Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 4 Gambling Picks, Will is Down Bad, Burrito Boy

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NFL Week 4 Gambling Picks, Will is Down Bad, Burrito Boy · Three For The Money

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Week 4 of the NFL. I am ready to have a winning week. I'm ready to win some bets.
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I don't know about you guys. I haven't been doing too well.
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It's not fun. It's not fun. I think if I have another bad week, I'm going to go full
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Kistanza. We're just going to see what happens. I went 3-6 last week, lost my surefire.
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I don't know what to do. We're doing one more week of using my brain.
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I'm going to use my brain. The next week, it will be the opposite. Here we go.
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Chris, how are we doing? I'm all right. Last weekend was a roller coaster of betting-wise.
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Saturday was god-awful. I went in college. I went 3-7. It was terrible.
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Sunday did pretty well. I think I went 6-3.
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I had a quadruple loser. I had both unders. I had the Jags plus 5.5.
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Then DraftKings gave me a little notification like, hey, you have a 25% boost on any live bet.
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I'm like, well, Jags are down by two touchdowns. Surely the Bills won't win by like six touchdowns.
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They got to get back in the game. I bet I'm plus 10. That did not hit.
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Ended up going 0-4. Quadruple loser. It's rough. It's rough out here.
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It's rough out here, man. Anyway, Sean?
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Yeah, I had a good week. I went 11-6. It's very good to see my win-loss record reverse
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from the past two weeks. That's good. I bet a lot of touchdown scores
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on Sunday. I had AmenRaw. Then I had Chase on Monday night, which was the easiest bet of all time.
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I just wish I would have done first touchdown. You just play it safe. I'm ready to get into
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week five because I'm feeling hot. I'm feeling sharp.
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Week four. I'm sorry. Week four. Let's get into week four.
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Okay, starting off division matchup. Vikings at the Packers. Packers are home favorites by two
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and a half. We don't know who's starting for the Packers. Could it be Jordan Love? Could it be Malik
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Willis? It's a two and a half point spread. Chris, what do you think? All right. Well, Chrissy Stats
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coming out to get hot here. Got a few about Titans, offensive coordinator legend Matt LaFleur.
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I did not know this over the last five years since he was hired in Green Bay. LaFleur is the
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second most profitable head coach in the NFL against the spread. He is 54, 38, and one in that span.
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He's also a really good interdivision, 19 and 11 against the spread.
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But the Minnesota Vikings are a wagon and I'm riding them until the wheels fall off.
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Minnesota Vikings plus three. I got three on draft Kings earlier today. I can't stop begging this team.
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I love them. So yes, Minnesota Vikings again for the fourth week in a row. Let's ride it.
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What do you guys think? I am also on the Vikings. I hope I didn't curse your bet here, Chris.
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Hmm. Oh no. LaFleur is really good against the spread.
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I'm just kidding. Going, they are a wagon and they are a divisional dog and divisional dogs
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tend to do well. You're going to give me two and a half points or three. And I mean, I'm going to
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hold off on betting it until probably game time because once Jordan Love has announced that it's
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a start, it might might move a point or two, maybe not to probably like a point or a half a point,
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something like that. A little bit of value there. But that's what I'm going with. Sean.
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Well, hmm. Since 2014, I've got my own stat, Chris. There are two of the best home teams
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in September against the spread. One being the Packers covering the spread at 77.8 percent
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and the Vikings covering the spread at 70 percent. But only one of those teams get to play at home
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this weekend. And over that same stretch, the Vikings are the fourth worst road team against
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the spread covering just 40 percent of their road games. I think Jordan Love will likely play.
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He's been practicing a lot. He even practiced last week. So I get why you might be a little
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hesitant on taking the Packers. But I think this is a nice spot to take the Packers, them winning
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two games with Malik coming back to Lambeau. They've got a great defense. I really like the Packers
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to cover this game. Sorry, boys. Packers minus two and a half. That's okay. I do have another fun
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stat. It doesn't really go to either bet, but it's just something I found today that I thought was
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cool. All right. So the last or so in this matchup since 2020, both teams are four and four against
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the spread since 2016, eight and eight against the spread and 13, 11 and 11 against the spread.
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So, man. So whoever. So I mean, if you go by that logic, whoever covers this one next week or
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next time they play, you bet against it. Yeah. Okay. So later on in the season, we have to remember
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that. Yes, we have to bookmark this one. We have to bookmark that. All right. Write it down. Write it
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down. Okay. Next game Eagles at the Bucks. Bucks are home dogs by two. Baker Mayfield is back.
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Could be bet. They didn't they lose to the Broncos? Yeah. Yeah. Looks kind of good before that.
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I don't know. It's that mile high air. Yeah, that's probably it. Sean, what do you think?
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Well, Jalen Hertz and the Eagles are a lot stronger on the front end of the season than the later
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half of the season. Weeks one through eight as a favorite. Jalen Hertz and the Eagles are 12,
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five and one against the spread. And weeks nine through 17 as favorites are 10 and 14 against
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the spread. And since the Bucks are kind of banged up on defense and that O line had some issues
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last week against the Broncos, I think this is going to carry over and in this game as well.
