Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 15 | December 7, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:15Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? It is Conference Championship Week and
- 0:18Speaker 1: welcome to the Ship at Nation College Football Show. My
- 0:21Speaker 1: name is Bill put a dollar in front of it.
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- 0:25Speaker 1: been a fantastic regular season. Ship A crew had a huge,
- 0:29Speaker 1: huge college football week last week. We'll get into that
- 0:31Speaker 1: a little bit later in the show. But our community
- 0:33Speaker 1: is just on fire lately with football in general, college
- 0:36Speaker 1: football and NFL. But right now we're still looking to
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- 1:04Speaker 1: here on YouTube. We're gonna jump right into this Conference
- 1:08Speaker 1: Championship slate though the mac macshin getting involved with the
- 1:12Speaker 1: Big Boys on Saturday, Ohio at Miami of Ohio. This
- 1:16Speaker 1: game is being played indoors at a neutral site. The
- 1:19Speaker 1: RedHawks of Miami of Ohio won the regular season matchup
- 1:22Speaker 1: thirty to twenty. That scores a little bit closer than
- 1:25Speaker 1: the game actually played. Miami jumped out to a huge
- 1:27Speaker 1: lead in that one. But playoff time, Ohio has been
- 1:31Speaker 1: on a tear lately, so really, anything can happen in
- 1:33Speaker 1: any of these games. I don't want to repeat myself
- 1:36Speaker 1: too much, but I wouldn't be surprised if I say
- 1:38Speaker 1: that again. For Ohio. Parker Navarro just been an absolute
- 1:41Speaker 1: stud almost every single game. And I say almost because
- 1:45Speaker 1: Miami of Ohio held him to eighty eight yards and
- 1:47Speaker 1: two picks through the air and only thirty eight yards
- 1:49Speaker 1: on the ground. And he is a running quarterback, so
- 1:51Speaker 1: there are some concerns there, but even at eighty five
- 1:54Speaker 1: hundred he can absolutely smash. He has the rushing upside,
- 1:58Speaker 1: especially even you know, inside the red zone, inside the
- 2:00Speaker 1: five yard line, he has that rushing touchdown potential, so
- 2:04Speaker 1: I don't mind that. And then his favorite target is
- 2:06Speaker 1: by far coleman Owen. If you watched or followed along
- 2:09Speaker 1: with Ohio last week, two monster plays just to start
- 2:13Speaker 1: the game, and he had like twenty points in the
- 2:15Speaker 1: first five minutes of the game. It seemed like so
- 2:18Speaker 1: Owens his clear favorite target. Hendrix has been banged up
- 2:20Speaker 1: and you can kind of tell if you watch him play.
- 2:23Speaker 1: Harris has basically disappeared, so not really looking there. I mean,
- 2:26Speaker 1: they're cheap options, but they're just there's not much juice
- 2:28Speaker 1: in that squeeze. But again, playoff time man weird stuff happens.
- 2:33Speaker 1: Donovan Edwards National Championship game last year, didn't do anything
- 2:37Speaker 1: and then popped off probably the optimal captain with a
- 2:40Speaker 1: couple of touchdowns in that game last year. So teams
- 2:44Speaker 1: try to get creative once they get into these higher
- 2:46Speaker 1: state games. Anthony Tias has basically been the dude. Thirty
- 2:51Speaker 1: three carries against Toledo a couple of weeks ago. They
- 2:54Speaker 1: gave him some rest, only thirteen last week. He's still
- 2:56Speaker 1: had one hundred and nine yards. Hunt basically picks up
- 2:59Speaker 1: the slap. McCormick has been getting a little bit more
- 3:02Speaker 1: usage lately, and he's a vet so he could definitely
- 3:05Speaker 1: see the field on the Miami Ohio side. Brett Gabbers
- 3:09Speaker 1: never a sexy click, but at six k he's got
- 3:12Speaker 1: three to four x upside. The only thing is he's
- 3:14Speaker 1: got a one x floor, so take that for what
- 3:17Speaker 1: you will. He's definitely a cheap option at quarterback if
- 3:19Speaker 1: you need to go there, but he has all his
- 3:21Speaker 1: friends in the wide receiver room back Now Kate McDonald
- 3:24Speaker 1: is healthy and he almost instantly got his wide receiver
- 3:26Speaker 1: one status back. Last game he had twelve targets I
- 3:31Speaker 1: think like twenty eight points on DK or something ridiculous
- 3:35Speaker 1: like that. Javon Tracy and Reggie Virgil didn't really suffer,
- 3:37Speaker 1: though they both had high teens as well. Virgil had
- 3:40Speaker 1: ten targets of his own. It really could be any
- 3:42Speaker 1: one of these three guys, and the prices on him
- 3:44Speaker 1: are pretty enticing. You know, we always see a lot
- 3:48Speaker 1: of cheap value at wide receiver. It seems like on
- 3:50Speaker 1: these slates in Miami of Ohio has exactly that. And
- 3:52Speaker 1: then key On Moseley Mosey. I mean, you don't necessarily
- 3:56Speaker 1: click value at running back quite as often, but he's
- 4:00Speaker 1: a workhorse, a forty five hundred dollars workhorse. He's got
- 4:03Speaker 1: one hundred yards on the ground, in seven of his
- 4:05Speaker 1: last eight games. The other one was only ninety one,
- 4:08Speaker 1: so I mean he really really slacked that game. But
- 4:12Speaker 1: this Ohio team allowed one to eleven and one to
- 4:14Speaker 1: Mosey when they played earlier this season, so the potential
- 4:18Speaker 1: is definitely there. This is despite the low total of
- 4:21Speaker 1: really stackable game. He got the expensive pieces of Ohio
- 4:24Speaker 1: and Navarro and omen Owen. Run it back with really
- 4:28Speaker 1: your choice of the litter between Mosey these wide receivers Gabert,
- 4:32Speaker 1: maybe even depending on how your build goes. So I
- 4:35Speaker 1: don't mind this game, and you know I love me
- 4:37Speaker 1: some maction. Iowa State at Arizona State Big Twelve Championship game.
