Latest / The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping / Episode 36: Week 5 College Football Betting Preview

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Episode 36: Week 5 College Football Betting Preview · The Crazy Sheet - CFB Handicapping

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Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, fans of all ages. It's your
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favorite time of the week. You might need to brace yourself and grab a
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cold beverage. Mark and Scott are ready to drop from college football betting knowledge
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on your gass. The boys are back and ready to help you find some
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angles to beat your book, impress your friends, and get you ready to
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enjoy the greatest sport on the planet. So sit back and enjoy because we're
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damn happy to have you. Welcome to the Crazy Sheet, Ladies and gentlemen,
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boys and girls. It's the rare morning edition of the Crazy Sheet.
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When we get together, we start talking some college football. Scotty, I'm
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here in the podcasting studio. You're at home. Big week last week,
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Scott, that's sure was a damn good time. Man, that was a
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huge week. We have had two really good weeks back to back. Gets
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us to twenty eight eighteen hour talking baby ten games above the mendows a line.
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I like that. I'll tell you what. I was swinging most of
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the day and I ended up losing a late night bet. But other than
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that, I mean, I thought, you know, it was a lot
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of schalk. We've gone a lot of schalk two weeks in a row.
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I thought last weekend, as far as games, lived up to the expectation.
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You know a lot of times when you get all those games, they
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don't get there. But there was some questionable play calling in some games,
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and I'm sure most people can go into that. But I thought last week
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was entertaining. It was a lot of fun. I thought it was great.
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I thought as great games. As a Mississippi State fan. We continue
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to do things that are that I feel like are impossible to do in every
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season. We figured out a way. We had a dude have two hundred
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and fifty yards receiving last week and lost. That's special. I mean,
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now in the hell do you do that? I mean, it was just
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touchdown after touchdown. It was It was crazy, exactly what I expected to
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happen in the game. It's the reason how did not bet on it.
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I knew State would play hard. They just starting a very good They starting
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a very good football team, and that's the bottom line. You can't get
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off the field. We'll talk about that a little more when we get into
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this week. I thought coach prime and was totally exposed if that game wasn't
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at eleven o'clock, I would be wooding you see USC again because they're completely
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outmatched. I think the interesting part of that game, I think Kayle Williams
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is going to come in and play. He's you win as the returning Heisman
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winner, the guy who's gotten less pressed in a game. It ain't very
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much. He's getting less than a dude at his position, and I think
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he is going to come out and gas down this weekend. The bottom line
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is they don't have an offensive in the defensive line. We talked about it.
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There's a reason that team's over underwhim total is what it was. Are
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they better than I thought they would be? A hundred percent? They do
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not, And look they're getting some bad luck. And and also that Pact
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twelve is probably the best that's been in a decade. That's true too,
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And there's some really really good football teams. The Notre Dame Ohio State game,
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I mean, how salt is ryde day? You're gonna roll out on
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an eighty year olds. Let's be clear for a second, but man lou
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holds literally just to get him through an entire you know, presentation sentence.
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I've sat next to Lou on a plane before and Lou talks a lot about
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Lou and he's a little bitty guy, and he slobbers like a motherfucker.
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Like if you've never if you've never watched, I mean, you almost have
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to wear safety glasses when you're talking to him. Somebody last week referred to
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him as the Irish Squirter, which I thought was fantastic name. Almost need
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a T shirt for it. But yetick, I mean, he's got a
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manatty. I mean, he's a Hall of Favor and day taking aim at
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him. I'm like, come on, bro, you literally took this program
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over standing on third base and you're trying to tell me you hit a triple.
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It's like, the team is underperforming. You got to win. How
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are you gonna call Ohio against the world. What are you talking about?
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That was the dumbest thing I've ever seen. He was terrible. It was
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absolutely terrible. Look, they shouldn't have won that football game. I thought
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notre name did a really poor job at the at the end of that football
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game, I don't even I'm not even including the I want him go into
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the fiasco. Not having enough guys on the field. That's bad. Enough.
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I love we were I do have to say that the reason for not
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sending the gallon late was they didn't want to get a penalty. They were
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at the eighteen inchline. I mean, what are they gonna move it to
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nine inches? I mean, really, get eleven out there. I mean
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they almost stopped him with ten there might have stopped him if they actually had
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to end on that side of the line. I mean, you gotta get
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a dude out there. But what I thought was worse than that they didn't
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use They did not make Ohio State used their timeouts in that last drive,
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and I think that is really what lost him the ball game. I can
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also get into I hated the coverage on those two long pass plays they got
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into. You can't look. I understand Harrison's Harrison, you know, and
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you gotta you gotta put a safety on top of that guy. But you
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can't let their second best receiver, who would be the number one receiver on
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ninety eight percent of teams in America, run winny yards down the field and
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the scene wide open twice. You just can't do it, and I don't
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I'll never understand that. I do feel like Notre Dame was the better football
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team. My favorite part of that day, uh fiasco and all of that
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was Lou Holtz coming back to clarify what he was saying. He's pulling in
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Sultsome again, basically saying they are soft. You know that was the great
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and then then he offends Notre Dame basically saying they did a poor job,
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you know, ending the ball game. I thought it was great. His
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response, It's just like, I don't care, and you're talking about need
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advisors when you're around the guy. There's a guy that I know, a
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bunch of people. We caught Rainburg. Jesus Sprinkly, you gotta watch out.
