Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / 🚨ALERT! - This is HARD To BELIEVE ✅ (Gold and Silver Price, Fed rate cuts!)
Transcript
- 0:02The gold price is soaring. Silver is pathetically low right
- 0:07now. The silver price should easily
- 0:09be at $50 per oz right now. And I have a big number of
- 0:14reasons that I'm going to share with you today that will make it
- 0:18very clear to us just how incredibly undervalued the
- 0:23silver price is right now. I hope you're doing great.
- 0:26Thank you for being here. Thanks for being a basement
- 0:29dweller. OK?
- 0:30Please give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy your time here
- 0:34and it gets crowded. It's growing.
- 0:36More and more people are knocking on the basement door.
- 0:39You're here right now. It's a big deal.
- 0:41Please subscribe to the channel. Give this a thumbs up and you
- 0:44can share it with your grandma. Anybody you like share the
- 0:47video. Super chats are always super
- 0:50appreciated guys. We got a number of very
- 0:53interesting reasons why the silver price in particular
- 0:58should be much higher. Let's get started.
- 1:00Let's start digging in right now.
- 1:02We're going to go to a chart here.
- 1:03This is the gold to silver ratio and we have an interesting
- 1:07development that I spotted last night that I want to point out
- 1:11to you now. The gold to silver ratio.
- 1:14This is a 30 year chart of the gold to silver ratio.
- 1:17It measures how many ounces of silver it takes to get one ounce
- 1:21of gold. You simply divide the gold price
- 1:24what 2650 by the silver price and that'll tell you how many
- 1:30ounces of silver you need to buy right now it's super high right
- 1:35now it's around 85. Yes, it would take you 85 ounces
- 1:39of silver to get one ounce of gold.
- 1:40But what indicates to us that we are getting near a breaking
- 1:46point is this triangle formation on the 30 year chart.
- 1:50If you can see these two blue lines, you can see they form a
- 1:54triangle in which in which the gold to silver ratio has been
- 1:58trading for oh easily the last two or three years.
- 2:03If we just look at the furthest part to the right, but really
- 2:05going all the way back to about 10 years ago, it will break out
- 2:09of this triangle. What I see is the downward slope
- 2:14is more powerful. Now I need to remind you of
- 2:16this. This is a situation where for
- 2:19the silver price, the lower this ratio goes, the IT is for the
- 2:24silver price, OK. And it looks to me like we have
- 2:28more downward force. Eventually that red line will
- 2:32break out of that triangle either to the upside or the
- 2:36downside. But I also want to draw your
- 2:39attention to the fact if you look on the left hand side and
- 2:43you go to like 85 or 90 and draw an imaginary line across the
- 2:48screen, we have hardly ever been above 90, which gives us even
- 2:53more reason and knowledge to know that this gold to silver
- 2:57ratio, when it does break out of this triangle will most likely
- 3:02break to the downside. We had a a kind of a fluke back
- 3:05during C19. You can see around the year 2020
- 3:08where it shot up. Remember when silver crashed
- 3:11over the weekend during the early days of the C19 crisis?
- 3:15Really, you can take that out and it was a very short period
- 3:18of time. And you can see that we've
- 3:20really historically never been hired.
- 3:23Now where it gets even more interesting.
- 3:24And don't you worry, basement dwellers, I'll be right back
- 3:27looking you in the eye. I can still see you right now.
- 3:30You're important, OK. But if we look back over time,
- 3:34I, I hear people say 50 is kind of a long term average.
- 3:38But even on this chart, I would say 60 to be conservative, a
- 3:44gold to silver ratio of 60. And if we take the current gold
- 3:48price, we'll just take 2600 here.
- 3:51Let me take a look at you. Hold on here.
- 3:53Let's see where we could be, should be on the go on the
- 3:56silver price right now at a 60 to one gold to silver ratio.
- 4:01We'll do it with exact numbers because we want to get this to
- 4:05the penny. We'll go out to our friends at
- 4:07Pembacs and right now we are wow.
- 4:10Gold is up $12.00 per oz Silver having a little bit of a rough
- 4:15morning, down 17 cents. Nothing to get crazy about.
- 4:18But if we take the gold price $2632.00.
- 4:24Hi everybody. 2632 and divide that by the current silver price
- 4:323095 thirty point 95 we get 85 to one OK now, so we're at 85
- 4:42right now on this gold to silver ratio.
- 4:44If we take the current gold price 2632 and divide that by
- 4:51sixty, that would be a 60 to one ratio.
- 4:54That's 44 look like I've called for by Christmas, $43.86.
- 5:02That would be $44.00 silver if we had a 60 to one gold to
- 5:08silver ratio, meaning that it only took 60 ounces of silver
- 5:12for you to get your little basement dweller paws 60 ounces
- 5:16of silver to get one ounce of gold.
- 5:18We'll look at it one more time quickly.
- 5:20OK, quickly look over there, guys.
- 5:23OK, When we look at this chart, 60, I'm going to pull it up full
- 5:26screen. 60 is like easily the average since 1995.
- 5:34So, you know, say what you will about the silver price, but
- 5:39silver is vastly, vastly undervalued, no doubt about it.
- 5:43We're going to look at some other factors later.
- 5:45There's a lot more reasons, right?
- 5:46We're going to compare silver to the NASDAQ, which is just
- 5:50absolutely mind blowing and see how we could, well we could have
- 5:57we could have a silver price. I don't want to I don't want to
- 5:59give it away, but it will be very, very high.
- 6:01Let's say that next thing I want to talk about is like another a
- 6:05secret. This is a brand new reason why
- 6:08we can be optimistic about silver.
- 6:10I got a great e-mail this morning from my friend Oren the
- 6:15Silver Hermit. I've one paragraph I want to
- 6:17highlight from a recent Substack post that he put out and uh oh,
- 6:24hold on here. All right, here we go.
- 6:30This is the silver hermit Substack or an Elbaz.
- 6:33Great guy. He's been on the channel, loves
- 6:35silver and puts out some unbelievable research.
- 6:39But I just want to draw your attention to this because this
- 6:42is the one of the there's some secret factors and I'm going to
- 6:46give you some examples right now.
- 6:48One big example of a factor that could really propel the silver
- 6:52price higher, he says. But the main reason why I think
- 6:55that the price of silver can really go berserk is the
- 6:59speculative Dr. which the public has adopted in recent years.
