Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / NFL Week 2 Picks | MLB Best Bets | Betting on Bitcoin!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Let's make some money. Welcome everybody to the best betting
- 0:03Speaker 1: show ever. I'm Lawrence Presman. Like always, We've got Art
- 0:06Speaker 1: to Caesar, book maker extraordinary from the Westgate joining us
- 0:10Speaker 1: and my co host Joven Airey. We got a jam
- 0:13Speaker 1: packed show. We've got a parlay of the day for you.
- 0:16Speaker 1: We have two NFL bets, two college football bets, bets
- 0:20Speaker 1: on every single baseball game that is going today. I
- 0:24Speaker 1: got a bet for you guys on the bitcoin market.
- 0:28Speaker 1: And of course we start every show with the great
- 0:32Speaker 1: Art to Caesar. We do a sportsbook update. We find
- 0:35Speaker 1: out where all the bets are, what the sports books want,
- 0:38Speaker 1: and how to use that knowledge to make money.
- 0:43Speaker 2: Art.
- 0:43Speaker 1: You're looking good, Joe. Thank you for being here. You
- 0:45Speaker 1: never look good. What's going on?
- 0:47Speaker 2: Art?
- 0:48Speaker 3: Not much for us, Happy to be here, man, We're
- 0:50Speaker 3: just rocking and rolling getting this going.
- 0:52Speaker 2: Yeah, fun show.
- 0:54Speaker 1: Yesterday, Joe Naiy, somebody did insult you in the comments section,
- 1:00Speaker 1: though we'll get to that in the mail bag section
- 1:04Speaker 1: of the show.
- 1:04Speaker 2: But you're a big man. You can handle it.
- 1:07Speaker 1: So Art over and under one of the odds at
- 1:11Speaker 1: the Westgate on Joe Tanning.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Today.
- 1:16Speaker 3: Today is Wednesday.
- 1:18Speaker 4: It's a.
- 1:18Speaker 1: It's a gay that ends with a y.
- 1:21Speaker 3: Yeah, we're getting we're getting close to the wall. You
- 1:23Speaker 3: can't go seven days a week, that's no. Did you
- 1:26Speaker 3: did you go yesterday?
- 1:28Speaker 2: Yeah? I did not go yesterday, but yeah I did.
- 1:34Speaker 2: I did end up walking outside though, in uh the degrees?
- 1:39Speaker 3: Yes, yes, natural, I'm gonna say about a minus a
- 1:42Speaker 3: dollar fifty on a yes.
- 1:44Speaker 1: Yeah, So put me down for that, because that man
- 1:48Speaker 1: has to keep that lobster glow, and the only way
- 1:50Speaker 1: to do that is with the sun. Okay, art the Caesar.
- 1:56Speaker 1: College football, yes, I'm yes, but we're going to get
- 2:01Speaker 1: to college urgle now, okay, Joe, Yes, you know. One
- 2:04Speaker 1: of the people in the comment section wrote that we
- 2:06Speaker 1: need Teddy. He's more He's more of a curmudgeon than you, Joe.
- 2:11Speaker 1: So yeah, that's a no.
- 2:13Speaker 2: I can play Teddy. I can do. No, don't play Teddy,
- 2:16Speaker 2: please do.
- 2:16Speaker 1: I am teddied out, man, I am. I am as
- 2:20Speaker 1: teddied out as you could beat. He does have great hair, though, Joe,
- 2:24Speaker 1: you gotta give him his due on his lid. H.
- 2:27Speaker 1: Speaking of lids, mister shoulder length, where's all the money
- 2:31Speaker 1: going in college football today?
- 2:34Speaker 3: Well, let's look at you know, a handful of games here.
- 2:37Speaker 3: We'll start with a game that has an enormous spread,
- 2:40Speaker 3: but they're a team you got to talk about. Oregon's
- 2:42Speaker 3: going to Northwestern. We're currently twenty seven and a half
- 2:46Speaker 3: on Oregon in that game. Total is a little low
- 2:49Speaker 3: for a spread that high of forty nine. But Oregon State,
- 2:52Speaker 3: who obviously bludgeoned Oklahoma State last week, they have the
- 2:57Speaker 3: Civil War on deck next week, then they have State.
- 3:01Speaker 3: We opened twenty seven on that game. We got north
- 3:03Speaker 3: to twenty eight and hit twenty eight and a half.
- 3:06Speaker 3: Then there was some buy on Northwestern at twenty eight
- 3:08Speaker 3: and a half and twenty eight, which has taken us
- 3:10Speaker 3: down under the four touchdowns. Oregon's gonna be an interesting
- 3:14Speaker 3: team to watch all year. We probably won't know what
- 3:17Speaker 3: they are until a couple of weeks when they played
- 3:19Speaker 3: Penn State, but they are going to have really big
- 3:22Speaker 3: spreads like they did last week, this week, and even
- 3:24Speaker 3: next week. So keep your eye on that. Two games
- 3:27Speaker 3: that we had Games of the year on and they're
- 3:29Speaker 3: obviously enormous games. In two of the better games of
- 3:32Speaker 3: the week. LSU Florida. We know the disaster that happened
- 3:35Speaker 3: with Florida. That game in a Game of the Year
- 3:39Speaker 3: was seven and a half. Then we reopened it and
- 3:42Speaker 3: we reopened LSU nine and a half. They took Florida
- 3:45Speaker 3: at nine and a half, They took Florida at eight
- 3:47Speaker 3: and a half. They took Florida at eight. We're back
- 3:49Speaker 3: to the Game of the year line at seven and
- 3:51Speaker 3: a half. It's probably too much of an over adjustment.