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I'm going to take the Eagles minus two.
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Okay. Okay. Chris, what do you think?
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I think this game is going to kind of suck. I'm being honest. Both teams are really banged up.
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I know, I mean, AJ Brown and Devontae Smith, both questionable for this game.
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I know the Bucks have a laundry list of injuries. And I mean, Philly's defense looked
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very good last week. Their offense was terrible. I mean, they couldn't finish the drive. I didn't
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watch the first half. I was keeping up with them on my phone. And I saw, I was looking at the,
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like, I kept seeing Philly would get down in the northern side of the field, but just not do anything.
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It's like, okay, what the hell is happening? So I was looking up their drive chart and it was just
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like, miss field goal, turn over on downs, fumble, turn over on downs. Like, what the hell are you
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doing? And then, like, fourth, fourth and two conversion. Yeah. And then, say one finally ripped
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off like a 65 yarded to give them some sort of life. But yeah, I think he was offense,
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not good, especially with all the injuries they have. Bucks offense is fine. I think this game
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is going under 44. And it wouldn't be a Chris pick without a stat. Baker may feel the last three
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seasons most profitable quarterback on the under 21 and 11 in that span. So under 44.
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Wow. Yeah. Okay. Well, I also have a stat for this game. Home dogs after scoring less than 14
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points in the week prior are 51 16 and two against the spread. I'm taking the Bucks. I'm taking the
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two points. I think this game might be a little silly. But I also think it might suck. Similar
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to Chris. Neither team has really has it figured out. And I'm going to take the dog here. I'm going
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to take I'm going to take the Bucks plus two. I think I mean, you can you can easily see Bucks
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winning by like one or like Eagles only winning by one. That's that's kind of how I see it. And so
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I'm taking the dog. I'm taking the points. Okay, this is gonna be before we move on. This is going
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to be such a bad matchup or fantasy if you're playing against say, Juan Barquay. Just saying.
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Yeah. No, I had the bug. I had the bug defense in another league. And I dropped him this week.
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And I picked him up. The right choice. I picked him up last week. They're like, oh,
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they're going against bow Nick's. He's good for a couple picks. No. Lift their ass up.
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Yep. Okay, moving on. We got the manders at the Cardinals. And the Cardinals are home favorites
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by three and a half points. I will take this one. I think this game is going to be hella silly.
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I think some silly shit is going to happen from just from what we've seen from these two teams.
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Something is something's going to go wrong. Both ways. It's going to go wrong one way.
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And it's going to go wrong the other one as well. And I'm taking the manders here. I'm taking the
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manders. The Cardinals still aren't complete. I think I feel like the Cardinals are banged up too.
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Already. But the manders, like, I mean, they put up a fight against the bangles on Monday night.
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And if you're going to give me three and a half points on the road, I'm taking it.
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This manders team is low key kind of electric when they can get things going. And if they get
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things going, I like them to cover three and a half here. Sean, what do you think?
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Well, this is something I either learned today or forgot and relearned. But
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Cliff Kingsbury is the OC for the Washington Manders. Yep. Did you guys know that? Okay,
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I thought he was still in Thailand. He's back. I didn't know he returned. Well, he was coaching
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USC for a little bit. Are you? Yeah, right? USC? No, that's the other hot coach.
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All right, whatever. But yeah, with Kingsbury, he makes his return to Arizona this week
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against his old team as the OC. I think he'll be looking to cook something up.
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Washington's offense is kind of firing on all cylinders right now. The commanders also remain
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the worst defense in the NFL and will continue to be in shootouts until someone gets
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just really aggressive with them and forces them to just consistently make things go more
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vertical. But this is an over 50 and a half all day for me. This is the highest total of the weekend.
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So I'm going to take it. I think you're right, Will. Some silly shit's going to go down, but
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in it's just going to be a shootout. Trick plays all day over 50 and a half.
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Chris, you're not on your head. Are you agreeing with me? I agree that I do. It will be silly,
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but I do disagree with Will. I think the Cardinals cover. Washington is coming off.
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You're probably right. That's the spirit. There's barely a point to bet right now for me.
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Why should I believe in anything that I think? Let alone put money on it.
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Not with that attitude. Yeah, so commanders are coming off probably the biggest win they've had
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in years. On Monday night, football, short rest. I got flagged across the country. I know the Cardinals
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defense is not great. I don't see Jane Daniels putting up back-to-back electric performances,
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and I think he would have to do that in this one because their defense is just so bad.
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Yeah, Cardinals minus three and a half. Fun fact, did not know this.
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Kyle Murray in his career, eight no against the spread against the NFC East.
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Yeah, but I would have, even if I didn't know that, I would have bet.
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Will. Will you okay, bud? Yeah, I'm fine.
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I'm still taking my pick, though. There you go. Stick to your guns. He's a man of principle.
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Afternoon game, chiefs at the Chargers, divisional matchup. Chargers at home,
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home underdogs by seven and a half. That is a very large spread, and I'm going to throw it to Chris first.
