Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4198 The Midterms Are Getting REALLY UGLY for the Democrats!!!

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Ep. 4198 The Midterms Are Getting REALLY UGLY for the Democrats!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: One of the reasons I'm giving this speech is that the president is already using every tool in his disposal to intervene in our elections this November.
• 0:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: his suit 30 states for their voter rolls.
• 0:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: He's tried to ban mail and voting.
• 0:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: And what that didn't work, he tried to make the post office, the official judge of who gets to vote by mail.
• 0:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're already accusing Trump of stealing the midterm.
• 0:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: You can't make this stuff up.
• 0:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: that Democrats are seeing the real polls.
• 0:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're seeing the unbelievably depressing early vote turnout, and they're openly now hedging their losses in the midterm.
• 1:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Stick them to the very end of this video because we got all the latest of what's happening on the ground in the early voting in the massive poll shift that's happening.
• 1:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: And what we can do to make sure that November is nothing less than a midterms for the ages.
• 1:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: Greetings, everyone.
• 1:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: It is a line stream front.
• 1:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: I am your host, Dr. Steve, your patron professor here to help you make sense of the madness to keep you sane in the midst of all the insanity with breaking news into analysis.
• 1:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: You're not going to get anywhere else to make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button as always.
• 1:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: our super chats are up, so feel free to send in your comments, your questions throughout the broadcast.
• 1:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: It'll be my honor, my privilege to answer them right here on this live stream.
• 1:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Also, I can't tell you anything just yet, but let's just say your morning routine is about to get a whole lot better.
• 1:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Stay tuned.
• 1:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's, that's the tease I'll leave you with.
• 1:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: You're going to love it though.
• 1:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right.
• 1:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's dive right in here.
• 1:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: We now officially are 32 days before the midterms.
• 2:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're finally done with that barrage of propaganda polls.
• 2:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: The pure polling slop during the entire month of September.
• 2:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'll show you some stats on just how bad the polling is in a moment.
• 2:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: and meaning inaccurate.
• 2:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here we are at the very beginnings of October.
• 2:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: And what do we now see?
• 2:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: after an entire month of being told by CNN that we were seeing the single worst pulling the Republicans have ever faced in the history of mankind with an entire month of the legacy media jumping up and down every day, 24, 7 cheerleading at the Democrats were going to wipe the Republican party off the face of the earth after an entire month of that
• 2:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, here is what the Election Analyst Par excellence Seth Cashel, a good friend of this channel, is seeing.
• 3:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're seeing Democrat leaders, as you just heard, claiming that the Republicans are going to steal the midterms.
• 3:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're claiming that Republicans are going to buy the election.
• 3:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: We have CNN openly admitting that polls have consistently underestimated Republican support and that the November results are always, always, always, now and forever way to the right of September polling.
• 3:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: We have legacy media outlet after legacy media outlet claiming that the
• 3:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: that the polling is tightening and that this is turning out to be a horse race where the blue wave go.
• 3:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: No, I mean, it's neck and neck.
• 3:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Oh my, have it.
• 3:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: We've got Democrats panicking that turn out across the country is abysmal.
• 4:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: And finally, the granddaddy of the mall don't worry, that's okay because the Democrats are saving their vote to election day.
• 4:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, this year's there.
• 4:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: I know we said the same thing with Kamala.
• 4:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: I know, but this year, it's really going to, it's really, really, really happening.
• 4:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: All those Democrats that disappeared in the early vote, they're going to come out in droves and vote in person on election day.
• 4:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: I just know it.
• 4:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, you'll notice Republicans aren't making any of these excuses.
• 4:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: These are the excuses, these are the concerns, these are, indeed, the panic of a party in decline.
• 4:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's a party that's beginning to realize that they simply don't have the votes anymore to pull off a 2018 style 40-seat blowup.
• 4:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: The votes are simply not there.
• 5:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so they've got to cover up that decline with a bunch of excuses to out the legacy media spin what increasingly looks like in electoral disaster.
• 5:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here's the one and only up truck shumer doing just this the other day in an interview with Seema for
• 5:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: Schumer said there's only two ways that GOP can win the midterms.
• 5:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: One, they can steal the election and the second is money.
• 5:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: They've got to have seen amounts of money and they can buy this election.
• 5:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: So in other words, in other words, the biggest worries the Democrats have is that the Republicans are going to steal the midterms or they're going to buy the midterms.
• 5:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: Note again, there's nothing wrong with the Democrats.
• 5:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's the evil Waskoy Republicans who are going to either steal or buy the elections.
• 5:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Gang, that's not confidence.
• 5:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's not someone looking at internal polls, which we're about to see, showing a blowout, a massive boost to not know.
• 6:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's someone seeing internal polls.
• 6:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: and recognizing he needs to publicly hedge what appears to increasingly be a very embarrassing November that is exactly what some of the more honest pollsters are now admitting take a look at that towering of insider advantage polling one of the most accurate pollsters in 2024 take a look at what he's saying quote what we're starting to see in our surveys
• 6:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: We find independence leaning heavily Democrat but in most states, there's a 20 pointer so enthusiastic to vote gap within dependence not motivated to vote.
• 6:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Same with the youngest of voters, the under 30 voters, while 65 and over are the most enthusiastic.
• 7:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Most of these races are not nearly the blowouts many of the polls suggest and we have not adjusted our turnout waiting to reflect this as it's too soon and early voting make contradict these numbers now that's very important qualifier there because we're already getting
• 7:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: Early vote data that Tauri is absolutely right here in terms of the 65 and older vote being the most enthusiastic with early voting underway to get it's still very very early all right we're only October second.
• 7:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: But that said we're already seeing.
• 7:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: that the electorate as of today is substantially older than the last midterms in 2022 and even from 2024.
• 7:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: So this is coming from early vote data in Hamilton County, Ohio.
• 7:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I mean, look at that.
• 8:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Look at that, can you see it?
• 8:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're 56% of the vote right now.
• 8:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if you can see it in that bond area, you got thanks Josh.
• 8:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're bottom right corner, 56%.
• 8:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: They were only 44% in 2022, they were 45% in 2024.
• 8:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're now 56%.
• 8:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's a stunningly older electorate coming out.
• 8:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Why does that matter?
• 8:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: It matters because in the 2022 house selections,
• 8:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: Edison ABC exit polling found voters 65 and older supported Republican candidates by 55% of the vote 55 to 43 voters between the age of 45 and 64 my age bracket Gen X.
• 8:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Supported Republicans 54% to 44.
• 8:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: So overall, those 45 and older, backed Republicans by an average of 10 points.
• 9:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: If that is the electorate that's turning out right now to say that's not good news for the Democrats would be an understatement.
• 9:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's just flat out ugly.
• 9:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: ugly.
• 9:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's that's exactly why up Chuck Schumer's.
• 9:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's looking at polls like this.
• 9:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: Or I'm sorry he's looking at voter turnout stats like this and he's going wholly crap.
• 9:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're going to have to find we're going to have to invent a Russian collusion thing here.
• 9:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, let me be absolutely clear.
• 9:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, again, I'm going to qualify this.
• 9:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm not no stradomas.
• 9:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know the if you've been, if you've been with this channel for a while now.
• 9:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: You know, we have a pretty good track record in 2016.
• 9:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: I was one of the lone voices.
• 9:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's when we started November 1st.
• 10:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: 2016, I gave, I put together seven videos leading up to November 8th, making the consistent argument that Trump was going to win this election.
• 10:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: My basic thesis back then I had a bunch I had a few different models that I was following, but my basic thesis was Trump was our Brexit, just like the Brexit vote in June 23rd of 2016, all the poll showed it was losing, all the
• 10:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: very, very strong historical indicators to show know this thing was going to take off especially the massive English vote that was going to come out and vote for it.
• 10:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: So there were different models that I was using and I was making the argument the same thing here with Trump.
• 10:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: All the standard
• 10:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: establishment poll show him losing, but we want our independence from the liberal global disorder and he's going to win.
• 10:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's going to pull it off and he did.
• 10:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: In 2018, if you go back to our videos back then, I predicted that we would easily hold a sign if not game two seeds which he did.
• 11:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: and we would probably lose the house.
• 11:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: It did look all the early voting everything it looked.
• 11:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is this is going to be a rough one and it was.
• 11:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: We lost four seats.
• 11:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right.
• 11:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: So you know, I'm going to be straight with.
• 11:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to pump you up to get you out there to vote.
• 11:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: But I'm I'm going to pump you up realistically.
• 11:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Get out there vote.
• 11:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's hold the Senate.
• 11:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Forget the house.
• 11:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's hold the Senate.
• 11:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: That kind of thing.
• 11:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: In 2020, I said Trump was going to win.
• 11:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: He was going to take again, same dynamics in 2016 operative in 2020.
• 11:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: All the polls that he was going to get crushed, but they're all these dynamics saying, no, this guy's going to win the early voting was showing it.
• 11:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: He was crushing it nearly voting and he lost.
• 11:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: by 40,000 votes.
• 11:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
• 11:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, but we gained in the house is the first time we ever saw an incumbent president increase his vote margin the second time around.
• 12:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Obama wasn't able to do that.
• 12:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Obama got far less votes in 2012 than he did in 2008.
• 12:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's first time we ever saw an incumbent candidate president or candidate increase his share of the vote as a amount of the vote in 2020 in
• 12:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: we've never seen that before.
• 12:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: We've never seen a president increased his majority, or his seats, I should say, in the house, and not when, which he did again, as well.
• 12:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, all right, I'll take that one.
• 12:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then in 2020, too, of course, we predicted the Republicans would win the midterms, 2024.
• 12:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: We knew Trump was going to crush it right around this time, it's around mid-October.
• 12:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: We knew he was going to win.
• 12:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: So,
• 12:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here we are in 206.
• 12:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: We got a pretty good track record, okay?
• 12:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: So if you're brand new here, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button.