- 7:04Think about this guys. People are into crypto
- 7:08currencies, people are into these crazy high flying tech
- 7:12stocks. People are in.
- 7:14I mean, there's so many bubbles that are out there right now.
- 7:17It's like a new mindset And listen to how he puts it because
- 7:20I think he sums it up. What happens when that mindset,
- 7:24ask yourself this question, what happens when that mindset comes
- 7:28to the silver market? People have learned that hard
- 7:32work and creativity no longer guarantee a decent life
- 7:34standard, and that successful speculation in real estate or in
- 7:38stocks is the only way to escape poverty.
- 7:41Silver is an asset which very few people own.
- 7:45If just a tiny amount of the capital which is sloshing around
- 7:49in the financial markets finds its way to silver, it can really
- 7:54catch fire, OK? People have speculative mania
- 7:59that hasn't even begun to come into the precious metals
- 8:02markets, hasn't even begun to come into the silver market or
- 8:06the precious metal mining stock market, OK.
- 8:09And it's just a tiny bit of that capital.
- 8:11I mean, guys like one percent, 2% of that capital, it, it makes
- 8:16like 100% different difference in things like the silver market
- 8:20or the precious metal mining stock market, OK, Just a tiny
- 8:25amount of the capital which is slashing around in the financial
- 8:28markets finds its way to silver. It can really catch fire.
- 8:30It has the potential to become a self reinforcing phenomena.
- 8:35A sudden increase in the silver price for instance, due to banks
- 8:39being forced to liquidate their short positions will attract the
- 8:42attention of investors who will start buying it and bidding up
- 8:46its price. OK so so far we know silver is
- 8:51crazy undervalued from the gold to silver.
- 8:53I mean, just to get back to even normal conservative gold to
- 8:57silver ratio, we're looking at $44.00 silver.
- 9:01Oren brings up a critical point. What a great example, right?
- 9:06There's no, there's no speculative mania in the silver
- 9:10market. Well, maybe in India.
- 9:12I'm going to show you some examples of that crazy in a
- 9:15little bit, but in the. OK, OK, thank you.
- 9:20All right, guys, there's ten rings of the pocket pinger for
- 9:26100 thumbs up from you, my basement to all their friends.
- 9:29Thank you very much. As as the speculative money
- 9:33starts to come back into the silver market, it just starts to
- 9:36come back in. It's going to be it'll be
- 9:39absolutely huge. We know Extra's pyramid.
- 9:42We know. I mean, we're talking just a a
- 9:44tiny bit. It's like trying to drain Hoover
- 9:48Dam with a garden hose because the markets are so small.
- 9:52I read this morning and the entire another reason why silver
- 9:58is undervalued. The entire market cap of the
- 10:02silver mining sector is worth like 1% of the entire crypto
- 10:08market. OK, there's big Wilds.
- 10:10I mean, I'm not anti crypto or anything like that, but there
- 10:14certainly seems to be some wild speculation within the crypto
- 10:18market. And if just 1% of that money,
- 10:21right, that 1% of that money represents the entire silver
- 10:26mining sectors market cap. It really, really is crazy.
- 10:30I'll tell you another this, the herd is coming, the western
- 10:35herd, I believe they're coming. OK, one reason why, right?
- 10:38It's wake up time. I can tell you from my own
- 10:42experience and from other people that are in the precious metals
- 10:45sector on YouTube, more and more people are joining us.
- 10:49Look, we almost 400 people and it's getting crowded down here.
- 10:54You better get a good seat, right, Basement dwellers?
- 10:57By the way, I'm glad you're here.
- 11:00You're important, you matter, you're part of the group.
- 11:03We see you. OK, welcome to the club.
- 11:05If you want to call yourself a basement dweller, you can.
- 11:09OK, now we want to hear from you.
- 11:11Please leave comments in the comments section because what
- 11:14you think is important, but the fact that viewership and it's
- 11:18not. I would like to think that that
- 11:21the reason that views on my channel are up are because of my
- 11:24dynamic personality and boyish good looks.
- 11:27But Susie disagrees with that. I think it's because we just
- 11:31naturally have a growing number of people in the United States
- 11:36who are starting to wake up to what's going on.
- 11:39And it's just the beginning, but it's happening, OK.
- 11:43And as this as this situation develops, as we move through the
- 11:48end of the year, to me, and I've noticed this over the last three
- 11:52years, that when when more people start watching the gold
- 11:56and silver YouTube videos, it seems like demand for the
- 12:00metals, especially at the retail levels start to go up.
- 12:04And what what, why is that important, right?
- 12:07That's a critical factor as we go into the next two years.
- 12:10The guy, Jeff Christian at CPM group, he said what's and he
- 12:14predicts higher silver prices in the next year or two.
- 12:16He said one of the driving, big driving factors will be investor
- 12:22demand. All these new people joining us
- 12:25in the basement, joining other YouTube coin shop, Chris, right?
- 12:29For instance, ball guy money, right?
- 12:31Everybody's views are going up and up and that's because new
- 12:35investors are coming into the market.
- 12:37And on top of that, and we haven't talked about this for a
- 12:39while, another another critical big reason why we're going to
- 12:45have more money coming in is because we have more female
- 12:49stackers coming into the silver and gold community.
- 12:52I've noticed a big uptick. Again, you know, I'd like to
- 12:55attribute that to my boys good looks and dynamic personality
- 12:59charm, but Susie disagrees. So welcome to all the women.
- 13:04Welcome to all the new stackers. Everybody say welcome.
- 13:06You know what? Here, let's put it in because,
- 13:08guys, we are growing. I'm going to put my money where
- 13:11my mouth is and say welcome, if I can spell it properly.
- 13:16Welcome. OK, we got a lot going on.
- 13:20OK. Oh, more, more proof.
- 13:24One more reason why we know is because the ETF flows are up
- 13:29more money, it's actually positive, net positive, more
- 13:32money right now going into the gold and silver ETF's.
- 13:36That's retail investor and that can be some institutional
- 13:40investors as well. But just the very fact that
- 13:43we've got positive flows for the first time in a long time into
- 13:47the ETF's. And don't forget, right, with
- 13:50the coolest smart, you know what, the coolest smartest?
