Latest / Masters in Business / Kathleen McCarthy on Real Estate Investments
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: This is mesters in business with very results on Bloomberg Radio.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Scrap yourself in for this one. It's absolutely fascinating. Kathleen
- 0:14Speaker 1: McCarthy is the global co head of real Estate for
- 0:17Speaker 1: private equity giant Blackstone. She and her team manages over
- 0:22Speaker 1: five hundred and sixty five billion dollars in real estate assets.
- 0:27Speaker 1: And if you are all interested in commercial real estate,
- 0:32Speaker 1: residential real estate, logistics, warehouse, laboratory and medical facilities, multi
- 0:39Speaker 1: family and apartments, offices, on and on in the US,
- 0:44Speaker 1: in Western Europe, in Asia, India, Japan. UH, this is
- 0:50Speaker 1: just a tour to force education on how to invest
- 0:54Speaker 1: in global real estate. UH. Blackstone has been in this
- 0:58Speaker 1: space for over thirty years. According to their ten K filings,
- 1:03Speaker 1: their opportunistic fund is up sixteen percent a year over
- 1:08Speaker 1: those thirty year periods. That that's really an astonishing return.
- 1:13Speaker 1: Kathleen has been with Blackstone since and I just can't
- 1:18Speaker 1: say enough as to how absolutely fascinating, um and knowledgeable
- 1:24Speaker 1: and intriguing this conversation is. That you won't hear the
- 1:29Speaker 1: gaps between her answers and my questions because we edit
- 1:34Speaker 1: that out. But she answers a question. I'm just sitting
- 1:38Speaker 1: there dumbfounded by how She's just like, oh my god,
- 1:42Speaker 1: that's just an absolutely comprehensive explanation about something I had
- 1:47Speaker 1: no idea about. And now I feel like I really know.
- 1:51Speaker 1: I don't even know where to begin other than saying,
- 1:53Speaker 1: strap yourself in. This is a Monster podcast. My conversation
- 1:59Speaker 1: with Kathleen McCarthy, Global head of real Estate for Blackstone.
- 2:05Speaker 1: Kathleen McCarthy, Welcome to Bloomberg. I am so excited to
- 2:09Speaker 1: be here. Mary, So I'm excited to have you here
- 2:11Speaker 1: because Wow, what perfect timing to talk about real estate.
- 2:16Speaker 1: Just at the towards the end of the year. Rates
- 2:18Speaker 1: are going higher, real estate prices are getting a little wobbly,
- 2:22Speaker 1: and I have a million questions about all of that.
- 2:26Speaker 1: But before we get to that, let's talk a little
- 2:28Speaker 1: bit about you and your background. You started your career
- 2:32Speaker 1: doing M and A at Goldman Sachs. Tell us a
- 2:34Speaker 1: little bit about that experience. What was that Like, I
- 2:38Speaker 1: back back up actually a little bit further and thinking
- 2:40Speaker 1: about how did I get there, because I don't think
- 2:42Speaker 1: it was very obvious actually that I would come out
- 2:45Speaker 1: of Yale with an Ethics, Politics and Economics degree perfect
- 2:49Speaker 1: and end up in M and A on Wall Street.
- 2:52Speaker 1: But so much, of course for all of us probably
- 2:54Speaker 1: comes back to those formative years with our families. And
- 2:57Speaker 1: in my house, I was the oldest of three girls.
- 3:00Speaker 1: My mom was a high school science teacher in our
- 3:02Speaker 1: public high school, and my dad worked for a cosmetics company,
- 3:06Speaker 1: Avon products, you know, like the Al Ladies. And so
- 3:09Speaker 1: for most of my life, I mean really for all
- 3:11Speaker 1: my life that I remember his company, and if I
- 3:14Speaker 1: would go to visit, they have things on the wall
- 3:16Speaker 1: that says the company for women. He routinely had women
- 3:19Speaker 1: who were his managers, his bosses, and there was a
- 3:21Speaker 1: female CEO for a really long period of time. And
- 3:23Speaker 1: so as people were thinking about, Okay, what do you
- 3:26Speaker 1: do after college? I was thinking any number of things,
- 3:29Speaker 1: and mostly that I didn't really know what I wanted
- 3:31Speaker 1: to be when I grew up. But I was not
- 3:33Speaker 1: kind of at all informed by gender norms that people
- 3:37Speaker 1: ask me a lot about now, in particular, how you
- 3:39Speaker 1: know a woman? How did you think about ending up
- 3:41Speaker 1: in this page? So how did that color what you
- 3:43Speaker 1: focused on at college and how you molded your career? Well?
- 3:47Speaker 1: I thought about when when I thought about college and
- 3:49Speaker 1: what I did there and why I selected going to Yale.
- 3:52Speaker 1: It was largely, I think the start of me recognizing
- 3:55Speaker 1: that I'm a person who loves to learn and loves
- 3:58Speaker 1: to just keep expanding skills. And so I in college
- 4:04Speaker 1: did a lot of reading and writing and thinking, it's
- 4:06Speaker 1: what you do, I guess, with a liberal arts degree.
- 4:09Speaker 1: And then when I was going to Goldman, there were
- 4:12Speaker 1: a couple of objectives. I guess. One was wanting to
- 4:14Speaker 1: be able to pay for my life in New York
- 4:17Speaker 1: and pay off student loans exactly, and then also build
- 4:21Speaker 1: a set of skills that could be used anywhere. And
- 4:24Speaker 1: I wasn't at that point sure if I would end
- 4:25Speaker 1: up in a corporate role or I would end up
- 4:28Speaker 1: in the Peace Corps or something like that. And so
- 4:31Speaker 1: what investment banking I thought offered, and I'd say ultimately
- 4:34Speaker 1: really delivered, was an experience where you could learn a
- 4:38Speaker 1: ton of different analytical skills, writing skills for business contexts,
- 4:42Speaker 1: persuasion skills, you know, the opportunity to be in a
- 4:44Speaker 1: boardroom watching senior professionals, whether it was the chairman of
- 4:48Speaker 1: the board or the CEO of the company, or the
- 4:50Speaker 1: investment bank, or leading your deal, getting to ideas and
- 4:53Speaker 1: outcomes that were influenced based on information. And so I
- 4:57Speaker 1: felt that my experience do doing you know, M and
- 5:00Speaker 1: A Goldman gave me this whole stable of skills that
- 5:04Speaker 1: set me up for really just about anything. And how
- 5:08Speaker 1: did you shift into real estate principal investment at at
- 5:12Speaker 1: Coleman Sex. That seems like a big leap from traditional
- 5:15Speaker 1: M and A. Well, I would say that probably the
- 5:18Speaker 1: vast majority of folks who were in my analysts classic Goldman,
- 5:21Speaker 1: particularly in the merger group, when they were looking for
- 5:24Speaker 1: their next thing to do, we're looking more towards private equity,
- 5:28Speaker 1: more traditional private equity, kind of like what my colleagues
- 5:30Speaker 1: in there are BCP team do, which is investing in companies.
- 5:34Speaker 1: Some people maybe we're going to hedge funds as well,
- 5:37Speaker 1: but I'd say overall folks are more kind of corporate oriented,
- 5:41Speaker 1: you know, investing in companies, and for me that was interesting.
- 5:45Speaker 1: I definitely wanted to gain investing skills. I found one
- 5:48Speaker 1: of the things that was a little unsatisfying as a
- 5:50Speaker 1: merger bankers. You'd you'd work on a transaction, you'd help
- 5:53Speaker 1: a company buy something or sell something, or merge with
- 5:55Speaker 1: another business, but then you really never knew whether your
- 5:59Speaker 1: model was at all close to accurate, how did it
- 6:01Speaker 1: work out? Ultimately? All of the things you thought were
- 6:03Speaker 1: going to happen, did it ultimately happen? And so I
- 6:05Speaker 1: wanted to be part of that kind of follow through.
- 6:07Speaker 1: And that's why moving to the investment side was interesting
- 6:10Speaker 1: to me. But I would say when it when it
- 6:12Speaker 1: came to kind of what part of investing, I think
- 6:17Speaker 1: being a merger banker did inform what I wanted to
- 6:19Speaker 1: do next, because when you're doing that every day, you're
- 6:23Speaker 1: interacting with different clients and different industries and having to
- 6:26Speaker 1: learn a whole new set of vocabulary, whole new business.
- 6:29Speaker 1: And I thought, you know, if I want to start
- 6:31Speaker 1: to be a great investor, and and in particular I
- 6:34Speaker 1: didn't know this term at the time, but you know,
- 6:36Speaker 1: Steve Schwartzman were first to as pattern recognition, great investors
- 6:39Speaker 1: are really great at pattern recognition. You want to start
- 6:42Speaker 1: building that building expertise. I felt I wanted to move
- 6:45Speaker 1: into something that was still large and wasn't gonna piehole
- 6:48Speaker 1: me or pigeonholed me at a very young age in
- 6:50Speaker 1: my career um but where I could be working in
- 6:53Speaker 1: and out of a common vovocabulary that could apply across
- 6:56Speaker 1: all kinds of geographies and asset classes, and real estate
- 6:59Speaker 1: offered that um. I'd also say, you know, interestingly, when
- 7:02Speaker 1: I was going to interviews at different private equity firms
- 7:05Speaker 1: or different real estate firms, it was noticeable that in
- 7:08Speaker 1: the real estate brochures of those companies, there was a
- 7:12Speaker 1: huge amount of diversity in the kinds of people that
- 7:15Speaker 1: worked at these firms. And it was all sorts of
- 7:18Speaker 1: dimensions of diversity, including kind of the nature of people's degrees.
- 7:21Speaker 1: You had people who never had a college degree, folks
- 7:23Speaker 1: who are architects, folks who are lawyers, folks who had
- 7:25Speaker 1: a more traditional M b A. And And what I
- 7:28Speaker 1: found was these were all people who were really interested
- 7:30Speaker 1: in participating in in a people business ultimately, which is
- 7:35Speaker 1: where do people live and work and shop, and how
- 7:38Speaker 1: great cities come together and things like that. And I
- 7:41Speaker 1: really wanted to be attached to those kinds of those people.
- 7:44Speaker 1: And they're passionate about what they were doing, So so
- 7:46Speaker 1: let me engage in a little bit of pattern recognition
- 7:49Speaker 1: M and A. The success of a of a deal
- 7:52Speaker 1: depends on that structure. The price paid how it is
- 7:56Speaker 1: structured in terms of upfront costs, ongoing courts, what you getting,
- 8:00Speaker 1: and real estate in many ways, especially commercial real estate,
- 8:05Speaker 1: kind of parallels that thing. What are you paying, what's
- 8:07Speaker 1: the structure of the deal, how is it financed? Am
- 8:09Speaker 1: I oversimplifying or is that a fair comparison? Now? I
- 8:12Speaker 1: mean again, there's so many things that carry over from
- 8:15Speaker 1: one thing to another. Um and interestingly and happy to
- 8:19Speaker 1: come back to these things I learned in helping companies
- 8:22Speaker 1: through murders, particularly around things like communications and shareholder relations
- 8:26Speaker 1: and and employee engagement that have now served me really
- 8:29Speaker 1: well a couple of decades later in my career. But
- 8:31Speaker 1: I'd say those are all similar things, whether you're talking
- 8:35Speaker 1: about companies that make something or companies that own real
- 8:39Speaker 1: estate or real estate assets. And I'd say, when when
- 8:42Speaker 1: I think about Blackstone and how we work on our
- 8:44Speaker 1: transactions and what has served us so well over time,
- 8:48Speaker 1: it certainly has to do with buying great quality real
- 8:51Speaker 1: estate and the price we pay for it. A big
- 8:52Speaker 1: part of it, also, though, is the capital structure you
- 8:54Speaker 1: set up and is it able to withstand anything that
- 8:57Speaker 1: can come your way, including tough environments that you might
- 8:59Speaker 1: not control. So I'm glad you mentioned that, because before
- 9:03Speaker 1: we get to two thousand and ten and you moved
- 9:04Speaker 1: to Blackstone, let's talk about a tough environment. You were
- 9:08Speaker 1: at Goldman Sachs in the real estate division in the
- 9:12Speaker 1: middle of two thousand and eight two tho nine, right
- 9:15Speaker 1: through the worst of the financial crisis, so I have
- 9:18Speaker 1: to ask, what the hell was that like, Well, it
- 9:22Speaker 1: was definitely a difficult time. Um, I'm not laughing out
- 9:25Speaker 1: of joy, but out of you know, kind of. It's
- 9:27Speaker 1: always still a stunner. All of us who were in markets,
- 9:32Speaker 1: in real estate and derivatives and trading in anything, who
- 9:34Speaker 1: survived that baptism of fire. People have told me stories
- 9:39Speaker 1: that they came through that, and that affects you the
- 9:44Speaker 1: rest of your career. That colors It leaves a mark
- 9:47Speaker 1: and colors you forever. Well, I would say, I feel
- 9:50Speaker 1: like in the first decade of my career I actually
- 9:52Speaker 1: had to somewhat similar experiences in that way, because I
- 9:56Speaker 1: remember I came out of college three months after the
- 9:58Speaker 1: dot com rubble burst. So I was sitting at graduation
- 10:01Speaker 1: and classmates were getting emails saying their offers were rescinded
- 10:04Speaker 1: because their company was going out of business, and I
- 10:07Speaker 1: went from again this merger group at Goldman, which was
- 10:11Speaker 1: focused only on the biggest possible deals, to working on
- 10:14Speaker 1: what were relatively small transactions but for important clients. Uh.