• 12:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: All of this is to say we are very, very early into this, early voting has started, but it's, we might want to qualify by calling it really early voting for PM dinner voting.
• 13:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Maybe that's why it's 65 and olders is so predominant here right now, and it's only happening in the limit amount of states.
• 13:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: So this can change the picture that we're getting from the early voting can certainly change over the next four weeks.
• 13:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: But that said,
• 13:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: The only thing right now that points to a Democrat blowout, the only thing that points to a massive blue wave is the September slot polling.
• 13:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I call it slot polling, because historically September polling is notoriously rotten.
• 13:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: But that's it.
• 13:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Nothing else is pointing to a Democrat blowout.
• 13:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Nothing.
• 13:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Not that you're early voting.
• 13:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Certainly not the voter registrations, not the money in the spending.
• 13:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is the first time in any election where the Republicans actually have the spending advantage right now.
• 13:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: Not the enthusiasm levels, nothing, nothing else, nothing, literally.
• 14:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: Nothing actually tangible suggesting anything even remotely reflective.
• 14:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: of a Democrat tsunami.
• 14:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's just not happening.
• 14:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's start with the September polling again.
• 14:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: If you've been with the channel for some time now, you'll know that we often talk about the summer response bias, right?
• 14:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Because Republicans have families,
• 14:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats are basically single middle age ladies living with their cats in Brooklyn, but Republicans have families.
• 14:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: They take them on summer vacations and then they check back into politics later on in late September, something like that, certainly after Labor Day.
• 14:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: All the polling in the summer tends to artificially skew towards Democrats.
• 14:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats can't wait to answer the poll's discussions.
• 14:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Republicans aren't around to answer, especially rural Republicans.
• 14:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's the so-called summer response bias.
• 14:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: And in number of those polls,
• 15:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: particularly ones taken in late August are published in September.
• 15:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Polsters deliberately wait till September to give this false narrative that the Democrats are winning.
• 15:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, I have to stress gang.
• 15:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: Gang, this happens every single elective I'm getting.
• 15:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Every single, you know what happens every election cycle?
• 15:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: I get your panicked emails.
• 15:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know what's going to happen today, and we're going to lose those taxes.
• 15:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: What's going to have every single election cycle?
• 15:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're going to lose taxes.
• 15:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Every Kamala was supposed to win taxes by like 10 points.
• 15:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: Every single election cycle.
• 15:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: A Kim Jong-un would be jealous of the propaganda that our legacy media spews out every single September election cycle.
• 15:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: And we've got hard data on precisely how bad this polling is.
• 15:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let me just assure you, some of you may still be on the cliff.
• 16:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let me talk some of you guys off here.
• 16:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: This run the polling analyst Patrick Rufini.
• 16:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: He examined several several thousand polls over the years taken back in September.
• 16:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: When you look at the historical averages of polling, again, particularly in the month of September, and you compare it to the final results in November, take a look at the discre, and notice the discrepancy always moves the polling error, as he calls it, always every single time moves in a single direction.
• 16:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: You see in Alaska polls consistently favor the Democrat by nine points, and Maine, they favor the Democrat by nearly eight in Ohio seven in Michigan.
• 16:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: They favor the Democrat by six in Iowa by six in North Carolina.
• 16:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: They favor the Democrat by four.
• 16:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: These aren't polling errors for God's sake.
• 16:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's Patrick Ruffini's whole point.
• 16:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: These aren't pulling errors.
• 17:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: These are deliberately fabricated Democrat leads in order to push a manufactured election narrative.
• 17:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: But here's the big caveat to all of this.
• 17:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: All of these propaganda pulling outlets.
• 17:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: do have to tighten their poles in October.
• 17:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's in order to save face and get something at least slightly accurate before November, otherwise they'll lose their grade A polling status.
• 17:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so right on cue, guess what we're seeing.
• 17:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: 30, two days before the midterms, we're seeing pole after pole after pole, after pole all shifting to the Republicans.
• 17:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yes, again, CNN will keep trying to keep the momentum on the Democrats NBC, he'll keep trying to do it.
• 17:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: no question, but if you look at the big picture there, again, this happens every election cycle.
• 17:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Take a look.
• 17:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here it is.
• 17:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'll give you a little tour here in Maine.
• 18:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Republican incumbent Susan Collins is now running away with it.
• 18:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: She's now in the lead over the fledgling Democrat Troy Jackson.
• 18:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: You're saying, wait a minute.
• 18:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: She's only up two points.
• 18:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: What do you mean running away with it?
• 18:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, keep in mind, in the last senator
• 18:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: that's the real clear politics aggregate the average.
• 18:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's all the different polls laid out for you.
• 18:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Notice what color they all are.
• 18:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is starting from, oh my, it's going going all the way back to February of 2020.
• 18:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: Notice what color they all are in?
• 18:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're all blue.
• 18:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: She did not lead in a single poll.
• 18:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's not, I mean, I get to look for yourself in particularly in September, October.
• 18:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, one, she was supposedly behind by anywhere from 4 to 12 points.
• 18:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: She ended up winning by freaking 9 points, 8.6.
• 18:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: And she's now already unlike in 2020 when Trump was going to be destroyed by Biden.
• 19:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: She is now leading.
• 19:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: and you're telling me it's a blue wave.
• 19:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: In New Hampshire, Republican John Sinunu is now neck and neck with Democrat Chris Papas that, again, make no mistake.
• 19:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: That was not supposed to be a seat that was even remotely competitive for the Democrats.
• 19:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: In Michigan, to be speaking of a seat that wasn't supposed to be competitive.
• 19:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is a state that has not voted for a Republican center in 30 years in Spencer Abraham in 1994 in the Gingert Revolution.
• 19:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: Mike Davis, the Republican, is neck and neck with the Democrat Abdul El Saiyad.
• 19:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Trafalgar's latest poll on the Senate race there in Michigan has the race within the margin of error within two points in Minnesota.
• 19:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: freaking deep blue Minnesota Republican Michelle to FOIA is neck and neck with the Democrat Peggy Flanagan.
• 20:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: And even in Oregon, we're getting poll after poll after poll showing that an ultra blue Oregon Republican Christine Drazen.
• 20:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: is beating the ultra-leftist tina kotec and their governors race kotec if you don't know she's got one of the lowest approval ratings of any governor in the nation she's she's uh i mean she's a train rack
• 20:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: And yet, this latest poll is demonstrating the effects of that even among radical Democrat overwhelmingly Democrat voters in the state like Oregon, the Republican is in the late.
• 20:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's just been, I don't even know how many polls now showing draws on with a two three or four point lead over co-tech.
• 20:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, the
• 20:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Big takeaway from all of this is not necessarily the Republicans are going to win all the races or even a majority of them or anything like that.
• 20:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: We don't know yet.
• 21:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: We don't know that.
• 21:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: I can't tell you that.
• 21:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: What I can tell you is that when you combine Oregon with the neck and neck pulling in New Hampshire and Michigan and Minnesota and the pulling
• 21:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: what's the big takeaway?
• 21:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: The big takeaway is simple.
• 21:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is not a blue wave that's forming here by any stretch of the imagination.
• 21:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no way around this.
• 21:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Whatever is happening in these blue states, whatever it is, it is emphatically not a blue wave.
• 21:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: There is no way you can have the Republican either tied or even ahead of the Democrat in otherwise reliable blue states and be seeing the makings of a blue tsunami at the same time.
• 21:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's just not going to happen.
• 21:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: And again, you just have to use sort of the bell weather approach to this if Democrats are barely clinging on in states that they have won over the past years easily.
• 22:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're barely barely clinging on.
• 22:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then what does that say about red states?
• 22:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: how are they going to do their like Texas?
• 22:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: There is no universe where Texas is going to vote to the left of Minnesota.
• 22:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm sorry.
• 22:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: It doesn't exist.
• 22:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: Those voters do not exist in Texas.
• 22:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's the, that's, you know, again, my job is to keep you sane in the midst of all the insanity.
• 22:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that is a very important takeaway from all that.
• 22:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: All these polls, all of them concurring,
• 22:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: reflect the fact that the Democrats are struggling.
• 22:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're struggling big time in this election right now.
• 22:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: They may have
• 22:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: You know, they may be able to generate some advantage, electorally, they should every single midterm election, the party out of power always comes out ahead of the party in power.
• 23:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: The question is just by how much is it like a 1994 Gingrich Revolution level turnout, or like the 2018 level turnout for the Democrats?
• 23:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Or is it, does it struggle?
• 23:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: One of the biggest bombshells that just dropped literally within the last 24 hours came from morning consult.
• 23:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Take a look at that.
• 23:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now if you don't, if you don't know morning, morning consult is otherwise known affectionately as the morning compost among a lot of pollsters and pulling analysts.
• 23:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: They are a radically left wing organization.
• 23:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: by five to their everlasting shame.
• 23:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: They were only off by seven points.
• 23:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: They consistently always and forever overestimate Democrats support.
• 24:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Take a look at what just dropped for their congressional generic ballot.
• 24:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's Democrats up by plus three.
• 24:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: three poultry points in a midterm year where we were told we were going to see like a plus 15 Democrat blue way blue tsunami.
• 24:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: All they're most reliable left wing polling outlet commanding facture.
• 24:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, we're getting closer to November.
• 24:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: So it's to keep some semblance of polling integrity here.
• 24:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: All they commanding factures was Democrats plus three.
• 24:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: That includes California, that includes New York, that includes Chicago, that includes Virginia, that is speaking up, speaking up, watch this corroboration, this is fascinating.
• 24:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, there's one of the things that we do in our polling and election analysis is we do cross comparison.
• 24:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, so we got that poll there.
• 25:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, let's see what's going on with some of the early vote coming out of, say, the now, unfortunately, reliably blue state of Virginia.
• 25:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, a lot of people on X, I've noticed are freaking out over the early vote in Virginia because it shows the Democrats with a very formidable lead there.
