Latest / The Chuck ToddCast / Chuck’s Commentary - Trump Fires Pam Bondi, What Comes Next Will Be Worse + Trump Has NO Good Options In Iran
Transcript
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- 1:41Speaker 1: rates may vary. Hello there, welcome to a Yes special
- 1:47Speaker 1: Friday edition. I told you I was delaying and upload
- 1:52Speaker 1: for twenty four hours. We had passed over. Of course
- 1:56Speaker 1: I was doing. I know today is good Friday. We
- 1:58Speaker 1: got Easter on Sunday, so I'm aware this is to
- 2:00Speaker 1: be a big holiday weekend. But the news doesn't stop.
- 2:05Speaker 1: In fact, the President made an unusual decision. I think
- 2:07Speaker 1: a strange decision to give a speech to the nation
- 2:09Speaker 1: on April Fool's Day, on the first night of passover
- 2:12Speaker 1: about a war in the Middle East. It seemed like
- 2:14Speaker 1: a strange timing decision. It was a speech arguably that
- 2:18Speaker 1: he should have given a month, if not more ago.
- 2:23Speaker 1: But look, we've got a lot going on here. In fact,
- 2:25Speaker 1: I just want to give you a quick rundown of today.
- 2:27Speaker 1: I'm going to get a little bit more in Iran.
- 2:29Speaker 1: I know I did do a special sort of reaction
- 2:32Speaker 1: to the speech that's been sitting on YouTube. Some of
- 2:34Speaker 1: you may have heard that already. We'll have a little
- 2:37Speaker 1: bit of update on the Pambondi situation. Of course, we'll
- 2:41Speaker 1: have questions and hey, when you're By the time you're
- 2:45Speaker 1: listening to this, we're going to be minutes away from
- 2:48Speaker 1: first pitch for the NAT's home opener Nationals Dodgers where
- 2:51Speaker 1: I'll be. So if you see me, give me a
- 2:54Speaker 1: little toodcast cheesery if you will. But I digress. But look,
- 2:59Speaker 1: let's start quickly. I want to do the Pambondi situation first,
- 3:04Speaker 1: and then I want to come back on Iran because
- 3:07Speaker 1: I want to give you a little bit of a
- 3:09Speaker 1: preview of my guest on my Newsphere show this week,
- 3:11Speaker 1: which hit drops on Sunday night. It's Daniel Jurgen, who's
- 3:15Speaker 1: probably the most knowledgeable person in this country, if not
- 3:23Speaker 1: the world, on the energy markets. He wrote arguably the
- 3:28Speaker 1: bible on understanding energy markets. The prize for me, it's
- 3:33Speaker 1: a very just if you care about the energy markets
- 3:39Speaker 1: and you care about what all this means, this is
- 3:41Speaker 1: probably the bible of that. It won the Pulitzer Prize.
- 3:46Speaker 1: As he said to me, he goes, he goes this book,
- 3:49Speaker 1: it just doesn't die, It just keeps living. And it's like, yes,
- 3:52Speaker 1: yes it does. But let's just say, mister Jurgen didn't
- 3:56Speaker 1: have a lot of positive things to say about where
- 3:58Speaker 1: the economy has headed. But I'm going to get that
- 4:00Speaker 1: in a minute. I want to start with the Pam
- 4:02Speaker 1: Bondi situation. So the President decides to fire pambody. What's
- 4:08Speaker 1: interesting is that there seemed to have been bipartisan calls
- 4:11Speaker 1: for her to be fired, and it's quote unquote handling
- 4:14Speaker 1: of the Epstein files. But I think we all need
- 4:17Speaker 1: to realize, yes, why did Donald Trump fire her? Did
- 4:22Speaker 1: he fire her? Because he thought she didn't handle the
- 4:24Speaker 1: Epstein files. Well, did he fire her because she wasn't
- 4:29Speaker 1: more open with the Epstein files? Did he fire her
- 4:33Speaker 1: because she was doing too many partisan prosecutions or not
- 4:36Speaker 1: enough partisan prosecutions? And to understand, you know, I think
- 4:44Speaker 1: Pam Bondi is Jeff Sessions, And that's what I think
- 4:47Speaker 1: everybody needs to understand here. Pambondy is Jeff Sessions, somebody
- 4:52Speaker 1: who got the job because the president thought they'd be
- 4:56Speaker 1: loyal and got the job because the person promised to loyal.
- 5:02Speaker 1: But I think Pam Bondi had the same respect for
- 5:07Speaker 1: some parts of the institution that Jeff Sessions had, and
- 5:09Speaker 1: there were certain things she wouldn't do or certain things
- 5:13Speaker 1: she was uncomfortable doing, and you could kind of tell,
- 5:19Speaker 1: right she'd be hand handed about it in one hand
- 5:22Speaker 1: and then sort of you know, picked inters. Let Todd
- 5:27Speaker 1: blanche the President's personal attorney who's the Deputy Attorney General,
- 5:30Speaker 1: sort of deal with the political side of things. And
- 5:33Speaker 1: I think it's clear. You know, it's funny. It's one
- 5:37Speaker 1: of these things where I know it's going to sound
- 5:39Speaker 1: like I'm defending Pambondi. It's not defending Panbondi here. But
- 5:44Speaker 1: it's you know, remember why he chose to fire her, right,
- 5:50Speaker 1: he didn't do it for the reasons many of you
- 5:53Speaker 1: think made her deserving of being fired. And I think
- 5:57Speaker 1: that is extraordinarily important in the moment. And let's remind
- 6:02Speaker 1: let's look at who he named acting attorney general. His
- 6:05Speaker 1: person is one time personal attorney, which is, you know,
- 6:08Speaker 1: the greatest conflict of interest that you could put into
- 6:11Speaker 1: that position. And now it's all the way up at
- 6:13Speaker 1: attorney general. But the issue is, it is impossible to
- 6:18Speaker 1: be Donald Trump's attorney general. He does not believe in separation,
- 6:23Speaker 1: He does not believe in a fair judiciary system. He
- 6:27Speaker 1: wants to weaponize it. He has said he wants to
- 6:30Speaker 1: weaponize it right and how to? And he he wants
- 6:34Speaker 1: to weaponize it because he believes it was weaponized against him. Right,
- 6:37Speaker 1: it's all a revenge to her, and everything is, everything
- 6:40Speaker 1: is reactionary with him, and it's probably not. It shouldn't
- 6:45Speaker 1: be lost on anybody that that you know Donald Trump's
- 6:50Speaker 1: entire adult life, basically his first foray into helping run
- 6:54Speaker 1: his father's business was a run in with the Department
- 6:58Speaker 1: of Justice when he first had to hire roy Combe
- 7:02Speaker 1: to beat back the Justice Department on racial discrimination issues
- 7:07Speaker 1: involving him and his father's business. So is no doubt
- 7:13Speaker 1: that he is. He'd views it as an antagonist and
- 7:17Speaker 1: he wants to essentially being in charge of it, use
- 7:19Speaker 1: it and deploy the Justice Department to serve his needs
- 7:24Speaker 1: and to serve his political so political end. So I
- 7:30Speaker 1: really this is such an odd thing here, but you
- 7:33Speaker 1: know it's it very much to me mirrors mirrors the
- 7:41Speaker 1: Jeff Session situation. But to understand, you know, Pam Bondy,
- 7:46Speaker 1: you know, there's an interesting lesson here. I teach this
- 7:48Speaker 1: class how Washington works. Many of you have brought it
- 7:52Speaker 1: up before, and one of the I brought one of
- 7:55Speaker 1: the guest speakers that I brought in is somebody who
- 8:04Speaker 1: who basically had to got punished because of who he
- 8:09Speaker 1: worked for. And I'm living because this stuff's off the record,
- 8:15Speaker 1: and I always want to promise that to my guest speakers.
- 8:19Speaker 1: But the lesson I want my students to im parts
- 8:22Speaker 1: like be careful when you know politics is it's a
- 8:25Speaker 1: team sport at times. But you know, when you work
- 8:27Speaker 1: for an individual politician, you may be asked to do
- 8:30Speaker 1: things that you may feel morally is unacceptable, ethically as unacceptable,
- 8:37Speaker 1: or is actually illegal. Donald Trump doesn't care about anything
- 8:45Speaker 1: other than the loyalty. And it's just interesting. And I
- 8:50Speaker 1: think that if you understand Pam Bondi's origin story, I
- 8:58Speaker 1: think it will it. It strikes me is we won't
- 9:02Speaker 1: know the specific reason why what happened that Trump just
- 9:06Speaker 1: said he had enough right, but it was not because
- 9:10Speaker 1: she was not more forthcoming about the Epstein files. Trust me,
- 9:15Speaker 1: he's mad that she hasn't put that away. And I
- 9:19Speaker 1: promise you the next Attorney general is is not going
- 9:22Speaker 1: to be given a mandate to be more forthcoming with
- 9:24Speaker 1: the Epstein files to Congress. And since she got herself
- 9:30Speaker 1: subpoena then got herself by the Oversight Committee, he just
- 9:35Speaker 1: wanted to prevent that from ever happening. I'll be curious
- 9:38Speaker 1: to see if that subpoena still stands, if she's no
- 9:40Speaker 1: longer attorney general. But to understand, you know, you know,
- 9:47Speaker 1: Pam Bondi could have easily become an Attorney general in
- 9:49Speaker 1: a democratic administration. And I know some of your thinking,
- 9:53Speaker 1: what are you talking about, Chuck? Have you lost it?
