Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Lyft Reports Earnings, Looking Ahead To Uber
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside
- 0:04Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring
- 0:06Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along
- 0:11Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast
- 0:15Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and
- 0:18Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. We had Lift earnings
- 0:22Speaker 1: last night, UM which had guidance that was subdued, UM
- 0:29Speaker 1: eclipsing the first ever profit, sort of milestone, and now
- 0:33Speaker 1: we have and the shares are down significantly, and now
- 0:36Speaker 1: we have Uber coming out after the bell tonight. So
- 0:38Speaker 1: let's bring in man deep seeing senior tech industry analysts
- 0:41Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Intelligence, to talk about, you know, what we
- 0:44Speaker 1: saw yesterday and what we expect tonight. I know that
- 0:49Speaker 1: Lift had its first profit and it's popular maybe amongst
- 0:54Speaker 1: the kids. For me, I'm doing like eighty dollars and
- 0:57Speaker 1: Uber rides a day here and I feel like they
- 1:00Speaker 1: better knock it out of the park tonight. Well, so
- 1:04Speaker 1: the good thing about you know, this space is at
- 1:07Speaker 1: least they're just two competitors. It's a duopoly Uber and Lift.
- 1:12Speaker 1: You contrast that with food delivery where you've got you know,
- 1:16Speaker 1: five or six vendors trying to compete, uh for I
- 1:20Speaker 1: would say a pretty small market at this point of time.
- 1:23Speaker 1: So the print we saw it Lift had, you know,
- 1:26Speaker 1: it was a mixed bag in the sense that the
- 1:28Speaker 1: bright spot was profitability, as we alluded to. But I
- 1:33Speaker 1: think the whole pricing aspect of it is kind of
- 1:36Speaker 1: worrisome because at the end of the day, how much
- 1:38Speaker 1: can you pass on to the customers and then it
- 1:41Speaker 1: starts to weigh on the volume growth, so especially LIFT customers.
- 1:45Speaker 1: Isn't Lift kind of a discount Uber? Isn't that the idea? No?
- 1:49Speaker 1: I I think these companies have sort of rationalized the
- 1:52Speaker 1: pricing so they're not trying to compete on prices or
- 1:56Speaker 1: undercut each other. It's and and that's why I mentioned
- 1:59Speaker 1: about a police So the good thing is you can
- 2:02Speaker 1: have you know, two competitors, one with sixty percent share,
- 2:06Speaker 1: the other one with and still both can do well.
- 2:09Speaker 1: But to your point about the food delivery space being
- 2:12Speaker 1: more crowded, Uber's in that too. It has Uber Eats,
- 2:15Speaker 1: and I wonder, you know if Lift it's kind of
- 2:17Speaker 1: like correlated with the reopening in a positive way, and
- 2:20Speaker 1: right demand going up, is that going to be bad
- 2:21Speaker 1: for Uber because Uber eats demand maybe going down? Yes,
- 2:24Speaker 1: Uber definitely has a tougher comp when it comes to
- 2:28Speaker 1: food delivery, and you're not gonna see that sort of
- 2:31Speaker 1: growth which we saw during the pandemic. So if will
- 2:34Speaker 1: offset there, you know the pickup in ride sharing, and
- 2:37Speaker 1: that's why they are now kind of doubling down in
- 2:40Speaker 1: the freight space with this recent acquisition of Transplace. So
- 2:44Speaker 1: in my mind, Uber wants to be that diversified player,
- 2:47Speaker 1: the scale player. But there aren't many revenue synergies between
- 2:52Speaker 1: these businesses, Like their synergy between ride sharing and food
- 2:55Speaker 1: delivery is minimal. Like these are both commodity services. You know,
- 2:59Speaker 1: user still gravitate towards the Lewis price options. So I
- 3:03Speaker 1: just feel Uber has a tougher kind of task in
- 3:08Speaker 1: terms of convincing investors that yes, the three businesses make
- 3:11Speaker 1: sense under one umbrella, and you know there will be
- 3:14Speaker 1: more profitable as a result of that. But we'll see.
- 3:17Speaker 1: What is who takes lift rather than Uber? I take
- 3:20Speaker 1: it because my credit card gives me ten times points
- 3:22Speaker 1: on Lift. But that's basically my only rational Is there
- 3:26Speaker 1: a lift black. Can you are you going to be
- 3:29Speaker 1: able to get into an escalate or whatever with the
- 3:31Speaker 1: lift or is lift because I've always thought lit was
- 3:34Speaker 1: just like some dude's regular car, so I'm gonna go
- 3:37Speaker 1: out and get in somebody's Corolla. Rather, they have tiered pricing,
- 3:40Speaker 1: they have tiered service levels, and uh, that's the business models.
