Latest / Political Capital with Rob Shaw / October 2, 2026 - Week Two of the BC Election Campaign | Political Capital
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Check podcasts.
- 0:11Speaker 2: Well, hey, everyone, and welcome to Political Capital, your source
- 0:14Speaker 2: for all the latest in B.C. politics. I'm your host,
- 0:16Speaker 2: Rob Shaw, back here on Political Capital Prime. I hope
- 0:19Speaker 2: you're listening to the daily podcast as well. And if
- 0:22Speaker 2: you were, a familiar voice filled your ears this week,
- 0:26Speaker 2: the return of Ali Blades, back on the show, on
- 0:30Speaker 2: Political Capital Prime as well. Ali, welcome back.
- 0:34Speaker 3: Thank you. I've missed you all so much.
- 0:37Speaker 2: We have missed you as well. And the panel, back
- 0:40Speaker 2: in full flight with you returning and couldn't return at
- 0:43Speaker 2: a better time. Week two of the provincial election campaign.
- 0:47Speaker 2: Jillian Oliver and Jeff Ferry are here to help us
- 0:49Speaker 2: break it down. Okay, it's kind of an avalanche for people,
- 0:54Speaker 2: but we did have new polling out this week showing
- 0:57Speaker 2: the Conservatives still kind of in the lead. Trump still
- 1:01Speaker 2: sort of a distant priority to big projects, kind of national,
- 1:06Speaker 2: you know, announcements intervening in the Pacific Link oil pipeline
- 1:11Speaker 2: from Alberta and LNG Canada phase two. So let's just
- 1:14Speaker 2: put that together for now. And Ali, we're going to
- 1:17Speaker 2: start with you. What did you think of this week
- 1:20Speaker 2: on the campaign trail and these big projects and the
- 1:22Speaker 2: polling and everything kind of coming together there?
- 1:25Speaker 3: Yeah, it's very interesting because it's kind of like we're
- 1:28Speaker 3: in 2024 campaign, which wasn't that long ago, thanks snap election.
- 1:34Speaker 3: But in the 2024 campaign, it was neck and neck. Remember,
- 1:37Speaker 3: we couldn't really tell who the clear victor was going
- 1:40Speaker 3: to be come election day. And it's kind of giving
- 1:42Speaker 3: me flashbacks from that where it really is day by
- 1:45Speaker 3: day that these candidates and these campaigns are going to
- 1:48Speaker 3: have to win over the hearts of British Columbians. But
- 1:51Speaker 3: what I think is very optimistic for the Conservatives is
- 1:55Speaker 3: that with a new leader, this is the new element
- 1:58Speaker 3: that polling causes. hasn't quite captured yet is the popularity
- 2:03Speaker 3: of the new leader, Lauren Dirksen.
- 2:06Speaker 2: He's still got a lot of unknowns, I guess, in
- 2:09Speaker 2: an election. Just staying with you for a second, Allie,
- 2:11Speaker 2: like when, when did the kind of lead, and I'm
- 2:14Speaker 2: thinking about John Horgan in the 2017 leadership campaign started
- 2:18Speaker 2: one way, ended in a totally different way in terms
- 2:21Speaker 2: of popularity. When does the public typically kind of coalesce
- 2:24Speaker 2: around how they feel about someone in a campaign?
- 2:27Speaker 3: Just about now. I mean, we're seeing it take over
- 2:31Speaker 3: the six o'clock news. You're seeing it more on your
- 2:33Speaker 3: social feeds because campaigns are ramping up, especially as they
- 2:36Speaker 3: start to complete the team. And we're about in that
- 2:40Speaker 3: phase of the campaign where all candidates will be announced
- 2:43Speaker 3: because of the deadline from elections BC on October 3rd.
- 2:47Speaker 3: And for those reasons, like everything is going to be
- 2:50Speaker 3: about these announcements. But The other part of this part
- 2:53Speaker 3: of the campaign, week two going into week three, is
- 2:57Speaker 3: you have an introduction to the candidate. You have an
- 2:59Speaker 3: introduction to potentially the slogan and the themes of the campaign.
- 3:03Speaker 3: And then you get into the fun stuff of the
- 3:06Speaker 3: policy of what distinguishes you versus your opponent. And that
- 3:10Speaker 3: is where I think the leaders are really going to
- 3:13Speaker 3: separate because they're actually going to be talking about what
- 3:17Speaker 3: they would deliver should they win government.
