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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Best Bets Sunday 1/4/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man,
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: March Hape, is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: know it's it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die, at
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five. The worst month that
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you toad Stool Sports. It is Sunday,
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: January fourth. Thanks everybody who hung out last night for
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: the I feel like my camera's all tilted, man, what
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: is going on here? We're on tilt here after yesterday? Uh,
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: maybe that's a little better. I don't know. Thanks for
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: everybody who hung out for the football show last night,
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: the NFL Show. It's a crazy week always, man. The
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: last week of the season, Week eighteen is the new
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: Week seventeen. So I gave up three plays there. I'll
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: reiterate them at the end of the show. You can
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: go see my analysis on that show, or you can
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: wait for me to put it out on Instagram. Hopefully
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: we can get some wins there. I'm gonna have a
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: few more plays here. I'm gonna have two college basketball,
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: one hockey one NBA. I apologize, man, this camera is
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: just like, yeah, all right, that's that's a little better.
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: I guess, I don't know. I don't look good, so whatever,
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: all right, Yesterday we went three and three on the
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: show JC. What's up the Other? JC? Jeffrey, what's up? Stacks?
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: What's going on? Kyle? What's up? Man? Only dude, Yeah,
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: I'll do I'll do an only fans, but it's just
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: my bets. Yeah, and then you guys don't get them
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: for free anymore. Yesterday Wake Forest was a loss. They
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: won and didn't cover. They put themselves in a hole
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: and won the game, but couldn't really escape. I mean
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: that one. I don't know. Man kind of on the
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: wrong side, but I guess they played better in the
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: later portions of the game, but it wasn't enough, although
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: they won the game. So we had two wins and
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: non covers yesterday with favorites, which pisses me off because
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: typically when you have a favorite that's not favored by
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: that much, if they win, they're usually gonna cover as well.
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: But that didn't happen yesterday. Boston College really pissed me off.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: That looked like it was an absolute, like sure win.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: There they were losing twenty seven to twenty four. At halftime,
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: and that's exactly what you want when you have a
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half dog or whatever ridiculously low
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: scoring game. They're in the game at halftime looking really good.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: They were winning the game outright with I think nine
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: eight minutes to go, and then I looked a little
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: while later and it was like they didn't even score
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: again and they lost by double digits. Like, what the
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: hell happened in this game? I have no idea what happened.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with BC. I
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the Eagles. I'm
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: gonna burn my BC hat man. It's just all there
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: is to it. I don't know what that was. They
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: can't even pull off that cover. And if you look
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: at the stat sheet in that game, they had like
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: ten more field goal attempts I'm pretty sure, and that
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech did, and they shot horribly. I know BC's
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: offense is awful, but they shot like twenty seven percent
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: or something. When you have way more field goal attempts
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: like that, you get way more possessions in the game.
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: You should win the game outright, let alone, you should
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: at least cover a six and as a six and
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: a half dog. Not even covering is ridiculous when you
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: look at the stat sheet there, it's just so insane.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: How much of a bad shooting performance that was for BC.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: They should have covered that. They could have won the
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: game outright. I'm pissed about that one. And then Long
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: Beach State was an easy winner. I know they only
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: won by eight or something, but they were They were
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: easily winning that game the whole time. They dominated that
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: game like they were winning by twenty two points, probably
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: with ten minutes left. And then I don't know what
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: they did. They just they they probably got a little
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: bit bored and complacent and just packed it in early
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: and they only won by eight. But that was a
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: dominant win from Long Beach State. From what I saw,
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: they were crushing. And we did well in these later
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: games man for the most PARTAB we won on the
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: Columbus Blue Jackets as well. Good thing I added that
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: to my card because that was a no sweat five
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: to one winner there. In hockey with the BJS, we
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: won pretty easily with the Raptors as well. In the NBA,
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: both of my NBA leans were correct, so the one
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: that I gave it a play on with the Raptors,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: and I was also correct on the Minnesota Tea Wolves,
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: I believe was the other one was that right? I forget,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: but I'm pretty sure whatever one almost made my card
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I think was also correct. Toronto was an easy win
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: at the end of it. Man, they won by a
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: huge margin, but by the end of it, probably by
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: twenty something points, I think, so that was an easy win.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: And then, of course the Buccaneers absolutely pissed me off.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: They dominated that game, dude. There was no way they
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: shouldn't have covered that. They had more than one hundred
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: yards of offense more than the Panthers did. The Panthers
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: did almost nothing offensively, Tampa Bay's offense showed up. Tampa
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: was actually covering that wire to wire, except when they
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: were winning ten to seven. That was the only time
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: that they were not covering the minus three, and at
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: that point they were pushing it because they were winning
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: ten to nothing before that. Then all they did was
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: get held to field goals, like they got that initial touchdown.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: They were up seven to nothing almost immediately, I think,
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: and then they couldn't score again. They just kept getting
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: held to field goals. Then, if you saw the game,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: they were in Carolina territory up sixteen to seven, and
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: if they get a field goal there there's like three
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: four minutes left whatever, they're probably gonna cover at that point.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: If they get the field goal. They got it set
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: up for a thirty eight yard field goal and it
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: gets blocked. And their kicker had made all three of
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: his field goals prior to that in the game. Thirty
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: eight obviously makeable. Just unbelievable that that's what did it.
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: And then of course Carolina, who had only scored once
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: all game, they score in like two minutes because that's
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: the way the NFL works, and they cover and lose
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: by two. Tampa with the win and non cover, I'm
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: getting pissed, man, Like so many of these games, it's
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: like if I just went money line, I would have won,
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: like you would have had to lay about minus one
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: fifty on it. But man, that game pissed me off.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: I was so angry about that game, like that absolutely
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: should have been a win for Tampa Bay and that's
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: the one that decided to win versus the loss pretty much,
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: although after that we did get the wins with Toronto
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: and Long Beach in the night Slate, but one one
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: of those games, either BC or Tampa. If one of
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: those goes the other way, it's a winning day. And
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: it's these razor thin margins. Man, we wind up three
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: and three on the day in a slight loss. I'm pissed, obviously.
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: Both teams shot fifteen percent and three out BC and
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. They both are horrible offensively, Tyson, what's up man?
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, SOB, what's up man? You're on
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: the nets? All right? Yeah, I saved the streak. I
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: don't think I did. I don't think I have much
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: of an opinion on that last one. Let's get into today. Man,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: hold on a minute here, why is this? Dude? I
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: don't know why this. I don't know. Streaming are just
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: as weird things without screen shares. All right, here we go.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: We got college basketball here. It's mostly I don't know games,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: if you want to consider it the undercard. Like basically,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: it's like all mid major games today except for a
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: couple of Big East games. I think we do have
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: a couple of games at noon here. Richmond and Fordham
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: is at noon. It is on USA Network. If you
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: want to watch this A ten, this epic A ten
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: battle here. Richmond is actually a decent team. Fordham maybe not.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Some watch. Richmond is coming off losing to George Washington
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: at home. Richmond was most likely a favorite in that game,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: I would imagine at home and lost the game pretty
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: badly by double digits, so you could expect Richmond to
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: maybe be in about Actually GW was a favorite, my mistake,
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: they were a small road favorite. I'm just used to
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: GW being overrated, man, But Richmond took that loss. Now
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: they're going to Fordham. They do have Saint Bonaventure on deck,
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: which maybe a look ahead spot. So there are maybe
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: some arguments that this could be a sandwich spot because
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: George Washington was a pretty big opponent. Although they did
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: lose by fourteen, so it wasn't like it was close.
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: Fordham did have a I would say a closer performance though,
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: against Dayton. I mean, obviously they only lost by seven.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: If you look at how this game played out, lower
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: scoring game. Fordham was kind of in this game late. Man.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: They were down five points late in the game. So
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: Fordham is coming off a more difficult game. I would
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: say Dayton gets a lot of respect in this conference.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: They're usually one of the better teams in the conference.
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: So I yeah, I mean in this game, the money's
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: all coming in on Fordham. Though even like kind of
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: think they're in the slightly worse spot here. I don't
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: think either team is in that good of a spot.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: Richmond is only laying two here. Kind of looks easy
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: to play Richmond at two because they are the team
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: with the double digit wins at this point, although the
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: record is only like one game better. Sixty four percent
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them seventy eight percent of the
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: money on Fordam. So there's that information for you. It
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: looks like the market read is saying Fordam in that
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: game for what it's worth. I guess I'll agree with
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: it because I don't really have much of a reason
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: not to, although the situation to me seems slightly against it,
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: but that's the way that it is. Creighton is at
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Seton Hall at noon. We do have this big East
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: game up at noon. This is kind of an interesting game.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: It's one of the maybe this actually might be the
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: best game of the day. There are a couple other
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: pretty good games in some of the lower conferences, but
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: for Power conference games, these two teams are both all right.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: Creighton just beat Butler. That was a pretty good win.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: Now they're going on the road to face Seton Hall
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: here Creighton. I don't want to say they've been okay
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: on the road. I don't know. They're one and two
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: on the road. They lost a Gonzaga on the road.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: That's expecting anyone else is new. They lost the Nebraska,
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: who I think is still undefeated on the road, even
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: though Creighton is an in state sibling to them. They
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: couldn't handle them. And then they won easily at Xavier.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: But we know Xavier's really bad. Xavier could not even
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: cover yesterday, so Justin was right with his handicapping of
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: xavier socks. I thought Xavier should have covered that. To
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: be honest, Xavier was the side that the market was
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: indicating on in that game when you looked at the
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: market as the day went on. Xavier is just bad man.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Creighton easily destroyed them on the road. That was their
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: most recent road game. Creighton does have Villanova next. I
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Seton Hall though, I mean
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: Seton Hall has been good this year, so I see
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: Creighton probably showing up for this one. I think both
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: teams will Seton Hall just one at Marquette. Not an
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: impressive win given what Marquette's done so far. Marquette's looking
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: awful right now, Like they actually have the worst record
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: in the Big East right now, although I still think
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: to Paul is worse than they are, and I don't know,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: Xavier is definitely not good either, but Marquette is not
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: doing well at all. Here is Shaka Smart's still there.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: He's gonna get fired. Dude, He's not a good coach.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I'm telling you. He had that flash in the pan
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: with VCU and it's that's all she wrote. Basically, he
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: sucks Seaton Hall, He's I mean, that was a pretty
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: easy win, to be honest, against Marquette. So I think
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: the spot actually does set up a little bit better
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: for Seaton Hall here, even though I'm still not totally
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: a believer. The money is disagreeing Seaton Hall sixty percent
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, fifty one percent of the cash. They
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: dropped from two and a half to two here, So
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: the money is saying Creton in this game. Now from
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: a numbers perspective, I probably wouldn't disagree with that. Like,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: I think Creighton has faced a little bit more of
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: a difficult schedule, and they're a little bit under the
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: radar right now. What does ken Bum have to say
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: about this? Let's see this game. I wasn't gonna play,
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: so I decided not to. Ken Bum has Creighton as
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: the slightly better team, so he's in line with the
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers on that seton Hall is the better offense excusually
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: the better defense, excuseually obviously not the better offense. Usually,
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: I do like the better defense, although you're laying a
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: couple of points with them. Both teams played pretty slow,
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: and yes, Creighton has facing more difficult schedule. Like I said,
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: Creighton actually is higher in Kembump's luck index though, so
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: that's not something that I actually expected. So a lot
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: of stuff going on in that game. It's not a
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: game that I like whatsoever, though, But the money is
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: saying Creighton for what it's worth. So I'm telling you
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: what the market read is saying in that one. I
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: did not see that the Panthers got fucked by the refs.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: Well you're by a scarett because they got dominated on
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: the stat sheet in that game. I don't see how
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: you can complain about the Panthers in that game. They
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: were just getting wrecked in that game. Like, Tampa Bay
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: just kept stalling out. They were going up and down
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: the field. They had over one hundred more yards than Carolina.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: It should have been a much easier win for Tampa Bay.