- 3:45Speaker 1: So they want, you know, users who are not that
- 3:48Speaker 1: price sensitive to pay up and for the service, and
- 3:52Speaker 1: so they are launching and that there's not a huge
- 3:54Speaker 1: differentiation to Uber when it comes to the actual core business. Yeah,
- 3:59Speaker 1: I mean they are both copying each other. Anytime one
- 4:02Speaker 1: comes up with a better feature of the other ones copies.
- 4:04Speaker 1: But again, the point is they're just two. In food,
- 4:07Speaker 1: you've gotten five or six vendors all doing the same least.
- 4:10Speaker 1: We have five or six in Berlin, you know, and
- 4:12Speaker 1: more specifically for pizza, I think it's called slice, Yes
- 4:16Speaker 1: it is. We also have a ton of different grocery services.
- 4:20Speaker 1: I don't know if you had this in New York,
- 4:22Speaker 1: but I can order groceries pretty much anything you would
- 4:25Speaker 1: get at the grocery store and have it at my
- 4:27Speaker 1: door in ten minutes time. I mean, they are super fast,
- 4:31Speaker 1: that New York is probably too trafficky for that. You
- 4:33Speaker 1: can do it in two hours, I know with Amazon
- 4:35Speaker 1: and Holdings, but yeah, I mean, it takes just kind
- 4:37Speaker 1: of a long time to get anywhere in Manhattan and
- 4:40Speaker 1: Manhattan at least, um I want to pivot from talking
- 4:42Speaker 1: about groceries and food delivery to just talking about workers
- 4:45Speaker 1: and finding drivers. It's incredibly difficult for these companies right now.
- 4:49Speaker 1: How much of a headwind does that create for Uber
- 4:52Speaker 1: and Lift going forward? Yeah, so Lift mentioned last night
- 4:55Speaker 1: they spent about you know, five million on driver incentives,
- 4:59Speaker 1: and that was a contra revenue to their top line.
- 5:03Speaker 1: I guess at the end of the day, they're all
- 5:05Speaker 1: competing for that same worker pool, so they have to
- 5:10Speaker 1: you know, shell out the incentives because these are not employees.
- 5:14Speaker 1: And I think right sharing is still a better business
- 5:18Speaker 1: from a driver's perspective. In the case of food delivery,
- 5:22Speaker 1: you're getting paid lore compared to you know, the right sharing.
- 5:26Speaker 1: So from a worker perspective, I think right sharing is cleaner.
- 5:31Speaker 1: But you put more on the line, don't you, because
- 5:33Speaker 1: you have to actually lease a car. And I remember
- 5:35Speaker 1: when Uber first started, the company was only taking ten
- 5:38Speaker 1: to fifteen percent of the fair. And then you know,
- 5:42Speaker 1: after you've got your GMC yukon denally XL and we're
- 5:48Speaker 1: paying a thousand dollar least, all of a sudden the
- 5:50Speaker 1: company said, hey, we're gonna take of your fair and
- 5:54Speaker 1: it seemed incredibly unfair to me and I wouldn't as
- 5:57Speaker 1: a driver, want to be put in that position. After
- 5:59Speaker 1: I signed a lease, all of a sudden you tell
- 6:00Speaker 1: me I'm gonna make less and less money. Yeah, so
- 6:03Speaker 1: I think you're right. They can't raise the take rates
- 6:06Speaker 1: and you will see a pushback. And there is that
- 6:08Speaker 1: regulatory aspect that obviously it's always a wild card, you know,
- 6:12Speaker 1: where you could see more regulation. But at the end
- 6:15Speaker 1: of the day, they have pulled capacity and they have
- 6:18Speaker 1: the demand and that is the value out of a marketplace.
- 6:21Speaker 1: So you know the fact that there are just two
- 6:24Speaker 1: marketplaces is good for right sharing as an industry. And
- 6:27Speaker 1: if you've said two things in the past, like minute one,
- 6:30Speaker 1: regulation and two, these aren't employees that we're talking about.
- 6:33Speaker 1: This is the gig autonomy. But that's creating some problems
- 6:36Speaker 1: for uber and lift as well. How how great is
- 6:38Speaker 1: the regulatory risk on that front? That's a big risk.
