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Red Sox/Cubs Brewers/Dodgers MLB Best Bets Saturday 7/19/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: What to tell you above that I just don't want
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm gonna burn my Broins hat. Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: March Hape, is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, praise, the slump, discontinuers, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: sewed back with you. This is better off dead. Saturday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: July nineteenth. We were one and two on the show yesterday,
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: and I think it was kind of bullshit, man. To
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: be honest, I'm just repeating everything from the intro, but
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, we had the one under in Cincinnati and
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: the Mets looks like it was terrible.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, the score wound.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: Up being eight to four, but if you look at
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: what happened in that game, I think there were only
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: fifteen total hits in that game, which I mean, it's
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: still a lot, But when you get fifteen hits in
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: a game, usually don't see that result in twelve runs
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: coming across the board or coming across the plate.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: I should say, so I think that was.
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: I mean, it was still a loss, yeah, but I mean,
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: you know, I think it was worse. It was not
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: as bad as it looked.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: I should say.
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know what else to say about that, but
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: both starting pitchers didn't really even do that bad in
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: that game, I don't think, and it was just, yeah,
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: there were just some bad things going on in that game.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: I definitely had Baltimore wrong.
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, Charlie Morton, he took the loss for sure,
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: although Taj Bradley I think walked numerous guys in that
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: game just kind of got away with it. So yeah,
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: another loss, maybe not quite as bad.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: As it looked us. I think that was a five
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: nothing score at the.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: End of the fifth inning, so I mean that was
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: never gonna have a chance. And then we did win
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: on the under with Houston Seattle late at night. That
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: was a one nothing game into the seventh inning. Both
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: starting pitchers did really well in the game, and then
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: Houston's bullpen kind of imploded and the game wound up
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: being a six to one Seattle win, which is not
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: really what I expected, but it still went under the
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: seven and a half, so that was a winner.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: I think that was the correct call on that one.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: Once again, I am not actually betting these right now,
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: so I'm trying to could serve money a little bit here,
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: but Charles.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: What's up. Good morning to you Jr. Good morning.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: Ah, Yes, sir, this episode is not gonna be a banger,
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: as I don't like the baseball card. Today, I'm gonna
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: give out two probably disappointing plays, and I put it in.
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: It's in the title, Man, let's bring more people in.
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: Those are the games that we're gonna have plays on.
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: I won't give it away, but I think they're gonna
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: be kind of boring plays because again, I just don't
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: like this baseball card at all, man, And we can
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: jump into it here. First game up on the board
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: for baseball today, San Francisco and Toronto. Toronto did win yesterday,
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: which of course was the bubble game that I gave
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: out yesterday. That was the first game that I did
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: not release as a play on the show yesterday. I
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: was like, I like Toronto, but I kept it off
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: the card, and of course easy went for Toronto. Verlander
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: is terrible in the game. Toronto won four to nothing yesterday.
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: Coming into this game, we're still looking at two good bullpens,
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: and the rest scenario for the bullpens isn't even really
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: that bad, so I think we could kind of bank
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: on the bullpens still in this game. I looking at
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching logan, Webb is pitching for San Francisco
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: here here, and he is of course their ACE two
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: point nine four ERA one point one seven whip. He's great,
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: although he is a little bit worse on the road
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: three point six' nine ROAD. Era he did pitch in
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: The All Star, games so that is something to keep in.
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: MIND i think he's gonna be the first starting pitcher
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: up who pitched in The All Star. Game he only
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: went one, Inning he threw eleven, pitches and that was
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: whatever that was four days, ago so he should be
• 4:52
  Speaker 2: basically on, schedule SO i think that's. Fine but he
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: also had a bad start against The, dodgers even though
• 4:58
  Speaker 2: they won that, game he gave up six runs against
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: The dodgers coming into The All star, breaks so maybe
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: a little bit of hesitation as far as What webb's
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: recent schedule was basically coming off two kind of big,
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: games ALTHOUGH i don't think that was his First All
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: star appearance or anything like, that so it wasn't something
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: WHERE i think he was gonna get like so hyped
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: up that it was really gonna like affect him emotionally or.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Whatever he is.
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: Still definitely a good, pitcher still probably looking to bounce
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: back from That dodgers, start but he is worse on the,
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: road and his numbers are actually not good Against. Toronto
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: in twenty eight career at, bats he's a lot of
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: three fifty seven, average nine twenty nine ohps to them
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: seven to.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: Zero strike out walk ratio is pretty.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: Good but, Overall i'm hesitant to a trust web in this, game,
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: man just because his matchup numbers are bad Against. Toronto
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i know it's a small sample. Size that's one
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: of the things that you probably want to try to
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: factor in less than some of the other. Things even
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i kind of factor the matchup in enough LIKE
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: i use it as like a clincher, really or like
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: something that keeps me off of a.
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: Game, patrick what's? Up thanks for hanging, Out good.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: Morning Eric lauer is gonna be pitching For toronto here
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: and he is having a pretty good, season.
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: Man he's flying under the. Radar he's been good For.
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: Toronto two point seven EIGHTY ra one point zero four
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: whip good at, home two point four to FIVE era at,
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: home coming off an outing where he did not make
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: it five.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: Innings against The White. Sox that was the.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: GAME i gave out the under in that game on this,
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: show and that was an easy.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: UNDERWINNER i don't know why.
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: They limited his pitch his pitches in that. GAME i
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: don't know if he got semi hurt or what the deal,
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: was because they limited him to sixty eight. Pitches he
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: was pitching. Well seven strikeouts against The White sox in four.
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: Innings he probably could have gone, further but they took him.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: Out his strikeout walk ratio is him pretty good man
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: over the last couple of months twenty five to. Seven In,
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: June toronto actually won six straight starts that he made
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: before they lost That White sox, game which wasn't exactly his.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: FAULT i, mean he got no run support. There thirteen
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: to three strike out walk. Ratio this, month he's just
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: been good. Overall and he's been okay Against San francisco
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: and a limited twenty two at bat sample size two
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: seventy three average allowed six to twenty three ops and.
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: LOWER i, MEAN i think he's probably fairly trustworthy here.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: Man San, francisco their offense is the worst of these two.
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: Offenses they do have the better, bullpen so all that
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: to keep in mind, HERE i mean it does even
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: Though web doesn't have good matchup, numbers it does still
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: kind of look like an under type of game to.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: Me totals kind of sitting around.
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: Eight we do see sixty two percent of the tickets
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: on the, under ninety two percent of the cash on the, over,
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: though so the market does seem to be going against
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: the under, there and it does seem to be an
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: even stronger market read though actually On. Toronto AND i
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: will just SAY i did see some market indicators On
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: Action network on the under in this, Game but maybe
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: the stronger way to look at this is The toronto
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: side Of San francisco With Logan web on the. Mound,
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean they're a road favorite here and probably
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: because Of webb's matchup, numbers they probably should not be
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: a road favorite. Here and they're already down for minus
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: one twenty five to minus one.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: Ten we see.
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: Fifty two percent of tickets eighty percent of the cash
• 8:07
  Speaker 2: coming in At. Toronto even though a lot of times
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: you want to look to the team that lost the
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: first game of the series to bounce, back in this,
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: CASE i would SAY i leaned to the, under AND
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: i leaned To toronto in this, game just based on
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: everything THAT i just pointed, out not a play for
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: me Though red's at The. METS i, mean don't really
• 8:26
  Speaker 2: want to talk any further about what happened in the game.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: Yesterday ALTHOUGH i think we saw some bullpen, usage BUT
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: i THINK i forget if either of the teams use
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: any of their like better. Relievers, actually, NO i was
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: thinking of a different. GAME i THINK i THINK i
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: was thinking of The Brewers. Dodgers we didn't see a
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: lot of bullpen usage in this game, yesterday so the
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: bullpens are actually decently intact. Here we have some mediocre
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: bullpens in this. Game decent. Offenses Nick, martinez especially For,
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: cincinnati he's not that. Good four point seven eighty, right
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: one point two to one whip home road splits are
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: pretty insignificant last. Month over the this, MONTH i should,
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: say is a seven to four strikeout walk ratio and
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: an eight point four to SEVEN, era which is really,
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: bad although it is being skewed by a ten run.
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: Outing but it was Against, miami And miami is a terrible,
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: offense SO i think that you do have to take
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: that into, account and JUST i, mean he's just not
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: pitching well right. Now, Man he's not racking up a
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: lot of, strikeouts had that really bad outing Against, miami
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: which is pretty, damning and his numbers are not good
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: against The. Mets twenty nine career, bats three ten, average,
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: oney ten. Ops that's not very good to. Either SO
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: i don't think we would Trust Nick martinez. Here he's
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: going up Against Clay holmes three point three ONE era for,
• 9:46
  Speaker 2: him one point two SIX. Whip he's been a little
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: bit better home three point one SIXTY ra at. Home
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: he doesn't have a good strike a walk ratio this month,
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: either eight.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: To six with a five point two EIGHTY.