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It is a very, very large spread. It is also too big a spread. That is why I'm taking the Chargers
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plus seven and a half. I just, I don't know, it's one of those games you get, you get a feeling.
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I think the reason it is kind of this big, Justin Herbert is questionable.
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I kind of hope he doesn't play, and then the number goes to like 10, because that means we get
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Taylor Heineke, baby. So give me the Chargers plus seven and a half right now. It could get to plus
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whatever if Herbert doesn't play. I just, I think Harbaugh's got something cooked up. I think, I
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don't think they'll win. I think they keep it within a touch. So yeah, Will, it looks like you agree with me.
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I do agree. Harbaugh's going to, I mean, they were going to play defense, and like Joe Alt got,
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I don't know if you guys saw, but he got fucking tore up by the Steelers. So yeah, glad we didn't
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draft that guy. Anyway, anyway, I mean, this is this is so clearly a chief's like, oh, why wouldn't I
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bet on the chiefs to cover, you know, one more point than a touchdown against against a Justin
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Herbertless team that is rebuilding. Like why would I, but clearly Patrick Mahomes is going to
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stop this, obviously Patrick Mahomes, I feel like not just Patrick Mahomes, it's like the chiefs,
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like there's just something about him that like they just cannot put games away. They just can't,
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they just can't destroy a team. There's something about it. I don't know. So I am also on the
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Chargers plus seven and a half. If you're going to give me one more point than a touchdown in a
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divisional, in the home divisional dog, I'm going to take that all day.
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Yeah, Sean. Yeah, it's Chargers plus seven and a half for me as well. It's Harboros first game
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against former mentor Andy Reed. Herbert is questionable, but like Chris said, I kind of
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hope he doesn't play. I think even if he doesn't play, I think they still keep it pretty close.
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Chiefs are on back to back road games. These games are always close to like these get these
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chiefs Chargers games are always within like a half point of spread whoever covers. But
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yeah, I'm going to lean Chargers plus seven and a half here. And it's also worthy to note
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that underdogs of five and a half points or more are on an unbelievable against the spread
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streak right now going 13 one and one. So yeah, give me this Chargers plus seven and a half. This is
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who's gonna be easy. I saw like, I saw that stat too. And I think like quite a few of those have
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one outright. Yeah, it's I think, well, I know that the three like biggest dogs of each week
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have one outright. Yeah. So this isn't the biggest dog of the weekend, but
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they could they could they could sneakily take this game. Definitely.
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Okay. And honestly, they could just put in Justin Herbert to just hand the ball off.
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I feel like Jim Harbaugh would be like pretty into that.
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Yeah. Yeah. Just just have them there. Just just keep running it. Michigan Penn State last year,
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they didn't throw a pass the entire second half. Yeah, just keep going. He loves running the rock.
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Yeah, he love just gross football. He gets off on that. It's disgusting. I respect it.
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Okay, moving on Sunday night football. Bill's at Ravens. Ravens won against the Cowboys. They
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had they got that win that that first one of the season avoiding oh and three.
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They kind of need this one. But Cowboys almost came back.
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Fraud watch. Just my take. I think I think it's more the Ravens just kind of took their foot off
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the gas. Yeah, it definitely anything. I don't know, bro. It was 28 to six and the fourth court,
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like they just stopped trying. The only one by three, right? Or five technically. Something like
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that. They won by three technically. Still won. Yeah. Anyways, I'm gonna throw it to Sean first.
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Yeah, I'm gonna keep it simple. Again, just like last Sunday night football, it's the under which
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obviously didn't apply to the Monday night football games given the Manders and Bengals and
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Bills and Jags both going over by a billion points. But whatever. But even without the great trend of
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prime time unders, this lap, these last nine matchups between the Bills and the Ravens,
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the under is seven and two. So yeah, got to take that. But if I were to pick a side, I would
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probably lean Bill's money line. We'll just see how I do throughout the day. Leading up to Sunday
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night football before I make that decision. Will, what you got? I'm about the bills. No one circles
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the wagon like the Buffalo Bills. As they say, I don't really know what that means. But Josh Allen
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is playing like an at an MVP level right now. The MVP favorite is playing like an MVP. Yes.
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I didn't know I didn't know you was favorite. I don't keep up with that.
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Anyway, and you know, I could have recency bias here because they just beat the fuck out of the
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Jags. But I mean, he's he's putting up numbies, dude. He's putting up numbies.
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And I'm taking the bills. It's I'm just keeping it simple. Bills plus two and a half Sunday night
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football. Yes, Chris Ravens, my two and a half. Because I said the bills. No, no, no, I haven't
24:00
written down. I think this is a Ravens line. I think everyone saw the bills just molly walk the
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Jags on national television. And they're like, this team's a two and a half point dog against a team
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that like against a one and two Ravens team. Give me the bills. I think it's the Ravens all day.
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I think they I think they cover the two and a half. Yeah, I think they I think Lamar and Henry
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can take advantage of the bills injuries up front. And it's worth noting Lamar Jackson and
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his career on Sunday night football six and one straight up one five in a row.
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Josh Allen on the road at night 14 and 15 against the spread.