• 25:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: right now they are at a plus 11 over the Republicans.
• 25:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: So Virginia is going blue here.
• 25:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: That by the way, that's what we saw in 2022.
• 25:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Red states got red or blue states got blue or we are in a period of a hyperpartisanization right now polarization for short.
• 25:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Virginia is going blue, no question.
• 25:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats are out voting Republicans right now as we speak in the early voting
• 25:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: What a number of election analysts are noting here is that back in 2024, Virginia Democrats out voted Republicans by six points, while the rest of the country voted Republican by two.
• 26:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: Virginia voted Democrat by six, the rest of the country voted for Republican by two.
• 26:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's actually 1.6, but we're just, well, we'll round it off.
• 26:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: So.
• 26:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: Virginia votes eight points to the left of the national electorate, right?
• 26:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's just basic math here, right?
• 26:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Virginia votes eight points to the left of the national, if the national electorate voted Republican by two points, but Virginia voted Democrat by six.
• 26:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's an eight point to eight points to the left of the national electorate.
• 26:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: So.
• 26:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: If Virginia Democrats are now out voting their Republican counterparts by 11 in their state, and if they vote 8 points to the left of the national electorate, 11 minus 8, that means what's the current makeup of the national electorate right now?
• 26:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: it's exactly what the morning console found democrats plus three that's not a blue a that's a trickle again that's counting L.A. that's counting San Francisco New York Chicago and that's nationally that's that's a bismal
• 27:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: But as we've been noting, things get even worse when you look at early voting in Ohio.
• 27:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, we saw how much older the electorate is there right earlier when we looked at that county with voters who vote for the Republicans by an average of 10 points in organically coming out and voting right now as we speak in Ohio.
• 27:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: But back in the 2022 midterms in 2024 midterms.
• 27:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats went into election day with roughly a 70 to 30 advantage early vote advantage over the Republicans.
• 27:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, keep in mind, despite that advantage, the Democrats lost both elections.
• 28:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: They lost 2022 by six, that was with JD Vance, and they lost 2024 by four points with Bernie Moray now.
• 28:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the Democrats need at least something like a 75 to 25 advantage going into November for the midterms if they even hope to win.
• 28:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is Ohio, keep in mind.
• 28:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here's the latest numbers.
• 28:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: According to vote, hum, the current early vote data is showing that the Democrats at best are going to end up with only about 59% of the early votes.
• 28:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: So this is a model based on the trends we're seeing now.
• 28:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Those trends can change.
• 28:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Always good to qualify what I say with that, right?
• 28:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is not financial advice, right?
• 28:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's trends can change, but right now they don't.
• 28:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: If they remain constant, the Democrat shared Brown is going to end up with 59% of the early vote while the Republican is poised to get 40%.
• 29:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: There is no way a Democrat is going to win statewide office with a collapse in the early vote margins like that.
• 29:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean literally no way, but if you can believe it, we've got data that shows the things are even worse for the Democrats.
• 29:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: You like in this?
• 29:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: You haven't fun?
• 29:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Are you getting pumped up?
• 29:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: Where do you see this?
• 29:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: First gang, if you are just joining us our super chats or ups of feel free to send in your comments and your questions, it will be my honor.
• 29:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: My joy to answer them right here on this line stream.
• 29:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Also, did you know that more Americans than ever are being diagnosed with Alzheimer's, including people far younger than we traditionally associate with the disease?
• 29:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: more than 55 million people worldwide are living with Alzheimer's or another form of dementia.
• 30:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: And reports are shown major increases in diagnosis, younger adults, including a 370% increase among people ages 30 to 44 and a 311% increase among those 45 to 54.
• 30:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: So what exactly is happening inside the brain?
• 30:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, one of the whole marks of Alzheimer's is a protein called beta amyloid.
• 30:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, normally these proteins are cleared away, but in Alzheimer's, it can begin clumping together forming sticky plaques between brain cells that interfere with normal brain function.
• 30:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: Drug companies have poured billions into developing Alzheimer's treatments much of that effort focus on amyloid betas, but researchers are also looking beyond the brain and specifically what's happening in the gut.
• 30:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's because your gut, your brain, are constantly communicating through something called the gut brain access.
• 31:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Think of it as like a two-way highway connecting your digestive system and your brain through nerves and hormones and immune singles and the trends of bacteria living in your gut play a very important role in that communication and that brings us to a centuries-old fermented food, kimchi.
• 31:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: researchers studied bioactive compounds, found only in kimchi to see how they affected cognitive and memory problems, and the results were absolutely fascinating.
• 31:28
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• 31:33
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• 31:40
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• 31:45
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• 31:53
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• 31:59
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• 32:01
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• 32:02
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• 32:10
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• 32:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Call them now, triple eight, five nine seven, zero two, three, that's eight, eight, five nine seven, zero two, three, three.
• 32:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, so we've got a fascinating picture emerging here when we overlap these Ohio early voting stats with the numbers that just dropped from the single most accurate pollster from the 2018 midterms and that's Harvard Harris.
• 32:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: They just dropped their latest generic ballot poll this week and it really was an absolute shocker.
• 32:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: In a mid-term season where the Democrats should be ahead by at least seven or eight points.
• 32:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, CNN's been telling us has been about 13, 14, 15 points, right?
• 32:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: They did the same thing with Trump back in 2020.
• 33:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Right?
• 33:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Biden was going to win by 17 points, all this nonsense.
• 33:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: In an election where they should be up by at least seven or eight points, according to Harvard Harris, it's 50, 50.
• 33:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's a 5050 tie in the 2026 generic congressional ballot among registered voters.
• 33:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, when you lean likely voters, when they were asked who they would support in the election, if it were held today, it's 51.49.
• 33:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: 51 choose the Democrat 49 choose the Republican.
• 33:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's a two point Democrat lead now.
• 33:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: Keep in mind that's a national aggregate.
• 33:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: That includes LA, that includes Manhattan,
• 33:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, to give you a sense of where the Democrats ought to be right now, and also how accurate Harvard Harris is.
• 33:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here is a collection of Harvard Harris' numbers going into the 2018 midterm.
• 33:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: These are the last sets of polls.
• 34:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Notice that from late August going all the way into November, they pulled the generic ballot at Democrats at around plus eight or nine pretty consistently.
• 34:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Their final poll was Democrat plus nine.
• 34:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: and it turns out Democrats won the midterms by a margin of plus eight point four pretty impressive.
• 34:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: They had an eight percent turnout advantage of Republicans in 2018 and Harvard Harris predicted precisely that.
• 34:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: So not only was Harvard Harris dead on and consistently so
• 34:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats were far more ahead on the generic ballot back then than they are now.
• 34:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats are down by Harvard Harris's own numbers.
• 34:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're down around eight points from where they were back in 2018, eight points.
• 34:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, let's go back to the Ohio early voting data that's coming in up to minute here.
• 35:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Back in 2022, crossed the 10 Ohio counties where male ballot data was being reported.
• 35:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrat Tim Ryan built an enormous 67 to 32 advantage over JD Vance in the mail vote.
• 35:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: A lead of more than 30 points.
• 35:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then when all the votes were count, of course, JD Vans won the race by six.
• 35:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then just two years later, Sherrod Brown, who's running again now, posted virtually the identical 67 to 32 early mail-in vote advantage of her Bernie Moreno, and that same kind of early vote environment.
• 35:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: And Moreno still won statewide by four.
• 35:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: What was that mail-in vote advantage right now?
• 35:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: We just spoke up.
• 35:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: Do you remember it?
• 35:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's go back to vote hub.
• 35:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: The current early vote data is showing that the Democrat shared brown is sitting at only 59%.
• 36:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's down how many points from 22 and 22 and 24?
• 36:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: Eight points.
• 36:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's an eight-point drop in Democrat support.
• 36:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that is exactly what the Harvard Harris poll is showing nationally.
• 36:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, go back to Harvard Harris numbers back in 2018.
• 36:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats were up eight or nine points before they went on to win the 40 seats in the house.
• 36:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now they're either tied or they're up by one or two.
• 36:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: So according to Harvard Harris Democrats, the national electorate is down eight or nine points from where they were this time in 2018.
• 36:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if we go to the early vote in Ohio, we're seeing a near exact decline in the actual vote turning out.
• 37:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Although, again, it to be very clear, that's from 2020 to in 2024 elections.
• 37:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: But regardless, the two pictures are eerily the same.
• 37:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: the Democrats are down significantly while the Republicans are up significantly.
• 37:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that spells disaster for the Democrats.
• 37:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: At least when it comes to states that R&D competitive, if Ohio is moving further to the right than the Pundits expected,
• 37:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: then the national map starts looking very differently.
• 37:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Iowa has always voted to the right of Ohio, particularly recent presidential cycles, as has Alaska.
• 37:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: So if Ohio is moving right, that would mean that the senatorial campaigns in Iowa and Alaska are moving right as well.
• 37:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then, of course, there's Texas.
• 37:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Texas votes to the right of both Iowa and Alaska.
• 37:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: You see, isn't this fun?
• 37:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now you know why Chuck Schumer is claiming
• 38:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: that Trump is stealing this election.
• 38:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, of course, there is one final fundamental question here that we do have to answer or try to answer a proximate answer.
• 38:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: What are we going on?
• 38:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: What's happening?
• 38:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: Why are we seeing such a lackluster Democrat turnout?
• 38:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Where are aware or aware are all the Democrats?
• 38:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, one theory is coming from political analyst Mark Halperin, who's all over the fence on this stuff.
• 38:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's finally coming back to our end here, but he said a couple of days back that Democrat operatives told him that TDS was the Democrat turnout plan.
• 38:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: They didn't need to have a plan because TDS was enough.
• 38:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: In other words, they, and this to me is the incredible irony, and in many was kind
• 38:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: In other words, they believed the polls, they believed the September polls.
