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Episode 128 - 9/26/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 128 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:23
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:26
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:33
  Happy Thirsty Thursday. That's right, the wait is over.
• 0:37
  We got football back in our lives, went all offseason with
• 0:40
  no football, missed it, and now when you go from Monday to
• 0:43
  Thursday, feels like you missed it even more.
• 0:45
  So we have football returning tonight.
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  Big match up. Make sure you bust out that
• 0:49
  Prime Video account, Amazon Prime when you have to screw
• 0:52
  around with all the authentication login.
• 0:54
  Forgot my password? I go through this every single
• 0:57
  week on top of having to pay for it.
• 0:59
  But again, when you're a sports better, you got to watch the
• 1:02
  game, especially the big ones. Anyway, you didn't come here to
• 1:05
  hear me complain about Amazon Prime.
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  Hopefully you came to listen to some sharp data-driven betting
• 1:10
  breakdown. So for tonight, I do have a
• 1:12
  three pack of sweats for you guys.
• 1:14
  I have a play on Dallas, New York, which is a huge system
• 1:18
  match play. Good sharp line movement, epic
• 1:20
  contrarian opportunity, as well as a player prop.
• 1:23
  I'm targeting a wide receiver to go over his receiving yards with
• 1:26
  a great rhythm edge. And then I don't want to quit
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  Major League Baseball because we've been running hot here
• 1:31
  recently with Major League Baseball And I found another
• 1:33
  total for us to target here with some sharp low bets, higher bet
• 1:38
  splits, good weather, wind blowing in opportunity.
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  And we're going to hope that this under trend that we've seen
• 1:44
  late season Major League Baseball continues.
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  So a three pack overall to NFL on the game here tonight,
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  Dallas, New York and one Major League Baseball bet.
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  Now, before we dive into today's sweats, let's take a step back
• 1:56
  and kind of, I don't know, pat ourselves on the back a little
• 1:58
  bit. You don't want to do it too
• 1:59
  hard. You want to break your back.
• 2:00
  But we continued our winning streak two straight days last
• 2:04
  night, 4:00 and 1:00 plus 2.69 units.
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  You love to see it. Nine and two over the last two
• 2:10
  days, we've stacked, what, upwards of 6 units or so?
• 2:13
  So it's great to have our second straight winning day.
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  And it was paced once again by our experiment, our hypothesis.
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  Remember when you took science class back in the day and you
• 2:22
  had to come up with a hypothesis, what you think will
• 2:25
  happen? Then you test the experiment.
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  Then you say, oh, I was right, I nailed it, or I was wrong.
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  Complete opposite of what I thought was going to happen,
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  happened. So I'm thinking back to my my
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  6th grade science class with Mr. Boyer.
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  But anyway, our hypothesis was late in the year.
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  The data's proven it out. You get a lot of unders in Major
• 2:41
  League Baseball. So the updated stats here,
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  September unders now 169 and one 4155%.
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  You're up 14 units. And we had another banger of a
• 2:51
  night last night, Texas, Oakland under 7 1/2.
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  This was a godsend because I believe they scored six runs in
• 2:57
  the first two innings. I'm like, oh, we ain't getting
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  that under 7 1/2. Then they completely went blank.
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  Rest of the game we escaped Texas, Oakland under 7 1/2.
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  Also LA and Chicago under 7 1/2. That was getting dicey because
• 3:12
  we needed a walk off from Benintendi so that it wouldn't
• 3:14
  go to extra innings. Because once you go to extras,
• 3:16
  you're guaranteed at least one, maybe two or three runs.
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  Luckily, Benintendi hit a walk off oppo single.
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  We got her under 7 1/2. Landed on 7 KC and Washington
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  under 7 1/2. Nice snoozer there.
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  Another low scoring game 3. Nothing.
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  The only loser was the Cubs under 8 1/2.
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  And remember the Atlanta Braves game?
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  We like that under 7 half that one got rained out.
