Latest / The Dutch Investors / #101 | 7 Disney Quotes That Make You a Better Investor
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_00: A couple weeks ago, we went deep on the Walt Disney Company.
- 0:04SPEAKER_00: What started as a Cartoon Mouse in the 1920s is now one of the largest media companies on the planet.
- 0:11SPEAKER_00: Five theme parks, over 50 hotels, eight cruise ships, an entire ecosystem built around characters and IP.
- 0:21SPEAKER_00: But going through that deep dive, we noticed something else.
- 0:25SPEAKER_00: Completely by accident, have been handing out investing advice for decades.
- 0:31SPEAKER_00: So today we're doing something different.
- 0:34SPEAKER_00: 7 Disney quotes and what they actually teach us about being or becoming better investors.
- 0:42SPEAKER_00: Enjoy! Let's start with Remy.
- 0:58SPEAKER_04: Yes, to my life, but the only thing predictable about life is its unpredictability.
- 1:05SPEAKER_00: That's Remy from Ratatuye.
- 1:08SPEAKER_00: And it's a line worth sitting on, because no investor can predict the future.
- 1:14SPEAKER_00: People will try to convince you otherwise.
- 1:16SPEAKER_00: Every year, sometimes every day.
- 1:19SPEAKER_00: But like every Disney film that's just fiction.
- 1:23SPEAKER_00: Take Michael Burry.
- 1:25SPEAKER_00: He called the 2008 crash, and his fund returned over 138% in just a single year.
- 1:33SPEAKER_00: And it's tempting to look at that and think, this man can predict the future.
- 1:38SPEAKER_00: But he can't.
- 1:40SPEAKER_00: Nobody can.
- 1:42SPEAKER_00: If you get 10 million people predicting every World Cup match, someone ends up with a perfect scorecard.
- 1:50SPEAKER_00: That doesn't make them a genius, it just makes them lucky.
- 1:55SPEAKER_00: It's the law of large numbers at work and it's not foresight.
- 1:59SPEAKER_00: And what Remy is really telling us is to prepare for the unpredictable, not to try and forecast it.
- 2:06SPEAKER_00: So go in expecting the unexpected and keep your emotions in check.
- 2:11SPEAKER_00: Next up, Eeyore.
- 2:14SPEAKER_00: The nicest thing about the rain is that it stops eventually.
- 2:17SPEAKER_00: That's about as optimistic as Eeyore ever gets, and it's a good one.
- 2:22SPEAKER_00: Markets can go down for years at a time.
- 2:25SPEAKER_00: It hasn't happened in a while, but it will, again, eventually, and the worst thing you can do in that situation is sell.
- 2:34SPEAKER_00: Panic sell.
- 2:35SPEAKER_00: Time in the market beats timing the market.
- 2:38SPEAKER_00: And it's one of those lines that sounds very cliche, and it sort of is cliche, but if you look at the data, it holds up.
- 2:47SPEAKER_00: Let's go to the next Disney quote: Stitch.
- 2:55SPEAKER_01: Who are you?
- 2:58SPEAKER_01: This is my family.
- 3:01SPEAKER_01: I found it all on my own.
- 3:05SPEAKER_01: It's little and broken.
- 3:08SPEAKER_01: But still good.
- 3:11SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 3:12SPEAKER_01: Still good.
- 3:14SPEAKER_00: What happens after the rain stops falling on the market?
- 3:18SPEAKER_00: Your positions get dragged down with everything else.
- 3:22SPEAKER_00: Sometimes down 90% or more.
- 3:24SPEAKER_00: During the dot-com crash, Amazon's stock collapsed, even as its fundamentals kept moving in the right direction.
- 3:33SPEAKER_00: Jeff Bezos said it himself.
- 3:36SPEAKER_00: Separate the stock price from the business.
- 3:40SPEAKER_00: Stitch is making the same point, but in just fewer words.
- 3:44SPEAKER_00: Beaten down doesn't mean broken.
