Latest / Height Differential / Quick Take: College Football Playoff Semifinals Preview
Transcript
- 0:00Let's start with the Fiesta ball.
- 0:02Who thought we were going to be seeing Miami and Ole Miss?
- 0:07Yeah, neither one of us, because I'm pretty sure we had those two
- 0:11teams as our least likely upsets and look what happened.
- 0:14They both did it. So if you listen to the High
- 0:17Differential podcast, which I, I hope you are, if you're
- 0:20listening, if you're hearing us, that means you are We don't know
- 0:23ball. So we don't know ball.
- 0:25We, we just talk a bunch of nonsense and did not expect
- 0:29either one of those teams to be in the position that they are,
- 0:31especially Ole Miss with all the kind of circus that went around
- 0:35the coaching turn over there and who's coaching, who's not
- 0:39coaching and, and all that. But man, credit to them.
- 0:42They played a great game against Georgia after, you know, they
- 0:45lost to Georgia early in the year, earlier in the year and
- 0:48and came back, got that revenge. I mean they've lost one game and
- 0:53they led for 3/4 in that game and then blew it in the 4th and
- 0:57that was Georgia and then they ended up getting a revenge on
- 1:00them last week. I mean, I didn't like all these
- 1:03games and now we've seen it teams with the buyer one and
- 1:07seven overall. Indiana's the only team that's
- 1:10one after getting a buy and we'll get into in their game
- 1:13more. But even them on their first Dr.
- 1:16Mendoza gets sacked twice. They go 3 and out.
- 1:19They kind of were able to get in the rhythm after that, but I
- 1:23didn't think Georgia played terrible in this game.
- 1:25No, it it was this game was definitely the game of of the
- 1:29quarterfinals. I mean it was back and forth.
- 1:31It was close pretty much the whole way.
- 1:33You know, Georgia kicks the field goal with less than a
- 1:35minute to play to tie it and Ole Miss goes right down the field
- 1:38and and kicks that game winner with six seconds left.
- 1:40So you know, it was by far the the the best game of the four.
- 1:45And you know, you, you talked about it with the, the teams on
- 1:48byes being 1:00 and 7:00. And we mentioned like, is it a
- 1:50disadvantage not playing for a month?
- 1:54Only these teams that are, they're coming off, you know, a
- 1:56game from the week before, the week 10 days before are back in,
- 2:01in game shape. And you know, you take that
- 2:02month off and it's like almost like you're starting a season
- 2:05over. Yeah, I mean, but I don't think
- 2:08that played that much of A role in this game because it's I
- 2:12don't I didn't think Georgia came out and and played poorly.
- 2:15I mean, they they built a lead and really looked like they were
- 2:19in control. And, you know, but the best
- 2:25player on the football field to me was was Trinidad Chambliss.
- 2:29And when they were able to, you know, get pressure on him, he
- 2:33was able to make those Superman hero plays to keep Ole Miss and
- 2:36drives. I mean he's running back to the
- 2:385 yard. Line almost into his own end
- 2:40zone. He not ran into his own end zone
- 2:42and came out of it. And I mean, it helps when you've
- 2:45got the best player and on whatever day that was New
- 2:49Year's, New Year's Day, he he was the best player.
- 2:52And I think that he was the reason why they were able to
- 2:54come out victorious. I don't think it was because
- 2:56George was on a by and was kind of sleepwalking.
- 2:59I don't I don't think that was the case.
- 3:00That's been the case in some of these games.
- 3:02Yeah. And I don't think that was the
- 3:04case in that. Game, I don't think in this game
- 3:05it was either. I mean, like you said, Trinidad
- 3:07Chamas was the best player on the field and he threw for 362
- 3:10yards and two touchdowns. I guess the pretty good George
- 3:13defense Hey, yeah, I mean Ole Miss, Ole Miss won it for a
- 3:17little bit of that game. George.
- 3:18I used to Georgia was in controller up 9, but Ole Miss
- 3:21was just the better team that day.
- 3:23And which to me is just kind of surprising.