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  Also, shout out and hope everyone is OK in the
• 3:40
  southeastern portion of the United States.
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  I was watching on the news how that big hurricane is barreling
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  through Florida and Atlanta and kind of the whole or Georgia all
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  kind of the southeast. Hope everyone's OK.
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  Hope you don't lose power. Stay safe.
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  If they tell you to evacuate, don't.
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  Don't be a hero. Don't think you're the man and
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  you can all beat the storm like like Lieutenant Dan and Forrest
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  Gump when he when he, you know, climbs up the, the pole in the
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  middle of the ocean. No, don't be a hero.
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  Get out of there. Protect yourself and your
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  family. Anyway, lastly, we had a WNBA
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  hit Phoenix, Minnesota over 160 1/2.
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  That thing flew over great to see because we saw a good sharp
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  line move, had a good bet split, had a good rhythm edge
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  predicting closer to a 165. We catch that thing halfway
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  through the fourth quarter. So overall, 4 and 1 + 2.69
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  units, 9:00 and 2:00 last couple days guys, let's keep it
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  rolling. So 3 pack here today.
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  Let's focus on the big one, Dallas and the New York Giants,
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  Thursday Night Football 2 NFC's teams who absolutely hate each
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  other and hopefully will make for a good sweat here for
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  tonight. So little background going into
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  it and then I'm going to give you my side and then I'm going
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  to give you my player prop. So we open this game with a OR.
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  Let me give you some background first.
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  Dallas Cowboys. As you remember 1 and 2 just
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  lost to the Ravens. 2825 came up just short at the end with a
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  possible epic comeback, but they lost 2825 as a one point home
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  dog. Meanwhile the G men one and two
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  as well. They won their first game of the
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  year last week, beat the Browns 21 to 15 as a 6 1/2 point Rd.
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  dog. So what have you seen across the
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  market here? Well, the look at on this game
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  was Dallas -7 seven point favorite on the road.
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  We saw a new opener, which is important because you're gonna
• 5:22
  get the early number and then you're gonna get the adjusted
• 5:24
  number once the game ends. So because Dallas didn't play
• 5:27
  well cuz Giants did play well, it kind of reopened at around
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  Dallas -4 1/2. It quickly got bet up all the
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  way to Dallas -6 and the public, regardless of the number,
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  whether it's 7, four and a half, six, doesn't matter.
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  Public is going Dallas. They see this as a get right
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  spot for the Cowboys, who have struggled a bit to start the
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  year. They're playing the lowly G men
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  who they've owned in recent years.
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  You know, Prescott over Daniel Jones, easy play.
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  Dallas will win by a touchdown or more.
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  That's what the public saying. 77% of spread bets are going
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  with the Cowboys. However, once we saw this line
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  get up to Dallas -6 it's been nothing but sharp buyback on the
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  G Men. A lot of G men smart money came
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  in +6 down to plus 5 1/2. Now a lot of books are at 5 1/2,
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  but I'm seeing some books even get down to five.
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  So when I was writing about this game for my sharp report that I
• 6:18
  write for visen.com, you can always check it out around noon
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  time or 1:00 for my Twitter page at Josh under score Insights.
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  But when I was writing about this, I was saying, OK, I'm
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  seeing some buyback on on the Giants.
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  Giants are incredibly contrarian. 23 or what did I
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  say, 23% of spread bets? Yeah, 77% on Dallas.
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  So divisional game. I got a lot of system matches.
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  I'll rattle them off to you in one second.
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  But I'm saying to myself, OK, I'm going to be on the Giants.
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  This is a play for me to go contrarian in a heavily bet game
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  with some sharp buyback. But here's the thing.
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  I want to get a key number of +6.
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  Now, at the time this morning when I wrote the article, it was
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  Dallas -5 1/2 juiced up -115 looking like it may go to six.
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  So I'm thinking, OK, let's wait and try to get that key number.