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: I'm fucking pissed about it because my handicap was right. Dude,
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry that your Panthers are going to not make
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, but you know, because I think Atlanta is
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: going to lose today. But yeah, four terrible calls doesn't
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: negate the fact that Tampa Bay outgained them by over
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: one hundred yards in the game and Tampa was wired
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: to wire covering that game like it doesn't negate that
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: Tampa should have won that game by seventeen points. Probably
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. Yeah I did. I watched
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: a decent chunk of it, and I was fucking angry
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: the whole time. Well, I was angry at the end.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: I was angry they kept getting out the field goals,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: and I was angry at the end of it. Dude,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: Tampa had a field goal blocked at the end that
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: would have clinched the cover for Tampa. No, I think
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: you're wrong, Like, dude, when you're a fan of a team,
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: you're biased. Just goes that one way. And yes, I'm
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: biased because Tampa was one of my plays yesterday, But
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: I think I was correct based on how that game
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: statistically played. That's just how it is. The refs are whatever, like,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: there's always bad reffing going both ways. I think the
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: game was rigged so that Tampa would win on the
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: money line and not cover. Actually, I think the game
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: was rigged that way. So I'm fucking pissed about that.
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: And I would have won if I gave out Tampa
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: on the money line. I'm fucking pissed. Yeah, Tampa dominated
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: the game, dude. That's all I have to say about it. Statistically,
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: the statistics bear that out completely, all Right, UA BE
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: in South Florida is an interesting one at one pm
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: on ESPN. U by the way, Creighton Seaton Hall on Peacock,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: if you want to watch that, this game, UAB South Florida.
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, they both get some name recognition in basketball
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: in the American people are gonna look at this and
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: see South Florid as eight and five. UAB is nine
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: and five. South Florida minus six and a half. Here, obviously,
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: the spread looks very very bizarre, right, So that's the
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: way that I would have to lean just based on that.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: Like people are gonna look at this and say, why
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: is the team with the better record the team that
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: was more recently in the tournament? I believe, I think,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: so why are they getting points here? Right? So the
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: oddsbigers are telling you South Florida is actually the better team.
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: I think they've probably faced the more difficult schedule. That
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: would be the way I would look. UAB is also
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: coming off a somewhat tough game against Wichita. Wichita has
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: been all right of the last couple of years, whereas
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: I think USF is coming off some much easier game.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: If I recall, yeah, they beat some non Division one
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: team here, So I think South Florida is the way
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: to play this game if you're gonna play it. And yes,
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: South Florida. I was worried they might not have played
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: after the Christmas break yet, but they did. The one
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: worry is South Florida plays North Texas and Tulsa in
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: their next two games, and those are both big games,
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: so that could be a potential look ahead. But I
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: don't really think they're gonna overlook you a b UAB
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: is usually a decent team in this conference. So the
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with me. On South Florida, sixty percent
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: of tickets, eighty three percent of the cash on them.
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: Looks like they're headed towards seven. So if you like
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: South Florida, I would try to get the six and
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: a half. It is expected to be a higher scoring
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: game with the total in the one sixties as well.
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: NFL is extremely scripted. It's basically, dude, it's basically just
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: the XFL. Vince McMahon should just take over the ownership
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: of the league and bring back he hate me. Where's
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: that guy? Now? Rod smart Do? When the XFL first started,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: I got I had an XFL football just because I
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: thought the football looked cooler. I was like, Oh, they
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: played with a black and red football. That's awesome, man,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: Although it's the Devil's colors, so yeah, whatever. And also,
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: I will say Carolina was also obviously the square side
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: in that football game yesterday. It was a There was
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: a sharp versus square divide in the market in that game,
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: with the sharps on Tampa Bay and the squares on Carolina.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: Based on recency bias, Although I admit the sharp square
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: divide was much more prominent in the second game, and
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: the Sharps got that game right with Seattle, and I
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: was correct on it as well, but it was not
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: one of my plays. So Evan Flow, Oh my god,
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: does he Does he look like Eddie Vedder or something? Oh? Man, dude,
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: I don't. I don't pay any attention to wrestling at
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: this point. I don't know what's going on in that sport.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: Now all we do have another Big East game at
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: two pm on NBC, but it's the atrocious Marquette at Yukon,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: and this one's in stores at Gamble Pavilion, so it's
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: any more rowdy on campus Yukon of ironment here, Yukon
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: number four in the country. Kenbam has them somewhere close, yes, sixth.
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: Yukon's absolutely a legit team. They are probably the best
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: team in the Big East, whereas Marquette is the second worst,
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: probably to DePaul. So this is obviously a mismatch here. Marquette,
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: they're coming off playing pretty close against Seaton Hall. Obviously
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: they'll try to show up for this game against Connecticut,
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: but it's gonna be tough for them. Yukon obviously only
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: has that one loss to a very good Arizona team,
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: although it was a Yukon home game. I think that
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: was probably a Hartford Civic Center game, so not on
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: Yukon's campus. I don't believe. Let me see, Am I
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: wrong about that? No, I'm wrong. That was actually at
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: Gampo in store. So Yukon did lose their only they
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: only their only loss did take place here. Yukon's coming
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: of an easy couple of wins. Or to Paul Xavier,
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: they're at home here. I think they're gonna show up
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: for it. Man, they don't really have that much of
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: a reason not to. This game isn't really surrounded by anything.
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: The question is will Yukon cover the number? Like obviously,
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win the game. They're a nineteen
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite here, eighty percent of the tickets,
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on them total obviously
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: is gonna be pretty low though it's in the one forties.
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: Yukon likes to play slow. Marquette typically tries to play fast,
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: which if Yukun slows them down, that might frustrate them.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: If I had to play this game, I would probably
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: lay it with Connecticut. But obviously I don't quite love
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: the idea when you know you're paying a premium for
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: a team like Yukon, so the Lion's probably jacked up
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: one or two points just because it's Yukon. Yukon again,
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: they play slow, so I don't love laying massive points
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: spreads with that team, but I think they will probably
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: get it done. But we'll see. Mister Pinsey, what's up man?
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: He climbs the ropes. Yeah, all right, I don't know.
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: So many of these games are just like, I don't
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: know if I'm that interested. Sianna is at Rider this one.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: I took a look at this one because Sianna is
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: coming off playing Iona to within three points. That was
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: a big game. Sianna has been pretty good in this
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: matt Ac Conference here and Iona is like always one
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in this conference, so that was
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: a big matchup. CNFL. Just short and after this they
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: played Merrimack, who's still undefeated in the conference, so I
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: could see them easily overlooking Rider here. It's a second
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: straight road game. Rider really not a good team. They're
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: usually one of the kind of dormats in this conference,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: so they're very, very easy to overlook. Ryder just had
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: this game against Manhattan where I saw people talking about
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: this game, which it was very, very odd how many
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: of the shots were actually being made in that game.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: There was like a I saw a clip that was
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: like a two and a half minute stretch where nobody
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: missed a shot and the shots were like weird, like
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: baseline jumpers and just ridiculous threes with no setup. I'm like,
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: what is going on here? Like how is every one
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: of these shots going down between Ryder and Manhattan? And
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: both teams are not good at shooting, so I don't know.
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: It's a little bit odd. But yeah, Rider's coming off
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: of that. They did lose at home, so they're still
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: looking for their first conference win and they're still at home.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: I think if you're gonna play it, I would say
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: you got to take the points with Ryder, but man,
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: it's difficult to do. And Rider they're looking like a
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: public underdog right now. But I don't see how that
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: could be possible, Like what public better? Oh give me
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: Rider the one win team out of New Jersey. I
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: don't think so. Man. Sanna did drop from eleven to
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: eight here on the line eighty eight percent of the tickets,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: fifty one percent of the cash on rider. I honestly
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with those percentages. The total
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: is low at one thirty four. I would take the
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: points if you forced me to give an opinion on
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: that game, but I don't love it. Okay, let's see
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: and then Iona and Maris actually should be a pretty
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: interesting one. And the matt Act also at two ESPN
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: plus is where you have to go for this game.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: These teams are both fairly good. Iona obviously a constant
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: presence in the conference. Marist kind of on the upswing
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: the last couple of years. They've been playing better the
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: last couple of years. It's an interesting one here. Iona
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: just got that win over Seanna. That was a nice win.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Now I don't think they're gonna overlook Maris. But the
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: question is does Iona kind of tire out? You're playing
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: two games in a row. They're big games. They gotta
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: go on the road here in Iona hasn't quite been
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: as good on the road. They did lose to Mount
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's on the road already as part of conference play,
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: so not exactly great. So we'll see what they can
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: do here. But Maris It's gonna be one of these
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: lines that I tell you is a little bit weird.
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: It's misleading. Maris is only at eight and five, Iona's
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: ten and five, yet Maris is the favorite. Obviously, part
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: of it is the home advantage here, but the Osbegers
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: are kind of telling you both these teams are about even.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: So because the line looks suspicious and because Iona is
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: coming off a big game against Cianna, I think if
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: you play the game, I think Marist is the side
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: to look at here. Marist just lost to Saint Peter's here,
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: not a great loss. I think went on the road
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: and had to do that, But look at the spot
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: that Marius was in, though Maris had played a close
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: game at Quinnipiac the game before then. Quinnipiac is one
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in this conference. And yes, I
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: know Saint Peter's remains undefeated in this conference, but their
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: overall record isn't that good. And I think Marius might
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: have just been in a flat spot coming off the
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: Quinnipiac performance, and then they had Iona up next, So
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: I do think that kind of looks like it was
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot there, So I think Marius might bounce
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: back here. That would be the way I would lean
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: in this game, would be laying it with Marist. And
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: I think the tendency of the public, if they want
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: action on this game, is probably gonna be to lean
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: towards Iona because they're the more known name in this conference. Like,
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: who the hell is Marist? The Red Fox is? What
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: a Marius? By the way is? These teams are also
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: in the same state. They're both in New York. They're
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: both like somewhere north of New York City, I'm pretty sure.
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: And I think Maris is not that far outside of
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: the city, I believe, if I'm not mistaken something like that.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know, Uh Anyway, Yeah, Marius is a four
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: point favorite there. That would be the way I would
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: lean there. They're up from yeah, three and a half
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: to four there, all right? And am I like, is
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: my mind like freaking out there? Liked, did Dave Smith
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: go to Marris like before he dropped out or whatever?
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: He went to some school I think in that area.
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know that. Am I like, I don't know.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Am I misremembering that completely? Am I Mendela affecting myself?
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: Am I Dave Smith affecting myself, I have no idea,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: but uh whatever, all right, we do have what other
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: games are even interesting here? Kennesaw is at Delaware, now
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: kennesas State. They just had a big game against Liberty Man.
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: Liberty is pretty much always considered to be kind of
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: the class of this conference, or well the class of
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: whatever conference they're in, really, but now they're in the
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: Conference USA. They're obviously off to a really good start here.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: So Kennesaw that was a big game for them. Kennasau
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: fell short. They lost by eight. I think they were
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: somewhat in this game late in the game as well,
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: so it was a big game for them. They fell
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: short of it. They were down only four pretty late
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: in the game. So big game for Knasaw. And now
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: they're coming up of that playing another road game at Delaware.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: And I know Delaware was good last year, but well,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Delaware made that good run in the Colonial Tournament last year.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: I should I'm pretty sure that was last year where
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: Delaware made that surprise run to the final and then
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: fell short. So Delaware looked good. Then Delaware is not
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: that this year. I don't think. I think Delaware is
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: gonna get overlooked. But also the weird thing about this
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: is Delaware is now in the Conference USA. I think
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: because the football team, as we talked about this year,
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: moved up to FPS football, so they actually switched conferences
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: in both sports, so they moved into the conference out
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: of the Colonial I guess, in both sports. So Delaware
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: is now in a new conference this year, and that
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: does mean that Delaware at home should have a little
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: bit of an extra advantage here because these teams aren't
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: used to playing at Delaware right because they're new to
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: the conference. So there is that kind of conference newcomer
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: home advantage here. Although it didn't work out for Delaware
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: the last couple of games though, losing both games at
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: home already. But I think Delaware does show up here.