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Oh, no, what if what if this game was played on Thursday night, Chris? Because Josh Allen is the
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king of Thursday night. Josh Allen is the king of Thursday. I would probably take bills in that
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situation because I feel this is could be recency bias. I feel like the Ravens also don't win on
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Thursday night. That could be totally wrong. It's just kind of the vibe I get.
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Yeah, I don't have the stats to really argue that. So they probably go against that. But that's
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just what I have a feeling. It's very convincing. I'm not going to switch my pick because I am
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double dipping in this game. So I'll get to later for the extra picks.
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No, you're so smart, Chris. Anyway, I'm sticking with my pick.
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Next, next, next game, Monday night football, one of the Monday night football games, Seahawks
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Lions. Lions are home favorites by three and a half. And I'll start off this one. I'm taking the
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Lions minus three and a half. Jared Goff in a dome. He's in home. He's at home in Detroit.
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I think I think this is a game. I think this is a game where they they pick it up. They got to win
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these games. They got to like, they have to convincingly win games. And that's that's what
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I'm doing here. You can't, you can't be only winning by seven against the Cardinals. So that's
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true. But I'm taking the Lions minus three and a half. Keeping it simple. Chris.
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This game has me in a pretzel. I really like the Lions. I know nothing about the Seahawks. I'm
26:47
not going to, I don't think I've watched a second of Seahawks football this season. I had their
26:52
their defense on my fantasy team for a little bit this season. Pretty decent. Yeah, I mean, other
26:58
than those two safe, what did they get the two safeties against Denver or where they're getting
27:04
this? Okay. What? Oh, yes. Yeah, those are the all. See, I don't even know. Those are the only
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two plays I think I've seen of Seahawks football this season. I don't really know anything about
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them. I lean lines minus three and a half. What's the total? I should probably have written that down.
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Total is 45 and a half.
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Give me the over. I like it. I think yeah, I do like that. Yeah, fuck it. Suck my dick. I'm
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betting the over. It's whenever this is this is the game where whenever we're upset as Titans fans
27:47
that we're losing to, you know, pro bowler Tyler Huntley on against the Dolphins 30 to three.
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We just flip it over to the Seahawks Lions and we're just like, give us points. Give us a pay.
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So yeah, over 45. I just the Lions their offense is getting it going.
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Yeah, I don't really know anything about Seahawks. I got over 45 and a half. Let's have some fun on
28:17
Monday night while the Titans are getting ran out of the building probably.
28:25
Okay, that's the slate. I did not go.
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Sorry.
28:37
I'm behind the eight ball here.
28:38
It's okay.
28:44
I don't know anything anymore.
28:47
Well, I'm taking the Detroit football Lions and indoor money printer golf at mine.
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Lions minus three and a half.
28:58
Yeah, golf is just incredible indoors. He's also fantastic on prime time.
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Lions play well on defense.
29:08
Geno Smith has not played anyone. They have played the Patriots, the Broncos and the
29:17
Dolphins. Yes, the
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I had a word for it though. The injury played dolphins. So they have not played anybody.
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Seahawks may be three and 0, but are they really? But they are. But yeah.
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Yeah, so Lions minus three. Okay, that's
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if you would put a gun to my head and told me name all three teams that the Seahawks
29:45
have played this season, I could have got Broncos and nothing.
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Oh, well, I did. I did have to look it up earlier today when I was making my car because
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I am a sharp better and I look at those things.
30:02
Look at the numbers. All right. Bain slate is over. Right?
30:08
Yeah. Okay, right.
30:12
Let's hit our surefire picks our double unit surefire guaranteed not to lose plays of the week.
30:21
Sean, what is yours?
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Yeah, it's the game I literally just talked about Lions minus three. It's the surefire. We got to
30:29
wait till Monday night for this to cash. But I was on the Ravens last week. Finally got a surefire
30:35
win. Let's make it another one. Lions are two and 0 straight up and against the spread against the
30:44
NFC West. So let's make it three and 0 golf. I mentioned that he's fantastic on prime time.
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He's 18, 10 and 1 against the spread in prime time. Like I said, Seahawks have not played anybody.
31:00
This will be the toughest matchup they've had thus far. And this might be one of the easier
31:06
matchups that the Lions have had so far playing to play off teams from last year and the cardinals
31:17
who are sneakily pretty good. They are sneakily like pretty good. But yeah, that's my surefire.
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Lions minus three. Double unit guaranteed. Chris. All right. We're going with a stinky one. I love
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it. We're coming off a first surefire pick win of the season. So we're going right into the
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slop with this one. Steelers, Colts under 39 and a half points. Got a stat for you from the
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wonderful beautiful people at Trent Center. Since 2014, when the Pittsburgh Steelers are a
31:58
road favorite, the under is 31, 7 and 1. Holy shit. Tomlin will get a lead and sit his ass on it.
32:09
So give me which they might not win this game. I don't know. I just don't need 40 points and I
32:15
don't really care what the score is. So yes, Steelers, Colts under 39 and a half total points
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bucket. Will, what do you got? It was the Steelers, Colts under.
32:33
Do you have another one you want me to switch?
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I think I would have to think about this.
