Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Conference Championship Best Bets Saturday 12/6/25

Transcript

NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Conference Championship Best Bets Saturday 12/6/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
0:06
Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
0:08
Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
0:12
Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
0:15
Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
0:18
Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
0:20
Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
0:25
Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
0:28
Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
0:34
Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
0:38
Speaker 1: a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins
0:42
Speaker 1: hat man. I don't know what is going on with
0:44
Speaker 1: the Bruins. Arch hate? Is that what it is? I
0:47
Speaker 1: don't even know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
0:51
Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
0:54
Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
0:56
Speaker 1: after the worst day that I can possibly have with you,
1:00
Speaker 1: as I always am until I die at least oh
1:04
Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well
1:07
Speaker 1: for me. Own five. The worst month that I've ever
1:11
Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
1:14
Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:16
Speaker 2: The slump, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
1:20
Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
1:23
Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
1:26
Speaker 2: other than potentially end it all.
1:34
Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you, TOADSI sports
1:38
Speaker 1: h whatever day it is Saturday something, December sixth. I'm
1:44
Speaker 1: all discombobulated here, man, I'm gonna have a ton of
1:47
Speaker 1: plays today. I should have done the show last night.
1:49
Speaker 1: I started handicapping College of Basketball last night. I was like,
1:52
Speaker 1: all right, I have two plays up through like the
1:55
Speaker 1: three pm games or whatever. Now I have nine College
1:59
Speaker 1: bass caball plays here. I'm gonna have fourteen plays today,
2:03
Speaker 1: So I mean high volume. There's a chance that we
2:06
Speaker 1: get absolutely annihilated today. I mean that's the risk of
2:10
Speaker 1: the high volume. But I just I like these these sides,
2:13
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna do it. Hold on as I go through,
2:16
Speaker 1: I'm trying to get all my banners through because stupid
2:18
Speaker 1: stream Yard now has like like they put a ten
2:22
Speaker 1: second timer by default on all the banners. It's really
2:26
Speaker 1: pissing me off, and I don't think there's a setting
2:28
Speaker 1: to change the default on it, like you just have
2:31
Speaker 1: to set it when you add the banners. It's so irritating, dude.
2:36
Speaker 1: Yesterday we had a win. We were I believe what
2:38
Speaker 1: were we three and one yesterday on the show. That
2:40
Speaker 1: was a winner, a winning day. It's a couple of
2:43
Speaker 1: winning days in a row. Yesterday was pretty good really,
2:46
Speaker 1: just the hockey play was not fun with the loss
2:50
Speaker 1: on the Saint Louis, No, not Saint Louis. What was
2:54
Speaker 1: it yesterday? I don't even remember Man Buffalo. I thought
2:57
Speaker 1: it was the right side with Buffalo. I haven't looked
3:01
Speaker 1: at the box score to see what the game looked
3:02
Speaker 1: like statistically, but it was. It was a loss. I mean,
3:06
Speaker 1: it's just the way that it is. I guess we
3:09
Speaker 1: got the win on East Texas A and M even
3:12
Speaker 1: though they got blown out by Yukon. It's all about
3:16
Speaker 1: the cover, baby, and it was a wire to wire cover.
3:18
Speaker 1: I don't think they were ever losing by that March
3:21
Speaker 1: and I think they lost by like twenty three twenty four.
3:23
Speaker 1: They were never I don't think they were ever losing
3:26
Speaker 1: by thirty plus in the game. It was. It went
3:29
Speaker 1: exactly as I thought so that was a winner. We
3:31
Speaker 1: won outright with the Charlotte Hornets, outright underdog win there
3:36
Speaker 1: with Charlotte a seconds. I trying to fix my gain
3:42
Speaker 1: a little bit here, hopefully it sounds all right to
3:44
Speaker 1: you guys. And then we won on Boise State as well.
3:46
Speaker 1: I mean, it was never really that much a question.
3:50
Speaker 1: They had a twenty one nothing lead, although it did
3:52
Speaker 1: slip to a twenty eight to twenty one lead at
3:55
Speaker 1: one point in the third quarter, but immediately after that happened,
3:58
Speaker 1: they scored another touchdown and then much put it away.
4:01
Speaker 1: So Boise I still dude, a lot of times when
4:04
Speaker 1: the line is like that far off, it's like, well,
4:06
Speaker 1: the oddsmakers don't just hand you money, you know what
4:09
Speaker 1: I mean. But the line was just so far off
4:11
Speaker 1: it just didn't make any sense. And that, I mean
4:14
Speaker 1: that one was a winner with Boise So I'm not
4:16
Speaker 1: gonna I'm not gonna really question it. Jeffrey, what's up?
4:19
Speaker 1: Things to hang out? Charles, mister Pinsey, what's up everybody? Yeah?
4:25
Speaker 1: Fourteen hornets. That's why I should be wearing my Where's
4:29
Speaker 1: My ball jersey? I should be wearing that. Sabers had
4:34
Speaker 1: more shots some of that is because they were losing
4:36
Speaker 1: the game though, like I like to look at like
4:38
Speaker 1: the physicality metrics as well, they probably lost in that department.
4:42
Speaker 1: I don't know, I haven't looked. I will eventually look.
4:46
Speaker 1: Face offs matter more as well. We got to get
4:48
Speaker 1: into this, man. I mean I don't have any plays
4:50
Speaker 1: until the two pm slate here, but we have a
4:53
Speaker 1: ton of college basketball. I have to switch to doing
4:55
Speaker 1: college basketball on Friday nights. Man. I almost did it
4:59
Speaker 1: last night because college football is like almost overs. I
5:03
Speaker 1: mean it basically is over as far as the Saturday slate,
5:06
Speaker 1: So it's all college basketball basically on Saturday from now on.
5:11
Speaker 1: I apologize for my T shirt here. You guys can
5:14
Speaker 1: look at my nipples. I'm gonna look at I'm gonna
5:17
Speaker 1: be Ryan Day today. How about that? All right? We
5:22
Speaker 1: have some big games on the twelve pm slate man
5:24
Speaker 1: in college basketball, number ten, Iowa State, number one, Perdue.
5:28
Speaker 1: This game is at Purdue. So these games today, you
5:30
Speaker 1: got to take a look at what the location is
5:32
Speaker 1: because a lot there are a lot of semi home
5:35
Speaker 1: games today for some of these teams, which is kind
5:38
Speaker 1: of weird. But this game is at Purdue. We know
5:41
Speaker 1: Purdue is the better team. They may legitimately be worth
5:45
Speaker 1: the number one team. I know Ken bomb is Michigan
5:47
Speaker 1: up there right now, but Purdue is right there. Iowa State,
5:51
Speaker 1: though ken Bomb's got them in the top five as well.
5:54
Speaker 1: This is gonna be a good matchup. Man. Purdue is
5:56
Speaker 1: up to a five and a half point favorite. Looks
5:58
Speaker 1: like some of the money's coming back to words Iowa
6:00
Speaker 1: State based on the percentages seventy five percent of tickets,
6:03
Speaker 1: only seventy three percent of the cash on Purdue. I mean,
6:07
Speaker 1: obviously the public is gonna be on Purdue in this
6:10
Speaker 1: one because they're the number one team. I think Iowa
6:13
Speaker 1: State is under the radar right now, though I slightly
6:16
Speaker 1: would lean towards taking the points of Iowa State here.
6:19
Speaker 1: They haven't had that difficult of a schedule. I mean,
6:22
Speaker 1: they do have some pretty good wins in here, but
6:24
Speaker 1: I mean they haven't done anything wrong. I mean, neither
6:26
Speaker 1: of these teams has Both teams are undefeated. Iowa State
6:29
Speaker 1: has wins against Mississippi State, Saint John's and Syracuse and Creighton.
6:36
Speaker 1: Their best win is the one over Saint John's. Purdue
6:39
Speaker 1: has faced the more difficult schedule that is true with
6:42
Speaker 1: wins over Texas Tech and Alabama, but there are other
6:44
Speaker 1: games Rutgers and Memphis. I mean, that's not that impressive.
6:49
Speaker 1: Purdue did just go on the road and play their
6:52
Speaker 1: Big ten opener and beat Rutgers. I don't know. Rutgers
6:57
Speaker 1: might have covered that number. I'm not sure, losing by sixteen,
7:00
Speaker 1: Iowa States coming off putting up one hundred and thirty
7:02
Speaker 1: two points, but it was a much easier game for
7:05
Speaker 1: them against Alcorn State. So I do think the spot
7:08
Speaker 1: does set up a little bit better for Iowa State.
7:11
Speaker 1: They're a little bit underrated here. They're actually the better
7:14
Speaker 1: defense getting points. According to Ken Bond, Purdue is the
7:17
Speaker 1: more efficient offense, which is kind of weird because Purdue
7:20
Speaker 1: also likes to slow the game down. Iowa State does not.
7:24
Speaker 1: But if you're asking the team that slows the game
7:26
Speaker 1: down to cover as a favorite, that's a little bit
7:29
Speaker 1: more of an ask. To slight opinion, there would be
7:31
Speaker 1: taking the points of the Iowa State. But I don't
7:33
Speaker 1: love it at all. Jets had more face offs and
7:39
Speaker 1: hits and blocks shot blocks. Yeah, it was. It was
7:44
Speaker 1: not the right side for me on that one. Yes,
7:46
Speaker 1: thank you, my nips are sexy. Yeah, Brad, what's up man?
7:50
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Toadster damis Yeah that maybe that
7:54
Speaker 1: should be the name of the show. I don't know.
7:57
Speaker 1: Do I want to change all my branding? I would
8:01
Speaker 1: only have to change well, I don't know, because I
8:05
Speaker 1: generated the logo and stuff with AI though, so I
8:08
Speaker 1: don't know. I guess I could ask AI to just
8:10
Speaker 1: change the name to Toadsternomous, but then I wouldn't be
8:13
Speaker 1: using Jeffrey's name anymore. Michigan State and Duke also at twelve.
8:18
Speaker 1: This is on Fox, the other games on CBS. Another
8:22
Speaker 1: good game here, man, I mean, two strong teams. Obviously,
8:26
Speaker 1: Duke ranked fourth in the country, probably about accurate. Ken
8:29
Speaker 1: Bomb actually has them at fourth. He has Michigan State
8:31
Speaker 1: outside of the top ten, though barely. But they're both
8:35
Speaker 1: good teams. They both play slow, They're both good defensively,
8:38
Speaker 1: just Duke is a better offensive team, though Duke is
8:42
Speaker 1: more balanced. Michigan State a little bit lacking on the
8:45
Speaker 1: offensive efficiency side. As far as how this game sets up,
8:48
Speaker 1: it is at Michigan State. Michigan State hasn't really I mean,
8:53
Speaker 1: I don't want to say they haven't been tested because
8:55
Speaker 1: they have. I mean, they've beat in Arkansas, Kentucky, North Carolina.
8:59
Speaker 1: The interest those teams are all fast paced teams, which
9:03
Speaker 1: I did mention when I said I liked Iowa against them,
9:06
Speaker 1: and that did not work out because Iowa plays slow,
9:08
Speaker 1: but Duke plays slow and they're better than Iowa. So
9:12
Speaker 1: I don't know, I mean, Michigan State might get a
9:14
Speaker 1: little frustrated by playing another slow paced team that's just
9:18
Speaker 1: kind of better than they are, because again, the teams
9:21
Speaker 1: that they were able to beat Otherwise, like all the
9:24
Speaker 1: ranked teams they beat are fast paced teams. Duke is undefeated,
9:29
Speaker 1: as is Michigan State. Duke also beat Arkansas, they beat Florida,
9:33
Speaker 1: and they beat Kansas. But they are coming off that
9:35
Speaker 1: win over Florida. That was a big win. But on
9:38
Speaker 1: the other hand, Duke was like a ten point favorite
9:40
Speaker 1: in that game, didn't really play well. They only won
9:42
Speaker 1: by one, although it is still Florida. I mean, it's
9:45
Speaker 1: still a big win no matter how you look at that.
9:47
Speaker 1: So I have a tough time trying to handicap this one. Actually,
9:51
Speaker 1: Like which way does it go? Like, is Duke gonna,
9:55
Speaker 1: you know, frustrate Michigan State here by playing slow, even
9:59
Speaker 1: though Michigan State all also likes to play slow. Is
10:01
Speaker 1: Duke gonna be in letdown off of the Florida game?
10:03
Speaker 1: Are they gonna be in a bounce back spot because
10:05
Speaker 1: they were actually a big favorite against Florida and almost
10:08
Speaker 1: didn't come through. The money is saying Michigan State fifty
10:12
Speaker 1: six percent of tickets, sixty five percent of the cash
10:14
Speaker 1: on them. Duke is up to a minus one and
10:15
Speaker 1: a half favorite here. It's a difficult call in this one. Uh,
10:21
Speaker 1: I think an under is actually the better way to
10:23
Speaker 1: look at this, even though what do I know about totals?
10:25
Speaker 1: So the money is saying under total did go up
10:28
Speaker 1: to one forty two, but fifty three percent of tickets
10:31
Speaker 1: on the over eighty five percent of the cash on
10:33
Speaker 1: the under. Both teams like to play slow, they both
10:35
Speaker 1: play defense. Uh. It seems like it has the makings
10:39
Speaker 1: of kind of a playoff atmosphere type of games. So yeah,
10:42
Speaker 1: I would not disagree with the under there. I guess
10:45
Speaker 1: I'll have to agree with the market slightly and agree
10:47
Speaker 1: towards Michigan State slightly. But I certainly don't love that
10:51
Speaker 1: as a side, so I'm staying away. Volleyball bracket. I
10:55
Speaker 1: have no idea. I haven't even looked at all Mark
10:59
Speaker 1: Lawrence and cash football likex Miami, Ohio and Georgia, I
11:02
Speaker 1: agree with one and not the other. All right, we
11:06
Speaker 1: have the Battle of Rhode Island, Rhode Island in Providence.
11:10
Speaker 1: Not much to say about this, but Rhode Island is
11:13
Speaker 1: coming off being the big brother against Brown and only
11:16
Speaker 1: winning by ten, and now they're switching over to the
11:19
Speaker 1: role of the little brother. I would say against Providence,
11:21
Speaker 1: even though they are the University of Rhode Island. Providence
11:24
Speaker 1: just has a better track record, so I think they
11:27
Speaker 1: consider themselves to be little brothers. This is a true
11:29
Speaker 1: road game. Rhode Island is one and zero in true
11:32
Speaker 1: road games so far, Providence undefeated at home though Providence
11:38
Speaker 1: coming of an easy win over FDU. I mean, it's
11:42
Speaker 1: a game where it doesn't set up poorly for either
11:44
Speaker 1: team really, although I think maybe the little brother situation
11:48
Speaker 1: is the determining factor in this one, just a little
11:50
Speaker 1: bit more motivation on the Rhode Island side. Providence has
11:54
Speaker 1: to face Brown after this, which is a littler brother.
11:57
Speaker 1: Of course, like I said, money is on Rhde Island
12:00
Speaker 1: right now. Fifty percent of tickets, sixty three percent of
12:02
Speaker 1: the cash on them. No strong opinion here though, you
12:08
Speaker 1: only Duke in the football game. Yeah, I mean I
12:14
Speaker 1: I do not disagree with Duke in that game Dayton
12:19
Speaker 1: and Virginia. Speaking of Duke versus Virginia, this is a
12:22
Speaker 1: weird set up today that we have. This is a
12:25
Speaker 1: neutral site game in Charlotte. So the first uh, well,
12:29
Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about the football game in a minute,
12:31
Speaker 1: but it's in Charlotte, North Carolina. So it's like, well, why,
12:35
Speaker 1: But maybe Virginia, you know, they put some money out
12:39
Speaker 1: there or something, because guess where the football game is
12:42
Speaker 1: tonight between Virginia and Duke. Yeah, it's in Charlotte, North Carolina,
12:46
Speaker 1: which you would think would be a spot that favors Duke,
12:49
Speaker 1: like a location that favors Duke because it's in North Carolina. Well,
12:53
Speaker 1: now that Virginia has a double event here now basketball
12:57
Speaker 1: and football, I mean, I think their football crowd is
12:59
Speaker 1: gonna sho up anyway, because it's the conference championship. It's
13:02
Speaker 1: a huge game for Virginia. But now that it's two
13:05
Speaker 1: games both being played in the same city, you gotta
13:08
Speaker 1: think there are gonna be a lot of Virginia fans
13:10
Speaker 1: to just make a day trip out of it and
13:12
Speaker 1: go to both games. So I think you're gonna see
13:15
Speaker 1: a lot of Virginia fans at this game in the
13:17
Speaker 1: afternoon against Dayton. Probably not too many Dayton fans showing
13:22
Speaker 1: up here. So this venue is going to favor Virginia
13:25
Speaker 1: in this basketball game here, and then the crowd will
13:29
Speaker 1: go to the football game. So I think there are
13:31
Speaker 1: gonna be a lot of Virginia fans all over Charlotte
13:34
Speaker 1: taking over the city here and hopefully protecting Ukrainian women
13:39
Speaker 1: on the on the buses and stuff. The spot isn't
13:42
Speaker 1: exactly the greatest for Virginia though. They are coming up
13:45
Speaker 1: beating Texas in the acc SEC Challenge. That was a
13:48
Speaker 1: pretty big win. Texas not a bad team. Virginia got
13:53
Speaker 1: that win. That was actually at Texas as well. I
13:55
Speaker 1: think that was in Austin. Yeah, so that was a
13:57
Speaker 1: big win for Virginia. So you could argue this is
13:59
Speaker 1: a little bit of a letdown spot for Virginia here.
14:03
Speaker 1: Dayton not as good of a team. Dayton coming in
14:05
Speaker 1: of an easier winever East Tennessee. The spot to me
14:08
Speaker 1: sets up better for Dayton asking Virginia to lay points
14:12
Speaker 1: like this, I know they're gonna have a crowd here,
14:13
Speaker 1: but it's a low total at one hundred and forty five.
14:16
Speaker 1: Virginia plays slow. I would lean towards taking the points
14:19
Speaker 1: with Dayton. Dayton also plays slow, by the way, so
14:23
Speaker 1: an under in this game is not necessarily out of
14:25
Speaker 1: the question either. But fifty four percent of the tickets
14:27
Speaker 1: of Virginia sixty nine percent of the cash on Dayton
14:31
Speaker 1: money looks like it is actually slightly coming in towards
14:33
Speaker 1: the over percentage wise. But I would probably take the
14:36
Speaker 1: points with Dayton if I was gonna play that one.
14:39
Speaker 1: But I am not basketball. You lean Duke and basketball?
14:45
Speaker 1: Oh what are we tired? Well, Duke. Duke's basketball team
14:50
Speaker 1: is in Michigan, though, So that's actually interesting because if
14:54
Speaker 1: Duke's sport fan base, if their fan base is gonna
14:57
Speaker 1: be in Charlotte, it's an easier trip right to go
14:59
Speaker 1: to the football game in Charlotte. So Duke's basketball fan
15:03
Speaker 1: base might actually not show up that much at uh
15:07
Speaker 1: in the Michigan game. So that's kind of that is
15:09
Speaker 1: an interesting other way to look at that. I didn't
15:12
Speaker 1: even think about that. That's another way to think about that.
15:14
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean I would lean to Michigan State
15:16
Speaker 1: in that game against Duke then, which I already said,
15:21
Speaker 1: but that kind of that adds a little bit to
15:23
Speaker 1: Michigan State there. Does the basketball game affect the football game?
15:29
Speaker 1: I mean yeah, I would say, like, it's not gonna
15:32
Speaker 1: affect the line really, but you like, you have to
15:35
Speaker 1: take into account where the fan base is gonna be,
15:38
Speaker 1: Like if the fan base is gonna be focused on
15:40
Speaker 1: the football game because it matters more. Although for Duke,
15:43
Speaker 1: I mean, who knows, Like, is the fan base gonna
15:45
Speaker 1: show up for that football game because it is the
15:47
Speaker 1: conference championship game or are they like, well, we're not
15:50
Speaker 1: gonna make the playoffs anyway, so we'll just not show
15:53
Speaker 1: up to that. But do you think they're really gonna
15:55
Speaker 1: want to go to Michigan in cold weather in the winter.
15:59
Speaker 1: I mean, to me, it seems like Duke's fan base
16:01
Speaker 1: is gonna take the easier approach, stay within North Carolina
16:05
Speaker 1: warmer weather not necessarily warm, but go into the football game.
16:10
Speaker 1: I think Duke's fan base is gonna be at the
16:12
Speaker 1: football game. That would be my guess. You got the
16:17
Speaker 1: Rats slav rushing touchdown. You. Tulane was an easy win
16:20
Speaker 1: there too. Nice. Yeah, I had Tulane as part of
16:23
Speaker 1: my pick five. We still or pick six. I mean,
16:26
Speaker 1: we still have to pick six this week, so you
16:29
Speaker 1: only have you have to have three games that you
16:32
Speaker 1: don't pick. So I had Tulane and obviously Boise in
16:36
Speaker 1: that thing yesterday. But I'm out of the running anyway
16:42
Speaker 1: for the money there. I just got to focus on
16:43
Speaker 1: the NFL. All right. We gotta get through this. Man,
16:45
Speaker 1: this is ridiculous. We're still not even out of the
16:47
Speaker 1: noontime games here. I mean, I just don't have a
16:51
Speaker 1: lot of opinions on some of these other games. I mean,
16:53
Speaker 1: if you want me to talk about another game, I will.
16:55
Speaker 1: But Utah Valley and Bowling Green somewhat interesting with how
17:00
Speaker 1: we handicapped this because Utah Valley just played a pretty
17:03
Speaker 1: tough game at San Diego State, which I think was
17:06
Speaker 1: in San Diego State's arena, and they lost by eleven.
17:10
Speaker 1: But that game was fairly close down the stretch, and
17:12
Speaker 1: you always step up your game when you're gonna go
17:14
Speaker 1: play San Diego State. So I see this being maybe
17:17
Speaker 1: a bit of a hangover spot for Utah Valley. Problem is,
17:21
Speaker 1: Bowling Green just pulled off an offset of a double
17:24
Speaker 1: digit variety at Kansas State. Huge win for Bowling Green.
17:28
Speaker 1: I mean that's that is a win that you don't
17:30
Speaker 1: see a lot from a program like Bowling Green. Man
17:32
Speaker 1: that was a monster upset. So I think Bowling Green
17:35
Speaker 1: is actually in an even worse spot here. I think
17:38
Speaker 1: Bowling Greens in a major letdown spot. So I've flipping
17:41
Speaker 1: around and I would actually take Utah Valley in this
17:44
Speaker 1: game if I was gonna play it. The money seems
17:46
Speaker 1: to agree. The lines at a pick them fifty tickets
17:49
Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the couch on Utah Valley. I
17:52
Speaker 1: don't really want it, though, because both teams are in
17:55
Speaker 1: bad spots to me, and with a pick them it
17:57
Speaker 1: almost looks way too easy to play the five and
17:59
Speaker 1: three team, although actually Bowling Green six and two. So
18:03
Speaker 1: what am I saying? Maybe I thought Bowling Green had
18:05
Speaker 1: a way worse record. I don't know what I'm thinking.
18:07
Speaker 1: I think they face a really easy schedule. But Utah
18:10
Speaker 1: Valley also is winless on the road, which I don't love,
18:13
Speaker 1: and Bowling Green is three and one at home. Though
18:15
Speaker 1: I'm sure some of those games were against some real cupcakes.
18:19
Speaker 1: It's not a whole lot there. It was just interesting
18:21
Speaker 1: because I wanted to fade one team and then I'm like,
18:23
Speaker 1: oh crap, the other team is also in a fade spot.
18:26
Speaker 1: So that's not great. Unc Asheville gets North Carolina State
18:31
Speaker 1: UNC Asheville. You know they're an in state little brother here.
18:34
Speaker 1: They're gonna want to step it up for NC State.
18:36
Speaker 1: NC State just played a bunch of big games in
18:38
Speaker 1: a row VCU, Seaton Hall, Boise, Texas, Auburn. I think
18:42
Speaker 1: they were in Hawaii for these games. Actually, then they
18:45
Speaker 1: came back for the acc SEC Challenge lost to Auburn.
18:49
Speaker 1: They were in Maui against the prior three opponents. They've
18:52
Speaker 1: been all over the place man a lot of travel.
18:55
Speaker 1: The spot's not exactly great for NC State. I expect
18:58
Speaker 1: an effort out of you see Asheville. I mean they're
19:01
Speaker 1: on a little bit of a run here, two wins
19:02
Speaker 1: in a row. Unc Asheville is down this year though.
19:05
Speaker 1: They just beatn also down UNC greensborow here. That was
19:09
Speaker 1: a big game for them too though, because they're like
19:11
Speaker 1: siblings in North Carolina. But this is gonna be one
19:14
Speaker 1: of the bigger games on Asheville slate. I have no
19:16
Speaker 1: idea where the line moved five points towards NC State,
19:20
Speaker 1: but I would look towards taking the points with Ashville
19:23
Speaker 1: in that one. But again not a play. Yeah, do
19:28
Speaker 1: kind of play around both teams? Well, they wouldn't be
19:30
Speaker 1: able to play on both for both today Ohio Ohio State,
19:35
Speaker 1: you mean versus Indiana. That's gonna be in the best
19:39
Speaker 1: bet segment. That is my only football bet of the day.