- 13:52The reason to be optimistic? Bill Streibel from Blue Line
- 13:56Futures. He pointed out this fact that
- 13:58like historically, people don't really start moving into the
- 14:02gold and silver ETFs until a month after Jerome Powell and
- 14:07the Federal Reserve cut interest rates.
- 14:09And then it goes on for like 6 months.
- 14:11So we could be woof, are you? We're not.
- 14:14We got, we have more reasons why silver and gold are going to be
- 14:18going uppity, uppity, uppity. But again, thank you, basement
- 14:21dwellers. Are you feeling comfortable now?
- 14:23We're at 450 people. There's only room for 800 in the
- 14:27basement. They're going to we're going to
- 14:29have to lock the door guys. And, and, and that's not joking
- 14:33around. What that means when I say that
- 14:37is I will lock the door right when we get to 800.
- 14:40I thought there's only so many people that are going to be able
- 14:43to get the medals once this really takes off.
- 14:48OK, look, I could be wrong. Don't make any financial
- 14:50decisions based on what I'm saying, but but we could be in a
- 14:54situation where we will have to lock the door to the basement
- 14:58because there's going to be no more metals left and we're going
- 15:01to have to be really careful, if you know what I mean.
- 15:04So it'll be interesting. So right now, what about, let's
- 15:07switch over to gold temporarily and talk about $3300 gold.
- 15:13Want you to listen to this statement.
- 15:14OK, Macro fundamentals like macroeconomics or however you
- 15:20want to talk. Macro fundamentals and chart
- 15:23technical analysis are conspiring.
- 15:26There's a conspiracy. What do you think of that?
- 15:30They're conspiring. They're working together.
- 15:34Macro fundamentals and chart technical Analysis for Gold to
- 15:39hit up to $3300, $3300 per oz. We're going to listen to what
- 15:48they Mr. Earthly from the junior mining junkie.
- 15:52This guy pointed out some fascinating points about the
- 15:55situation we're in right now and could we be on the cusp of a
- 16:01continued major bull. We're going to talk about the
- 16:03reasons why. Let's go out first.
- 16:06I met let's go out first and let us say thank you to channel
- 16:12sponsor Pendex. We need to do an update.
- 16:14We are live baby, it's Monday morning.
- 16:17Hold your breath, OK, take your high blood pressure medicine
- 16:20with me. I'm going to press the Pendex
- 16:21magic button and refresh and all right, we're up 10 bucks in gold
- 16:262002, 1630. If we were in a time machine and
- 16:32we went back a year ago, I believe we'd be talking about
- 16:35like 1900 eighteen, $100 gold. So let's take a deep breath,
- 16:41boy. That's like 6-7 eight, $100
- 16:44higher on the gold price right now.
- 16:46Silver $30.91. We're hanging in there.
- 16:50Hey guys, this our group is made possible by the support of
- 16:54sponsors like Pimbex Pi, MB EX. We're at their website right
- 16:59now. I will never tell you what to
- 17:02do, but you may benefit from throwing them in the mix next
- 17:06time you're shopping for gold, silver or platinum group metals
- 17:09online. It's where I buy my silver.
- 17:13I bought from them before they sponsored the channel.
- 17:16What you always find with Pinbacks is a great selection.
- 17:20OK, great customer service in prices that are, I will say
- 17:25ultra competitive. I always know I like it because
- 17:28it's a one stop shop for me. I feel like I don't have to
- 17:31spend hours and hours researching different companies
- 17:34trying to compare a bunch of different prices.
- 17:36Sure, I check and I would encourage you do as well, right?
- 17:40But what you'll find is the prices always are extremely
- 17:43difficult to beat. And sometimes if you find a
- 17:46price that's better, then you have to dig in and do hours upon
- 17:50hours upon hours of research on the company.
- 17:52And anyway, for me, it's easy and it's good.
- 17:56And I'm very grateful because I have just received overwhelming
- 18:00positive response from the basement dweller community when
- 18:03it comes to Pembex. Thank you, Pembex guys, let's
- 18:07talk about $3300 gold, but more importantly, the reasons why.
- 18:12And I want to go out to an excellent piece of work from a
- 18:17guy who's actually was in the basement one time.
- 18:19I need to get him back on a Dave Earthly.
- 18:22He is super respected in the silver and gold community.
- 18:25Very nice guy, very smart guy. He has a like a paid
- 18:31subscription service called Junior Minor Junkie.
- 18:35But again, he's like one of the one of the good guys out there.
- 18:38And I'm gonna bring up a couple points that he that he talks
- 18:43about that I believe give us very good reasons why gold and
- 18:47silver could be heading much higher.
- 18:49He said the Federal Reserve began an expected easing cycle.
- 18:54Did you guys hear this? The Federal Reserve cut rates by
- 18:5750 basis points on Wednesday of last week.
- 19:00This is where it gets interesting. the Fed also
- 19:02projected lowering interest rates by another half point
- 19:06before the end of 2024. Well, that has nothing to do
- 19:10with politics now, does it guys know?
- 19:13And the world's most powerful central bank has.
- 19:16They have two more meetings. So they'll be two more
- 19:18opportunities before the end of the year for the Fed.
- 19:21Just to get your little FED update.
- 19:23OK, The market cheered. This is important.
- 19:26It's in red as both equities and gold traded at all time highs
- 19:30after the central bank officially caved on inflation
- 19:36that remains well above its mandated 2% target.
- 19:39We've talked about this. the Fed has given up on the fight on
- 19:43guys, inflation is going to rule the day. 2025 will be the year
- 19:50of of inflation. the Fed acts like they want to fight
- 19:53inflation. The reality is the only way with
- 19:57all the debt, with all the deficits, the only way that the
- 20:00system continues, is it the Fed let's inflation run.
- 20:05I'm not saying necessarily, but we definitely could have
- 20:08hyperinflation, right? Like where things really go
- 20:12crazy. But at minimum under the best
- 20:15case scenario, we are going to have high inflation going
- 20:18forward. The Fed.
- 20:20They're they're they're, I hate to say this, and we have, I
- 20:22could go through about 20 examples where they've been
- 20:25completely wrong and lied in the past.
