Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA First Look | March 18, 2024 | Valspar Championship DraftKings DFS Pricing and Process

Transcript

PGA First Look | March 18, 2024 | Valspar Championship DraftKings DFS Pricing and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:00
Yeah, all system's going clear the left up. What's up everyone? Tyler
0:37
Tamberlin here aka to Tag and Tambo back finally come back from vacation. Appreciate
0:42
everybody to reach it out. But get back to the first Look show with
0:45
my guy Hoopster. We're gonna break down all things valspar Championship. Get to
0:49
that, but before we do, bring in my guy Hoopster held it down
0:52
for me while I was away. Hoop how you doing, my friend?
0:54
And how was your players week? Shout out to everybody here in the chat.
0:58
The shipping nation is still ship a nation, building is still standing despite
1:03
your vacation last week, we held it down, got the job done,
1:06
and now you return. And we were joking, you know, earlier because
1:08
obviously business partners, we've been talking for a while pretty consistently here. Obviously
1:14
we're in communication every day. Seemed like a hell of a lot longer than
1:17
one week. Man, It's like it was weird, weird feeling. But
1:19
we're back and ready to go full throttle. In terms of the players,
1:25
you know on the right, guy's been talked about it all week long about
1:26
Scotty Scheffler just wanted to take the overweight approach on him. I did that,
1:32
but just didn't find many five of his sixes. To be honest with
1:34
you, that was my main thing. I had a lot of or didn't
1:37
find many six of sixes. I had a lot of really solid five of
1:40
sixes, but no solid six of six is Scotty got the job done.
1:44
I mean just an incredible run here and man like we talked about a lot
1:48
with that putter geez, I mean just the little just that little difference and
1:53
this guy is I mean incredible. It's just incredible to see. So that
1:59
part went while ye, but in terms of my lineup, so you didn't
2:01
have the six or six is needed to contend. But welcome back and excited
2:06
to talk some PGA with you again. Yeah, we're gonna go through it
2:08
all, break it all down for you guys and more. It was a
2:09
great week we had again, thanking everybody that reached out. My wife and
2:14
I celebrating ten years. So don't want to make it about me, obviously,
2:15
it was just mention it quickly, but to say it was a fun
2:19
week everyone that reached out. I did take it as an actual breakaway from
2:22
things for a minute. I was still peeking in people know I was lurking,
2:24
but worked on a lot of stuff for the business. I can only
2:27
sit there and read so much of a book and so many things. As
2:30
you know, there's drinks and sun and sand and all this stuff. So
2:34
worked on a lot of stuff. We'll have some exciting announcements coming up soon
2:37
Phase three and Phase four over at chip at nation dot com. So no
2:39
better time to join. We talked about it last week. Real quick,
2:43
I'll bring it back up. It was join for the players, stay for
2:46
the Masters. This really applies right now as well for the bous bar because
2:50
if you join right now using the code Masters plural fifteen, you get fifteen
2:53
percent off. You can do our PGA only packages monthly or annual. To
2:58
do monthly it's about a dollar a day. Annually it's about five dollars an
3:00
event. Can upgrade and pro rate at any time that you want to go
3:05
over to the to the all access package. But just to bring it up
3:08
is now. It will include the entire weekend of showdown for the Masters as
3:12
well, sound two, Round one, Round two, Round three, Round
3:15
four, projections, ownership, the Stone, all those great things and shut
3:19
up to my guy James back doing some content this week. Was happy to
3:22
you know, see him on camera doing all that stuff. I still tuned
3:23
into the shows where I could those ones definitely tuned in for so shut up
3:28
to our guy degenerate seventy five back into the swing of things. We absolutely
3:30
love to see that. First in the chat was Razor Sharp LFG. Yeah,
3:36
let's go. We're gonna get into this. Yere shut out to everybody
3:38
else back. We've got the pricing, have not taken a look yet.
3:42
But before we get into it, I will say big weekend hoop again.
3:44
So, like you said, it didn't break down, it got held down
3:46
over at ship in Nation. We had a one two three in round two,
3:50
including our guy Picket Pickets Picks does all our stuff in the community run
3:53
tennis channel in our discord he got second for twenty and then Mark, who
3:58
reached out to a Zen player. He finished first and third. Says I
4:00
don't do the socials, but wanted to give a huge shout out to the
4:02
whole crew. Won sixty thousand plus on just four lineups using the content.
4:09
He's gonna give away an annual membership and on that note, because people love
4:13
giveaways, so we're gonna give away an annual all access to five ho nine
4:16
special. So it's five ninety nine right now. To get an all access
4:19
eight sports special you'll get. We're gonna do a giveaway that we'll have more
4:24
news on that soon, probably Wednesday this week we'll announce it. But we
4:27
also hit our six thousand YouTube subscribers, so now we're we're on the highway
4:31
to seven. I guess going up to that one because we've got sixty one
4:34
hundred as of now. So we're gonna be giving away an annual membership to
4:39
PGA. That will also be on Wednesday, So make sure you're smashing that
4:43
like button if you just joined, if you're in the chat, make sure
4:45
you subscribe to the channel. Definitely appreciate all you guys, but shut up
4:47
to those guys. On Saturday, after the weekend, our guy b Wald
4:51
huge week, Coop. I think he turned eight hundred bucks into like eight
4:56
thousand plus it doesn't matter your bank roll. Nineteen dollars into a hundred and
5:00
fifty one. Joey R. Huge week for Joey R. We had some
5:02
NBA takedowns last night. Chris cl He hit our first one with the logo,
5:09
so I'll send you his stuff after I made it rain on him.
5:11
His name is make it rain on him. He got the first two thousand
5:14
dollars shipper that tagged us on X or Twitter if you want to call it
5:17
that with the new logo. So congrats to him. An extra hundred bucks
5:20
coming his way. And then gotta give a shout out to our guy Rio.
5:25
The h and Hebrew cheetah stands for humble and hard worker. The guy
5:28
just NonStop, always going the extra mile to help everybody out there. Truly
5:30
appreciate. He had a huge weekend, chopped second place in UFC. Someone
5:34
had the outright shipper for one hundred and then last night picked up a Fantasy
5:40
Basketball World Championship seat which were near the buzzer six left it said tonight there's
5:44
four satellites out there, so gonna try and get it on the action there.
5:46
But shut up to our guy Rio. We'll get into this slate.
5:49
Who anything you want to add their man or or you want to talk right
5:53
about this bous bar. We got the the Samsburg sam Burns Championship a summer
5:57
calling it. Yeah, so congratulations all the winners. You love to see
6:01
that. And then one thing that definitely stood out well. First off,
6:05
Hebrew Cheetah, our guy Rio, you know, runs essentially our MBA product
6:10
over here and has done a phenomenal job all season long, grinding his ass
6:13
off, and like you said, one of the hardest workers that I've encountered
6:16
in this industry. Just a really good dude. So congratulations to him on
6:20
the phenomenal weekend. I'm getting the Live final seat and then winning at UFC
6:26
as well. And he's another guy in these UFC streets that I can tell
6:29
you right now. You know, I come on here and I've had a
6:30
lot of success in MMA, and I talk about it where the only thing
6:33
I'm using is our content at ship a Nation dot com titles in Marley's input,
6:40
and I'm building my teams. Now. I didn't win this week,
6:43
but I've shipped multiple times. I'm up a lot of money playing MMA strictly
6:46
from using our content, and I know it's the same thing for Rio.
