Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 275 - 5/9/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 275 - 5/9/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 275 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:37
Happy Friday. Our work week is coming to an
0:40
end. The weekend is upon us, guys,
0:42
and we got a lot to finish up this week to talk about.
0:45
And it's all going to be centered around the sport that's
0:48
been making us some money, especially last night, someone
0:51
told me a long time ago, maximize your edge.
0:54
So if you feel like you have an edge in one particular sport,
0:56
then devote your resources, devote your bankroll to that
0:59
sport you're doing well at. If you're doing great at
1:01
baseball, but you can't hit the broad side of a barn in hockey,
1:04
then why force hockey when baseball's your money maker or
1:07
vice versa? So again, you might feel as a
1:10
sports better. And I feel the same way.
1:11
I want to be great at all sports.
1:13
But again, some sports are better than others.
1:15
So we're going to focus on what's been doing well for us,
1:18
which is Major League Baseball. So that being said, I do have a
1:21
four pack of plays for you guys today.
1:24
See if we can at least get 2, hopefully three or more of these
1:26
plays. The theme of the day, we do have
1:28
a theme of the day. It's going to be rest versus
1:31
tired because there are a lot of situations today.
1:33
Almost all these games we're going to talk about where one
1:35
team is favored with a line move and they were off yesterday
1:39
versus the dog who again is in a situation where MLB favorites
1:43
have really, really crushed it. This dog is tired having played
1:46
the previous day. So that's kind of a a running
1:48
theme as well as some really good sharp mush edges from our
1:51
friends at Juice Rail. So a four pack of MLB plays.
1:55
We got the weekend upon us. I'm excited to see what my
1:57
Celtics can do tomorrow as their backs are against the wall.
2:00
But we have seen that line move in favor of Boston -4 1/2 to -5
2:04
1/2. Going to my buddy Fed's cookout
2:06
tomorrow. And we're all going to be, you
2:08
know, getting a little, a little inebriated watching the Celtics
2:11
game together. So I'm, I'm very much looking
2:12
forward to that. So hopefully everyone has a
2:15
great safe, safe weekend. We're getting a little tipsy,
2:18
but we're doing it because we're staying the night.
2:19
Old school, no driving involved. But anyway guys, 4 pack of them
2:23
will be today. Big weekend ahead.
2:25
Reminder as always, there's no podcast on Saturday and Sunday
2:29
because my wife would kill me if I if I did a podcast every day
2:32
because again, I got to show her some love.
2:34
We got to go to Bed Bath and Beyond or Home Depot.
2:37
However, even though there's no pod on the weekends, you're
2:39
still going to get some insights from me.
2:42
You can read the sharp reports that I write on Saturday and
2:44
Sunday for visen.com. You can just follow me on
2:47
Twitter at Josh under score Insights.
2:49
But then remember you can always support the pod.
2:51
I'm holding out the hat, holding out the tip jar, $4.99 a week.
2:55
If you sign up on Juice Reel to follow the official All Systems
2:59
Go Best Bet picks, they'll be available to you there so you
3:02
can get all the plays this weekend.
3:04
If you want a tail fade, do whatever you want, but remember
3:06
you're not completely by yourself on the weekends.
3:09
I'm still kind of there. I'm like, I'm like Obi Wan
3:11
Kenobi. It's shadow trying to teach
3:13
young Luke Skywalker. But anyway, guys looking back to
3:16
her last night, bust out the brooms. 3 and O + 1.97 units.
3:22
Had a good hit there with the the Toronto Toronto Maple Leafs.
3:25
The Toronto Blue Jays late got down early and I said here we go
3:28
again, but their bats came alive late.
3:30
Dalton Varsho hit a big Homer, got a win there late with the
3:33
Jays, also had a couple extra inning winners.
3:37
The Braves walked it off. They actually gave up A2 run
3:39
Homer. Iglesias came in, gave up A2 run
3:42
bomb. I was like, here we go, I'm
3:43
going to lose a -, 200 favorite. And then the Braves turned it on
3:46
bottom of the ninth, scored three runs to walk it off.
