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Transcript

Red Sox/Yankees MLB + NCAAF + WNBA + NFL Preseason Best Bets Saturday 8/23/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's what I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: Horrible Sunday one and five. I don't even know what
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Bruins. March Hape,
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know what day it is anymore. I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have.
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: Back with you.
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: I always am until I die at least oh and two.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the Slump series, The Slump discontinues, The Slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, It's Toad. I'm back with you.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: Better off dead. This is Saturday, August twenty third. It's
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: the first day of college football officially college football starting
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: in a few hours.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: From now, two hours really. Basically, I gave out a play.
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: It is on Kansas State minus three. I did a
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: college Football Week zero show last night, so thanks for
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: people who have joined with that. I'm not gonna go
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: into DETS analysis this morning because we got a lot
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: of other stuff to cover, but if you want to
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: go watch that video, please go do so. It is
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: up on the channel I did it last night. I'm
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: gonna be doing football late at night like I did
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: last year. So the Saturday college Football slate I'm gonna
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: be doing Friday night somewhere around midnight Eastern, NFL Saturday
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: night somewhere around midnight Eastern. So it's like it's almost
• 2:23
  Speaker 2: last minute because sometimes you want to get to these
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: numbers earlier in the week, but I do fade the
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: public consensus a lot, So a lot of times the
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: better numbers are kind of still around by the time
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: I get to these shows. But if I see something,
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: I might like point it out on my midweek show.
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: If I see something I think where the number might
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: just go away, I might just point out, Oh, I'm
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: looking at this game or whatever.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: We're on a five and oh run on this show.
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: Over the last two days, four and oh and baseball
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: and one and oh and WNBA three and oh. Yesterday
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: with all baseball, we got maybe a little bit lucky
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: on the over. I pointed this all out last night,
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: by the way, but we did get the over. In Colorado,
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh was ending well the whole time.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: Really it was.
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh was up five to nothing and like the fourth inning,
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: Colorado didn't do any of their part though, So like
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: if you had told me Colorado wasn't gonna score at all,
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: I would have been like, yeah, this is probably not
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: gonna be a game to actually do the over. But
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh got there by themselves. They scored nine runs and
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: got it over the eight and a half, So that
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: was a winner.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: Houston was winning the whole.
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: Game after they were up four to nothing really quickly
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: and then basically almost blew the entire lead. I think
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: they were before nothing. Then all of a sudden it
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: was four to three. They were still hanging on. They
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: pushed the lead back up to seven to three, then
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: they let it slip to seven to six.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: Later in the game.
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: Then they padded that lead ten to six, and then
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: they wound up winning ten to seven. So we got
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: the Astros right for the second day in a row.
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: And then we did have Toronto Blue Jays. Was pretty
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: much no sweat. That was the easiest winner. They were
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: out two I think a three to nothing lead immediately
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: and then they just rolled. They just coasted it to
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: the win basically, and they did wind up covering as
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: well with the five to two win there. But we're
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: gonna talk WNBA here, We're gonna talk about Major League Baseball.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: We're gonna talk about NFL preseason as well. So again
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: college football. I did give out that one play last
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: night on Kansas State.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: You can go check that out. That is that videos
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: up on.
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: The channel right now, WNBA, because I know this is
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: what you're all here for right.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: This is the rundown portion of the show.
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have two baseball plays today, by the way,
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: and I'm close to actually giving out a play in
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: NFL preseason. I think it's still a little bit too
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: dicey for me to do that, even though a lot
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: of my team totals have been correct in the NFL preseason.
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: But I think I'm gonna lay off a little bit,
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: adjust this microphone here a little bit. But yeah, WNBA,
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna give out any plays today. Liberty at
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: Atlanta This is a huge game. I mean, at least
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: by w NBA standards. Atlanta actually has now pulled ahead
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: of the Liberty in the Eastern Conference.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: By one game.
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: This is a big game for both teams, man, because
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: playoff seeding on the line here, having home court advantage
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: throughout the playoffs or throughout that half of the playoffs.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: Is on the line.
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: Atlanta is coming up a big win over Minnesota, so
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: they are playing two games in a row that are huge.
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: Although they're staying at home, no travel for them. Liberty
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: are traveling in to start a road trip after an
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: ugly loss which I was on the Chicago.
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: Sky in that game. I told you that was a
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: horrible spot for the Liberty.
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: They had just beaten Minnesota as well, big win, they
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: had this big game coming up next. Told you it
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: was a sandwich spot. Didn't really expect them to lose
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: the game outright as a fifteen and a half point favorite,
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: but they did pretty embarrassing loss. But you can absolutely
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: explain why they lost because it was a terrible spot.
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: So I kind of think New York is somewhat the
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: way to lean here. But Atlanta's up from two to
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: four and a half, and I think some of that
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: has to do with the injury situation here. The Liberty
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: have some injured players Breonna Stewart. I think it's been
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: out for a while, so I don't think that's it.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: But I think iron Escu is a game time decision.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: It seems like I don't know how important she is
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: really because I don't follow the WNBA that much, even
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: though I'm winning with the plays that I've given out
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: this year on the WNBA. But it looks like maybe
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: she's trending towards not playing because I don't really see
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: much of a like an organic reason necessary why Atlanta
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: would shoot up to that much of a favor. Well,
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: everybody in Atlanta's shooting up. I mean it's a very
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: drug heavy city, but you know what I mean, why
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: the line would shoot up that high. Not quite sure
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: why that would be the case unless there was some
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: some sort of injury situation. I would probably slightly lean
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: to taking the points with the liberty. We do have
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: two afternoton games here Vegas at Washington. Washington is coming
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: off a really really horrendous loss two in a row,
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: actually to Connecticut, the worst team in the league. Washington's
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: sort of falling out of the playoff possibilities zero, although Indiana,
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: with all the injuries they have now, Washington could potentially
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: get back up there, so I think they still have
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: something to play for. I think anytime you get embarrassed
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: by the worst team in the league, especially toy in
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: a row, you're gonna show up in the next game.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: So I expect Washington to show up here. Vegas is
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: won a bunch of games in a row. They won
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: what is this nine games in a row now ten?
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: I think it's nine games in a row. Vegas in
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: very solid playoff positioning.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Now. They did just beat Phoenix, who.
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: They were I think basically tied with or I guess
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: maybe a half game behind them, So that was a
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: big win for them in the West to overtake them
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: for second place after Vegas was really off to kind
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: of a rocky start this season. Vegas is definitely a
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: coalesced and they're playing really well. If they had a
• 7:35
  Speaker 2: bigger game up next, I would probably say this is
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: a huge sandwich spot, and I would actually probably give
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: out a play on Washington, but they do only have
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: Chicago up next, which is not gonna be a big game. However,
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: I do still think this is a letdown spot, even
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: though they are starting a road trip with momentum, which
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: is that does tend to be a little bit of
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: a focused spot. But I think Washington's gonna be a
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: little bit more focused off of that embarrassing couple of losses,
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: So I would lean to grabbing the points with Washington
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: plus seven and a half at home there, even though
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: the line is ticked up a little bit on Vegas,
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: I think the spot kind of dictates that. And then
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: we have the ugliest matchup possible basically between Connecticut and Chicago.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: Not just ugly because Angel Reese is back, but these
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: two teams have been awful. Connecticut is coming off winning
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: against Washington twice, sweeping the home and home, which Washington
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: not a great team, but I mean Connecticut is even worse.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: Connecticut is just awful.
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: They did just beat Chicago the last time they played
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: them by nine, but that was Chicago without Angel Reese.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure Reese is back in Chicago did just
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: end a lost streak, so sometimes that kills your losing momentum.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: A little bit.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: However, they beat the New York Liberty, as I said,
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: that was a game I gave out on the show.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: Chicago is a fifteen and a half point favorite.
• 8:46
  Speaker 2: And when you win, like in a monumental upset like that,
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: I do think you're in a letdown spot the day
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: after that.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: So I actually think Chicago is probably not the right
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: side here.
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: They're up to a three point favorite here, but I
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: would slightly lean against them just because I think the
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: letdown spot is a little bit significant against them.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: I have still kind of a justice mic man.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: I don't want it like too close to my face,
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: but you know, I don't want to be yelling anymore.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: I want to have a smooth voice on the show.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: From now and my.
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: Voice is very rough. Major League Baseball. We're gonna have
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: two plays. I'm gonna give out one on Red Sox Yankees,
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: which is the afternoon game of the day here, and
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: then we have a late afternoon game between Toronto and
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: Miami Red Sox Yankees. I'm gonna give out a play.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: Might not be exactly what you think, but it will
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: be a play for me. Toronto at Miami. We did
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: have Toronto yesterday on the show. Toronto with the five
• 9:34
  Speaker 2: to two win. This game not really something I'm quite
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: ready to want to get involved in here. Toronto does
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: have the better hitting, obviously, they do have the better
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: bulpend as well.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: Obviously Toronto's the better team. We all know this.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: They're gonna be a road favorite in this game. Toronto
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: used four relief pitchers yesterday, though they didn't use any
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: of the day before that, but neither did Miami. Miami
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: only used two yesterday, including Bozo who is a long
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: relief man. So Miami their bullpen is in the better
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: rest shape at least, even though it's not the better bullpen.
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: That kind of evens out the bullpen scenario a little bit.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: Toronto has a much more proven pitcher on the mount
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: in Jose Barrios, but his numbers are fading a little
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: bit this season.
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: They're not terrific. Four ERA one point twenty nine whip.
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: That whip is definitely higher than you'd like to see,
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: although he is he's actually better on the road three
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: point four to eighty r on the road. This month,
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: he hasn't been great though, five point four ERA ten
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: to five strikeout walk ratio, and the one good game
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: that he had really was a shutout against the Cubs,
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: which is very impressive, but he walked four guys in
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: that outing, so.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: He was a little bit wild in that out.
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: And then his last time out kind of inexplicable loss,
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: giving up six earned runs on ten hits to Texas
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: very bad offense. I mean, that's very strange. It looks
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: like Brios is kind of out of form man. He
• 10:49
  Speaker 2: failed to even make it five innings in his last
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: start in the previous month as well, which was against
• 10:54
  Speaker 2: Baltimore is not a very good team either. He had
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: won where his team had won five games in a
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: row behind him, and he picked up a win in
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: four of those games prior to that last outing, though,
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: but it was a bad outing, and really when he
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: loses that kind of win streak like that, it might
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: hang him over a little bit.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: Miami is not very familiar with him. They only have
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: eight at.
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: Bats off him, but they're actually four for eight off
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: him within Edwards triple five hundred, batting average twelve to
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: fifty ops three, zero strike out, walk Rasio, but Barrios,
• 11:22
  Speaker 2: there's a chance.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: He doesn't do well in this game, man, I mean Miami.
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: I know it's a very small sample, but the guys
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: that have seen him have done damage against him. Jansen
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: Junk is pitching from Miami, and he's actually been pretty
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: decent despite his name and the fact that I think
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: he is indeed a junk pitcher. Four point zero four ERA,
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: one point one to two whip, so his numbers are
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: pretty good, although he is a little bit worse at
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: home four point five ERA, so the splits don't really
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: line up for him. But he's actually been the better
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: of the two pitchers recently, even though six point one
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: four ERA doesn't exactly look that good, but he's allowed
• 11:57
  Speaker 2: exactly three on runs each in his last three outings,
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: which makes it look a little bit better, including going
• 12:02
  Speaker 2: seven innings against the Red Sox fourteen to four strike
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio this month tells you that he does
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: have decent command, even though he's not really a big
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: time strikeout pitcher or anything like that. But he doesn't
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: put a lot of guys on base, doesn't walk a
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: lot of guys. The home run has been a little
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: bit of an issue this month though, with five home
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: runs allowed, So that's maybe the one main issue with Junk.
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: Although he's gone through this month having faced the Yankees, Houston, Boston,
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: I mean those are all pretty good offenses. Yankees did
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: beat him up for six runs, but he still didn't
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: even put many guys on base in that game. Six hits,
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: one walk, for strikeouts, so he got a little bit
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: unlucky in that game. As far as like, basically everybody
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: that reached bas scored against him. Toronto only has two
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: at bats against him, either two best hitters basically or
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: two of their best hitters, Bashett and Vlad Junior. They're
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: just one for two, often with a single from Bischett,
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: though no walks, no strikeouts, So Junk actually has a
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: little bit of an unfamiliarity edge. Two. Yeah, I would
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: actually slightly lean to Miami in this game. Toronto very
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: very very public road favor here ninety four percent of tickets,
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: only ninety three percent of the cash. They're a very
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: cheap road favorite. As far as what this matchup looks
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: like as well, down for minus one thirty eight to
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty five, So it does look like a
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: spot where Toronto is so heavily public, it probably does
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: make sense to fade them, and I think that is
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: probably the way that I would recommend looking at this game.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: And if you want to go first five innings Miami
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: money line underdog, I mean that's fine as well. A
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: full game might make sense just because Miami's bullpen is
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: a little bit more rested, so I could see the
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: argument for both of those. Washington at Philadelphia. Philadelphia actually
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: lost yesterday, which broke a four game win streak of theirs.
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: They'd split the previous years.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: With Washington, the series before that two and two, so
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: now they're actually two out of their last five against Washington's.