- 4:43Speaker 1: This is being played in Dallas Arlington, I guess technically
- 4:46Speaker 1: at Jerry World, so we got to be worried about
- 4:48Speaker 1: the brightness if they don't close the roof all away.
- 4:51Speaker 1: Iowa State a two point dog. Rock obect just kind
- 4:55Speaker 1: of been solid, man. He keeps putting up numbers. This
- 4:57Speaker 1: is the most expensive he's been all year, but he
- 5:00Speaker 1: probably deserves deserves it, having so many games in the
- 5:03Speaker 1: load of mid twenties and a couple of Spike games
- 5:05Speaker 1: in the thirties like he's been dealing, so I don't
- 5:09Speaker 1: mind this price on him, especially if they are the
- 5:12Speaker 1: true underdog and are going to be trailing. I don't
- 5:15Speaker 1: see why not Hanson and Sama have been the two guys.
- 5:19Speaker 1: I mean, they're cheap, is really it. But you're getting
- 5:20Speaker 1: the split backfield and there's so many workhorses on the slate.
- 5:23Speaker 1: It's just hard. Jalen Jackson, I mean, he still he
- 5:26Speaker 1: still exists. But really, when you're looking at Iowa State,
- 5:30Speaker 1: you're looking at Higgins and Nowell. You know, Brahmer might
- 5:35Speaker 1: be back, he might not be. Berkele would be the
- 5:37Speaker 1: beneficiar if he's not. But I mean, we don't need
- 5:40Speaker 1: to talk much more about it. Higgins and Nowell or
- 5:42Speaker 1: the two primary guys for Iowa State, and speaking to
- 5:47Speaker 1: primary guys in wide receiver rooms, Arizona State is without theirs.
- 5:51Speaker 1: Jordan Tyson not going to play. He had seventy five catches,
- 5:56Speaker 1: eleven hundred yards and ten tds coming in. The rest
- 5:59Speaker 1: of the widers receivers on the team combined only have
- 6:02Speaker 1: forty one catches. That's because Chama Mattayor the tight end,
- 6:05Speaker 1: and Camp Scataboo eat up a lot of targets as well.
- 6:09Speaker 1: So Sam Levitt, I mean, he's he's gonna have to
- 6:12Speaker 1: figure it out. He can use his legs a little bit,
- 6:16Speaker 1: but his favorite target is gone. So that to me,
- 6:19Speaker 1: that screams Scataboo. I mean, whether it's in the run
- 6:22Speaker 1: game or the pass game, he could have thirty five
- 6:24Speaker 1: to forty touches in this game, all the marbles to
- 6:28Speaker 1: get to the CFP and maybe get Tyson back. This
- 6:30Speaker 1: Arizona State teams good and they got a chip on
- 6:32Speaker 1: their show to be and pick last in the Big
- 6:33Speaker 1: twelve preseason, So I wouldn't put it past him to
- 6:36Speaker 1: give Skataboo forty touches one way or the other. Matayor
- 6:40Speaker 1: is getting a lot of targets at tight end. You know,
- 6:42Speaker 1: the Tyson ran a lot from the slot. Matayor runs
- 6:45Speaker 1: a lot from the slot. So you could see, you know,
- 6:48Speaker 1: those routes that are run there going with Tayor's way.
- 6:51Speaker 1: But Guillory did get a slight up ticking targets. He
- 6:54Speaker 1: had the touchdown after Tyson went down, or maybe it
- 6:56Speaker 1: was before Tyson went down, even I don't remember for sure.
- 6:58Speaker 1: Last week and then this dude U CBO scored a
- 7:03Speaker 1: touchdown in garbage time. He's fine. Malkwon Stowell got a
- 7:06Speaker 1: slight up ticking usage. The one thing I will say,
- 7:10Speaker 1: Troyomier might get a little bit of an upticking usage.
- 7:13Speaker 1: He's a veteran. It's really unknown. Jake Smith is practicing again.
- 7:17Speaker 1: He looks like he's on track to play, and he
- 7:20Speaker 1: played in the slot sum and can play wide, so
- 7:22Speaker 1: kind of the same thing Tyson was doing. The problem
- 7:25Speaker 1: is is that Tyson went down against Arizona and Arizona
- 7:29Speaker 1: State was beating the tar out of him. So it's
- 7:32Speaker 1: really hard to get a solid feel for what's what
- 7:35Speaker 1: this rotation is going to be. So that's why I
- 7:37Speaker 1: feel like, you know, if you need a cheap receiver,
- 7:40Speaker 1: Guillory Matteur are probably the top two options here. Stovall
- 7:45Speaker 1: maybe u Cbo just you don't know as much about him.
- 7:49Speaker 1: But that just everything leads me to clicking Scataboo's name
- 7:52Speaker 1: overall on this Arizona State side. But if you need
- 7:56Speaker 1: value a wide receiver, you can find some in this
- 7:58Speaker 1: Arizona State room. Georgia at Texas well, technically it's Georgia
- 8:05Speaker 1: at Texas. They're a three point dog in Atlanta. That
- 8:10Speaker 1: seems fair, right, an hour and a half from Georgia,
- 8:14Speaker 1: hours and hours more from Austin. These two teams played
- 8:18Speaker 1: earlier this year thirty to fifteen Georgia at Austin in
- 8:22Speaker 1: the regular season, so I mean we do have a
- 8:25Speaker 1: sample size of how this could go. It was earlier
- 8:27Speaker 1: in the season, and Georgia's offensive line is completely healthy again,
- 8:31Speaker 1: so that's pretty scary. Carson Beck fair price at eight K.
