Latest / DEEP INSIGHT / US and Iran exchange strikes and accuse each other of violating ceasefire
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Next to the United States says it has launched a
- 0:02Speaker 1: wave of strikes on Iran. It said the targets included
- 0:06Speaker 1: radar installations, air defenses, and drone storage. The US military
- 0:11Speaker 1: posted this footage online, which it says shows US Navy
- 0:15Speaker 1: and Air Force fighter jets conducting the strikes on Iranian
- 0:19Speaker 1: military targets in and near the Straight of Horn Moves.
- 0:23Speaker 1: America says the action was in response to a drone
- 0:25Speaker 1: attack carried out by Iran on a Panama flagged oil
- 0:29Speaker 1: tanker on Saturday morning. US officials say after previous strikes,
- 0:34Speaker 1: Iran was given a chance to honor its ceasefire agreement
- 0:37Speaker 1: with America, but chose not to. It's the second time
- 0:41Speaker 1: Iran has targeted ships in the Straight of Horn Moves
- 0:45Speaker 1: over the past few days. On Friday, the US said
- 0:47Speaker 1: it struck missile and drone storage facilities and coastal radar
- 0:52Speaker 1: positions in response to a previous drone attack on a
- 0:55Speaker 1: cargo vessel. Turan said this ship was attacked because it
- 0:59Speaker 1: was using an unauthorized route in the Gulf Waterway. President
- 1:03Speaker 1: Trump posted on social media saying the US struck Iranian
- 1:07Speaker 1: targets for violating the ceasefire again. He says it's possible
- 1:11Speaker 1: Iran will never learn and that there may come a
- 1:14Speaker 1: point where the US can no longer be reasonable and
- 1:17Speaker 1: will be forced to use the military to complete the
- 1:20Speaker 1: job it started. He ended by saying if that happens,
- 1:24Speaker 1: the Islamic Republic of Iran will no longer exist, ending
- 1:28Speaker 1: his post with an exclamation mark. Well. At the same time,
- 1:31Speaker 1: Iran's Revolutionary Guard CARS said it launched at tax against
- 1:35Speaker 1: Bahrain and Kuwait in retaliation for those latest US strikes.
- 1:39Speaker 1: QWIGHT confirmed it was responding to what it called hostile
- 1:42Speaker 1: drone and missile attacks. Air raid sirens have also been
- 1:46Speaker 1: sounding in Bahrain. Lama Mamoudian is a research fellow at
- 1:50Speaker 1: the Global and National Security Institute. He gave me his
- 1:54Speaker 1: take on the latest round of strikes.
- 1:57Speaker 2: These strikes or consequences of couple of issues. The first
- 2:00Speaker 2: thing is the stallmate that we are witnessing in Iran.
- 2:04Speaker 2: US talks in regarding the strait of the hormones, the
- 2:07Speaker 2: sovereignty over it, and when it's going to be restored.
- 2:09Speaker 2: The Americans are very much clean king that straight off
- 2:13Speaker 2: the hormones, specifically speaking, the route that it is under
- 2:16Speaker 2: the is closer to the own Money's flank of the
- 2:20Speaker 2: Strait be open as quick as possible. United State doesn't
- 2:24Speaker 2: want to continue negotiation over Iran's nuclear weapon, while Iran
- 2:30Speaker 2: tries to keep the Oman's roads of the Straight Off
- 2:33Speaker 2: the hormones closed in view of the Americans, that can
- 2:36Speaker 2: give the Iranian a strong leverage. For the same reason,
- 2:39Speaker 2: Iran wants to keep that leverage. The other issue that
- 2:42Speaker 2: actually plays a role in the concert in the in
- 2:45Speaker 2: the goal Persian goffic is far from the goal Persian off.