19:44
Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina and Winthrop. I kind of eyeballed this and
19:47
Speaker 1: Winthrop barely got by Long Island in their last game.
19:51
Speaker 1: Winthrop was a pretty substantial favorite in that one, even
19:54
Speaker 1: though they were on the road. That was a weak
19:56
Speaker 1: performance from Winthrop, especially defensively, so I think they come
19:59
Speaker 1: back with some focus here. They're facing Coastal Carolina is
20:03
Speaker 1: bad and Coastal Carolina did just face a South Carolina team,
20:07
Speaker 1: actually they're both South Carolina rich that was somewhat of
20:10
Speaker 1: a big deal for them. I think facing USC Upstate,
20:13
Speaker 1: which is South Carolina upstate and playing fairly close against them,
20:17
Speaker 1: so I think it's a bounce back for Winthrop. But
20:20
Speaker 1: they're all the way up to a sixteen point favorite
20:22
Speaker 1: from twelve, so you're losing some live value on that.
20:25
Speaker 1: Although it's in kind of a dead number range. You
20:27
Speaker 1: never really want to give up four points of value.
20:30
Speaker 1: Although we're gonna talk about a line moving my first game,
20:33
Speaker 1: which let's do it now. Best bets coming up, baby,
20:37
Speaker 1: trying to get this done in almost rapid fashion, man
20:41
Speaker 1: lightning round first game up. I mean, you guys are
20:43
Speaker 1: gonna be mad at me because I found this overnight.
20:46
Speaker 1: I found DraftKings had DraftKings was way behind on this,
20:50
Speaker 1: and they had a Northwestern money line at minus one
20:53
Speaker 1: oh five even though they were they were throwing, they
20:55
Speaker 1: were hanging like a Northwestern like plus one and a
20:58
Speaker 1: half at my minus won twenty or something out there,
21:01
Speaker 1: and all the other books were already at like minus
21:03
Speaker 1: two and a half. So I know this is cheap
21:06
Speaker 1: of me, but I found that number. So that's like,
21:09
Speaker 1: that's what I'm doing. Northwestern money line. I mean, if
21:12
Speaker 1: you want to play in the Northwestern money line, you
21:13
Speaker 1: can still do it. It probably around like minus one thirty
21:16
Speaker 1: or so, which is not a horrible price. But I
21:18
Speaker 1: like Northwestern here against the other Ohio state, the basketball
21:22
Speaker 1: Ohio State, which not as good as the football. Ohio State, Yeah,
21:25
Speaker 1: I think they're slightly better than Northwestern, but I like
21:28
Speaker 1: Northwestern in this spot. You're gonna have to lay two
21:31
Speaker 1: and a half, though, if you actually want to play
21:32
Speaker 1: the spread here, the money is coming in a Northwestern
21:36
Speaker 1: like this thing's gonna hit three, which I mean, obviously
21:39
Speaker 1: I don't love the three anywhere near as much. I mean,
21:42
Speaker 1: these college basketball you got to identify these things like
21:45
Speaker 1: real quick man sixty one percent of ticket, sixty seven
21:48
Speaker 1: percent of the cash at Northwestern. I don't like the
21:51
Speaker 1: spot for Ohio State. I mean, if you want to
21:52
Speaker 1: play this one and play it for less money, you
21:54
Speaker 1: could do that if you want to money line Northwestern,
21:56
Speaker 1: if you want to parlay it. I still like the
21:59
Speaker 1: side and a half. I would probably still do, even
22:02
Speaker 1: though it is obviously those lowest numbers are more valuable
22:08
Speaker 1: in basketball than most other numbers. You know, one, two,
22:12
Speaker 1: three all mean a little bit more. But Ohio State's
22:14
Speaker 1: in a bad spot, dude. I know that they were
22:17
Speaker 1: a favored against Pittsburgh, and I know A gave out
22:19
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh on the show here and we got to win
22:21
Speaker 1: on a buzzer beater. At Pittsburgh. When now Ohio State
22:25
Speaker 1: has to turn around over their first loss of the season,
22:27
Speaker 1: and you know, I always talk about a team off
22:29
Speaker 1: their first loss. A lot of times they're hungover after
22:32
Speaker 1: that because it stops their momentum. So I don't think
22:35
Speaker 1: it's good. Now they're facing a Northwestern team that's better
22:38
Speaker 1: than pitt Also on the road. It's Northwestern's conference opener
22:42
Speaker 1: at home. Of course, it's both teams conference opener, but
22:45
Speaker 1: for Northwestern it's their home opener. And Ohio State does
22:49
Speaker 1: have Illinois up in three days, which I think is
22:51
Speaker 1: gonna be a bigger game, and then they have some
22:53
Speaker 1: tournament with West Virginia and North Carolina. So this kind
22:56
Speaker 1: of looks like a sandwich to me. Man And if
22:58
Speaker 1: you look at Ohio State's resid it's not impressive. The
23:02
Speaker 1: only other big conference team they faced was Notre Dame
23:05
Speaker 1: and they only beat them by one at home. Notre
23:08
Speaker 1: Dame and Pittsburgh are both ACSC and they're both not
23:10
Speaker 1: very good. Northwestern is better than both of them, So
23:14
Speaker 1: this is gonna be the toughest game that Ohio State
23:16
Speaker 1: has had to play this year easily. Northwestern is sitting
23:19
Speaker 1: at five and three. People won't really want anything to
23:22
Speaker 1: do with them, but they're more battle tested. I mean,
23:24
Speaker 1: they lost to Virginia by five, they beat South Carolina,
23:29
Speaker 1: and they lost to Oklahoma State by five. Oklahoma State's
23:33
Speaker 1: off to a nice start, so those are all pretty
23:35
Speaker 1: decent performances. And then they did lose by double digits
23:39
Speaker 1: at Wisconsin in their most recent game. That's obviously that's
23:42
Speaker 1: not an easy game. Wisconsin's good. They're like a top
23:44
Speaker 1: twenty team probably according to Kent Palm, so no shame
23:48
Speaker 1: in that loss. Now Northwestern's coming off of that. I
23:51
Speaker 1: know that was a tough game, but now this is
23:53
Speaker 1: their home opener man against an Ohio State team that
23:56
Speaker 1: is just not battle tested, and Northwestern is more battle
24:00
Speaker 1: tested to a significant degree, which also is kind of
24:03
Speaker 1: why their record is worse. Public's gonna look at this
24:06
Speaker 1: and only want this one oh one loss of Ohio
24:08
Speaker 1: State getting points, Like, why would you want Northwestern laying points? Right?
24:12
Speaker 1: But I think Northwestern is the right side. That's the
24:15
Speaker 1: first play here. Not my strongest one of one of them,
24:18
Speaker 1: but I like it enough. Mark Lawrence leans to Indiana
24:24
Speaker 1: un CG terrible school. I mean, their basketball program is
24:28
Speaker 1: usually one of the better teams in their conference. Rangers
24:33
Speaker 1: at home against the Abs, you would be very wrong
24:37
Speaker 1: about that. I don't want any any part of that,
24:40
Speaker 1: but I probably lean against it. Do you think I dude,
24:43
Speaker 1: do you watch my show? Do you think I want
24:46
Speaker 1: the Rangers when they're at home? Ever, the Rangers are
24:49
Speaker 1: a horrific home team. I'm never gonna play the Rangers
24:51
Speaker 1: in a home game. I mean, the spot would have
24:53
Speaker 1: to be so incredible for me to do it. Tennessee
24:57
Speaker 1: Tech and West Georgia. This game caught when I was
25:00
Speaker 1: looking at it because I'm like, oh, Tennessee Tech just
25:03
Speaker 1: had a huge game against an in state bigger brother, Lipscomb,
25:06
Speaker 1: and they went in. Lipscomb had to have been a
25:08
Speaker 1: double digit favorite, although I can't tell anymore because the
25:11
Speaker 1: ESPN removed all the ESPN bet integration because ESPN Bet
25:15
Speaker 1: sold to the score, because ESPN can't be associated with
25:20
Speaker 1: betting anymore, even though they have DraftKings widgets here. Now,
25:23
Speaker 1: It's like, dude, just show us the historical odds, you fucks.
25:26
Speaker 1: But this is a huge game for Tennessee Tech man Lipscomb.
25:30
Speaker 1: They've been a better team in the state of Tennessee
25:32
Speaker 1: than Tennessee Tech like for probably their entire existence for
25:36
Speaker 1: the most part, but especially recently huge game, and Tennessee
25:40
Speaker 1: Tech almost pulled off the upset, losing by three as
25:43
Speaker 1: double digit underdogs. So another road game coming up after this,
25:47
Speaker 1: a fifth road game in a road going West Georgia. Terrible,
25:50
Speaker 1: terrible spot for Tennessee Tech. So then I go and
25:53
Speaker 1: I look at West Georgia. The problem is they just
25:55
Speaker 1: pulled off an upset of Troy on the road. They
25:57
Speaker 1: actually pulled off the upset, and that was after playing
26:02
Speaker 1: a fairly tough game on the road at Georgia Tech too. Troy.
26:05
Speaker 1: I mean, as you can see, nobody was in the stands.
26:07
Speaker 1: Troy was a double digit favorite in that game easily,
26:10
Speaker 1: and West Georgia pulled off that upset. So both teams
26:13
Speaker 1: are in bad spots here. I mean, I think probably
26:17
Speaker 1: the Tennessee aspect of the Tennessee Tech game probably will
26:21
Speaker 1: affect them a little bit more, I would guess. But
26:24
Speaker 1: I mean this game, I would say over is worth
26:27
Speaker 1: a look maybe because that's what I look forward. Teams
26:29
Speaker 1: I think are just both gonna have lackluster defensive performances
26:32
Speaker 1: coming off huge performances West Georgia is indeed up from
26:35
Speaker 1: two to three and a half. I don't really disagree
26:38
Speaker 1: with it, even though normally I'd say they're in a
26:40
Speaker 1: major letdown spot. But I think Tennessee Tech is gonna
26:44
Speaker 1: have a harder time getting up off the mat after
26:46
Speaker 1: almost pulling off that upset. So, and of course I
26:50
Speaker 1: just killed the there it is the browser tab here,
26:56
Speaker 1: all right, we got Jacksonville at FIU. Looked at this
27:00
Speaker 1: game briefly as well. FIU. They just had a nice
27:04
Speaker 1: win against Florida Golf Coast, which I think was actually
27:08
Speaker 1: at Florida Golf Coast Arena. Maybe I don't know where
27:10
Speaker 1: was No, it was in Miami. Actually, no, this is
27:12
Speaker 1: at Florida International. Never mind, it was actually a home
27:14
Speaker 1: game for them. I thought it was in one of
27:16
Speaker 1: those Florida tournaments. But that was a good win. FGCU
27:20
Speaker 1: was actually a favorite on the road there. Nice win
27:22
Speaker 1: and FIU coming up after they faced Jacksonville. FIU's got
27:26
Speaker 1: their biggest in state rival, basically their in state bigger brother,
27:31
Speaker 1: Miami because FIU is also in Miami, so that's a
27:34
Speaker 1: huge rivalry against the U, the University of Miami even
27:38
Speaker 1: though of course this is not football, but that's a
27:41
Speaker 1: much bigger game than Jacksonville, so this is basically a
27:43
Speaker 1: sandwich spot. So I do like Jacksonville in this game,
27:46
Speaker 1: but and actually I like it even more because Jacksonville's
27:50
Speaker 1: coming up a bad game where they almost lost to
27:52
Speaker 1: Florida A and M. Jacksonville had to have been a
27:55
Speaker 1: monster favorite of this game. Florida A and M is
27:57
Speaker 1: terrible and Jacksonville almost lost the game, so I think
28:02
Speaker 1: you gotta look towards Jacksonville here. They haven't been good
28:04
Speaker 1: on the road, although this game does have them staying
28:08
Speaker 1: in the state of Florida. This one hasn't made my card,
28:11
Speaker 1: but the more I talk about it, I do like it.
28:13
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna put it on my card, but I
28:15
Speaker 1: would take Jacksonville plus a nice heaping of points here
28:19
Speaker 1: they're getting eight points here the line did move up
28:22
Speaker 1: from six and a half to eight, but yeah, it
28:24
Speaker 1: would be Jacksonville plus the points or pass for me
28:27
Speaker 1: in this one. Total is fairly low one hundred and
28:30
Speaker 1: forty three and a half as well, So I like Jacksonville.
28:32
Speaker 1: There hasn't made my card, though you're gonna you're fading
28:39
Speaker 1: the Rangers. I'm not gonna do that either. If the
28:44
Speaker 1: absent and lose the Island is I would not be
28:47
Speaker 1: on it either way. But no, I mean Rangers at home,
28:53
Speaker 1: just no, forget about it, Like, there's no way I'm
28:55
Speaker 1: gonna be playing Rangers at home. Yeah, lipskumb was Kamala
29:00
Speaker 1: Harris's nickname. That's true. Well, the Rangers have won like
29:04
Speaker 1: a couple of games in home recently, but I'm still
29:06
Speaker 1: not impressed. One of them was against Nashville, and I
29:09
Speaker 1: forget what the other one was. But yeah, I'm holding
29:13
Speaker 1: off on all that. Marquette and Wisconsin big game at
29:16
Speaker 1: two pm Eastern on FS one, the big Wisconsin rivalrero
29:20
Speaker 1: though of course we know Wisconsin is the better team here.
29:24
Speaker 1: I probably don't have to tell you that. Maybe I do.
29:26
Speaker 1: I don't know. Marquette's a bit down this year. They're
29:28
Speaker 1: at five and four. The face a fairly difficult schedule, though,
29:32
Speaker 1: But Marquette, They've all of their losses have coming every
29:36
Speaker 1: game where they're stepped up in class. They've lost every
29:38
Speaker 1: game against the power conference team that they've played this year,
29:41
Speaker 1: losing to Indiana, Maryland, Oklahoma, and they have a loss
29:45
Speaker 1: against Dayton, so all their wins are against pretty much cupcakes.
29:48
Speaker 1: Although they did come off a win over Valpo where
29:50
Speaker 1: they played really poorly as nineteen halfway favorites. That was
29:53
Speaker 1: a win here on the show with Valpo plus the points,
29:56
Speaker 1: Valpo almost won the game outright. I told you that
29:59
Speaker 1: that was a bad spot for Marquette though, because they
30:01
Speaker 1: had played Oklahoma really close and they had this monster
30:05
Speaker 1: game against Wisconsin coming up. Marquette being in Milwaukee, this
30:08
Speaker 1: is a huge game, so they that was definitely a
30:12
Speaker 1: bad spot. Sandwich spots that can kind of explain why
30:15
Speaker 1: Marquette was really bad in that game. They're gonna show
30:17
Speaker 1: up focus for this game against Wisconsin, there's no doubt
30:20
Speaker 1: about that. Although Wisconsin's undefeated at home. This is Marquette's
30:25
Speaker 1: first true road game. Although Marquette plays Wisconsin every year
30:28
Speaker 1: and they alternate home arenas. I think so Marquette does
30:32
Speaker 1: play in Madison every other year, so it's I mean, yes,
30:35
Speaker 1: it's a true road game. Yes, Wisconsin's crowd is gonna
30:38
Speaker 1: show up for this, but it's mitigated a little bit
30:41
Speaker 1: by the fact that it's in state and it's you know,
30:44
Speaker 1: it's a more familiar place for Marquette to go. So
30:47
Speaker 1: let's just say that Wisconsin they faced a somewhat difficult
30:51
Speaker 1: schedule recently, at least losing to BYU, beating Providence, losing
30:55
Speaker 1: to TCU somehow, and then they won their conference opener
30:58
Speaker 1: against Northwestern. That was a nice win. And now they
31:01
Speaker 1: do have Nebraska coming up after this. So this Marquette
31:04
Speaker 1: game actually an out of conference game, you know, based
31:08
Speaker 1: on all of that, I would actually lean towards taking
31:10
Speaker 1: the points with the Marquette, even though I know Wisconsin's
31:12
Speaker 1: undefeated at home. I know it's Marquette's first true road game,
31:15
Speaker 1: but Marquette just stunk in that last game and they're
31:18
Speaker 1: getting eleven and a half here. I know this is
31:20
Speaker 1: not you know, your father's Wisconsin. Let's say it's not
31:24
Speaker 1: the Wisconsin from even several years ago. This Wisconsin team
31:28
Speaker 1: plays fast now, so it makes it easier to cover
31:30
Speaker 1: a large spread. But the money seems to be on
31:33
Speaker 1: the Marquette side, and I'm not going to disagree sixty
31:36
Speaker 1: percent to take it seventy percent of the cash on Marquette,
31:40
Speaker 1: I will lean towards Marquette plus the points. There. Rangers'
31:46
Speaker 1: home record will regress I don't know. I mean to
31:50
Speaker 1: some extent, yeah, I can't continue to be that bad,
31:52
Speaker 1: But there is somebody to be said for a team
31:54
Speaker 1: that just has these bad home roads splits, Like it's
31:58
Speaker 1: like they're distracted at home. That's a real thing, being
32:01
Speaker 1: distracted when you're at home, Like just having some mental
32:04
Speaker 1: thing when you're at home. That's definitely a thing. That's
32:06
Speaker 1: why we fade teams that like return home from road
32:09
Speaker 1: trips and stuff like that. Boise State at Butler. Interesting
32:14
Speaker 1: when Boise has not played since they played in Maui
32:17
Speaker 1: in the Shamanad tournament thing and they beat the host
32:20
Speaker 1: Shamanad to get a win in that tournament, to get
32:23
Speaker 1: fifth place or whatever, to finish that thing seventh place.
32:27
Speaker 1: Excuse me, even worse now, this is their first true
32:31
Speaker 1: road game and they're having I mean, sure they've they've
32:34
Speaker 1: been back home for a while. I mean that game
32:36
Speaker 1: was over a week ago probably, but still first true
32:39
Speaker 1: road game, having to go to Indianapolis. It's a weird
32:42
Speaker 1: spot for Boise, dude, and Boise likes to play slow
32:45
Speaker 1: and Butler does not. Butler likes to run teams out
32:48
Speaker 1: of the building. Butler has some recent momentum, and they're
32:51
Speaker 1: just probably gonna continue it. They just had an easy
32:54
Speaker 1: win over reached Michigan in their last game. The spot
32:57
Speaker 1: looks a lot better to me for Butler here. That's
32:59
Speaker 1: the way that I would lean uh Butler. Also, if
33:02
Speaker 1: they're able to control the Temple, they should be able
33:04
Speaker 1: to speed this game up and throw Boise State out
33:08
Speaker 1: of their element even more, because again, Boise not used
33:11
Speaker 1: to playing here. I don't believe it's a weird uh
33:14
Speaker 1: spot for Boise State here. Butler up to a five
33:17
Speaker 1: and a half point favor, fifty eight percent of tickets
33:19
Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the cash coming back on Boise.
33:21
Speaker 1: I would lay it with Butler in that one, though,
33:23
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it all right, what else
33:27
Speaker 1: are we looking at here? Next up, here's another play
33:31
Speaker 1: for you. We're gonna be on a favor here. We're
33:32
Speaker 1: gonna lay the points with Ducaine the Dukes minus nine
33:36
Speaker 1: and a half, not Duke, but Dukane. The money seems
33:38
Speaker 1: to definitely agree with this. The line hasn't really moved
33:41
Speaker 1: that much either. Fifty percent of the tickets on Stony Brook,
33:44
Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the cash on Ducaine. Looking at
33:47
Speaker 1: these teams records. People are gonna think something I think incorrectly, like,
33:51
Speaker 1: oh my god, stony Brook is six and two, Ducaine's
33:54
Speaker 1: five and three. That like, you got to take this
33:57
Speaker 1: boatload of points, right with stony Brook. They have a
33:59
Speaker 1: good record, better record. No, No, we're not gonna do that, Dukane.
34:04
Speaker 1: They're good at home. They're five and one at home.
34:06
Speaker 1: Stony Brook. Look at their resume so far, man, I mean,
34:10
Speaker 1: they have two wins against non Division one teams. They
34:13
Speaker 1: have a win against winless Maine, they have a win
34:15
Speaker 1: against Brown, who's one of the bottom IVY teams that
34:19
Speaker 1: looks like and a win against Bethune Cookman. I mean,
34:22
Speaker 1: these wins are not impressive. Let's just put it that way.
34:24
Speaker 1: Even though yeah, Bethune Cookman, I mean they've looked good
34:27
Speaker 1: in some games this year. Whatever. But now stony Brook,
34:30
Speaker 1: look at what they just did. They went out to
34:32
Speaker 1: California and they upset Loyal and Mary Mount in the
34:37
Speaker 1: Pacific Coast, and now they're having to travel all the
34:39
Speaker 1: way back to Pittsburgh for this game for a second
34:41
Speaker 1: straight road game. And by the way, they did lose
34:44
Speaker 1: their other road game, although they hung to it within
34:47
Speaker 1: seven of Yale. So yeah, that was it was a
34:49
Speaker 1: good performance. Sure, stony Brook's been good on the road
34:51
Speaker 1: so far, but I think maybe these teams took stony
34:54
Speaker 1: Brook lightly. Loyal and mary Mount, I mean, they had
34:59
Speaker 1: a big game against Saint Louis coming up after that.
35:02
Speaker 1: I think they just overlooked stony Brook. They had they'd
35:06
Speaker 1: beaten Ohio the game before that. Man, I don't know
35:08
Speaker 1: exactly what the deal was here. Oh no, wait, this
35:10
Speaker 1: was not in my mistake, this was not in the
35:11
Speaker 1: Pacific Coast. I hate how ESPN shows that as a
35:14
Speaker 1: road game when it wasn't. I know, this was even
35:17
Speaker 1: though it was the Sunshine Slam, which is a Florida tournament. No,
35:20
Speaker 1: this is a campus game, so I'm right. This is
35:22
Speaker 1: at Loyola mary Mount. So yeah, it was in California.
35:25
Speaker 1: I don't know. It's very very strange how these games
35:28
Speaker 1: set up. But if you also look at this game,
35:30
Speaker 1: do Loyal and mary Mount dominated the rebound battle by
35:34
Speaker 1: ken So that's again that's the more like predictable stat
35:38
Speaker 1: the more predictive metric there that tells you that Loyola
35:42
Speaker 1: should have had more possessions in the game. They probably
35:44
Speaker 1: outplayed Sony Brook in the game. But Loyola had a
35:47
Speaker 1: terrible shooting game thirty eight percent from the field, and
35:50
Speaker 1: they had a ton of turnovers, which is not usually
35:53
Speaker 1: what you see for a home team. It's a better
35:55
Speaker 1: team fifteen turnovers, So this game was an outlier. Now
35:58
Speaker 1: sotny Brook's having to go all all the way over
36:00
Speaker 1: to Dukane. Yeah, I mean, I think Dukine is gonna
36:04
Speaker 1: do something here. Dukane is coming up a game against
36:07
Speaker 1: William and Mary, and I know William and Mary's got
36:09
Speaker 1: a good record. I get that, But Dukane was probably
36:12
Speaker 1: about an eight point favorite in this game, I would guess.
36:14
Speaker 1: So Dukane is coming off a pretty ugly performance at home,
36:18
Speaker 1: even though it was against a team with a good
36:19
Speaker 1: record William and Mary. I expect Dukaine to want to
36:22
Speaker 1: bounce back here. I mean, they have not had a
36:25
Speaker 1: great home stand here, and I think they will do
36:27
Speaker 1: that before they go back out on the road. I know,
36:29
Speaker 1: Boise up next. You want to argue that's a look ahead,
36:33
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I mean you could I
36:36
Speaker 1: could see that argument maybe if Dukine wasn't coming off
36:40
Speaker 1: a game where they were a pretty big favorite and lost,
36:42
Speaker 1: so I like Dukine to actually bounce back here. Dukin,
36:46
Speaker 1: I mean, William and Mary just shot lights out of
36:49
Speaker 1: this game man fifty one percent from the field fifty
36:52
Speaker 1: from three. That's an outlier. And Dukane had twenty one
36:56
Speaker 1: turnovers at home, so another gamer was just probably unfocused effort.
37:01
Speaker 1: Is a lopsided not really lopside, but just way too
37:04
Speaker 1: many turnovers to the home team. And Ducaine won the
37:06
Speaker 1: rebound battle by thirteen, So you've got to think that
37:09
Speaker 1: the indicators of the Ducaine should dominate the rebounds here
37:12
Speaker 1: against tony Brook. They're the way better team. They're gonna
37:15
Speaker 1: be the better rebounding team here. I think Dukaine wins
37:18
Speaker 1: this game probably easily, and sotny Brook likes to play
37:21
Speaker 1: pretty slow as well. Ducaine is gonna run and go fast.