32:46
I got a couple other ones I like. I can switch to if you want me to.
32:49
Yeah, switch that. Okay. This is all Will has.
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More thinking I do, it's not good. That's fair. Okay. So if this one I switched to doesn't hit,
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I blame you. So we are going to switch. Hold on. Do you want to give your reasoning for
33:15
the Steelers, Colts under or you want me to go ahead?
33:20
My surefire pick this week is the Steelers at the Colts under 40. Listen, no shock here.
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Steelers defense is a lead. No shock here, Colts. They can't do anything on offense.
33:37
They really have not been that very good. I think this game is going to suck.
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Under 40. Double unit surefire guaranteed not to lose play of the week. Chris?
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Couldn't set better myself Will. Yeah. All right. We are going to take the Falcons and since
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it's double unit, we're just going to play it safe and take them on the money line minus 130.
34:05
The Saints I think are coming back down to earth. The Eagles defense
34:09
is shut down. Derek Carr last week. I think the Falcons do defense can do the same. Derek Carr
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in his career on the road. Bad. Where is it? He is 2335 and two against the spread in road games
34:26
in his career. We mentioned last week Kirk Cousins, sneaky afraid of the dark, but he loves
34:34
playing in the daytime in his career on games played at noon or one Eastern, whichever you prefer,
34:41
5833 and two straight up. So give me the dirty birds on the money line. W unit surefire guaranteed
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not to lose play of the week. Okay. That was our surefire double unit plays of the week.
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I'm sure we'll get a week guaranteed to win. Of course, of course, their double unit.
35:07
Moving on extra plays, extra plays, extra plays, what we got for the rest of the week,
35:12
the rest of the games. I'm going to throw it to Chris because I think he has a lot.
35:18
I actually don't. Relatively small card this week and the rest of these games,
35:24
they're plug your nose games. We'll kick it off. I love everything Will said.
35:31
Steelers Colts under 39 and a half. I mean, he took literally took the words out of my mouth.
35:37
Can't say it was all my idea. It was. It was all your idea. As Sean mentioned earlier in the show,
35:44
dogs of five and a half plus dogs of five and a half points or more. There we go.
35:50
Or what, 13, one and one against the spread. So we're taking two of the three games left that
35:56
apply to that taking the Jags plus seven and the Patriots plus 10. And you know what,
36:03
the biggest dog of the week has won every week so far. Half unit Patriots money line.
36:10
I don't know who the 49ers who have nobody. What McCaffrey is off in fucking October fest right now.
36:19
I mean, the Patriots could win this game and it would be like, holy shit,
36:26
the 49ers are like, they're broken. They're dead. And then they just go on and win like 10 games in a row.
36:33
And then the last one, Monday night football, Tennessee Titans money line.
36:40
Yeah, we'll let us has been bad. He has been very bad. But we know what happened last time.
36:51
He played football in Miami. He orchestrated one of the best comebacks in NFL history.
36:57
Let's take it again. Titans money line. I said this last week, we got to win one of these damn
37:03
things. Why not this week? I guess we have to win. We have to win. If we do not win this game,
37:13
I will legitimately be like, if we can't beat fucking Tyler Huntley and let now.
37:18
I might just like root for the Lions like the rest of the year.
37:23
Yes, if the Titans go 0 and 4. Yeah, claim a good team. Yeah, like the Vikings, but still an underdog.
37:32
You know, they've been they've been an underdog their entire franchise. So just don't hop on a
37:38
bandwagon like chiefs or the 49ers, but you know, or the Cowboys, but get a good rock.
37:46
Yes.
37:49
Don't hop on a bandwagon. You know, the team that almost went to the Super Bowl last year.
37:54
Last year.
37:57
When was the last time they did that before then?
37:59
In.
38:01
Never.
38:02
Okay.
38:05
Story past story past bright future. The Detroit football Lions.
38:11
Anyway, yeah, Titans money line to round out the card. Yeah, like I said,
38:15
a lot of stinkers this week. They're winners. So let's go. Sean, what do you got?
38:22
Yeah, I don't have a super long card either. I've only got two more plays.
38:27
I'm also on the Steelers Colts under 40 and a half.
38:32
I'm just going to keep rocking with Steelers under. So I mean, they're they're printing money.
38:37
Like they're three and oh this season. Colts are two and one on the under one and one at home,
38:43
only going over in week one against the Texans. Yeah, I've also got speaking of the Texans,
38:49
I've got the Texans minus six and a half against the Jags.
38:52
Jags are they're bad. They're bad. They're bad. Texans in a bounce back spot after getting run over
39:00
by the Vikings against a divisional opponent. I really like that spread.
39:07
I might hop on some, you know, big dogs this weekend, but you'll just have to check the
39:17
the Twitter picks when those come out. But I did have the Saints plus two, but Chris is
39:31
unlike Will. I am not a man of principle and I will I will I will switch my pick or just not
39:37
take it. So luckily it was a it was a other play. So it wasn't a game we were talking about. So I
39:44
I can just erase it. But yeah, that's that's my card. Yeah, just checked if the Twitter for
39:50
the official picks, but will one of our your plays. I got two more plays, both stinky. I have the
39:59
under and the bills Ravens, which you had discussed. I'm treating this as an extra play. I'm double
40:04
dipping. And then I gotta have something on the Titans game. I'm taking the under under 36 and a
40:13
half. It's probably going to hit unless we'll let us throws another pick six.