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  Well, here's a good thing and a bad thing.
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  The good news is there's sharp buyback on the Giants.
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  This thing is back down to 5 1/2, and some books are even
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  going to five. The bad news is we're running.
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  I don't think we're going to get that six.
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  That 6 is gone. Maybe it'll come back before
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  kick off. But all the late afternoon
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  movement is coming back toward the Giants.
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  So I don't think that 6 is going to be available anymore.
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  Now, if you're able to pick off A6, you're feeling really good
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  because most books are 5 1/2 or even now 5 here.
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  So at this point with no 6 available, you got to at least
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  do your part to get the five and a half.
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  You know, you always think of a score like 27 to 22.
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  You know, 5 point margin you got to cover with the hook,
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  something like that. 2520, something like in that nature.
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  So 6 is gone sadly, but I'm going to go contrain and take
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  Giants plus 5 1/2 now. Currently FanDuel bet MGM ESPN
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  bet 5 1/2 is widely available, although there are there are
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  some books that are down at 5:00.
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  But as always, I know you have multiple accounts so you can
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  shop around and get the best price.
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  So at least get if you want to sweat the contrarian play with
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  me with the Giants get that 5 1/2 Giants as I mentioned, huge
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  contrarian spot, only 23% of bets and a heavily bet primetime
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  game. So great bet against the public
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  contrarian value. Then we get into a lot of system
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  matches. So you may have seen this on
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  Twitter or some variation of this system on Twitter, but dogs
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  that are getting 4 1/2 points or more, they're 15 and 6 against
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  the spread so far this year, 71 percent, 37% ROI.
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  They have been just absolutely fantastic.
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  If you keep on digging, primetime dogs, 124 and 97
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  against the spread, 56 percent, 8% ROI since 2020.
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  So over a big sample multi year sample, we've seen these
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  primetime dogs bark divisional dogs.
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  It's always important to know when you're going into a
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  matchup. Is this a division game or a non
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  division game? Because division games I learn
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  more to the dog built in familiarity, rivalry aspect,
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  levels the playing field benefits the team getting
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  points. Divisional dogs are two O 9 and
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  179 against the spread 54 percent 4% ROI since 2020.
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  Now we get into the coach, quarterback Brian Dayball, 19
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  and 11 against the spread, 63% as a dog in his career as the
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  Giants head coach. And Daniel Jones, who gets a lot
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  of crap. I don't think he cares too much
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  because he signed a huge deal. He's making like 50 million a
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  year. He probably doesn't deserve that
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  much. But Daniel Jones, as much crap
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  as he gets, he's been good as a dog.
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  He's 17 and 12 against the spread, 59% as a dog.
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  When he's getting 4 1/2 points or more.
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  And again, I mentioned the fact that at the time you're looking
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  for a six, again, that's now gone.
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  So I'm going to take the 5 1/2 here, guys.
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  I will mention as well our friends at Rhythm who provide
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  fantastic AI driven models and predictions.
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  They have the spread at 5.1, so it's kind of right at the number
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  now. But that's why getting the hook
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  in the five and a half could be critical because if Rhythm is
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  correct and again, a lot of the betting market is down to five,
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  that hook could be the difference between a win and a
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  push. So I'm taking the points here
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  plus 5 1/2. I will mention with the total,
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  it's been interesting because early in the week it ticked up,
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  it opened as low as 44, it got up to 45 1/2.
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  Public's going over because they love sweating Cowboys overs, 62%
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  of bets on the over, but those 45 1/2's are gone.
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  Those hooks are gone. It's now down to 45.
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  So we are seeing some late buyback on the under.
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  The key number there was 45 1/2 if you like the under and you
• 10:29
  can still find that 45 1/2. I see one book, 45 1/2 under
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  -120. So if you're going to play it,
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  at least get the hook there. Now if you look at unders this
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  year, they've been great, 27 and 2057%.
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  Prime time unders are six and five.