37:26
Speaker 1: Ken Bum also has tony Brook the ninth luckiest team
37:29
Speaker 1: in the country, so the luck index is coming into
37:32
Speaker 1: player as well. Uh. They're also in like basically almost
37:36
Speaker 1: in the bottom one hundred. They're in like the bottom
37:38
Speaker 1: third of teams, and he has Ducaine up in the
37:41
Speaker 1: top one fifty. Ducane one of the unluckier teams that
37:44
Speaker 1: three oh one in Locket. Ducaine does like to play
37:47
Speaker 1: quite fast, so that's gonna throw stony Brook out of
37:50
Speaker 1: the pace that they want to play as well. Assuming
37:53
Speaker 1: that Ducaine is the better team at home, they should
37:55
Speaker 1: be able to control the pace here. Sony Brook does
37:58
Speaker 1: not want to go fast like that, so the points
38:00
Speaker 1: of Ducaine. All right, let's keep going, man, Let's try
38:07
Speaker 1: to get these things done here. I know I usually
38:11
Speaker 1: talk about Massachusetts teams. I'm not gonna talk about all
38:14
Speaker 1: of them, but holy Cross just got a nice win
38:16
Speaker 1: as an underdog at home over Northeastern. That's a big
38:19
Speaker 1: you know, holy Cross is kind of the little brother
38:22
Speaker 1: against all these Boston area teams. So holy Cross got
38:25
Speaker 1: the win there out in Woocester. Nice win. Now they
38:28
Speaker 1: have to go on the road to Fordham, which is
38:31
Speaker 1: I believe in the Bronx or in Manhattan. I forget
38:33
Speaker 1: exactly where. I think it's the Bronx. Not a great
38:37
Speaker 1: spot for them, although Fordham they just played a tough
38:39
Speaker 1: game as well against Colgate up in k Beec and
38:42
Speaker 1: now they have to come back home from that. So
38:44
Speaker 1: I don't entirely love the spot that Fordham is in either,
38:47
Speaker 1: Although if I was gonna play it, I would lay
38:49
Speaker 1: it with Fordham. They're up from nine to ten, ten
38:53
Speaker 1: point favorite, though the low total of one hundred and
38:55
Speaker 1: thirty eight isn't quite as tempting to me either though,
38:58
Speaker 1: So obviously I'm not playing the game, but I would
39:01
Speaker 1: probably lay it with Fordham if I was gonna play it.
39:03
Speaker 1: Louisville and Indiana number six and number twenty two. This
39:07
Speaker 1: is interesting, man. Again, football is gonna come into play
39:10
Speaker 1: here because this game is in Indianapolis, So it's not
39:13
Speaker 1: in Indiana's campus. Guess where the Big Ten championship is
39:18
Speaker 1: that has Indiana playing in it. Yeah, it's in Indianapolis.
39:22
Speaker 1: So I think Indiana's crowd they're gonna make a game
39:25
Speaker 1: of it. And this game is at two point fifteen.
39:27
Speaker 1: I mean people can come, they can go to both games,
39:29
Speaker 1: you know what I mean, in the same city. I
39:32
Speaker 1: think it's gonna be just like I said with Virginia.
39:34
Speaker 1: It's gonna be in Indiana day here. But in this game.
39:37
Speaker 1: I might like Indiana a bit more here in this
39:39
Speaker 1: one than I more than I like Virginia. And they're
39:41
Speaker 1: a basketball game here today, but Indiana's still a basketball school.
39:46
Speaker 1: Man in Indiana, is a huge basketball state, so the
39:49
Speaker 1: crowd is gonna show up here for this, and I again,
39:53
Speaker 1: they're gonna go to the football game as well, There's
39:55
Speaker 1: no question about that. But I think you're gonna see
39:57
Speaker 1: Indiana fans all over the place here Louisville. I know
40:01
Speaker 1: it's not that much of a trials spot for them.
40:02
Speaker 1: They're gonna have somewhat of a crowd here as well.
40:05
Speaker 1: But Louisville's in a pretty difficult spot. They just had
40:08
Speaker 1: a pretty difficult game against Arkansas, first true road game,
40:12
Speaker 1: lost by nine, and now they have to turn around
40:14
Speaker 1: and play Indiana all of their first loss. It's difficult
40:17
Speaker 1: to do that. Man, when you're coming up your first
40:19
Speaker 1: loss of the season, not that easy to do. So
40:22
Speaker 1: could be in a bit of a hangover here. Not
40:24
Speaker 1: the greatest spot for Louisville. For Indiana though, they also
40:28
Speaker 1: just took their first loss, but that was a win
40:30
Speaker 1: that we had on the show with Minnesota. That was
40:32
Speaker 1: a much much uglier loss. And I know Indiana is
40:36
Speaker 1: not very battle tested. The other the wins are against
40:38
Speaker 1: Marquette and Kansas State, so I get it. I pointed
40:41
Speaker 1: that out when I gave out Minnesota as to play.
40:43
Speaker 1: Indiana is not very battle tested yet. I get that
40:46
Speaker 1: Louisville's gonna be their best opponent they faced so far,
40:48
Speaker 1: But you're gonna have Indiana as an underdog in this
40:51
Speaker 1: game in Indianapolis. So again, with both teams coming up
40:56
Speaker 1: their first loss, hangover potential for both teams. But that
40:59
Speaker 1: lost to Minnesota. Again, Indiana was like a ten point
41:02
Speaker 1: favorite in the game. I think they were down to
41:04
Speaker 1: nine and a half. Maybe that is a much much
41:06
Speaker 1: uglier loss than Louisville. I mean, you can't blame Louisville
41:09
Speaker 1: for losing a pretty close game to Arkansas, so to me,
41:12
Speaker 1: it looks like more of a bounce back spot to
41:14
Speaker 1: Indiana in some ways here. So I like Indiana in
41:17
Speaker 1: this game. Louisville's down for five and a half to
41:20
Speaker 1: four and a half, sixty six percent of ticket seventy
41:23
Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on them for now, But
41:25
Speaker 1: I would take the points with Indiana here also a
41:27
Speaker 1: pretty high total by the way, it wons sixty two.
41:30
Speaker 1: Because they think both teams like to run, so it'll
41:33
Speaker 1: be a fast paced game. Most likely Indiana's kind of
41:36
Speaker 1: mid tempo. Actually Louisville is fast, but it is expected
41:40
Speaker 1: to mostly be a faster game, which I guess if
41:46
Speaker 1: it's too fast, it might benefit Louisville a little bit more.
41:48
Speaker 1: But my opinion of that game would be to take
41:51
Speaker 1: the points with Indiana. All Right, what else are we're
41:55
Speaker 1: looking at here today? Skipping some of these other games.
41:58
Speaker 1: George Mason and Virginia Tech first look at this as well.
42:01
Speaker 1: George Mason's gonna be an in state little brother here,
42:04
Speaker 1: so George Mason also in Virginia. They're gonna step up
42:07
Speaker 1: their game for a game against one of the big boys,
42:10
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. George Mason also undefeated. They're off to a
42:15
Speaker 1: nice start here, although they haven't faced any Power Conference
42:18
Speaker 1: teams yet, so they're not totally battle tested yet. And
42:21
Speaker 1: this is their first true road game, but at least
42:23
Speaker 1: staying in the state of Virginia it makes it easier
42:26
Speaker 1: so it's not really as unfamiliar with a venue for them.
42:29
Speaker 1: For Virginia Tech, they're coming off some big games, man,
42:32
Speaker 1: where they beat Colorado State, they lost to Saint Mary's,
42:35
Speaker 1: they lost to VCU, and then they came back and
42:37
Speaker 1: they beat South Carolina on the road in the acc
42:41
Speaker 1: SEC Challenge. South Carolina. I believe they were actually a
42:45
Speaker 1: favorite in that game, so Virginia Tech actually pulled off
42:48
Speaker 1: an upset there. So the fact that they're coming of
42:50
Speaker 1: an upset of an SEC team, George Mason probably wants
42:54
Speaker 1: this game a little bit more because they're the little brother.
42:56
Speaker 1: I think taking the points with George Mason is correct
42:59
Speaker 1: in this game. Also, Virginia Tech only laying four points
43:03
Speaker 1: looks a little bit strange, like people obviously they're gonna
43:06
Speaker 1: know the name Virginia Tech and think that line looks short.
43:09
Speaker 1: Other than the fact that maybe some of the professional betters,
43:12
Speaker 1: you're excuse me, maybe some of the recreational betters that
43:14
Speaker 1: think that they know more, you know, they're gonna go, oh,
43:17
Speaker 1: George Mason's undefeated. That's sneaky, We're gonna take George Mason, right,
43:21
Speaker 1: So that maybe the George Mason because they're undefeated, look
43:25
Speaker 1: they look a little bit like one of those recreational players,
43:28
Speaker 1: or maybe the guys think that they're sneaky by doing it.
43:30
Speaker 1: But I still think it's the right side. If I
43:32
Speaker 1: was gonna play it, I would take the points with
43:34
Speaker 1: George Mason. It's a pretty low total one hundred and
43:36
Speaker 1: forty three and a half as well eighty percent of
43:39
Speaker 1: the tickets nine to nine percent of the cash in
43:40
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech cash percentage is probably not accurate, but I
43:44
Speaker 1: would take the points if I was gonna play that
43:47
Speaker 1: Rutgers at in Michigan getting into the four pms here.
43:50
Speaker 1: Hopefully we can get this this done, man, because we've
43:53
Speaker 1: got other games to talk about here. Michigan. I mean,
43:55
Speaker 1: they could not have possibly looked better out in Vegas.
43:58
Speaker 1: They just absolutely destroyed every one of their opponents San
44:02
Speaker 1: Diego State, Auburn, and Gonzaga. So right now, Michigan, you
44:06
Speaker 1: gotta think they're gonna be over valued in the market.
44:08
Speaker 1: I know Ken Bomasm is the number one team right now,
44:11
Speaker 1: but no team is ever as good as what they
44:13
Speaker 1: look like in their best game. And again, this is
44:16
Speaker 1: a Michigan team that almost lost to Wake Forest and TCU.
44:20
Speaker 1: So where what is the real Michigan here? Well, yeah,
44:23
Speaker 1: I think they're good, obviously. I think they're probably a
44:26
Speaker 1: top ten team right now. I just don't think they're
44:28
Speaker 1: as good as what they looked like in those most
44:31
Speaker 1: recent games. I don't think they're as bad as those
44:33
Speaker 1: other games that I mentioned either, So where does this
44:35
Speaker 1: game fall against a Rutgers team that's not really good,
44:39
Speaker 1: and this is at Michigan. I don't know, Man, Rutgers, yeah,
44:45
Speaker 1: I mean I know, Like I said, they're not good.
44:48
Speaker 1: This is gonna be their first true road game of
44:49
Speaker 1: the season. They're coming off a big game that they
44:52
Speaker 1: just had against Purdue where they did respectably at least
44:55
Speaker 1: only losing by sixteen. A lot of factors here. I
45:00
Speaker 1: think the determining factor is that you gotta think that
45:03
Speaker 1: there's gonna be no line value on the Michigan side
45:05
Speaker 1: because of what they looked like in Vegas. Man, it
45:07
Speaker 1: could be a bit of a letdown coming into this.
45:09
Speaker 1: So I would take the points with Rutgers. Uh, Michigan
45:13
Speaker 1: sixty one percent of the tickets on them, sixty six
45:15
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Rutgers. The line's up to
45:18
Speaker 1: twenty five total, not very high at one forty eight
45:21
Speaker 1: and a half. I don't believe that Michigan likes to
45:23
Speaker 1: play particularly fast. Actually I'm wrong. Ken Bum has them
45:26
Speaker 1: twenty second in tempo. I'm not used to that because
45:29
Speaker 1: I don't think they played that fast last year. But
45:32
Speaker 1: if I was gonna do what I would take the
45:33
Speaker 1: points with Rutgers. But that's not gonna be a play.
45:40
Speaker 1: The squares. What do you mean square betters? You love them? Well,
45:45
Speaker 1: I love the fact that they kind of can they
45:48
Speaker 1: can kind of like like they can give you some
45:52
Speaker 1: some information as far as where your opinion should lie,
45:55
Speaker 1: if that makes sense. All right, I hope I didn't
45:59
Speaker 1: skip in him any of my plays here. I have
46:01
Speaker 1: way too many plays here, man, I'm like, look at them, like,
46:05
Speaker 1: where are these other plays that I have today? Did
46:07
Speaker 1: I skip any of these? Hopefully I didn't. I don't
46:14
Speaker 1: think so. I'm looking right now, man, I'm just making sure. No,
46:18
Speaker 1: I don't think I did. All right, Well, you just
46:20
Speaker 1: saw me type win ins. You know what one of
46:21
Speaker 1: my plays is gonna be. But yeah, we're looking at
46:23
Speaker 1: these four PM games. Next one up. I like this
46:25
Speaker 1: one quite a bit. We're gonna take the points with
46:27
Speaker 1: Fresno State. We're gonna fade Arkansas Fresno plus eighteen and
46:32
Speaker 1: a half. This is Jeffrey likes these underdogs like this
46:37
Speaker 1: in basketball more. Actually, you can get twenty on this now,
46:40
Speaker 1: so fuck it. I just put it in just to
46:44
Speaker 1: track it earlier. But yeah, let's let's take the twenty
46:47
Speaker 1: we'll get more value on this here. You might get
46:49
Speaker 1: twenty and a half to the line has gone up,
46:52
Speaker 1: but don't see the percentages yet. But this spot screams
46:56
Speaker 1: Fresno to me, man, Arkansas the rank twenty five if
47:00
Speaker 1: ken Bomb actually has them outside of the top twenty five.
47:02
Speaker 1: Right now, Arkansas, they're not a bad team. Obviously, they're
47:08
Speaker 1: pretty battle tested. But yeah, they had pretty close losses
47:13
Speaker 1: to Michigan State and Duke. But look at their most
47:15
Speaker 1: recent game three days ago. They played Louisville and beat them.
47:19
Speaker 1: That was a huge win for Arkansas, which I already mentioned.
47:22
Speaker 1: Now they got to face Fresno State in this neutral
47:25
Speaker 1: site game whatever it is. It's in Little Rock though,
47:27
Speaker 1: so it is favorable to Arkansas as far as the spot.
47:31
Speaker 1: Like their fan base will probably travel from Fayetteville to
47:34
Speaker 1: go to this game, but it's not at their home arena.
47:37
Speaker 1: And next Saturday, their next game, they gotta face Texas Tech.
47:41
Speaker 1: So even though it's not for a week, I think
47:43
Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot, man. I mean, these are
47:45
Speaker 1: much much bigger games surrounding this game against Fresno. And
47:48
Speaker 1: then I know this is kind of an unfamiliar venue
47:50
Speaker 1: for Fresno. They got to go out to Arkansas here,
47:53
Speaker 1: but it's not a true road game at the very least.
47:56
Speaker 1: I know Fresno. They have not really left like I
47:58
Speaker 1: usually don't like teams that haven't left their own time zone,
48:01
Speaker 1: which I think might be the case here. Yeah, Fresno
48:04
Speaker 1: has played every game I think in California so far,
48:07
Speaker 1: so usually I worry about that, but I just think
48:09
Speaker 1: the spot is bad for Arkansas and for Fresno. I
48:13
Speaker 1: mentioned this when I faded cal State Bakersfield the other
48:16
Speaker 1: day and we got the win with Northridge. Fresno State
48:18
Speaker 1: was the victim in that bakers Field game. Fresno was
48:22
Speaker 1: a huge favorite in this game, well like ten eleven
48:25
Speaker 1: point favorite probably in this game, and lost outright at
48:28
Speaker 1: home to cal State Bakersfield. So I think it might
48:30
Speaker 1: be good for them to just leave, you know what
48:32
Speaker 1: I mean. And they've had almost an entire week off
48:35
Speaker 1: to recollect themselves after then, you know Fresno's gonna step
48:38
Speaker 1: up when they get to face an SEC team. I mean,
48:41
Speaker 1: they don't usually get to play a team like this.
48:43
Speaker 1: Is the only Power Conference team that they play all year,
48:46
Speaker 1: I believe, so they're gonna show up for this it's
48:48
Speaker 1: a big game for them. So I like Fresno plus
48:51
Speaker 1: the points here, man, even though yes, I know Arkansas
48:53
Speaker 1: does play fast, but Fresno I don't believe they're particularly
48:58
Speaker 1: slow either. So as far as Arkansas is concerned, yeah,
49:02
Speaker 1: they're a fast tempo team. Fresno not a terrible team.
49:06
Speaker 1: Ken Bom has some kind of middle of the road
49:08
Speaker 1: has them pretty low in the luck Index, which is
49:10
Speaker 1: good because it means they're underperforming right now. Fairly balanced
49:14
Speaker 1: team as far as Fresno goes, a little bit better defensively,
49:17
Speaker 1: and they don't play that slow. They're almost in the
49:20
Speaker 1: top one hundred tempo, so they're not gonna be totally
49:22
Speaker 1: thrown off by Arkansas playing fast. So I like Fresno
49:26
Speaker 1: plus the points there, man. I know the total is
49:30
Speaker 1: fairly high, it's gone way up, so money is coming
49:33
Speaker 1: in on the over in that one, up to one
49:35
Speaker 1: fifty nine. I know fast pace makes it easier for
49:38
Speaker 1: a favorite to cover, but I just think the spot's awful.
49:41
Speaker 1: So and Arkansas they might not really have that much
49:43
Speaker 1: of a reason to really push push it in this game,
49:46
Speaker 1: Like I keep saying, when these big teams, even if
49:49
Speaker 1: they're fast paced. When they're facing a little guy like this,
49:52
Speaker 1: they don't have to go one hundred percent. You know,
49:55
Speaker 1: they're fastest tempo, you know what I mean, because they
49:58
Speaker 1: know they can win the game even if they don't,
50:00
Speaker 1: and they have bigger, you know, games surrounding it, so
50:03
Speaker 1: sometimes they just won't be incentivized to do it. Fresno, Zach,
50:07
Speaker 1: you don't like Fresno, all right, Fresno. Next up? Here's
50:15
Speaker 1: another this this one is awesome. Uh North Carolina, North Carolina,
50:19
Speaker 1: A and T excuse me, minus one and a half,
50:22
Speaker 1: or if you want to play the money line, it's
50:24
Speaker 1: probably at about minus one thirty. Again, a lot of
50:27
Speaker 1: the professionals talk about how it's actually better to play
50:30
Speaker 1: the money line in games like this, but I found
50:32
Speaker 1: minus one and a half it reduced juice, so I
50:35
Speaker 1: put it into that because that makes the one and
50:36
Speaker 1: a half a little bit more valuable. But money line
50:39
Speaker 1: definitely makes sense in this game as well. Again, when
50:42
Speaker 1: it's a one, one and a half or two point favorite.
50:44
Speaker 1: In college college basketball specifically, the history like bears this
50:49
Speaker 1: out that it's actually more advantageous to play the money
50:52
Speaker 1: line on those, But do with it what you will.
50:54
Speaker 1: But NC Central is the other team here. These two teams,
50:58
Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, they're in state siblings. I think A
51:01
Speaker 1: and team I consider themselves to maybe be the littler
51:04
Speaker 1: brother here because NC Central seems to make more noise
51:07
Speaker 1: a lot of the time in the MIAC. NC Central
51:10
Speaker 1: is coming off a huge game against JMU though, where
51:14
Speaker 1: they went into JMU or jmu's undefeated, and I believe
51:17
Speaker 1: JMU was somewhere in the vicinity of about an eighteen
51:20
Speaker 1: point favorite of this game. Although again ESPN is not
51:23
Speaker 1: making my job easy because they don't show me that.
51:25
Speaker 1: But this is a huge performance from NC Central and
51:28
Speaker 1: they almost won the game. They had to make a
51:31
Speaker 1: comeback after they were down by almost double digits midway
51:33
Speaker 1: through the game. They came back and took the lead
51:36
Speaker 1: with under five minutes to go and then stalled out
51:39
Speaker 1: and lost the game. That was a massive performance from
51:42
Speaker 1: NC Central and now they're coming off of that and
51:45
Speaker 1: up next by the way, in three days they have
51:47
Speaker 1: to go to Kentucky. So this is a sandwich spot, man,
51:50
Speaker 1: I mean, this is a This is a bad spot
51:52
Speaker 1: for them. NCA and T I think is gonna come
51:55
Speaker 1: in fresher. I know they have the better record, so
51:58
Speaker 1: you know, the public is well, the public's right not
52:00
Speaker 1: even gonna look at this game at all. But NCA
52:02
Speaker 1: and T. I know they're playing a fourth straight road
52:05
Speaker 1: game that is difficult, but they're staying basically in the
52:08
Speaker 1: area like their other two games were both in the
52:10
Speaker 1: Carolinas against Davidson and Charlotte. Morgan State, I think, is
52:14
Speaker 1: also somewhere on the East coast, so they're not really
52:17
Speaker 1: having to travel that much here with these road games,
52:20
Speaker 1: staying in the vicinity, and they just lost to Charlotte
52:23
Speaker 1: on the road. Charlotte was the favorite obviously whatever, NCA
52:26
Speaker 1: and T is not good, but this spot sets up
52:29
Speaker 1: much much better for them to have a focused effort
52:31
Speaker 1: versus what nc Central is looking like in this game.
52:34
Speaker 1: So NCA and T is the play here. They're up
52:37
Speaker 1: from minus one to minus one and a half. It
52:39
Speaker 1: looks like the money is kind of coming in on
52:40
Speaker 1: that side. That's what we're gonna do in that one.
52:43
Speaker 1: Let's keep it rolling, man, as we run through all
52:47
Speaker 1: these games here, tons and tons of college basketball, Marshall
52:54
Speaker 1: and Ohio. Actually is this a game? This is one
52:57
Speaker 1: of my plays too. Holy crap, dude, we have so
52:59
Speaker 1: many games today, this is insane. Yeah, hang on, yeah,
53:04
Speaker 1: we're gonna lay the points of Ohio in this one.
53:06
Speaker 1: And I know based on what ken Bum is saying,
53:08
Speaker 1: he's saying that Marshall is the better team. So three
53:11
Speaker 1: and a half is a little bit if he here.
53:13
Speaker 1: But it is a home game for Ohio, and I
53:15
Speaker 1: think the spot is really bad for Marshall. Nobody's gonna
53:19
Speaker 1: want to lay points, Like why would you lay points
53:21
Speaker 1: with a two and six Ohio team against a five
53:24
Speaker 1: and three Marshall team? Right so right away the it
53:27
Speaker 1: looks like a fishy line here. So I like to
53:30
Speaker 1: find some of those spots early in college basketball as well.
53:34
Speaker 1: Marshall is coming up a huge game where they went
53:37
Speaker 1: to U see it. You and see Wilmington, who is
53:39
Speaker 1: a solid team, probably the best team in the Colonial.
53:42
Speaker 1: And you would't see Wilmington only his one loss on
53:45
Speaker 1: the season, undefeated at home. You would to see Wilmington,
53:48
Speaker 1: I think was like a double digit favorite in this game,
53:50
Speaker 1: were close to it. They were a big favorite. It
53:52
Speaker 1: maybe like around eight somewhere like that. I don't know,
53:54
Speaker 1: because again ken Bum doesn't excuse me. ESPN doesn't give
53:58
Speaker 1: me that information anymore. But Marshall made a comeback in
54:01
Speaker 1: this game, and they had the lead really late in
54:03
Speaker 1: the game. They're winning the game. In the final like
54:06
Speaker 1: minute and a half of the game, they were up
54:08
Speaker 1: six and they wound up losing the game. Anyway, I
54:11
Speaker 1: think that sets up a huge flat spot for Marshall
54:13
Speaker 1: off of a huge game like that, now having to
54:15
Speaker 1: go into Ohio. I know it's not that far from
54:18
Speaker 1: Marshall's campus, but still, they also have Western Kentucky up next.
54:21
Speaker 1: Do you think they're really gonna focus on a two
54:24
Speaker 1: and six Ohio team coming up that huge game against
54:27
Speaker 1: Wilmington and then up next Western Kentucky who definitely has
54:30
Speaker 1: a name in college basketball and they're off to a
54:32
Speaker 1: decent start this year too. Yeah, I don't see it.
54:35
Speaker 1: I think this is a bad spot, maybe a sandwich spot.
54:38
Speaker 1: And for Ohio, they just broke a long lost streak
54:42
Speaker 1: by beating Maine, so I think that's a good thing. Man.
54:44
Speaker 1: They just back at home. They got this win against Maine.
54:47
Speaker 1: They're gonna have some continuity now after beating Maine. Maine's awful,
54:51
Speaker 1: so they're not gonna be overconfident, but it's good to
54:53
Speaker 1: just get that win get back on the winning track.
54:56
Speaker 1: You know, Ohio's face a pretty difficult schedule this year too,
55:00
Speaker 1: facing George Mason, Loyola, Marymount, Saint Mary's, Louisville. Those are
55:05
Speaker 1: not easy teams to beat. Man, So Ohio like the
55:09
Speaker 1: worst team that they face is Bethune Cookman, and I
55:11
Speaker 1: know they lost that game at home, but that was
55:13
Speaker 1: a bad spot. Ohio was coming off of that game
55:15
Speaker 1: against Louisville and they had George Mason next, so I
55:20
Speaker 1: think we can give them a little bit of pass.
