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Episode 233 - 3/10/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 233 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:26
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:29
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:38
  Happy Monday, a new week begins. Second full week in the month of
• 0:43
  March. The snow is melting.
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  Before you know it, March Madness will be here.
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  But it's kind of already here because we have conference
• 0:51
  tournaments in full swing. And I do have a three pack of
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  college basketball sweats for you guys tonight.
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  And they're all conference tournament games.
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  We got some semi finals. We got a championship game.
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  Obviously you're looking at the smaller conferences here that
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  are winding down. The big ones haven't started
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  yet, but we're going to see if we can post a winning night with
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  a three pack. Try to go 2 in one.
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  Overall, hope everyone had a great weekend.
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  I had a great time visiting the Nash for the very first time.
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  That's right, the wife and I actually went out to a concert
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  in Nashville, New Hampshire. We saw Everclear for any of my
• 1:24
  old school Everclear fans back in the day.
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  So it was a throwback for me. I used to be a huge Everclear
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  fan, but afterwards when we saw Everclear at the National
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  Performing Arts Center, I, I looked at my wife and I said,
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  hey, you want to go stop by the Nash, see what's going on?
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  Well, we went there. We stopped by.
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  So for those of you who don't know, I live in Massachusetts,
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  but I'm only about 1520 minutes away from the border of New
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  Hampshire and Nashua, NH. And the Nash Casino finally
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  opened up. It opened up on Wednesday, but
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  we went on Friday night. And boy, it was poppin.
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  It's actually located in AI think it's called the Pheasant
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  Hill Lane Mall, but it's basically I think it used to be
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  the Sears building. For those of you who remember
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  the Sears where your tractors and stuff back in the day, but
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  completely remodeled. We went in there and the parking
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  lot was just jam packed. We went in probably, I don't
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  know, 10 O clock at night, walked right in sparkling brand
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  new, massive. I mean it was absolutely
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  flooded. So it looks like they're off to
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  a great start. But in particular what I really
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  liked was the sports book. I was extremely pleasantly
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  surprised by the sports book because it kind of gave you like
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  a mini circa feel. So you go into the Nash, you
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  walk through all the, there's actually a lot of restaurant
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  options as well, but you walk through all the, you know, the,
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  the slot machines, all different poker stuff like that, roulette,
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  all, all your conventional, you know, casino stuff.
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  You keep going, you get to the back.
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  Then you see the sports book. So when you get there, there's a
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  what I really like about it is a massive TV.
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  It honestly looks like a mini circa.
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  I tweeted out at Josh under score insights for my Twitter
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  account. By the way, NFL free agency
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  Twitter was down pretty much all day.
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  Great day for that. But anyway, walk to the back to
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  I actually wonder if when they were modeling this, they
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  literally had circa in mind. So it was like a mini circa.
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  You walk to the back, there's a nice bar with good food, bunch
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  of good tables, bunch of lazy boys.
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  And then it's got the the two floors around the bottom.
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  You know, you get the lazy boys, you go up, you get the food.
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  But really, I was impressed by the size of the TV's.
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  It was a DraftKings branded sports book.
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  So there's kiosks and there's a lot of opportunities to bet, but
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  I was just super impressed. A little old Nashua, NH had a
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  very good opening weekend for the Nash.
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  So I'm looking forward to getting together with my boys
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  and sweating some games at the Nash, which again, is only about
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  15 minutes away. I never thought I'd live 15
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  minutes from a sports book and now that dream has come true
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  with the Nash. So a good start and I would give
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  it 2 thumbs up. I was really impressed by the
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  big screens and really the seating.
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  A lot of people were tweeting me like, hey, how does it compare
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  to the Encore? For those of you who aren't in
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  Massachusetts, the Encore is like the biggest sports book.
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  It's located in Everett, which is basically downtown Boston.
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  But I don't like it with the Encore is like there's no LA Z
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  Boys and the TV's are not bad, but they're just kind of like
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  it's almost like a stadium like wrap around.
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  Give me the classic circa big screens, two of them with like
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  all the smaller ones. So I just thought the seating,
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  the LA Z boys, the lounges way better at the Nash and I would
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  agree. I actually think I I like it
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  better, not just the proximity, but I think it's just a better
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  sports book than than the encore.
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  So I want to give you a little review there because those of
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  you who might be like me around Boston area or New England were
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  asking me, Hey, have you been there yet?
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  Well, I finally went and two thumbs up.