3:50
Or was that 9th or the extra innings?
3:51
Yeah, extra innings. Then the one that we really like
3:53
seeing was the Philadelphia Phillies, because they were down
3:56
late, tied it up in the ninth, were able to win that game extra
3:59
innings as well. And you might have even had a
4:01
better day because I played the Red Sox earlier that day.
4:04
That was a big winner. So if you've added the Red Sox
4:07
from the sharp report or from the all systems go best bets
4:09
page on juice rail, nice four and O day plus 2.65 units.
4:14
And I'll just tell you, being based in Boston right now, a lot
4:17
of talk is about the Celtics, but the other conversation about
4:20
Raphael Devers. This has nothing to do with
4:22
betting, but just tells you how crazy we are as sports fans in
4:25
New England. Raphael Devers refuses to play
4:28
first base. Pretty much scorched earth on
4:31
the GM yesterday in the post game comments.
4:33
So I got again, a guy making 330 million refuses to play first.
4:38
Meanwhile Mookie Betts, who should never have been traded,
4:40
that's the guy they should have given 300 and three 330 million
4:43
to. He pretty much plays every
4:45
position for the Dodgers, whatever the team needs.
4:47
That's Mookie Betts a winner versus Raphael Devers, a selfish
4:50
loser. And again, I'm a Red Sox fan.
4:53
But anyway, with that being said, let's get right back into
4:55
a guy's Major League Baseball theme of the day.
4:57
Rest first. Tired.
4:58
Let's talk about our 4 plays today.
5:00
See if we can get some winners on the diamond.
5:03
So first game I want to talk about early match up 7:05 PM
5:06
Eastern Time interleague showdown between the Milwaukee
5:09
beer makers and the Tampa Bay Rays.
5:11
So let's set the stage talk line movement.
5:13
I'll give you my play for this one.
5:15
So going into it we got the Brewers 500 team this year, 19
5:19
and 19 just took two or three though from the Stroh's couldn't
5:22
get the sweep. They did lose that series finale
5:24
9 to one as a + 115 home dog. On the other hand, the Rays 16
5:29
and 21, they've been when in all these years with smoke and
5:32
mirrors, well, maybe that's dried up a bit because the Jays
5:35
are the Rays, I should say. 16 and 21 just got swept by the
5:38
Phills, which was good for us and Philly backers yesterday.
5:42
Lost that series finale 7 to 6 and extras as a + 140 home dog.
5:46
So pitch a match up tonight. We got the Brewers going with
5:49
the lefty Jose Quintana, 4 and one 2.83 ERA.
5:53
He was a good offseason pick up. Rays meanwhile are going to go
5:56
with the righty Zach Litell. He's two and five with a 4.61
6:00
ERA. So what have we seen across the
6:02
market here? Well, this game's interesting
6:03
because it basically opened as a round of pick em.
6:08
Basically -110 both sides and sharps have said this shouldn't
6:13
be a pick em beer maker should be favored.
6:15
So big smart money has come down on Milwaukee steaming Milwaukee
6:20
up -110 to -115 some looks as high as -120 Now I got Milwaukee
6:25
at -115 I think the best price is -118 at FanDuel.
6:29
But again shop around cuz some books are up to -120 again,
6:33
always like it when hear hear me say this quite a bit.
6:35
But a pick em opener. Maybe the sharps who set their
6:38
own numbers based on their own power ratings have a pick em as
6:41
well. In that case, they're really not
6:43
making up taking a position cuz it's right where it should be.
6:46
There's no edge, but a lot of times game opens as a pick them
6:49
sharps disagree. They say no, this shouldn't be a
6:51
pick them, team A should be favored or team team B should be
6:54
favored. So anytime you see a pick them
6:55
opener and yet you see one team gets steamed up -120 I always
6:59
like to go with that line move because it tells me pros
7:01
probably had that team favorite to begin with.
7:04
Now bet splits look pretty good on the Brewers.