- 8:35Speaker 1: Don't mind it. He probably deserves to be that price.
- 8:37Speaker 1: He's looked pretty good since the old myths loast. But
- 8:40Speaker 1: you know, one of the games they played was U
- 8:42Speaker 1: Mass but he hasn't thrown any interceptions. Was is good
- 8:45Speaker 1: because if he threw an interception against you Mass, I
- 8:46Speaker 1: might have just put a red next to his name
- 8:50Speaker 1: for injury as well. But the running back room is
- 8:53Speaker 1: really what we're waiting on. Each TN is questionable. Really
- 8:58Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know how close he actually has
- 9:01Speaker 1: been any of these weeks. That's something we're going to
- 9:03Speaker 1: have to keep an eye on. Fraser's a fair price
- 9:05Speaker 1: for sure, is a little bit of a tougher matchup,
- 9:09Speaker 1: But if he's going to be a workhorse and then
- 9:11Speaker 1: you got Cash Jones, who's cashed in scoring last two
- 9:15Speaker 1: games three times, three times in the last four, three
- 9:18Speaker 1: times in the last five or something like that. But
- 9:20Speaker 1: too straight for sure. And then these receivers, the top
- 9:23Speaker 1: three receivers are all kind of lumped in together. They
- 9:25Speaker 1: all get pretty equal looks. Love It has just been
- 9:28Speaker 1: more effective with the looks that he's getting. He's got
- 9:30Speaker 1: three touchdowns in the last two games. But any one
- 9:33Speaker 1: of these three guys could get there, surprise it. Love
- 9:36Speaker 1: It is still cheaper than Arian Smith. But they're confusing
- 9:39Speaker 1: pricing on draftings. Some time, we'll talk sometime. We'll talk
- 9:42Speaker 1: about that a lot more with Texas too. Speaking of Texas,
- 9:45Speaker 1: Quinravion Wizner has just kind of been a stud lately.
- 9:49Speaker 1: He's got fifty nine carries in the last two games. Granted,
- 9:54Speaker 1: Blue did leave the last game early, but even the
- 9:57Speaker 1: game before that, he was in the twenties. So Wisner's
- 10:00Speaker 1: kind of seeming to take over that back field. Obviously,
- 10:03Speaker 1: Blue is still going to be involved. Again, Let's go
- 10:05Speaker 1: back to that Blake Korum down of an Edwards National
- 10:08Speaker 1: championship last year. So the rotations, I mean, they could
- 10:12Speaker 1: any of these teams could have something in their back
- 10:14Speaker 1: pocket they haven't used all season, But I like Whisner
- 10:17Speaker 1: at that price Blues not bad. Both are involved in
- 10:20Speaker 1: the past game. The confusing pricing here for me is
- 10:24Speaker 1: Gunner Helm and Isaiah Boncha. Honestly, if you look at
- 10:26Speaker 1: their usage, should probably have flip flop prices, but they
- 10:28Speaker 1: kind of refuse to move either of them. Gunnerhelm played
- 10:33Speaker 1: every single snap last week, like, he played eighty one
- 10:36Speaker 1: out of eighty one offensive snaps, and then I think
- 10:38Speaker 1: he had ten or eleven more on special teams to boot,
- 10:40Speaker 1: so you know he's gonna be on the field. Matthew
- 10:45Speaker 1: Golden played seventy of eighty one snaps on offense last
- 10:49Speaker 1: week as well. Bond Wingo and More each played about forty,
- 10:51Speaker 1: so they're kind of rotating a little bit more so
- 10:54Speaker 1: that I do like the look of Helm and Golden here.
- 10:57Speaker 1: The biggest problem with all of these guys is their quarterback.
- 11:01Speaker 1: Quinn Viewers. On top of not being a very good
- 11:04Speaker 1: quarterback like Texas hasn't been afraid the bench him like
- 11:09Speaker 1: Arch is getting some looks pretty much all season long.
- 11:12Speaker 1: And if Texas watched that Georgia Georgia Tech game, throw
- 11:16Speaker 1: Arch in for a couple of drives and let him
- 11:17Speaker 1: sling it, let him run. You know, there's opportunity there
- 11:21Speaker 1: we could see. I don't know that we'll see a
- 11:24Speaker 1: fifty to fifty split necessarily, but part of it too
- 11:26Speaker 1: could be like, you know, Quinn isn't playing at his best,
- 11:29Speaker 1: so we're gonna put Arch in just to make him angry,
- 11:31Speaker 1: and then he comes back in and has a solid driver,
- 11:35Speaker 1: you know, what have you? And I don't know, it's
- 11:37Speaker 1: just it's just hard with the way these quarterbacks have
- 11:39Speaker 1: been rotating this year. But I do, like, you know,
- 11:43Speaker 1: looking at Holme and looking at Golden and Wizner in
- 11:45Speaker 1: these rooms, and then like I said, all these games
- 11:47Speaker 1: are stackable on the six games, like they're all very
- 11:50Speaker 1: very similar. The one that's maybe the least not similar.
- 11:56Speaker 1: Did I say that right? That doesn't matter Marshall Luisi.