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So you're saying that Lou Holtz is Rainburg. That's what you're saying.
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I mean, it's going everywhere with the plot. Penn State, Ohio's I
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mean, Penn State Iowa. If you didn't watch that game, you didn't
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miss much. Penn State's great. I'm looking forward to them a couple of
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weeks. I think they made punch Ohio State in the mouth. Penn State
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ran more plays ninety seven than Iowa had total yards in the game in seventy
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six. Iowa's offense is as broken as it has been in years. I
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have no idea how Fence is going to keep his job, but yet this
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week they're laying nearly two touchdowns to Michigan State. One of my favorite things
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I saw last week is Texas State. I was down seventeen nothing to Nevada
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and one of the Texas State band members took the turnover trident that the Nevada
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Wolfpack have and threw it into the stands and Texas State rallied off thirty five
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points and went on to win that game and the Nevada. The Texas State
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band member was kicked out of the stadium for stealing their their turnover tried and
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hell, yes, the band is on the field. Let's get some band
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going there. You got it. You gotta love you gotta love a band
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member getting aggressive, rallying his team. Oh yeah, getting fired up.
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I love it. That is That is a great story. I was totally
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broken. I agree with you about Penn State. I'm not positive they're not
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the best team of the Big teen. They're good, and there's a lot
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of people that still aren't buying into them. You look at betters and things
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like that. Some of the you look at some of the power ratings Many's
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they still got a Penn State really low. That's not what I'm seeing with
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my eyes. Let me say it like that. They look like a good
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football team that's going to continue to get better. Still got a young quarterback,
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so I mean it's a you know who's going to continue to improve.
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The defense is good. Obviously they can run the football. I agree with
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you. I was totally broken. Was kind of watching Washington last week again,
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really dug into that game late at night. Those guys are good,
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man, they are explosive. I will say, I think they are a
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team you can continue to bet on. Those dudes score yeah, I mean
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that is the bottom line. And they come out fight, they come out
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fast. They are They are a team to keep an eye on on some
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first half numbers, on some worst half overs, things like that. They
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get out and they get after it. Really like, really like that football
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team. I am fascinated to see what's going to go on in the in
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that league because Oregon, USC Utah, Washington State, Washington, Oregon State,
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they're all good football teams. Yeah, I mean, honestly, the
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two worst teams in that league or Colorado and in Arizona State and Arizona State
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is not very good at all, at which Yatta never thought that. I
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would have told you Stanford wouldn't be down there, but I don't. I
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think they may be the third worst team in the league. Cal plays decent
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defense, that offense is broken. They're not very good. But up board,
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the top half of this league is really good. I mean it is
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really good. It is definitely the halves and half knots. So I think
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that's gonna be a fun league. Big Ten's fun league to watch. It's
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the halves and half knots, So it's gonna be It's gonna be interesting to
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see how those two leagues play out as the season goes on. Excited for
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Oklahoma and Texas coming up next week. That's gonna be a that's gonna be
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a big football game. So I just think there's some really good things brewing
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on the horizon, setting up for a great year. It is heard.
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I've heard people say that, boy, we wish we had a twelve team
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playoff. It does feel like this year that that would be better than it
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would in years pass there. I think there are eight or ten teams that
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are pretty pretty good football teams. You know, people are talking about,
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you know, with a five team wouldn't want to play number twelve this year.
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That might be an undefeated you know whoever out of the Mountain West,
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and I'm like they would get trucked. That's just not saying the upset week.
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This is when you're overlooking. It would be the playoffs. You're gonna
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get team the best shots. You're not gonna have nearly as many upsets.
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I think as people think, you know, the good teams are gonna win.
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I really believe that, but we'll see. I do think the transferred
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portal is leveling the playing field of college football. I also think that teams
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the mistake teams are making in the lower echelons the bottom, they have got
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to go ravage the Sun Belt and the mac and teams like that and get
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the best players instead of taking the power five guys that people are putting on
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the road, because I don't think that's working as well for the second tier
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teams in conferences the Mississippi States, the guys like that, you've got to
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be able to go get premium talent and where they're going to make a living
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is ravaging those teams, those guys from the Sun Belt and the second tier
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conferences that are good players. Speaking of second team second tier conferences, could
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you name four teams in the American Conference, man? Not now that they've
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yanked all these teams out, it's I mean it's brutal that that league is
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not good. You know, that used to be the best G five league,
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I mean for the longest time. And now when I go look at
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it, I mean I don't even know who's in there anymore. But yeah,
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I do know who's in there. But anyway, yeah, I agree
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with you. I think pulling these players through from these smaller conferences is how
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it's gonna go. I mean, if you can get a kid that's played,
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you get a kid that's got ten to fifteen starts in the Sun Belt
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and he's been at the training table and he's in the training room, I
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mean he can roll into a Power five roster if you get the right kid
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in there. And we've seen it happened time and time again. I mean
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when you're talking about the three favorites to win that league, where UTSA,
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SMU and two Lane. I mean the bottom of that league is U A,
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B, Charlotte, USF and Tulsa and Colored me out. I think
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Sun belts much better league than that. Oh yeah, it is you a
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B Broyd Trent Dildo. That guy can't get out of his own way.
