Latest / Merryn Talks Money / John Law: The Gambler Who Invented Modern Money (Part 2)
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.
- 0:14Speaker 2: Are you ready for part two of the Joint Law Story.
- 0:16Speaker 1: I'm ready because I've listened to all of part one,
- 0:19Speaker 1: or rather recorded it with you, John. But anyone who
- 0:21Speaker 1: hasn't done that needs to go back and listen to
- 0:23Speaker 1: part one before they move on to part two.
- 0:26Speaker 3: Okay, so let's assume you've done that, and let's speak
- 0:29Speaker 3: in chapter four are battled superpower? So in seventeen fourteen,
- 0:51Speaker 3: Join Law arrives in France by his long term girlfriend
- 0:54Speaker 3: Katherine and their son William and their daughter Mary Catherine.
- 0:58Speaker 3: And so at this point the water is any succession
- 1:01Speaker 3: has just ended, and while France didn't exactly lose, it
- 1:05Speaker 3: didn't win either. So as a result of this, is
- 1:07Speaker 3: still one of the most powerful countries in Europe at
- 1:09Speaker 3: this point, but it's economically exhausted and it's very heavily
- 1:13Speaker 3: in debted to debt to GDP is actually sitting at
- 1:15Speaker 3: about one hundred percent. Familiar, Yes, yes, a bit too familiar.
- 1:20Speaker 3: So I mean fixing this is not easy at all, obviously,
- 1:23Speaker 3: as we know from our own experience. But compared with
- 1:26Speaker 3: England in particular, France has got a much more regressive
- 1:30Speaker 3: and efficient fiscal system. So in the tax side of
- 1:33Speaker 3: the things, most of the direct tax burden falls on
- 1:36Speaker 3: peasants and commoners, and the nobility and the upper classes
- 1:39Speaker 3: are largely exempt from that. And the king also sells
- 1:42Speaker 3: the right to collect taxes so effectively privatizes it. He
- 1:46Speaker 3: gets the money up front, Yeah, he gets the money
- 1:48Speaker 3: up front actively, and then they get to keep whatever
- 1:50Speaker 3: they can rake off on top.
- 1:52Speaker 1: So there's bidding walls for these rights. Right, you can
- 1:55Speaker 1: go and make a stab at how much money you'll
- 1:57Speaker 1: be able to get out of the peasants and bid.
- 1:59Speaker 2: For it absolute.
- 2:00Speaker 3: But also the other problem is it means that the
- 2:02Speaker 3: king is selling the right to collect taxes too cheaply.
- 2:06Speaker 3: Usually he's desperate for money because he needed to pay soldiers,
- 2:09Speaker 3: and that's for the kind of state borrowing side of things.
- 2:12Speaker 3: The king likes heavily and selling annuities whose income stream
- 2:16Speaker 3: is secured against future tax revenues, so he's kind of
- 2:19Speaker 3: mortgaging the tax base into the future. Basically, they sell
- 2:23Speaker 3: civil service jobs, so you know things like judges or
- 2:28Speaker 3: you know various other kind of posts and office holdings,
- 2:31Speaker 3: and those are hereditary and they come with various privileges.
- 2:35Speaker 1: And again it has the same effect. You pay up
- 2:37Speaker 1: front for the job, but then you collect the salary
- 2:39Speaker 1: and definitely.
- 2:39Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, it's all somewhat desperate ways actually raise money.
- 2:43Speaker 3: And the other thing is that, you know, he also
- 2:44Speaker 3: depends on short term loans from the tax farmers secured
- 2:48Speaker 3: against the tax revenues that they are going out to get,
- 2:51Speaker 3: so it is, it's all it's very hand to mouth.
- 2:54Speaker 3: And of course the other issue is obviously France is
- 2:57Speaker 3: an absolute monarch case still so to a great extent,
- 3:00Speaker 3: the king can technically default or restructure parts of this
- 3:05Speaker 3: debt if it gets too much, and occasionally will do that,
- 3:09Speaker 3: but the underlying system remains intact because basically, too many
- 3:12Speaker 3: people benefit from the state's quo and they don't really
- 3:14Speaker 3: want it to change. Long story shot, France has got
- 3:17Speaker 3: a narrow tax base in the very haphazard system is
- 3:19Speaker 3: sovereign borrowing, and that also means that funding the war
- 3:22Speaker 3: effort has left it really short the real money, and
- 3:25Speaker 3: so it's ended up issuing a lot of paper iouse
- 3:28Speaker 3: which are called ba data in French, and it's been
- 3:31Speaker 3: using them to pay off its military suppliers to pay
- 3:35Speaker 3: the tax farmers some of the money it owes them,
- 3:37Speaker 3: and pay the wages of the office holders. And so
- 3:40Speaker 3: it means that by the time Law arrives in France,
- 3:42Speaker 3: the place is a wash and something. It's not payper money,
- 3:45Speaker 3: but it is basically io used. That kind of are traded,
- 3:48Speaker 3: and they are sometimes used as a former money between people,
- 3:53Speaker 3: but they trade at massive discounts to their face value.
- 3:56Speaker 3: I mean, we're talking about around seventy percent. And that's
- 3:58Speaker 3: because no one expects to actually get paid in full,
- 4:01Speaker 3: because they don't trust the king to actually kind of
- 4:04Speaker 3: give them the money. And so this is what Laws
- 4:06Speaker 3: kind of like walking into when he lands in Paris
- 4:09Speaker 3: and he rents a big house near the Louvery now,
- 4:16Speaker 3: Law has been in Paris before. He'd pitched his land
- 4:19Speaker 3: bank idea to King Louis the fourteenth and seventeen oh seven,
- 4:23Speaker 3: and he'd been rejected, just as he was in Scotland
- 4:25Speaker 3: and England. But by now louis very elderly, and in
- 4:28Speaker 3: seventeen fifteen he dies. The good news for John Law
- 4:33Speaker 3: is that Louis the fifteenth who's Louis the fourteenths grandson,
- 4:36Speaker 3: and there is only five years old, so they needs
- 4:39Speaker 3: someone to act as regent until he reaches his maturity.
- 4:43Speaker 3: And that person turns out to be Philippe the second,
- 4:46Speaker 3: who's the Duke of Orleans. And this is a guy
- 4:48Speaker 3: that Law had befriended at the gaming tables on his
- 4:51Speaker 3: previous trip to Paris, and Philippe is already quite receptive
- 4:55Speaker 3: to Law's ideas. They're kind of kindred spirits in many ways.
- 4:58Speaker 3: They both enjoy gambling, they're both interested in new ideas.
- 5:02Speaker 3: But in the immediate term, the Duke has got two problems,
- 5:05Speaker 3: and one is that the French finances on such a
- 5:07Speaker 3: state that something just needs to be done about it immediately.
- 5:11Speaker 3: And the other problem he's got is that the vested
- 5:13Speaker 3: interests who kind of benefit from the states quo are
- 5:15Speaker 3: not that keen on the idea of an outsider light
- 5:18Speaker 3: Law coming in to shake things up. So in early
- 5:21Speaker 3: seventeen sixty, my Law is still discussing establishing this bank,
- 5:25Speaker 3: the Duke issues a massive crackdown on the richest people
- 5:28Speaker 3: in France at that time.