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: Ra so, actually both of these starting pitch have been
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: a little bit questionable, recently, Man SO i don't know
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: if we want to trust either one of these. Pitchers Clay,
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: homes even though his numbers on the season are, good
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: he's not really a guy THAT i trust that. Much
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: he does have good numbers against The reds, though in
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: twenty two at bats to twenty seven average five hundred ohps,
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: seven zero strikeout walk. Ratio so, OVERALL i think you
• 10:20
  Speaker 2: do still have to be looking to The mets side
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: here in this. ONE i, mean they are the better,
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: team they have a better. OFFENSE i think they do
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: have the better.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Starter. Here you're laying a price for.
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: It they're up for minus one, sixty minus one seventy,
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: four eighty six percent of, tickets ninety five percent of
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: the cash on The. METS i would probably, SAY i,
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: mean you could look To mets run line in this.
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: GAME i, mean there probably isn't another way THAT i
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: would want to play that. GAME i just think The
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: mets do have the advantage in that. Game, Uh Kansas
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: city At. Miami miami got another win, yesterday, man eight to.
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: Seven some crazy Stuff stowers is that he pronounce his.
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: NAME i hit a walk off home run in the
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: ten inning, yesterday his second home run of the. GAME
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: i Believe miami continuing to pitch, well shockingly high scoring game.
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: Yesterday, actually to be, Honest.
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: Miami And Kansas city not known for their offensive. Prowess,
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: ZACHY i know The royals definitely struggling. Here royals might
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: struggle a little bit less in this. GAME i don't, know,
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: man BECAUSE i don't know IF i like either of
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: these pitchers, Really but looking at what happened, yesterday, THOUGH i,
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: mean we're looking at a situation where the game went
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: into extra, innings we saw a lot of bullpen.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: USAGE i Like Kansas city's.
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: Bullpen by the, Way Seth lugo wound up being the
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: starter for The royals, Yesterday so these teams that had undecided,
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: STARTERS i have to go into the box score and
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: check and, see, well what did they? Do they actually
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: did use one of their normal, Starters Seth, lugo so
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: he is going to so he's basically back into his
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: spot in the. Rotation but both bullpens saw a lot
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: of usage. Yesterday, GENERALLY i Like Kansas city's, bullpen but
• 12:00
  Speaker 2: in this game with all the bullpen you, Suggesterday i'm
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: not too keen on these bullpens, here And i'm not
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: too keen on these starters. Either Michael walker for The,
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: royals he is the better of these two. Starters three
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: point seven FOUR era one point two seven. Whip he's
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: been okay on the, season but he has been significantly
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: worse on the road or a four point eight to
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: nine ROAD, era and that's where he is.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: Here his last few starts have not been.
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: Good a nine to seven strike out walk ratio in
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: the two starts of this, month going back to the
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: start before, that it gets a little bit worse ten
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: to nine strike Out walker ratio over the last three,
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: starts he is walking too many.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Guys. Man he's done five innings or less.
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: In each of those three, starts has a FIVE ra
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: and the two starts this, Month walker is living.
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: Up to his name and walking too many.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: GUYS i don't think he's trustworthy on the, road but
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: he's facing a Bad miami team In miami is zero
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: for eight off of him lifetime with four. Strikeouts so
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: take all that into, ACCOUNT i. GUESS i, mean maybe
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: Walk a will bounce back and have a decent start
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: here against a Weak miami. OFFENSE i don't know IF
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: i really want to count on, that. Though Cal quandra
• 13:11
  Speaker 2: on the other side From miami has not been. Good
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: five point six to TWO, era one point four to FOUR.
• 13:16
  Speaker 2: Whip he's been a little bit better at home four
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: point nine to one HOMY.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: Ra he's not really pitching up particularly well.
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: EITHER uh seven point two SEVEN, era and it's two
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: starts this month going five innings or less in every
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: start going all the way back TO uh all the
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: way back Into, april he hasn't gone more than five
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: innings in any.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: Starts he's being pretty limited in his.
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: Starts for the most, part he is giving up three
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: or fewer earned runs and all of his short starts
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: though last two starts eleven to two strike a walk
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: ratio isn't really that bad, Though and part of the
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: reason why he give up five earned runs in the
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: game Against cincinnati is because it's a pretty hit or conducive.
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: Ballparks and maybe we could, SAY i don't, know, man
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: Maybe quandrill's not exact actually quite as bad as his
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: numbers to make him, look but he's he's not. Good
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: his numbers aren't good against The royals.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: Either.
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: Really in sixty at bats two eighty three average ALLOWED
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: uh seven to twelve ops eight to one strike.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: A walk ratio not too.
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: Bad of, Course perez has a home runoff and what
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: else is? New so probably looking out To Kansas city
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: in this game because both bullpen's being used, up and
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: you got to give the advantage the bullpen advantage Of Kansas.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: CITY i think they do have the starting pitching at
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: edge as.
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: Well here they are up for minus one to fifteen
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: of minus one twenty three, here but sixty nine percent
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: of tickets sixty four percent of the, cash so the
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: cash percentage is not agreeing with the initial money line
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: move on that. GAME i was also kind of thinking
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: an over in this, game to be, honest, man just
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: BECAUSE i don't necessarily trust either start or But miami
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: might struggle to hit a little bit Against waka, again
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: just because they haven't done well against him in the
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: past and they are unfamiliar with. Him we see sixty
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: nine percent of tickets on the, over but ninety eight
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the. UNDER i don't Think
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: i'm ready to trust these bullpens to keep this game under,
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: though SO i would not want to be doing anything like.
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: That it's a very tough game to. Handicap, yes The
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: angels are. Playing every baseball team plays on the, weekends,
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: man the days that some baseball teams get, off Or
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: monday And. Thursday, anaheim speaking speaking of The devil or The,
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: Angels anaheim is At.
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia by the. Way The angels won yesterday six to
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: five At.
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: PHILADELPHIA i think The PHILADELPHIA i think kind of screwed
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: themselves man by putting The coldplay kissed cam up.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: There.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: Man they were trying to catch a cheating husbands yesterday
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: if you didn't see, that but they did not do.
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: That and at the very end of the, segment this
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: husband and, wife well you saw this. Couple they kissed
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: and then the wife had like a sign up that
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: said this is my husband or, something or maybe the
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: husband had a sign that said this is my. WIFE
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: i forget one one or the other something like. THAT
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: i think it was the husband actually had yet that
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: this is my wife's. Sign and they were doing some
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: stupid things with The philly mascots and. Whatever But philly
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: lost the. Game, Man they had a lead early in the.
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: Game they blew. It they lost the. Game they actually,
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: YEAH i mean they got out hitting the game. Too
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: they didn't play that. Well luzardo continued to. Struggle we
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: saw a lot of bullpen, usage, man so that's something
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: we're looking at. Here The angels went with a bullpen game.
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: Yesterday they did not have a listed starter. Yesterday these
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: are two teams with pretty weak, bullpens AND i think
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: that's gonna crop up in this game because we saw
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: a lot of usage from those bullpens. Yesterday so my
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: first thought is kind of, like, WELL i think we're
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: probably looking towards an over in this. Game here, Today
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: Yusei kikuchi is pitching for The. Angels, here he's got
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: a pretty good three point one, one but a one
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: point three to seven whip kind of tells a different.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: Story. Man he is putting too many guys on, base
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: and he's.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: Been significantly worse on the road with a four point
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: three to three road E. R he's uncomfortable away from.
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: Home he tends to walk too many. Guys he's been
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: okay in the three starts this month with a sixteen
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: to five strike out walk, ratio but he's only gone
• 17:11
  Speaker 2: fewer than six innings in all three. Starts he's given up,
• 17:14
  Speaker 2: two four and three earned runs in those. Starts very
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: mediocre starts from. Him he does do well against The, phillies,
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: though for whatever, reason even though The phillies are a
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: really good. Offense they have thirty two at bats against
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: him nine to one strike at walker, rachio and he's
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: sell him to a one to eighty eight batting, average
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: only one extra base hit.
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: A double From, rojas and a four to thirty OH.
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: Ps So kakuchi does have good matchup, numbers which is
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: the one kind of HESITATION i have. Here because everything
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: else tells me that this is an over game, here
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: AND i was, thinking, oh, Well kakuchi's not good on the.
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: Road he does actually walk too many guys facing a
• 17:49
  Speaker 2: good lineup like, This i'm thinking this does have all
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: the makings for an over other than the fact That
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: kakuchi just shockingly has good matchup numbers on The philly
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: Side Taiwan. WALKER i, mean there's NO i would want
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: to back this. Guy three point five to FIVE era for, like,
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: sure that's, fine that's, good one point three whip not
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: really as.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Good he's not.
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: Good at home four point five FOUR era at, home
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: and he does not go deep into games.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Man he's basically an.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: Opener he went four innings last time out against a
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: pretty Weak giants, lineup but other than, that he's gone pretty.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: Much he has not been go deep into games. MAN
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: i don't know what else to say about. That for
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: an entire month prior to, that he was going like
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: two winnings or fewer in every. Outing so we're basically
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: looking at a bullpen game for The phillies. Here maybe
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: this shows that then maybe they're ramping Up walker a
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: little bit and maybe he'll be doing something like he
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: was doing early in the, season but he's only gone
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: five innings three times all, season and all those games
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: are really early in the. Season SO i think we're
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: gonna get fewer than five innings out Of walker, here
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: and his numbers are not good Against anaheiman's sixty six
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: career bats three sixty four batting, average one thirty oh.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: Ps that is pretty.
