- 1:36:38you how it will be shut down. Trump will not do the debates.
- 1:36:44He will not do the debates, and he will be if the polling is
- 1:36:47not dramatically changed. By then he will be in a position to pull this
- 1:36:51off, and he will. He might lose some semblance of support, but
- 1:36:58not much, not enough to make it matter. And so if in fact
- 1:37:03he does not do the debates, let's game plan this out. This doesn't
- 1:37:08take a genius to figure how this is all going to go down if you've
- 1:37:11been paying attention for the last eight years. So in a rational world,
- 1:37:15the right wing media would go no, no, no, no, no,
- 1:37:17you're not going to do this, mister president. Sorry, you're not
- 1:37:21a king. We're not running a monarchy here. You know, we're gonna
- 1:37:26have a legitimate primary process and you must debate your opponents. And by the
- 1:37:30way, we really want to have this programming because this is important to us,
- 1:37:33especially during the late summer when we got nothing else to talk about,
- 1:37:36and we're not going to give up debates and real primaries. And nope,
- 1:37:43we're not gonna let you get away with this. That was That's what would
- 1:37:45happen in a remotely rational media world. That's not going to happen on the
- 1:37:51right. In the vast majority of cases, you might have a few people
- 1:37:56that stand up and go this is wrong. Maybe Andy Shapiro, you know,
- 1:38:03Matt Walsh, Maybe I would have been curious to see how Tucker would
- 1:38:08have handled that if he was still on Fox News Channel. But now he's
- 1:38:11not there anymore. Obviously, Handity and Ingram will be down with it just
- 1:38:15fine. In fact, they will be making the argument that this is smart.
- 1:38:19It's smart because Biden's not going to have debates, So why should Trump
- 1:38:24make himself vulnerable to debates. We're just going to divide ourselves. We need
- 1:38:28to beat Biden. And it will be framed as making Trump debate is adverse
- 1:38:35to the cause of beating Joe Biden, and that will resonate. That will
- 1:38:40be the rationalization that people on the right and the media will make. So
- 1:38:45there will be very few attacks on Trump even when he bails on these debates,
- 1:38:49and in fact, I believe there will be more people carrying his water
- 1:38:54on this. They will say that they will say this is a great idea,
- 1:38:59this is good for the cause of beating Joe Biden. Well, then
- 1:39:02there are there are people say, well, okay, but John, so
- 1:39:05he doesn't do the debates, They're still going to have the debates, so
- 1:39:10won't that be bad for Trump again. I'm living in the real world.
- 1:39:15You're living in a fantasy world that no longer exists, because let me tell
- 1:39:18you what will happen in the real world. In the real world. Number
- 1:39:23one, those that go to the debates will inherently be diminished. I don't
- 1:39:29know if there's going to be exactly seven candidates other than Trump, but there's
- 1:39:32going to be in that ballpark. They will be referred to as the seven
- 1:39:35Dwarfs. That's the narrative that will be out there. Everyone that participates in
- 1:39:41a non Trump debate will be inherently diminished, and the audience for those events
- 1:39:47will be diminished. And then there's the content. Guess who everybody's going to
- 1:39:54go after in a non Trump debate, Ron De Santis. Guests who run
- 1:40:00Desantists won't be allowed to go after in a non Trump debate because he won't
- 1:40:05be there to defend himself Donald Trump. It'll be seen, somehow, bizarrely
- 1:40:12insanely as being against the rules for De Santists to attack someone who's not there.
- 1:40:20That'll make him somehow seem like the bad guy. Meanwhile, Trump will
- 1:40:27either completely ignore the event or he'll be live posting about it on truth social
- 1:40:32mocking everybody, whereas then he gets the best of both worlds, where he
- 1:40:36gets to have his say without being vulnerable to any questioning or attack. And
- 1:40:42so this is a lose lose, lose, lose lose. And so I'm
- 1:40:47amazed that there's any chance that Trump, based upon the current polling, is
- 1:40:51going to do the debates. And the only thing that's going to keep there's
- 1:40:56only a couple of things that could keep him from bailing on these debates.
- 1:41:00Number One, if somehow the conservative media rose up and said, hell,
- 1:41:04no, we're not allowing this, no, which they have an incentive to
- 1:41:09do, but they're not going to because they they're incentive structure is so perverse
- 1:41:14and so screwed up, and they're so afraid of the Trump consumer base.