- 3:20Speaker 2: We'll bring up a couple of those in the next
- 3:22Speaker 2: segment after the breaks and policy stuff this week. Jeff,
- 3:26Speaker 2: what do you think of week two, LNG Canada, phase
- 3:28Speaker 2: two involved the Pacific Link, I think it's Pacific Link
- 3:32Speaker 2: oil pipeline, the West Coast pipeline from Alberta being brought
- 3:35Speaker 2: into the debate. How do you think it all landed?
- 3:37Speaker 1: I think it was a better week for the BCNDP
- 3:40Speaker 1: than the first, though that's not saying a whole lot.
- 3:43Speaker 1: The first week was brutal. I think we're still seeing
- 3:47Speaker 1: push back on the election call timing, but I think
- 3:50Speaker 1: that's subsiding. The polling has stabilized. The last show we
- 3:54Speaker 1: talked about an eight-point lead for the Conservatives. Now it's
- 3:57Speaker 1: down to two or three, with one showing the NDP.
- 4:00Speaker 1: It's very, very slightly ahead. You pointed out some of
- 4:04Speaker 1: the developments in this campaign week. Good news on LNG
- 4:07Speaker 1: Canada 2, government bringing home a final investment decision, positive
- 4:13Speaker 1: one for the province, billions in investment. thousands of jobs.
- 4:18Speaker 1: We saw the Howe Sound mill restart as well. More
- 4:22Speaker 1: good news for the NDP. And I think the hope
- 4:24Speaker 1: with that campaign is the conversation is going to turn
- 4:27Speaker 1: to change. What kind of change? And are the Conservatives
- 4:32Speaker 1: too risky of change?
- 4:34Speaker 4: It is.
- 4:35Speaker 2: The narratives are kind of shifting a little bit, Gillian.
- 4:37Speaker 2: They're sort of finding their footing on the second week
- 4:41Speaker 2: of the campaign. What did you think of it all?
- 4:43Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the other kind of question, in addition
- 4:46Speaker 4: to what Jeff mentioned, is sort of like, can you
- 4:48Speaker 4: trust the NDP to deliver? And I think that's why
- 4:52Speaker 4: compared to 2020, we will see some lingering concerns about
- 4:58Speaker 4: the need for the snap election call continue to play
- 5:01Speaker 4: out as a dynamic throughout the campaign, although I think
- 5:03Speaker 4: to a lesser degree, but I think I expect it
- 5:04Speaker 4: to sort of still be sort of like an underlying
- 5:07Speaker 4: dynamic of like, what game is EB really trying to
- 5:10Speaker 4: play here? What is he really trying to accomplish? And
- 5:13Speaker 4: What can we expect if we decide to trust him again?
- 5:16Speaker 4: I think, you know, government was happy to be or
- 5:21Speaker 4: the NDP was happy to be talking about issues. It
- 5:25Speaker 4: is very remarkable to me how similar the Conservatives and
- 5:29Speaker 4: the NDP sound now that Dirksen is a more moderate
- 5:33Speaker 4: leader and with the NDP moving more towards the right,
- 5:35Speaker 4: there isn't a ton of daylight. They kind of spent
- 5:37Speaker 4: the week trading different kinds of um, tax cuts, uh, without, um,
- 5:43Speaker 4: any discussion of how they are going to pay for it. Um, it, it's, uh,
- 5:48Speaker 4: it's interesting, uh, to me that the NDP seems so,
- 5:53Speaker 4: to be so lacking with the sort of broad strategy,
- 5:55Speaker 4: given that they were the ones that called the snap election.