- 20:29They don't really they need inflation that we need to
- 20:32remember. Even though inflation, quote,
- 20:34remains somewhat elevated, the Fed statement said policy makers
- 20:38choose to cut the rate in light of the progress progress on
- 20:43inflation. But in orange, the balance of
- 20:47risks. We're going to talk more about
- 20:48that now because it's telling us what's coming.
- 20:51And when this economic recession, depression, whatever
- 20:56you want to call it, hits, you're they're going to turn the
- 20:59money printer on. Be ready.
- 21:00Be I'm telling you what's going to happen, although I could be
- 21:03wrong, don't make any financial decisions based on anything that
- 21:06I say, but I'm very confident on this one and I'm usually right.
- 21:10The significance of this cannot be understated, especially when
- 21:16considering it was only 10 days ago the traders were pricing
- 21:21only an 18% chance of 1/2 point cut.
- 21:24The half point cut, it was like everybody said it's going to be
- 21:281/4 point, quarter point. And then at the last minute it
- 21:31like it was weird. Did you notice that it suddenly
- 21:34turned into a half point? We were talking about that.
- 21:37We were looking at the CME Fed watch tool with inflation still
- 21:41well above the feds mandated 2% target.
- 21:44OK, inflation still above their quote UN quote mandate, which
- 21:49allows them to only steal 2% of your money per year.
- 21:52The larger rate cut confirms that the central bank believes
- 21:56the economy is in trouble if we're not in a recession.
- 22:01We got more to talk about, but I need to look you in the eyes if
- 22:04we're not in a recession, OK. If everything's great, why did
- 22:11they cut rates by half a percent when they had thank you, Susie,
- 22:16when they hadn't even accomplished their quote, UN
- 22:20quote goal of getting inflation down to 2%?
- 22:26Why? I mean, we got and I know it's
- 22:28all there's a lot of noise and distraction, but if we kind of
- 22:31take a step back and think about it, why did they cut by half a
- 22:36percent if everything is so awesome?
- 22:39Maybe that little balance of risk statement tells us what's
- 22:43going on. Now, I'll give you an example
- 22:47based on past experience. What happens when we go into a
- 22:50recession, when the economy really slows down?
- 22:52Two things. Number one, they don't admit it
- 22:55till like a year later. Oh, yeah, We were in a recession
- 23:00back in 2024. We just didn't realize it.
- 23:03OK. The other big thing that
- 23:05happens, the only trick, the only trick that Jerome's got up
- 23:10his sleeve, the only thing left. Right.
- 23:13I want you to I want you to visualize this.
- 23:15And that is printing money, electronic paper, this right,
- 23:24right. This stuff will be flying out of
- 23:27the Fed. That's what we can expect.
- 23:29That's what's going to happen. Now there's more.
- 23:36They talk about the yield curve inverting on inverting.
- 23:39That means we're in a recession. OK, Orange is the, is the Fed
- 23:44held rate steady at a 20 year peak, right.
- 23:47I think we had 20 year high interest rates since October.
- 23:51The last four quarters have experienced a move in gold like
- 23:55no other in history. Even when we had 20 year high
- 24:01and think of think of what's going on guys. 20 year highs in
- 24:04interest rates. Gold had moves like no other in
- 24:09history. The safe haven metal rallied
- 24:12from near 1800 to rise 45% in the in the and and post 35 all
- 24:19time daily closing highs so far this year with interest rates at
- 24:2720 year highs. OK Gold went up 45% this year
- 24:32and has posted 35 all time highs.
- 24:36Historically, the precious metal has never scored multiple all
- 24:41time record highs in such a short period of time.
- 24:45With just six coma trading sessions left in Q3, we're
- 24:49almost at the end of the third quarter.
- 24:51Gold futures stand a good chance of closing above $2600.00 an
- 24:54ounce. With the precious metal sector
- 24:56rising concurrently with equities mean going up together,
- 25:00it is somewhat surprising that markets have chosen to focus on
- 25:04dovish global monetary policy and they haven't really reacted
- 25:08with keener risk aversion to increase geopolitical tensions
- 25:12in the Middle East and Eastern Europe and the South China Sea.
- 25:17Not to mention a 5th of November US election becoming more
- 25:21chaotic by the day. Everywhere we look, we're seeing
- 25:25unbelievable news that points toward higher silver and gold
- 25:28prices now that the Fed has officially reversed its monetary
- 25:32policy while the US government shows no sign.
- 25:36Gosh, it never ends. No signs of backing off from
- 25:40trillion dollar deficits. The added prospect of war
- 25:44escalating in all three of these regions at once is keeping gold.
- 25:49Well bid. You know, you've got the economy
- 25:53that's in trouble, OK, the US economy, Why else would they cut
- 25:57rates? That's a good reason, right?
- 25:59Because the economy is in trouble.
- 26:01You've got the world geopolitically in a more
- 26:05precarious position than any other time in any of think about
- 26:08your life. Have you ever lived in a period
- 26:11where there was so much war and geopolitical risk out there?
- 26:15And then on top of it, on top of it, you've got the United States
- 26:20debt levels. The whole US would call, we call
- 26:22that the fiscal situation in our country, which is so screwed up.
- 26:27We could talk for the next 5 hours, right?
- 26:3035 trillion in debt, massive 1 trillion interest expense.
- 26:35That makes the deficit get bigger, that makes the debt get
- 26:37bigger, that makes the end. I mean, it's a doom cycle that
- 26:40we've covered already. Simply stated, we like
- 26:43simplicity. Gold is in a roaring bull market
- 26:47after a historic 13 year cup and handle breakout in March.
- 26:51Oh, and by the way, on top of all those other things, we also
- 26:55had the most reliable, powerful chart pattern, technical
- 26:59analysis pattern breakout right? The cup and handle in gold.
- 27:02Wait till it happens in silver. The velocity of that move will
- 27:08depend on the degrees of escalation and war, Fed rate
- 27:11cuts and US election chaos and fiscal issues as well.
- 27:16I add that the the gold futures cup and handle tech technical
- 27:19breakout target is 3000. We're going to talk about
- 27:23numbers now. So the the current gold target
- 27:26would be around 3 in the futures would be around 3000.