- 1:41:20So that would be number one. Number two would be his polling lead diminished
- 1:41:27to the point where one he couldn't make the argument that I'm just like Joe
- 1:41:30Biden, I'm way ahead, this thing's over. You shouldn't put me through
- 1:41:33debates. And two, it would be close enough to where if they had
- 1:41:38debates without him and it didn't look good for him, and his lead started
- 1:41:42to road further than he might get into a situation where he was now in
- 1:41:46a real ball game. But you have to get close enough to what I
- 1:41:51call punching distance, and the Santis isn't within punching distance currently. So that's
- 1:41:59why I keep saying these polls matter. I can't tell you how many people
- 1:42:02don't understand. They think, well, John, there's no real votes for
- 1:42:06another eight months. Bullshit, do you understand how this is gonna go down?
- 1:42:13If there's no debates? Guess what happens to the Santis is fundraising.
- 1:42:16It's gone immediately, It's over. Once de Santis loses his fundraising, there's
- 1:42:24no path. So psychologically, Trump is able to shut the whole damn thing
- 1:42:30down by simply not going to the debates. And if he gets another month
- 1:42:39or two, not even really two months, basically six weeks, there's six
- 1:42:44weeks to turn this thing around from where we currently are. Otherwise Trump is
- 1:42:50the nominee and there's a better chance. I said this in the last episode,
- 1:42:56I can't believe this is where we are, as must be without much
- 1:42:59media, you know, discussion of this at all. I had had a
- 1:43:02conversation with a TV producer about this. This morning. How the hell is
- 1:43:06no one talking about this? We are this close to it being over.
- 1:43:10You're gonna lose all this programming, and no one seems to care. But
- 1:43:15we are six weeks away from Trump being the nominee and likely losing, possibly
- 1:43:20bigly, to Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, and that leading to at least
- 1:43:28two more years of Biden and maybe ten years of Kamala Harris because then she
- 1:43:31becomes president after Biden resigns in twenty twenty seven. She runs as an incumbent
- 1:43:36in twenty twenty eight. There's no natural Republican to take her on. I
- 1:43:40know she's a terrible, horrendous candidate, but at that point, she's her
- 1:43:44historic female, first female president, woman of color. The media will create
- 1:43:49a completely different narrative around her. She will be seen in a very different
- 1:43:54way as an incumbent, historic president. And again, with the map going
- 1:43:58against Republican demographics going against Republicans on an almost daily basis, I'm sorry,
- 1:44:05we will have left the gravitational pull of the rational Earth forever and America will
- 1:44:11be gone. So that's why these next six weeks are so incredibly critical,
- 1:44:16and it's just astonishing to me, how few people understand this or seem to
- 1:44:21have their hair on fire like I do. Now. As you know,
- 1:44:26if you know anything about me, you know that I don't go down without
- 1:44:29a fight, and that I will do everything I can, even with my
- 1:44:32very very very limited powers and influence, to try to influence to impact events
- 1:44:38if I can, even in theory, and I referenced in episode fifty four
- 1:44:43that I had reached out to a good friend of mine who is in the
- 1:44:46process of becoming part of Team De Santis, with an idea that I have
- 1:44:53to try to fix this, even though I think that the chances are small.
- 1:44:59You know this, This is Luke Skywalker going into the Death Star,
- 1:45:02a metaphor I use a lot, but it's particularly apt here where even though
- 1:45:06it's a long shot, it's do or die this, so you can't give
- 1:45:12up until you've taken the shot. And I think the only shot left for
- 1:45:16Luke Skywalker in the Death Star is to completely flip the script on the way
- 1:45:23people think about this race in general and specifically whether you're running really against Donald
- 1:45:30Trump in a traditional primary battle, the way that I'm sure everybody in the
- 1:45:35De Santis campaign has been thinking about this, which is, you know,
- 1:45:41in basically one dimensional terms, where okay, it's us against Trump. We've
- 1:45:46got to first of all, make sure that you know, we get rid
- 1:45:49of these these single digit sideline warriors that are nipping at our heels because we
- 1:45:56have to consolidate the non Trump vote, but then we also have to attack
- 1:46:00Donald Trump. Had on and proved that we're the better candidate than Donald Trump,
- 1:46:04and that made sense two months ago, but that no longer makes sense.
- 1:46:11That battlefield leaves to slaughter, and so I have come up with a
- 1:46:15theory for how you change the battlefield. And you know, this sounds incredibly
- 1:46:20simple, and in many ways it is, but it also I believe fundamentally
- 1:46:27alters the entire dynamic of the race if what I'm proposing actually gets implemented properly
- 1:46:35by the DeSantis campaign. And my friend loved this idea and immediately proposed it
- 1:46:43to the person who will be most well positioned to actually make this happen.