- 3:25Like I said, with all the the stuff that went off or swing
- 3:27around after their last game in the Egg Bowl and Lane Kiffin
- 3:31leaving and who's coaching and, and all that.
- 3:33So credit to that coaching staff to get these guys focused and
- 3:37have a game plan together to to beat Georgia.
- 3:39Yeah. And and then on the other side,
- 3:40I mean, I don't think either one of us obviously didn't see this
- 3:43one coming as well as Miami's defense continues to play to
- 3:48play lights out in the playoff. They're not doing a ton
- 3:51offensively, but they haven't had to in the first two games.
- 3:54And I do think maybe the BI affected Ohio State a little bit
- 4:00potentially. I don't think they played as
- 4:03smooth as game as as I said, like I don't think it affected
- 4:05Georgia. I think maybe it did affect Ohio
- 4:08State, but I mean, Miami and their two games have rushed for
- 4:12330 yards. So it's a lot of people are
- 4:18comparing this Miami team to Ohio State, who made the run
- 4:22through four games and won it all last year.
- 4:24Yeah, I mean, the story is Miami's defense, obviously,
- 4:28especially their defensive line, probably the best in the country
- 4:30with Ruben Bayne leading the way there.
- 4:32And you know, they showed it once again against against Ohio
- 4:35State, They had that defensive touchdown, which really kind of
- 4:37set the tone when they're up 7 nothing to put them up two
- 4:39scores. Yeah.
- 4:42I mean, Mark Fletcher's a beast. They they dominated pretty much
- 4:46that they they were in control that whole game against Ohio
- 4:48State. And you look at Ohio State, it's
- 4:50it's did we over overestimate them?
- 4:53Like did they you know, that the three games where they played
- 4:56their quality team or they're the top three teams that they
- 4:59played all season, They put up low scoring number that what
- 5:03they had ten against IU or something like that.
- 5:05And against Texas, they put up a 13 and then 14 here against OH,
- 5:09Miami. So, you know, when when the
- 5:11competition gets tougher, Ohio State just doesn't seem to put
- 5:14up very impressive offensive numbers.
- 5:17Well, I mean, I, I think it's kind of what you see in college
- 5:20football. You don't get to play everybody.
- 5:21You're kind of stuck in playing your conference.
- 5:22You get one or two non conference games and then
- 5:25sometimes you get situations like this.
- 5:28But now we've got Miami and on this who, who are you leaning
- 5:33towards to to go to the ship? That's a tough one, man.
- 5:37That's a tough one. And if I had to pick a team that
- 5:42I would probably say, I mean, I keep going against the Canes,
- 5:45but I'm probably going to say Ole Miss would be my my favorite
- 5:50to win that. Like I said, they've only lost
- 5:51one game all year. They've been challenged.
- 5:54They played in the SEC. So they've been challenged
- 5:56against some good teams, mainly Georgia twice and some other
- 6:01good ones in Miami. You know, we keep on, I keep
- 6:04underestimating them. I mean, with that defense, I
- 6:06wouldn't be surprised if they won, but I just think Ole Miss
- 6:11might be just a little bit better.
- 6:13I don't know. Well, I I think whoever wins
- 6:16this game is going to have to score 20 points at least.
- 6:19Yeah. And who do I have more
- 6:21confidence in doing that? I don't know.
- 6:23Like we've talked about how good Miami's been rushing the
- 6:26football and that's what they want to do.
- 6:28They don't want to. They want Carson back to just
- 6:30kind of control the game, don't make mistakes and rely on that
- 6:33running game. Like I said, they have 330
- 6:35rushing yards in their first two games.
- 6:37Ole Miss has given up 150 yards per game throughout the entire
- 6:41year. So that lends to think that
- 6:44maybe Miami can have success running the ball.
- 6:47They still got to get to that 20 point mark.
- 6:49I think who wins that game to me when it comes down is because
- 6:54Miami's going to get pressure with their front four.
- 6:56They don't have to blitz. They're going to bring that
- 6:58front 4. They're going to get pressure on
- 7:00Chambliss. Can he make plays like he did
- 7:03against Georgia where he's out of pocket?