- 10:17Speaker 1: And by the way, for me again with a learning agenda,
- 10:19Speaker 1: there's learning and all of that, but environments change quickly,
- 10:23Speaker 1: and whether it's the investment you make or you personally,
- 10:26Speaker 1: it's your ability to kind of keep putting one foot
- 10:28Speaker 1: in front of the other and move through that. Two
- 10:32Speaker 1: and ten was a particularly tough and very formative experience,
- 10:36Speaker 1: and I would say there are so many important lessons
- 10:40Speaker 1: learned for me. One is an investor, the importance of
- 10:43Speaker 1: buying super high quality assets, putting resilient capital structures in place,
- 10:48Speaker 1: having access to reserves so that in a moment where
- 10:52Speaker 1: you need to invest more capital in your transaction or
- 10:54Speaker 1: where you need to or you have an opportunity I
- 10:57Speaker 1: should say, to buy back debt at a discount, being
- 10:59Speaker 1: able to capitalize on those kinds of opportunities is so important.
- 11:02Speaker 1: And frankly, we didn't have all those opportunities, and we
- 11:05Speaker 1: hadn't set ourselves up as well. I really Blackstone meanwhile,
- 11:10Speaker 1: and we'll get to that had, and that's a big
- 11:12Speaker 1: part of how Blackstone has been set up for so
- 11:14Speaker 1: much success in the decades that followed. But let me
- 11:16Speaker 1: let me interrupt you one second. So everything you described
- 11:19Speaker 1: are the sorts of things that you would imagine everybody
- 11:24Speaker 1: should be prepared for. It does, and I'm kind of
- 11:28Speaker 1: surprised to hear that one of the largest and savvayest
- 11:33Speaker 1: shops on the street kind of wasn't prepared for it.
- 11:37Speaker 1: Is that the sort of thing that the lesson we
- 11:41Speaker 1: learned from it is that the takeaway Obviously, Goldman has
- 11:44Speaker 1: so many different moving parts, and the derivatives group on
- 11:48Speaker 1: that side might be working at cross purposes with long
- 11:51Speaker 1: term real estate investment on this side. So so hold
- 11:53Speaker 1: that aside. But is the takeaway from the financial crisis
- 11:57Speaker 1: that you have to be resilient. You have to reserves,
- 12:00Speaker 1: You have to purchase assets that are robust enough that
- 12:04Speaker 1: they could withstand a beating, and you have to have
- 12:07Speaker 1: enough dry powder that when these opportunities come along to
- 12:10Speaker 1: buy high quality assets at the stress prices, you have
- 12:13Speaker 1: to be ready to jump. I think you pretty much
- 12:16Speaker 1: have it, Barry. I mean, I think about for example,
- 12:19Speaker 1: Blackstones track record. We've been investing in real estate for
- 12:22Speaker 1: over thirty years and in our opportunistic funds. So these
- 12:24Speaker 1: are the funds where we're trying to generate higher returns
- 12:29Speaker 1: for customers in a relatively shorthold period for the assets
- 12:31Speaker 1: we buy for them. We've had sixteen percent net returns
- 12:35Speaker 1: on all of the capital we've invested over thirty years
- 12:40Speaker 1: net net of feedes. Are we gonna get a red
- 12:43Speaker 1: flag from a compliance or is that an official It's
- 12:45Speaker 1: in our public statements. So it's our opportunistic real estate strategy.
- 12:50Speaker 1: Six per a net of fees thirty years. That's an
- 12:55Speaker 1: amazing it's an amazing return. And when you look across
- 12:59Speaker 1: that and what you what I always think about is
- 13:03Speaker 1: there were a lot of different kinds of environments. We
- 13:06Speaker 1: were investing in things that felt great, things that felt
- 13:08Speaker 1: really terrible, things that felt good when we bought real
- 13:10Speaker 1: estate and didn't feel so good a couple of years
- 13:11Speaker 1: later perhaps. But what you just touched on is what
- 13:14Speaker 1: I think is most important. You can't control the environment
- 13:17Speaker 1: you're in, but you can control the decisions you make
- 13:19Speaker 1: leading up to that and through it, and the things
- 13:22Speaker 1: that I think really distinguished what we were able to
- 13:25Speaker 1: do at Blackstone and what got us to the other
- 13:27Speaker 1: side of the financial crisis in a way most real
- 13:29Speaker 1: estate investors did not. Were these things good assets, resilient
- 13:33Speaker 1: capital structures, access to reserves, access to new capital to
- 13:36Speaker 1: go on the offensive and and take advantage of moments
- 13:39Speaker 1: where there's there's distress pricing. So Gullman and you're looking
- 13:42Speaker 1: around at the end of the financial crisis and you're
- 13:45Speaker 1: aware of, hey, we missed opportunities here. This could have
- 13:49Speaker 1: been a little tighter, this could have been and you
- 13:51Speaker 1: run into Blackstone and it's like, Wow, these guys, I
- 13:54Speaker 1: wish we had that way we were. How do I
- 13:57Speaker 1: get involved with that? It's it's interesting, it was it
- 13:59Speaker 1: was a little they came out I think a little
- 14:01Speaker 1: differently than that. What I would say is I had
- 14:03Speaker 1: an amazing experience at Goldman, including i'd say the learnings
- 14:06Speaker 1: that I had an opportunity to access through the financial crisis,
- 14:10Speaker 1: um particularly getting those up learnings that are relatively early
- 14:14Speaker 1: part of my career. I think it is so important.
- 14:17Speaker 1: What really got me thinking about doing something different was
- 14:21Speaker 1: was just you was I continuing to learn? Was there
- 14:25Speaker 1: a will to keep investing in real estate? Having had
- 14:28Speaker 1: some of those traumatic experiences as a firm, and I
- 14:31Speaker 1: felt like I wanted to make sure I was in
- 14:33Speaker 1: a place where I personally was not treading water and
- 14:36Speaker 1: I had an opportunity to keep learning. And I knew
- 14:39Speaker 1: that I wanted to continue to be in real estate.
- 14:41Speaker 1: I was not sure exactly in what aspect. And I
- 14:46Speaker 1: was actually quite surprised when Blackstone reached out to me
- 14:49Speaker 1: about a role to work with institutional clients do capital
- 14:52Speaker 1: raising and investor engagement. And I was surprised mostly because
- 14:56Speaker 1: I had no experience with that at all. I had
- 14:58Speaker 1: come at Goldman almost all of our capital had come
- 15:01Speaker 1: from high net worth clients. Also, I had done acquisitions.
- 15:05Speaker 1: I didn't have investor experience really, UM and what Blackstone
- 15:10Speaker 1: was just kind of I think looking at it a
- 15:12Speaker 1: little differently and saying, if there's a person who understands
- 15:15Speaker 1: real estate and can understand markets, but also can can
- 15:19Speaker 1: help our clients understand better, what are we doing with
- 15:21Speaker 1: their capital? Or if they're not yet a client, why
- 15:25Speaker 1: but we're offering compelling um there could be an interesting
- 15:29Speaker 1: match there. And I think just generally a feeling like
- 15:32Speaker 1: wet Blackstone. Our performance was strong through the financial crisis.
- 15:35Speaker 1: We were able to open doors and keep open doors
- 15:38Speaker 1: with clients, but it was all about stewarding those relationships
- 15:42Speaker 1: and how do we do that better? And so what
- 15:44Speaker 1: what got me ultimately really excited about the Blackstone opportunity
- 15:48Speaker 1: was not so much that I had any confidence that
- 15:50Speaker 1: I want to do investor relations or that you know,
- 15:52Speaker 1: that was going to be my my long term career destiny.
- 15:54Speaker 1: Was that I wanted to work with these people who
- 15:57Speaker 1: were really focused on doing a great job, not only
- 16:01Speaker 1: through the investments they made, but through the interactions they
- 16:03Speaker 1: created with their clients. And I felt like that move
- 16:06Speaker 1: would allow me to continue to learn and grow and
- 16:09Speaker 1: frankly diversify my skill sets, so I'd be better set
- 16:11Speaker 1: up to be a leader in in a bunch of
- 16:13Speaker 1: different capacities in the future. So let me ask you
- 16:15Speaker 1: a very obvious question. You shift from high net worth individuals,
- 16:21Speaker 1: and no matter how high net worth they are, their individuals,
- 16:25Speaker 1: they react to markets. They can be emotional. The So
- 16:29Speaker 1: I remember, I have a vivid recollection. In the midst
- 16:32Speaker 1: of the financial crisis, the news flow was just re
- 16:37Speaker 1: and we were on the right side of it, but
- 16:39Speaker 1: it was so relentlessly negative even people making money in
- 16:43Speaker 1: the downturn were unhappy. Um. And then you shift to
- 16:48Speaker 1: institutions that have a much longer time horizon and a
- 16:52Speaker 1: very different headspace. Even though there are individuals at those
- 16:57Speaker 1: various endowments, institutions, what have you. How does the energy
- 17:02Speaker 1: and the vibe and the conversations change. Is it's still
- 17:05Speaker 1: people or people and they're freaking out, or hey, we
- 17:08Speaker 1: have a perpetual lifespan and so we don't care about
- 17:12Speaker 1: next quarter, we care about the next century. Am I
- 17:15Speaker 1: exaggerating or well? I would say I think for all
- 17:18Speaker 1: investors of any type, whether it's size or whether you're
- 17:22Speaker 1: an individual investor or institutional investor, really what matters most
- 17:26Speaker 1: is performance in the end especially we as a manager,
- 17:30Speaker 1: if we can show up and say we continue to
- 17:32Speaker 1: generate great performance on your investments. It could be any
- 17:36Speaker 1: kind of client on the other side of the table
- 17:38Speaker 1: that is the most important, That the most important. I
- 17:41Speaker 1: think that from my perspective, the biggest difference and this
- 17:45Speaker 1: may evolve over time, but the biggest difference between an
- 17:48Speaker 1: institutional client, so that state pension plan or charitable foundation
- 17:52Speaker 1: or university and down in versus an individual investor. I think,
- 17:55Speaker 1: for the most part, institutional investors have decided that they
- 17:59Speaker 1: want a knee real estate to be a core position
- 18:01Speaker 1: in their portfolio in and out of cycles. And that's
- 18:06Speaker 1: because real estate in strong economies can generate basically very
- 18:10Speaker 1: strong alpha. In weaker times or in an inflationary environment
- 18:14Speaker 1: we're in right now, for example, as a real asset
- 18:17Speaker 1: a hard asset, it preserves value as cost to replace
- 18:21Speaker 1: those assets go up. It's a cash flowing asset where
- 18:23Speaker 1: you can remark your rents to market in a in
- 18:26Speaker 1: a rising cost environment, and so um I think those
- 18:31Speaker 1: institutional investors are really committed to real estate. Individual investors,
- 18:35Speaker 1: for the most part, have not yet determined that real
- 18:39Speaker 1: estate is something they want and need to leave as
- 18:42Speaker 1: core to their portfolio in and out of cycles. I
- 18:44Speaker 1: think that is changing, and I think in particular, when
- 18:47Speaker 1: you look back to environments similar to what we're in now,
- 18:50Speaker 1: where you see rising interest rates persistent inflation, you think
- 18:54Speaker 1: about how well real estate has performed in those moments.