- 9:58Speaker 1: She was actually a Democrat until two thousand. Let me
- 10:01Speaker 1: give you a reminder. She she she's the daughter her father,
- 10:05Speaker 1: Joseph Bondi, was a local politician. He was the mayor.
- 10:11Speaker 1: He was the mayor of a small town in the seventies.
- 10:15Speaker 1: So she's sort of grew up in the world of politics. Now,
- 10:18Speaker 1: she grew up. You know, she was in democratic politics
- 10:21Speaker 1: in the South, which could be very conservative. Right, we
- 10:24Speaker 1: know this, all of you know this. Many Many, a
- 10:27Speaker 1: Democrat of the seventies, eighties, and even through the nineties,
- 10:31Speaker 1: eventually switched to the Republican Party. Come come the twenty
- 10:34Speaker 1: first century. But what's interesting about her career. You know,
- 10:40Speaker 1: she graduated law school from Stetson. It's a school the Land, Florida,
- 10:44Speaker 1: sort of kind of halfway between Daytona and Orlando, but
- 10:50Speaker 1: it's in that general area. It's not on the water.
- 10:53Speaker 1: It's kind of Inland a little bit. Stetson is a
- 10:56Speaker 1: great college baseball team, by the way, that's like the
- 10:58Speaker 1: one it's their one d one sport I think is baseball.
- 11:03Speaker 1: It's always at a row respected law school. It was
- 11:05Speaker 1: one of the only law schools in the state for
- 11:07Speaker 1: a while. Now, I mean there was a time Florida
- 11:09Speaker 1: State didn't have a law school they do now, et cetera,
- 11:12Speaker 1: So she goes to sets in law school. She spent
- 11:16Speaker 1: more than eighteen years a prosecutor in Hillsboro County, which
- 11:19Speaker 1: is you know, Tampa, big, big Tampa Bay area. Her specialism,
- 11:26Speaker 1: she specialized in prosecuting child abuse cases. She was more
- 11:32Speaker 1: of a true legal beagle, if you would call it now.
- 11:38Speaker 1: She switched to the Republican Party around two thousand, but
- 11:41Speaker 1: she didn't really enter politics, if you will, until two
- 11:44Speaker 1: thousand and nine. She left her prosecutor job and entered
- 11:47Speaker 1: the race for Florida Attorney General, which by the way,
- 11:50Speaker 1: at one point was going to feature Marco Rubio, and
- 11:53Speaker 1: then he decided instead to run for the US Senate
- 11:57Speaker 1: and challenge a sitting governor who decided not to seek
- 12:01Speaker 1: reelection but to see US Senate seat at the time
- 12:03Speaker 1: a Republican named Charlie Criss. Well. I think we all
- 12:05Speaker 1: know what happened there. The irony is if Chris and
- 12:11Speaker 1: Rubio had worked out their deal where Rubio runs for
- 12:15Speaker 1: AG and doesn't primary Christ, which was a deal that
- 12:19Speaker 1: was in the making, and there was a twenty four
- 12:21Speaker 1: hour period where it looked like that was going to happen.
- 12:23Speaker 1: Pan Bondi never enters, perhaps never even enters Republican politics.
- 12:29Speaker 1: But she wins the attorney general race in twenty ten,
- 12:33Speaker 1: and it's in twenty thirteen, and this is an important story.
- 12:36Speaker 1: The origin of the Bondi Trump relationship is very transactional.
- 12:43Speaker 1: In twenty thirteen, when she was attorney general, she received
- 12:47Speaker 1: at least twenty two fraud complaints about Trump University. Her
- 12:52Speaker 1: office was considering joining a lawsuit that was being brought
- 12:56Speaker 1: against Trump University by the New York Attorney General, Eric Schneiderman.
- 13:01Speaker 1: Four days later, though, when that word got out that
- 13:04Speaker 1: Florida might join, this would be a bipartisan lawsuit against
- 13:07Speaker 1: Trump University, Trump pack donated twenty five thousand dollars to
- 13:13Speaker 1: her re election committee, and then Pam Bondi declined to
- 13:16Speaker 1: join the lawsuit. Well, that brought her into Trump's orbit.
- 13:20Speaker 1: She becomes part of the Trump transition in twenty sixteen,
- 13:23Speaker 1: she becomes an impeachment defense attorney in twenty twenty, and then,
- 13:28Speaker 1: of course was the backup plan after the mac Gates
- 13:30Speaker 1: implosion to bag the start of the second term. The
- 13:35Speaker 1: point is is that she she sort of spent half
- 13:43Speaker 1: her adult life and half of her legal career just
- 13:46Speaker 1: being a career prosecutor sort of and less a politician.
- 13:52Speaker 1: And then when she entered the world of politics, yes,
- 13:55Speaker 1: through the law an elected attorney general, that's when she
- 13:59Speaker 1: started to transactional. But I have no doubt, and I
- 14:04Speaker 1: don't know this for fact yet, but we know these
- 14:07Speaker 1: stories are going to come out that there were certain
- 14:09Speaker 1: lines she just wasn't going to cross because she kind
- 14:13Speaker 1: of respected the system. It's exactly what we saw with
- 14:15Speaker 1: Bill Barr. Right, Bill Barr as Trump's second attorney general
- 14:20Speaker 1: were confirmed Attorney General Matthew Whittaker was the acting in
- 14:23Speaker 1: between Sessions and bar. Bar's second attorney The bar was
- 14:31Speaker 1: there was clearly lines he wouldn't cross. Right. Look, he
- 14:34Speaker 1: was chicken shit to tell Trump no. It's why he
- 14:36Speaker 1: resigned early before January sixth. He knew what was coming,
- 14:39Speaker 1: he knew it was going to get asked from him,
- 14:40Speaker 1: asked of him, and apparently he didn't want to be
- 14:44Speaker 1: there for it, so he left it to his deputies
- 14:47Speaker 1: to have to stand up to Trump, which they did,
- 14:50Speaker 1: and kudos to mister Rosen for doing that. But it
- 14:55Speaker 1: was Barr's own way of basically saying there were certain
- 14:57Speaker 1: lines he wouldn't cross, and there's no doubt in my
- 15:01Speaker 1: mind there were certain lines she wouldn't cross. The irony
- 15:06Speaker 1: now is she's basically heard a reputation with the right,
- 15:08Speaker 1: and heard a reputation with the legal community, and heard
- 15:10Speaker 1: a reputation with the left. Right, so welcome to what
- 15:14Speaker 1: happens when you get sucked into Trump's world. You know,
- 15:16Speaker 1: this is a question that I remind people all the
- 15:18Speaker 1: time whose reputation has been enhanced by working for Donald Trump.
- 15:29Speaker 1: I joked with an appearance on the Boston Public Radio
- 15:32Speaker 1: earlier or earlier in the week, that is, I can
- 15:35Speaker 1: only think of two people, Michael Cohen oddly and Stormy Daniels. Yes,
- 15:42Speaker 1: it's a punchline, laugh it up. But again, I know
- 15:48Speaker 1: there's all sorts of celebrations about Panbine, but just remember
- 15:52Speaker 1: he didn't fire her for the reasons that maybe you
- 15:54Speaker 1: think she deserved to be fired for. That's not shouldn't
- 15:58Speaker 1: be caused for celebration. It actually should be caused for concern.
- 16:02Speaker 1: What's coming next to this Justice Department? That should concern everybody,
- 16:08Speaker 1: And it's a reminder that we have to radically change
- 16:11Speaker 1: I do not think we should have presidents, and I'll
- 16:13Speaker 1: I deal with this in a question later in the show.
- 16:16Speaker 1: But it's pretty clear that that having presidential appointed had
- 16:22Speaker 1: you know, you can if you want a trusted legal system,
- 16:27Speaker 1: you can't let an extraordinarily partisan president run the Justice Department.
- 16:33Speaker 1: And that's what we're saying very quickly on updating a
- 16:37Speaker 1: little bit. Like I said, I've I've said my piece
- 16:39Speaker 1: on the on the president's speech, I think he just looked.