• 39:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: These Democrat operatives believed these ridiculous left-wing propaganda polls that always historically underestimate Republican strength and enthusiasm by six to eight points.
• 39:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: So their plan was given how massively unpopular Trump is across the country, according to these propaganda polls that their own people push.
• 39:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: That unpopularity would end up driving their turnout.
• 39:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: But here we are 32 days before the midterms.
• 39:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: And there's simply no signs that that's actually happening, which itself is yet another indicator that these polls are absolutely bogus.
• 39:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: And not just bogus, but ironically, again,
• 39:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: self-defeating.
• 39:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: You see, this is one of the problems that scholars have called the dictators dilemmas.
• 39:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Very interesting.
• 39:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Do you know about this?
• 39:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: We talk about this when we get into AI issues and how authoritarians and the more tyrannical elements that are ruling elite plan to use AI to control the masses?
• 40:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Scholars have identified what they call the dictators dilemma.
• 40:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: They spent
• 40:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: But dictators dilemma basically is this, Democrats in their cohorts spent months amplifying polls portraying Donald Trump as historically unpopular.
• 40:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then they began treating their own narrative as an actual objective measure of voter reality.
• 40:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the danger here, of course, is that political operatives like dictators can poison their
• 40:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: They can deliberately manufacture a propaganda picture of overwhelming public hostility assumed then that that hostility will automatically drive turnout and then mistake repetition for reality.
• 41:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: So propaganda most certainly may influence the public, but it also flows backwards.
• 41:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: It blinds the people who created the propaganda in the first place.
• 41:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's the dictator's dilemma in miniature.
• 41:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: When a political machine corrupts the information coming in, it eventually loses the ability to see what is actually reliable information.
• 41:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that may be what's going on.
• 41:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's another possible explanation.
• 41:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: This one comes by way of historian Larry Schweiker.
• 41:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's been commenting on these polls that we're seeing of late.
• 41:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: that like they always do always give Democrats these ridiculous over estimations, but he's he's saying that this this year it may be worse than ever before because these polls aren't taking into consideration the dramatic demographic shift that's taken place in the electorate since January 2025.
• 42:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Think about since January of last year.
• 42:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: Department of Homeland Security says more than 3 million illegal migrants potentially even 4 million have either been formally deported or left voluntarily.
• 42:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that means millions of fewer non-citizens who could potentially be improperly registered, remain unnoticed on outdated voter rules are cast and unlawful ballot.
• 42:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: At the same time, upwards of five million deceased voters and duplicate registrations have all been removed from primarily Democrat voter rules all across the nation.
• 42:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: what this means, particularly the deportations and voter role purges, according to Shwiker, is that the actual total of Democrat voters could be two to three million smaller.
• 42:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: then conventional polling models assumes.
• 42:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the larger point he's making here is that analysts may be looking at 2020 sex through a demographic lens that's completely outdated.
• 43:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're comparing today's surveys with past elections without accounting for these significant changes in the nation's Democrat demographics.
• 43:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that could mean that the electorate heading into November looks substantially different from the one Polestar's think they're measuring.
• 43:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's exactly what happened already between 2020 and 2024.
• 43:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: When you remember it, when 4 million voters suddenly mysteriously disappeared in the thin air.
• 43:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: There were 4 million more Democrat voters in 2020 than in 2020 for again.
• 43:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: A number of analysts were noting leading up to November that it looked as if Democrat operatives actually convinced themselves that that 2020 turnout that frankly as we now know that artificial turnout was normative and in other words, once again, and you'll see how these
• 44:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: to explanations, feed off each other, they believed the propaganda.
• 44:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: The propagandists ended up becoming the primary victims of the propaganda.
• 44:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's the dictator's dilemma, right?
• 44:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: They actually trained themselves to believe that 2020 was perfectly legit.
• 44:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so they convinced themselves that it was gonna happen all over again in 2024, which of course it didn't.
• 44:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Those four million votes disappeared.
• 44:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's what may be happening here as well.
• 44:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: Another explanation, the one that Democrats are giving is that their voters are so freaked out about what Trump is doing with the U.S.
• 44:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Postal Service that they're waiting until election day to vote.
• 44:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's when you're going to see the blue wave, that's the blue tsunami on election day.
• 44:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: When Democrats turn out in mass to vote in person, that's actually what the legacy media is going with right now in order to explain this huge drop in early vote turnout.
• 45:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the idea here is that there's this large hidden reservoir of Democrat voters just
• 45:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: And you know, that's certainly possible that can happen, but the available evidence makes it a very weak explanation for any genuine early vote deficit.
• 45:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, they said this back in 2024, Kamala's early vote was pathetic.
• 45:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: We followed it daily.
• 45:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's one of their, again, it's one of the reasons why we knew by mid-October that Trump was going to crush us.
• 45:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: If Democrats don't have sufficient margins in the early vote to withstand the historic Republican juggernaut on election day, they lose, it's that simple.
• 45:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: So they've appealed to this excuse before.
• 45:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats were just waiting for election day, but historically speaking, Democrats have consistently favored voting before election day.
• 46:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: So back in 2024,
• 46:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: 63% of Democrat aligned voters voted early.
• 46:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: So it's Democrats and then left leaning independence.
• 46:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: According to NBC polling, that number has not changed for the midterms.
• 46:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Only 36% of Democrats and Democrat leaning voters say they're going to vote on election day.
• 46:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's virtually unchanged from the 35% in 2024.
• 46:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the point here,
• 46:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: is that they're all waiting for election day excuse looks more like copium than a conclusion supported by either their established voting behavior or current survey data.
• 46:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: So with all of that, I'll say it again.
• 46:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: We are very, very, very early into this.
• 47:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's just October the second.
• 47:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Anything can happen over the next 30 days.
• 47:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: The winds can certainly shift.
• 47:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: So this is absolutely no time to get complacent.
• 47:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: We need to be out there.
• 47:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: You need to be knocking on doors.
• 47:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I have, as my special guest, this Saturday, a very good interview with Cliff Maloney, and know a lot of you know Cliff Maloney and Citizens Alliance.
• 47:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: And he was one of the ones he's working with, a turning point USA, TPA USA, to knock on over a million doors.
• 47:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: Republicans, these are low-prop to no-prop Republicans who tend to sit down on mid-terms.
• 47:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Their goal, this one organization's goal, is to get 1.2 million of those Republicans voting early.
• 47:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: If you want to help Cliff go to doors,
• 47:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: win wars dot org doors win wars all one word doors win wars dot org and there's all kinds of ways you can help them get out that 1.2 million we did it back in 2024 we won Pennsylvania precise because of these tactics it is our job to get out those low to no prop.
• 48:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Republican votes early and if you need to be getting your friends involved, you need to get your loved ones to the polls, you need to be doing absolutely everything you possibly can to make sure that the coalition that made history in November 2024 will show up again to make history in November because history's not made for those who watched the moment pass.
• 48:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's made by those who recognize the moment, rise to meet it and refuse to let it slip away.
• 49:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: You did it in 2024, now it's time to do this again.
• 49:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Over to you guys, over to you, our super chance is still up.
• 49:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: So fire away, any questions are common to have.
• 49:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: It'll be my honor, my privilege to answer them right here on this live stream.
• 49:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: Also, yeah, I hear people say all the time when it comes to gold.
• 49:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, I'm going to wait.
• 49:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to wait for gold for the price to come down a bit, or I'm going to wait for inflation to settle.
• 49:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to wait for the economy to stable us.
• 49:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Wait, wait, wait, yeah.
• 49:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Wait until things feel a little more normal.
• 49:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Gang.
• 49:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: What exactly are you waiting for if you think about it?
• 49:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: You see the likes of the wealthy around the world.
• 49:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're not waiting.
• 49:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Look at the economic reality around the central banks around the world, continue to accumulate gold.
• 49:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Nations continue looking for alternatives to their dependence on the US dollar.
• 49:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: And we're watching an increasingly fragmented global economy take shape right in front of our very eyes.
• 50:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: These aren't isolated headlines.
• 50:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're all structural changes.
• 50:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: We talk about them all the time on this channel.
• 50:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: So when someone tells me they're waiting for the right time to look at gold, I think they're still focused on the wrong thing because if debt and currency concerns in central bank buying and geopolitical uncertainty of the reasons that you were considering physical gold in the first place, just ask yourself a simple question.
• 50:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: What's changed?
• 50:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's the question.
• 50:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Not whether you can perfectly telling the price, not whether gold is higher today than it was a year ago, have the fundamental reasons for owning it gone away.
• 50:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: From where I said they have it.
• 50:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's why people are still looking at purchasing physical gold and silver directly.
• 50:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: While others are expected,
• 50:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: knowing whether a gold IRA makes sense for a portion of their retirement savings.
• 50:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if you're looking in either one, get educated first.
• 50:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's why I trust Augusta Precious metals.
• 50:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Their experience education team will sit down with you one on one.
• 51:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: They'll explain physical gold and silver.
• 51:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: They'll walk you through how a gold IRA works.
• 51:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: They answer any of your questions.
• 51:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then they'll help you understand your options before.
• 51:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: you make the decision.
• 51:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Go to turlybyschool.com or text turly to 352 to request Augustus free guide because waiting only makes sense if you're waiting for something fundamental to change.
• 51:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: Dead is still climbing, central banks are still buying.
• 51:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: The global order is still shifting.
• 51:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: The reasons for owning gold haven't changed.
• 51:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Not one bit.
• 51:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: Click on that link below.
• 51:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Right now.
• 51:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right guys, what do we got?
• 51:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: What do we got?
• 51:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: What's your
• 51:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: Noah, Dr. Steve was wondering, can the people of L.A. right in Spencer Pratt's name on the ballot?
• 51:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: They can and Bass and Roman split the Democrat vote.
• 51:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Can he win?
• 51:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Is that allowed in L.A. Good question.