7:06
At DraftKings, they're getting 67% of money line bets, 71% of
7:11
money line dollars. At Circa, beer makers getting
7:14
62% bets, 75% dollars. So pretty similar here, but both
7:19
kind of indicate modest public support, heavy smart money, low
7:23
bets, higher dollars in favor of Milwaukee.
7:26
System matches are lit up on Milwaukee.
7:27
I have 9 systems overall here. Some of the best ones when both
7:31
teams are coming off a loss, which is the case here.
7:33
Take the favorite, that's 27 and 1171 percent, 15% ROI this year.
7:39
Favorites with a line move in their direction, who made the
7:41
playoffs the previous year, 132 and 5268 percent, 9% ROI.
7:47
And then your classic interleague favorites, 98 and
7:50
5863 percent, 6% ROI. Now the theme of the day, rest
7:55
first tired. Brewers have a rest first tired
7:57
advantage because Milwaukee was off yesterday, did not play a
8:02
game, got their position players a day off their feet.
8:04
You can rest your bullpen, push back your starter.
8:07
Meanwhile, the Rays just played an extra innings game against
8:10
the Phillies. So you have one team rested,
8:12
didn't play at all, Milwaukee the other team tired, who played
8:16
and had to go into extras and use their pen in this spot.
8:19
A rested favorite coming off a day off.
8:22
Those teams are 60 and 26th this year, 70%, fourteen percent ROI.
8:27
Milwaukee gonna hope that Cantana pitches well and the
8:30
bats can get to latell. But Milwaukee is hitting 244
8:33
against righties. Doesn't seem amazing.
8:35
It's 18th in baseball. But Tampa Bay is only hitting
8:38
$1.97 below the Mendoza Line against lefties, 27th in
8:43
baseball. Cantana, by the way, has been
8:45
really good on the road. At home, he's got a 5.91 ERA on
8:49
the road ERA of just one. He's on the road tonight and
8:52
then we'll tell 5 point O 6 ERA at home.
8:55
He's actually been better on the road 4.32 ERA.
8:58
So you add it all up, pick him opener steam toward Milwaukee,
9:02
rest first tired system matches and oh by the way, a 16% sharp
9:07
mush edge in favor of the beer makers.
9:10
Add all up. Let's make some beer tonight.
9:12
Let's go Milwaukee. I got him at -115 Next bet for
9:16
you. 7:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch between the Miami Marlins
9:21
and the Chicago White Sox. So we got the Marlins coming in
9:24
14 and 22 on the year. Just dropped two or three
9:27
against the Dodgers. They lost that series finale
9:30
12:50 as a + 185 home dog. Meanwhile, the White Sox 10 and
9:34
28. Another bad year.
9:36
They just got swept by the Royals.
9:37
They lost 10 to nothing yesterday as a + 210 Rd. dog.
9:42
So for the interleague opener tonight, we have Marlins going
9:45
with the ready Max Meyer. He's two and three with a 3.92
9:48
ERA. Meanwhile, the White Sox are
9:50
going to go with fellow righty Bryce Wilson.
9:52
He's Owen one with a 5.56 ERA. So what are you seeing across
9:56
the market here? Well, even though we have two
9:58
pretty bad teams going head to head, all the smart money's
10:01
going with Miami. Let's fade the White Sox here,
10:03
guys. Let's go fish this game.
10:05
Open Miami around a -, 135 -, 140 Rd. favorite.
10:10
I got Miami at -146 most books are now up to -150 looks like
10:15
Bet MGM is your best price. Other books are at -155 S
10:18
nothing but steam. One way support in favor of
10:21
Miami. DraftKings about 80% of bets and
10:26
dollars are on Miami. At Circa, 80% bets, 99% dollars
10:30
on Miami. So I really like that circa
10:32
split out in Vegas. Tell me we got big, sharp,
10:35
lopsided action in favor of Miami.
10:38
I have 5 system matches on the Marlins here.
10:40
Interleague favorites 63 percent 6% ROI.