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  But anyway, guys looking to turn the page here, hopefully start
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  the week off on a winning note. As I mentioned, I got a three
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  pack of plays for you, so let's get right into it.
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  They're all conference tournament games, some
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  championship games, some semi final games.
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  As always, let's see if we can go 2 and one and eek out a
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  winning night. So first, but on the board for
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  me that I'll be getting down on here.
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  I'm looking at a early game here, 7:00 Eastern Time between
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  Arkansas State and Troy. Now the 7:00 tip off here is the
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  Sunbelt championship game. That's right.
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  The winner punches their ticket to the big dance.
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  So big stakes here. Now going to we have Arkansas
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  State, 24 and 9 on the year. They're the four seed.
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  Just beat South Alabama 74 to 71 in the semis, Didn't cover
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  though. They're -3 1/2 in that one.
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  Meanwhile, Troy 22 and 10 on the year, they're the three seed and
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  they just took down James Madison 79 to 60.
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  Cruise in the semis, easily covered as a 1 1/2 point
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  favorite. So what are we seeing across the
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  market here? Well, pretty clear movement in
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  favor of the red wolves Arkansas State now Arkansas State open.
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  This game was a very short 1 1/2 point neutral site favorite and
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  the public doesn't really know what to do.
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  You know Arkansas State is technically the four seed and
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  they're laying points. Troy is the three seed getting
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  points. So it's like, hey, where do we
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  go on with this one? But what we always talk about on
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  the pod trying to basically decipher what the betting market
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  is telling us and doing that basically through comparing and
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  contrasting bet splits with line movement.
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  So what I like about Arkansas State here is that the public
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  doesn't know what to do. It's basically 5050 down the
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  middle. But when a game is 5050 ticket
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  split, theoretically in a vacuum, the line shouldn't move
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  at all. You know, you would assume the
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  odds makers have balanced action.
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  Ticket counts are even on both sides.
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  No need to bring the number up or down.
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  However, sometimes you see 5050 tickets split and yet yet you
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  see a line move. And that's notable to me because
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  5050 again, line shouldn't move at all.
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  If it does move tells it wise guys have taken a position even
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  though the public might be undecided.
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  And that's what what's happening here with Arkansas State.
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  Only half the tickets, but Arkansas State move from -1 1/2
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  up to -2 1/2. If you dig in a little deeper
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  here, we want to get real technical about it.
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  But at DraftKings, Arkansas State, 53% of spread bets, 76%
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  of spread dollars. So even though it's only half
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  the tickets, it's three out of $4.00, so 2.
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  So basically, you know, 5 out of 10 bets, you know, 7 1/2 out of
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  $10 basically tells you that you're getting bigger wagers
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  here going with Arkansas State. Now, comparing DraftKings to
• 7:14
  Circa is also important because DraftKings is going to give you
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  basically the overall, you know, national outlook from the
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  betting public, what the masses are doing.
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  Circa though, is interesting because out in Vegas, Circa, who
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  prides themselves again on taking in big money and not
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  limiting or refusing sharp action from respect to betters,
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  they're getting 80% of spread bets and 99% of spread dollars
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  on Arkansas State. So DraftKings National right
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  down the middle 5050 public doesn't know what to do.
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  But out in Vegas, the wise guys know what to do and they're
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  loading up on Arkansas State, which makes sense as that line
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  is moved toward Arkansas State. So good bet split at both
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  DraftKings and Circa on the Red Wolves.
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  Now Ken Palm only has Arkansas State winning by one point.
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  So this is a money line play for me.
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  I don't want to lay a 2 1/2 with Arkansas State, have them only
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  win by 1 and I lose my bet. So I'm money lined.
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  Arkansas State here at -134 at FanDuel.
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  So again, shop around. Some books are a little bit more
• 8:13
  expensive, but you can get a pretty decent number there from
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  FanDuel. And I also noticed that we have
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  Arkansas State ranked higher. Nothing huge, but ranked 90th in
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  the country versus 98th for Troy.
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  You look at some advantages here for Arkansas State, the better
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  defensive efficiency, they rank 110th in the country.
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  Troy ranks 176th. So hopefully we can put the
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  clamps on Troy. Better three-point shooting, 32%
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  versus 30%. Better free throw shooting, 73%
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  versus 72%. And also huge discrepancy that I
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  found in terms of taking care of the ball because the Red Wolves
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  ranked 35th best in the country at not turning it over and their
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  opponent Troy ranks 300 and 36th.
