skinny.

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Stocks found religion, bonds found indigestion, and housing is still asking whether spring is actually invited.

Oil blinked. Rates didn’t.

That is the setup for Thursday.

Stocks rallied on de-escalation hopes, Asia followed higher, and housing kept doing its weird little two-step: sales up, pending up, affordability better… but mortgage applications just got punched in the face by higher rates.

Today’s briefing covers:

Markets and macro

Mortgage rates and housing

CRE capital markets

Crypto and stablecoin policy

The deal flow that actually says something

My favorite takeaway: the market does not need cheap money as badly as it needs fewer geopolitical jump scares.

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The skinny

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