- 7:06Because if he starts running around and making those lineman
- 7:08run all over the place and wears him out a little bit, maybe that
- 7:11plays in the favor of Ole Miss. I, I think it's a tough game.
- 7:15I thought you were going to go to Miami.
- 7:17I really did. And I was going to go on this
- 7:19because I just, to me, Trinidad Chambliss is the best player on
- 7:22the field at this point. And that makes me want to lean
- 7:26Ole Miss. I didn't go on this last week
- 7:27because of all the coaching staff stuff.
- 7:29And now there's more changes. Some of them are driving or
- 7:32flying back and forth between Oxford and Baton Rouge.
- 7:35That's. True, I I This is why I had it
- 7:38as the least likely upset last week.
- 7:40Yeah. And or and now I'm kind of
- 7:44flipping to where I don't think it matters.
- 7:46I just want to roll the momentum and see them go all the way
- 7:51without lane given. Yeah, it's, I think it's going
- 7:54to be a close game, I think, and I think you're right.
- 7:56It's, you know, you score the 20 points, you're probably going to
- 7:58win. I think Ole Miss wins if they
- 8:00don't make mistakes and turn the ball over.
- 8:02So they don't turn the ball over.
- 8:03I think their offense is good enough to get to that 20 point
- 8:07mark. I get even though Miami's
- 8:08defenses is top, you know, 10 in the nation or top whatever they
- 8:11are in the nation. I mean, you look at Ole misses
- 8:13offensive outputs in the last. I mean they haven't scored less
- 8:16than 30 points since October 11th when they scored 24 against
- 8:20Washington State. But ever since then they put up
- 8:22over 30 and even into the 40s. So their offense I think is good
- 8:26enough to get to 20 points against Miami.
- 8:28As long as they don't turn the ball over, I think Ole Miss
- 8:30probably does win. It's definitely a game where
- 8:32it's a tale of two strengths. It's my Ole Miss's offense
- 8:34against Miami's defense. If Miami is able to get a lead
- 8:38early by running the football and then then may I, I think it
- 8:43definitely leans in favor of the Hurricanes.
- 8:45This is not a game that they want to get behind.
- 8:47And no, no, they they won't. They won't.
- 8:49Yeah, they won't win. Play it from when when you need
- 8:52Carson Beck to come from behind. If they get up 10 O early, I
- 8:55mean, I know we saw George, our oldest, come back against
- 8:58Georgia. I think, I think Miami's defense
- 9:01is, is a little better than George's.
- 9:03Can they do it two games in a row against a better defense?
- 9:06I don't know, but I I'm surprised you're going on this.
- 9:10I'm going on this as well. Yeah.
- 9:12I mean, it wouldn't shock me if we went the other way either.
- 9:16I think it'll be close. Nothing's going to shock you at
- 9:18this point. No, it's true.
- 9:20And look, here's the thing. Like either way, we get to see
- 9:23Pete Golden take Ole Miss to the championship.
- 9:27Without. Half the coaching staff or we
- 9:30get to see Miami play for a championship in their home
- 9:33stadium and they're the last team that got in and now they
- 9:38have a chance to to play for a title and potentially their home
- 9:41stadium. Yeah, that would be good.
- 9:43Yeah. Well, to get to the Peach Bell,
- 9:45just I guess First off your thoughts on you already kind of
- 9:49touched on a little bit, but your thoughts on Indiana is just
- 9:53putting it on the Crimson Tide. I mean, it was a dominating
- 9:56performance. I mean, I mean, 38 to three, I
- 10:00didn't, I did not see that coming.
- 10:01I thought IU would win, but I thought that it would be maybe
- 10:04A1 score game. But I mean, it was just dominate
- 10:08the IU defense. Absolutely outstanding offense.
- 10:12Also great. You know, Mendoza didn't have to
- 10:14do too much, but what he did, he was almost perfect.
- 10:18He was 14 of 16 for 192 yards and three touchdowns.
- 10:22And then on the ground they ran for 215 yards.
- 10:25So offensively, A+. Defensively holding Alabama to
- 10:30three points, A+. And I know Simpson went out with
- 10:34an injury. Was that right after halftime?