6:50
Rio is not going elsewhere to get his UFC MMA content. He is going
6:57
to our content title in Marley's and able to get the job done. These
7:00
guys know their shit when it comes to MMA. It is very impressive and
7:04
you get kind of two mindsets molding together with Title and Marley. You get
7:08
a little back and forth. You can find some spots that they disagree or
7:12
agree on, but they've done a phenomenal job with this product. It's led
7:15
to a lot of a lot of ships, a lot of wins obviously for
7:19
our community. The second thing that stood out for sure in these wins is
7:24
the showdown because it's like the second time in the last few weeks where it's
7:29
been one, two, three, you know, a bunch of high finishes,
7:31
not just one individual finish, but where we're seeing a lot of guys
7:34
at the top. And that's where these are projections really come into play for
7:40
each individual round. We talk about a lot of sites. They put up
7:43
the main slave projections and they just roll them out all weekend long and don't
7:46
change our projections for PGA Showdown, taking into account the weather, taking into
7:51
account where these guys are currently sitting, taking a lot of other factors into
7:56
consideration, not just the number. And we've seen it a couple times where
8:00
you know, ship and nation members have dusted the field in these contests.
8:05
So that was the second thing that kind of stood out to me. But
8:07
again congratulations all the winners out there. Yeah, full Projections ownership for each
8:11
showdown slate starting in round one. The slate plan where it's a breakdown of
8:15
sort of what we think is going to happen some of our core plays,
8:18
and then we do up a little tier rankings at the bottom, and then
8:20
the Stone obviously Degenerate seventy five who started this as the Rosetta Stone. We
8:24
moved over to the Stone just to put a name on it. But the
8:28
setup is pretty solid where everything is all in one place, makes it very
8:31
easy. And then obviously if you're join and you get the partnership with us
8:35
over at the Solver, you'll see our logo at the top. You can
8:37
get single sport and go just to PGA twenty five bucks a month, get
8:43
it automatically put in there for you, or you can go to the All
8:45
Sports forty nine bucks a month and have it locked in to get all of
8:48
the sports with the Projection's ownership automatically moved over for you. So yeah,
8:52
shut up to that. Someone said they love to see you know Paul right
8:54
here, good stuff. Love to see We have a ton of that,
8:56
and that's part of what we love about our community is you know, sort
8:58
of the hospital mentality of everybody that's in there. We try and give as
9:01
much as possible, but it's the members to give back as well. So
9:05
it's just awesome to see. And yeah, right out of the gates and
9:07
I asked them, I said, you want a golf seat or you sorry,
9:09
you want a golf tournament here? Do you want to do an annual
9:13
for PGA only or do you want to do the all access like it's up
9:16
to you. He said, no, for sure all access. Give him
9:18
the full meal deal and sent over the five h nine and that was awesome.
9:22
So we're gonna have a giveaway for that. Any final thoughts on the
9:24
players before we we try to wrap things up by ten minutes to get into
9:28
the actual stuff. Hoo, But just a lot of people did have this
9:31
feeling, so it could be dravised. Was a great dude, He said,
9:33
you know, it would change the sort of golfers that you select.
9:37
If you think it's going to get to twenty under verse you think it's going
9:39
to be a grinded out ten under type of finish. So did you have
9:41
any thoughts on that one? Yeah, I mean it was much easier than
9:46
I think anyone anticipated. And for something that you know, everyone calls the
9:50
fifth Major, you want it to be more of a test, and it
9:52
really wasn't too much of a challenge, Like without wind, like a lot
9:58
of the water and hazards can be avoided on that course, and I think
10:01
that's really what you saw this week. There wasn't much wind at all,
10:05
so these guys were able to avoid the water hazards that lurked around this course.
10:11
So for me, that was the one big thing. But on top
10:13
of that, the course was very soft too. I mean, these guys
10:16
hitting the ball into the green and they're able to basically, you know,
10:20
put it right where they wanted with no issue whatsoever. So I would have
10:24
I don't know a ton about the ins and outs of golf courses and all
10:26
that, but from what I understand, they have this subair system where they
10:30
could have potentially made it like a little bit tougher. I would have loved
10:33
to see that without any wind, Like they knew they weren't getting any wind.
10:37
So the only way to kind of make this a little more difficult would
10:39
have been to firm it up specifically on the greens and again, I don't
10:43
know how that looks. I don't know how it was possible, but it
10:46
was definitely, you know, way too easy for me. I mean you
10:48
had you had some no name guys shooting some scores like you know, big
10:54
under par scores. So yeah, I didn't like that aspect of it.
10:58
I definitely would have like to see a bigger test. I mean, the
11:01
rough did look pretty deep, and some of those the pine straw lies that
11:03
look pretty difficult, but man, these guys are just too good. They
11:07
can overcome it if there's not wind out there. So definitely would have like
11:09
to see it a little more difficult. But it is what it is and
11:11
we move on. Yeah, and this brings up this point from Eugene,
11:16
which is also solid. I mean, this was how the season started off,
11:18
was all these long shots. I will say though, I mean again,
11:22
strength of field is what dictates that more. I think, like,
11:24
yeah, we had it at the Genesis, sure, but that'd probably be
11:26
the only other one that I would say, We're like the other ones you
11:30
could make a case for, but these two, specifically the API and the
11:33
shortened field, with everything they've got there and now the players, it did
11:37
not surprise me, you know at all when it comes to that stuff,
11:39
that it was going to be one of those guys. So and the other
11:41
thing to take into account where some of the I mean, I know people
11:43
don't like talking about the live stuff, but I mean there's you know,
11:46
these fields overall are a little bit weaker. I mean, those guys are
11:50
no longer playing week to week. So I think just naturally with all those
11:54
guys going over, you're going to see more of these long shots mix in
11:56
for winners because there's less guys each week that you really say, all right,
12:00
this guy has a legitimate chance to win. There's just less of those
12:03
guys nowadays on the PGA Tour. So I think any week you could see
12:07
a long shot pop up. Obviously at the Majors or something like the Master,
12:11
it's gonna be much more difficult, smaller field, it's all the top
12:13
golfers in the world, But week to week, I wouldn't be surprised if
12:16
we still see you more long shots get their way to the top. Yeah,
12:20
and that's all I was gonna say. But but going back to this
12:22
week, we're gonna get into it in a second here because we've got on
12:24
the screen now Xander Burns JT. Speed. We'll talk about those two specifically,
12:28
but yeah, Burns has obviously won twice in a row here six again
12:31
last year. People keep thinking Xander is going to WD. I haven't seen
12:33
anything on it yet, but we'll see about that. But yeah, the
12:37
field that we're going back to now is not strong, so it would not
12:39
surprise me. If you like the guys from the sixties to one fifty range'
12:43
talking about betting, I got no problem going there this week. I'll look
12:46
for some of those for the Fantasy Golf Degenerous podcast tonight. And this was
12:48
like a this kind of blew up. It was just a joke. I
12:50
just take all the pictures of Wyndham Clark because now it's like pebble Beach.
12:54
There was this scenario where he was sort of padding down the ground and then
12:58
dropped his ball where he padded it down. Then at API he had the
13:03
thing with the club movement. Nobody believed it, and then Brandal Shambie,
13:05
who can half times a joke anyway, went on and said that this was
13:09
you know, he thought he had moved it, which was like how Rom
13:11
did it at the memorial that year where he was up four and then ended
13:15
up winning by two strokes. And then this yesterday or whatever it was,
13:18
when he was sort of setting up away from the sprinkler head behind the green,
13:20
tough shot the uphill into the green and it showed him like doing like
13:24
the chat cha cha was. I was just down in the Bahamas. We
13:26
were doing some salsas and some two step and that Wyndham Clark was definitely doing
13:30
it. I don't know, like, I don't care about I just throw
13:31
it out for the fun and see what people think. I don't know like
13:35
it just it's funny that it was a lot of times. I was more
13:37
so making fun of Dan Rappaport, who started out the day comparing Wyndham said,
13:41
Wyndham Clark, is he the next Brooks Koepka? And so I said,
13:45
Wyndham Clark, is he actually the next Patrick Reid? Because he's literally
13:48
every single week now we're talking about it and people get on your case quickly
13:52
about it. I honestly don't care any thoughts on that hoop that you wanted
13:54
to add. And then we'll get into the south. Yeah, I mean
13:56
you hate to see that because you know the the PGA tours set themselves up
14:01
like you know, they're, you know, the most honorable type tour out
14:05
there, and to see guys kind of do that a little bit, it
14:09
definitely is not a good look. There's no doubt about it. But I
14:13
mean, I don't know, I think they all do it anyway. And
14:15
Windham Clark obviously good dude. If you watch FULK swing two stories out of
14:20
it. One is like the if you watch us the first few episodes,
14:22
no spoilers, but you know, talking about the mental coach and stuff like
14:24
that. He got into it. And then Joel Damon with the T ten
14:26
over the weekend, so probably enough. We went to fifteen minutes again.