- 27:31If you do Fibonacci, which is another form of technical
- 27:34analysis, the next Fibonacci target is at 3336 based upon the
- 27:41depth of the 2011 2015 pullback. On the downside, gold under 2500
- 27:48would be troublesome. I can't put Can you believe, but
- 27:51it think, just think back a year guys, if one year ago right now
- 27:56and we were talking about this right, the goal could be much,
- 27:59much higher in the coming year. But if at that time we would, we
- 28:03would have known that we'd be talking about $2500 gold price
- 28:09if gold were to drop from where we are now, we wouldn't believe
- 28:12it that that would be troublesome.
- 28:14We would not believe it. Gold moving below 2300 could
- 28:18suggest the rally is over. OK?
- 28:20The bullish, and this is what's key macroeconomic fundamentals
- 28:25and intermediate term technicals conspire that gold may be
- 28:31preparing for a plateau move towards 3000 to 3300 before an
- 28:36extended correction takes place. OK, and let's remember
- 28:42something. That's gold.
- 28:44That's just gold. OK, Silver follows gold.
- 28:51Think about this $3300 gold silk.
- 28:56OK, I need to ring the bell. Thank you, Susie.
- 29:00That's for 200 thumbs up for all you new basement dwellers.
- 29:03We ring the bell when we get 200 thumbs up.
- 29:05Silver has not moved yet. At the beginning of this we
- 29:10talked about the 85 to 185 to one gold to silver ratio.
- 29:15Silver and the mining stocks, OK, have not moved yet.
- 29:21Gold really is the only thing that's made a truly spectacular
- 29:26move. OK.
- 29:28But next will be silver as we see a compression of that gold
- 29:33to silver ratio if things play out like they have, this is
- 29:37normal, by the way, what we're going silver investors.
- 29:40OK, I'm going to give you an example and give you the reason
- 29:43why what we're going through right now is normal.
- 29:46Gold takes off, that's healthy. Silver lags.
- 29:50That's the way this is always worked, right?
- 29:53Eventually silver catches up. We get to A50 to 160 to one.
- 29:58If we had a 50 to one gold to silver ratio, we're over $50 per
- 30:03oz in silver. Also right around the same time
- 30:06that silver moves, the mining stocks, the mid size will start
- 30:10to move and then the last thing to move will be the junior
- 30:14mining sector, the developers and the explorers.
- 30:17And the, and the pace of their move is usually even more
- 30:22unbelievably strong than what we've seen.
- 30:24So what we're going through right now is absolutely normal.
- 30:28What about $27,000 gold? So I have a subscriber comment.
- 30:32I always bring one up every live stream.
- 30:35Let's go out and see what our friend Wesley had to say.
- 30:40He said in U.S. dollars isn't gold valued around 45,000 an
- 30:46ounce with a 40% backing. It is crazy to think people have
- 30:52no idea that dollars are IO us and their digits on the computer
- 30:58can be can be deleted or created in a second.
- 31:02That is terrifying. Well Wesley brings up a couple
- 31:05of good points. Right?
- 31:06Let's not forget guys, this is paper, this is nothing.
- 31:10This is just confidence. This can be created, destroyed
- 31:14in a in a whim by our government.
- 31:16We know that. We know that during the C19
- 31:18crisis, they, they, they, they printed 40% of all of these that
- 31:25had ever been created in the history of the world.
- 31:29I know it seems permanent to you.
- 31:32Likely it feels permanent to me because my whole life this I was
- 31:36brainwashed into believing has value.
- 31:39This is just a promise. This is nothing, right?
- 31:42It's paper faith and confidence. So let me and I'll get back
- 31:47there because it's actually 27,000.
- 31:49But let me ask you a question. If this is based on faith and
- 31:53confidence. And this really, really gets my
- 31:57lights, my Wick. But Americans in general, not
- 32:03us, but just your average American has utter disdain for
- 32:09the politicians, the polls. I'm just reporting the facts,
- 32:13right? Like Congress and the senators
- 32:16and maybe even the president will leave that one alone.
- 32:19Have like the and the vice president have the lowest
- 32:23approval ratings like in history.
- 32:26OK, Why would that why then why do those same people have so
- 32:32much confidence in this? Because guess who's that those
- 32:36that's what you have. That's what your confidence is
- 32:38then. Okay, you know, think about
- 32:41that, think about it, right. So when we, when it comes to
- 32:47backing of the, of the, of the, of the dollar with gold, if it's
- 32:52a 40% backing, Jim Rickards who worked for the Department of
- 32:57Defense, wrote a best selling book, super respected guy.
- 33:00He did all the math. And if I have this correct,
- 33:04which I'm pretty sure I do, his numbers came to $27,000 if you
- 33:10were to back 40% of the M2 money supply.
- 33:14And that's like the the money that's in the banks, that's
- 33:16really the money supply that's just backing that.
- 33:18Not all the debt, not everything else.
- 33:20Lynette Zhang did some figures that I think came.
- 33:24Oh, thank you, Thank you, Susie. Susie here.
- 33:28Here's Susie. Guys, you want to say hi to
- 33:29Silver Susie? She's got her own Adirondack
- 33:32chair, and there she is. Hey.
- 33:35Hey, Susie, say hi to everybody. Hello.
- 33:40Everyone. OK, anyway, Leonard Zhang's
- 33:45numbers came to over 100,000. If you back all the debt that we
- 33:50have with gold. I mean, it's absolutely crazy.
- 33:54Don't forget, don't forget one month from today, it's already
- 33:58here. One month, right?
- 34:01Major BRICS meeting summit in Russia.
- 34:05Strong speculation from a lot of people, a lot of people, a lot
- 34:10of smart people, not people that are that are tinfoil hat
- 34:13conspiracy theorist like smart people saying there's there's
- 34:17there's. I'll say strong speculation that
- 34:20we could hear about a potentially gold backed BRICS
- 34:25trade settlement currency. It'll be interesting to see how
- 34:28that all plays out. It'll be very, very, very
- 34:30interesting. And we did get a super chat.
- 34:32Let's check this out. I think it's our friend, Yeah.
- 34:34Silver Surfer. And he says why?
- 34:37Net news reporting that Netanyahu pushing for ban on
- 34:42private ownership of gold, silver and other alternatives to
- 34:47Fiat. Very interesting.
- 34:48I hadn't heard that, so I'll have to check that out.
- 34:52OK, I I just did. Sweetie, you got a little bit of
- 34:54a delay on your end. Thank you for the Super chat
- 34:58number one, and thank you for bringing that up.
