Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 530 - 6/12/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 530 - 6/12/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 All systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
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  welcome to episode 5. 30 of the all.
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  Systems go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
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  I am your host. Josh.
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  Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
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  Happy fade the public Friday. That's right, Friday.
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  Is here. The weekend is upon us.
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  Remember when you were a kid and you used to watch?
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  Was it? TGI Friday or go out, go out and
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  get a meal at tgi Friday's. We'll get in that feeling
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  because it feels like summer. It's actually extremely hot in
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  the outskirts of Boston. It's like 90° today.
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  But I'm excited to hopefully steam into the weekend.
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  Hopefully you got some AC to keep you.
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  Cool, we got a lot to. Get to on today's podcast.
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  I have a three. Pack of MLB plays for you lined
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  up. Here we got 2.
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  Short favorites, we have one really sharp Faye the trendy dog
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  reverse line move. We also have one team that got
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  steamed quite a bit. So it's a shameless way for me
• 1:11
  to plug the opportunity for you guys to support the pod and get.
• 1:14
  The best bets early. Through the Juice Reel app, you
• 1:17
  download Juice Reel, you can sync up your sports books, get a
• 1:20
  running report card of reaction, but then you can click buy sell
• 1:24
  in the bottom. Right corner of the A and.
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  Little search box, type in ASG, you'll find the.
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  ASG podcast best bets? Which are the best bets I put
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  out? The official podcast plays as
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  soon as I make them. They go right to the app.
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  You can tailfade do what you like.
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  But those best bets? You can get for $9.99 a week, so
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  10 bucks a week. Again, I consider it a tip.
• 1:44
  Jar. If you want to get a little
• 1:46
  discount, you can get a month's worth of Best bets for $24.99.
• 1:51
  If you really want to be a hero, $199.99 for a full.
• 1:54
  Year. Of best bets.
• 1:56
  So one of those plays really moved and hopefully you're able
• 2:00
  to get that best bet in early because we're getting some good
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  CLV which doesn't guarantee a win.
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  But it tells us. We're on the right side here so
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  a three pack of MLB plays for tonight guys and we see if we
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  can steam into the weekend on a winning note now looking back
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  toward yesterday mini sweep 2O and one now 1-2 and O and MLB
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  so. Shout out to the.
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  Tigers getting done 11 to nothing against the Twins.
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  Didn't have to sweat that one too much at all.
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  So great winner there for the Tigers.
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  Then the Dodgers. Eight to six win over
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  Pittsburgh. Another big steam move in their
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  favor. So nice little 2 and O sweep in
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  MLB and maybe those were the betting gods winking at us for
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  making us suffer through that nationals game the other day
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  when they're up 9 to 1 and end up losing cuz I think we deserve
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  some some winning tickets in our direction after suffering that
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  one. The one push.
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  So again, push tie, you get your money back.
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  It is what it is. But the Vegas Golden Knights
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  hurricanes over 6. Now, the critical thing here is
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  that we're talking about that line movement and this goes to
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  show you how sharp the odds makers are and again, the
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  importance of smart money and getting a good number early.
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  That Vegas Golden Knights canes game it it landed on 6.
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  So it ended a four to two win by the Hurricanes.
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  We'll see if the VGK can win the next game and enforce a Game 7
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  because canes are now up. What is it 3 to 1?
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  But here's the thing, the total net game open at 5 1/2, got bet
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  up to 6 or 6 1/2. So the sharps.
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  Who got over? 5 1/2 early they won it landed
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  on 6 we got an over six we pushed which again some it's the
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  weird way you look at a push sometimes it's like oh darn it I
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  pushed I could have made money sometimes it's like oh I could
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  have lost so I'll take a push but in this situation tried to
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  mention on the pod yesterday how yeah there's.
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  Sixes out there there's. Also six and a halfs and if you
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  like the overnight goal, they all score seven goals.