14:31
Thanks to everybody for reaching out for last week. Thanks to everybody on the
14:33
team for helping out. Congrats to everybody on that. Let's get into it.
14:37
Who this is the pricing and I'm gonna do one quick cheat code just
14:39
to find out. Okay, there is five k range. So interesting to
14:43
note because that was the the other thing brought up about last week, which
14:46
we'll tie you to this week. We'll get you to take me through speed
14:48
up the Xander. But the pricing last week was saying like if the field's
14:52
gonna have that pricing. It's what I said since the start, when they
14:54
brought this pricing out like that was the one takeaway. I just didn't want
14:58
to, you know, I didn't want to full fait Scotty, but I
15:01
didn't want to go overweight like you, So I went underweight. I still
15:03
managed to have a shot in the million maker. I faded as the day
15:07
went on and as Scotty won, but it just goes to show you could
15:09
still move off it and have outs to the top. But let's talk about
15:13
this week. Xander eleven to two, Burns ten to nine have to assume
15:16
Goose who are super popular, assuming Xander does stay in because JT and Speed
15:20
obviously a pretty bad week at the Players for them, especially after JT was
15:24
talking smack and then the smash. GC actually went out which is Taylor Guch's
15:30
team and put the asterisks on it and said you you won't worry about me,
15:33
but you won't be there for the weekend. You got cut. So
15:35
they got a little shit too on social media. Yeah, that's definitely interesting.
15:41
Yeah, this range, I mean, yeah, it's a weak field
15:45
honestly, and you did go down to the five case we have the five
15:48
K, so you know, if you're going to play five K guys,
15:50
you want something you feel pretty comfortable with up top. You know, Xander
15:54
falling a little short, you know, sucks for him, but that's kind
15:56
of just been the story of his career, just not being able to get
15:58
the job done. Now a little more difficult to get the job done when
16:02
Scotti Sheffler, the best player in the world, is chasing your tail and
16:06
just you know, now he has got this new putter that is clearly going
16:08
to help him, you know, long term, and you know, if
16:12
he plays in this, he's very likely to make the cut. You know,
16:17
where does he finish? Yeah, I don't know. You know,
16:18
Sam Burns, I'm assuming good course history here, right, is that what
16:22
it? Yeah? Now he's got the best. Yeah, he won it
16:23
twice twenty twenty two and then finished sixth here last year. JT actually has
16:29
good course history tenth, third and thirteenth the last three years. But we've
16:32
seen it all season so far. It's pretty much been the recent form show
16:36
beating the course history show. So we'll see how that goes. But that's
16:38
the noticeable stuff. Yeah, So initial thoughts for me up here you have,
16:42
Burns probably gets ownership, Showfley does as well. I think people do
16:47
stick on JT. I mean we saw it after the Genesis where he played
16:51
pretty poorly, people were willing to go right back to him. I think
16:52
that's the case again this week, and it's going to be easy to play
16:56
these guys up top with that five K range and Peak down there, there's
17:00
a lot of just volume in terms of the number of guys, a lot
17:03
of guys in the five K range. There's gonna be a lot of options.
17:06
You're gonna be able to get up here if you want. Speith is
17:08
one that probably goes over looked and honestly probably shouldn't be in this range,
17:12
Like his game just does not see him right to me, So you know,
17:17
Burns shoftly, I think they get ownership. I think JT continues to
17:21
get the free path pass and then Speak I think is a guy that probably
17:25
goes pretty overlooked in this range. I mean ten to two. It's just
17:27
not a justifiable price range with the way he's been playing. Yeah, I'm
17:33
just looking at it there now. Speed's got I mean, Speak came third
17:36
here last year and he's won it before back in the days. I mean
17:38
again, it's you know what type of course you think we see set up
17:41
here. But I guess it's clear who's gonna go overlook, and it's gonna
17:45
be Speed. I agree with you on the take that if someone chooses to
17:48
go to someone here, it's gonna be Thomas. With that course history over
17:52
Speed, Burns will for sure be popular and then Xander will see how it
17:56
shakes out. But I mean again, he's still gonna get ownership because there's
17:59
easy, easy ways to get to him, and because of Burns and the
18:03
guys that were about to get to in the nines, I think it still
18:04
keeps it so that Xander, well, he'll have a bunch of ownership.
18:07
It still stays in check versus price tag and prices that you can get to
18:11
at the bottom. Not I don't know who's down there right now, but
18:14
just noting that you can get down to the five K range, do you
18:15
haven't even really needed it's more of the six k's and above, But just
18:19
to note it, there's lots of ways to build them, so he'll still
18:22
get ownership as well. So I think that's the early thought for me.
18:25
At the top, it's going to this nine k range. Hoop, we
18:26
got Brian Harmon down to min Wou back to nine k. Nice Okay,
18:32
so Cam Young ninety six hundred, Sung j ninety four now ninety three.
18:37
How did Sung Jay even finish this past week? He was it wasn't pretty
18:41
first three? Okay? Yeah, all right, yeah, I mean yeah,
18:45
you look at this range yet like a guy likes Sung Jay. I
18:48
mean, man, I are paying the premium nine to four for me.
18:52
He just has not done anything all season long. It's it's honestly tough,
18:56
tough to go there. He I saw the comment about Jay. Yeah,
18:57
I mean he was a dick to my son and walked up his career and
19:00
now he bounced back a little bit to start this year. But to could
19:03
be Travis's point, like, even if he stayed off him, it really
19:07
hasn't hurt you all that much. He had one a T three at one
19:10
point early on, so he might have needed them there, But everything else
19:12
seems like it's been tenth, eleventh, twelve, So you're still fine to
19:17
be off him Sunday back Like for me, no, But man, Brian
19:21
Harmon I think probably sets up well for this course. He's done ninety eight
19:25
hundred played well last week, Cam Young. I've just kind of been playing
19:29
lately. I've seen some good signs. I know he didn't play all that
19:32
well over the weekend at the Players, but I'm fine going back to him.
19:37
You know, Sung Jay, I don't know. I mean ninety four
19:38
hundred, it just had talked about a guy. If you've been fading,
19:41
it hasn't burned you. Sungjay is that guy because it has not been good
19:45
for him lately. Then Tony f now just continues to be like really really
19:48
bad at putting, like just really bad. I don't know what the exact
19:52
stats were for last week, but I saw I know at least three or
19:56
four it looked like four foot putts that he missed last week. So tough
20:00
to play a guy like that. And then, you know, in terms
20:03
of name recognition and value, this is where it kind of falls off.
20:07
After female. You go ninety three hundred, Tony Fenw immediately down to Nick
20:12
Taylor at ninety one, and then min Wu nine K, Keith Mitchell Sebaz,
20:18
So the names really start to change after female. So just kind of,
20:22
you know, curious to see what people do. But in this nine
20:26
K range a lot of question marks. To be honest with you, like,
20:27
there's nothing super secure I think in this range, So you know,
20:33
in terms of ownership could potentially get spread out or maybe be a little lower
20:36
in this nine K range because I don't know. At first, glasse to
20:40
me at least nothing really stands out. Yeah, it feels like people are
20:42
going to talk themselves into like Harmon and above before even messing around with these
20:47
guys here. So I could see where and maybe Cam Young, but I
20:48
could see some j Feenow, Nick Taylor, min Wu all get sort of
20:52
nothing, and then people are gonna be happy to jump down to the gims,
20:56
the rise, the Keith Mitchell's even bez like those guys they could just
20:59
see sort of coming through here and grinding it out. So I could definitely
21:02
see that bez off of thirteenth, et cetera. Brian Harmon is a guy
21:06
here actually a bad course history is a fifth one time and then five miscuts
21:10
surrounding it. But he was obviously playing great golf, and one of the
21:12
things I noticed about him now it's just you go back to it again.