- 18:57Speaker 1: I think individual investors are starting to appreciate how attractive
- 19:01Speaker 1: this is as a part of their portfolio. But that
- 19:03Speaker 1: is a different kind of approach to portfolio construction and
- 19:06Speaker 1: for individual investors. I always run into the when we
- 19:09Speaker 1: discuss real estate. I find I have to say, stop
- 19:13Speaker 1: focusing on individual homes. That's just one tiny aspect of
- 19:17Speaker 1: real estate. You have to think in broader, longer terms
- 19:20Speaker 1: and commercial sides, not your neighbor's household for thirty less
- 19:24Speaker 1: than the expected. Let's talk about warehouses, Let's talk about farmland.
- 19:29Speaker 1: Let's talk about things that it doesn't matter necessarily what
- 19:32Speaker 1: the economy is doing. People got to eat, goods are
- 19:34Speaker 1: still being moved around the country. I mean, I think
- 19:39Speaker 1: separating the for sale residential market from for rent commercial
- 19:43Speaker 1: real estate, including rental apartments, is so important. These are
- 19:48Speaker 1: different things, and I think you can't just mark what's
- 19:50Speaker 1: going on in the single family for sale housing environment
- 19:54Speaker 1: with what might be happening in warehouses or rental apartment
- 19:58Speaker 1: complexes or office buildings. Quite quite fascinating. So let's talk
- 20:03Speaker 1: a little bit about your team that you run. How
- 20:06Speaker 1: large is the real estate team in Blackstone? The real
- 20:09Speaker 1: estate team at black Stones about nine people globally. That's
- 20:13Speaker 1: a big chunk of the phone. It's a big chunk
- 20:15Speaker 1: of the firm. And I think what what actually that
- 20:17Speaker 1: under states is the impact we have through all the
- 20:20Speaker 1: portfolio companies we we own in our funds, So we
- 20:23Speaker 1: own fifty five portfolio companies, and that really forms a
- 20:27Speaker 1: huge extension of what we're able to do and then
- 20:30Speaker 1: also see in terms of people on the ground across
- 20:32Speaker 1: the world operating in specific real estate sectors and then
- 20:35Speaker 1: sending back the information they're working with every day. So
- 20:38Speaker 1: when you say portfolio companies, I immediately think of like
- 20:42Speaker 1: Bornado or are you talking about specific privately held companies
- 20:46Speaker 1: who themselves own lots of various commercial real estates. So
- 20:49Speaker 1: these are specific privately held companies by our funds. So
- 20:53Speaker 1: and these are companies that for the most part, we
- 20:55Speaker 1: own and control a hundred percent of the company. And
- 20:59Speaker 1: sometimes we buy companies and then continue to help grow
- 21:02Speaker 1: them by new asset acquisitions or just growth in their
- 21:05Speaker 1: cash flows. In other circumstances, we will build up companies
- 21:09Speaker 1: through a series of smaller acquisitions. So an example would
- 21:12Speaker 1: be in the US, were one of the largest owners
- 21:15Speaker 1: of warehouse properties. We have a company called link Logistics.
- 21:18Speaker 1: It owns about four hundred million square feet of warehouses.
- 21:22Speaker 1: That is a company that we have built through a
- 21:23Speaker 1: series of acquisitions. We identified a world class management team,
- 21:27Speaker 1: and we said we want to build a great company,
- 21:30Speaker 1: but we're not doing it through just one acquisition of
- 21:32Speaker 1: one company. We're going to build it up through a
- 21:34Speaker 1: series of transactions and the ideas. As the things grow,
- 21:36Speaker 1: there's massive economies of scale and expertise, and what might
- 21:41Speaker 1: have been a reasonable investment at one X, when it
- 21:45Speaker 1: becomes a hundred X, it becomes a very very different experience.
- 21:48Speaker 1: I would say yes, And I think one of the
- 21:50Speaker 1: things that's so important about the scale of these businesses
- 21:53Speaker 1: and the scale of our business together across all of
- 21:56Speaker 1: these companies and our funds, is that we have a
- 21:59Speaker 1: huge information advantage. We get data, real time, proprietary to
- 22:04Speaker 1: us constantly coming off these businesses, and it really helps
- 22:08Speaker 1: us make better decisions and you otherwise would be able
- 22:11Speaker 1: to do if you didn't have access to this. And
- 22:13Speaker 1: so rather than wait for a research report to tell
- 22:16Speaker 1: us what's really happening in apartment rent growth or in
- 22:20Speaker 1: new leases for warehouses in Northern Europe, we're getting those
- 22:23Speaker 1: data points real time and that can help us inform
- 22:26Speaker 1: on whether we're going to buy more of something I
- 22:28Speaker 1: want to sell something, pivot, how we're managing assets and
- 22:32Speaker 1: those are all just important decision making tools for us.
- 22:36Speaker 1: You know, so much of what our work is is
- 22:38Speaker 1: not just buying the real estate, but it's all about
- 22:41Speaker 1: what is the value we can create? How can we
- 22:42Speaker 1: grow cash flows? That's that's most most of the time,
- 22:45Speaker 1: how you make money in real estate is growing the
- 22:46Speaker 1: cash flow and those those data points coming from all
- 22:49Speaker 1: across the world, and what's really happening in these assets,
- 22:52Speaker 1: how our tenants making decisions help inform those strategies. I
- 22:56Speaker 1: have heard from a variety of different companies that they're
- 22:59Speaker 1: in internal data creation and analytics is just a huge thing.
- 23:06Speaker 1: Used to take like a year or two. You get
- 23:08Speaker 1: reports out back from the field, what's selling, what's not selling,
- 23:12Speaker 1: what's rising. Now it's almost real time, it's almost instant. Yeah,
- 23:17Speaker 1: we we definitely benefit from that, and I think we
- 23:19Speaker 1: have the good fortune that there's there's been a heritage
- 23:22Speaker 1: kind of from day one of using insights that we
- 23:26Speaker 1: uniquely have access to, and the technology infrastructure around that
- 23:30Speaker 1: has definitely improved. It's needed to improve at our scale
- 23:33Speaker 1: for us to really be able to use all that information.
- 23:35Speaker 1: But I think even just twelve or so years ago
- 23:38Speaker 1: when I joined the firm, you'd have senior professionals with
- 23:41Speaker 1: legal pads taking notes and meeting sal who what what
- 23:44Speaker 1: did we what do we what do we just learn
- 23:46Speaker 1: from that sale? Or how many people are in our process?
- 23:48Speaker 1: What do they want to pay? You know? And and
- 23:50Speaker 1: using those notes to kind of inform the thinking around
- 23:52Speaker 1: next investment choices. Not exactly cutting edge, not exactly cutting edge,
- 23:56Speaker 1: but I think this is one of the things that
- 23:58Speaker 1: is so special about not just the real safe business
- 24:01Speaker 1: of Black So, but really about our whole firm is
- 24:03Speaker 1: the way we not only use data provided to us
- 24:07Speaker 1: through tools, but also we're in constant conversation. I mean,
- 24:10Speaker 1: we are a meeting heavy culture. We are a conversation
- 24:13Speaker 1: heavy culture, and so much of that is about harnessing
- 24:17Speaker 1: information and insights people have that can help make those decisions.
- 24:21Speaker 1: And it's how we've built our investment committee process one
- 24:24Speaker 1: global investment committee, or you're drawing in insights and expertise
- 24:27Speaker 1: from around the world. It's just trying to say, Okay,
- 24:30Speaker 1: we have access to advantages through information that others may not,
- 24:35Speaker 1: and let's use that rather than kind of risk that
- 24:37Speaker 1: that just stays on the sideline. That's really interesting. So
- 24:40Speaker 1: SO let's talk about market timing. You're a fantastic market
- 24:44Speaker 1: time and what I mean by that is you joined
- 24:47Speaker 1: Blackstone right at the tail end of the financial crisis
- 24:51Speaker 1: when real estate was the worst that's been in decades,
- 24:55Speaker 1: and from there you've had the wind at you're back
- 24:58Speaker 1: for a dozen years. I have to ask a silly question,
- 25:02Speaker 1: how much of what's happened the past twelve years has
- 25:05Speaker 1: just been spectacular timing and how much of it is
- 25:09Speaker 1: just recognizing, Hey, things are very cheap, financing isn't expensive.
- 25:15Speaker 1: Now is the time to get aggressive? Well, I would
- 25:17Speaker 1: say timing can matter, and we're definitely in a moment
- 25:21Speaker 1: where we think dislocation in the market is going to
- 25:23Speaker 1: create interesting buying opportunities at values that are going to
- 25:27Speaker 1: feel like very attractive basis. But in the future or
- 25:30Speaker 1: are we there yet? We're not there yet. We're getting there,
- 25:33Speaker 1: but not quite there yet. I'd say, seventh inning, I
- 25:36Speaker 1: don't know, I'm really bad. I want you to tell
- 25:38Speaker 1: me Tuesday at the truck If I knew that, I
- 25:43Speaker 1: would turn that with you, Barry Um. But you know,
- 25:45Speaker 1: I would say, on the on the general idea of
- 25:47Speaker 1: like market timing, it can be helpful, of course, to
- 25:50Speaker 1: pick a really interesting moment to enter a market by
- 25:53Speaker 1: a company by bineid. I would say, though, if you
- 25:55Speaker 1: look at the history of Blacks on real estate, some
- 25:57Speaker 1: of our best investments were made at the worst post,
- 26:00Speaker 1: of course. I mean Hilton Hotels is always the example
- 26:02Speaker 1: we give. You could argue buying that in two thousand
- 26:05Speaker 1: seven was the worst possible time. But going back to
- 26:07Speaker 1: what we were talking about earlier, we bought a great company. No, no,
- 26:12Speaker 1: we would, we took we took the company private. It
- 26:15Speaker 1: was definitely not a distressed company. But what we were
- 26:17Speaker 1: excited about was the ability to grow the company and
- 26:20Speaker 1: really capitalize on its ability to to grow in a
- 26:24Speaker 1: capital light way, and by bringing in an incredible management
- 26:27Speaker 1: team led by Christmas Setta, we were able to help
- 26:30Speaker 1: propel the growth and we were excited about that from
- 26:31Speaker 1: day one. Probably the time. Well, we then hit the
- 26:35Speaker 1: financial crisis and there were a lot of really dark
- 26:37Speaker 1: days and I think if we we did probably an
- 26:40Speaker 1: article search right now, you have found a lot of
- 26:42Speaker 1: prognosticators in two thousand eight nine in ten saying this
- 26:46Speaker 1: was this was going to be a you know, a
- 26:48Speaker 1: terrible black spot for us, and goes back to exactly
- 26:51Speaker 1: what you said by robust properties and a good structure
- 26:55Speaker 1: that can tolerate and if it survived that hurricane, right
- 26:59Speaker 1: and if in the most profitable private equity investment ever made.
- 27:03Speaker 1: And so that's why again buying in in more distressed
- 27:08Speaker 1: environments definitely helpful, but it's not really the only way
- 27:10Speaker 1: to find success, I think, in anything. And to your
- 27:13Speaker 1: question about when I joined Blackstone and what's what's been happening,
- 27:17Speaker 1: the way I think about the last twelve years for
- 27:19Speaker 1: me and for our business, it's really that story of
- 27:22Speaker 1: what happened coming out of the financial crisis and the
- 27:25Speaker 1: fact that during that period of time, most real estate
- 27:28Speaker 1: companies struggled to return capital to their investors, let alone
- 27:32Speaker 1: generate a profit, and black Stones funds to that period
- 27:35Speaker 1: generated substantial profits because we had made those good choices
- 27:38Speaker 1: not just about the investments, but the capital structures, about
- 27:41Speaker 1: the reserves, about having dry powder. And when we got
- 27:44Speaker 1: to the other side of the financial crisis, our clients
- 27:47Speaker 1: really trusted us to start doing more for them than
- 27:50Speaker 1: just those opportunistic funds I was talking about, and that
- 27:52Speaker 1: has given us an opportunity to serve more clients and
- 27:56Speaker 1: with more products that acts as more parts of the
- 27:59Speaker 1: real estate market it than just those opportunistic strategies I
- 28:02Speaker 1: talked about. I have used the phrase financial crisis PTSD
- 28:05Speaker 1: and in no way being disrespectful to people who actually
- 28:09Speaker 1: suffer PTSD in combat or whatever. But everybody who came
- 28:14Speaker 1: through that felt felt the use the phrase trauma. But
- 28:20Speaker 1: you're now saying something even more interesting, which is when
- 28:24Speaker 1: you come through that intact and demonstrating an ability to
- 28:28Speaker 1: navigate that environment for your clients. At that point, hey,
- 28:33Speaker 1: we want to go pedal to the metal. They open
- 28:35Speaker 1: up the floodgates and say, if you survive that craziness
- 28:39Speaker 1: in a normal economy, whatever you say, go with it.