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And I you know in two lane's good and don't get yourself. Yeah,
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they're getting ready to get gas can tweak. I would think I've got me
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a two lane ticket in my pocket because I am fading Trent Dildo all season
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long. That UAB team. Boy, he took a great story and he
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has run that thing smooth into the dirt. We don't really have to get
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into Dabbo and what was going on. Dabbo could have won that game against
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Florida State. I thought that they played well, and but I think they
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really kept Florida State from the able to run the football. They did,
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surprise me. Yeah, and and so it's it's interesting what's gonna happen out
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there. I mean, Clemson loses one more game, and I think you
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got to start scratching your head to figure out if somebody's gonna have to They're
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almost you think they're gonna have to Jimbo Dabbo. Where you're gonna have to
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convince Dabbo. It's like, hey, coach it's like we're gonna have to
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change some things around here. I know you've had some success, but it
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might be time for us to fix a couple of things. And speaking of
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Jimbo, my A and M eight and four that I'm looking for this season
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took a little nick last night with Connor eg been being out for the season.
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So thank god they got Max Johnson and he looked good last week and
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I'm hoping with a full week of practice going up there to Jerry World,
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he can get it done. Texas. A and M's done really well in
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that series. But I'd have no opinion on the winner. But all that
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being said, Scott, that was last week. You're ready to move forward
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here, man, let's get rolling. We gotta get we gotta get it
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happen. It's a new week. We gotta continue the run. All right.
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It's Thursday night. Because we put these together. There's three different games.
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Middle Tennessee State, A, Western Kentucky, Tempa Tulsa, Jacksonville State,
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and Sam will be playing forty five minutes from my house in Huntsville.
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I have no opinions, but I would lean to Western Kentucky laying it against
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six and a half The defense for Western Kentucky is terrible, but they can
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still sling it. They're not quite as effective as they have been last year
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with Austin Reid Middle Tennessee State, though I think stock still's done. This
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team's not very good this season. But the one that will be interesting is
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I probably will have a little bit of a nip. This is not an
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official play, and I will have a little bit of a nip on the
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Jackson State, Sam Houston State under thirty six and a half Jackson's or Sam
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Houston State who has scored ten points I'm not averaging, has scored ten points
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through three games this season, and they're only running fifty one offensive plays per
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game. So I may have a little nip there, Scottie. But the
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first game I got, and let's go to Raleigh, Louisville rolls in here.
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They're averaging thirty eight points a game, only given up eighteen. They're
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five and oh straight up, two and three against the number NC State's average
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of twenty nine points a game given up twenty one. They're three and one
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straight up, and they are zero and four against the number. I may
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buy the hook down, but I'm taking Louisville on the road to get the
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cover here. Laying three. NC State has not looked good. I was,
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I really was excited about what we were going to get out of Armstrong
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and I when they got back together here. I have been underwhelmed watching this
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team. This team looks to me like it's arms Brandan Armstrong and it's like,
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all right, all right, kid, go out there and do good
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things. I have not been able to figure out what they're trying to do
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on offense. I think they've put too much pressure on him and NC State's
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defense has taken a massive step back. To me since over the last couple
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of years, this was a defensive unit you could lean on two years ago.
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Last year I thought they overperformed. I expected good things this year.
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I have not seen it so far. Louisville is getting it done. They
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are quietly five and ozho. They've got a big game on deck next week.
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But I think they come in here and take care of business. I'm
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gonna lay it with Louisville. I may buy the hook down, but I'll
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play it at minus three and a half. They're begging you to bet NC
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State it plus three and a half. That's the reason the hook's there.
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I'm taking Louisville. I think they cover this game easy on the road.
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Yeah, here's what I like about Louisville. It's their ability to stop their
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run and that is a that's a big deal. They're only giving up one
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hundred and six yards on the ground. On the defensive side of football.
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If they can make NC State one dimensional and offensive line has not been very
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good. Arms been having to run the football a ton. They make them.
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They make them one dimensional where it's just dropped back and pass. I
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think this could get ugly, and I agree with you. I like laying
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the points here not don't normally like doing that with home dogs, especially in
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early midweek games, but I like this game on Friday night. I think
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NC State is in trouble. I do not like this offense. They're not
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doing anything that I was expecting. So I really really like lout lawyer Scotty.
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Let's just jump right into just balls deep. Can we get to a
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mac play on Saturday, because we're gonna run out of these pretty soon,
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Bowling Green, I'll be traveling down to Atlanta to play Georgia Tech Line.
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Here is twenty two over unders fifty one. Georgia Tech scoring thirty four points
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a game. They've been given up twenty nine or two and two straight up
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two and two against the number. Bowling Green's only scoring eighteen points a game.
