Latest / Markets with Megan: A Quick Financial Markets Update / Nasdaq Enters Correction? What’s Next? | S3 E131 | 03-27-26
Transcript
- 0:00Megan Horneman: Consumers are rounding out this first quarter of 2026 on a pretty somber note if you look at the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey.
- 0:08Megan Horneman: It's Friday, March 27th, and this is Markets with Megan.
- 0:12Megan Horneman: If you like this podcast, please subscribe, hit the alarm bell.
- 0:15Megan Horneman: You can share it with friends, family, colleagues.
- 0:18Megan Horneman: We go over that economic data that you see on a regular basis and what it means for the markets, what it means for your investments.
- 0:24Megan Horneman: And this morning we received the final reading on March's University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.
- 0:32Megan Horneman: And it showed that consumer sentiment fell to a three-month low for the month.
- 0:37Megan Horneman: We saw a decline in both of the components, not only the sentiment on current conditions, but also sentiment on future expectations.
- 0:46Megan Horneman: In fact, that saw the biggest decline that we've seen in about 11 months.
- 0:51Megan Horneman: The other thing that this index looks at is inflation expectations.
- 0:55Megan Horneman: And we saw that one year ahead inflation expectations rose pretty significantly to 3.8%.
- 1:02Megan Horneman: That means that consumers think that what's been going on with the war in Iran is going to filter into inflation over the next year.
- 1:10Megan Horneman: It was actually the largest one-month increase that we've seen since that liberation day move in April of last year.
- 1:18Megan Horneman: Now, some of the reasons why sentiment was weak was not just because of inflation, but also the expectation for household finances.
- 1:25Megan Horneman: So when you have higher prices and you're not as optimistic about income, that causes a deterioration in the expectation for household finances.
- 1:34Megan Horneman: But we also saw more people expecting higher interest rates over the next year.
- 1:39Megan Horneman: So for a long time, um consumers had favored had expected that the Fed would be cutting rates.
- 1:44Megan Horneman: Well, it's starting to get a little bit more realistic.
- 1:47Megan Horneman: And in this report, we saw not only declines in lower income households, which do tend to be more sensitive to the moves we've seen in energy prices, but because of the market weakness, we're starting to see this filter into some of those middle and higher income households.
- 2:04Megan Horneman: So clearly uh the sentiment has been weak.
- 2:07Megan Horneman: Next week, we'll get information on spending retail sales.
- 2:11Megan Horneman: So we'll see if some of this weak consumer sentiment filters into spending numbers.
- 2:16Megan Horneman: And the markets are significantly weaker again today.
- 2:19Megan Horneman: It doesn't have to do just with this report.
- 2:22Megan Horneman: In fact, um, sometimes these reports get overlooked because it is a second reading on this index, but it has a lot to do with just this ongoing tensions with Iran, the uncertainty around um what's going on with Iran, and we are seeing um energy prices again higher today.
- 2:37Megan Horneman: We're also seeing a pretty big um slip in technology stocks where the Nasdaq has now entered correction territory.
- 2:44Megan Horneman: That's all we have for today and this week.
- 2:46Megan Horneman: If you want a history of our podcast, you go to marketswithmegan.fm.
- 2:50Megan Horneman: Thank you.