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Uh Oh... Bonds Just Flipped While Oil Surges
Bond rates have completely reversed course and are falling again despite oil prices that haven’t budged. This is a clear warning that central bankers are already out of time for their rate hikes and inflation scenarios. In fact, inflation expectations in the marketplace which never got high to be begin with have collapsed in an ominous sign. Together with a surge in repo fails and other dollar tightening signals, including a sharp rise in the dollar exchange rate, the bond market is clearly worried the oil shock has blown past the point of no return.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro…
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