- 5:57Speaker 2: And also even on the candidates, I think, uh, recording this, uh,
- 6:01Speaker 2: late in the week, but I think the conservatives have
- 6:03Speaker 2: become the first party to name all 93 candidates, which
- 6:05Speaker 2: is extraordinary to me when it was the NDP snap
- 6:09Speaker 2: election that, that they knew was coming, and they're slow
- 6:12Speaker 2: out of the gate on candidates. Anyways, I'll add that
- 6:16Speaker 2: to the list of questions. Maybe we answer at the
- 6:18Speaker 2: end of the campaign when everyone kind of picks this
- 6:20Speaker 2: up and figures out how it went. Okay, let's take
- 6:22Speaker 2: a quick break because we've got lots of policy items
- 6:24Speaker 2: and Jillian mentioned tax breaks to go through. We'll do
- 6:27Speaker 2: that coming up right after the break. Welcome back. The
- 6:30Speaker 2: second week of the provincial election brought some tax cut
- 6:34Speaker 2: proposals from the BC Conservatives and the NDP. The Conservatives
- 6:38Speaker 2: starting today by promising to eliminate the 10% PST on
- 6:43Speaker 2: Canadian alcohol at liquor stores and restaurants during the U.S.
- 6:47Speaker 2: trade war. That could save you a couple bucks on
- 6:50Speaker 2: a $ 20 bottle of wine or your beverage of choice.
- 6:55Speaker 2: The NDP turning around promising to cut 10 cents a
- 6:58Speaker 2: liter off the provincial fuel tax on gasoline could save
- 7:02Speaker 2: you around 20 bucks on a tank of gas depending
- 7:06Speaker 2: on your vehicle. Both parties accused each other of not
- 7:10Speaker 2: being able to figure out how to fund their costs,
- 7:13Speaker 2: which is amusing. We'll maybe start with that and go around.
- 7:16Speaker 2: But they're both affordability promises. Ali, we'll start with you
- 7:19Speaker 2: again on this. They're both, you know, designed, it looks like,
- 7:23Speaker 2: to show voters in real time when they're pulling their
- 7:27Speaker 2: wallets out that they're getting a break. What did you
- 7:30Speaker 2: think of both of them and how do you think
- 7:31Speaker 2: they landed and the kind of reaction to them as well?
- 7:34Speaker 3: Before I get to that, though, I mean, it's really
- 7:37Speaker 3: hypocritical for anybody on the NDP side to say that
- 7:40Speaker 3: they're finally going to be able to deliver affordability, anything,
- 7:44Speaker 3: when they had the opportunity to do it during the
- 7:46Speaker 3: fall session. And so we scrapped that and went into
- 7:49Speaker 3: the election, I think, like, What Jillian mentioned in the
- 7:52Speaker 3: ability to trust whoever is saying what, and that being
- 7:56Speaker 3: one of the key issues with this campaign, I think
- 7:59Speaker 3: that's exactly it. So we're going to see a lot
- 8:02Speaker 3: of similar policy potentially when it comes to these affordability things,
- 8:06Speaker 3: because ultimately that is what's on the minds of a
- 8:11Speaker 3: lot of British Columbians right now. But it's who is
- 8:14Speaker 3: going to be able to deliver it. And my problem
- 8:18Speaker 3: is we could have done this in a fall session
- 8:20Speaker 3: and we're not doing it, but that's my rant on that. Um,
- 8:25Speaker 3: now when it comes to the, this policy, they are
- 8:28Speaker 3: going to be very similar. Like we are seeing the
- 8:30Speaker 3: NDP be somewhat a center in their approach and the
- 8:34Speaker 3: conservatives really coming up with some really great ideas, uh,
- 8:38Speaker 3: that aren't to the NDP's chagrin, uh, so far right
- 8:43Speaker 3: that it's not relatable to voters.
- 8:48Speaker 2: The PST cut from the NDP, Jeff, is something that
- 8:54Speaker 2: the party has resisted for a long time. And the
- 8:57Speaker 2: argument has always been, we need the money for revenue,
- 9:01Speaker 2: but also the gas company is just going to swoop
- 9:02Speaker 2: it in if we cut the gas price and take
- 9:04Speaker 2: the profit, like what appears to have occurred with the
- 9:07Speaker 2: carbon tax and the federal excise tax. how do you
- 9:11Speaker 2: think that promise landed versus the liquor promise?
- 9:14Speaker 1: Yeah, I think on the, will they swoop in and
- 9:18Speaker 1: take up the tax room? I think the other side
- 9:20Speaker 1: of the NDP announcement that I haven't talked about is
- 9:23Speaker 1: about regulating the oil and gas companies. It's what's done
- 9:27Speaker 1: in Atlantic Canada, and it prevents the kind of corporate
- 9:29Speaker 1: windfall profits and tax room taking that you flagged there.