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They're giving up thirties or one and three straight up two and two against
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the number. Make play me, Scotty, how are we going to do
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this? I like me some joy Orgia Tech. I think I just think
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Bowling Green is un good. That is that. That's basically all you need
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to know. I don't think this football team is good at all. I
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think they are going to have all kinds of problems. That last week against
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Ohio, that team did not look good at all. I mean they were
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it was ugly thirty eight that in the final, but that that ball game
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could have gotten as ugly as they wanted it to get. Offensively, that
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team had two hundred and eleven yards Ohio Bowling Green did that just isn't gonna
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get it done. And at the end of the day, I think Georgia
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Tech is going to beat them very much in the same manner as the way
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Ohio did last week. I expect this game to get ugly and get ugly
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early I like Georgia Tech here, Yeah, I do too. You know,
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Georgia Tech. They goodwin against Wage for us. The Old Miss game
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is kind of misleading with the forty eight twenty three score because they were in
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that game in trying to score, yeah, trying to cover. And so
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I mean in the only other game that they lost was a shootout Week one
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against Louisville and that was a thirty four to thirty nine game. And so
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we just backed Louisville because we talk about their explosion and there, we like
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their defense. I like what we've seen from Haynes King. I'm gonna I'm
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on board with this. I'm gonna get down with it. The other thing
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is too, is look at the number. What are they trying to tell
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you in Vegas? They're laying a twenty two. We talked about this last
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week with the Texas game Texas against Baylor. That lone was fifteen and it
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was flat fifteen all week. They're begging you to take the underdog in the
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spot. But you know we're not gonna do. We're not gonna fall for
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that trick, baby, because we're gonna lay some chalk against Bowling Green.
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This team's quarterback play is terrible. They don't have a coach that can coach
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quarterbacks there. Don't like what I'm seeing Georgia Tech all the way, Scotty.
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Let's go up there to a place that used to just be full of
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fat mouth breathers with no air conditioning. That's right, the Carrier Dome.
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Sarah Us is playing Clemson in this spot, Syracuse at home getting six and
20:03
a half over under here is fifty three. Clemson's scoring thirty six points a
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game. You're giving up twenty two. They're two and two straight up,
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one and three against the number, Syracuse scoring forty four points a game,
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only given up ten. They're four and hosts straight up in three, zero
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and one against the number, Scotty. We got an old Mississippi State quarterback
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playing for Syracuse right now, and man does he look good. But you
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know what I like most about this is how you can buy you a hook
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get you up to a touchdown. Clemson has struggled at Syracuse several times,
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and I mean I'm talking about much better to Clemson teams. Syracuse will get
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up for this game. And you know the reason they're only giving up ten
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points, Scott, is because who's the new hire that coaches that defense for
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Syracuse? Rocky Long Baby given up eighty nine yards rushing a game. Who
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would have thunked that playing at three three five in Syracuse. You gotta love
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it, baby. That is a huge part of this a huge part of
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this equation for me. Look, Syracuse has played them tough a bunch in
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this ball game. Anyway, I really really like it on the road.
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Endedly, they're a live dog for me. So they are my upset play
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this week for two reasons. Clemson laid it all on the line last week,
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and we've seen them go on the road. They did not look good
21:25
against Duke. This is a much harder environment to play in. Carrier Dome
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is gonna be loud. You got you got a good foot four and Syracuse
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football team better this year, fired up, experienced quarterback play. You've got
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them coming in as a home dog Syracuse. I liked them in this ball
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game and it's twofold. I think they're good enough to win it straight up.
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But I also love the spot because of what happened is Clemson last week.
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They played well enough to win that game. They got their guts ripped
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out and at the end of the day, they feel like they should have
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on that football game. It's tough to bounce back from that. So I
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like Syracuse here. Yeah, I'm all with you on this one. I
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love Rocky Longwood, he's doing it. I also like the time slot this
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in. It's a noon kickoff in Syracuse. In Syracuse, it's a tough
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spot to get to when you're coming from Greenville. To get up there on
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top of the Earth. I mean, you're practically flying into Canada when you
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get up to the spot up there. But I like everything I've seen from
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Syracuse this season. They look mature. Gret Schrader has played fantastic and so
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I'm with you. Let's roll with the Orange Man. Scotty's staying on upset
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alert, Let's stay in the ACC. No. Tre Dame will make their
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trip down to play the Duke Blue Devils this week over under. Here's fifty
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two. Duke's getting five and a half. Notre Dame scoring forty points a
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game, only giving up thirteen. They're four and one straight up three one
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and one against the number. Duke's scoring thirty seven points a game, they're
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giving up eight. They're four and no and they are three and one against
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the number. I like what I'm getting from Mike Elko at Duke Man.