- 16:41Speaker 1: I think this is a political disaster for him. And
- 16:44Speaker 1: after speeding with Daniel Daniel Jurgen, this is not this
- 16:49Speaker 1: is he called it. This is the worst. He said,
- 16:51Speaker 1: this is already worse than seventy three, worse than any
- 16:54Speaker 1: of the energy crises in the in the seventies, and
- 16:59Speaker 1: it's any sees there's only been two beneficiaries, as he said,
- 17:03Speaker 1: it's Russia in China, and there's only one country's military
- 17:12Speaker 1: that has the ability to keep the straight of hormones open,
- 17:16Speaker 1: and it's the United States. So we're stuck. He can
- 17:21Speaker 1: retreat and say other countries have to do this, They're
- 17:24Speaker 1: not gonna be able to do this, and the entire
- 17:26Speaker 1: it's going to be global contagion. As we learned during
- 17:29Speaker 1: the pandemic, the global economy is global, pure and simple,
- 17:35Speaker 1: and so this is this is there's no insulating ourselves
- 17:45Speaker 1: from this, none at all. And he's and he's put
- 17:51Speaker 1: us in a situation where leaving now and allowing the
- 17:56Speaker 1: remnants of the Iranian regime to act as the toll
- 18:00Speaker 1: bridge for oil for around the world is a disaster.
- 18:05Speaker 1: And it is only I mean, it is an energy
- 18:08Speaker 1: crisis that arguably created the stagflation crisis of the seventies.
- 18:12Speaker 1: And that's the situation we're staring at right now. It's
- 18:17Speaker 1: all it's lose lose situation at this point. And there's
- 18:21Speaker 1: a reason I keep telling you, don't follow what he says,
- 18:24Speaker 1: follow what we're doing. And we keep sending troops over there.
- 18:26Speaker 1: It's pretty clear we're going to probably have to use
- 18:29Speaker 1: ground troops to secure the strait of hormones because we're
- 18:33Speaker 1: the only entity that can secure the strait of hormones
- 18:35Speaker 1: that has the ability to use and if we don't
- 18:37Speaker 1: do it, we do risk we risk geopolitical problems that
- 18:42Speaker 1: maybe we haven't thought about yet. You know, maybe the
- 18:46Speaker 1: Gulf States decide the deal that they cut with the
- 18:49Speaker 1: United States, it didn't work it anymore, and they'll decide
- 18:51Speaker 1: to partner with China instead of the United States. There's
- 18:53Speaker 1: so many derivative disastrous scenarios from this if he just
- 19:00Speaker 1: pulls up and leaves, And yet there are so many
- 19:03Speaker 1: scenarios and disasters if we send in ground trips. Right,
- 19:07Speaker 1: This was why so many American presidents listened to their
- 19:12Speaker 1: military advisors and realized how hard and difficult this would be,
- 19:19Speaker 1: and you'd better be willing to do it all. And
- 19:21Speaker 1: he and we know he doesn't. So this is the
- 19:24Speaker 1: worst of all worlds. We have an impatient president who
- 19:33Speaker 1: just wants a result and doesn't really understand, apparently how
- 19:42Speaker 1: hard this is. And maybe didn't take geography when they
- 19:45Speaker 1: were teaching geography a pen. Maybe they didn't, maybe he
- 19:49Speaker 1: didn't take a geography class. But geography is not our
- 19:53Speaker 1: friend here, and that is a reason why so many
- 19:56Speaker 1: American presidents, as much as much as they wanted to
- 19:59Speaker 1: get get rid of that regime, realized it was a
- 20:02Speaker 1: lot harder than your thought. So on that upbeat note,
- 20:10Speaker 1: we're going to sneak in a break here, and when
- 20:12Speaker 1: we come back, we're going to talk about more geopolitical
- 20:17Speaker 1: problems around the world, but this one China and Taiwan.
- 20:21Speaker 1: But this is I mean, I really think that unfortunately
- 20:24Speaker 1: we are in a moment right NATO is no longer
- 20:28Speaker 1: effective as a current organization because if the American President
- 20:31Speaker 1: doesn't believe in it, it doesn't matter that he can't
- 20:35Speaker 1: technically withdrawal. It is not a functioning organization at the
- 20:40Speaker 1: moment if the American President is not interested in it.
- 20:45Speaker 1: And ask yourself right now what he would do if
- 20:50Speaker 1: Estonia was invaded by Russia a NATO ally, So he
- 20:58Speaker 1: is blown up NATO. He is risking America's essentially leadership,
- 21:08Speaker 1: at risk of handing China all sorts of economic and
- 21:14Speaker 1: stable relationships with other countries that we were in a
- 21:18Speaker 1: contest with China, and Donald Trump made a decision on
- 21:23Speaker 1: Iran that puts us on a path to losing that
- 21:25Speaker 1: contest with child. This episode of the Chuck Podcast is
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- 23:25Speaker 1: let's dig into some Friday questions here for the weekend,
- 23:31Speaker 1: and I'm going to begin with David B. Salt Lake City, Utah.
- 23:34Speaker 1: And he writes, Hey, it's my first time writing in. Welcome.
- 23:37Speaker 1: Glad to have you keep him coming. But your video
- 23:40Speaker 1: comparing today's political brinksmanship to the eighteen fifties really got
- 23:43Speaker 1: me thinking. One area I don't think it's enough intention
- 23:45Speaker 1: is whether the core problem today is unequal representation, the
- 23:49Speaker 1: growing gap between large and small states, the Senate and
- 23:51Speaker 1: Electoral college disparities, gerrymandering, the capped out size, no statehood
- 23:56Speaker 1: for DC or Puerto Rico, all of which make many
- 23:59Speaker 1: voters feel under represented. If the eighteen fifties crisis ultimately
- 24:03Speaker 1: required constitutional amendments to resolve, do you think today's political
- 24:07Speaker 1: problems maybe ultimately require structural constitution reforms like expanding the House,
- 24:12Speaker 1: adding states, or reforming the electoral college. Love to all
- 24:15Speaker 1: that you do, man, David Boy, did you did you
- 24:20Speaker 1: just ask questions? I had all of my hobby horses.
- 24:23Speaker 1: As you know, I did a actual ted talk on
- 24:25Speaker 1: uncapping the House. There's no silver bullet. However, I would
- 24:31Speaker 1: argue uncapping the House this idea that this does not
- 24:36Speaker 1: require a constitutional amendment, just an act of Congress. Congress
- 24:41Speaker 1: stopped expanding the House as the population increased, which was
- 24:44Speaker 1: what the intent of the founding fathers were, and I
- 24:47Speaker 1: believe if we could stick and I actually have done
- 24:49Speaker 1: the math. I've done the math on this and I've
- 24:52Speaker 1: shared it before. Point oh three percent of the population.
- 24:55Speaker 1: No congressional district should be bigger or smaller than that, right,
- 24:58Speaker 1: point oh three. I do think if you set it
- 25:01Speaker 1: in the constitution, it helps deal whether whether we grow
- 25:05Speaker 1: or shrink. Right, it's very possible we're seeing a flatlining
- 25:09Speaker 1: of births in this country. It's very possible our population
- 25:13Speaker 1: size could stagnate even shrink as we get older. But
- 25:19Speaker 1: point oh three percent at the moment would basically double
- 25:25Speaker 1: the current size of the House of Representatives, which would
- 25:28Speaker 1: put it back to what the ratio was when they
- 25:31Speaker 1: locked in the current four hundred and thirty five number
- 25:36Speaker 1: for the House of Representatives back in nineteen thirty. Back
- 25:39Speaker 1: then it was about one. Back then it was one
- 25:42Speaker 1: per three hundred and fifty thousand, and frankly jerrymandering while
- 25:46Speaker 1: it existed, obviously the technologies, it was just harder to do,
- 25:51Speaker 1: and in some ways the districts were more drawn as
- 25:55Speaker 1: communities of interest as they've gotten bigger. Right, they're eight
- 25:59Speaker 1: hundred one right now, we're over eight hundred thousand for
- 26:03Speaker 1: each congressional district. Well, to put that in context, a
- 26:08Speaker 1: population of eight hundred thousand would make you the one
- 26:12Speaker 1: of the fifteen largest cities in America. So are you
- 26:15Speaker 1: telling me we have four hundred and thirty five major cities? Right?
- 26:20Speaker 1: You know? And the fact of the matter is a
- 26:22Speaker 1: major city is not a single community of interest, right.
- 26:25Speaker 1: A major city has all sorts of neighborhoods, all sorts
- 26:28Speaker 1: of communities of interest. So it is obviously too big.
- 26:32Speaker 1: If you go down to point zero three, you get
- 26:34Speaker 1: one per three hundred fifty thousand, and I'm lingering on
- 26:36Speaker 1: this one answer. For this reason, you don't have to
- 26:40Speaker 1: pass the constitutional medment to get her to the electoral
- 26:42Speaker 1: college if you simply double the size of the House. Why,
- 26:45Speaker 1: because you've actually increased the numerator on the electoral college,
- 26:49Speaker 1: right instead of right now it's five hundred and thirty eight. Well,
- 26:52Speaker 1: if you double the size, you're literally going to be
- 26:55Speaker 1: adding approximately four hundred and thirty electoral votes to the total. Right,
- 27:02Speaker 1: So suddenly, instead of five thirty eight, we're going to say,
- 27:05Speaker 1: let's put it at eight sixty six. And the point
- 27:09Speaker 1: being is that that doesn't mean it's impossible for the
- 27:13Speaker 1: popular vote and the electoral college to diverge, but it
- 27:16Speaker 1: makes it much more rare. Right, only the closest of
- 27:19Speaker 1: elections have the possibility of going in that direction. So
- 27:23Speaker 1: you don't even have to deal with the quote unquote
- 27:25Speaker 1: electoral college issue. You know, if I do think you
- 27:31Speaker 1: need a constitutional amendment to do this, I am skeptical
- 27:34Speaker 1: of the compact, the ideas out there were states bound together.