- 6:42Speaker 1: I mean with these companies, the fact that they weren't
- 6:45Speaker 1: profitable at least now they're showing profitability. And the cost
- 6:49Speaker 1: side is always kind of in focus because of the
- 6:52Speaker 1: high variable costs in this business. So anytime you have
- 6:56Speaker 1: the prospect of more regulation, it will increase costs and
- 6:59Speaker 1: that is not good for you know, sustaining the profitability.
- 7:02Speaker 1: So clearly it is a big threat. But at least,
- 7:06Speaker 1: you know, as long as they can maintain the top
- 7:08Speaker 1: line growth and with you know, economies opening up, demand
- 7:12Speaker 1: coming back, I think they should be good at least
- 7:15Speaker 1: for the next one or two years. No one knows
- 7:18Speaker 1: the kind of the growth rate three or four years
- 7:20Speaker 1: down the line. I think the business models will evolve.
- 7:23Speaker 1: I noticed the other day I wrote down I took
- 7:25Speaker 1: the subway down to Grand Central station as I was
- 7:28Speaker 1: heading out to Bronxfie to look at houses, and it
- 7:31Speaker 1: was empty. There was almost nobody on the subway. It
- 7:33Speaker 1: was unbelievable. On the four or five six here usually
- 7:36Speaker 1: it's packed. Yes, so they have taken share from a
- 7:39Speaker 1: lot of the public transportation, and the use cases for
- 7:42Speaker 1: these companies keep evolving. I mean, the whole aspect of
- 7:46Speaker 1: right sharing, like there isn't any sharing right now. Hopefully
- 7:49Speaker 1: at at some point it will come back. But you know,
- 7:52Speaker 1: these companies have evolved, and I think the use cases
- 7:56Speaker 1: will emerge and that should help you know, at these uh,
- 8:01Speaker 1: these companies to maintain relevance. All right. Our producer Charlie
- 8:04Speaker 1: Bulmer writs in that his seven train this week was
- 8:06Speaker 1: more packed than it's ever been, So maybe I was
- 8:09Speaker 1: just very off peak as I headed down to Grand Central.
- 8:12Speaker 1: Man Deep, thanks very much for joining us. Man Deep Sing,
- 8:15Speaker 1: senior tech industry analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, talking to us
- 8:18Speaker 1: about Uber out after the bell. This is Bloomberg. I
- 8:26Speaker 1: am just looking forward to what we got going on
- 8:28Speaker 1: today and we have a lot. Let's bring in Jennifer
- 8:30Speaker 1: Epstein right now, political reporter from Bloomberg News. We've got
- 8:33Speaker 1: her on the line from Washington, d C. To talk. Well,
- 8:36Speaker 1: there's a lot of talk about, but I guess Jennifer.
- 8:39Speaker 1: The first issue is the Biden administration. The c d
- 8:43Speaker 1: C eviction moratorium. It looked like it was over, and
- 8:47Speaker 1: now it looks like they're extending it until October thirteenth.
- 8:50Speaker 1: Although the President himself said there's not really very strong
- 8:53Speaker 1: constitutional grounds for this Yeah, it's actually October three or
- 8:58Speaker 1: two months from yesterday, UM, when the CDC Director um
- 9:02Speaker 1: signed this order, and it's trying to be a bit
- 9:05Speaker 1: more narrow and really focused on the rise of the
- 9:09Speaker 1: delta variant, and what the CDC Director says is the
- 9:13Speaker 1: public health threat that comes with people potentially being evicted
- 9:17Speaker 1: from their homes and then you know, ending up in
- 9:20Speaker 1: shelters or on the streets, um, where there could potentially
- 9:23Speaker 1: be more spread of the virus and you might see
- 9:27Speaker 1: in if people were living in their own homes. But
- 9:31Speaker 1: why do they care enough today and not like Saturday? Like,
- 9:34Speaker 1: why not deal with this before? Yeah, well, it certainly
- 9:38Speaker 1: seems like this did come up as a bit of
- 9:40Speaker 1: a surprise for the administration. As much as they had
- 9:43Speaker 1: known the deadline was coming, they were also very focused
- 9:46Speaker 1: on on the infrastructure bill, and you know, it's really
- 9:50Speaker 1: they seem to have also been caught a bit by
- 9:52Speaker 1: surprise by the very rapid spread of the delta variant
- 9:56Speaker 1: and all of that sort of created this pressure. And
- 9:59Speaker 1: then at the same time time you had these uh
- 10:01Speaker 1: small group of House Democrats really backed by the entirety
- 10:06Speaker 1: of the House Democratic Caucus saying uh in the last
- 10:10Speaker 1: few days at the end of last week. This is
- 10:12Speaker 1: something that has to be done. You have to help
- 10:14Speaker 1: these people out, um, you know. And so the administration
- 10:18Speaker 1: found a way to do it. It just took them
- 10:21Speaker 1: a bit longer than I think that advocates and and
- 10:24Speaker 1: other outside people would have liked to have seen. And
- 10:27Speaker 1: it may not be constitutional. I mean, we can always
- 10:29Speaker 1: find way to do things. If it's not constitutional. It's
- 10:32Speaker 1: just really not helpful, is it. Yeah. Well, the President
- 10:36Speaker 1: I think is somebody who was very cautious about those things.