- 5:29Speaker 1: What do you mean by crackdown?
- 5:31Speaker 3: It's almost as if h and Marc just calls them
- 5:33Speaker 3: all in to do kind of a massive tax audit,
- 5:36Speaker 3: and then if it looks as if you know you're
- 5:38Speaker 3: havn't major money and exactly the way the King approves of,
- 5:42Speaker 3: then you'll have to take a haircut.
- 5:44Speaker 4: Some of them even go to jail.
- 5:45Speaker 3: There's a few dead sentences passed, although none of those
- 5:48Speaker 3: actually get carried out. Because the thing is they also
- 5:51Speaker 3: realize that actually, we rely on these guys, so we
- 5:54Speaker 3: need to put the frighteners on them.
- 5:56Speaker 4: But we can't.
- 5:57Speaker 1: It's going to say, surely of doing stuff like this
- 5:58Speaker 1: cuts off the supply of new money, you go chuck
- 6:01Speaker 1: people in jail, etcetera, etcetera. Maybe they go lend them
- 6:03Speaker 1: money to the UK or Spain.
- 6:05Speaker 2: Instead, exactly and so wisely.
- 6:07Speaker 3: I mean this is interesting because John Law actually he
- 6:09Speaker 3: says to the Duke, look, this is a bad idea
- 6:12Speaker 3: because he knows it will result in a credit crunch.
- 6:14Speaker 3: But the good thing from Law's point of view is
- 6:16Speaker 3: that this basically puts a lot of people out of
- 6:18Speaker 3: the picture who have been objected to the idea of
- 6:20Speaker 3: setting up this kind of alternative way of financing this
- 6:24Speaker 3: state or what they see as a threat, because in
- 6:27Speaker 3: the end the Duke does give them the go ahead
- 6:29Speaker 3: it's a much less ambitcious version of the project that
- 6:32Speaker 3: he eventually wants to get into. But in May seventeen sixteen,
- 6:36Speaker 3: that's when he sets up the General Bank or the
- 6:39Speaker 3: Bonk General as the French call it, and this makes
- 6:42Speaker 3: a small private bank in Paris. For context, you've got
- 6:46Speaker 3: the kind of French colonomy. Prison economy is experiencing physical crisis.
- 6:51Speaker 1: And you've got a credit crunch because nobody trust anybody anymore.
- 6:55Speaker 1: They didn't want to lend money anymore. Some of them
- 6:57Speaker 1: in jail they ever to take haircuts on their debt.
- 6:58Speaker 1: They're all fit up the back to you the whole time,
- 7:01Speaker 1: So everyone's just sitting on that cash exactly.
- 7:04Speaker 3: And also the other thing is they key point pushing
- 7:07Speaker 3: through currency devaluations. This is important to what happens next.
- 7:11Speaker 3: So the time metal is money, you get bits of
- 7:15Speaker 3: paper flying the boot at the end of the day.
- 7:17Speaker 3: The reason that bits of paper have any value at
- 7:20Speaker 3: all is because their promises back by gold or silver,
- 7:24Speaker 3: So you get gold to have and copper for lower
- 7:25Speaker 3: value coins. But the coins themselves, they are actually denominated
- 7:30Speaker 3: in the unit of account. So like in Britain, we've
- 7:32Speaker 3: got the pound, sterling, there isn't actually a gold coin
- 7:36Speaker 3: called the pound sterling, but that's what the kind of
- 7:39Speaker 3: coins are denominated in. So in France it's the liverra.
- 7:43Speaker 3: So this is what contracts in wages and debts are
- 7:46Speaker 3: denominated in. So if you are working for someone or
- 7:51Speaker 3: you owe someone money, then they will be described in
- 7:54Speaker 3: a certain amount of levra. But that's how they debase
- 7:56Speaker 3: the currency. Take an example from Longtowan Murphy's book on
- 8:04Speaker 3: John Law. So let's say you get ten gold coins
- 8:06Speaker 3: in seventeen fifteen. That's ten louis door. They're worth one
- 8:10Speaker 3: hundred and forty livres in total, so fourteen livre each.
- 8:15Speaker 3: So you now take them in the nearest mint, and
- 8:16Speaker 3: this is how the revaluation happens. The mint stamps them,
- 8:20Speaker 3: so each of these coins is now a louis d'Or
- 8:22Speaker 3: reform a, but they're now technically worth twenty livre each.
- 8:26Speaker 3: So you came in with one hundred and forty livra,
- 8:29Speaker 3: you go out again with one hundred and sixty livre
- 8:31Speaker 3: because they give you a bit extra to make it
- 8:33Speaker 3: worth your.
- 8:33Speaker 4: While changing them.
- 8:34Speaker 3: But the things you came in with ten gold coins,
- 8:36Speaker 3: and you're actually only going out with eight, so it
- 8:39Speaker 3: looks as if you're getting more money you came in with,
- 8:41Speaker 3: but in fact the gold itself has been devalued in
- 8:44Speaker 3: LEVRA terms.
- 8:50Speaker 1: So why would you take your money in? Well, take
- 8:53Speaker 1: your money in, You take your money in, you give
- 8:55Speaker 1: it to them, they give you back list. It's like
- 8:57Speaker 1: beings like being Paya and.
- 8:58Speaker 2: The UK these days, exactly exactly.
- 9:01Speaker 3: I mean it's partly because you have to kind of legally,
- 9:04Speaker 3: but of course what.
- 9:05Speaker 1: Money you have under your bed, in your safe, well.
- 9:08Speaker 3: There's an awful lot of informers. I mean, this is
- 9:10Speaker 3: the other thing. It's it's the kind of different, kind
- 9:13Speaker 3: of and quite nasty world. But the things but you're right,
- 9:15Speaker 3: the more aggressive the kind of recoinage is, the more
- 9:19Speaker 3: people avoid it. So the things people do, things like
- 9:21Speaker 3: they smuggle their money out to be stamped in private
- 9:23Speaker 3: workshops in Holland. Some of them even just send out
- 9:26Speaker 3: the country to get melted down and get the money
- 9:28Speaker 3: from that. So basically means that money is kind of
- 9:30Speaker 3: flooding out the country or being hidden in people's basements.
- 9:33Speaker 3: So again that contributes to this credit crunch as well.
- 9:36Speaker 3: But as part of the reason that the General Bank
- 9:39Speaker 3: actually ends up being quite successful. Not a listed company,
- 9:43Speaker 3: but it does issue shares and they form the bank's capital,
- 9:47Speaker 3: and John Law himself has about a quarter of that,
- 9:49Speaker 3: so he stakes a lot of money on the line.