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: They did just lose to Jacksonville State in their last game.
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: I know Jacksonville State's mediocre. I think Delaware shows up.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: I do think it's a worse spot for Kennesaw here.
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: Kennesau they don't really have anything up next, sorry, justin
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: Missouri State. Not great. But I think I would take
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: the points if I was going to do anything with
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: this game. It is up to seven and a half.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: The line is on kennsas State fifty percent of the
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: tickets and fifty one percent of the cash on that side,
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: so act accordingly, of course. And then the other side
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: of that is at Liberty playing against that Jacksonville State team.
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State got the win over Delaware. Liberty had a
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: close call against Kennison. Now, the question is was that
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: a big enough game? Because Kennisaw has kind of made
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: a name for themselves in college basketball the last few years.
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: So did Liberty consider that to be a big game
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: or are they gonna consider that to be like a
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: scare because they're a big favorite. I don't know, that's
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: the question that you kind of have to answer in
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: this game. Liberty is a big favorite here. They're double digits,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: I think yeah, ten and a half. The line has
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: crept down just slightly, and the total is low in
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: the one thirties, so makes it easier to maybe look
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: towards taking the place. I don't have much of an
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: opinion on this. My initial thought on this though, is
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: that maybe Liberty is scared back into focus and that
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: they are the side to look at here laying the points.
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: But it's not something I'm gonna have any anything to
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: do with at all. All right into the Missouri Valley here.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: The Missouri Valley has got some interesting games here today. Man,
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: you I see at Valpo. I looked at briefly. The
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: UC just had a close game against Murray State. Man,
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: that was a big performance from UC, and they fell
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: just short. Murray State pretty decent team in this conference
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: right now, though they might not be quite as good
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: as their record looks, but they're still undefeated in the
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: Missouri Valley. I know, I accidentally called it the Mountain
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: West the other day, MVC versus w MWC. Man, I
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: screw it up in my mind all the time. But yes,
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: Murray State off to a good start here. So that
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: was a good performance from UC as I assume an underdog,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: even though they were at home. Now they're coming off
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: of that could be a bit of a flat spot here,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: though they only have Southern Illinois up next, and I
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: will be talking about them shortly. Valpo not a very
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: good team. Valpo is coming off having a close call
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: against Southern Illinois though, and Valpo was an underdog in
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: that game on the road, so they're coming up a
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: pretty good performance as an underdog as well. So I
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: can't really get there with this one, although Valpo is
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: probably gonna show up because they are still looking for
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: their first conference win, even though they do have Illinois State,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: Murray State, and Belmont in Northern Iowa all coming up next,
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: which are all big games, all bigger teams. But if
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play this game, Valpo Valparaiso would be
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: the way I would look here another two and a
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. The numbers crept up just slightly on
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: them there. That is probably the way that I would go.
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: Illinois Chicago, I mean they stink, although Valpo is not
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: great either, but Indiana State and Drake sticking sticking to
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley here, I almost gave out a I'm
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: almost is gonna give out a play on this one. Man.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: If you look at the spot that Indiana State is in,
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: it's pretty tough. They came out of the break and
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: they upset Belmont, which is a huge win because I
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: think Belmont is the best team in the Missouri Valley
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: right now. Again, I talk about this Missouri Valley. It's
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: a good conference this year. Man, Like Illinois State, Murray State,
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: I think Northern Iowa, Belmont, Bradley, all those teams are
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: probably within the top like one twenty or so in
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb and like Drake and Indiana State, and I
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: think Southern Illinois are not even that far behind this
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: and Murray State is somewhere up there too. So very
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: very competitive conference this year, man, Except for U C.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: Valpo in Evansville, those are all complete dormats and the
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: rest of the conference is competitive. Crazy conference this year.
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: But Indiana State followed up that win against Belmont. I
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: thought they were gonna be in a letdown spot, and yeah,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: they lost by nine to Northern Iowa, but they played
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: well in that game. That game was close again down
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: the stretch to Indiana State Larry Birds Ama Mater by
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: the way, the guy who traumatized me as a child,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: even though I am a Celtic fan. Indiana State played close,
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: they fell just short. So they're actually coming off of
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: two huge games, and now they've got to play another
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: road game against Drake. I think they might come up
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: a little bit flat here. Man. I know you can't
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: really necessarily say they're not gonna be motivated, though, because
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: Drake's won this conference the last two years, and I
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: know it's a different Drake team this year. So I
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: do like Drake in the game, but I don't know.
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: I give. I have a few hesitations about it. The
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: other is that you have to lay points with Drake,
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: and Drake is a slow paced team. Total's fairly low
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: in the one forty, so I worry about that a
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: little bit. But I think Indiana State, having those two
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: big games coming into this game, I think they're gonna
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: be flat here, whereas Drake. They had a big game
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: against Illinois State in their last game, but they lost
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: by seventeen, so it was not a good performance from them,
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: and they're staying at home. Although yes, you might have
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: to worry that they might look ahead because they played
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: Bradley and Belmont next and those are both big games
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: as well. So I have a couple of hesitations with this.
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: But I would lay the points with Drake if I
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: was gonna play this game, and I almost put it
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: on my card. Drake is up from five and a
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: half to six and a half here. If you look
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: at Ken Boond, by the way, he has Drake the
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: third unluckiest team in all of college basketball, so he's
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: telling you that Drake has underperformed what they really are
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: right now at three hundred and sixty thirds. That is
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: a crazy stat there, just to throw that out there.
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: So they do look like a team that is playable. No,
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: I haven't watched Eddington Why so that game? Yeah? I
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: like Drake in that game if I was gonna play it.
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: By the way, for Charles, I figured out what drop
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: I was talking about, and it's very appropriate right now,
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: and we can use it in multiple circumstances. So here
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: you go. I don't even like Drake. You don't like
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: the Drake? Hey the Drake? Could you not like the Drake?
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: Who's Drake? Is good? All right? There you go. You
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: love the Drake? All right? I do like them in
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: this game. But we'll see, all right, And then we
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: got and I could use that for Drake may as well.
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: All right. We have Robert Morris in Oakland. Is gonna
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: be an interesting one in the horizon. I don't really
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: have an opinion on this. Of course, Robert Morris won
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: this conference last year. They're gonna be in the mix again.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: They're off to a good start here. They did just
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: beat to Troy Mercy on the road to Troy Mercy.
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: They're at least better this year than were last year.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: Although I'm not gonna say that was a huge win
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. I don't think Robert Morris will
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: overlook Oakland here. Although Oakland, you know what I've been
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: talking about, they really battle tested themselves early in the season,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: so they faced some very strong opponents. So that should
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: set them up pretty well for conference playing. It has
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: so far, as they're three and one in conference play,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: but they are coming up a pretty good win on
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: the road at Youngstown State Sound State. It's a decent
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: team in this conference. Now, Oakland's not gonna overlook Robert Morris. Obviously,
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris again, they won the conference last year. They're
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: gonna have a target on their back from the entire
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: season for the most part. But the spot to me
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: seems to set up a little bit more difficult as
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult for Oakland, I think because
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: they're coming off of a bigger game, so kind of
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: lean to Robert Morris here. Oakland is laying four and
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: a half points though, so I would kind of maybe
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: I would hesitate about that because eighty percent of tickets,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on Oakland, and it
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: is one of those games where I think Oakland is
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: underrated because of their record, Like people are gonna see,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: oh my god, Robert Morris is eleven and five and
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: they're getting points against a seven and eight team, So yeah,
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: I should have considered that more heavily. It's one of
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: those games where the lesser ranked team, if you will,
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: even though we're not talking about rankings here, but the
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: team that looks way worse based on their record is
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: actually the favorite here. And like I said, Oakland has
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: some losses in the non conference play because they played
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: some ridiculously top opponents, So Oakland is very battle tested.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: So from a numbers perspective, it's one of those games
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: where I think numbers versus situation are kind of in
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: conflict here. From the numbers perspective, I think Oakland is
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: the correct side, but from the situational perspective, Robert Morris
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: might have a little bit of an edge there. But
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: I guess, you know, maybe I would go full circle
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: with it and agree with the market on this one
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: and agree with Oakland just because it is one of
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: those games where the line just looks very, very suspect.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: But that's a difficult game to figure out. Man. We
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: have Tulsa in North Texas. This is a pretty interesting
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: one man in the what is it the American American
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: Athletic Conference, I think is what there was just the
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: American Conference, now whatever it is. Tulsa's off to a
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: very good start at thirteen to one, but they have
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: not faced a very difficult schedule yet. They have some
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: decent performances in here. At one point loss at Kansas State.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: They beat Rhode Island. That's all right. Beating Austin p
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: is decent. They beat Northern Iowa that's pretty good. New
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Mexico State is alright. That was a decent whim and
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: then on the road at Western Kentucky is alright, I guess.
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: But Tulsa has not faced like many of the big boys,
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: although of course they're not playing the big boys in
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: this conference. But I think Tulsa might be not exactly
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: as good as their record looks. And of course they're
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: in all the bracketologies right now, because a lot of
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: the bracketologists just go, oh, well, Tulsa as the best
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: record right now in this conference. That actually they don't
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: right now because they're one to oher whereas Temple and
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: Memphis are about two and oh in the conference. But
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: you know, a lot of the bracketologists have Tulsa in there,
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: not quite sure that's the way it's gonna pan out,
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: even though they will be in the mix for sure,
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: because this conference is pretty weak Tulsa and now they're
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: having to go out on the road to face the
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: North Texas though, and Tulsa is coming off just obliterating Rice.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: And I know Rice is not that good, but obliterating Rice,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: by the way, is what I do when I go
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: to a Chinese restaurant. But Tulsa was able to do that.
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: Whenever you beat somebody, even if it's a bad opponent
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: like Rice, you beat them by almost fifty points, you're
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be feeling kind of high on yourselves. Man. So
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: I worry about that a little bit for Tulsa coming
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: into this one. North Texas the Mean Green, which, by
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: the way, I didn't even realize. North Texas they renamed
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: their team from the Eagles to the Mean Green when
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: Mean Joe Green went there. Mean Joe Green played there,
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: and I guess he he acquired that nickname either before
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: he went there or like around the time that he
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: went there. North Texas literally renamed their team to the
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: Mean Green because me and Joe Green was on their
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: football team. That's pretty wid old, man. I didn't realize that, Like,
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I watched The Football Life Me and
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: Joe Green not that long ago. I'm like, what, Oh,
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: that makes more sense because it's like, why the hell
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: are they the mean green and there their logo is
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: still an eagle. I don't know, but all right, North Texas.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a pretty tough game though, man, against Memphis.
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: That's always a big deal when you face Memphis because
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: Memphis seems to always win this conference. So they went
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: on the road. They played this ugly slow game, which
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: is of course what North Texas does. They played real ugly,
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: real slow. They fell short. That's a more difficult game
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: to come off of. Man. So situationally, I think North
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: Texas might be in the worst spot here just because
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: of that. So there is that. But the money is
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: saying to take North Texas eighty six percent of the tickets,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the cash on Tulsa. Tulsa's down
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: from four and a half to three and a half.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: And the arguments that I can see for that is that, well,
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: it looks too easy to lay the points with Tulsa
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: because they have a really good record. The public never
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: likes the team like North Texas that plays all these ugly,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: low scoring games. Tulsa is not one of those teams.