55:21
Speaker 1: Ohio is the more battle tested team here. Man ken
55:25
Speaker 1: Bum has them a two hundred and eighty seventh in
55:27
Speaker 1: luck at seventy sixth in straight the schedules, so he
55:31
Speaker 1: has them underperforming and having faced a pretty difficult schedule
55:35
Speaker 1: so far. Marshall high up in the luck index at
55:40
Speaker 1: sixty two, and they faced a weaker schedule at two thirty.
55:43
Speaker 1: They are gonna want to go fast, Marshall is, but
55:46
Speaker 1: Ohio they like to play a bit, well, a little
55:48
Speaker 1: bit slower. They still run the somewhat faster side though,
55:51
Speaker 1: but slower than Marshall is. Uh, but I guess you
55:55
Speaker 1: know it probably will be actually a faster paced game
55:57
Speaker 1: in general. But yeah, I like Ohio and everything that
56:00
Speaker 1: I just said there will high was up from a
56:01
Speaker 1: two point favorites with three and a half total one seven.
56:06
Speaker 1: I mean, it's not low by any means, so make
56:09
Speaker 1: it easier to cover spread as a favorite like that.
56:12
Speaker 1: I know the line is maybe a little bit high
56:15
Speaker 1: here as far as we're ken bum as these teams ranked,
56:17
Speaker 1: but I like the spot. We're gonna lay it with Ohio,
56:22
Speaker 1: So that's gonna that's gonna be the next play. Well
56:28
Speaker 1: we're trying to roll. I mean, I don't wanted this
56:30
Speaker 1: show to take forever Rhode Island in Providence. I I
56:34
Speaker 1: did talk about it. Lean to Rhode Island plus the points,
56:38
Speaker 1: I think is what I said as the littler brother.
56:43
Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion on that game at
56:44
Speaker 1: all though, but you can go back and see what
56:46
Speaker 1: I said. It was right near the beginning of the show.
56:48
Speaker 1: I did talk about it. Hopefully I'm gonna get a
56:52
Speaker 1: descript to do the chapters on this when I'm done,
56:54
Speaker 1: and hopefully that will help as well. The Battle of
56:57
Speaker 1: the U Mass is this happening U Mass? Lowell is
56:59
Speaker 1: having to go to UMass Amhurst, which is on the
57:02
Speaker 1: other side of the state. But UMass Lowell, I mean
57:05
Speaker 1: they consider themselves to be a little brother here, so
57:07
Speaker 1: this is one game that they probably are gonna step
57:09
Speaker 1: up for you. Mass just beat Harvard and they have
57:12
Speaker 1: BC next, So that's the biggest brother in the state
57:16
Speaker 1: of Massachusetts is BC. And Harvard is a better game,
57:19
Speaker 1: a better win than U mass Lowell too, so debatably
57:22
Speaker 1: somewhat of a sandwich here for U mass So I
57:25
Speaker 1: would take the points of U. Mass Lowell. U mass
57:28
Speaker 1: is down for twelve to eleven and a half. There
57:30
Speaker 1: not a play for me, but U mass Lowell I
57:32
Speaker 1: believe would be the right side there. I'm Maryland at
57:35
Speaker 1: Iowa Big ten match up here. Iowa just took their
57:39
Speaker 1: first loss of the season, brutal. We lost on that
57:42
Speaker 1: one at Michigan State. They lost by quite a bit,
57:45
Speaker 1: but that's the first loss of the season, and when
57:47
Speaker 1: teams take their first loss of the season sometimes it'll
57:50
Speaker 1: hang them over man. Maryland does have their best player
57:53
Speaker 1: back Forrell pay whatever his name is, So Maryland is
57:58
Speaker 1: an intact team at least at this point in Iowa
58:01
Speaker 1: does have their huge rivalry game against a very good
58:04
Speaker 1: Iowa State team next. So this does kind of look
58:07
Speaker 1: sandwiche here, even though this is Iowa's conference home opener.
58:11
Speaker 1: I don't love the spot here. Again, losing that first
58:14
Speaker 1: game can hang you over a bit. Maryland is coming
58:17
Speaker 1: off a nice bounce back win over Wagner where they
58:19
Speaker 1: didn't overly impress that it's got an easy win. Probably
58:22
Speaker 1: didn't cover against Wagner. Now they're going out on the road.
58:26
Speaker 1: They've played one true road game already and beat Marquette,
58:30
Speaker 1: and they've played in Vegas, so they're the more battle
58:32
Speaker 1: tested team as well, having a face Gonzaga Alabama in there. Iowa,
58:37
Speaker 1: the best opponent they faced was Michigan State. Besides that,
58:40
Speaker 1: I mean they faced Old miss who looks down. This
58:42
Speaker 1: year's Xavier not that good either, So Maryland is also
58:45
Speaker 1: more battle tested. I lean towards Maryland here. The money
58:48
Speaker 1: seems to agree. Iowa down from thirteen to ten here
58:51
Speaker 1: the total plummeted ten points too, And I don't know
58:54
Speaker 1: exactly why. I don't know if there's an injury or what,
58:57
Speaker 1: but I can tell you that with under Ben Mcallum,
59:00
Speaker 1: Iowa plays egregiously slow, which Maryland doesn't really want to
59:04
Speaker 1: do that. Uh. But even so, like Maryland plays a
59:09
Speaker 1: little bit on the faster side, they're kind of mid tempo.
59:11
Speaker 1: But the fact that Iowa plays ridiculously slow does not
59:16
Speaker 1: help them cover large spreads like this. So even though
59:18
Speaker 1: it's down from thirteen to ten, I would take the
59:20
Speaker 1: points with Maryland if I was gonna play it, Uh,
59:22
Speaker 1: fifty percent of ticket, seventy seven percent of the cash
59:25
Speaker 1: on Maryland. You wouldnt see Wilmington again. I just talked
59:30
Speaker 1: about them. They're at Louisiana here. All I would say
59:32
Speaker 1: is that Wilmington is in kind of a bounce back
59:34
Speaker 1: spot because they had that ugly game where they almost
59:37
Speaker 1: lost to a Marshall. I would lay it with Wilmington
59:40
Speaker 1: in this one. They're up to a thirteen point favorite,
59:43
Speaker 1: sixty percent of ticket, seventy five percent of the cash
59:45
Speaker 1: on Louisiana. Though, so the money seems to be coming
59:48
Speaker 1: in back on the Louisiana side a little bit. It
59:51
Speaker 1: is a really low total of one hundred and twenty
59:53
Speaker 1: seven though, so I'm not exactly tempted to lay thirteen
59:56
Speaker 1: on the road there. What else do we have going
1:00:01
Speaker 1: on here? We got a Seaton Hall in Kansas, State
1:00:06
Speaker 1: is an interesting one man. Two big conference teams here.
1:00:10
Speaker 1: Seaton Hall off to a nice start. Man, They're eight
1:00:13
Speaker 1: and one. Their only loss was by two to USC
1:00:15
Speaker 1: out in Maui. They played pretty well. I mean, they
1:00:18
Speaker 1: got to win over a NC State in there. The
1:00:20
Speaker 1: rest of their schedule is not very impressive though, so
1:00:23
Speaker 1: I'm still not totally impressed by Seaton Hall. Like, yeah,
1:00:26
Speaker 1: they look like they're moving back up to some extent
1:00:30
Speaker 1: after a couple of really bad seasons, but how good
1:00:32
Speaker 1: are they really? Are they going to be able to
1:00:34
Speaker 1: go on the road and face Kansas State here? I'm
1:00:38
Speaker 1: not so sure about that. Seaton Hall did just fail
1:00:41
Speaker 1: to cover against Central Connecticut barely. We got the win
1:00:44
Speaker 1: on Central Connecticut and that one plus the points. Seaton
1:00:47
Speaker 1: Hall was returning back from Hawaii and they had this
1:00:50
Speaker 1: big game on deck against Kansas State, so it was
1:00:53
Speaker 1: a sandwich spot there. But now first true road game
1:00:56
Speaker 1: I having to go to Kansas State, I think you're
1:00:57
Speaker 1: going to have a really angry State team off of
1:01:01
Speaker 1: that disgusting home loss to Bowling Green that was really
1:01:05
Speaker 1: really bad, man. I mean, Case State was a huge
1:01:07
Speaker 1: favorite in that game for sure, So Kansas State is
1:01:10
Speaker 1: definitely in a bounce back spot, and you can kind
1:01:12
Speaker 1: of see why they didn't play well in that game.
1:01:15
Speaker 1: I mean, maybe that doesn't excuse an outright loss, but
1:01:17
Speaker 1: they just played Mississippi State, Nebraska, both of them in
1:01:21
Speaker 1: Kansas City, and then they played Indiana and they had
1:01:25
Speaker 1: Seaton Haul up next. So that was definitely a sandwich
1:01:27
Speaker 1: spot against Bowling Green there. Maybe I should have played it,
1:01:30
Speaker 1: but I think Bowling Green was kind of in a
1:01:32
Speaker 1: questionable spot there too. But I expect Kansas State bounces
1:01:37
Speaker 1: back in this one man, and people are gonna look
1:01:39
Speaker 1: and see Kansas State is probably the favorite here. And
1:01:41
Speaker 1: they're five and three team laying points again against an
1:01:45
Speaker 1: eight and one team. It looks way too easy to
1:01:47
Speaker 1: take the points with Seaton Hall. But again, Kansas State,
1:01:50
Speaker 1: I actually think they're the better team and they're not
1:01:52
Speaker 1: even getting full home court advantage here. They're a two
1:01:55
Speaker 1: and a half sixty five percent of the cash on
1:01:57
Speaker 1: them fifty eight percent of the tickets on Seaton Hall. Yeah,
1:02:00
Speaker 1: I think the line is short based on what these
1:02:02
Speaker 1: teams have done recently. Kansas State, again, they're more battle tested.
1:02:05
Speaker 1: I would definitely lay it with Kansas State if I
1:02:07
Speaker 1: was gonna play it, and ken Bum might concur that
1:02:12
Speaker 1: Kansas State is better on well, he has them at
1:02:14
Speaker 1: seventy six. That's not good. No, he has seen all
1:02:16
Speaker 1: ten ranking spots higher. But I still don't know if
1:02:20
Speaker 1: I buy that. I mean, Kansas State, they're just the
1:02:23
Speaker 1: much more battle tested team in case State likes to
1:02:25
Speaker 1: play fast as well, and Seton Hall does not want
1:02:27
Speaker 1: to do that. So if Kansas State is able to
1:02:29
Speaker 1: speed this up, it's gonna throw Seaton Hall out of
1:02:31
Speaker 1: their element. Harriet tub Row. Yet, we definitely all miss
1:02:38
Speaker 1: Tower game for sure. Soccer no English Premier League. I
1:02:42
Speaker 1: do not you're playing the Chelsea game to draw. I
1:02:46
Speaker 1: don't do anything with soccer, man, I don't know a
1:02:49
Speaker 1: ton about it at all. Next up, next play, we're
1:02:51
Speaker 1: gonna be on Nichols or Nickels State, whatever they call themselves.
1:02:55
Speaker 1: Now plus one and a half, we're gonna fade Incarnate Word.
1:02:58
Speaker 1: I think Nichols is the better team here. People are
1:03:01
Speaker 1: excuse me. Incarnate Word is laying points on the road though,
1:03:04
Speaker 1: so maybe I'm wrong about that. But people are gonna
1:03:06
Speaker 1: look at this and see, like, how easy does this
1:03:09
Speaker 1: look to play Incarnate Word here or Actually, I think
1:03:11
Speaker 1: this might be a neutral site game. Actually, actually I
1:03:17
Speaker 1: know this is a This is in Nichols. I think
1:03:19
Speaker 1: got Louisiana, So I don't know. Maybe I'm wrong. Sometimes
1:03:22
Speaker 1: they get the rankings not straight. Here Nickels at two
1:03:26
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty fourth, I'm just used to Incarnate word
1:03:28
Speaker 1: sucking ass. But ken Bum is Incarnate Word thirty seventh
1:03:32
Speaker 1: in lock, so they're not exactly there. They're definitely overperforming.
1:03:38
Speaker 1: Nickels at two twentieth. Then Locked ken Bum has Nichols
1:03:42
Speaker 1: underperforming a bit here and Nichols nineteenth. And strength of
1:03:46
Speaker 1: the schedule both the use the face the difficult strength
1:03:48
Speaker 1: to the schedule, but Nichols has been an insane strength
1:03:51
Speaker 1: to schedule. And you look at this, sixty percent of
1:03:53
Speaker 1: tickets and fifty eight percent of the casual Incarnate Word
1:03:56
Speaker 1: laying the one point, it's basically picked the winner. Look
1:03:59
Speaker 1: at these teams. Nichols is zero and seven and Incarnate
1:04:03
Speaker 1: Word is five and three. So who in the right
1:04:05
Speaker 1: mind would play Nichols in this game? Right? Well, I'm
1:04:08
Speaker 1: gonna tell you why I'm gonna do it. Incarnate Word
1:04:11
Speaker 1: is coming off a monster win over McNeese that was
1:04:15
Speaker 1: a conference game. These are both conference games, and we
1:04:18
Speaker 1: know MacNeice under Will Wade when he was there, MacNeice
1:04:22
Speaker 1: was dominant in this conference man for two years, so
1:04:25
Speaker 1: beating MacNeice is huge. And Incarnate Word they pulled off
1:04:30
Speaker 1: a big upset here too, Like Incarnate Word was probably
1:04:33
Speaker 1: a double digit home underdog in this game and they
1:04:36
Speaker 1: pulled off the outright upset. That is a monster win.
1:04:39
Speaker 1: And after they played Nichols, which is gonna only be
1:04:42
Speaker 1: the third true road game. And yes, they did play
1:04:44
Speaker 1: well in the one against Indiana, they didn't play well
1:04:47
Speaker 1: in Colorado State, so not much to really take away
1:04:51
Speaker 1: from those games. Really. Nichols obviously nowhere near as good
1:04:54
Speaker 1: as those teams. But it's a true road game, and
1:04:56
Speaker 1: they do have New Orleans up in two days and
1:04:58
Speaker 1: then TCU and New Orleans. Even though they're sending at
1:05:02
Speaker 1: two and six. New Orleans has been making some noise, man,
1:05:04
Speaker 1: because they've been playing really well against some good teams.
1:05:07
Speaker 1: So and Nichols is still a winless team, man, I mean,
1:05:11
Speaker 1: how do you possibly focus on a winless team? You
1:05:15
Speaker 1: know what I mean? So I think it's a major
1:05:17
Speaker 1: letdown spot. It's a lack of focus spot for incarrent
1:05:19
Speaker 1: word Nichols. They're pretty battle tested. I mean they have
1:05:23
Speaker 1: a loss against Kentucky, they played Oklahoma State, Creighton, Tulane
1:05:29
Speaker 1: not that easy, Murray State, Valpol looks decent. They're only
1:05:32
Speaker 1: really really bad game was loss at Eastern Illinois, but
1:05:36
Speaker 1: it was sandwiched in between other big games too. So Nichols.
1:05:40
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up here. And by the way,
1:05:42
Speaker 1: this is their first home game of the season. They
1:05:45
Speaker 1: started out playing seven road games, so it's gonna be
1:05:49
Speaker 1: much easier for them to play a game at home. Man,
1:05:51
Speaker 1: you would have to imagine. So I like it. They
1:05:54
Speaker 1: face of really really brutal schedule so far as well.
1:05:57
Speaker 1: We're gonna be on Nichols, as ugly as that look,
1:06:00
Speaker 1: because you know me, sometimes it makes sense to take
1:06:02
Speaker 1: these ridiculously ugly teams. Nichols is the play there. Jeffrey
1:06:07
Speaker 1: has Temple and Saint Joe's playing here in in Philadelphia somewhere.
1:06:14
Speaker 1: I think it might be a home game for Saint Joe's.
1:06:15
Speaker 1: Maybe it's not. It might be neutral. I don't know.
1:06:18
Speaker 1: I think Saint Joe's does consider themselves to be a
1:06:20
Speaker 1: little brother to Temple. I would guess. I can correct
1:06:23
Speaker 1: me if I'm wrong. They did just come up a
1:06:25
Speaker 1: win over Princeton, but Princeton is down this year. This
1:06:29
Speaker 1: is the third place game in this Philadelphia round robin here,
1:06:33
Speaker 1: Temple coming out of a loss to Villanova. It wasn't
1:06:36
Speaker 1: that close, so maybe Temple is still hung over from that.
1:06:41
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, I would slightly lean
1:06:43
Speaker 1: towards Saint Joe's getting points here. Temple dev two and
1:06:46
Speaker 1: a half to two, seventy five percent of tickets, ninety
1:06:49
Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on them. Yeah, I kind
1:06:52
Speaker 1: of like Temple in that one equals all right, interesting,
1:07:01
Speaker 1: what's the what's the wink wink? I don't know, Oh, Montreal,
1:07:05
Speaker 1: you'll you'll see what I have to say about that
1:07:07
Speaker 1: game in hockey loser cast, Yeah, we need to we
1:07:12
Speaker 1: need to pump it up on loser casts. Man draws
1:07:15
Speaker 1: and soccer. They yeah, they usually have good odds, but
1:07:18
Speaker 1: sometimes that's what they want you to think. They want
1:07:20
Speaker 1: you to think it looks like it's good odds. Baylor
1:07:25
Speaker 1: and Memphis. Interesting game here, Memphis at three and four,
1:07:29
Speaker 1: but they've had a pretty difficult schedule, losing to Ole
1:07:32
Speaker 1: Miss UNLV, Purdue Wake nice bounce back from Memphis over
1:07:37
Speaker 1: the last couple of games with a couple of wins. Uh.
1:07:39
Speaker 1: Now they get Baylor at home, they might step it
1:07:42
Speaker 1: up for this. Although you gotta worry about Memphis is
1:07:44
Speaker 1: the fact that the bigger conference teams they played so
1:07:47
Speaker 1: far they have not done well in those games. Baylor
1:07:50
Speaker 1: is at six and one, but Baylor not really that tested.
1:07:54
Speaker 1: Uh Well, their wins are okay, I mean over Washington, Creighton,
1:07:57
Speaker 1: San Diego State, they all look down this year. Then
1:07:59
Speaker 1: the biggest opponent they faced was Saint John's. They did
1:08:02
Speaker 1: not win that game against Saint John's. Yeah, inside, I
1:08:06
Speaker 1: want to kill myself. So I don't know, I mean
1:08:11
Speaker 1: debatable which team I guess is the more battle tested here.
1:08:14
Speaker 1: For Baylor, this will be their first true road game though,
1:08:16
Speaker 1: having to go to Memphis, so I'm gonna slightly lean
1:08:19
Speaker 1: to Memphis. I mean, I think the public is only
1:08:22
Speaker 1: gonna come in on Baylor based on the name and
1:08:24
Speaker 1: the fact that Memphis has an ugly record. But it
1:08:26
Speaker 1: looks like Baylor is an anti public road favorite here,
1:08:30
Speaker 1: which makes no sense to me. They're out from two
1:08:32
Speaker 1: and a half to three. Memphis seventy four percent to
1:08:34
Speaker 1: take a seventy one percent of the cash. So the
1:08:36
Speaker 1: market read is saying to lay it with Baylor. Personally,
1:08:40
Speaker 1: I don't see it. I don't want to do it,
1:08:42
Speaker 1: even though I never I always think Memphis is overrated,
1:08:45
Speaker 1: But right now I think you might be getting a
1:08:47
Speaker 1: little bit of value on Memphis because they have not
1:08:49
Speaker 1: looked good to start the season. So I don't know.
1:08:52
Speaker 1: Those are my thoughts there on that one. Next up,
1:08:55
Speaker 1: we got another play. We're gonna take Texas Southern plus
1:08:58
Speaker 1: the points against in State. I don't know if I
1:09:01
Speaker 1: want to say bigger brothers Sam Houston, but Sam Houston
1:09:04
Speaker 1: is coming up a huge performance at Oklahoma State. They
1:09:08
Speaker 1: stepped it up for the big boy man against Oklahoma State,
1:09:10
Speaker 1: who's been off to a decent start this year. Undefeated.
1:09:14
Speaker 1: There's still a big twelve team, big game for Sam
1:09:16
Speaker 1: Houston man. And this game was closer than the ten
1:09:19
Speaker 1: point final looks. Sam Houston was winning the game at halftime,
1:09:24
Speaker 1: winning most of the first half, and they never went
1:09:25
Speaker 1: away in this game. They were losing the game by
1:09:28
Speaker 1: four within the final two minutes of the game, and
1:09:30
Speaker 1: then Oklahoma State probably got some free throws at the
1:09:33
Speaker 1: end and whatever to push that to a ten point win.
1:09:36
Speaker 1: That was a huge performance from Sam Houston. And now
1:09:39
Speaker 1: they're coming off of that and having to play at
1:09:41
Speaker 1: Texas Southern. I don't like that. And they do have
1:09:45
Speaker 1: Oregon State next too, they have to go out, so
1:09:47
Speaker 1: they're sandwiched in between the both OSUS. Not Ohio State though,
1:09:52
Speaker 1: but they got to go out to court Vallas and
1:09:53
Speaker 1: Oregon State. Even though they're in the West Coast Conference. Now,
1:09:56
Speaker 1: that's still big name former Pack twelve teams. So I
1:10:00
Speaker 1: think it basically looks like a sandwich that Sam Houston
1:10:02
Speaker 1: is in Texas Southern. They just got to win over
1:10:05
Speaker 1: a non D one team. But I think that's good
1:10:07
Speaker 1: because that was their first win of the season, so
1:10:10
Speaker 1: it's like you get that monkey off your back and
1:10:12
Speaker 1: you can just focus and play basketball again. And that
1:10:16
Speaker 1: was only their second home game, and their other home
1:10:18
Speaker 1: game they came to within three of Samford, which is
1:10:21
Speaker 1: not a bad performance. Sanford's pretty good. So Texas Southern
1:10:25
Speaker 1: has been better at home, and they faced a really
1:10:27
Speaker 1: difficult schedule. Man, I mean some of their losses. Look
1:10:30
Speaker 1: at these losses at Gonzaga at Texas A and m
1:10:33
Speaker 1: at Texas State, not easy either at Vandy. I mean,
1:10:37
Speaker 1: Texas Southern has faced an extremely difficult schedule, one of
1:10:41
Speaker 1: the most difficult ken bum hasn't, having faced the second
1:10:44
Speaker 1: most difficult schedule in all of D one and has
1:10:47
Speaker 1: them way down in lock at three thirty, which means
1:10:50
Speaker 1: that they should play better at some point. They also
1:10:53
Speaker 1: play fast and Sam Houston, well, Sam Houston also plays fast,
1:10:59
Speaker 1: but so I guess there's no real time I was
1:11:00
Speaker 1: gonna say I thought there was a tempo collision here
1:11:02
Speaker 1: there isn't. But Sam Houston also does not play good
1:11:06
Speaker 1: good defense. Excuse me, We're neither team plays good deepfense.
1:11:12
Speaker 1: But I just you know, I don't like laying points
1:11:14
Speaker 1: of the bad deepfense on the road in a bad spot.
1:11:16
Speaker 1: So as bad as Texas Southern might be, we're taking
1:11:19
Speaker 1: the points with them in this one. Sam Houston is
1:11:22
Speaker 1: the better team, but they're down from six and a
1:11:23
Speaker 1: half to six. I know it's not a low total
1:11:26
Speaker 1: here because fast tempo, like I just showed you, but
1:11:29
Speaker 1: still I like the spot for it. Texas Southern will
1:11:33
Speaker 1: be the play man. These shows take a lot out
1:11:36
Speaker 1: of me, man, I want to get this done at
1:11:40
Speaker 1: least before these games started noon. I mean, this is
1:11:42
Speaker 1: getting crazy. There might be some football earlier too. What
1:11:46
Speaker 1: other games are we talking about here? Let me see who?
1:11:50
Speaker 1: All right? That was that game? Colorado Colorado State? Interesting one.
1:11:54
Speaker 1: Obviously a big rivalry here. Colorado's undefeated. They just had
1:11:57
Speaker 1: an ugly game against cal Baptist where they barely won.
1:12:01
Speaker 1: Colorado hasn't been that impressive ken bum Actually is both
1:12:04
Speaker 1: of these teams almost exactly the same in rankings and
1:12:07
Speaker 1: very similar teams too. I know this is a true
1:12:10
Speaker 1: road game for Colorado, but it's just at Colorado State.
1:12:13
Speaker 1: I mean, it's obviously not an unfamiliar place for them
1:12:16
Speaker 1: to go, so they'll probably have fans support there too,
1:12:20
Speaker 1: so it's not an unfamiliar venue. So it's not really
1:12:23
Speaker 1: that bad for a first true for a true road
1:12:26
Speaker 1: game Colorado State. I mean, they do have an ugly
1:12:30
Speaker 1: loss in there against Denver, and the Virginia Tech isn't
1:12:33
Speaker 1: really that good either, that was one of their losses.
