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Episode 44 - 5/15/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 44 of the All Systems Go Sports
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Betting podcast Powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
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week. We got a lot to get to on
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today's POD. I have a 5 pack of sweats for
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you, including three Major League Baseball plays, two of
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which are kind of an expensive price, but I think deservedly
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so. And then the third play is going
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to be on a very good team at a very cheap price.
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And maybe you have an inkling of who I'm talking about, but they
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have been great when they are a favorite of -150 or less.
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Then we got to look at the playoffs.
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We have a big bet in the NBA here for tonight.
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Can my Celtics finish off the Cavs?
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Well, Cavs have a lot of injuries and Celtics are favored
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by like 15 1/2. I'm not going to touch that one,
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but I do have a bet on Mavericks and Thunder, so stay tuned for
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that as well as a bet in the NHL.
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Now there's only one NHL game tonight, Colorado and Dallas,
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and I'm going to focus on a money line play here with not
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maybe the most or sharpest data situation, but a vibes and a
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goaltending edge. So stay tuned for that play as
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well on episode 44, a big Wednesday of the All Systems Go
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Sports betting Pod. Now looking back toward
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yesterday, absolutely brutal. It was a nightmare.
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One and 6 -, 5.4 units and really pretty much everywhere
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you look we got let down. So looking toward Vancouver,
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Edmonton, kicking myself 'cause I saw the red flag with the
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juiced up under 6 1/2, I went the over based on principle that
1:52
cashed every over. Finally, Pickard plays great.
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It's a three to two game. WNBA had a great edge there on
1:58
the Aces, actually beat the closing line -16 1/2, closed at
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17 Aces with a projection there of rhythm, winning by 20.
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They only win by 9. So let us down in that spot.
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You're looking at the NBA Pacers.
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An absolute no show. So here's I'm going to give you,
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I'm going to tell you how to kind of approach the next day,
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the following day after a bad night.
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But I need a little bit time to vent, 'cause you guys are my
2:21
buddies. I always imagine when I'm doing
2:22
the pod, just sitting around with a bunch of of my friends,
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maybe maybe having an alcoholic drink maybe two or three after
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last night. But talking about games,
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venting, and that's that's part of the psyche of a sports
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better. But if you just, you know, humor
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me for a second. The Pacers come on, man.
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Plus 1 1/2, they close at 1:00 at a couple shops, didn't even
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show up, end up losing by 30 points.
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What a pathetic performance by Indiana.
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So the Pacers let us down. And then baseball, another
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horror show there, Texas. We actually beat the closing
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line there because I think we got the Rangers at, what was it,
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-120 -, 115. They end up closing -125.
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They come up short against Cleveland.
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Then obviously Arizona has a 2 nothing lead early.
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They blow it lose six to two. Seattle had a one nothing lead
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late, they blow it and lose 4 to 2.
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The only winner, the only team that actually did what they were
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supposed to and came through for us was wouldn't you guess that
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the Dodgers were probably going to win the World Series.
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So looking back yesterday guys, again, a terrible night.
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One and 6 -, 5.4 units. Just a couple comments.
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One, bankroll management is so critical because again,
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especially when you're playing some minus numbers, bet Tris
3:30
versus bet to win, risking 1 unit.
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Very, very important 'cause if you have a bad night like like
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last night, you want to be able to not clean out your bankroll,
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but absorb the the bad vibes and the losses and be able to bounce
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back and fight the next day. If you're risking too much each
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game, a bad night like that can really, really hurt you.
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It hurts anyway, just based on not having these winners come
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through like we wanted them to. But bankroll management, bet
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transfers, Bet to win, risk 1 to 3% of your bankroll per play.
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That is always the key. Secondly, these nights happen
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again if you've been in sports betting long enough.
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Nights like that are terrible. They're annoying, they're
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frustrating, but it happens. Sometimes you go six and one,
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sometimes you go one and six. The important thing here,
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though, is #1. Recognize the market that we are
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dealing with because sports betting, it's difficult.