- 3:54Speaker 3: Who knows how good LSU is, right, they had a
- 3:57Speaker 3: really nice win against Clemson, but I don't know. Clemson
- 3:59Speaker 3: has looked pretty lackluster so far this year, especially with
- 4:03Speaker 3: that performance against Troy and the Notre Dame A and
- 4:05Speaker 3: M game, which is a huge game. We touched on
- 4:07Speaker 3: it yesterday for Notre Dame because if they lose, they
- 4:10Speaker 3: might not make the playoff here. Even if they went out,
- 4:13Speaker 3: they really need to win. The game Game of the
- 4:15Speaker 3: year line was seven. We reopened the game seven, so
- 4:18Speaker 3: there was no adjustment. But they came in and took
- 4:21Speaker 3: A and M at seven. We're now six and a half,
- 4:24Speaker 3: so you can get Notre Dame under a touchdown.
- 4:26Speaker 2: It is that time here, art right, what is this
- 4:28Speaker 2: week three now the college football season, which means a
- 4:32Speaker 2: lot of overreactions. Right, this feels like the trap week
- 4:38Speaker 2: for the public. Right, have you seen a lot of
- 4:41Speaker 2: people going, Oh, there's no way Miami's gonna cover the
- 4:45Speaker 2: number at seventeen and a half? Have you seen South Florida?
- 4:49Speaker 2: Have you seen Troy? Have you seen so there feels
- 4:53Speaker 2: like there's a lot of spots on this card this
- 4:55Speaker 2: week where maybe the public is running with recency bias
- 5:00Speaker 2: seeing it.
- 5:01Speaker 4: Well, they're gonna do that.
- 5:01Speaker 3: And we always talk about on any show I've ever
- 5:04Speaker 3: gone on, I've always said, it's what people see the
- 5:06Speaker 3: week before, and you know they don't, you know where
- 5:09Speaker 3: it's the pro betters always stick to their power ratings.
- 5:12Speaker 3: They're gonna adjust week to week and do things like that.
- 5:16Speaker 3: But it's not gonna be a huge overa adjustment unless
- 5:19Speaker 3: maybe there's an injury. But you're right, that Miami game is.
- 5:23Speaker 3: I think we opened sixteen sixteen and a half. For now,
- 5:25Speaker 3: seventeen and a half has been nothing but Miami money,
- 5:28Speaker 3: even though South Florida has been pretty good. I think
- 5:31Speaker 3: eventually we're gonna get a nibble on South Florida. It
- 5:34Speaker 3: just has not happened yet. And you know, I know
- 5:37Speaker 3: Miami is gonna be very fun public wise with moneyline parlays,
- 5:42Speaker 3: even though it's a big spread. What I've always said
- 5:44Speaker 3: in college, eight ten, twelve teen, money line parlays they
- 5:48Speaker 3: rule the.
- 5:48Speaker 4: Day on Saturdays.
- 5:50Speaker 3: You always just need like we did in that week
- 5:52Speaker 3: where FSU beat Alabama, You just need one to come
- 5:56Speaker 3: through and you can knock a bunch of those out.
- 5:58Speaker 2: All right.
- 5:58Speaker 1: Caesar joining us every live from the West Gate, one
- 6:03Speaker 1: of the top sportsbooks on the planet and a very
- 6:06Speaker 1: good friend of Wage to talk. You guys can hear
- 6:08Speaker 1: Art's boss, John Murray with Kelly on a regular podcast.
- 6:13Speaker 1: I don't know how often they do that podcast, do you, Art?
- 6:16Speaker 4: I believe it's alst a week.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Oh, it is once a week.
- 6:18Speaker 4: Okay, there you go.
- 6:20Speaker 2: Art.
- 6:21Speaker 1: Joe mentions overreaction week and you know that sort of
- 6:25Speaker 1: week two in the NFL. I was with some friends
- 6:27Speaker 1: last night and they were like, Miami Dolphins are horrible.
- 6:31Speaker 1: I've got them circled as a bet. Indianapolis Colts are
- 6:37Speaker 1: a monster. I got them circled as a fade. What
- 6:42Speaker 1: is going on over at the West Gate in regards
- 6:45Speaker 1: to the money on an NFL?
- 6:48Speaker 3: Yeah, it's definitely over reaction week in the NFL.
- 6:51Speaker 4: We always have that.
- 6:52Speaker 3: Speaking of that cult game, pres look aheadlines on that
- 6:56Speaker 3: was Denver minus three and a half. Denver did win
- 6:59Speaker 3: their game at home against Tennessee as an eight eight
- 7:01Speaker 3: and a half nine point favorite. They didn't look that great.
- 7:04Speaker 3: Gottes See look kind of spunky in the game, and
- 7:06Speaker 3: we know what the Colts did. We now have that
- 7:09Speaker 3: game in a reopen as Indie mine or I'm sorry,
- 7:13Speaker 3: Denver minus two and a half. So now you can't
- 7:15Speaker 3: get the three or three and a half with Indy
- 7:17Speaker 3: and now you're getting a cheaper price with Denver under
- 7:19Speaker 3: the field goal ran it. It's on the road, but
- 7:22Speaker 3: there is a cheaper price on the game. Jacksonville and
- 7:25Speaker 3: Cincinnati has been a huge adjustment. That was six and
- 7:28Speaker 3: a half Cincinnati on a look ahead line. We're now
- 7:31Speaker 3: three and a half. Beangals looking you.