- 28:42Speaker 1: How does the trust that's built up over that time
- 28:45Speaker 1: get get put to use following a crisis like the GFC. Well,
- 28:51Speaker 1: I'd say, um, you're really in two ways. One is
- 28:55Speaker 1: that our clients have given us more capital. And I
- 28:57Speaker 1: think many clients came through the GFC deciding rather than
- 29:00Speaker 1: sprinkle their investments around with a lot of managers, they
- 29:02Speaker 1: want to do more with their more successful managers, and
- 29:05Speaker 1: we've definitely been a beneficiary of that. I think that
- 29:08Speaker 1: trust has also allowed us, like I said, to expand
- 29:11Speaker 1: into different types of real estates. So really, so much
- 29:13Speaker 1: of our focus today is on growing and expanding our
- 29:17Speaker 1: core plus business. This is real estate that has a
- 29:19Speaker 1: very stable cash flow profile where we're able to generate
- 29:24Speaker 1: compounding returns over time by adding value in assets that
- 29:30Speaker 1: we want to own for a long periods of time
- 29:31Speaker 1: and structures that allow us to do that. And we've
- 29:34Speaker 1: done that more and more for institutional clients. We've expanded
- 29:37Speaker 1: to doing that also for individual clients. And it's really
- 29:40Speaker 1: that trust from the good performance in tougher environments and
- 29:43Speaker 1: really any environment that allows us to do that. So
- 29:48Speaker 1: I want to put a little context around the five
- 29:52Speaker 1: sixty five billion in commercial real estate assets that you
- 29:56Speaker 1: guys own globally. What is the real estate market? Some
- 30:00Speaker 1: thing like it's like three times at It's like yeah.
- 30:04Speaker 1: And that's because where I was leading to is, hey,
- 30:07Speaker 1: at what point does this get too big? At what
- 30:09Speaker 1: points are you picking b deals or sea deals? Three
- 30:13Speaker 1: hundred trillion versus half a trillion, I'm assuming that means
- 30:17Speaker 1: you have a ton of head room to just keep
- 30:19Speaker 1: growing this. That's how we feel about it. I mean,
- 30:22Speaker 1: the real estate market is so widely held, it's in
- 30:26Speaker 1: so many places, there's so many different opportunities and interestingly,
- 30:30Speaker 1: we should come back to this, but the opportunities change,
- 30:32Speaker 1: right and based on kind of how people are using assets,
- 30:36Speaker 1: and so we feel like there are plenty of opportunities
- 30:39Speaker 1: that we can create. And I'd say again, our capital
- 30:42Speaker 1: also is structured in a way that we're never under
- 30:45Speaker 1: pressure to deploy capital and then sit in cash and
- 30:48Speaker 1: nobody complains. And this is this is part of the trust,
- 30:51Speaker 1: right is the is the structure the investors give you
- 30:53Speaker 1: in terms of the flexibility of when you draw their
- 30:56Speaker 1: capital to deploy into opportunities and what those look like.
- 30:59Speaker 1: We have a lot of flexibility in our capital to
- 31:02Speaker 1: move across sectors, to move across geographies, to wait to
- 31:06Speaker 1: deploy the capital that they've committed until we find great opportunities.
- 31:10Speaker 1: That's that's all a relationship built on trust. But it
- 31:13Speaker 1: also means that we can be patient. So do you do, Hey,
- 31:16Speaker 1: someone says I'm gonna give you a billion dollars, here's
- 31:19Speaker 1: a hundred million, and you do a capital core and
- 31:21Speaker 1: the balance as deals come up, or do they shovel
- 31:24Speaker 1: all the money to you and you have to find
- 31:25Speaker 1: a home for it until the correct opportunity comes along.
- 31:29Speaker 1: I would say the vast majority of our capital, it's
- 31:32Speaker 1: the former where use a capital calls a capital call
- 31:35Speaker 1: as needed exactly, and that's got to help our o I.
- 31:38Speaker 1: It's got to make numbers look really good because you're
- 31:40Speaker 1: not forced to make a decision because you don't want
- 31:43Speaker 1: to sit there earning half a percent, absolutely and more
- 31:47Speaker 1: than anything, you don't want to be ever in a
- 31:49Speaker 1: situation where you're either a force buyer or a force seller.
- 31:52Speaker 1: And we set up all of our structures to make
- 31:53Speaker 1: sure that we're we're able to generate continued great performance
- 31:57Speaker 1: by deploying capital too great opportunities when we find them,
- 32:00Speaker 1: and then also selling when we think the opportunities right now,
- 32:02Speaker 1: because we're forced to do so. What's the great war
- 32:04Speaker 1: on Buffett quote? The difference between baseball and investing is
- 32:08Speaker 1: there no cold strikes? You could just sit there with
- 32:09Speaker 1: the bat on your shoulder and wait for the pitch
- 32:12Speaker 1: you like, and there's no there's no they're calling strikes
- 32:17Speaker 1: on you. You can really be patient, and it has
- 32:19Speaker 1: to make a huge difference. Patience matters a lot to say,
- 32:22Speaker 1: To say, the least. I'm very re helts. You're listening
- 32:25Speaker 1: to Masters and Business on Bloomberg Radio. My extra special
- 32:28Speaker 1: guest today is Kathleen McCarthy. She is the global co
- 32:31Speaker 1: head of real Estate at black Stone. They manage over
- 32:34Speaker 1: five hundred and sixty five billion dollars in real estate
- 32:37Speaker 1: investments around the world. So let's talk a little bit
- 32:40Speaker 1: what's going on today. There's a quote of yours that
- 32:43Speaker 1: I found really fascinating. We are entering this tougher economic
- 32:48Speaker 1: moment with capital and with cranes more in check than
- 32:52Speaker 1: they have been in prior cycles, and I think that
- 32:55Speaker 1: positions are real estate assets to do quite well. So
- 32:59Speaker 1: I love the idea of capital and cranes and check.
- 33:03Speaker 1: That's a great phrase. You're referring to people waiting to
- 33:06Speaker 1: invest and people waiting to build well. I think where
- 33:11Speaker 1: that quoe came from. It's just the concept that most
- 33:14Speaker 1: real estate down cycle, so periods of time where real
- 33:18Speaker 1: estate is under more pressure from a performance perspective, come
- 33:22Speaker 1: about because there's been a lot of new capital, often
- 33:27Speaker 1: lent to people who then go build speculative real estate
- 33:30Speaker 1: meaning and speculative meaning that they're building and office building
- 33:33Speaker 1: without a tenant in mind um and oftentimes what what
- 33:38Speaker 1: you've seen in prior cycles is that the market gets
- 33:42Speaker 1: really nice and healthy, people are really happy with performance,
- 33:45Speaker 1: Lenders get more comfortable, they lend folks provide equity to
- 33:49Speaker 1: new projects. You end up with a lot of construction,
- 33:52Speaker 1: and something happens, either there's been too much construction or
- 33:54Speaker 1: the economy softens, and then real estate is in real
- 33:58Speaker 1: estate is that under pressure because there's been too much
- 34:00Speaker 1: capital and too many cranes. And I think what feels
- 34:03Speaker 1: very different about this moment is that we really never
- 34:07Speaker 1: got back to those more heady levels of lending and
- 34:11Speaker 1: more significant amounts of new construction prior to for example,
- 34:16Speaker 1: the FED responding to inflation and interest rates, and so
- 34:20Speaker 1: we're heading into whatever we're heading into with record low
- 34:25Speaker 1: levels of vacancy relatively, i'd say disciplined capital structures. That's
- 34:31Speaker 1: not to say people won't be under pressure from either
- 34:34Speaker 1: debt service coverage challenges or loan to value challenges. But
- 34:38Speaker 1: I think the combination of as you talked about, some
- 34:40Speaker 1: of the learnings from the global financial crisis, some of
- 34:43Speaker 1: the restrictions on banks. I think also we can't underestimate
- 34:47Speaker 1: how COVID did create an interruption to what was a
- 34:51Speaker 1: very healthy market and probably change things in terms of
- 34:55Speaker 1: not every project that was ready to go was put
- 34:57Speaker 1: into production in the summer of for example. And so
- 35:00Speaker 1: what we're seeing on the ground now is that fundamentals
- 35:05Speaker 1: when particularly in our preferred sectors, which are our biggest
- 35:08Speaker 1: sectors are warehouses. That's our portfolio globally rental housing. UM
- 35:14Speaker 1: I had no idea logistics and warehouse yeah. They We
- 35:18Speaker 1: are high conviction investors and we pick themes that we
- 35:21Speaker 1: think are really benefiting from the way people are living
- 35:25Speaker 1: and working and shopping and just mega trends. And so
- 35:29Speaker 1: starting actually in two thousand and ten, we started buying warehouses,
- 35:32Speaker 1: not I think at first even recognizing what was happening
- 35:35Speaker 1: with the e commerce, but like I mentioned, we pay
- 35:37Speaker 1: really careful attention to what's happening in our portfolio, and
- 35:40Speaker 1: we started to realize what e commerce was doing to
- 35:43Speaker 1: drive demand for warehouse space and how there was a
- 35:47Speaker 1: fundamental shift that started happening. Historically, warehouse performance just tracked
- 35:51Speaker 1: GDP performance. It was basically a one to one correlation,
- 35:54Speaker 1: and the house performance tracks g and then what you
- 35:58Speaker 1: saw is with e commerce demand and the shift moving
- 36:01Speaker 1: off goods online. It just changed. It just it just
- 36:04Speaker 1: totally changed, you know, I don't I don't know, but
- 36:09Speaker 1: it's definitely more than one to one. And I would
- 36:11Speaker 1: say again, like going back to the point of cranes
- 36:14Speaker 1: the news, there has been new supply, but it really
- 36:16Speaker 1: has not kept up with the explosive growth in demand
- 36:19Speaker 1: for a warehouse space, particularly in urban areas, so what
- 36:22Speaker 1: we call sometimes last mile logistics, so where the warehouses
- 36:25Speaker 1: closest to the densest population centers. Those assets are in
- 36:29Speaker 1: demand because of e commerce retailers wanting to get things
- 36:33Speaker 1: to people in the same day or within a few hours.
- 36:35Speaker 1: Even we're also seeing really the impact of restoring and
- 36:39Speaker 1: realignment of supply chains, and that is ongoing, and that
- 36:43Speaker 1: is both of these phenomenal are global. One of the
- 36:45Speaker 1: most interesting things is that these are often global stories.
- 36:48Speaker 1: These these themes um the mega trends are rarely isolated
- 36:52Speaker 1: to just one economy and so U when when you
- 36:55Speaker 1: think about the performance of our warehouse portfolio in this year,
- 37:00Speaker 1: in you it's been some of the strongest fundamentals that
- 37:03Speaker 1: we've we've seen and and you know, things are softening
- 37:06Speaker 1: in certain pockets, but it's it's still really benefiting from
- 37:10Speaker 1: that that lower new supply environment. You mentioned the pandemic
- 37:14Speaker 1: first Blackstone and you guys hybrid Are you in the
- 37:17Speaker 1: office at what what is your We're fully in We're
- 37:20Speaker 1: in really in five days. So that's really interesting because
- 37:23Speaker 1: I wanted to ask the question Bloomberg. This is a
- 37:26Speaker 1: big building, it's hybrid, but they're encouraging people to be
- 37:29Speaker 1: in more often. My my own office, we're kind of
- 37:33Speaker 1: always been virtual and we tell people we do a
- 37:36Speaker 1: Monday morning meeting which you can call in on, but
- 37:39Speaker 1: we asked people come in the office one of two
- 37:41Speaker 1: days a week. I'm hearing more and more offices are
- 37:45Speaker 1: moving to a hybrid with an anchor day. So all
- 37:49Speaker 1: of this back and forth is really what will cities
- 37:53Speaker 1: look like post pandemic. Is there going to be a
- 37:57Speaker 1: huge piece of the commercial office space that's going to
- 38:01Speaker 1: suffer from some form of a hybrid workforce? Because it
- 38:06Speaker 1: doesn't feel like we're ever going back to every office
- 38:09Speaker 1: in every city five days a week. That you guys
- 38:13Speaker 1: are an exception. Most companies are not full five. It's
- 38:17Speaker 1: three and two or four and one or two and three,
- 38:20Speaker 1: like five days a week is kind of a rarity.