- 27:38Speaker 1: I think it's technically legal, but I think I'm not
- 27:41Speaker 1: sure that I think it does violate the spirit of
- 27:43Speaker 1: the electoral college, and I think I think you probably
- 27:45Speaker 1: would have a Supreme Court rule it unconstitutional the compact,
- 27:48Speaker 1: if you will, And I think that only introduces so
- 27:51Speaker 1: what you're saying is one state votes for one but
- 27:52Speaker 1: ends up going with another. I think you want to
- 27:55Speaker 1: talk about feeling underrepresented in our democracy. I think people
- 27:58Speaker 1: would feel underrepresented in our democracy on that front. But
- 28:05Speaker 1: your larger question is I do think there's some constitutional amendments,
- 28:08Speaker 1: So that's one. I definitely think we look. The money
- 28:11Speaker 1: thing is a big deal, right, whether it's disclosure, you know.
- 28:15Speaker 1: I ultimately think disclose mandatory disclosure is probably the cleanest
- 28:22Speaker 1: first constitutional amendment that is necessary. If we're going to
- 28:27Speaker 1: equate money with speech. You're going to need a constitutional
- 28:32Speaker 1: amendment if you want to regulate money in politics. Right,
- 28:35Speaker 1: we can disagree with this current with this current direction
- 28:41Speaker 1: of the court that equates money with speech, it will
- 28:44Speaker 1: take you a generation to essentially repopulate the judicial system
- 28:49Speaker 1: in order to see a precedent like that overturned. Rankly,
- 28:53Speaker 1: the faster way to deal with this, and probably the
- 28:55Speaker 1: more concrete way to deal with this, is with a
- 28:57Speaker 1: constitutional amendment. So some form of money, I think disclosure
- 29:00Speaker 1: is probably the strongest. This I mean, we all should
- 29:04Speaker 1: know who is spending money to persuade us, period hard.
- 29:09Speaker 1: Stop this idea of hiding donations dark money you want
- 29:14Speaker 1: to talk about. I mean, that's just be you know,
- 29:17Speaker 1: this is the bag of cash world that we were
- 29:19Speaker 1: trying to get rid of after the Watergate scandal. So
- 29:23Speaker 1: I think mandatory disclosure, instant disclosure, and I'd like to
- 29:28Speaker 1: see a NASCAR type of situation for all political candidates
- 29:32Speaker 1: or all political organizations that when you spend money in
- 29:37Speaker 1: an election year, you've got to always disclose who the
- 29:41Speaker 1: who your ten biggest donors are, who you're twenty something
- 29:45Speaker 1: like that. You know, any donor over one hundred thousand
- 29:47Speaker 1: dollars has to be disclosed in the ad itself. Right,
- 29:49Speaker 1: That's what I call it the NASCAR approach. Oh, your
- 29:51Speaker 1: sponsor's stp oh STP's on the hood, Right, you know
- 29:55Speaker 1: your sponsor is open AI open aies on the hood.
- 29:58Speaker 1: Your sponsor's anthropic and on the hood. Not people for
- 30:01Speaker 1: the American way of doing business. Right, that's a ridiculous
- 30:06Speaker 1: way to do things. So I think you would need that.
- 30:11Speaker 1: You know, then you get to the other issues I
- 30:13Speaker 1: think you know with with statehood. You know, I actually
- 30:17Speaker 1: think DC and Puerto Rico together make a lot of sense.
- 30:21Speaker 1: I think Puerto Ricanes, DC probably leans going to be
- 30:24Speaker 1: likely democratic. I think Puerto Rico not so much. And
- 30:28Speaker 1: I think you could argue that maybe do you create
- 30:31Speaker 1: a Caribbean state, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, all
- 30:35Speaker 1: of the American territories down there into one state. I
- 30:37Speaker 1: could make an argument for that as well, so that
- 30:40Speaker 1: they're not essentially second class US citizens in the Virgin Islands.
- 30:46Speaker 1: So you could do that. The it's interesting on the
- 30:52Speaker 1: size disparities about that, or the disparities in the House
- 30:56Speaker 1: and the Senate. Look, there's no doubt that's why I
- 31:00Speaker 1: think increasing the size of the House, at least on
- 31:03Speaker 1: the electoral college, by the way, just to give you
- 31:05Speaker 1: that ratio if you do that, and right now, Wyoming
- 31:08Speaker 1: has six times the voting power for president than the
- 31:10Speaker 1: state of than an average voter in California. A voter
- 31:12Speaker 1: in Wyoming has more impact on who's our next president
- 31:15Speaker 1: than a voter in California. Now, the Founders always didn't
- 31:19Speaker 1: want the big states to dominate, but I don't know
- 31:22Speaker 1: if they wanted the small states to have six times
- 31:23Speaker 1: the advantage of the big states. Under my system here
- 31:27Speaker 1: with an uncap in the House, going to point oh three,
- 31:30Speaker 1: the current electoral college would put Wyoming in about it
- 31:33Speaker 1: a point oho about two and a half times the
- 31:35Speaker 1: power of a voter in California, which actually feels about
- 31:40Speaker 1: about what if you read what the founders were going
- 31:44Speaker 1: for in this fear of the big state small states
- 31:45Speaker 1: and creating this balance, that feels like a more proper
- 31:49Speaker 1: ratio that would fall into that. But I do think money,
- 31:54Speaker 1: I think I definitely think we need to figure out
- 31:58Speaker 1: how to eliminate an individual's pardon power on this front,
- 32:04Speaker 1: right that that is that is corruptible. We've we've learned
- 32:07Speaker 1: what's corruptible. I mean the I've always wanted to say this.
- 32:12Speaker 1: I think the the upside of the Trump era is
- 32:15Speaker 1: that it's served as an MRI, an MRI on people.
- 32:18Speaker 1: We've learned, you know, we've learned who you know, who
- 32:21Speaker 1: has principles, who doesn't you know, who cares about power
- 32:24Speaker 1: more than you know, ends justified, the means, all that business.
- 32:27Speaker 1: But it's also been an MRI for frankly, vulnerabilities in
- 32:29Speaker 1: our system. And I think we've we've seen that. I'll
- 32:33Speaker 1: give you another one that you didn't require here, but
- 32:34Speaker 1: it feeds off of the Pambonde news. I think we
- 32:38Speaker 1: have to figure out how to how to constitutionally make
- 32:41Speaker 1: our Justice Department independent. And that doesn't mean the president
- 32:47Speaker 1: doesn't have a say in the appointment. That doesn't mean
- 32:48Speaker 1: Congress doesn't have a say in the appointment. But I
- 32:51Speaker 1: think we need something here that at least creates some
- 32:55Speaker 1: political distance between the president and the Attorney general, because
- 32:59Speaker 1: it's pretty clear that we know just remember, you may
- 33:03Speaker 1: not ocupan Bondy, but President Trump didn't likely didn't fire
- 33:07Speaker 1: her for the reasons that most of you think she
- 33:10Speaker 1: should be fired. Fired her because she wasn't being protector
- 33:13Speaker 1: and doing his doing his bidding well enough. And that
- 33:18Speaker 1: is something I think we all have to keep in mind.
- 33:20Speaker 1: You cannot you cannot have that kind of that kind
- 33:23Speaker 1: of close connection there. So that would be one other
- 33:26Speaker 1: I would add to your list here. But boy, I
- 33:31Speaker 1: really I am. As you will note in my answer,
- 33:34Speaker 1: I'm obsessed with uncapping the House. I think before we
- 33:38Speaker 1: try any other reform on small D democratic representation, I
- 33:42Speaker 1: want to see that, implement it first, and then let's
- 33:45Speaker 1: see how the system sorts itself out. I think it
- 33:48Speaker 1: opens the door for more political parties. I think it
- 33:50Speaker 1: opens the door for more coalition governments. I think it
- 33:52Speaker 1: opens the door for more of the country to feel
- 33:56Speaker 1: they have some representation in Congress. Right in this same
- 34:00Speaker 1: way media became too nationalized if we gutted local, our
- 34:03Speaker 1: politics has become due nationalized because we've essentially gutted local
- 34:07Speaker 1: and uncapping the House, I think would rebalance that all right,
- 34:12Speaker 1: Like I said, you touched one of my You touched
- 34:15Speaker 1: one of my nerves. Next question comes from Austin. From Austin,
- 34:18Speaker 1: I think you're I think Austin, you're getting awfully close
- 34:21Speaker 1: to being a member of the toodcast five timers club.
- 34:25Speaker 1: Can you imagine a major party federal candidate with the
- 34:28Speaker 1: discipline to run on one structural reform like expanding the
- 34:30Speaker 1: House and focus only on that, arguing it unlocks everything
- 34:33Speaker 1: else downstream? Or does political gravity always pull candidates into
- 34:36Speaker 1: other issues and positions before they can fix the foundation.