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  So literally we have an Arkansas State team that is very
• 8:59
  responsible, doesn't cough it up.
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  And then we got a Troy team that coughs it up a lot.
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  Now, these teams did split their regular season matchups.
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  You had Arkansas State win 84 to 78 on the road, then they lost
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  71 to 70 at home. So they split the two matchups
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  during the regular season. Then our friends at Rhythm,
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  though, have Arkansas State -2.6.
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  So kind of right on the number there with the betting market.
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  But you add it all up here, guys.
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  Arkansas State open -1 1/2, they're up to -2 1/2.
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  Public is split at DraftKings. But heavy, heavy, sharp money
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  one way from circus on Arkansas State.
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  Again, Ken Palms got him by 1. Rhythms got him by about 2 1/2.
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  And by the way, it's kind of fishy too because Arkansas State
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  is the four seed, Troy is the three.
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  Yet the four opens as a favorite and has become more of a
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  favorite. So Long story short, I'm
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  sweating the red wolves here seeing if we can hopefully start
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  our night off with a win. Give me Arkansas State money
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  line. I got him at -134 at FanDuel.
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  Next step for you, another 7:00 PM game.
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  Let's go to the Horizon League semi finals.
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  Oakland against Robbie MO Robert Morris now going to this one.
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  We have Oakland 16 and 17 on the year.
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  The sixth seed just beat Milwaukee 72 to 64 in the
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  quarterfinals. They were actually a 7 1/2 point
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  dog in that 11 outright. Remember, Oakland was the team
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  that had that deep run. Was it last year's NCAA
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  tournament or that kid who hit like a million threes?
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  But then on the other hand, Robbie MO, 24 and eight on the
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  year, the one seed and they just crushed right State, 83 to 62,
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  easily covered as a 6 1/2 point favorite.
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  So what are you seeing across the market here?
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  Well, pretty one sided movement in favor of Robbie MO, one of my
• 10:39
  favorite nicknames in college hoops.
• 10:41
  But this game opened Robert Morris around A2 point, neutral
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  site favorite. And sharps have really hammered
• 10:46
  Robert Morris, steamed him up from -2 up to -3 1/2.
• 10:50
  So about a 1 1/2 point move. Hey, that's pretty big.
• 10:53
  You know, you're normally seeing juice movement or maybe 1/2
• 10:55
  point or a full point. 1 1/2 points off the opener tells you
• 10:59
  a lot of money came in on Robert Morris.
• 11:01
  Now if we get the spread bets at both DraftKings and Circa looks
• 11:05
  pretty good on Robert Morris. DraftKings, Robbie Moe's getting
• 11:08
  69% of spread bets, 86% of spread dollars.
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  And then at Circa, only half the tickets are on Robert Morris,
• 11:15
  50%, but 89% of spread dollars are on Robbie Moe.
• 11:20
  So both the National and wise guy Desert Book are showing good
• 11:24
  low bets, higher dollar splits along with the line move in
• 11:27
  favor of Robert Morris. Now Ken Palma is Robbie Moe by
• 11:32
  two. So again, you know, sharps that
• 11:34
  hit Robert Morris early, you know -2 -, 2 1/2, let's say they
• 11:37
  win by three, you know, you know, basically the early
• 11:41
  batters would cash that. You lay a 3 1/2, you lose.
• 11:43
  So this is a money line play for me.
• 11:45
  I found the lowest number at FanDuel -154 on the money line.
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  But if you look at DraftKings right now, 82% of money line
• 11:54
  bets, over 92% of money line dollars on Robert Morris.
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  So the bigger, sharper wagers, they're going with Robbie MO.
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  Now Ken Palm has them by two, which is why I'm money lining
• 12:05
  Robert Morris. But he's also got them ranked
• 12:07
  quite a bit higher, 147th in the country versus 179th for
• 12:12
  Oakland. You'll get some pathways to
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  victory here. Hopefully for Robert Morris.
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  They have the better defensive efficiency.
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  They rank 118th in the country versus 200 and 12th for Oakland.
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  Better three-point shooting, 34% versus 31%, better free throw
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  shooting. Again, huge in these in these,
• 12:29
  you know, important games to bet on when you're on a money line
• 12:32
  or a short spread, you got to make your free throws.
• 12:33
  Hope the other team misses theirs, but you do have an
• 12:36
  advantage. Robert Morris, 72% versus 70% at
• 12:39
  the charity stripe. And the Robert Morris Colonials
• 12:43
  also are much better at forcing turnovers.