- 38:22Speaker 1: I know Jamie Diamond wants everybody back in Chase five
- 38:26Speaker 1: days a week, but it ain't happening. We come at it,
- 38:29Speaker 1: I think as part of a mission orientation, which is
- 38:31Speaker 1: we have this incredible responsibility from our investors to do
- 38:35Speaker 1: the absolute best job we possibly can with their capital.
- 38:37Speaker 1: That's such a smart thing to say, can I tell you?
- 38:40Speaker 1: Because as much as the younger generation loves the hybrid workforce, hey,
- 38:44Speaker 1: we're stewards of capital, and our clients expect to expect
- 38:48Speaker 1: us to be here every day. Yes do it? I mean,
- 38:51Speaker 1: and and so many of our customers as well, I
- 38:53Speaker 1: would say, our frontline workers and emergency workers and teachers
- 38:58Speaker 1: and firefighters. And so I feel like, how can we say, Okay,
- 39:02Speaker 1: you you all need to be at work every day.
- 39:04Speaker 1: You're protecting us, teaching our children. But we're gonna We're
- 39:06Speaker 1: gonna be hybrid and not necessarily delivered the best we
- 39:08Speaker 1: possibly Nobody wants their money manager and their pajamas with
- 39:11Speaker 1: their in their fuzzy slippers when they're responsible for billions
- 39:15Speaker 1: of dollars a huge responsibility. And I would say I
- 39:18Speaker 1: also personally think we have a huge responsibility to our
- 39:21Speaker 1: own team to training and learning. I mean, I'm learning
- 39:24Speaker 1: and training all the time, and I think about it
- 39:26Speaker 1: a lot. Like all the research on children in school, right,
- 39:30Speaker 1: the learning loss from children not in school, It's the
- 39:34Speaker 1: same thing in a workplace where all they're learning and
- 39:36Speaker 1: then doing better. And so I think being together is
- 39:39Speaker 1: so important now, as you know, I would love to
- 39:42Speaker 1: convince everyone in the world that you know, being back
- 39:45Speaker 1: in five days is really, you know, the right thing
- 39:48Speaker 1: to do for for the whole ecosystem, the economy around
- 39:51Speaker 1: where you work, and your own professional development and your
- 39:54Speaker 1: customers experience. I firmly believe it. But I would say,
- 39:57Speaker 1: as we think about what is happening in the broader
- 39:59Speaker 1: world and how that's impacting office demand, I think we're
- 40:02Speaker 1: in an era of experimentation. We believe that the office,
- 40:07Speaker 1: in some format and for some periods of time in
- 40:10Speaker 1: a week, will continue to be a really critically important
- 40:13Speaker 1: part of culture for for organizations and corporations. And what
- 40:18Speaker 1: we're seeing happening is really actually, i'd say, an acceleration
- 40:22Speaker 1: of a trend that was started pre pandemic. I mean,
- 40:24Speaker 1: it's so interesting. COVID really did accelerate so many trends
- 40:27Speaker 1: in so many ways remote work cloud that It's funny
- 40:32Speaker 1: because when we launched a firm, we had a national footprint,
- 40:35Speaker 1: but we were New York based, So all the things
- 40:38Speaker 1: that we've been doing during COVID, we started in and
- 40:43Speaker 1: I was shocked in like people discovered FaceTime. It's like,
- 40:47Speaker 1: you know that this technology is came out in two
- 40:50Speaker 1: thousand eight. This is not a but it was a
- 40:54Speaker 1: massive I feels like the pandemic brought forward a decade.
- 40:59Speaker 1: I think in many ways and in different different sectors.
- 41:02Speaker 1: For real state, it feels like whether it's like three
- 41:04Speaker 1: years of an acceleration or ten, it's definitely that that
- 41:07Speaker 1: pull forward. And what I'd say for office buildings, if
- 41:11Speaker 1: we had met in two thousand sixteen, let's say, one
- 41:15Speaker 1: of the things I would have probably called to your
- 41:18Speaker 1: attention is the fact that so many office buildings, particularly
- 41:21Speaker 1: whether you think at the lobbies or them the amenity
- 41:24Speaker 1: floors for tenants, it started to feel more like a hotel.
- 41:28Speaker 1: I mean, look at this beautiful Bloomberg building with the food.
- 41:33Speaker 1: It's first all, it's a beautiful building, and then you
- 41:34Speaker 1: have your food and amenities, and I don't know if
- 41:36Speaker 1: you have a fitness center, but so many buildings now
- 41:38Speaker 1: do all of these up on the roof. It's unbelievable,
- 41:41Speaker 1: all these things to really attract people into the office
- 41:44Speaker 1: and to create a sense of community while they're here.
- 41:48Speaker 1: Cultural community, cultry and collaboration. That's really the fascinating thing
- 41:53Speaker 1: about this building is kind of designed the way the
- 41:56Speaker 1: original Pixar building was designed and ultimately the Apple space ship,
- 42:00Speaker 1: which is everybody comes in the elevators through the sixth floor,
- 42:04Speaker 1: no matter where you work, because it just creates these
- 42:07Speaker 1: random interactions and you'd be amazed how often things spiral
- 42:11Speaker 1: from that. That collaborative force, collaboration. It's really a very
- 42:17Speaker 1: impressive thing when when as it works, it's super important.
- 42:19Speaker 1: And again that goes that feeds our theory that the
- 42:21Speaker 1: office and is definitely going to continue to be a
- 42:24Speaker 1: part of culture and building culture and creating more from
- 42:29Speaker 1: the team you have. So wait, let me interrupt you again.
- 42:31Speaker 1: So the consensus seems to be, Hey, I want to
- 42:36Speaker 1: invest in real estate, but not offices. They're distressed. Offices
- 42:41Speaker 1: are going away. Put me into hospitality or farmland, but
- 42:45Speaker 1: no office space. You guys aren't buying into that. Well,
- 42:49Speaker 1: I would say for office specifically, or what is known
- 42:52Speaker 1: as traditional office, we're seeing a real bifurcation in demand
- 42:57Speaker 1: between with really the greatest man going to the highest quality, newest,
- 43:02Speaker 1: best amenetize, most sustainable office buildings. And New York is
- 43:07Speaker 1: a is a you know, a perfect example. I think
- 43:10Speaker 1: of what is happening. The office stock in New York
- 43:12Speaker 1: is very old compared to the giant I don't know,
- 43:15Speaker 1: I was New York Times, a Wall Street Journal article.
- 43:17Speaker 1: I think it was the Times about all of this
- 43:19Speaker 1: real estate along Park Avenue that we're built in the fifties, sixties,
- 43:23Speaker 1: seventies and have none of the amenities that my modern
- 43:28Speaker 1: clients want today. And I think it's it goes beyond amenities.
- 43:30Speaker 1: It's also the ability to create flexible space and create
- 43:34Speaker 1: open spaces that you can move and change as your
- 43:36Speaker 1: company's needs change, gathering places, and so I think that
- 43:41Speaker 1: is real, real challenge for older office buildings in New York.
- 43:43Speaker 1: The average age of an office building is sixty seven
- 43:47Speaker 1: so and only about seven percent of the office stock
- 43:50Speaker 1: in New York is less than ten years old. And listen,
- 43:52Speaker 1: there's you don't have to be less than ten years
- 43:55Speaker 1: old to get the demand. But I would say we're
- 43:56Speaker 1: seeing those assets attract much more to and at higher prices,
- 44:01Speaker 1: and so, uh, we think those are going to come
- 44:04Speaker 1: out as more winners in this kind of this. So
- 44:10Speaker 1: you want little to do with the older spaces. At
- 44:13Speaker 1: what point do you take a sixty or seventy year
- 44:16Speaker 1: old building and say knock it down put up a
- 44:18Speaker 1: new one. Well, I would say these traditional office assets
- 44:22Speaker 1: have been a relatively small part of our portfolio for
- 44:25Speaker 1: a while because going back to our thematic investing, our
- 44:28Speaker 1: portfolio is eighty percent concentrated in warehouses, rental housing, lab
- 44:32Speaker 1: office space, and hospitality assets. So we'll get to biomedical
- 44:37Speaker 1: research happening. Is that substantial enough that it's an asset
- 44:41Speaker 1: class in your because I would imagine there's a lab here,
- 44:43Speaker 1: there's lab there. You're saying this is much more substantial,
- 44:47Speaker 1: much more substantial. And actually, was I think is super
- 44:50Speaker 1: interesting is that there are a few critical nodes in
- 44:54Speaker 1: the world. There's basically our whole portfolio is concentrated really
- 44:57Speaker 1: in five Cambridge, US, Cambridge, UK, South San Francisco, Seattle,
- 45:02Speaker 1: San Diego, and actually now Boulder, Colorado is emerging but
- 45:05Speaker 1: these are like we sometimes describe as kind of the
- 45:08Speaker 1: pulsing heart of research, and there is not enough space
- 45:14Speaker 1: actually for all of the demand from biomedical tenants in
- 45:17Speaker 1: these places, and going like, how how did we even
- 45:20Speaker 1: come upon this theory and why this versus traditional office
- 45:24Speaker 1: going I mentioned two thousand six fifteen, going back to
- 45:27Speaker 1: that period of time when we started recognizing, wow, tastes
- 45:30Speaker 1: and trends are changing a lot for more traditional office assets,
- 45:34Speaker 1: and we were quite concerned actually to your question about
- 45:37Speaker 1: if you have an older office building, it could be
- 45:40Speaker 1: quite expensive to try to repurpose it, reconfigure it to
- 45:45Speaker 1: really attract tenants that are are great, the best tenants
- 45:49Speaker 1: in the world. And so we started thinking, Okay, if
- 45:51Speaker 1: if office is going to be under pressure, are there
- 45:54Speaker 1: segments or sub segments of the office market that we
- 45:56Speaker 1: think will do better. And what we started to realize
- 46:00Speaker 1: is that there was all of this capital and and
- 46:03Speaker 1: and really a changing tide in terms of the research
- 46:07Speaker 1: demand and dollars being funded into it. Everything from immunotherapies,
- 46:12Speaker 1: which of course now we all know a lot about
- 46:13Speaker 1: things in the pandemic, genomics, big data intersecting with personalized medicine,
- 46:19Speaker 1: and and UH and a change also and how and
- 46:22Speaker 1: where this research was being done. Like if you think
- 46:24Speaker 1: about when I was growing up, all of the big
- 46:27Speaker 1: pharmaceutical companies had these corporate campuses that were highly securitized
- 46:32Speaker 1: deep in suburbs. And what started happening is all of
- 46:35Speaker 1: those researchers and we want to be in cities adjacent
- 46:38Speaker 1: to some of the best research institutions in the world,
- 46:41Speaker 1: and and companies needed to be where they're their talent
- 46:44Speaker 1: wanted to be. And so we UH in two thousand
- 46:48Speaker 1: sixteen took private a nearly nine billion dollar company called
- 46:51Speaker 1: BioMed and really concentrated the business in those best markets
- 46:56Speaker 1: and then helped it grow. One of the great things
- 46:58Speaker 1: about having the capital we have access to is that
- 47:00Speaker 1: we were able to help continue to grow their footprint
- 47:03Speaker 1: in those different cities and then therefore serve the tenants
- 47:07Speaker 1: that we think are the most attractive in that space.
- 47:09Speaker 1: And so that is an example of why you can't
- 47:12Speaker 1: just pay the whole office market with a broadbrush. Lab
- 47:14Speaker 1: office was was never a darling of real estate investors
- 47:19Speaker 1: until the world changed and and the nature of the
- 47:21Speaker 1: research happening, the volume of it and where it was
- 47:24Speaker 1: getting done changed, and we I think we're at the
- 47:27Speaker 1: forefront of really participating in that for our investors because
- 47:30Speaker 1: we were looking for, okay, what does a megatrend and
- 47:33Speaker 1: what's changing in the world. That's totally fascinating. The lab
- 47:36Speaker 1: stuff is really I had no idea it was that huge.