- 7:32Speaker 4: Still have a lot of offensive line problems.
- 7:35Speaker 3: Jacksonville obviously played a lackluster game despite winning against Carolina,
- 7:39Speaker 3: one of the worst teams in the NFL. But you're
- 7:41Speaker 3: you're talking about a three point adjustment there. That's an
- 7:44Speaker 3: enormous adjustment. So keep your eye on something like that.
- 7:48Speaker 3: And Minnesota, despite the comeback and winning. They were five
- 7:53Speaker 3: and a half in a look ahead at home against Atlanta.
- 7:56Speaker 3: Atlanta lost a brutal game where their kicker basically missed
- 7:59Speaker 3: an extra point, you know, to send the game the overtime.
- 8:02Speaker 4: And that's now four and a half.
- 8:03Speaker 3: So there's been a little bit of adjustment on Minnesota
- 8:06Speaker 3: because who knows McCarthy should be better at home and
- 8:09Speaker 3: they got to win. But you're already seeing the point
- 8:12Speaker 3: point and a half and even sometimes three point adjustment
- 8:15Speaker 3: on some of these Week two lines.
- 8:17Speaker 2: All right, Lard helped me out because Week one was
- 8:21Speaker 2: all about the unders. So what kind of adjustments have
- 8:26Speaker 2: we seen in the totals market? If any? Are the
- 8:29Speaker 2: books running to try to adjust or can we expect
- 8:35Speaker 2: maybe a little something different this week here with the numbers.
- 8:38Speaker 2: But it was huge to the under last.
- 8:40Speaker 3: Week, Yeah, no doubt about it. And two of the
- 8:43Speaker 3: games I touched on, you saw adjustments. That Denver game
- 8:45Speaker 3: was forty four and a half, it's now forty two.
- 8:48Speaker 3: Bengals were opened at forty eight, got to as high
- 8:51Speaker 3: as fifty and a half to come back down to
- 8:53Speaker 3: forty eight and a half. But we we're gonna stick
- 8:55Speaker 3: with some teams we think we think Cincinnati's, despite what
- 8:58Speaker 3: happened last week against a really defense, we think Cincinnati
- 9:01Speaker 3: is a dead over team. So they're always going to
- 9:04Speaker 3: be booked to hire totals. There are just going to
- 9:06Speaker 3: be some teams like that that we're not going to
- 9:08Speaker 3: get crazy with our adjustments yet on totals. But you know,
- 9:12Speaker 3: Joe and Press, we always talk about this public's going
- 9:15Speaker 3: to come here when they're here on a football weekend,
- 9:17Speaker 3: they want to bet overs.
- 9:18Speaker 4: They're just going to do that.
- 9:20Speaker 3: Opening numbers on totals, you see a lot of under
- 9:22Speaker 3: money come in early in the week, then numbers start
- 9:25Speaker 3: to creep back up because the seasoned, respected better is
- 9:29Speaker 3: always going to take their unders for a following week
- 9:32Speaker 3: on a Sunday night or a Monday morning.
- 9:34Speaker 1: Art Caesar Art a couple of a couple of these
- 9:39Speaker 1: games stand out to me. So right now, money wise,
- 9:42Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the money is coming in on
- 9:45Speaker 1: the Miami under, eighty nine percent of the money is
- 9:49Speaker 1: coming in on the Cleveland Baltimore over, and ninety one
- 9:53Speaker 1: on the under in Tennessee and ninety percent on the
- 9:57Speaker 1: over in Buffalo. Those are extremely lobsided. Are you guys
- 10:02Speaker 1: at the Westgate finding this similar situation.
- 10:07Speaker 3: You know, PRIs, I don't want to say we're in
- 10:09Speaker 3: that range where we're in like ninety percent type of things.
- 10:12Speaker 3: As we get closer to game time, like let's say
- 10:15Speaker 3: on a Friday, maybe I'll be able to give you
- 10:17Speaker 3: some of our highest percentage on some of the totals.
- 10:20Speaker 3: So I'll keep that in mind for our Friday Football
- 10:23Speaker 3: NFL show where I'll just say, hey, maybe this is
- 10:26Speaker 3: a game that we're seeing eighty percent over, eighty percent under.
- 10:29Speaker 3: We're really not at that point yet. We have to
- 10:32Speaker 3: wait till more of the money starts to come in,
- 10:34Speaker 3: especially when the public gets here and starts a fire away.
- 10:37Speaker 1: Uh Art this, Caesar, I'm gonna put you on the spot.
- 10:40Speaker 1: We got a huge boxing match coming up on Saturday,
- 10:43Speaker 1: Terrence Crawford against Canelo Alvarez minus one eighty to one
- 10:48Speaker 1: eighty five of Canelo, which makes sense is he is
- 10:52Speaker 1: the sexy name.
- 10:53Speaker 2: In the boxing world.
- 10:55Speaker 1: Is there a what type of bets are you taking?