- 1:46:47And I'm told that they loved the idea. And then my friend and I
- 1:46:55regrouped and thought about, okay, so how do we put some meat on
- 1:46:59this own And what I did was I put together a fictitious script, if
- 1:47:06you will, for a DeSantis announcement campaign announcement. And I realized this was
- 1:47:15never going to be RHN de Santis's campaign announcement, but I did this as
- 1:47:19an exercise to show the campaign what was possible and how this change in thinking
- 1:47:29could be implemented. So I did this, and I sent it to my
- 1:47:33friend. Actually did it an audio as well as in written form, because
- 1:47:39I wanted the context to be clear. And I sent it to my friend
- 1:47:43and they took it, and then they changed it and put it into their
- 1:47:47own words, using a lot of what I had done, and then their
- 1:47:51own ideas, and then they sent it back to the person who was in
- 1:47:57this position to actually make it happen. And I'm told that they had a
- 1:48:01very positive reaction to my friend's version of what I'm about to share with you,
- 1:48:08So and real I'm trying very hard to not cause any problems with revealing
- 1:48:14too much, and I don't think I have. But I also want to
- 1:48:17give you a sense of where things are and what I'm trying to do here.
- 1:48:21And while I'm not going to share with you my friend's version of this
- 1:48:27idea, I'm going to give you my version. So this is my original
- 1:48:30version of how, in an ideal world, I think Rhn De Santis could
- 1:48:36announce his run for president and dramatically change the dynamic of the entire race and
- 1:48:45how specifically Republican voters think about the decision that they are facing, and if
- 1:48:51done properly, I think could get the Santist back in the race. So
- 1:48:58again, I'm not delusional, although some people might think I am. And
- 1:49:04it's funny because I always argue against this idea that I'm a pessimist. I
- 1:49:09believe I'm a delusional optimist. I will go down to the very very end
- 1:49:14of any fight trying to be as optimistic as possible while also being realistic.
- 1:49:18And I will do everything and anything I possibly can, no matter what the
- 1:49:24odds are, to try to fix a problem that I see needs to be
- 1:49:28fixing. And it's clear that my hair is on fire far more than anybody
- 1:49:32else close to this situation, and I think I'm right. It's probably my
- 1:49:36greatest strength is seeing bad outcomes. I joke all the time that my old
- 1:49:42golfing buddy, Haley Joel Osman, in the sixth sense, he saw dead
- 1:49:45people. I see bad outcomes that was my gift. I see bad outcomes,
- 1:49:49and when I see bad outcomes, I'm almost always right. But sometimes
- 1:49:55when I see bad outcomes, I can try to figure out a way to
- 1:49:59prevent them from happening. So, without further ado or a claim, because
- 1:50:03I don't want to make too big a deal of this, but I think
- 1:50:05you'll find this to be interesting, here is my version of what the Santis
- 1:50:13could say as he announces his candidacy that would radically alter the way that people
- 1:50:19and maybe even in the right wing media think about this race going forward.
- 1:50:25So here's what I wrote, and these would be the words of Rhoda Santis.
- 1:50:30America stands a year away from a presidential election which may very well decide
- 1:50:35the fate of our republic, and already the Biden Trump establishment, in a
- 1:50:43desperate bid to protect their power in our stagnant status quo, along with their
- 1:50:47allies and the elite media and the failed class of paid political operatives and out
- 1:50:53of touch politicians, are telling us that a Biden Trump rematch is inevitable,
- 1:51:00so much so that the Biden Trump establishment cabal is trying to protect their records
- 1:51:05from scrutiny by preventing a legitimate primary process. They are telling us we must
- 1:51:14be resigned to the fact that another Biden Trump presidential election, a matchup between
- 1:51:18two ancient captains who have each had their own chance to write our listing ship
- 1:51:25and failed, despite being an outcome that no one in our country seems to
- 1:51:29actually want, just cannot be avoided. A contest whose movie we have already
- 1:51:34seen before, and for which, unlike the liberal elites in the news media,
- 1:51:40we really don't like, the ending simply must be accepted without even a
- 1:51:45decent fight. They believe that our country must be forced to choose between two
- 1:51:50relics of the past, both of whom helped create our current economic hardships,
- 1:51:57were nearly identical in their catastrophic miss handling of the COVID pandemic, and who
- 1:52:02routinely come down on the same wrong side of the deepening cultural divide which threatens
- 1:52:09to fundamentally transform this great nation forever. Heck, both Biden and Trump even
- 1:52:15agree that the tyrannical socialist governor of California should be praised while what we have
- 1:52:23accomplished in Florida should be erroneously defamed. The America I know and love deserves
- 1:52:30better than a Biden Trump rerun. We must do better than this. I
- 1:52:39believe we are better than this. My candidacy clearly offers the only viable alternative
- 1:52:48to this cruel destiny to which our elites are so content to condemn us.