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  They're once this year and since 2019 they're 166 and one 1260%
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  with a 15% ROI. Outdoor divisional unders, get
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  rid of those Dome games. Divisional play, know your
• 10:56
  opponent, know how to match up. Outdoor divisional unders are
• 10:59
  four and one this year. They're 227 and one, 8256
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  percent, 7% ROI since 2021. Now keep an eye on the weather.
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  I can tell you I'm in Boston. It's raining, it's cold, it's
• 11:11
  gross. Obviously you have the hurricane
• 11:14
  hitting the southeastern portion of the United States.
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  As of right now at MetLife, it's cloudy.
• 11:20
  It'd be about 5 mile per hour crosswinds.
• 11:22
  It's going to be about low 70s. But I did see a possible chance
• 11:25
  of rain at MetLife. So again, keep an eye out for
• 11:27
  that. Obviously, if it's raining, not
• 11:30
  really as much the rain, but the wind is what helps you cash in
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  under. So once again, I feel like I'm a
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  broken record. I'm sorry.
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  I feel like I got some fall allergies hitting me as we speak
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  because I have the windows open. Because I'm one of those people
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  who loves to turn off the AC or the heat and not get a charge
• 11:45
  with the electric bill and just have windows open.
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  It's actually my favorite times of the year, September in New
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  England, because the leaves start to change again, it's not
• 11:53
  as hot anymore, I get to save on the electric bill, yadda yadda
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  yadda. Anyway, pay attention to the
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  weather. That could be something to
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  monitor between now and kick off.
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  So if you're putting a gun to my head, I lean under.
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  But my one play here guys is I'm going to go down with the ship,
• 12:08
  hopefully victorious with the ship, but I'm going to go G men
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  plus 5 1/2. Only 23% of bets, a lot of
• 12:13
  system matches and some buy back once that thing topped out at
• 12:16
  6:00. So give me G men plus 5 1/2.
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  Now in terms of the player prop, player prop, I am targeting
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  Wandale Robinson. Wandale Robinson, the second
• 12:29
  wide receiver for the New York Giants, over 35 1/2 receiving
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  yards. It's -110 so we don't have to
• 12:35
  pay too much in terms of the juice, but Wandell Robinson, he
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  has gone over 35 1/2 receiving yards in four of his last five
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  games. He's second on the team and
• 12:45
  targets with 24. Only Malik Neighbors has more
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  37. Wandell Robinson had 61 yards
• 12:52
  last week. He had 18 yards in Week 2, which
• 12:55
  is a little bit low, but he had 44 in Week 1.
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  So basically, he's been, you know, close to, if not exceeding
• 13:00
  this number in pretty much every game.
• 13:03
  Now, the thought process 2 is the Giants are a dog.
• 13:06
  So will they have to keep pace? Are they going to be down?
• 13:09
  Are there situations where they're going to be throwing the
• 13:11
  ball more instead of running it, which could benefit the passing
• 13:13
  game and benefit Robinson? Also, Cowboys are likely to
• 13:18
  focus on Malik Neighbors. And of course, they're going to
• 13:21
  think kid just set a record in terms of his first two or three
• 13:24
  games, his offensive output with yardage and catches.
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  It looks like the real deal here.
• 13:30
  So if Trevon Diggs is going to be on leak neighbors and they're
• 13:33
  going to focus on neighbors, that could create a lot of
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  opportunities open, you know, up the middle for Robinson to take
• 13:39
  advantage here. Lastly, you always got to get to
• 13:42
  the rhythm prediction here because that's right.
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  I look at my player props, but rhythm is predicting Wandell
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  Robinson 43.9 receiving yards. So if we're getting over 35 1/2,
• 13:53
  he's gone over and for the last five we're going to focus on
• 13:56
  neighbors and hopefully leave Robinson open 43.9 predicted
• 14:01
  model outcome from rhythm. I'm going to go over here
• 14:03
  Wandale Robinson over 35 and half receiving yards.