1:12:35
Speaker 1: So Colorado State's resume is definitely ugly. Or they're coming
1:12:39
Speaker 1: off a win over South Florida, Colorado coming off that
1:12:43
Speaker 1: ugly performance against cal Baptist where they almost lost a
1:12:46
Speaker 1: big favorite. I would take the points. Money seems to disagree,
1:12:49
Speaker 1: but I would probably lead towards taking it with Colorado here,
1:12:52
Speaker 1: Colorado State up from two and a half to three,
1:12:54
Speaker 1: seventy two percent of the cash on them, sixty two
1:12:56
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Colorado. Somewhat disagree with that one, though.
1:13:02
Speaker 1: Pacific is gonna be at Cal. Cal coming off a
1:13:06
Speaker 1: couple of big wins over UCLA and then Utah, although
1:13:09
Speaker 1: I know Utah is not that good, but maybe they
1:13:11
Speaker 1: suffer a little bit of a let down here against Pacific.
1:13:14
Speaker 1: Pacific has been good so far. They did not really
1:13:17
Speaker 1: have that bad of a performance going into elevation in
1:13:20
Speaker 1: what I thought was a look ahead spot and beating
1:13:22
Speaker 1: air Force anyway there. Air Force sucks, but still a
1:13:25
Speaker 1: Pacific looking like they're not that bad. And this line
1:13:29
Speaker 1: being down to nine looks pretty weird. Man. To see
1:13:32
Speaker 1: a team like Cal only laying nine against Pacific looks
1:13:36
Speaker 1: almost too easy to lay it. So I would take
1:13:38
Speaker 1: the points of Pacific. It is down from eleven and
1:13:40
Speaker 1: a half to nine, though seventy one percent of tickets
1:13:42
Speaker 1: ninety nine percent of the cash probably not accurate, but
1:13:45
Speaker 1: money probably coming in on the Pacific side there all right,
1:13:51
Speaker 1: Long Island, As I mentioned, they're coming off that game
1:13:53
Speaker 1: against Winthrop where they played really well as a big
1:13:57
Speaker 1: underdog against Winthrop almost pulled off. The upset could be
1:14:00
Speaker 1: let down headed towards Lehigh. Here, LEI coming up kind
1:14:03
Speaker 1: of an ugly loss at Binghamton, who's really bad. So
1:14:06
Speaker 1: I think Lehigh is in the better spot here to
1:14:10
Speaker 1: bounce back. Long Island could be in a hangover Long
1:14:13
Speaker 1: Island up from one and a half to two, but
1:14:14
Speaker 1: I would look towards taking it with Lehigh in that one.
1:14:18
Speaker 1: Washington is at USC. As we get into the later games, here,
1:14:22
Speaker 1: USC a good win at Oregon, but still, I mean
1:14:26
Speaker 1: Oregon an unranked team that hasn't really been that good
1:14:29
Speaker 1: this year. So how good does that win? I don't know.
1:14:31
Speaker 1: Maybe they still consider it to be big because it
1:14:33
Speaker 1: is a win over a big conference team. Still, it
1:14:35
Speaker 1: was a conference matchup. It feels so weird to say
1:14:38
Speaker 1: these games are all Big Ten matchups. But USC remains undefeated.
1:14:43
Speaker 1: Washington coming up some losses to Colorado and a close
1:14:45
Speaker 1: loss to UCLA. So Washington coming off playing really well
1:14:49
Speaker 1: as well in a big game against Ucla so I
1:14:52
Speaker 1: don't love the spot for either team ian Ucla is
1:14:55
Speaker 1: down from five to or USC is down from five
1:14:57
Speaker 1: to four and a half here, fifty six percent tickets
1:15:00
Speaker 1: on them, seventy two percent of the cash coming in
1:15:02
Speaker 1: on the Washington side. Money seems to be indicating on Washington.
1:15:06
Speaker 1: I don't really want it off of that big performance
1:15:08
Speaker 1: over Ucla though, but USC being undefeated maybe a little
1:15:13
Speaker 1: bit misleading because they haven't been that battle tested yet.
1:15:15
Speaker 1: I think Washington schedule has been a little bit more difficult,
1:15:18
Speaker 1: so I don't really disagree with taking the points there,
1:15:20
Speaker 1: but I don't love it either. And the other side
1:15:23
Speaker 1: of that is Oregon is playing at UCLA. So Oregon
1:15:26
Speaker 1: did just lose a close game, big performance against a
1:15:29
Speaker 1: ranked USC team, now a first true road game for
1:15:32
Speaker 1: them going to Ucla. I think it is a bad
1:15:34
Speaker 1: spot for Oregon here Ucla coming off going up to
1:15:38
Speaker 1: Washington and playing a close game at Washington. Ucla was
1:15:43
Speaker 1: a decent sized favorite in that game despite being on
1:15:46
Speaker 1: the road, So I would lay it with Ucla here,
1:15:48
Speaker 1: even though Ucla doesn't really play fast, so laying the
1:15:51
Speaker 1: points is a bit ugly. Both of these teams tend
1:15:55
Speaker 1: to play uglish games here. Ucla down from eleven to nine.
1:15:59
Speaker 1: Oregon is seventy five percent, take its nine to nine
1:16:01
Speaker 1: percent of the cash, but I don't really agree with
1:16:03
Speaker 1: that move. I would probably lay it with UCLA in
1:16:06
Speaker 1: that one. All right, we have Wake Forest at West Virginia.
1:16:11
Speaker 1: Wake had a nice run to begin the season. Now
1:16:14
Speaker 1: they're coming off of a pretty ugly loss to Oklahoma.
1:16:16
Speaker 1: Though Oklahoma is good, but I think Wake was favorite
1:16:19
Speaker 1: at home and they played poorly and lost that game,
1:16:22
Speaker 1: so maybe they will actually be in a bit of
1:16:24
Speaker 1: a bounce back here, even though that was a big game.
1:16:26
Speaker 1: West Virginia coming off some easy wins. West Virginia really
1:16:30
Speaker 1: has not been tested yet. Their biggest games are against
1:16:34
Speaker 1: Clemson and Xavier and the and Pitt, I guess, And
1:16:37
Speaker 1: they only won the game against Pitt, losing the other two,
1:16:40
Speaker 1: so they have not really stepped up very well in
1:16:42
Speaker 1: class so far. This game is a neutral site game
1:16:45
Speaker 1: in well, not neutral, it's in Charleston, so it's like
1:16:48
Speaker 1: semi home for West Virginia. Charleston, West Virginia, not South Carolina,
1:16:53
Speaker 1: so it's semi home I guess for West Virginia. They
1:16:56
Speaker 1: will have their crowd show up, but I lead towards
1:16:58
Speaker 1: Wake bouncing back here. I think they are the better
1:17:01
Speaker 1: team as well. West Virginia not really getting a full
1:17:04
Speaker 1: semi home advantage on the line here either. Eighty five
1:17:08
Speaker 1: percent of tickets ninety four percent of the cash in
1:17:09
Speaker 1: West Virginia. I slightly disagree. I leaned towards Wake in
1:17:13
Speaker 1: that game. William and Mary is coming off that big
1:17:17
Speaker 1: upset that I pointed out over Ducaine. Nice upset there
1:17:22
Speaker 1: for William and Mary. Now they're going to George Washington,
1:17:25
Speaker 1: which that's sort of that DC area sibling thing going
1:17:29
Speaker 1: on there. I would say George Washington beat Army. George
1:17:34
Speaker 1: Washington beat his own military, is what I mean. George
1:17:37
Speaker 1: Washington is the better team though, and they're in the
1:17:39
Speaker 1: better spot. They're oft from eleven to fourteen. It's an
1:17:42
Speaker 1: extremely high total at one hundred and seventy three and
1:17:44
Speaker 1: a half, which makes it a little bit easier to
1:17:47
Speaker 1: lay points like that in a game that's supposed to
1:17:49
Speaker 1: be super fast. Seventy per tickets, ninety nine percent of
1:17:53
Speaker 1: the cash on George Washington. I don't disagree. I would
1:17:56
Speaker 1: lay it with George Washington. I lost a little bit
1:17:59
Speaker 1: of value that. Speaking of laying second to last play
1:18:03
Speaker 1: in college basketball, We're gonna lay New Orleans minus six
1:18:06
Speaker 1: and a half against Houston Christian. This is a conference game,
1:18:11
Speaker 1: Saltland Conference game. For both teams, it is their first
1:18:13
Speaker 1: conference game, but it's the home game for New Orleans.
1:18:16
Speaker 1: For Houston Christian, this is a fifth straight road game,
1:18:19
Speaker 1: which is difficult enough, but look at what they just did. Man,
1:18:23
Speaker 1: they just played a bigger brother in the state of Texas,
1:18:25
Speaker 1: North Texas at North Texas and played them to within
1:18:29
Speaker 1: two points. And I think Houston Christian was probably about
1:18:31
Speaker 1: eighteen and a half point underdogs in this game. You
1:18:34
Speaker 1: can correct me if I'm wrong. They were giant underdogs
1:18:37
Speaker 1: in this game. And they played tough, and is a
1:18:39
Speaker 1: tough game in North Texas. They beat you up physically
1:18:44
Speaker 1: in North Texas. Is like, how did they almost lose
1:18:46
Speaker 1: this game? When they shot sixty two percent from the floor,
1:18:49
Speaker 1: fifty six percent from three, they dominated the rebounds thirty
1:18:52
Speaker 1: five to twenty fours. That's not a good side for
1:18:55
Speaker 1: Houston Christian, but the rebounding, I mean isn't. But the
1:18:59
Speaker 1: reason why this happen was North Texas was minus eleven
1:19:02
Speaker 1: in turnovers fifteen to four. I mean that is a
1:19:06
Speaker 1: I think that's a major outlier turnover to scrapant Sea.
1:19:08
Speaker 1: That was really the tail of this game. But Houston
1:19:12
Speaker 1: Christian almost won this game. They were in this game
1:19:15
Speaker 1: basically wired to wired. They were within one or two
1:19:18
Speaker 1: possessions late, very late in the game, within the final
1:19:21
Speaker 1: minutes of the game. So I think they're gonna be
1:19:23
Speaker 1: in a major flat spot coming off of that, even
1:19:26
Speaker 1: though New Orleans has made some noise, but people are
1:19:29
Speaker 1: gonna look at this, why would you lay six and
1:19:31
Speaker 1: a half with a two and six team against a
1:19:32
Speaker 1: four and four team. Well, again, obviously, as I already mentioned,
1:19:36
Speaker 1: New Orleans has faced a way more difficult schedule. They
1:19:39
Speaker 1: actually beat TCU and Tulane. They faced LSU Fresno, Mississippi State,
1:19:45
Speaker 1: Texas Tech, Memphis. I mean basically no letup, and all
1:19:50
Speaker 1: of those games have been on the road. So they've
1:19:52
Speaker 1: had one of the most difficult schedules in all of
1:19:54
Speaker 1: college basketball. Man, So New Orleans is very battle Tessa
1:19:58
Speaker 1: Kenbom has some seventh overall and strength the schedule two
1:20:01
Speaker 1: seventy fourth in lock, so they are a fairly unlucky team.
1:20:06
Speaker 1: As well, right now, they're the better team, as the
1:20:09
Speaker 1: osenegers are telling you, going up against Houston Christian, who
1:20:12
Speaker 1: ken Bum has them almost in the bottom. He has
1:20:14
Speaker 1: them in the bottom like seventy, so that's not good.
1:20:17
Speaker 1: And they play slow and New Orleans wants to play
1:20:20
Speaker 1: way way faster, so there's a big tempo to spare
1:20:23
Speaker 1: it here too, So if New Orleans is able to
1:20:24
Speaker 1: speed it up, Houston Christian does not want to play
1:20:27
Speaker 1: that way, so it should hurt Houston Christian if that happens.
1:20:31
Speaker 1: Houston Christians fairly low in the luck index too, but
1:20:33
Speaker 1: their strength of schedule is very bad. They're in like
1:20:36
Speaker 1: the bottom fifty or so in strangth of the schedule.
1:20:39
Speaker 1: New Orleans is extremely battle tested and this is literally
1:20:42
Speaker 1: their home opener here, so they're gonna show up for
1:20:44
Speaker 1: their home opener, man, especially after last season everything for
1:20:48
Speaker 1: New Orleans was kind of mired by all those gambling
1:20:52
Speaker 1: scandals that they had and whatever. I like it for
1:20:54
Speaker 1: New Orleans. In this one, New Orleans is down from
1:20:58
Speaker 1: eight to six and a half, so you're getting more
1:21:00
Speaker 1: value on this. I don't agree with that line move.
1:21:03
Speaker 1: It is a low total, which worries me. A little
1:21:04
Speaker 1: bit at one forty one. But some of that I
1:21:07
Speaker 1: think is just because the offense is pretty bad for
1:21:10
Speaker 1: Houston Christians. So that's what we're doing in that game,
1:21:15
Speaker 1: all right, we'll keep it going here, quick glance at
1:21:21
Speaker 1: the table. Easy to take them on a draw. I
1:21:22
Speaker 1: don't know when things look too easy. A lot of
1:21:25
Speaker 1: times they are not, though, B you and un H.
1:21:29
Speaker 1: I will just say UNH. I mean, they're awful, but
1:21:31
Speaker 1: they are coming off of a and they're also coming
1:21:34
Speaker 1: off a close game against their in state I think
1:21:36
Speaker 1: bigger brother Dartmouth. They played Dartmouth on the road to
1:21:40
Speaker 1: within one, so coming out of that, it's a bad
1:21:42
Speaker 1: spot for UNH. I would say for BU, they're coming
1:21:47
Speaker 1: off a win over a non D one team, so
1:21:49
Speaker 1: the spot does set up a lot better for BU.
1:21:52
Speaker 1: You have to lay five and a half on the
1:21:53
Speaker 1: road with a low one hundred and thirty four total
1:21:56
Speaker 1: in that game. Though I don't love it, but I
1:21:58
Speaker 1: would lean towards laying it with BU. Final play for
1:22:01
Speaker 1: college basketball is cal Baptist plus the points. I know.
1:22:04
Speaker 1: I did just mention how recently they played really well
1:22:07
Speaker 1: against Colorado, but I think that's actually a good sign here.
1:22:10
Speaker 1: Cal Baptist has been a good team this year so far.
1:22:13
Speaker 1: They're becoming somewhat battle tested. Yeah, they took that loss
1:22:16
Speaker 1: to Colorado was a big win for Colorado, but the
1:22:19
Speaker 1: hangover spot after that already happened because they had to
1:22:22
Speaker 1: go to BYU and they got blasted by thirty one
1:22:25
Speaker 1: points against a good BYU team. So I think they
1:22:28
Speaker 1: might play better here and now because they played in
1:22:30
Speaker 1: Utah already against BYU and in Colorado. They're used to
1:22:34
Speaker 1: the elevation at this point, so I think cal Baptist
1:22:37
Speaker 1: is more acclimated now, and that was that hangover spot.
1:22:41
Speaker 1: They kind of got it out of the way. I
1:22:42
Speaker 1: expect a better performance here against a Utah team. It's
1:22:45
Speaker 1: really not very good, even though they're a big twelve team,
1:22:48
Speaker 1: and I like their football program right now, their basketball
1:22:51
Speaker 1: program has issues, man, and if you look at what
1:22:54
Speaker 1: they've done yet, they have one good win in here
1:22:55
Speaker 1: against Ole Miss, but other than that they haven't been great.
1:22:58
Speaker 1: I mean a lost to Grant Hand and a loss
1:23:00
Speaker 1: to cal on the road, although it was a close loss,
1:23:03
Speaker 1: but that is what they're coming off of. They went
1:23:05
Speaker 1: to Cal Utah were big underdogs in this game at
1:23:08
Speaker 1: cal Man and it was a close game. Cal did
1:23:12
Speaker 1: win the rebound battle. It was statistically close, so nothing
1:23:15
Speaker 1: to really glean from that. But cal was a big
1:23:17
Speaker 1: favorite in this game. I think they were not quite
1:23:21
Speaker 1: a double digit favorite here, but I think they were
1:23:22
Speaker 1: about an eight or so point favorite here. Big game
1:23:25
Speaker 1: for Utah Man playing a close game against a power
1:23:29
Speaker 1: conference team after beating oh Miss no less. I thought
1:23:33
Speaker 1: they'd be in a letdown spot having to go in
1:23:34
Speaker 1: their first true road game, and they played really well again.
1:23:37
Speaker 1: And now they come back home. And by the way,
1:23:39
Speaker 1: who do they play next? Although it's not for a week,
1:23:41
Speaker 1: but they gonna play Mississippi State. That's a big game.
1:23:45
Speaker 1: That's an SEC team. Man, So I think they might
1:23:47
Speaker 1: overlook cal Baptist here. So I like cal Baptist up
1:23:51
Speaker 1: plus the points here. That's the final play cal Baptis here.
1:23:57
Speaker 1: The line's already down to five and a half. Hopefully
1:23:59
Speaker 1: you can get at least six six and a half
1:24:01
Speaker 1: maybe on this. I know seven is a better number.
1:24:04
Speaker 1: When I gave it out like I did this an
1:24:06
Speaker 1: hour ago and seven was still out there, I would
1:24:09
Speaker 1: still take it. Get whatever. The best number you can
1:24:11
Speaker 1: is one hundred and forty six is not a high
1:24:13
Speaker 1: total here, fifty six percent to take us fifty seven
1:24:15
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Utah, But it looks like
1:24:18
Speaker 1: the line is moving in my direction. So we're gonna
1:24:20
Speaker 1: be on cal bapt just as well. All right, we
1:24:24
Speaker 1: have some other huge games to still talk about here,
1:24:26
Speaker 1: and we do have Penn against Villanova. Not huge game,
1:24:29
Speaker 1: but it's one of the Pennsylvania games. I think I
1:24:32
Speaker 1: skipped Lasal and Drexel, but whatever. Villanova coming up beating
1:24:36
Speaker 1: down Temple, and they have Michigan up next in three days, uh,
1:24:40
Speaker 1: and some bigger games up after that too, like all
1:24:42
Speaker 1: big conference games coming up after that, So I think
1:24:45
Speaker 1: it's a spot where they might overlook Penn. Penn, they're
1:24:48
Speaker 1: gonna step it up for a game against their bigger
1:24:50
Speaker 1: brother in Villanova. Penn coming up a somewhat ugly loss
1:24:54
Speaker 1: to Hofstra Hostra is not a bad team, but lost
1:24:58
Speaker 1: by seventeen. They're pen died. I think maybe they were
1:25:00
Speaker 1: looking ahead a little bit as well. So I like
1:25:02
Speaker 1: Penn in this one. Not a play, not on my card,
1:25:05
Speaker 1: but the money seems to agree. And asking Villanova to
1:25:08
Speaker 1: lay nineteen and a half now not something I would
1:25:11
Speaker 1: want to do either, because Villanova likes to play slow,
1:25:13
Speaker 1: as I always point out, so it's more difficult for
1:25:16
Speaker 1: them to cover as a big favorite. Fifty percent tickets,
1:25:19
Speaker 1: ninety two percent of the cash. It's not unprecedented, by
1:25:22
Speaker 1: the way, for Pen to pull this upset off. I mean,
1:25:24
Speaker 1: I know within the last couple of years I gave
1:25:26
Speaker 1: out a play on Penn and they did pull off
1:25:28
Speaker 1: the upset in this matchup. So, uh, definitely not unprecedented.
1:25:33
Speaker 1: I would take the points with Penn in that one.
1:25:37
Speaker 1: All right, Cal Baptist, what did you play? Did you
1:25:42
Speaker 1: play them against BYU? That would have been a bad move, dude.
1:25:46
Speaker 1: As I just pointed out, Cal, they had a huge
1:25:49
Speaker 1: game of the game before that against against Colorado, so
1:25:53
Speaker 1: they were in a massive hangover spot coming off that
1:25:55
Speaker 1: game against Colorado. Uh, I lean I mentioned it on
1:25:58
Speaker 1: my show. I'm pretty sure I leaned to by you
1:26:00
Speaker 1: laying the points in that one. Oklahoma State at Grand Canyon.
1:26:04
Speaker 1: Grand Canyon is a pretty good, you know, mid major team,
1:26:07
Speaker 1: if you still want to call them that. In the
1:26:08
Speaker 1: Mountain West. Now, Oklahoma State's coming up that ugly game
1:26:11
Speaker 1: against Sam Houston where they almost lost that I pointed out,
1:26:15
Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna be in a bounce back
1:26:17
Speaker 1: role here, and they were coming off a game where
1:26:19
Speaker 1: they beaten Northwestern the game before that am with Grand
1:26:21
Speaker 1: Canyon coming up next and then their rival Oklahoma. I
1:26:25
Speaker 1: think they completely overlooked Sam Houston. So that also goes
1:26:27
Speaker 1: to fading Sam Houston. Today they caught Oklahoma State in
1:26:31
Speaker 1: a pretty bad spot to me. Now, Oklahoma State's in
1:26:34
Speaker 1: a bounce back spot. Grand Canyon is not really in
1:26:37
Speaker 1: a bad spot though. I mean, they had an easy
1:26:39
Speaker 1: win over Stetson to gain some momento back in their
1:26:42
Speaker 1: last game, and you know they're gonna step it up
1:26:44
Speaker 1: for Oklahoma State. I would still lay it minus two
1:26:47
Speaker 1: and a half Oklahoma State up from two, but fifty
1:26:50
Speaker 1: two percent taket seventy percent of the cash on Grand Canyon,
1:26:55
Speaker 1: so the money is coming in a Grand Canyon. So
1:26:59
Speaker 1: do with that information what you will, but I would
1:27:01
Speaker 1: lean towards Oklahoma State. There should listen to me, Zach,
1:27:04
Speaker 1: listen to my show man. I could have saved you
1:27:07
Speaker 1: that one. That was not a good spot at all
1:27:08
Speaker 1: for cal Baptist. All right, Florida State at Houston Houston
1:27:14
Speaker 1: rate eighth in the country. I think they're actually under
1:27:16
Speaker 1: ranked right now, just because they took that one loss
1:27:18
Speaker 1: to Tennessee out in Las Vegas, which is a huge
1:27:21
Speaker 1: tournament revenge game for Tennessee. Houston bounced back with a
1:27:26
Speaker 1: win that was very lackluster against Notre Dame. I assume
1:27:29
Speaker 1: Houston didn't cover the number in that one. Now, this
1:27:33
Speaker 1: is another neutral site game, but this is in Houston.
1:27:36
Speaker 1: It's just at the Houston Rockets Arena, so it's semi
1:27:39
Speaker 1: home for Houston. It's still in the city of Houston.
1:27:42
Speaker 1: Houston is still a way better team than Florida State.
1:27:45
Speaker 1: Florida State is coming off some ugly losses to A
1:27:47
Speaker 1: and M, Texas A and M and Georgia. But Florida State,
1:27:51
Speaker 1: aside from that really big game where they stepped it
1:27:53
Speaker 1: up for Florida, the big in state rival, they have
1:27:56
Speaker 1: been really bad when stepping up in class otherwise again
1:28:00
Speaker 1: getting blown out by Texas, A and M and Georgia.
1:28:03
Speaker 1: So that's not a good sign. I like Houston in
1:28:06
Speaker 1: this game if I was gonna play it. They're down
1:28:08
Speaker 1: from seventeen to fifteen, though the money is fading them.
1:28:11
Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets ninety seven percent of the cash
1:28:14
Speaker 1: on Florida State. I don't agree with that. The only
1:28:16
Speaker 1: thing that I will say is Houston play is really slow.
1:28:19
Speaker 1: One hundred and forty four and a half is the total,
1:28:21
Speaker 1: So I don't love asking Houston to lay points. So
1:28:25
Speaker 1: that is what I will say there. Illinois and Tennessee.
1:28:28
Speaker 1: Good game on ESPN at night. Number fourteen Illinois, number
1:28:31
Speaker 1: thirteen Tennessee. This is a contrast of styles, man, where
1:28:35
Speaker 1: Tennessee likes to play slow, Illinois likes to play fast.