10:44
Favorites off a loss. The bounce back system 143 and
10:47
8762 percent, 5% ROI. A below 500 favorite against the
10:52
team that missed the playoffs the previous year, 88 and 4765
10:56
percent, 8% ROI. Again, theme of the day.
11:00
Rest first. Tired Miami has the rest.
11:02
First tired advantage here because they were off yesterday.
11:05
Meanwhile, the White Sox played the Royals in KC now are
11:09
traveling back to Chicago. Rested favorites coming off a
11:12
day off. As we mentioned prior, 60 and 26
11:15
this year, 70% fourteen percent ROI.
11:19
Hopefully Meyer pitches well and the bats can get to Wilson.
11:21
Miami does have the better offense, hitting 24932 homers,
11:25
157 runs scored. Chicago only hitting 2/16/26
11:30
homers, 128 runs scored. Marlins, by the way, hitting 245
11:34
on the road. That's actually 12th best in
11:36
baseball. White Sox are only hitting 216
11:38
at home. That ranks 27th.
11:41
It doesn't hurt. We have a 5% sharp mush edge
11:44
from Juice Reel on Miami. So hey, anything positive,
11:47
anything that tells me we got more of the sharper players on
11:49
our side. That's never a bad thing.
11:51
But even though Miami might not be the, you know, the best team
11:54
to lay -150 with, they're going up against Chicago.
11:58
They got good steam in their favor.
11:59
Rest first. Tired, sharp mush edge, quite a
12:02
few systems. I am on the fish.
12:04
I got him at -146 again. Looks like your best price now
12:07
is -150 Next one for you. Let's go out to Minnesota. 8:20
12:13
PM Eastern Time. First pitch between the San
12:15
Francisco Giants and the Minnesota Twins.
12:19
Now the G men come in 24 and 14. Just took two or three against
12:23
the Cubbies. One that series finale, 3 to 1
12:25
as a + 135 row dog. You know the Twins, they're
12:28
pretty hot. They've got a good streak here
12:30
going. They're 18 and 20 on the year,
12:33
but did just sweep the Orioles. They won five to five to two
12:36
yesterday as a -, 140 home favorite.
12:39
So pitch a match up here. We have for the interleague
12:42
series opener, the Giants going with the Rady Jordan Hicks.
12:45
He's one and three with a six point O3 ERA and the Twins are
12:48
going to go with the fellow Rady Chris Paddock O and three 5.57
12:52
ERA. What are we seeing across the
12:54
market here? Well, this one's interesting
12:56
because we opened this game Minnesota a short -120 home
13:00
favorite San Fran around it, even money plus 100 Rd. dog.
13:04
And this line is not move further toward Minnesota.
13:07
It's come tumbling down in favor of San Fran.
13:10
So San Fran went from a + 100 Rd. dog to now a -, 110
13:15
basically pick em play. So this isn't a dog to fave line
13:18
move, but it is a dog to pick em line move.
13:20
And again, you are seeing some shops hop the fence and
13:22
officially make San Fran a favorite here.
13:25
But either way, all movements bend toward the Giants.
13:28
So I want to back the Giants in this spot they are getting at
13:31
DraftKings. 67% bets, 77% dollars.
13:36
At circa 69% bets, 99% dollars. So again that both splits look
13:42
pretty good. Low bets, higher dollars.
13:44
But that circa 1 looks really sharp in favor of the G men.
13:47
Once again, theme of the day. Rest first tired San Fran off
13:50
yesterday. Twins played at home against the
13:52
Orioles. San Fran does have the more
13:54
explosive offense. They've hit 39 homers and scored
13:57
183 runs. Twins have only hit 33 homers
14:01
and scored 152 runs. Giants also better bullpen.
14:05
If this becomes a tight game late, let's hope San Fran's
14:07
bullpen can shut the door. They have a 2.47 bullpen ERA.
14:12
That's the third best in baseball.