- 9:35Speaker 1: I think what the policy means for the NDP is
- 9:37Speaker 1: they're looking to have their 2026 tolls off bridges moment,
- 9:42Speaker 1: you know, an easy to understand pocketbook policy that appeals
- 9:45Speaker 1: to swing voters in the suburbs, inspired by Wap Canoe,
- 9:48Speaker 1: who did this in the most recent Manitoba election campaign,
- 9:52Speaker 1: and it worked really well. I think the issue that
- 9:56Speaker 1: I have with the boost tax, I like to support
- 9:59Speaker 1: candidates loggers and ales like every other good British Columbian
- 10:04Speaker 1: who's of age. But the problem is that you can't
- 10:06Speaker 1: actually do what the Conservatives are saying they want to
- 10:09Speaker 1: do because we have trade deals. We have a trade
- 10:12Speaker 1: deal with Europe that says that if we unilaterally change
- 10:16Speaker 1: domestic tax treatment of a good that's in that trade deal,
- 10:19Speaker 1: it would trigger an international trade dispute and legal challenges.
- 10:22Speaker 2: Damn those Europeans, straight to Brussels.
- 10:26Speaker 1: So it strikes me that it's like the action of
- 10:28Speaker 1: a party that's making it up as it goes along.
- 10:31Speaker 1: And that's, you know, people should ask if this is
- 10:34Speaker 1: their big tax measure and they can't actually do it,
- 10:37Speaker 1: are they ready to actually govern?
- 10:39Speaker 2: I haven't, I have to be fair. This is the
- 10:41Speaker 2: first time I've ever heard that criticism.
- 10:44Speaker 3: I did.
- 10:45Speaker 2: I was unaware that the conservatives couldn't do it because
- 10:47Speaker 2: of the EU trade deal. But that's an interesting take. Anyways, Jillian,
- 10:51Speaker 2: what do you think?
- 10:53Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, it's so interesting, like that this is
- 10:55Speaker 4: the first time we're all hearing that it sounds like
- 10:57Speaker 4: super valid. It really goes to like, what is the
- 11:01Speaker 4: problem with snap elections, because there just isn't the time
- 11:04Speaker 4: and the resources both from the other campaigns and from
- 11:06Speaker 4: the media to assess the policies and to really provide
- 11:10Speaker 4: the scrutiny that is required to give voters good information
- 11:13Speaker 4: to make their decisions. And I think that's another reason
- 11:16Speaker 4: why sort of like sour taste of the snap election
- 11:19Speaker 4: will persist is because it just feels so chaotic and
- 11:23Speaker 4: hectic and disorganized from all parties at a time where
- 11:29Speaker 4: people really want certainty and clarity and strong leadership. So
- 11:33Speaker 4: I think it's really hard for anybody to do well.
- 11:37Speaker 4: On the gas tax, I mean, again, I think We
- 11:40Speaker 4: already saw EB backtrack on the carbon tax. I think it,
- 11:44Speaker 4: although so many people are looking for relief right now,
- 11:47Speaker 4: I think it just sort of like hits a little
- 11:49Speaker 4: bit at the like whatever was left of the progressive
- 11:52Speaker 4: brand of the NDP for people and makes more room
- 11:57Speaker 4: for the Greens, I think. Also, it tells us where
- 12:00Speaker 4: they think the battle is. They think that they're fighting
- 12:02Speaker 4: for commuters, for people in the lower mainland. And, you know,
- 12:07Speaker 4: I mean, that's kind of the case every election. But
- 12:09Speaker 4: I think that that really tells us where we're going
- 12:10Speaker 4: to be watching on election night to see where the
- 12:12Speaker 4: vote counts come in.