• 51:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's say, bring in my high powered AI.
• 52:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm assuming you can.
• 52:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: Uh, can you write in a candidate?
• 52:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: What?
• 52:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: I love the way you're thinking.
• 52:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Um, oh, only write in votes for registered candidates would be allowed.
• 52:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let me get something a little more.
• 52:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: We might go to the next question and I'll come back to this one.
• 52:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Um, let's see.
• 52:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: We get let me get a little more of a detailed response on that because I love the way you're thinking.
• 52:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, let's go into the next one.
• 52:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is going to turn up an answer and then I'm going to come back nor would absolutely.
• 53:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Johnny, it was good.
• 53:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Hey Doc, have you had a chance to watch any of the Don Blue films?
• 53:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: Is so tell me which is that?
• 53:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: I have not, oh, you're keeping me honest.
• 53:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: I love all you guys, keep me honest.
• 53:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let me write that down.
• 53:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: My Don Blue, I've been watching who did for you horror fans.
• 53:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: who did weapons, I'm forgetting the direct he did weapons, and he did barbarian, and I'm supposed to see what's the other one, the fun one based on the video game.
• 53:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm supposed to watch a tonight or tomorrow.
• 53:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: I watched weapons for the first time, so it was in my latest movies, I watched weapons, and I watched barbarian.
• 53:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is only for you, if you guys, if you like, like, you know, horror genre, it is October.
• 53:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I talked off in about a theology of horror, what makes horror actually a very important dimension in our moral imagination.
• 53:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: And those were brilliant.
• 53:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Those were wonderful.
• 53:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: I thought they're very interesting because both of those movies, barbarian and weapons
• 54:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: And multiple points of view, but yet an entire arc, a coherent meta-arch, is shaped and formed by all.
• 54:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: So it's a blend of the modern and the post-modern.
• 54:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the modern focus primarily on the meta-narrative, an objective meta-narrative scene, you know, as the single story arc.
• 54:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: Post-modern is a breaks everything down to just purely perspective.
• 54:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: what this director does is he presents all the different perspectives, but they all form this one coherent story art.
• 54:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: So it's actually a brilliant blend on the modern, so some call it the post post modern approach.
• 54:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: Um, so that's, that's been my, my movie approach, uh, my movie, watching of late.
• 54:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Also, um, chainsaw man in anime.
• 55:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: They just have one season of chainsaw mode.
• 55:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: So check that out.
• 55:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's, it's, it's, it's, it's okay.
• 55:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, going back, no, the November 3rd, 206 Los Angeles mayoral election, L.A. election law prohibits right in candidates in general, municipal elections, only Bassen, ramen, will be on the mayoral ballot.
• 55:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, Bomber, that would have been that would have been very smart.
• 55:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Brian, my dear friend, do you think that Iran is likely to collapse before the midterms?
• 55:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: Do you think that most voters know that Democrats call the inflation the corruption?
• 55:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: Um, well,
• 55:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know, I couldn't put a timeline on it.
• 55:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: The regime has been uncannily resilient through all of this, but I think most all analysts do agree, it's just not sustainable.
• 56:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the question is not a matter of if it's when, but I don't know if it'll be before the midterm.
• 56:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: It would be really neat.
• 56:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: We'll talk about knocked over surprise.
• 56:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: I wouldn't put that past anyone, by the way, that might be the October surprise we're going to look for.
• 56:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think most voters.
• 56:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: I do.
• 56:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I just don't have any actual day.
• 56:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, no, I take that back.
• 56:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the New York Post just published that study that came out.
• 56:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's pretty big when it was like several thousand people in swing states.
• 56:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: And they found that the Republican, the voters trusted Republicans more on, I did not.
• 56:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: The word they use was affordability.
• 56:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then Democrats look it up.
• 56:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's not a majority.
• 56:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's a plurality.
• 56:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I think it was like 40 something per cent to the Democrats like 39 percent.
• 56:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: But just the fact that they're ahead is significant.
• 56:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: But but it was a poll on affordability and Republicans came out that that is suggestive that most people do recognize that Democrats had their chance to do something and they blew it during the Biden era big time.
• 57:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: We also have to remember, I think we are still, we're very hyperpartisan.
• 57:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: We might say that there's independence that go back and forth apparently the vote data is no, there isn't.
• 57:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: There are independence who are motivated and there are independence who are not.
• 57:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: And, and they either lean left or right, and they consistently vote either Democrat or Republican.
• 57:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: They just, they aren't formally one of the two major parties.
• 57:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: So right now, lean left independence are going to be the more enthusiastic to vote, but like what we found with the insider advantage polster towery, he said, they're actually not that motivated,
• 57:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that accounts probably for the lower numbers for Democrats right now.
• 58:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Greg, as much as I want the Dems to lose, I'll believe it when I see it.
• 58:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, and the Schumer just said it literally went down to Democrats, and what Schumer just said is literally what Democrats have been doing.
• 58:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: I know is in that whole area.
• 58:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, it's called projection.
• 58:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: You accuse others of the very sins that you are guilty with, and the idea then is you can admit that a crime is being committed, but you try to frame somebody else committing it.
• 58:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that Democrats always defer back to, oh, projection.
• 58:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: But no, absolutely.
• 58:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, all we can do is proximate here.
• 58:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: All I can do is try to keep you sane in the midst of all the insanity.
• 58:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: What I will not do is I will not sell you snake oil.
• 58:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: I will not tell you Republicans are going to run away with this when I can see data that they're not.
• 59:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm not going to tell you a Democrats are going to blow them out of the water when I can see data to shows that they're not.
• 59:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, while I try to do is just do the same kind of analysis we did in 2016, 18, 20, 22 and 24.
• 59:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: Same exact analysis and we have a pretty darn good track record.
• 59:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: So if that continues, we're going to be okay.
• 59:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Magga 24-Averte, Dr. Steve since Trump announced the $5,000 dividend, which is conditional upon Republicans maintaining control both House of Congress.
• 59:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: I haven't heard a peep about it.
• 59:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: I thought it would be a major focus in advertising.
• 59:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Will this be an advertising focus closer to the election or not mentioned at all?
• 59:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: Apparently, it's popular.
• 59:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's when I'm getting there.
• 59:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: I've been a couple of polls actually.
• 59:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: It was the Harvard Harris, if I recall.
• 59:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Harvard Harris, either the Harvard Harris in the morning consult, because it's been the two big national polls.
• 59:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: Both found a majority supporting it.
• 1:00:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: So if they have it foregrounded it in their messaging yet,
• 1:00:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: look to see that they will be doing it.
• 1:00:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Remember, they're just spending.
• 1:00:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: They are, they did take Larry Schweiker calls it the Muhammad Ali Ropadope strategy.
• 1:00:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Republicans clearly sat back and let the Democrats spend themselves into oblivion.
• 1:00:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: through the summer months and into September, when you would have this massive polling bias, it's very shrewd, it's very smart.
• 1:00:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Rush Limbaugh, you always said that the issues that matter most to midterms don't appear until round mid October.
• 1:00:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's those two to three weeks going into November.
• 1:00:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's it, that's the momentum, that's what's gonna do energized voters.
• 1:00:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now the key, the,
• 1:00:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, that's primarily for late early voters and election day voters early early voters are already voting they're already locking in and the good news is the Democrat is the Democrats are not doing well there Republicans are doing exceptionally well better than they were doing in 2022 and 2024 against a mixed bag in
• 1:01:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: North Carolina North Carolina.
• 1:01:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're doing better than we were in 2022, but not as well in 2024, but again, you're dealing with very small margins.
• 1:01:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Trump only won North Carolina by three three percent.
• 1:01:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: So you're dealing with small margins.
• 1:01:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: But regardless, um,
• 1:01:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: What I think you're going to see now that Democrats spent themselves into oblivion, and we've weathered the storms of all the slopp poles that are deliberately designed to fabricate a narrative on behalf of the Democrats.
• 1:01:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now they're spending, and they're spending more than they've ever spent before in the midterms.
• 1:01:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's the first time Republicans actually have the spending advantage over the Democrats by about $200, by about a quarter of the billion dollars, it's a lot of money and over the next few weeks you should see the narrative arc form for why the country should be voting Republican.
• 1:02:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: MAGA Kevin pro-Trump Bolsonaro the younger wins the Brazil elections on October 4th ending bricks conservative Alberta independence from liberal Canada referendum when woo that's an prediction October 19 and Republicans win on November 3rd all right I love I love the optimism man I do I love it so we'll see now if I recall Flavio's going to be against Lula
• 1:02:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: on October 4th, but in a jungle election, right?
• 1:02:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's good, anybody in everybody can run.
• 1:02:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then if he doesn't clear the 50% then they'll have a run off at the end of October.
• 1:02:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's what happened with his dad.
• 1:03:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: If I recall, that's how they're going to do it.
• 1:03:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: So if that's the case, no, I would hope to see Flavia win the 50% plus one this Sunday.
• 1:03:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: I was just down there, talked to a lot of good strong conservative Brazilians down there.
• 1:03:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: They were all pumped up.
• 1:03:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're going to be voting for Flavia.
• 1:03:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then it conservative Alberta independence.
• 1:03:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, you can only hope.
• 1:03:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: We'll see.
• 1:03:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think that's a stretch.
• 1:03:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: I may be wrong.
• 1:03:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: I may be listening to the polls too much.
• 1:03:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: But I'm just not, you know, with other, with other, cross referencing other data points.
• 1:03:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm just, I'm not, not quite seeing it, but I hope so.
• 1:03:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: And yes, I'm with you on the Republicans.
• 1:03:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: In human condition, why did Trump ask G if you wanted to buy American weapons?
• 1:03:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: It sounds wrong, but apparently did say it.
• 1:03:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Has to have a hidden move.
• 1:03:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: Trump does nothing without a motive.
• 1:03:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Wait a whole week to ask you, ah, and I wish I had an answer.