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: Tulsa plays faster, although Kempom kind of has the mid tempo,
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: but they like to play faster, they like to score more.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: Tulsa's way better on offense than deepfense, So it is
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: a contrast to styles here, and the public pretty much
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: always goes with the better offense. But you know me,
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: I like to take points with the better defense, and
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: that is what you're getting with North Texas in this one.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: If you want North Texas, they are significantly better defensively
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: than offensively. They're incredibly offensively challenged though. North Texas a
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: very very lopsided team, but better defense getting points. It's
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: expected to be a slow pace because it's total in
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: the one thirties, high one thirties, one thirty nine. So yeah,
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: contrasts styles, but North Texas they're able to slow this
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: thing down. That should frustrate Tulsa. So a lot of
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: things points in roade Texas here. But again I do
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: worry that they're coming off that big game against Memphis
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: So it's a game I'm staying away from, but it's
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: an interesting one to talk about, you know, just talk
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: about how I think about the game and whatever. So
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: my players are not until the the somewhat later games here.
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: Oh thank you sir, you like rice, like the food
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: or the school which is in Houston by the way.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: All right, Bradley at Murray State here five pm, ESPN two,
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: ESPN two. Man, So this game gets a nice billing,
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: it gets a TV slot here in the Missouri Valley.
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: Maybe rightfully. So, I mean, these are two pretty decent
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: teams in the Missouri Valley. Should be a pretty competitive matchup,
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: should be good. Bradley coming into this game off of
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: losing to Belmont on the road. That's a difficult game, man.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: And this game you got to look into the box score,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: like how close was this game? Well, Bradley was kind
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: of still in the game. They were losing by eight,
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: like somewhat later in the game. They weren't really that close,
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: but within eight in the final minute or two of
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: the game. It was closer prior to that, but still
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: a big game that went on the road, fell short
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: against Belmont, and that erased a long win streak for Bradley.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: So a lot of times when a team loses a
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: long win streak like that, they will be hung over
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: into the next game they are having to go out
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: on the road. Now, I don't really think they're gonna
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: overlook Murray State and look ahead to Drake, even though
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: I know Drake is the conference winner from last year
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: and the prior year, but again it's a different Drake team.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: Ben McCollum was in there last year. Drake has been
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: a completely different team three years in a row now,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: which is insane. But I think Bradley should try to
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: focus here on Murray State because they are undefeated in
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: conference that they're playing really well. But the problem is, obviously,
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: again they're coming off that Belmont game and they just
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: lost a huge win, and sometimes you lose the game
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: twice effectively when that happens for Murray State, they're coming
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: off that game I mentioned earlier, an ugly game against
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: u C. Illinois Chicago where Murray State almost lost that game,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: and that shouldn't have been the case. To Murray State
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: obviously is the better of those two teams. So they're
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: coming off a scare and they don't have any big
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: opponents coming up next, so they are absolutely gonna show
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: up for this game. So I would lean to Murray
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: State if I was gonna play it. Where are they
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: at here? They look like they are getting the money.
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: They're sitting around five four and a half, not much
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: movement on the number. There. Sixty seven percent of the tickets,
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash on Murray State. So
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: the cash seems to agree with that one. I also
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: agree with myself and with that Murray State would be
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: the way I would look at that game. Yes, I
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: did say that, Yes I demolish rice. Yes at Chinese Wrestle,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: Well not really actually, I mean it's a car, but
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: like when you go to the Chinese restaurant, like you
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: gotta have some rice, but I'm more into the proteins
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: and stuff like that obviously, and getting something spicy like
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: the rice is obviously like how do we qualify rice? Really?
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: Like I think it's necessary, but it has almost no flavor, Like, well,
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: you get it depends you get fried rice. Then it's
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: a different deal, right, Like fried rice is a totally
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: different thing. Pork fried rice that does have a lot
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: of flavor. That's some good stuff. But if you just
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: get like the white rice as a side, Like you're
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: basically just kind of using it to like clean up
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: some of the sauces and stuff that you have there
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: with your other dishes, you know what I mean. So
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but yeah, whatever Chinese food. I'm a
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: I'm an egg foo young fan man. You know me.
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: I like to load up on the proteins. You're giving
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: me a pile of eggs, like with some meat mixed
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: into the eggs, meat and some veggies in there, and
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: it's covered in gravy. Give me that baby, egg Foo Young.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: That's what I like. I am a kung pole guy too,
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: because I like peanuts and I like chili pepper, I
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: like spice, So give me a kunk pow. But I
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: get really disappointed because a lot of places make kunk poal,
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: like these Americanized Chinese places. They'll give you a kungk
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: pow that's like totally flavorless and not spicy at all,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: and that I hate that. It's such a disappointment because
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: a good kung paw is awesome. I should have the
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: other drop right now. For George, like his likes his
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: chicken spicy. It was the kud pow, the kug pow
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: because mister Morgan or whatever things George is sweating because
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: he stole the Yankee uniform or whatever, the Yankee uniforms
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: and he didn't. He was just sweating from the kunk pow. Yes,
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: Risota on the Italian risk. Risotta also a really good dish.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: It has to be made correctly, though. It's tough to
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: get it right, which is why it's the death now
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: for a lot of Top Chef contestants, because you gotta
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: cook it right, man. It's gotta be right there. You
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: can't undercook it, you can't overcook it. It's gotta be
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: the right density. Right is important in sushi rolls, yeah,
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: though there's of course, like sashimi or whatever and stuff
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: like that that doesn't have rice in it at all.
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: I'm not a sushi guy at all, though, a bunch
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: of people shit on me for hating sushi. I'm like, dude,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: it's fucking it's raw fish, and it's what like all
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: the elite coastal liberals think is like fancy, Oh, let's
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: eat this shit all right? No thanks, really, Like I
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: loaded up with like with sabi and soy sauce, I'm
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: gonna eat it at all, but I don't like it whatsoever.
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of sushi. No, thank you. All right,
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Next up is one of my plays. Let's go best bets.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: Let's do it all right. First best bet of the
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: day is Southern Illinois plus the points we are going in.
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: We are going with the Missouri Valley for this one. Here,
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: we're gonna fade the best team in the Missouri Valley Belmont. Yeah,
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: I know it looks difficult to do. You can get
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: this line, probably still at seven. I know it is
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: one of the somewhat higher totals in the one sixties,
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: but I'm still gonna do it. In this case, both
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: teams play fast, so it's not gonna be a tempo
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: clash between the two. Of course, it does mean there's
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: more variants there when it's a higher tempo game. Of course,
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: the favorite might have an easier time covering. But I
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: don't like the spot for Southern Illinois, or excuse me
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: for a Bellmont for Southern Illinois. I do because look
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: at what Southern Illinois just did. Man, they lost four
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: games in a row and then they broke that losing streak,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: and I like when teams break losing streaks, and they
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: do it by beating an inferior opponent because they don't
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: get over confident, but they erase that losing mindset, you
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. So that was good. Southern Illinois
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: beat Valpo and they didn't do well in the win.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: They only won by five against a pretty weak Valpo team.
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: So I like that because I think they were actually
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: kind of in a sandwich spot in that game. Was
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: look at what Southern Illinois did the few games before that.
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: They were competitive against all the better teams in the
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: in this conference. Look at this. They lost by seven
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: to Illinois State at home, and then they went on
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: the road and they lost by four to Bradley and
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: three to Murray State. So this Southern Illinois team is competing, man,
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: So they're right now. They're better than the record looks.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: They have all these close losses, so they've covered this
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: number at least pushed it in all three of those games.
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: So even though Belmont is better than all those teams,
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: I think Southern Illinois could do it. Man. And again
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: that was a sandwich spot. They still got the win
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: against Valpo even though they were coming off that game
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: against Murray State, where they played tough and they had
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: Bellmont up next, so that shows me something. Man, Southern
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: Illinois got the win, they didn't cover, so I think
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have some new momentum coming into this. They're
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: gonna show up again. They've been good against good opponents
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: on the road so far. They're I think they're the
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: most under rated team probably right now in the Missouri Valley.
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: And I'm not saying they're one of the better teams necessarily,
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: but at seven and eight overall, one in three in conference,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: they're better than that. And as I just showed you
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: the losses, they've already played three of the best teams
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: in the conference. So that's what's going on here. And again, yes,
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: I know Belmont is the absolute best, but we're gonna
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: fade Belmont here because Belmont they just beat Bradley Man.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: That was a big win for Belmont. Bradley has been
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: in the mix. Like I think Bradley has made the
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: conference final. Oh no, they only did it last year,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: I think, but Bradley seems to like always be in
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: the mix. Belmont got that win over Bradley. Now Belmont
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: gets Southern Illinois, which I don't know that Belmont's going
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: to totally pay attention to Southern Illinois here, man. I
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: believe Belmont might have beaten them both times last year
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: as well. Let me see, So I don't know if
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: there's really that much of a revenge factor here at all,
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: But yes, so Southern Illinois lost to this Belmont team
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: both games last year, so there is maybe a little
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: bit of a double revenge aspect here as well. And
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: Belmont plays at Northern Iowa next and I just talked
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: about how they're one of the better teams in the conference.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: They're one of the only undefeated teams left in the conference.
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: Undefeated in the conference, I should say, so Belmont has
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: them next, and then they have Dre the team that
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: won the conference last year. And I believe Drake also
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: is the team and eliminated Belmont from the conference tournament
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: last year as well. So that's a big game. Man.
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: Even if you don't care as much is that Drake
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: won the conference last year, I think you still care
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: that Drake is the team an end of your season
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: last year, though they're a different Drake team this year.
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a sandwich spot. I think
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: it's bad for Belmont here, so we're gonna go with
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois in that game. Man. So that's that is
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: that play there, all right? And then what else do
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: we have here? We got some West Coast Conference games.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: We do have Oregon State Washington State, which is it's
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: an interesting game. And both of these teams are the
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: they're the orphaned Pac two teams over in football, but
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: in they didn't want to go down to FCS and football,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: so they didn't move down to this conference or the
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: equivalent in football, but in basketball they wound up in
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: the West Coast Conference here and it's kind of made
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: the more mediocre at best man especially Oregon State's actually
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: not very good this year, so they are the worst
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: of these two teams. But both teams are gonna get
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: up for this game and think because they are those
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: orphaned Pack two teams, they have a little bit of
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: a rivalry going on there. Oregon State is coming off
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: a horrendous loss at Pacific. Pacific is actually not bad
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: this year, but losing by thirty one to anybody eighty
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: four to fifty three, I think you're gonna be pissed
• 50:27
  Speaker 1: about that, and you're gonna show up with a better
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: performance in the next game. So that's what I expect
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: out of Oregon State here. I was thinking maybe these
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: teams already played, but they didn't. They're playing both of
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: their games in official conference play here. They'll play twice,
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: I believe, once at each home. Now for Washington State,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: they just be loyal to Merrymount Man and that was
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: a nice win. I think they were an underdog in
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: that game loyal and Mary Mount is solid. Washington State's
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: not that good, so I think Washington State was actually
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: an underdog at home in that game. They pulled off
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: the win. Now they get to Oregon State, and they
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: do have Saint Mary's in Goozaga as the two opponents,
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: the two elite teams in this conference basically, so well,
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: Gonzag is absolutely elite, Saint Mary's is good and likely
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: to make the tournament again. Washington State, Yeah, I mean,
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: even though it sounds crazy, they might overlook their former
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: PAC two partner here in Oregon State. One hesitation I
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: would have. I like Oregon State in the game to cover.