• 19:02
  Speaker 2: Bad So i'm gonna Say i'm gonna lead To anaheim
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: in this. Game probably first and. FOREMOST i Think walker
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: is just he is very fatable. Man, Yes philly has
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: the better, offense BUT i Think anaheim is probably the
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: right lean in this. Game but if you don't want
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: to go with the, bullpens WHICH i don't blame, you
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: because the bullpens are, Terrible anaheim's is even worse Than.
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: PHILADELPHIA'S i, mean if you want to see the numbers,
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: HERE i arranged this my whip this. Time The angels
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: have the fourth worst bullpen whip And philly has the
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: seventh worst bullpen, Whip so we're looking at some bad bullpens.
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: Here so maybe if you want to just take the
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: bullpens out of the, equation anaheim first five innings might make.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: Sense just Grab anaheim money.
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: Line first five, Innings philly is down for minus one
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: thirty five to one twenty eight ninety three, tickets eighty
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: six percent of the cash coming in On philadelphia. There
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: So philadelphia is a very public home favorite. HERE i
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: think probably the public just has no, idea like what
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: what the pitching situation is here For, philly which isn't very,
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: good BUT i STILL i do need to do an
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: over in this game, Too and the totals up from
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: nine to nine and a half seventy percent of tickets
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: nine to nine percent of the cash on the, over
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: so some agreement in the market with that game as.
• 20:17
  Speaker 2: WELL a lot of games you see have been going. Over,
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: UH i don't. KNOW i.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: DON'T i don't think it's like an inordinate.
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: AMOUNT i, Mean i've had a couple of overs That
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: i've given out on the show that have. Hit BUT i, think,
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: LIKE i think it's probably about the normal amount the
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: public tends to like to play. Over SO i think
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: the oddsmakers might you to think that this many games
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: are going. Over if, ANYTHING i might even say the,
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: opposite because we're not in the steroid era. Anymore so
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: you see batting averages are like way down across the,
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: League like when you go to a baseball, game, like
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: how the fuck are like the best hitters on these
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: teams hitting like two point? Fifty like it's. Ridiculous, Man
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: back in my, day it was like a good like
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: offense would have multiple guys hitting over three hundred like.
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: Easily SO i don't know it's crazy, anyway. Yea so
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: those are the ways THAT i look at that. Game
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: we Have White Sox. PITTSBURGH i, mean, Boy White sox
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: won ten to one. Yesterday didn't see a lot of
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: bullpen usage in that game on either, side though a
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: little bit less from The White sox and The White
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: sox actually have kind of a good starter on the
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: mound here today With Adrian. Houser he's been pitching pretty
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: well one point five six THE ra and one point
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: one three. Whip he's been worse on the, road but
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: that still only means he has a two point two
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: seven ROADY, ra which is still quite. Good not getting
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: a lot of strikeouts From, howser but he is getting
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: the job. Done he's allowed to three or fewer earned
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: runs in every start all. Season White sox have won
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: four straight starts of his last three, starts he's allowed
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: two or last four starts he's using those four, starts
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: he's allowed two or fewer earned, runs and all of. Them,
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: again his strikeout rate is, low but that's just kind
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: of what he. Is he doesn't strike out a lot
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: of guys against The. Pirates doesn't have great numbers, though
• 22:04
  Speaker 2: ninety at bats pretty, bad fifteen to twelve strike a
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: walk ratio a three home runs allowed to three different,
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: batters two seventy eight, average seven to sixty three. Ops
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: SO i don't know what we want to do With howser.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: Really, OVERALL i would say he is, good but his
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers are, bad and The pirates are actually pretty
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: good at. Home, Man even though The pirates have a
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: really really bad, record they HAVE i think maybe the
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: worst or second worst road record in all of, baseball
• 22:30
  Speaker 2: maybe to Just, colorado but their home record is actually
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: above five, Hundred so The pirates are actually a different
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: team at. Home but if you like The pirates, here
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: you're gonna have to deal with the worst of the
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: two starting, Pitchers Mike. Burrows he's a, rookie SO i,
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: mean there is definitely room for improvement for. Him but
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: he's not been pitching well four point eight THREE, era
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: one point four to SIX. Whip he has been better
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: at home four point one to EIGHTY, ra but he's struggling.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: Recently.
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: Man he didn't even make it out of the second
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: inning last time out against a pretty Bad minnesota. Lineup
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: gave up five, hits six or, runs walk three. Guys
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: has seven to seven strike a walk ratio this. Month,
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: obviously numbers like that are not gonna cut. It but
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: of course The White sox are a weak lineup and
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: they've never Seen borrows. Before so a young pitcher that
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: does have some talent does have a little bit of
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: an advantage against hitters that haven't seen them before more
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: often than. Not So I'm i'm kind of thinking under
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: in this, game. MAN i, mean we do have weak,
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: lineups the bullpens are, bad but like reasonably, rested we
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: just see sixty eight percent of tickets ninety four percent
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the. Under so the money's coming
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: in on the, under and it's coming in On, pittsburgh
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: WHICH i don't really agree with. That but The White,
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: sox after winning ten to one, YESTERDAY i guess is
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: why they have a heavy amount of public action on
• 23:47
  Speaker 2: them sixty seven percent of, tickets only fifty four percent
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: of the. Cash, Though and you know WHAT i always,
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: say if you see a public road, underdog the public
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: is almost always gonna be on a favorite. MAN a
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: road underdog having public action like that with reverse line
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: moving against, it that is a strong indicator to. Me
• 24:05
  Speaker 2: so the market indicators are definitely On pittsburgh, here up
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: from my one fifteen to minus one.
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: Thirty so the market read is Saying.
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh BUT i do Think howser is pretty good though
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: he does a bad matchup numbers. THOUGH i don't think
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: he could Trust borrows either, though So i'm just saying,
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: YEAH i, MEAN i would still be looking to an under,
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: though just BECAUSE i think both offenses are. Weak and
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: then it's kind of just like whichever one, scores you,
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: know four runs might wind up winning the game in that.
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: One San diego At. Washington washington lost again, yesterday of,
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: course seven to. Two Dylan ceeze actually had a decent,
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: game although he threw too many pitches again struck out ten.
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: Guys we had a lot of bullpen usage in that game,
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: yesterday especially For. Washington San diego used a lot of
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: their best relief. Men washington use a lot of their.
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: Bullpen washington has a terrible. Bullpen San diego's bullpen is actually,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: good but a lot of bullpen You sai, yesterday, man
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: AND i don't know if we could trust either starter
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: or in this game here either with. You darvish trying
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: to make his comeback at the age of thirty eight.
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: Here he was injured to start this.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: SEASON i, mean he hasn't been like out of baseball
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: for that long or, anything but he was hurt to
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: start this.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Season and he hasn't been good so far this.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: Season a six point four to eighty r and one
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: point six' eight whip although it's only, two starts but
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: he did not make it five innings and either start
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: he has seven to six strikeout.
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: Walk ratio he hasn't been good.
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: So far he did face two Good lineups Arizona, and
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: philadelphia so maybe you give him a little bit of
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: a pass. For that he is gonna be facing a
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: weaker line up Here. In washington he hasn't been decent
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: against him in the past forty eight at bats to
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: twenty nine average allowed seven thirty three ops a little
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: bit high because he has a lot of three home
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: runs to three. Different batters he may, do, okay though
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: because he is at least stepping down a, class Here
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: and darvish generally has been still okay up through like,
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: last YEAR so i expect him to start doing a
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: little bit better as he works his. WAY back i
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: don't think we Could Trust mitchell. PARKER here, i mean
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: he's been bad all season. Pretty much five point ONE
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: two Era for washington one point Four. To whip he
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: hasn't better at, home though four POINT two era. At
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: home he's coming off a couple of bad outings where
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: he gave.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Up four and runs but nine runs and.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: Ten hits Against My red sox followed that up giving
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: up seven Runs. To Milwaukee h granted that both of
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: those lineups are. Pretty, good yeah but over the last
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: four starts he has what is that a an eight
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: to nine strike a, walk ratio so he's been really
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: struggling with his command over the last.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Four starts that's, not good walking too.
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: Many guys his Numbers Against san diego are bad and
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: forty five at bats three thirty three average.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: Eight sixty four.
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: Oh ps but Given the darvis just isn't in good
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: form yet or anything. Like that i'm kind of thinking
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: over in this game is the way to look in, this, game,
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: Too man and then you get the advantage of having,
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: unrested bullpens and aren't. That great we've seen some movement
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: on the over as far as the line flipping from
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: nine juice to, the under the nine juice to. The
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: over if you do, like that of course you want
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: to get the. The nine you want to get over
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: nine rather than nine and, a, half man because nine
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: is a.
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Key number you got to break the four to.
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: Four tie we see nine percent of tickets only eighty
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash on. The OVER but i
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: think the over maybe the way to look in. This
• 27:22
  Speaker 2: game the money looks like it's strongly Agreeing with, washington
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: too as We See san diego very public eighty two
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets but only fifty three percent of the
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: cash and the numbers down for minus one thirty eight
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: to minus one. THIRTY five i don't really see justification,
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: for that to, be HONEST because i don't know how
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: you Could Trust mitchell parker bad matchup. NUMBERS two i
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: don't know how you can Trust the washington. Bullpen Either
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: SO i'll i WON'T touch i would not want to
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: touch the, side here but it is it looks like
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: a pretty, Strong market Rina grabbing washington and a home underdog.