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It ain't easy and maybe you're new to sports betting and you
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think you're going to become a millionaire.
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Well, guess what I mean, like make it easy on you to start.
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You're not. Look at sports betting as a side
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hustle, an investment opportunity, looking at making
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some some cash on the side. You know, people want to, I
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don't know, drive Uber and make some extra cash.
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While sports betting look at it as a supplementary income,
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something you can strive toward. And again, those unrealistic
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expectations are when you really, really get hurt on a
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night like last night, 1:00 and 6:00, because you feel like it's
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easy. Well, guess what, It's not.
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It's a hard market to beat. The odds makers and their
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supercomputers set really sharp numbers.
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Sharp plays sometimes don't come through.
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Teams let you down. Bullpens implode.
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I mean, that's just part of sports betting.
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So you got to have thick skin and you can't basically give up
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because after night, like like last night, I think it's human
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nature to go one of two directions. 1 is to say, F it,
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throw your hands up. This is ridiculous.
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The gambling gods are against me.
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So I'm either going to one bet a ton tonight and try to get it
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all back and chase, don't do that.
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Or two, say screw this sports betting thing.
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It ain't for me. It's too hard, It's too
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frustrating. It makes me stay up all night
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and gives me a terrible, you know, terrible mood and screws
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up my day. It just ain't for me.
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So I would say don't do either of those.
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I think if you've been in the game long enough and you've had
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the ups and downs, just keep grinding, I think it's obviously
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it's a boilerplate response. Maybe it's not what you want to
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hear after a bad night, but I think you've been in the game
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long enough. As I keep mentioning, you know
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that there's ups and downs and you can't get too high or too
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low. So whether you go one and six or
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six and one, really, the process doesn't change.
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You stick to the bankroll management, flat batting,
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discipline approach. You play the system matches.
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You don't get too cute and bet too many or don't get too scared
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and and hey, you know scared money don't make no money.
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I can't place a bet. I'm too scared of winning.
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It's always next bet mentality. Keep grinding, Stick with it.
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So again, will that be the last night we ever go one and six?
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No. I'm sure we'll go one and six
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again at some point down the road.
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But I also know we're going to go six and one at one point down
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the road. So just stick with it.
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It was a rough day. There's no way to sugarcoat it.
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But guess what? The one thing I love about
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sports betting is that obviously we all want to win and there's
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no better feeling when you spend time capping a game, you know,
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locating a good sharp move, sweating the game, it comes
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through and you win. It's the best feeling to me in
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the world, other than maybe a couple others, which I'll keep
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to myself. But that's what you love about
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sports betting. What I also love about betting
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is that every day is a challenge.
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Again, I've always mentioned this, but you go six and one,
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It's a challenge to have another winning day.
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You go one and six. It's a challenge to pick
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yourself up, dust yourself off, get right back out there and and
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really approach it as a next bet mentality.
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Coach K for Duke I mentioned this maybe, I don't know if I
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did or not. It was on the previous pod.
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But he always talked about next play mentality.
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He learned it in the military when he was under Bobby Knight
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at what was it it was Army or was it army.
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I think it was Army. But anyway, he learned basically
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that hey, you make a mistake, you make an error.
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You lose the game-winning shot. You know you make a you miss a
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free throw. Are you going to cry about it?
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Are you going to, you know, punch your, punch your hand
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through a glass window? Are you going to break your TVI
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mean? You can do that if you want, but
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it's not going to change the outcome.
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It's not going to take back the losses.
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So instead of lamenting on the losses, use it as motivation,
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use it as fuel to get right back out there and get back after it
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and try to claw back the units that you lost.
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So always next bet mentality and as well in terms of sports
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betting, it's the challenge of and the opportunity, I should
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say, to bounce back. The beauty of sports betting is
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that every day you get a new chance to have a winning day and
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that's what I think we should focus on.
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But I won't. I won't kid you guys.