21:15
A lot of people saw the same stuff. It was a lot of us
21:18
Open guys at the top of the board yesterday like Wyndham Clark, Scotty Scheffler,
21:22
like you just see sort of that setup. And what you know about
21:23
the US Open is not only is it a hard tournament, but it's when
21:26
you saw how easy the players was playing for this course at TBC Sawgrass,
21:32
you think, well, then what else could it be? And it's been
21:33
clear Brian Harmon is showing up in the stronger fields. Now I don't know
21:38
if that is something in his mindset that sort of reverts back where now when
21:41
he hops into this weaker field, he just doesn't shine and come through.
21:45
But you think it should be the other way right now you get him and
21:48
that's where like someone says, how can he be ninety eight hundred, Well
21:52
he's coming in all these top finishes in these strong fields, but now he
21:56
gets in a weak field that should be where he is worth that price.
22:00
And you can see that. Nick Taylor another example, make fun of it
22:03
all. You want ninety one hundred bucks, Well, what's FW done,
22:07
what's Sung Jay done? These guys haven't done shit. Nick Taylor won like
22:10
three events ago, He's come twelve twenty six, He's got a tenth tier
22:12
last year, like why isn't he ninety one hundred? And that's just the
22:15
one that I don't know if people will be able to get over. So
22:18
I can see some love landing in here, but I definitely think this range
22:22
looks a little bit overlooked, at least for now hoop, and I think
22:26
people are gonna be more inclined to go down to this next one, which
22:29
will go to in one second. Will comment on my guy Sean here is
22:33
some jeay yeah, and like our guy Jeff says, Harmon number nine.
22:36
And whether you believe in those rankings or not, I don't neither as anybody,
22:38
But the point is he's definitely still up there. The guy's been doing
22:41
things. He owned their ass at the Open and then he did it again
22:45
yesterday at the Players. He's been doing it plenty of times, like the
22:48
guy solid. The comments from Sahit Degala about Harmon and just talking about was
22:52
so true, Like the guy's actually longer then you think his irons. He
22:56
said he's a striper. I think he said, you know, like just
23:00
continuously stripes it. And then he also said that you know, you know,
23:03
think about how many years he's been doing it for it's hard to keep
23:06
your card that long and do it that well. The guy's just incredibly strong.
23:08
He's been good. He can get hot with the putter. But back
23:11
to some Jay, this guy really messes things up, and you can see
23:15
why there becomes an addiction to Sung j In for someone like me, because
23:18
what did I say two events ago? I said, we'll give him one
23:22
more shot at the API, because you got to see if he's got something
23:25
there, and if it's you know, if you've been on him, you
23:26
have to stay on him because it's a tournament he's done well at you could
23:30
try it out here. He does the worst thing and doesn't really give you
23:33
an answer. He comes top twenty at eighteen, but it's not strong enough.
23:37
You're like, ah, and it's a smaller field and all of that.
23:40
But then you have to stay on him for the Players and you say,
23:42
well, he didn't actually have a great track record at the Players,
23:45
so then you can kind of hop off him. What's he do a thirty
23:48
first place where he could have done a lot better. I mean he could
23:51
have done worse, of course, but it's like it felt he left a
23:53
little bit out there. So now you almost have to stay on him if
23:56
you've been on him, and that's that's where I'm at. He actually has
23:59
a great history here fourth and twenty ninth, about two times that he's played
24:02
it. So is he back? I don't know. Am I still gonna
24:03
play him? Yes, that's my answer. Let's move on. Let's go
24:07
to this eight K range. Keith Mitchell down to Patrick Rodgers. Who what
24:11
are you doing in this range of first thoughts? Yeah? Just one other
24:12
note in that nine K range. I thought the Nick Taylor thing is very
24:15
interesting because you look at all the guys in that range, and over the
24:18
course of the last month and a half he's had the best results on everyone.
24:22
You look at each and every start, so's it is interesting. He's
24:26
the one that people are probably least interested in at first glance. I could
24:30
obviously change a week goes on, but he's the name that looks like he
24:33
doesn't belong there. Really he's played the best. So that was a real
24:37
quick note. Funny you said that, because it's now to poke it at
24:40
something I have in front of me. When he won, justin Thomas came
24:44
twelfth, when with the next event they both played the same event, he
24:48
came thirty ninth. Justin Thomas misscut. Justin Thomas's best finish recently was the
24:52
twelfth place. Guess what. Nick Taylor also came twelfth place, and then
24:56
last week Justin Thomas talked shit, missed the cut. He's sixth place for
25:00
Nick Taylor. Justin Thomas all but he's been He was good here last year
25:03
he came tenth, so did Nick Taylor. And it's the price gap is
25:07
eleven hundred dollars or whatever it is on here between those two guys or more
25:11
actually ten to four, it's thirteen hundred dollars. So just to don't be
25:15
scared of it, I'm just saying, it's all how you want to look
25:18
at it long term. Obviously you got JT there, but I'm talking about
25:21
just in this particular event and right now what you'll hear people say that's one
25:25
way to look at it for sure, and yes this is true. Definitely
25:27
intervention. That's where that came from and why I invented that ak range.
25:33
Keith Mitchell played was playing pretty well last week. He fell off I believe
25:37
round four at the Players eighty nine hundred. You know, potentially Sebas been
25:41
playing very solid golf. I think people stay on him at eighty eight Coles
25:45
a guy that people just like to play, Keegan Bradley, boom Er bust
25:49
Aaron Rye very popular last week and he ended up with a strong finish.
25:52
I don't know exactly where he was, but that's three strong finishes in a
25:56
row. But now you got to pay the real price tag for him at
26:00
eighty five hundred. Doug gimm continued his solid play. Bo Hostler disappointed last
26:04
week. I know a lot of people were on him, including myself.
26:07
Did not get the job done. But what is he eighty three hundred,
26:11
hadwin at eighty two matv McNeely. I've been playing mav and I'm staying on
26:15
his ass like I've been on him for a while. He was very solid
26:19
last week. You know, didn't get in contention at round four. I
26:23
think he was right around even or one under, but he was like sixty
26:26
three hundred last week. His whatever top ten finish goes a hell of a
26:30
long way. So interested in him and then Patrick Rodgers. I'm gonna be
26:34
pretty bitter on Rogers because he was the miscut on my best team. I
26:40
had a Scottie Harman Ludwig team in the five point fifty five and it had
26:45
the Patrick Rodgers miscut, so I will not be playing him, but the
26:49
guys that definitely stand up to me in this range mav for sure. Doug
26:53
Gim continues to play really well, and then Sebaz is on a nice little
26:56
heat heater, so there's name here. I think a lot of people will
27:00
come down here, you know, maybe maybe come here instead of some of
27:03
those guys in the nine K range that we talked about. These guys that
27:07
have been playing better recently in this range, so it's a pretty strong ranger,
27:12
but not many guys with that five K. There's a lot of five
27:15
K guys, so we only have like ten options here in the AK range.
27:18
Yeah, Doug Gims should be pretty popular because it doesn't even know they
27:22
haven't populated the players yet. And he just finished sixteenth there as well,
27:26
so sixteen, sixteenth, eight, twelve thirteenth. It doesn't really matter what
27:29
type of event he's been in. Obviously these are easier fields and he's up
27:33
there pretty strong fields and he's been up there, so I mean he's doing
27:37
just fine, including the sixteenth of the players. So would suspect he gets
27:40
pushed up, you know, as far as ownership goes. Not sure what
27:42
people will do with Ryo. It is three good events in a row,
27:45
but sort of hasn't done as much here. Like again you look at It's
27:48
Mexico Open, the Puerto Rico last week was solid but kind of I think
27:52
faded a little right thirty fifth. By the end of it, it all
27:53
said and done, so he was in there, but at sixty four hundred
27:56
nobody was complaining. Bo Hostler always gets loved coming off a good week.
