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Transcript

Astros/Red Sox MLB + WNBA Best Bets Sunday 8/3/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. OWN four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browins hat man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March eight? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's March ninth? I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: until I die at least oh and two yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me. Oh and five
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: the worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump.
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: Yesterdays, the slump discontinues, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: towed back with you for a better off dead.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Sunday, August third, my mother's birthday. Happy birthday to her.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: I will be.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: Going to an event for that later today after I
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: get done with this. Actually, I'll probably be heading out,
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: so it'll be a fun day. It'll be more fun
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: if we get some winners. Here three and one run
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: over the last couple of days on the show. Here
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: three and zero in baseball. Another winner yesterday I gave
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: out on the SHO show Blue Jays and Royals under the
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: total that was a winner under the eight pretty much
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: no sweat was four to two was the final. Surprisingly,
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: it was Toronto that I believe it was Toronto that
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: wound up winning the game. I kind of thought Noah
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: Cameron would outpitch Shurser, but the opposite happens. Is very
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: good in the game yesterday and wound up going his way.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: But that's fine. Obviously, when you have the under, it
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: doesn't matter which pitcher out duels the other one as
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: long as they both do all right, And that was
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: the case.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so that was a winner.
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: I gave out a couple of liens on a couple
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: of first five unders, which I think we're also correct,
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: which we can get to once we get into the
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: games today. I will well, actually i'll talk about all
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: of that when I get into it, because there was
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: the weird thing going on with Atlanta Cincinnati that I
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: kind of forgot to bring up yesterday. We can get
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: into that shortly, but first I will get into the
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: WNBA slate today, which I'm not gonna have a play
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: on any of these. There are five WNBA games. I'll
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: give out a couple of liens on WNBA though, Liberty
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: or at Connecticut here.
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: Connecticut just beat the Liberty last.
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: Time out on the same floor in Connecticut seventy eight
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: to sixty two. So you basically know what I'm about
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: to say. If you follow me, you know what I'm
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: gonna say about the game today. The Liberty were an
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: eleven and a half point favorite on the road in
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: this game, and they lost the game by sixteen. So
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: again I think we know what I'm going to say here.
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: The Liberty were out to the lead early, blew the game,
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: and then I think just kind of packed it in
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: at the end. And this was ridiculous the Liberty thirty
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: three point nine percent shooting in that game, abysmal, twenty
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: three turnovers, they got massively out rebounded. Needless to say,
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's gonna happen again. This is basically
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: like a zigzag spot, like what you see in like
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: NBA playoffs, et cetera. So obviously I would lean to
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: the Liberty in this game to come out and play
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: a better game. I think they just did not take
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: Connecticut seriously at all in that last game. They were
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: coming off that big game, the rematch of the finals
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: last year with Minnesota, so I think they were in
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: a hangover spot. Yeah, they've lost four games in a row,
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: but I don't think there's any way.
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: They lose this game.
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: I think they will finally take Connecticut seriously here and
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: they are up to a twelve point favorite this time.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: The previous game line was eleven and a half, so
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: it is pretty similar. So I don't think you're really
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: losing a whole lot of live value on that. I
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: would lean to laying the points of the liberty in
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: that game, but I'm not going to actually do it.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: But Angels, how did they do? I don't even know. Actually,
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: I haven't been really paying attention. Man.
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: I am gonna talk about I talk about all their games.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: I mean, I am going to talk about their game today.
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: I believe they won.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: No, they lost. They lost one to nothing. That's right.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: Savallee had a really good start yesterday. That's right.
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: My apologies, they lost one to nothing. I knew it
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: was some sort of low scoring game. We'll talk about
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: them when I get to it. Washington at Atlanta in
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: the w NBA. Here, Atlanta won four out of their
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: last five games, playing some pretty good basketball right now.
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: They just pulled off a big win over at Phoenix
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: last time out, stepping down in class to face Washington.
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: But it is possible maybe they don't totally take Washington
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: completely seriously here. They don't have a huge game up
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: next though, against Chicago. Washington is coming off that home
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: loss to Golden State. They get to forget about that
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: now and go out on the road. So starting a
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: road trip might be a little bit of a better
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: spot for Washington here, and Washington might have a little
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: bit more motivation here than Atlanta does. As Atlanta is
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: almost certainly gonna be in the playoffs regardless of what
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: happens at this point. Washington is really battling right now
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: to be in the playoff field, I believe, so I
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: think this matters more to Washington. So that is the
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: way that I would lean in that game. Atlanta is
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: down from seven to five, so the line movement coming
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: in against Atlanta. I agree with that Indiana is at
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: Seattle and this is the big game on ABC. Gonna
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: be great for ABC. That Caitlin Clark is still not back.