- 9:52Speaker 3: In total, it's six million livre is the capital of
- 9:56Speaker 3: the bank, and he's subscribed for a quarter of that
- 10:00Speaker 3: gives it he's backing as well. It's not clear how
- 10:03Speaker 3: much he personally subscribed for, but it was probably a fair chunk,
- 10:06Speaker 3: and to keep the region happy, a lot of the
- 10:09Speaker 3: financiers who he's been cracking down on also chip in money.
- 10:13Speaker 3: The other reason people are happy to subscribe for the shares,
- 10:15Speaker 3: of course, is that they can swap their heavily discounted
- 10:17Speaker 3: state I'll use the BA data for shares in the
- 10:21Speaker 3: bank at full face value. So the initial capital base
- 10:24Speaker 3: of the bank is relatively small, but despite that, once
- 10:27Speaker 3: it takes off, is pretty successful at reinvigorating trade in
- 10:31Speaker 3: a credit crunch stricken Paris. For a start, he's offering
- 10:35Speaker 3: banking services and making loans at much cheaper rates than
- 10:39Speaker 3: anyone else. But fundamentally what people really like is laws
- 10:43Speaker 3: bank notes. You go in, you put your money in,
- 10:47Speaker 3: and you get a banknote. Back, But the bank notes
- 10:51Speaker 3: are written for basically the amount is silver that you
- 10:54Speaker 3: put in rather than the lever value.
- 10:58Speaker 4: Of the silver.
- 11:00Speaker 3: If you put ten silver coins in and get a
- 11:02Speaker 3: bank note back from Law's bank, you can go in
- 11:05Speaker 3: a year later, six months later, and even if the
- 11:09Speaker 3: coin is just being devalued, you will still get ten
- 11:12Speaker 3: silver coins back.
- 11:13Speaker 1: Okay, so it's better than the other money.
- 11:16Speaker 2: Why back?
- 11:17Speaker 3: I find this really fascinating, quite ironic. He starts off
- 11:21Speaker 3: by creating paper money that is harder than the metal
- 11:24Speaker 3: money that.
- 11:25Speaker 4: Is in circulation.
- 11:27Speaker 3: Amazing, so people start to feel confidence because basically he
- 11:31Speaker 3: restores sound money in Paris. By doing this, it also
- 11:37Speaker 3: makes its initial shareholders very wealthy. The bank ends up
- 11:40Speaker 3: running the reserve ratio of about twenty five percent, and
- 11:42Speaker 3: the writer James Bucking estimates it could have been making
- 11:45Speaker 3: about a million leave a year writing loans at four
- 11:48Speaker 3: percent interest. So as a result, when the shareholders a
- 11:51Speaker 3: letter bought out by the regent, which we'll get to
- 11:53Speaker 3: in a minute, they've made six times their money.
- 11:57Speaker 1: Nice, Okay, it's worth doing. That's an easier way to
- 12:01Speaker 1: make money than setting up a par of gaming tables.
- 12:10Speaker 3: Chapter five, The buff of the Mississippi Company. Okay, so
- 12:18Speaker 3: by early seventeen seventeen, the General Bank has helped alleviate
- 12:22Speaker 3: the immediate credit crunch in France. But it's just the
- 12:25Speaker 3: beginning the laws plans. Now he's can attackled the national
- 12:28Speaker 3: debt and all those dodgy IO used the BA data
- 12:31Speaker 3: that are still flying around, and that's where the next
- 12:34Speaker 3: part of the scheme comes in.
- 12:35Speaker 1: All right, Okay, don This is a bit I always
- 12:36Speaker 1: find incredibly confusing. If I'm really honest, it's tough for
- 12:39Speaker 1: me to see how we get from this relatively small
- 12:42Speaker 1: bank suddenly taking on the national debt and being this
- 12:46Speaker 1: huge company.
- 12:47Speaker 3: Yes, I'm not surprised. That is quite confusing, but we'll
- 12:50Speaker 3: do our best to talk you too how it does
- 12:53Speaker 3: that over the course of roughly eighteen ones to two years.
- 12:59Speaker 3: So we're starting Louisiana. I mean, this is not Louisiana
- 13:02Speaker 3: as we know it today. Instead, it's in the area
- 13:05Speaker 3: that encompasses basically like half the landmass of the present
- 13:08Speaker 3: day United States. And what had happened is French fur
- 13:11Speaker 3: traders from Canadian colonies had claimed it for King Louis
- 13:14Speaker 3: in the late sixteen hundreds, and he'd established a small
- 13:17Speaker 3: house post there. So about seventeen seventeen this year that
- 13:21Speaker 3: we're talking about, the right to develop the colony is
- 13:24Speaker 3: owned by one of the big French financiers, one of
- 13:26Speaker 3: the tax farmers basically. But when he's caught up and
- 13:30Speaker 3: the tax crackdown that we mentioned earlier, he gives back
- 13:33Speaker 3: the concession as part payment for his overdue taxes basically,
- 13:38Speaker 3: and it's at that point the Law says, well, look,
- 13:40Speaker 3: I'll take over this concession and then what we'll do
- 13:44Speaker 3: is we'll set up a company, will issue shares, will
- 13:47Speaker 3: allow people to buy the shares with the BEA data,
- 13:51Speaker 3: and that will help us to get rid of that
- 13:53Speaker 3: and consolidate that debt. So basically Law wants to clean
- 13:57Speaker 3: up the public finances.
- 14:01Speaker 1: Okay, so he must get rid of the outstanding bills.
- 14:04Speaker 1: So he buys this trade monopoly and says, you can
- 14:10Speaker 1: have shares in exchange for the bills. Yes, but then
- 14:14Speaker 1: he has all the bills and everybody else has the shares.
- 14:19Speaker 1: Bills are off the market, but they still exists.
- 14:22Speaker 3: I know. This is the clever bit. The deal is
- 14:24Speaker 3: that when the bills are swapped for the shares, the
- 14:27Speaker 3: bills get destroyed then return the King will pay the
- 14:32Speaker 3: company of perpetual annuity, which is backed by specific tax revenues.
- 14:36Speaker 3: Is actually a new stamp, its new stamp duty that
- 14:38Speaker 3: they introduced, believe it or not, which will we use
- 14:40Speaker 3: to find a dividend payment of four percent a year.
- 14:44Speaker 3: So what's happening is the shareholder is getting to swap
- 14:48Speaker 3: a rubbish bit of paper I owe you from the
- 14:51Speaker 3: King that they don't have a great daily confidence will
- 14:54Speaker 3: get repaid. And there's getting instead face value swapped rather
- 14:59Speaker 3: than heavily discounted. They're getting a stake in a company
- 15:02Speaker 3: there's promising to pay them four percent a year anyway,
- 15:06Speaker 3: plus the added potential for you know, what happens we
- 15:09Speaker 3: trade and what happens with the colony in the future.
- 15:12Speaker 3: So he's getting the equity steak.
- 15:14Speaker 1: And you got a stream of the income. Yeah, and
- 15:16Speaker 1: you get the potential for future upside exactly.