• 12:45
  Can you play good D, get a steal, get a block, get out in
• 12:48
  transition? They ranked 70th in the country
• 12:51
  and turning their opponent over and Oakland doesn't really turn
• 12:54
  you over. They ranked 259th.
• 12:56
  Now hopefully this is a good omen.
• 12:58
  Robert Morris to an O against Oakland this year.
• 13:01
  They beat them 7971. They beat them 7371.
• 13:05
  Lastly, we look at our friends at Rhythm.
• 13:07
  They have Robert Morris -2.8, so again, Ken Palm has them by two.
• 13:12
  Rhythms got them by almost 3. But it's pretty clear here that
• 13:15
  the lines going to Robbie MO again -2 up to -3 1/2.
• 13:20
  Really good bet. Splits.
• 13:22
  Bunch of pathways to victory from the stat edge and hopefully
• 13:25
  also we'll have some, I don't know, institutional edge.
• 13:27
  He played him twice, he beat him twice.
• 13:29
  See if we can beat him one more time.
• 13:31
  I'm on Robbie MO, the Colonials on the money line.
• 13:34
  Let's win the damn game. I got a -, 154 at FanDuel now.
• 13:39
  Last bed of the night, 9:30 PM Eastern Time.
• 13:42
  Going to stick with the Horizon League semifinals, Youngstown
• 13:45
  State against Cleveland State. Now Youngstown State comes in 20
• 13:49
  and 12 on the year. They're the four seed.
• 13:52
  They just beat Purdue Fort Wayne 72 to 67 in the quarterfinals.
• 13:56
  They covered as a one point favorite in that one.
• 13:59
  On the other hand, Cleveland State 21 and 11 on the year,
• 14:02
  they're the two seed. They just edged Northern
• 14:04
  Kentucky 6863 in the quarterfinals.
• 14:07
  They covered as a four and a half point favorite in that one.
• 14:10
  So what do we see across the market?
• 14:12
  Well, once again, a pretty clear line move in favor of the chalk.
• 14:16
  Cleveland State open this game as a very short 1 or 1 1/2 point
• 14:19
  favorite. We've now seen Cleveland State
• 14:21
  get bet up to -2 1/2, and not only are they at 2 1/2 across
• 14:25
  the market, but a lot of books are -2 1/2 -, 115.
• 14:29
  And I even see one book that's at -3 So pretty clear movement
• 14:32
  toward Cleveland State. No buyback, at least as of now,
• 14:35
  you know, early to late afternoon in favor of Youngstown
• 14:39
  State. It's all been one way in favor
• 14:41
  of Cleveland State. Bet splits look good at for
• 14:44
  Cleveland State, 64% of spread bets, 86% of spread dollars at
• 14:49
  DraftKings. So Cleveland State has a good
• 14:51
  low bets, higher dollar split. Now Ken Palm has Cleveland State
• 14:55
  winning by two. So with that in mind, it's the
• 14:58
  money line play for me. I got Cleveland state -140 on
• 15:01
  the money line at FanDuel. They have a pretty good bet
• 15:04
  split at DraftKings. 73% of money line bets, nearly 90% of
• 15:08
  money line dollars and big edges here offensively for Cleveland
• 15:12
  State, Better offensive efficiency, 219th in the country
• 15:16
  versus 261 for Youngstown State. Offensive rebound percentage,
• 15:21
  41st best in the country to 1/5 for Youngstown State.
• 15:25
  So again, that could be huge. Getting some extra possessions
• 15:28
  and also do a better job of forcing turnovers.
• 15:29
  They're actually 8th best, believe it or not, in the
• 15:32
  country. Top ten at turning their
• 15:34
  opponent over and Youngstown State ranks 120th.
• 15:37
  Hopefully their defense will come to play as well because
• 15:39
  Cleveland State is only giving up 66 points per game this year
• 15:43
  versus Youngstown State, giving up 72 points per game.
• 15:47
  And these teams did play each other twice.
• 15:49
  They split the regular season matchups.
• 15:51
  Cleveland State 192 to 75 at home.
• 15:53
  Then they lost 91 to 86 in overtime at at at Oakland or at
• 16:00
  Youngstown State, I should say. And then lastly, you know, 1
• 16:05
  angle here that is important to me.
• 16:07
  Our friends at rhythm -1 1/2, it's a little bit lower than the
• 16:10
  market, but we're going to see if we can go money line here,
• 16:12
  hopefully just win the damn game.