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The only the only bright note on a terrible night was, believe it
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or not, the Boston Bruins cashing as a plus one.
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What was it? Plus 180 playing a great game
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beating the beating the Florida Panthers and forcing a Game 6
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back in Boston. So the Bruins game, it was
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funny. All the games last night were
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like late games 8:00, nine o'clock 10:00.
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The Bruins won. I'm I'm you know on cloud nine
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and then I'm like OK, nice. Now I get to sweat my plays.
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Every play's losing. So what are you going to do that
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sports betting Thick skin. We're not going to complain.
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We're not going to cry. We're going to back at it today
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and see if we can have a winning day.
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So that being said, let's dive right in to some sweats for
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today. As I mentioned, A5 pack.
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So first one on the board here, New York Mets and the
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Philadelphia Phillies. Now this is a 6:40 PM Eastern
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Time game. We have the Phillies 30 and 13.
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They've taken the first two games of this four-game series.
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Now it's home and home. First two games are in New York.
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Now it goes to Philly. They won the opener five to four
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in extras as a -, 1 O five Rd. Dog won again yesterday for
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nothing as a -, 120 Rd. favorite pitching matchup.
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Tonight we have Joey Lucchesi, A lefty here going for the Mets.
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He's making his debut last year. He went four and O with a 2.89
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ERA. Meanwhile, Phillies are going
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with Ranger Suarez and I got to look up his Cy Young odds.
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Ranger Suarez is 7 and O with a 1.5 OERA.
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Where am I going here? I mentioned I got some bigger
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prices here, but I think they're big for a reason.
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Go with the Phills. Phillies have a ton of steam.
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The Phillies opened this game as low as a -, 170 -, 180 home
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favorite. Now they're up to -190, even
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-200 at some shops now. I was able to jump on a -, 190 a
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little bit earlier today, so always keep out for the sharp
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report that I write for. vson.com comes out around noon,
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Eastern Time. That's always kind of my like,
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precursor to the pod, but huge steam on Philly.
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Now they're getting around 90% of bets in dollars.
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So both pro and Joe support but also big steam in their favor,
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which tells me smart money hammered Philadelphia here.
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Now the Phillies are going to lean on their their offense.
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They're hitting two 5950 homers, 222 run scored.
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The Mets are only hitting 233 with 41 homers and only 172 run
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scored. Now I've been playing around
10:06
with systems and anytime I have a bad night, I try to recreate,
10:10
see where I went wrong some. Some plays were obvious before
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something. Other plays don't feel as bad if
10:15
you beat the closing line and just didn't come through.
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But it always gets me to spend some time as I'm frustrated to
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go through my database and try to recreate and create new
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betting systems. Because betting systems I always
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kind of come up with them after I lose.
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So one thing I was looking at, I mentioned this I think
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previously on the pod. But when you see a total fall,
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that's a good sign for a favorite because the fewer
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amount of expected run scored correlative betting wise in
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baseball more likely to come from the better team.
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So in the total falls at least 1/2 run.
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Very simple. But take the favorite.
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This total fell from 8 down to 7 1/2 total fall's 1/2 run.
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Take the favorite. That's 125 and 76 this year. 62
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percent, 6% ROI. So it's been a good angle to
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back. Also Phillies.
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They're great against lefties. Hope that continues.
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Tonight they're hitting 267 against lefties.
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That's the 5th best in baseball. Mets are rating 224.
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Against southpaws, that ranks 18th.
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Philly also is 8 and O when Suarez takes the bump.
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And the Phillies are 15 and seven at home.
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One of the best home teams in baseball.
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So I do see a book still offering a -, 190 on Philly.
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Obviously have multiple outs to try to get Philly anywhere you
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can sub -200 that we can get a little bit, a little bit more
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than 1/2 unit back here. But let's go, Phills, big steam.
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That's where I want to be. I'm on Philly -190.
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Keep on cruising. Another somewhat expensive
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price, a little bit less, but still a bit chalky.