- 15:19Speaker 3: And all you're giving up is an IOU that he
- 15:21Speaker 3: probably didn't expect to get paid anyway. And the king, well,
- 15:25Speaker 3: as the king goes, he's getting to retire loads of
- 15:28Speaker 3: independent kind of short term IOUs that are road to
- 15:31Speaker 3: thousands of individuals for one long term debt that is
- 15:36Speaker 3: owed to just one company. Does that kind of make
- 15:40Speaker 3: some sunds?
- 15:41Speaker 1: Yes, it helps a lot, thank you.
- 15:46Speaker 3: So he's one to swop the French national debt for
- 15:49Speaker 3: equity in a colonial exploration company. He's not just making
- 15:55Speaker 3: this up. The company does exist and over the next
- 15:59Speaker 3: couple of years, the invest in ships, they send colonists
- 16:03Speaker 3: off to Louisiana. Gradually he also takes over more parts
- 16:09Speaker 3: of the state, so he gets the monopoly on the
- 16:12Speaker 3: tobacco trade for example. Basically the Mississippi Company does manage
- 16:16Speaker 3: to wash its face.
- 16:18Speaker 4: Over this time.
- 16:19Speaker 3: It makes enough money to pay dividends out to its shareholders,
- 16:24Speaker 3: so it's came people happy and the money is coming
- 16:26Speaker 3: in from the tobacco trade and from kind of various
- 16:29Speaker 3: other bits of business that it does. But setting up
- 16:32Speaker 3: a colony is very difficult, in time consuming and capital intensive.
- 16:37Speaker 3: And the truth is there's lots of fairly grim stories
- 16:40Speaker 3: that come out here. The initial settlers are largely poor
- 16:43Speaker 3: and desperate people hoping for a better life. But the
- 16:46Speaker 3: longer run is it drags on and it's not obviously
- 16:49Speaker 3: turning into a massively prosperous area. You get more and
- 16:53Speaker 3: more people being just sent out there, so prisoners being
- 16:56Speaker 3: sent out. There are stories of convicts and prostitutes kind
- 16:59Speaker 3: of getting married on the talk and then sent out. Overall,
- 17:02Speaker 3: there is no point in which Louisiana is economically significant
- 17:06Speaker 3: to France, like even many years into the future. So
- 17:10Speaker 3: while it's definitely a real project, I think it is
- 17:12Speaker 3: also fair to say that it mostly plays a role
- 17:14Speaker 3: as a carrot to attract people to swap their government
- 17:17Speaker 3: debt for equity and I kind of stake in a
- 17:20Speaker 3: blue Sky's company.
- 17:22Speaker 4: So it's not.
- 17:23Speaker 3: Successful immediately, and then by December seventeen eighteen, what harms
- 17:29Speaker 3: is that France ends.
- 17:30Speaker 4: Up going back to war with Spain again.
- 17:33Speaker 3: This is when Law has got his opportunity to change
- 17:36Speaker 3: the General Bank to the Royal Bank, so basically it
- 17:40Speaker 3: becomes the French Central Bank. Effectively, the other shareholders are
- 17:45Speaker 3: bought out, so this is the point at which they
- 17:47Speaker 3: make six times of money. The king now owns the bank,
- 17:51Speaker 3: and the important thing is that the Royal Bank can.
- 17:55Speaker 1: Issue How does the king own the bank?
- 18:00Speaker 3: Basically, the other shareholders are bought out by Law and
- 18:02Speaker 3: the Law then sells the bank to the regent.
- 18:05Speaker 1: Does he do that because he's got something greater in mind.
- 18:08Speaker 3: Is useful to understand that he really does want to
- 18:13Speaker 3: see his system take off. He is minted himself, so
- 18:17Speaker 3: at this point he owns a lot of estates in France,
- 18:21Speaker 3: he has plenty of money, and he's thoroughly embedded with
- 18:24Speaker 3: the monarchy.
- 18:26Speaker 4: Anyway.
- 18:27Speaker 3: Basically, the whole driving force throughout his intellectual career is
- 18:34Speaker 3: to sever money and credit from gold, because he doesn't
- 18:40Speaker 3: see why a country's entire economy and money supply should
- 18:46Speaker 3: be subject to what he sees is the vagaries of
- 18:49Speaker 3: precious metal supply. And that's one reason why in his
- 18:53Speaker 3: early proposals he wants to back money with land, because
- 18:58Speaker 3: a land can't leave your country and be He kind
- 19:01Speaker 3: of sees it as the source of all the productive
- 19:05Speaker 3: work an economy. But by this point he's going beyond that,
- 19:09Speaker 3: and he said, well, actually there's a lot of impracticalities
- 19:11Speaker 3: to the land, But why do we need anything back
- 19:15Speaker 3: in money at all? We can run an economy basically
- 19:19Speaker 3: just on credit and on paper. As long as there's
- 19:23Speaker 3: not too much paper and too little stuff, then the
- 19:25Speaker 3: credit and the paper will stimulate activity.
- 19:28Speaker 1: So the king and the bank John Law basically controls
- 19:31Speaker 1: money supply. Yeah, and we're off on as you put it,
- 19:36Speaker 1: the roads were fully fair currency bye by gold.
- 19:40Speaker 3: And this is what's so revolutionary about laws. Thinking paper
- 19:44Speaker 3: money is self isn't new, But the idea that it's
- 19:47Speaker 3: the state that you should control and manage the money
- 19:50Speaker 3: supply rather than being beholden to underlying the availability of
- 19:54Speaker 3: gold and precious metals and specie is much more radical.
- 19:58Speaker 3: I mean in the way he's kind of enter suppating,
- 20:00Speaker 3: like you know, two hundred years ahead of time. John
- 20:03Speaker 3: Maynard Kensey's view that the gold standard is a barbarous
- 20:06Speaker 3: relic that just gets in the way of efficient economic management.
- 20:26Speaker 3: Chapter six inflating the bubble. So the missis Zippi Company
- 20:34Speaker 3: has been gradually expanding, but May seventeen nineteen's when things
- 20:38Speaker 3: really start getting going. So lawd decays to buy out
- 20:41Speaker 3: the other trading companies in France, and his end goal
- 20:44Speaker 3: is to have the Mississippi Company own everything, every monopoly,
- 20:48Speaker 3: every trading privilege, control of the money supply, and essentially
- 20:52Speaker 3: basically most other state functions all under one roof. So
- 20:56Speaker 3: the first batch in missus Zippy shares is issued at
- 20:59Speaker 3: five hundred lire each and the price hasn't changed much
- 21:02Speaker 3: since then. These are known as Lea Mayer or the Mothers.
- 21:06Speaker 3: So the Law announces a new issue known as lay
- 21:09Speaker 3: Fee or the Daughters, and this is to raise funds
- 21:12Speaker 3: to buy the trading companies and pay for some more ships.
- 21:15Speaker 3: But what he does is he allows people who buy
- 21:17Speaker 3: these and installments so you only have to put ten
- 21:19Speaker 3: percent down. In other words, you can leverage up your bets.