- 10:39Speaker 1: And that's sort of why he was reluctant to just
- 10:43Speaker 1: go out and announce an extension last week. Uh and
- 10:47Speaker 1: kind of back in the Supreme Court, uh to it,
- 10:50Speaker 1: you know. And and he he doesn't, you know, always
- 10:53Speaker 1: have the best filter for things, and so he kind
- 10:56Speaker 1: of said that yesterday that this is something that might
- 10:59Speaker 1: not pass muster in the courts, but it's something that
- 11:02Speaker 1: the administration kind of had no choice politically but to
- 11:06Speaker 1: try out. At the very least, they've bought a little
- 11:10Speaker 1: bit of time, a couple of days, a couple of
- 11:12Speaker 1: weeks while this works its way uh in court. And
- 11:16Speaker 1: and and the other issue here is really that the
- 11:18Speaker 1: Treasury Department's efforts to get out over forty billion dollars
- 11:24Speaker 1: in rental aid have been uh pretty slow so far
- 11:28Speaker 1: because it's something where treasurism worth working with state and
- 11:31Speaker 1: local governments, and that has all just taken a lot
- 11:33Speaker 1: of time to get up and running. This money from
- 11:36Speaker 1: the Recovery Act that passed in March, and they were
- 11:38Speaker 1: only able to get one point five billion of that
- 11:40Speaker 1: out uh two renters in the month of June. So
- 11:44Speaker 1: you know, they're hoping that that rationale that that's taken
- 11:47Speaker 1: so long, which is something uh that Justice Kavanaugh did
- 11:51Speaker 1: mention when he was part of uh uh the Supreme
- 11:57Speaker 1: Court uh weighing in on this. He was not actually
- 12:01Speaker 1: a part of the the um major the majority ruling
- 12:06Speaker 1: on this, but uh that that is something that that
- 12:10Speaker 1: they are hoping that that maybe they can kind of
- 12:12Speaker 1: thread the legal legal argument there and have that uh
- 12:16Speaker 1: way of getting ahead of so speaking of legal arguments
- 12:19Speaker 1: and what a president does or does not have power
- 12:22Speaker 1: to do, obviously, at the end of the day, this
- 12:23Speaker 1: issue comes back to the pandemic. That is why there
- 12:26Speaker 1: are millions of people facing the potential loss of their home.
- 12:30Speaker 1: Is there anything else that President Biden has it in
- 12:32Speaker 1: his power to do. In terms of the vaccination front, Yes,
- 12:36Speaker 1: he's finally mandated that that federal workers need to get
- 12:39Speaker 1: vaccinated or be tested all the time. But is there
- 12:43Speaker 1: anything else? Yeah, I think the administration is continuing to
- 12:46Speaker 1: look for more things to do. Um. They're looking for
- 12:50Speaker 1: other areas of the federal government besides sort of the
- 12:54Speaker 1: executive branch employees um who are covered by by the
- 12:58Speaker 1: order last week, to uh, potentially more public health kind
- 13:03Speaker 1: of workers who are not necessarily a part of that
- 13:06Speaker 1: initial order. I think the administration is also uh just
- 13:12Speaker 1: looking at at the the approval process for the vaccines.