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But I'm riding it. Let's go Atlanta Braves.
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Atlanta Braves tonight are at home against the Chicago Cubs.
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They say 7:20 PM first pitch. Now the Braves are 26 and 13.
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They've won the first two games of this three-game series.
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They won the opener 2 nothing as a -, 140 home favorite.
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They won again yesterday. 7 nothing as a -, 190 home
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favorite. For tonight's series finale, the
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Cubs, who are 24 and 19, they're going with Javier Assad, 3, and
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O 1.7 OERA. The Braves, meanwhile, will send
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out the ageless wonder, the veteran righty Charlie Morton
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three and O 3.14 ERA. What do we see across the market
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here? Well, if you like Philly, you
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like Atlanta. It's very similar.
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Atlanta Open this game around -165.
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We've now seen Atlanta get bet up all the way to round -185 -,
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190. So big sharp steam in favor of
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the Braves with a you know $0.20 team move in their favor.
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Now they're getting around 80% of bets in dollars.
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Again, both pro and Joe support Atlanta going to bank on their
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offense similar to Philly, hopefully over over the Mets,
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but the Braves are hitting 255 versus only 234 for Chicago.
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The Braves have that non division favorite value with a
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lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote, the better team
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who's expected to win based upon the minus number in front of
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their odds. Atlanta is the best home team in
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baseball, 15 and four, Chicago just 11 and 13 on the road and
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the Braves have the better bullpen.
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They have an ERA of 3.26 versus 4.5 O for the Cubs and I was
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looking at Atlanta in the spot. I was curious like how do they
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do specific specifically as a favorite.
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They're 25 and 1071%. That's the third best of any
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team in baseball when they're favored to win.
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So big sharp steam going here with Atlanta, shop around.
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I got Atlanta at -185. Then last by the night this
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might be an action not listed pitcher 'cause we're still
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waiting on the pitcher or you kind of quasi are waiting on the
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pitcher. But I'm going to go back to all
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the Dodgers tonight, Dodgers 9:45 PM Eastern Time playing the
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San Francisco Giants. Now we had the Dodgers, our lone
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win last night. What a pathetic night last night
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was. I still can't get over it.
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Anyway, they they won 1:50 as around a -, 180 -, 185 Rd.
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favorite. Well, for tonight we know for
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sure it's going to be Logan Webb for San Francisco.
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And again, Webb's been a good pitcher for a few years now.
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At this point, he is 3 and four with a 3.3 ERA.
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Now the Dodgers it we aren't. We don't know exactly who
14:01
they're starting, but it looks like it's going to be Ryan
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Yarborough. He's a lefty, 3 and one 2.56
14:06
ERA. This could be basically an
14:07
opener and a bullpen game for the Dodgers, which actually I
14:11
think is a benefit because if you look last night, Stone had a
14:14
really good game. He pitched 6 innings.
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Wynn, who was roughed up, he only went four innings.
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So basically, the Dodgers bullpen has got more rest than
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San Fran off of last night. And here's the other angle.
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Even though Webb has been really good this year and good the last
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few years, he does struggle against the Dodgers.
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And I get it. You know, they're a division
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opponent. You really match up quite a bit.
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You play each other a lot as a divisional opponent.
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So there's a lot of familiarity of the Dodgers lineup, having
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faced Webb quite a bit here. And Webb actually pitched
14:45
against the Dodgers back on April 2nd.
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It was a while ago, but he had a loss.
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They lost five to four. He only lasted 3.2 innings, gave
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up five runs and seven hits. So I want to bank on the
14:56
familiarity of this Dodgers lineup, hopefully getting to
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Webb. Also, you look at San Fran, they
15:01
have some injuries. I saw Lee who was one of their
15:05
offseason additions. He just got hurt.
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The bats are much better with the Dodgers dirting 26359
15:11
homers. Ohtani's hitting what, like 360?