- 34:39Speaker 1: Can that kind of candidate even exist or are we
- 34:41Speaker 1: just not ready for that as a country. By the way,
- 34:44Speaker 1: I loved your point about Democrats needing more moderates independence
- 34:46Speaker 1: than the GOP because of the numbers. I've learned a
- 34:48Speaker 1: lot from your show. Thanks. You know, here's the problem
- 34:53Speaker 1: with running on reform, especially in a an a bad
- 34:58Speaker 1: economic environment, which I think now we're in a bad
- 35:00Speaker 1: economic environment that's about to get worse. Is that a
- 35:05Speaker 1: majority of voters ultimately right, we are we are, we are,
- 35:10Speaker 1: we are all selfish as voters. And I don't mean
- 35:12Speaker 1: that as a criticism. I just mean that as a reality. Right,
- 35:16Speaker 1: our lives need to be better at the moment, and
- 35:20Speaker 1: you know, making ends meet and worrying about the future
- 35:27Speaker 1: of the democracy. Right, Just if you're more worried about
- 35:29Speaker 1: making ends meet, it doesn't mean you're you're you don't
- 35:34Speaker 1: care about the democracy, but you sort of you have
- 35:36Speaker 1: a priority list. I personally think that a one issue
- 35:42Speaker 1: candidate is more effective in Senate and House races than
- 35:45Speaker 1: a one issue candidate for president. Now you can get
- 35:49Speaker 1: to the point, you know, and a one is you
- 35:50Speaker 1: candidate for governor even is a possibility. You can get
- 35:54Speaker 1: to a point and our system can get so broken
- 35:57Speaker 1: that we may you know, in some ways that that
- 35:59Speaker 1: is that was the promise of Ross Perot. If you
- 36:02Speaker 1: go back, there was this idea that he was just
- 36:04Speaker 1: going to he was really you know, he's like, we
- 36:06Speaker 1: got two giant problems, giant sucking sound of jobs going south.
- 36:09Speaker 1: At the time, it was the outsourcing south. Eventually it
- 36:12Speaker 1: was obviously outsourced to Southeast Asia from there and the debt. Right, So,
- 36:18Speaker 1: you know, he tried, but it was when he had
- 36:22Speaker 1: to respond to other issues that he would start to
- 36:24Speaker 1: get in trouble, whether it was issues of diversity, issues
- 36:26Speaker 1: of foreign policy. Right, we just know a president, unfortunately
- 36:31Speaker 1: a president, and we've just all learned this the hard way, right,
- 36:34Speaker 1: And I mean, look at the two thousand election and
- 36:40Speaker 1: go look at all the questions that were asked about
- 36:42Speaker 1: Osama bin Laden during the debates. Right, we didn't really
- 36:49Speaker 1: we didn't really prepare either Al Gore or George W. Bush
- 36:51Speaker 1: with questions that were going to be a part of
- 36:54Speaker 1: their next president of the next presidency. And it's just
- 36:58Speaker 1: inevitable that you're just going to have all sorts of
- 37:00Speaker 1: other things. So I think it's much more difficult for
- 37:02Speaker 1: a president to do that. That doesn't mean they can't
- 37:05Speaker 1: run on a movement. That doesn't mean they can't run like, look,
- 37:08Speaker 1: we've got to fix the infant, you know, you know,
- 37:10Speaker 1: instead of running on building roads and bridges, We've got
- 37:13Speaker 1: to run on fixing the infrastructure of the democracy. But
- 37:17Speaker 1: I think you have to connect it to people's everyday
- 37:19Speaker 1: lives that this is going to improve their lives economically
- 37:21Speaker 1: right away. If you don't have that paired with the reform,
- 37:26Speaker 1: you're not going to get there to do the reform.
- 37:29Speaker 1: And I think that's the current and that's due to
- 37:33Speaker 1: the current climate we're in now. Look if your economy
- 37:36Speaker 1: goes really into the toilet, look at what happened in Argentina,
- 37:39Speaker 1: where a guy like Malay was able to that. You know,
- 37:42Speaker 1: what he was advocating would have been extraordinarily unpopular, you know,
- 37:46Speaker 1: until there's a feeling of desperation. And I don't think
- 37:50Speaker 1: we're not there yet on that front. So I'm not
- 37:54Speaker 1: quite there on a single issue candidate succeeding on the
- 37:57Speaker 1: presidential level, but I could, I would see it. I
- 38:01Speaker 1: could see a US senator, US Senate candidate, or even
- 38:05Speaker 1: a House candidate pulling that off. I do. So let's
- 38:13Speaker 1: just see, you know, at some point, right I you know,
- 38:17Speaker 1: this is the the downside, right you know, this presidency's
- 38:21Speaker 1: going terribly He's cratering the world economy, and it will
- 38:27Speaker 1: inevitably make the economy front and center. And so while
- 38:32Speaker 1: we want to have the intellectual arguments and debates that hey,
- 38:34Speaker 1: we need all these structural reforms, if you don't want
- 38:37Speaker 1: this to happen again, I think it the voter's attention
- 38:40Speaker 1: is going to be on the on what's in front
- 38:42Speaker 1: of them, right, So I think figuring out how to
- 38:44Speaker 1: pair reform with economic stability is I think the key
- 38:50Speaker 1: if you want to elect a reform agenda. Next question
- 38:55Speaker 1: comes from Akash. I hope I got that right, and
- 38:58Speaker 1: if I didn't, my apologies, and please let us know
- 39:01Speaker 1: how to pronounce it correctly. A Cash, writes Hi Chuck.
- 39:05Speaker 1: With talk of potential blue wave in midterms twenty twenty six,
- 39:08Speaker 1: is there a risk of the same kind of miscalculation
- 39:09Speaker 1: we saw in the midterms twenty twenty two when a
- 39:11Speaker 1: widely expected red wave didn't materialize, especially since affordability is
- 39:15Speaker 1: a central issue in both cycles regards. Oh, it's interesting.
- 39:18Speaker 1: I thought you were going to go in another direction
- 39:19Speaker 1: with this question, which is what the Democrats learned the
- 39:22Speaker 1: wrong lessons like they did in the twenty twenty two midterms. Right,
- 39:25Speaker 1: They overperformed, and Joe Biden incorrectly thought this was a
- 39:28Speaker 1: reaffirmation of his policies and presidency. It was not. It
- 39:32Speaker 1: was just literally a repudiation of the meganominees in key
- 39:36Speaker 1: states and key races. Anyway, the point as for look,
- 39:42Speaker 1: I do think blue wave right wave is in the
- 39:44Speaker 1: eye of the beholder. Fifteen to twenty CE gained by
- 39:48Speaker 1: House Democrats is a wave in this kind of structure
- 39:52Speaker 1: that we're in with the gerrymandering. Ultimately, I have you know,
- 39:58Speaker 1: if you're gonna ask me how to measure the wave.
- 40:01Speaker 1: I always I've been saying, go to the state of Iowa.
- 40:04Speaker 1: If Democrats sweep gov. Senate and two House seats out
- 40:09Speaker 1: of that state, or even govern two House seats and
- 40:11Speaker 1: come really close in the Senate, but they got to
- 40:13Speaker 1: win something statewide in Iowa, probably two. But if they
- 40:16Speaker 1: do that, that to me is the definition of that
- 40:18Speaker 1: means we there was a wave right because you've taken
- 40:21Speaker 1: a light red state like Iowa and flipped at blue.
- 40:23Speaker 1: How many light red states essentially elect blue like blue
- 40:26Speaker 1: is governor, blue is senator, but really a senator. So
- 40:30Speaker 1: if both Iowa and Ohio flip and the Senate. Then
- 40:33Speaker 1: I think that that's a wave, even if it's even
- 40:36Speaker 1: if it feels narrow and it's fifteen, right, you know,
- 40:39Speaker 1: gone of the days of the sixty house swing or
- 40:42Speaker 1: the forty house swing, et cetera. So that's why. But
- 40:47Speaker 1: the question is is admit the misinterpretation, right? I So
- 40:51Speaker 1: it's possible there's a also there, and there's you know,
- 40:54Speaker 1: it's possible that that Republicans hold on to the Senate
- 41:00Speaker 1: just because this is such a tough map for Democrats
- 41:02Speaker 1: and yet you know, they could misread what it is.