28:00
Maybe people don't like the fact that it was a lot of short game that
28:03
got him there, but he was still up the board for sure. Where
28:06
do you think people are at on somebody like Eric Cole because now it's two
28:10
miss cuts in his last three, a miss cut here last year. Obviously
28:11
before that he was super hot when it came to results like twenty first,
28:15
tenth. These are big boy events. These are signature events. T forty
28:19
nine, Pebble Beach with all the signatures T fourteen, T ten, T
28:23
twenty one, We're not out of signature, so maybe not. But where
28:26
do you think people are at with a guy like him? Don't they just
28:29
play Mitchell and Bez instead. Yeah, I no, No. I think
28:32
Eric Cole is like a people's chant. People like playing this guy for some
28:36
reason, not for some reason. He's had good results, there's no denying.
28:37
So I think he's another guy that probably gets a free pass this week
28:41
and people are willing to go back to him. Did he what did he
28:45
missed the cut last week? Is that what it was? Yeah? I
28:47
missed the cut? Is two over? I think people give him the free
28:51
pass and give him one more try. Like once we start to see two
28:53
in a row or you know, three out of four, then they might
28:56
be over him. But I think he still comes in with with some ownership
29:00
this week. He's a guy that people are excited to play each and every
29:03
week hadwin has been better. He's off and I mean he just missed the
29:07
cut again, but before that he had the fourth. You know, he's
29:10
been okay here seventh, twelfth and a win back in twenty sixteen. I
29:12
believe it was Yeah he doesn't seventeen, Yeah, two doesn't seventeen. But
29:17
who's the other guy? Was just looking up here that I want to ask
29:18
you about. You talked a little bit about him, but Bez thirteenth last
29:22
week, Oh, Keegan was the other guy who's going to look up here,
29:25
Kegan Bradley another miss cut at the players man has been playing well,
29:30
has not been playing well. But I mean he's one of these I think
29:33
boomer bust guys that like, if it's all clicking, he can contend.
29:37
And he probably does get a little overlooked in this range because of the recent
29:41
results. I mean, he hasn't had really anything going this year. Two
29:45
out of three miss cuts now can keep him on the radar for you know,
29:48
GPPs, because again, when it's all right, he can contend.
29:52
Yeah, it was a struggle like it says here struggled on Friday the five
29:56
bodies in the Triple Bogue. Wow, the setup though. I was just
29:59
gonna say, you know, we taught Mayo and I talked about this a
30:00
couple of weeks ago on a show of some of these guys like Thigala is
30:04
one the old Max Homa before Max Home was really strong. Obviously not comparing
30:08
these golfers, just saying the types of guys that you know, the volatility.
30:11
See who Kim was on that list and look at him this past week.
30:15
He's not here. I don't believe is he But uh, I don't
30:17
think. I don't even see who's here. Is he? No? No,
30:22
but they're both though they're another type of guy like that, Like he
30:25
even what you've seen lately at least, I mean obviously with the wins last
30:27
year all that stuff, But it's when he pops, he really pops.
30:30
For the price tag eighty six hundred, you're gonna want something, but it's
30:33
just under I mean, it's just over average price. So something to be
30:37
said for that, right, Like it's just over the average price there.
30:40
So I don't have any problem with him if you want to take him a
30:42
GPPs, just probably don't fill your lineup with guys like that. Patrick Rodgers
30:47
probably fits that mold as well, Like when he's been in it T six,
30:49
T nine or decent for the price point like that, you wouldn't hate
30:53
it because there's gonna be some scoring that he can put up. I also
30:56
wonder how this is gonna play. We didn't talk about that off the top,
30:59
but I do feel like every course we went to, but you know,
31:02
even last week, it was like whever you think it's gonna play a
31:04
little tougher, this place typically does play a bit tougher, so you'd think
31:08
some of these guys could grind it out. You want some of that,
31:11
But then you got to just kind of almost assume a little bit lately that
31:15
it's gonna just play a little bit easier. Maybe who knows. Yeah,
31:18
I mean that's when I mean, really it seems like it comes down to
31:21
the wind if it's not windy. I mean, these guys are getting after
31:23
these courses quite easily. So yeah, I mean, to me, we
31:27
need to see that weather forecast. I'm not believing any course is tough without
31:32
wind at this point. Well, this is insane. Just as you're on
31:36
those thoughts, I agree with you, But like this is I think it's
31:37
only fifth. I think it's the lowest seven K range I've ever seen.
31:41
I coun't fit so man, see again, we'll get into when we talk
31:45
about it. But like, I definitely like the five K range. I
31:48
don't like what they did with the five K range this week, where they
31:49
basically put it's got to be close to like half the field in the five
31:53
K range. I disagree with five K range. When it's gonna be like
31:56
that, they just dumped everyone down there. I mean, look, at
32:00
the sheer number of guys that are five K, Like, I want a
32:04
five K range should never be this big. That's just saying, all right,
32:07
we'll just dump all these guys in the five K range and everyone else
32:12
will go one hundred dollars separation. I just I don't like this sort of
32:15
setup. Yeah, let's talk about the seven K range. Only fifteen guys,
32:19
so I got most of them on the screen here so you can break
32:21
it down what you see. But any first thoughts on any of these guys.
32:23
Yeah, Taylor Moore continues to make cuts and play well. I mean,
32:28
you know, he had made every cut and then you know last week
32:30
made the cut and I don't know exactly where he finished, but he seemed
32:35
to do pretty well. Putnam, do you know anything else about Taylor Moore?
32:40
No, defending champion Taylor Moore? He won last year here. Yeah,
32:45
people that don't know never pays attention to that shit either. He very
32:50
often he doesn't look at that. But that's the other thing about Taylor,
32:52
Well, he'll be popular than this week. You have to imagine, right,
32:55
I mean, for you going, yeah, people on him though,
33:00
that's the one thing. I mean, he's if he's a defending champ and
33:02
playing well, hasn't missed a cut. Like he's got everything the course history,
33:06
he's got the recent form that people get excited about. Putnam played well,
33:12
what is he seventy seven hundred. Taylor Moore was pretty solid last week.
33:15
Don't know exactly where he finished, but seventy five hundred. Interesting play
33:20
there. I just never played Horsell. I'm not a horseal guy. Rider
33:23
had a nice little run I believe, and that'll be back to back solid
33:27
finishes for him. Ryan fox Man, that's a tough way to go out.
33:30
It goes the He gets the eagle on sixteen, then gets the hole
33:35
in one on seventeen on Thursday, and then finds a way to miss the
33:37
cut like that is a That is a tough, tough going for mister Ryan
33:40
fox But I might still be on him with all that being said, out
33:45
like Ryan fox Berger at seventy two hundred is you know, interesting because a
33:50
lot of people got on him at the Cognizant. I believe I was on
33:53
him. Did not end well, played well round one and then shot the
33:57
seventy five in round two. But seventy two hundred. Do people want to
34:01
go back. I might have some interest in them. Man, Like all
34:04
my guys that I personally like week to week are at the bottom here,
34:07
like Shank. Always play Shank, and he played well last week. But
34:12
Ti at seventy one hundred, Davis Thompson, and then Rio at seven k.
34:16
So I'll be I'll be in this lower seven K range quite a bit
34:21
this week. I have a feeling, Yeah, I think I'm gonna play
34:22
some Who's the other guy I had last week, Brendan Todd. I just
34:25
want to see what else I'm playing on him. I know, yeah,
34:30
he's priced here at seventy four. Don't mind Todd again, So I don't
34:35
mind that. That's the thing. I think Brendan toalb was seventy four hundred
34:37
last week. This is where I don't get some players like he did.