- 12:14Speaker 2: Jillian, staying with you on this one, then we'll go
- 12:16Speaker 2: around again. The question, and Ali has brought this up,
- 12:20Speaker 2: the response to the NDP plan in part was, wait
- 12:23Speaker 2: a second, in 2024, there was a promise from the
- 12:26Speaker 2: NDP for a $ 1, 000 grocery rebate. Markey Promise got in,
- 12:30Speaker 2: didn't do it. Can they be trusted to do it
- 12:33Speaker 2: this time? And the premier, the NDP leader, when he
- 12:37Speaker 2: was asked that question, didn't really have this convoluted answer about, well,
- 12:40Speaker 2: we eliminated the carbon tax, therefore the money that had
- 12:42Speaker 2: to flow through needed to be net neutral, so we
- 12:45Speaker 2: were pressured on this side and we couldn't, and he
- 12:47Speaker 2: was like, okay. Do you think that, I mean, I
- 12:51Speaker 2: guess it's the issue of a government that's been in
- 12:54Speaker 2: power for as long as the NDP have it, nine
- 12:56Speaker 2: years ago. to what extent do their promises in the
- 12:59Speaker 2: campaign get kind of thrown back in their face? Even
- 13:02Speaker 2: if they look popular, like they look great, but the
- 13:06Speaker 2: time they've been in government undermines their own promise. Like what,
- 13:09Speaker 2: how much of that do you think we might see?
- 13:12Speaker 4: Totally. And I think the NDP seems a little bit
- 13:14Speaker 4: caught off guard because I don't know if that's been
- 13:16Speaker 4: as strong of a dynamic for them in the previous campaigns,
- 13:19Speaker 4: because even though, you know, 2024 was the third election and,
- 13:24Speaker 4: that they won, it was EB's first. And so I
- 13:28Speaker 4: think people were still kind of giving him a little
- 13:29Speaker 4: bit more benefit of the doubt, like see what he
- 13:32Speaker 4: can offer and what he can deliver. And I said
- 13:35Speaker 4: this on The Daily Show as well. I think it
- 13:37Speaker 4: also shows us how much the NDP is also making
- 13:40Speaker 4: this up as they go along. Because when we go
- 13:41Speaker 4: back to the spring, to the budget, where they made
- 13:43Speaker 4: all these cuts and they didn't deliver on so many
- 13:46Speaker 4: of their promises, I thought there was no way they
- 13:49Speaker 4: would go to a snap election. And then they called
- 13:51Speaker 4: the by-election against Carrie Lynn Finley. I think as recently
- 13:54Speaker 4: as like, you know, a month or two ago, they
- 13:57Speaker 4: also didn't think that we were going to be in
- 13:58Speaker 4: a snap election. And again, I think voters are really
- 14:02Speaker 4: seeing that, that it feels very destabilizing that there is
- 14:05Speaker 4: not really any party that has a really clear, thoughtful
- 14:09Speaker 4: plan for leading us through like very difficult times and
- 14:12Speaker 4: difficult decisions ahead.
- 14:14Speaker 2: Jeff, what do you think of that? How much of
- 14:15Speaker 2: a risk is it for government when they're, for the
- 14:18Speaker 2: governing party, when they're making announcements, but they've been in
- 14:21Speaker 2: power for so long and an opposition's able to, or
- 14:25Speaker 2: other parties are able to throw it back in their
- 14:26Speaker 2: face and kind of say, you're running against yourself in
- 14:30Speaker 2: a way with your own tax cuts on yourself that
- 14:33Speaker 2: you could have done earlier or didn't do in the past.
- 14:37Speaker 1: Yeah, it's the curse of incumbency in an election. You
- 14:39Speaker 1: have 10 years of tough decisions that you've made of
- 14:44Speaker 1: people feeling that you haven't followed through on some things.
- 14:47Speaker 1: The government hopes that Voters recognize that they followed through
- 14:52Speaker 1: on most of what they promised and put the province
- 14:57Speaker 1: on the right track. And we'll see what voters think
- 15:00Speaker 1: of all that in this campaign with how they mark
- 15:03Speaker 1: their ballots. I wanted to go back to something Gillian
- 15:06Speaker 1: said about the NDP moving too far to the center
- 15:09Speaker 1: based on this announcement. I think that it actually appeals
- 15:12Speaker 1: to the left flank of the NDP in the sense
- 15:16Speaker 1: of the gas tax announcement, because it's all about mistrust
- 15:20Speaker 1: of corporations and corporate greed. And in that respect, it
- 15:25Speaker 1: kind of goes into, and we'll talk about the Greens
- 15:28Speaker 1: in the next segment, but the Greens have really staked
- 15:31Speaker 1: out that territory as well, the anti-corporate, anti-rapacious capitalism agenda.
- 15:38Speaker 1: And I think that this announcement from the NDP appeals
- 15:41Speaker 1: to those folks.