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: But one hesitation I would have is that Washington State
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: has the worst record and they're seven and a half
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: point favorite, so the line looks a little bit weird
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: there again, like why is the worst Why is the
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: team of the worst record laying points? Like the public's
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: not gonna want that, but the money seems to agree
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: with me for some reason. Washington State's all the way
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: up to eight. I don't know if there's some injury
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: information involved here with why that line has moved up
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: from four and a half to eight. But even if so,
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: I think maybe you're getting extra value then on Oregon
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: State and maybe they'll play harder if they have an
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: injury or something. So whoops, I just clicked on it
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: by accident. Sixty seven percent of the tickets and eighty
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: five percent of the catch on Oregon State in that game.
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: Total is in the one forties, so it's low, so
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: it makes sense to maybe take the points there. That's
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: what I would do if I was gonna play it.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Oregon State there. Then
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: we have my other play and I like this one man,
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: And then there is one actually big ten game that
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: I forgot about. I'm gonna talk about all the rest
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: of these games. Actually why not? But here we go,
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: best bets, next one up. I'm doing something that I'm
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: that I've said I don't usually like to do, but
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: we're gonna lay the points with Saint Mary's even though yes,
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: I know there they're a slow paced team, they're defensive team.
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: Uh total of one forty and a half. Although it
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: has gone up, it looks like the public is kind
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: of against me here. The line's twelve and a half
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: now though, so I apologize there's a little bit less
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: value here, but hopefully those numbers don't matter too much.
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: But I would say find the best number you can.
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: Maybe the number will I don't know if the number
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: is gonna come back down or not. Man, but I
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: hate the spot that Seattle's in here, which I'm gonna
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: talk about in a minute. Sixty seven percent of tickets,
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: sixty two percent of the cash on same mayor So
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: I'm worried. Now. I guess the public looks like they're
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: kind of coming in on that side, and it looks
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: like maybe some of the money isn't although then again,
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: the line has moved on Saint Mary's. But the reason
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: we're gonna face Seattle here is, first of all, Seattle's
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: new to this conference, so they're not used to playing
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: in these venues, so they might be thrown off by
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's venue because it's this weird, small, tightly packed
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: venue and the crowds somewhat on top of you. It's
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: not as extreme as Pepperdine's, but the Saint Mary's venue
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: is weird, man, and if you're not used to it
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: it it could throw you off. So that's one thing.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: But look at what Seattle did in their last game.
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: They were not thrown off by the venue. Last game,
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: they took Gonzaga into overtime. At Gonzaga, Seattle had to
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: have been what like twenty five point dogs in this game.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: Probably that was an unbelievable performance from Seattle, like probably
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: their game of the year. Like I know, normally, yeah,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: you're gonna want to show up for a game against
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's. They're one of the best teams in this conference.
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: But Gonzaga is like a blue blood in college basketball. Man,
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: They're an amazing team is this year. They're really fucking
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: good and Seattle somehow played them into overtime and that
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: was two days ago. So I just don't see Seattle
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: having anything left in the tank after that. That was
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: an insane performance from Seattle. They almost pulled off what
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: would have been probably the biggest, maybe the biggest win
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: in their basketball program's history. So I just don't think
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to do it here. Now they're
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: going down to California here to play Saint Mary's, I
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: just don't see it. I don't. I'm not gonna say
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be looking ahead to Oregon State because they're
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: not that good. Even though yes they're that Pac twelve,
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: former Pac twelve team, you don't overlook a team like
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's. I think this is just a game where
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: Seattle has absolutely nothing left after such a huge effort
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: in that game. I think they're gonna be completely flat here,
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: and I think Saint Mary's will just come in and
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: easily beat them. In my opinion, Saint Mary's is staying
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: at home. They just had an easy win over Portland
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: in their last games. They don't really have anything that
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: important they do. Washington stayed up next, but I don't
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: know that they're really gonna be looking ahead to that necessarily.
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, now that they see what Seattle just did
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: a Gonzaga, I think Saint Mary's might be totally on
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: alert here. Man So because they just saw what Seattle
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: just did I think Saint Mary's is gonna be more Yeah,
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be more focused because of that. Now, yes,
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's does play slow, like I said, Yes, I
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: am a little bit worried that there's somewhat high in
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: Kempbum's luck Index. But they are the better teams. Seattle's
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: still outside of the top one hundred here. Yes, Seattle's
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: really good defensively, Like, defensively, they can actually play with
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: a team like Saint Mary's and that's probably why Seattle
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: actually was able to do decent against Gonzaga other than
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: I think Gonzaga took them really lightly. But Seattle is
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: good defensively, so they can kind of hold other teams
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: offenses down a little bit. But Seattle can't score. And now,
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: when you're looking at a game where two teams are
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: gonna be playing slow here or well, Seattle doesn't play
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: that slow this year. Actually they play kind of mid temp.
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: So the slow pace of Saint Mary's might actually frustrate
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: the more than maybe you would think. But also if
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: Seattle's not gonna be able to score here and Saint
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: Mary's is because they're really efficient offense, I know you
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: could say the same thing about Gonzaga and Zagga is
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: very efficient as well. But yeah, I don't know. It
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: just all seems to come into play here. Normally, Yes,
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: I like the better depfense getting points. Seattle is I
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: don't know if they're the better deep They're not the
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: better defense though. Saint Mary's is just better on both
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: sides of the ball. It's just the gap between the
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: deepfenses is less. So Yeah, usually I like defensive teams
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: getting points, but in this case I do not like.
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: I just think that the gap is so wide between
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: the two offenses that that last game for Seattle is
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: more of an outlier. I don't think you're gonna see
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: it happen again. Not really much else to see here
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: as far as like the luck index and whatever and straight.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: The schedule does go Saint Mary's way, though the luck
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: index goes against them a little bit, so not a
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: whole lot to see there. By the way, I did
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: forget to show you southern part of that handicap. Southern
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: Illinois is fifth unluckiest in the nation according to ken Bam.
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: I forgot to mention that Southern Illinois is three hundred
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: and sixty first in lucky and they play the eighty
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: eighth most difficult schedule, so they faced a difficult schedule,
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: like I said, and they're better than the record looks
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: because of that. And they're very very unlucky again, so
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: ken Bom his numbers bear that out. And Southern Illinois
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: good defensively by the way ninety third defensively, So defensively
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: they're almost as good as Belmont, even though they're way
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: worse offensively, So somebody keep in mind. And yes, Belmont
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: is also not considered to be a really lucky team,
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: but they've also faced a week schedule so far at
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: two ninety third, so things to keep in mind in
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: that game. And like I said, both teams play a
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: fast pace in that one. I'm sorry I forgot to
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: bring up the ken Bomb numbers on that. All right,
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: then we do have a big ten game here between
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: Washington and Indiana. Still feels weird to call that a
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: big ten game. Big ten network has it of course
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: at eight pm. Well not of course, because sometimes Peacock
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: and Fox Sports one hand the handle them. But Washington's
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: coming off of a win at home against Utah, easy win.
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: They're not going to overlook Indiana. Man, Although it is
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: a weird travel spot for Washington. Still, they have to
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: go over to Bloomington, Indiana. They do it per due
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: up next one. I mean, Indiana is not a team
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: that you overlook in basketball. They're doing pretty well this
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: year as far as the record is concerned, so I
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: think Washingt will show up. Indiana is in kind of
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: a weird spot because they actually have still not played
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: since before Christmas and then went into Christmas winning two
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: games in a row. So Indiana they could be pretty
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: rusty coming into this game. Man, not having played since
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: December twenty second kind of a weird spot, and that
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: break could kind of hurt their momentum a little bit.
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: I believe Washington did play right. That game against Utah
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: was yeah the other day on Monday, so Washington has
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: the momentum coming into this game. So I think if
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: you play this, I would Washington in this one. Washington
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: actually is not a horrible team right now, although Indiana
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: doesn't really have anything to look forward to. Indiana's laying
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: eight points here, but I think based on the fact
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: that Indiana I think could be in a rough spot,
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: I would look to Washington, especially early in the game.
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: Like with Indiana, being rusty. Maybe like first half on
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: Washington makes sense there taking the points there. Then we
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: have Loyal and Marrymount at Gonzaga. Loyal and Mary Mount
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: not a bad team, they did just take a loss
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: to Washington State. Loyal and Marrymount was a road favored
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: in that game. Like I said, so, maybe they were
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: looking ahead a little bit to Gonzaga. But do you
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: want to go up against Gonzaga after they almost lost
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: as a massive favorite to Seattle. You probably don't. Even
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: though they do have Santa Clara. Next to Santa Clara
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: probably the third best team in this conference. I don't
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: see Gonzaga overlooking this game, man. I think Gonzaga is
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: gonna come out more focused after they nearly lost that game.
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: You're laying twenty four and a half now with them.
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: But if I was gonna play it, I think I
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: would have to lay it here twenty five percent of
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: the tickets in eighty eight percent of the cash on Gonzaga.
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: All right, an hour in let's finish this up, man.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: We got NHL and NBA here, NHL, there was gonna
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: be one play that I'll give you. I have an
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: opinion on a few of the NHL games today. Montreal
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: and Dallas is the first game up here, which is
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: an after noon game. We got a couple of after
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: noon games here. Montreal. They're coming in off losing to
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. I told you that was a horrible spot
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: from Montreal. The problem was that it didn't love Saint
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: Louis enough after they beat Vegas. But Montreal had beaten
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: Florida and Carolina the two games before that. They actually
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: lost in a shootout to Tampa Bay the game prior
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: to those, and they had Dallas up next, so it
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: was an obvious sandwich spot that Montreal was in. They
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: got caught. They had a really bad game, losing two
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: to nothing yesterday, so I think they will bounce back
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: and show up in this game. One issue is that,
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: obviously the rest spot is not good. They're on a
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: back to back, They're traveling from Saint Louis to Dallas.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days, fourth game
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: in six days, in a fifth game in eight days,
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. So that does make it a
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: little bit difficult. And I don't think Dallas is gonna
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: overlook this game because Dallas just lost again to Chicago.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: So I think they're gonna be pissed, and they've had
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: two days off, so they're way more rested coming home here. Yeah,
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: they do have Carolina next, but they've lost four games
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: in a row. Man, this Dallas team, I think they're
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: gonna show up in an angry movement. I honestly don't
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: know how they lost to Chicago twice. I really don't
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: am Buffalo in between the two. So this team looks
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: like they're spiraling right now. But Autinger should be in
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: net again because they're rested. They have way more rest
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: than Montreal does in this game. Yeah, I mean, I
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: think if we're gonna play the game, I think you
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: gotta look towards Dallas in this one. Dallas down from
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: minus two to ten to minus two hundred and eighty
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: on them. You're gonna have to lay like a puck
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: line with them or somebody if you like them. But
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: that might be the way that I would do it.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: Or because I think Dallas is gonna come in super
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: focus because of all the losses and they're rested, it
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: couldn't mean that, you know, maybe you don't want to
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: deal with the offensive side of things for Dallas. So
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: maybe Montreal under their team total makes sense in that game.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: A rare team total opinion for me on that one,
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: although for Montreal it's I think it's gonna be again
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: their defense that gets more affected by their tired legs.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: So we will see. Pittsburgh got Columbus. Pittsburgh played yesterday.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: I think both of these teams played yesterday. Pittsburgh got
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: the sweep of Detroit home and home. Big win for
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh yesterday on the road, four to one win. And
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: now they go to Columbus off of that third game
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities, and they play
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: New Jersey next, so it could be a little bit
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: of a look at because New Jersey's at least still decent.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: So I think Pittsburgh might overlook Columbus here. I think
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: it is a sandwich spot. Now. I worry a little
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: bit about Columbus. They got us the nice win yesterday,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: but it was a very satisfying win, breaking Buffalo's long
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: win streak, beating a Buffalo team it's been quite good recently,
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: so Columbus you could argue maybe they're in a little
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: bit of a letdown. Spot here. They're on a back
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: to back as well, but the better thing for them
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: is they're staying at home and before yesterday they had
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: a bunch of rests. They hadn't played for a few days,
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: so they are definitely the more rested team here and
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: the less traveled team. So I think Columbus has to
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: be the way that you play this game. If you
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: play it, then the money is for whatever reason, kind
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: of disagreeing on this one. Interesting. I don't know why
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: Columbus down for minus one thirty to minus one twenty two,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh. I like Columbus in that one. I was
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: considering that one, but I think it's my third strongest
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: opinion in hockey. But Columbus is my opinion in that game. No,
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: the Penguins are not back. I've been saying all year
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: they're They're not as good as they looked at the
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: beginning of the season, and they started bearing that out
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: as they started faltering. No, they're still like this team
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: with like an ancient Sydney Crosby ond it whatever Penguins
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: are out aboutely not back. They're goaltending as shit. No,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: they're not good. Colorado at Florida. This is my second
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: strongest opinion in hockey. I don't know if I'm gonna
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: quite be able to get there at this one. It's
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: not on my card. But Colorado just beat Carolina yesterday
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: on the road man, and now maybe they will still
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: be somewhat rested because they did have a bunch of
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: days off before that, so they came into yesterday's game rested,
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: but Carolina had them on the ropes man. Carolina was
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: winning that game three to one going into the third period,
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: and Colorado beat them five to three. They got a
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: goal in the last minute, not an empty netter, but
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: they did score in the last minute to make it
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: five to three. It was a close game, big win
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: for Colorado. Now on a back to back, they got Florida,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: who's been good and they are the returning champs, but
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay has an even better record. They're the next
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: opponent for Colorado. So it's looking maybe slightly SANDWICHI for
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: Colorado here, and I think Florida will show up because Florida,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: they're coming off of the playing in the Winter Classic
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: that was indoors in fucking Florida, and they lost the
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: game horribly five to one. So they got embarrassed in
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: the Winter Classic. Man, in a highly publicized game, that
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: is not what you want to do. You do not
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: want to get embarrassed, obviously in a game like that.