- 12:00Speaker 1: This one is a true road game for Marshall. They're
- 12:02Speaker 1: playing at Lafayette because they do that in some of
- 12:06Speaker 1: the G five conferences. On the Marshall side is a
- 12:09Speaker 1: six point underdog. They don't throw the ball, but Braylen
- 12:13Speaker 1: Braxton's their leading runner. So at seventy one hundred, you're
- 12:15Speaker 1: probably going to give him a look. He can throw.
- 12:18Speaker 1: He's just not whatever, but he is their leading rusher.
- 12:22Speaker 1: And then AJ Turner, Jordan Houston, and Ethan Payne all
- 12:25Speaker 1: kind of rotate. Turner and Houston, I would say, are
- 12:27Speaker 1: one A and one B. And they do catch out
- 12:28Speaker 1: of the backfield a decent amount, or Houston catches out
- 12:31Speaker 1: of the backfield a decent amount, I guess more than
- 12:32Speaker 1: the other guys. But Turner in Houston one A, one
- 12:35Speaker 1: B paying kind of rounds it out. Turner did have
- 12:38Speaker 1: that massive game against Georgia State earlier this year. But
- 12:41Speaker 1: you know, I'll take the discount on Houston if I'm
- 12:44Speaker 1: looking here, Turner would get you way different in all likelihood.
- 12:48Speaker 1: And then, like I said, they don't throw the ball
- 12:50Speaker 1: a whole lot. So this wide receiver room is it
- 12:52Speaker 1: just makes it tough to click. Fitzpatrick does have thirty
- 12:55Speaker 1: more targets than the next closest guy, but his catch
- 12:57Speaker 1: rate is only forty four percent, so we only actually
- 13:00Speaker 1: has four more receptions than Chuck Montgomery. Braylan Brown has
- 13:04Speaker 1: seen a little bit of an uptick you in routes,
- 13:07Speaker 1: and he did start against Ajmu. He got a start.
- 13:09Speaker 1: I don't know if his first start of the season,
- 13:11Speaker 1: but he definitely hadn't started in a while if it wasn't.
- 13:14Speaker 1: But really tough to look at these wider seats. You're
- 13:16Speaker 1: really looking to Brax and you could play h naked
- 13:17Speaker 1: in this situation. But like I said, Houston gets enough
- 13:19Speaker 1: usage at that price that you could you could give
- 13:21Speaker 1: him a look as well. Louisiana is the favorites. Marshall
- 13:26Speaker 1: has given up nineteen points or more in every single
- 13:29Speaker 1: game except two, and that was against Stonybrook and Southern Miss.
- 13:32Speaker 1: So this thirty one point team total is looking mighty
- 13:36Speaker 1: juicy and very like it's it's pretty likely that it
- 13:39Speaker 1: could happen. Maybe the highest likelihood for a team to
- 13:42Speaker 1: go over a thirty point total that we've seen in
- 13:45Speaker 1: a while. Chandler Field is going to start at quarterback
- 13:47Speaker 1: because Ben Woolridge he got hurt a couple of weeks
- 13:50Speaker 1: ago and coach said it would be about four weeks.
- 13:52Speaker 1: So you know, doing my Minnesota math, that tells me
- 13:54Speaker 1: that he's not ready yet, so we're expecting Fields to go.
- 13:58Speaker 1: He does have a lot of experience as his sixth
- 14:00Speaker 1: at Louisiana, and he looked really good against Troy, decent
- 14:03Speaker 1: enough last week. So sixty eight hundred, I don't mind
- 14:07Speaker 1: clicking that Bill Davis and z Island Perry like these were.
- 14:11Speaker 1: Bill Davis was honestly the first one that jumped out
- 14:13Speaker 1: to me when I first looked at this slate. First
- 14:16Speaker 1: of all, great name. Second of all, he's got a
- 14:20Speaker 1: little workhorse to him at forty nine hundred. You know,
- 14:24Speaker 1: he had seventeen carries last game. Perry had nineteen carries
- 14:28Speaker 1: last game. Davis has double digits in most of the games.
- 14:31Speaker 1: So these two guys, you know, you could flip a
- 14:34Speaker 1: coin and pick one and either one could get there,
- 14:36Speaker 1: especially at these prices, and you can get to Marshall
- 14:38Speaker 1: on the ground, they have several games they've given up
- 14:40Speaker 1: two hundred yards or more. And then in the wide
- 14:42Speaker 1: receiver room again with Fields, it is going to be
- 14:45Speaker 1: a different look than Wooldridge. But Lance Lejeong leaves the
- 14:49Speaker 1: wide receiver room. He actually used to play quarterback at
- 14:52Speaker 1: Maryland and now he's at Louisiana. But he's got a
- 14:54Speaker 1: consistent seven and nine targets the last few games, which
- 14:56Speaker 1: is promising because that's when Chandler Fields took over, where
- 15:00Speaker 1: he's seen these consistent targets, so I don't mind that connection.
- 15:03Speaker 1: A sixty eight hundred to forty five hundred QB to
- 15:06Speaker 1: wide receiver one definitely something you want to look at here.
- 15:10Speaker 1: Terrence Carter is a clear wide receiver two with a
- 15:12Speaker 1: few spike games. He's a big dude, like six two
- 15:14Speaker 1: two forty, so he might he probably matches up really
- 15:17Speaker 1: well with a lot of these d backs. Brussard has
- 15:20Speaker 1: involved some. Jacob Bernard might be a little sneaky because
- 15:23Speaker 1: he's also been at Louisiana for six years, so he
- 15:27Speaker 1: and Fields came in together. And you know, Bernard's a
- 15:29Speaker 1: name we've heard at Lafayette the past few years, so
- 15:32Speaker 1: it's not like he's he's a nobody. But highest total,
- 15:37Speaker 1: it is the biggest spread, but it's still a touchdown spread.