15:14
Mookie Betts playing short, crushing it.
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They've scored 236 runs. San Fran's hitting 23838 homers,
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165 runs. So much better offense here and
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then also the value of the number.
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Now this hasn't moved a ton like this game.
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The Dodgers, they open around, actually it is starting to move,
15:31
which I'm glad we're getting the pod out now, but they open
15:33
around -135. They're up to around -140.
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So I've ticked up a little bit in favor of the the Dodgers.
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But here's where I was mentioning and kind of hinting
15:42
at when we started the pod, a value play on the Dodgers.
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Did you guys know that when the Dodgers are a favorite of -150
15:49
or less, they're nine and three this year, 75%.
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Thirty, 2% ROI. When they are a favorite of -150
15:55
or less over the last three years, pretty big sample size.
15:59
They're 60 and 2967 percent, 18% ROI.
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So the whole point of that is, hey the Dodgers, they're usually
16:07
-200 -, 250. When do you ever get the Dodgers
16:11
-140? It just doesn't come around that
16:13
often. So I'm going to bank on the
16:15
offense. They have a little bit of line
16:16
movement. You would qualify as a favorite
16:18
low total told this one is 8, but it's juiced up a little bit
16:20
under. So I got the Dodgers shop
16:23
around. I got the Dodgers at -140, but
16:25
reminder, you may only have the option of action because I don't
16:29
know if Yarborough is officially been named the starter he's
16:31
expected to be. This is the one, one time
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situation where I actually would advocate going action instead of
16:37
listed pitcher. Just win the game.
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Doesn't really matter who's starting.
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Let's get the bats going. Let's go Dodgers at a very cheap
16:43
price, -140. So Philly, Atlanta, and the
16:47
Dodgers, can we get two out of three?
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That is the goal for tonight. Now over to the NBA, because
16:53
there are two big games tonight hinted at.
16:54
The Celtics game feels like they should blow out the Cavs.
16:57
Cavs have a ton of injuries. Donovan Mitchell might be
17:00
missing this game. I also have Karis LeVert who's
17:02
questionable. Jarrett Allen, He's been Mia.
17:05
He doesn't isn't expected to start Lions really moving to the
17:07
Celtics 15 1/2 up to 16 at some shops total stayed the same
17:11
around two O 5 1/2. I just really have a hard time
17:15
diagnosing these Celtics games because they'll either win by 30
17:17
or you know they'll barely win and they won't cover.
17:20
They're just Jekyll and Hyde, so I won't know no part of that
17:22
game, but I do want a part of this Mavs Thunder game.
17:26
Now I'll tell you right now I'm rooting for the Thunder.
17:29
Got a series ticket -120 I think.
17:32
So they're my rooting interest for the game tonight.
17:34
Now the line has moved a little bit in favor of Dallas.
17:39
This game was some shops -5 -, 4 1/2 for OK C Some of those books
17:44
are 4 1/2 for now 4, but I'm going to focus on the total.
17:47
The total really jumped out to me for a couple reasons.
17:50
First off, the public's going over and I get it.
17:53
You got SGA, you got Doncic, you got Kyrie Irving.
17:56
A lot of offensive stars out there.
17:58
So currently you have around 65% of bets going over.
18:03
Yet the total's fallen a bit here.
18:06
This total open as high as 214. It's now down to 213.
18:09
I see one book at 212 1/2. So the total's falling even
18:13
though the public's betting the over.
18:15
This smells like a reverse line. Move under to me guys.
18:18
Only 35% bets but nearly half the money is on the under.
18:22
Now postseason unders this year are 36 and 3154%, so slightly
18:26
profitable beating the magic number of 52.38%.
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But I wanted to research 'cause I I I wanted to kind of see the
18:34
difference between the Cavs Celtics total of 2O52O6 versus a
18:37
total that's like double you know 210 or more.
18:40
And I found something very interesting.