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: Price there maybe the professionals are just thinking it's because
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: of the, value Man because sandie is the road. Favorite
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: there Baltimore at tampa bayh.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: Of course that was. The, GAME yeah, I mean i
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: don't want to talk about this.
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: Game either as far as me giving OUT the i
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: Gave out baltimore yesterday and that obviously did not. Work
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: out morton did not have. It, Yesterday man bradley was
• 28:19
  Speaker 2: way BETTER than i expected him to. Be yesterday tampa
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: wound up winning the game eleven. To one didn't see
• 28:25
  Speaker 2: a lot of bullpen us such on, either side so
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: you got to give the bullpen Advantage to. Tampa here
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: baltimore's bullpen is not good looking on. The surface, i'm,
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: Thinking well baltimore does have a disadvantage in the starting pitching,
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: as WELL because i Don't Like dan kreamer four point
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: TWENTY four era one point two. Seven whip he's been
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: way worse on the road five point eighty THREE, road
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: era so that's not. Good either he is coming out
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: a good Start. Against miami he was pitching.
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: Fairly well across a.
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: Few starts had a bad Starting, against atlanta but he
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: bounced Back, against miami so he IS actually i have
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: a good form. Right now he had a seven inning
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: Shutout against miami with seven strikeouts. One walk, miami's bad
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: but still that was a good Start. From creamer so
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: he is actually a fairly good form. RIGHT now i
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: kind of worry because he gives up home runs on,
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: the road and this is a pretty home run friendly
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: ballpark Here at tampa's temporary Ballpark At steinbrenner field. Or
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: whatever creamer actually does have good Numbers, against TAMPA though
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: i was surprised by. These numbers he has eighty eight
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: at bats, against him and he's held him to a
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: two point five average and five eighty nine ops twenty
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: one to seven strang a. Walk Ratio so creamer actually
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: has done pretty Well. Against tampa over on the, Other
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: Side zach lttel having a good Season. For tampa three
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: point FIVE, six era one point oh. Wait whip his split's.
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: Basically insignificant he's pretty good at home and on. The
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: road he's been struggling a little bit, more, recently though
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: he's walked two batters in each of his last. Three
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: outings he's still got at least five innings in, each
• 29:56
  Speaker 2: one and he still has not allowed more than three
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: ear in runs in, each one so he's still pitching.
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: Rather consistently all three of those games are on. The
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: road one of them Was, against baltimore and he did
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: go seven innings along one run in, that one.
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: So he did pitch Well.
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: Against, baltimore actually let, me See because creamer probably Pitched against, tampa, Recently,
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: Right yeah creamer his last Outing against tampa was the
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: seven innings shutout with. Six strikeouts so both of these
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: starters did pitch well last time out against. These offenses
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: and a lot of times when that happens because the
• 30:26
  Speaker 2: offense just saw. That Pitcher and lttell actually pitched Twice against,
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: baltimore recently he was fairly good in. BOTH outings a
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: lot of times when, that, happens though the opposing offense,
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: is now like recently familiar with, that pitcher so that
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: hit them a little. Bit BETTER but i think when
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: you're talking about veterans like this that are already very
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: familiar with the, OPPOSING lineups i think that that's less of.
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: A factor i think that it just doesn't matter, As
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: much like these guys already are familiar with these, starting
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: PITCHERS so i think it comes down to matchups more than.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: Anything else Lattel against baltimore has been pretty good in
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty nine, at bats twenty six to
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: four strike a, walk ratio two forty eight, batting average
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: it's six eighty. Two ops so the Way that i'm
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: looking at this Game is i'm gonna, say under probably
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: in the first, five, innings THOUGH because i just don't
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: want to Deal with baltimore's bullpen total has flipped from
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: nine juice to the over to nine juice to. THE
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: under a though we do see sixty nine percent, of
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty four percent of the cash on the over
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: money line did flip to. THE under i would be
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: looking at an under, as well even though the oddsmakers
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: put that total out at nine for. A reason and
• 31:32
  Speaker 2: we are Dealing With tampa bay's pretty offensive heavy, stadium
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: here so that is a little bit of a hesitation
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: if you do like the, under here the money looks
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: like it's coming In a baltimore. As Well with tampa
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: down for minus won twenty six to, minus one twenty
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: eighty five percent of tickets only seventy two percent of.
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: THE cash i wouldn't really disagree, with, it Really because
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: baltimore got. Embarrassed Yesterday dean kremer actually has the slightly better.
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: MATCHUP numbers, i know. IT'S shock i don't like creamer
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: on the road, in, general THOUGH so i hesitate to do,
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: that TOO and i would not want To factor baltimore's bullpen.
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: Into it so if you Did, TAKE baltimore i, would
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: say do it in the first five innings on the.
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: Money line but it does look a kind of strong
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: market read On the. Baltimore side Detroit. At texas texas
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: did get the. Win yesterday it was a zero zero
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: game late into the Game and texas scored two runs
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: late in the bottom of the.
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: Eighth inning this game was a total under the.
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: Whole way man good starting pitching for both sides in,
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: This game Olsen. And corbbin we do have two pretty
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: good bullpens here that didn't see a ton of use.
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: Suggest today so THE bullpens i, would say are fairly
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: trustworthy in. This game texas is more So the, detroit's
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: though but it Looks like detroit's probably gonna be over
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: to their bullpen Early Because keeter montereo is listed as,
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: their starter and he is not a guy that goes deep.
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: Into games he's been mediocre four POINT two era one
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: point three TO.
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Seven whip it's been a little bit worse on the
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: road four point TWENTY.
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: Four roadira he did actually go a full starter's workload
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: in most of his, recent, starts actually So maybe, i'm
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: wrong maybe he will actually go five innings deep into.
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: This one he was actually. Pitching okay he hasn't a
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: lot more than four and runs in any start going
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: all the way back To, late may which is decent especially.
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: For him doesn't strike out a ton.
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: Of guys his walk number has been relatively, low though
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: but he only went three innings in his last Start,
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: against seattle so they are still kind of limiting his.
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: Pitch count you'll basically see him come in and probably
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: go somewhere around seventy to, eighty pitches and however deep
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: he gets into the game, with that that's how deep he's.
• 33:38
  Speaker 2: Gonna go he usually is actually pretty efficient with, His
• 33:41
  Speaker 2: pitches so we'll see what Happens with Montero, here man
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: and he's facally A weak, texas lineup and he may
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: actually have a little bit of an, advantage because aside From,
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: tay as nobody Else on texas' lineup has Even seen,
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: montero before and he's zero for. Too Often so montero
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: actually might have a little bit of, an edge EVEN
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: though i don't think he's a great pitcher, or anything
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: but he might have a little bit of an edge
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: Just because texas has never seen. Him before detroit does
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: have the offensive advantage in. This Game kumar rocker is
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: gonna be Pitching. For texas he's been all over, the,
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: place man like, he's uh, you know sliding through diarrhea.
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: Filled.
• 34:16
  Speaker 2: Streets man he has a six point three TO ninety
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: ra one point. FIVE whip, i mean obviously those are.
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: BAD numbers i Actually think rocker does have a high.
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: Ceiling Though like i've been following his scouting reports since,
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: last year.
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: He does he is a. Strikeout guy he does.
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: Throw hard he's had glimpses where he's been, really good
• 34:33
  Speaker 2: but he's also been really bad in. Some starts but
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: he's actually been way better at home two point THREE.
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: Five era, at home he has really significant home. Road
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: splits his last game is. Really bad he give up
• 34:44
  Speaker 2: three home runs in his. Last game he's given up
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: four home runs in his last. Three games that's. Not
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: good two of the three the last two were both on, the,
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: road though and he really struggled in those starts six
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: to three strike out, walk ratio give up six earned
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: runs last. Time out but now that he's back, at
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: home he might. Pitch better last time, at home he
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: pitched Well. Against, seattle AGAIN as i, already said he's
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: been way better at home as. Home starts looking at
• 35:09
  Speaker 2: his home, starts here he's made four home starts and
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: he hasn't allowed with the three on runs in any.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: Of them so he has been significantly better. At Home
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: and detroit has Never seen. Rocker BEFORE so i think
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: this game might be kind of a sneaky, under. Game
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: man we Do see texas is actually kind of an
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: anti public. Home favorite they're down for minus one to
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: seventeen to minus, one eleven eighty percent of, tickets hit
• 35:34
  Speaker 2: only seventy six percent of the Cash. On detroit so
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: We see detroit being very. PUBLIC here I, MEAN detroit
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: i mean we know they're a, public, team man because
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: they had.
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: Such, a really really great first half of, the.
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: Season but detroit is at least more vulnerable on, the
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: road even though they are still above five hundred on.
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: The road texas has been pretty decent. At home they're
• 35:54
  Speaker 2: definitely better, at Home so texas does have that going.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: For them detroit maybe a little bit of a disadvantage
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: JUST because I think montero has the lower ceiling out
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: of the. TWO starters i Do think texas bullpen is
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: Better and detroit probably is gonna be going to their,
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: bullpen earlier would be. My guess we just see eighty
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: four percent, of tickets only seventy six percent of casual on, the,
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: under though and the totals flip from eight and a
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: half juice to the over to eight and a half juice.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: THE under i would go full game under on.