- 15:40Speaker 1: Both of these teams with decent team totals, so very
- 15:43Speaker 1: very stackable game as well, especially with this pricing. Man,
- 15:45Speaker 1: these pricing is making it easy to not necessarily play
- 15:49Speaker 1: whoever you want everywhere. But pretty darn closed. Clemson at
- 15:54Speaker 1: SMU and again, sorry I say at this game's as Charlotte.
- 15:57Speaker 1: It's one of the two outdoor games the last one
- 15:59Speaker 1: was out doors, in this one's outdoors. The rest of
- 16:01Speaker 1: them are in controlled environments. Clemson didn't even think they'd
- 16:06Speaker 1: be here. If Miami had won that game against Syracuse,
- 16:08Speaker 1: they wouldn't be So they're probably going to be playing
- 16:12Speaker 1: pretty loose and pretty excited. The one thing I will
- 16:14Speaker 1: say about Clemson is that their offensive line is looking
- 16:17Speaker 1: pretty healthy. They were down to tackling and lost their
- 16:20Speaker 1: backup after one play against Pittsburgh earlier this year, but
- 16:22Speaker 1: now we got Tristan Lee and Marcus Tate back, so
- 16:26Speaker 1: maybe the healthiest their offensive line has been in six
- 16:30Speaker 1: eight weeks, you know, because it's tatan Lee's second game back,
- 16:34Speaker 1: that first game back, getting their feet back underneath them,
- 16:37Speaker 1: and now it looks like they're good to go, and
- 16:39Speaker 1: that that only helps these skill players. K Clubnick nine
- 16:42Speaker 1: k's a little steep, but he does have the upside.
- 16:45Speaker 1: We've seen it. We've seen Clemson be winning games by
- 16:47Speaker 1: three touchdowns and they're still slinging it out there, almost
- 16:50Speaker 1: like they're trying to get the three hundred yard bonus
- 16:52Speaker 1: for us degenerates on DraftKings. But club Nick is I mean,
- 16:56Speaker 1: he's a fine click at nine K again there's better
- 16:59Speaker 1: value you on the slate. There's cheaper obviously, he's the
- 17:02Speaker 1: most expensive quarterback. But not bad at all. Tough defense,
- 17:06Speaker 1: but you know, SMU maybe hasn't played an offense like this.
- 17:12Speaker 1: I think they played Louisville, which is all right. Phil
- 17:16Speaker 1: MafA has not been himself lately. He's had just stinker
- 17:19Speaker 1: after stinker the last few weeks. But again, offensive line
- 17:21Speaker 1: is now healthy again. Maybe we see a better MafA
- 17:25Speaker 1: this week. But again, s Mu, you know, I guess
- 17:28Speaker 1: they have. They've only allowed more than four yards to
- 17:30Speaker 1: carry once, and they've played decent running teams Boston College,
- 17:35Speaker 1: Pittsburgh BYU. They did play Louisville. Should just look at
- 17:39Speaker 1: my own notes, and maybe I could not sound like
- 17:41Speaker 1: such a dufist when I say things like that. They
- 17:43Speaker 1: did play Louisville, Isaac Brown stud so they're not playing
- 17:48Speaker 1: complete slouches. But you know, Clemson's just historically a different animal.
- 17:55Speaker 1: This wide receiver room is really juicy for Clemson. Antonio
- 17:58Speaker 1: Williams Price like the wider one he is, but everybody
- 18:01Speaker 1: after him is just it seems like an egregious miss. Price.
- 18:06Speaker 1: Williams did have ten targets last week. But I guess
- 18:08Speaker 1: what so did Bryant Westco and Westco is like he's
- 18:12Speaker 1: he's good man, He's really good. He's started. I think
- 18:14Speaker 1: he's starting to peak in exactly the right time for Clemson.
- 18:18Speaker 1: So thirty four hundred. I don't mind that TJ. Moore
- 18:20Speaker 1: had seven targets. I actually played him last week. Could
- 18:23Speaker 1: helped me get Scataboo of Brooks and Kneel in the
- 18:25Speaker 1: same lineup. And it's because TJ. Moore is cheap and
- 18:27Speaker 1: they didn't price him up at all. He four XD,
- 18:30Speaker 1: so I don't I don't really know why DK price
- 18:33Speaker 1: in the way they did. One name you see on
- 18:35Speaker 1: here that we haven't seen most of the season though,
- 18:36Speaker 1: was Tyler Brown. He is back at practice, obviously a
- 18:39Speaker 1: stud last year, a super good wide receiver, and he
- 18:44Speaker 1: plays the slot, which is where Stellato had been playing.