18:42
I'm calling this the sweet spot under in the postseason this
18:45
year when the total is 210 or more, the under is 23 and 1364%
18:51
with a 22% ROI. Now if you look at kind of the
18:55
way the series is trending, first couple games are a little
18:57
bit higher, scoring 212 and 229. But the last two games 2O6196,
19:04
so they've averaged about 210 points overall.
19:07
But really you can kind of see the way this situation is
19:10
trending and these games are so critical, so important.
19:13
It's kind of getting close to my game seven under system match.
19:16
You know, I always love to go under game seven because you
19:19
have tired legs. So much is at stake.
19:21
You know how to match up. You played each other so many
19:23
times. So we're not quite there yet.
19:25
This is game five. But we're kind of getting to
19:27
that you know crunch time under system play and we do have OK C
19:31
#4 defensive efficiency this year.
19:34
Dallas was 16th, so basically top half both these teams.
19:38
But if you're giving me public hammering the over and yet the
19:40
total's fallen and we have a really good edge here Sweet spot
19:43
210 or more. The under 64%.
19:45
I'm going to go with the under here.
19:47
Dallas. OK C under 213.
19:50
Make sure you get the 213 because there are some shops at
19:52
212. 1/2. Lastly to finish up the pod,
19:56
hopefully bounce back Pod. Dear God I hope it is.
19:59
But looking at the NHL tonight, there's one game.
20:02
Colorado, Dallas. Now this one's interesting for a
20:05
couple reasons. Dallas is up 3:00 to 1:00.
20:07
If Dallas wins tonight, they get rid of the Colorado ABS.
20:10
ABS season is over. Dallas advances to the Western
20:13
Conference finals where they will play either Edmonton or
20:16
Vancouver. What's interesting about this
20:18
one? Is this line did dip a little
20:20
bit. You know Dallas open this game
20:22
at around a -, 145 -, 140 favorite.
20:27
The line is down to at some shops -135.
20:30
But now I'm starting to see it tick back up to around -140.
20:33
So it kind of came down a bit but now it's starting to creep
20:36
back up. So later in the day late
20:38
movement you always like to mention that you know game day
20:41
movement is so important to me it's creeping back toward
20:43
Dallas. Now if you look at some of the
20:46
bet splits for tonight, currently we have for this match
20:50
up here 68% of bets, 69% of dollars are on Dallas So
20:55
obviously that is a majority pro and Joe.
20:58
But here's my angle for playing Dallas tonight.
21:00
So I played Dallas. I got them at -135.
21:03
My angle is 2 things. One goaltending.
21:05
If you look at these goaltenders here Ottinger's been much
21:08
better. Jake Ottinger in the post season
21:11
is 2O2 point O2 goals against average 923 say percentage.
21:17
Georgiev for Dallas 3.1 O goals against 891 save percentage.
21:22
So I can't stress how important goaltending is you if you
21:25
watched the Bruins game last night.
21:27
Swayman did it again. The kids incredible but big edge
21:30
with Ottinger. Much better goals against much
21:32
better save percentage. Here's where I'm going to
21:35
basically I'm I was leaning Dallas and then I was reading an
21:38
article that made me say I want to bet against Colorado tonight
21:40
and here's the reason. Valerie Nashushkin, If you guys
21:44
haven't noticed or haven't heard about this, this is kind of a
21:47
story that's gaining more steam and it's not a good story.
21:50
Valerie Nashushkin, he entered the Player Assistance program, I
21:54
want to say it was earlier this year.
21:56
That's basically if you have trouble with alcohol or drugs,
21:59
get into this program, get, get rehab and hopefully get yourself
22:03
back on the right track. And he basically went through
22:07
the assistance and and came back and played and he was one of the
22:11
best players on the team. He's the 4th leading scorer in
22:14
the postseason for the AVS and he actually leads the team with
22:17
99 goals in the post season. I don't think anyone else has
22:21
even like four or five. So he came back Great story,
22:25
feels like he beat his demons and now he's one of the best
22:28
players on the team. Well, guess what?