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia might come up with a little bit of motivation
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: here after that loss. We all know Washington's not very
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: good and by the way, I should mention, you know,
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: motivation still Toronto obviously does have motivation though in that
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: game against Miami and in Toronto, they're still playing to
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: win the Al East. Here Miami is out of it,
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: so there is that motivation. It's not really a rivalry
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: or anything like that, not exactly a reason for Miami.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: To really show up with full force.
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: So that's one hesitation I would have with Miami is
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: that Toronto does have the motivation on their side, but
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: they are laying too much of a price on the road. Washington,
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: they don't really have a whole lot to play for,
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: except that they probably do kind of want to try
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: to spoil Philly's season if they can, so a little
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: bit more motivation for the underdog in this case, because
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: it's a division rivalry. Philadelphia is still playing to try
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: to win the division, of course, which they do have
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: kind of a stranglehold on the division now because the
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: Mets have been awful. Philadelphia does have the better bullpen
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: out of these two, even though neither bullpen is that good,
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: but Washington's is atrocious. We had four relievers get in
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: the game for Philly yesterday, three for Washington, but you
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: got to get Philly the bullpen edge.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: Philly is obviously the better offense as well.
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: I would say Philly also has the better starting pitcher here,
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: so I think Philly does have an across the board
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: edge in this game. Mitchell Parker pitching for Washington. He
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: has not been good five point eight three ERA, one
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: point five whip. He's been even worse on the road
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: six point three to two ROADRA This month, He's been very,
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: very bad in four starts, his team has lost all
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: of them. Twelve point three eighty RA ten ten strike
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio just atrocious. Last outing, he only lasted
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: one to two thirds against this exact Philadelphia team, gave
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: up four hits, three walks, didn't strike out anybody, five
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: earned runs, an unearned run as well.
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: Just a disaster for him.
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: So, I mean, I don't expect him to be that
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: bad again, but he doesn't do well against Philadelphia. Philadelphia
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: just saw him, They're familiar with him. They did a
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: bunch of damage to him last time, so I'm not
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: expecting Parker to do anything great here. Fifty three career
• 15:54
  Speaker 2: at bats against Philly, thirteen to eight strike a walk
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: ratio not a good ratio for him. Three fifty eight
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: to average a lot in oneenty twenty eight ohps. So
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia again, they've done damage against him throughout his career,
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: so you gotta expect.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia to basically beat Parker up.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: In this game, I would imagine, especially after not playing
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: particularly well yesterday and not scoring that many runs. Aaron
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: Nola pitching for Philly, he is definitely a bit of
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: a question mark man because we know throughout his career
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: he's been a pretty solid pitcher, but this season has
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: been plagued by injuries. He had a huge amount of
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: time where he was injured this season, so he hasn't
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: pitched that much. When he has pitched, he hasn't been good.
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: Six point nine to two ERA and one point six WHIP.
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: But if he's anything like he has been throughout his career,
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: there's no way that those numbers won't go down. Like
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: there's got to be positive regression here at some point.
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: But he has been really bad. He's been bad at
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: home this year seven point seven to one ERA. Uh,
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: he missed three months and then he came back against
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: this exact Washington team. So both these pitchers just had
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: to face these opposing hitters.
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: So the hitters do.
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: Have a little bit of a recent familiarity edge against
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: these pitchers, and Nola did not do well in that game.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: That was the same game, I.
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: Think both those pitchers pitched and it was an eleven
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: to nine Philly win. Neither pitcher was even in the
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: game beyond the third inning. Nola went two and a third,
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: six earned runs, allowed, four to one strike a walk
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: ratio wasn't that bad.
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: So really his command was there, but he was very,
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: very hit heable. We'll see what happens with Nola.
• 17:25
  Speaker 2: I mean, obviously he has a ton of room for improvement.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, his career stats would tell you that he
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: should improve. So I mean, I think you have to
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: lean a Philadelphia in this game.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: Somewhere or another. But Nola is definitely a bit of
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: a question. Right.
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: The money has actually come in on Philly, driving them
• 17:40
  Speaker 2: up for minus two ten to minus two forty four,
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: eighty two percent of the tickets ninety four percent of
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: the cash on them, So the money coming in on them,
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: the total very high, up from nine to ten. Now
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: with eighty one percent tickets on the over at eighty
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on the under, some money
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: actually kind of coming in on the under.
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Obviously, there's no way that I would do that.
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: But I think the way that you got to look
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: at this game, I think because Nola, like, there's too
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: much of a variance between what Nola could do here.
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: Man he could actually do really well for once, or
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: he could pitch poorly. Actually, we got to look at
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: his numbers against Washington, by the way, which are not
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: horrible and one hundred and forty six at bats very good,
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: thirty seven of four strike out walk ratios. He's an
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: excellent command against them, but they do have five home
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: runs off them. The three of them are from Josh Bell,
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: who's only eight for thirty eight off them, but three
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: on runs he's hit him for power two seventy four
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: batting average allowed, seven thirty six OPF. So Nola does
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: of course have the better numbers here matchup wise, though
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: they're not terrific.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: So again, as I was about to say, Nola, I mean.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: Like the spectrum of possible results for Nola I think
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: is way wider than what Parker could do here. Like
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: I think Parker the entire spectrum is bad to really
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: bad here, whereas Nola I think could actually potentially bitch
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: well in this game, or he could do awful. So
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: I think the way to look at this game, especially
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: because Washington's bullpenal stinks, is Philadelphia over their team total.
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: You're gonna probably need them to score six or seven
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: runs if you do that, But I think that's probably
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: the only way that you could really look to play
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia definitely way too high of a price.
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: Charles, what's up man, Thanks for hanging out as always,
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: Thanks for coming back. Kansas City at Detroit. I'm gonna
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: skip as well because that's my other play. I only
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: have two baseball plays. I'm limiting myself.
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: I have a couple other leans that I will tell
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: you're a little bit stronger than what I think the
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: other ones are.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Which I will tell you about.
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: But I think my two plays are probably the strongest
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: things that I have, and that's why I'm giving them
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: out as plays. So I will skip Casey Detroit for
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: now because I have a play on that one.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: Colorado Pittsburgh. I don't think we're gonna get involved in.
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: This one today, although Pittsburgh one nine to nothing yesterday,
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: of course, and I guess Pittsburgh had one of their prospects.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: I guess come in and get a save. In the
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: game yesterday, going four innings in with no pressure. Man.
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's a way to introduce yourself to the majors, right, Like,
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: that's why you do it. Chance, I guess, is a
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: top prospect for them, and they brought him in in
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: a game where they had a blowout lead, so basically
• 20:05
  Speaker 2: the pressure was completely off and he shut down Colorado
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: for the rest of the game, which I didn't realize
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh was I'm gonna be doing that obviously, and having
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: one of their best pitchers pitching half the game, so
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: that definitely affected over yesterday. But Pittsburgh got there on
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: their own yesterday. Colorado's pitching was terrible. I think Pittsburgh
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: probably has the upper hand in this game too. I mean,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: Colorado is just so bad that even though Pittsburgh is
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: the worst hitting team in all of baseball, Colorado is
• 20:34
  Speaker 2: really bound on the road as well, so Colorado is
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: not that much better offensively. Colorado is a worst bullpen,
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: so Pittsburgh does have a bullpen edge as far as usage.
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh pretty much saved their bullpen because they only used
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: Bubba Chandler.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: Is his name, Bubba? I like that as a name.
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: Man, sounds like he might, you know, try to have
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: sex with you in prison or something, but that is
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: his name. He had a nice upper fours yesterday, but
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: all of Pittsburgh's all the rest of their bullpen has
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: saved up for today if they need to use them.
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: Of course, both of these teams have nothing to play
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: for at this point, so they're just playing out the stretches.
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: Two really bad teams, Oh Philly, I mean, excuse. Pittsburgh
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: is overall the better of the two teams, though, Rockies
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: only used two of their relief pitchers yesterday, but they're
• 21:21
  Speaker 2: not a good bullpen man, so I think Pittsburgh obviously
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: has the bullpen edge, and they should have a starting
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: pitching edge too. Kyle Freeland is pitching for Colorado. I mean,
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: he's not their worst starter. Five point one six ERA,
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: one point five whip. He's been better on the road,
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: so he's better away from course field four point two
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: to forty RA. This is a more pitcher friendly park
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: for him here, so he may do better here. He's
• 21:46
  Speaker 2: actually been pretty decent over his last two starts. He
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: had a seven and a third in he shut out
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: against Saint Louis, although their offense has been pretty pathetic recently.
• 21:54
  Speaker 2: Then he was doing pretty well against the Dodgers in
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: course field.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: He was holding the.
• 21:59
  Speaker 2: Dodgers to two runs over four innings, five strikeouts, one walk,
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: six hits a little bit high. But he actually exited
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: the game early due to a blister on his finger.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: So he actually have two starting pitchers today who exited
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: early from their previous game because of a blister. I mean,
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: usually your blister you can kind of figure out and
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: figure it out and come back again. But I mean,
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: he's pitching on regular rests here. But how much is
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: he gonna be affected by that blister, I don't know.
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: But he has been pitching decently over those last couple
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: of starts after he got kind of lit up a
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: little bit by Toronto the start prior to that.
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: So Freeland, he's in okay form right now. He's not
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: the worst of the Rockies pitchers really, though of course
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: that doesn't mean he's good.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: He's facing a weak Pittsburgh offense here. They have eighty
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: five career at bats against him twenty to nine strikeout
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: walk ratio on the cutch In basically does almost all
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: the damage for the most part, nine for thirty two,
• 22:49
  Speaker 2: one home run, four walks, actually fam seven for twenty
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: five in the home run as well, and two walks,
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: so it's those two guys. But Freeland has helped him
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: to a two fifty nine average seven O sixps, so
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: he does do decently against Pittsburgh. Mike Burrows is pitching
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: for Pittsburgh and he's a rookie. He's definitely shown some
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: glimpses of being pretty good, and he's also been kind
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: of bad in some of his starts, which is why
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: his numbers are all very mediocre. Four point four to
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: six ERA, one point two to seven whip. He's been
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: a little bit worse at home four point six seven
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: e RA this month, not terrific six point seventy five ERA,
• 23:25
  Speaker 2: thirteen to six strike a walk ratio. However, his most
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: recent start was pretty good at Wrigley Field. He held
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: the Cups to one and run in five innings. So
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: he's definitely had moments where he stepped up and pitched better.
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: Maybe that means he's coming back into for him again.
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: That is definitely possible, and the Rockies have never faced
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: him before and their offense is so bad on the
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: road that Burrows you'd expect he probably would do fairly
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: well in this game. So I think Borrows he is
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: the better of these two pitchers. I think Pittsburgh does
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: have the advantage pitching wise, at least throughout this entire game.
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: But they're a huge favorite for a bad Pittsburgh team.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: They can't score.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: That is a big line on them for minus one
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: sixty five to minus one seventy five, seventy six percent
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: of tickets ninety three percent of cash on them, So
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on the Pittsburgh side, though
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: the total has dropped from eight and a half to
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: eight with eighty two percent of tickets and cash on
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: the over.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: So I think if you were to look for an under.
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: Here that is fading the public, and I actually don't
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: hate the under.
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: I mean Colorado's bullpen.
• 24:25
  Speaker 2: Probably something you kind of want to fade, though in
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh's bullpen isn't terrific either.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: I could see the.
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: Argument for a first five under here. I mean, both
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: starting pitchers might actually do okay in this game. I
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: do agree with the Pittsburgh side as well, but I'm
• 24:38
  Speaker 2: not really sure you want to lay a huge price
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: like this or lay like a run line with them
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: when Pittsburgh can't really score to cover a run line,
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: although I know they would have covered it easily last night.
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: But I do think Borrows does have the upper hand.
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: If you want to limit it to just the first
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: five innings run line, you could do that. But I
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: do think Pittsburgh, because they have the bullpen edge as well,
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: potentially maybe a run line play. But again, if Pittsburgh
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: doesn't get to bad in the ninth inning and they
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: don't put up a lot of runs, it's a little
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: bit dicey, So I'm staying away from that, even though
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: I do lean to the Pittsburgh side.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: There skip it, That's correct, all right. Houston Baltimore.
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: Of course, I've given out winners on the first two
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: games of the series, both on the Houston money line,
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: getting cheap prices on the Houston money line. We're getting
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: a cheap price again on the Houston money line. But
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: I don't love this game as much as I like
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: the other two games. Man and Houston. They haven't really
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: had their greatest pitchers pitching in this series either, which
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: I think gave us a little bit of extra value
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: on Houston in those first couple of games as well.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: Jay Mane, what's up? Man?
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out, because we got the wins from
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: Houston with Jason Alexander on the mound in.
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: The first one. And then who was pitching yesterday? I
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: don't even remember, but I don't think it was.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: I don't think they had either of their best pitchers,
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: Hunter Brown or fromper Valdez. I don't think they've pitched
• 25:54
  Speaker 2: in this series of Baltimore is actually kind of getting
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: lucky that they're facing Houston's other pitch who aren't really
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: as good.
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: Who did pitch yesterday?
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: I don't even remember. Actually it was a high scoring game.
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: It was ten to seven.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, it was mccullors. That's right.
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: Mccullors was good early on and then he started to
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: fade a little bit.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I forgot he was back.