- 18:46Speaker 1: And now Stellato's hurt, so it would be a perfect
- 18:49Speaker 1: just get him right back into the slot where he's
- 18:51Speaker 1: comfortable without without any issue. And you know, I think
- 18:55Speaker 1: Brown's a better wide receiver than Stillato, but it doesn't
- 18:57Speaker 1: really make a difference. But we could see brownback, so
- 19:00Speaker 1: watch that. But a lot of playable pieces from this
- 19:03Speaker 1: Clemson side. I really like those cheap wide receivers On
- 19:06Speaker 1: the SMU side. Kevin Jennings is just he keeps getting
- 19:09Speaker 1: disrespected week after week. He's like I said, he's been
- 19:13Speaker 1: every week. It seems like I talk about it. He's
- 19:15Speaker 1: been throwing a lot very well lately, That's how he's
- 19:18Speaker 1: been getting there. But he can use his legs. That's
- 19:20Speaker 1: the thing. It's like he can use his legs. He's
- 19:24Speaker 1: run more in close games this year. I would imagine
- 19:26Speaker 1: this is going to be a close game. He ran
- 19:28Speaker 1: against louis VILLELA. He ran against Duke a lot. He
- 19:30Speaker 1: ran more in the Conference championship last week. And Leonora
- 19:34Speaker 1: Sellers just torched Clemson. So I know SMU saw that film,
- 19:39Speaker 1: you know, is it? I mean it's not an Apples
- 19:41Speaker 1: Taples comparison South Carolina and SMU, But SMU is a
- 19:43Speaker 1: good football team. Brichard Smith still getting workhorse numbers sixteen
- 19:47Speaker 1: carries and three catches on three targets last week. A
- 19:50Speaker 1: couple of touchdowns never hurts anything. You can run on Clemson.
- 19:54Speaker 1: They they've allowed more than five of carry three of
- 19:56Speaker 1: the last five and six times on the season, including
- 20:00Speaker 1: the Citadel, Appalachian State, and Stanford all running for more
- 20:03Speaker 1: than five yards of carry, so Brashard Smith eighty two
- 20:07Speaker 1: hundred is expensive but probably worthy of that price tag.
- 20:11Speaker 1: And then this wide receiver room is the same as
- 20:13Speaker 1: SMU's wide receiver room has always been. Last week it
- 20:16Speaker 1: was Daniels with the target high, but it could be Smith,
- 20:19Speaker 1: that could be Hudson any day. Hibner back to five
- 20:22Speaker 1: catches for forty eight and a taddi Muchie Dixon is
- 20:25Speaker 1: involved enough that thirty three hundred whatever. My favorite is
- 20:28Speaker 1: Derek McFall, though not my favorite play, I need to
- 20:30Speaker 1: make that clear. But last week he got six offensive snaps,
- 20:34Speaker 1: he had two carries and caught all three of his targets,
- 20:37Speaker 1: and he got a touchdown. So maybe the most efficient
- 20:40Speaker 1: player on the team Derek McFall. But this, like again,
- 20:43Speaker 1: this is a very stackable game as well, like all
- 20:46Speaker 1: of them are, so any which way you play it,
- 20:51Speaker 1: just you know if you stack it and want to
- 20:53Speaker 1: get different Clubnick's probably the way to do it. So again,
- 20:58Speaker 1: a very high total with a tighter spread. These two
- 21:00Speaker 1: games are the two highest totals on the slate, so
- 21:04Speaker 1: definitely eyes on those two. This should be a good
- 21:08Speaker 1: football game. Penn State in Oregon playing in Indianapolis, another
- 21:12Speaker 1: indoor game. Big Big ten offensive player of the Year
- 21:15Speaker 1: Dylan Gabriel against a Big Ten defensive player of the
- 21:17Speaker 1: year Abdul Carter. The immovable unstoppable for us versus the
- 21:22Speaker 1: immovable object, which one wins? Gravity is the answer, by
- 21:26Speaker 1: the way. Penn State side, Nick Singleton has kind of
- 21:29Speaker 1: retaken that running back one role that he had previously,
- 21:34Speaker 1: you know, like A one, A one B, but lately
- 21:37Speaker 1: it's been Singleton with the clear RB one. He's got
- 21:40Speaker 1: about twice as many snaps as Alan in the last
- 21:43Speaker 1: two games. But again, Alan could still get looks. He's
- 21:47Speaker 1: still involved enough that you know, twelve hundred dollars discountin't nothing, Bob.
- 21:51Speaker 1: There's just you know, there's better workhorses on the slate
- 21:53Speaker 1: that we've already talked about. The Singleton is still getting
- 21:56Speaker 1: targets too. He's caught all of his targets in the
- 21:58Speaker 1: last three games, and he's caught thirty three of thirty
- 22:00Speaker 1: three receptions on thirty five targets all year, So very
- 22:03Speaker 1: effective in the passing game as well. So that's why
- 22:06Speaker 1: you know, that's what you're getting for the twelve hundred
- 22:08Speaker 1: is more snaps and more targets. Tyler Warren is still
- 22:11Speaker 1: the top option for Penn State. It's not even close.
- 22:14Speaker 1: He just touches the ball in so many different ways
- 22:17Speaker 1: and he can. He's very very effective, and he's he's good.
- 22:22Speaker 1: He's a good football player. And then Harrison Wallace. The
- 22:26Speaker 1: thing with Wallace is that he didn't play. I mean,
- 22:28Speaker 1: he didn't play last week, but they didn't need him,
- 22:30Speaker 1: first of all. Second of all, he heard his name
- 22:32Speaker 1: a lot against Minnesota when I when I was listening
- 22:34Speaker 1: to the game, and I went and looked him, like, oh,
- 22:37Speaker 1: he does have a solid target share, So thirty eight
- 22:40Speaker 1: hundred is definitely too cheap for him in my opinion.
- 22:43Speaker 1: So that's a name I'm going to be looking at too.