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  So Robinson over and the G men at plus 5 1/2.
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  Now finishing up the pod. Let's go to Major League
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  Baseball because there's a lot of day games today and there's
• 14:18
  only I believe 10 games overall in that Mets game got postponed.
• 14:22
  So there's really only three night games here to choose from.
• 14:24
  So I'm going to focus on definitely not your favorite
• 14:27
  game of the night, not Baltimore, New York, not San
• 14:30
  Diego, LA, but Miami, Minnesota. This one jumped out to me for a
• 14:35
  couple of reasons #1 is that I went into today saying let's try
• 14:40
  to maximize our our winning streak with these unders.
• 14:42
  I've been crushing it here last couple days playing unders.
• 14:45
  And remember, September unders are now 55% + 14 units.
• 14:49
  So I'm looking at each game and the one that jumped out to me
• 14:53
  and I, what I like to do is cover up the names of the teams.
• 14:56
  Look at strictly what the data is telling me.
• 14:58
  So it jumped out to me with this twins game.
• 14:59
  And remember, twins are basically hanging by a, you
• 15:03
  know, by a, by a string right now.
• 15:05
  Because if you look at the wild card standings, we all know
• 15:08
  Miami is way out of it. They've already been eliminated
• 15:10
  long ago. But the twins and I just saw the
• 15:12
  Tigers won again. Twins are 2 1/2 games back with
• 15:16
  I think what, four or five to play?
• 15:18
  So they got to literally went out to even give themselves a
• 15:21
  shot. But technically they're still
• 15:22
  alive. So it is a must win here for
• 15:24
  Minnesota and they're a huge favorite.
• 15:25
  They're like a -, 250 favorite. So not going to lay the 250.
• 15:30
  I'm not going to go Miami and +200.
• 15:33
  But I noticed some smart money hitting this total.
• 15:35
  So let me give you the pitching matchup, the bet split
• 15:38
  breakdown, and I'll tell you which direction I'm going.
• 15:40
  Pitching matchup for the Miami Marlins, we have Valente
• 15:44
  Bellazzo, he's three and four, 3.82 ERA.
• 15:48
  He'll be opposed by David Festa, who's two and six with a 4.8 O
• 15:52
  ERA. Now in terms of the total, saw a
• 15:55
  bunch of books open this total at 9 and as soon as that nine
• 15:58
  opened, it did not hang there long.
• 16:00
  Immediately got down to 8 1/2. So that right off the bat to me,
• 16:04
  he told me that once wise guys saw that post at 9, they
• 16:06
  hammered the 9. Now it's down to 8 1/2 and 8 1/2
• 16:09
  has been juiced up over 8 1/2 at -115 - 120.
• 16:14
  But I'm starting to see it even out a little bit now.
• 16:17
  I'm seeing some books that are 8 1/2 / - 112 - 113.
• 16:21
  I would love to see the juice flip and then go to 8 1/2 under
• 16:25
  -115 but still 9 down, 8 1/2, the juice is evening out a
• 16:29
  little bit. I'm going to go under in this
• 16:31
  one. Now the public is going over 59%
• 16:34
  of bets are going over. Only 41% of bets are on the
• 16:38
  under, but 50% of dollars are on the under.
• 16:41
  So low bets, higher dollars. Sharp contrarian.
• 16:43
  We have the reverse line moved nine down to 8 1/2 even though
• 16:46
  public's going over. And then also one thing I
• 16:50
  noticed is if you shop around, you can get even money on this
• 16:53
  one. I noticed at ESPN bet under 8
• 16:57
  1/2 is plus 100. So again, you'd risk a unit and
• 17:00
  even money. You're going to get a unit back
• 17:02
  hopefully if we get this under play here.
• 17:04
  Now, if you dig into these pictures a little bit more,
• 17:07
  Belazzo, he's actually been really good in September.
• 17:09
  In the month of September, he has a 2.86 ERA and four starts.