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: I'm losing my mind already, stroke brain. So the bullpens
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: did see some usage in yesterday's game. Houston generally has
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen these four relief men yesterday, though Baltimore
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: also used four. But Houston, remember they're without Josh Hader still,
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: who was functioning as their closer, and with him out
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: that does hurt their bullpen a bit.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Their bullpen's been a bit.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: Worse since then, although it's still better than the Baltimore one.
• 26:37
  Speaker 2: Houston did just pick up Craig Kimbrel, by the way,
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: who's thirty seven years old now, and I mean you
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: could still do it when you're that old. I mean,
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: Chapman for the Red Sox is pitching out of his
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: mind this year, so it is possible. I don't know
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: when Kimberl's going to join the team, if he might
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: be available today, and maybe that actually might help Houston's
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: bullpend a little bit.
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: Houston has the better offensive for Baltimore, even though Houston
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: was playing really poorly offensively for a stretch there. But
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: they've hit well in this series. They have seventeen runs
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: in this series so far. So their often seems like
• 27:09
  Speaker 2: it's back kind of in form.
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: Christian Javier is pitching for Houston here. He was injured
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: almost the entire season. He just came back three point
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: three eighty or one whip, I believe in only two
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: starts though both of his start no, yeah, both of
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: his starts are at home as well, so he hasn't
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: pitched on the road yet. And he did just face Baltimore.
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: I think that's the case with both these starting pitchers today.
• 27:34
  Speaker 2: They both just face these opposing lineups. And Javier, I mean,
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: he's a guy that does walk too many people usually,
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: though that hasn't shown up yet really in his two starts,
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: but we'll have to keep an eye on that because
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: he usually is too wild. He pitched decently against Baltimore
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: last time up, but for some reason his start was shortened.
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: He only went three innings, allowing one on run fifty pitches,
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: but after he threw eighty five the start before that,
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: I'm not really sure why they want Up taken out
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: of that game. Maybe just because it was a blowout,
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: they figured, eh, let's just save it. Well, it wasn't
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: a blowout at that point, right, It was a blowout eventually,
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: but it only allowed one runs. I don't really I
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: actually don't understand why they pulled them from the game.
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: I don't see any news here as far as like
• 28:14
  Speaker 2: he was injured or anything.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Like that, so I don't know. That is a little
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: bit weird.
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: But against Baltimore he did fairly well in that short outing,
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: and he has good numbers against them overall, thirty two
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: at bats only six hits allowed, no extra base hits,
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: sixteen to three strike out walk ratio one eighty eight
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: batting average four to sixty five OPS.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: So Hobber does have.
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: Good numbers against the O's offense. He's going up against
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: Dean Kreamer, who I may have to reevaluate him as
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: I've been saying, because he's actually pitching better than I
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: think anybody really expected. He's been fairly good recently, three
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: point nine to seventy RA, one point two to one
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: WHIP on the season, not bad numbers. He's been pretty
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: good at home two point six seventy RA at home.
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: Recent numbers good two point one four ERA this month
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: with a nineteen to three strikeout walk ratio at least
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: six innings in every single one of these games against Philadelphia, Seattle,
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: and Houston. So he is in good form right now,
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: good command numbers right now. His last outing was against
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: this Houston team and he shut them out for seven innings,
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: seven strikeouts, one walk, three hits allowed. Does that mean
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: that he's gonna regress this time out, because I mean,
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: of course Houston just saw him.
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: That's the case with both of these pictures.
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: As I said this, the offenses are facing the same
• 29:28
  Speaker 2: pitcher like right away again, so they're more familiar with
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: these pitchers now. But both pitchers actually have pretty good
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: numbers throughout a decent sample size in their history against
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: these Hitter's Creamer against Houston eighty three at bats seventeen
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: to three, strike at walk ratio two to sixty five,
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: average six seventy six oh ps, so his numbers are
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: pretty good as well against this Houston lineup. I'm gonna
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: have to lean to an under in this game, man.
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: It would probably be a first five under, and this
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: is close to being a play for me. I almost
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: was gonna give this out as a play. The total
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: went up from nine to nine juice to the over,
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: and I think that is factory in the fact that
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: Baltimore's bullpen is bad and the fact that Houston used
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: up a bit of their bullpen yesterday. So I would
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: leave the bullpens out of this though. I would go
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: under first five innings and just go at the starting
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup to hold the offenses in check, because you
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: can probably get under four and a half in this one,
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: maybe even five. So that's the way that I would
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: look in this game. Sixty percent of tickets, only fifty
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the over, so the money
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: seems to be kind of agreeing with it. Despite that,
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: like slight tick up on the number, I think the
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: actual money may actually be coming in on the under
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: in this game, at least first five innings, if you
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: isolate that. I think that is the right way to
• 30:42
  Speaker 2: look at this game. I'm not going to quite reach
• 30:44
  Speaker 2: the level of a play because I really don't like
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: doing that with two pitchers that were just seen in
• 30:48
  Speaker 2: their last outing by the same at the same bats.
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: Baltimore looks like they're an anti public side this time,
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: which was not the case really the other two games. Necessarily,
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: I think Houston was the public side throughout the series,
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: but Houston seemed like they were actually taking the money
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: in the other couple of games. This game, they're not
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: seventy eight percent of tickets, only fifty one percent of
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: the cash. Baltimore down for minus one twenty minus one fifteen.
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: But I would slightly lean to Baltimore as well. I
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: actually think I prefer cream or over Hoavier. As weird
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: as that sounds, Hovier just his form is a little
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: bit more questionable right now. Man and he does tend
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: to walk to many guys, so never thought i'd see
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: the day. But I like Dean Creamer a little bit
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: more in a pitching matchup. But it's not going to
• 31:30
  Speaker 2: be a play Cleveland Texas. This is a game between
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: two really really ugly offenses. These are both very bad offenses.
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: Texas won the game four to three yesterday. Texas does
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: have the better of the two bullpens, especially with Cleveland
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: missing some of their guys who were gambling.
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: Very good rest scenario.
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: Though Cleveland didn't play the day before yesterday, they only
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: used three relief pitchers. Yesterday Texas only used three as well,
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: but they played the day before that. But both bullpens
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: pretty decently rested here.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: Texas. Still, you got to give them the edge with
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: the bullpen.
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: Cleveland actually probably has I don't know, I guess Cleveland
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: I guess might even actually have the slightly worse offense
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: at this point. I think their offense does kind of stink.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: But I think Cleveland does have a starting pitching edge
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: in this game, which might be more significant than the
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: slight discrepancies between the offenses and the bullpens. Or actually
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: Texas bullpen maybe is more of a more than a
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: slight discrepancy. Their bullpen is probably better, but I think
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: Cleveland does have a starting pitching edge with Logan Allen
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: on the mound three point eight seven era, although I
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: know his whip is bad one point four, so I
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: keep expecting him to regress a bit more, man, because
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: one point four whipy gotta think is Thera should climb
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: a little bit more. Hasn't happened yet. He's been almost
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: the same home and away as the eras in the
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: three point eights both ways. This month is a two
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: point four or five era, which does look good, but
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: again it's Logan Allen. He's walking way too many guys
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: seventeen to eleven strike a walk ratio. Three or more
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: walks in every start this month.
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: That is bad.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: Five or fewer innings pitched in every outing that's not
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: good either. But he's held his opponents basically off.
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: The scoreboard two or fewer in runs in his last
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: four starts.
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: I mean, you try to figure that out. I mean
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: it's very difficult. Pitchers like this are so so difficult
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: to figure out, man. I think part of it is
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: that he induces a decent amount of ground ball, so
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: he can get out of like jams. But whenever I
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: see a width that's a high, I always think the
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: guy is not as good as his VRA looks if
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: his VRA looks good. But in this matchup, I actually
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: think he might do okay, even though he's in bad form,
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: which is not I mean, That's why I'm not gonna
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: get out to play here. But Texas has actually never
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: seen him before, and they're a pretty bad offense, so
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: he might be able to hold them in check. Texas
• 33:44
  Speaker 2: is actually really bad offensively at home as well, so
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: Logan Allen. The fact that he's completely unfamiliar to Texas
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: at least gives him a little bit of an extra advantage,
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: I think, because the hitters have to try to figure
• 33:54
  Speaker 2: him out. Jack Lighter pitching for Texas. He's a young
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: guy as well. He has numbers that are also actually
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: pretty similar. Four point oh six RA, which isn't too bad,
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: but one point three to eight whip. That whip is
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: too high again. He's been better at home though, three
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: point four five era for him at home, but this
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: month again very similar to Logan album You See a
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: Good era three point eight six This month over four
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: starts but Texas has lost all four of those starts.
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: He's only gone five innings once, and he has an
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: eighteen to twelve strike out walk ratio over that span,
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: so he's walked way too many guys as well. He's
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: walked three or more in all but one out and
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: going all the way back into early July, very very bad,
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: Jack Lighter.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: I mean he's a guy, he throws hard.
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: He's a young guy, but he's he's wild man. I mean,
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: he cannot like find find the strike zone. But against Cleveland,
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, he has good numbers, but it's only a
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: five at bat sample size. The five different hitters who
• 34:49
  Speaker 2: have faced him, they're.
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: Only one for five.
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: That hit as a double from Naylor, who not Josh
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: Nahiler by the way, but bone nailor two hundred batting
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: average six hundred ohps. So Lighter, I mean he has
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: good numbers against him, it's such a limited sample size.
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: I don't think there's anything you really take away from that.
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: So this game, I mean, I probably would lean to
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: lean to the Native American the Cleveland Indians. We're gonna
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: lean to the Cleveland Indians right in the first five
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: innings only, though that would be my lean in this
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: one because I don't really trust Cleveland's bullpen versus Texas's bullpen.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: The lines down for minus went twenty five.
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: The minus went twenty one on the Texas here is
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: the money line favorite seventy three percent of tickets, only
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of the cash, so it looks like they're
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: public with reverse.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: Line movement going against them. The total flipped to eight
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: and a half juice to the over as well, so
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: it looks like there might be some money coming in
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: on the over.
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: But with too bad offenses, I'm not sure that you
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: really want to do that, even though I know I
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: give out an over.
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: With bad offenses yesterday, but I don't.
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: Think I would want to do it in this game.
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: It is another picture friendly park here as well. I
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: think the way to approach that game is Cleveland first
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: five innings money line, probably the way I would do that.
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: Minnesota at White Sox. I mean, this is a game.
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Neither of these teams are in it anymore, which, by
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: the way, I should have mentioned Houston is still at
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: least fighting for playoff positioning. Baltimore is out of it,
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: so Houston does at least have a little bit of
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: a motivational edge there Cleveland and Texas that they both
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: kind of have to realize they're not making the playoffs
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: at this point. I think they're kind of still fighting,
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: like they're trying to get into the playoffs.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: So they're like right.
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: On the cusp of being eliminated almost both those teams,
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: so we'll see. And Cleveland sold off at the trade deadline,
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: so that's kind of the mindset that they're not really
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: in it. But they went on an inexplicable run with
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: some good offense after that, which made no sense. Minnesota Chicago,
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: these two teams definitely know they're out of it. They're
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: not going anywhere. Minnesota were sellers at the deadline, the
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: White Sox were as well.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: White Sox have lost.
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: Three games in a row, including losing nine to seven
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: last night in a very high scoring game. Considering how
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: bad these offenses are, Minnesota has the slightly better offense
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: and the slightly better bullpend, but both bullpens are bad.
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: Both offenses are bad.
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: The White Sox used four relievers yesterday. They didn't use
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: any the day prior to that. It looks like they
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: have a lot of different relievers. That's because a couple
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: of them are now on the DL, so they have
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: a lot of relievers who have pitched over the last
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: few days. Minnesota used a lot of their bullpen the
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: last couple of days as well, including yesterday, so the
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: bullpen's not really in good shape.
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: So I would definitely want to avoid the bullpens in.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: This game unless you're going with like an over or
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: something and you want to fade these bullpens.
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: Yesterday's game was high scoring.
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: Minnesota has not announced a starting pitcher in this game,
• 37:39
  Speaker 2: so that makes it difficult to handicap. We don't know
• 37:41
  Speaker 2: who Minnesota is gonna put out there. It's probably gonna
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: be I mean, they're either gonna go with a bullpen
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: game or it's gonna be one of their like prospects
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: getting back into the rotation. Like I don't know who
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: they still have, Like do they still have like David Festa,
• 37:54
  Speaker 2: Like is he gonna come up and rejoin the rotation
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: for a start?
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: I don't really know.
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: Davis Martin is going to be pitching for the White
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: Sox here. He's actually having a decent season three point
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: nine to four ERA, one point two to seven whip,
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: not atrocious. He's good at home, three point two seven
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: e RA at home this past month four point five
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: RA not bad, but eleven eight strike a walk ratio
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: is concerning. He's definitely walked too many guys recently, which
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: is not good. Uh So he's kind of fallen out
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: of command a little bit, but he's not allowing too
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: many runs. He's allowed three on runs combined over his
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: last eleven innings, but it was against Cleveland and Kansas City.
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: Two week offenses.
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: He still walked three guys in each of those outings,
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: so again, his command is a little bit off right now.
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: His numbers against Minnesota and mediocre and twenty three at
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: bats only six hits allowed, two sixty one batting average
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: with five to six strike a walk ratio not great.