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  You're kind of enticed to take like over 6 1/2 at like plus 110
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  + 115. You love the plus money, but
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  I've learned over time to, you know, pay a little more juice in
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  order to get a better number. And that's really what helped us
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  last night because if you took the over 6 1/2, you ended up,
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  you ended up losing that that number, you took the over six
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  you push. So at least we got our money
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  back on that one. So 2O and 1 + 1.4 units.
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  We will take it. Also just wanted to mention
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  that. I went to see disclosure day
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  yesterday and. Again, those of you who aren't
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  into Steven Spielberg and aren't into aliens probably doesn't,
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  you know, get you too excited. But for those of you who do love
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  Steven Spielberg, who again, all my favorite movies, Jaws, Man,
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  ET, Indiana Jones. I mean, how many?
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  Great Jurassic. Park, I highly recommend you go
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  see Disclosure Day if you're looking for a movie just to
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  space. Out whether it's hot.
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  It's the summer you want to get the AC.
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  Me and the wife, we got a bunch of popcorn, got a couple drinks
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  and we saw disclosure day and I would give it an absolute A
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  plus. I absolutely.
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  Loved it and I'll tell you it. Wasn't one of those like Alien
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  movies? And again, he did close
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  Encounters of the third kind. It's not like an Alien movie.
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  Where? Like they're this and.
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  I'm not going to. Give away the.
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  Plot or anything, the whole plot, I'll give you a little bit
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  person and it seems very realistic to.
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  What actually? Could be the truth, but someone
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  who worked for the legacy program, you know you know 4th
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  branch of government. The secret group that.
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  Handles all the aliens. Whistle blower ended up turning
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  leaking the documents felt that everyone should know the truth,
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  which I 100% agree we deserve to know the truth.
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  But then there's more to it. It's not just aliens are are
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  these enemies and they, you know, you know, abduct us and
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  probe us. The aliens are this terrible
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  thing it. Totally flipped the whole.
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  Idea or way you think about aliens and actually it was more
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  about like humans and what it means to be human.
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  And I just highly recommend it if you there was a this awesome
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  scene. Where there's a car.
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  Chase and it reminded me of the. Was it not Raiders of the Lost
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  Ark? But it was the.
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  Or maybe it was the one with Sean Connery and in Harrison
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  Ford, Indiana Jones when they're leaving the Nazi place and
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  they're in the little motorcycle with a sidecar and it's the
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  chase scene. It was just like it.
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  And John Williams did the music. I just thought it was fantastic.
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  So if you're looking for a summer movie, take take the wife
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  out, you know, take the, you know, I don't know the kids.
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  Whatever you want to do, I would highly recommend it.
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  Disclosure Day. A plus.
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  And then the other movie that I'm making my wife go to.
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  Is the Odyssey. Because I am.
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  A huge. Christopher Nolan fan and I
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  can't, can't wait to see what the Odyssey like looks like with
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  Matt Damon. So yeah, totally not.
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  Sports betting related but. Go see Disclosure Day.
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  Give it 2 thumbs up. Anyway, with that being said,
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  let's get right to our three bets for today.
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  As always guys, 3 plays. Let's try to go 2 and 1.
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  Eek out a winning day. So first one on the.
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  Board let's. Look at a 7:10 PM Eastern Time.
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  First pitch with the Detroit. Tigers heading to Cleveland.
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  To face the Guardians. Now let's set the stage.
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  Talk splits. Line move system matches.
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  I'll give you my play for this one.
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  So the Tigers come in 29 and 40. Just took two or.
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  Three against the Twins had a big win for us yesterday, 11 to
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  nothing, coming through as a -, 135 home favorite.
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  Meanwhile, the Guardians, 37 and 33, they've kind of gone the
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  other way. They just have lost four
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  straight. They just got got.
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  Swept by the Yankees. Lost that series finale 8 to 4
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  as a + 105 home. Dog so.
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  Pitching matchup here for tonight, we got the Tigers.
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  Going with the righty. Jack Flaherty, he's.
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  One in seven with a 5.31 ERA. Guardians, meanwhile, are going
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  to counter with Tanner Bybee. He's also one in. 7 But his ERA
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  is a little bit better four point O 9 so.