- 10:58Speaker 1: I mean there's some minus two twenties up there, and
- 11:00Speaker 1: do you think the dog is live?
- 11:03Speaker 3: Not being an enormous boxing guy, But I will say
- 11:06Speaker 3: this about the fight, and we're dealing Canelo minus one
- 11:09Speaker 3: seventy five.
- 11:10Speaker 4: Take back on Crawford is plus one fifty five. This
- 11:13Speaker 4: is the.
- 11:14Speaker 3: Type of fight where, yes, I do think the dog
- 11:16Speaker 3: is live, and the sharp money is going to be
- 11:18Speaker 3: on Crawford, and all the public money is gonna be
- 11:21Speaker 3: on Canelo. He's huge in Vegas. He has a real
- 11:24Speaker 3: following here. People come into town on his fight and
- 11:27Speaker 3: make his bets. And I'll say this, you want to
- 11:29Speaker 3: talk about ticket counts, you'll probably get eight eight out
- 11:33Speaker 3: of every ten tickets on Canelo, but those are gonna
- 11:36Speaker 3: be twenty fifty, one hundred dollars bets. And then the
- 11:39Speaker 3: one or two bets you do take on Crawford, those
- 11:42Speaker 3: are gonna be you know, two dimes, five dimes. You're
- 11:44Speaker 3: gonna see those type of bets. Canelo will be popular
- 11:48Speaker 3: in parlays. He'll be you know, parlayed to games on
- 11:52Speaker 3: Sunday in the NFL, games on Saturday and college football,
- 11:56Speaker 3: so you'll see that type of love for Canelo. But
- 11:58Speaker 3: the guys we respect have already knocked our price down
- 12:01Speaker 3: because we were Canelo one to eighty five, so we've
- 12:03Speaker 3: already moved ten cents there, and that's because the higher
- 12:06Speaker 3: volume respected bets are coming in on Crawford Joe.
- 12:10Speaker 2: Well, usually with fights like that too, do you get
- 12:13Speaker 2: a lot of the prop where, hey, it's it's going
- 12:15Speaker 2: over eight and a half or ten and a half rounds,
- 12:18Speaker 2: or it goes to distance any of those have you
- 12:22Speaker 2: seen thus far? Is that closer to fight time?
- 12:25Speaker 3: That's definitely closer to fight time.
- 12:27Speaker 4: But I will say this.
- 12:28Speaker 3: You'll always see money on the draw because they figure,
- 12:32Speaker 3: you know, boxing is a little scandalous, let's say, so,
- 12:36Speaker 3: they're always going to take a shot with the draw
- 12:37Speaker 3: twelve to one. And then an enormous thing that's fun
- 12:40Speaker 3: for people is they like to pick the round. So
- 12:43Speaker 3: Crawford in the fourth round or Canelo in the they
- 12:46Speaker 3: like to do that because they get a nice price
- 12:48Speaker 3: on that. They're always gonna get plus money on those.
- 12:51Speaker 4: So you see those.
- 12:52Speaker 3: But once again, those guys, those are smaller bets. You know,
- 12:55Speaker 3: those are ten twenty thirty dollars. You know, throw a
- 12:57Speaker 3: couple bucks down, you know. Ever, never see a guy
- 13:01Speaker 3: come in and say give me five dimes on Canelo
- 13:03Speaker 3: in the eighth.
- 13:04Speaker 4: It just it just doesn't happen.
- 13:06Speaker 2: A art this Caesar joining us. Guys.
- 13:07Speaker 1: We're going to get into our parlay of the day shortly.
- 13:10Speaker 1: I just want to ask you guys all to hit
- 13:13Speaker 1: that thumbs up button. Make sure to like the show.
- 13:15Speaker 1: It is super important. Also comment on in our YouTube videos.
- 13:20Speaker 1: The word of the day is pick a word. Art
- 13:23Speaker 1: the word of the day. Just pick a word.
- 13:27Speaker 4: I would say.
- 13:27Speaker 3: The word of the day is I don't know, fantastic.
- 13:33Speaker 2: Oh fantastic.
- 13:34Speaker 1: Okay, put the word fantastic in the comment section.
- 13:38Speaker 2: Everyone, so art.
- 13:40Speaker 1: Before we get to our parlay of the day, I'm
- 13:43Speaker 1: gonna make a phone call live on air. Yesterday I
- 13:47Speaker 1: came clean to Joe and I admitted publicly that I
- 13:52Speaker 1: have never watched an episode. I've never missed an episode
- 13:55Speaker 1: of America's Got Talent in my life. So I'm to
- 14:00Speaker 1: call the wife and have a conversation on air with
- 14:04Speaker 1: the wife. Okay, We're ready, Here we go, Here there, Vivian.
- 14:09Speaker 1: I just wanted to let you know we taped America's
- 14:12Speaker 1: Got Talent last night and tonight we are watching the
- 14:16Speaker 1: entire show.
- 14:17Speaker 2: Do we have a date?
- 14:20Speaker 4: Are you serious?
- 14:21Speaker 2: AGT? Baby? You me and Agt?
- 14:27Speaker 1: There you go, Joe. So I'm telling you the Truth
- 14:30Speaker 1: later Live ev A G two Tonight art. Oh yeah,
- 14:36Speaker 1: as the results show, we got three hours of AGT
- 14:39Speaker 1: tonight Parlay of the Day.