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: Royce Lewis has a home run off him, so they
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: have an eight forty nine ohps against him, which means
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: they have done some damage against him other than just
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: the contact hitting.
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: So I'm I'm not quite sure that I love Martin there,
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: but I.
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: Probably would prefer him over Minnesota with no decided pitcher,
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: and the money line has already dropped on Minnesota for
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty minus one oh six for that reason,
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: so I think you do at least have a more
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: stable starting pitcher in this game for the White Sox
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to go White Sox first five innings.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: I guess that's probably the way I would lean.
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: You might still get an underdog price on that at home,
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: so it's a decent price on that, at.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: Least probably the way I would lean there.
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: We have a good starting pitching matchup in San Francisco
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee here, which this is a game where I looked
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: at it in the first thing I said was I
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: think this is an under game.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: But then I dug into the matchup numbers and I'm like,
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna hesitate a little bit, even though I think
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: the money is coming in on the under. It is
• 39:43
  Speaker 2: a low total for a reason. We know San Francisco
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: can't hit. Milwaukee obviously has the way better offense. Milwaukee,
• 39:51
  Speaker 2: they're not quite as good offensively at home.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: We know this.
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: They're actually really going on the road. Milwaukee is actually
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: the best road team in baseball. They have by far
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: the rest of the best row record, but they're also
• 40:01
  Speaker 2: good at home. I mean, they're road wreckords, but they
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: actually have the best record in all of baseball anyway. Milwaukee,
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: they have a decent bullpend. They've used more of their
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: bullpen over the last couple of days, though. Three relief
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: pitchers came in yesterday, including Miguil, who has been their closer.
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: San Francisco has the better of the two bullpens, though,
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: Like that's one thing that San Francisco does have is
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: a better bullpen. But they use a lot of relief
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday as well. So the bullpen rest scenario isn't
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: that great for either pitcher or excuse me for either
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: pitching staff.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: Excuse me. So if I was gonna go under, I
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: would want.
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: To probably not include the bullpens here, even though normally
• 40:37
  Speaker 2: these bullpens are pretty good and you're probably gonna get
• 40:40
  Speaker 2: your starters at least. Logan web I kind of expect
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: him to get fairly deep into this game, just because
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: that's what he does. Logan Webman, could you call him
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: the penetrator because he goes so deep into a lot
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: of his starts. He's got good numbers on the season, man,
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's the Giant's best pitcher three.
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: Point one to ninety one point two to two webs.
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: He is not quite as good on the road three
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: point seventy R, but that's still not bad.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: Obviously, this month he's.
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: Been in really good form with a two point three
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: to three R and a twenty to one strike out
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, so his command has been quite good. He's
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: definitely in good form right now with.
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: Those three starts.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: He did do it against Pittsburgh, San Diego, Tampa, though,
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: so he wasn't facing elite offenses, so he's gonna have
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: to step it up a little bit to face Milwaukee,
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: who are a better offense.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: His numbers are decent against Milwaukee as well.
• 41:29
  Speaker 2: In forty four at bats, nine to five strike a
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: walk ratio is not great, but two seventy three batting
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: average allowed, six eighty eight oh ps, he's held Milwaukee
• 41:37
  Speaker 2: in check. Pretty impressive numbers against a good lineup. So
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: Web I wouldn't really have much of a problem with
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: looking towards Web in this game, we're looking towards an Under.
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: The problem is actually Freddy Peralta, which seems weird because
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: I know I like Freddy Peralta's numbers are good. He's
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: having a really good season two point seven eighty RA,
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: one point one WHIP. He's really good at home, one
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: point nine to five ERA at home this year. He's
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: been good this month with a twenty to seven strike
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: out walk ratio. I know Paralta does kind of walk
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: too many guys, but he's very difficult to hit. He
• 42:08
  Speaker 2: strikes out a lot of guys. He has a point
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: five to three ERA this month. He's allowed one or
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: fewer earned run earned runs at all three starts this month,
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: and in four of his last five outings and actually
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: in five of his last seven, actually six of his
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: last eight outings. And his team has won a bunch
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: of his recent out his every outing this month, all
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: three of them and ten of his last twelve, so
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee is winning behind.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: Peralta as well.
• 42:33
  Speaker 2: He faced one good offense this month in the Cubs
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: and shut them out with a six inning, one hit
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: shutout over at Wrigley Field, So that was a very
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: impressive outing from him. He's kind of stepping down a
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: glass to face the Giants, I mean the Giants. We
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: know that they're out of it, though Milwaukee is still
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: playing for making sure that they get the one seed
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: and home advantage throughout the playoffs, so Milwaukee does kind
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: of have more to play for here Paralta those shockingly
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: because the Giants offense isn't very good. In thirty eight
• 43:03
  Speaker 2: at bats, Peralta actually has not been very good against them,
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: considering that he hasn't allowed any extra base hits ten
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: to three strike a walk ratio, none of that is bad,
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: but he's a lot of three sixty eight to average,
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: and still in ops it's too high at seven eighty three.
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: So Peralta maybe not totally trustworthy in this one. Man
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's heavily public ninety percent tickets, ninety five percent of the.
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: Cash coming in on them.
• 43:28
  Speaker 2: I mean, I would probably maybe even have a slight
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: lean to San Francisco in this one, even though I
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: think I've leaned to San Francisco every game in the
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: series and I think they've lost them. I think if
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: I said that yesterday, it probably was a run line
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: lean yesterday because the line was probably so big, so
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: they did cover the run line yesterday. San Francisco only
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: lost by one run. Yesterday they lost by three in
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: the first game of the series. Yeah, so I mean
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: I probably slightly lean to San Francisco, maybe just in
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: the first five innings though, because their bullpends a little
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: bit more used. Total went up a little bit from
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: seven to seven and a half, and the money is
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: coming in on the under sixty two percent and take
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: a seventy four percent of the couch on the under.
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess because Peralta is just generally so good,
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: I would kind of lean that way. I wouldn't really
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: want to deal with the bullpens though, like I said, Eve,
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: though both bullpens normally are good.
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: The rest scenario doesn't really look great.
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: But if you go under first five innings, you're probably
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: having to go three and a half, which is a little.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: Bit difficult to do.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: And if you expect the pitchers to get deep into
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: the game, then it does start looking like maybe you
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: should actually play the full game under, So you have
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: to kind of it's a tough decision to make sometimes, Manu.
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: The line went up from minus one thirty two to
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty eight on Milwaukee as the home favorite,
• 44:38
  Speaker 2: by the way, but yeah, they're very public home favorite here.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: Mets at Atlanta.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: I do have a lean in this game that almost
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: became a play for me digging into this matchup a
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: little bit.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Atlanta did lose the first.
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: Game twelve to seven, yesterday, Atlanta has at least started
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: playing like they care. Like the mindset of you know, oh,
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: we're down in the dumps and we know we're not
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: going anywhere this like that's out the window now and
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: Atlanta just seems to be focusing on baseball for the
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: most part and playing out the stretch. Even though they
• 45:07
  Speaker 2: didn't play particularly well yesterday. The Mets do still have
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: something to play for because they're trying to make sure
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: that they make the playoffs at this point. But the
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: Mets have really been bad over the last month or so,
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: man kind of inexplicably bad, because they do have the
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: better offense generally, I would say they probably have the
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: better bullpen here too, but I actually think it's fairly close.
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: Mets bullpen has kind of slid off a little bit.
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: And where are the Braves at? Yeah, the Braves are
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: only two spots below them and not ERA very very
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: similar actually, as far as the starting pitching here, Clay
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: Holmes is pitching for the Mets, and I know he
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: has a good ERA three point sixty four, but his
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: whip again indicates there's something wrong here.
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: One point three to four way up homes.
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: Then he is another guy that comes in, induces some
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: ground balls and just gets out of jams.
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: He's still putting too many guys on base. He's in
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: his thirties and he's ever really been that great. I
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: don't think so.
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: I'm expecting some regression at some point from that, and
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: I think we've started to see a little bit of that,
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: but not entirely. He's been a little bit better on
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: the road three point four to one here on the
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: road this month, he hasn't really been that good, though,
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: so maybe we are seeing this regression actually over the
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: last couple of months. His strike a walk ratio hasn't
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: been as good this month five point two seven e ray.
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: His era hasn't been good over the last couple of months.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: Fourteen to seven strike a walk ratio. Too many walks,
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: although five of them were in one game, but who
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: is that game against? It was against the Atlanta Braves.
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: Even though the Mets did win that game, he didn't
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: pitch well. He only went three and two thirds, allowed
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: five in runs, six hits, five walks, and he somehow
• 46:35
  Speaker 2: escaped that only allowed five in runs, probably should have
• 46:38
  Speaker 2: allowed more than that. Man did have four strikeouts, but
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: that was a really bad outing for homes, and his
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: career numbers against the Braves are actually pretty bad. In
• 46:46
  Speaker 2: fifty six at bets, twelve strikeouts, eighteen walks, actually absolutely
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: horrific ratio six more walks and strikeouts. I mean, that's
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: really really bad. Two eighty six batting average allowed nine
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: oh six ops is also way too high because of
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: eighteen walks and six doubles. And he has led one
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: homer as well to Drake Baldwin, which is his only
• 47:08
  Speaker 2: hit against him. But Holmes doesn't have good numbers there.
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: He's going up against cal Quandro. I didn't even realize
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: the Braves have picked him up. I guess Miami, I
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: guess decided to get rid of him.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: I don't even know.
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: Like they must have designated him for assignment because they
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: think the trade deadline was over. So I think Miami
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: must have actually cut him because the Braves. They got
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: all emo and they cut him because the Braves. I mean,
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: the Braves must have picked him up off the scrap
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: heat man. He has not yet pitched for the Braves,
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: so all of his season numbers are with Miami. But
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: that's the same division at least five point five yr
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: one point three to nine whip. Yeah, Quandrill's not that good.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: We know this.
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: He was better at home with Miami five point one
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: seven e RA in Atlanta Stateum. He did pitch there
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: twice this year and he won a total of nine innings,
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: so he didn't even make it five innings in one
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: of them.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: But he only allowed one earned run of those nine.
• 48:00
  Speaker 2: And he's in his two starts, which were against the Braves.
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: Of course, because he was on Miami, he pitched in
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: this stadium those two times, so he was okay across
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: that nine inning span. So his numbers in the stadium
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: were decent this year. His numbers against the Mets are
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: not great, although they are better than holmes numbers against
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: the Braves. Fifty five at bats nine to four strike
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio, so at least he hasn't strike a
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: walk ratio that's above one two seventy three batting average
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: eight eighty six OPS. So that OPS is still too
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: high though, So I don't know if you can really
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: trust Quadrill. However, I'm gonna still lean to Atlanta in
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: this game, and I might even factor in their bullpen
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: because the Mets bullpen has falling apart. Atlanta literally is
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: only his one arm out of their bullpen over the
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: last two days. They're the most rested bullpen in baseball
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: right now, like very very light bullpen usage as far
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: as the arms that they have right now. So Atlanta
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: bullpen is in good shape right now, and it's not
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: even that much worse than the Mets bullpen.
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: Anyway, the Mets have used more of.
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen one of the last couple of days, and
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: these two guys yesterday they did use Hellsley, who was
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: the Cardinals closer who the Mets got at the trade deadline.
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: So I think I would leave the bullpens in the
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: equation here. Actually, my leam would beat to Atlanta in
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: this game. The money seems to agree with that. The
• 49:15
  Speaker 2: Mets are down for minus one twenty to minus one
• 49:17
  Speaker 2: to fifteen, so you get and Lanta as a home underdog,
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: and as I say, these home underdogs, you think they
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: actually have an edge in the game. Those are definitely
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: decent looks in the MLB. So this is one of
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: my stronger leans. Eighty seven percent of tickets, only sixty
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash on the Mets, so you
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: definitely be fading.
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: The public looks like a.
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: Reverse line movement is coming in on Atlanta here, total
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: drop from nine and a half to nine sixty five
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on the over ninety three percent of
• 49:43
  Speaker 2: the cash on the unders. The money's actually coming in
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: on the under. I mean, I could see the argument
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: that the bullpens could potentially pitch well in this game,
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: but I mean, I'm not sure that I would want
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: to go.
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: Under with this starting pitching matchup. Man.
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: I think the better way to look at this to
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: just take the value of Atlanta at home.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: Quantrill may be able to outpitch Homes here, and.
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: It's kind of sneaky because it's not his era is
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: worse than Homes, but he's not actually worse than Homes
• 50:09
  Speaker 2: in this matchup. And the bullpen actually I think has
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: a hidden edge for Atlanta as well, So that is
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: the lean in that game. Cincinnati Arizona is kind of
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: a crazy situation.
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: Both these teams.
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: Went eleven innings last night, so we have a lot
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: of bullpen usage. Every arm in Cincinnati's bullpen came into
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: the game yesterday a Barlow only through two pitches, so
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: he probably will have to pitch again today out of
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: the bullpen. They didn't use any of their arms the
• 50:34
  Speaker 2: day before that, but that's still it's not really good
• 50:37
  Speaker 2: when you use every one of your bullpen guys in
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: the previous day. Though none of them really threw a
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: ton of pitches, so they're gonna have they know, I
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: think that they're gonna have to use some of them again.