• 1:04:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: I didn't even know, let me see, did Trump
• 1:04:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's go to the next one and I will return in humans since you waited all week to tell me and I you caught me off guard on that one Texas on the shock If the Democrats take the house, what do you think they'll be fighting with more Trump or each other?
• 1:04:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, that's hilarious Yeah, Trump initially Trump.
• 1:04:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: They'll they'll try they'll they'll do their best to try to
• 1:04:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: make the most of the very small, at least if they're going to pull it off, it looks like it's a very, very low ceiling.
• 1:04:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: You know, maybe they'll get 222 seats with something like that, very, very low.
• 1:04:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: So to the what would that be to the Republicans to 14 to 16?
• 1:05:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, to 16.
• 1:05:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, um,
• 1:05:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think though, I think they'll do their best to try to just be like annoying mosquitoes in Trump's ear, but Trump will only end up doubling down on the executive powers that he's a mast over the last.
• 1:05:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: nearly two years and he'll just he'll just crush it.
• 1:05:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's not going to pay any attention to them.
• 1:05:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: And again, he doesn't have to.
• 1:05:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: Look at all he's been able to accomplish with a relatively unhelpful Congress, even with Republicans and power.
• 1:05:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let me go back to the previous one.
• 1:05:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: The US ambassador to China did say that that's David Perdue, he said that Trump is Xi Jinping at one point, whether China would like to buy American weapons.
• 1:05:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: Apparently while discussing US arm sales to Taiwan, Trump is disputing that account.
• 1:06:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Trump denied discussing such a sale, saying Purdue was probably referring to Taiwan, more importantly, Trump did not actually grant China the legal ability to purchase U.S. weapons, and the State Department said there's no offer or plan to sell arms to China.
• 1:06:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: So right now, the safest formulation for that inhuman is Purdue claimed Trump
• 1:06:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: but Trump denied it and no authorized weapons offer or sale has resulted.
• 1:06:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: So there you go.
• 1:06:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: Fatham, a leftist told me he didn't care about the fertility advantage the detergent has had.
• 1:06:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: He said, I, the education system will pick them off and that AI will do most jobs.
• 1:06:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: What do you think?
• 1:06:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, okay.
• 1:06:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, well, he's right about AI.
• 1:06:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, AI is it's going to make up for the
• 1:06:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: for the demographic winter in places like China.
• 1:07:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's already doing it in Japan, South Korea, and the like.
• 1:07:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's not much help to him in terms of what ideology is going to be encoding that AI when there's no liberals around to encode it.
• 1:07:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's just simply wrong about the education system.
• 1:07:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, just flat out wrong.
• 1:07:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: Does the education system steal some kids from conservatives?
• 1:07:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: Sure, of course.
• 1:07:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, no problem.
• 1:07:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: But, you know, probably around, I think we had even some figures, not even as high of a rate as many liberals convert to conservatism.
• 1:07:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: I forgot what it was.
• 1:07:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think they out conservatives out conservative conversions
• 1:07:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: outnumbered liberal conversions.
• 1:07:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: I forgot I could look it up, but there was actually some studies on that Eric Kaufman of the University of London has shown that.
• 1:07:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Also, the retention rates are very high among particularly religious conservatives.
• 1:08:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Amish used to have about a 70% retention rate in the 1970s and 80s.
• 1:08:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's where their kids grow up adulthood and retain their omnis.
• 1:08:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: In the most recent studies on that, it's grown to 90%.
• 1:08:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the weirder that your liberal friend side gets, the less attractive.
• 1:08:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: it gets.
• 1:08:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's the standards that we're seeing.
• 1:08:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: So what I'm hearing from him is just simply copium.
• 1:08:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Also, I would point out to the 2030 census and the electoral reapportionment where red states, the most religiously dense states in the country are picking up and gaining upwards of 14 electoral votes.
• 1:08:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: and representative seats, congressional seats, and blue state, the most secular, are losing that.
• 1:08:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's a new apportionment.
• 1:09:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, he can try to cope all he wants.
• 1:09:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no way around it.
• 1:09:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: The world has gone and shifted dramatically to religion and to religious conservatism.
• 1:09:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: Avoid Spike.
• 1:09:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: Thanks, Dr. D. Thank you, avoid Spikes.
• 1:09:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: I very appreciate it.
• 1:09:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: Thank you.
• 1:09:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Santa for my prediction, Democrat Flipps House, 2019.
• 1:09:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Very reasonable.
• 1:09:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: GP Old Senate with 52.
• 1:09:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Okay, so we lose one problem, assuming Roy Cooper and North Carolina.
• 1:09:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats have mainstream media proclaimed crushing total rejection of MAGA, but are too slow to see.
• 1:09:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, they're always going to do that exactly.
• 1:09:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's nothing nothing you can do about it.
• 1:09:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: Even after Trump won in 2016, they just sat there looking like they had a concussion and then all of a sudden started blaming Putin for the window.
• 1:09:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: They will never
• 1:09:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: ever, ever relinquish their, what's called progressive realism.
• 1:09:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: This assumption, this ideological, ideological assumption that the world is moving in evidence of a history is moving and bending inevitably in the direction of a liberal vision of social justice, they'll never get rid of that.
• 1:10:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: So any Trump victory, any maga victory, is by definition evil, by definition bad.
• 1:10:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Dan, it's a simple, positive video of his chickens chasing a June bug.
• 1:10:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: It would get orders of magnitude more views than the old media combined for a second.
• 1:10:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: I was like, where are you going with this?
• 1:10:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's hilarious.
• 1:10:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: The only reason we know what they say at all is because we cover the, you know, that's a, Dan, you bring up something.
• 1:10:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: And this is my thing like with like Candace and a Tucker and all this sort of stuff the only reason why we know anything these people were saying is because we show them we got I can't watch Fox anymore I can't watch like Laura
• 1:11:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: uh... or even jassy because all they do the shows are nothing more than hey look at what the it what the latest idiot thing a democrat said and let's market ridicule it you know i'm like i'd the only one i like who does it is because just the way he does it is got felt that ten o'clock
• 1:11:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: But, um, and I tend to actually fall asleep right around that time, so I can't even stay up that late.
• 1:11:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: But, um, I mean, generally speaking, I'm like, my things, I don't care what these idiots.
• 1:11:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't care what's the latest nonsense spewed out of the mouth of AOC.
• 1:11:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, they're morons.
• 1:11:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: What I like to see it like what we do with Schumer or Slotkin and all what I like to see is let's see what they're saying that is an admission that things are falling apart for them.
• 1:11:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, then that's something else, but if you're just if you're just showing what the latest idiot thing they said is and you're just going to mock and ridicule it who cares who can run the country.
• 1:12:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's talk about that.
• 1:12:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's what I love focusing on like Elon with Elon's doing.
• 1:12:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: We did a whole video on on the future of TV.
• 1:12:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're going to have TV is no longer an appliance is becoming an infrastructure in the house with the new LED systems that they're creating.
• 1:12:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: China has actually has a little bit of a monopoly on that market right now.
• 1:12:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I like I like forward.
• 1:12:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: Thank you.
• 1:12:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: Who cares what Democrats have to say.
• 1:12:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm with you Dan.
• 1:12:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well done.
• 1:12:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: And again, the stats are there behind you.
• 1:12:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: in the 1970s.
• 1:12:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: CBS ABC and NBC combined got about 60 million viewers when we were a nation of 200 million.
• 1:12:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Today, all of the networks, all of the 24-7 cable news, combined barely
• 1:12:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: The entire legacy media coverage television wise doesn't even match what Kronkite could bring in in a single night.
• 1:13:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: And at the same time, like you're saying, it's a temple posting.
• 1:13:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Chickens chasing a June bug could get infinitely more views than what CNN gets or MSNBC gets, right?
• 1:13:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: And nobody watches them anymore.
• 1:13:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Mama Bear, Christine, I see a lot of Don Kisix signs, Kisix signs, and stickers for Ohio Governor, as a Republican, I don't think I'm voting.
• 1:13:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: Republican Governor, but I will vote Republican for Congress.
• 1:13:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: Why would you vote for V-back?
• 1:13:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: Why wouldn't you vote for V-back that's absurd?
• 1:13:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't get why would you allow the Democrat to steal your state?
• 1:13:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't think he will, but you have to give me Mama Bear.
• 1:13:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: You have to give me your rationale.
• 1:13:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Do you know Democrats don't do that?
• 1:13:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's the difference between Republicans and Democrats.
• 1:14:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats never vote Republican to teach Democrats a lesson.
• 1:14:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: We always snatch.
• 1:14:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: what is it?
• 1:14:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: We always snatch defeat from the jaws of victory because we just get into, we get into our own way, we get into our own heads.
• 1:14:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: So mama bear, I would encourage you to rethink that.
• 1:14:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: whatever is bad about the back, at least he doesn't want to kill you.
• 1:14:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: And when you, when you give the other side, a governor's right, you're giving it to him enough for four years, you're giving it to him for eight, because incumbents win most of the time.
• 1:14:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, I mean, why would you do that?
• 1:14:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Why would you give a, why would you put a veto into the hands of this party that basically wants to destroy everything you love?
• 1:14:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm not, I really, I just, I can't even remotely understand the rationale, but maybe you have it.
• 1:14:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'd be happy to entertain it and understand it.
• 1:15:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: uh... see problem well look at that creepy i live in organ i personally know quite a few democrats with flipped in my past conversation with them i always after they listen n pr about nine percent that they did today they don't oh wow that's cool that's cool yeah so what may be happening in minnesota in organ is something akin to what happened in the u.k
• 1:15:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: where voters who would never have thought of voting for labor in their lives, it always voted toories.
• 1:15:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: Finally said enough, we're sending a message because the toories had so betrayed them and so disappointed them.
• 1:15:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I, I'm probably as sounds to me like I'm, I'm, I'm contrary, yeah, it sounds like I am contradicting it.