• 17:14
  At home he has a 4.39 ERA, but on the road, 3.41.
• 17:19
  In the day, 5.92 ERA, but at night 2.52.
• 17:23
  So he's been good in September, he's been good on the road and
• 17:26
  good at night. Guess what, it's September 26th,
• 17:30
  it's at night and it's on the road.
• 17:31
  So hopefully Belazzo pitches well tonight.
• 17:33
  And then David Festa, he's given up two earned runs or less in
• 17:37
  three of his four September starts.
• 17:38
  So he's pitched the ball pretty decent as well.
• 17:41
  Lastly, keep an eye out with the weather here.
• 17:45
  The weather is should be clear skies at Target Field about 70°,
• 17:50
  but the wind is blowing in from dead center about 5 to 7 mph.
• 17:54
  So hopefully maybe got a warning track or a first row home run
• 17:57
  that gets pushed into a warning track fly ball and isn't out.
• 18:01
  Lastly, I like interleaf, not interleague favorites.
• 18:04
  Not just that lack of familiarity, but interleague
• 18:07
  matchups tend to lean under because of the pitchers having
• 18:10
  the advantage. The hitters haven't really faced
• 18:11
  them very often. And when you have a pitcher
• 18:14
  that's an advantage, the unknown factor because you haven't seen
• 18:16
  the stuff before. Also, Minnesota is a big
• 18:19
  favorite here -250 I see some shops as high as like -265 why
• 18:25
  is that important? Because if they're up, maybe
• 18:27
  they don't even have to bat in the bottom of the ninth.
• 18:29
  Maybe they just close it out. You know, they're up 6 nothing
• 18:32
  and we and we cash this under something like that.
• 18:34
  So again, we're hot right now with our MLB totals.
• 18:38
  There's only three games to choose from tonight.
• 18:40
  The one I focused on was Miami, Minnesota.
• 18:41
  So I'm going to go Marlins and the Twins under 8 1/2.
• 18:46
  Again, you can get 8 1/2 under -1 O 5.
• 18:48
  Pretty reduced juice. Try to get a + 100 or as close
• 18:52
  as you can get to it. But that's what I got at ESPN
• 18:54
  bet under 8 1/2 at plus 100. So Giants plus 5 1/2, Wandell
• 18:59
  Robinson over 35 and half receiving yards and Miami,
• 19:02
  Minnesota under 8 and half at plus 100 at ESPN.
• 19:05
  Bet that about does it for episode 128.
• 19:09
  Short and sweet pod here on a Thursday before we got a big
• 19:11
  Friday upcoming because we're going to unveil our final card
• 19:15
  for the NFL as well as college football.
• 19:18
  And also should have some biting on the 28th, which is my wife's
• 19:23
  birthday, My beautiful wife, actually.
• 19:26
  Sorry, that's the 29th. It's actually technically if
• 19:28
  these bouts go late, I think they're are they daytime?
• 19:32
  I got to double check. Anyway, my wife's birthday is
• 19:35
  this weekend. You know what she told me?
• 19:36
  She said you're not watching football all weekend, you're
• 19:38
  going to hang out with me. So I might not even be able to
• 19:41
  sweat these games. We're going to go apple picking
• 19:43
  or she loves it when we go to the gym together.
• 19:47
  Here I'm complaining when luck, luckily enough, you know someone
• 19:50
  wants to hang out with me. How can I complain?
• 19:52
  But it is my wife's birthday weekend, so maybe she'll bring
• 19:54
  us some some good luck as she has the last couple nights.
• 19:57
  But anyway, guys, that about does it for episode 128 of the
• 20:01
  All Systems Go Sports Betting pod powered by Rhythm.
• 20:04
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up.
• 20:05
  And I start by asking a favor of you.
• 20:07
  Could you please make my day and do one thing for me?
• 20:11
  Could you please give this podcast a five star review?