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: So when that happens, I think you're absolutely gonna show
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: up in your next game with some intensity. They're gonna
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: want to try to get a win here. This has
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: been a very bad home stand for them. They're back
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: in their actual home arena here, So I think Florida
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: is the side in this game. If you're gonna play
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: this game, I would do it. Florida money line Colorado
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: minus won twenty five is the price on them, seventy
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: three percent of tickets, fifty three percent of the cash
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: on Colorado, So they're a public side with less of
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: the money on them. I liked Florida on that one.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna add a play to my card
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: here for hockey, it would be that. My hesitation is
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: that maybe Colorado still shows up here because it's still Florida.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: It's still the returning champs. But I could definitely see
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: Colorado's wind streak taking a hit here in this one
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: and Florida getting the win here. That's how I would
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: do it. Don't care second place. Who gives a shit.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: They're in a terrible division, dude. The osmakers are telling
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: you that Pittsburgh is ass like they're an underdog in
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: this game against Columbus. Columbus is getting more than home ice.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: That's all you need to know right there. The osbagers
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: are telling you Columbus is better than Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: not good. All right, Carolina at New Jersey? This is
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: my play. We're going New Jersey money line here. I
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: think this is the way to go Carolina. As I
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: just pointed out, they're coming off a heartbreaking loss to Colorado. Man,
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: they had Colorado on the ropes. I know they've lost
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: three games in a row here. Normally I would say
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: you're gonna want to bounce back from that, but they're
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days. They're on the
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: back's back. They're oddly traveling up to Red Bank, New Jersey.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: I think, is it Red Bank? Where's the New Jersey battle?
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: I forget wherever they No, it's not Red Bank. I
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: forget wherever the fuck New plays? Is it East Rutherford
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know Carolina is going up there wherever the
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: hell it is this game. Man, this is a heartbreaking
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: game for Carolina. And again it's weird to have to
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: travel up to New Jersey for a single game before
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: you come back home on a back to back. So
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know who they're gonna have a net for
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: this one. Anderson actually was okay in net yesterday but
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: kind of cost them the game at the end of
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: it though, But they did lose because of some power
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: plays as well, some some penalties really put Carolina in
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: a tough spot. But if you look at what happened
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: in this game, Carolina was winning the game three to
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: one into the third period. Like I said, they still
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: had the lead until it got tied within a minute
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: getting into the third period. Then they were only losing
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: by one for a huge chunk of the remainder of
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: the game, and they gave up that last goal, like
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: I said, in the last minute of the game, McKinnon
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: scoring there. So this is a close game. Carolina felt
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: like they probably had the game going into the third period.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: It absolutely brutal loss for Carolina, So I think they're
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: in a major letdown spot here. If you look at
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: the stats. They got out played in the game. Colorado
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: had more shots by six, one more hit, and they
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: dominated the face off sixty three percent. So Carolina, I
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: know they're a really good team, but they weren't as
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: good in that game as it looked like. Colorado is
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: really fucking good though. Man, Now Carolina is gonna play
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, this New Jersey team that's been struggling a bit.
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: And after that, Carolina comes back home and they faced Dallas.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: That's a huge game. I know this is a conference game,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: but I just don't see it. I think this is
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: a terrible spot that Carolina is in here for New Jersey. Yeah,
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: they played yesterday, but they're at home, and they had
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: a lot of time off before that. They hadn't played
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: since Wednesday before they played yesterday, So they're not gonna
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: be as tired as Carolina, I don't think. And they're
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: staying at home. They had an easy win yesterday against
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: Utah four to one. They're not gonna overlook Carolina one
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: of the still one of the top teams in the conference,
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: even though they do have the Islanders next. They did lose.
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: It was the last time they were playing the Islanders.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: But again, you don't overlook Carolina. Man, spot's horrible for Carolina.
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: We're going with it. New Jersey is the play seventy ticket,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash. On Carolina. They're sitting at
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty, so you're getting the home dog price
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: here as well. I like these small home dogs. When
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: you're catching the public road favorite in a bad spot.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: Let's do it. Let's go with the devil's baby. And
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: I'm only doing it for this reason though, that's the devil,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: buddy or number one. We beat anybody or the devil,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: the devil, that's the actual reason why we're doing it. No,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: I think I have a sound explanation there on that one.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: Pistons and Calves. Yeah, I'm gonna talk about that game
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: with Though I don't do basketball x's and o's, I
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: just do situations pretty much. Vegas at Chicago this game,
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: I don't have as good of a reid on this one.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: I don't think Vegas has lost four games in a
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: row though, Man and losing to Saint Louis on Friday,
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: you gotta think they're gonna be pretty pissed off coming
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: into this game in Chicago. They keep winning and at
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: some point it's gonna stop because Chicago's not that good.
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: They did not have the letdown in their last game
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: after they beat Dallas, they went on the road. Do
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: they beat Washington to shootout? Now they're playing a third
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: game in four days, traveling between every game, which is
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: ridiculous coming back home here on the back to back.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: Pretty clearly a bad spot for Chicago. Now. My worry
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: is that they won't overlook Vegas. That's the one worry here.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: And last time soder Bloom was in that they actually
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: beat Dallas with him in Nettle. He really hasn't been good.
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: Like the few games that he played are really all
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: the games he played prior to that in the last
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: like two months were like pretty much all bad. So
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: I do think there's a lot of bad for Chicago here.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna play it, I would lay it
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: with Vegas in this one. But you gotta find a
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: way to play Vegas because the oddsbeakers are still telling you, yeah,
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: Chicago's not good. Vegas up for minus two forty nine
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: and minus two to fifty on the money line, seventy
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: one percent ticket, seventy six percent of the cash on
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: Vegas Vegas. Probably you'd have to lay the puck line
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: on this and hope that they just blow Chicago off
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: the ice, or you know, maybe find some other way
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: of playing this, Like Vegas over their team total maybe
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: makes sense here because Chicago, after all those big games,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: their deepfense might lapse. Their goaltending is gonna probably be
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: bad with soda blooming nets. So yeah, I don't mind
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: Vegas over a team total in that game either, although
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be asking them to score probably quite a
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: bit of goals in that game, probably about four goals.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: But that's how I look at that game NBA. Then
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: we'll do the final NFL read before I leave NBA.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: We have like eight games here Detroit Cleveland in the afternoon.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: None of these games are getting a TV billing, which
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: is bizarre blaming the NFL. I guess for that. Detroit
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: coming into this game of a loss at home to Miami,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: and as you see, that was a return home spot,
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: so it wasn't the greatest spot for Detroit. They'd beaten
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: the Lakers the game before that too, on Lebron's birthday,
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: so that was a pretty big win for Detroit. They
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: came home, they got caught they lost to Miami. Maybe
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: they were even looking ahead to Cleveland and New York here.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: It is weird that it's a one game travel spot,
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: but I don't think they're gonna overlook Cleveland, even though
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: they do play the Knicks tomorrow. I think Detroit's gonna
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: be angry after that loss. I think it's a bounce
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: back spot for Detroit here. For Cleveland, I don't like
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: the spot as much. Cleveland is staying at home, but
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: they just had a nice win over Denver. I know
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: it was without Jokic, but Cleveland got the win. Denver's
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: still Denver. There's still a good team. Cleveland's not gonna
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: overlook Detroit, but I think the spot just sets up
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: a little bit better for Detroit here. That is the
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: way that I would look in this game. Pistons look
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: like they're getting the money here. Calves are down from
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: five to four and a half, sixty seven percent of
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on the Pistons. Now,
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: I worry a little bit about this because it's one
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: of those misleading lines, right like, oh my god, I'm
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: getting four and a half points with the Pistons, who
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: have the better record here, right, So I think the
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: public might look that way, but they might be right
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: in this game given the situation, I lean to the
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: pistons as well in that game, but I'm not Yeah,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna pay that much attention to it overlooking
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: different from tanking. It's different because that's exactly what because
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: because you get complacent and you think the game is
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: gonna be easy, whereas tanking is like intentionally not trying.
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: Getting complacent is not You're not doing it intentionally getting complacent.
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: It's almost like an instinctual thing where you just think
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: the game is gonna be easier, so you just so
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: you don't put in as big of an effort for
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: that reason, like you're not actually trying to lose the game.
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: Tanking would imply you're trying to lose, which is completely different.
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: Like it's unintentional versus intentional. It's like instinctual versus intentional basically,
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that makes sense or not, but that's, uh,
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: hopefully that's a good explanation. I don't know, because I
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: know I'm arguing that tanking is not a thing, and
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: everybody's getting fucking pissed at me, even though I'm right,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: all right Indiana at Orlando. But you know I do
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: everything that I do is looking for spots, right, I
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: think a team is going to just not have a
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: full effort. I mean, that's everything that I do. But
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: I am telling you that intentionally doing that is not
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: a thing. Indiana is coming off losing to San Antonio
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: by ten. They did just lose at home to Orlando
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: the game before that, so there is a little bit
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: of a zig zag component here maybe, although they played
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: Orlando close. But they do have the ability to now
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: go out on the road and try to deliver a
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: loss to Orlando do and pay them back. Indiana is
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: coming off a fairly big game though, like I said,
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: against San Antonio, they did lose by ten. They do
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: have Cleveland up next, but I don't think they overlook
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: Orlando here. Orlando coming off losing to Chicago, that's not
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: great either. They are turning over from a road trip.