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  What have you seen across the market here?
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  Well, this game opened at roughly a pick.
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  On both sides around. -110 odds and it's always notable to me
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  you open at a pick. I've said this before, but I
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  think you want. To think.
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  About, you know. Lines and how they move and what
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  it means be open at a pick again, Does the line not move at
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  all? Because the sharps also have the
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  game. At a pick and remember, sharps
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  don't bet games just. For the sake of.
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  Action. They only bet if they have an.
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  Edge, but sometimes. You know odds makers might open
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  a pick and yet. Wise guys say, oh, this is a
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  pick. This team we I have a -120, I
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  have a -115. Therefore they are.
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  Going to hit that side cause the line move.
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  Because that basically provides an edge or an advantage over.
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  The book. So looks like the ladder's
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  happened here because this line has moved up.
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  In favor of Cleveland cleveland's gone from a - 110
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  home pick em to a - 125 home favorite tells us smart money
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  has sided with the guards that's.
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  Where I'm going here guys, I really like the not just the
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  line move. But the bet?
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  Splits that circa. Guardians are getting 80. 3% of
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  money line bets. 99. Percent of money line dollars.
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  That tells me a lot of big. Money out in the desert.
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  Going with Cleveland here. Mention that I'm going money
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  line. I got a -, 120 a.
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  Little bit earlier today at. FanDuel on Cleveland again, a
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  lot of books -120. 5 even I'm. Seeing one book.
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  Closer to -130 but I would. Always like to mention just to
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  see what. Ends up happening Pros.
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  Did hit the Cleveland. Run line.
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  So if you're a little bit bold -1 1/2 at plus 165 Guardians are
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  getting 50. 5% of spread. Bets 88% of spread dollars at
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  circus, so a lot. Of big money also going with.
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  The run line here now a lot of system matches lighting up on
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  Cleveland, not just the pick em line move, not just the great
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  bet. Splits, but just in.
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  General Friday night favorites Friday Night Lights We have the
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  Friday night favorites 75 and 42 on the year.
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  That is a 64% win rate, 10% ROI. If you're a sweet spot home
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  favorite, priced between -125 and -140 and you made the
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  playoffs the previous year, you're also facing an opponent
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  who also made the playoffs the previous year.
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  So that would match with the Guardians.
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  That system is 48 and 2368%. Nineteen percent ROI since the
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  start of last year. Cleveland, by the way, I know
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  they've lost three straight, but they're still the fifth most
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  profitable bounce back team in baseball.
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  Coming off a loss. Cleveland is 19 and 13.
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  That is a 59% win rate, 20% ROI. Guardians also big edge here
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  hopefully rest first tired because Cleveland was off
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  yesterday and prior to that they were playing at home against the
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  Yankees. So they're coming off a day off
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  and they, you know, have been able to sleep on their own bed.
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  It's. Continuing the same homestand.
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  Versus the Tigers, who we know played yesterday, had a huge win
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  for us, but now they have to travel.
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  Detroit, by the way, traveling, not great.
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  They're 11 and 24 on the road. That is the worst Rd. record in
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  baseball. So we got to.
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  Pick em opener, but the line line has gotten steamed up
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  toward Cleveland. We got really good bet splits,
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  tons of system matches. We have a rest.
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  First tired advantage. Detroit's bad on the road.
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  Fingers crossed the Guardians can come through here.
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  I'm on Cleveland -120 from FanDuel.
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  But again, shop around. A lot of books.
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  More like -125 even -130 next one for you.
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  Here's the game I was talking about at the outset that
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  hopefully you got. Those ASG best.
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  Bet picks on juice rail because boys, this one steamed up since
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  we we put it into the app, but we're looking at the Dodgers
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  facing the Chicago White White Sox, 7:40 PM Eastern Time.
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  First pitch now. Dodgers come in 44 and 25.
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  Just took two or three against the Pirates.
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  Had a big win for US 8 to 6 yesterday as a -, 180 road
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  favorite. Meanwhile, the Chai Sox, 36 and
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  31 just swept and abbreviated 2 game set against the Braves.