- 21:23Speaker 3: He also underwrites the share issue himself to post confidence
- 21:26Speaker 3: in it, and as a result, it actually ends up
- 21:29Speaker 3: being oversubscribed. That's what they then do is they actually
- 21:32Speaker 3: restrict the initial offering to the people who already own
- 21:36Speaker 3: shares in others, people who already own the mothers, so
- 21:40Speaker 3: they're the ones that can get in on the ground.
- 21:42Speaker 3: And people start to get a bit more excited about
- 21:44Speaker 3: all this, partly because there's a wider bubble going on
- 21:47Speaker 3: people are getting excited about stocks in general, but also
- 21:50Speaker 3: because Law has been printing lots of banknotes and people
- 21:53Speaker 3: need somebody to.
- 21:54Speaker 4: Put that money.
- 21:55Speaker 3: And so as the share price starts to go up,
- 21:57Speaker 3: so it goes up from about five hundred to six hundred,
- 22:00Speaker 3: and then in June. Some months later they kind of
- 22:03Speaker 3: they've gone up further, and by mid July they're up
- 22:06Speaker 3: to one thousand and all this time he's issuing kind
- 22:10Speaker 3: of extra notes and this actually continues throughout that year,
- 22:14Speaker 3: and that you've got the mares, then you've got the fear.
- 22:16Speaker 3: Then you end up getting the issues called the Legrong fear.
- 22:20Speaker 3: And it's all very profitable because people can also sell
- 22:23Speaker 3: their rights to.
- 22:24Speaker 1: These, They can sell the right to buy them.
- 22:26Speaker 4: They can sell the right to buy them as.
- 22:28Speaker 1: They're effectively selling options.
- 22:30Speaker 3: Exactly, so you're selling options as well, and so people
- 22:33Speaker 3: getting more and more excited about getting in on the
- 22:37Speaker 3: ground with this because the people who owned the mares
- 22:40Speaker 3: have now seen the value of those shares kind of
- 22:43Speaker 3: maybe doubled or more in the space about three months.
- 22:47Speaker 3: The big kind of turning point is when in August
- 22:51Speaker 3: he says, right, we're going to raise one point two
- 22:54Speaker 3: billion lavor and we're going to buy the whole national debt.
- 22:59Speaker 3: We're going to buy the outstanding be A data, we're
- 23:03Speaker 3: going to get ready the annuities. Ideally, we're going to
- 23:07Speaker 3: get ready the jobs for the boys. Basically, they kind
- 23:10Speaker 3: of hang us on roles that are in the Royal
- 23:14Speaker 3: Court and also take over tax collection. So it's going
- 23:19Speaker 3: to buy the right which is currently private with someone else,
- 23:24Speaker 3: is going to buy that right off the king, the
- 23:26Speaker 3: right to collect tax, so basically putting everything under the
- 23:32Speaker 3: Mississippi Company, from the money supply to tax collection to
- 23:37Speaker 3: managing the national debt.
- 23:39Speaker 1: Okay, so we've got the beginning of a bubble going here. Yeah,
- 23:43Speaker 1: shares going up a lot, Everyone's beginning to get excited. Yeah,
- 23:48Speaker 1: shares going up in other countries to all over the place.
- 23:51Speaker 3: Yes, And so this is proably when the kind of
- 23:57Speaker 3: real kind of excitement takes off. Chapter seven, Fun and
- 24:07Speaker 3: the rue Can Campois.
- 24:13Speaker 4: This is where it all starts to go a bit nuts.
- 24:17Speaker 3: And most of the kind of stories from around this
- 24:19Speaker 3: time are focused around the rue Can camp Follo, which
- 24:22Speaker 3: is a like exchange alley in London. It's where everyone
- 24:26Speaker 3: goes to trade shares. It's kind of rowdy, it's kind
- 24:31Speaker 3: of messy. It's very much all the talk of the town.
- 24:35Speaker 3: I guess it's like crypto boys. Maybe there's one clerk
- 24:38Speaker 3: at the British embassy who says that the streets just
- 24:41Speaker 3: crowded from early morning to late at night with princes
- 24:44Speaker 3: and princesses and dukes and peers and duchesses in the world.
- 24:48Speaker 4: All that is great.
- 24:49Speaker 3: In France, they cell estates and they point jewels to
- 24:51Speaker 3: purchase Mississippi. All the news of this town is stopped jobbing.
- 24:55Speaker 3: The French heads seemed turned to nothing else at present.
- 25:00Speaker 3: But the other thing that people are noticing is that
- 25:02Speaker 3: prices are going up, so rising land prices, and this
- 25:06Speaker 3: is because obviously the money supply is exploding as well.
- 25:10Speaker 3: There's a local duke who notes that rising prices are
- 25:13Speaker 3: encouraging agricultural workers to cultivate land hasn't previously been farmed,
- 25:18Speaker 3: so it's becoming worth people's wild to go out and
- 25:22Speaker 3: work on the harder land because the price of it
- 25:25Speaker 3: is going up. I mean of the share price keeps
- 25:29Speaker 3: going up and up and up, like for example, in
- 25:32Speaker 3: in October, the highest six thousand, five hundred and the
- 25:34Speaker 3: lowest four thousand, six hundred. It's quite volatile. In November
- 25:38Speaker 3: there's a higher nine thousand, eight hundred and the lowest
- 25:41Speaker 3: six thousand, seven hundred.
- 25:42Speaker 1: It's really moving.
- 25:44Speaker 3: Yeah, And also people are coming in as well. So
- 25:47Speaker 3: between November eighteenth and the twenty second, the share price
- 25:50Speaker 3: surduced from seven thousand, two fifty to nine thousand because
- 25:53Speaker 3: one British invoice is a great number of people came
- 25:56Speaker 3: from the provinces and they all all arrived at once
- 25:59Speaker 3: in the street on Saturday last.
- 26:01Speaker 4: So basically there's are.
- 26:02Speaker 3: Many people are coming weighed buying the shares. They're able
- 26:07Speaker 3: to do it in leverage, and you're also able to
- 26:09Speaker 3: do it via futures. So I kind of type of
- 26:13Speaker 3: futures market has been set up where traders are basically
- 26:16Speaker 3: saying we'll take missus Zippy stock off your hands in
- 26:21Speaker 3: March next year, so March seventeen twenty for twelve thousand,
- 26:25Speaker 3: five hundred liv. So these traders are better in March,
- 26:29Speaker 3: the share price will have risen from nine thousand to
- 26:32Speaker 3: obviously more than twelve thousand, five hundred, because otherwise they
- 26:35Speaker 3: wouldn't be offering twelve and a half thousand for it.
- 26:38Speaker 3: So you're seeing actually a lot of kind of financial
- 26:43Speaker 3: innovation alongside.
- 26:45Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm always nervous of the phrase financial innovation, jon
- 26:48Speaker 1: as you know, and here it comes right And one
- 26:53Speaker 1: of the things you say this is when we first
- 26:54Speaker 1: get the word millionaires, it's used.