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: THIS probably i think it's probably the preferred way in
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: my opinion to actually look at.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: THIS game i think you could factor both.
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: Bullpens in they're both decent enough bullpens that didn't get
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: a ton of, usage yesterday and Hope the montero gets
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: you maybe five innings deep into, this game so you
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: don't have a ton of bullpen Usage.
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: From detroit.
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: Probably the better way to look at, that game because
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: Even the rocker is good.
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: AT home i.
• 36:45
  Speaker 2: Do kind of still agree With the texas. SIDE too
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: i just don't KNOW if i would Trust That.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: South.
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: Asian MIGRANTS what I was i was referring to the
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: Fact That kumar Rocker. Is, INDIAN man I think i
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: think he might be The only Indian In Major league. Baseball,
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: player YES although I actually i actually, like. HIM man,
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: I know i like to, make JOKES but i do Actually.
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: Like kumar there and his diarrhea might get a little,
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: bit worse man if he partners Up with harold and
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: winds up going To Uh, White castle uh the probably
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: the worst fast food burger by, The Way. WHITE castle
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: i just don't understand. THE appeal, I mean i guess it's.
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: AN experience, i mean you get, to go you get
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: the like sliders. And whatever we don't Even Have white Castle, in. Massachusetts.
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: Man now the closest one is Probably In. New york
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: so the Only times I've Had white castle Were In
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: new York And. Las vegas, so yeah BUT it's, I
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: mean i tend to not go there because it's it's
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: a shitty, burger man very, Shitty Actually and i've had
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: their microwavable. Ones too back, in, college man we used
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: to go to uh go to the supermarket and we
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: get like some some really shitty uh like, you know
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: food from, the fret and they Had Frozen white, castle
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: sliders and my ROOMMATES and i would get some of
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: those because.
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: We're.
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: Cheap, Man recallie you're, just, like, fuck yeah let's Get
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: Some white.
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: Castle sliders microwave. That ship, oh man they were.
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: Not good they were, not good but they did still
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: have the pickles and onions, ON them, i think and.
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: Some cheese, YEAH yeah, i know but They're They're white.
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: Castle THOUGH so i Think The white castle ones are
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: still a little bit better than what were those like
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: really cheap. Prepackaged burgers you REMEMBER what, i mean the
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: ones that were like single like. Microwaveable burgers you Remember
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: what i'm. Talking about those things.
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: Were.
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous Man The white castle ones are actually at least better.
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: Than those, BUT man I Mean white castle with those. Tiny,
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: sliders man you don't get enough beef on. Those things,
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: it's like, you, KNOW me, I like i like my
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: beef to bun ratio to.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: Be.
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: SOLID man I like i like a guy that has
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: that has more beef.
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: Than bun you didn't see the beef to.
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: Bud ratios these the the dick to. A, ratio man
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: you want it to be more on the side of.
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: The dick oh, my god nobody's ever gonna watch my. Show,
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: again man they're coming for. Sports analysis we've totally gone off.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: The rails. Oh, MAN.
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: Yeah i could picture those BURGERS and i can't remember
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: the name. Of them it was something really stupid. To
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: it it was Probably LIKE big bf for something. Like that,
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: All right A's. At cleveland cleveland got the win yesterday
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: and a very high, scoring game eight. TO Six A
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: slade chacone pitched pretty well in this Game and cleveland
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: had a big lead early in. THE Game jp sears.
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: GOT bombed i TOLD you i Preferred. AT chacony I
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: think I said cleveland first five innings yesterday was the preferred.
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: Approach Yesterday but chacony they just left him in, the
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: game and he was in the game in the. Ninth
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: inning they almost let him go a, complete game and
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: he gave him six.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: N runs when he went eight and.
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: A Third so cleveland pretty much saved their bullpenal that they.
• 39:56
  Speaker 2: Did use classe had to finish the. GAME off i
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: have no idea how his name. Is. Pronounced that to,
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: BE honest I think i still Pronounce. It clays's that's
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: the WAY that i. Pronounced it oh. My God, BUT
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: cleveland i mean they actually Even though cleveland's bullpen isn't,
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: very good it's still the better of.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: The, two yes they use, their CLOSER but I think
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: cleveland does have a.
• 40:17
  Speaker 2: Bullpen advantage looking at, this, Game though Luis seven reno
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: is pitching For. The a's he has been bad this
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: year five point ONE sixty ra one point four to.
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: One whip but hold on, a minute Because seven reno
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: is a completely different pitcher on. The road he's really
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: bad In that sacramento stadium Where the, a's play and
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: he's pretty good on the road to the three point
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: oh FOUR, road ra so he's way better on. The
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: road he's in bad form, right now but those are two.
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: Home starts he gave up five earned runs and THEN
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: one a, and run but five runs Overall. Against toronto
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: seven hits wasn't good in those. Two stars so they
• 40:53
  Speaker 2: did have, ten strikeouts which is, pretty good but also.
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: Four walks he's been walking too many guys as the
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: prior start. To, that actually he had a few bad
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: starts prior to, that too At the Yankees at detroit
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: and then at Home. Against houston none of those starts are.
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: Particularly good last, five starts he hasn't gone more than
• 41:09
  Speaker 2: five innings in any. Of them last three he hasn't
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: gone more than four and two thirds in any. Of
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: them he's been allowing a lot of home runs our last.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: Five starts he's allowed six home runs across.
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: Those starts.
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: That's bad too. MANY walks, i mean he's just not
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: in good form.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: Right.
• 41:24
  Speaker 2: Now man so even, though Yes seven reno's better on,
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: the road, NOT recently i don't know if we could.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: Trust Him and cleveland does hit, him well even though
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: only four of their hitters have ever seen. Him before
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: they have forty six at bats, against him and they
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: have five home runs. Off him if you want, player,
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: props man here. You Go jose ramirez six for nineteen
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: with three home runs off Of seven Reno and santana
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: five for twenty two is, not good but two of
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: them runs is. Pretty, Good overall cleveland has a three
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: h four average in, one thousand twenty one ops against
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: onenty twenty one ops against the a's there against A
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: seven reena, or sorry seven Reno Against.
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: Cleveland gigi.
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: Her face is already, out, There MAN i'm i wasn't.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: Even the first one that posted a picture of her. Out. There,
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: Whatever man it wasn't a. Face docks it's all.
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: Public information you could absolutely find her, out, there, Whatever MAN.
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: And I was i was actually. COMPLIMENTING her i was
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: saying that she.
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: Was pretty but by, the way she is a, woke leftist,
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: so whatever her life is not going to be ruined
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: in any way by any, of this other than, THE
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: well i think losing her husband is probably a good thing.
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: For her because he's a.
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: Dick ANYWAY but i was not the first person that
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: put her face. Out there it took me two seconds
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: to find, that picture like you can find her in.
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: Two SECONDS so i didn't. DOX anybody i didn't even
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: put her name. Out there shut the, fuck. Up dude
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: fagot all right as to be Facing A logan, allen
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: here let Me See Logan. Allen uh i'm not a
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: Fan Of logan, allen man although he is kind of
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: consistent in. HIS mediocrity a four eram one point three to.
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: Seven whip he's been. Very, consistent actually a home versus
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: road splits are pretty much. The same he hasn't allowed
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: more than four AND runs, i, think yeah he's only
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: done it once, all season so he's at least been
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: consistent in.
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: That way.
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: Over the last, two starts he's gone twelve innings and
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: only allowed three, armed runs which is. Pretty good two
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: on runs not, great though ten to four strike a
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: walk raceio kind of, too many too many walks, As
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: WELL so i still Don't Trust logan allen just because
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: he puts too many guys on, Base MAN so i
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: think at some point having a whip like that is
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: gonna kind of. Hurt you Against, the a's he hasn't
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: been that good seventeen, of bats two ninety four, batting
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: average nine to eighty.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: EIGHT ops i don't love. Either bullpens you Know where
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: i'm going.
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: With this and he has a four to three a
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: walk ratio Against. The a's you Know where i'm going with,
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: this man and IT is i think the over is
• 44:05
  Speaker 2: probably the way to look in. This game totals up
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: from eight and a half. TO nine I know cleveland's,
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: offense struggles but they do have good Numbers Against, severn
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: RENOS so i think that's probably the way. To look
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: eighty five percent of tickets only eighty one percent of
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: the cash though on the Over and cleveland sitting at
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty three is the, home favorite but sixty.
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: Seven percent of ticket is only fifty eight percent of.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: The cash so the money looks like it's actually coming
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: in on the Side of oakland, or Sorry The A'S
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: but I don't i don't necessarily.
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: KNOW if i agree. With. That Man, all right We
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: have Yankees.
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: And atlanta atlanta. WON yesterday i gave IT or i
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: didn't Give. OUT atlanta i gave it out.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: As a lean on the. SHOW yesterday I liked atlanta in.