- 14:42Speaker 2: Are you ready, Joe? Yes, Now we know what.
- 14:44Speaker 1: Now we know why Joe is so red faced.
- 14:47Speaker 2: It's working with me.
- 14:48Speaker 4: I don't know how we come back from that.
- 14:50Speaker 2: I don't know how we recover from that art. It
- 14:52Speaker 2: better be with a It better be with a three
- 14:54Speaker 2: team winner. I'll tell you that right now. So aehad
- 14:57Speaker 2: mister Simon cow what's your first play?
- 15:00Speaker 1: Well, if I was mister Simon Collum, my shirt would
- 15:03Speaker 1: be button toy here and I would think old ladies
- 15:05Speaker 1: out there would want to see my sixty year old chest.
- 15:10Speaker 1: I like the under first half in the Yankees game.
- 15:13Speaker 1: That would be Leggett number one for me. What do
- 15:16Speaker 1: you got, Joe?
- 15:17Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm still trying to get over that segment. I
- 15:20Speaker 2: am gonna go. If it ain't broke, don't fix it, people.
- 15:24Speaker 2: And that's gonna be with Paul Skein's on the mound
- 15:26Speaker 2: there for the Pittsburgh Pirates taking on Wells and Baltimore.
- 15:32Speaker 2: And it has been a customary bet of mine all
- 15:35Speaker 2: season long. First five under and yeah, it's probably three
- 15:39Speaker 2: and a half, but it's three and a half for
- 15:40Speaker 2: a reason. So yeah, I don't see Baltimore scoring a
- 15:44Speaker 2: lot of runs, and we all know Pittsburgh's probably not
- 15:46Speaker 2: scoring a ton of runs. So first five under three
- 15:49Speaker 2: and a half. Paul Skeen's day. How about you, Aret.
- 15:53Speaker 3: Well, obviously I gotta apologize because you boys hit last
- 15:56Speaker 3: night and I had the Marlin so Loui Bar parlay.
- 15:59Speaker 3: But I think we're gonna hit some of these moving
- 16:01Speaker 3: down the road. We already have hit one. I'm going
- 16:03Speaker 3: with the short price. It's basically pick them. I like
- 16:05Speaker 3: the Royals to avoid basically getting swept here against Cleveland.
- 16:11Speaker 3: They got to stay in the race. Both teams are fighting.
- 16:14Speaker 3: Royals have the better picture. Give me the Royals minus
- 16:16Speaker 3: one oh five.
- 16:17Speaker 2: There we go.
- 16:18Speaker 1: That is our three team parlay of the day. We've
- 16:22Speaker 1: had five, we've hit one, so we are up money
- 16:25Speaker 1: at Joe a moment to celebrate. How lucky Paul, whoever
- 16:30Speaker 1: schemes is, he gets. He gets Livy Dunn and that
- 16:37Speaker 1: is impressed. I mean, it's no Sydney Sweeney. I think
- 16:41Speaker 1: we're too old for this conversation.
- 16:45Speaker 2: Charlie's then let's focus on Charlie's. Then she's more our age.
- 16:49Speaker 2: You don't like her, Joe, You're more Fara faucet than
- 16:53Speaker 2: Charlie's starn So please stop it. Yeah, stop it, hey,
- 16:57Speaker 2: old ass, I don't want to hear it. Please apologize.
- 17:01Speaker 2: I apologize from the bottom of my heart. I really do.
- 17:05Speaker 2: I do. Yeah, I mean you know I.
- 17:08Speaker 1: Love Charlie's theorems. Yeah, oh, I love that. I had
- 17:14Speaker 1: the Heather Thomas poster, remember from the Fall, guy, let's
- 17:18Speaker 1: call it a segment heart anything else?
- 17:22Speaker 3: Now listen, Obviously, the next couple of days will be
- 17:24Speaker 3: heavy college football, heavy NFL.
- 17:27Speaker 4: On Friday, we'll.
- 17:28Speaker 3: Listen as we get closer to the Crawford fight too,
- 17:30Speaker 3: we'll touch on the Crawford fight again. And you know,
- 17:32Speaker 3: obviously I'll see you boys tomorrow.
- 17:34Speaker 1: Both heart this, Caesar, everyone guys. Thursday show is heavy
- 17:38Speaker 1: college football. Of course, we're going to take apart the
- 17:41Speaker 1: NFL game in great detail. And Friday show is heavy NFL,
- 17:45Speaker 1: so make sure to check that out. Joe, we got
- 17:47Speaker 1: an incredible promo up, had a couple of people take
- 17:50Speaker 1: advantage of it yesterday. It's up for the whole week.
- 17:52Speaker 1: It's our two for one buy one, get one free promo. Basically,
- 17:57Speaker 1: the concept is, look, Joe and I are both winning.
- 18:00Speaker 1: We're up close to twenty units of profit in the
- 18:03Speaker 1: last seven days together. And if you buy thirty days
- 18:08Speaker 1: of Joe, you get thirty days of me for free.
- 18:11Speaker 1: If you buy thirty days of Me, you get thirty
- 18:13Speaker 1: days of Joe for free. That includes every bet we
- 18:15Speaker 1: put out, including our five percent bets, and it includes
- 18:19Speaker 1: every single sport two hundred and ninety nine dollars. You
- 18:22Speaker 1: get both of our plays. It should be an excellent
- 18:25Speaker 1: thirty day period, so please take advantage of that for
- 18:29Speaker 1: all those people who are listening to this as a podcast.