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: They've been on the road since Monday. They went up
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: to Toronto, Indiana, Chicago. It's not the longest road trip,
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: but possibly they could overlook an Indiana team they did
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: just beat during the road trip. But they do only
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: have Washington next, so it's not really a look ahead
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: spot for Orlando. For me, it was. It's still gonna
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: be a slight lean to the Pacers for me in
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: this one magic down for mayt and a half to
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: six and a half, sixty one percent of tickets on
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: the Magic seventy five percent of the cash on the Pacers.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: So the money is saying the Pacers here. You don't
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: get that key number seven anymore though, But that is
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: the way that I would lean in that game if
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it. And for Orlando, I don't
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: even know if they have their guys back in Wagner
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: and looks like Wagner is still out and Suggs is
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: actually out as well still, so those guys still not back,
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: I guess for Orlando, but I like the Pacers in
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: that game, just very very slightly. Though. No, laziness is
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: not tanking. I just explain the difference. One is uh
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: intentional and one is not. One is basically like your
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: body just not being able to do or mentally you're
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: just not focused. Basically tanking is like you're tanking, would
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: be you intentionally saying like I'm going to physically like
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: go in here and and like let this guy run
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: by me, whereas the like the opposite of that, like uh,
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: just not having the full effort because it's a mental thing.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: It's different where it's like like just or you know, mentally,
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: you're just you're just not up to it, you know
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: what I mean. That's I don't know if that's a
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: good explanation, but I don't know. I don't know how
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: I can explain that better, Like you're not just physically
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: like standing there being like, no, I'm not gonna play
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: this game whatever. Tanking is not a thing. I'm telling
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: you this right now. Like I said it last night,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it again. Team like people, it's against
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: human instinct to tank. Unless there's some ulterior motive there,
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: like you're getting money to just literally go in and
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: throw the game, you don't do it. There's a difference
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: between not being able to put in a full effort.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: Like if I go out and I run ten miles
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: and you ask me to run another mile, am I
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: tanking that extra mile? Or I'm just dead because I
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: just ran ten fucking miles. Fuck off all right, Denver
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: at Brooklyn, this is the play that I have. SOB
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: is spying on me. Again, we're both nets whispering here.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: I shouldn't even give out these plays because I'm giving
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: up fucking gold here. Nobody appreciates it. Apparently, here we go,
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: den excuse it. The nets are the play here. Obviously
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: we're taking the nets plus three. I see a lot
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: of two and a half's out there, so obviously try
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: to find the three. That's what we're doing here. Sixty
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on the nuggets. It looks
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: like it's down to two to two and a half,
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: so you're probably missing out on the three. I'd still
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: probably do it at two and a half, fifty eight
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the nets. All right, Denver,
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: they're in a bad spot, man, Denver. Denver just lost
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: at Cleveland in a close game. Man. They pretty much
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: took Cleveland to the limit. And that was the first excuse.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: A second game without Jolkis for the first game after
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: the injured player spot. So Denver showed up in the
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: first game without Jolkis. Like I said, teams step up
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: their level of play when that injured player is down.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: The first game that he's down, they did that. They
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: had a good game, they got the win. They put
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: it in another effort in the next game Man against Cleveland,
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: and now I think this is gonna be a flat spot.
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: I don't see them really being focused on Brooklyn here,
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: and the line looks really really easy to play Denver
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: in this game even without Jolkiic. The public is not
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: going to be doing anything with Brooklyn here Denver. After this,
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: they played Philadelphia on Peacock seventy six ers and then
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: they play Boston on ESPN after that, So Philadelphia is
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: also tomorrow, by the way, so this is a sandwich spot.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: I think those two games are bigger even though they're
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: Eastern Conference game. So is Brooklyn. So whatever, Brooklyn's coming
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: into this game on off of the loss to the
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: Washington Wizards by twenty points, So yeah, you're gonna be
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: focused if that happens to you. Man, you lose by
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: twenty to the fucking Wizards, that's ridiculous. They're back at home. Yeah,
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: they're playing a third game at four to a as
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: I know, but two of them at home and one
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: was that quick trip to Washington. Whatever, They're gonna show
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: up for Denver even though it's Jokic list Denver. They
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: get a chance to beat the Denver Nuggets at home. Man,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: I know Denver's been pretty good on the road though
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: Nets are not exactly great at home. But hopefully we
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: can get the whisper right in this game. Whatever I mean,
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: I'm not trying a Nets whisper here. I'm actually saying
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: this is the best play on the NBA board today,
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: So that's what I'm doing. Brooklyn plus the points, all right,
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: New Orleans at my This one is close to a
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 1: play for me. Actually, New Orleans coming into this game
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: off of losing to Portland. They've lost six games in
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: a row now. An extremely streaky Pelicans team had five
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: wins in a row after breaking their other long lost streak,
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: and now they've lost six games in a row. I
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: think they show up for this game. It's a single
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: game road trip to Miami. I know they have LA
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: next to Lakers, but I don't think they overlook Miami,
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: and they're decent heat team. Pelicans can't really overlook anybody
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: right now anyway, because they can't win a game right now.
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: Miami just lost a win streak in a tough game
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota, so I think that's bad for Miami. I
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: think that could hang them over when you lose the
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: win streak. Sometimes you lose the game twice essentially, and
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: New Orleans very easy team to overlook. And then Miami
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: does have Minnesota up next again. So they're in a
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: Minnesota sandwich here. They're in a Juicy Lucy here, the
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: burger that explodes in your mouth, like like a burger
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: filled with Jess. The Juicy Lucy. It's the gayest cheeseburger
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: that exists. Man, Let's stuff this thing with melt to
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: cheese and have it burst in your mouth. Man, that's
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: what men eat, the juicy Lucy. All right, But yes,
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: I think it's a bad spot for Miami. I would
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: play New Orleans in this game. I was gonna play it.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: This is close to being on my car. The heater
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: are an eight point favorite, seventy one percent of the tickets,
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: only fifty eight percent of the cash on the heat.
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: So that is the way I play it. Minnesota at
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: Washington here, Minnesota is in a heat sandwich. Of course,
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: they're in a Miami sandwich. They're in a Cubano sandwich here.
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: They just beat Miami. That was a nice win yesterday.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: So yes, Miami and the Teals are both on a
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: back to back as well here. So another reason why
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: that spot for Miami is bad. Minnesota courts again. Like
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: I said, they have Miami again next and they have
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: Cleveland twice San Antonio Milwaukee with honest back Houston San
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: Antonio against. This is a bad spot for Miami as well.
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: They could look right past Washington in this spot, man,
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: which is on whatever the fuck this network is monument
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: What the fuck is that shit? M NMT not mg MT.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: Do do do Do Do Do Do Do Do do doo?
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know anyway, I don't know what else to
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: say about this. Yeah, I mean I would look towards
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: the Wizards here. The Wizards are coming up that win
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: against the Nets. I expected them to maybe be in
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: a letdown off a beating Milwaukee, but they did not
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: have the let down. They beat Brooklyn as well, easily.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: But they're not gonna be like overconfident. I don't think
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: by being Brooklyn they're gonna show up for a game
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota. So yeah, I would lean to Washington in
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: that game if I was gonna play. You're getting a
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: huge underdog price in this game. Money is saying the
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: Tea Wolves. I don't agree with that. The Wizard. Do
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: you really think the Wizards are public in this game?
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: There's no way. Sixty two percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of the cash on the tea Wolves,
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: who have dropped from ten and a half to ten.
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: I think the money is I think that market read
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: is fucked up, like I don't think that's right. Oklahoma
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: City at Phoenix. Of course, Oklahoma City is back to
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: kind of their dominant ways. They just obliterated Golden State.
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: Now they have a second straight road game here at Phoenix.
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: I don't think Oklahoma City is really gonna overlook Phoenix,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: and Phoenix has been all right. Beating an aging Golden
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: State team. I don't think really necessarily puts you in
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot. Phoenix return home, and they actually weren't
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: fine in the return home spot, even though normally I
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: talk about how that's a bad spot when you return home,
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: especially when they had Oklahoma City up next. But Sacramento,
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: I believe my handicap was that they were also in
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: a bad spot in that game. Phoenix took care of
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: business and they won. But obviously they're not gonna overlook
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City. So what do you do with this game?
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean the market. Reid is
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: saying the Suns the Thunder up to a nine to
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: that point favorite, sixty percent of the tickets on the Thunder,
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the cash coming back on the Sun,
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: So the money is coming in on Phoenix. That's the
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: market read there. That would be the way that I
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: would lean in that game, I guess, just because the
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: market is kind of the deciding factor for me in
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: that one. But I don't have a strong opinion on
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: that one. Milwaukee at Sacramento. Milwaukee just had a close
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: call almost losing to Charlotte and now starting a road trip.
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: I think it should be a focused spot. Starting a
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: road trip usually want to get the road trip off
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: on the right foot, especially now you're coming off a
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: bad game at home where you almost lost a favorite.
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: I think it should be a focused spot here. But
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: they do play Golden State, then the Lakers, then Denver,
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: then Minnesota, then San Antonio, so they have a lot
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: of bigger opponents coming up on this road trip, so
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: maybe possible. It's still a little bit of a look
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: ahead here. Sacramento is returning from Phoenix. They're playing a
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, playing a fourth game in
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: six days, all in different city, well not all in
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: different cities, but traveling betwe cities and all of them.
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: So kind of a weird spot for Sacramento here. Coming
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: back home from that. I don't think they're gonna overlook Milwaukee,
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: but the spot is maybe a little bit more bizarre
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: for them. The money is coming in on Milwaukee up
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: from six to six and a half. I don't know
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: that I really necessarily disagree with this market here. Sixty
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets, seventy four percent of the cash
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: on the Bucks, so I think the Bucks are probably
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: the right side there, but I don't have a strong
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: opinion there either. Market is saying that though Memphis at
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: LA the Lakers, I gotta stop saying LA because they
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: are two LA teams. Memphis, well, they just played the
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: Lakers in the same venue, so they're playing two games
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: in a row at the Lakers. So this is maybe
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: a potential zigzag. But I don't know, because the Lakers
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: won the first game by seven, but Memphis was in
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: that game. Man, Memphis was close in that game. So
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: how do you determine the zigzag? Like do the Lakers
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: come up with more intensity because they almost lost the game.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: Or does Memphis fix whatever went wrong and they show
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: up with more intensity and a better game plan this time.
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know, because I think they had a decent
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: game plan the first time and it didn't work out.
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: The Lakers don't have anything coming up next to New Orleans.
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: They do play San Antonio the day after that, but
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: it's not a direct look I had spot here. Maybe
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: the Lakers do make some adjustments to try to fix
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: some things here. I believe there's still without Reeves here,
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: so there's still a shorthanded Laker team here. The money
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: is saying the Lakers. They're up a little bit five
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: and a half with juice sixty four percent of ticket
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: seventy of the cash on the Lakers. So yeah, I
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: mean the money is saying the Lakers. I guess I
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: won't totally disagree with it. All right, let's go to
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: the NFL market read here. No, Ben Simmons is just
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: ass like we're using tanking the wrong way. Now. You're
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: just trying to like really fucking piss me off. Man,
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: I'm already pissed about the losses yesterday. I'm fucking pissed, dude.
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: I apologize for being asshole. I'm fucking pissed off. I'm
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: correct about this tanking thing. I'm done with it. Let's
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: go to the Let's go to the NFL. Here, well,
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: I already gave out my plays in the NFL, which
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: are all three and a half dogs, New Orleans, Detroit, Pittsburgh.