• 20:14
  If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, there should be an
• 20:17
  option to rate and review. Click the five stars.
• 20:19
  It would help us to rise up the rankings, gain more momentum,
• 20:23
  gain more listeners. Really just to grow the pod
• 20:26
  that's always the goal. So if you could give it five
• 20:28
  stars and you haven't done it yet, I would very, very much
• 20:31
  appreciate that. If there's an option to leave a
• 20:33
  nice comment, that'll be great as well.
• 20:35
  And if there's an opportunity to click a follow button that we
• 20:38
  get alerted and it goes right to your library as soon as it comes
• 20:40
  out each day, that'll be great as well.
• 20:42
  So click that follow button. Secondly, if you enjoy this
• 20:45
  style of betting data-driven shark and tray and betting,
• 20:49
  we're acting like Wall Street traders, you know, staring at
• 20:52
  our at our, our E*Trade account, looking at how stocks move and
• 20:56
  and basically applying that to sports betting.
• 20:58
  Where's the market? What is the market telling us?
• 21:00
  Where is it going? What did the line open at?
• 21:03
  How did it move? What are the bet splits telling
• 21:05
  us? Where's the public?
• 21:06
  Where are the sharps looking for system matches flat betting and
• 21:09
  not parlaying. If this style of betting appeals
• 21:11
  to you and maybe you've now been provided a blueprint to to
• 21:15
  follow and bet on sports with. And guess what, If you wanna
• 21:18
  learn more about data-driven betting or just let me know you
• 21:20
  appreciate the hard work that I put in hosting this pod each
• 21:23
  day, then you can go buy my book.
• 21:26
  I would very much like that. All you gotta do is go to
• 21:28
  Amazon.com, type in the everything Guide to Sports
• 21:31
  Betting, pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
• 21:33
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry, how lines are
• 21:36
  set, how and why they move, how to read line movement, how to
• 21:39
  locate sharp action, how to place the bet in person or
• 21:41
  online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
• 21:44
  management plan, chapters on all the major sports.
• 21:47
  It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
• 21:49
  Betting. And I might add, it's a great
• 21:51
  gift for someone's birthday, for the holidays.
• 21:54
  I know we're far off from that, but it's only about 20 bucks and
• 21:57
  I think you're going to enjoy it.
• 21:58
  And if you bring that book, my book, to the book, I'll sign it
• 22:02
  for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
• 22:04
  ale and we'll sweat some games together next.
• 22:06
  Have you taken advantage of a Rhythm or a Juice Reel 7 day
• 22:10
  free trial? Well if you haven't, you better
• 22:12
  go do that right now. Rhythm is fantastic for their AI
• 22:15
  driven models and predictions for both game bets as well as
• 22:19
  player props and Juice Reel. I love for their Robo Jackson
• 22:22
  best bet picks that come out each day at noon if you want to
• 22:25
  tail those. Also they have the arbitrage
• 22:28
  plays. You can grind out guaranteed
• 22:30
  profits by following the risk ratios on both sides of a
• 22:33
  different bet. Also, they have the game
• 22:35
  breakdowns giving you actual money from people who have a
• 22:37
  juicer reel account in terms of what side and what what side of
• 22:41
  the total they're on. And then also you're going to
• 22:44
  get, you're going to have the ability to sync up your sports
• 22:47
  books. So if you have a FanDuel,
• 22:49
  DraftKings, bet MGM, Caesars Fanatics, ESPN, bet Rivers,
• 22:53
  whatever it may be, you can sync up your books to Juice Reel.
• 22:56
  And then once you place a bet at your book on your app, it'll go
• 22:59
  right to Juice Reel and it'll give you a report card of your
• 23:02
  action, Keep you honest and you can maybe learn something about
• 23:04
  yourself like, oh man, I'm I'm struggling NFL props or maybe
• 23:09
  I'm crushing NFL dogs or maybe in college I thought I was not
• 23:14
  that good, but actually I'm doing pretty well.