- 26:57Speaker 3: Or it appears to have been used first in the
- 26:58Speaker 3: kind of the same local newspaper, and Voltaire uses the
- 27:02Speaker 3: world as well. Basically says, if you all lost your
- 27:05Speaker 3: minds the taught company Paris, and the talk is of
- 27:08Speaker 3: nothing but millions.
- 27:09Speaker 1: Okay, so we've got a millionaires. They're all over the place.
- 27:12Speaker 1: This is temporarily good.
- 27:15Speaker 4: Really good.
- 27:16Speaker 3: But obviously he's driving up prices as well. Retail prices
- 27:19Speaker 3: are going up, and that's not ideal for people who
- 27:21Speaker 3: haven't been speculating in the shares. But I mean, obviously
- 27:24Speaker 3: Law is kind of enjoying himself. He's popular, he's kind
- 27:28Speaker 3: of widely liked. In January seventeen twenty, he's made controller
- 27:33Speaker 3: generality phenoes. So basically he's made the equivalent of the
- 27:37Speaker 3: Prime Minister, Chancellor, Exchequer kind of rolled into one. So
- 27:41Speaker 3: I think, so this is kind of the magazine cover moment.
- 27:43Speaker 3: He's basically the most powerful man in friends. It's certainly
- 27:46Speaker 3: one of the richest private citizens in Europe and there
- 27:49Speaker 3: for the world. And so the only way is down.
- 27:55Speaker 3: Chapter eight laws fall from Grace for the first quarter
- 28:03Speaker 3: of seventeen twenty. It seems as if it's still rumbling along.
- 28:07Speaker 3: This is the point at which he starts to demonetize
- 28:12Speaker 3: gold and silver. So if you're spending over a certain
- 28:16Speaker 3: amount of money, it has to be in bank notes,
- 28:19Speaker 3: not in gold or silver. He wants to stop gold
- 28:23Speaker 3: and silver being taking a basis of the kind of
- 28:26Speaker 3: money system people are, okay, we're trading in their golden
- 28:30Speaker 3: silver at first, much for the same reason that they
- 28:32Speaker 3: wear whenever he originally set up the General Bank, because
- 28:36Speaker 3: there's coinfidence in paper money, and there's also a sense
- 28:39Speaker 3: that it's more immune to devaluation than coinage. But equally
- 28:45Speaker 3: a lot of people have now made quite a bit
- 28:47Speaker 3: of profit. People are noticing prices generally going up, and
- 28:52Speaker 3: Law himself, I think is keenly aware that he's printed
- 28:55Speaker 3: too much money. I think the first point at which
- 28:58Speaker 3: he starts to panic is is a bit later in January,
- 29:02Speaker 3: and one thing that he's doing he's watching the futures market,
- 29:06Speaker 3: and at this point the share price shares peaks at
- 29:10Speaker 3: ten one hundred livre. So Law, because he is worried
- 29:16Speaker 3: about the a the extent of the speculation, which is
- 29:19Speaker 3: quite disruptive and rowdy, also about the money supply, wants
- 29:24Speaker 3: to flood the futures market with a different kind of
- 29:27Speaker 3: contract called a prime, and this is basically a futures
- 29:31Speaker 3: contract that says, in March, you'll be able to buy
- 29:34Speaker 3: Missus Ippy shares for ten thousand round thirteen thousand. So
- 29:38Speaker 3: the idea here is he's basically trying to encourage people
- 29:40Speaker 3: to realize that the shares aren't going to go any
- 29:43Speaker 3: higher and they should stop bidding them up. But what
- 29:47Speaker 3: happens instead is that people actually buy the primes and
- 29:52Speaker 3: then start to pay a premium for the primes because
- 29:54Speaker 3: they're like, oh, wait a minute, this gives me an
- 29:56Speaker 3: option buy the shares for much cheaper than they're definitely
- 30:00Speaker 3: going to pay in three months time, and so they
- 30:03Speaker 3: start to do that, and not only that, they actually
- 30:05Speaker 3: start to sell their underlying shares to buy the derivatives.
- 30:09Speaker 3: So that actually puts pressure on the share price of
- 30:12Speaker 3: the Mississippi Company, pushes it down, while at the same
- 30:15Speaker 3: time people are paying well over the odds, like two
- 30:17Speaker 3: and three hundred percent of the price of the primes
- 30:20Speaker 3: to kind of get the option that kind of buying.
- 30:22Speaker 4: These shares in the future.
- 30:23Speaker 3: So that's one thing that kind of starts to I
- 30:27Speaker 3: guess show that a he's rattled and start to actually
- 30:30Speaker 3: rattle the wider market, and then the next month options
- 30:35Speaker 3: trading is banned. Law has always been during his rise
- 30:41Speaker 3: quite pro the free market, so he's objected to various
- 30:45Speaker 3: coercive measures in the past, but now that he is
- 30:49Speaker 3: realizing that his system make any trouble, he's not remotely
- 30:52Speaker 3: above using coercion or attempting to use coercion to get
- 30:56Speaker 3: people to do what he wants and get it to work.
- 31:00Speaker 1: Don't like him anymore, all they'll be honest, he was always.
- 31:02Speaker 4: A murder Yeah, he's obvious. I mean to be fun.
- 31:05Speaker 2: That probably was self defense, standing up for my man.
- 31:07Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 31:08Speaker 3: And then so in February again they also the attempts
- 31:12Speaker 3: to suppress specie get much more aggressive, and so the
- 31:16Speaker 3: metal coin needs just devalued again and to other to
- 31:19Speaker 3: encourage people to swap their specie, their golden silver for
- 31:22Speaker 3: paper notes. And then he bands diamonds and jewelry stop
- 31:26Speaker 3: people from turning their their gains into metal. But the
- 31:29Speaker 3: great thing is there's a loophole for church ornaments. So
- 31:32Speaker 3: suddenly golden silver crucifixes just become really popular. They start
- 31:36Speaker 3: paying people big rewards to inform on their neighbors and
- 31:39Speaker 3: their friends. But obviously this all makes people a bit
- 31:43Speaker 3: more paranoid about what's going on, and so they kind
- 31:46Speaker 3: of like they want to convert their shares into gold.
- 31:49Speaker 3: They want to basically get their paper money turned into
- 31:52Speaker 3: something else.
- 31:53Speaker 1: I feel like that, John, we all felt like that.
- 31:56Speaker 4: We feel like that now.
- 31:57Speaker 3: But really the big clanger, and this is where he
- 32:00Speaker 3: really does seem you have either not thought it through
- 32:04Speaker 3: or just just not really realized what was going to happen.
- 32:07Speaker 3: So in May he issues and order. So the Missus
- 32:12Speaker 3: Zippy shares are training at about nine thousand lever and
- 32:15Speaker 3: he says, right, there's too much money floating about Frans.