14:14
Twins aren't terrible, but they're kind of middle of the
14:16
pack. 3.42 ERA. So Long story short, open as a
14:20
short dog even now flip to a pick em or even slightly maybe a
14:23
favorite. I'm going San Fran here guys
14:26
give me the G man. Hopefully getting a win for us
14:29
in an interleague series match up.
14:31
I got the giants at -1 O 8 at FanDuel.
14:34
Next one for you. I fully admit this isn't the
14:37
greatest line move or bet splits play, but it is a great rest.
14:41
First tired play and then we're fading a team that has been
14:44
really, really bad and flip it the other way.
14:46
Really good to fade this year. So I'm going to look at the San
14:49
Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies. 8:40 PM Eastern Time,
14:53
first pitch here. We have San Diego coming into
14:56
the series having lost two of three against the Yankees.
15:00
Meanwhile, the Rockies, they just got swept by Detroit.
15:03
And I'm kicking myself because yesterday, Detroit, they won a
15:05
double header 1:50 and 11:00 to 1.
15:07
And I didn't play either of those games because as stubborn
15:10
as I am, not a great bet split, no line movement, but didn't
15:14
really matter. Colorado is that bad?
15:17
So you might kind of know where I'm heading with this one, but
15:19
let's just kind of break it down like we do any other game we
15:22
have. The father's going with the
15:24
ready Randy Vasquez today, he's one in three 3.9 O ERA.
15:28
You know all the Rockies are going to go with Antonio
15:30
Senzatella, another righty. He's one in five with a 5 point
15:33
O 5 ERA or 5.5 O ERA. And what do we see across the
15:37
market? As I mentioned, not a huge line
15:39
move. You basically opened San Diego
15:41
around a -. 165 Rd. favorite. They've kind of stayed -165 We
15:45
do have some shops that are as high as -170 or -175 but out of
15:50
principle, I'm back in the San Diego Padres here, guys.
15:54
I got them at -165 They're still available there at ESPN BET.
15:58
But here's some some reasons to like San Diego here.
16:02
Number one is the schedule spot theme of the day is rest first
16:05
tired. This is the ultimate rest first
16:07
tired because the Padres were off yesterday and Colorado, not
16:11
only did they play yesterday, but they played a double header.
16:14
So they're playing their third game in two days.
16:16
San Diego's been off. That is a big pronounced
16:18
advantage. Rest first, tired in favor of
16:20
the Padres. I also like San Diego as a
16:23
system match because they did just lose 2 straight against the
16:27
Yankees. So I feel like you lose two in a
16:29
row, you got a day off, you're rejuvenated and you got to get
16:31
back on track again. Now you're facing Colorado, who,
16:34
by the way, the Padres are three and O against this year.
16:37
But a lot of line system matches here on the fathers faves with
16:41
line movement who made the postseason the previous year 132
16:44
and 6268 percent 9% ROI that rested favorite with a day off
16:50
70% fourteen percent ROI faves off a loss, 62 percent, 5% ROI
16:56
Rd. fave off a loss made the playoff 65 percent 7% ROI.
17:00
And then I have a system that is called Fade the Rockies.
17:04
Guys, we're getting to a point here where maybe we can I, I
17:07
don't want to jinx it because once you kind of stray away from
17:10
your overall model, that's when you can get in trouble.
17:13
But should we just look to fade the Rockies quite a bit this
17:15
year? I think it we might be
17:16
approaching that point. Probably we're past it at this
17:18
point. But fading the Rockies has
17:20
resulted in a 31 and 6 record 84% win rate, 27% ROI, and $100
17:27
better. Like betting against the Rockies
17:28
every game is up nearly $1000. So all of that is lit up here in
17:33
favor of San Diego and against the Sandy, against the Colorado
17:36
Rockies. Also look at the offense of San
17:41
Diego. They're hitting 256.
17:43
They've scored 143 runs. Colorado's only hit 211.
17:47
Scored 115 runs. Colorado's only four and 14 at
17:50
home. Worst home team in baseball.