• 23:16
  It keeps you honest and it can actually highlight your
• 23:18
  strengths and weaknesses, which then once you have that
• 23:20
  knowledge, you can then continue to work on.
• 23:23
  So again, sign up for juice Reel and rhythm, but you got to do it
• 23:26
  in a specific way. Go to the bio description of
• 23:28
  each podcast. It'll say something like for
• 23:31
  today and episode 128, Josh dishes out a three pack of
• 23:34
  sweats for Thursday Night Football and MLB.
• 23:36
  Scroll below that and you're going to see a link for a rhythm
• 23:38
  and a link for Juice Reel. Click those links, get signed
• 23:41
  up. They help me win.
• 23:43
  They'll help you win. That about does it guys.
• 23:45
  Another pod here in the books. As always, I'll leave you with
• 23:48
  two things. First, whether I see you at the
• 23:51
  Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
• 23:53
  of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in
• 23:56
  Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park
• 23:58
  casino R.E.M. Jim Springfield in my neck of
• 24:00
  the woods in Massachusetts. Or of course, out in the desert
• 24:03
  where the true grinders get down.
• 24:05
  Where Billy Walter sends his number runners where lowest
• 24:07
  juice possible is found, the South Point or Sweat and sharp
• 24:10
  contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 24:13
  When you catch a big ticket at Circo, wherever it may be,
• 24:15
  you're going to show me some nice winning tickets from last
• 24:18
  night. Show me a Texas, Oakland under 7
• 24:21
  1/2, LA Chicago under 7 1/2, KC Washington under 7 1/2, and a
• 24:26
  WNBA Phoenix, Minnesota over 160 1/2.
• 24:30
  Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
• 24:32
  you. We're going to post about the
• 24:33
  book Sweatshop Contrarian plays all night long.
• 24:36
  So wish the best luck everyone, as always, remember, stay sharp,
• 24:39
  stay contrarian bet against the public place yourself on the
• 24:42
  side of the house. Always be with the smart money,
• 24:44
  never against it. Will smart money win every time?
• 24:47
  Of course not anything can happen.
• 24:49
  But here's the thing. Anything can happen in a one
• 24:51
  off, but we're always playing that long game.
• 24:53
  Remember, you're not thinking about what's going to win
• 24:55
  tonight. You're going to think about if I
• 24:56
  make this bet over the course of 1000 bets light light come out
• 25:00
  on top. Well, that's our goal by being
• 25:02
  data-driven, better sticking to the blueprint with our head and
• 25:05
  not our heart. And if we can do that, stay
• 25:07
  against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
• 25:10
  avoid parlays and get that closing line value.
• 25:12
  If we can do that, we're going to be successful long term.
• 25:15
  So enjoy Thursday Night Football, everybody.
• 25:18
  We got a three pack. Let's try to go 2 and one and
• 25:20
  keep our winning streak going. And then tomorrow get ready for
• 25:23
  a big pod final. Best bet card for NFL for
• 25:26
  Sunday, for college football. Let me double check right now.
• 25:29
  I want to mention to Army, Temple didn't really have
• 25:32
  anything on that game. Everyone's playing Army and the
• 25:34
  line ticked up to Army. I was entertaining Temple, but I
• 25:37
  didn't have a good rhythm, so I laid off that one.
• 25:39
  But I may have a play for you. Washington, Rutgers for
• 25:41
  tomorrow. I'm looking at maybe the dog
• 25:43
  there. So keep an eye out for a big pod
• 25:46
  for tomorrow. Final college and NFL card as
• 25:49
  well as biting and hopefully we'll have one last good day of
• 25:52
  or maybe 2 of Major League Baseball.
• 25:55
  But either way, guys have a fantastic Thursday.
• 25:57
  Enjoy the sweats and I'll see you back at it tomorrow for
• 25:59
  episode 129 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 26:04
  powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody, enjoy your
• 26:06
  night.