34:42
He missed the cut, but it's like even still, the field gout is
34:45
much different. That's why other guys are ninety one now in ninety four and
34:47
he just gets left there. So that I'm fine with that, Like I'll
34:51
go back to him. Plutinnam went way up from sixty two hundred last week
34:54
or whatever he was now he's up. I don't mind that. If it
34:58
shows, you know, signs of or that we're gonna see anything there,
35:00
I could go to Straka. You can play them either way. I just
35:04
think that would be even better for him. He's the kind of a guy
35:06
you could take the risk on and it could improve from there. And I
35:08
think he finished sixteenth last week. We're not gonna have an updated here.
35:12
But if I'm a straca, who else here? The guys at the bottom,
35:16
you said, like Shank Batia. Batia was another guy that Mayo and
35:21
I talked about there. Look at this cut cut thirteenth, cut, thirteenth,
35:25
fourteenth. He basically if he if he misses the cut, fine,
35:30
he's gonna miss the cut anyway. But I don't know, like I'm fine
35:32
with this. So and Eugene says this too. Yeah, that's kind of
35:37
what we're saying here. Yeah, I mean it's more. I mean it
35:39
is so he's staying like build lineups with six guys in that range. I
35:45
don't I'm not against it. I'm just saying I think that over four days
35:47
it's gonna be tough. I think, you know, it's fine to do,
35:52
you know, leave money on the table in some cases but you don't
35:53
probably need to leave eight thousand. I know people see optimals and say,
35:57
oh, well, the optimal left this much. Play lineups like that.
36:00
It can get there, but you're asking a lot. I just do think
36:04
it's noteworthy that there's only fifteen guys in the seven K range. So what
36:07
that tells you is a lot of these six K guys could very well have
36:12
just easily been seven K guys. And that's where you're saying, let's leave
36:15
money on the table, because if Pendrith is in instead of Burger or instead
36:21
of Horseal, they're like the same guy. So that means you can easily
36:23
build lineups that are forty nine to two and feel comfortable because would you really
36:29
give a shit if you had Taylor Pendrith or Billy Horschell. I wouldn't,
36:32
So it's the same thing to me. And that's where I kind of get
36:35
an idea of the money that I'm gonna leave on the table. Let's move
36:38
down, let's go to this six K range. Give me your thoughts in
36:40
here well at the top. I know you were on vacation last week and
36:45
you said you had a lot of time to read books and self reflect there's
36:50
a guy at sixty nine hundred dollars that I was just curious that if you
36:53
wanted to maybe change your opinion on or issue an apology to the team if
37:00
the screen you got him up on the screen. Yeah, I see him.
37:02
I know who you're going to right away. What did he do this
37:05
last week? I was just little T thirty five at the Old Players Championship.
37:09
So thirty eight, thirty five, six and thirty five, he looks
37:12
free. This week's got definitely underprice easy kiss of death. When when Hoop
37:17
said he was the most mispriced guy in the field and you started laughing,
37:21
that's when his career took off. We got a credit new segment moving forward
37:24
for the people, and the answer is just play them. And it's the
37:28
the segment is called when Hoop says, just play, don't have to finish
37:31
the thing. When Hoop says with conviction, we'll say, maybe maybe you
37:35
gotta add a little caveat there. But when you say dust is going to
37:38
become gold, it's always the way. You know that it has been.
37:43
It has been the way since we launched ship in Nation. That has been
37:46
more true more times than not. The best part about this is. I
37:50
didn't have any teams in contention in the milliy or anything this past week,
37:52
but I pulled up the best team I did have. It was like a
37:55
Scottie Harmon six out of six and uh sure ship. My chief guy was
38:00
mister Stanger. You know. It's funny though the week after because you you
38:05
were on him at the Cognizant when we went on about that. Yes,
38:07
Puerto Rico was last weekend at the previous event, the API or well what
38:13
week was this? Puerto Rico was that week? Right? Was right now?
38:15
A week? Yeah? It was as I was leaving for a vacation.
38:20
So basically I was trying to say was I ended up betting Stanger at
38:23
the Puerto Rico because I was like, hoops, ass is gonna get a
38:25
pop leg on this guy? And it didn't work out. I had to
38:29
each way so it paid out okay, but he did he screwed me on
38:32
Sunday like it was a huge opportunity and he just squandered it. So just
38:37
a note that that was the guy that I bet him at the Puerto Rico
38:40
and I had action on that T three because I know the little hoops the
38:45
hoop hangover it lingers. So it's good on a guy like him, but
38:49
what what are you doing in this range? You like stay definitely playing Stanger
38:52
for sure, There's no doubt about that. Chessin. Hadley is a guy
38:54
that I just think is better suited in these weaker field events, like he'll
38:59
pop up up against you know, some of these weaker weaker fields and the
39:04
sixty seven hundred. He's had some solid results. I think it's a perfect
39:07
spot to go to a guy like Hadley. Uh Novak, what did Novak
39:10
do last week? I know he was a big talking point. I can't
39:14
remember without the MISSIICU cut. Yeah, he'd come in, he was coming
39:17
in off those three top nines. Yeah, I'd be fine giving him another
39:22
chance potentially. I mean it looks like most of those top end finishes where
39:24
it was the cognizant Mexico Open fie, so some weaker field events, like
39:29
I'd be fine going back to him, giving him another chance. Seamus Power
39:32
sixty six, Svenson Lee Hodges. Lee Hodges continues to play pretty solid three
39:38
out of four really good results sixty six hundred. I think he's a guy
39:43
to play. Matthew Nei Smith, Yeah, I don't. I don't mind
39:47
ne Smith, he finished. I believe it's like top thirty last week,
39:52
history to third and twenty first. Yeah, I think that's a name to
39:57
definitely go to. And then you keep coming down a little bit. It
40:00
gets, man, it does not get exciting. Carson Young kind of stands
40:05
out at sixty three as a guy that I would potentially play. What about
40:09
your boy Bobby Mack? Yeah, gosh, man, it's just so rough
40:14
with Bobby Mack. I just I don't know. It is not good.
40:16
It is not good. What do you do last week? I know it
40:19
wasn't good. Yeah, miss cut, of course, I don't know if
40:22
I can do it. Sammy VALLAMACKI like, you know, I'd be all
40:25
right going back to him. He was there last week, made the cut
40:29
sixty one hundred. I think the finish was pretty decent as well, I
40:34
want to say, and yeah, I know fifty four, so I guess
40:36
it wasn't all that could But yeah, I don't mind him at sixty one
40:39
hundred. Schmid had a nice finish last week at six k flat. I
40:45
don't know. I mean, there's there's guys to be played down here for
40:49
sure, but again it's gonna come down to how much exposure you're getting to
40:53
this upper range, how much Xander do you want to play? How much
40:55
burns JT. Speith in regards to how much risk you want to take down
41:00
here, because we got a whole nother range with I don't know, it
41:02
looks like probably seventy golfers in that five K range as well, So I,
41:07
honestly, more times than on I'm gonna look at these six K guys
41:12
and say, is there somebody comparable in the five K range where I can
41:15
you know, get another upgrade to my lineup? And the answer is probably
41:17
gonna be yes, And on a lot of occasions where I can find a
41:21
comparable guy for much cheaper, So I might not be in the six K
41:24
range all that much. Again, this is Monday first looks type stuff,
41:28
but yeah, it's kind of kind of where I'm at here in the six
41:30
K range. A few names, you know, Stanger stands out, like
41:32
I said, Hadley stands out, Hodges, Nie Smith, those would probably
41:37
be the top four for me in the six K range. Yeah, well,
41:39
how much was Hodges? I couldn't see him in sixty six Hodges fencing
41:46
probably get the projections bump, so they're gonna be in there. And like
41:50
Hodges at the APIs, I think these four guys and Spenson just because and
41:54
I could name some others, but especially these guys like Nie Smith what he's
41:59
been coming in off of Joel Damon finally showing up having a good event.