1:28:39
Speaker 1: Tennessee a little bit less slow this year so far,
1:28:42
Speaker 1: but they're gonna try to slow Illinois down. I would
1:28:45
Speaker 1: have to imagine Illinois is coming off a loss to Connecticut,
1:28:48
Speaker 1: big game. They lost by thirteen, but still might be
1:28:51
Speaker 1: a little bit difficult. This is not at Tennessee, but
1:28:54
Speaker 1: this is in Nashville, so it's like a semi home
1:28:57
Speaker 1: game for Tennessee. I guess if you want to call
1:28:59
Speaker 1: it that. So another one of these weird semi home
1:29:02
Speaker 1: games that we have today. Tennessee is coming off an
1:29:05
Speaker 1: ugly loss at Syracuse, which was a winner that we
1:29:07
Speaker 1: had here on the show. We've done well in college
1:29:09
Speaker 1: basketball so far. I don't want to jinx it, but
1:29:12
Speaker 1: way better than the end to last season. We're even
1:29:15
Speaker 1: the last season put me in a huge hole over
1:29:18
Speaker 1: the last few years in college basketball. We're already out
1:29:21
Speaker 1: of that hole. So hopefully we keep it that way
1:29:23
Speaker 1: and we at least don't lose a ton in college
1:29:25
Speaker 1: basketball today. Tennessee, I mean, that was a bad spot
1:29:29
Speaker 1: at Syracuse was a first true road game. They were
1:29:31
Speaker 1: coming off a close battle against Kansas. We actually faded
1:29:35
Speaker 1: Tennessee the last two games because they were coming off
1:29:37
Speaker 1: that huge win over Houston the game before that, so
1:29:40
Speaker 1: bad spot. In both games they played competitively against Kansas,
1:29:44
Speaker 1: it wasn't enough. Of course, Tennessee was a favorite there,
1:29:47
Speaker 1: lost outright, lost outright again, is a favorite in that
1:29:50
Speaker 1: difficult spot going to Syracuse. Part of what that handicap
1:29:53
Speaker 1: was that they were going to be looking ahead to Illinois.
1:29:56
Speaker 1: So I kind of like Tennessee here to maybe slow
1:29:59
Speaker 1: this down. Frustrat Illinois. Illinois coming off that bigger game
1:30:03
Speaker 1: I would say against Yukon, so lean towards Tennessee. You're
1:30:07
Speaker 1: not actually gonna lay a lot. They're up from one
1:30:09
Speaker 1: and a half to two. Eighty eight percent of tickets
1:30:11
Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on Tennessee. I would
1:30:14
Speaker 1: lay it in that one. And then we've o miss
1:30:17
Speaker 1: at Saint John's. Saint John's ranked twenty third at four
1:30:22
Speaker 1: and three. They just haven't stepped up well in class man.
1:30:25
Speaker 1: But well, I don't know if I would completely say that,
1:30:27
Speaker 1: because their games against Alabama and Iowa State really good teams,
1:30:31
Speaker 1: and those are close losses. And then Auburn was their
1:30:34
Speaker 1: most recent game. They took a more ugly loss, let's say,
1:30:38
Speaker 1: by double digits there. But Saint John's I still think
1:30:42
Speaker 1: is the better team here and they may bounce back here.
1:30:44
Speaker 1: I mean, they're a huge favor here and people might
1:30:47
Speaker 1: be pretty hesitant to want to lay it town to
1:30:49
Speaker 1: points with Saint John's. I mean, their offense is not
1:30:51
Speaker 1: exactly good, although they do play fast Ole Miss. They
1:30:56
Speaker 1: have not stepped up well in class at all man.
1:30:58
Speaker 1: All the Power Conference teams that they played, which were Iowa, Utah,
1:31:02
Speaker 1: and Miami, they lost all of those games, and Utah
1:31:04
Speaker 1: in Miami are not exactly good. First well, I don't
1:31:07
Speaker 1: want to say this is a true road game, but
1:31:09
Speaker 1: it is at Madison Square Garden, so it's Saint John's
1:31:12
Speaker 1: other home arena basically, so it is almost a true
1:31:17
Speaker 1: road game. I don't know. I think Mississippi is down
1:31:21
Speaker 1: this year. I would lay it with Saint John's if
1:31:23
Speaker 1: I was gonna play it. Fifty two percent of the tickets,
1:31:25
Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the COSU, and them up from
1:31:27
Speaker 1: eleven and a half to thirteen. So those are my
1:31:30
Speaker 1: thoughts on the Saint John's game there. Let's try to
1:31:34
Speaker 1: get this thing done, man. I don't really have many
1:31:36
Speaker 1: opinions on the rest of these games here. What else
1:31:40
Speaker 1: do we even have here? Santa Clara, New Mexico is
1:31:42
Speaker 1: an interesting one at night. Santa Clara. I mean they're
1:31:47
Speaker 1: a pretty good team, man, and they're coming off I
1:31:49
Speaker 1: think kind of a week win over a Utah Tech
1:31:52
Speaker 1: after beating one of the big boys Minnesota. But now
1:31:55
Speaker 1: this is a road game at the pit uh. Santa
1:31:58
Speaker 1: Clara did win their other road game that Xavier, but
1:32:01
Speaker 1: New Mexico is a difficult place to play, man, New
1:32:03
Speaker 1: Mexico coming off some easier games, kind of rolling into
1:32:06
Speaker 1: this game with some momentum here, I would lean towards
1:32:11
Speaker 1: New Mexico. Santa Clara down from two to one here
1:32:14
Speaker 1: eighty percent of tickets ninety eight percent of the casual
1:32:16
Speaker 1: New Mexico. So I agree with that one. What else
1:32:20
Speaker 1: do we have here? Cal State Bakersfield at Santa You see,
1:32:24
Speaker 1: Santa Barbara. Cal State Bakersfield is the other end of
1:32:27
Speaker 1: that game. Where I faded them in their last game
1:32:30
Speaker 1: is they played a really good game upsetting Fresno and
1:32:32
Speaker 1: then they just didn't have what it took against Cal
1:32:35
Speaker 1: State north Ridge. We got the easy win in that
1:32:37
Speaker 1: game on north Ridge, but part of that handicap is
1:32:40
Speaker 1: that Bakersfield is gonna be looking ahead to Santa Barbara
1:32:42
Speaker 1: as well, which I think they might, and off of
1:32:45
Speaker 1: that ugly game, they might come with some more focus here.
1:32:48
Speaker 1: But you see, Santa Barbara is not exactly in a
1:32:51
Speaker 1: bad spot either. They just had a pretty weak win
1:32:54
Speaker 1: against Long Beach State by seven at home. Long Beach
1:32:57
Speaker 1: isn't good. I mean, maybe slight lean towards still taking
1:33:02
Speaker 1: the points with cal State Bakersfield, but you're getting eleven
1:33:05
Speaker 1: points if you want to do that. But very very
1:33:08
Speaker 1: weak opinion for me. There at ten pm on ESPN,
1:33:13
Speaker 1: ESPN College Basketball Most of the Day, Man Auburn at Arizona.
1:33:17
Speaker 1: Auburn ranked twentieth in the country. Arizona ranked second. I
1:33:21
Speaker 1: don't think Arizona's quite that good, but they're definitely good.
1:33:24
Speaker 1: Ken Bum has the ninth, so they're in that's top ten.
1:33:27
Speaker 1: He's got Auburn at twentieth, so he has them exactly
1:33:29
Speaker 1: where the rankings makers do. Auburn recollected themselves after that
1:33:34
Speaker 1: lost to Michigan. They beat Saint John's, they beat NC State,
1:33:37
Speaker 1: but now they're having to go to Arizona for their
1:33:39
Speaker 1: first true road game. Of have some pretty good wins.
1:33:44
Speaker 1: I don't love how this sets up for Auburn man Arizona.
1:33:49
Speaker 1: They've looked good so far this year for sure. I mean,
1:33:51
Speaker 1: they got some good wins against Florida, Yukon UCLA. They're
1:33:54
Speaker 1: coming off an easy couple of wins over Denver and
1:33:57
Speaker 1: Norfolk State. So the spot does a better for Arizona.
1:34:01
Speaker 1: To me, I would lay it in this game. I
1:34:03
Speaker 1: was gonna play this one. Arizona's up from seven and
1:34:04
Speaker 1: a half to eight and a half, sixty two percent
1:34:07
Speaker 1: of ticket seventy six percent of the cash on Arizona.
1:34:11
Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean. And then Oklahoma at
1:34:13
Speaker 1: Arizona State to finish this off. This game is a
1:34:17
Speaker 1: semi home game. I believe it's in Phoenix, I'm pretty sure. Yeah,
1:34:22
Speaker 1: so might be at the Suns Arena. I'm not sure
1:34:25
Speaker 1: it's not at Arizona State's campus though, in Tempe or
1:34:28
Speaker 1: wherever they are, Oklahoma States or Oklahoma excuse me. He
1:34:32
Speaker 1: is coming off some nice wins against Marquette and Wake
1:34:34
Speaker 1: Forest on the road, pretty big upset win there, and
1:34:37
Speaker 1: they do have their rival Oklahoma State coming up after this,
1:34:39
Speaker 1: so I don't love the spot here. The last time
1:34:43
Speaker 1: they traveled out this far west, they got croshed by Gonzagathough,
1:34:47
Speaker 1: Gonzaga is good better than Arizona State, but Arizona State's
1:34:51
Speaker 1: coming up of somewhat ugly loss at home to USC,
1:34:53
Speaker 1: even though USC is a decent team, I think it
1:34:56
Speaker 1: sets up more as a bounce back spint. Arizona State
1:34:58
Speaker 1: was coming back from Hawaii for that game, so the
1:35:01
Speaker 1: travel spot was weird. Yeah. I like Arizona State in
1:35:05
Speaker 1: this one, even though the money seems to completely disagree.
1:35:08
Speaker 1: Arizona State looks like an anti public home or they
1:35:11
Speaker 1: look like a public home underdog, I mean, which I
1:35:14
Speaker 1: don't love that at all. Seventy nine percent of tickets,
1:35:16
Speaker 1: fifty percent of the cash on them. But I don't
1:35:18
Speaker 1: see what the professionals are seeing in this one. Oklahoma's
1:35:21
Speaker 1: up from three and a half to six, so the
1:35:25
Speaker 1: Margaret Reid is all over Oklahoma. But I just don't
1:35:28
Speaker 1: get it. Man. All right, let's try to get this done. Man,
1:35:31
Speaker 1: let's go to hockey. I mean, so many games today, man,
1:35:36
Speaker 1: I fucking hate this. I mean, I'll talk about Colorado Rangers.
1:35:39
Speaker 1: I might want to skip some of these games just
1:35:41
Speaker 1: because this show is gonna take way too long. The
1:35:44
Speaker 1: Rangers coming off a nice win on the road against Ottawa.
1:35:48
Speaker 1: I mean, of course they will still show up for
1:35:50
Speaker 1: a game against Colorado though, but you know, then the
1:35:54
Speaker 1: Rangers did beat Dallas the game before that, so it's like, well,
1:35:56
Speaker 1: what do they have left in the tank here for Colorado?
1:35:59
Speaker 1: I don't know, Colorado. That was an ugly loss against
1:36:02
Speaker 1: the Islanders yesterday. So and they're staying in New York.
1:36:05
Speaker 1: So the travel spot is actually better for Colorado because
1:36:08
Speaker 1: they don't have to travel as far here. And we
1:36:10
Speaker 1: know the Rangers suck ass at home, uh three eight
1:36:13
Speaker 1: and one at home? Slight lean for me to Colorado.
1:36:16
Speaker 1: And this one. The money is seemingly all over Colorado,
1:36:19
Speaker 1: up for minus one sixty five to minus one seventy
1:36:21
Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash on them fifty one
1:36:24
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on the Rangers. Yeah, money seems
1:36:28
Speaker 1: to agree with me on that one. I would lean
1:36:30
Speaker 1: towards Colorado. I mean, if you play it, you kind
1:36:32
Speaker 1: of have to go Colorado regulation, which for them it
1:36:35
Speaker 1: isn't as bad, I think because they don't go into
1:36:37
Speaker 1: overtime that often. Like if they win the game, they
1:36:41
Speaker 1: almost always do it in regulation. So I don't know,
1:36:44
Speaker 1: Maybe that's the way to look in that game, although
1:36:47
Speaker 1: I hate I've basically backed away from playing those types
1:36:51
Speaker 1: of plays. Maybe you could do a split bet on that. Yeah,
1:36:55
Speaker 1: I mean Columbus at Florida. I don't have a whole
1:36:57
Speaker 1: lot to say about this. Florida is on a four
1:36:59
Speaker 1: game lose streak, staying at home. Nashville got revenge on them,
1:37:04
Speaker 1: could be a bounced back spot for them. Columbus is
1:37:06
Speaker 1: coming off some ugly or not ugly. Columbus is coming
1:37:09
Speaker 1: off some decent wins, excuse me, at New Jersey and
1:37:12
Speaker 1: then in a shootout against Detroit, and they got a
1:37:15
Speaker 1: hot Washington team up next, who beat them five to
1:37:18
Speaker 1: one the last time they played them. So I know
1:37:21
Speaker 1: it sounds almost impossible, but Columbus might overlook the returning
1:37:25
Speaker 1: champs here in Florida. I like Florida in this one.
1:37:28
Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the
1:37:30
Speaker 1: casual in Florida. They're down for minus one sixty seven
1:37:33
Speaker 1: to minus one fifty five. But that is the way
1:37:35
Speaker 1: that I would lean in that one. My Boston Bruins
1:37:39
Speaker 1: hosting New Jersey. New Jersey solid team. Don't know if
1:37:43
Speaker 1: they have Hughes back, but they're on a back to back,
1:37:46
Speaker 1: but they are also coming up two straight shutout losses,
1:37:49
Speaker 1: and now they get to go out on the road,
1:37:51
Speaker 1: so there's good and bad here. I mean, Allen will
1:37:54
Speaker 1: likely be back in net for them here because he
1:37:55
Speaker 1: didn't play yesterday, but they got shut out by Dallas
1:37:58
Speaker 1: and Vegas. Those are good teams. I don't like the
1:38:01
Speaker 1: fact that it's a back to back with travel, but
1:38:03
Speaker 1: a lot of times the teams start a road trip
1:38:05
Speaker 1: off of really ugly losses at home. There are reasons
1:38:08
Speaker 1: why they would bounce back. Uh starting a road trip
1:38:11
Speaker 1: and coming off two straight shutout losses at home. So
1:38:15
Speaker 1: it's not the worst spot for New Jersey, even though
1:38:17
Speaker 1: it is a back to back. Bruins beat me the
1:38:21
Speaker 1: other day against Saint Louis. There I had Saint Louis.
1:38:24
Speaker 1: It was kind of a misleading win for the Bruins
1:38:26
Speaker 1: if you dig into this. Uh, the stats were all
1:38:29
Speaker 1: over Saint Louis. They outshot the Bruins by twelve out
1:38:32
Speaker 1: face off them, out hit them. Although I know the
1:38:35
Speaker 1: team that's losing is gonna put up more shots, but
1:38:37
Speaker 1: still don't like the Bruins in the spot. Really, I
1:38:41
Speaker 1: would lean towards New Jersey. The money seems to agree.
1:38:45
Speaker 1: They're off minus one twenty to one, twenty five, seventy
1:38:47
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, seventy percent of the
1:38:50
Speaker 1: tickets on Boston under six and a halven Jets Oilers.
1:38:56
Speaker 1: I don't know about that. The Oilers. They give up
1:39:00
Speaker 1: a lot of goals and we're talking about a Jets
1:39:03
Speaker 1: team that doesn't have Hellabook anymore. I don't think I
1:39:06
Speaker 1: like that. Montreal at Toronto whoops, as I click on
1:39:12
Speaker 1: the wrong thing, Oh this is my play here you go,
1:39:14
Speaker 1: sob yes, we're on Montreal plus the one fifteen on
1:39:19
Speaker 1: the money line here. I like this play. I think
1:39:21
Speaker 1: this is the best play of the day in hockey.
1:39:25
Speaker 1: Sixty percent of the tickets, ninety seven percent of the
1:39:28
Speaker 1: casual Toronto, which I don't like seeing. For now, they're
1:39:30
Speaker 1: down for minus one forty to minus one thirty six.
1:39:32
Speaker 1: But we'll probably be able to get a better number
1:39:35
Speaker 1: on Montreal if you do this Montreal, I think the
1:39:39
Speaker 1: spot sets up better for them. I know they're coming
1:39:41
Speaker 1: off a shootout win over Winnipeg, but that wasn't That
1:39:44
Speaker 1: was on Wednesday, so they haven't played since Wednesday. Now
1:39:48
Speaker 1: they have this one game road trip to Toronto. I
1:39:50
Speaker 1: know they just beat Toronto at home, So will we
1:39:53
Speaker 1: overlook Toronto here? I don't really think they will, because
1:39:55
Speaker 1: tomorrow they got Saint Louis. Who cares about Saint Louis.
1:39:58
Speaker 1: Montreal and Toronto. The both get up for these games.
1:40:01
Speaker 1: They don't like each other. So I don't think it's
1:40:04
Speaker 1: a bad spot for Montreal here. I think they have
1:40:06
Speaker 1: a lot of rest here as well. Well. They do,
1:40:09
Speaker 1: coming off that win over Winnipeg. Toronto, they're just in
1:40:12
Speaker 1: a horrible spot, dude. I know, ideally they would show
1:40:16
Speaker 1: up for a game against Montreal. I want to bounce back,
1:40:19
Speaker 1: not bounce back, but want to get a little bit
1:40:21
Speaker 1: of revenge from losing at Montreal back on November twenty second.
1:40:24
Speaker 1: But that was the start of a road trip for
1:40:27
Speaker 1: Toronto and they have been on the road since then.
1:40:30
Speaker 1: They've been on the road since November twenty second. Now
1:40:33
Speaker 1: they're coming back home from that. You know, I talked
1:40:35
Speaker 1: about it was like a two week road trip, you know,
1:40:38
Speaker 1: I talk about this when teams are on the road,
1:40:40
Speaker 1: especially for that long, stuff piles up to have to
1:40:43
Speaker 1: do at home and it becomes a distraction when you
1:40:45
Speaker 1: come back home. And they do have Tampa Bay, who's
1:40:47
Speaker 1: been really really good up on the horizon next. So
1:40:50
Speaker 1: I don't love that either. And Toronto finished the road
1:40:54
Speaker 1: trip smashing Florida and Caroline. To have finish the road
1:40:57
Speaker 1: trip beating them by a combined score of nine to two.
1:41:02
Speaker 1: I mean, I know Florida is a little bit down
1:41:03
Speaker 1: right now, but they're the returning champs and then beating
1:41:05
Speaker 1: Carolina five to one is just insane. So Toronto's coming
1:41:09
Speaker 1: off those wins. Yeah, I mean, I think it's a
1:41:12
Speaker 1: there's a letdown component of this game too, So I
1:41:15
Speaker 1: like Montreal here in this one, man, for all those reasons. Carolina.
1:41:20
Speaker 1: They weren't even really in a bad spot in that
1:41:22
Speaker 1: game though, so I don't know what happened in that game,
1:41:24
Speaker 1: but yeah, Montreal was the play in this one. Seattle,
1:41:30
Speaker 1: I think I agree with Seattle, all right, we have
1:41:35
Speaker 1: a I don't I kind of again, I kind of
1:41:36
Speaker 1: want to skip some of these games that I just
1:41:38
Speaker 1: don't really have that much of an opinion on. I
1:41:40
Speaker 1: don't love some of these games. I mean Saint Louis, well,
1:41:45
Speaker 1: Saint Louis and Ottawa. I mean, Saint Louis played better
1:41:49
Speaker 1: than it looked against Boston, they took an ugly loss.
1:41:52
Speaker 1: Ottawa was also coming up a pretty ugly loss at
1:41:54
Speaker 1: home to the Rangers, and that was a return home spot.
1:41:57
Speaker 1: So you know, I talk about when a team returns
1:41:59
Speaker 1: home and they have a bad game, they play better
1:42:01
Speaker 1: most of the time in the next game. So it's
1:42:03
Speaker 1: a positive spot for both teams there. Maybe you do
1:42:07
Speaker 1: slightly lean towards Ottawa being the home team here. With
1:42:10
Speaker 1: no travel eighty six percent of take is ninety eight
1:42:12
Speaker 1: percent of the cash, They're up to minus one fifty
1:42:14
Speaker 1: four on the money line. I guess on lean towards Ottawa,
1:42:17
Speaker 1: but I don't have much of a feel for that.
1:42:19
Speaker 1: I am gonna do one of these split bets though,
1:42:22
Speaker 1: because I just can't help. But we're gonna go with
1:42:23
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Lightning split bet. Make your own puck line.
1:42:28
Speaker 1: You can make your own plus one puck line that
1:42:30
Speaker 1: equates to about a minus one seventeen play if you
1:42:33
Speaker 1: put the right amount of it on the minus one
1:42:35
Speaker 1: and a half a plus one forty and the money
1:42:38
Speaker 1: line at minus one eighty, which means you put more
1:42:41
Speaker 1: on the minus one eighty and you know you're gonna
1:42:44
Speaker 1: win a little bit less on that side of it,
1:42:46
Speaker 1: but it evens OUs to the amount that you win
1:42:48
Speaker 1: on that part of it will be the amount that
1:42:50
Speaker 1: you bet on the puck line part of it, if
1:42:52
Speaker 1: that makes sense. So then if they win by exactly one,
1:42:54
Speaker 1: the bet pushes, we're fading the Islanders, man, What can
1:42:58
Speaker 1: we do? The Islanders just beat called gotta be a
1:43:01
Speaker 1: fade spot here, man, And they did just beat Tampa
1:43:05
Speaker 1: the game before that at home too, so this is
1:43:06
Speaker 1: a quick somewhat revenge spot for Tampa here as well.
1:43:10
Speaker 1: And then, yeah, the Islanders who have to play Florida
1:43:12
Speaker 1: tomorrow too. They're traveling down to Tampa Bay. I know
1:43:16
Speaker 1: a lot of times they say the start of a
1:43:17
Speaker 1: road trip is a focused spot, but I don't think so.
1:43:20
Speaker 1: When you just beat that Tampa team and you crush
1:43:23
Speaker 1: Colorado in your most recent game, I don't like it
1:43:26
Speaker 1: at all. I'm not gonna say they're gonna have more
1:43:28
Speaker 1: focus on Florida because they've been bad here, but this
1:43:31
Speaker 1: has gotta be a spot where a team that's as
1:43:33
Speaker 1: good as Tampa will show up. Tampa Bay is coming
1:43:37
Speaker 1: up back to back losses. They return home from a
1:43:39
Speaker 1: road trip and they took the loss. It was not
1:43:41
Speaker 1: a long road trip, and they took the loss to Pittsburgh.
1:43:44
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna bounce back. I think it's gonna
1:43:45
Speaker 1: be Vasilevsky back in net here. He is their better goalie.
1:43:49
Speaker 1: It was Johanson in the Pittsburgh game, So you're gonna
1:43:52
Speaker 1: get their better goalie in this one. They're gonna want
1:43:55
Speaker 1: to split this home stand man before they go back
1:43:57
Speaker 1: out on the road again. Second straight home. After you
1:44:01
Speaker 1: lose the first game badly, in the return home, you
1:44:04
Speaker 1: usually do better in the next game. The line's actually
1:44:06
Speaker 1: dropping for minus twenty three to minus one sixty one,
1:44:08
Speaker 1: so you might be able to get a better price
1:44:11
Speaker 1: on this. Although we see sixty eight percent of tickets
1:44:13
Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash on Tampa Bay. We're
1:44:16
Speaker 1: gonna go with Tampa Bay. Man again, split bet here.
1:44:19
Speaker 1: You can probably get a better better value on this now,
1:44:22
Speaker 1: so we'll see. I'll adjust it in my description when
1:44:26
Speaker 1: I do it. Tampa. Hell, yeah, join me, man, all right?
1:44:31
Speaker 1: And then yeah, I mean, some of these other games
1:44:34
Speaker 1: are just ugly. Man, I just don't even have much
1:44:36
Speaker 1: to say on a lot of these other games. I mean,
1:44:40
Speaker 1: Carolina is just a huge favorite over Nashville, and Carolina
1:44:42
Speaker 1: just took that ugly loss to the Islanders. But the
1:44:45
Speaker 1: return well, no, they're not return excuse me, wait what wait? No,
1:44:49
Speaker 1: that was Colorado. What am I saying? Carolina took the
1:44:51
Speaker 1: ugly loss to Toronto that I just mentioned, and Carolina
1:44:54
Speaker 1: is staying at home, so it's a bounce back spot
1:44:56
Speaker 1: for Carolina. And Nashville did just beat Florida. So the
1:45:00
Speaker 1: quick read there is that Nashville could be in a
1:45:02
Speaker 1: little a little bit of a let down, even though
1:45:05
Speaker 1: I know Carolina is really good, but a good team
1:45:08
Speaker 1: in a focused spot. Carolina is probably the way to
1:45:10
Speaker 1: look at that game. Maybe a puck line, even though
1:45:13
Speaker 1: that's a little bit dicey. Eighty five percent of tickets,
1:45:15
Speaker 1: ninety one percent of the cash, Carolina down for minus
1:45:18
Speaker 1: two forty to minus two thirty there, but I could
1:45:21
Speaker 1: only see playing Carolina in some capacity in that game.
1:45:25
Speaker 1: Utah is a Calgary Utah finishing up a road trip here.
1:45:31
Speaker 1: They've met on the road for a long time, two
1:45:33
Speaker 1: straight wins by a combined eleven to one score over
1:45:36
Speaker 1: Anaheim at Vancouver. Maybe this is where the letdown comes
1:45:39
Speaker 1: in for them. But Calgary just had a huge win
1:45:42
Speaker 1: despite it being a return home spot. They beat Minnesota
1:45:44
Speaker 1: four to one, so I don't know, Man, they could
1:45:47
Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot as well. Generally, I do
1:45:50
Speaker 1: think the spot does set up better for Calgary though,
1:45:52
Speaker 1: because it is still the second straight game back home.