- 13:17Speaker 1: You know, it seems like, uh we saw Dr Fauci
- 13:20Speaker 1: last night saying that could be just two weeks away
- 13:23Speaker 1: from fives or getting final approval um with with the
- 13:27Speaker 1: sd A. And that's something where um, the administrative the
- 13:31Speaker 1: White House is going to stay out of that because
- 13:33Speaker 1: they don't want there to be any appearance of of
- 13:36Speaker 1: political pressure on these public health agencies. UM. But that itself,
- 13:42Speaker 1: I think would would be a pretty significant move forward
- 13:45Speaker 1: because there are lots of people at least right now
- 13:47Speaker 1: who are saying, I don't want to do anything until
- 13:50Speaker 1: that A fully approves it, so that in of itself
- 13:53Speaker 1: could be a pretty big um move forward. And then UM,
- 13:57Speaker 1: you know, I think I think the administration is just
- 13:58Speaker 1: gonna kind of the for any little uh, you know,
- 14:02Speaker 1: pocket of people it can get to, uh to try
- 14:05Speaker 1: to to try to get more people back to native Jennifer,
- 14:08Speaker 1: thanks for spending some time with us. Jennifer Epstein is
- 14:10Speaker 1: Bloomberg News political reporter coming to us out of Washington,
- 14:14Speaker 1: d C. Now, there has been a ton of M
- 14:18Speaker 1: and A activity today alone. Um, we saw a big
- 14:23Speaker 1: uh deal in the telecom space with Apollo. We saw
- 14:28Speaker 1: UM a big deal in soccer La Liga. Ten percent
- 14:32Speaker 1: of that I went to CVC. Um we saw a
- 14:35Speaker 1: huge like a seventeen billion dollar deal. What was that?
- 14:41Speaker 1: We saw um VC no VC properties buying MGM Growth
- 14:46Speaker 1: Properties seventeen point two billion dollars. And but you were
- 14:49Speaker 1: pointing out Square and after pay started the week off
- 14:51Speaker 1: with a bang on Monday, the biggest acquisition ever for
- 14:54Speaker 1: an Australian company twenty nine billion dollars. And I think
- 14:57Speaker 1: since the beginning of July you said more than like
- 14:59Speaker 1: five billion, fifty billion dollars and deals have been done,
- 15:03Speaker 1: so it's a great time to bring in uh Thad Malik.
- 15:07Speaker 1: He is the chair of Global Mergers and Acquisitions, the
- 15:10Speaker 1: practice Global Mergence Acquisition Practice at Paul Hastings and he
- 15:14Speaker 1: can talk to us about you know, this this incredible
- 15:16Speaker 1: growth that thanks for joining us. Um Is this peaking now?
- 15:21Speaker 1: Is this going to slow down? Or are we just
- 15:22Speaker 1: gonna look at you know, record M and A activity
- 15:25Speaker 1: this year? Yeah? Thanks Matt and Kaylee. Nice to be here.
- 15:28Speaker 1: Appreciate the opportunity right now. It's interesting, you've got pretty
- 15:32Speaker 1: much the perfect confluence of events for continued activity. You
- 15:36Speaker 1: alluded to some of it earlier in terms of rate reviews,
- 15:39Speaker 1: in terms of what people are seeing in terms of rates,
- 15:42Speaker 1: but more importantly, markets don't really like uncertainty when it
- 15:45Speaker 1: comes to M and A and so with some of
- 15:47Speaker 1: the pandemic challenges waning and with the vaccinations increasing, that's
- 15:52Speaker 1: gotten people a little less uncomfortable about what's coming down
- 15:56Speaker 1: the road. And it's pretty much the perfect influence of
- 15:59Speaker 1: a ends. I think you're going to start to see
- 16:01Speaker 1: a little bit of a shift and you're starting to
- 16:04Speaker 1: see this on the anti trust side, Folks are starting
- 16:07Speaker 1: to focus a little bit more than they have in
- 16:09Speaker 1: the past, And just yesterday the FTC indicated that the
- 16:12Speaker 1: crush of deals is so large that they're not able
- 16:15Speaker 1: to get through their review in thirty days for some deals,
- 16:18Speaker 1: and so that puts people in a little bit of limbo.
