Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / Vikings vs Cowboys NFL DFS Showdown | Week 15 SNF | Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: All system's going.
- 0:10Speaker 2: Clear, the lifting, Well, what is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 1: Shipping Nation YouTube station.
- 0:43Speaker 3: We are back with another edition of the NFL Sunday Night.
- 0:46Speaker 3: We got a quick kid video today. I got the
- 0:49Speaker 3: Shell of the Stone over here, Forest, We're gonna walk
- 0:52Speaker 3: through this. We got the Vikings headed into the Big
- 0:55Speaker 3: d to take on this. Cowboys got a forty eight
- 0:57Speaker 3: and a half point total, got a six point spread, which,
- 1:00Speaker 3: in my opinion, I don't know why these Vikings are
- 1:02Speaker 3: catching six points. Actually I kind of do know why
- 1:05Speaker 3: because they have a quarterback by the name of JJ
- 1:07Speaker 3: McCarthy who's not very good, but their defense sure is stout,
- 1:12Speaker 3: as we saw last week against the Commanders.
- 1:16Speaker 1: So let's break this all down.
- 1:17Speaker 3: Do me a favorite hitcher, like, hit the subscribe button
- 1:20Speaker 3: and put your favorite captain in the chat below who
- 1:22Speaker 3: helps us out of tone over here to get that
- 1:24Speaker 3: interaction going back and forth. For me, let's talk about
- 1:28Speaker 3: captain spots. And to me, when I first look at
- 1:30Speaker 3: the captain spots, the first thing I noticed is that
- 1:34Speaker 3: they're all pretty much very inexpensive. You got Dak fifteen
- 1:38Speaker 3: six CD coming off the concussion, looks like he's gonna
- 1:40Speaker 3: play at fifteen George Pickins, that is he gonna run
- 1:43Speaker 3: his routes fast today at fourteen seven, and then on
- 1:46Speaker 3: the other side you got Jettas at thirteen to two
- 1:48Speaker 3: and JJ at thirteen five. That's that's super low to
- 1:51Speaker 3: me when we're used to seeing guys seventeen eighteen, you know,
- 1:55Speaker 3: sometimes nineteen k in the captain spots. So to me,
- 1:58Speaker 3: what that tells me is that we're going to be
- 2:00Speaker 3: a jam a lot of these guys in And to
- 2:02Speaker 3: be quite frank with you, there's not many many guys
- 2:06Speaker 3: on the Cowboys that I like. I think this game
- 2:08Speaker 3: plays a lot closer than the spread will indicate. I
- 2:12Speaker 3: think the general consensus is that this Cowboys team got
- 2:15Speaker 3: better on defense with the acquisitions, and did they absolutely
- 2:19Speaker 3: with Quinn Williams joining the fray the Logan Wilson from
- 2:23Speaker 3: the Bengals who doesn't even play that much, so I
- 2:25Speaker 3: don't even know why they got him. But the good
- 2:27Speaker 3: news for the Cowboys is thaton Trayvon Diggs will not
- 2:31Speaker 3: play tonight in this game. That's a big upgrade for
- 2:35Speaker 3: these Cowboys. That guy is burnt toasts, so that's good
- 2:37Speaker 3: that he's gonna be on the sidelines to not giving
- 2:39Speaker 3: up seventy hour bombs to Justin Jefferson tonight. So they
- 2:44Speaker 3: did get an upgrade there, dodging that bullet for one
- 2:46Speaker 3: more week.
- 2:48Speaker 1: But my favorite.
- 2:49Speaker 3: Captain on the Cowboys would be Dak reason being you know,
- 2:54Speaker 3: we've seen what he's done all year, slinging that ball around,
- 2:56Speaker 3: slinging it to Pickings, slinging it to Lamb, slinging it
- 2:59Speaker 3: to some guy in Ryan Floorinoy, slinging it to Jake Ferguson. Uh.
- 3:03Speaker 3: So that's that's the way that they're gonna win this game.