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  They won that series finale 2 to one as a + 125 home dog.
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  So pitching match. Up here for this interleague
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  series opener. Tonight we have the Dodgers
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  going with the righty Roki Sasaki, he's three and three
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  with a four point O3 ERA White Sox.
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  Meanwhile, going with the lefty Anthony K, he is five and.
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  One with a four. .4 O ERA So what do we.
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  See across the market for this one.
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  This game opened LA listed around a -, 135 road favorite,
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  Chicago around a + 115 home. Dog and wise guys.
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  Have gotten down hard, hard on the Dodgers in the spot because
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  we've seen the Dodgers get steamed up -135 up to -165.
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  I'm seeing some shops now -170 even -175 SA big steam move here
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  in favor of the Dodgers. Again, mention this, but I was
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  able to get dodgers -150 that was at the score.
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  Put that in the app earlier today.
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  Again, you're looking at now I think the best prices are on
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  -160 -, 165, but I. Love the splits.
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  On the Dodgers, not just the fact that hey, really good team
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  sub sub -200, which doesn't really happen too often with the
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  Dodgers, but the Dodgers are getting 93% of money line bets,
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  98% of money line dollars at DK and at circa 71% money line bets
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  95% money line dollars. So.
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  Big heavy line move as well as low bets.
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  Higher dollars of both DraftKings and Circa in favor of
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  the Dodgers. Now Dodgers would match that
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  Friday night favorite system, but if you isolate just Friday
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  night Rd. favorites, they're 25 and 1169 percent, 20%.
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  ROI this year? When both teams are above 500,
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  which is the? Case here.
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  Obviously, White Sox, maybe you didn't expect that, but they're
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  having a good year. They're above 500.
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  Both teams above 500. Just take the team receiving
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  line movement. So like 2 good teams.
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  OK, where did where the sharps move the number?
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  Well, both above 500 Team getting the line move in that
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  matchup is 89 and 5363 percent. 15% ROI this year.
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  Also, if you're a non division Rd. favorite between or priced
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  -150 or higher and your win percentage is 610 or greater.
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  So you're a good team. Non division Rd. favorite -150
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  or more. Those teams are 50 and 2170%
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  with a 8% ROI this season. Sasaki mentioned him, remember
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  he came over from Japan. He's only 24, but he's pitched
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  pretty well as of late on the years ERA is what will we say
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  like 4 or 4 point O3. But over his last four starts he
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  has an ERA of 1.49. He's pitched pretty well, only
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  given up 4 earned runs and 24.1 innings pitched.
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  You know, Anthony K, he's been good in day games, 2.93 ERA, but
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  at night 5.61 ERA. So tons of steam on the Dodgers.
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  You would have loved to gotten this number a little bit closer
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  to -150 but if you still want to ride, they look sharp.
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  The number continues to move toward the Dodgers.
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  Again, you can get around -165 but let's go, Dodgers.
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  Last bed of the night, staying up late sweating this one.
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  So I'm looking forward to sweating this one.
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  San Francisco Giants hosting the Chicago Cubbies, 10:15 PM
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  Eastern Time, first pitch. So Cubs 35 and 34, man, they
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  looked like just unstoppable earlier in the year.
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  I know we were riding them quite a bit, getting a lot of wins.
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  And I don't know what they know. They've tailed off of it.
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  They're only a game above 500. I remember it feels like
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  yesterday they're like 15 games up.
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  But anyway, they just dropped two or three against the
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  Rockies. Did avoid.
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  The sweep, though, they won the series finale yesterday, 9:00 to
• 14:55
  3:00 as a -. 160 road favorite. Same thing with the G Men, 28
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  and 41. Lost two or three against the
• 15:01
  Nats. But avoided the sweep.
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  And that game that shall not ever be mentioned again, with
• 15:06
  the Nats blowing a nine to one lead for us, the Giants walked
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  off on a Grand Slam 111 to 10 as a -115 home favorite.