• 16:15
  So Long story short, we got Cleveland State again, minus
• 16:18
  one, 1 1/2 up to 2 1/2. Pretty clear move in their
• 16:20
  favor. We got Ken Palm predicting A2
• 16:23
  point win rhythms around 2 as well.
• 16:25
  But really good bet splits, a lot of stat advantages.
• 16:28
  Let's see if we can get Cleveland State to win this
• 16:30
  thing. I'm on Cleveland State money
• 16:32
  line. I got a -, 140 at FanDuel, so
• 16:35
  Arkansas State, Robert Morris, Cleveland State, all three money
• 16:39
  lines. Let's try to go 2 in one eek out
• 16:41
  a winning night. So that about does it for
• 16:43
  episode 233 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast
• 16:47
  powered by Rhythm. But of course, this is the part
• 16:50
  of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 16:51
  And I start first by saying thank you.
• 16:54
  Thank you for taking the time out of your busy day, out of
• 16:57
  your busy lives, to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and
• 16:59
  sweat some sharp data-driven contrarian breakdowns with me.
• 17:03
  With that being said, if you do enjoy the pod, which I hope you
• 17:05
  do, then could you please do me a solid?
• 17:07
  Help me grow this podcast by doing a very simple, easy thing.
• 17:11
  Give it a five star review on Amazon or Spotify.
• 17:15
  I should say I think it's on Amazon as well.
• 17:16
  It's actually on YouTube. There's a lot of different
• 17:18
  platforms, but Spotify and iTunes are really the top 2.
• 17:21
  So if you want to give it five stars, that would mean a lot.
• 17:23
  If there's an option to review, leave a nice comment.
• 17:26
  That's always very much appreciated and also if you want
• 17:29
  to recommend the pod to a friend or click the follow button, the
• 17:32
  way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day, that would be
• 17:34
  great as well. Next, if you enjoy this style of
• 17:38
  betting breakdown, data-driven sharp contrarian betting, you've
• 17:42
  now been hooked on reading the market and the challenge of you
• 17:46
  know, putting together the puzzle of trying to make the
• 17:47
  sharpest and smartest bet that you can based on what the market
• 17:50
  is telling you with a contrarian approach and looking for smart
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  money and signs of of sharp action.
• 17:56
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• 17:58
  learn more about data-driven betting, then guess what?
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  If you want to pick one up or both, it would make my day.
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  So thank you all very much. Next, if you haven't done it
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  market. Rhythm of course, for their AI
• 18:59
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props
• 19:03
  huge right now, of course for conference tournaments in March
• 19:06
  Madness. If you play NBA, I'm I'm not a
• 19:10
  huge NBA guy right now because I feel like the edge here right
• 19:12
  now is in college hoops, but they have NBA models as well as
• 19:15
  player props and we have MLB coming out soon here as well,
• 19:19
  which is great. Tomorrow we will have our
• 19:21
  Tuesday rhythm live stream and then in college basketball.
• 19:24
  So I'll be hosting that 4:00 Eastern Time tomorrow afternoon.
• 19:28
  Hope to see you guys there on Twitter.
• 19:30
  Hopefully there's no Twitter outages like we had today.
• 19:33
  Seriously, Twitter going down in the middle of free agency.
• 19:35
  That was annoying. But anyway, download rhythm and
• 19:39
  then go download juice reel. Juice reel is fantastic for
• 19:42
  their robo Jackson best bet picks.
• 19:45
  You can also support the All Systems Go pod by signing up to
• 19:48
  get the ASG best bets. Each day.
• 19:50
  There's a 7 day free trial. If you like it, you can let it
• 19:53
  renew for $4.99 a week. Consider that a tip jar.
• 19:58
  If you enjoy the free pod, sign up for the 499 plays seven days
• 20:02
  a week. And also with those plays,
• 20:05
  hopefully I'll beat some closing lines, get some numbers little
• 20:07
  bit earlier in the day, which is always helpful.
• 20:10
  But not only with the the plays, you're also going to get the
• 20:13
  sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage opportunities, the
• 20:15
  shop for the best line futures. Sync up your sports books, get a
• 20:19
  running report card and a breakdown of all the games.
• 20:21
  It'll tell you literally the amount of dollars on spread
• 20:24
  money line in total from everyone who has synced their
• 20:26
  books up to the app for every single game.