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He has done a really good job. And what I've really been impressed with
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is the fact that the offense is playing with tempo and this defense is stepped
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up to what they've been doing this season and only giving up eight points a
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game so far. We watched this team opening weekend just unravel Clemson. Clemson
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had no idea what to do with the mobile quarterback. They couldn't slow the
23:21
offense down, and defensively they shut them down. Notre Dame. I think
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we learned something last week and since that and any other thing too, is
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they're in a similar spot that Clemson was in that we're playing there. This
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is a tough game that they bounced out of that game last week that they
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just played against Ohio State, which you know they've had circled all summer long,
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thinking, hey, we win this game, we're in the national title
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conversation. Now they've got to go out and play sleepy Duke on a game
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where those guys are gonna be amped up. For this one line here is
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plus five and a half. I anticipate that line will go down but I
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like Duke in this spot. Now, I could could I see Notre Dame
23:56
come out and physically decide they want to win this game and beat this team
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and handle it. Yeah, but I think Duke's gonna give it a big
24:04
puncher shot in this one. Give me the Blue Devils plus five and a
24:07
half. Yeah, you know, at at the end of the day.
24:11
Last year at home, Duke never lost a game by more than two points.
24:18
So they don't lose by this number. Excuse me, by three points,
24:22
I meant to say, because they lost by three in one game two
24:25
and another game three to North Carolina, two to Pittsburgh, but they want
24:29
every other home game. I like this. I like this game simply because
24:34
I think Duke at home experienced football team silent on the defensive side of the
24:40
football. They're better than I think, and I think they're faster than people
24:44
expect. This team plays fast on defense, and I don't think people are
24:48
I don't think people are aware of how good this team is defensively. It
24:52
is a very veteran ball club. Elko's a defensive guy. I just think
24:56
they're going to stay within the number here. But I could see them winning
24:59
this game for very much the same reason that I said about Clemson in the
25:04
previous game. They got their guts troop that last week. And you talk
25:07
about a team that really thinks they should have won the football game, Notre
25:11
Dame really thinks they should have won that football game, even more so than
25:15
Cleson. I mean that is that is a game they let get away from
25:18
them. I mean they had control of that football game for literally fifty six
25:23
minutes and didn't figure out a way to get it done. And that is
25:30
a tough, tough way to go going down to play a really good football
25:33
team that's going to be yoke to play this football game. Thinks they're probably
25:38
look duke, that locker room thinks they're they're better football team that if they
25:41
win this game, they won't be surprised. They're coming into this game believing
25:45
they're good enough to win this game. And I think they are too.
25:48
But I really liked it getting points. Yeah, I went to here and
25:52
I won't be surprised if we don't have a little upset. And that's what
25:56
Scotty that being said, Let's get to another game. We're gonna be up
26:00
in the state of Virginia. South Alabama is gonna be traveling up to play
26:03
James Madison over un here's forty nine and a half. James Madison's laying three.
26:07
South Alabama scored twenty nine points a game, give up twenty four.
26:11
They're two and two straight up, one and three against the number. James
26:14
Madison scoring thirty four points a game, they're giving up twenty two games.
26:17
They're four and oh straight up, two and two against the number. How
26:19
are we gonna roll with this in the Sun Belt? Baby? Man?
26:23
You know I've liked there's two small teams I've liked all year, and South
26:30
Alabama has not been good against the spread, but I still think they're I
26:34
still think they're a very very good football team. So I'm gonna roll with
26:37
South Alabama here. I think it's too many points. They're only one in
26:41
three against the spread, two and two overall. James Madison's undefeated. But
26:47
I like South Alabama here. I think they're gonna play. I think it's
26:49
gonna be a dog fight again. I think they've got a legitimate chance to
26:53
win this football game as an underdog. I think it's gonna be a slug
26:56
fest. Give me the Jaguars, baby, I like catching the points.
27:00
These are my two favorite teams in the Sun Belt this year, and so
27:03
I am really looking forward to watching this game. I don't think James Madison
27:07
can win the Sun Belt again, though they've got that stupid if you move
27:11
up you can't win the conference rule or something like that. But I think
27:14
that was just last day. I think that was just last year. I
27:17
think they can this year. Is it? I need to go look and
27:18
see. But James Madison's only missing a quarterback from being a really, really
27:22
good football team. But I am going to play South Alabama here getting three.
27:27
I think that most of the public will be on James Madison. Must
27:30
be honest, A whole lot of people are gonna be watching this game.
27:32
But I'll roll with you the Jaguars plus three, Scotty, Can we get
27:36
down to your homestake. Can we get down to the Magnolia State and talk
27:38
about some football we've got here. We've got two big games this week and
27:42
we're gonna be playing on both of them. Let's start with LSU Old Miss
27:48
over under here sixty seven and a half. Old Miss is getting two and
27:51
a half. LSU scoring forty three points a game, giving up twenty five.
27:53
They're three and one straight up, two and two against the number.
27:57
Old Miss scoring forty two points a game given. Up nineteen, they're three
28:00
and one straight up, three and one against the number. I'll give you
28:03
my handicap first, and I'll see how the lines is what you've got going.
28:07
LSU has got one issue from a defensive standpoint is you can catch him
28:12
in the back, and if you've got a mobile quarterback, that could be
28:15
an issue for you. But right now with what I've seen from Jackson Dart
28:19
and this Old Miss offense is they can't run the ball. I don't know
28:23
what's wrong with Quishan Judkins or the offensive line, but they haven't been able
28:27
to do that. So I think part of there's numbers that they're putting up
28:30
is a little bit of fools goal Like we talked about in the Georgia Tech
28:33
game. Early they got a lot of garbage touchdowns at the end of that
28:36
one. LSU here, I feel like they're starting to get things right.