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  So in tonight's series opener, the Cubs are going to go with
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  the ready Javier Assad. He's three and one with a 4.73
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  ERA. G men.
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  Meanwhile, going with the fellow ready Landon Roop, he's 5:00 and
• 15:25
  6:00 with an ERA of four. Even now, what do we see?
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  Across the market. Well, kind of similar to that
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  Cleveland game, this game open at basically a pick em.
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  Those are like -110 both sides. However, we've seen line
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  movement towards San Francisco, so open -110 both sides.
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  Now San Fran, it's up to -120 -, 125, even some shops closer to
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  -130 now. Why is that important?
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  Not just the pick them to favorite line move, but in
• 15:52
  particular a reverse line move. Because the public.
• 15:54
  Is saying, San Fran, you're terrible Cubs, even though
• 15:57
  you've tailed off, we still believe in you.
• 15:59
  And right now, 60% of money line bets are going with the Cubs.
• 16:04
  Yet this line move further towards San Francisco.
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  So take a step back. If the public's going Cubs, you
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  know, why aren't the Cubs up to -120?
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  It's the opposite. It's San Fran up to -120 -, 125.
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  So it tells me of a fade. The trendy dog reverse line.
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  Move on the Giants. Giants look sharp tonight.
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  You better come through Giants cuz again, your records not
• 16:23
  very. Good, but but.
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  There are other advantages here we'll talk about in a second.
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  I like the splits on the G men at DraftKings.
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  Only 40% money line bets, but 65% money line dollars.
• 16:34
  So good low bets, higher dollar split.
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  Friday night favorite, same system, 64 percent, 10% ROI this
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  year. Friday home favorites -150 or
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  less who missed the playoffs the previous year.
• 16:45
  So maybe you don't really believe in them, but they're,
• 16:47
  you know, priced, you know, moderately for a reason.
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  The Giants would match. Those teams are 23 and 12.
• 16:54
  That is a 66% win rate, 17% ROI this year.
• 16:58
  San Fran also has that rest versus tired advantage because
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  the Giants were off yesterday. And remember, they're at home
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  against the Nats prior to that. So similar to Cleveland, you
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  know, you have that sleep in your own bed.
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  No travel whatsoever versus the Cubs who just played at Coors
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  yesterday and now have to travel from Colorado to San Fran.
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  You look at another system match here, rested home favorites
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  coming off a day off who missed the playoffs the previous year.
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  Those teams are 18 and 772 percent, 23% ROI this year.
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  Assad talk about Home Rd. Splits at home. 0.63 ERA on the
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  road. ERA of eight.
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  Giants also are hitting 258 against righty's.
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  That's 6th best in baseball. Cubs rating 236 against
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  Righty's. That ranks 22nd.
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  So again, I know San Fran, not a great record.
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  They broke our hearts the other day.
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  Just when you need them to lose, they actually win.
• 17:52
  But I'm hoping that this sharp move comes through really sharp.
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  Pick them to favorite reverse line move on the G men.
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  It doesn't hurt that we have a 20% sharp mush edge on the
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  Giants from our friends at Juice Reel.
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  And also 2. Rhythm recommendations?
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  Lighting up on the Giants here as well with the AM model.
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  So Add all up here guys. I went Giants, I got actually
• 18:14
  -122 at Bally Bet and they offered me a, a 10 cent boost.
• 18:18
  So I got Giants down to -112. So if you're going to add
• 18:21
  another book Bally bet, you know it gives you some, some of these
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  boosts every now and again. We'll call it around -125 That's
• 18:28
  probably the most widely available number.
• 18:30
  So let's go G men. So Guardians, Dodgers, Giants
• 18:34
  see if we can get two out of three finish off the week on a
• 18:37
  winning note. So that about does it for
• 18:39
  episode 530 of the All systems go sports betting podcast
• 18:43
  powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 18:45
  where we wrap things up and always start first by saying
• 18:48
  thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
• 18:50
  you for tuning in. Thank you for grinding in the
• 18:52
  arena with me every single day through the the good and the
• 18:55
  bad, the wins and the losses. The incredible backdoor covers
• 18:59
  the awful bad beats, but I wouldn't have it any other way.