22:30
He relapsed. There's something happened.
22:32
I don't know the exact details, but there are rumors of a hotel
22:35
incident with. I don't know what it was, drugs
22:39
or other things. I I don't know.
22:40
I don't want to speculate, but basically, and the Shushiken
22:44
just got suspended for six months.
22:46
So basically he really tripped up and he is now out for the
22:52
rest of the year and he's going to miss, you know, the beginning
22:54
of next year as well. Now I'm looking at this one of
22:57
two ways. One is that you're missing one
22:58
of your best players. So if Colorado's missing one of
23:00
their best players, that's obviously a detriment to them.
23:03
But also in situations like this, you can either rally
23:06
around like a fallen soldier kind of thing, or you look at it
23:10
the other way and just the bad vibes start to build.
23:13
So I'll give you an example. The Bruins.
23:14
Brad Martian got hit by Sam Bennett.
23:17
Should have been a penalty. Sucker punched him.
23:19
They Martian probably got a concussion.
23:22
He's missed the last two games. Bruins have rallied a bit
23:25
without him in this situation here.
23:27
I was reading about all these quotes from these players and it
23:29
sounds like the players are pissed off at Neshushkin.
23:32
They're saying like, no comment. They're saying he made his
23:35
decisions. He's got to live with his
23:36
decisions. I didn't get the vibe of like,
23:39
hey, let's win it for Neshushkin.
23:40
Let's, you know let's play well for our our poor friend who had
23:44
a bad situation instead it's like no, you let us down.
23:48
You let the team down. We're pissed off at you.
23:51
So that's kind of the vibe that I got.
23:52
Maybe I'm making more of this than I should but if you're
23:55
giving me the better goalie A-Team that's playing great
23:58
right now at home against a team that has a bad goalie and now
24:02
has bad vibes with their basically their best post season
24:05
player now gone for six months. I'm I'm going to take a shot
24:08
with Dallas tonight guys. Hopefully they finish off this
24:11
series. I'm going Dallas Stars at -135.
24:15
It's not about does it for episode 44 of the all systems go
24:18
sports betting podcast. Now reminder if you enjoy the
24:22
all Systems Go pod. Obviously you didn't enjoy the
24:24
results of last night's plays but do you see value in these
24:28
breakdowns in the way that I breakdown games approach games.
24:33
Have you learned a thing or two in terms of data-driven betting
24:35
to help you hopefully cash some bets to become a sharper better?
24:38
Are you looking at line movement system, matches, bet splits, you
24:42
know bet Tris first bet to win, bankroll management not
24:44
parlaying? If any of that is the case and
24:46
this pod has helped you to become a sharper better or you
24:49
value the pod, which I hope you do because you know, win win or
24:52
lose or draw, it's always about trying to get sharper each day
24:56
and that's really my goal with the all Systems go pod.
24:58
But if that's the case or if you just want to make my day, then
25:01
can you please help me grow and promote this podcast?
25:04
All you got to do is give this pod a five star review.
25:07
Give it five stars on Spotify or iTunes.
25:09
That would really go a long way to help us to continue to rise
25:12
up the charts. Secondly, if you want to learn
25:15
more about data-driven sports betting, then I would recommend
25:18
buying my book. It's called the Everything Guide
25:20
to Sports Betting. You can just go to Amazon.com,
25:22
type in the Everything Guide to sports betting, pick up a copy
25:25
for you or for a friend. I think it's 1617 bucks,
25:28
something like that. If you are a Amazon Prime,
25:31
you'll get free delivery. Bezos will drop it at your front
25:34
porch with a drone, but it's got everything I've learned in the
25:37
industry. How lines are set, how and why
25:38
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
25:41
action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
25:43
for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
25:46
All included in my book The Everything Guide to Sports
25:49
Betting. So pick up a copy, it would
25:50
really mean the world to me. Guys.