28:40
Offensively, they're playing really well, and I like last week they want a
28:45
clunker against Arkansas, no doubt about it, but they did go ahead and
28:48
get the win. Plus I've seen this matchup before. I've seen Brian Kelly
28:53
in this offense play against Pete Golden's defense. And oh, by the way,
28:57
he beat him last year, and he had better talent because he was
29:00
a defensive coordinator at Alabama. I know this game's out Old Miss. Old
29:03
Miss has struggled against LSU. It's their kryptonite. You're getting minus. You're
29:08
not having to lay a field goal in this one. Go ahead and give
29:11
me the LSU Tigers. I don't think Old Miss can expose a mirror.
29:15
I think LSU wins this game handling. Yeah, I agree with you across
29:22
across the board here, I man, the quarterback played for LSU, Ja
29:26
Daniels has been outstanding. Yeah, I mean he is. He's having a
29:29
really really good year. I think that's a big part. I think it's
29:33
a big part of what I like about this ball game. Their run game
29:37
is coming around h and I think that's making LSU a better football team.
29:41
That game last week against Arkansas very much what I expected. Don't expect to
29:48
let down here. This this Old Miss LSU game is actually a pretty big
29:52
rivalry game and so and it has been for years, I mean dating back
29:56
to Billy Cannon returning to punt that wanting the heisman. That's It's told miss
30:00
Old miss was number one in the country in that ball game. So I
30:03
mean, you're going all the way back to the fifties and sixties talking about
30:07
how long this has been a big football game. Both these fan bases get
30:11
excited to play this game, don't think you. I don't think LSU has
30:15
any problem bouncing back to play this ball game now next week at Missouri,
30:21
expect the flat spot from the Tigers. Baby, I'll be on the Missouri
30:23
Tigers next week most likely, So give me LSU here. I think they're
30:27
gonna I think they're gonna drill them. I think they'll be ready to play.
30:32
But LSU will have a flat spot next week with two back to back
30:36
road games and against two pretty good football teams coming off that physical game against
30:41
Arkansas last week, and this will be this will Austin next week will also
30:45
be looking ahead three out of four road games for the Tigers. So it's
30:49
a tough stretch of the schedule for these guys. But I think I think
30:53
Saturday they get it done and they cover this small number in Oxford. Yep,
30:57
I'm with you, baby, I'm laying it suck that tiger dick.
31:00
Baby. All right, Scotty, let's do your favorite thing. We've gone
31:04
this far without having to talk about Mississippi State. Mississippi State has got Alabama
31:10
this weekend. What's the game number on that one? Here? Alabama will
31:18
be traveling to Mississippi State. They'll be in Stark, Vegas. Over under
31:22
here is forty six and a half. Mississippi State is laying getting excuse me,
31:26
getting fourteen and a half. Abama has scoring thirty points a game,
31:29
giving up thirteen three and one straight up two and two against the number.
31:32
Mississippi State scoring thirty one points a game, giving up twenty seven two and
31:36
two straight up in one and three against the number. What can we expect
31:41
from your baby bulldogs? Full beatdown? That's what you can expect on Saturday.
31:47
I expect a full beatdown from the Alabama Crimston tide. They have dominated
31:52
this game. I mean, just look, they've dominated State on a win
31:57
loss record since the fifties. I mean it is bad. I mean they
32:02
have really stay didn't win in this ball game from fifty seven to eighty.
32:07
They won in nineteen eighty. That was their one win. Then they didn't
32:10
win again until I think ninety six, So I mean they won one game,
32:15
and what forty years. I mean Alabamas dominated this rivalry to begin with.
32:22
They have really dominated that since Dan Mullen left. I mean, they
32:25
have just absolutely destroyed Mississippi State. It has been forty one to nothing in
32:32
twenty I mean that's just beat down thirty eight seven in nineteen twenty four to
32:39
nothing in eighteen. States should have scored there. That was a bad call,
32:44
but they still would have lost by seventeen. But spread was twenty was
32:47
twenty two in that ball game in twenty one, forty nine to nine,
32:52
and I was at I was at home, and then twenty two thirty to
32:58
six. And that's when Mike lay which is like State can't play the jersey.
33:02
That's the way it looks. And this is just like Baylor last week,
33:07
identical, same number. Say they're daring you. They want you to
33:13
take Mississippi State. States fixed their offense, They're gonna throw the ball again,
33:17
and Will Rogers is back. Bama's gonna destroy State Saturday. State's got
33:23
a better chance of upset in Bama than they do. Fourteen and covering fourteen
33:28
and a half. They're gonna get the heck beat out of them on Saturday.
33:31
It's not gonna be close. Take Alabama, cash your check and head
33:36
on down the road. Oh that's some good shit right there, Scotty.
33:42
That is what we got for the board this week. Are there? I
33:45
got a couple of other games of interest. I'll throw those out there.
33:49
Houston, Texas Tech. I am leaning to an under here at fifty one.