- 41:06Speaker 1: So it's look, I think I do think there's probably
- 41:09Speaker 1: too much enthusiasm at the moment for Democrats sweeping, meaning
- 41:14Speaker 1: winning both the House and the Senate. I know the
- 41:17Speaker 1: prediction markets are now have Democrats with over a fifty
- 41:21Speaker 1: percent chance of doing it. I'm pretty close. In this environment,
- 41:24Speaker 1: we're a war, you got a global recession and stagflation
- 41:28Speaker 1: and inflation all doing right. That's that's a recipe for
- 41:34Speaker 1: just a for the incumbent party to get smoked. And
- 41:40Speaker 1: so I could you know, but that doesn't mean every
- 41:42Speaker 1: race isn't narrow in that situation. So but as far
- 41:47Speaker 1: as miscalculation, I think that I could see if Republicans
- 41:51Speaker 1: hang on to the Senate them not realizing how much
- 41:54Speaker 1: of a problem that they still really have. And I
- 41:57Speaker 1: could see Democrats overreading you know that there, but then
- 42:01Speaker 1: keeping their same leadership in place and kind of nominating
- 42:04Speaker 1: the same type of Democrat and having the same you know,
- 42:07Speaker 1: just deciding that hey, just running against Trump works and
- 42:10Speaker 1: let's just keep running against Trump. Right, So, those are
- 42:14Speaker 1: the to me, those are the risks that both parties
- 42:19Speaker 1: have facing this this midterm. This episode of the Chuck
- 42:27Speaker 1: Toodcast is brought to you by Soul. So if you
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- 43:54Speaker 1: code podcast for thirty percent off. And yes, I too,
- 43:58Speaker 1: am a customer. Next question comes from Adam David, Florida
- 44:06Speaker 1: via West Virginia. Question is this should Ukraine attempt to
- 44:11Speaker 1: strike Iran through southern Russia into the Caspian Sea and
- 44:15Speaker 1: hit the north side of Iran. Iran is no friend
- 44:17Speaker 1: of Ukraine and has limited retaliatory options. Trump is complaining
- 44:21Speaker 1: that nobody will come help him. But if Ukraine joined in,
- 44:23Speaker 1: would Trump be a little nicer to them? Actually doubt it,
- 44:26Speaker 1: as he only begrudgingly helps Ukraine because he hates Zelenski
- 44:29Speaker 1: for not helping him with the Biden request that got
- 44:32Speaker 1: him impeached the first time and his eyes. Ukraine therefore
- 44:34Speaker 1: can do no right. On a sports note, grown up
- 44:36Speaker 1: in Miami, why aren't you a Dolphins fan? I've been
- 44:38Speaker 1: a diehard for the Finns since twenty twenty three, and
- 44:41Speaker 1: we need all the help we can get best Adam
- 44:43Speaker 1: and David Florida, where I believe the Dolphins and at
- 44:47Speaker 1: the home of their training camp. I think it's not
- 44:50Speaker 1: my apologies for messing that up, Oh Adam. I've gotten
- 44:55Speaker 1: letters from my friends that work at the Dolphins, hopeful
- 44:58Speaker 1: that I will get fired up invited. When Obama hosted
- 45:01Speaker 1: the seventy two Dolphins, the living members of the seventy
- 45:05Speaker 1: two undefeated team, because I was a Dolphins fan and
- 45:07Speaker 1: I said, look, I appreciate you thinking of me as
- 45:09Speaker 1: a Miami person, but I wasn't my You know, we
- 45:14Speaker 1: all are the father and son relationship, right. My father
- 45:19Speaker 1: was a huge Packer fan, and he basically indoctrinated me
- 45:24Speaker 1: into the Packer fandom. The first, it's possible my first
- 45:30Speaker 1: chapter book as a as a kid was Instant Replay
- 45:34Speaker 1: by Jerry Kramer, okay, which is a story about a
- 45:38Speaker 1: season under Lombardi in the early sixties. And the second
- 45:43Speaker 1: book might have been Run to Daylight, which was Lombardi's
- 45:45Speaker 1: sort of one of those you know, how do you
- 45:48Speaker 1: do it? Books? You know that have become very popular
- 45:52Speaker 1: with coaches, or did for a period of time in
- 45:55Speaker 1: the eighties and nineties. We don't have those, right, We
- 45:57Speaker 1: don't have those coach books anymore. Though they would useally
- 46:00Speaker 1: come out while they were coaches. There's been less of
- 46:02Speaker 1: that lately. And my father and Grant, my father believed
- 46:10Speaker 1: the Dolphins and Joe Robbie, who was the owner, the
- 46:14Speaker 1: original owner of the Dolphins, were ripping off the Hurricanes
- 46:16Speaker 1: of concessions money back when they were shared the Orange Bowl,
- 46:19Speaker 1: which was a fact they were doing it. The Dolphins
- 46:22Speaker 1: made more money off of the Miami Hurricanes success in
- 46:25Speaker 1: the eighties than the Hurricanes did, and that used to
- 46:31Speaker 1: irk my father. But if you really, you know, I've
- 46:35Speaker 1: always he's never you never said this. He passed away
- 46:38Speaker 1: in the late eighties. But let's just say, as I've
- 46:41Speaker 1: grown up, learned more and realized that Joe Robbie was
- 46:44Speaker 1: a failed Democratic candidate for Congress in the late fifties
- 46:46Speaker 1: in Minnesota, there's a part of me that always thought
- 46:48Speaker 1: my father just wasn't a Dolphins fan because of Robbie's politics.
- 46:51Speaker 1: But I'm going to I'm good to set that aside.
- 46:54Speaker 1: I love being a Packer fan. I I don't have
- 46:59Speaker 1: I don't have no negative feelings about the Dolphins. I
- 47:02Speaker 1: I I just don't have that. You know, when you
- 47:07Speaker 1: and the thing is is a kid the good news,
- 47:09Speaker 1: you know, being a Packer fan was terrible. I was
- 47:11Speaker 1: the only Packer fan in my maid. Was sort of
- 47:14Speaker 1: a badge of honor, so you start to carry it.
- 47:16Speaker 1: And that was something I passed on to my son.
- 47:18Speaker 1: I wasn't going to let him become a commander's fan
- 47:20Speaker 1: in the heart of his childhood. I mean that, who
- 47:23Speaker 1: who's going to torture their kid to make them be
- 47:25Speaker 1: a Washington command football team fan. Back in the last
- 47:29Speaker 1: thirty years, it's been a disaster. My son's eighteen. It's
- 47:33Speaker 1: literally it took him until he was seventeen before the
- 47:35Speaker 1: Commanders even put on a competitive football team. So so
- 47:42Speaker 1: I've successfully indoctrinated him into the Packers. Of course, Packers
- 47:45Speaker 1: have been good during his childhood. They were fun during
- 47:49Speaker 1: my childhood with lind Dickey, but they weren't the best.
- 47:53Speaker 1: So there it is. But hey, I think I I
- 47:57Speaker 1: this owner of the Dolphins is better than the last
- 47:59Speaker 1: couple of owners of the So mister Ross, he wants
- 48:03Speaker 1: to win, and that's step one of having the right owner.
- 48:07Speaker 1: I am impressed with what he's done with the stadium.
- 48:09Speaker 1: He treats the University of Miami very well in their
- 48:11Speaker 1: shared stadium experience. It doesn't mean I think it's a
- 48:14Speaker 1: great idea for the Hurricanes to be forty five minutes, right,
- 48:17Speaker 1: you know, four thousand miles away from campus to play
- 48:20Speaker 1: their home football games. But I digress. Now as for
- 48:24Speaker 1: your question about Zelenski, First of all, kudos to you
- 48:26Speaker 1: for realizing why his issue with Zelenski. It's all about
- 48:31Speaker 1: what you said, right. He blames Zelenski for his political problems,
- 48:36Speaker 1: and he figures in Zelenski didn't do his bidding right.
- 48:39Speaker 1: It's the same reason why he fired Pambondi. He didn't
- 48:41Speaker 1: fire fire her for all the reasons that nine thousand
- 48:45Speaker 1: other people thought she should have been fired. He fired
- 48:47Speaker 1: her because she didn't do his bidding very well. And
- 48:51Speaker 1: that obviously is look Zelensky has been and Ukraine has
- 48:56Speaker 1: already actually been quite helpful in figuring out how to
- 48:59Speaker 1: deal with drone attacks and undermine this. And so you know,
- 49:03Speaker 1: the amount that everybody's learned on drone warfare is thanks
- 49:06Speaker 1: to the thanks to Zelenski. And I've long wondered why
- 49:11Speaker 1: somebody hasn't gotten to didn't get to President Trump and say,
- 49:14Speaker 1: you know, it's Iran that's helping Russia with these drones.
- 49:20Speaker 1: But it doesn't matter, right, everything is a transaction to him.
- 49:24Speaker 1: I'm not going down the Putin road. It's just a
- 49:26Speaker 1: transaction to him, although it does you know, all roads
- 49:29Speaker 1: always seem to lead back to helping Putin. Even this war.
- 49:33Speaker 1: The two biggest, the two biggest beneficiaries of this war,
- 49:37Speaker 1: of this miscalculation here with Iran or Russia in China. Right,
- 49:44Speaker 1: nobody is happier right now. As my guest this this
- 49:48Speaker 1: last week on Newsphere, said Daniel Jurgen, there's a self
- 49:52Speaker 1: satisfied smile that mister Putin has right now because he
- 49:55Speaker 1: suddenly has a financial lifeline to fund his war against Ukraine.