- 3:47SPEAKER_00: Some of the best opportunities show up looking exactly like that.
- 3:52SPEAKER_00: A little broken, but still good.
- 3:54SPEAKER_00: But there is a catch to that lesson, which brings us to our next Disney quote, Mufasa.
- 4:02SPEAKER_03: Simba, I'm very disappointed in you.
- 4:05SPEAKER_05: I know.
- 4:06SPEAKER_03: You could have been killed.
- 4:07SPEAKER_03: You deliberately disobeyed me.
- 4:09SPEAKER_03: And what's worse, you put Nala in danger.
- 4:13SPEAKER_05: I was just trying to be brave like you.
- 4:16SPEAKER_03: I'm only brave when I have to be.
- 4:19SPEAKER_03: Simba.
- 4:21SPEAKER_03: Being brave doesn't mean you go looking for trouble.
- 4:25SPEAKER_05: But you're not scared of anything.
- 4:28SPEAKER_00: I'm only brave when I have to be.
- 4:31SPEAKER_00: Being brave doesn't mean you go looking for trouble.
- 4:35SPEAKER_00: Simba Mufasa says this to Simba before the hyena territory scene in The Lion King, and it applies just as well to your portfolio.
- 4:46SPEAKER_00: Not every cheap, beaten-down company is a stitch situation.
- 4:52SPEAKER_00: Picture a company with a good product, but a balance sheet loaded with debt, interest rate spikes, so the stock falls, the interest expense climbs, and now the pressure internally compounds.
- 5:07SPEAKER_00: That's the moment to ask yourself, is buying here being brave and smart?
- 5:14SPEAKER_00: Or is this a company that can actually go bankrupt?
- 5:18SPEAKER_00: Sometimes the right move isn't to play the hero, it's just to walk away from the trouble entirely, which is what Mufasa actually meant.
- 5:28SPEAKER_00: Let's go to the merchant of Aladdin next.
- 5:32SPEAKER_02: Wait, don't go! I can see that you are only interested in the exceptionally rare.
- 5:37SPEAKER_02: I think then you will be most rewarded to consider this.
- 5:42SPEAKER_02: Do not be fooled by his commonplace appearance.
- 5:45SPEAKER_02: Like so many things, it is not what is outside, but what is inside that counts.
- 5:52SPEAKER_00: Like so many things, it is not what is outside but what is inside that counts.
- 5:58SPEAKER_00: Merchants exist to make things look more valuable than they are.
- 6:03SPEAKER_00: Most companies do as well.
- 6:05SPEAKER_00: Investor relations departments also do exactly the same thing.
- 6:10SPEAKER_00: Tattoo Chef is a good case study here.
- 6:14SPEAKER_00: It went public via a spec in 2020, plant-based frozen foods, and the investor deck was beautiful.
- 6:23SPEAKER_00: It said words like vertically integrated, strategic advantages, a good mode, all the right words, all the right shine, everything a good quality investor was looking for.
- 6:37SPEAKER_00: Then the company filed for bankruptcy in just three years, in 2023.
- 6:44SPEAKER_00: Every dollar that went into the strength of that story, gone.
- 6:49SPEAKER_00: Morgan Household puts it well.
- 6:52SPEAKER_00: The best story wins, not the best idea, not the most rational idea, or the most factual idea.
- 7:00SPEAKER_00: Whoever tells the story that gets people nodding along wins.
- 7:06SPEAKER_00: And our advice hasn't changed on this one.
- 7:09SPEAKER_00: Study the financials first.
- 7:12SPEAKER_00: Some of us would go further and say skip the investor presentation entirely.
- 7:19SPEAKER_00: Next up, finding Nemo.
- 7:22SPEAKER_00: Or rather, Dory is next.
- 7:25SPEAKER_05: Hey, Mr.
- 7:26SPEAKER_05: Grumpy Gills.
- 7:29SPEAKER_05: When life gets you down, you know what you gotta do.