- 3:06Speaker 3: It's not gonna be Jam and Javonte Williams into the
- 3:08Speaker 3: line of scrimmage.
- 3:09Speaker 1: I think that's a recipe for a disaster.
- 3:11Speaker 3: So it's gonna be Dak spreading it around to his
- 3:14Speaker 3: pass catchers that you see there. He would be my
- 3:17Speaker 3: top captain for the Cowboys. And in this game. The thing,
- 3:22Speaker 3: the thing with the thing with not not loving these
- 3:25Speaker 3: these receivers up top is this Minnesota defense A is
- 3:28Speaker 3: very good.
- 3:29Speaker 1: B is Uh. They don't give up many yards through
- 3:32Speaker 1: the air.
- 3:33Speaker 3: So I don't I don't think we're gonna see a
- 3:35Speaker 3: Pickings or a Lamb ceiling type game. You know, where
- 3:38Speaker 3: they go ten for one fifty and two touchdowns. I
- 3:40Speaker 3: think it's gonna be more spread out, and that's why
- 3:43Speaker 3: I like Dak and have Dak ahead of these ahead
- 3:46Speaker 3: of these Cowboys.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Let's look to the other side.
- 3:48Speaker 3: I'm gonna go to my second favorite captain on the
- 3:51Speaker 3: entire slate. It's gonna be Jettas thirteen to two.
- 3:54Speaker 1: We know what he can do.
- 3:55Speaker 3: He's in a dome like he's accustomed to. This Cowboy secondary.
- 4:00Speaker 3: He's just been brutal all season long. I think they've
- 4:02Speaker 3: given up the second or third most passing yards throughout
- 4:05Speaker 3: the entire season. The Ron Bland shell of his pass
- 4:08Speaker 3: got lucky. He had like seven pick six this one year.
- 4:10Speaker 3: But outside of that not being very good. I mentioned
- 4:13Speaker 3: Diggs on the sideline, he's terrible as well. He's winded
- 4:17Speaker 3: down in his Dallas days. It's a must win game
- 4:21Speaker 3: for Dallas. You know, with the Eagles losing on Monday
- 4:23Speaker 3: night against the Chargers, they'll obviously know the balance of
- 4:26Speaker 3: the Raiders game this afternoon.
- 4:29Speaker 1: But I believe it's if the.
- 4:30Speaker 3: Cowboys went out and the Eagles have to lose one,
- 4:32Speaker 3: I think it's one more game, maybe two more games.
- 4:35Speaker 3: They would be the representative from the NFC. So Cowboys
- 4:38Speaker 3: are gonna be giving it everything they got. But justin
- 4:40Speaker 3: Jefferson in a dome at thirteen to two, I just
- 4:42Speaker 3: think that's underpriced for him to be, what is that
- 4:45Speaker 3: the seventh most expensive captain? And let's just be frank
- 4:48Speaker 3: with each other. He's had a bad season this year.
- 4:50Speaker 3: A lot of that is due to the quarterback play
- 4:53Speaker 3: that he has had. Some guy named Max Brosmer was
- 4:56Speaker 3: his quarterback in one game. But gimme Jettas in the
- 4:59Speaker 3: control environment to have a very big night in Sunday
- 5:03Speaker 3: Night football. He would be my second favorite captain and
- 5:06Speaker 3: then my third. Kind of my long shot. And it's
- 5:09Speaker 3: it's kind of a brutal play, to be honest with you,
- 5:12Speaker 3: but it is Aaron Jones. You know Aaron Jones if
- 5:15Speaker 3: you remember from those Packers' days. For whatever reason, not
- 5:18Speaker 3: for whatever reason, we know, we know the exact reason.