- 18:32Speaker 1: The next five segments are on a two minute clock.
- 18:37Speaker 1: Two minutes, two NFL bets, Two guys. I'm going first.
- 18:42Speaker 1: I really like the over in the Baltimore Cleveland game,
- 18:46Speaker 1: and I understand how square this play is. To give
- 18:49Speaker 1: you perspective, at this very moment, eighty seven percent of
- 18:54Speaker 1: all tickets have been written on the over, and I
- 18:58Speaker 1: get it. It makes total sense to me. You got
- 19:00Speaker 1: a number here of forty five. Baltimore could put up
- 19:04Speaker 1: forty anytime they won. Last year, they put up forty
- 19:06Speaker 1: A bunch of times, and so they put up forty
- 19:08Speaker 1: against Buffalo. We also saw that they couldn't stop Buffalo either.
- 19:13Speaker 1: They really do suck at this moment on defense. Now,
- 19:17Speaker 1: with that said, they obviously played Josh Allen and they
- 19:20Speaker 1: obviously do have a better D unit than they did
- 19:23Speaker 1: in Week one, but they're playing a Cleveland team who's
- 19:26Speaker 1: throwing the ball. They were able to move the ball
- 19:28Speaker 1: on Cincinnati. They should have won that game. And frankly,
- 19:31Speaker 1: all we need ultimately is ten points out of Cleveland,
- 19:34Speaker 1: and this game's going over take over the total of
- 19:37Speaker 1: forty five in Baltimore and Cleveland.
- 19:39Speaker 2: Joe all right, Prez, I am gonna go, and I
- 19:42Speaker 2: can't believe I'm doing it, but I won what them
- 19:44Speaker 2: last week. I'm gonna win with him again this week.
- 19:46Speaker 2: And that is the New York Jets taking on the
- 19:50Speaker 2: Buffalo Bills. Here. This opened up seven seven and a half,
- 19:54Speaker 2: and the money came rolling in on the Jets, and
- 19:56Speaker 2: with good reason. Here. I definitely think that the public
- 20:01Speaker 2: is not believing the Jets offensively can repeat what they
- 20:06Speaker 2: did against Pittsburgh, and I believe they can. And what
- 20:09Speaker 2: I saw from that Buffalo defense was not reassuring, especially
- 20:14Speaker 2: against the run and the Jets they're going to be
- 20:17Speaker 2: able to run and run a lot and throughout his career,
- 20:21Speaker 2: Josh Allen very good as a favorite, not so great
- 20:24Speaker 2: at covering numbers on the road here, in fact, a
- 20:29Speaker 2: few straight up losses on the road as a touchdown
- 20:32Speaker 2: or less favorite. I like the Jets to get it
- 20:35Speaker 2: done here, Prez.
- 20:36Speaker 1: Yeah, Joe makes sense to me. Let's move to our
- 20:39Speaker 1: college football best bets. And I'm looking at Memphis here.
- 20:43Speaker 1: Joe minus three and a half against Troy, And I mean,
- 20:46Speaker 1: let's just bottom line this. Just think about Troy or
- 20:50Speaker 1: a second. From an emotional perspective. They spent the entire
- 20:54Speaker 1: offseason with one game circled on their calendar. We're playing Clemson.
- 20:59Speaker 1: We're going to debn Falley, and we're going to win
- 21:02Speaker 1: that game. And they had the Tigers on the ropes.
- 21:06Speaker 1: This Troy team played the game of their lives and
- 21:10Speaker 1: they still lost. They have to be down in the dumps.
- 21:14Speaker 1: They put everything into that game. They came away with
- 21:16Speaker 1: absolutely nothing. And now after that soul crushing, emotionally draining loss,
- 21:23Speaker 1: they're supposed to get up against the hungary Memphis team
- 21:27Speaker 1: A Memphis team whose quarterback is rolling a Memphis team
- 21:30Speaker 1: who's two to zero and feeling good about their season.
- 21:33Speaker 2: This is a.
- 21:34Speaker 1: Perfect letdown spot for Troy and a great spot to
- 21:38Speaker 1: bet Memphis. Take Memphis minus three and a half.
- 21:41Speaker 2: Joe, all right, Memphis, it is I am gonna go
- 21:45Speaker 2: with one of those games that this is probably not
- 21:48Speaker 2: a big enough number. It is decent, but it's not
- 21:51Speaker 2: big enough. And that is the Zoo at home taking
- 21:55Speaker 2: on Louisiana the rage in Cajuns, and I'm sorry, this
- 21:59Speaker 2: game has got absolute blowout written all over it. I
- 22:04Speaker 2: love what I saw from Miszoo last week at home
- 22:06Speaker 2: against Kansas as their quarterback. Thirty to thirty nine, three
- 22:11Speaker 2: hundred and thirty four yards, three touchdowns, no picks. I
- 22:14Speaker 2: got no problem with Miszoo keeping their foot on the gas,
- 22:18Speaker 2: and they better if they're gonna have a chance at
- 22:21Speaker 2: any sort of run here, maybe to the postseason. I
- 22:25Speaker 2: love this Miszoo team. I love what I saw from
- 22:27Speaker 2: them last week Louisiana. Yeah, I mean they lost fourteen
- 22:32Speaker 2: to twelve to Rice as a ten point favorite. Yeah,
- 22:35Speaker 2: Miszoo is going to roll over this team this weekend.