- 47:40Speaker 1: You can see obviously labs are large and important. I
- 47:43Speaker 1: just didn't know it was large enough to be a
- 47:46Speaker 1: substantial asset class. The other area you have been very
- 47:50Speaker 1: enthusiastic about is hospitality sector. You guys are super bullish
- 47:54Speaker 1: on that. We have been long believers in hospitality, and
- 47:58Speaker 1: part of this is just a very long term growing
- 48:01Speaker 1: demand trend for hospitality, for experiences, for travel and tourism.
- 48:05Speaker 1: If you look at just about any graph of demand
- 48:08Speaker 1: for air travel, demand for hotel room nights, whether it
- 48:11Speaker 1: be leisure or business, you've seen a long term trend
- 48:13Speaker 1: up into the right and pretty much only interrupted in
- 48:16Speaker 1: a meaningful way by COVID and the great news I
- 48:19Speaker 1: think if you're a hospitality owner is that you've seen
- 48:21Speaker 1: a very strong balance back uh. In fact, I think
- 48:24Speaker 1: demand for our hospitality assets is well exceeding what we
- 48:28Speaker 1: saw in so we we remain very enthusiastic about it. Now,
- 48:32Speaker 1: Hospitality assets are, you know, a more operational asset class.
- 48:37Speaker 1: When you think about if you have a warehouse or
- 48:38Speaker 1: rental apartment, you have very limited exposure to labor costs,
- 48:42Speaker 1: very limited exposure to capital costs, and so in uh
- 48:46Speaker 1: inflationary environment, your cash flow growth is can be more
- 48:51Speaker 1: robust in those asset classes because you can really you
- 48:54Speaker 1: see top line rent growth pushing through to the bottom
- 48:57Speaker 1: line cash flow. In a hospitality asset, it can be
- 48:59Speaker 1: more challenge lenged. But I think the good news is
- 49:02Speaker 1: that is something that we have a lot of experience
- 49:04Speaker 1: with and and we have the opportunity as a private
- 49:06Speaker 1: investor to to work into our underwriting as we're thinking
- 49:09Speaker 1: about buying assets, recognizing the environment you're in, recognizing higher costs,
- 49:14Speaker 1: and so we we remain really attracted to attaching ourselves
- 49:18Speaker 1: to the growth in demand for that asset class. So
- 49:20Speaker 1: let's talk a little bit about the structure for hospitality,
- 49:22Speaker 1: because I suspect a lot of people may not understand
- 49:26Speaker 1: when they look at a hotel, any of the big
- 49:29Speaker 1: brands with Hilton, whatever, very often individual hotels are owned
- 49:33Speaker 1: by separate people, but the management company comes in and
- 49:38Speaker 1: it's of the same management company, but every hotel might
- 49:42Speaker 1: be distinctly owned by a separate investment group, individual owner,
- 49:46Speaker 1: family owner. How does that challenge your investment process? We were,
- 49:52Speaker 1: first of all, very accustomed to operating in a world
- 49:55Speaker 1: where we may own, like we did with Hilton, both
- 49:57Speaker 1: the real estate and the brand on it. We've actually
- 50:00Speaker 1: seen a lot of opportunities in something like that to
- 50:02Speaker 1: basically grow the brand and those franchises even onto real
- 50:06Speaker 1: estate that the company may not own. Um And then
- 50:08Speaker 1: there's other circumstances where we just own the asset and
- 50:11Speaker 1: we work in partnership with a brand to help us
- 50:14Speaker 1: operate in branded and I would say there's great power
- 50:16Speaker 1: in great brands in real estate, like you know, just
- 50:19Speaker 1: like any other segment of the economy. One of our
- 50:23Speaker 1: our hotel companies that we own today is something called
- 50:25Speaker 1: Great Wolf Lodges. Many of your listeners may have been there.
- 50:29Speaker 1: It's it's water parks with hotels, and these assets are
- 50:35Speaker 1: located within a couple hours driving distance of something like
- 50:38Speaker 1: of the U S population, and it's a very affordable,
- 50:41Speaker 1: attractive drive to destination vacation for families. And so that's
- 50:45Speaker 1: an example where we've invested in a company that has
- 50:47Speaker 1: a brand, and we're really trying to propel both the
- 50:50Speaker 1: real estate strategy and the brand strategy to help it
- 50:53Speaker 1: be a growing and faster growing company. As we're speaking
- 50:57Speaker 1: on looking up the name of the tell in the
- 51:01Speaker 1: Grand Caymans that I remember collapsing early in the financial
- 51:08Speaker 1: crisis because because the underlying owner just kept leveraging and
- 51:15Speaker 1: leveraging and leveraging, and somebody very smart in private equity
- 51:19Speaker 1: went out and brought up the debt for pennies on
- 51:23Speaker 1: the dollar, and the next time they went to refindance,
- 51:25Speaker 1: they said, nope, pay, Oh you can't pay. Thanks, we'll
- 51:29Speaker 1: take that billion dollar hotel. That story is just fascinating.
- 51:33Speaker 1: How often do you see sort of unusual crazy investment
- 51:38Speaker 1: themes blowing up like that? Well, or is that just
- 51:42Speaker 1: leverage and don't Yeah, I would think too much that
- 51:45Speaker 1: that's that. I think, you know it sounds I I'm
- 51:48Speaker 1: a little bit familiar with that story. I'm definitely familiar
- 51:50Speaker 1: with that hotel. I think it's a U. It's just
- 51:53Speaker 1: an example of a capital structure that didn't work and
- 51:55Speaker 1: wasn't prepared to withstand capital structure, and and and that's
- 52:01Speaker 1: something in the hospitality space. Certainly, you can have cash
- 52:04Speaker 1: flows that dip in a in a tougher environment UM
- 52:08Speaker 1: or if you're not managing it well and you need
- 52:10Speaker 1: a capital structure really built to withstand it. You mentioned
- 52:13Speaker 1: that earlier, But every time I think about um a
- 52:17Speaker 1: hotel that changes hands sort of in a very rapid
- 52:20Speaker 1: period of time, it always feels like somebody took on
- 52:24Speaker 1: too much, that bad capital structure, not building enough resiliency
- 52:29Speaker 1: to withstand any sort of change in conditions. Yeah, definitely,
- 52:33Speaker 1: I mean in a positive way, and an inflationary environment,
- 52:37Speaker 1: hotel has the ultimate short duration least. So so we
- 52:40Speaker 1: we talked ab Yeah, average rely sturation one night in
- 52:45Speaker 1: the hospitality world. And you know, if you're managing it well,
- 52:48Speaker 1: if you want a great outset, if you have a
- 52:49Speaker 1: great capital structure, that can be a really good thing.
- 52:51Speaker 1: And when rates are rising, um. But certainly if if
- 52:54Speaker 1: you're not operating it well or if those rates come
- 52:56Speaker 1: under pressure, it can be really tough of you. So
- 52:58Speaker 1: let's talk about a related hospit fatality issue casinos. The
- 53:02Speaker 1: Supreme Court decision said, sorry, Nevada, you don't get to
- 53:05Speaker 1: be the only state that has gambling. How has this
- 53:09Speaker 1: changed the landscape for investing? Is this a growth area
- 53:12Speaker 1: or are we pretty well casino up in the United
- 53:15Speaker 1: States or or around the world. Well, our focus in
- 53:19Speaker 1: hotels that have casinos as part of their offering is
- 53:22Speaker 1: really trying to find world class destination resorts that have
- 53:27Speaker 1: demand drivers beyond just what's going on in that casino.
- 53:29Speaker 1: And and actually our most profitable single asset investment ever
- 53:33Speaker 1: was the Cosmopolitan Hotel in Las Vegas, which was an
- 53:36Speaker 1: investment that we purchased from a bank that had had
- 53:40Speaker 1: to foreclose in complete construction on the project. And we
- 53:43Speaker 1: saw it not just as an opportunity to kind of
- 53:45Speaker 1: reset and reset operations versus how a bank was handling it,
- 53:48Speaker 1: but we tried, we thought really creatively about how could
- 53:51Speaker 1: we turn this whole opportunity on its head make it
- 53:53Speaker 1: the coolest place as a destination in Las Vegas. And
- 53:57Speaker 1: we renovated every into the property five million dollars of
- 54:00Speaker 1: capital invested to not only offer better guest rooms, but
- 54:04Speaker 1: also you know, an amazing set of food choices and
- 54:07Speaker 1: shows and entertainment. And when we sold it also we
- 54:11Speaker 1: had a very creative exit that that found the right
- 54:13Speaker 1: capital for the property itself and a right and the
- 54:15Speaker 1: right capital for the operations. And what I think is,
- 54:19Speaker 1: you know that that's just emblematic of buying an asset
- 54:21Speaker 1: that is somebody might have just said, oh, that's a
- 54:24Speaker 1: casino or casino hotel. We saw this as an entertainment
- 54:27Speaker 1: destination and a strategy that we can then apply in
- 54:30Speaker 1: other places as well. We recently took private company in
- 54:33Speaker 1: Australia called Crown Resorts and it's really taking that same
- 54:36Speaker 1: playbook of how do we how do we transform these
- 54:39Speaker 1: assets operations in that case as well, you know, really
- 54:42Speaker 1: help support a very carefully constructed compliance and legal structure
- 54:46Speaker 1: around it as well. Um, but I think you know
- 54:49Speaker 1: it's it's it's for us beyond just a casino. It's
- 54:52Speaker 1: about that whole entertainment and tourism experience we can deliver.
- 54:56Speaker 1: So let's look a little bit about multifamily and apartments.
- 54:58Speaker 1: It feels like the financial crisis we have wildly unto
- 55:03Speaker 1: builds single family homes, multi family homes, large apartment buildings.
- 55:08Speaker 1: It seems like the demand for rentals is a key
- 55:11Speaker 1: driver of inflation because they're just ain't enough apartments. What
- 55:16Speaker 1: does that space look like, yeah, I think you you
- 55:19Speaker 1: nailed it. We as a country, we have not built
- 55:22Speaker 1: enough housing of all forms since the financial crisis. Depending
- 55:25Speaker 1: on how you're calculating, it's something like we're short forward
- 55:27Speaker 1: to six million units. Unbelievable, and it's really like a
- 55:31Speaker 1: growth opportunity, really really tough to dig out. And I
- 55:34Speaker 1: would say the environment we're in is actually making that
- 55:36Speaker 1: affordability question more challenging because you've seen homebuilders pull back
- 55:39Speaker 1: from new construction. It's harder for people to afford to
- 55:42Speaker 1: buy a home today. The monthly cost of owning a
- 55:45Speaker 1: home is I think something like nationwide one and a
- 55:48Speaker 1: half times the rent monthly cost to rent a home,
- 55:51Speaker 1: and so that is driving demand for rental housing, and
- 55:54Speaker 1: so that is a big part of why we've continued
- 55:57Speaker 1: to see rental housing be so resilient and and it's
- 56:00Speaker 1: already I would say if you look back to prior
- 56:02Speaker 1: tough periods, two thousand two ten is not an exception either.
- 56:05Speaker 1: I'd say rental housing tends to perform quite well in
- 56:09Speaker 1: in tougher economic environments. It does really well in inflationary
- 56:12Speaker 1: environments as well. I mentioned the shorter duration lease at
- 56:14Speaker 1: the average lease of a rental house rental apartments about
- 56:17Speaker 1: a year um. And so these are assets that are
- 56:22Speaker 1: in great demand today and I think you're poised to
- 56:25Speaker 1: perform well in the environment ahead as well. Lest anybody
- 56:28Speaker 1: accused me of suffering from home country bias, which it
- 56:31Speaker 1: certainly sounds like I have been, let's talk about around
- 56:34Speaker 1: the world. Where else does Blackstone see real estate opportunities
- 56:39Speaker 1: outside of the United States. So in our business we
- 56:41Speaker 1: invest not only US Canada, but also Western Europe and
- 56:45Speaker 1: then across both developed and developing markets. In Asia, it's
- 56:49Speaker 1: developed meaning Japan, Korea, Australia, and then more developing would
- 56:54Speaker 1: be India is one of our our biggest markets globally
- 56:57Speaker 1: and in particular in Asia as well and uh so.