- 5:21Speaker 3: He loves going back to Dallas. He loves playing in
- 5:25Speaker 3: Jerry's world, the former UTEP minor great Aaron Jones, going
- 5:29Speaker 3: back home if you will, And he always seems to
- 5:32Speaker 3: score four touchdowns when he's in this game. He's their
- 5:34Speaker 3: best back, excuse me, Mitzne's there. He's their best back
- 5:40Speaker 3: in my opinion. He starts the game and then they
- 5:42Speaker 3: rotate like no other. With Jordan Mason, he's actually cheaper
- 5:45Speaker 3: than Jordan Mason tonight, Mason at ten eight, you get
- 5:48Speaker 3: Aaron Jones all the way down at ninety three hundred
- 5:50Speaker 3: and listen, I certainly understand the snap counts aren't there
- 5:53Speaker 3: forty you know, forty one percent last game that was
- 5:56Speaker 3: kind of a blowout, that was more of an aberration.
- 5:58Speaker 3: So if we could see somewhere on the sixty five
- 6:00Speaker 3: percent mark with Aaron Jones, I think he's in a
- 6:04Speaker 3: smash spot tonight against this Dallas defense that they're bad, right, They.
- 6:08Speaker 1: Got better with Quinn like I talked about earlier, but.
- 6:11Speaker 3: You know they got gashed last week by Jamier Gibbs
- 6:14Speaker 3: the last time there on the field.
- 6:15Speaker 1: No, no, Aaron Jones.
- 6:16Speaker 3: Is nowhere near Jamiir Gibbs level, but he does have
- 6:19Speaker 3: that upside to where he could score one, two, possibly
- 6:23Speaker 3: three touchdowns.
- 6:24Speaker 1: Highly unlikely to happened, but it could.
- 6:26Speaker 3: So Aaron kind of would be my distant third favorite
- 6:29Speaker 3: captain on the slate tonight. So just to recap that
- 6:33Speaker 3: I got Dak number one, Jetta's number two, Jones slash
- 6:37Speaker 3: McCarthy would be three four, But those would be distant
- 6:41Speaker 3: distant guys there. Let's move into some of the flex plays.
- 6:44Speaker 3: We'll go position by position here on the stone. Obviously,
- 6:48Speaker 3: I like Dak and the captain gonna like him in
- 6:50Speaker 3: the flex as well.
- 6:51Speaker 1: JJ. I don't think JJ's the worst play tonight.
- 6:53Speaker 3: He's had a rough year, I know it, but he
- 6:55Speaker 3: did throw three touchdown passes last week, so maybe he's
- 6:58Speaker 3: getting his groove back. Two to Josh Oliver. I think
- 7:01Speaker 3: the third one was to Hot nine K in the flex.
- 7:03Speaker 3: I think that's good. Other thing I like too about
- 7:06Speaker 3: JJ is that the Cowboys have you get the fourth
- 7:08Speaker 3: most rushing yards to quarterbacks on the season. So dude,
- 7:11Speaker 3: give me some JJ at nine k in the flex.
- 7:14Speaker 3: And like I said, I even be my fourth favorite captain.
- 7:16Speaker 1: If I am going to captain.
- 7:18Speaker 3: JJ, I would want to at least you know, one
- 7:21Speaker 3: pass catcher probably too, and probably would not correlate him
- 7:24Speaker 3: with any any of my running backs there. But you
- 7:26Speaker 3: give me some JJ for sure, and Dak on top
- 7:29Speaker 3: of that. Moving into the running backs, Aaron Jones certainly
- 7:32Speaker 3: in play for me at sixty two hundred in the flex,
- 7:36Speaker 3: especially with DAK captains and or anybody else. I think
- 7:41Speaker 3: I'm okay with Aaron Jones in the flex, even if
- 7:44Speaker 3: you did have even if you did have Jefferson up top,
- 7:48Speaker 3: where Jefferson goes for like you know one twenty five
- 7:50Speaker 3: and two, and Jones could still get eighty and two
- 7:53Speaker 3: as well and still need to be in the optimal.
- 7:55Speaker 1: So I definitely like him.
- 7:57Speaker 3: For whatever reason, I just can't get I just can't
- 8:00Speaker 3: get Javonte Williams out of my mind.
- 8:03Speaker 1: I just don't think.