- 22:39Speaker 2: I'll lay the big number with him Press Joe.
- 22:43Speaker 1: Every Wednesday, we do a Kelshay segment at Kelshi's a
- 22:46Speaker 1: website kelshy dot com. They do not pay us. We're
- 22:49Speaker 1: not an affiliate.
- 22:50Speaker 2: We have no association with them.
- 22:53Speaker 1: However, their site is awesome because it provides you with
- 22:57Speaker 1: the opportunity to make bets on every single thing to
- 23:01Speaker 1: give you perspective which Senators will vote to confirm. Stephen Moran,
- 23:06Speaker 1: a top artist on Spotify, Oscar nomination for Best Actor
- 23:10Speaker 1: Democratic nominee. We spoke about that last week. I gave
- 23:14Speaker 1: you guys Gavin Newsom to bet. Today, I want to
- 23:19Speaker 1: look at bitcoin. We've got a situation here where the
- 23:23Speaker 1: Kelshy website allows you to bet on whether bitcoin will
- 23:27Speaker 1: be below or above one hundred and twenty five thousand,
- 23:33Speaker 1: and it's before November, before December, or January, et cetera.
- 23:38Speaker 1: I am looking to take that bet on the no
- 23:41Speaker 1: before December, so I believe that Bitcoin will not go
- 23:46Speaker 1: hit one hundred and twenty five thousand before December, and
- 23:51Speaker 1: I am getting paid plus one fifty three. So for
- 23:54Speaker 1: every one hundred dollars I bet at Kelshay, I make
- 23:58Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty three dollars. If bitcoin does not
- 24:02Speaker 1: go over one twenty five, and let me just bottom
- 24:04Speaker 1: line this for you guys, that would be the highest
- 24:07Speaker 1: Bitcoin has ever been in history. So I am supposed
- 24:11Speaker 1: to bet that Bitcoin will be the highest it's ever
- 24:13Speaker 1: been in the next two and a half months. That
- 24:16Speaker 1: seems a bit much. On top of that, if you
- 24:19Speaker 1: go back and you chart twenty seventeen, early twenties whenever
- 24:24Speaker 1: bitcoin had its run, the run starts in December, So
- 24:29Speaker 1: I think we're gonna get a ton of value betting
- 24:33Speaker 1: that to the no and then maybe taking to the
- 24:36Speaker 1: yes for January. So that way you're hedged beautifully and
- 24:41Speaker 1: you have that one month where you might be able
- 24:43Speaker 1: to win both. Obviously you would win the January one
- 24:47Speaker 1: and lose the December one if it goes up in November.
- 24:50Speaker 1: So that's how I would attack it, Joe. I believe
- 24:54Speaker 1: in bitcoin.
- 24:55Speaker 2: I just don't think it's.
- 24:56Speaker 1: Gonna go over one twenty five before December.
- 25:00Speaker 2: Okay, what's up next? Oh? Your segment?
- 25:03Speaker 1: Mlb rundown every game on the board in two minutes. Breathe, focus, meditate,
- 25:09Speaker 1: get some sun, ye eat a banana?
- 25:13Speaker 2: All right? The mic is Yules Boom let's go all
- 25:15Speaker 2: right MLB starting early this afternoon, Brewers and Ragers. Will
- 25:20Speaker 2: the Rangers sweep the Brewers? Well, Merril Kelly, Freddie Peralta.
- 25:24Speaker 2: I think this thing is going way under the total
- 25:26Speaker 2: Red Sox and Athletics. Red Sox bats alive, Athletics have
- 25:31Speaker 2: not been that being said, don't trust the Red Sox
- 25:34Speaker 2: to go in and sweep the Athletics here, so I'll
- 25:36Speaker 2: be backing them. The Giants and the Diamondbacks two absolute
- 25:41Speaker 2: gas cans on the man with Rodriguez and Seymour. Yeah, no,
- 25:45Speaker 2: I'm gonna see more runs in this one with the
- 25:48Speaker 2: Giants and Diamondbacks up and over. We already talked about
- 25:52Speaker 2: Twins and Angels. Guys. If an apro don't fix it,
- 25:54Speaker 2: we're getting runs. One of these teams is gonna score twelve,
- 25:57Speaker 2: since that's exactly what they've done in the first Cup
- 26:00Speaker 2: games of this series. Pirates and Oh has already told
- 26:03Speaker 2: you about the first five under in that one. Royals
- 26:06Speaker 2: and the Guardians. Logan Allen should not beat the Royals
- 26:11Speaker 2: here at plus money, I will take a shot with
- 26:14Speaker 2: the Kansas City Royals. Talk about gas cans. How about
- 26:17Speaker 2: Irvin of Washington although Washington has been absolutely crushingable in
- 26:21Speaker 2: winning games. Are they gonna sweep the Marlins? Not with
- 26:25Speaker 2: Jury Perez on the mound at home. I'm gonna take
- 26:27Speaker 2: the Marlins in this one. Certainly gonna consider them early
- 26:31Speaker 2: in that one as well. Clay Holmes against Christopher Sanchez
- 26:35Speaker 2: Phillies on the verge of sweeping the Mets, kind of
- 26:38Speaker 2: hard to believe they won't with this pitching matchup. Not
- 26:41Speaker 2: to mention, of course, the Yankees and the Tigers, pres
- 26:43Speaker 2: told you earlier, Flaherty versus Rodan Rodin is the stopper
- 26:48Speaker 2: for the Yankees. They'll get it done here today. Blue
- 26:51Speaker 2: Jays and Astros Barrios versus Alexander I'm taking an over
- 26:55Speaker 2: on that. The Cubs should be able to handle the Braves.