33:52
Line's already been beat up and opened at Tech minus ten, I don't
33:57
know how you could lay to. I would bet you Houston here. But
34:00
backing Dana Hologram is hard. Text Quarterback Taylor Shuck broke his foot, he's
34:07
out or no broken? Yeah, I broke his leg, he's out.
34:09
The backup quarterback Morton younger kid, he's a sophomore, came in last week.
34:14
He got beat up from everybody I've talked to in Lubbock. They're gonna
34:17
jack that kid up with everything they can on Saturday and hope he goes.
34:22
But they're running a lot of wide receiver wildcat type stuff. So you could
34:25
see a grinder of a game that's out there. But Houston hasn't looked good
34:29
I could lean to the under, as we'll still get wins fifty one,
34:32
not fifty one, we'll get wins over fifteen miles an hour in that one.
34:37
I am really interested in Georgia and Auburn. Also, I would love
34:40
to lay Georgia minus fourteen and a half. Auburn. To me, their
34:45
offense is not good and they do not have a quarterback, and I just
34:50
kind of wonder if this is kind of the game Georgia wakes up a little
34:53
bit. They haven't really overwhelmed anybody. Nobody's seen him play, because haven't
34:59
played anybody I can. And this is a big rivalry game, huge game.
35:02
Most people think about Auburn and Alabama's is the Iron Bowl, but this
35:06
is a giant game for these two teams. And I could see Georgia coming
35:09
in here and putting it on Auburn. But I haven't laid anything as of
35:13
yet. In my lifetime, this game has been as much fun as any
35:19
game to watch in the Southeastern Conference. Every year, there have been some
35:22
wild games in this series. I mean, we all, I think we
35:27
all remember the bounce off the helmet and Auburn runs it in late in the
35:30
ball game to win the game. But I mean there's been some I mean
35:34
some physical, hard fault football games over the years. This is a big
35:38
rivalry, yeah, I mean a big, big ball game. And it's
35:44
so odd for them to be playing in September. I mean, I'm used
35:46
to this being second week in November getting it on. But you know,
35:52
I think Auburn needed to get this moved away from Alabama a little bit.
35:55
That was two huge games right there together, and I think it probably helps
36:00
them long term to do this. Did you think you Freeze this week talking
36:05
about building his program and you know, it just takes time to get your
36:07
culture in and you know, and then he goes to Kirby Smart and he's
36:12
like, I mean it took him, you know, three or four years
36:14
too, you know, to to you know, to get it going and
36:17
get everything on track. And one of the media guys is like he played
36:22
for the national championship in year or two and Freezes like, oh really,
36:27
He's like, his press conference was fabulous, and then he goes, I
36:30
don't think that's right, and they're like, oh, it's right, and
36:31
he's like, wow, that's pretty impressive. You're two. Thank you.
36:36
Oh the bars that here are on the planes. Yeah, brother, don't
36:38
do what you're doing next year, you better get it. Going the planes
36:43
is not a patient place, so just know what you're getting. Oxford,
36:46
baby, You're you are not the shining star anymore. It is go beat
36:51
Nick Saban oh and go beat Kirby Smart. That's your two jobs. So
36:54
not an easy task. I agree with you that I'm fascinated to see this
36:59
game. I don't know who they or their offense does look broken. I
37:01
want to see who Georgie is, you know, you know what, because
37:06
I don't think we know. I know this Auburn defense is pretty good,
37:12
and so we're gonna get to see what that offense does because we don't know
37:15
who they are quarterback play. Look new offensive coordinator Mike Bobo. He's always
37:22
been kind of mad at me, but last week everybody thinks that that go
37:25
offense and he kind of found his tride. We'll see at the end of
37:30
the day. I need to find out who both of these football teams are
37:32
before I get before I get behind that the game not on the board for
37:37
us, and I would try to buy the hook on this man. Keep
37:40
riding Fresno, baby, that football teams winning they're kicking people's tail. They
37:45
are by far the best team in that conference, and they'll legit have a
37:49
chance to go and defeat it. If you look at the schedule the rest
37:52
of the way, they don't get hurt. They got a chance to go
37:53
undefeated. So kind of kind of liked me some fris NAC right here.
38:00
I mentioned Washington earlier. I think that over Underlyne is sixty seven. I
38:05
think it's down to sixty seven from sixty nine and a half. That'll be
38:09
a that'll be an interesting ball game. Or Arizona has has gone under in
38:14
every ball game this year. So that's the stat and that's the reason that
38:16
numbers dropping. But I like I think I like us to Washington first half
38:22
in this ball game too. I could get involved with that. I may
38:27
go and fade Baylor one more time, and you got UCF first Big twelve
38:32
home game at the Bounce House, uh Sunday or Saturday afternoon playing this Baylor
38:37
team that is a mess. I can easily see UCF getting away with this
38:43
one. I'm gonna have to dig into this one a little bit because Reese
38:45
Plumbly still out and so I need to go. I need to go back
38:49
and watch some game flow with them. But Baylor, I would fade them.