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: Seattle lost in the return home spot, a game that
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: I mentioned a few days ago. I believe on the
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: show it was a bad spot for Seattle returning home
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: from a road trip, flying east to west. There a
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: lot of times you turn on from a road trip,
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: you just get caught in kind of a just an
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: unfocused spot. And they lost to the La Sparks in
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: that game. We'll Seattle bounce back here maybe, I mean,
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: even though Clark is not playing, it is the Indiana fever. Still,
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: I still think they might take Indiana. Seriously, by the way,
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: this might be the green dildo game of the day here.
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: It's it could be Atlanta again though, or Chicago, because
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: the the dildo was thrown in games at Atlanta and
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: at Chicago, so it could be one of It's gonna
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: be one of these three games. Man, we don't know which,
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: but we'll see. And you can actually bet on the dildo. Now,
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: you can bet on the color of the doldo. You
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: can bet on what happens with the doldo as far
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: as like the person who first handles it, whether whether
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: they kick it or whether they pick it up. And
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: I forget there's I think there's one other thing that
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: you could bet onto and I can't remember exactly what
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: it is. It's insane, dude, the green doldo phenomenon. It
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: might actually save the WNBA. I might actually get people
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: watching the WNBA. Still, probably not worth it to watch
• 7:04
  Speaker 2: horrible basketball for a couple hours just to see if
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: aduldo gets thrown, because you're gonna see the highlights of
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: it happens anyway, but it's the new thing man.
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: Anyway. Indiana at Seattle here.
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: Seattle is a slight favorite in this game, Indiana is
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: coming off.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: Four straight wins.
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: A couple of them gets good teams, a couple of
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: them gets bad teams. So Indiana does have momentum coming
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: into this game. But they are playing a second straight
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: road game now they are traveling from Dallas up to Seattle.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: Seattle to me seems to be more in a bounced
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: back spot, because after you lose that first game back home,
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: a lot of times you bounce back and do better
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: in the next game.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: Slightly into Seattle for me in this one.
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: Sitting at a two and a half point favorite, Phoenix
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: at Chicago, Phoenix has lost a bunch of games in
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: a row. Phoenix is not as bad as what their
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: recent stretch would make you look, although I did tell
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: you earlier in the season they were facing a lot
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: of bad teams and now this stretch they faced a
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: lot of good teams. And they lost every one of
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: these recent games except the one against the worst team
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: in that stretch. Washington was the only game they won
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: of their last six games coming off of lost to Atlanta.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: But they are playing a fifth straight road game, which
• 8:11
  Speaker 2: can't really be that easy, man, So the schedule makers
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: are not really doing Phoenix a whole lot of favors here,
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: although they are playing against Chicago here. Angel Reese is
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: still out for this game, so they're playing Chicago without
• 8:24
  Speaker 2: I guess their best rebounder in Ree. Chicago has lost
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: a bunch of games in a row as well. They've
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: lost seven straight games, I believe is what that is.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: I gave them out on the show in their last game,
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: and they probably should have won the game, and they
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: wound up not only not winning, but they didn't even cover,
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: which was just ridiculous, with a horrendous final stretch in
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: that game, fan got arrested for throwing the dildo in Chicago,
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: by the way, the last time out.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: Can look into that later.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: I guess figure out what happened with that, How they
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: figured out who it was? Just crazy, dude, imagine the
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: police work in that case.
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Let's get the.
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: Video footage, Let's get the surveillance footage of the crowd.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: Let's figure out who the doldo thrower is.
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: And the thing is, if it's Neon Green, it's actually
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: gonna make you easier to identify like in the crowd.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Chicago on.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: A huge losing streak here, they'll probably want to show
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: up and try to win this game against Phoenix because
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: Phoenix is a decent team.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: This is the game I have the least read on.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: Phoenix is up from ten and a half to twelve
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: and a half. I would probably slightly lean to taking
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: the points there. I mean, it just seems like a
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: ridiculous line to be laying. And then Golden State at Vegas.
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: Vegas played yesterday and I was completely wrong about that game.
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: Minnesota absolutely housed Las Vegas yesterday. Man, that was insane.
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: Vegas.
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: They are so hard to figure out because they're a
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: pretty good team. They have some pretty good talent there,
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: and sometimes they just have unbelievably bad games. And I
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: think this was the second largest margin of victory in
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: WNBA history in Minnesota, beating them one eleven to fifty eight.