- 22:44Speaker 1: So even though again Penn State not the greatest, not
- 22:48Speaker 1: the greatest fantasy team because like Drew Aller is just
- 22:50Speaker 1: like maybe the most may quarterback in college football, especially
- 22:53Speaker 1: when it comes to DFS, but definitely looking at a
- 22:56Speaker 1: couple of pieces from this Penn State side, especially on
- 22:58Speaker 1: the six games slate. On a twelve game I probably
- 23:01Speaker 1: ignore this a little bit more other than Warren, but
- 23:04Speaker 1: got a six gamer. On the Oregon side, guys are
- 23:07Speaker 1: priced most. Some of them are price where they should be,
- 23:10Speaker 1: like Dyllan Gabriel, fair price at eighty six hundred. Tough matchup,
- 23:16Speaker 1: but he's had a solid string of games, undefeated Offensive
- 23:20Speaker 1: Player of the Year, so like, obviously he's a good
- 23:22Speaker 1: football player. Like I don't, I don't know. It's tough
- 23:28Speaker 1: to say Penn State's really a scary defense because who
- 23:31Speaker 1: if they played outside of Ohio State and they played Illinois,
- 23:35Speaker 1: USC Minnesota. I don't. I just Oregon this. I could
- 23:41Speaker 1: see Penn State winning this game. I can see Oregon
- 23:43Speaker 1: winning by three scores. I lean on the three score
- 23:46Speaker 1: side for Oregon, but you never know. Jordan James been
- 23:49Speaker 1: solid all year. Just missed one hundred yard bonus by
- 23:52Speaker 1: a yard last week, but you know he got a
- 23:54Speaker 1: couple of scores. I do like that. He's one of
- 23:56Speaker 1: those guys that will get you down the field and
- 23:58Speaker 1: they'll leave him in to get the goal line score.
- 24:00Speaker 1: There are plenty of teams in college football that put
- 24:02Speaker 1: in a goal line back at the one after the
- 24:03Speaker 1: other guy gets you all the way down there and
- 24:04Speaker 1: you're chilting because he didn't get the extra six points
- 24:08Speaker 1: six point one, six point one points. Don't forget that
- 24:10Speaker 1: point one. Whittington will still get work, and he's cheap
- 24:13Speaker 1: enough you can sprinkle him in. But James is the guy.
- 24:16Speaker 1: And then Tes Johnson was back last week, you only
- 24:18Speaker 1: had three targets, but I gotta imagine he's probably due
- 24:21Speaker 1: for an increase there. Terrence Ferguson has been pretty steady,
- 24:24Speaker 1: definitely too cheap at thirty one hundred, definitely like he's
- 24:29Speaker 1: not the top option or anything. But then Evan Stewart
- 24:31Speaker 1: is just he's had a couple of big games, but
- 24:34Speaker 1: you know, you never really know exactly when it's gonna come.
- 24:36Speaker 1: Trayshaw On Holden kind of the same thing. Gary Bryant
- 24:40Speaker 1: I played quite a bit a few weeks ago, but
- 24:43Speaker 1: last week you only had four four snaps on special team,
- 24:46Speaker 1: So I'm not sure what's going on there. That's a
- 24:47Speaker 1: name that kind of keeps getting brought up in the
- 24:49Speaker 1: in the DFS and college football community that at least
- 24:52Speaker 1: when we're talking Oregon, just really don't know. But you're
- 24:56Speaker 1: looking at James, You're looking probably at Ferguson a little
- 24:59Speaker 1: bit more than Tes, just because of the just because
- 25:01Speaker 1: of the savings. But I mean, if you'd like, there's
- 25:04Speaker 1: no reason you can't play Tyler Warren and Tess Johnson,
- 25:08Speaker 1: you know, against each other in a lineup there. They're
- 25:10Speaker 1: both absolute studs. That's it for the six games. If
- 25:15Speaker 1: you like this stone but you think you could use
- 25:17Speaker 1: a little bit more color, well we have one of
- 25:19Speaker 1: those two. This is the stone for college football that
- 25:22Speaker 1: you know will give you the matchup. It'll give you
- 25:24Speaker 1: the players and pricing like I just did, but then
- 25:26Speaker 1: it also tells you what's the game environment, like what's
- 25:29Speaker 1: the pass defense and the rush defense of each team?
- 25:31Speaker 1: What is their pace? What is their run pass percentage?
- 25:33Speaker 1: And it's production, not how often they run versus how
- 25:35Speaker 1: often they pass. It's what yardage they get, how what
- 25:38Speaker 1: where the production comes from, because that's what we care
- 25:40Speaker 1: about in DFS. And then targets, targets and rushing attempts,
- 25:44Speaker 1: and obviously the spreads and totals and even game time.
- 25:47Speaker 1: So you can have everything right in front of you
- 25:49Speaker 1: for late swap. We want to provide it as much
- 25:53Speaker 1: much relevant information as we possibly can to help you
- 25:55Speaker 1: with your process, but keep it all on one page
- 25:58Speaker 1: so you can have everything in front of you all
- 26:00Speaker 1: once and the place to get that colored stone is
- 26:02Speaker 1: ship at Nation, the best in college football DFS and
- 26:05Speaker 1: in DFS in general my opinion, and I mean the
- 26:08Speaker 1: opinion of a lot of others too. But and the
- 26:12Speaker 1: thing about ship it is that we want to provide value.
- 26:16Speaker 1: We want to provide you with education. We want you
- 26:20Speaker 1: to be able to pay for your contests, not your content.
- 26:23Speaker 1: So that's why for an entire year of every single
- 26:25Speaker 1: sport that we cover, it's only seven hundred bucks. So
- 26:29Speaker 1: I mean it's it's well under one hundred bucks a month.