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: Today.
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: Arizona used basically everybody that they have out of the
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: bullpen as well, though at least for them, it was
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: all single digit pitch counts except for Burgos Borgos, however,
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: he pronounced.
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: His name Atlanta. I mean, excuse me.
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: Zona does have the worst of the two bullpens generally,
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: but Cincinnati does have more bullpen usage, which kind of
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: balances that out a little bit. And they're not a
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: great bullpen either. So if you're looking at this game,
• 51:10
  Speaker 2: whatever you do with this game, I think you want
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: to fade the bullpens. Starting pitching looks like it's a
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: huge edge for Cincinnati. Arizona probably does have the hitting
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: edge here. Cincinnati decent offense, but the starting pitching looks
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: like it is a huge mismatch in favor of Cincinnati.
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: So that's why I kind of don't like this game,
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: because I think Cincinnati's bullpen has actually had a little
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: bit of a disadvantage just because of the rest scenario,
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: even that Arizona's bullpen is usually worse. But Andrew Abbott
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: pitching for Cincinnati, he's been really good this year two
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: point two eighty RA, one point oh eight whip. And
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: the good thing about him pitching at Arizona, which is
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: a hitter friendly park, is that his home stadium is
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: also hitter friendly in Cincinnati, so he's used to pitching
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: in a hitter friendly park. He is slightly worse on
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: the road two point six seven e RA. He's just
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: been really good almost the entire season, though. Man, he's
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: in good form this month in three starts sixteen to
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: two strike out walk race here two point nine to
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: five yr, going at least six to two thirty innings
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: in all three starts. And what makes that more impressive
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: is that was against a gauntlet.
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: Of the Cubs, the Phillies, and the Brewers, so he
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: faced three very good offenses over that span.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: So Abbott is definitely dealing it right now. He's feeling
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: it and dealing it, and he's facing another pretty good
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: offense here in Arizona. Although they're not quite as good
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: as those three. He's done well against them in the past,
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: and twenty at bats they only have two hits, no
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: extra base hits, six' three strike out walk, ratio one
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: hundred batting, average which easy math to do on that
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: one in three seventeen. Ops So abbot does have good
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: numbers against this lineup as, well and he's gonna be
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: going up going up Against Nabille, chrismott who's making his
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: second start for the D, backs which it looks like
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: he was on The phillies earlier this, year AND i
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: think he never got into a game for The. Phillies
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: he's only made one appearance this entire.
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: Season it was Four.
• 52:59
  Speaker 2: Arizona he pitched. Well it was against The. Rockies The
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: rockies have a terrible. Offense it was a course field,
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: though so it was a little bit more of a
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: difficult environment for him because it was in high. Elevation
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: he went five innings to give up one or, run five,
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: strikeouts one, walk three hits. Allowed BUT i might dial
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: it back a little bit because that was The Colorado.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: Rockies it's still The rockies are a bad.
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: Offense throughout his, career he's Actually he's literally made two
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: starts in his entire, career and that was one of.
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: Them going all the way back.
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: To twenty, twenty he's been one hundred and thirteen relief,
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: appearances and his career whip is too high at one
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: point two, nine although three point six to sixty ra is,
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: Alright SO i think his place is really as a relief,
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: pitcher even THOUGH i know he went five innings last,
• 53:43
  Speaker 2: outing which was pretty. Good he was actually really efficient
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: with his. Pitches he went sixty two. Pitches BUT i,
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: Mean i'm not expecting him to throw a lot of pitches,
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: here So i'm not really expecting him to go too
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: deep into this. Game The reds have twelve at bats against,
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: him which isn't a whole, lot five, strikeouts no, walk
• 53:59
  Speaker 2: so they do you have a three thirty three average
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: eight thirty three ops, often so they have hit him
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: okay in a very small. Sample so this, GAME i,
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: MEAN i think it makes sense to look Towards cincinnati
• 54:11
  Speaker 2: in the first five innings just BECAUSE i think this
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: is a big time pitching. Mismatch but the money's coming
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: in Against. Cincinnati they're down for minus one thirty two
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: to minus one point. Fifteen cincinnati still has something to play,
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: for by the, way is they're STILL i think potentially
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: they can make the. Playoffs arizona is out of. It
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: but the line is.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: Reverse moving Against.
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati LIKE i, said sixty eight percent of tickets on,
• 54:32
  Speaker 2: them fifty eight percent of the cash coming in on
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: The arizona. Side so the money seems to be coming
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: in all On. Arizona they are home. Underdogs so sometimes
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: if you find an edge of the home, underdog that's
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: the way you want to.
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: LOOK i do think it.
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: Makes sense to kind of Face cincinnati's, bullpen LIKE i,
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: said because their bullpen did get very very tax last. Night,
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: uh But arizona's will been not very good. EITHER i,
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: mean if you want to go if you wanted to
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: go over in this, GAME i, mean the money's coming
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: in on the, under fifty nine percent tickets on the,
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: over sixty cash on the. Under the one thing that
• 55:05
  Speaker 2: really would hold you back as far as the over
• 55:07
  Speaker 2: obviously is the fact That abbot is. Pitching but the
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: fact that the money is coming in On arizona kind
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: of is indicating That chrismott might not actually pitch that bad.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Either so the money is coming in on the.
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: Under BUT i think like if you're looking at the
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: bullpens and expecting these bullpens to really do well at,
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: ALL i, MEAN i could see the later portion of
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: that game sending that total, over so but the it
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: makes more sense to maybe look under in the first
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: five and that game you're really going to look towards
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: an under. There you not want to factor in the
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: bullpens at. All that's HOW i look at that. Game
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: very difficult game to Handicap dodgers And. PODRES i, mean
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: this is a huge. Series, Obviously padres have won three
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: in a.
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: Row.
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: Now they just beat The dodgers yesterday after they got
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: swept by The dodgers In la not too long, ago
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: a lot not too long. Ago last weekend is when that.
• 55:53
  Speaker 2: Happened so now they have ANOTHER i believe weekend series
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: here Against oh, yeah because it is the, weekend, right It's.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Saturday everything's a. Blur they got two straight weekend series
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: against The.
• 56:02
  Speaker 2: Dodgers this time we're At San diego, though Where San
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: diego does play better at.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: Home San diego did get the win yesterday two to,
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: one Although i'm not sure this particular matchup is very
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: good For San. Diego, here San diego does have the better.
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: Bullpen The dodgers bullpen not totally. Trustworthy dodgers have a
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: more rested, bullpen, though which kind of helps them balance
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: that out a little. Bit San diego used three relief pitchers,
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: yesterday BUT i think you still have to go With
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: San diego having the bullpen. Edge it's also crazy that
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: BESIDES Mlb network airing a couple of the early games
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: Including Red Sox, yankees the only other game that's televised
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: at all is this, game and it's On Fox sports.
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: ONE i, mean it's crazy how downgraded baseball has.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: BECOME i think.
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: They got to change some of the rules back, man
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: get rid of the ghosts, runner get rid of the pitch.
• 56:48
  Speaker 2: Clock baseball used to draw a lot of eyes, man
• 56:50
  Speaker 2: and now it's, LIKE i don't, know it's become this.
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: Afterthought it's kind of sad Because i'm a baseball. Fan
• 56:56
  Speaker 2: dodgers obviously have the better offense of these two, teams
• 56:59
  Speaker 2: AND i think they do have the better starting pitcher as,
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: well With Tyler glasnow. Pitching he's got good numbers three
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: point one TWO, era one point one FOUR. Whip he's
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: been injured for various portions of this.
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: Season he's not as good on the. Road five point
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: four r on the.
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: Road this is a pitcher friendly ballpark. Here he's been
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: good this. Month two point five to FIVE, ra twenty
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: three to seven strike out walk. Ratio he's allowed no
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: more than two earned runs in any of these, starts
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: so he didn't make it past five to two thirds
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: over his last two, starts including his last start was
• 57:31
  Speaker 2: actually Against San, diego so they're recently familiar with. Him
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: he went five, innings allowed two hour, runs eight, strikeouts one.
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: Walk it was still a good start for, him But
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: San diego maybe they'll hit him a little bit better
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: this time because they just saw. Him, however they've seen
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: plenty of, him and he's such a good pitcher THAT
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: i think he probably will do well. Again ninety eight
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: at bats, here thirty six to five strike a walk,
• 57:52
  Speaker 2: Ratio glasno against The padres one sixty three batting average
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: allowing four to ninety, ops very very low o. PS
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: i do think he will pitch well again. HERE i
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: think he is the better of these two. Pitchers With
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: Nester cortes on the mound for The, padres.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: His season has been a bit. Crazy.
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: Man we know he was on The yankees last year
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: and Then milwaukee actually had him at the beginning of this,
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: year and he was really bad at the beginning of the.
• 58:17
  Speaker 2: Year he got hurt and then they must have traded
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: him or something to The padres and he came back
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: recently and he's made a couple of starts for The.
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: Padres his numbers on the season are not good.
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: Five point eight to SEVEN, era one point six to
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: five whip not good to though his.
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: Homey ra is better three point h.
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: Nine since Joining San, diego he's only made one home, start,
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: though and it actually wasn't even.
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: Good it was Against San, francisco a bad. Offense this
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: is his most recent, start and he gave up three
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: home runs in this very home run unfriendly park In
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: San diego against a team that can't.
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: HIT i, mean that's. Crazy on seven, hits four, walks five.
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: Strikeouts so that was an atrocious start from, him, Man SO.
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: I don't think we could really trust him right. Now
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: in the prior two, starts he.
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: Didn't even make it five, innings But San francisco had
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: just faced him the prior, start SO i guess maybe that.
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: Explains some of that is That San francisco had just seen,
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: him so they hit him better the next time, Out
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: and The dodgers have not seen him this. Year BUT
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: i think The dodgers do have some familiarity with, him
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: which we're gonna look at in a. Second But cortes
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: has walked multiple guys in every outing this season except
• 59:24
  Speaker 2: for that one decent outing Against San. Francisco but he
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: didn't even make it five innings in that. One So
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: cortes he really only has one good start the entire.
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: Season it was back when he was With milwaukee's still Against.
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati SO i don't think we could Trust cortes right.
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: Now he's not in good.
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: FORM i, MEAN i think eventually he will be a
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: little bit better than what he's been. DOING i, mean
• 59:42
  Speaker 2: his career numbers are certainly better than, this but we
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: haven't seen it happen. Yet his numbers against The dodgers are.
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: Okay in fifty at bats ten to, three strike a
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: walk race, here two forty batting, average seven zero three
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: oh ps, Allowed so his numbers are good against The.
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: Dodgers the, money from WHAT i could, see it looked
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: like it was coming into is the under in this
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: game totals at eight seventy six percent of tickets on
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: the over seventy three percent of the cash on the,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: over uh so less of the cash on the.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: OVER i don't disagree with the under. Anything you have
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: a good.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: Bullpend With San, Diego dodgers' bullpen is, rested you, COULD i,
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: mean you have one really good starter with The. Dodgers
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: cortes could potentially do well because his matchup numbers aren't that.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: Bad SO i don't disagree with.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: THAT i would slightly lean to the under of this
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 2: when the money just completely flipped and now sixty nine
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the, under and that was
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 2: a crazy flip with those numbers. THERE i, mean these
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 2: numbers they don't come in fast on this uh on this,
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: site and The dodgers are having money come in against.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: Them, actually it was just kind of.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 2: Crazy dodgers down for minus one thirty minus one twenty,
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: seven fifty six percent of tickets on, them sixty seven
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: percent of the catch coming in On San. DIEGO i
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: MEAN i could see the argument for that just being,
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: well Maybe cortez will be able to Duel glass, though
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 2: and if, this if The padres are still in the
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: game when the starting pitchers, leave Then San diego does
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: have a of a bullpen. EDGE i, MEAN i think
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: that's probably the argument for that and just kind of
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: too much of a price to lay with The. Dodgers
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: The dodgers have lost a lot of games over the last,
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: month that's for, sure And San diego is better at.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: Home but with this particular starting pitching, MATCHUP i, MEAN
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: i don't really see how you could do. IT i,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: MEAN i think the, under as far as if you
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 2: want to align with the market, READ i think the
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: under makes more sense than trying to go with the
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: side and the SIDE.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: I think first five Innings.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 2: Dodgers actually might even make more sense with the side,
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: there BECAUSE i think glasnow does have the upper hand Over,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: cortez especially based on recent Form cubs At. Anaheim For andrew,
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: HERE i don't know if andrews in our chat here this.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 2: Morning his wife is a is a Known angels. Fan
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: The angels lost three to two yesterday in a close
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: game to The. Cubs cubs have more to play, for at,
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: LEAST i, mean obviously by the Way Dodgers San diego
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: are both fighting for first place in their.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: Divisions that's a huge matchup for both.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: Teams cubs are fighting to you, know to stay around
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: make the. Playoffs here they're battling for a wild car right,
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: now BECAUSE i don't think they can Catch. Milwaukee anaheim
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: is out of it And anaheim is AGAIN i keep
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: Saying anaheim's worse than the record. Looks they have a
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: really bad run differential this, year and obviously The cubs do.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: Not anheim doesn't have a good.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: Bullpen these five relieve pitchers yesterday as, well a couple
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 2: of them in single digits, though but The cubs only use.
