Latest / The SPY Trader / Bulls Bounce Back: Breaking the Losing Streak
Transcript
- 0:00Hello everyone and welcome back to Spy Trader !
- 0:03It’s 2:30 pm on Friday , September 25th , 2026 , out here on the Pacific coast .
- 0:11I am your host , Barnaby Bull , and I am so glad you could join me for our afternoon market wrapup .
- 0:17It has been a bit of a roller coaster lately , hasn't it ?
- 0:20But as we head into the weekend , the market is giving us a reason to smile .
- 0:26We are finally breaking that pesky threeday losing streak , and it looks like the bulls are back in charge for now .
- 0:32The S&P 500 , which many of you track through the SPY or VOO ETFs , is up about pointfour percent today , sitting at 7,740 .
- 0:42We are actually on track for our first winning week in nearly a month , which is a breath of fresh air .
- 0:48Over in the techheavy Nasdaq , or the QQQ , we are also seeing a pointfour percent gain .
- 0:55But the real standout today is the Dow Jones Industrial Average , which is jumping pointnine percent , or about 438 points .
- 1:04It seems like the valueoriented sectors are finally getting some love .
- 1:08The big driver today is what we call a relief rally .
- 1:11We are seeing oil prices cool down a bit to around 99 dollars a barrel for Brent crude .
- 1:17This is happening because there are whispers of a potential U.S.Iran truce that could see the Strait of Hormuz reopen within the next week .
- 1:26That has taken some of the pressure off the energy risk premium that has been weighing on us .
- 1:31Speaking of sectors , our leaders today are Communication Services and Healthcare .
- 1:36Specifically , the XLV healthcare ETF is doing well because folks are looking for a defensive place to hide while inflation remains a bit sticky .
- 1:45On the flip side , Utilities and Materials are the laggards today , dropping over one percent .
- 1:52These bond proxy sectors are really feeling the heat from high Treasury yields .
- 1:57If you have been watching the bond market , you know the 10year Treasury yield is still hovering near 5.16 percent , which is a multidecade high .
- 2:06This follows the Federal Reserve's move earlier this month where Chair Kevin Warsh raised interest rates by 25 basis points .
- 2:14We are now in a target range of 3.75 to 4 percent as the Fed tries to wrestle inflation down from 3.4 percent .
- 2:23In company news , Costco is the talk of the town .
- 2:27They reported a clean beat for their fourth quarter yesterday , with earnings per share coming in at 6 dollars and 75 cents on over 95 billion dollars in revenue .
- 2:39The stock is up nearly 3 percent today to around 920 dollars .
- 2:44Everyone is crossing their fingers for a massive 20dollarpershare special dividend later this year .
- 2:51Nvidia is also trending higher after news broke that SpaceX plans to put hundreds of thousands of Nvidia AI chips into its Colossus 2 data center .
- 3:02It goes to show that the AI infrastructure supercycle is still going strong .
- 3:07However , Tesla is having a tougher day .
- 3:11Even though they received a new investmentgrade rating from Fitch , BNP Paribas cut their price target to 268 dollars because they are worried about Tesla's 25billiondollar spending plan for 2026 .
- 3:24So , what should we do with our money ?
- 3:27Well , my strategy right now is all about defensive growth and income .
- 3:31With the Fed keeping rates higher for longer , we want quality companies with real cash flow .
- 3:37My first recommendation is Costco .
- 3:40With 13 billion dollars in cash , they are a defensive powerhouse .
- 3:45I would look to buy on this postearnings momentum with a target of 1,045 dollars .
- 3:50For a broader play , I really like the Schwab U.S.
- 3:53Dividend Equity ETF , or SCHD .
- 3:57It is a great way to get a safety net of sustainable cash flows if the tech rally starts to wobble .
- 4:03If you want to stay in tech , keep an eye on the VanEck Semiconductor ETF , or SMH .
- 4:10The Nvidia news is great , but use trailing stoplosses just in case .
- 4:14If the S&P 500 fails to hit a new high , you might want to rotate some gains into the Healthcare Select Sector SPDR , the XLV .
- 4:23Finally , for those looking at bonds , please be careful with the longterm stuff like TLT .
- 4:29With yields still rising , it is just too volatile .
- 4:32Instead , look at the Vanguard ShortTerm Corporate Bond ETF , or VCSH .
- 4:37It lets you capture those high yields with much less risk That is all for today's update .
- 4:43I hope you have a wonderful , relaxing weekend , and I will see you back here next time on Spy Trader !