- 35:00I have not heard that. So I want to I'll do some
- 35:02research on it, but of it definitely would will be of
- 35:06interest to all of our fellow basement dwellers.
- 35:09It just gets crazier and crazier.
- 35:13You know, we heard this unbelievable news out of India.
- 35:18I actually dug in to figure out what is going on with India and
- 35:24silver and it's pretty darn interesting.
- 35:26Let's go take a look here at some actual press that came from
- 35:34India. OK, And this is what we learned
- 35:39this. I guess it's like CNBC India or
- 35:42something. I don't know.
- 35:43It was hard to tell, but but silver prices may soon cross
- 35:49record highs in India. I don't know how to read this
- 35:51this currency, so we'll just say record highs.
- 35:56Silver prices in India have surged and analysts are now
- 35:59expecting the metal to cross, blah, blah, blah.
- 36:01OK, let me pull this up for you quickly just to give you some
- 36:05context in terms of what we're dealing with.
- 36:08Need to go to the proper slide and this is an up to date a
- 36:13chart showing silver price in India.
- 36:16This is in rupees INR per oz. Look at this chart guys.
- 36:21And I drew a blue line on there just to show kind of the the
- 36:24velocity and actually you could draw another line.
- 36:27I mean the price of silver in India is at all time highs.
- 36:33OK, look, you can see a cup and handle on the right hand side
- 36:37that has broken out and continues to to to to soar
- 36:41higher. This is in India, all right,
- 36:44This is not just India where we're seeing last week we looked
- 36:48at a number of other countries that already have silver at all
- 36:53time highs. It's and it's just that we went
- 36:56through the same thing with gold.
- 36:59Gold hit all time highs last year in a number of different
- 37:03currencies, right in China and Russia.
- 37:06Can't I mean all over the world. And then the OK, thank you.
- 37:11So wow. Hey, Brian Drapp, keep the
- 37:14silver faith. Ron.
- 37:15Thank you. Hold on.
- 37:16Let me pull him up. Oh, my gosh.
- 37:19All right, I got it. Thank you, Brian for the Super
- 37:21chat. Yes, W basement dwellers will
- 37:23keep the faith going. And you guys are being super.
- 37:26Cliff Moberg, good to see you. Thank you, Silver Surfer.
- 37:30Thank you. Cliff Moberg and Brian Drapp.
- 37:34Thank you, guys. OK, But we saw the same thing in
- 37:38gold. Gold broke out last year in all
- 37:42these different currencies and we talked about it, right.
- 37:45It's just a matter of time for gold to break out to all new all
- 37:49time highs in the US dollar and boop it happened.
- 37:52So what does that tell us about silver as silver starts to break
- 37:56out to new all time highs in a lot of different foreign
- 38:00currencies? It's it's very, very
- 38:02encouraging. And think about this, India.
- 38:06Hold on. Oh, shoot.
- 38:08OK, Well, let's go back to our article and here we go.
- 38:16All right, guys, I think we're still alive.
- 38:18Here we are. Yeah.
- 38:20India imported what, 45,000,000 ounces of silver in August,
- 38:28right? Unbelievable. 45,000,000.
- 38:32I think the whole world produces like what, 850 million?
- 38:37So that would be like maybe 70 million.
- 38:40The whole mining sector, think about this.
- 38:42This is an unbelievable reason why we need to be optimistic
- 38:47about silver. If the whole mining sector in
- 38:50the month of August only produced about 70 million ounces
- 38:54of silver, that's it from the whole entire world.
- 38:58India imported 45 million of them.
- 39:02I mean, that's easily 2/3 unbelievable what's going on.
- 39:08And what makes it even more astounding is the fact that
- 39:12India did that while in Indian rupees.
- 39:15The price was at all time highs here.
- 39:19This is driven in India by a combination of factors including
- 39:24weakening U.S. dollar and record high gold prices.
- 39:27Both of these are providing strong support for silver's
- 39:30upward momentum. India's demand for silver has
- 39:33significantly increased as evidenced by the country's
- 39:36silver imports. In August, the value of silver
- 39:40imports soared to whatever that is 11,000, a sharp jump from
- 39:451300. That's like an 8 times increase
- 39:50in August of this year over August of last year.
- 39:58The spike in imports? Oh, look at those shoes.
- 40:00I bet you want to get yourself a pair of those, don't you?
- 40:02This spike in imports stresses the strong domestic demand for
- 40:06silver. No, I don't want you up Twitter.
- 40:09The heck. And investors look to hedge
- 40:13against inflation and currency fluctuations.
- 40:17On the global, oh, this is interesting.
- 40:19All right, OK, here we go. On the global front, silver's
- 40:22facing a supply deficit. Surprise, surprise, surprise,
- 40:25right? You knew that already for the
- 40:264th consecutive year. But listen to these price
- 40:30forecasts from big banks. UBS.
- 40:33Thank you, Susie. We got 300 thumbs up.
- 40:35Thank you, guys. UBS projects the silver price to
- 40:38be between 34 and 36 dollars per oz by the end of the year.
- 40:45We like that OK City predicts silver to rise to 35 to 38 per
- 40:51oz over the next 12 months. JP Morgan expects the silver
- 40:55price to average around $36 per oz in 2025.
- 41:00Those guys are all wrong because we and, and basement dwellers
- 41:06you right. I'm talking to you and a lot of
- 41:10the other smarter guys in the room know that when silver gets
- 41:14to 34 that it's they're saying 3435, it's going to go from 3435
- 41:19to 44 lickety split, right? Faster than you can name the
- 41:24five countries that are in the BRICS, Brazil, Russia, India,
- 41:27China, South Africa, All right. The bullish sentiment is further
- 41:30amplified by press by predictions from Motel Aswat.
- 41:35OK, thank you, Susie. Which in April forecast that
- 41:39silver prices could reach whatever that is.
- 41:41OK, everybody is super bullish on silver.
- 41:46That is awesome to hear. Now I am missing some super
- 41:50chat. So I owe you guys a big apology.
- 41:53Dustin. There's Brian, like we thanked
- 41:56him already. And here's our friend Dustin.
- 41:58Dustin, thank you for that super shot Slingshot coming as
- 42:02supplies. Titan Yeah, guys, here, let's
- 42:05here, here. I'll show you.