- 57:00Speaker 1: And in terms of what we what we like outside
- 57:02Speaker 1: of the U S, there's a lot of consistency in
- 57:04Speaker 1: the themes I would say, in terms of logistics, rental housing, hospitality, assets,
- 57:10Speaker 1: lab office, every ex Yeah, there's of course nuances in
- 57:17Speaker 1: different markets and and in particular rental housing is not
- 57:20Speaker 1: something that exists in the same way and a lot
- 57:22Speaker 1: of markets around the world, So for example, Australia has
- 57:24Speaker 1: hardly any official rental housing market the way we would
- 57:28Speaker 1: have it here. It's just just beginning. There's lots of
- 57:30Speaker 1: people that own a condo and rented out. There's not
- 57:32Speaker 1: a lot of owners who own a couple of hundred
- 57:35Speaker 1: units and professionally managed it and rent it out and
- 57:37Speaker 1: and so. But that's just beginning. But that's you know,
- 57:39Speaker 1: that's an example of where things are a little different
- 57:41Speaker 1: in different parts of the world. But I do think
- 57:43Speaker 1: for us, one of the advantages we have of being
- 57:46Speaker 1: so connected globally is this, as we talked about kind
- 57:49Speaker 1: of the powdern recognition of saying, okay, we had a
- 57:52Speaker 1: theme in warehouses that was working really well in the US.
- 57:55Speaker 1: Where else in the world do we see that and
- 57:57Speaker 1: maybe other people don't, And for us that was the
- 58:00Speaker 1: UK and Western Europe because the UK is having a
- 58:04Speaker 1: real hard time. The UK is having a hard time,
- 58:06Speaker 1: but I would say we um the UK though. For
- 58:09Speaker 1: the assets where we focus on, which our main focus
- 58:12Speaker 1: is in the UK, have been warehouses, also really affordable housing,
- 58:17Speaker 1: providing an affordable housing capital um that those have been
- 58:20Speaker 1: are the biggest parts of our investment activity in the
- 58:22Speaker 1: performance has continued to be very strong there. Let me
- 58:25Speaker 1: ask you a challenging question. So you talk about Steve
- 58:29Speaker 1: Schwartzman says, is a pattern recognition. One of the things
- 58:32Speaker 1: we preach to investors all the time is don't fool
- 58:36Speaker 1: yourself with pattern recognition, meaning don't think that every setup
- 58:40Speaker 1: is the same and oh, this is a great opportunity
- 58:43Speaker 1: where really only looks a little bit like a previous
- 58:47Speaker 1: great opportunity. How do you protect yourself against being fooled
- 58:52Speaker 1: by what looks like, oh I see this pattern when
- 58:55Speaker 1: it's not really what what we all think it is.
- 58:58Speaker 1: I do think one of the really I mean, I
- 59:01Speaker 1: guess you could say challenging but really fun things about
- 59:03Speaker 1: investing is that the environment does change constantly. So something
- 59:07Speaker 1: that worked yesterday or transaction you were able to create usterday,
- 59:09Speaker 1: you can't create again today, or you shouldn't maybe. And
- 59:12Speaker 1: I would say one of the ways we protect ourselves
- 59:15Speaker 1: goes back to this process where it is highly collaborative
- 59:19Speaker 1: process and we're bringing together insights from all around our business.
- 59:23Speaker 1: And I would say we we force a lot of
- 59:25Speaker 1: connectivity and collaboration between our investment team and our asset
- 59:29Speaker 1: management team, who is with our portfolio companies every day
- 59:32Speaker 1: creating value. And so What that allows us to do
- 59:35Speaker 1: is I think spot as early as we probably possibly
- 59:38Speaker 1: can where things might be changing, where those conditions are changing,
- 59:42Speaker 1: and it's not always that something has turned negative, it
- 59:45Speaker 1: just maybe less positive. So an example of this would
- 59:49Speaker 1: be just to keep drawing back to the warehouse example.
- 59:53Speaker 1: The e commerce revolution and reassoring and supply chain realignment
- 59:58Speaker 1: has really propelled demand for all types of warehouse space,
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: but where it has driven the most rent and cash
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: flow growth is in these more urban areas that are
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: more supply constrained almost by nature, less land available, and
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: more demand because tenants really need to be there both
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: to access their customers and to reduce the cost of
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: transportation and labor to move goods around. And so we
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: pivoted our portfolio to focus on those markets and assets
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: in those markets, away from other elements of the markets
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: that are again doing well, doing fine, but just not
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: growing as quickly. Our job, we feel, is to end
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: up in the assets with the best possible performance, and
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: I think that leads to shifts that might feel, you know,
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: a little nuanced or a little minor at the time,
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: but ultimately lead to much better outcomes. I feel like
- 1:00:45Speaker 1: I am getting on real estate education like no other.
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: If we're talking about real estate of all sorts and
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: capital structure, we obviously have to talk about the cost
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: of capital and interest rates. Where you, guys, the Federal
- 1:01:00Speaker 1: Reserve is obviously really important, Jerome Palace, in the midst
- 1:01:04Speaker 1: of a unprecedented rate hiking regime, how do you look
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: at what's going on with the Fed? Well, I would
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: say this is an environment that we feel like we've
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: been preparing for for a long time. For forty years,
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: we haven't seen anything like this since eighty one. Yeah,
- 1:01:21Speaker 1: And I would say going back seven or eight years,
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: maybe a little more, we were spending a lot of
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: time thinking about, Okay, how do we get in ourselves
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: invested in assets that are going to perform well? Should
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: we be in a higher inflation, higher interest rate environment.
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: The last interest rate spike we saw was mid two
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: thousands leading up to the financial crisis, but that was
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: nothing like one and twenty two. No, and again, it
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: wasn't that we called this environment. It was more just
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: a recognition that we had been in a very persistently,
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: very low interest rate, very low inflation environment, and we
- 1:01:57Speaker 1: started talking with our investors and amongst ourselves a about Okay,
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: you know what happens in the world with higher rates,
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: higher inflation, maybe sustained geopolitical uncertainty, feels like a lot
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: more gaming difference, just different scenarios. And when you think
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: about at the at the most simplistic level, the way
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: you value real estate, the way you make money in
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: real estate is it's a combination of your cash flow
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: and the multiple you can put on that cash flow.
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: In real estate parlance, it's the inverse of a multiple
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: cap rate to yield. People think about in yields. By
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: the way, when I switched from M and A to
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: real estate, I spent basically eighteen months in my mind
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: just converting yields into multiples, because you know, learning relearning
- 1:02:36Speaker 1: the lingos of valuation. It's the same thing, you're just
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: looking at it from different different perspective, just just flip
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: it around. And so, you know, what we think about
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: is that if you have an environment like the one
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: we're in where there's upward pressure on interest rates, therefore
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: upward pressure on cap rates or said like another way,
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: downward pressure on multiples. The way to mitigate that is
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: through cash flow growth. So you want to be in
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: assets where you can grow cash flows both because as
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: a matter of what's happening in the economy, the wind
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: might be at your back, and also because of what
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: we can do with our interventions for value creation. And
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: that is a big part of how we ended up
- 1:03:12Speaker 1: with this very concentrated portfolio and warehouses and rental housing
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: and lab office and hotels where you have short duration leases,
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: so as rents are going up, you can capture that
- 1:03:21Speaker 1: higher rent like short duration bonds, like short duration bonds exactly. Also,
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: the vast majority of those assets, as I mentioned, have
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: relatively low input costs, so you're not as exposed to
- 1:03:32Speaker 1: higher input cost pressure in an inflationary environment. And again
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: you may have headwinds in terms of what's happening with
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: rates or what's then happening with cap rates, but you
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: can still perform well because of the cash flow growth
- 1:03:44Speaker 1: we're able to generate. And and and there's you know, we're
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: not just it's making this up. There's precedent for it
- 1:03:48Speaker 1: if you look at if you look back to too,
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: I think it's nine eighty two, the last time we
- 1:03:53Speaker 1: were in a you know, a significant rate hiking cycle.
- 1:03:56Speaker 1: You saw that rental growth in apartments opped up with
- 1:04:01Speaker 1: inflation even though actually interestingly, supply was two x what
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: it is right now. This this is part of why
- 1:04:06Speaker 1: we have confidence. Yes, you could also look in the
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: in UK because I think it was between nineteen seventy
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: and nineteen eighty. UM real estate returns something like sixteen
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: percent in an environment with you very very substantial inflation,
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: and so we know again we we wanted to position
- 1:04:22Speaker 1: our portfolios for this environment. And so you know what
- 1:04:25Speaker 1: we see happening now is the FED is hard at
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: work trying to cool the economy in a way that
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: ideally doesn't you have a tough landing, but you know
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: that certainly you're seeing some of that comes through to
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: our market in the form of more uncertainty. Transaction activity
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: slows down because people are unsure of your what how
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: should I value it? How where can I borrow? Borrowing
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: costs have gone up, and and that seems like kind
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: of a natural outcome of of what's happening in this environment.
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: So let me ask you, um the opposite question of
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: investing during a rising rate environment, how would you respond
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: to the criticism that some people have floated. Well, of course,
- 1:05:09Speaker 1: black Stone real estate has done great over the past
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: thirty years, rates have done nothing but go lower. Their
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: cap structure has been super friendly. You're I'm assuming your
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: pushback is doing well in a rising rate environment. Also,
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: it's not just the cost of capital. Yeah, I would say, um,
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: there's always something that people who you know seem to
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: want to say, is like, you know why it's now
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: not going to work anymore for us? Um And there's
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: I've I've heard a lot of different versions of things,
- 1:05:38Speaker 1: And I would say we have done this for thirty
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: years in a lot of different parts of the world.
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: We're not in every circumstance have we had ultra low
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: interest rates. And I would say we've continued to generate
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: great performance in all of those different types of environments
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: and all of those different places. And I think it
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: is by sticking to this thematic approach, a really discipline
- 1:05:59Speaker 1: approach in terms of what we buy, and then how
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: how do we capitalize it? And and then importantly how
- 1:06:05Speaker 1: do we create value as we own it? I mean, interestingly,
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: there's one of my favorite examples is Japan. So your
- 1:06:11Speaker 1: Japan should have all the hallmarks of a tough place
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: to make money in real estate. You have a shrinking population,
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: you have very low cap rates, persistently very low borrowing costs,
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: and very low growth, and yet it's been one of
- 1:06:26Speaker 1: our most successful markets ever. And that's partly because of
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: the nature of the transactions we buy. We can buy more,
- 1:06:33Speaker 1: do more complicated investments that others maybe can't tackle, larger
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: situations where we buy portfolios of real estate, not single assets,
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: and then we manage the heck out of it. We
- 1:06:41Speaker 1: do every last thing we can do to create value
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: enhance those cash flows, and that's how we do well.
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: And so again, all different kinds of environments can come
- 1:06:49Speaker 1: our way, but I think the process is built to
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: perform in any one of them. Quite fascinating. I know
- 1:06:57Speaker 1: I only have you for a limited amount of time.
- 1:07:00Speaker 1: Four I get to my favorite questions. I have to
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: ask you about a curve bawl question. Coach Ella, you're
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: you're like a regular Coachella like you don't like By
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: the way, when I think of coach Ella, I think
- 1:07:15Speaker 1: of burning Man and mud pitts Um Coachell is not
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: quite that crazy. But how how often you go to
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: this and what what is that experience? Like? Well, I've
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: been fourteen times. Get out. Well, you're not old enough
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: fourteen times. So you started going when you were twelve.
- 1:07:34Speaker 1: You're very kind to say that. No. I started going
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: because my then boyfriend now husband was at business school
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: at U c. L A. He's super into music, and
- 1:07:43Speaker 1: he drove down there in two thousand six, Um two
- 1:07:50Speaker 1: five or six and he um and you went with him.
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: I was not with him at the time, but at
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: that festival and it was so different then you could
- 1:07:57Speaker 1: buy single day tickets. It wasn't this whole thing it
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: is out uh And I remember him calling me and saying,
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: you have to come out next year for this. It's
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: so amazing. And even at that first hotel, there were
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: so many bands he got exposed to that have become
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: some of our favorites and really just opened us up
- 1:08:13Speaker 1: to listening to a lot of different kinds of music. Um.
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: You the proverbial undercard. If you go all day, you
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: you hear a lot of new and music is a
- 1:08:21Speaker 1: lot of alt or Yeah, it's it hasn't. I'd say
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: it grew up. I think it's a more alternative rock festival.
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: And it is really branch now. There's a lot of
- 1:08:30Speaker 1: wrap and dance and E d M. We're still there
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: mostly for the rock music, which is a diminishing part
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: of the schedule. I'd say I'm probably, um, you've sort
- 1:08:41Speaker 1: of identified it the dorky ist and maybe now getting
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: to the oldest person with the most sun block on
- 1:08:47Speaker 1: at the whole festival. My wife and I every time
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: we go into a show, we have a fun little
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: thing we do, which is what's the demographic of the
- 1:08:55Speaker 1: crowd and are we at the bottom of the top
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: of that age bread and right now? And then like
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: well walk, So we sort of show. The other day
- 1:09:04Speaker 1: there's a great band called the Fab Fox that the
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: Beatles covers. It's all It's it's letterman, Um, Jimmy Fallon.