- 10:37So at that point the game was pretty much over anyway.
- 10:40Yeah. So I don't really think that
- 10:41they were going to come back, but dominating performance on
- 10:44both sides of the ball for Indiana I.
- 10:46Mean it kind of looked like what Alabama used to be right yeah I
- 10:51mean just fundamentally sound not missing tackles like they
- 10:58just do everything perfect like it really like they just execute
- 11:04everything. Oh they don't miss tackles in
- 11:07the open field every play they run I feel like they run it to
- 11:11perfection. It's just I didn't think like
- 11:16everybody was talking about that's that's one of the few
- 11:18things I think we got. I got right is I didn't think
- 11:21Alabama was going to be in Indiana and you waver on a
- 11:25little bit just because once had you see Indiana and you see the
- 11:28name Alabama and it makes you waver.
- 11:30I mean, that's really what it what it was, yeah.
- 11:33But what we've seen all year long is Indiana, if they play an
- 11:37inferior team, they put it on and I don't care if this team is
- 11:41Alabama, they still were an inferior team and they put it on
- 11:45them. I mean Indiana is the clear cut
- 11:49best team in the country and they if they play 2 games as
- 11:56well as they can and should play, they'll win a title.
- 12:01Yeah, I mean, I'm, I'm a little worried about the game coming
- 12:05up. I know they've already beat
- 12:06Oregon once and we'll get into it, but I, I think Oregon's the
- 12:10best team, the left. I mean, if they get through
- 12:12Oregon, I think they win the title.
- 12:14Well, I, I guess we'll go ahead and switch over to to Oregon,
- 12:18who? I mean, we talked about Texas
- 12:21Tech's defense, yeah, and being one of the best in the country.
- 12:25But offensively, they had moved the ball all year and they don't
- 12:32get a point against this Oregon defense, who obviously played
- 12:37their best game defensively that they had played all season, just
- 12:40needed 23 points to win. And now, I mean, there really
- 12:45isn't a lot to dive into that game.
- 12:47It was just a dominating performance by Oregon.
- 12:50Yeah. I mean, do you have anything to
- 12:51add? No, I mean, you shut out Texas
- 12:54Tech. Yeah.
- 12:55Like you said, only 23 points to win and you still win by 23 at
- 12:57the minutes. That's pretty good.
- 12:59You know, the Oregon offense against, like we said, that
- 13:01Texas Tech defense was was their strength all season.
- 13:04It you know, Oregon still put up, you know, 390 yards on them,
- 13:08245 passing, only 64 on the ground.
- 13:10But they really didn't need to do much to to win.
- 13:14So no. And for all everybody's
- 13:16questioning their defense after James Madison in the second-half
- 13:19was kind of having their way, they they put they put those
- 13:22questions to bed real quick. And I mean 4.
- 13:25Turnovers, 4 turnovers by Texas Tech really kind of did them.
- 13:27And I think there was one pick in the end zone in that game as
- 13:31well. And so, yeah.
- 13:32But really just a a clear cut dominating performance by both
- 13:35of these teams. And, and now we do get a rematch
- 13:39in the Peach Bowl. I mean, do you say any way that
- 13:43the result is different this time?
- 13:45I can see it, Yeah. I mean, that was it.
- 13:47The the the game in Eugene was was a close one.
- 13:50I mean, IU didn't win it until late.
- 13:53And when they had that interception to kind of seal it,
- 13:55they only won by what was it like 3, I believe and find that
- 13:58score. No, they ended up winning by 10,
- 14:01but they put it away late. But that game was close almost
- 14:03the entire way. It was 20 to 20 in the fourth
- 14:07quarter. So, you know, Oregon was right
- 14:10there with them. I know that was at home.
- 14:12So it makes it more impressive that IU went into Eugene and
- 14:14won. I can see the result being
- 14:16different. I don't think it will be
- 14:17different, but Oregon's a really, really good football
- 14:22team. Like I said, I think they're
- 14:22probably the second best team left in this playoff.
- 14:25So if I you can get through it, I think they they probably take
- 14:28the whole thing. I mean, for the rankings, yeah,
- 14:31they are. I mean, I think talent wise, I
- 14:34think overall they are like you just use the eye test.