• 1:15:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: I guess I am.
• 1:15:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: I guess in very, very, very extreme circumstances, you may be seeing Democrats say, all right, I'm voting Republican to teach my party a lesson.
• 1:16:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Generally speaking, you do not see that.
• 1:16:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: You'll certainly not see that in New York or in LA or San Francisco or
• 1:16:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: Maybe, I don't know, I guess with Christie or maybe you saw it with Glenn Youngkin and Virginia, but it's, but it's again, it's to know a veil, right?
• 1:16:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: So anyway, we'll see.
• 1:16:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: It'll be very interesting to see.
• 1:16:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: I have a feeling it's going to be very hard.
• 1:16:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, voter registration is a bitch.
• 1:16:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's going to be very, very hard for draws into to pull it off or to FOIA to pull it off very hard.
• 1:16:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Hello, please comment on the Polymarket Bloodbath predictions.
• 1:16:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Polymarket, it's a betting market, and betting markets are drawing most of their stuff from the polls.
• 1:16:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: And what was September polls?
• 1:16:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: September polls is going to be a bloodbath.
• 1:17:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, fine, but this bizarre sort of difference to the betting markets is very odd to me, especially when it comes to something as sophisticated as a election analysis.
• 1:17:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I wouldn't pay any attention to it.
• 1:17:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're just getting duped.
• 1:17:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm sure there's a lot of people who'd be making a lot of money or rather shorting or whatever.
• 1:17:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I think deliberately doing this,
• 1:17:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: Texas on the shock on the 65 plus vote.
• 1:17:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: I recall a poll, a while back that said the age group most against Trump, right, were the boomers.
• 1:17:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: What's changed?
• 1:17:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: You know what?
• 1:17:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's very interesting.
• 1:17:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: I saw the same thing as well.
• 1:17:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I don't know what has changed.
• 1:17:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: But they, again, it may have been the polling because
• 1:17:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: When it comes to, again, it's just, you live by the bull die by it, right?
• 1:18:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: The exit polling, NBC eggs of polling found in 2024 that the boomers went with Trump.
• 1:18:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: They went with Trump.
• 1:18:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: They went with Biden in 2020.
• 1:18:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: And they were they it seems like they throw in their lot with whoever they voted on in the presidential.
• 1:18:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: So they voted for Biden because they just wanted to change and they thought Trump had kind of lost control of things then then they're going to vote for Democrats in the mids.
• 1:18:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: They vote for Trump in 2024.
• 1:18:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're going to go Republican in the mids.
• 1:18:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think, but I don't have any hard data on that.
• 1:18:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't have to see.
• 1:18:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: But I noticed the same thing.
• 1:18:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: I always thought it was the boomers who were more, you know, the sort of post World War II generation that were the most
• 1:18:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrat, friendly outside of the far left loons in the under 30 demographic, not that under 30 or far left loons, but the far left loons tend to be in that Democrat or the middle aged white women living with their cap kind of thing.
• 1:19:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: Franz Dr. Steve with the Democrat collapse in the polls be the October surprise, or should we expect a 4D from the administration?
• 1:19:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'd expect a 4D, I think Trump is pretty.
• 1:19:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Trump knows they're going to try to play an October surprise.
• 1:19:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: He knows probably Iran's going to try to play it.
• 1:19:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: Certainly we might have seen something of that with that Dubai Airlines or whatever it's called going to To Israel that was pretty scary that would have been a horrible thing and that would that appears to have been directly tied to Iran
• 1:19:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: So yeah, I'm only assuming Trump seems to always be on top of this game when it comes to elections and surprise and grabbing the headlines.
• 1:20:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I would I would expect something something to come from Trump more than just poll collapse.
• 1:20:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, I don't know if we'll see a poll collapse.
• 1:20:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: the industry will allow for that.
• 1:20:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: Remember there are the ones determining what these poll numbers say, but they will tighten so that when they get to November 3rd, it's going to look more like this D plus 2 D plus 3, maybe D plus 5 electric.
• 1:20:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: But again, that's still not enough in my view.
• 1:20:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: Melody Hart, Permitian action explains what's really happening and who America's real ever-present enemy is.
• 1:20:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: Permitian, ladies, Permitian action are wonderful.
• 1:20:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Absolutely.
• 1:20:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Lester Gordon and thank you Dr. Steve for keeping us calm through these turbulent times and for everything else you do.
• 1:20:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: God bless.
• 1:20:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: Thank you, Lester.
• 1:20:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Absolutely.
• 1:20:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I know.
• 1:20:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's some, I mean, again, this is propaganda.
• 1:21:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Politics is propaganda.
• 1:21:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: It is.
• 1:21:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no way around it.
• 1:21:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: Both sides do it.
• 1:21:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's good propaganda.
• 1:21:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's bad pride.
• 1:21:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: You're right.
• 1:21:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, you will go to which we're a bad witch.
• 1:21:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: they're all witches.
• 1:21:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: So what I always found what I always loved rush limbo for is you always provided clear clean analysis to help make sense of all the madness.
• 1:21:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so that's what I try to do as well.
• 1:21:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's something I love doing.
• 1:21:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: And thank you, Lester.
• 1:21:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: uh... doctor sixty seven death please interview don Tracy for illinois senator in dc all right all to take a look at that
• 1:21:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Winston, the right wing voice of reason.
• 1:21:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Thanks for all you do, Dr. Trues.
• 1:21:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Thank you, Winston.
• 1:21:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: Very right wing voice of, yeah, we are getting a lot of, yeah, podcasters out there.
• 1:21:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're just giving us a lot of slopp unfortunately, but now we'll always stay very sane here.
• 1:22:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's for sure.
• 1:22:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Benton, Dr. Steve, my wife and I, beauty yesterday on 2CTV, the riots, the end friends, the writer appeared to be immigrant.
• 1:22:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Third generation, high school students who torch their high school.
• 1:22:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're being encouraged by the far left.
• 1:22:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: My appraisal is multiculturalism, receipts, and F-min.
• 1:22:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: What do you think?
• 1:22:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yes, have you seen?
• 1:22:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, all you need to do, again, looking at objective markers here, have you seen Le Pen's poles since these riots broke out this week.
• 1:22:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, Le Penis is going to crush this next.
• 1:22:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: So their election is next year.
• 1:22:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's not far away.
• 1:22:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: She is going to crush the presidential election.
• 1:22:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then who is the other guy?
• 1:22:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Malang Thone, I'm forget the far leftist.
• 1:22:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think he's he's he's gone.
• 1:22:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I mean, civilizational populism is the future.
• 1:23:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: And Elon Musk has been saying this for years now.
• 1:23:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no way around this if you mass import.
• 1:23:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: a population that is hostile to your civilization, its customs, its culture, and its traditions, then eventually over time, there's going to be a tipping point where you're going to have a reckoning.
• 1:23:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: you're going to have a kind of civil war.
• 1:23:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: It is inevitable.
• 1:23:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're we're facing it as well.
• 1:23:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: Every Western country in its own way is facing an except for those like hungry, and Poland, and Slovakia, Slovenia, and the Czech Republic who kept their borders very secure and very safe.
• 1:23:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Anyone who has been pushing
• 1:23:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: this multiculturalist agenda where populations from places in the world that are openly hostile to our cultural values, while at the same time telling the majority, the host majority, they need to shut up.
• 1:24:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: about their cultural values.
• 1:24:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: They need to shut up about their ethno-centricity while the minority population that's being shipped in as it were, can be as ethno-centric as they want, that's generally what multiculturalism is, ethno-centricity for the minority, and then sort of the enforcement of a rugged individualism
• 1:24:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: for the majority, that is just playing with fire.
• 1:24:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, that's a powder keg ready to explode.
• 1:24:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's exactly what we're seeing.
• 1:24:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, we're seeing it even in Seda and the northern tip of Africa, the territory of Spain, it is Spain.
• 1:25:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the Moroccan invaders, I mean, you're just,
• 1:25:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: if there is a host still, this is Huntington's thesis in a nutshell.
• 1:25:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: The 21st century is the century of identity.
• 1:25:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: 20th century was the century of ideology.
• 1:25:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: The great conflicts of the 20th century fascism, communism, liberal democracy, great conflicts of the 20th century were ideology.
• 1:25:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: The great conflicts of the 21st century are going to be identity with civilization due belong to.
• 1:25:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: coincidence that foreign-born voters in our country vote overwhelmingly for the radical leftist for the Islamo socialist, whatever it is.
• 1:25:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's not a coincidence.
• 1:25:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Hostal cultures are going to invoke a reckoning against their host culture.
• 1:26:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's inevitable.
• 1:26:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: And what that's what we're seeing in France more and more, it's not going to go away either,
• 1:26:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: William is CNN fighting protests on the ban from Air Force 1.
• 1:26:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so we'll take another judge's decision or is this a different issue from the White House press from whether the White House is treating it as a different issue, whether it is or not well off to say, you know, because it'll have to work itself out in the court.
• 1:26:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: The White House just all Trump wants to do is humiliate CNN.
• 1:26:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's it.
• 1:26:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's he just has fun slapping him around.
• 1:26:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: pulling their underwear over their heads, pulling out the tongue, painting it blue.
• 1:26:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's just, he's just having fun poking their eyes.
• 1:26:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's just, he's just showing.
• 1:26:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: He has the power.
• 1:26:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: They've got no power.
• 1:26:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: They have a dwindling audience.
• 1:26:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: They've lost 90% of their audience since they're height January 2021.
• 1:26:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: And, you know, and he's just rubbing that in on them every single day, making the story the news about them to their, to their, uh, a dwindling viewers.
• 1:27:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, so as for them to say, why do I keep tuning in to just the latest drama on CNN?
• 1:27:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: I, I want to just hear what the news and what's going on.
• 1:27:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, we'll see, you know, have to get worked out on the court.