- 42:06You know, do you know what it means when they say slingshot
- 42:13move? What they mean is like a bungee
- 42:16cord, right? And they're talking about how
- 42:20silver is lagging gold just part of the that's just part of the
- 42:25reason the gold. We talked about this at the
- 42:26beginning, guys. The gold to silver ratio is near
- 42:29historic, really historic highs. Who in their right mind is going
- 42:34to take 90 of these, OK, 90 beautiful silver rounds and
- 42:43convert that for one ounce of gold?
- 42:45I mean, don't, no offense, I probably said that too strongly.
- 42:47If I offended anyone, I apologize, but it's at historic
- 42:51highs. I just can't envision taking
- 42:53four tubes of silver and 10 more of these into a coin shop and
- 42:59saying I want to trade this for an ounce of gold.
- 43:00Nothing against, I'm just giving my opinion a slingshot move and
- 43:08it's it is going to be propelled by so many things.
- 43:11So we're talking about that the I got to bring it out.
- 43:14I'm sorry. OK, we're talking about that
- 43:16elastic. See this see this Boing Boing,
- 43:20boing. That's elastic.
- 43:21This is the gold price. It's chugging along right?
- 43:25It's up to 3300. This is getting it's very hard
- 43:28for me to pull this. OK, this is the silver price,
- 43:32the little silver truck when this in the in the red elastic
- 43:37band is the gold to silver ratio.
- 43:41And on top of that the little silver truck and the gold keeps
- 43:44going higher and it's it's going to keep pulling silver.
- 43:47But that elastic band is also getting more and more tension in
- 43:50it, and the silver truck is getting loaded up with, like,
- 43:53premium fuel. What do they call that?
- 43:55I'm not a real car guy. Nitroglycerin or nitroglyceride,
- 43:59turbocharge, whatever. All the fundamental things
- 44:02behind it. And when it moves, you can't
- 44:04feel this. But trust me, it's getting hard
- 44:06for me to hold this apart. That's the slingshot.
- 44:10All that tension in there. Let's go.
- 44:14OK, That's what we're talking about when we're talking about a
- 44:19slingshot move. OK, let's go to the NDX file.
- 44:25This is where we start talking about 550 and a bunch of you
- 44:28people asked me to explain this again, so I'll do it right now.
- 44:32This shows how silver could get to $550.
- 44:36I know crazy, right, $550 Oh, it's a, you're a, you're a
- 44:40pumper. Are you a pumper?
- 44:43I mean, guys, I think silver could get the, I think silver
- 44:46could get the $5500 in my lifetime.
- 44:50I think you could get to 50,000 because and look, I know, right,
- 44:54that's bad news for the US dollar.
- 44:56But I'm not real number one, I'm not real optimistic on the US
- 45:01dollar. But we have charts that will
- 45:03show us in no uncertain terms math, OK, Math shows no
- 45:08forgiveness on the altar of truth, just how easily.
- 45:13And let me get rid of that banner.
- 45:15Thank you, channel sponsor Pembex.
- 45:17Thank you, channel sponsor First mining gold.
- 45:19And thank you, channel sponsor Fortuna Mining.
- 45:22I want you to see this whole thing.
- 45:24This is critical, guys. And yes, I'll explain it again.
- 45:28This compares the silver price to the NDX.
- 45:33What's the NDX? That's not some fancy Acura car,
- 45:36anything like that. No, the NDX is the NASDAQ 100.
- 45:41You can see it written down right below it.
- 45:44That's the 100 biggest companies on the NASDAQ.
- 45:47All right. And this is a ratio.
- 45:49So you divide $31.00 the price of silver by the value of the
- 45:54NDX, which is a bunch of overpriced bubble tech stocks,
- 45:58NVIDIA, Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, all those OK.
- 46:03And that ratio, if you look down on the lower right hand corner
- 46:06is at all time lows. Shoot, hold on here, back there.
- 46:14And for some reason I chat exit. I don't know why it won't.
- 46:20I got this little window. There it is, .0016.
- 46:25OK, so when you divide the silver price by the value of the
- 46:28NASDAQ 100 is .0016. This is a chart going back all
- 46:33the way to 1984 that shows you how that ratio has gone down,
- 46:38down, down. The lower it goes, that means
- 46:41the lower silver has been valued against the tech stocks.
- 46:44It's bad for silver. And look at this, right, it
- 46:47dropped really down. Then we got to the.com bubble in
- 46:51the year 2000 was really low. It came back up a little bit,
- 46:55OK, In 2011 when silver got higher in value in the, in the
- 47:00bat, in the in the tech stocks, it crashed.
- 47:03It got all the way to point O2, OK.
- 47:06But since then, now that we're in another tech bubble, it has
- 47:10gone down, down, down. If right now we just went back
- 47:13to let's say point O2, that would be like what, an 8-9, no
- 47:20more than that 10 times increase in the silver price just to get
- 47:25up to that point. If you look on the right hand
- 47:27side where it says .02 about where it was in 2011, if we were
- 47:33to get all the way back and there's no reason we can't all
- 47:38the way back to where we were back in the 80s at .055, that is
- 47:43more than a 30 times increase in the price of silver.
- 47:48Now this can happen in one of two ways.
- 47:50This can also happen. This can also happen via a
- 47:56combination of factors, meaning that the tech stocks come down
- 47:59and silver goes up. Let me look show you a couple
- 48:02quick examples. OK, thank you, Susie.
- 48:09Just a couple quick examples here.
- 48:11Where we are now is up at the top silver $31 divided by the by
- 48:16the NASDAQ 100 is the .0016. OK.
- 48:21If the NASDAQ 100 were to drop to 10,000 on the middle example
- 48:26and silver went to 550 dollars, then we would be back to where
- 48:30we were in the 80s point 055. That's real.
- 48:34That really happened guys. We were really at .055.
- 48:38That would be NASDAQ dropping in half basically and silver going
- 48:43up to 550. If the NASDAQ, the bottom
- 48:46example were to stay, the NASDAQ 100 just stayed where it was
- 48:50right now, OK, Silver would have to go to $1100.00 an ounce just
- 48:57to get back to that .055, which again, this is not Fantasy
- 49:04Island here, OK? This is Ron's basement.