- 15:42Speaker 2: I'll be interested to see, I asked the NDP for
- 15:45Speaker 2: some details on the gas cut because there isn't 10
- 15:49Speaker 2: cents a liter on the motor fuel tax in Vancouver.
- 15:52Speaker 2: There's only $ 1. 75. The rest comes from transit. And so
- 15:57Speaker 2: the answer to what they're actually doing here is they're
- 16:00Speaker 2: cutting funding for TransLink and BC Transit and then restoring
- 16:05Speaker 2: it back in cash. So they're cutting money that would
- 16:09Speaker 2: go from the pump to public transit and then giving
- 16:11Speaker 2: it back to public transit to make them whole to
- 16:13Speaker 2: fund the tax cut, which is complicated and weird and...
- 16:18Speaker 2: just goes to show this policy is a little bit
- 16:20Speaker 2: odd because it really isn't 10 cents a liter in
- 16:22Speaker 2: provincial motor fuel tax. Some of it is TransLink tax. Anyways,
- 16:25Speaker 2: there's my rant. Sometimes I do the rants. Sometimes I
- 16:29Speaker 2: get the feelings and I do the rants. It's fine.
- 16:31Speaker 2: It's okay. Ali, back to you on the incumbency curse,
- 16:35Speaker 2: but also advantage, as Jeff has pointed out, because people
- 16:39Speaker 2: know who you are and sometimes they trust you and
- 16:41Speaker 2: they recognize you and they like you or they're loyal
- 16:43Speaker 2: to you. And that issue here on some of these promises.
- 16:48Speaker 3: I'd like to also remind people of just the trends
- 16:51Speaker 3: that we've seen with David Eby. And that's when he's
- 16:54Speaker 3: in hot water, he likes to deflect and pin it
- 16:56Speaker 3: on a senior former cabinet minister or somebody else. And
- 17:00Speaker 3: I think that that's probably what we're going to see
- 17:02Speaker 3: here too, that if he ever gets into hot water,
- 17:05Speaker 3: he always gets somebody else to be on the microphone
- 17:07Speaker 3: rather than him. But you can't escape that in an election.
- 17:12Speaker 3: So that's going to be something to watch out for.
- 17:14Speaker 3: But then When it comes to more of the platform things,
- 17:16Speaker 3: because I was very interested in what Jillian was saying,
- 17:19Speaker 3: because of the snap election, are we really getting these
- 17:22Speaker 3: thoughtfully laid out things? Again, how is this surprising for
- 17:27Speaker 3: the NDP? Theirs should be the most thought out because
- 17:30Speaker 3: they had the longest runway since they're the ones who
- 17:33Speaker 3: decided that we were going to be in this.
- 17:35Speaker 4: But.
- 17:36Speaker 3: Once the platform comes out, that's when we can kind
- 17:39Speaker 3: of get into how this would be delivered. And maybe
- 17:42Speaker 3: we'll be able to answer the question that Jeff was
- 17:44Speaker 3: saying about the European issue. But I think the incumbency
- 17:50Speaker 3: issue that we're talking about, people will be reminded that
- 17:55Speaker 3: David Eby doesn't like to answer the tough questions.
- 17:59Speaker 2: I'll tell you this. I'm not letting anyone from Bilderberg
- 18:02Speaker 2: take my toonie away and savings on my wine. Feel
- 18:07Speaker 2: free to use that one.
- 18:08Speaker 4: You tell it, Rob.
- 18:12Speaker 2: Tumbleweed goes by. All right. Let's take a quick break.
- 18:16Speaker 2: When we come back, we'll talk about some of the
- 18:18Speaker 2: positions the BC Greens have staked out, which are super interesting,
- 18:21Speaker 2: right after this. Welcome back. Interesting to focus a little
- 18:25Speaker 2: bit on the BC Greens here, the only party talking
- 18:28Speaker 2: about AI regulations, overdose prevention plans, and the toxic drug crisis.
- 18:34Speaker 2: Restoring community housing funds, rent caps tied to units, not tenants,
- 18:41Speaker 2: pipeline and environmental concerns. Very interesting that the Greens kind
- 18:48Speaker 2: of have their own space in this election to talk
- 18:50Speaker 2: about issues that otherwise other parties in the past had
- 18:53Speaker 2: talked about. Jillian, how do you think it's going for
- 18:55Speaker 2: the Greens?