40:22
Yeah, under 36 and a half. If it goes over in the Titans win, I will not be sad.
40:29
I will treat it as a sacrifice for a win. I will I will sacrifice one unit to win again.
40:38
Right Titans win. I respect that. So hopefully this works. This ritual works.
40:52
That's it. That's all I got. That's all I got.
40:56
Cool. I speaking of the the Jags getting their shit pushed in. I saw a side by side
41:06
with Trevor Lawrence, the past 10 games and Daniel Jones, the past 10 games. They're like
41:14
identical. Trevor Lawrence is very bad. Yeah, Daniel Jones just gets more shit because he
41:22
plays, you know, in a bigger market. Yeah, I mean, in a bigger division, obviously, like, but
41:29
yeah, Trevor Lawrence, he could be the guy like I mean, he's obviously the Jags guy, but he's
41:37
not great. He's bad. Daniel Jones is better than Trevor Lawrence. Believe it or not.
41:47
The numbers. I'm just saying the numbers. I don't know. I don't know. Yeah, I don't.
41:56
I know numbers don't lie and we're big fans of, you know, numbers on the show, but
42:03
there's not a math podcast. I know. We are a fan of stats and analytics. So
42:11
yeah, but I don't know if I'd really be willing to say that out loud.
42:17
All right. The numbers. They're there. I don't have it with me. I probably should have, but
42:23
I wanted to talk gambling. So
42:30
I wanted to talk numbers. I wanted to talk numbers.
42:35
Numbers with dollar signs, brother.
42:39
Dollar numbers, the numbers that actually count.
42:43
As I saw the Titans are right now, it does give me like just the smallest amount of comfort
42:50
that the Jags haven't won a game since like what, like fucking Thanksgiving or Christmas or something
42:55
like that. They're not taking Game of the Loosen Street. Yeah, they blow, dude.
43:01
That's so funny. I saw someone. I can't believe I gave, I put hope in them on Monday night.
43:07
Yeah, I just ended up taking that at the under instead. I know I said Jag on the show, but I
43:12
changed my mind and then it didn't like a matter. I ended up taking the Jags because you said you
43:19
were going to take the Jags and I was like, wow, I shouldn't have done that. Are you going to take
43:24
the bills or the over? No, I was just going to keep it at the under, but like I was like, yeah,
43:30
the boys made some good points on the Jags. I'll just hop on it. And it was like, nope.
43:38
Yeah, that one was over immediately. Oh my God.
43:44
Did you guys know that on this coming Sunday, it will be 1000 days since the Titans have scored 30
43:58
points in a game? Yeah, yeah. Yes. 1000 days. 30 points. That's like score 30 on Monday night,
44:12
except maybe not. So maybe it will win. It's like three years. Yeah.
44:20
Who was it again? I saw that. I think it was the, I think it was against the Seahawks on like
44:25
Christmas Eve like three years ago. Oh, God. 1000 days. 1000 days. I can barely count that high.
44:39
I know it's hard. God, we suck. Jesus Christ. And also the Titans are like six and 27 straight up
44:54
since the firing of John Robinson. Yeah. Not a good look. Not a good look. I mean, it's his fault.
45:04
I know. I know. I know it's low key his fault. Yeah. No, it's a very high key his fault.
45:12
He assembled one of the worst rosters in football and they got fired and was like,
45:16
all right, Ran, fucking fix it. Here. Which I mean, on paper he has, we just can't fucking do anything.
45:26
You can't see it on the field, but you can look at the paper and be like,
45:30
yeah, this this team's better. Traylon Burks is getting more snaps than Deandre Hopkins.
45:36
Yeah, what the dump? I saw that Berks out. He had more or two more snaps than him last week.
45:45
No, that should never happen unless Hopkins leg falls off. Yeah, we don't know fucking
45:53
Traylon Burks shit. Like, give it to the guy who catches the ball and puts it in the end zone.
46:00
Will and I were watching the game on Sunday and when Levis threw that touchdown to D hop,
46:07
we were like, just do that. Like just throw the ball to him. Like it's like his first catch all season.
46:16
Honestly, if he only threw it to Deandre Hopkins the rest of the season, even if it didn't work,
46:20
I'd be like, you know what, I get it.
46:22
Yeah. Well, I guess the only time Levis looks good is when he's down to Deandre Hopkins,
46:30
which man, that says something. Man, when you throw it to your best receiver, wow, crazy things happen.
46:40
What if we get another if we get another Levis meme on Monday night football, which we probably will.
46:45
We will. The world will watch. Yeah, this time, like the world will be watching. This is prime
46:52
time. Like this isn't just like the regional area of the greater Nashville area. But like,
46:59
this sucks. And this is the first time that like, at least in the past when we were when we were
47:04
asked, nobody cared about us. Now we're terrible and everyone's laughing. It's not right.