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: That, game yankees we didn't even know who their starting
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: pitcher was gonna, be yesterday and They Started, ian hamilton
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: which he didn't. Do well they they went with a
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: bullpen game Yesterday And spencer stryder had a really. Good
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: game if You, saw akoonya by, the way one of
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: the best throws you'll ever see if you want to
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: go looked at. Video up he made a catching right
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: field and it was one of the type of like
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: deep like fly balls where a guy's like easily gonna
• 45:09
  Speaker 2: tag up from a second and get to third and
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: whoever the base runner was For the yankees that they
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: thought it was gonna be easy to tag up and
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: go to third and didn't really run like, full Bore
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: and akuna just threw like a bomb from the outfield
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: after catching it and threw it down to, third base
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: And the yankees a base runner didn't make it to
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: third base. In time it was a crazy, double, play, Yes,
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: sir yeah it was one of those one of those
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: rare what is that a nine to five?
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: Double play.
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: That's that's when you work a when you work, two,
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: shifts right not the nine to five double play when
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: you have to work back to. Back days, All, right
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: yeah so that. Was crazy atlanta got the. Win yesterday
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: as far as the bullpen used to Just, concerned anna?
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: What's up thanks for. HANGING out i forget what the
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: bullpens even. DID yesterday i Know the yankees used a.
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: Bullpen game we actually saw more bullpen uses From the
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: braves yesterday, because Well the yankees just Basically used GARCIA
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: because i think they figured the game was probably a
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: little bit out, of reach.
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: So the yankees saved their.
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: Better relievers atlanta used some of their somewhat better. Relievers
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: yesterday so the, bullpen edge EVEN though I think atlanta
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: has the better of the, two Bullpens the yankees have
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: a bullpen rest.
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: Edge here At least Yankees Have will.
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: Warren pitching he hasn't been that good four point SIX,
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: three era one point four to whip really bound on,
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: the road six point seventy five roadyra that's. Not good
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: has not really been getting the job done with A
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: six era and his three Starts in july and nine
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: to nine strike out, walk ratio that's not gonna get.
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: It done the prior to starts he allowed two or
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: more walks and both of those starts. As well though
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: his strikeout rate was pretty high, last month his strikeout
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: rate has gone down this, Month too so is just
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: not pitching very well.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Right, Now man he's all over.
• 47:03
  Speaker 2: The Place the braves had never seen, Him before So,
• 47:05
  Speaker 2: maybe warren because he does have strike, up potential maybe
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: he has a little bit of an edge in, that
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: respect just Because the braves have never seen. Him before,
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: and Yes the yankees do have the better offense here
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: And the braves they're going with a. Bullpen Game Man
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: joey wentz is listed as. THEIR starter i don't see
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: how this could possibly go well. For them six point
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: THREE two era one point. Seven whip he has A
• 47:28
  Speaker 2: niney ra at home, this year.
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: But that was with. Other teams he Was, with pittsburgh
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: then he Was.
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: With minnesota all this year he's been all over, the
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: place man And then atlanta has only used him once
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: so far for, three innings and he actually No Hit
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: saint louis for, three innings had six strikeouts in, A
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: walk so he was actually really.
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: Good in his one Outing.
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: With ATLANTA but i mean it's, one appearance so how
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: can you really take that much away. FROM that, i
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: mean we're gonna say that all of, A sudden atlanta
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: like figured him out and they've fixed whatever was wrong wrong.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: With him i'm not ready to, say. That obviously i'm
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: not expecting him to do a whole lot here Against,
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: the yankees but he does have good numbers. Against them
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: in twenty nine career, at bats he's held into a
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: one to seventy, two average five eighty, three ops nine
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: to four strikeout.
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: Walk ratio but what we're gonna see here Is.
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: Probably wentz is only gonna get you a few winnings into,
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: the GAME so i actually Think the yankees do have
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: an edgy or Even Though will warren is pretty bad on.
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: The road linus flipped from plus one hundred and minus
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: won seventeen On, the yankees sixty nine percent, of tickets
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: only sixty five percent of.
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: The Cash so Yankees are they're.
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: Obviously, always, Public man and you're almost never gonna get
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: value playing On. The YANKEES so i still probably would
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: not want to, Do it but that is one of
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: the cheaper prices that you'll see On.
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: The yankees but, then again it almost.
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: Looks too easy to Play, the yankees which is one
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: of THE things i. Said yesterday it looked too easy
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: to play. Them YESTERDAY but i just don't see how
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: you Could trust wentz.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Here, at.
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: All man maybe the over is the best way to
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: look at. This game and neither bullpen is really. THAT
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: great i don't know if you could trust either pitching
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: situation here. At, all really totals flip from nine and
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: a half juice to, the under the juice to, the
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: over sixty, percent tickets eighty percent of the cash on.
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: The over probably the over is actually the way you
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: want to. Look there i'm Gonna Skip boston Chicago because
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna give out a play on.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: That One saint Louis.
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: At arizona arizona got the win yesterday seven. To Three
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: brandon fott actually pitched really well Yesterday. For arizona polonte.
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: Was bad neither bullpen saw a lot. Of Usage although
• 49:28
  Speaker 2: arizona has a, Bad Bullpen saint louis's bullpen is a
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: little bit better. Than THAT so I Think saint louis
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: in some ways does have a pitching. EDGE here I
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: Think sonny gray generally is the better Pitcher Over, ryan
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: NELSON but i think when you are Looking At sonny
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: gray on, the, ROAD though i think it might be
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a.
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: Different story he is very.
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: Good overall he's the best pitcher Of the cardinals have
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: three POINT five era one point oh. EIGHT whip i
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: Do Like, sonny gray but he's been worse on the
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: road four point five to SEVEN road era seventeen to
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: two strike a. Walk ratio this month he has. Been
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: good he's had, his command and the last start in
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: the previous month was a, nine inning, complete game one
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: hitter with eleven strikeouts and no Walks, against Cleveland so
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: he's been really good over that entire stretch twenty eight
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: to two strike a. Walk ratio he's, pitching well though
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: he only has a four POINT fourty ra, this month
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: but most of that was because he gave it four Runs,
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: against PITTSBURGH where i think he got a little bit
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: unlucky in. That start but generally he has been worse
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: on the, road though so that is something to keep.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: In mind and his Numbers against arizona are not, particularly
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: good and seventy at bats fourteen to two strike a
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. Is good naylor does have two one runs
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: off of which are the only Home runs arizona has
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: hit off him two eighty six average seven to forty,
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: Eight Ohps so gray maybe not quite in the best.
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: Situation here he is Up Against, ryan nelson who has
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: a three point six TO eighty ra one point zero.
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: Seven win nelson has been good on, the SEASON and
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: I know i went against him in his last game
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: and he did not. Do well i've had an over
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: in that GAME that i gave out on, the show
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: and it was a pretty.
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: Easy winner nelson was on.
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: The, road, there though and he's been significantly better, at
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: home which surprises me because this is a hitter friendly
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: Park Man, chase field and he has a two point
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: one to SEVEN homey ra and he's only allowed one
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: of his eight home runs that he's allowed this year,
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: at home so he has been way better.
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: At home so maybe you could argue.
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: That last start was a little bit of a blip
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: because his other starts prior, to that he hadn't given
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: up more than torn runs in any start going all
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: the way Back to, April eighteenth is? That right no
• 51:30
  Speaker 2: Excuse the, june seventh he had one really, bad start
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: but other, than, that yeah those are the only two
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: starts all season besides that most recent one and his
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: first start of. The season so only four times has
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: he given up more than torn runs.
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: In any start, this year which is. Pretty.
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: Crazy really, OH sorry I just i went to some football.
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: Previous there let's let's Look At. Aaron rodgers Nelson Against,
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: saint louis though has not been good in thirty one
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: at bats three twenty three average.
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: Nine Eight.
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: So, RYAN nelson i don't know if we trust, him,
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: Either man so this game kind of looks like an
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: over game to me. As well but it's sitting at
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: eight and a HALF and i know you're getting below
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: that key number nine.
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: If you do like it to.
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: Go over sixty nine percent of tickets on, the over
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: fifty six percent of the cash on, the under so
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on. The, under UH so
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: i will, avoid it but my lean would kind of
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: be to, the over especially if you factor in, the
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: BULLPENS which i don't. Love either bullpen money looks like
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: it is Indicating On saint louis. As well they've flipped
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: from plus one hundred to minus. One fifteen they have
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: fifty two percent of the cash and fifty one percent
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: of the Tickets, on, arizona though but fifty two percent
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: of the Cash On.
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: Saint, Louis THERE so i guess take from, all that would? You, Will.
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: Minnesota Colorado zebbi matthews is listed as a, starter HERE
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: but i actually think It Is. Woods richardson, oh no
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: It Is. Zebbie matthew's, my MISTAKE so i Brought Up
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: woods richardson because It Said wood's richardson.
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: On pre game for. A while but it Will Be zebi.
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: Matthews here colorado actually won the, game yesterday, WHICH yeah,
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, i Know shocking colorado wins, a, Game right
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: minnesota is probably the way to look in, this game
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: but they are a very.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: Heavy.
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: Favorite zebbi matthews is certainly the pitcher that has the
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: much higher ceiling out of. These two he has a
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: pretty good. Strikeout. Potential man his numbers have not really
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: reflected how good he is at. This point two point
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: five point two ONE e r excusing one point four
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: to seven whip obviously not very, good numbers but he's.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: Got.