• 1:27:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: But that's exactly what the Trump administration's been doing with these judges the entire time.
• 1:27:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: They, they, um,
• 1:27:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: If they, and to their in their defense, they split hairs, they learn how okay.
• 1:27:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, go.
• 1:27:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: We won't do that.
• 1:27:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: But instead we'll do this.
• 1:27:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: They go around these decisions basically ignoring them in pretty overt ways.
• 1:27:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then that just forces the plane is staff to go back to the judge.
• 1:27:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's just it's great.
• 1:27:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: Texas on the shot, Republicans, if we're up in the polls, you have no reason not to vote.
• 1:27:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if we're down, then go out and prove them wrong either way, get out and vote.
• 1:27:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Amen, Texas on the shot.
• 1:27:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Amen.
• 1:27:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, if Republicans are up in the polls, let's make this a blowout.
• 1:27:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if we're down in the polls, then let's start with our boots on.
• 1:28:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's go, man, let's make this
• 1:28:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: Uh, if this is, uh, how the King say it and says, this is our end, we will make it such an end.
• 1:28:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, love it.
• 1:28:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: Movie eronic, say back, not worth, new king filibuster agree or no, no, I, I, I just, I just think in the political polarization that we're in right now.
• 1:28:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Um, the filibuster is has effectively shut down.
• 1:28:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Uh, the legislative branch.
• 1:28:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: The last major non-reconciled bill that passed was Obamacare in 2012.
• 1:28:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: We have not passed a major legislative bill, and that's when the Democrats had 60 votes and they could overcome the bill of us.
• 1:28:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: We have not passed a major bill that is non-reconciliation that does not directly affect the budget in over what is now to do my math really quick.
• 1:29:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: 12, 12, 24 years, 14 years, sorry.
• 1:29:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: In 14 years, 15 years.
• 1:29:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's just been shut down.
• 1:29:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: In over a decade, I should have said in my, in my wind some way.
• 1:29:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it's just, it's just been completely shut down.
• 1:29:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: So Trump's like, look, then we have to get, we have to govern.
• 1:29:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: So get rid of the filibuster.
• 1:29:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: It could always bring it back, interestingly enough, if we have a 60 vote proof, bring it back, keep it healthy, whatever, but you got to get rid of it's not just for the save act.
• 1:29:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's just for a functioning Senate.
• 1:29:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: And we just don't have a
• 1:29:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Mama Bear, Don Kissick is Ohio governor.
• 1:29:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: Don Kissick is the Ohio governor.
• 1:29:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: I thought he was the, he's the, oh, he's libertarian.
• 1:30:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: Oh my gosh, no, no.
• 1:30:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: Don't vote libertarian.
• 1:30:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I cut my right arm off before I voted libertarian.
• 1:30:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, so he's the libertarian for governor.
• 1:30:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I just wouldn't.
• 1:30:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, yeah, I wouldn't know.
• 1:30:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: Go be back.
• 1:30:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no point voting for a liberal.
• 1:30:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're not an ideological world anymore.
• 1:30:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: The world is not revolve around ideological purity.
• 1:30:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Libertarians vote with Democrats have the time.
• 1:30:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: Why would you want that?
• 1:30:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, now, to me, I just, I see it as an inherently incoherent world view.
• 1:30:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: It has no loyalty whatsoever to nation, culture, custom, and tradition.
• 1:30:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Its loyalty is to ideological first principles.
• 1:30:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Texas, on Lashak, I've come to think a Trump is the only one stubborn enough to see a fight with Iran through to the end.
• 1:31:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the president would have backed off by now.
• 1:31:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: I agree, I agree a thousand percent.
• 1:31:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think I think he, he definitely saw he has intelligence.
• 1:31:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: where he said, we've got a strike, we've got to do it now, and he's willing to see it through the end, and I honor him for it.
• 1:31:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: And he's, and he basically is calculus as simple.
• 1:31:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no guarantees we can win this midterms.
• 1:31:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Since 1932, a party in power has always lost an average of 20 to 30 seats.
• 1:31:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: in the midterms for the exception 1934 1998 and 2002 those are the only three exceptions.
• 1:31:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no guarantee we're going to win.
• 1:31:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: So either I can have Iran.
• 1:31:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: uh, and give up, uh, I can, I can win Iran and lose the midterms, or I can, as it were lose both Iran and the midterms.
• 1:31:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: And he's going, he's all in with Iran.
• 1:32:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's it.
• 1:32:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Whether, whether, anyone likes it or not, he's all in, and I'm with you.
• 1:32:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: I trust him on that.
• 1:32:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Joan, how is the RGC still able to attack its neighbors and our ships?
• 1:32:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: They've lost so much of their arm.
• 1:32:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: So you have to understand how massive the military capability and the ability to project power for the Iranians was.
• 1:32:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: It was, it was most likely the most powerful military outside of Israel in the region.
• 1:32:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: Iraq couldn't compare with it.
• 1:32:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, it is.
• 1:32:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: You know, Simon, you know, Saudi Arabia is pretty powerful, but I don't think as powerful as Iran.
• 1:32:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: It was really only the United States and Israel teaming up that could take out Iran.
• 1:32:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: So they still have a lot of residue there, but they don't have the ability to project power in the way they could never even remotely invade another country if they wanted to.
• 1:32:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: you've seen they can't even shut down, they can't actually shut down or moves.
• 1:32:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: They can make threats and usually that's enough for insurance companies who are under right the oil tankers, but they can't actually muster any kind of serious military capability.
• 1:33:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, and then in terms of, yeah, in terms of neighbors, I mean, again, they've got these,
• 1:33:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: autonomous units, right?
• 1:33:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's known as the Mosaic doctrine.
• 1:33:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: So when they don't really have a functioning central government, the generals can all function as many presidents as it were.
• 1:33:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: And they get to fire however they see fit.
• 1:33:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: They don't need any orders from the top.
• 1:33:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so what you end up getting is you get just these spontaneous
• 1:33:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: offences, but they just don't amount very much.
• 1:33:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's that's basically what's going on there.
• 1:33:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Steven Conner's this boomer is as bad as it gets.
• 1:34:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yes, and all my my boomer family that I hang out with Christmas and There were not so much my mom.
• 1:34:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: My dear mom is still still of die hard Democrat, but no my uncles my aunts and all my boomer family They're right there with you.
• 1:34:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: There is magas.
• 1:34:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: They come we have a great time
• 1:34:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Mama there, I did not mean to say I wasn't voting for governor on, just not for the the back or Amy I'm voting, uh, Don, I think it's a waste, Mama.
• 1:34:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm sorry.
• 1:34:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm just, I got to be honest with you.
• 1:34:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think it's a waste.
• 1:34:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: God bless you.
• 1:34:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: But, um, absolute way, you, you're voting for the Democrat.
• 1:34:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: You are in the end voting for the Democrat, unfortunately.
• 1:34:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: But, you know, tacitly.
• 1:34:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Newer our first live big fan though as the student of geopolitics law from SA as the South Africa went to two universities in Great Britain who loves all things American, why is Trump 2.04 affairs so bad, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah,
• 1:35:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: not quite sure where that came from.
• 1:35:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, hey, I'm a big fan, love everything you do.
• 1:35:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: Why does Trump suck?
• 1:35:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: Trump 2.0, foreign affairs so bad.
• 1:35:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'd have to explain what you mean.
• 1:35:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think he's dominating the chessboard in the world today.
• 1:35:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: In a way, he couldn't even remotely have dreamed of doing.
• 1:35:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: In this first administration, we just got Greenland in terms of total military control over it.
• 1:35:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's what he wanted.
• 1:35:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: We now have the vast majority of Venezuelan oil that has the most amount of oil reserves on the planet, dwarfing even any of the Gulf states.
• 1:35:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Um, he's secured Panama Canal, uh, we're seeing seven of seven elections in Latin America, all every single one of them go to the right.
• 1:36:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Hopefully this Sunday, it'll be eight for eight with Flavia Bolsonaro.
• 1:36:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Um, he has NATO leaders calling him daddy.
• 1:36:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: He has very much better relationship with Russia than Biden ever did.
• 1:36:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: Yet at the same time, he's giving Zelensky more or less whatever he needs.
• 1:36:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's got China on the ropes.
• 1:36:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's re-awaken the Abraham Accords in the Middle East.
• 1:36:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: And as destroyed and rendered inert, one of the most hostile powers to global stability on the planet.
• 1:36:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know what the hell you're talking about dude.
• 1:36:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm just going to be honest.
• 1:36:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: I have no idea.
• 1:36:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's that.
• 1:36:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, guys.
• 1:36:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Have a one.
• 1:36:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know the hell we're talking about but God bless him glad you're a part of this show very cool love I've never been to South Africa, but love to visit here.
• 1:36:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's one of the most beautiful places in the earth guys Have a wonderful weekend again if anything breaks.
• 1:37:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Make sure you check this channel.
• 1:37:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: We have that amazing.
• 1:37:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: Don't forget that amazing interview with was Scott Scott Maloney Scott You know why I'm laughing because I have a friend it calls him Mahoney
• 1:37:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: because he's a football fan and a cliff sorry cliff had to had to remind him it's not my honi it's melodic so my chat with cliff on Saturday you're gonna definitely want to see it he's could show you exactly the strategy we're employing
• 1:37:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: to get over a million voters to the polls early and how you can help how you can even actually be a part of it.
• 1:37:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: You guys want Pennsylvania with Clip in 2024.
• 1:37:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let's do it again in 2026.
• 1:37:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: So make sure you come back to the channel tomorrow for that interview.
• 1:37:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then of course I'm your back porch professor of any breaking news.
• 1:37:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: Love you guys.
• 1:37:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: God bless.
• 1:37:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Thanks so much for listening to this episode of The Turley Talks Podcast.
• 1:37:58
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• 1:38:03
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• 1:38:07
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• 1:38:11
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