47:12
Yeah, I just don't want to be laughed at.
47:16
And then we get commentators just like openly just like bashing up like, well, at least he
47:20
didn't throw it. Just shovel pass it to a linebacker that play. That's so funny.
47:32
I hate who's calling the who's calling the game Monday.
47:38
I think I don't know. I think the main crew is on the neck is on the whatever.
47:43
I see Hawks. I can tell you who's on ours.
47:46
The good the good game, the game that should be good.
47:48
Yeah, they get the big boys.
47:57
Who is it?
47:59
Do they announce it?
48:00
Yeah, it's probably whoever called the first time I did that game last week. I don't remember.
48:08
Yeah, I don't know.
48:11
I thought I thought the the Dolphins backup was
48:16
Skyler Thompson. He's got he got hurt.
48:20
He like cracked a rib or something.
48:22
Oh, I thought it was a rib injury. I didn't know that happened.
48:25
I don't know if it's cracked, but like it if it's a rib injury, it's probably probably something not great.
48:38
We're going to lose the fucking Tyler.
48:40
We get Chris Fowler and Dan Orlovsky. Oh, God, Christ.
48:48
Dan Orlovsky might have some sympathy considering he was also a great a bozo when he played football.
48:55
Mark Sanchez didn't give us any fucking sympathy.
48:59
Mark Sanchez had a few years where he was good. He wasn't always just running up his lineman's ass.
49:06
Yeah. Orlovsky was always terrible. Whatever.
49:13
God damn it.
49:15
All right. I hate everything. I just hate everything.
49:19
I hate everything.
49:20
So we don't have to end on a sour note.
49:22
You'll hear about this UNLV kid.
49:25
Yeah, like this kid sucks.
49:27
This kid's a... So it was like a verbal agreement of $100,000 from the school.
49:44
No. From what I read, it was an assistant coach when he was recruiting him to transfer there.
49:49
He said it was a verbal agreement of $100,000, but the school was like never agreed to that, I think.
49:59
So I think like the coach, that coach should be fired because that's just dumb.
50:07
If anything, I blame him. I mean, the kid, I mean, that's, it's very stupid.
50:13
And also I see people out here being like, oh, if you were just like not getting paid to do your
50:18
job, would you still do it? It's also like, that's not really his job. You're not getting...
50:23
With the way the NIL thing works is you are playing football and then you get paid to do ads and shit.
50:32
They'll say like go to the fucking food court at the mall and take pictures for like two days a
50:37
week and we'll give you an X amount of money. That's what it's supposed to be. It's not just
50:41
straight up like we're going to pay you to play football. So saying that is his job is false.
50:47
The way like everyone knows that's pretty much what it is, but the way the NIL is set up, that's
50:54
not what it is. You're a contractor. Yeah. So and I just think that's... And also they are right now
51:02
probably them and boys here, the front runners to be the group of five representative in the playoff.
51:09
What the fuck are you doing? Like if they were like ass, well, I guess this wouldn't even be a story
51:17
as they were terrible, but if they were two, even if they were two and one didn't really have a chance
51:21
to make them playoffs, I'd be like, you know what? Like, well, whatever. It's a shady thing to do, but
51:26
whatever. But the fact that you can, like they have a legitimate chance of making the playoffs, that's...
51:32
Damn, you upset Kansas on the road and you beat Houston.
51:39
And then just like nah, I'm done. Yeah. I mean, that's rough.
51:45
I would have a hard time thinking he's going to get paid anywhere else because he's going to transfer from UNLV.
51:52
So I have a hard time seeing him getting paid by like a major, like a group of four, a group of five school.
51:58
Well, I read earlier that he, I didn't know this, but he transferred to UNLV from Holy Cross.
52:13
Good God. I would, I mean,
52:18
is that all that he's like was offered? Was this $100,000? I mean, how about?
52:25
That's all that I've seen on Twitter. I haven't seen anything like a concrete, like actual, like
52:32
letter of intent or like contract offer. But no, I haven't. As far as I know, yeah, I was just,
52:39
I was just in coach promised him $100,000 without really being given that right. And yeah. And he took
52:49
it and he's not going to get it because the school was like, no, we're not going to do it. And then he's
52:53
pitching him on it. And I saw right before we started, I saw that they're running back is also
53:01
going to sit out the rest of the season. I don't know if it's for the same reason, but I just saw that.
53:09
I've be all, I've all seen how like it's kind of become a meme to, to say if my team wins
53:17
or if my team loses, I'm going to do something like that. Oh yeah.
53:24
This is like, I'm going to shove a burrito up my ass. Yeah. Three, like three, two, one,
53:28
Knowles about eating that dog poop out of a red solo cup. So we don't, we don't acknowledge them.
53:34
Yeah. But that guy with the burrito, I think he might show it up his ass. He says he's going to do it.
53:39
Like he, like, he seems very gung ho about doing it.
53:47
I think you have to freeze it a little bit.
53:50
What, okay. What team, what team is this?