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: Potential man he hasn't been good on the, road though
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: five point FOUR, road r and yes he has to
• 53:39
  Speaker 2: pitch a corps, field here which is going to. Be
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: difficult but if you look at his stats, this season
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: he has twenty five strikeouts in, nineteen innings which is.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: Pretty good eight walks a little, bit high but his
• 53:49
  Speaker 2: strikeout rate is. Definitely good he hasn't a lot more
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: than four and runs in any of, his outings and
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: his team has won his last. Three Outings, SO matthews
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: i think it's definitely better than.
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: His numbers, look, like uh look like he is or make.
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: IT look I believe colorado probably has never faced. Him
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: Before only maniac has ever faced. Him before he's zero
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: for one with, A Strikeout so matthews does have, an
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: edge and that he's Facing a colorado lineup that has
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: never seen, him BEFORE so i do like that aspect
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: of this. AS well i don't know how he's gonna
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: do in the environment of, course, field though but he
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: is the better picture Over, sends itatella who's just been
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: really bad six POINT sixty ra and one point eight
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: nine with he might be the worst Starter In Major,
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: league baseball who's continuing to be in a. Starry rotation
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: he's been really bad both home. And away not a
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: whole lot Else to sam and he's Just, been yeah
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: he's been really. Bad overall he at least does have
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: a seven to two strikeout walk ratio and his two starts,
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: this month but still he's.
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: Not good his numbers are actually Good against.
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: Minnesota though on twenty four at bats he has a
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: ten zero strikeout, walk ratio one sixty, seven average four
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: pin fifty. Eight ops, So Surprisingly senza tella has actually
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: done really Well.
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: AGAINST minnesota i really don't like either of.
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: These bullpens so the WAY that i might look at
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: this game is actually an an under in the first.
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: FIVE innings i mean that total is, so high up
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: from eleven and a half eleven and a half with
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: juice now on, the over seventy nine percent of tickets
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: eighty seve percent of catch on.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: The over, of course you're gonna see overs.
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: In games in, course, field OBVIOUSLY but.
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: I mean we're looking at two offenses that don't do a.
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: WHOLE lot i don't know if we could trust sends,
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: a tell though those numbers are Good. AGAINST minnesota i
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: think maybe the other way to go here is To
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: go colorado under their team total and Go with minnesota
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: To shut. Colorado down that might be the way to
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: look at. This game minnesota has, to, win true but
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: that's kind of what everybody's. Gonna say, BUT yeah, i
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: mean probably they'll come out focus after that. Loss, YESTERDAY
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: yeah i agree with the over On The braves.
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: Yankees Game.
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: With minnesota you're laying a lot though throughout for minus
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: one seventy seven to minus one eighty three to sixty three,
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: percent tickets eighty four percent of the cash coming In.
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: ON minnesota, i mean you could lay the run Line on,
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: minnesota there but they don't have an they don't have
• 56:06
  Speaker 2: an offense that can really help you cover a run,
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: line THOUGH so i hesitate to do, that too but
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: they will get their final at. Bats regardless they will
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: because they're the. Road team I'll Skip. Milwaukee Dodger so
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: i'm gonna have plays on two of the bigger games
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: Today And houston seattle to finish. This off seattle got
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: the win yesterday six. TO one i forget which team
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: used more of, their bullpeny so let me see both
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: teams used a similar amount of. Their bullpen we are
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: still looking at two pretty decent, bullpens HERE but i
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: think we're looking at two starters who are difficult. To
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: handicap lance McCullers is Pitching.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: For houston he's, been.
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: Bad man he's trying to come back from a multi.
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: Year injury he was injured. This year two six point
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: four to eighty r a one point six to six whip.
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: Really bad but he has a zero point four to
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: six roady, are though so away from all the fans
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: wishing him death, at home he has been way better on,
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: the road so you might be able to trust him
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: a little bit more on. The road he is coming
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: off a bad Start, against texas which of course. Wasn't
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: home his last, three starts really or four starts really
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: have all been, bad though allowing a four or more
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: earned runs and three of the four uh four walks
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: in three out of the four and at least two and.
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: All four that's.
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: Pretty bad so he had glimpses where he started to
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: come back and pitch, really well and he's been really,
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: bad recently but at least he's been better on. The
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: road but right now he's not a good form man Up.
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: Against seattle mediocre numbers is seventy three, at bats two,
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: sixty AVERAGE eight o, nine ops so his numbers are
• 57:38
  Speaker 2: not Dominant against, seattle either and he's gonna be Opposed By,
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: logan evans really young Pitcher. For seattle three point SEVENTY
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: five era one point three to five whip is a
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: little bit too, HIGH though i don't like. That Whip
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: logan evans has been really good at home though this
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: year two point two to EIGHT.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: Homey ra he's coming off a, bad start.
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: But it was At, the yankees so he's two of
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: his last three starts have, been bad but they were
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: pretty difficult Starts at arizona and At, the yankees so
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: maybe you give him a pass. FOR that, i mean
• 58:08
  Speaker 2: he just didn't do well in hitter friendly ballparks against really,
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: Good offenses so maybe he does bounce back here against
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: an offense that is less proficient than those. Two Offenses
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: logan Evans. Against houston houston has never seen, him Before
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: so evans does have the capability to pitch, fairly well
• 58:26
  Speaker 2: and he might have a little bit of an Edge
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: over houston because they have never seen. Him before so
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: maybe you want to look slightly To us seattle in.
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: This game what are we looking at? For?
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: Price Though but seattle is just too public. Right NOW
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: man i said that yesterday because they were on a.
• 58:40
  Speaker 2: Win streak they're off minus one eighteen and minus one,
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: twenty five and of course because they Have, cal rawley
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: so Everybody. Likes seattle fifty three percent to taket sixty
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: percent of cash coming In, on houston so the cash
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: percentage Is on houston a little. Bit here but, THEN
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: again i think the series matters a little bit More
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: to Seattle because seattle is behind and in. The standings
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: this is a big, divisional matchup so both teams are
• 59:04
  Speaker 2: gonna see this is a. Big game so take from
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: all that what. You WILL man i forgot to show,
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: the thing but this has been the. Rundown man that
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: was The rundown hope you guys enjoyed the me running
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: down all the, baseball, Plays man and now it's time
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: for the.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: Best. Bets man You know i'm giving.
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: Out two you know which games they're gonna, be ON
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: and i said they're gonna, be boring so you probably
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: know what they're. Gonna be the first one up is
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: gonna be a first five inning Under In Red. Sox
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: CUBS and i know the one thing that we're dealing
• 59:34
  Speaker 2: with here is we are gonna be fading the fact
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: that the wind is blowing Out In.
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: Wrigley.
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: FIELD here i know you tend to get higher totals
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: in games like this for a Reason at wrigley when
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: the wind is. Blowing out the wind has a big
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: Effect at wrigley because they're Close To. Lake michigan but
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: it's not the. STRONGEST win i looked a little bit
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: earlier as nine mile an hour winds, Blowing out, so
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: yes it will help the. Ball Carry but i'm still going,
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: under here and the money is agreeing. WITH me i
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: don't want to go full game Because the cubs used
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 2: a lot of their. Bullpen yesterday both bullpens have been,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: decent RECENTLY but i just don't want to deal with
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: An overworked. Cubs Bullpen red sox bullpen is in, decent
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: Shape and i'm just gonna focus on the starting. Pitching
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: MATCHUP and I Know, Brian beao i'm actually gonna play
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: it under with.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: This guy.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: Oh boy seventy percent of tickets on, the over but
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: fifty seven percent of cash on, the under so it
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: looks like a fairly strong market read on, the under
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 2: even though the total moved up a little bit, to
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: NINE which i think was probably because of the weather.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Factoring it so we're getting a huge total.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: Here of five in the first, five MINUTES which i
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: know it almost looks too good to, be true which
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: is not really usually a. Good sign when it looks,
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: too high you usually want to. Go OVER but i
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: just don't see another way to, do. THIS man i
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: see it like decent prices on this to go under
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: the five.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: As well looking at the.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: STARTING pitching I Know, Brian beao i've been making fun
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: of this guy for, years, now MAN but i might
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: have to start become Becoming A brian. Beyo BELIEVER, the
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: Bbb The Big beautiful bao uh six point excuse a
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: three point ONE, four era, oh boy six would. Be
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: terrible three point ONE for era one point two eight
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: whip is still a little, bit high but it's not
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: that bad at.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: This point he's been pitching a lot.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: Better recently he's been pretty good both home in a
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: way it doesn't even.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: Really, matter.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: Yeah last month he had a two point EIGHT seven
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: era across five starts last month with a pretty decent
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: twenty three to ten strike out, walk ratio and it's
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: only gotten better. From there in three starts, this Month
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: The red sox. Have one all, three starts he has
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: a two point two TO one era this month eighteen
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: to two strike out. Walk RATIO and i Think the
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: bao is in a better. Mindset. Here man if you
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: Watched The Clubhouse red, sox documentary he had a pretty
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: bad season, last year and he's.