- 32:20Speaker 3: We need to rain in the money supply. What we're
- 32:23Speaker 3: going to do is we're going to have to value
- 32:24Speaker 3: the shares. The shares are going to be fixed, the
- 32:26Speaker 3: ships are can be fixed at five thousand levs, half
- 32:29Speaker 3: of what it is just now. I said, But it's
- 32:31Speaker 3: okay because the banknotes are going to be reduced in
- 32:33Speaker 3: value by the same amount, so you still you still
- 32:36Speaker 3: get the same relative amount. So this is really just
- 32:41Speaker 3: an adjustment. And of course everybody goes ballistic because there's
- 32:45Speaker 3: people that have done things like soldier houses to you know,
- 32:49Speaker 3: buy the missus Ippi shares. So he's basically announced a
- 32:53Speaker 3: massively deflationary measure that sends everyone into a panic, which
- 32:59Speaker 3: is understandable because he's single handedly ruining them. So this
- 33:05Speaker 3: is the point where he really gets ato serious trouble
- 33:09Speaker 3: where the regent, because the other issue is that the
- 33:12Speaker 3: people who don't like what he's doing, you know, the
- 33:16Speaker 3: people who kind of live on annuities and on jobs
- 33:19Speaker 3: for the boys, are starting to get the Regent's here again,
- 33:24Speaker 3: partly because the Regent is kind of getting a little
- 33:26Speaker 3: bit nervous about what's going on and.
- 33:29Speaker 1: Feeling John Laura is pretty busy and doesn't have the
- 33:33Speaker 1: suck up time he had previously.
- 33:35Speaker 2: Yeah, I there's that too.
- 33:36Speaker 3: He's forced to reverse it, and then he's actually put
- 33:39Speaker 3: under house arrest for a short period of time, and
- 33:42Speaker 3: it looks as if he might end up in the
- 33:43Speaker 3: bas tale.
- 33:45Speaker 2: But what basically happens is that because no one else.
- 33:51Speaker 3: Knows how the system works, the Regent decides to get
- 33:55Speaker 3: them back in. But at this point it's very much
- 33:59Speaker 3: a case of he's no longer in charge. It's about
- 34:05Speaker 3: how do we unwind this in the most in the
- 34:08Speaker 3: best way without kind of destroying the entire economy. This
- 34:12Speaker 3: is when things actually start to go from quite bad
- 34:15Speaker 3: to worse. Plague breaks out in Marseille, which is one
- 34:18Speaker 3: of France's most important port cities. It's absolutely devastating. Tens
- 34:22Speaker 3: of thousands of people die. It was extremely bad for
- 34:25Speaker 3: the French economy, and it also adds to the laws
- 34:28Speaker 3: on popularity because the problem is that in that circumstance,
- 34:32Speaker 3: when you get a quantity quarantined plague city. Although he
- 34:36Speaker 3: sends something like one hundred thousand paper lever to help,
- 34:38Speaker 3: nobody wants to paper money. They all want specially they
- 34:41Speaker 3: want gold and silver because in extremists that's the only
- 34:44Speaker 3: way that you can pay for supplies the kind of
- 34:48Speaker 3: in this necessities of life. So he's kind of ends
- 34:51Speaker 3: up almost getting the blame not so much for the plague,
- 34:54Speaker 3: but for one of the reasons of why it ends
- 34:56Speaker 3: up being just as bad as it is, and then
- 34:59Speaker 3: real over the next six months, he's kind of fighting
- 35:03Speaker 3: a rear guard action.
- 35:05Speaker 4: The share price keeps falling.
- 35:08Speaker 3: His kind of rivals in the core demand the return
- 35:12Speaker 3: of annuities, so the king starts to raise money by
- 35:16Speaker 3: giving out annuities again. The banknotes are gradually demonetized. Gold
- 35:22Speaker 3: and silver make a comeback, and basically by December, most
- 35:28Speaker 3: of his system has been unwound, despite his kind of
- 35:32Speaker 3: best efforts to try and slow the process or thinking
- 35:35Speaker 3: different ways to kind of reintroduce it, and he has
- 35:40Speaker 3: only become more and more unpopular. His carriage is attacked
- 35:43Speaker 3: in the street more than once. So yeah, so basically
- 35:46Speaker 3: he's extremely unpopular and it just gets to the point
- 35:49Speaker 3: where his presence in France is no longer sustainable. In December,
- 35:55Speaker 3: he turns round to the region, offers his resignation, offers
- 35:59Speaker 3: to leave the country, and there are a lot of
- 36:01Speaker 3: people saying, look, you should arrest this guy, you should
- 36:04Speaker 3: buying him up. He really he's ruined the country, but
- 36:06Speaker 3: he's still got close friends in the court, and also
- 36:10Speaker 3: at the end of the day, the region is up
- 36:11Speaker 3: to his eyeballs in the system as well. The Regent's
- 36:14Speaker 3: kind of made money from it. He's the one that's
- 36:16Speaker 3: put all this faith in Law. So basically they allow
- 36:21Speaker 3: Law to leave along Bay's son William. Chapter nine the aftermath.
- 36:47Speaker 3: So that's the story of Law is ignominious leaving a France,
- 36:50Speaker 3: but it's not actually the end of his story. He
- 36:52Speaker 3: goes to Venice for a little while and then he
- 36:54Speaker 3: heads to London. He's got friends there that can support
- 36:57Speaker 3: him financially, and with this point he's also received an
- 37:00Speaker 3: official pardon from King George. And he's still hoping he
- 37:04Speaker 3: gets the called to France and reinstated, and also obviously
- 37:07Speaker 3: to recover at least some of the wealth that he's
- 37:09Speaker 3: left there. But meanwhile, back in France, the state is
- 37:14Speaker 3: getting to work on unwinding the system. It embarks on
- 37:17Speaker 3: something that becomes known as the Visa of seventeen twenty one.
- 37:21Speaker 3: Every security issued by law, from bank notes to his
- 37:24Speaker 3: shares has to be submitted. They basically annaudit, and then
- 37:28Speaker 3: he gets stamped or a visa put on it saying
- 37:31Speaker 3: how much you're actually going to get back. You get
- 37:34Speaker 3: a haircut according to in theory, how honestly your money
- 37:39Speaker 3: was earned. It's a form of very lucrative virtue signal
- 37:41Speaker 3: and for the state, but really in practice what it
- 37:44Speaker 3: means is that the kind of deserving widows and the
- 37:47Speaker 3: nobility practically get all the money, whereas kind of like
- 37:50Speaker 3: uncouth common speculators get kind of ninety five percent haircuts
- 37:54Speaker 3: and are ruined end up cutting. I think it's about
- 37:57Speaker 3: two point two billion lever of outstanding pay down to
- 38:00Speaker 3: one point seven billion. And meanwhile, the Mississippi Company's taken
- 38:04Speaker 3: into administration and it's eventually actually found to be a
- 38:07Speaker 3: going concern.
- 38:08Speaker 4: It's not it's been run.
- 38:10Speaker 3: Acceptably, but it's which is focused from the Louisiana colonization
- 38:15Speaker 3: to just trading with Asia, which.
- 38:16Speaker 4: Is more profitable, and who am is it now?
- 38:19Speaker 3: The original shareholders do get it back, but obviously with
- 38:23Speaker 3: a massive haircut taken. I think it takes about three
- 38:26Speaker 3: or four years for the administration process to go through.