1:45:54
Speaker 1: Sixty two percent tickets eighty seven percent of the cash
1:45:57
Speaker 1: on them, they're up for end to minus one seventeen,
1:46:00
Speaker 1: still a slight lean to Calgary there. Chicago at LA
1:46:04
Speaker 1: this is a zig zag spot where Chicago they've played
1:46:08
Speaker 1: a bunch of good games, Man, recently beating Anaheim losing
1:46:11
Speaker 1: by one to start the road trip to Vegas beating LA.
1:46:14
Speaker 1: Now they're at LA again, playing the same game again,
1:46:17
Speaker 1: and you know, I talk about it zig zag like
1:46:19
Speaker 1: usually the team that didn't play well in the first
1:46:22
Speaker 1: game has things to fix, things to adjust. So I
1:46:25
Speaker 1: think LA shows up in this one and plays better.
1:46:28
Speaker 1: They're a big favorite, though uh down for mind is
1:46:30
Speaker 1: two ten to minus one ninety five. Though sixty six
1:46:32
Speaker 1: percent of ticket seventy six percent of the cash on LA,
1:46:35
Speaker 1: so let's think they are getting some of the money
1:46:37
Speaker 1: now and again. It looks weird to see Chicago as
1:46:43
Speaker 1: a big underdog like this when the record is good
1:46:45
Speaker 1: but the oddsmakers are still telling you Chicago's not that good.
1:46:50
Speaker 1: I agree with LA. I would probably do like a
1:46:52
Speaker 1: puck line on this, but I worry because LA still
1:46:55
Speaker 1: is pretty bad at home, three six and three at home.
1:46:57
Speaker 1: Blackhawks are six four and three on the roads. They're
1:47:00
Speaker 1: actually not bad on the road. So yeah, I don't
1:47:03
Speaker 1: love it at all. But those are my thoughts on that.
1:47:06
Speaker 1: Winnipeg and Edmonton. I mean, I mentioned the total because
1:47:10
Speaker 1: Jeffrey's talking about it. I don't have that much of
1:47:12
Speaker 1: an opinion on that. But Winnipeg did just return home
1:47:16
Speaker 1: and they beat us yesterday anyway, in that weird return
1:47:20
Speaker 1: home single game homestand they still won against Buffalo. Now
1:47:24
Speaker 1: they're right back out on the road the next day,
1:47:27
Speaker 1: no time off, back to back, playing three games in
1:47:32
Speaker 1: four days, four games in six days, and five games
1:47:36
Speaker 1: in eight days, and six games in nine days and
1:47:39
Speaker 1: seven games in eleven days, all in different cities, with
1:47:42
Speaker 1: only one of those games being at home. That's got
1:47:45
Speaker 1: to catch up to Winnipeg. Man. And again I don't
1:47:47
Speaker 1: like that as far as an under either, because again
1:47:49
Speaker 1: I think that can make your defense slower. So I
1:47:52
Speaker 1: don't like that at all. Like you're gonna see it.
1:47:54
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see a tired Winnipeg team in
1:47:56
Speaker 1: this one. And of course again without hell look their goalie.
1:48:01
Speaker 1: Edmonton coming off a win over Seattle nine to four.
1:48:04
Speaker 1: Normally I don't like teams that are coming off a
1:48:06
Speaker 1: game where they scored nine goals, but I would. I
1:48:09
Speaker 1: could only see playing Edmonton here. I mean, they've been
1:48:12
Speaker 1: at home three straight games at home. Now the travel spot,
1:48:15
Speaker 1: the rest spot is way better for them. This is
1:48:18
Speaker 1: only the fourth game where in the same time span
1:48:21
Speaker 1: Winnipeg is playing like their seventh game, I think is
1:48:25
Speaker 1: what I said. I mean, that's just absurd. Edmonton is
1:48:28
Speaker 1: the way more rested team here. I think Edmonton is
1:48:31
Speaker 1: the right side. I don't know why the money is
1:48:33
Speaker 1: disagreeing with that. Seventy five percent of tickets, sixty four
1:48:37
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them down for minus two
1:48:39
Speaker 1: ten a minus one to ninety. I like Edmonton in
1:48:41
Speaker 1: that one. It would have to be like a split
1:48:45
Speaker 1: better a puck line or something there. And then eighty
1:48:47
Speaker 1: three percent of the cash ninety five percent of tickets
1:48:49
Speaker 1: excuse the eighty three percent of tickets ninety five percent
1:48:51
Speaker 1: of the cash on the over, and the total has
1:48:54
Speaker 1: flipped to six and a half juice to the under though,
1:48:56
Speaker 1: So I don't know. I don't know what's going on
1:48:59
Speaker 1: with those conflicting The market read is conflicting on that,
1:49:05
Speaker 1: like the initial line move dropped, but the cash percentages
1:49:08
Speaker 1: on the over again, I could not really see playing
1:49:11
Speaker 1: an under in that game. And this Edmonton team, they're
1:49:13
Speaker 1: just notorious for playing high scoring games. They don't play
1:49:16
Speaker 1: well defensively. You're looking at an extremely tired Winni bag
1:49:20
Speaker 1: team with no elite goalie there anymore. So Yeah, I
1:49:24
Speaker 1: couldn't really see playing the under in that one, and
1:49:27
Speaker 1: the total is high for reason at six and a half.
1:49:30
Speaker 1: Minnesota at Vancouver. Minnesota coming out that ugly loss to
1:49:34
Speaker 1: Calgary could be a bounced back spot for them coming
1:49:37
Speaker 1: in against Vancouver. But Vancouver also they're in a second
1:49:41
Speaker 1: game back home, and they took an ugly loss in
1:49:43
Speaker 1: their first game back home against Utah, which I think
1:49:46
Speaker 1: Sab had that one right on that one. I leaned
1:49:48
Speaker 1: that way too, but I didn't give it out as
1:49:49
Speaker 1: a play. Vancouver is on a back to back although
1:49:52
Speaker 1: they are staying at home, but it probably means Total
1:49:55
Speaker 1: Appeal will be in net. Whoever you pronounce his name, Tulopolo,
1:49:59
Speaker 1: he'll be in net them instead of lanking in here. Probably.
1:50:01
Speaker 1: I don't know if we love that, but it could
1:50:04
Speaker 1: be a bounce back spot for Vancouver again, that second
1:50:06
Speaker 1: game back, when wherever you don't play well in the
1:50:08
Speaker 1: first game usually is a focus spot. Vancouver is getting
1:50:11
Speaker 1: the money even though they are on the back to back.
1:50:13
Speaker 1: Minnesota's up for minus one forty to minus one forty five,
1:50:16
Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets on them, seventy five percent
1:50:18
Speaker 1: of the cash on Vancouver, I would lean towards Vancouver there. Yeah,
1:50:25
Speaker 1: I mean that's true. Squares are seeing well, No, I
1:50:28
Speaker 1: mean I would think that if the Squares saw the
1:50:30
Speaker 1: Oilers score nine, they'll only want to go over. They
1:50:34
Speaker 1: don't think like that, Like they'll just see the nine
1:50:36
Speaker 1: goals and want to go over again in the next game.
1:50:38
Speaker 1: I just to me, I'm just I just could not
1:50:41
Speaker 1: stomach an under in that game at all. Detroit and Seattle. Detroit,
1:50:50
Speaker 1: they just lost in a shootout to Columbus. Now they
1:50:53
Speaker 1: get to go out to Seattle. Could be a bounced
1:50:55
Speaker 1: back spot. I mean, that was not a great loss
1:50:57
Speaker 1: for them at Columbus. Uh. Seattle though, four straight losses,
1:51:01
Speaker 1: including two to Edmonton, and those were just ugly. And
1:51:04
Speaker 1: they did have a lot of rest prior to the
1:51:05
Speaker 1: most recent games, so they're a fairly rested team here.
1:51:09
Speaker 1: I don't know if Decord are Boston dude, Mass dude.
1:51:13
Speaker 1: I don't know if he's gonna be back in Net
1:51:14
Speaker 1: for this one or not, or if he's gonna continue
1:51:17
Speaker 1: to be in Net. I should say he might because
1:51:18
Speaker 1: they had so much rest before the last game, but
1:51:21
Speaker 1: they got blasted in that game at Edmonton, so it
1:51:24
Speaker 1: does look like a smart where Seattle does bounce back.
1:51:27
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna disagree with Seattle in this one. Detroit
1:51:30
Speaker 1: looks like they're taking the money though, for minus one
1:51:32
Speaker 1: of seven of minus one three sixty percent of ticket,
1:51:35
Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of the cash on Detroit. Yeah, I mean,
1:51:40
Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say about it, but
1:51:41
Speaker 1: I don't. But this game, this show is gonna run
1:51:46
Speaker 1: into the noon slate, man, so I got to figure
1:51:48
Speaker 1: out what to do. But I don't have any noon games,
1:51:50
Speaker 1: so I don't have to put them out on Instagram yet. Anyway, Yeah,
1:51:55
Speaker 1: that game, it looks like the money is coming in
1:51:57
Speaker 1: on Detroit. I don't think Detroit is in a bad
1:51:59
Speaker 1: spot though, So I think both teams are in focus
1:52:02
Speaker 1: spots there and Detroit is the better team, so you know,
1:52:05
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. Sometimes in that situation, the
1:52:07
Speaker 1: better team does win New Orleans at Brooklyn in the NBA,
1:52:10
Speaker 1: and it doesn't get any uglier than this. New Orleans
1:52:13
Speaker 1: just played two games that were fairly competitive, I guess
1:52:16
Speaker 1: against Minnesota, and now they're going out on the road
1:52:18
Speaker 1: to face Brooklyn. I mean, this is an ugly, ugly game.
1:52:22
Speaker 1: But Brooklyn is staying at home of a double digit
1:52:25
Speaker 1: loss to Utah, so spot is probably a little bit
1:52:29
Speaker 1: better for Brooklyn. The money is agreeing with that, sixty
1:52:32
Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets, ninety two percent of the
1:52:34
Speaker 1: cash on the nets, laying three and a half here
1:52:37
Speaker 1: with a little bit of juice. Now, I don't disagree
1:52:39
Speaker 1: with Brooklyn, but no way do I want to do
1:52:42
Speaker 1: anything with that game. What I do want to do, though,
1:52:44
Speaker 1: is go back to the abuser of mine that hurt
1:52:47
Speaker 1: me in the last game. We're gonna take Washington again
1:52:50
Speaker 1: plus the points. And it's partially because of what they
1:52:53
Speaker 1: did to us in the last game, but it's also
1:52:55
Speaker 1: partially because of the spot that the Hawks are in.
1:52:58
Speaker 1: The Hawks are in a terrible spot. They're in a
1:53:01
Speaker 1: back to back and having to travel to Washington. They
1:53:05
Speaker 1: played yesterday and they basically bounced back from that horrendous
1:53:08
Speaker 1: loss where we had a win on the Clippers in
1:53:10
Speaker 1: that game, blowing the Hawks out. But look at what
1:53:13
Speaker 1: the Hawks did. This is part of the Clipper handicap
1:53:16
Speaker 1: there is that the Hawks would be looking ahead to Denver.
1:53:18
Speaker 1: The Hawks almost beat Denver last night. They took them
1:53:21
Speaker 1: right to the wire. And lost by one in an
1:53:24
Speaker 1: insanely high scoring game. In the public, they love teams
1:53:27
Speaker 1: that look good when they lose, and you can't possibly
1:53:31
Speaker 1: look better than losing by one to Denver one thirty
1:53:35
Speaker 1: four to one thirty three. I mean, the public, if
1:53:38
Speaker 1: they look at this game, they're gonna be all over Atlanta.
1:53:40
Speaker 1: I mean, that's basically looking great in a loss. But
1:53:44
Speaker 1: now they have no time off, they got to play
1:53:47
Speaker 1: this ugly Washington team. Although I know Atlanta actually just
1:53:50
Speaker 1: lost in Washington by almost twenty points, so yeah, I mean,
1:53:55
Speaker 1: you could argue revenge here, but I just don't see
1:53:58
Speaker 1: it that way. Man. I don't think Atlanta's gonna be
1:53:59
Speaker 1: all pissed off at the Hawks. Yeah, I mean, usually
1:54:03
Speaker 1: the reason why the revenge works is actually more that
1:54:06
Speaker 1: the team that lost will have adjustments to make. And
1:54:08
Speaker 1: sure that's true, but back to back travel coming off
1:54:12
Speaker 1: of Denver taking them to the wire, and up next
1:54:14
Speaker 1: they got to face Detroit, who they also just lost
1:54:17
Speaker 1: to by one on the road. I just don't see
1:54:19
Speaker 1: what Atlanta's gonna bring to this game. Man. I like
1:54:22
Speaker 1: Washington and Washington staying at home should bounce back. I mean,
1:54:26
Speaker 1: I know Boston showed up somehow in that ugly spot
1:54:31
Speaker 1: without Jalen Brown. The Celtics absolutely embarrassed Washington, beating them
1:54:36
Speaker 1: one forty six to one on one at home. But
1:54:38
Speaker 1: when a team loses like that, you're gonna get a
1:54:40
Speaker 1: focused effort out of them in the next game. Man.
1:54:42
Speaker 1: I mean, no team wants to get embarrassed like that,
1:54:45
Speaker 1: even if it is against a pretty good team like
1:54:47
Speaker 1: the Celtics. That is a horrific loss. So yeah, I
1:54:51
Speaker 1: like Washington plus the points in this one. We're going
1:54:54
Speaker 1: right back to it. They got sixty four percent of
1:54:56
Speaker 1: the tickets in ninety seven percent of the cash on them.
1:54:59
Speaker 1: Right now, Wizards will be the player there. Golden State
1:55:03
Speaker 1: still without Steph Curry, are going to be at Cleveland.
1:55:05
Speaker 1: Here Cleveland at this point, I mean, Cleveland's better than
1:55:09
Speaker 1: the record looks, but they've dealt with injuries for a
1:55:11
Speaker 1: lot of the season and whatever. They are coming up
1:55:13
Speaker 1: a pretty big win over San Antonio, even though I
1:55:15
Speaker 1: think that was still San Antonio without Wemba and that
1:55:18
Speaker 1: was yesterday. So it is a back to back for Cleveland,
1:55:22
Speaker 1: although they're staying at home so no travel, but still
1:55:25
Speaker 1: a back to back. And now we're looking at a
1:55:27
Speaker 1: Golden State team that might be a little bit extra
1:55:29
Speaker 1: motivated because they're below five hundred. Now they just lost
1:55:32
Speaker 1: at Philly, and now yeah they're having to traveling to Cleveland.
1:55:35
Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't know. To me, it seems like
1:55:38
Speaker 1: the spot's maybe a little bit better for Golden State
1:55:41
Speaker 1: to bounce back here, and you know you're gonna be
1:55:42
Speaker 1: getting them as a nice underdog here. Money is kind
1:55:45
Speaker 1: of saying the Calves sixty percent of ticket, seventy eight
1:55:47
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, up to seven and
1:55:49
Speaker 1: a half with juice. But I would lean towards taking
1:55:52
Speaker 1: the points with Golden State there. Although you got to
1:55:56
Speaker 1: see who's in and out of the line up here too.
1:55:58
Speaker 1: Though Al Horford looks like he's still out. We know
1:56:02
Speaker 1: Steph Curry is out, Draymond Green probably plays. He's listed
1:56:06
Speaker 1: his game time decision for Cleveland. I think they got
1:56:10
Speaker 1: Jared Allen back, and it looks like Garland might come
1:56:13
Speaker 1: back game time decision. He missed the last game. We'll see.
1:56:18
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think any of that really makes
1:56:20
Speaker 1: it like a huge injured player spot or anything like that. Though,
1:56:24
Speaker 1: speaking of injuries, Yannis won't be playing for Milwaukee. I mean,
1:56:28
Speaker 1: he's probably injured with wanting a trade. Milwaukee coming up
1:56:34
Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss to Philadelphia, though, Man and I
1:56:37
Speaker 1: believe that was the first game without Yannis. I'm pretty
1:56:40
Speaker 1: sure so in the injured player spot, they still didn't
1:56:43
Speaker 1: even do well. And that was yesterday. Now they got
1:56:45
Speaker 1: to travel to Detroit and they did just beat Detroit
1:56:48
Speaker 1: on Wednesday, Milwaukee did so Yeah. I mean, it's not
1:56:52
Speaker 1: the greatest spot for Milwaukee, or I wouldn't say, second
1:56:55
Speaker 1: game without Yanni's travel, no time off, facing a team
1:56:59
Speaker 1: that's probably gonna be making adjustments because you just beat them.
1:57:03
Speaker 1: Detroit coming off an easy win kind of at home
1:57:06
Speaker 1: over Portland. They didn't cover. I thought they would cover.
1:57:09
Speaker 1: They're also on a back to back, but they're not traveling.
1:57:12
Speaker 1: I think maybe they had this game. Maybe they were
1:57:15
Speaker 1: looking ahead to this game a little bit. I thought
1:57:16
Speaker 1: they would cover against Portland. They didn't. I was wrong.
1:57:19
Speaker 1: But yeah, overall, I think the Pistons are the right
1:57:23
Speaker 1: side here. But the money is saying otherwise. Seventy four
1:57:25
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, fifty two percent of the cash
1:57:27
Speaker 1: on them, and they're up to a twelve and a
1:57:28
Speaker 1: half point favorite, but I just don't see the game
1:57:31
Speaker 1: another way. I would lean towards Detroit in that one. Yeah,
1:57:39
Speaker 1: that Chelsea draw is about to happen. Yeah, these mourning
1:57:42
Speaker 1: soccer games under in Cleveland, Golden State. Well, it is
1:57:45
Speaker 1: low for a reason, although that reason has to do
1:57:47
Speaker 1: with Curry being out and all those injuries. So I
1:57:50
Speaker 1: don't know if it's over adjusted or not. Betting draws,
1:57:54
Speaker 1: I mean, I will say the public never really wants
1:57:57
Speaker 1: to do it because it's even though you get plus money,
1:58:00
Speaker 1: and I think it's just a boring thing to root for.
1:58:04
Speaker 1: It's almost against human nature. Sacramento at Miami. Oh yeah,
1:58:08
Speaker 1: this is my other play. We're gonna take Sacramento. I
1:58:11
Speaker 1: understand Sacramento's two and ten on the road. I understand
1:58:14
Speaker 1: Miami's ten and two at home. We're not totally bucking
1:58:18
Speaker 1: that trend because Sacramento is a massive underdog here at
1:58:21
Speaker 1: eight and a half. But that's what we're doing in
1:58:23
Speaker 1: this one. The money does seem to agree with this one.
1:58:26
Speaker 1: Eighty five percent of the tickets, only sixty nine percent
1:58:28
Speaker 1: of the cash on the heat. They're up to an
1:58:30
Speaker 1: eight eight and a half point favorite from seven Sacramento.
1:58:34
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see a focused Sacramento team just
1:58:36
Speaker 1: because they're on a bad stretch, four straight losses. They
1:58:39
Speaker 1: lost in a blowout at Houston, and now they haven't
1:58:41
Speaker 1: played since Wednesday, so they've had time off to try
1:58:45
Speaker 1: to bust this losing streak here. I know they don't
1:58:48
Speaker 1: have some bonus, but I expect them to show up
1:58:50
Speaker 1: with a good effort in this game, at the very
1:58:52
Speaker 1: least from Miami. I think that might be a little
1:58:54
Speaker 1: bit questionable because Miami is in a magic sandwich, which
1:58:59
Speaker 1: I don't know what we call that, what's the Orlando
1:59:02
Speaker 1: sandwich here? But Miami is also gonna be the way
1:59:04
Speaker 1: less rested team because they played they played yesterday at Orlando,
1:59:09
Speaker 1: and now they're back in Miami here and they gotta
1:59:12
Speaker 1: turn around and go to Orlando on Tuesday, which is
1:59:15
Speaker 1: gonna be a revenge game because they lost by one
1:59:17
Speaker 1: point to Orlando last night, and that was a big
1:59:19
Speaker 1: game Miami Orlando, big game for both teams. Miami did
1:59:24
Speaker 1: not totally bounce back from that loss against Dallas, but
1:59:27
Speaker 1: now back to back with travel, they're playing a third
1:59:29
Speaker 1: game in four days, all in different cities. I don't
1:59:33
Speaker 1: see them really showing up for this bad Sacramento team.
1:59:35
Speaker 1: And again they got Orlando up again. Next tough game
1:59:39
Speaker 1: for them last night against Orlando. It's a bad spot.
1:59:42
Speaker 1: Whatever you want to call the magic sandwich. Yeah, we're
1:59:46
Speaker 1: gonna do it. We're taking the Sacramento Kings in that one.
1:59:49
Speaker 1: There's not really much else to say about that. But Cubans,
1:59:53
Speaker 1: the Cubanos. That's that's more Miami than Orlando, I think.
1:59:57
Speaker 1: But yeah, maybe maybe they're just all over floor. I
2:00:00
Speaker 1: love a Cubano sandwich, by the way. That's like maybe
2:00:04
Speaker 1: I should do uh, I've been talking about doing maybe
2:00:06
Speaker 1: tierless and you know, maybe changing my channels just in
2:00:11
Speaker 1: all things Toad or something. I could rate sandwiches. Cubano
2:00:16
Speaker 1: is good, man, The Cuban sandwich is really really good.
2:00:18
Speaker 1: I love it. I love pickles, I love mustard. Yeah,
2:00:22
Speaker 1: it's on yeah, really good bread. Usually I don't know
2:00:24
Speaker 1: what type of bread is that usually on like a
2:00:27
Speaker 1: like a it's not a chibbata is that I don't know.
2:00:30
Speaker 1: I forget what it is. Something like that. Lawrence is
2:00:34
Speaker 1: in Miami. Yeah, I mean there were a lot of
2:00:37
Speaker 1: Betters in Florida. Now, I don't exactly know how they
2:00:40
Speaker 1: do it there because they're limited to basically the hard
2:00:42
Speaker 1: rock for betting online. I think there's I don't know.
2:00:45
Speaker 1: I don't know exactly how it works in Florida. Although
2:00:48
Speaker 1: those guys, like guys like Lawrence are so famous, they
2:00:51
Speaker 1: probably just they have runners for them, like not VR specifically,
2:00:55
Speaker 1: but guys who are like VR, where they'll just be like, hey,
2:00:58
Speaker 1: go get this bet in for me, you know what
2:01:00
Speaker 1: I mean, So you can basically live wherever you want.
2:01:04
Speaker 1: Bond Me those are I like them too. Those are good.
2:01:07
Speaker 1: It's French Vietnamese fusion. I like the bond Me. It's
2:01:11
Speaker 1: got like pork on it, jalpanos, patay, some crispy veggies
2:01:17
Speaker 1: on a bad get, whatever the hell else that has
2:01:19
Speaker 1: on it. Yeah. I like the bond Me. It's a
2:01:24
Speaker 1: good job. Will you take a percentage of what the
2:01:26
Speaker 1: guys are betting? Usually they give you a percentage of it,
2:01:28
Speaker 1: so you're rooting for them to win. I don't know
2:01:30
Speaker 1: how they can afford that. But oh shit, Texas Tech
2:01:36
Speaker 1: and BYU, Oh fuck, I apologize. Man, let's do college bat.
2:01:40
Speaker 1: We'll do college football. I should have done college football earlier.
2:01:43
Speaker 1: You're right. We have two games up quickly BYU at
2:01:46
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. I know I gave out Texas Tech as
2:01:48
Speaker 1: a play and one against BYU. That game, wasn't that
2:01:54
Speaker 1: misleading Texas Tech one by twenty two or something like that.
2:01:57
Speaker 1: BYU had three turnovers in the game, but Texas Tech
2:02:01
Speaker 1: failed on a lot of drives and had a lot
2:02:02
Speaker 1: of field goals in the game. So both teams really
2:02:05
Speaker 1: could have scored more in the game. So if you
2:02:07
Speaker 1: think that means an over here, I could see that argument,
2:02:10
Speaker 1: although in a championship game like this, I might disagree
2:02:13
Speaker 1: with the over a little bit. In this one, Texas
2:02:15
Speaker 1: Tech is about the same line here at twelve, but
2:02:18
Speaker 1: they're public this time. The public doesn't like BYU as
2:02:21
Speaker 1: much now, And I know I was talking about how
2:02:23
Speaker 1: BIU is really overrated and whatever Texas Tech was gonna
2:02:26
Speaker 1: smack them down. Well that happened, and now I think
2:02:29
Speaker 1: BYU not only will have the h they'll be able
2:02:33
Speaker 1: to make adjustments here, but BYU I don't have a
2:02:36
Speaker 1: plan in either of these games. By the way, BYU
2:02:39
Speaker 1: I think will also have more motivation here because BYU
2:02:43
Speaker 1: they're the only way they can get into the playoff
2:02:45
Speaker 1: right now is if they beat Texas Tech, and it's
2:02:47
Speaker 1: probably not gonna happen, but they know that that's the case.