- 1:52:56Join me in this fight on behalf of the soul of America. Help me
- 1:53:01prove that we are indeed still better than what our political establishment is allowing us
- 1:53:09to be. The future of America, and perhaps the world depends on this
- 1:53:15optimism being vindicated. This is something for which I'm willing to fight to the
- 1:53:21very end, and that battle for our future begins today as I officially declare
- 1:53:28my candidacy for the presidency of the United States of America. And for the
- 1:53:35record, I am calling this plan, this new campaign strategy. America is
- 1:53:44better than this, and that this being this Biden Trump rematch that nobody wants.
- 1:53:54That is the only path I see for De Santis pulling this off again,
- 1:54:00preventing Donald Trump from being the nominee. You tie him to Biden,
- 1:54:04you tie him to the establishment, You take away his anti establishment street cred.
- 1:54:12He gets all those endorsements of congressmen in Florida. Fine, your mister
- 1:54:16establishment now, buddy, And there are all sorts of things on which Biden
- 1:54:21and Trump agree, both politically and philosophically. There are last two presidents.
- 1:54:28Their COVID response was almost exactly the same. Their spending views created this current
- 1:54:33inflation. Hell, they even seem to agree on transgenderism. They even agree
- 1:54:39on Gavin Newsom, and they certainly agree that it's okay for an eighty year
- 1:54:43old guy to be president of the United States without even having to go through
- 1:54:46primaries and debates. This is actually a very easy argument to make and one
- 1:54:54that I think would resonate with a vast majority of the American people, and
- 1:55:00it would drive the Trump cult crazy because when I've shared this on line already,
- 1:55:04oh my god, their heads explode. And I think part of the
- 1:55:08reason why their heads explode is because they actually see that there's a lot of
- 1:55:12truth in it, and it really bugs the crap out of them that they
- 1:55:15have now created this cult of the worship for a guy who's the exact opposite
- 1:55:24of what they think that he is. Now, look, I'm not naive.
- 1:55:28I'm not naive that this is likely to actually be implemented, because you
- 1:55:31know, I use the analogy that I think we're rounding first based on this
- 1:55:36idea in episode fifty four. We're probably getting closer to second base as I
- 1:55:44tape this. Do I think this is going to get to home plate?
- 1:55:46Probably not, because that's just not the way the world works. But it's
- 1:55:49got a chance. It's in the right hands, and if ever implemented properly,
- 1:55:56I think it would work. More importantly, it's the only option there
- 1:56:00is. This is the only path, and I'm led to believe that the
- 1:56:05person who is in the best position to actually make this happen at least understands
- 1:56:10that. Now the Santist himself would have to sign off on this, and
- 1:56:14there are some reasons why he might not, including the fact that it doesn't
- 1:56:16really appeal to his ego. Not that his ego is dominant like it is
- 1:56:21with Trumps, but it's just the nature of being a presidential candidate. And
- 1:56:26to that I've even said to my friend Will, Look, that's that's not
- 1:56:30true, because first of all, this does two things for the santiss that
- 1:56:34I think are very much in his self interest personally. Number One, it
- 1:56:39reduces the expectations rather dramatically. You're you're casting this as an effort to try
- 1:56:47to pull off a miracle. You're going back to the Luke Skywalker in the
- 1:56:51Death Star metaphor, where you know, even if Luke had failed in that,
- 1:56:56he was still going to go down as a hero because he was trying
- 1:57:00to blow up the Death Star. Everyone knew it was a long shot.
- 1:57:01Well, that's kind of how I'm casting the Rhonda Santis campaign at this point,
- 1:57:08because I think that's pretty much accurate based upon where the odds currently are.
- 1:57:13And then there's the issue of from an ego standpoint, you're the only
- 1:57:17one that can stop this, and that's true, the only person that can
- 1:57:21stop other than death, So the Grim Reaper, I guess, would be
- 1:57:28the first person that could stop this, the first entity that can stop this.
- 1:57:30But other than the Grim Reaper, the only human being that can stop
- 1:57:35a Biden Trump Establishment cabal rematch is Rhonda Santis. And so I mean,
- 1:57:42that's not that's not like you're diminishing yourself if that's your claim. But again,
- 1:57:46I'm a realist above all else. I realize is not a strong likelihood
- 1:57:54that this is going to happen. But I share it with you for reasons
- 1:57:57that I think are obvious, one of which being I do think it's the
- 1:58:00only way out of this and it might be the only way to save the
- 1:58:02goddamn country. So on that note, that'll do it for this episode number
- 1:58:06fifty five of the Death of Journalism Podcast. As it's always the case,
- 1:58:11I ask you to please subscribe, rate, and review, and share it
- 1:58:14with others. If you share it on social media, I'd be happy to
- 1:58:16share your tweet or your post on Facebook, whatever it is, in effort
- 1:58:20to try to get the word out about what we do here. Until next
- 1:58:24time, this has been the Death of Journalism podcast, and my name is
- 1:58:27John Zickler.