42:01
Maybe people go off him a little bit. But Garnett one at the Puerto
42:06
Rico just a couple of weeks ago, where I was telling you about with
42:08
Stanger coming in third, that's how I remember. But he also has a
42:13
twenty seventh and a thirty first year, so I mean at sixty two hundred,
42:15
if someone's going again the again. The one thing I'll say about these
42:19
the new pricing that we've seen this year is that it doesn't really matter.
42:22
Don't let any of this talk yout to anything because it's going to three percent
42:25
to five percent or from four percent to six percent, Like, it just
42:29
doesn't matter. There's so many other ways to get different. You can still
42:31
get low product ownership, you can get low overall ownership, you can get
42:35
whatever you're looking for. I don't care how you do, what your process
42:37
is, but you can find better ways to roster construction still and be good
42:42
by still using these guys if you want to use them. I'm just noting
42:45
who I can see that's gonna be popular down here early on. I think
42:47
that, you know, for good reason. They all have good numbers on
42:50
paper. It's trying to see if any other Stenelo the spence and Price again,
42:53
I don't really care what he's done for me this last few events versus
42:58
in general, just seems odd versus some of the guys around him. Where
43:00
the Price got the bump the chat asked about Eric Burns got second here just
43:05
recently at the Puerto Rico O when he's making cuts things like that. Riley
43:08
was in the playoff with Burns here a few years ago. Nothing special lately
43:14
though that we've seen out of him. But if you want to see something
43:15
sort of bounce back there, Grayson Sig maybe sixty three hundred, Smally and
43:20
Young seem pretty cheap. We'll see how those guys go. We talked about,
43:22
you know, Garnett. I always like Spawn again hasn't done anything lately,
43:27
but just looking at it from that perspective, maybe Bramlet, these are
43:30
guys we play that can have upside. It just depends see how this one's
43:34
playing, because he's done nothing lately, sah Kim. But this if the
43:38
place is playing tougher, I could see guys like him. Someone mentioned Matthews
43:43
earlier. Yeah, like those guys, they're gonna be the around the Green
43:45
Warriors, like they can just find it that way sometimes even if they're not
43:49
having a great week. So don't see much else down here. For me,
43:53
everybody loved Parker Coody. If we're starting off this five K range,
43:58
you know, he had those good results and then sort of back down a
44:00
little bit Bridgeman Grazerman and then what about by Smith he's six, Yeah,
44:07
he gained six. He was the other guy was watching there on the board.
44:10
Again, weaker field defends, but not like this one's super strong.
44:13
So beyond the guys at the very top, some of these guys could pull
44:16
through. Skins was a fourth at the cognizant Like, I don't know,
44:21
Like these aren't guys I'm running out to play. But I don't love the
44:23
five K range as much for me playing it hoop as much as it exists.
44:30
I kind of like that. Yeah, so I think you got to
44:32
take it week by week, and you really have to look at the overall
44:36
field. It's not necessarily the names that are down here in the five K
44:38
range. It's the sort of roster construction and the sort of access to high
44:44
end players that it potentially gets you by playing these guys and taking on the
44:46
risk, because these guys are the riskiest plays in the field, And this
44:50
week, I just don't know if the reward is there for playing some of
44:55
these guys, because I feel that if you go to the five K range,
45:00
you're gonna need more out of these guys than a typical week because there's
45:04
a lot of uncertainties up top, Like you know, Xander, you know,
45:08
okay, is he the safest player in the field. Yeah? Sure,
45:13
but yeah yeah yeah yeah. But then Burns is it's not like a
45:19
Scotty Scheffler situation where you know you're getting like a T ten. Like the
45:22
floor is a T ten on you know, Scotty Scheffler. The floor on
45:27
Sam Burns is much lower than a T ten. The floor on Xander Softly
45:30
is much lower than the T time. And those are the two safest guys
45:34
in the field. Justin Thomas has been a boomer bus player recently. Jordan
45:38
Speith has been mostly a bus player recently, and then this nine K range
45:43
a lot of question marks. So if you're playing guys in the five K
45:46
range, you really, in my eyes, need to think that they can
45:51
finish top twenty five or top thirty this week. And ken some of these
45:54
guys sure will, some of them. Yeah, they'll probably be a couple
45:58
of these five K guys that do finish up there. But I think this
46:01
week specifically, you're going to need more out of your five K guys than
46:06
them just to make a cut and you know, finish fortieth or fiftieth or
46:09
something. I think you need more out of these guys. So it's going
46:12
to push me away from a lot of guys in the five K range just
46:15
for that roster construction reason. You're just not getting the reward for playing these
46:20
five K guys. Now, going through the list, you know, just
46:22
off the top of my head, guys that I might have interest in,
46:25
Troy Merritt potentially fifty eight hundred, Etcheveria fifty seven kind of stands out.
46:31
Justin Lower has had some solid finishes at fifty seven. Aaron Badley. Aaron
46:37
Badley's been playing pretty decent at fifty seven as well, coming down a little
46:45
bit, I mean it gets dicey, so I don't know. I mean,
46:47
we'll definitely have more in terms of the specifics and the five KR rings,
46:52
But again, to me, the more important part is the overall talking
46:55
point and what does a five K golfer get you this week? I think
47:00
I think it's much less than we've seen the previous weeks where the five K
47:02
price range has been involved. I agree, and that's why again, you
47:07
know, I know we'll do it again to nine on Fantasy Golf Degeners with
47:10
Kenny. But you can make a case for a lot of guys. I
47:14
can tell you a story about a bunch of these guys. We all know.
47:15
Anybody watching this show knows who a lot of these guys are. Like,
47:19
we can make it. We know Callum Tarin, we know Paul Long
47:22
Dong, Paul Varjean, we know Panda Norma Jeong. We know a lot
47:25
of these guys that we can make cases for. But we're just making cases.
47:29
It just becomes content and like you know, just talking through it.
47:31
It's more about roster construction and seeing and I can show you guys right now,
47:35
we can sort of round it out on this topic is make a case
47:37
from all you want if you play them, play them. If you got
47:40
twenty lineups, throw them in three or four, so that if you're right
47:43
about Peter mal naughty week, you get them in your lineups and you get
47:45
something from it that's your at least have a chance to get a few lineups
47:50
with them that you can get it right. So I got no problem going
47:52
down here. It's just like you said, from a content perspective, you
47:54
can talk about each of them, but the key is really gonna be how
47:57
you set your lineups up and what I see right now? Who burns the
48:00
course history? Two wins and a sixth in the last three years. McNeely
48:04
looks healthy again, played really well last week, Miss Price is people gonna
48:07
see this not way off the board. Just gonna say for eighty one hundred,
48:10
he looks fair. He's got a ninth, a thirteenth and a sixth
48:14
in three of his last four. He came thirty sixth here last year and
48:16
he looked pretty good besides Sunday, so people will be fine with him.
48:21
And then Taylor Moore talked about making all these cuts. Hasn't missed the cut
48:23
in forever and one here last year, you start your lineup with this,
48:27
you still have seventy seven hundred left in your lineups. Again, where does
48:30
the five K guy come into this that you feel that you need to say,
48:35
Well, I don't even need anywhere near five k, but man,
48:38
I think it's Harry Hall week. Let me slam him in there and now
48:42
look what I can do. Great, But now you really need that.
48:44
You need it to be Harry Hall Week. And people say you don't need
48:46
him to win, he's only good you out, You're right, you don't,
48:49
but you need him to do something. And then you need those last
48:51
two spots to come through on top of these top three, which you're gonna
48:54
be chalk. So there's just a lot more to think through. And then
48:58
estrapolating that out to the more mme type mindset. With that same logic right
49:02
there, two weeks ago, and I don't know exactly what it was,
49:06
we had the five K range and Scotti Scheffler was in the field. Now
49:08
if I add in three five K guys in my player pool and I can
49:12
go from forty percent Scottie Scheffler to fifty percent Scotty Scheffler. In my head,
49:16
I can justify that for sure this week if I add in three additional
49:21
five K guys, where is where's the extra percentages going on the top end?