- 16:20Speaker 1: But for now, I'd say we have a wary eye
- 16:22Speaker 1: trained on horizon. But things are still trending positive. But
- 16:25Speaker 1: it's not even just that the deal approval process could
- 16:28Speaker 1: be slow. The Biden administration has signaled that it wants
- 16:31Speaker 1: to be a lot tougher on competition in general. How
- 16:33Speaker 1: how much of a headwind is that to the M
- 16:35Speaker 1: and A market. I think it's going to be a
- 16:38Speaker 1: particular headwind for those that are in industries that they
- 16:41Speaker 1: fixed their sights on. The regulators tend to follow a
- 16:43Speaker 1: pretty well worn path. They try to communicate a little
- 16:46Speaker 1: bit of where they're they're coming, and you see some
- 16:48Speaker 1: of that in his executive order, and particularly for the
- 16:51Speaker 1: large tech companies and those that are perceived to have
- 16:54Speaker 1: large market presence. I think that scrutiny is going to continue,
- 16:58Speaker 1: and I think you can add on top of that
- 16:59Speaker 1: prank like some of what you're seeing in terms of
- 17:01Speaker 1: the sciffiest review, the foreign review of key industries and
- 17:06Speaker 1: deals in that space. So I think that is going
- 17:08Speaker 1: to be a continuing challenge right now, that's probably the
- 17:10Speaker 1: biggest potential disruptor that folks are looking at, but more
- 17:15Speaker 1: could be coming. Well. Taxes is the other right um,
- 17:19Speaker 1: at least, I'm not sure which way that pushes things,
- 17:23Speaker 1: because we've seen a number of deals already, some very
- 17:26Speaker 1: big deals due to the fact that private ownership saw
- 17:30Speaker 1: maybe a jump in capital gains coming and wanted to
- 17:33Speaker 1: get out ahead of it. Absolutely, and one of the
- 17:37Speaker 1: things that they've learned, I mean in the past when
- 17:39Speaker 1: this has happening, in particular for the private equity sponsors,
- 17:41Speaker 1: there's been a surge of activity to try to beet
- 17:43Speaker 1: the increase. And one of the issues that they've been
- 17:46Speaker 1: discussing is whether they make that sort of retroactive so
- 17:49Speaker 1: to a certain extent that's got people a little I
- 17:52Speaker 1: don't want to say destabilized, but again cautious about what
- 17:55Speaker 1: they're looking at. So in particular for the sponsors, that
- 17:58Speaker 1: becomes a very pressing concern. What's the hottest industry right
- 18:01Speaker 1: now for murger activity? Basically anything technology related, whether you
- 18:08Speaker 1: call it digitization or digitalization, however you refer to it.
- 18:12Speaker 1: People are recognizing, particularly with the work from home dynamics,
- 18:16Speaker 1: that they need to upgrade their systems and capabilities and
- 18:20Speaker 1: anything related to technology, whether that's improving your supply chain,
- 18:24Speaker 1: whether that's improving your metrics, finding new ways of generating
- 18:29Speaker 1: revenue from data that your your products push off, anything
- 18:34Speaker 1: that's related to that. There's a recognition that you need
- 18:37Speaker 1: to be moving forward and oftentimes buying it is cheaper
- 18:40Speaker 1: than building it and certainly faster. Does it help that
- 18:44Speaker 1: there is no interest rate risk here? I mean not
- 18:48Speaker 1: only are rates low negative to low, but they're never
- 18:51Speaker 1: going up again. Well, they the cycles tend to move
- 18:59Speaker 1: in cycles, so as some point there will be the
- 19:01Speaker 1: inevitable sort of come up and but no, certainly right now.
- 19:04Speaker 1: That's a significant driver again for the sponsors in particular
- 19:08Speaker 1: with rates being low, they can reset their expectations in
- 19:11Speaker 1: terms of deals. And there's a lot of activity right now.
- 19:14Speaker 1: I mean, there's what we're seeing on the service provider
- 19:16Speaker 1: side from the investment banks. What the FTC did, which
- 19:19Speaker 1: is basically recognize what the service providers have been seeing.
- 19:22Speaker 1: There's a lot of activity trying to get pushed through
- 19:25Speaker 1: right now as quickly as possible, because people don't want
- 19:27Speaker 1: to get caught, you know, catching the follow knife, so
- 19:30Speaker 1: to speak, when the inevitable cycle turns. All right, Dad,
- 19:34Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us time to talk about
- 19:36Speaker 1: and it was great having you. Hopefully get you back
- 19:38Speaker 1: on soon. Daddy's Malik there is the chair of Global
- 19:42Speaker 1: Mergers and Acquisitions at Paul Hastings talking to us about
- 19:45Speaker 1: this m and a market which has just been incredible.
- 19:48Speaker 1: You know, one of the deals I forgot to mention
- 19:50Speaker 1: was Betsy Cohen did another back deal today and I
- 19:53Speaker 1: think she's done at least twelve billion dollars worth of
- 19:57Speaker 1: Financial Services Act deal. So when you bring spacks into it,
- 20:01Speaker 1: it just is an incredible market um and the growth
- 20:05Speaker 1: has been um pretty outstanding. M A go by the way,
- 20:09Speaker 1: it's one of my favorite functions on the Bloomberg terminal
- 20:11Speaker 1: and it's a great way to see. For example, you
- 20:13Speaker 1: can click on forgo for the league table and you
- 20:15Speaker 1: can see how many deals have been done year to
- 20:17Speaker 1: date or in the last month of Tetra highly recommen
- 20:20Speaker 1: using it. M A go. This is Bloomberg Now to
- 20:28Speaker 1: bringing Kate. Hello Global chief investment officer at Russell Investments
- 20:32Speaker 1: to talk a little bit about E S G investing
- 20:35Speaker 1: to us Kate, it's interesting because there are a few
- 20:38Speaker 1: different ways investors can go with E S G And
- 20:43Speaker 1: I guess it depends. Do you have to decide if
- 20:46Speaker 1: you want to UM chase returns or make a difference. Yeah.