53:55
Kansas State, he said if they lose to BYU on Saturday night, he would shove a beefy five-layer
54:01
burrito up his ass. And then, which one of the funniest things I've ever seen on college football
54:08
Twitter, and it came from BYU's account was after they won, they posted the final score,
54:13
they had the catch that said live moss. And I never would have expected that from BYU.
54:21
But it sounds like he's going to do it. The way he's hyping it up, you can't back out now.
54:29
I mean, we've already had one coward this year back out and just completely go off the grid.
54:35
Yeah, but he's like been very active, like, no, I'm going to do it.
54:40
What's this guy's name? I need to find him.
54:42
St. Bill Snyder, I think it was.
54:46
It's just so funny. Like, do you think he kind of wants to do it?
54:51
I mean, that was a very random game to like,
54:55
like when the, when the,
54:57
It's his idea.
54:58
When the coward who said he wouldn't eat the dog or would eat the dog poop,
55:02
that was against like Boston College, who traditionally very bad football team.
55:08
Well, this is BYU who's like, not great, but not terrible.
55:13
So just to say that, I was like, oh, shit, maybe you kind of like, fuck it.
55:20
I just went to his Twitter and his header, like on Twitter is a beef.
55:25
I think he's going to do it.
55:34
He replied to, hold on.
55:36
Is he like real? Is this a real human?
55:40
I think so.
55:42
He's like verified, but anyone can be verified.
55:46
Yeah. But yeah, we're verified.
55:50
Yeah, it's like a real part.
55:51
I don't think he has any of his like actual info in his account, but he's like a real dude, I would assume.
55:59
He's going to have to freeze the burrito a little bit or else it'll just squish on his butt.
56:06
I was thinking about this, maybe a little too graphic.
56:11
Does it count if you like liquefy it?
56:15
Um, I guess so.
56:17
I don't really want to talk.
56:19
I guess it could.
56:21
He posted on Twitter two days ago, he said Saturday, 9 28, I pay the bet 9 30 PM.
56:29
It just means more PM.
56:31
And it's yeah.
56:32
Whoa.
56:32
And it's a video of him in like a Taco Bell bag over his face with sunglasses.
56:38
And he's got the beefy life five layer burrito stretched out over an American flag on a table.
56:44
I think he's going to do it.
56:46
But when does Kansas State play?
56:51
That might be too late.
56:54
Yeah, they play at 11 AM central.
56:58
They're going to all lose.
57:01
Oh, sorry.
57:02
They have decided to move the debt settlement to 10 30 AM Saturday.
57:07
Oh, let's go.
57:09
Here we go.
57:12
She'll have a burrito up his ass.
57:14
This will unite the country.
57:17
I mean, you know, where we're going to watch this.
57:21
His Twitter like his live tweeting the game is hilarious.
57:31
I'm going to go smoke a cigarette next next tweet heading to Taco Bell.
57:37
I'm so cooked, bro.
57:40
I think he wanted to do this.
57:42
He seems pretty excited.
57:44
Yeah, he's like, oh, man.
57:45
No, no, no, I have to do it.
57:47
This stinks.
57:49
Darn.
57:51
Shoot.
57:53
I want the world to watch me shove a burrito up my a's.
58:00
I haven't seen that.
58:00
Thank you for bringing that to my attention.
58:03
Really?
58:04
I haven't seen either been on Twitter a lot with life recently.
58:10
Yeah, but yeah, that will be appointment Twitter.
58:18
Central or Easton?
58:21
I believe Kansas is in central.
58:23
Well, I don't know if he did not say.
58:26
Okay, I'll go under the assumption of central.
58:30
Let's check the replies.
58:31
See if anyone asks.
58:32
Shoving a beefy five layer burrito up your ass is a crazy way to start a Saturday.
58:42
Yeah, you got to like just go about your day after that.
58:45
He's going to be pooping beef and cheese.
58:50
Pregame stretching, huh?
58:52
Oh, yeah, someone replied time zone question mark.
59:04
CST.
59:06
All right, let's go.
59:09
Set your alarms.
59:10
Hell yeah.
59:10
We had to we had to figure that out real quick.
59:13
Some pregame stretching.
59:16
Oh my God.
59:17
Thank you for bringing that to my attention.
59:19
That's that's important. I see that now.
59:23
Yeah.
59:24
Thank you, Will.
59:27
May not be able to pick a game, but.
59:32
You're sharp on people shoving stuff up their butt.
59:35
I'll tell you that.
59:38
Thank you, Sean.
59:40
I've run a soft man of sorts.
59:42
I'm not good at a lot of things.
59:49
But one thing I do know.
59:52
Yes, is about this guy shoving the burrito up his ass.
59:57
And just just this one.
1:00:00
Just this one.
1:00:01
Yeah, no other dude shoving other things up their butts.
1:00:06
That's not what I'm about.
1:00:07
But burritos apparently.
1:00:10
Yeah, obviously not.
1:00:12
I mean.
1:00:13
Yeah.
1:00:15
No, I'm about, you know, I'm super straight.
1:00:18
That's not what I'm about.
1:00:26
When a when when burritos come into the picture.
1:00:30
I'm there.
1:00:32
Anyway, should we wrap it up?
1:00:36
All right.
1:00:38
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