17:53
Better bullpen for San Diego. They're the number one pen in
17:55
baseball. 2.42 ERA. Colorado 3.77 and the Padres on
18:01
the road, 9th best batting average 247.
18:04
Colorado at home hitting 233. That ranks 23rd.
18:07
So it's not a 10 or 20 cent steam move.
18:10
It's not an insane bet split, but we got a lot of system
18:13
matches. We got a huge rest first tired
18:15
advantage. I'm taking a shot on the
18:17
father's here, guys, shop around.
18:18
I got him at -165 S San Diego, San Francisco, Miami and
18:23
Milwaukee. Can we get at least two?
18:25
Can we get three or more? That would be even better.
18:28
So that about does it for episode 275 of the All systems
18:32
Go sports betting podcast, as always, powered by rhythm.
18:35
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
18:38
start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
18:41
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
18:44
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
18:47
with me. If you do enjoy the pod, if it's
18:49
become part of your sports betting routine, maybe you play
18:52
all the games with me. Maybe you pick and choose.
18:54
Maybe you fade them all totally up to you, but I appreciate you
18:59
guys and if you do enjoy the pod, could you do me solid?
19:02
Could could you please give this podcast a five star review on
19:05
Spotify or iTunes? It would go a long way to
19:08
helping us to continue to grow the podcast and reach more
19:11
listeners. If you want to leave a nice
19:13
comment under the review section, hey, I'll take it.
19:16
If you want to recommend the pod to a friend, word of mouth is
19:18
always great. But also if there's a follow
19:20
button, click that follow button.
19:22
That way you get alerted as soon as it drops each day it'll be a
19:25
pop up notification on your smartphone.
19:28
Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown data-driven,
19:31
sharp contrarian betting betting games with your head and not
19:34
your heart. Based on what the market is
19:35
telling us will every market move when no.
19:38
I wish it was that easy, but it's not betting is difficult,
19:42
but if we can stay true the model long term, that's how we
19:44
turn a profit. So if you enjoy the style of
19:47
betting breakdown, you want to learn more about data-driven
19:49
betting, you want to support the pod.
19:51
You want to tell someone in, in your, in your world, in your
19:54
circle, hey, you like betting? Well, hey, maybe you should
19:57
think about embracing some of these concepts that we talk
20:01
about each day. And in order to do that, all you
20:03
got to do is go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide
20:07
to Sports betting. It's the first book I ever
20:09
wrote. It's got everything I've learned
20:11
in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
20:13
to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how to
20:16
place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best line,
20:19
how to set up a bankroll management plan.
20:21
It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
20:24
Betting. So pick up a copy and while
20:26
you're still on Amazon. Next thing you want to do is
20:28
type in the NFL sharp betting playbook.
20:31
It's my new book comes out August 12th.
20:33
Cannot wait. I actually just got the cover
20:35
today and it looks spectacular. Actually, I'm probably going to
20:39
tweet that out after the pod. Pick up a a copy of the
20:43
everything guide, pre-order the NFL sharp betting playbook.
20:45
Bring him the sports book. I'll buy you a beer, I'll sign
20:48
them for you and we'll all set some games together next.
20:52
Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
20:54
My two favorite sports betting apps.
20:56
Well, if you haven't, what are you doing?
20:58
It is a 2 great sports betting apps that can help you win
21:02
because they're all based on data and information no bias,
21:05
just just the numbers. So obviously rhythm.
21:08
You know by now they're fantastic AI backed models and
21:11
predictions for game bets and player props.
21:13
And then we have of course, have Juice Reel, another fantastic
21:16
sports betting app where you can sign up to sport the pod by
21:20
getting those $4.99 a week best bet picks.
21:24
Again, the pods free. Would you consider that each pot
21:27
is worth a dollar worth of insights or even I guess?
21:30
Yeah, 5 a week, it's 5 bucks. You get the weekend bets as
21:33
well. But I hope that's the case.
21:35
And if you want to sign up, that'll make my day.
21:37
That's probably my favorite thing when I see more people
21:39
sign up for the best bets cuz hey, it's pretty awesome.