• 19:01
  Making sharp data-driven bets that are headed on our heart,
• 19:04
  always playing the long game. So if you do enjoy this pod,
• 19:07
  hopefully you value the insights.
• 19:09
  I would love for you to help me grow this podcast by doing some
• 19:12
  very easy things. Just give the pod a five star
• 19:14
  review on Spotify or iTunes. Leave a nice comment if you feel
• 19:17
  so inclined recommend the pod to a friend, click the follow
• 19:21
  button or retweet the pod when I put it out on Twitter at Josh
• 19:24
  under score insights. Next, if you enjoy this style of
• 19:28
  sports betting, data-driven, sharp contrarian betting,
• 19:31
  focusing on what the market is doing, what the lines, what
• 19:34
  they're telling us, what the splits are saying.
• 19:36
  If this style of betting has appealed to you, it's provided
• 19:39
  you a blueprint to attack the market.
• 19:41
  Hopefully you're making sharper bets, hopefully generating a
• 19:44
  positive ROI. If that's the case and you want
• 19:47
  to learn more about data-driven betting, or maybe you have
• 19:49
  someone in your life who could use some data-driven tips, or
• 19:52
  maybe you're just getting ready for Father's Day and you got to
• 19:54
  get your dad a gift. Or your son, or your grandpa, or
• 19:58
  whoever. Or your grandson.
• 20:00
  Well, if that's the case, don't just get them another collared
• 20:02
  shirt. Get them something that they can
• 20:04
  use and hopefully buy a bunch of collared shirts with.
• 20:07
  Go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to sports
• 20:11
  betting or the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
• 20:13
  Those are the two books that I've written Very proud of both.
• 20:16
  But if you want to grab one or both of them, bring them the
• 20:18
  sports book. I'll sign them for you.
• 20:20
  I'll. Buy you a beer.
• 20:21
  Or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games together next have
• 20:24
  you downloaded rhythm and juice reel yet my two favorite sports
• 20:27
  betting apps they help me win. They're going to help you win
• 20:29
  because they're just another great box to check off when
• 20:32
  you're going through your data-driven checklist to make a
• 20:34
  bet rhythm. Of course, great for their AI
• 20:37
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 20:40
  Juice Reel, so many great features.
• 20:41
  You can sync up your sports books, get a running report card
• 20:44
  of your action. You get the closing line value
• 20:47
  meter, which is always a good thing.
• 20:48
  When you bet a game, it like you know, 9:00 AM and then it's a
• 20:52
  7:00 game. You look at 5:00 and OK, I got a
• 20:54
  2.1% green CLV. It tells me the lines going in
• 20:57
  my direction. Every like that feature of Juice
• 21:00
  Reel or getting the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
• 21:03
  indicators, the arbitrage plays the shop for the best sign
• 21:06
  futures. Or of course, if you want to
• 21:07
  make my day and support the pod, this pod is free.
• 21:11
  I would love for you to drop a $10.00 bill in the tip jar by
• 21:14
  signing up to get the ASG Best bet picks on Juice Reel
• 21:17
  mentioned before. Download the Juice Reel app,
• 21:20
  click buy, sell bottom right corner, search ASG.
• 21:24
  You'll find the ASG best bets page.
• 21:26
  You can sign up. You can even do a free trial for
• 21:29
  a week and then 999 a week. You know 10 bucks a week or 25
• 21:34
  bucks a month or 200 bucks for a full year to get all the plays.
• 21:38
  But give download rhythm download juicer will give them
• 21:40
  both. A five star review.
• 21:42
  In the App Store, next, you have a live odds page.
• 21:44
  If you don't have one, you need one.
• 21:46
  Live odds page is so important. It's so critical.
• 21:49
  It is a tool. That as a sports.