- 7:31SPEAKER_04: I don't want to know what you gotta do.
- 7:32SPEAKER_05: Just keep swimming, just keep swimming, just keep swimming, swimming, swimming.
- 7:37SPEAKER_05: What do we do?
- 7:38SPEAKER_05: We swim, swim.
- 7:39SPEAKER_04: Dory no singing.
- 7:42SPEAKER_04: Do I love to swim in Dory when you want to swim you want to swing?
- 7:48SPEAKER_04: See, I'm gonna get stuck now with that song.
- 7:49SPEAKER_04: Now it's in my head.
- 7:51SPEAKER_04: Sorry.
- 7:52SPEAKER_00: What do we do?
- 7:54SPEAKER_00: We swim, swim, swim.
- 7:56SPEAKER_00: It sounds almost too simple, but Dory is describing compounding.
- 8:03SPEAKER_00: Time is the single most important variable in your equation.
- 8:08SPEAKER_00: And the only way to capture it is to stay invested, to keep swimming, continuously, not on and off.
- 8:16SPEAKER_00: iShares has the data on this.
- 8:19SPEAKER_00: Stay fully invested over a 20-year stretch, and you end up with 58% more than an investor who misses just the 5 best performing days in the same period.
- 8:32SPEAKER_00: 5 days out of 20 years.
- 8:36SPEAKER_00: That's the cost of trying to time it.
- 8:39SPEAKER_00: Next quote Rafiki from The Lion King again.
- 8:48SPEAKER_04: Ow! Jesus, what was that for?
- 8:50SPEAKER_04: It doesn't matter! It's in the past! Yeah, but it still hurts.
- 8:55SPEAKER_04: Oh yes, the past can hurt.
- 8:57SPEAKER_04: But the way I see it, you can either run from it or learn from it.
- 9:04SPEAKER_04: Ah, you see?
- 9:05SPEAKER_00: One of the most valuable things you can do as an investor is look honestly at your own track record, at your own decision making.
- 9:14SPEAKER_00: Most people don't beat the market over the long run.
- 9:17SPEAKER_00: It's a fact, not an insult.
- 9:20SPEAKER_00: If you go back through your own results and see structural underperformance, you shouldn't look away from it.
- 9:27SPEAKER_00: You should learn from it.
- 9:29SPEAKER_00: Sometimes the fix is generally simple.
- 9:32SPEAKER_00: A couple of low-cost ETFs might do more for your returns than another decade of stock picking.
- 9:39SPEAKER_00: It's not a fun thing to admit, it's painful, but the payoff comes later.
- 9:44SPEAKER_00: We have a useful tool for this on the TDI terminal where you can actually monitor and lock all your decisions and come back to it later to see how you did.
- 9:55SPEAKER_00: Let's close this episode off with a quote from Toy Story from Buzz Lightier.
- 10:02SPEAKER_00: What's important now is we stay together.
- 10:05SPEAKER_00: It's hard to hold on to every piece of investing wisdom on your own all the time.
- 10:10SPEAKER_00: It's not a flaw, it's just how it works.
- 10:13SPEAKER_00: Being around other, serious, like-minded investors compounds the learning the same way time compounds the returns.
- 10:22SPEAKER_00: That's the whole idea behind building the Dutch investors.
- 10:26SPEAKER_00: A community that learns with and from each other.
- 10:30SPEAKER_00: Build around an honest, repeatable process rather than hot tips or timing calls.
- 10:37SPEAKER_00: If any of these seven lessons landed for you, that's exactly the kind of thinking we're trying to build.
- 10:45SPEAKER_00: Episode by episode, deep dive by deep dive.
- 10:49SPEAKER_00: And if you're interested, we would love to have you along for the ride.
- 10:54SPEAKER_00: Check out thedutchinvestors.com for more information, and we'll see you in the next episode.
- 11:01SPEAKER_00: And like always, stay curious, keep learning, and happy investing!