- 20:54Speaker 1: I think it's UM the blend of financial, non financial
- 20:58Speaker 1: and regulatory drivers that are making people kind of go
- 21:02Speaker 1: in one direction versus another. Yeah. I think increasingly the
- 21:07Speaker 1: ability to kind of prove out that you leading in
- 21:10Speaker 1: certain directions you can have a positive or at least
- 21:14Speaker 1: not a negative impact on returns UM will start to
- 21:17Speaker 1: kind of play through UM. But I do think there,
- 21:21Speaker 1: you know, your needs to be kind of that balanced
- 21:24Speaker 1: focus of that primary objective. What is it? Is it
- 21:27Speaker 1: about having the impact or is it about returns just
- 21:30Speaker 1: so you can calibrate how much you go in one
- 21:33Speaker 1: direction versus the other? Do we have enough data to
- 21:36Speaker 1: make E S G investments? I feel like a lot
- 21:39Speaker 1: of this stuff has been pretty opaque. But is that changing? Yeah, Yeah,
- 21:43Speaker 1: I think it's a great question. UM. And I think
- 21:45Speaker 1: particularly on the climate side, the data availability and some
- 21:49Speaker 1: of the approaches for kind of testing the impact of
- 21:53Speaker 1: climate on different sectors or different types of metrics is
- 21:57Speaker 1: getting a lot better and it's accelerating really quickly, and
- 22:01Speaker 1: so I think a big area you know, needs to
- 22:02Speaker 1: be to really stift through those different data options, test out,
- 22:05Speaker 1: you know, the impact it's having on asset pricing, because
- 22:08Speaker 1: we might not see that for quite some time, but
- 22:10Speaker 1: you can kind of scenario kind of test your way
- 22:13Speaker 1: into different paths that you know it could take. But
- 22:17Speaker 1: the data is starting to know much better quickly, particularly
- 22:21Speaker 1: on the climate side. Before we get it deeper there,
- 22:24Speaker 1: I want to understand outsourced ce io UM investment solutions.
- 22:29Speaker 1: What exactly is that? Yeah, so it's largely defined benefit
- 22:35Speaker 1: plans and diamonds and foundations and hospital the systems that
- 22:39Speaker 1: are looking to outsource their investment program. In most cases
- 22:44Speaker 1: it's because they, you know, want to focus on their
- 22:46Speaker 1: core competencies, maybe want to up there with mandrink game
- 22:50Speaker 1: and or just have a partner to help navigate the
- 22:52Speaker 1: market and the in terms of actually what we do
- 22:55Speaker 1: or what the O G I oh kind of universe says,
- 22:57Speaker 1: it's it's really about delivering a total solution that's customized
- 23:01Speaker 1: to particular outcomes, and so it's not just stout being
- 23:03Speaker 1: a benchmark. The often it's focused on like the fundergradition
- 23:06Speaker 1: for a pension or particular income needs. You know that
- 23:09Speaker 1: in endowment is listening to achieve or volatility requirement, and
- 23:12Speaker 1: so you're having some flexibility and how you try to
- 23:15Speaker 1: solve those problems. It's part of that kind of O
- 23:18Speaker 1: C I O solution. How do you approach investing with
- 23:21Speaker 1: climate specifically in mind, especially considering the green spending we're
- 23:26Speaker 1: getting out of the bipart as an infrastructure plan as
- 23:28Speaker 1: well as the Democratic only plan that will likely be
- 23:31Speaker 1: pushed through before or after at some point, how do
- 23:35Speaker 1: you how do you think about what may benefit the most? Yeah,
- 23:38Speaker 1: and I think you still need to take a fairly
- 23:41Speaker 1: long term view on how this is going to impact
- 23:44Speaker 1: capitalication and um and returns and asset pricing. But as
- 23:49Speaker 1: you start to see some of these policies, you know,
- 23:52Speaker 1: kind of shifts an actual spending linked to it, it
- 23:55Speaker 1: does make it easier to start to think through the
- 23:58Speaker 1: winners and losers, you know, with some of the bills
- 24:01Speaker 1: that are coming through at least in the U S side,
- 24:03Speaker 1: infrastructure spin and things like that that might mean a
- 24:06Speaker 1: little bit more E. S G. Just helps them think
- 24:08Speaker 1: about how you might want to allocate and where there's