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: BEEN bad, i mean he's.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: BEEN wild i think there's a lot of pressure on
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: him because everybody, was, saying oh he's The Next.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: Pedro martinez. He's not He's Not.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: Pedro martinez he's a different style. Of PITCHER but i
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: think the pressure was. On him and, last year if
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: you remember In the, clubhouse documentary he had all this
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: personal stuff going on that was a distraction because his
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: wife and baby were still In The dominican republic and
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: couldn't get TO.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: The US so i mentioned this on the. SHOW before i.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: Was, BASICALLY like i want to deport, most PEOPLE but
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: i Will allow bao's family to come into, this, country
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: man so that we can help Out The red sox
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: man Help.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: About bao.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: But his wife and child are actually In The united,
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: states now so he's able to be. With THEM and
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: I know i usually talk about return home spots being,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: a DISTRACTION but i think it's more of a distraction
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: when you're having to deal with your family being far
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: away and that whole thing is just weighing. On YOU
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: so i think the fact that they're with, HIM now
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: i think is actually helping him become a better pitcher at,
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: this POINT so i might start becoming a. Believer man
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: and he has good numbers Against the cubs and thirty five,
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: career bats a two hundred batting average four forty, three
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: ops so this is looking like a decent matchup for him,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: as well EVEN though i Know the cubs have a.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: Good offense we're looking at two pretty good, offenses here
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: but the offenses came.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: Out kind of, cold YESTERDAY and i think it might
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: be the.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: Same here and we're looking at show To em naga For,
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: the CUBS and, i mean, come, on man we know
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: how good.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: He is two point SIX, five era point nine to.
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: Three, whip yes he's been Worse in wrigley this year
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: four point SIX. ONE era i am a little bit
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: worried that he's allowed nine. Home runs not gonna lie wind.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: Blowing out he's allowed nine home runs in the stadium,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: So far, so yes that is. A. Concern bao i'm
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: less concerned about him allowing home runs because he's a ground,
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: ball pitcher so he keeps the ball on. The Ground,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: BUT imanaga i think this is just a small, sample,
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: size man and maybe a little bit of, a fluke
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: because if you look at what he did, last year
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: he was very balanced both home, and away and he
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: was actually slightly better.
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: At Home so i'm not as worried.
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: About that and looking at his numbers Against The, red
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: sox they only have ten at bats.
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: Against him in they're one for ten long as the
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: only hit.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: Off him Only Four red sox hitters have Even seen,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: imanaga before so all These Young red sox hitters might
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: Struggle against emanaga because they haven't seen. Him Before red
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: sox have one and strike got one walk, against it
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: which are Both ref snyder overall one hundred average two eighty.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: Two PS so i think we're gonna have a starting
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: pitching duel in, this, Game Man so i'm gonna go
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: under that total in the early part of the, Game here, Uh,
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: correct yeah, bop it bop the.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: Pus es that, is, Correct man toad.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: For president and then the Last game i'm gonna give
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: out is also a first five Under In. Brewers dodgers,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: AND again i think these are going to be anti
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: public plays because the public's gonna look at games like
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: this and want to go over because we're looking at
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 2: good offenses. ALL around I Know brewers dodgers are also really.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: Good offenses brewers are really good on the. Road too,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: BUT again i think good pitching beats, good HITTING and
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: i think that's what we have in this. GAME too
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: i do Think the dodgers do want to bounce back
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: because they lost Yesterday.
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: To milwaukee they lost four straight Games.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: To milwaukee but instead of going with the side HERE
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: because i like both, Starting pitchers i'm going first, an
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: UNDER and i don't trust either bullpen. Man A the
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: milwaukee actually has been a lot better with their bullpen
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: recent you can see here they're actually in the almost
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: in the top third now bullpen, whip wise so their
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 2: bullpen is actually not. That Bad the dodgers' bullpen almost
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: in the, bottom, third though they're not a very. Good
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: bullpen so we're gonna avoid the bullpens here and Again
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: because milwaukee has a nice bullpen. ADVANTAGE there I think
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: i don't really want to Play the dodgers in the full,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: game EITHER and i don't really want To Fade freddy,
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: peralta either so we're gonna go with the.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: Under Instead, FREDDY parolta, i Mean he's.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's ace he's having a great season two point SIX,
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: six era one point zero. SIX whip i know he's
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: been a little bit worse on the road three point
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: nine to ONE, road era but that's.
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: Still good he's pretty good. Both ways he's in good form.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: Right now he's a twenty to three strike OUT walk
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: raceio this month with a one point four or five whip,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: excuse me one point four TO. Five era the whip
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: would BE bad era last month thirty two to eight
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio three.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: Point two To One.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: Whip milwaukee he's won his last, six starts including one
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: Against the dodgers where he shut them out for.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: Six innings that was.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: A game i gave out the under in, that Game,
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: AND yamamoto i think got bombed on his end and
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: didn't even make it out of.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: The, first inning so that. Was Terrible freddy parolta lived
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: up to.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: His end, so Yes the dodgers will be more recently familiar,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: with them so they should maybe do a little bit
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: better this.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: Time out but we Don't need paralta to be completely.
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: Lights out we just seed him to do well enough
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: to get us under this four and a half, year
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: man which is still a decent number early in. The
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: Game par aalta has good numbers Against, the dodgers And
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: the dodgers have seen him, a, lot man it still hasn't.
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: Really mattered one hundred and eighteen.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 2: Of bats to, twelve, average six twenty, nine ohps twenty
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: six to ten strake a. Walk ratios that's pretty, impressive
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: man in a big sample size to do that against
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 2: good hitters Like the. Dodgers Have freddy parolta good numbers,
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: against them and he's going up against The Youngster, emmett
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 2: SHEEHAN who i, like. HIM man i like the scouting
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: reports on. This guy he has. GOOD stuff i think
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: he's gonna be. Something good two point zero THREE e r,
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 2: this year one point zero. Five whips he's been pretty
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: good this year, as well both home.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: And away it doesn't.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: Really matter only three, starts though but still he has
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: a nice thirteen to four strikeout, walk ratio only thirteen to,
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 2: third innings hasn't a lot of home run only let
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: three or, in runs. Ten hits he's been, pretty, effective
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: Man and milwaukee has never seen.
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: Him before he might not go that deep into.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: The game, so yes we do have to worry About
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: the dodgers' bullpen getting involved in, THIS game, i know
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: so that is a little bit of. A concern we
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 2: saw some of the better relievers come into the, game
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: Yesterday although milwaukee actually used more of their high leverage
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: relief men yesterday to close the. Game Out so MILWAUKEE'S
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: bullpen i don't want to deal with them either right
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: now because they use some of their best. Relievers YESTERDAY
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: so i think first five inning under is what we're gonna,
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: Do here so we don't even.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: Need to worry about. The, Bullpens man we Just.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: Need sheen if he can get us four or five
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: innings like he has, been doing we don't have to
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: worry a whole lot about. The bullpens you really have
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: to worry, about them maybe for about. AN inning I
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: like sheen And, again milwaukee even though yes they're, Good
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: offense sheen is a hard throwing youngster Man and milwaukee
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: has never seen. Him BEFORE so i like that when
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: you have a young pitcher like this that really has,
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: some talent they can have the advantage over. Those HITTERS
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: like i, always say so under first five innings in
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: this game is gonna be the way. To go the
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: market read is looking conflicting in. This one the total
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 2: has dropped a little bit with a little bit less
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: juice on the over on the eight and a half
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: for the, full game sixty eight percent of tickets eighty
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash coming in on. The over
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: but that's full game, as well so that is factoring in.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 2: The bullpens i'm only gonna go first five, innings, Here
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: Man as, i've, said so we're only focused on the.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: Starting pitching the money does look like it's indicating On
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 2: the dodgers for what it's worthout for minus one thirty
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: nomuntus one, thirty six fifty three percent of tickets seventy
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: two percent of the cash on the over or excuse
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: me not on the over On the, dodgers side and.
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: That one AND if i look At An action network,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: real quick here they are Saying the dodgers are a
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 2: pretty strong market read probably the strongest on the. Money
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: line strongest totals they have are Under In Giants, blue
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: JAYS which i could, see that but it's JUST because
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: i don't trust the matchup Numbers. WITH web i already
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: talked about that under in this game is the, second
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: strongest and actually under In The Red sox cubs is
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: like their fifth.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: Strongest Total so i'm Looking At.
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: ACTION network, i mean it's a little bit of an,
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 2: indicator there and THAT'S why i shouldn't give out that
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: information because you're supposed to have to pay money for
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: some of, that INFORMATION so i should stop. Doing That
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: But action network it's, worth it at least. For me
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: those are the two. Plays, today man hopefully it's not.
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 2: That boring learned to Tone on twitter better off dead
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: and or off. Dead better we're here, On YouTube we're
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 2: on the, Audio platforms We're. ON instagram i put Out
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: the instagram videos and covered in you because my yuke
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: channel on YouTube where i put out all my yuke.
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: Covers there Now that i'm putting Out, ON twitter i
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: got to get an audio feed up For the patreons
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: because they do have a patron on patreon dot com
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: slash learn to and there will be you content, there
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: EVENTUALLY and i may be Doing some patreon only streams.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: As well we, will see and we'll see if there's
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: any BETTING content i might want to put out. There
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: too i'm not really SURE what i want to do,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: with that, but yeah oh, thank, You. Sir charles you
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: might be a little bit, biased though and you're one
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: of the regular listeners and a, big fan so, thank.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: You sir that's gonna. Do it let's have A, good
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: saturday have fun. This weekend everybody.
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: In peace