- 49:06These are real numbers, .055 happened and it happened in
- 49:12recent history. So to think that it can't happen
- 49:15again is foolish. OK, I know it sounds astounding.
- 49:20I agree 100%, but those ratios have happened.
- 49:25Think about gold, you know, what about a gold that?
- 49:28Hold on, let's all have a quick drink of coffee and I know we
- 49:33got another super chat that I need to recognize, but let's go
- 49:35to let's go take a look at gold. Could gold be twice where it is
- 49:40right now, right. Let's look at gold as compared
- 49:44to the the S&P 500. This is great.
- 49:49OK, this shows us same thing. It's a ratio.
- 49:55This is the S&P 500 divided by gold.
- 50:00So the higher the essence is. And right now it's hovering
- 50:03around 2, right, which I don't know what's the S&P 500 at?
- 50:07Hold on, I'm going to look it up real quick for you.
- 50:08Look. At yes, the Super chat and.
- 50:11The gong. OK, super chat and Gong.
- 50:13Thank you. Whoops.
- 50:15Hold on here, guys. I'm still here.
- 50:17Hopefully we're still live. You can hear me and everything,
- 50:21the S&P 5 hundreds, it fit 5700. So yeah, basically that ratio
- 50:26right now 5000, the S&P 505,000 seven 700 divided by gold, 2600
- 50:33is around 2, a little over two, OK.
- 50:36The lower this ratio goes is better for gold, OK.
- 50:41And as you can see, I drew a line across where we are, where
- 50:452 is where we are right now, the upper blue line going all the
- 50:49way back to 194019301920. OK.
- 50:54We've only been above short periods of time, very short
- 50:59period. The majority of that time has
- 51:01been below. And if we look at parity which
- 51:05would be 1 to one on the right hand side, you see the 1 and I
- 51:08drew the bottom blue line. That would be that would be gold
- 51:13right now at 5700. That would be the S&P 500 at
- 51:175700 divided by gold at 5700. The bottom line that's the one
- 51:22go across on that. It looks like there's been many.
- 51:26That's about the average of where we've been throughout
- 51:29history. So this idea that we couldn't
- 51:32get astronomically higher prices for gold and silver is not
- 51:38hogwash, OK. It's absolutely not hogwash.
- 51:41Hey, we got more super chats. Let's go down here, man.
- 51:46You guys are being super. Thomas Nelson, thank you.
- 51:52The great bull lives. The great The great Burrow
- 51:54lives. Had it right.
- 51:57Excuse me. Gold and silver.
- 51:58I have to look up. Bro.
- 52:00Bro, I've. I'm sorry.
- 52:03I apologize. The Red Nose reindeer.
- 52:08OK? It's according to Susie.
- 52:10It's from Rudolph. The Red Nose Reindeer.
- 52:13Susie, what does it mean? Can you please help me?
- 52:17It's kind of a reference to Christmas time, silver and.
- 52:21Gold Oh, is it? Is it that song?
- 52:23Silver and gold, Silver and gold, Susie.
- 52:34OK. All right.
- 52:36So anyway, guys, thank you for the Super chat.
- 52:39And that brings up what does it mean?
- 52:41Silver and gold permeate the world, right?
- 52:45Let's talk about this because this is a big reason why we can
- 52:48feel comfortable having invested in precious metals.
- 52:53Silver and gold absolutely permeate the world.
- 52:56There is no other market anywhere.
- 53:00Poor Indian farmers and there's about a billion of them all own
- 53:05silver and gold people in China and there's 1.4 billion of them,
- 53:10right? There's 1.4 billion all own
- 53:12silver and gold. I told you the story about the
- 53:15guy where I work at night for he's been in the US for like 6
- 53:18years. He's like, Oh my God, he's like,
- 53:19I want, he said, Ron, why? Why would I put my money in the
- 53:23bank Paper, paper. He said real estate, whatever
- 53:27bubble in China, I don't trust the banks and the stock market
- 53:34no good, right? I mean, the whole world buys
- 53:38silver and gold. It's in it.
- 53:39My kids even this is what gets exciting.
- 53:42All right, And I'm going to I'm going to give you an example why
- 53:47nobody in the United States except US basement dwellers buys
- 53:51silver and gold. We are a very elite group of
- 53:54people. But everybody else think about
- 53:56this, Everybody else has all has the seed planted.
- 54:02You know, my mom was asking me about buying silver the other
- 54:05day. You know, I'm like, it's my,
- 54:06it's the mommy indicator. OK, maybe she watches my live
- 54:09streams. Maybe I've influenced her a bit.
- 54:11But nonetheless, my kids know, my 12 year old kids, all their
- 54:15friends, they know silver and gold.
- 54:17Like everybody has the seed planted.
- 54:20So when it starts to move, it could really start to move.
- 54:23Hey, oh, I got to ring the gong. Hold on one second.
- 54:25It's right here. Let's ring the gong for all the
- 54:30thumbs up. All right, You guys are awesome.
- 54:39Thank you to the moderators, Jake from Jake's Custom Parts,
- 54:42Big Tim, the Silvershire and the one and only Annie Oakley and of
- 54:45course, Susie Silver. Susie, let's see if she wants to
- 54:48say goodbye. Do you want to say goodbye to
- 54:50everybody, Suzanne? Goodbye.
- 54:53Everyone, thank you for joining us this morning and I hope you
- 54:57all have a wonderful. Monday.
- 55:00OK. All right, guys.
- 55:01Have a great day. Thank you.
- 55:03Thank you. We love you.
- 55:04Basement dwellers. Don't forget you are important.
- 55:07We see you, right? We're a group.
- 55:10You're welcome here. You're part of the club.
- 55:12Please come back. Thank you for the Super chats.
- 55:15Thank you for subscribing. Thank you for the thumbs up.
- 55:18Just thank. But most importantly, no,
- 55:20seriously, this is the biggest thing.
- 55:22Thank you for being you, OK? Because if it wasn't for you,
- 55:25there would be no Ron's basement, OK.
- 55:27And there's always going to be room for you down here in the
- 55:31basement. You're part of the club.
- 55:32And don't forget, please support our sponsors, Pin Backs First
- 55:37Mining Gold and Fortuna Mining. Have a great day guys.
- 55:40I'll see you soon. Thank you.