21:44
But anyway, it's not just the best bets.
21:45
You're also going to get the sharp mush indicators, the Robo
21:48
Jackson official best bets from Juice Reel that go through the
21:51
AI calculator, and also the sharp mushes and the syncing up
21:56
of your sports books, getting a running report card of reaction,
21:59
and also getting the real dollar breakdowns bets and dollars for
22:02
every game based on everyone who has again synced up their books
22:05
with Juice Reel. So download rhythm, download
22:08
Juice Reel, you'll be off and running.
22:10
Give him a five star review in the App Store while you're at
22:12
it. Next, do you use a live odds
22:16
page #1 what do you know, the live odds pages?
22:19
That's OK If you don't, it is basically a page that you go to
22:22
that gives you every game on the board, gives you the lines for
22:26
every single game, gives you an opening column that tells you
22:29
the opening number next to all the current odds.
22:31
You can immediately see which direction the line is moving.
22:33
You can pull up the line history.
22:34
The page gets lit up in red as soon as any odds change or the
22:38
juice changes or the total or the money line or spread goes up
22:41
or down. And most of all, you can shop
22:43
for the best price and find that best number.
22:47
So there are a lot of live odds pages out there.
22:49
To me, it's probably the single most important piece of
22:52
information that you need if you're going to bet like this on
22:55
a daily basis or not. Even if you have a different
22:57
approach, you need a live odds page.
22:59
So there are a lot out there, but I would recommend giving
23:03
Odds Logic a shot. It's the best one at the best,
23:05
cheapest rate. All you got to do is go to
23:07
oddslogic.com/josh 123. Again, that's Odds
23:13
logic.com/josh 123. Once you do that, you'll get a 7
23:17
day free trial and then 50% off your first month.
23:20
So that about does it for episode 275 of the ASG pod.
23:24
Hopefully finishing up the week strong here tonight.
23:26
Guys, as always, I'm gonna leave you with a couple things.
23:29
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
23:32
River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
23:34
Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
23:37
Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino R.E.M.
23:39
Gem Springfield in my neck of the woods and Massachusetts.
23:43
Or of course, the Nash, my my local book here close to me in
23:46
Nashville, New Hampshire, or out in the desert, where the true
23:48
grinders get down. Or Billy Walters sends his
23:50
number runners where the lowest use possible is found at the
23:53
South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
23:55
plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
23:57
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
24:00
you're going to walk up to me. You're going to open up the
24:03
janitor's closet and just bring out a broom.
24:05
And we're going to smile and we're going to take a shot.
24:07
So Friday night, let's have some fun.
24:09
But show me a Jays ticket, a Braves ticket, a Phillies
24:11
ticket, a Red Sox ticket. If you got that play in earlier,
24:15
guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
24:16
you. We'll post about the book.
24:18
Sweat sharp and train plays all night long.
24:21
So with that being said, three and OO and three, two and one,
24:24
one and two again, four and OO and four, two and two, three and
24:28
one, one and three again the previous day.
24:30
We always hope we have a good winning day, but betting's hard.
24:33
So don't get down on yourself if you have a couple losses,
24:36
continue to grind. Stick to the model, stick to the
24:38
blueprint. When you're hot, you're never as
24:40
good as you think. When you're cold, you're never
24:42
as bad as you think. So if we can stick to that
24:44
model, which again, we're not betting every game, we're only
24:47
betting the games that fit our criteria.
24:49
Similar situations where we can be simultaneously against the
24:53
public with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays,
24:56
get that closing line value. If we can do that long term, I'm
24:59
pretty confident with that we're going to be successful betters.
25:02
So have a great Friday night everybody.
25:05
Enjoy your weekend again, check out the sharp reports and the
25:08
All systems go best bets on the Juice real app this weekend.
25:12
But then after that, I will see you guys back on Monday and
25:15
that'll be episode 276 of the All systems Go sports betting
25:19
podcast powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody, have a
25:22
great Friday night and an even better weekend.