- 26:58Speaker 2: Not to mention the White Sox and Rays. That game's
- 27:01Speaker 2: got overwritten all over it. The Reds and the Padres
- 27:04Speaker 2: with Pa Veteran Abbott. Yeah, I'm gonna go with the
- 27:07Speaker 2: Reds getting it done there and the Cardinals and Mariners.
- 27:10Speaker 2: Look for the Mariners to win, and the Dodgers, I
- 27:13Speaker 2: don't know, minus three forty Not with my money, I'll
- 27:17Speaker 2: take Freelin and the Rockies in the first five.
- 27:20Speaker 1: There we go, Joe, outstanding man. Okay, we got one
- 27:23Speaker 1: last segment to do before we get into that again.
- 27:26Speaker 1: Please hit the like button. Please subscribe to our channel
- 27:29Speaker 1: and take advantage of the buy one, get one free offer.
- 27:33Speaker 1: If you buy a month of Joe RANII, you get
- 27:36Speaker 1: thirty days free of my bets, all bets, percent five
- 27:40Speaker 1: percent all sports. Take advantage of that.
- 27:44Speaker 2: Joe.
- 27:44Speaker 1: It's time for our mail bag section of the show,
- 27:47Speaker 1: just to let everybody know. If you got questions, put
- 27:50Speaker 1: them up in the comments section every show. We will
- 27:53Speaker 1: go through it. If you want some betting advice, ask us.
- 27:57Speaker 1: If you want to know about a specific game, ask us.
- 27:59Speaker 1: I read it, Joe, and I will get through it. So, Joe,
- 28:03Speaker 1: first off, we've ed Olsen writes, whereas you got to
- 28:06Speaker 1: get the gummies that the doltlin head coach is taking
- 28:10Speaker 1: must be some good shit.
- 28:12Speaker 2: I'm in man. Listen, Mike McDonald.
- 28:16Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel was an alcoholic, so congratulations to him for
- 28:20Speaker 1: not being an alcoholic anymore. He did overcome that. But
- 28:25Speaker 1: clearly he is on gummies, and clearly I.
- 28:27Speaker 2: Want some of those two.
- 28:28Speaker 1: So if anyone has any of those good gummies. Send
- 28:32Speaker 1: them over to my Send them over to me, Joe,
- 28:34Speaker 1: one of our listeners writes, and it's very interesting because
- 28:38Speaker 1: you did it today, he writes. Whenever Ranieri says, if
- 28:44Speaker 1: it ain't broke, do not make that bet, and you
- 28:48Speaker 1: said that today.
- 28:50Speaker 2: Firstly, I know it's.
- 28:51Speaker 1: A CROs and you lead a crotch and you lean
- 28:53Speaker 1: on that statement. But secondly, is there an angle?
- 28:56Speaker 2: There? Is that true? Every time you say it, it loses.
- 29:00Speaker 2: Actually every time I say it, actually it actually wins.
- 29:03Speaker 2: And it's gonna win again today with Paul Skins on
- 29:06Speaker 2: a mound against the Orioles. But hey, feel free to
- 29:09Speaker 2: fade it and let me know how that works out
- 29:11Speaker 2: for you.
- 29:13Speaker 1: Schmidt writes, enjoy the new podcast, guys, fast moving, love
- 29:17Speaker 1: of the book maker Insights along with the pro betterviews.
- 29:20Speaker 1: It's structured into specific topics, not just conversations on the fly,
- 29:25Speaker 1: and that is exactly how we feel. Joe, this is
- 29:28Speaker 1: a favorite show I've ever done, flat out. I love
- 29:31Speaker 1: the structure of the show. I think you and I
- 29:34Speaker 1: have good chemistry. Art's incredible, So yeah, I'm with him.
- 29:37Speaker 1: I love what we're doing here.
- 29:40Speaker 2: Yeah, No, there's nothing not to like and Plus it's
- 29:43Speaker 2: about you guys watching it, So feel free to drop
- 29:45Speaker 2: those questions anytime in the comments there if you want
- 29:49Speaker 2: us to talk and review something. I think the Calshie
- 29:52Speaker 2: Predictive Markets is a great segment, and I think the
- 29:56Speaker 2: more and more we do that over the week with
- 29:58Speaker 2: these shows, the more and more popular. Again, if you
- 30:00Speaker 2: don't know about the predictive Markets, yeah, guys, stay tuned.
- 30:04Speaker 2: There is a lot of edges to be having it.
- 30:06Speaker 2: That's for sure.
- 30:07Speaker 1: That one hundred percent. Okay, brother, that's the show. Guys,
- 30:11Speaker 1: hit that like button, subscribe to the channel. Comment the
- 30:15Speaker 1: word of today fantastic. Put it in that comment section.
- 30:19Speaker 1: Other than that, Joe, let's all win together, brother, see
- 30:22Speaker 1: let's do it.