- 38:29Speaker 3: Not sure what its lifespan is, but it does end
- 38:32Speaker 3: up being a going concern for a while. But in
- 38:34Speaker 3: the immediate aftermath, law is actually still hoping to return
- 38:37Speaker 3: to France, and at one point in kind of like
- 38:40Speaker 3: seventeen twenty.
- 38:41Speaker 1: Does not give up. This man, does he?
- 38:43Speaker 3: He doesn't give up, and it looks as if he
- 38:46Speaker 3: might actually get back. But then the Duke of Orleans
- 38:50Speaker 3: dies in seventeen twenty three, and that's that well, and
- 38:54Speaker 3: that's that the young king is now of age.
- 38:57Speaker 4: He takes over and basically there's no more.
- 39:00Speaker 3: That's it. Kind of Law's role as a I guess
- 39:04Speaker 3: a kind of financial wiz is then over. It ends
- 39:08Speaker 3: up back in Venice with his son still raised to
- 39:11Speaker 3: cat and they still write to each other. He's still
- 39:14Speaker 3: quite a successful gambler, but it really is, you know,
- 39:16Speaker 3: it's a massive fault.
- 39:17Speaker 1: At his peak, it was kind of the Elon Musk
- 39:19Speaker 1: of the seventeen hundreds. I think, insanely intelligent, hugely innovative,
- 39:27Speaker 1: massively creative, intense relationship with the leader, this kind of stuff.
- 39:33Speaker 3: I think that's a good analogy. I think Law was
- 39:37Speaker 3: probably more relatable to most people than than Musk, Like
- 39:41Speaker 3: Musk seems to kind of get on a lot of
- 39:44Speaker 3: people's nerves, whereas I get the feeling that John Law
- 39:46Speaker 3: was actually you know, you get the impression that even
- 39:48Speaker 3: these kind of like enemies kind of liked him. I
- 39:53Speaker 3: think it was quite quite clubbable. But but yeah, I
- 39:56Speaker 3: think Musk is probably the closest, more than the equivalent
- 39:59Speaker 3: in terms of proximity to the state, and also a
- 40:02Speaker 3: real fondness for financial engineering. And then he dies in
- 40:06Speaker 3: seventeen twenty nine of pneumonia. That's where the French day,
- 40:10Speaker 3: I mean, the ironic thing is so when Law came
- 40:12Speaker 3: in seventeen sixteen, the French government's kind of debty G
- 40:16Speaker 3: D Peira show was one hundred percent, and by the
- 40:18Speaker 3: time the Visa twenty one had given everyone massive haircuts,
- 40:22Speaker 3: the debty gd Peira show was down to about fifty percent.
- 40:25Speaker 3: He was successive work semi solvent again, but only by
- 40:29Speaker 3: completely shafting everyone that invested in anything to do with
- 40:33Speaker 3: John Law, and obviously, over the longer run that wasn't
- 40:36Speaker 3: very helpful for France's kind of perceived credit worthiness. And
- 40:40Speaker 3: then as far as Louisiana goes, in eighteen oh three,
- 40:42Speaker 3: Napoleon sold it to Thomas Jefferson for two point five
- 40:45Speaker 3: million pounds, so he'd have to pay mansion tax on
- 40:48Speaker 3: that today. And the story, the story of John Law draws.
- 40:56Speaker 4: To his clothes.
- 40:58Speaker 1: It's appassed John, I should ask. It was a long
- 41:01Speaker 1: and fascinating story, with some joy in the middle and
- 41:04Speaker 1: significant misery at the end. Yes, what do we learn
- 41:08Speaker 1: that we should hang on to a gold ignore everyone
- 41:10Speaker 1: who tells us that gold doesn't matter.
- 41:13Speaker 3: I think there are two main lessons here. The most
- 41:15Speaker 3: obvious one is own gold. That's what everyone turns to
- 41:18Speaker 3: when money breaks down. But the other is that if
- 41:21Speaker 3: you want to run a few councy system, you need
- 41:23Speaker 3: strong institutions with checks and balances that people can trust.
- 41:26Speaker 3: And even then it's still very fragile, as we've learned
- 41:29Speaker 3: in plenty of occasions, and the problems. Law was trying
- 41:33Speaker 3: to impose something like a modern day monetary system almost
- 41:36Speaker 3: overnight on into a country that simply didn't have the
- 41:38Speaker 3: political infrastructure to cope with that. So it's not surprising
- 41:42Speaker 3: that it blew up as soon as confidence evaporated. And
- 41:45Speaker 3: then I think the other question is longer term impact.
- 41:49Speaker 3: I don't think it's fair to trace the French Revolution
- 41:51Speaker 3: back to Law, because if anything, the revolution results from
- 41:54Speaker 3: the sort of the same power and balances that.
- 41:57Speaker 4: Undermine his scheme.
- 41:59Speaker 3: But I do I think you can view Law as
- 42:01Speaker 3: a major fact on France losing ground to Britain over
- 42:03Speaker 3: the course of the rest of the eighteenth century because
- 42:06Speaker 3: his system collapse and basically puts the French off financial
- 42:09Speaker 3: innovation for good. So Britain, by contrast, already has the
- 42:13Speaker 3: Bank of England and it's already get more checks and
- 42:15Speaker 3: balances at a political level, So even after the south
- 42:19Speaker 3: Sea bubble pops, it's better able to manage its national
- 42:21Speaker 3: debt and to raise funds, and that means that overall
- 42:25Speaker 3: Britain's able to spend more on warfare, which means it
- 42:27Speaker 3: ends up having a better navy, and it's ultimately it
- 42:30Speaker 3: overtakes France as the European and global superpower of the time.
- 42:35Speaker 4: Those are all useful life lessons.
- 42:37Speaker 2: Thanks John, I think so true.
- 42:46Speaker 1: Oh there you go, John Lohey wanted a legacy, didn't he?
- 42:48Speaker 1: And I suppose you didn't really think about.
- 42:50Speaker 3: It like this, you know, I mean the scotsman kind
- 42:55Speaker 3: of putting the spokes in the French army. I don't know.
- 42:58Speaker 1: Interesting, you couldn't imagine he did on purpose?
- 43:03Speaker 3: It surely too cynical. Thanks for listening to our special
- 43:10Speaker 3: two part series and Join Law. We'd love to hear
- 43:12Speaker 3: your thoughts, so please do send us questions or comments
- 43:15Speaker 3: to Merion Money at bloombard dot net. And if you
- 43:18Speaker 3: enjoyed these episodes or any of our episodes, don't forget
- 43:20Speaker 3: to rate, review and subscribe and share with friends. This
- 43:24Speaker 3: episode was hosted by me Join Stepic alongside Merion's Somerset Web.
- 43:28Speaker 3: It was produced by Summer Sadie and Moses and Dam
- 43:32Speaker 3: with help from Amy Keane. Sound designed by Blake Maples
- 43:36Speaker 3: and Robert Williams.
- 43:38Speaker 1: Right, Can I get walk with the dog now