38:52
I kind of like Maryland. I mean, there's a bunch of lines
38:54
out there that are just they're begging you to bet it. I mean Maryland
38:58
landing fourteen and a half. I am not a Josh Gaddis fan, the
39:00
offensive coordinator at Maryland, but this team's sneaky good. I mean they're four
39:05
and oh straight up. I've played him a couple of times. This Indiana
39:08
squad's not good, but if you go into the snake pit, I could
39:13
see Indiana not getting it done. Here in Maryland stretching this one out.
39:15
I might buy the hook down to fourteen, but they're begging you to bet
39:19
Indiana given you that hook in that spot that's there. I kind of like
39:22
Georgia's State over Troy. It's pretty much a pick him Georgia State's land one.
39:28
I was really impressed with Georgia State last week, and again I think
39:31
the Sun Belt play has been fantastic, but I could see this Troy's offense
39:36
has not been good and last year they were able to lean on their defense,
39:38
and their defense is not as strong as it was last year, and
39:43
so I could definitely get down with some Georgia's State that we've got there.
39:47
Past that, I don't know if I've got much else. I mean Oregon
39:51
State Utah again minus three and a half. Dj Anglela has looked seventy percent
39:58
good is what we'll call it. And Utah's offense is really struggled without Cam
40:02
Rising. They don't have a pick six last week and it's seven to seven.
40:07
That could be a different game in that UCLA game, But I'll stay
40:09
away from that one as well. But we'll see what we're gonna do.
40:15
I will tell you one. Let me give you a stinky play of the
40:19
week. Okay, we'll go back to the Mac for my boy, Joe
40:23
slow moo moorehead lay in two and a half at Akron against Buffalo. Buffalo
40:30
is not very good. Akron is not very good either, but lay in
40:34
two and a half. Can Akron get it done at home? I might
40:37
do it just for fun, just to throw some popcorn money at it,
40:40
just so I can say that I was there when Akron won as a home
40:46
favorite. Oh boy, I am not against that. I'm gonna have to
40:51
go back and see when the last time. I don't think Akron has been
40:53
favored since Bowden was there, and the team actually played for the MAC Championship
41:00
that year. That's got to be the last time they were favored, and
41:01
that's had to have been close to large. It's been a long time and
41:07
Buffalo man a, I fallen off a cliff that the other game that I'm
41:09
interested to watch. I will not play this, but it feels like that
41:15
Texas has got that number looks big to me with Oklahoma on deck. Yeah,
41:21
Kansas is explosive. I think that may turn into a shootout, is
41:23
what I think it may turn into. Yeah, I think if you get
41:28
if you want to play that game by the hook gets you seventeen points.
41:32
I mean, obviously Kansas has played Texas close and one a couple of different
41:37
times at this point, and so I wouldn't beginning because I think is why
41:40
they don't overlook this football game. I think they're because of a couple of
41:45
those ball games. I think that's one reason they don't overlook it. But
41:49
I think this could turn into a shootout. I could see that happening too.
41:52
And the back door is so big in this game, and so there's
41:55
an easy way that you could be laying you know, Like I said,
41:59
if you're getting seventeen in this game, you could you get a late touchdown
42:02
in the fourth quarter and you're right back in this thing. So yeah,
42:06
I could get down with that. But Scott it, that's all I got.
42:08
Here's what my plan is is. I've already loaded up on the Bama
42:13
Crimson Tide. Give me the big red elephant. I did buy the hook
42:15
down the fourteen. I got LSU minus two and a half or probably two
42:19
of my favorite plays. I like Louisville again. But I would also play
42:22
me a little round robin money line parlay on our three dogs that we've got
42:25
this week, because I think all three of them could be live dogs and
42:29
get the upset wins. Yeah, I don't. I don't disagree at all.
42:34
Obviously, Alabama Mississippi State is my is my favorite number. I think
42:37
State can't get off the field. I mean, that's what's really wrong with
42:42
this football team. They can't get off the field. I think they make
42:46
the Alabama quarterback look like he's gotten right. The defensive backplay has not been
42:51
very good. You go look, and I think they've only because rattlers numbers
42:55
were incredible. And I should have pulled this up and apologize for not but
43:00
I think against LSU last two SEC ball games, stakes only four seven incompletions,
43:07
You're gonna get smoked. You can make quarterbacks look really good when you
43:10
can't get any pressure on the quarterback. Stay can't get pressure on the quarterback.
43:15
That's a bad offensive line. And they couldn't get they couldn't get Rattler
43:19
off step last week. And while the Alabama offensive line has got some problems
43:24
as well, State's not gonna be able to expose it. Their best pass
43:29
for us and some tackles that's bad. And they've got a blitz blitz a
43:34
running quarterback don't get home and it leads to man to man and big runs.
43:38
That's playing in Alabama's favorite I'm telling you bet what you're comfortable betting on.
43:45
This family is going to drill State. Let's get it going, Scotty.
43:49
We've been hot. Let's hope we don't stumble this week. I feel
43:52
good about the board. Not a huge board, but I like what's out
43:54
there. Folks, give us some love on some Twitter, give us a
43:58
few reviews. We've tried to put some money in your pocket, giving you
44:00
a few wins. That being said, will sign off and we will talk
44:04
to you next week.