- 8:04Speaker 3: He's very good. I do think they play him a lot.
- 8:08Speaker 3: And this this Vikings defense when they're fully healthy, their
- 8:12Speaker 3: top tier.
- 8:13Speaker 1: We saw it last week.
- 8:14Speaker 3: They were thirty three hundred dollars on FanDuel I said,
- 8:16Speaker 3: jam the Vikings defense end.
- 8:17Speaker 1: All they did is go and pitch a shutout.
- 8:19Speaker 3: They got a very good defense, Van Geekls healthy, Jonathan
- 8:25Speaker 3: Grenard healthy, that back in with Harrison Smith holding it
- 8:28Speaker 3: down very good back there. So I'm out on Javonte
- 8:33Speaker 3: Williams when when there's guys miss and we saw it,
- 8:36Speaker 3: I don't know, week two, Week three, Week four, you
- 8:38Speaker 3: know against the Falcons. They got gashed on Sunday night,
- 8:41Speaker 3: but they were missing some dudes and they got gashed
- 8:43Speaker 3: across the pond. I believe missing some dudes. So if
- 8:46Speaker 3: they're missing dudes, they're susceptible to the run. Fully healthy,
- 8:50Speaker 3: like we see here, it's gonna be rough for Javonte.
- 8:54Speaker 3: In my opinion, I'd even go back two weeks ago
- 8:56Speaker 3: when they were healthy. They got after those Seahawks in Seattle.
- 9:00Speaker 3: If it wasn't for Max Brosma, they would have done
- 9:02Speaker 3: very well. But no Javonte. I'm full fade on Javonte tonight.
- 9:07Speaker 1: Play at your own risk. Let's move to the receivers.
- 9:10Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson wide receiver one on this slate for me.
- 9:13Speaker 3: Love him tonight. Also love Jordan Addison, especially if you
- 9:16Speaker 3: got if you got Uh, if you got McCarthy in
- 9:21Speaker 3: the in the captain, certainly don't hate that.
- 9:24Speaker 1: And then and then Jalen Naylor, I don't think so.
- 9:27Speaker 1: At three thousand.
- 9:29Speaker 3: Uh played sixty percent of the snaps last week, and
- 9:31Speaker 3: that was a little different too. Like I said a
- 9:32Speaker 3: minute ago, as there's such a blowout, what was I
- 9:35Speaker 3: was actually at the game? I think it was Baltimore
- 9:37Speaker 3: where he cut up and had a pretty good game
- 9:40Speaker 3: against Baltimore. I think over a buck so you know,
- 9:44Speaker 3: good dart throat right in the tournament, I don't. I
- 9:46Speaker 3: don't think I'll be getting there rip to the Adam
- 9:49Speaker 3: Feelin Vikings career. Certainly won't be using him tonight because
- 9:52Speaker 3: he's not on the team anymore. But yeah, it's those
- 9:55Speaker 3: three for me obviously, with with Jefferson leading the way,
- 9:59Speaker 3: Addison behind him, and then Jalen Naylor if you needed
- 10:02Speaker 3: a if you needed a three thousand dollars punt, I
- 10:05Speaker 3: don't think he's the worst. To make sure you just
- 10:06Speaker 3: build into the game. Script approp appropriately. Let's go over
- 10:10Speaker 3: to the other side. Talked about CD, talking about George Pickens,
- 10:12Speaker 3: two of the best wide receivers in the game. Pickings
- 10:15Speaker 3: coming off the last game where depends on who you ask.
- 10:18Speaker 3: Some people said he wasn't running hard. He was saying
- 10:20Speaker 3: he was get setting him up double team. The thing
- 10:23Speaker 3: with CD is you can't.
- 10:24Speaker 1: I'm sorry.
- 10:25Speaker 3: The thing with George Pickens is you can't double him.
- 10:26Speaker 3: You can't bracket him when you got CD on the
- 10:29Speaker 3: other side. If you do that, CD is going to
- 10:30Speaker 3: have a game.
- 10:31Speaker 1: He should be back to night ten K for CD
- 10:34Speaker 1: nine to eight for pickings.
- 10:36Speaker 3: Both great receivers, but like I said, this Minnesota defense
- 10:39Speaker 3: is just tough to uh. They crack down on those
- 10:42Speaker 3: wide receivers pretty good. I'm gonna I'm gonna have a
- 10:44Speaker 3: boat for sure, they're in the pool, but I'm gonna
- 10:46Speaker 3: be a little bit lower on Pickings and Lamb tonight
- 10:49Speaker 3: at that price tag floor Noy coming off his career game,
- 10:53Speaker 3: He's he's clearly the third receiver there at forty one
- 10:56Speaker 3: hundred dollars.
- 10:57Speaker 1: You know, if for some reason, you know, or Piggins
- 11:01Speaker 1: were to miss or miss time even he would slot
- 11:04Speaker 1: in there. But I'm not gonna be paying to see that.
- 11:07Speaker 1: In terms of you know, them getting hurt mid game,
- 11:09Speaker 1: I'm not gonna pay to see that.
- 11:11Speaker 3: But I think Floriday is fine at four to eight.
- 11:14Speaker 3: I'm just not gonna chase that ceiling game that he had.
- 11:16Speaker 3: And then Tolbert that's kind of fallen by the wayside.
- 11:20Speaker 3: Cavante Turpin hasn't done much either. Let's see what he
- 11:23Speaker 3: was playing last Thursday against the against the Alliance. He
- 11:28Speaker 3: actually played fifty two percent of the snaps. It's pretty good,
- 11:31Speaker 3: don't know how many targets he got. Only mustered up
- 11:36Speaker 3: two targets. Yeah, Flora only had thirteen. So I think
- 11:39Speaker 3: I'm out on Turpen. It would just be it would
- 11:41Speaker 3: just be those six receivers, right the top three for
- 11:43Speaker 3: the Vikings, top three for the Cowboys. Nothing fancy there
- 11:47Speaker 3: to me. I just want to keep the guys I
- 11:49Speaker 3: know that are gonna play that. I know we're gonna
- 11:51Speaker 3: get targets.
- 11:52Speaker 1: Let's let's talk.
- 11:53Speaker 3: Let's talk tight ends now. Jake Ferguson sixty six hundred dollars.
- 11:58Speaker 3: I do like Jake Ferguson tonight. Jake, clearly, they're wide
- 12:01Speaker 3: receiver number one, having a pretty good year, coming off
- 12:04Speaker 3: of seven target performance last game, eighty percent of the snaps.
- 12:09Speaker 3: He's gonna be out there a ton I like the
- 12:11Speaker 3: Vikings on the perimeter, maybe across the middle, maybe against
- 12:14Speaker 3: the aging Harrison Smith.
- 12:16Speaker 1: He can get the job done.
- 12:17Speaker 3: But give me some, Give me some, Jake Ferguson, for
- 12:20Speaker 3: sure in this game tonight. And then Hawk, Hawk's a
- 12:23Speaker 3: tricky went at four K. I love Hawk the player,
- 12:27Speaker 3: right pre acl I love Hawk. He's just been so bad,
- 12:32Speaker 3: so bad this year in the sense that he just
- 12:34Speaker 3: hasn't done much, you know, when he's been out there
- 12:37Speaker 3: freaking Josh Oliver catching two touchdown passes was so tilting
- 12:42Speaker 3: if you had any hawk. But but you know, playing
- 12:44Speaker 3: fifty fifty to sixty percent of the snaps, not getting
- 12:46Speaker 3: many many targets. But at four k once again, certainly
- 12:51Speaker 3: viable in tournaments, but it's risky to go there because
- 12:57Speaker 3: they just don't throw them the ball that much. Gonna
- 12:59Speaker 3: be their blocking a lot as well, especially against some
- 13:03Speaker 3: of those pass rushers for Dallas. Let's move into kickers
- 13:07Speaker 3: and defenses, and you know, nothing needs to be said
- 13:10Speaker 3: about Brandon Aubrey certified baller, can kick it from anywhere
- 13:13Speaker 3: on the field. Like him tonight. Everybody's gonna like him tonight.
- 13:16Speaker 3: Fifty four hundred dollars. We saw what he did. What
- 13:19Speaker 3: game was that I feel like it was might have
- 13:21Speaker 3: been even last game, and they were just like sixty
- 13:23Speaker 3: yarder after sixty yard I think he had I don't know,
- 13:26Speaker 3: twenty some odd DraftKings points, but yeah, he kick.
- 13:30Speaker 1: Can kick it from anywhere. He is fifty four hundred
- 13:32Speaker 1: dollars twenty three twenty three.
- 13:36Speaker 3: DraftKings points last time, which is just insane on five
- 13:39Speaker 3: field goals.
- 13:41Speaker 1: Will Rikert is fine.
- 13:43Speaker 3: I saw a little little X video of him yesterday
- 13:46Speaker 3: doing a little singing trying to get to the Pro Bowl.
- 13:50Speaker 3: Hey can't hate on a man for that. Will Rockers
- 13:52Speaker 3: certainly fine as long as there's not wires flying across
- 13:55Speaker 3: the field.
- 13:55Speaker 1: I think Will rikerd is certainly fine tonight.
- 13:58Speaker 3: I think the Vikings on be scoring more touchdowns and
- 14:01Speaker 3: field goals my own personal opinion, And at only four
- 14:05Speaker 3: hundred more dollars, you're certainly gonna want to pay up
- 14:07Speaker 3: to get Aubrey for just four hundred bucks. There, let's
- 14:10Speaker 3: talk about Cowboys defense. I am not interested in the
- 14:13Speaker 3: Cowboys defense, even against turnover prone turnover prone JJ McCarthy.
- 14:20Speaker 3: They just they just haven't done it all season long.
- 14:23Speaker 3: So I'm out on the Cowboys defense.
- 14:25Speaker 1: But man o man o many Lee.
- 14:27Speaker 3: Thirty four hundred dollars for this Vikings defense. I love
- 14:30Speaker 3: them tonight, especially in this spot. I've talked about it.
- 14:33Speaker 3: My love for them. They got after the Seahawks two
- 14:35Speaker 3: weeks ago, they put Jaden Daniels out of the game.
- 14:38Speaker 3: Last week when we got all eleven dudes flying around
- 14:40Speaker 3: the football floores.
- 14:41Speaker 1: It's one of the best DC's in the game. In
- 14:43Speaker 1: my opinion, he's drawing up schemes.
- 14:45Speaker 3: He's only doing things making George Piggins head spin out there,
- 14:48Speaker 3: not gonna know what's going on.
- 14:50Speaker 1: Dak's gonna throw some picks. Dak's gonna take some sacks.
- 14:53Speaker 1: At thirty four hundred dollars, I think the Vikings are
- 14:55Speaker 1: a great play on the defensive front tonight. That'll for me.
- 15:00Speaker 3: I know I've done a lot of talking, but love
- 15:03Speaker 3: Justin Jefferson tonight, love Aaron Jones tonight.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Dak would be my favorite overall captain.
- 15:08Speaker 3: And then if you wanted to get freaky Vikings, defense
- 15:11Speaker 3: in the flex is a great play in my opinion, hit.
- 15:14Speaker 1: Give me a favorite hit that like, hit that subscribe
- 15:16Speaker 1: button on the way out.
- 15:17Speaker 3: And as Nads and I say, every week, put the
- 15:18Speaker 3: correct score in the chat below, get a free week
- 15:21Speaker 3: over here at the Nation. That'll do it for me,
- 15:23Speaker 3: Your boy Ham, good luck tonight in your contests, and
- 15:26Speaker 3: until next time, just ship it that that that that
- 16:06Speaker 3: that the put eight man set eight mans, fat man
- 16:17Speaker 3: zet eight mans passssssssssssssssssss