2:02:51
Speaker 1: And with a team, I know, when I talk about
2:02:52
Speaker 1: how a team needs to win, that's usually not good
2:02:55
Speaker 1: because the pressure is on them. But in this case,
2:02:56
Speaker 1: they're a huge underdog, so you know you're gonna get
2:02:59
Speaker 1: an effort out of a huge underdog. That is the
2:03:02
Speaker 1: way that I would lean here Texas Tech if they
2:03:05
Speaker 1: they do need to win to get a bye in
2:03:07
Speaker 1: the first round. But the buys in the first round,
2:03:09
Speaker 1: we saw how little they matter last year, so I
2:03:11
Speaker 1: don't think that's as much of a motivator here. So
2:03:14
Speaker 1: and this game is in Arlington, Texas, so yet it's
2:03:17
Speaker 1: not at Texas's Tech home this time, not at their
2:03:20
Speaker 1: home stadium. They were thirteen something point favorite at home.
2:03:23
Speaker 1: They're twelve on a semi home, if you want to
2:03:25
Speaker 1: call it that. This is in Arlington, so Texas Tech
2:03:28
Speaker 1: will still have fans showing up for this game. But
2:03:31
Speaker 1: I would take the points with BYU sixty six percent
2:03:34
Speaker 1: of the ticket, sixty two percent of the cash on Texas,
2:03:37
Speaker 1: Texas Tech, Miami, Ohio, and Western Michigan in the MAC Championship,
2:03:41
Speaker 1: also at noon. I like Miami Ohio on this one.
2:03:44
Speaker 1: This is in Detroit, but Western Michigan's all on the
2:03:47
Speaker 1: other side of the state. Here. Western Michigan's down from
2:03:51
Speaker 1: three to two and a half year, although they have
2:03:52
Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of tickets sixty one percent of the
2:03:54
Speaker 1: cash on them. But Miami Ohio already already beat Western
2:03:57
Speaker 1: Michigan once this year, and I looked at the box score.
2:04:00
Speaker 1: It was at Miami Ohio, but it was not exactly misleading.
2:04:04
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is actually I'm not sure that they're actually
2:04:08
Speaker 1: so much the worst team that they should be getting
2:04:10
Speaker 1: points like this. I think that these teams are almost
2:04:13
Speaker 1: even man like. I think this game should basically be
2:04:15
Speaker 1: a pick them. Western Michigan does have the slightly better defense.
2:04:18
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is the better offense, but Western Michigan's not
2:04:22
Speaker 1: as good at defending the run, and Miami Ohio runs
2:04:25
Speaker 1: the football. Western Michigan also runs, but Miami Ohio is
2:04:28
Speaker 1: better at defending that, so I think matchup wise, it's
2:04:31
Speaker 1: a little bit better from Miami Ohio. And Miami Ohio
2:04:34
Speaker 1: was in this game last year, although it was with
2:04:37
Speaker 1: some different personnel, but they got embarrassed in this game
2:04:40
Speaker 1: last year against Ohio. So I think Miami Ohio has
2:04:43
Speaker 1: a chance at redemption here, and they basically didn't even
2:04:45
Speaker 1: think they were gonna be here because they only got
2:04:48
Speaker 1: here because of some like weird tiebreaker scenario where even
2:04:52
Speaker 1: though they lost to both Toledo and Ohio and they
2:04:55
Speaker 1: were tied with them. I don't know how this eyebreaker
2:04:58
Speaker 1: worked out, but it has some metrics. I don't know
2:05:01
Speaker 1: what goes on, kind of like the Mountain West, but
2:05:03
Speaker 1: somehow Miami Ohio gets in, and I think people are
2:05:06
Speaker 1: gonna be saying, well, they shouldn't be here because they
2:05:09
Speaker 1: lost to Ohio and to Leedo. And by the way,
2:05:11
Speaker 1: Western Michigan I think beat both of those teams, but
2:05:15
Speaker 1: those games are a little bit misleading, so I'm not
2:05:17
Speaker 1: gonna take too much away from those regular season matchups.
2:05:20
Speaker 1: Although yes, the regular season resume is a little bit
2:05:24
Speaker 1: better for Western Michigan, I won't disagree with that, but
2:05:26
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is more experienced being in this game. Again.
2:05:30
Speaker 1: They got guys that were there last year that remember
2:05:32
Speaker 1: losing this game in embarrassing fashion to Ohio. So I
2:05:35
Speaker 1: like the fact that they're back here. I like Miami
2:05:38
Speaker 1: Ohio and this one slightly. So those are those two
2:05:41
Speaker 1: games finishing off NBA real quick. We have Clippers in Minnesota,
2:05:46
Speaker 1: I mean Clippers coming off a loss to Memphis. Minnesota
2:05:49
Speaker 1: just swept the double game in New Orleans. I don't
2:05:53
Speaker 1: see much of an angle in this game at all. Man.
2:05:58
Speaker 1: So for the Tea Wolves, they are ten points favor
2:06:00
Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the tickets, eighty nine percent of
2:06:02
Speaker 1: the cash, and the Tea Wolves, I mean, I don't
2:06:06
Speaker 1: have an opinion on this game like at all. So
2:06:08
Speaker 1: I mean I guess, just do it at that information
2:06:10
Speaker 1: what you will. And then Houston and Dallas. Houston is
2:06:13
Speaker 1: coming off smashing Phoenix, which is a big win for them.
2:06:17
Speaker 1: Maybe they overlook Dallas a little bit here. Dallas, I
2:06:21
Speaker 1: mean probably considers them to be kind of a little
2:06:23
Speaker 1: brother right now. As far as the Texas teams, Dallas
2:06:26
Speaker 1: coming off getting blown out by Okay see, but that
2:06:28
Speaker 1: was yesterday, so they're on a back to back with travel,
2:06:31
Speaker 1: so the spot's not easy for either team. I'll slightly
2:06:34
Speaker 1: lean to taking the points with Dallas, but I don't
2:06:36
Speaker 1: love it. Dallas Rockets are down from ten to eight
2:06:41
Speaker 1: and a half. You're sixty nine percent of the tickets
2:06:42
Speaker 1: and then sixty five percent of the cash coming in
2:06:45
Speaker 1: on the MAVs. So yeah, that's that's it for the NBA.
2:06:52
Speaker 1: Man targeting NBC. Thank you, sir. No, well, no, Mark
2:06:58
Speaker 1: Lawrence would uh he would come after you. You can't
2:07:00
Speaker 1: do that. You gotta be honorable in this industry. Man.
2:07:06
Speaker 1: People think it's all like crime written and stuff. But
2:07:08
Speaker 1: it's not like, uh, you gotta be I don't know,
2:07:14
Speaker 1: you gotta be more. I don't know what the word
2:07:17
Speaker 1: is that I'm looking for here, but let's go to
2:07:19
Speaker 1: college football here. You gotta be more respectable than that,
2:07:22
Speaker 1: all right. I talked about the first two games I
2:07:24
Speaker 1: lean to BYU and Miami Ohio, and those Georgia and
2:07:27
Speaker 1: Alabama and the SEC Championship, which is going to be
2:07:31
Speaker 1: in Atlanta. So you might think, well, that gives Georgia
2:07:34
Speaker 1: a little bit of an edge maybe. I mean, I
2:07:36
Speaker 1: don't know it's in the Falcons Stadium. I mean I
2:07:40
Speaker 1: think it's this is always where it is. Though. Alabama,
2:07:44
Speaker 1: I mean, they have a huge fan base. Their fan
2:07:46
Speaker 1: base will show up anyway, so I don't think it's
2:07:48
Speaker 1: gonna be a huge edge for Georgia in this one.
2:07:50
Speaker 1: But Georgia they're already in the playoff, So this is
2:07:54
Speaker 1: the thing, like, yeah, I mean they're playing to try
2:07:56
Speaker 1: to clinch getting a bye in the first round and whatever. Alabama,
2:08:00
Speaker 1: I think that they're in, but if they take a
2:08:02
Speaker 1: third loss, there may be a little bit of a
2:08:04
Speaker 1: shot that maybe they won't get in, man, because you
2:08:07
Speaker 1: don't really know what the committee's gonna do. The committee
2:08:09
Speaker 1: is always very fickle, so they might really not like
2:08:12
Speaker 1: that FSU loss now for Alabama, and if they take
2:08:15
Speaker 1: a third loss, maybe the committee will knock them for that,
2:08:18
Speaker 1: dock them for that. So I think Alabama does actually
2:08:20
Speaker 1: have more to play for. And Alabama has just owned Georgia, man,
2:08:24
Speaker 1: I mean they did beat them once this year already.
2:08:26
Speaker 1: But and this is what I said, like with Boise
2:08:28
Speaker 1: last night, Well you would think that maybe that means
2:08:30
Speaker 1: the team that lost will be in a revenge mode
2:08:33
Speaker 1: and they'll make the adjustments in this case. But I
2:08:35
Speaker 1: don't know about that, because when a team just owns
2:08:37
Speaker 1: another team, it's just the way that it is. Alabama's
2:08:40
Speaker 1: won I think at least four games in a row
2:08:42
Speaker 1: against Georgia. Georgia just can't get over the hump. The
2:08:46
Speaker 1: one thing that Georgia does have going for them here, though,
2:08:48
Speaker 1: is they do have a more experienced quarterback and gunner
2:08:51
Speaker 1: Stockton who did play in the playoffs last year. And
2:08:54
Speaker 1: Alabama's going with Simpson who was playing his first season,
2:08:58
Speaker 1: so that is somewhat of a advantage for Alabama with
2:09:01
Speaker 1: the QB experience definitely goes to Georgia here. So I'm
2:09:05
Speaker 1: not gonna play the game, but I leaned towards taking
2:09:07
Speaker 1: it with Alabama. You could have gotten to two and
2:09:09
Speaker 1: a half on Alabama. Now it's unfortunately one and a half.
2:09:12
Speaker 1: But I would still probably take it if I was
2:09:15
Speaker 1: gonna play it. Sixty three percent of the tickets and
2:09:17
Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash on Georgia lean towards
2:09:20
Speaker 1: Alabama on that one. Joe Peschi, everybody thinks that I
2:09:26
Speaker 1: kind of look like Joe Peschi because I'm short, bald
2:09:29
Speaker 1: and Italian. Joe Peschi and Casino Good, those are good movies. No.
2:09:35
Speaker 1: I like The Irishman. I think it's good. I only
2:09:39
Speaker 1: watched it that one time, but yeah, and then we
2:09:41
Speaker 1: have all right, we'll go to the ACC Championship. These
2:09:44
Speaker 1: both are at night here, acc is Duke in Virginia,
2:09:48
Speaker 1: and as I already pointed out, Virginia because their basketball
2:09:51
Speaker 1: team is also playing in Charlotte, they're gonna have a
2:09:55
Speaker 1: bunch of fans there for both games. Duke, I mean,
2:09:59
Speaker 1: I think they're fan will travel. I mean it's just
2:10:01
Speaker 1: going to Charlotte, So I think they'll get fans support
2:10:04
Speaker 1: in this game too. Virginia's crowd probably a bit more
2:10:07
Speaker 1: excited because there's more on the line for Virginia seventy
2:10:10
Speaker 1: four percent to take it, sixty nine percent of the
2:10:12
Speaker 1: cash in Virginia. They're up from two and a half
2:10:13
Speaker 1: to four here. But I would take the points with
2:10:17
Speaker 1: Duke Virginia because they have more to play for it.
2:10:20
Speaker 1: That means the pressure is on them and you're asking
2:10:22
Speaker 1: him to win and cover in a pressure situation where
2:10:26
Speaker 1: this Virginia team is not used to being in a
2:10:28
Speaker 1: situation like this, man, where if they win this game,
2:10:31
Speaker 1: they're gonna be in the playoff basically, so a ton
2:10:34
Speaker 1: is on the line here for Duke. They they get
2:10:37
Speaker 1: to just come in and play loose and play spoiler
2:10:39
Speaker 1: because there's no auto bit here. So Duke can't make
2:10:42
Speaker 1: the playoff here, so they just get to come in
2:10:44
Speaker 1: and play loose, and I think they're gonna maybe make
2:10:47
Speaker 1: adjustments because they lost to Virginia already this year and
2:10:50
Speaker 1: it was an ugly game, dude, and Duke, by the way,
2:10:53
Speaker 1: was like a three point home favorite in that game,
2:10:55
Speaker 1: if I remember correctly. And now you're saying that on
2:10:58
Speaker 1: a neutral or maybe even slightly in favor of Duke,
2:11:02
Speaker 1: just because it's in North Carolina. You're telling me that
2:11:04
Speaker 1: Virginia deserves to be a four point favorite now, when
2:11:08
Speaker 1: if Duke was a favorite at home, it would indicate
2:11:10
Speaker 1: that Virginia should only be about a one point favorite
2:11:13
Speaker 1: on a neutral. So the four is just crazy. So
2:11:16
Speaker 1: there's line value there with Duke. I know this game
2:11:20
Speaker 1: where they lost thirty four to seventeen to Duke at
2:11:22
Speaker 1: home at Duke, I know it was not misleading. Virginia
2:11:25
Speaker 1: absolutely slaughtered Duke in this game. They dominated the game statistically.
2:11:29
Speaker 1: I get that, but so not misleading at all. It
2:11:33
Speaker 1: was actually probably should have been more of a blowout
2:11:35
Speaker 1: for Virginia, but in a pressure spot like this where
2:11:39
Speaker 1: Duke is gonna be able to make the adjustments off
2:11:41
Speaker 1: of that, game. I like Duke here, Man and Duke,
2:11:44
Speaker 1: they do still have an experienced quarterback here with I
2:11:49
Speaker 1: already forget his name, the dude who was on Tulane
2:11:51
Speaker 1: last year. Duke still I'm assume, mensa, I'm assuming he's
2:11:55
Speaker 1: still playing. So I think Duke does have a little
2:11:57
Speaker 1: bit of a quarterback experience edge in this game too.
2:11:59
Speaker 1: I like Duke plus the points in this one. Yeah, Virginia,
2:12:06
Speaker 1: I don't even know who Morris is, but I guess
2:12:08
Speaker 1: he's there. He's their quarterback here, all right, Yeah, so yeah,
2:12:12
Speaker 1: I think Duke getting short changed on that line at
2:12:16
Speaker 1: this point, man, and all the pressure is on Virginia,
2:12:18
Speaker 1: so that's not what you want. And then finally, my
2:12:20
Speaker 1: last play of the day is Indiana plus the points
2:12:24
Speaker 1: against Ohio State. And this is the one game or
2:12:27
Speaker 1: maybe two I guess now where the market is not
2:12:29
Speaker 1: really agreeing with me, But again I agree with myself.
2:12:34
Speaker 1: Of course here we're gonna go with Indiana plus the points. Here.
2:12:40
Speaker 1: It's a night game, so maybe the line will change
2:12:42
Speaker 1: a little bit. It did drop from five and a
2:12:43
Speaker 1: half to four and a half sixty percent to take
2:12:45
Speaker 1: a sixty three percent of the cash on Ohio State.
2:12:48
Speaker 1: And I know last year I was all about Indiana
2:12:51
Speaker 1: hasn't played anybody. Ohio State's gonna gonna slaughter them. And
2:12:55
Speaker 1: I was right. Ohio State wrecked Indiana last year. Now true,
2:13:00
Speaker 1: and Indiana had a really weak schedule last year. But
2:13:02
Speaker 1: this Indiana team, they're better than they were last year.
2:13:05
Speaker 1: They're not all offense like they were last year. They
2:13:07
Speaker 1: have a deepfense this year, and they have an experienced
2:13:10
Speaker 1: quarterback in Mendoza who was on California coming into this season,
2:13:15
Speaker 1: whereas Ohio State they have an inexperienced quarterback, man in
2:13:19
Speaker 1: saying he has not played in a game of this
2:13:22
Speaker 1: magnitude yet, although I know they did just beat Michigan,
2:13:24
Speaker 1: but that's part of the handicap here as well. I
2:13:28
Speaker 1: don't know Man in a conference championship like this, maybe
2:13:31
Speaker 1: saying he's probably gonna be the quarterback who's at the
2:13:36
Speaker 1: disadvantage year against Mendoza. And by the way, as I
2:13:39
Speaker 1: already pointed out earlier in the show, and I talked
2:13:41
Speaker 1: about Indiana basketball, where is this game? Oh? Yeah, it's
2:13:44
Speaker 1: in Indianapolis, So you know Indiana's fans are gonna show
2:13:47
Speaker 1: up at this game. Big time. Sure, Ohio State, they'll
2:13:50
Speaker 1: travel as well, but I think the spot's a little
2:13:53
Speaker 1: bit more beneficial to Indiana. Man. This crowd will show up,
2:13:56
Speaker 1: They'll be in Indianapolis for the basketball game to some extent.
2:14:00
Speaker 1: I like that as well. And if you look this year,
2:14:04
Speaker 1: Indiana's faced the more difficult schedule this year than Ohio
2:14:07
Speaker 1: State has. Man, Indiana, I mean they started off week
2:14:09
Speaker 1: they trounced this Illinois team that wound up not being
2:14:12
Speaker 1: that good. But they have some good wins here on
2:14:15
Speaker 1: the road at Iowa. I was a very strong team
2:14:17
Speaker 1: on the road at Oregon beating them by ten. Big
2:14:20
Speaker 1: win on the road at Penn State. Say what do
2:14:22
Speaker 1: you want about Penn State, But those are good road wins, man,
2:14:27
Speaker 1: Penn State almost beat them. This Penn State team when
2:14:30
Speaker 1: they show up, they're still good. They're still loaded with talent.
2:14:33
Speaker 1: So that's actually better than if you look at Ohio
2:14:35
Speaker 1: State schedule, it's been weak, man. I mean they beat
2:14:38
Speaker 1: that same Illinois team on the road and didn't beat
2:14:41
Speaker 1: them by that much. What are their best wins? They
2:14:43
Speaker 1: beat Penn State at home, Yeah, Penn State's good. That
2:14:45
Speaker 1: was at home and then yeah, I mean that was
2:14:48
Speaker 1: basically it. They had a road game against Washington was
2:14:50
Speaker 1: kind of an unimpressive win. Other than that, I mean,
2:14:53
Speaker 1: they really have not been tested up until they had
2:14:55
Speaker 1: a big win over Michigan last week. But that's why
2:14:58
Speaker 1: I'm gonna fade Ohio State here. That was a massive win. Man,
2:15:02
Speaker 1: Ohio State Michigan. That's like the super Bowl, Dude, it's
2:15:05
Speaker 1: the biggest rivalry in football. Ohio State cares more about
2:15:08
Speaker 1: that game than they care about the Big Ten Championship.
2:15:11
Speaker 1: I mean, Ohio State wasn't even in the Big Ten
2:15:14
Speaker 1: Championship last year and they won the national championship. Anyway,
2:15:18
Speaker 1: you don't even need to be in this game to
2:15:19
Speaker 1: win the national championship. Ohio State's undefeated. They don't need
2:15:23
Speaker 1: to win this game. Maybe if they lose this game,
2:15:26
Speaker 1: they'll lose a first round by but they didn't have
2:15:28
Speaker 1: that last year either, So I think Indiana's got more
2:15:32
Speaker 1: to prove here. Man and Ohio State again. That win
2:15:34
Speaker 1: over Michigan was huge, especially because Ryan Day had also
2:15:38
Speaker 1: never beaten Michigan. That was the knock on him. They
2:15:41
Speaker 1: lost as a huge favorite last year to Michigan. Ryan Day,
2:15:45
Speaker 1: He's got the nipples and he was not able to
2:15:47
Speaker 1: beat Michigan, and he finally got over the hump every
2:15:50
Speaker 1: he was owned four in his tenure against Michigan, So
2:15:53
Speaker 1: that was an even bigger win for them. And now
2:15:55
Speaker 1: I think they might already start looking ahead to being
2:15:57
Speaker 1: in the playoff, man, because they're gonna be there, And yes,
2:16:00
Speaker 1: so is Indiana. But Indiana is coming of a way
2:16:03
Speaker 1: easier win last week where they just blasted Purdue who cares,
2:16:07
Speaker 1: So they're gonna be the team that's in the better
2:16:09
Speaker 1: spot here man, and again in the Indiana is something
2:16:12
Speaker 1: approved because they're the kind of the new guy on
2:16:16
Speaker 1: the block here and they lost to Ohio State really
2:16:18
Speaker 1: ugly last year, and Indiana wants to prove that they belong.
2:16:22
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think Indiana they're gonna be more excited
2:16:25
Speaker 1: about this opportunity. Man, They're gonna put more weight into
2:16:27
Speaker 1: this game. Ohio State, the surrounding games actually mean more
2:16:31
Speaker 1: to them. So we're gonna take Indiana plus the points.
2:16:34
Speaker 1: That is the final play of the day, and that
2:16:37
Speaker 1: is gonna do it for the show. Finally, German League Basketball,
2:16:41
Speaker 1: of God, I gotta get this show out. But hopefully
2:16:44
Speaker 1: people aren't mad at me for missing the noon games here,
2:16:49
Speaker 1: I'm on the Canadians, that's correct, Texas A and M East,
2:16:54
Speaker 1: Texas A and M. It was easy Dayton. What did
2:16:57
Speaker 1: I say about the Dayton And I don't even remember
2:16:59
Speaker 1: what I said about Dayton. I might have agreed with it,
2:17:01
Speaker 1: I don't even remember. Man. Oh yeah, yeah, I agreed
2:17:06
Speaker 1: with that one. They're already out up for nothing to
2:17:08
Speaker 1: start the game. But yeah, that's gonna do it once again.
2:17:12
Speaker 1: All the plays I have to do, all these stupid
2:17:14
Speaker 1: Instagram videos. We got Northwestern in college of basketball, Duquine
2:17:18
Speaker 1: in college basketball, and Nickels in college basketball, NCA and
2:17:22
Speaker 1: t in college basketball, Fresno. These are all against the
2:17:26
Speaker 1: spread college basketball, Ohio in college basketball, Texas Southern in
2:17:30
Speaker 1: college basketball, New Orleans in college basketball, col Baptists in
2:17:34
Speaker 1: college basketball, NHL Montreal money line, Tampa Bay split bet
2:17:40
Speaker 1: halfpuck line half money line, NBA Wizards and Kings plus
2:17:44
Speaker 1: the points, and college football Indiana plus the points. That's
2:17:49
Speaker 1: in the Big Ten title game at night. That's gonna
2:17:51
Speaker 1: do it. Good luck to everybody. Let's I know it's
2:17:55
Speaker 1: a some of these Saturdays, we have huge volume, dude,
2:17:58
Speaker 1: I get it. It's nerve rack. You know, there's a
2:18:01
Speaker 1: lot of money at stake, but hopefully you at least
2:18:04
Speaker 1: get it. The goal is to be winning, just slightly winning,
2:18:08
Speaker 1: and then you're good. I know it's risky, but if
2:18:12
Speaker 1: you know what you're doing, I mean, like, usually you're
2:18:16
Speaker 1: gonna have more wins than the losses usually if you
2:18:18
Speaker 1: know what you're doing. So there you go. Thank you sir.
2:18:21
Speaker 1: Good luck to everybody today. Have a good Saturday. Enjoy
2:18:24
Speaker 1: the games. Learn it tone on Instagram, Learn it Tone
2:18:26
Speaker 1: on Twitter, Like subscribe to the channel here, give me
2:18:30
Speaker 1: a good comments, give me good reviews on Apple and Spotify.
2:18:33
Speaker 1: Listen over there. Covered in yuke My Yuke channel on YouTube, Patreon,
2:18:37
Speaker 1: dot comation learn your toad for some extra yuke stuff.
2:18:40
Speaker 1: Loser Cast. We should be on the actual loser Cast
2:18:43
Speaker 1: channel next week. Those are Tuesday night. It's the new
2:18:46
Speaker 1: comedy panel bro Hangout if you want to check that out.
2:18:49
Speaker 1: We had the one episode already that was that's on
2:18:52
Speaker 1: Layton's channel for now, the Outlawed Thoughts. So that's gonna
2:18:54
Speaker 1: do it for now. Oh and tomorrow I'm gonna be
2:19:00
Speaker 1: on another new podcast, co hosting it with Ben Wee
2:19:03
Speaker 1: or the Emo and Cap and it is called the
2:19:07
Speaker 1: g Spot and it is a New York Giants podcast
2:19:11
Speaker 1: because he's a Giants fan and I'm a Jackson Dart fan.
2:19:14
Speaker 1: So we're gonna talk about the New York Giants and
2:19:17
Speaker 1: hope to become one of the pre eminent Giant podcasts,
2:19:20
Speaker 1: which is more ridiculous because I'm not necessarily a Giant fan.
2:19:24
Speaker 1: But that's in the works as well. That'll be tomorrow,
2:19:27
Speaker 1: I think in the afternoon. Peace out for now, guys.
2:19:31
Speaker 1: I'll be back tonight with the NFL Show. All right,
2:19:34
Speaker 1: Peace for now.