- 18:56Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, what's so interesting is that the things
- 18:59Speaker 4: that the Greens have come out with, obviously in support
- 19:00Speaker 4: of them all, they're not different from what the Greens
- 19:02Speaker 4: have campaigned on under Sonia Firstenow or even under Andrew Weaver.
- 19:06Speaker 4: What's different is, like I said before, how much the
- 19:08Speaker 4: NDP has shifted to abandoning those issues. canceling the Community
- 19:12Speaker 4: Housing Fund, which was like slated for real projects in
- 19:14Speaker 4: many communities, including ones where the Greens could pick up support,
- 19:19Speaker 4: like Nelson and child care, that was a shared promise
- 19:23Speaker 4: that they worked on that the NDP have since frozen.
- 19:27Speaker 4: But the Greens have campaigned on universal child care since 2017,
- 19:31Speaker 4: when Andrew Weaver was leader. So it really is sort
- 19:33Speaker 4: of like an abandonment of that space and all of
- 19:36Speaker 4: those issues. And shift of the NDP to sort of
- 19:39Speaker 4: competing on what they see as sort of like these
- 19:43Speaker 4: kind of popcorn issues of the day in this campaign.
- 19:48Speaker 4: I think it's still going to be really hard to
- 19:49Speaker 4: break through, especially if we continue to see the Conservatives
- 19:52Speaker 4: and the NDP pull neck and neck. But another really
- 19:55Speaker 4: interesting thing is that the NDP did not nominate really
- 19:58Speaker 4: strong candidates in the two incumbent Green ridings. And I
- 20:01Speaker 4: think that tells us that they are sort of aware
- 20:03Speaker 4: that they're abandoning this abandoning this space and that they're
- 20:06Speaker 4: going to probably not ever be able to accomplish their
- 20:09Speaker 4: goal of wiping the Greens off the map, at least
- 20:10Speaker 4: not this time.
- 20:12Speaker 2: Jeff, just quickly, how do you think the Greens are
- 20:15Speaker 2: doing here talking about issues that really no one else
- 20:18Speaker 2: is talking about?
- 20:19Speaker 1: Jillian, besmirching good NDP candidates. I can't believe it. I
- 20:22Speaker 1: think the Greens have some good ideas. I think their
- 20:25Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders politics is calculated and smart. I think that
- 20:30Speaker 1: there's a broad range of voters who find leaders like
- 20:33Speaker 1: Sonia First and Emily Lowen, that they resonate, that they
- 20:38Speaker 1: like them. I think the struggle in First Past the
- 20:41Speaker 1: Post is that if you're trying to be the conscience
- 20:43Speaker 1: of the legislature, you find yourself wrapped up in a
- 20:48Speaker 1: binary choice between two other choices who will drive the
- 20:52Speaker 1: vote dynamics on election day. So, and I think folks
- 20:56Speaker 1: want to see the Greens have a role in the
- 20:57Speaker 1: legislature as a conscience, but if you can't form government,
- 21:00Speaker 1: it's going to be really tough for you to break through.
- 21:02Speaker 2: Allie, just quickly, what do you think?
- 21:04Speaker 3: Well, the easiest thing that we will likely see is
- 21:07Speaker 3: that one of these parties, the NDP or the Conservatives,
- 21:10Speaker 3: might just take one of these ideas as well, which
- 21:12Speaker 3: we've seen with the Green, pardon me, with Green policy before.
- 21:17Speaker 2: Mm-hmm. Yeah, that's possible. We still got three weeks left,
- 21:20Speaker 2: I think. Oh my God, three weeks.
- 21:22Speaker 3: Oh Lord.
- 21:23Speaker 2: I mean, three weeks of the campaign left. Any party
- 21:26Speaker 2: could pick these up at any point too.
- 21:28Speaker 1: Okay, great.
- 21:29Speaker 2: Thank you so much to the panel for being here.
- 21:31Speaker 2: Thank you for watching. Make sure you subscribe to the
- 21:33Speaker 2: show in the audio format and Political Capital Daily. We're
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- 21:40Speaker 2: next week with all the latest in BC politics here
- 21:43Speaker 2: on Political Capital.