- 50:01Speaker 1: But I could tell you the way you're thinking is
- 50:03Speaker 1: the way Zelensky was thinking. He's been very leaning forward
- 50:07Speaker 1: and trying to help. He did that tour of the
- 50:09Speaker 1: Golf States, met with the heads of the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar,
- 50:13Speaker 1: basically saying, you know, whatever you need, whatever expertise you
- 50:18Speaker 1: need in dealing with these drone strikes. You know you've
- 50:21Speaker 1: got all the intelligence from US. Is that that you
- 50:23Speaker 1: want to have, so you know, I do think it's
- 50:28Speaker 1: helped Ukraine's relationship with the Golf States, which could be
- 50:33Speaker 1: important for nation building going forward. But there's no there's
- 50:37Speaker 1: no convincing Donald Trump to help Zelensky. He absolutely sees
- 50:42Speaker 1: it in personal terms. All right. Next question comes from
- 50:48Speaker 1: Judd Jued writes, love your podcast, and I would love
- 50:53Speaker 1: your opinion on a crazy idea that I had. I
- 50:55Speaker 1: love the crazy ideas. It's sort of what is Bill
- 50:59Speaker 1: Simmons as one of my favorite little segments they'll do
- 51:01Speaker 1: every once in a while, about once a year. Is
- 51:02Speaker 1: half baked ideas, so I'm all for them. How successful
- 51:07Speaker 1: would a presidential canidate be if they promised to veto
- 51:09Speaker 1: almost every piece of legislation reaching their desk, essentially forcing
- 51:12Speaker 1: both parties to pass legislation to overcome with supermajorities, which
- 51:16Speaker 1: could overcome presidential vetos. I would say, almost to avoid
- 51:20Speaker 1: Bush's no new taxes promise and allow legislation that just
- 51:23Speaker 1: overcomes the Senate's filibuster. Could that be a successful way
- 51:27Speaker 1: for a single executive leader to force Article one Congress
- 51:30Speaker 1: to do their jobs and pass compromise legislation, especially if
- 51:33Speaker 1: one party controls the presidency, the House, and the Senate.
- 51:36Speaker 1: Maybe showing that it can be done will be enough
- 51:38Speaker 1: to make it the norm instead of the exception. Cheers
- 51:41Speaker 1: jud Jed I love this idea. It feels like, okay, Congress,
- 51:45Speaker 1: I mean it gets to It's what my solution was
- 51:48Speaker 1: to the Senate judiciary gridlock right for the filibuster of judges. Oh,
- 51:53Speaker 1: sixty votes doesn't work, well, let's make it seventy five right, Like,
- 51:57Speaker 1: make it harder not easier. Oh no, we're going to
- 51:59Speaker 1: make you. You know, if you're a teenager missus curfew,
- 52:04Speaker 1: do you make the curfew later or do you make
- 52:07Speaker 1: the curfew earlier? Right? Do you make it easier to
- 52:10Speaker 1: pass something if you can't get it done, or do
- 52:12Speaker 1: you make it harder? You actually should make it harder.
- 52:15Speaker 1: Somebody works harder. It's a terrific idea. I here's the
- 52:22Speaker 1: real problem with your suggestion. The public hates Congress. They
- 52:30Speaker 1: don't care that Congress doesn't work, and so it would
- 52:36Speaker 1: take an education of the country to explain why Congress
- 52:40Speaker 1: needs to be at the forefront and needs to be
- 52:43Speaker 1: forced to learn how to work together. You know, there
- 52:47Speaker 1: is one potential presidential candidate who I think might have
- 52:53Speaker 1: might have agreed to run on with something like this.
- 52:57Speaker 1: That it's Mitch Daniels, former governor of Indiana. He's been
- 53:00Speaker 1: the guy that's been going up against Trump to defend
- 53:03Speaker 1: the Indiana State Senate Republicans who refuse to do the redistricting.
- 53:09Speaker 1: He is. He has got that that in him, In fact,
- 53:14Speaker 1: that there's a there's a part of me that almost
- 53:16Speaker 1: wants to ring him up, friendly ish with him, ring
- 53:21Speaker 1: him up and present this idea, here's your you've been
- 53:25Speaker 1: you know, here's your presidential campaign platform to run on.
- 53:33Speaker 1: But you know it it is it is. Uh. I
- 53:38Speaker 1: don't know if it would work. Look, I think I
- 53:41Speaker 1: think the better solution to force sort of Congress to
- 53:46Speaker 1: work differently is to start electing more independence and force
- 53:50Speaker 1: a reckoning where the independents create a folk rum and
- 53:54Speaker 1: are essentially their own veto over either party. Whichever party
- 53:59Speaker 1: has got the most extremists trying to run the place,
- 54:03Speaker 1: be the you know, you'd be the sort of check
- 54:05Speaker 1: and balance on that. But it takes winning, right. You
- 54:09Speaker 1: can't just come close as an independent candidate. You got
- 54:11Speaker 1: to win some elections, you know, Dan Osborne and a
- 54:15Speaker 1: Seth Bodner, Ana Lisa Murkowski, and you know, you start
- 54:18Speaker 1: to get multiple independents winning who are comfortable essentially saying
- 54:25Speaker 1: no to both major parties for a period of time
- 54:28Speaker 1: and essentially making them court the court the middle. Because
- 54:32Speaker 1: what you're getting at here is that the plurality of
- 54:34Speaker 1: America is not represented in Congress. Right, forty five percent
- 54:37Speaker 1: of the of the country essentially call our self described
- 54:41Speaker 1: or registered to vote as independence. It's not all of them,
- 54:44Speaker 1: mean they're not all centrist, but what they are is
- 54:46Speaker 1: they're they're they're not partisans, right, They're not They're not
- 54:51Speaker 1: they're not group thinkers. And I think that there's a
- 54:55Speaker 1: feeling that, you know, only the special interests are getting represented.
- 54:58Speaker 1: So I think that that's that's where their opportunity is, right,
- 55:03Speaker 1: you know, you get your you know, Marie Glusen camp
- 55:05Speaker 1: Perez MGP, you know you're Lisa Murkowski's to work with
- 55:11Speaker 1: a group of other sort of like minded individuals, not
- 55:14Speaker 1: necessarily like minded ideologically, but like minded structurally, you know,
- 55:19Speaker 1: and how to make the place work better, but a
- 55:22Speaker 1: fun half picked idea. Jed all right, last question, Stafford,
- 55:28Speaker 1: Downtown LA. I luck that you made the distinction. Downtown LA.
- 55:32Speaker 1: Not not Malibu, not Santa Monica, not the Valley, not Pasadena,
- 55:36Speaker 1: Downtown LA, not West Hollywood, not East Hollywood. Right, Downtown LA.
- 55:40Speaker 1: Under rated neighborhood. You know, there used to be I
- 55:44Speaker 1: remember when we remember during the two thousand election and
- 55:48Speaker 1: I was staying in downtown and everybody, all my Angelina
- 55:53Speaker 1: friends said, oh, that's the worst place to stay. You
- 55:55Speaker 1: should be staying here. He's been staying there, And you realize,
- 55:57Speaker 1: like Downtown is not. You know, Downtown's got a little well.
- 56:00Speaker 1: I feel like it's gotten better over the years. Maybe
- 56:02Speaker 1: the arena Staples Centers being there has helped anyway, But
- 56:07Speaker 1: I digress. Here's your question. I'm wondering what you think
- 56:11Speaker 1: about how the Warren Iran will affect our ability to
- 56:13Speaker 1: protect our interests in other parts of the world. Given
- 56:15Speaker 1: that money, munitions, and personnel are finite, and the fact
- 56:18Speaker 1: that Shijingping has said he wants to be able to
- 56:21Speaker 1: invade Taiwan by twenty twenty seven, how much does our
- 56:23Speaker 1: continued expenditure of each of these make us incapable of
- 56:26Speaker 1: being prepared elsewhere. I have read that our defense industry
- 56:29Speaker 1: is nowhere near what it used to be, particularly in
- 56:30Speaker 1: the manufacturing of munitions and in shipbuilding. All of these
- 56:33Speaker 1: seem very troubling. If we were to lose our supply
- 56:36Speaker 1: of the most advanced chips that are produced in Taiwan,
- 56:38Speaker 1: it would be catastrophic to the United States economy. Also,
- 56:41Speaker 1: thank you for your thoughts on March Madness. Thanks again
- 56:43Speaker 1: for all the great work Stafford Downtown Tola. Thank you, sir,
- 56:46Speaker 1: appreciate that look I of all episodes for you to
- 56:52Speaker 1: write in on this issue, right Ike Friman and his
- 56:56Speaker 1: book about Taiwan and China being it. Yes, of look,
- 57:01Speaker 1: this is the great geopolitical risk that Donald Trump has.