- 26:32Speaker 1: You're getting a discount from the monthly if you go
- 26:35Speaker 1: up to six months, at discount from the six month,
- 26:37Speaker 1: if you go up to annually. You know, like the typical,
- 26:39Speaker 1: typical subscription structure. But look at all the sports that
- 26:42Speaker 1: we cover, NFLCFPPGA. I've been been in on some of
- 26:47Speaker 1: those PGA meetings and there are some big things planned
- 26:49Speaker 1: for twenty twenty five. We're doing everything that we can
- 26:53Speaker 1: to ensure that we provide you with the best not
- 26:55Speaker 1: just the best value, but the best product on the
- 26:58Speaker 1: market for PGA, DFS, NBA, NHL going strong, MMA is
- 27:02Speaker 1: still in full swing, NASCAR is going to be starting
- 27:04Speaker 1: up with the Daytona here in a couple of months.
- 27:07Speaker 1: Like it just and it just gives you everything that
- 27:09Speaker 1: we everything that you need to know. We do projections.
- 27:14Speaker 1: The discord is the best discord out there. We talk process,
- 27:18Speaker 1: we educate, you know, draw ideas off of each other.
- 27:20Speaker 1: We learn, We learn a lot about each other and
- 27:24Speaker 1: maybe find things in our process that we missed before
- 27:27Speaker 1: that could help us become better DFS players, because that's
- 27:28Speaker 1: the ultimate goal. Yes, we do provide cores, you know,
- 27:32Speaker 1: and player notes and things of that nature. But I'll
- 27:34Speaker 1: be honest with you. My picks are not any better
- 27:37Speaker 1: than your picks, and his picks are not any better
- 27:40Speaker 1: than mine. That's just how it goes. Our cores are
- 27:43Speaker 1: meant to provide starting points to get you thinking about guys.
- 27:46Speaker 1: It's who are Like our process led us to those cores,
- 27:51Speaker 1: and then it just starts you thinking, oh, why did
- 27:52Speaker 1: they go to those guys? And then you start looking
- 27:54Speaker 1: into it and like, oh, I could see how they
- 27:56Speaker 1: get there, you know, but you know it doesn't doesn't
- 27:58Speaker 1: fit my build quite as much. So I'm going to
- 28:00Speaker 1: take two of these guys instead of all four or
- 28:02Speaker 1: five or six. And but that's the thing is that
- 28:04Speaker 1: we just want to help with process. Oh, it's single
- 28:08Speaker 1: sport too. If you know, we do football in PGA.
- 28:10Speaker 1: Right now, we're running a deal for football. We slashed
- 28:14Speaker 1: our prices so it's only one hundred dollars for the
- 28:16Speaker 1: rest of the season. You get college football and NFL.
- 28:19Speaker 1: So that means you get the entirety of the bowl
- 28:20Speaker 1: season if you sign up right now as long as
- 28:23Speaker 1: it like I mean, you'll get all of the conference
- 28:24Speaker 1: championship games depending on when you sign up. I guess
- 28:27Speaker 1: they could be going on Friday night right now. But
- 28:30Speaker 1: it's it's only one hundred bucks. You get NFL playoffs
- 28:33Speaker 1: and the rest of the regular season obviously, plus the
- 28:34Speaker 1: Super Bowl Bowl season, College Football Playoff. We got some
- 28:38Speaker 1: big things, like we're doing stones. You know, we're changing
- 28:42Speaker 1: the rules for our stone for the college football playoff
- 28:45Speaker 1: slates that we get. And we also have an optimizer
- 28:48Speaker 1: that you can get for NFL. So, like I said,
- 28:51Speaker 1: golf coming up in just a couple of months. We
- 28:52Speaker 1: got big things planned. So if you just want the
- 28:54Speaker 1: one sports, we have those options for you too. And
- 28:56Speaker 1: why would you join ship at Nation, Oh, because it's
- 28:59Speaker 1: the best value, yes, but because we win too. We
- 29:02Speaker 1: had a one hundred thousand dollars winner last week, we
- 29:04Speaker 1: had two. We took college football. I said earlier, we
- 29:07Speaker 1: had a good week last week. It's because we took
- 29:09Speaker 1: down the flagship on DraftKings on Friday and Saturday night,
- 29:12Speaker 1: boy Lsu, Nick and Pete Duran going back to back days.
- 29:17Speaker 1: And Nick deserved that. He had a stat correction that
- 29:19Speaker 1: prevented him from winning a couple of weeks ago. So
- 29:22Speaker 1: that was just karma. Our our man, the degenerate seventy
- 29:25Speaker 1: five just continues his heater in the NFL. And just
- 29:28Speaker 1: so many different winners. That's the one thing you noticed.
- 29:30Speaker 1: Look at all the different names, and this is just
- 29:33Speaker 1: last week. I mean it's just last week. So it's
- 29:36Speaker 1: not the entire season. It's not the entire month of
- 29:38Speaker 1: November anything like that. And I couldn't even I can't
- 29:41Speaker 1: even fit all of them on the collagi either. So
- 29:44Speaker 1: it's awesome. It's not just that we it's like I said,
- 29:47Speaker 1: it's because we educate. We talk about process, and everybody
- 29:51Speaker 1: wants to get better and that's our goal every single
- 29:52Speaker 1: day when we have our discussions and we provide the
- 29:54Speaker 1: content so we can see it's payan off and we
- 29:57Speaker 1: want you to be a part of it, with us
- 29:59Speaker 1: all the way to the moon. But never forget rule
- 30:02Speaker 1: number one. College football is fun. Enjoy that process, Enjoy
- 30:06Speaker 1: building your lineups, Enjoy back to back days of conference football,
- 30:10Speaker 1: conference championship football, and just be glad that we have
- 30:13Speaker 1: the opportunity to play daily fantasy sports while we watch
- 30:16Speaker 1: these games. Hopefully that we can meet at the top
- 30:21Speaker 1: of the leaderboards this weekend, but until then, we'll see
- 30:25Speaker 1: you next time. I'm so