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: Three cubs have the better.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: Bullpen bullpen rest scenario probably a little bit on their
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: side as. Well so The cubs have the better, bullpen
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: they have the better, offense AND i think they have
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 2: the better starting pitcher here as. Well you like The
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: dodgers game Under, YEAH i, MEAN i think that's probably
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: the way THAT i would look at that game IF
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: i was forced to play that. Game, CUBS i believe
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: have a starting pitching edge year as. Well With Cad
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: horton on the.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: Mound he's the other.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: Starting pitcher that had to leave his previous start because
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: of a finger, blister so we'll see if he's ready
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 2: to go again in this. Game he's got good numbers
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: on the, season, MAN i think he's a. Rookie he's
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: a young, guy and he's really starting to pitch well.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: Recently three point eight r ran the season one point.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: Two we have pretty good. Numbers, however he's significantly worse
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: on the road four point six y.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: Nine roady, ra which is not.
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: Great he was pitching fairly well against a Tough milwaukee
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: lineup before he got blistered out of that. GAME a
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 2: blister in the. SUN i guess hudder than the blister
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: in the. Sun Kate, horton how about?
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: That? There you go with that?
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: One you like that mashup of references? There horton went
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: two and two thirds in that when it gave him
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: one and. Run although he did a lot of four
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: hits as well in that. Game they lost the, game
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: but mostly the bullpen came in it didn't really do
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: anything to help him out. There The cubs had actually
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: won four starts in a row of his prior to.
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: That Although milwaukee was the better of all those offenses
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: that he, faced but he Faced Toronto. Cincinnati those are
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: offenses that can hit a little. Bit had to shut
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 2: out not too long ago against The Red sox as
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: well for five and two, thirds so he's done fairly
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: well against some pretty good. Lineups The angels is a
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: mediocre offense and they've never Seen horton, before so if
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: his lis is, OKAY i do Think horton does have
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an upper hand in this game.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: Here still decent recent form and Again angels haven't seen him.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: Before does have a twenty to six strike a walk
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: ratio this, month by the, way in those four, starts
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: has allowed one or fewer earned runs in all of
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: his last six starts and seven of his last eight
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: and zero.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: Point nine to five R a this, month and he's
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: allowed zero earned Runs.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: Prior to allowing one in each of his last two.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: Starts he had allowed zero in four straight and five
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 2: of the prior. Six that's, crazy SO i still think
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: he's in good recent. Form he has an unfamiliarity edge,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: year SO i Think horton does have the edge year
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: Over Victor, madeiros who's a converted reliever.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: Pitching for The.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: Angels he is A he's a young guy that does
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: have some, upside but his numbers aren't good this year
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: five point five four e r a one point eight
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: five whip a little bit better at home five point four.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: The ray at. Home but he's only made four appearances.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 2: SEASON i think he's only made two, starts which are
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: his last two, starts and he had a SIX era
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: over that span in a six to six strikeout walk,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: ratio allowing six earned runs as.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: Well so six six six very very, bad very very.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: Evil so you probably don't want to deal With midieiros,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 2: here even though The cubs basically haven't seen him. Before
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: kelly And turner are the only hitters have seen it
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: before through for one with a walk From kelly at
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: a strikeout From. Turner but, OVERALL i, mean all that being,
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: SAID i think you have to lean to The cubs
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: in this, game and you're actually getting a cheap. Price
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: though it almost looks way too easy to take The,
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: cubs which is WHY i haven't given this out as a.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: Play but this is close to being a play for.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: Me where the hell is the game? There it Is
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: cubs actually.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: Are getting the. Money should we do? This should we
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: add a play on the fly? Here?
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: Uh this is the last game on the board, Too
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: so Basically oh, no it's the second to. Last it's
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: an early best bet. Segment IF i do, this they're
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: up for minus one forty two to minus one forty,
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: three eighty four percent, tickets ninety four percent of the cash.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: Coming in on.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: THEM i mean to, me they have a big starting pitching,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: edge bullpen edge and hit edge here and, Again, ANAHEIM
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: i think is worse than the. Record looks cubs have
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: more motivation as. Well it's a bit of a price
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: to lay on the, road BUT.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: I think it might be.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: Justified, here what's the best price we can get on?
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: This and we could do maybe a split bet where
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: you throw half on the run line half on the money.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: Line just be a little bit less aggressive with.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: It i'm.
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: Tempted, Man maybe we'll do an extra extra play here
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: on The. Cubs let me take a look, Here, YEAH
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: i mean it looks like the cash is.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: Coming in on.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: Them you can get minus one forty five is the
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: best money LINE i, See and of Course caesars AND
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: mgm always lag. Behind, man you can get the better
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 2: prices at those books. Usually let's look at the spread.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: Here you could just go run line and it's at
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: plus one point fifteen and just play the, spread and
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: you know you'll get all nine at bats with The cubs,
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 2: here you, know nine innings. Worth you know, What fuck,
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: it it's at plus, money so you're not you're not
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: having to lay too much of a price with. It all,
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: right let's do It Major League, Baseball Chicago. Cubs we're
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: gonna go minus one and a half runs at plus
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: one point.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: Fifteen you can find out there right. Now how about?
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: That there you, Go cubs on the run.
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: Line if you want to go on the money, line
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: you could do that, too about minus one forty, five
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: which is kind of in that range WHERE i start
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: looking towards the run line type of play, there where
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: it's more like the.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: Spread so we'll do.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: That hopefully that one gets, there ALTHOUGH i, mean you're
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: not expecting when you're playing plus, money you don't even
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 2: need that to win fifty percent of the. Time you'll
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: need to win that one about forty eight for maybe
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: forty nine percent of the. Time so, yeah The Cubs.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: Dacubbies and then we got the final game on the.
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 2: Board here Is a's And. Seattle very kind of a
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: crazy divisional match up. Here seattle is still trying to
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: battle The seattle. Battle they're trying to battle for at
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: least a wildcard, here but they Got houston not too
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: far ahead of, them so they're trying to win The
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: vision as. Well seattle had a return home spot last
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: time from a long road, trip and they actually still
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: won the game yesterday against The, A's So, seattle in
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: a really bad spot still got the win. Yesterday it
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: should be a little bit of a better spot, today
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 2: and they didn't play particularly.
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: Well they won three to.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: Two The a's basically used one of their relievers for
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: most of the game With. MORALES i think he was
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: actually the opener the starter in the, game.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: So they saved their.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: Bullpend but their bullpen's not very, good even though it's
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: been better. Recently seattle has a better. Bullpen seattle didn't
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 2: play On. Thursday they only used three, relievers pretty light usage,
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: yesterday So seattle has a bullpen edge in this. GAME
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 2: i think The a's actually probably are the better offensive
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: team at this. Point but let me, see they're actually
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: pretty good on the road. Too The a's are actually
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: fifth IN. Ops that's pretty, wild. Right the a is
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 2: not as bad as the team as the record. Looks
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: Man their offense at least is quite. Good seattle has
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: actually dropped to twelfth in team, ops so The a's
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: have the offensive edge. Here starting pitching is. In Jeffrey
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 2: springs is pitching for The. A's he's actually one of
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: their better. PITCHERS i, MEAN i know that's, relative but
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: four point two to FOUR era one point one to
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: nine whip not. Bad and doing that pitching in that
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: Horrible a's stadium and still having numbers that are decent
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: like that is not. Bad he's better on the road
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: three point EIGHT r in the road he gets to
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 2: pitch in a pitcher friendly ballpark this time. Out his
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: numbers haven't been good this month six point four to
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: THREE era twelve four streke a walk. Ratio had a
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: few good starts in the mix. There he was a
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: bit better last month as, well so he's shown glimpses
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: of being a bit. Better last time Against seattle at
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 2: The A's, stadium he actually held them to one er
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: and run in six innings on two, hits one, walk seven,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: strikeouts so he actually did well Against seattle there a
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 2: lifetime Against, seattle seventy three at, bats he's done well against,
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: them twenty five to five strike a walk ratio one
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: to seventy, eight batting average allowed five point thirty two oh.
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: Ps so The springs has good numbers against The.
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: Mariners man he's up Against George, kirby who is a good.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: Pitcher four point two to TWO, era one point one
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: to eight whip this season for The. Mariners he's been
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: dealing with some. Injuries like Every mariners.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: Pitcher he's better at, home which is WHY i kind
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: of worry about The mariners once they make the. Playoffs
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: if they, do their pitchers are all worse on the,
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: road fairly. Significantly curbing again better at home three point
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: three EIGHTY ra at. Home but his recent form a
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: little bit, questionable just because of his one bad. Start
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: last time. Out he got absolutely obliterated by The matts
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: four and two thirds, innings twelve hits, allowed seven are in.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: Runs that's, insane.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: Three walks and it was at home, too kind of
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: inexplicable four.
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: Strikeouts but the prior couple starts.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: He was so good that HIS era this month is
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: still only four point five eight twenty to five strike
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio this, Month so prior to that, start
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 2: he was in pretty good form for a while so that,
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: start because his only other starts over that bad was
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: literally his first two starts of the.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: Season i'm kind of thinking that was a bit of a.
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: BLIP i think that was a bit of an, outlier
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: SO i think he should pitch better in this. Game,
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: however in thirty nine career, bats The a's have actually
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 2: hit him pretty. Well does have a ten zero strikeout
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: walk ratio against, him but three eighty five batting average
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 2: allowed him oneenty twenty six obs is not very good
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 2: against The, a's although they have not seen him this,
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: Year so Will kirby pitch better against?
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: Them?
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: MAYBE i don't love those matchup numbers, THOUGH i MEAN
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 2: i was still probably leaning towards an.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: Under in this.
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 2: Game total went up to eight fifty percent of tickets
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 2: seventy percent of the cash on the.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: Under it is a pitcher friendly.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: BALLPARK i, mean you have bullpens are at least, rested
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: and you might want to kind of avoid The a's
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: bullpench just because it's still not that. Good maybe a
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: first five, under if the total is up to, eight
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: you might be able to find it under four verse.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: Five you'd still have to worry About kirby's matchup numbers,
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: though and the money is actually Fading. Seattle they're down
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: for minus one to seventy five to minutes one sixty,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: five thinking maybe this line is too. Big sixty nine
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: percent of, tickets only fifty three percent of the cash On,
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: seattle so they're a public road home favorite.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: HERE i don't THINK i would really disagree with.
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: THAT i, Mean springs is sneakily not that bad at,
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: all and he's got the matchup numbers that are better Than.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: Kirby's kirby in a little bit of worse form right
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: now as. Well SO i would probably exclude the bullpens,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: though BECAUSE i Think seattle does have a bullpen edge.
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 2: Here so if you wanted to do, that a's money
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 2: line first five innings is probably the way to go
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 2: with the side in that, game and maybe it's actually
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: the best way to play that.
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: Game all, right let's go to the best bets here
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: or no.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 2: Way, yeah we'll go to best bets and Then i'll
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 2: talk about AN nfl Because i'm not going to give
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: out a best bet on THE nfl best bets.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i haven't Played Kansas.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 2: State In dublin in about an hour At First college
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: football game and play of the. Season let's make it
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: two in a row with The dublin, games, man Because
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: i'm pretty sure My Georgia tech play to start last
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: year was it was an, easy outright winner with a
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: big underdog Against Florida.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: STATE i think that was The dublin game as.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: Well If i'm not. Mistaken we'll go With Kansas state minus.
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: THREE i think you'd still find that out. THERE i
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: saw it there at those lesser books In massachusetts this
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: morning At caesars AND mgm still had that hanging.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: Around so we Have Kansas. State as you, know we
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: do Have.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: Chicago cubs run line now BECAUSE i decided to throw
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: that into the, mix The Emerald, isle that's. Right and
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: then we got two more plays That i'm gonna give out,
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: here Which i've.
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: Not entered into the system.
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 2: Yet, one AS i, said you can see it in
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: the title is On Red Sox. Yankees if you kind
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: of know WHAT i, DO i, mean you might be
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: able to figure out what this. Is this is going
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: to be.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: A first five.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: Under we're going under four in the first five innings
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: with The Red Sox yankees, here, MAN i think the
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: money's coming in on the under in this?
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: Game where is it?
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: At we have seventy one percent of tickets in the.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: Over the ninety seven percent of cash on the over
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: doesn't make any. Sense the total drop from eight and
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: a half to. EIGHT i think this is a good
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: starting pitching matchup to take this thing under the. Total
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: Man and whenever It's Red Sox, yankees you gotta think
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: the public really kind of only wants to play an,
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: over even THOUGH i know yesterday's game went way under the.
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: Total The Red, sox by the, way have already clinched
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: the season series against The.
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 2: Yankee AS i pointed, out The Red sox have played
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: well against The yankees over the last few, seasons even
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: though they've been the worst of the two. Teams The
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: Red sox are seven and one now against The, yankees
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: and they won the first two games of this.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: Series yes the first game would have gone over the.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: Total yesterday's game is a ridiculous one nothing game Where
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: Brian beao pitched really well for The Red. Sox he
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: actually has really good numbers in his career against The.