49:27
And for me, I just don't feel good enough with these top end
49:30
guys to make that move by adding in the risk of those five K guys
49:34
which more times than not they're going to miss the cut in order to get
49:37
more Xander or JT or Speed, who I don't even like. So it's
49:42
just harder for me to justify on the mme level playing some of these guys
49:45
at the five K range. Now, if you are playing them, I
49:49
think it's the point that you just made with Harry Hall. Like, if
49:51
you want to play Harry Hall, play Harry Hall because you think Harry Hall
49:54
has a chance to do something special this week. Don't play him because of
49:58
what it does for your line. So it's like kind of a reverse mindset
50:01
to how I've been thinking about this five K range. But it is important
50:05
because you have to reevaluate it each and every week. You can't have the
50:07
same mindset with these ranges each and every week. You have to reevaluate based
50:13
on the field, based on the pricing based on other factors as well.
50:16
So you know, two weeks ago, where Scotty's in there, I can
50:19
justify a little bit more because I know I'm getting more of the best golfer
50:22
in the world, which now is buy a bigger margin than before, opposed
50:25
to this week where these five k guys, like I think you're gonna need
50:30
them to do something, and I don't feel good about these guys doing something
50:31
this week. And look at this, even when I add Xander, I
50:34
go right back to the very top. You still don't even need Harry Hall.
50:37
I still can just stand six. Heay, now you go fifty five
50:38
six. I get that. What I'm trying to say is, though,
50:40
how often to your point, this is not it's not Scotty Rory, which
50:45
we still haven't even seen that battle down the stretch where the hell's Rory been.
50:49
So I mean, like you also how we're getting a sand Burns Xander
50:52
battler and so, but you'll get Zander, He'll come top ten. It
50:54
can happen. But again, you just don't necessarily need to do that.
50:59
You end up having a guy like Min Wu or Nick Taylor or him or
51:00
somebody Cam young that comes through and just finds a way to get the job
51:05
done because the field is not that strong. And now you've got the complete
51:07
wrong build with needing a guy like Harry Hall to come through in the first
51:10
place, and we're not He's taken strays for no reason here. I'm just
51:14
saying in general, the thought process of actual roster construction. If you guys
51:17
have any questions, throw him out in the chat. But I like going
51:20
through sort of exercises like that early in the week just to try and get
51:22
a feel for what the field might do and then get a sense and go
51:27
from there. But anything else you had to add their hoopa on this setup
51:30
or this stuff that you're seeing. Yeah, and I will say just to
51:32
that point, after seeing some of those rosters that you plugged in there,
51:36
I mean, those guys in the five car range are going to be virtually
51:38
unowned. Like you just don't need to go down there. I mean you
51:40
just plugged in the two top priced guys and two realistic guys to make the
51:45
cut, and you're still sitting like around six K. That was an aggressive
51:49
build that most people won't even go to. So those guys down there will
51:52
be super low on rightfully, so, but you know, my initial plan
51:54
is probably going to be just to avoid that range for the most part.
52:00
And that's the thing too. Again, I think people get it opposite on
52:02
that just another strategy tidbit, but would be people say, yeah, that's
52:06
the whole point. I got him at one percent, so I'm the winner
52:07
if he hits it's like, that's not even true because he's at one percent
52:10
even with all your ownership, and it's like you don't have enough of him
52:14
probably where it matters. And that's why other people don't care that they're missing
52:17
out, because they're not really missing out. Even if that person goes on
52:20
to win, they're in one percent of the entire field of lineups or zero
52:23
point five percent, and then there's probably not the right combination where that exists.
52:29
So just to note it for everybody again one more time because it's gonna
52:31
go away soon. But we've got all the PGA coverage you could ask for.
52:36
We've got the showdown content. You saw it again over this past weekend
52:39
just in Round two a loan, we had first, second, and third,
52:43
another huge showdown week. We had a lot of people coming through from
52:46
MBA to MMA, to NHL, all the main slate stuff b walled again,
52:52
even doesn't matter your bank. We nineteen dollars into one hundred and fifty
52:54
one, absolutely huge. You can get on in on these packages. And
52:59
remember this what we said earlier. If you've got the setup, it was
53:02
joined for the players, stay for the Masters, even though it's valspar week
53:07
The benefit to joining right now is that you would get all the Master's showdown
53:10
weekend as well. So you need to just try it out for a month.
53:14
Take this back down. You get the monthly. It drops it to
53:16
thirty three dollars with that code Master's fifteen, and then you'll get a month
53:21
of all the coverage on just PGA side. If you want to apply it,
53:24
you can go to all Access memberships up at the top. Here go
53:28
grab a month. It's fifty eight bucks, less than two bucks a day.
53:30
You'll get all the major sports that are going on right now. So
53:32
NASCAR, Baseball's coming back in just over a week and a half, NHL,
53:37
MMA, PGA, NBA, all that stuff and more. But use
53:40
that code Masters fifteen to get fifteen percent off and that locks in as well.
53:45
Hoop anything else, any final thoughts before we get out of here.
53:47
Yeah, I mean the best value in the industry. I mean you look
53:51
around and start looking at some of the other price tags. I mean you're
53:52
talking the industry standard. I know I keep saying it, but it's the
53:55
truth. Industry standard now is five to six hundred dollars per sport, and
54:00
sometimes even more than that. Our standard that is not going to change is
54:05
no more than six hundred dollars for annual all access all our sports. Like
54:09
it's the best value by far in the industry. We haven't covered every perspective
54:15
for all these sports, projections, ownership, core plays, player pools,
54:20
slate plans, tier rankings, you know, other stuff for other sports as
54:24
well. It's just like it's endless, endless, endless value, and we're
54:30
not going away from it. I mean you see a lot of sites.
54:31
Oh, you know, we'll start out low and then we're just gonna jack
54:35
it up on you know, like over here at Shipping Nation, We're never
54:37
doing that. We made a commitment to ourselves and our members to keep our
54:39
stuff very very reasonable from a pricing perspective, and you know we continue to
54:45
do so every day and you can see it in these price tags here.
54:46
Yeah, the biggest thing is when our prices go up, everyone that's been
54:50
in is protected. That's why we always say it. Even when our prices
54:52
went up, like we talk about all the time, the annual price is
54:54
going to six ninety nine, but we said that ten months ago. We've
54:58
never went there. You can still. We'll get it for five oh nine
55:00
with the Code Masters fifteen right now, and you've got five oh nine for
55:05
an entire year. It's like forty two dollars a month, and you get
55:08
every single sport you see here, all eight projections, ownership, the tools
55:13
the stone for a lot of these new sports, Like with the CFP,
55:15
we're gonna come up with some stuff. Baseball coming back very soon. A
55:19
lot of new stuff that's gonna be happening. There, more education courses,
55:22
the Discord community is awesome. The Slate plans, player pools, the rankings,
55:25
all that stuff that you guys are gonna want, and then there's more
55:29
channels in the Discord Tennis. College basketball is coming up for the Bracket Challenge,
55:32
all that sort of stuff. You just get all that as an added
55:36
bonus as well, So definitely want to check that out if you guys haven't
55:38
already. You can go to ship at nation dot com. You have any
55:40
questions, reach out to me directly on X or Twitter, whatever you want
55:44
to call it at toe tag and tambo hit me up. But that deal,
55:46
like Hoops said, the price is going to six pointinety nine, probably
55:49
the end of May. We just were not hiding it. We've been transparent
55:52
since day one. But for now, five oh nine for one sport.
55:55
At some places you're paying five hundred bucks here, five oh nine is for
56:00
everything you could lock that in. It will stay with you as long as
56:02
you stay with us, so we appreciate you. Guys. We always say
56:05
it pay less for content, play more contest. That's gonna do it for
56:08
this one guys. For who for myself to tagging tambo, let ship it