- 24:10Speaker 1: that tackle allocation element is is starting to be decided. Um,
- 24:15Speaker 1: But you know, I think that there's like there's just
- 24:17Speaker 1: small pieces to hind the earlier point. All of this
- 24:19Speaker 1: is still early stages, and so you know, you still
- 24:22Speaker 1: need to maintain diversification in terms of how you're approaching
- 24:27Speaker 1: you know, toping the portfolio, because it's not clear on
- 24:29Speaker 1: kind of where this is going, and so having the
- 24:31Speaker 1: frameworks and the and the tools to really kind of
- 24:33Speaker 1: understand the impact and be able to measure it. I
- 24:35Speaker 1: think it's gonna be really important along the way speaking
- 24:37Speaker 1: of diversification, diversity and inclusion. I mean the idea intuitively
- 24:42Speaker 1: makes sense to me. Um. I was once talking to
- 24:45Speaker 1: Mindy Grossman, who used to be the only woman on
- 24:47Speaker 1: the board at Nike, and they apparently in a giant
- 24:51Speaker 1: board meeting all turned to her and asked, how can
- 24:53Speaker 1: we sell more shoes to women? And the obvious answer is, duh,
- 24:57Speaker 1: you need to have more women on the board. Um.
- 24:59Speaker 1: And and that's you know, I think it makes makes
- 25:02Speaker 1: sense just innately, but um, do we have enough data
- 25:05Speaker 1: in in asset management that shows how important diversity is
- 25:10Speaker 1: in returns. Yeah, there has been a good amount of
- 25:14Speaker 1: work done both in terms of your boards, but also
- 25:17Speaker 1: like investors and where you get um whether it's you know,
- 25:20Speaker 1: gender related or other forms of diversity. You know, more
- 25:23Speaker 1: kind of balanced and consistent returns um when you actually
- 25:27Speaker 1: have more balanced and perspectives. And so I think that
- 25:30Speaker 1: they're you know, still your consistently work that needs to
- 25:33Speaker 1: be done to prove that out. But you know, you
- 25:35Speaker 1: even see, you know, there's there's some work that's been
- 25:37Speaker 1: done multiple times. DA saying that women tend to be
- 25:41Speaker 1: a little bit less action oriented in a good way.
- 25:43Speaker 1: I they don't feel the need to overtrade the portfolio
- 25:46Speaker 1: and try to your stick to the thesis and stick
- 25:48Speaker 1: to the end of the view that they have and
- 25:51Speaker 1: more carefully think about making sifts. And so I do
- 25:53Speaker 1: think that their support in the asset management worlds for
- 25:56Speaker 1: having that kind of diverse idea and actually impacting and
- 25:59Speaker 1: be able to have more sistant and persistent returns. Kate,
- 26:02Speaker 1: we only have about twenty seconds left, but just to
- 26:04Speaker 1: get your view on the market more broadly, would you
- 26:06Speaker 1: want to be getting defensive or more risk on here.
- 26:10Speaker 1: We're so constructive over over the next twelve months. We're
- 26:13Speaker 1: very focused on that kind of pandemic recovery trade. We're
- 26:16Speaker 1: risk neutral right now, um just because of some of
- 26:18Speaker 1: the volatility, but we're leaning in the cyclicals. So there
- 26:21Speaker 1: it says a little bit more constructive on the markets overall. Right, right,
- 26:25Speaker 1: great to get some time with you, Kate, Thanks so
- 26:27Speaker 1: much for joining us. Kate al Hillou spent years at
- 26:30Speaker 1: JP Morgan at Goldman, success at Management, now Global Chief
- 26:33Speaker 1: Investment Officer at Russell Investments, giving us her insight on
- 26:38Speaker 1: E S G as well as diversity and inclusion, which
- 26:41Speaker 1: are you know, more than just buzz buzzwords now, I
- 26:43Speaker 1: think investors are are actually demanding these things. This is Bloomberg.
- 26:49Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can
- 26:52Speaker 1: subscribe and listen to interviews with Apple Podcasts or whatever
- 26:56Speaker 1: podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter
- 27:00Speaker 1: at Matt Miller nineteen seventy three. On Fall Sweeney, I'm
- 27:03Speaker 1: on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can
- 27:06Speaker 1: always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio.