Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - Big Banks Just Warned: 7 Reasons to BUY EVERYTHING Now! + Stock Market News 05 December 2024
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Felix here and welcome to the Slightly Echoey live stream pre-market.
- 0:05Speaker 1: I want to walk you through the seven reasons that probably the most influential investment bank in the world is saying we're going to have a FOMO rally until year end.
- 0:18Speaker 1: The year end, the buy everything rally.
- 0:21Speaker 1: So I'm going to share my screen with you here and we're going to run through those seven reasons.
- 0:28Speaker 1: I'll explain each one of those so that by the end of this video, you'll be as well informed as one of Goldman Sachs' top clients, because, needless to say, they don't send the stuff to you and me, the mere humble retail investors, but only to people with large funds.
- 0:44Speaker 1: So who's here to make some money?
- 0:47Speaker 1: If you're here to make some money, put a one in the chat with you while I make myself a little electrolyte concoction which I really need today which is a scoop of essentially what tastes like sea salt, and to make the whole thing slightly more palatable, I'll pop a vitamin C tablet on top of it and you'll see me so energized that you won't believe what's going on here in the moment.
- 1:17Speaker 1: I'm liking the wands here.
- 1:19Speaker 1: Ben and Jamie and William and Terry and Jeremiah with five w.
- 1:23Speaker 1: Brilliant Hugo with five ones.
- 1:26Speaker 1: Doug has three ones.
- 1:28Speaker 1: I love to see the energy here this morning, guys.
- 1:31Speaker 1: Honestly, life's about getting into the moment and I'm honestly feeling right now like I've been run over by a truck.
- 1:38Speaker 1: My fitness coach made me do falling over handstands today, falling over on purpose, which I thought was rather easy, but landing was a little hard.
- 1:49Speaker 1: So I'm slightly bruised.
- 1:52Speaker 1: But let's jump here.
- 1:54Speaker 1: White powder for all says Logan.
- 1:56Speaker 1: Yeah, that's the motto on Wall Street, isn't it Right?
- 1:59Speaker 1: Let's run through the seven key factors that will give us this year-end rally, how we therefore benefit from it, how we make money, what stocks to pick, and I'll do my utmost to do a nice long Q&A at the end as well to answer all your questions.
- 2:14Speaker 1: So stick around December.
- 2:19Speaker 1: This is the first one.
- 2:20Speaker 1: December makes money.
- 2:21Speaker 1: Why, historically, money flows into the markets in December.
- 2:26Speaker 1: It always has.
- 2:28Speaker 1: It probably always will.
- 2:29Speaker 1: This is since 1928, this data.
- 2:35Speaker 1: So it's not like we cherry picked some data.
- 2:38Speaker 1: No, in December we see, at the year end, some significant inflows and the market goes up 2%.
- 2:47Speaker 1: 2% is quite a lot for the S&P to go up in one month.
- 2:53Speaker 1: I'm still looking at all the ones coming in Ariel there.
- 2:55Speaker 1: That's a lot of ones.
- 2:56Speaker 1: Ariel wants to make a lot of money Brilliant, so that in itself it's good to know, right, money flows into the market in December, now that you know that.
- 3:07Speaker 1: Well, what's even better is and this is crucial that January is the biggest historic moment when money enters the market.
- 3:20Speaker 1: So it's not like we get to the end of December and then everybody goes well, let's sell everything and, you know, go on holiday.
- 3:26Speaker 1: No, because they all know that January is the beginning of January, particularly is the month of all months when the money really comes in and hits.
- 3:38Speaker 1: Tim here Kelchenbach is sharing Goat Academy already makes me, let my money work for me.
- 3:45Speaker 1: Brilliant, tim, I love that.
- 3:47Speaker 1: That's exactly what I want to hear.
- 3:48Speaker 1: Chris has got about 20 ones there very keen to make some money, and we're going to look at some breakout stocks and everything else in a moment as well.
- 3:56Speaker 1: But I just want to guide you through these seven crucial factors here.
- 4:00Speaker 1: So you are the best informed investor out there, and so now you know that, right.
- 4:06Speaker 1: So what are you now thinking?
- 4:08Speaker 1: Well, you're thinking what I'm seeing here in the chat?
- 4:10Speaker 1: I'm seeing people mentioning stocks, like Joe, they're saying you know, is my MSTR breaking out?
- 4:15Speaker 1: So you're thinking well, what stocks should I buy?
- 4:17Speaker 1: So let me tell you a little tale.
- 4:20Speaker 1: I bought a stock and I'll show it to you.
- 4:22Speaker 1: This is in Webull.
- 4:24Speaker 1: Here you can see.
- 4:24Speaker 1: I bought a couple of stocks here and one is probably a little small for you.
- 4:28Speaker 1: I'll take a screenshot of it, ok, that might be a little easier and so you can see it better.
- 4:35Speaker 1: And I bought a stock based on our simple rules, our rules based strategy literally four factors we take into account and you can see here.
- 4:47Speaker 1: I bought that at $9.36, which was here because that's when all of our rules were triggered.
- 4:53Speaker 1: This is a little stock called FOA, which right now is up.
- 4:57Speaker 1: How much this morning?
- 4:58Speaker 1: 124%, not bad, right.
- 5:00Speaker 1: We've got a few others that are most recent trades, but this one is now.
- 5:04Speaker 1: Um, when did we buy that?
- 5:05Speaker 1: This was in october, right?
- 5:08Speaker 1: So it's maturing, maturing very nicely.
- 5:11Speaker 1: So wouldn't it be nice to be able to pick those winning stocks and have very little losers?
- 5:17Speaker 1: Or rather, the losers that we have loses a tiny bit of money.
- 5:20Speaker 1: We close them out once they go down a little bit.
- 5:23Speaker 1: So we make a lot of money on the winners and on the losers that we have, and there will always be some losers, we make sure that they don't hit us very hard, unlike the floor that I hit very hard today exercising.
- 5:35Speaker 1: So how do you learn that?
- 5:37Speaker 1: Well, there is one simple thing you can do.
- 5:39Speaker 1: You could literally leave this live stream right now and I won't be upset if you do and say, felix, today's news is very nice, but what's more important is that I am able to pick those winners so that I can make my money.
- 5:53Speaker 1: Work harder, so that I don't have to work as hard and that I can look after myself.
- 5:57Speaker 1: Work harder, so that I don't have to work as hard and I can look after myself and my family and actually get to the freedom and live the life that I was put on this earth for.
- 6:03Speaker 1: Because you are not put on this earth to sit in a cubicle, work nine to five and spend two hours driving back and forth or whatever it is you do.
- 6:10Speaker 1: That's not life, that's misery, and I call it wage slavery I think there isn't really another word for it and bonded labor might be another thing, because what's the bond?
- 6:20Speaker 1: Well, you got a mortgage, right.
- 6:22Speaker 1: You've got bills to pay.
- 6:23Speaker 1: You've got car loans to pay.
- 6:24Speaker 1: You've got all sorts of stuff to pay, maybe children, wife kittens, golden retrievers.
- 6:29Speaker 1: You know how much they eat and you therefore have to bring in the money.
- 6:33Speaker 1: And the only way that school and college teaches us to make money is by selling our time.
- 6:41Speaker 1: And there is one thing I've learned from working with a lot of very wealthy people the truly rich and a lot of people who weren't very wealthy, and you know what the one differentiating factor is the poor person will do anything to save a dollar and they will spend hours, give up hours of their time to save that dollar, whereas the rich person will do almost anything to protect that time because they realize time's the one thing you can't get back, whereas money you can always make.
- 7:27Speaker 1: So, in my humble opinion, the sweetest, easiest, fastest way to get out of that I'm selling myself for my time, because that's what the job is right.
- 7:31Speaker 1: You got to be there eight hours a day, 10 hours a day, 12 hours a day.
- 7:34Speaker 1: Whatever else you do hours a day, 10 hours a day, 12 hours a day whatever it is you do is to make the money that you've earned there.
- 7:41Speaker 1: Work for you instead, and I want to help you do that with this masterclass that's on the screen here at felixfrensorggetfree by teaching you the actual four rules, the patterns, to identify those breakout stocks before they happen.
- 7:54Speaker 1: And there are breakout stocks every day.
- 7:56Speaker 1: There are opportunities every day and it takes very little time to learn.
- 8:01Speaker 1: It's very, very simplistic.
- 8:02Speaker 1: Risk management, of course, is super key, so that learn and be cautious about what you're doing.
- 8:10Speaker 1: Initially, do it small and gradual and learn or ask us for help, but you will genuinely walk away with that knowledge and you'll be able to pick stocks like I have here, like this one here that's up 124%, or this one is top 25%.
- 8:22Speaker 1: And these are not meme stocks, right, these are not random ones.
- 8:25Speaker 1: These are boring ass finance companies that are gonna make us a lot of money and continue to make us a lot of money, and we're making money on everything else too.
- 8:33Speaker 1: You see our options trade here.
- 8:34Speaker 1: Look on everything else too, like you see our options trade here.
- 8:36Speaker 1: Look at that here.
- 8:36Speaker 1: Sofi is up 284%.
- 8:39Speaker 1: Our Tesla trade is up how much?
- 8:43Speaker 1: 107%?
- 8:45Speaker 1: And I think these are all just getting started.
- 8:46Speaker 1: Paypal is starting to warm up.
- 8:48Speaker 1: It's now up 44%.
- 8:49Speaker 1: I think that's going to be a triple digit trade very soon too.
- 8:51Speaker 1: So learn this Seriously.
- 8:55Speaker 1: Feel free to leave the chat, this thing now and click on the link felixfencelboxcom get free.
- 9:01Speaker 1: But for those of you who maybe are going to want to watch that after I've run you through here that the seven key things to make december a success for you is, listen to the next five.
- 9:13Speaker 1: I'll break them down for you simplistically with a quick recap.
- 9:16Speaker 1: I'll take your questions.
- 9:17Speaker 1: Okay, there is one thing in mid, in mid January, that happens that you're going to want to be careful of, because what happens is that the money pours in.
- 9:27Speaker 1: So if you look at, this is January Okay, this is January.
- 9:30Speaker 1: There is week one lots of money flows.
- 9:32Speaker 1: In week two a little bit less.
- 9:34Speaker 1: Week three a little bit less.
- 9:35Speaker 1: Week four a little bit less.
- 9:36Speaker 1: Week three a little bit less.
- 9:36Speaker 1: Week four a little bit less.
- 9:37Speaker 1: So in mid-January, tune in here and I'll update you on exactly what's happening with fund flows.
- 9:45Speaker 1: But typically we see a bit of a slowdown, potentially a little bit of a sell-off in mid-Jan.
- 9:49Speaker 1: It's just something to have in the back of your mind.
- 9:51Speaker 1: You don't need to do anything about it.
- 9:52Speaker 1: It's not drastic, but it's just that little bit of extra information that will put you above, towering above everybody else out there as investors.
- 10:04Speaker 1: Now, this was only point number one.
- 10:05Speaker 1: I labored on a little bit on that.
- 10:07Speaker 1: I promise you that the next two to seven points are much, much easier and shorter.
- 10:11Speaker 1: Guinea pig says without the masterclass, I felt like I was randomly picking horses at the races.
- 10:22Speaker 1: I love that, my friend.
- 10:23Speaker 1: I'm very, very glad that you're getting some value out of that here.
- 10:25Speaker 1: You guys see that in the chat here.
- 10:27Speaker 1: Um, guinea pigs are cool.
- 10:29Speaker 1: Putting that in, it's a nice screen name.