• 20:29
  So go download rhythm, go download juice Reel 2 great
• 20:33
  sports betting apps that you can add to your sports betting tool
• 20:36
  toolkit. So lastly, which is so important
• 20:41
  and I, I want to mention every day on the pod is that you got
• 20:43
  to have a live odds page if you're betting on sports.
• 20:46
  Because if you don't know as a data-driven better what a line
• 20:49
  opened at, how it moved, all the moves in between the line
• 20:52
  history shop for the best number, the juice prices, really
• 20:56
  just the line movement and getting the best number.
• 20:58
  That is just so important. And if you're not getting that
• 21:01
  access to that data, you are really beyond the 8 ball.
• 21:04
  It's hard to win when you don't know which direction the lines
• 21:07
  going and getting the bet the best number before it moves.
• 21:10
  But if you need a live odds page, I would highly recommend
• 21:13
  Odds Logic. Odds Logic I've partnered up
• 21:16
  with and they do a fantastic job of giving you a really clean,
• 21:20
  crisp, fantastic, you know, up to the second live odds page.
• 21:24
  It's also called the screen or the board, whatever you want to
• 21:26
  call it. But it's also at the cheapest
• 21:28
  price around. It's 99 bucks a month, but you
• 21:31
  can try it out with a 7 day free trial.
• 21:33
  Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 21:37
  Make sure you use that Odds logic.com/josh 123 so they know
• 21:41
  I sent, sent, sent you their way.
• 21:44
  And you might say 99 bucks a month, Josh, that's kind of
• 21:46
  expensive. I get it, it is.
• 21:48
  But comparatively, there's live odds pages out there that cost
• 21:52
  $249 a month, $399 a month, $699 a month.
• 21:58
  This is a great product at a very respectable number,
• 22:01
  especially if you are a serious sports better.
• 22:03
  So go give Odds Logic a shot. You're going to need it for
• 22:06
  baseball, especially when baseball comes back.
• 22:08
  But that is oddlogic.com/josh 123.
• 22:12
  So that about does it for episode 233 of the All Systems
• 22:16
  Go Sports Betting pod powered by Rhythm.
• 22:19
  As always, I'm leave you with a couple things.
• 22:20
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 22:23
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 22:25
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 22:28
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino R.E.M.
• 22:30
  Gem Springfield or the Nash up in New Hampshire, which will I'm
• 22:34
  sure you'll run into me there. That'll be my new go to book.
• 22:36
  I want to make myself AI don't know I'm going to make myself a
• 22:40
  home there because I'll be there quite a bit.
• 22:43
  Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
• 22:45
  or Billy Walters sends his number runners for the lowest
• 22:47
  juice possible. So at the South point.
• 22:49
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 22:52
  swimming pool when he cashed a big ticket at Circo.
• 22:54
  Wherever. Maybe you're going to walk up to
• 22:56
  me and you're going to flash me. Unfortunately not a fuzz Eve
• 22:59
  ticket. Gentlemen see that UFC belt this
• 23:01
  weekend, Sharp his attack unfortunately couldn't come
• 23:03
  through, but guess what flash me, I don't know Stefan Castle
• 23:07
  futures ticket as that's looking pretty good right now, but guess
• 23:11
  what first one's on me, next one's on you.
• 23:13
  Then we're going to post about the book.
• 23:15
  Sweat Sharp contrarian plays all night long.
• 23:18
  So of course, whether you had a great weekend, a bad weekend,
• 23:21
  mediocre weekend, somewhere in between, always continue to
• 23:24
  grind. Never get down on yourself when
• 23:26
  you're struggling. Never get cocky and arrogant
• 23:28
  when you're winning flat betting, sticking to the model,
• 23:31
  sticking to the approach. And that approach, as you guys
• 23:33
  know by now, is the data-driven contrarian model.
• 23:37
  And if we can find those games that fit our sweet spot, getting
• 23:40
  betting games with our head and not our heart against the
• 23:42
  public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays,
• 23:46
  get that closing line value. If we can do that long term,
• 23:48
  we're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 23:50
  So have a great Monday night, everyone.
• 23:53
  Let's see if we can win some of these conference tournament
• 23:54
  games a three pack tonight. Let's try to get two out of
• 23:57
  three and hopefully start our week off on a hot note.
• 24:01
  As always guys, good luck. Have a great night and then I
• 24:03
  will see you tomorrow for a big Tuesday edition.
• 24:06
  That'll be episode 234 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
• 24:10
  podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everyone and have a
• 24:13
  great Monday night.