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 2: Yankees everybody's comparing him To pedro now it's very. FUNNY
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: a squirrel ran onto the field as well. Yesterday but
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: AS i, Mentioned i've tweeted it. OUT i, said, well
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: If beao is The yankees, daddy then He's pedro's, grandfather
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: because if you remember that whole Thing pedro when he
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: didn't do well against The yankees that one, time he, said,
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: well you're just gonna have to call The yankees my
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 2: daddy or, whatever and then the Stupid yankees fans were
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 2: all doing the who's your daddy chant to paid or
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 2: even Though pedro he's one of the best pitchers of all, time,
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 2: MAN i, mean we can give it a. Rest he
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 2: wasn't even that bad against The. Yankees pedro he was the. Man,
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: man he was hilarious and, YEAH i got to see
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 2: him pitch live multiple. Times he's the best pitcher THAT
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 2: i got to see, live which was.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: Awesome saw.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 2: HIM i saw a Shilling John, lester saw no hitter from.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 2: Him i've seen some good pitching from The Red sox
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: in my. Day but, anyway back to this, Series yankees
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 2: are also the team that's actually lapsing in the, field
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: where usually it's been The Red sox the last couple of.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: Years The Red sox making all these mental mistakes and
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: being bad in the.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: Field but now it's The.
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 2: Yankees, man you Have Jazz chisholm basically turning Into Chuck
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 2: knoblock out there and just completely throwing it into the
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 2: stands on what could have been a double play.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: Ball totally. Crazy chisholm is totally out of, it.
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 2: Man he had that play not too long ago At,
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: MIAMI i, think where he took himself off of first
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: base on an infield fly ball for some, reason it
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: was a pop out and he didn't stay on first
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: base and he actually ran too far away from first
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 2: base and got doubled off of first base for double.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: Play it was a game Where Yuri perez was pitching
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 2: in that. GAME i remember That, CHISHOLM i don't.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: Know what's going on with.
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: Him and then you Have volpi conkw not to not
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 2: feel well for The, yankees and he had that play
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 2: where it was a ground, ball excuse a ground ball
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 2: where it's Like i'm turning into A New.
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: York or a ground. BALL i can't really do.
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: IT i can only do The boston, accent, Really But
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: volpi handled a play where The Red sox had a
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: runner on, Second so, like what's the obvious move.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: Here you, look the runner on second back so he
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: can't run to. Third you're the.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: Shortstop you throw it to. First it's an easy ground ball.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: Out that's obviously what you.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: Do what did he?
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: Do he threw it to second base And Jaron duran
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 2: was not that far off the, base so he just
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: got back to second base and they didn't get anybody
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 2: out in the second baseman then was Like. CHISHOLM i
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 2: think it was like what the? Fuck and then had
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 2: to throw it to first. Base and whoever was the
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: bat or for The Red, SOX i THINK i might
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 2: have Been. Rafaela they couldn't get him out at, all
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: and it's so. STUPID i don't know what's going, on,
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: man but just you know some of the funny things
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 2: that have been going. On DO i think The redsucks
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: are gonna win this game?
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i don't.
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 2: KNOW i, MEAN i, hope But i'm going under in
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: this one man in the first five BECAUSE i don't
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: like The yankees, bullpen so we'll just take them out
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 2: of the. Equation their bullpen's been. Struggling they've seen a
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: lot of usage over the last couple of. Days yesterday three.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: Pitchers we'll take them out of the. Equation The Red
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: sox have seen lighter bullpen usage and they have the better,
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: bullpens so The Red sox do have the bullpen advantage. Here,
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: However chapman pitched the last two, days so he's not pitching,
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: today so The Red sox are.
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: Not gonna Have chapman Of. Villa but he's doing things
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: that you would never. Expect.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: Man he has outrageously good numbers this. Season what is
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 2: he like forty years?
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: Old it makes.
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 2: No sense how he's been this dominant this. Year it's absolutely.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: Crazy great pick up for The Red sox and The
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: yankees that they got rid of him not too long,
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: ago thinking he was. Done but. Whatever man And Walker,
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: bueller by the, way is now in The Red sox
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: bullpen yet. Great get him into the game, Today i'm
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: sure that'll be.
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: Great hopefully that doesn't, happen but we don't need to
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 2: worry about that for this play because we're focusing on
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching, matchup where even though The yankees do
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 2: have the hitting, Edge i'm gonna give The Red sox
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 2: the bullpen, edge just like yes, yesterday and you got
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: to give The Red sox a starting pitching edge year
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 2: With Garrett crochet on the, mound but we're going with
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: the under in this.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: One in the first Five, crochet he's having a good.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: Season the one thing you do have to worry, about,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: though is that.
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 2: He's wearing out a little, bit because this is the
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 2: most innings pitched that he's ever thrown in his career so.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: Far he's still a pretty young, dude and he's never
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: had actually like a full season as a.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: Starter but he's good enough THAT i think that it will.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: Continue two point four to THREE, era one point oh seven. Whip,
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: obviously he has great numbers this, year just slightly worse
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: on the road two point five TWO. ERA i, MEAN
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: i think you can kind of tell he's not wearing
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: down because even though he had a bad outing Against,
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: houston he bounced right back with a really good one
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: last time out Against. MIAMI i know their offense isn't that,
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: good but Hild in a one run in seven, innings eight,
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 2: strikeouts one walk this month FOR. Era not great just
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 2: because that one bad start At, houston but twenty one
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: to three strikeout walk. Ratio he had a good start
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 2: at the end Of july against The, dodgers pitched pretty
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: well against The cubs to start before, That so he
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: is still pitching well as far AS i can tell
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: against good lineups and against The.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: Yankees he's done pretty well in the.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: Past his sixty at bats twenty two to two strike
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio really, good two thirty three, average allowed
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: six to seventy five oh. Ps so we'll go With
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: crochet to still do well. Here and the other part of.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: This Is Will.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: WARREN i actually think he might be a little bit
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: better than people think he is for The yankees here
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: four point two to five, yr one point three to seven.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: WHIP i know that's not a good.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: Whip, obviously but he has been way better At Yankee,
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: stadium even though it's a hitter at Friendly park with
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: a two point six eighty two point eight six HOMEY.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 2: Ra he didn't make it five innings last time out
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 2: Against Saint. Louis he threw too many. Pitches he was
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: inefficient ninety five, pitches but he did holding a one
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 2: earned run and the fielding actually made mistakes behind. Him
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 2: SO i know we have to worry about the fielding
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 2: behind him in this, game, probably but he does have
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: a one point six five r in three starts this
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: month fifteen to four strike a walk, ratio so he's
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 2: rounded into four pretty. Well he's allowed two or fewer
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: earned runs in f five starts in a, row and
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: seven of his last eight starts with a couple of
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: decent offenses in there that didn't hit him that well
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: The Cubs, philly so he's been, decent although he hasn't
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: faced too many good lineups in.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: There but he is in decent form right, now and
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: The Red sox haven't done a whole lot against him
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: in only ten at. Bats they're actually pretty unfamiliar with.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 2: Him duran has the one hit against, them which is a.
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: Triple they have five walks two excuse five strikeouts two
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 2: walks Both, narvaias hilariously the X Yankee, narvaias who's doing
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: well for The Red. Sox Red sox only have a
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: one hundred average or The wong actually was the only
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: guy who got AN rbi in yesterday's. Game even The
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: wong is one of the most atrocious hitters you'll ever.
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 2: See he won them the game.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: Yesterday.
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: Anyway Red sox Against warren one hundred average five to fifty,
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: ops so they don't do well against him. Either so
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: we're going under in the first five innings, here and,
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: unfortunately the money is coming in on The. Yankees if
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: you're looking at the side, Here Red sox upper minus
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 2: one ten to minus one, thirteen but fifty seven percent
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: of tickets on. THEM i think two percent of the
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: cash coming in on The. Yankees public actually kind of
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 2: off The yankee. Train Now Red sox are back ahead
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 2: of them in the, division although of course if The yankees,
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 2: win THEY'LL i believe leap fraud back ahead of The Red.
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: Sox so it's this back and forth scenario. Here. Man
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: Obviously i'm gonna root for The Red sox. Here we'll
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: see what.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 2: HAPPENS i do think they have the pitching edge throughout the,
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: game The Red sox, too but they don't have the offensive,
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: Edge so we'll see what.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: Happens. Man USUALLY i lean towards.
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 2: The, pitching SO i wouldn't really want to play The yankees,
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: here BUT i think first five inning under is the
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: way to go, there and then you avoid having to
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: figure out what's gonna happen with the side.
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: There, YES i enjoy.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: Seeing The yankees, lose BUT i still worry that they'll
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: make the, playoffs and then they'll be pretty competitive once
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: they make the playoffs because they still have one of
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: the best run Differentials Boston. Tone, Yeah Araldis chapman is using.
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 2: Adrenochrome he might, be, man he seems like kind of
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: an untrustworthy, guy ALTHOUGH i trust his pitching right now
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: and then we'll have my last. Play AS i told,
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: you it's on The Kansas city And detroit game here
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 2: and it Is Kansas city on the money. Line let
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: me see what's what's the number that we can get
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 2: on this One Kansas city money? Line hold, ON i
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: gotta tell you what the number is THAT i could
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: get on. This it's at plus one oh. Six we're
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: going full game On Kansas. City we're gonna take The
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: royals in this. Game, MAN i think it's a spot
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: to do. IT i think the starting pitching matchup is
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: actually a pretty big. Mismatch we have the money coming
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: in On Kansas. City we see reverse line, movements so
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: we're going with the. Market read, Here detroit's down for
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty five to minus one eighteen fifty five
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on, them sixty two percent of the
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 2: cash coming in on The.
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: Royals so The royals are getting the money. HERE i
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: agree with it.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: Obviously the, total by the, way eighty five percent of,
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: tickets only eighty three percent of the cash on the,
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: over which is just kind of sitting at eight and a.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: Half But i'm not gonna deal with the total BECAUSE
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 2: i think one starting pitcher is better than the.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: Other.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: Here The royals have a decent bullpen. Here they used
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: three relief pitchers, yesterday But, falter who's one of their,
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: stars is really they use him in long relief. Yesterday
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: he's one of the guys they. Got they picked him
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: up From pittsburgh right before the trade. Deadline but because
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: they used him, yesterday that means basically all of their
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: high leverage arms are available in the game today for
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: the most. Part So Kansas city's bullpen is in good
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: rest shape here and they have the better. Bullpen detroit's
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 2: as well rested as, Well But detroit did Use finegan,
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: yesterday was one of their closer ish, guys one of
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 2: their later bullpen arms that they got From washington at
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 2: the trade, deadline And detroit's bullpen has actually fallen off
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 2: quite a.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: Bit as you can see.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: Here Kansas city is still seventh In bullpenny Ra detroit's
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: all the way down to, fifteenth so they've kind.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: Of slid off a little.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: Bit SO i think we got to Give Kansas city
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: the pitching edge here really throughout the entire, game even
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 2: though OBVIOUSLY i Know detroit's really good at.
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: Home detroit has the better. Hitting we all know.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: This But detroit has a ten and a half game
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: lead Over Kansas, city, man And Kansas city's just trying
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 2: to hang On. Detroit after Beating Kansas city yesterday as
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: well and Sweeping houston right before, That detroit feeling pretty
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: good about. Themselves you gotta, think, MAN i, know streaks
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: sometimes continuing, baseball But detroit's got a ten and a
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: half game lead in this. Division, MAN i don't think
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: they really care that much about this game right, now
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 2: even though of course they would like to have home
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: advantage against some of the other teams in THE. Al
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: but Still Kansas, CITY i think they have a little
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 2: bit more to play for. Here they have the pitching
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: edge across the board, here AND i mean they're fighting
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 2: for their playoff. Lives, basically you're getting him in a
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: slight underdog. Price SO i LIKE. Kc, here we Got
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: michael Walk up pitching For Kansas. City he's having a
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: pretty good.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: Season. Man he's a.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 2: Veteran he pitches pretty consistently. Well three point three FOUR,
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: era one point one to seven.
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: WHIP i. Know the one caveat here.
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 2: Is he's not really as good on the road four
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: erra on the road a little bit, worrisome but he's
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: been good. Recently Kansas city has won all five of
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: his last five. Starts he's gotten a win in his
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 2: last four. Starts did Face toronto And, boston both on
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 2: the road over that, span so he faced a couple
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: of pretty good offenses over that span and did well
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: in those starts. Too he's given up two or fewer
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: runs in six starts in a, row so he's in
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: really good form right. Now fourteen to two strike a
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 2: walk ratio this month in four. Starts didn't walk anybody
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: in three of the, four including those two against the
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: better offenses THAT i, mentioned so he's definitely in form right.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: Now two point four to NINETY r this. Month good.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 2: Command he's not a guy that strikes out a lot of,
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: guys so sometimes he struggles a little bit with the,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: walks but he's gotten those down. Recently, again his command is.
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: Good he's pitching well right. Now he has good numbers
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: Against detroit two and one hundred and fifty at, bats
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: even though they're very familiar with. Him thirty two to
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: thirteen strike a walk ratio is a little bit, iffy
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: but he sell him to a low two forty seven
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 2: batting average and a seven oh SEVEN. Ops it's not
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: really that high, either even though they do have five
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 2: hitters of homeward off him in the, past some of
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: those guys don't have particularly good batting averages against, him so.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: WALKA i think he has the upper hand man because
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: he's going on Against Chris paddock For, detroit like they
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: basically got him in the trade deadline From, MINNESOTA i
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: think to kind of just fill out their.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: Rotation he hasn't been.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: GREAT i, mean he's had some really good starts that
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: are mostly early in the, season but he hasn't been
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: as good. Recently five point ONE era this, year one
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 2: point two to SIX. Whip he was better at, home
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: but that was all With. Minnesota i'm pretty sure four
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: point three seven E ra it was all With, minnesota
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: except he had one start excusually In. Detroit his first
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: or no excusely two starts With.