- 14:37I think they are. Going into the Tech game, the,
- 14:40the one thing that I said about Oregon is their offense has not
- 14:44been that great when they're playing top level defenses.
- 14:48They, they didn't score a ton of points against Indiana.
- 14:50They didn't score a ton of points against Iowa.
- 14:53And you know, I mean, they scored 23 against Texas Tech,
- 14:56but that's, I mean, and they really didn't need to put a ton
- 14:59of points up. So I, I can't, I think you can
- 15:01kind of push that one aside. But Dante Moore threw for less
- 15:06than 200 yards the last time out through 2 picks, was sacked 6
- 15:10times. Yeah, but Oregon has now seen
- 15:13Indiana's. Defense, I was like to say
- 15:15you've probably have learned from that like you, you know
- 15:17what Indiana can do and you've seen it first hand.
- 15:20So now you make those adjustments and you know Dante
- 15:23Moore's one of the top quarterbacks expected to go in
- 15:25the draft. Like if it's not Mendoza one, it
- 15:27would be him at 1. So you know it's.
- 15:29A little bit on the other side, who is trying to get a six year
- 15:32come back to Ole Miss, but these are three of the best
- 15:34quarterbacks in the country. So like Moore's got the talent
- 15:37to improve on 186 yards and two touchdowns.
- 15:39Like I would be shocked if he puts up better numbers than
- 15:42that. But like you said, like you've
- 15:44seen this defense, once you're you're you know what you're
- 15:47getting yourself into, you make the adjustments.
- 15:50And Will Stein is who's still the offensive coordinator there
- 15:54before he goes to Kentucky is 1 is regarded as one of the best
- 15:57offensive minds in college football.
- 15:58So I think he he makes the adjustments necessary.
- 16:02And I would expect Oregon's offense to perform better than
- 16:04what they did. Yeah, we'll see.
- 16:06We'll see. And you got to try to get, they
- 16:09got their defenses got to get some pressure on Mendoza.
- 16:13You know, the one thing that he does sometimes is take sacks.
- 16:16So they they got to try to make that happen.
- 16:18But I I just, there's there's nothing.
- 16:21There's no way that I can bet against Indiana.
- 16:24No, I wouldn't. I would not either.
- 16:25I, I mean, if I think Indiana wins and I expect it to be a
- 16:29largely pro Indiana crowd down in Atlanta because it's not too
- 16:33far from from Indianapolis and in the heart of Indiana.
- 16:36So I mean, it is a drivable trip.
- 16:38It's not for the other guys. It is not for not for Oregon.
- 16:42So I would expect it to be a pro huge pro Indiana crowd, which
- 16:46plays into the Hoosiers favor. And like it's, I think they
- 16:49ultimately they do win, but I think it will still be a pretty
- 16:52good game. One thing we didn't touch on was
- 16:55the offensive line and what Pat Coogan.
- 16:59What winning the the Rose Bowl MVP?
- 17:02Yeah. I mean, they did give up two
- 17:04sacks on the first drive, so I was kind of surprised by that.
- 17:07Well. After that.
- 17:07They were, yeah, they were lights out.
- 17:10After that. And look, we're talking about
- 17:12the BI not being ready. They weren't ready for three
- 17:14plays. Yeah.
- 17:15And then it was, it was like, all right, let's go.
- 17:19Yeah. But do you really, whoever wins
- 17:21this game you think wins it all? Yes.
- 17:23So I'm not so sure on that. Do you think Ole Miss could beat
- 17:25one of these teams? Because you have Ole Miss
- 17:26beating Miami. So you think?
- 17:28I think I think Ole Miss or Miami could can beat Oregon.
- 17:32Could they beat Indiana? OK.
- 17:34I mean anything can happen, but if they both teams play their
- 17:37best games, no? Indiana's a national champion
- 17:40football team would be unbelievable.
- 17:42I mean, we've talked about it. Blows my mind.
- 17:44There's there's nothing, there's nothing comparable about it in
- 17:49in college athletics and athletics and athletics maybe
- 17:52ever.