25:52
Lastly, have you been taking advantage of Rhythm and Juice
25:56
Reel? I hope you have.
25:58
If not, I'd like you to sign up for a Juice Reel in Rhythm 7 day
26:02
free trial Now. Rhythm is fantastic because they
26:04
have great projections based on their AI back picks for both
26:09
props and game bets. They just added not only golf,
26:12
but as well WNBA pretty soon will have all the major sports,
26:16
so if you haven't done it yet, I highly recommend signing up and
26:19
testing out rhythm. It's going to make you view
26:20
player props in particular quite a bit differently and it's
26:24
basically your own wise guy who sets numbers.
26:26
Then you can act like a pro better, which we all strive to
26:29
be and then play the the differences which are really
26:32
really important. Remember the other one we cashed
26:34
the other day that they projected a 220?
26:36
The total was 218. 1/2 we went over, we cashed think that was
26:39
the Pacers game. So also Juice Reel another
26:42
sports betting app which is great.
26:44
Juice Reel allows you to sync your sports betting accounts to
26:48
the Juice Reel app. You can track your bets.
26:50
They automatically upload. You can learn more about
26:52
yourself and and really learn where your strengths and
26:54
weaknesses are. They give you the Robo Jackson
26:57
recommended Best Bets. Each day.
26:59
You have arbitrage opportunities.
27:01
You have sharp mush plays. Also shop for the best line,
27:04
which is really important. It's going to give you numbers
27:06
across the market, so make sure you download Juice Reel as well.
27:10
There's a a specific way I want you to download or sign up for
27:13
Juice Reel and Rhythm. Just use the bio description of
27:16
this pod. There's going to be links for
27:18
both Juice Reel and Rhythm Click those links.
27:20
You can also just peruse my Twitter page at Josh under score
27:23
Insights. You'll find some links there as
27:25
well, but give it a shot. I think you'll enjoy it for and
27:27
hopefully we can continue to post some winners there with the
27:31
help of Juice Reel and Rhythm. But that about does it for
27:34
episode 44 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast.
27:37
Reminder whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City,
27:41
Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire Foxwoods
27:43
or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
27:46
Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my
27:49
neck of the woods in Boston. We're out in the desert where
27:51
the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends his
27:53
number runners, where the lowest juice possible is found at the
27:56
South point. Or sweating, sharp contrarian
27:58
plays, Jumping in the pool at the stadium, swim at Circa,
28:01
wherever it may be. You're going to walk up to me,
28:04
show me a Dodgers ticket. We'll celebrate that.
28:06
But the rest just absolutely burn them.
28:09
Rip them up, recycle them. It was just a brutal night last
28:12
night. Sometimes that happens.
28:13
I tell you what, guys. When I was younger and I went
28:15
one and six, I couldn't sleep at night.
28:17
I couldn't sleep well last night either.
28:19
But hey, it's a tough market. We're going to bounce back.
28:22
There's nothing you can do about it.
28:23
Let's see if we can have a winning night tonight.
28:25
So my parting words as always, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet
28:28
against the public, place yourself on the side of the
28:30
house. Always be with the smart money,
28:32
never against it. Will smart money win every time?
28:35
Of course not. Beat the closing line in a
28:36
couple games last night. They lost.
28:38
But here's the thing that may happen here and there, but if
28:40
you consistently stay true to the model, against the public,
28:44
with the house, with the pros, flat bet and get that CLV long
28:48
term, you're going to be successful Better.
28:49
And that's what we will be successful betters.
28:51
So enjoy the sweats tonight guys.
28:53
Let's see if we can cash some tickets.
28:54
We got a 5 pack so you can get three or more and eke out a
28:58
winning night. That's always the goal, but have
29:00
a great night everyone. Good luck.
29:02
Enjoy the sweats. We'll be back at it tomorrow for
29:03
episode 45 on a big thirsty Thursday of the All Systems Go
29:07
Sports Betting podcast powered by rhythm.
29:10
Good luck.