• 21:50
  Better you need because it allows you to track the market
• 21:53
  and stay dialed in. Because sports betting, it's not
• 21:56
  just about making the right pick, it's about getting the
• 21:58
  best number. It's about knowing when to place
• 22:00
  the bet to optimize your your payout and odds.
• 22:04
  Logic allows us to do that. They give us all the books as
• 22:07
  well as the opening line, the current lines.
• 22:08
  We can immediately see which direction line is moved.
• 22:11
  Pull up the line history shop for the best number.
• 22:14
  I mentioned it earlier this week, but they have that new
• 22:16
  best line column. Makes it very easy.
• 22:17
  OK, I'm going to go bet it at DraftKings or FanDuel or
• 22:20
  wherever, bet MGM, Caesars Valley, Bet Fanatics because
• 22:24
  they're giving me the best price.
• 22:25
  So if you are looking for a live odds page, I highly recommend
• 22:28
  Odds Logic and use this special link.
• 22:31
  It's going to give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
• 22:34
  first month. That link is oddslogic.com/josh
• 22:39
  123. So that about does it on a big
• 22:43
  Friday for episode 530 of the ASG pod.
• 22:45
  As always, guys, two final thoughts.
• 22:47
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 22:50
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 22:52
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 22:55
  Boston, Plain Ridge Park Casino, MGM Springfield, or the Nash and
• 22:59
  my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts and New
• 23:01
  Hampshire. They're out in the desert where
• 23:03
  the true grinders get down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
• 23:06
  runners with Lois Juice. Possible.
• 23:08
  Is found. At the South Point or sweat and
• 23:09
  sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 23:12
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa, whatever it may be,
• 23:15
  you're going to walk up to me. Show me a beautiful Tigers
• 23:18
  ticket, a beautiful Dodgers ticket and VGK Keynes.
• 23:23
  Hey, again, I mentioned it before, but sometimes you push
• 23:26
  your bet and you're mad because you thought you're going to win.
• 23:28
  Sometimes you push your bet and you're you're happy with it
• 23:30
  because you thought you're going to lose.
• 23:31
  I don't know. That thing was right on the
• 23:32
  edge, but hey, we got our money back, so at least it wasn't a
• 23:35
  loss. I would show me a Tigers ticket,
• 23:37
  a Dodgers ticket first one's on me, next one's on.
• 23:40
  You'll post about the book sweat sharp contrarian plays all night
• 23:43
  long. So as always, guys coming off a
• 23:45
  2O and one or a one O and two. You're making me do the my
• 23:50
  little shindig here with a with a push.
• 23:52
  So it complicates it a bit. But after a winning night, a
• 23:54
  losing night, a hot streak or cold streak, we just got to keep
• 23:57
  grinding. Remember that sports betting is
• 23:59
  difficult. It ain't easy.
• 24:00
  People think it's easy. It's not going to overcome the
• 24:03
  juice, the razor sharp blinds, the odds maker set, the ref
• 24:07
  screwing us, the the players making bone headed mistakes.
• 24:10
  Bad beats. You know just the human element
• 24:12
  of luck and randomness. But you know what?
• 24:15
  We embrace the challenge and we stick to the model in the
• 24:17
  blueprint, which is making data-driven bets, not betting
• 24:20
  with our heart and our gut instinct.
• 24:22
  People say follow your gut. That might help you in other
• 24:24
  ways in life, but not in sports betting.
• 24:27
  But we wake up everyday embracing the challenge of
• 24:30
  trying to produce winning days. And that's to me what makes
• 24:33
  sports betting hard but but worthwhile.
• 24:36
  So as always, guys, we're looking for the games that fit
• 24:39
  our model against the public with the house, with the pros
• 24:41
  flap that avoid parlays and get that COV.
• 24:44
  If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 24:47
  So hope everyone has a great weekend.
• 24:49
  Stay cool out there because it's hot out and where I'm at and
• 24:53
  I'll be right back at it on Monday.
• 24:55
  That'll be episode 531 of the All Systems Go sports Betting
• 24:59
  podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
• 25:02
  great Friday and an even better. Weekend.
• 25:05
  See you Monday.