- 2:48Speaker 2: It is in Lebanon doing a couple during the last
- 2:51Speaker 2: couple of days, the Lebanese government, with the premediation of
- 2:54Speaker 2: the Americans, they signed a deal with the Israels which
- 2:57Speaker 2: allows Israel to remain in South after lebon On a
- 3:00Speaker 2: specific list in two zones. And also that agreement points
- 3:05Speaker 2: out that the Hezboll Love would be disarmed. This is
- 3:08Speaker 2: a great deal of danger toward not only Hezbola but
- 3:11Speaker 2: also Iran's influence. Iranian have been constantly tried to condition
- 3:17Speaker 2: the ceasefire in Lebanon to ceasefire and peace still with
- 3:20Speaker 2: between them as American as they call it, the total
- 3:23Speaker 2: piece and pills on all fronts. This is not something
- 3:26Speaker 2: that the Prime Minister in Etonio who wants and this
- 3:28Speaker 2: is something that the United said also is quite reluctant
- 3:31Speaker 2: to it. United State wants to narrow the scope of
- 3:34Speaker 2: the negotiation to Iran and what is happening in the
- 3:37Speaker 2: middle is and in the Persian angle and the straight
- 3:39Speaker 2: off the hormos also its implication of it, its implication
- 3:42Speaker 2: and the consequences of a stallmate difficulties and frustration. But
- 3:47Speaker 2: from both parties throughout the negotiation and political talks.
- 3:50Speaker 1: Do you think part of it is that maybe it
- 3:53Speaker 1: wasn't clear enough in the memorandum of understanding what happens
- 3:58Speaker 1: in the strait of hormones. And each side can say, well,
- 4:02Speaker 1: we think it's this, and the other side say, actually,
- 4:04Speaker 1: we think it's that.
- 4:05Speaker 2: This is quite the case, and to be all frank,
- 4:09Speaker 2: it is the case for most of the memoranda of
- 4:11Speaker 2: the understandings or also ceaspars, because the memorandimus understanding it's
- 4:16Speaker 2: not a treaty, it's not an agreement. They usually compose
- 4:19Speaker 2: and contain a couple of points, as Iran US memoranda
- 4:22Speaker 2: of the understanding has they are to be served as
- 4:26Speaker 2: the framework, and when you have a framework where before
- 4:29Speaker 2: having a deal, it means that there are so many
- 4:32Speaker 2: places that it's up to interpretation of each size. There
- 4:35Speaker 2: are so many places, and there's so many issues that
- 4:38Speaker 2: haven't been discussed because the discussion has been left to
- 4:41Speaker 2: the negotiation and a broader type historty. This can be
- 4:44Speaker 2: one of these issues, and at least that's one argument
- 4:47Speaker 2: that the Iranian make. From the Iranian point of view,
- 4:51Speaker 2: the straight off the Hormones has three routes. One route
- 4:54Speaker 2: is the close to Iran flank, One route is the
- 4:56Speaker 2: medal for a route which both Iranian and Americans have
- 4:59Speaker 2: agri that that route is not really accessible because they
- 5:03Speaker 2: still need to clear their minds out of it. And
- 5:05Speaker 2: there is a third route which is closer to the
- 5:07Speaker 2: old Mon's coast. Iran's claim is that according to the
- 5:11Speaker 2: memorana of understanding and the only one route, which is
- 5:15Speaker 2: the Iranian route or the closer route to the Iran's coast,
- 5:18Speaker 2: are open. The Americans have a different understanding, and from
- 5:22Speaker 2: their point of view, as Vice President Jad Evans pointed out,
- 5:25Speaker 2: it is only the middle route, the route that been
- 5:27Speaker 2: deluded by the months is closed and all all the routes,
- 5:30Speaker 2: including the Iranian and own moneys, are open to freedom
- 5:34Speaker 2: of the maritime freedom and I think this causes a
- 5:37Speaker 2: confusion and conflict. And yes, to answer your question, yes,
- 5:41Speaker 2: the memoranda of understanding did not really clarify that, at
- 5:44Speaker 2: least in view of the Iranians,