- 57:07Speaker 1: I mean, no, this is the first American president in
- 57:11Speaker 1: my lifetime that seems to be comfortable handing over America's
- 57:16Speaker 1: leader leadership role in the world, and he's put it
- 57:20Speaker 1: at risk in ways that I don't think. You know,
- 57:24Speaker 1: it's interesting. There's certainly plenty of people worried about it,
- 57:27Speaker 1: given the rhetoric he was using in twenty fifteen and
- 57:29Speaker 1: twenty sixteen and some of his behavior in twenty seventeen
- 57:31Speaker 1: and twenty eighteen. But I think we all never thought
- 57:34Speaker 1: that he would he would just do something this risky,
- 57:40Speaker 1: and he has done something this risky, and he's a
- 57:44Speaker 1: you know, he's essentially newtered NATO at the moment. NATO's
- 57:49Speaker 1: not dead, but NATO is. You know, when the current
- 57:53Speaker 1: American president no is an interest in NATO, then NATO
- 57:57Speaker 1: is not an effective organization at the moment. I'm certainly
- 58:02Speaker 1: worried that Shijingping is going to look, is going to
- 58:05Speaker 1: see this moment if he does, if he wants to
- 58:08Speaker 1: take Taiwan. Now's the time, right while Trump's in office,
- 58:11Speaker 1: while Trump's distracted. It's certainly my concern. It's why I
- 58:15Speaker 1: booked like now. It's why I've been focused on this
- 58:18Speaker 1: issue a little bit more because I think I I
- 58:22Speaker 1: if you were just to play this out strategically, you know,
- 58:27Speaker 1: pretend you're pretend you are advising the Chinese leader, and
- 58:32Speaker 1: you're saying, when when should you do this? Well, you
- 58:34Speaker 1: don't want to do it when there's a new president
- 58:37Speaker 1: and a new attitude. You might want to do it
- 58:39Speaker 1: while you have somebody who might negotiate Taiwan away. So
- 58:46Speaker 1: I think it's it's a concern. But what I what
- 58:48Speaker 1: I learned from Mike, and I hope you learned, it's
- 58:50Speaker 1: like China's got a China might not be ready for
- 58:54Speaker 1: this either. And China sees what Russia's been doing with Ukraine,
- 59:00Speaker 1: sees frankly, what we're doing with a run and realizes
- 59:04Speaker 1: an ain't going to happen. It doesn't countries don't roll over.
- 59:08Speaker 1: And I don't know how many times world powers have
- 59:11Speaker 1: to learn this, whether it's Vietnam, whether it's Afghanistan, whether
- 59:17Speaker 1: it's Iran, right, whether it's Taiwan. This stuff is not.
- 59:22Speaker 1: You know, you may think you can roll over somebody,
- 59:26Speaker 1: but somebody has to say, all right, by the time
- 59:33Speaker 1: you by the time this is uploaded, I will be
- 59:35Speaker 1: on my way to the Nats home opener. I'm very
- 59:38Speaker 1: excited about this. You know what that means. It's Nats
- 59:42Speaker 1: Dodgers right, by the way. If you're the Learners, you're
- 59:44Speaker 1: really ticked off that the Dodgers are the home opener
- 59:47Speaker 1: because you know, let's be honest, the Dodgers are going
- 59:50Speaker 1: to sell out whenever you bring them show. Hey, Otani
- 59:52Speaker 1: sells out wherever you go, so that's not you know,
- 59:56Speaker 1: so you're actually, if you're the Nats, realizing that you
- 59:58Speaker 1: don't have the best product on the field to lure
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: casual fans into the stadium, you kind of want the
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: Dodgers later in the year. Usually they come around June,
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: but they've rejiggered the schedule over the last couple of
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: years because of the mandatory decision that everybody plays everybody
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: now at least one series, which I think is a
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: great change, by the way, but it is scrambled sort of.
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: You know, when you're when you're a season ticket holder,
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: you you sort of follow the rhythm. You kind of know, Oh,
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: the Cardinals come here, and the Dodgers usually come in
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: this month, and the Cubs usually come in this month
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: and d D d well all that's gotten scrambled lately.
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: So the Dodgers are the home opener. So, like I said,
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: big blow to the learners, basically taking away three sellout
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: dates that they would have gotten before. I mean, because
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: home opener weekend, you're going to get great. Hopefully we're
- 1:00:47Speaker 1: testing the weather here. But I have a few thoughts. Right,
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: the Nats are three and three. Here's here's my big takeaway. Right,
- 1:00:53Speaker 1: and the hiring of all these raised, raised, raised guys,
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: and you know, the the the the snowy fan in me.
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: That's fan in me, who's you know, middle aged, and
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: maybe you guys want to call me a little over
- 1:01:06Speaker 1: the hill, says Hey, this hiring of all the interns
- 1:01:09Speaker 1: from the Tampa Bay Rays organization. We'll see how this works.
- 1:01:13Speaker 1: We have a thirty one year old manager, et cetera,
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: et cetera. I say all this, and I can already
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: see a huge difference. It does look like what's interesting
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: is like, to me, the secret of the Ray's success. Right,
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: they have overperformed the amount of money they spend right there,
- 1:01:29Speaker 1: seem to be always contending in the als. They strategically
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: try to win every game and they will change whatever
- 1:01:35Speaker 1: it is, right, Oh, is this the game? We'll try
- 1:01:36Speaker 1: and opener this game because this is you know, we're
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: going to get their best three hitters out right away.
- 1:01:41Speaker 1: They have a plan. You know, if you're going to
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: try to win eighty five to ninety games, which gets
- 1:01:45Speaker 1: you in the playoffs, you got to have a plan,
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: a different plan to win every game. And you know,
- 1:01:51Speaker 1: I think about the plan against the Phillies the other
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: night where all the you know, even you know they
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: they all the lefty hitters seem to have a plan
- 1:01:59Speaker 1: to hit it opposite field, and it really suddenly that's
- 1:02:02Speaker 1: how we got ten runs and nobody hit a homer. Right,
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: It was just getting men on base and putting pressure
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: on the Phillies to make plays. I feel like the
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: at bats look smarter. I'm a little nervous about James
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: Wood right than the Nats are three and three, and
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: Wood's been not a huge factor in all this. But
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: I it's just been a week. But you know, I've
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: been MOPy and doom and gloom and still don't like
- 1:02:30Speaker 1: the way the learners are not investing in this team.
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: But man, I think they've hired some pretty good people
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: because these and this team seems to respond so far.
- 1:02:40Speaker 1: They just seem to be, you know again, where it's
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: a lot more analytics driven, you can talent. It's more
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: analytics driven, and for a team that doesn't have the
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: isn't going to use the resources to compete with the Dodgers,
- 1:02:54Speaker 1: doesn't have the big you know, marquee talent to compete
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: with the Dodgers on a day to day basis or
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: a week to week basis, or even the Phillies or
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: even the Cubs, etc. You could see that they're trying
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: to find edges where they can, and you know what,
- 1:03:13Speaker 1: that's all I want to see. You know. It's unlike
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: the crap product that the Wizards have put out with
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: this tanking situation, which is just embarrassing for the NBA.
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: I'm horrified. It is really left a bad taste in
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: my mouth. I desperately want to try to be a
- 1:03:30Speaker 1: Wizards fan, all right, I do. My son loves the NBA.
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: I wanted him to become a Wizards fan. It's been
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: so bad over a fifteen year period. He's a Suns
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: fan because he was a Devin Booker fan and he
- 1:03:44Speaker 1: just adopted the Sons and he's all in with the Sons.
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: And I blame the Wizards that they don't even try.
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: And when you put out you don't even try. Look,
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: it's clear that the Nats are not trying to win
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: a World Series. Their front office isn't, but they at
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: least the evidence is they want to win each individual game.
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: I think the way this way the way professional back
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: and professional basketball always looks even worse during during the
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: NCAA tournament, right because it's so fun and exciting to
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: watch competitive basketball, and then you're like, oh, now, if
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: you happen to see Thunder play the Lakers, they do compete,
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: but you can't watch your own hometown team play because
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: they have no interest in competing. That's no you know,
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: nobody watches the Washington Generals, and eventually people stop watching
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: the Harlem Globetrotters because you kind of knew what was
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: going to happen. And I just it's embarrassing and I
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: hate it, and I really think it's a stain on
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: the franchise. I get it. I get what they're trying
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: to do, and they're not the only team that has
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: done it. Utah is doing it. It's gross. We saw
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: what the you know again, I see it, shoot they
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: you know you see it in baseball, but at least
- 1:05:02Speaker 1: on at least you know the Houston Astros when they
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: were tanking as an organization, the players in the field
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: were competing, and the coaching staff on the field was
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: trying to win games. What's really gross about the Wizards
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: is that as soon as the player does well, they
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: bench them. God forbid that the Wizards accidentally win a game.
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: So it is absolutely the NBA is a huge problem,
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: and you want to expand clean up the league. At them,
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: clean this crap up, get a better regular season product,
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: going figure out how to incentivize better regular season basketball.
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: You know, when I was, when I was in my
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: teens and twenties, it was appointment viewing in the eighties
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: and early nineties to see regular season matchups of Bird
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: versus Magic, Magic versus Jordan. You know, you didn't miss it.
- 1:05:55Speaker 1: Nobody's tuning in for a regular season matchup. You don't
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: feel that sense of you know, you've got to fix
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: this at them, You've got to fix this. Basketball is
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: a great sport. This system has created a mess. All right,
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: enjoy your weekend. I'll see you on Monday.