- 10:30Speaker 1: Terry is not leaving, brilliant, okay.
- 10:42Speaker 1: So let's look at point number two.
- 10:44Speaker 1: Here Money is coming home to where it should be in stocks.
- 10:48Speaker 1: We've just had the biggest inflow into stocks in the history of the stock market in the last four weeks.
- 10:58Speaker 1: Money is coming home.
- 11:00Speaker 1: Where is it coming from?
- 11:02Speaker 1: Well, some of it is coming from overseas, because people are bored of emerging markets, and a lot of it is also coming from money market funds, so essentially bonds of some sort.
- 11:17Speaker 1: You know where you get that sort of fixed 5% type thing, which is a lot less appealing, given that the market's up.
- 11:23Speaker 1: 30% isn't that great to get 5% on a bond.
- 11:26Speaker 1: It's risk free, isn't that amazing.
- 11:27Speaker 1: Well, I'm sorry to say, you're 25% poorer than the guy who put their money on the S&P.
- 11:31Speaker 1: So stocks is where it's at.
- 11:34Speaker 1: Stocks is where it's at.
- 11:44Speaker 1: And then, number three, funds.
- 11:45Speaker 1: Etfs might be an etf if you, if you, if you own spy or qqq or voo, as someone's mentioning here um, that's an etf and they see most inflows, most money pours into those when let's see, see it on the screen here in January, and when is the second biggest month of the year after January?
- 12:04Speaker 1: Well, it's February.
- 12:05Speaker 1: You can see it on the chart right.
- 12:07Speaker 1: So that is again very supportive for a beginning of the year rally.
- 12:12Speaker 1: Why does that help us in December?
- 12:14Speaker 1: Because if you are expecting the market to go up in January, that help us in December.
- 12:18Speaker 1: Because if you are expecting the market to go up in January, why would you sell it in December?
- 12:20Speaker 1: So it's part of the reason we get the December year-end rally, the Santa rally or the Trump Santa rally or whatever you want to call it the Elon rally, the Doge rally.
- 12:30Speaker 1: There's so many reasons for that rally.
- 12:33Speaker 1: And the fourth reason and this is really critical and I keep highlighting this through the year here on this channel when this is really a key factor the what Biggest buyers of what Stocks?
- 13:04Speaker 1: If you've been here for a while you know what I'm saying and that needs to sink in that a company like Apple spends 90 billion a year buying its own stock, which is more than, say, intel is worth.
- 13:17Speaker 1: It's a staggering amount of money.
- 13:18Speaker 1: Why do they do that?
- 13:20Speaker 1: Well, they don't know where else to put that money, and it's a very tax-efficient way of returning funds to shareholders like you and me, or like not returning but just handing it out, essentially.
- 13:30Speaker 1: And buybacks are growing and growing and growing and they're buying a heck of a lot in December and this year, in 2024, they are buying over $1 trillion.
- 13:44Speaker 1: So I should have a cat in my arm and do this right.
- 13:47Speaker 1: And next year we expect that number to increase by another $100 billion.
- 13:52Speaker 1: So it's going to be an even bigger factor next year.
- 13:55Speaker 1: So knowing this information is crucial if you want to make a success.
- 14:00Speaker 1: And knowing when they don't buy is also crucial, because that's the part you need to be a little cautious about.
- 14:07Speaker 1: There is a blackout window.
- 14:09Speaker 1: What is a blackout window?
- 14:11Speaker 1: Well, it's when they don't want to see the light their bats.
- 14:13Speaker 1: The blackout window happens during earnings season.
- 14:19Speaker 1: So when companies report their own numbers, you know we made x profit and you know, expect to do this next quarter that sort of thing.
- 14:29Speaker 1: There is a window before that that they're not allowed to buy their own stocks because it'd be kind of like insider trading, and that blackout window starts just before Christmas, 20th of December.
- 14:43Speaker 1: It's a little bit less supportive.
- 14:44Speaker 1: It's important to understand those.