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: You can go see my analysis on those. I'm gonna
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: put it up on Instagram as well, by the way,
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: so you can go check that out. Now. As far
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: as the final market, read here in these games, Vikings,
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: this is the last week, so you have to, like,
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: if you're in pick'ems and stuff like that, you got
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: to look at what number you're getting, right, because I
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: would probably lean towards whatever the value is that you're
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: getting in the number. But the Vikings are up to
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: a twelve and a half point favorite now against the Packers. Yes,
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: I think the Vikings will win this game. The Packers
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: are resting everybody but sixty three percent of the tickets
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: fifty five percent of the cash now, so at twelve
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: and a half thirteen, pretty clear there's like not much
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: value left there on the Vikings. Although these types of
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: games tend to kind of go Haywire sometimes man in
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: the NFL, so I would not want to have a
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: Packers ticket, let's just put it that way. But I
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: don't want to be laying that many points either, and
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: I know there's no value in it. More of a
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: like it's an easier read for Colts Texans. I think
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: Texas are still public. I don't really care about a
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: two percent cash differential there, so I still need to
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Indy in that one. Riley Leonard,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: remember is making his debut in that game, though, so
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: the phillip Rivers fun is over unfortunately, so we'll see
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: what happens there. Patriots are up to a thirteen a
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: half point favorite against the Dolphins, very very public, so
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: in this one, I still don't know if I put
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: much weight into even a five percent cash disparity in
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: this one, I think it's probably Dolphins are passed. But
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: I don't want the Dolphins playing in freezing temperatures either,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: even though it's not too anymore, but the Dolphins are
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: still a warm weather team and Ewers is still not
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: used to playing cold weather, so I don't want any
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: part of it. But again, as I iarified last night,
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: in Week eighteen, you do want to generally want to
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: take teams that are out of the playoffs against when
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: they're playing against teams that are in the playoffs, because
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: the teams that are in the playoffs already, they're only
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: playing for seating and stuff like that, and they tend
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: to be over valued in the markets. You almost always
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: want to play on the team it's not making the
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: playoffs because you're gonna get that like full effort out
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: of them. And last week those were five and one
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: against the spread, and like I said, the only team
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: in that situation that didn't cover was the Jets. All right,
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: Chiefs Raiders. The market is still this is an easier
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: read for me. The market is still saying take the Raiders,
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: take the points at home. Probably what I would do
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: a battle of backup quarterbacks there. Unfortunately, hopefully we get
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: something better out of Kenny Pickett, because I probably will
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: pick the Raiders in my pick coms. The money is
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Bears, which I don't like, so
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: you can get a better number on the Lions here
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: the plus four four and a half whatever. We're still
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: gonna fade the Bears though in this one. For me,
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: that's one of play so we're gonna do it. Yeah,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: I know, I'm my bias is showing whatever, but that's
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: the way that I look at the game. I gave
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: you the analysis on that you can get a better
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: number on it, So yeah, you can take four to
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: four and a half there. The margut Reita is still
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: saying to fade the Bills even though this is their
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: last game at high Mark Stadium unless they somehow wind
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: up hosting a playoff game, which is unlikely although I
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: guess possible. But I'd probably still take the points with
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: the Jets in this one, man. I mean, the Jets
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: have at least shown the ability to somewhat be competitive
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: that they haven't really shown it with Brady Cook under
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: center yet, so we'll see. But it is a very
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: low total. I don't want to lay points in a
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: game where the Bills might start resting players, So, especially
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: if you want the Jets, I think you really got
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: to do it now at plus ten because after the
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: one PM slate finishes, the Bills might actually decide to
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: rest players because they won't be able to even change
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: their seeding. They will have Josh Allen play very briefly
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: at the very least to continue his streak, but I
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: don't think he's gonna play the full game. The market
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: Reid is slightly saying the Ravens. I know we're fading
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: the Ravens here as well. I gave out the reasoning
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: on that. That line's still basically about three and a half,
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: although that's a night game, so the market read could
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: change in that one. We'll see what happens with that
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: other game that I talked about, by the way, the Bears,
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: because that's a later afternoon game, so we'll see Cowboys Giants.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: I know there's a little bit of a calf cash
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: differential on the Cowboys there, and I got really pissed
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: off about it last night, but I lean to the
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: Giants in that game. Still, it's fading the public. That's
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: what I would do. Week eighteen is a different animal,
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: by the way, man, Like I said, these cash percentages,
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit different because those are the percentage.
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: Those are the percentages throughout the entire spectrum of numbers,
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: so you got to take that into account. The Bengals
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: look like maybe they're getting some of the money. I
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: kind of do lean to the Bengals in this one
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: against the Browns. O. They're up to a nine point
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: favorite there and pick them. I think it's six and
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: a half on ESPN, though, I think it's probably a
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: no brainer to just grab the like pick the Bengals there.
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: But at nine, I don't know, man, they are definitely
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: a public side there. But I don't think I trust
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: the Browns off of their Super Bowl essentially beating the
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers last week. They don't hate the Bengals as
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: much as they hate the Steelers, man, So I don't
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: know I could see the Bengals getting that one, although yeah,
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: Browns are the better defense getting points that one I
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: worry about a little bit. The market read is definitely
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: saying Washington, the Eagles are resting everybody, man, So I
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: didn't even know. I looked at who it was last night.
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: I forget who the Eagles backup quarterback even is here,
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: but it's Washington or pass in that game. I would say,
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: even though you're only getting three and a half now,
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: I still kind of feel that way. I mean, I
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: just think you're gonna get no effort from the Eagles
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: in this one, not tanking. They're resting their players. Man.
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: There's a difference the backups. The backups are gonna try.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: They just are a way less talented group of guys
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: and they're coming in not having much experience, not having
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: played much of this year. You know whatever, there is
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: still a difference. The money is all over the Saints here,
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: and you can get four and out the Saints. So
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: obviously that's one of my players. Obviously I still agree
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: with that one market agrees with that. The Rams very
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: very public side. I would still only play the Cardinals
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: plus the points and that when you're getting two touchdowns
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: with a Rams team that really can't help their prospects
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: too much here. The fact that they want to play
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: the NFC South winner is like, way again, it's media fodder.
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: It's it's not really a thing that teams really care
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: about that much. So that's that, Yeah, Rams overvalued. Then
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: we got Yeah. The Broncos game is bizarre, with the
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: Broncos up to a two touchdown favorite as well the
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: Chargers arresting everybody. So again these games were the teams
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: arresting everybody, but they're playing a playoff team that's actually
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: trying to advance their seeding, like with the Broncos against
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs last year. The Ronco's ran away with the game,
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: and I could see that happening in this game. Man, Like,
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: I don't want to lay fourteen to a half with the
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: Broncos team that doesn't have a prolific offense. But the
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: Chargers might just lie dout in this game and it
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: could get totally out of hand. In this game. Week
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: eighteen has some crazy shit that happens, So that might
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: be the case with the Broncos here in this one.
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: We'll see. And then again, I could see the Vikings
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: Packers game getting out of hand too, although that's a
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: slightly different game, but that's a game where the Vikings
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: are the team that's not making the playoffs. And I said,
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: you do want to be on teams that are not
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: making the playoffs against teams that are, because the Packers
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: they're just resting everybody, man, And the Vikings might want
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: to win that game. And then Titans Jags. The Jags,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: they're in one of those situations where again, if they win,
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: they will win the division. So it's a control your
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: own destiny situation. So I would want to fade them
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 1: giving away this many points. I think there's no value
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: in the Jags. Yes, of course, I think they'll win
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: the game, but for the spread, I think I would
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: take the points with Tennessee eighty four percent of tickets
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash on the Jags in
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: that one. So they're a very public side in that one.
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: So yeah, those are my thoughts on all the games
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: today final Market reads there. The other games that I
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: have that are not NFL are Southern Illinois and Basketball
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: plus the seven Saint Mary's minus the points in college basketball,
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: the Devil's Underdog on Moneyline, and the Brooklyn Nets plus
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: the points. Gotta get it all out on Instagram. That's
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Let's have a winning day. Thanks guys
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. He refused to shoot it till he
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: was a release. I mean, that's a situation, dude, Like
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: management will just bench a player if he's doing that.
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: Like it's not a thing where like an entire team
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: goes out there and just says we're gonna just stand
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: here and not try in this game. It does not happen.
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: And he had like it was a single player doing it.
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: He had extra motivation, like ulterior motives, I mean, to
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: do it. So because he didn't want to play on
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: the team. That's a different thing. He did not want
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: to be there and play on that specific team. Kobe
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: is a fucking pussy dude whatever. Refused to take a charge.
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: He's a bitch. That's not tanking. All right, Stop arguing
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: with me about this. I'm not fucking wrong. Ask any
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: like professional handicapper about this. Tanking is not a thing
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: everybody completely overvalues. Oh my god, this team is tanking
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: to get the number one draft pick. That is not
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: a fucking thing. Come back to me when the Raiders
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: beat the fucking Chiefs today as well. And oh or
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: the fact that the Giants went in and walloped the
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: Raiders last week? Were they tanking? Fuck off? No, that's
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: gonna do it. Learn it tone on Twitter, learn it
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: tone on Instagram. I'm not gonna block Jeffrey he subscribes
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: to me on Twitter. No way, he's a regular. I'm
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: not gonna do it. I blocked that asshole last night though.
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: All right, Yeah, I learned it to Twitter. Learn on Instagram, like,
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: gimme replies here, subscribe even though you hate me because
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: I'm a fucking asshole. We're on audio as well, give
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: me give me good reviews on audio. You know whatever,
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: listen on audio iTunes, Spotify, covered in Youcause the Yuke
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: channel on YouTube. There's bonus stuff on patreon dot com,
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: slash learn to Tone, bonus yuke stuff. We have the
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: loser Cast podcast you can go check out as well, comedy,
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: loser Voting, whatever you want to call it. And then
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: I will be on Jules Great Pilled show tonight, which
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: I forgot, his conspiracy show. I've been on his other shows,
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: but not not the conspiracy ones. I don't know what
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: we're talking about tonight, but I'll be on that show.
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: I think it around eight eastern or something like that,
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: so you can be on the lookout for that. I
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: retweeted it a little while ago as well, so oh,
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: thank you, thank you. I like Jeffrey as well. All right,
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: I'm just I'm a stubborn all right, thank you, sir.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it as always. I know you guys appreciate me.
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: I did not mean that I appreciate everybody hanging out. Man.
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: I need more. I need more regulars like this man.
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's pretty much the reason I do the show,
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: because otherwise I'm talking to nobody. So I appreciate it.
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: Thank you, guys. I get frustrated. I get these losses.
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: I put way too much time into this, you know,
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: I got extremely stubborn viewpoints. Let's get it done today, man,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: peace for now, and I'll figure out what I'm gonna do,
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: like a bracketology thing, and I'm gonna have Clint back
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: on for balld. I think he said he would do
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: it to predict the NFL playoffs, so that would be playoffs,
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: so that would be coming up sometime in the near
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: future as well. And I might start doing the bracketology
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: series soon. Maybe be doing it on Mondays might make
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: more sense. I don't know, when it's a very low
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: volume college basketball day. I don't know. I'm extremely mad
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: about Trump, as you can see on my Twitter. No,
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: I mean this is yeah, this is the end of
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: the road for me. No regime change wars. Fuck off, buddy,
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: And I'm saying that to Trump, not you. Nope, I
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: am absolutely done with fucking Trump. I am furious with
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: Donald fucking Trump. This is not what we voted for
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: him for. No fuck all that. He's just like all
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: the other ones. It's all over. I'm unfollowing a ton
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: of these fucking people on Twitter that are all supporting it.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: It's like nine to eleven all over again. And I
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: was one of the people that got that wrong because
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: I was young and stupid. I was sixteen back then.
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: I was on board with the wars. After nine to eleven,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: not anymore, man, I've learned. These people have not learned.
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: If you're older than I am, especially, you have no
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: fucking excuse. At least back then, I had an excuse
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: because I didn't know what was going on and I
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: was sixteen or whatever. So I've I could see it
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: all now, man. So yeah, you were already done with him? Yeah,
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: all right, well, well that's good, all right, all right,
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: I'm mostly not gonna be you know, those like tds ors.
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, obviously I voted for Trump. I think he's
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: fucking hilarious. I like, I thought that just his a
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: lot of his rhetoric was good for a while. But
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: now we're getting be completely different Trump right now. So
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 1: I'm like, way off the Trump train. Now that's gonna
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: do it. Peace, guys,