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: Their band does this, and we were amazed that they
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: were like teenagers and twenty somethings singing along, knowing every word.
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: It's like, oh, some of the stuff is generational. But
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: we're not talking boomeer rock or classic rock. You're talking um,
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: something much more. Give us a few bands that you've
- 1:09:30Speaker 1: seen that have stayed with you. What sort of alt
- 1:09:33Speaker 1: music U do you like at Coachella? Well, um, probably
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: one of the favorite you know, Coachella experience ever would
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: be actually Roger Waters, who played Dark Side of the
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: Moon in its entirety, and I was not a Roger
- 1:09:48Speaker 1: Waters or Pink Floyd fan before seeing this, and I
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: the show, including the pig flying and dropping the leaflets,
- 1:09:56Speaker 1: was so amazing. Uh, it was just it was so
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: memorable in part. And this is not the only example
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: of this, but it was a band or a performer
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: where I was kind of like, do I really want
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: to stay up laid? My body's jet legged, I've been tired.
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: My Matt makes me go at noon and see all
- 1:10:12Speaker 1: the early bands and like do I really? One did
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: and it was so interesting and amazing. Um. There was
- 1:10:17Speaker 1: a similar experience also seeing The Cure for the first time.
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: I had always loved the Cure, but it never got
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: to show. Oh my gosh, they played so long that
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: they were they basically pulled the plug on them and
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: they kept playing off their amps. But you know, Chris,
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: the city of Coachella will find them for this, and
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: they just kept going. They finally had to, like, you know,
- 1:10:36Speaker 1: move Robert Smith on the stage. But it was so amazing.
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: And I've now seen The Cure many times, but I've
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: never seen The Cure and I was a fan. I
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: highly recommend so I'm gonna out myself. Here's how old
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: I am. Freshman year in college, me and my buddy
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: Joe go to Nashville Coliseum where we scalp a pair
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: of tickets for a hundred and seventeen dollars for the
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: pair for one of the seven original Pink Floyd the Wall.
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: My gosh, they did three or four shows in Nassa
- 1:11:08Speaker 1: Calosseum and three or four shows in the l A.
- 1:11:11Speaker 1: I think it was the Forum of the Colosseum. And
- 1:11:14Speaker 1: the only reason we paid that little for the tickets
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: is the cops had come out on high stepping horses
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: and we're clearing everybody out, and I remember saying to
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: the guy, you got about thirty seconds before you're holding
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: two worthless pieces of paper and we had cash. He
- 1:11:27Speaker 1: literally snatched the cash from our hands, gave us tickets.
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: The cops come to us and we're like, we got tickets,
- 1:11:33Speaker 1: and we went running. Missed the first I don't know,
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: three minutes of the show. Astounding, right, that's how old
- 1:11:39Speaker 1: I am. Well, I would say one of the one,
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: and you kind of mentioned it. It has been you
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: find it interesting to see live music not only come
- 1:11:48Speaker 1: back to post pandemic. But I think people take real
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: interest in this. And Matt, my husband, I talked about
- 1:11:53Speaker 1: this all the time. He tells it maybe a similar
- 1:11:55Speaker 1: story where he I forget what year it was, but
- 1:11:57Speaker 1: he saw Radiohead at Radio City Music Hall and he
- 1:12:01Speaker 1: was offended that he had he scalped a ticket for
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: like thirty five dollars or something like this. We don't
- 1:12:06Speaker 1: really understand how, you know, how does like a Pearl
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: Jam concert and MSG work where the whole thing sells
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: out at a certain price. Why isn't put Why isn't
- 1:12:14Speaker 1: Pearl Jam just selling the tickets for a lot more.
- 1:12:16Speaker 1: It's sort of an interesting question, But there's a monopoly
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: and be all the secondary sellers have the firepower to that.
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: It's like in the markets, Hey, do you want to
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: go up against Goldman Sachs trading desk as a day trader?
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: If you're stupid, you do. But ordinary people can't compete,
- 1:12:33Speaker 1: and ordinary people can't buy tickets because all the bots
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: are doing their things. I could. I could whine about
- 1:12:39Speaker 1: this for hours. Sounds like we need another podcast, Yeah
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: I won't. Instead, I'm going to jump to our favorite questions.
- 1:12:45Speaker 1: So normally I would ask what are you streaming? But
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: I think we're past streaming. Let's talk about what are
- 1:12:50Speaker 1: you listening to today? So I have Phoebe Bridgers on repeat,
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: listening to her constantly. I will check that out. Tell
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: us about some of your mentors who helped to shape
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: your career. I think mentorship is like a constellation of
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: people that, in my case, so many different people at
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: any different times. Sorry, um, you know two of my
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: incredible mentors actually themselves are friends. So I worked when
- 1:13:14Speaker 1: I was like Goldman, very closely with Bram Kramer, who
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: taught me a lot about, you know, just not only
- 1:13:20Speaker 1: being a great investor, but i'd say also a great
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: manager of people. And I think interestingly, maybe not surprisingly,
- 1:13:26Speaker 1: it turns out he's close friends with John Gray, who
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: has been an incredible mentor and sponsor to me and
- 1:13:31Speaker 1: every single day challenges me to be better and work
- 1:13:34Speaker 1: harder and think more carefully at black Stone. Um, let's
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: talk about books. What are some of your favorites and
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: what are you reading right now? I love to read.
- 1:13:44Speaker 1: I would break what I'm reading into two categories, what
- 1:13:46Speaker 1: I'm reading to my children and then what I'm reading myself.
- 1:13:49Speaker 1: So what I reading my children is. Um, we've been
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: working our way to the kids love it. No, we've
- 1:13:56Speaker 1: been reading the Royal Doll books, which somehow, even though
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: I grew in a family of reading, which I never
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: read this yeah, oh yeah, and I somehow missed those
- 1:14:04Speaker 1: as a child. So I really enjoyed reading Charlie Chocolate Factory,
- 1:14:06Speaker 1: and Matilda and the Witches and all of those fun things.
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: I have a seven year old and a ten year old.
- 1:14:15Speaker 1: We have a lot of Harry Potter happening in our
- 1:14:17Speaker 1: house too. I'm actually movies books um I read when
- 1:14:22Speaker 1: the kids were growing up. You can watch the movies,
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: but only after you read the books. So all the
- 1:14:27Speaker 1: kids had to read the book and then go watch
- 1:14:29Speaker 1: My Tenerald I think has read all the Harry Potter's
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: like four times at this point, I'm listening to them
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: on audiobook now their endless. It seems like there's a
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: different one every other year. So they they they're so
- 1:14:41Speaker 1: versed in all of it that I was not able
- 1:14:43Speaker 1: to keep up with dinner table conversations. So now listening
- 1:14:45Speaker 1: to them again because otherwise I'm not gonna be able
- 1:14:47Speaker 1: to keep up. And then for myself, it's funny. I
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: love reading novels. But I really enjoyed in the past
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: couple of years reading Patrick read and Keith's books. He
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: wrote a book called Say Nothing, which was about the
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: troubles in Northern Ireland. UM. And now I'm reading something
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: called Empire Pain, which is about, um, basically the opioid
- 1:15:06Speaker 1: crisis and how that came about. And it can be
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: a little heavy, but it's so interesting. But it's written
- 1:15:11Speaker 1: really well in such a compelling way. The one they
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: ended up making the film about. It's possible. I am
- 1:15:20Speaker 1: so behind on movies and TV shows. Well, my husband
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: tells me that during the pandemic, when everyone else was
- 1:15:26Speaker 1: making their way through the full Netflix catalog, I didn't
- 1:15:29Speaker 1: watch a single show, So I gotta come on, you
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: didn't watch The Crown. I did. I had post like
- 1:15:35Speaker 1: post deep pandemic. I And now that I've been gotten
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: back to traveling, I binge watched The Crown. Um, I've
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: watched Marvelous Mrs Maysl. I love that so so good. Ye,
- 1:15:44Speaker 1: so you you caught the Highlight so I know somebody
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: who is involved and no spoilers. UM, but one of
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: the things I'm like halfway through the most recent season
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: and I'm like, oh, so, I guess she's gonna die soon,
- 1:16:00Speaker 1: and it's like, no, no, that's next season. We have
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: the last season. She's still around a lot of material. Yeah,
- 1:16:05Speaker 1: they have endless material. Although there's some complaints this season
- 1:16:08Speaker 1: is inaccurate, I don't care. It's just the most gorgeous,
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: beautifully told stories, and even if you're not an anglophile,
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: it's just fascinating. So digression side, let's get to our
- 1:16:22Speaker 1: last two questions. What sort of advice would you give
- 1:16:25Speaker 1: to a recent college grad who was interested in a
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: career neither real estate investing or finance or m and
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: A or any of the things that you have done
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: so successfully. I would say to have a long and
- 1:16:39Speaker 1: great career focus on your writing skills, and that sometimes
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: I think is a counterintuitive for a job that's more
- 1:16:46Speaker 1: considered matthew and analytical, And of course those are basic
- 1:16:50Speaker 1: fundamental skills you absolutely need to have. But I think
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: when I when I think about my career or what
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: has created the best opportunities for me, it often comes
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: about because it's we need to come communicate something either
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: to our investment committee or to our investors, or increasingly
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: to a much broader group of stakeholders that include elected
- 1:17:07Speaker 1: officials and tenants and community members and activists, all of
- 1:17:11Speaker 1: whom you are are touching our business in some way.
- 1:17:13Speaker 1: And I think that ability to take ideas that can
- 1:17:16Speaker 1: be rather complicated or sometimes seem a bit foreign to
- 1:17:19Speaker 1: others and really put them into terms that are clear
- 1:17:22Speaker 1: and compelling and understandable is super important. That that's really interesting.
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: Final question, what do you know about the world of
- 1:17:29Speaker 1: investing today that you wish you knew twenty plus years
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: or so ago when you were first getting started. I
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: think I think at the time, I wish I knew
- 1:17:38Speaker 1: just how interesting this work would stay for so long
- 1:17:43Speaker 1: and how many amazing people I would get to work with,
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: certainly a blackstone. But when I think about the people
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: who lead our companies or folks in the industry, I
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: now know opportunities like this to talk to you like they.
- 1:17:57Speaker 1: I think I spent a lot of the early days
- 1:17:59Speaker 1: of my career worrying about how long will I do this?
- 1:18:02Speaker 1: Or should I be doing this a lot longer? And
- 1:18:05Speaker 1: if I had just kind of thrown myself into like, wow,
- 1:18:07Speaker 1: let's just enjoy every moment with all of these people
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: who are intellectually curious and smart and hard working, and
- 1:18:14Speaker 1: I've had the good fortune of always being with teams
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: that were super collaborative and supportive. I wish I had
- 1:18:20Speaker 1: known that, because I think I would have had a
- 1:18:22Speaker 1: lot more confidence of just every day enjoying the moment
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: that was really fascinating. Thank you, Kathleen for being so
- 1:18:28Speaker 1: generous with your time. We have been speaking with Kathleen McCarthy.
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: She is the global co head of real estate Investing
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: for Blackstone, running it's nearly uh six hundred billion dollars
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: in real estate investments. If you enjoy this conversation, well,
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: please check out any of the previous four hundred and
- 1:18:50Speaker 1: fifty interviews we've done over the past uh eight years.
- 1:18:55Speaker 1: You can find those at iTunes, Spotify, YouTube, wherever you
- 1:19:00Speaker 1: find your favorite podcasts. UH. Follow me on Twitter at
- 1:19:03Speaker 1: rid Halts. Check out all of the Bloomberg podcasts at
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: podcast uh. You can sign up for my daily reading
- 1:19:12Speaker 1: list at Rid Halts dot com. I would be remiss
- 1:19:15Speaker 1: if I did not thank the cract team who helps
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: put these conversations together each week. Justin Milner is my
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: audio engineer. Uh Atico val Bron is our project manager.
- 1:19:27Speaker 1: Sean Russo is my head of research. Paris Wold is
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: my producer. I'm Barry Dhults. You have been listening to
- 1:19:35Speaker 1: Masters and Business on Bloomberg Radio.