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: Detroit. Excuson he had one good start his first start With.
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: DETROIT i guess he got pumped up when six innings
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 2: allowed one in run in the stadium Against. Arizona but
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: then he a good offense, Too but then he completely
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: backslid Against minnesota the next, time which is a much worse.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: Offense he inexplicably did. TERRIBLE i gave up.
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: Four and runs and four, innings had no strikeouts in the,
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: game and then he had a really bad start Against
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 2: minnesota his last time out. Too he gave up eight
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: earned runs to. Them so his former team just absolutely
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 2: destroyed him both. Times and maybe that's because his former
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: team knows what he's gonna throw at.
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: THEM i don't really.
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: Know but he did really, bad so he's really not
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: in good form.
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: Whatsoever.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 2: Man even though he had a decent start against The
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 2: White sox and the mix there with The White, sox
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: we know they can't. Hit he's got a seven point
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: six THREE, era even THOUGH i Know Kansas city can't
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: really hit.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: Either of, Course Kansas.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: City's offense is, bad But paddock seven point six THREE
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: era this. Month that's not good in those last three
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: starts eight to four strike a walk, ratio and THEN
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: i know all the bad was Against. MINNESOTA i get,
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: it but his numbers are not very good Against Kansas,
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: city as bad as their offense is forty five at
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: bats twelve to, five strike a walk ratio is, mediocre
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: two sixty seven batting average, mediocre but nine to eighteen
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: ops he's a lot a bunch of extra base hits to,
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: them although almost all the damages come From, yaz who's
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: seven to eighteen with three, doubles two one, runs two.
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: Walks if you want to go player prop, there you
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: could look that way With.
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 2: Yazz but, MAN i, MEAN i just think this is
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: a Bad it's still a bad matchup For. PADDOCK i
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: think he's the worst of these two. PITCHERS i think
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 2: he might be out of the game before walka. IS
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: i think he might get lit up again in this.
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: Game this is a pitching matchup WHERE i, MEAN i
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: Think detroit maybe it doesn't care about this game as.
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: Much Kansas city cares. More and it's a.
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 2: Rare, matchup, RIGHT i think you're gonna get the upper
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: hand With Kansas city, HERE i think are across the.
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: Board so we were going with The Kansas City royals
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: in that.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: Game.
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: Man so that's the final of the best, bets and
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: then we'll HIT nfl preseason real quick here, man some interesting.
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: Games the most interesting year is The ravens are up
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: from two and a half to four, now AND i
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: do like The ravens, side but they were at two
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: and a half earlier this, morning SO i think the
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 2: number is pretty much gone on The ravens if you
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 2: like The, ravens but you could still play them over
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: their team. Total and we Know. Washington they're Playing. Washington
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: washington doesn't have a good, defense SO i think The
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: ravens are actually the right side. Here neither team is
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: expected to play their, starter so you're not gonna get
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: Any Lamar jackson Or Jaydon daniels. Here But washington oddly
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: is on a short, week which you never see in.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: Preseason washington played On, monday so they have a really short.
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 2: Week The ravens have extra time to prepare for, this
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 2: and it looks Like horribaugh is back trying to win preseason,
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: games because you remember that was his huge. Thing he
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: won twenty four preseason games in a row up until
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: twenty twenty, three when then he lost some and then
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: he kind of slid the next couple of. Years last
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: the last two years hasn't been as. Good but this
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: year he's got The ravens, undefeated SO i actually think
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: he's going to be. Motivated his team's going to come
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: out motivated to try to. Win and by the, way
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 2: who was the team that Ended harrbaugh's record twenty four
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: game preseason wins. Streak what team did he lose that
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: to on a late field goal to win the? Game
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: it Was washington and they haven't Faced washington in the
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: preseason since. Then they didn't face them last. Year SO
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: i think this is a really rare spot where there's
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: actually a revenge angle that actually matters in. Preseason just
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 2: a very, weird unique situation in this. One SO i
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: think The ravens have a revenge angle here. TOO i
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 2: would lean to The ravens. Here don't think you really
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: could possibly lay a four on, them, though LIKE i
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 2: said on the, ROAD i want to do, it BUT
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: i Think ravens over their team.
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: Total might be the right way to.
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: Go total's gone up a little bit to thirty five
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 2: and a half juice to the over on the full
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: game total both, teams BUT i think The ravens are
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: gonna show some fire, there AND i think The ravens
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: actually probably have a little bit of the better quarterback
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: rotation as. Well at least they do Have Cooper rush in,
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: there who is probably gonna get most of the snaps
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: in the, game and he's got, experience he's played a
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: bunch OF nfl. Games washington probably Mostly Josh, johnson maybe
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 2: Some Sam hartman in, there BECAUSE i think fighting for
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: the number three spot For, washington so they'll both be the.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: Quarterbacks they're definitely not as good As Cooper. Rush who
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: would ever Think Cooper rush.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: Is the better quarterback in the? Game Colts. Bengals The
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: bengals are from one to two and a half.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: YEAR i think neither of these teams are gonna play
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: their starters in this, one Though Joe burrow has actually
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: already played multiple games in the preseason, now SO i
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: think he's not gonna play this, game or if he,
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: does it's gonna be like maybe one. Series but you,
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 2: know The bengals haven't been taking it more seriously in
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 2: preseason because they've started the regular season so bad the
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 2: last few, years SO i think but getting borrow some
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: reps in there during preseason should get him kind of
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: off on the right, FOOT i, think, SO i don't
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: know that he.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: Really needs to play in this.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: Game bengals are up to a tow and a half
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: point favorite here against The, colts BUT i don't know
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: that i'd really give out a lead in that particular.
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: Game And i'm just kind of explaining to what's going
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: on with that. Game we do Have Seahawks. PACKERS i
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: think neither of these teams are playing their starters. Either
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: packers are up to a three point favorite. Here fifty
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: takes eighty percent of the, cash so significant line moved
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: there on The packers for whatever. REASON i think they
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: probably do have the better personnel as far as the
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: you gotta look at the quarterback, depth, man that's what
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: it's all. About when the starters aren't playing. Here, SEATTLE
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 2: i think is actually gonna be Playing Jalen milroe Because
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: Drew locke their number. Two he is a lock for
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: their number two quarterback right now because he has a
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: lot of experience, obviously and he's been On seattle's team
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 2: for a, while so they don't he doesn't need the.
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: Reps So MILROW i think he's gonna play most of the,
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: game the young guy out Of, alabama and we don't
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: know what we're.
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: Gonna get out of him at. All he is at
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: least a dual threat for The.
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: PACKERS i don't know if they're gonna actually Play Malik,
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: willis to be, honest because he's been in THE nfl
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 2: for a while and he has some. Experience their other
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 2: quarterbacks Are clifford And. ELGERSMA i don't even know who that.
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: Is so The packers' depth chart doesn't really doesn't really
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: look good to.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 2: Me man neither of these Doing that's probably why the
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: total dropped to thirty. Seven so this game could actually
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: maybe be an under with both quarterback rotations not looking
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 2: very good. There The dolphins are all the way up
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: to a six and a half point favorite in this,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 2: game AND i don't even think either a.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: Team is playing their starters.
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: Here so The dolphins being up to six and a
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: half point favorite is a bit.
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: Odd in this.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 2: ONE i, MEAN i, Know jacksonville Without Trevor, lawrence there
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 2: is a huge drop off there to they Got Nick,
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 2: MULLENS i, mean he does at least have, experience and
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 2: Then hennigan who they, drafted and Then. Wolford don't even
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: really know who that, is so they're probably all gonna
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 2: be potentially in the mix there for The jags in
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: this Game. Miami If tua's not playing in this, game
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: WHICH i don't think he, is, though they Got Zach
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 2: wilson and they Drafted Quinn, yours so we'll see what happens.
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 2: There Zac wilson obviously does have, experience but he's not.
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 2: Good but he's played in THE NFL a. Lots that's
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 2: a very weird game as, well very very. STRANGE i
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 2: don't know why The dolphins would be a six and
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: a half point favorite unless two what was actually. Playing maybe he,
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: IS i don't really understand.
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: It.
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: Though chargers have flipped from the three point dogs at
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: one point favorite against The. Niners, obviously you know that's
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: at The, niners so you know that means The niners
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 2: are not playing their. Starters PERDY i don't think really
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 2: needs the rep so that that means maybe he'll be
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: cold to start the. Season, CHARGERS i don't Think Justin
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: herbert's playing in this, game, either but they have the
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: better backups they. GOT i already forget who they have
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 2: as their backup. Now but whoever it, IS i think
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 2: it's done well in the. Preseason chargers have done well
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: in the. Preseason the other Hob harbod has been taking it. Seriously,
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 2: oh it's.
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: Gonna Be Trey.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 2: Lance he's actually played pretty well in the preseason and
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: he might be fired up for this man because he's
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: actually playing against the nine, ors his former. Team so
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: it'll Be Trey, lance maybe a little bit Of, heineke
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: who does have a lot OF nfl experience as, well
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: and Then Yuga, leiley WHO i don't think is any
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: good at, all not a very experienced. QUARTERBACK i don't
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: know if he's going to get into the mix at all,
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: Either BUT i think it's Mostly Trey lance in this
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: game is mostly the. Reason and then The raiders are
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: a two point favorite At. ARIZONA i don't know if
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 2: that means The raiders are going to continue to play
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: their starters year With Gino. SMITH i mean you can
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 2: pretty much be Guaranteed Kyler murray is not going to
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 2: be playing For arizona. Here with the line like, THAT
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 2: i don't even know who they're backups. ARE i they
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 2: Got Jacoby, brissett who was very experienced and at least
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: doesn't make, mistakes and they only Have clayton tuned besides, that.
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: SO i guess it'll probably Be brissett just.
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: Getting some reps in there because they don't really have
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: any anything to figure out on that depth. Chart The, raiders, Though,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: yeah of course they still Have aid and, O'Connell so
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: he might see most of it, here trying to get
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 2: him some reps because he is definitely their second. String
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: they've already figured out THEIR qb depth. Chargers there are
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: no real question marks. There Cam miller don't really know
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 2: who he. IS i don't know if he'll get into
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 2: the game or. Not but quick rundown of the. FOOTBALL
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 2: i do think The ravens very unique. SITUATION i think
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: they're a decent way to look. THOUGH i almost was
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 2: gonna give out The ravens as a play at the
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: two and a half, earlier but we've lost that line
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: SO i won't do.
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: It but that's the breakdown for. Today man a long.
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 2: Video today once again my Plays Kansas state minus three
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 2: in the football game that's about to happen very. Soon
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: Red Sox yankees first five under the total of Four
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 2: Kansas City royal's full game money, Line Chicago cubs full
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: game run. Lines we're playing these games in all different ways, here,
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 2: man let's get it done.
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: Today that's gonna do. It Tower, game excuse you learned it?
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: Tone what AM i? Say let's Bring Tower game? Back
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i miss, it.
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: It's still force of, habit. Man learn to tone On,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: Twitter learn a tone On. INSTAGRAM i gotta put out
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: all this. Shit at LEAST i can put out the
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 2: other baseball plays a little bit later On instagram because
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: they're later games and hopefully the lines will still be.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 2: There learn to toad there as. Well better off dead of.
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 2: Course thanks guys for hanging, Out like, Subscribe let's get
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: me more, subscribers you, know let's boost the. Show we're on,
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: Audio spotify And apple of, course so you can rate
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: the show, there give me a good. Review covered in
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: you because my youth project on YouTube as, well AND
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 2: i have A patreon pedroon dot com slash learn to
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: toad you can get some bonus ut Content Tower, Gang Tower,
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: Gang Tower.
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: Gang let's bring it.
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: BACK i keep seeing like hilarious like content For Tower,
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: gang And i'm, LIKE i want to throw it in
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 2: the group chat and.
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: We, like we don't have A tower gang.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: Anymore like oh, Man LIKE i want to talk about
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: some of this ridiculous stuff THAT i keep seeing show
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: up very very.
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: Unfortunate but that's that is the situation right.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: Now. Man, anyway go if you missed, it go watch
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: MY Ncaa Football week zero. Video at the end of
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: the VIDEO i HAVE i THINK i have the chapters
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: in there now so you can find WHERE i talk
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 2: about the analysis on The Kansas state game. TODAY i
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: give out the analysis on that Case state Versus Io,
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: state so you go check that. Out AND i did
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 2: a college football preview prediction show the night prior to,
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 2: that so that's out as. Well, YEAH i, KNOW tg
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: worthy content is. Everywhere but, anyways thanks for hanging out.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: Guys Happy, saturday have a good weekend, everybody and peace
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: UNTIL i won't be back tonight because there's NO nfl
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: to really talk about. Yet we don't HAVE Nfl week
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: one for another like two WEEKS i think, so BUT
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 2: i will be back with a regular morning show at
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: least that.
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow. Peace