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: If you're Vegas, you were gonna I would assume Vegas
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: is gonna come out really really angry here. And yes
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: it is a back to back, so they have no
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: rest here. But they're fighting Golden State. Man, this is
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: a big game because there it has playoff implications. They're
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: similar in the standings, Vegas and Golden State battling each
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: other and Becky hamm And is Vegas as coach, and
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: you know what she did in this game after the
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: game was so out of hand, you know.
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: She rested her starters.
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: So the best players on Vegas didn't play that many
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: minutes in this game, so that's gonna be good, so
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: the back to back won't have as much of an effect.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: Like Asia Wilson played twenty two minutes. She usually plays
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: like over thirty minutes, so she got a bit of
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: a rest there.
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: Jewel Lloyd kind of their.
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: Sixth, sixth woman, I guess, usually plays more minutes than nineteen,
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: so some of their best players, and Jackie Young also
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: usually plays more minutes than that, and Chelsea Graham and
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: those are kind of all their best players. They played
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: nineteen to twenty one minutes, respectively, so I expect them
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: to be decently rested despite the back to back scenario.
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: So I do think Vegas should come out and play
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: well in this game. And this game this is one
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: of the most unbelievable shooting outliers you'll ever see. Man
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: Minnesota fifty nine point two percent from the field, sixty
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: three percent from three point range. You have to be
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: kidding me, Like that's never gonna happen again. Minnesota was
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: seventeen for twenty seven from three point range, just unbelievable,
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: and they had more free throw attempts as well. Vegas
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: lost the turnover battle at home. I don't see many
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: of these things happening again. In Vegas themselves shot thirty
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: four point three percent from the field.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't see that happening again in this game.
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: Golden State, they are on a nice little run of
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: three wins in a row, but they're playing a fifth
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: straight road game as well, and it's in a span
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: of eight days as well, and they're playing a third
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: game in four days right now, in fourth game and
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: six days all in different cities. So it's really not
• 11:45
  Speaker 2: an easy spot for Golden State here, man. And they're
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: coming into Vegas from Chicago, so they're also traveling through
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: multiple time zones here. The spot does not look great
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: for Golden State, man. So my lean in that game
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: is Vegas. They're up from four and a half to nine, though,
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: which might indicate that maybe there are some players.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: Not playing for Golden State. I don't really know why.
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: The line moved up that high, so you have lost
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: some line value on this game. It looks like we
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: knew cale Thornton was gonna be out already, but we
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: do have I guess a couple of other injuries from
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: the Valkyries here Zandalasini. I don't know who that is
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: in Hayes, but we will see. But still the lean
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: for me would be to Vegas or just not playing
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: the game. But that line does look too high to me.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: And I forgot.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: This is the rundown, baby, So we're gonna talk about
• 12:33
  Speaker 2: the We're gonna run down all the games. We're gonna
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: try to do it quickly here in Major League Baseball.
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: One thing that I will point out, the thing that
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: I was about to talk about at the beginning of
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: the show yesterday that I forgot to mention yesterday, Atlanta
• 12:46
  Speaker 2: and Cincinnati actually did not, I guess, did not have
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: a game scheduled today because yesterday's game was actually at
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee. So it's actually kind
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: of a neutral site game almost midway between the two
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: cities here.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: I forgot to mention that completely.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: And has I think it has this really insanely deep
• 13:05
  Speaker 2: center field, like it almost looks like the Polo Grounds
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: back in the day the old New York Giants Stadium
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: before they moved to US San Francisco, if you guys
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: remember what classic stadiums look like. So I don't know
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: what the deals of that, but I saw some exaggerated
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: views of it where it's like it just made the
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: stadium look completely ridiculous. But that's where that game is,
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: so that actually the fact that the outfield is that
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: deep might actually help with what my lean was in
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: that game. Was the first five inning under in that game,
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: it's one nothing. The game got suspended, I think due
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: to rain or something, and it was only in the
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: first inning. I think they were done with the first
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: inning and it was one to nothing. But the problem
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: is the game's gonna get resumed, and I would assume
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: that the starters yesterday, which are a huge part of
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: that handicap, will not come out and continue pitching, which
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: was Strider against Burns. So I think you're gonna get
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: the bullpens coming out. So luckily for Atlanta and Cincinnati.
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: The I think both teams don't play tomorrow though, so
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: because they basically schedule this game with like days off
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: around and I guess so they get lucky in that
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: regard because I think their bullpens are gonna be really
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: used in this game, and they do have the ability
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: to do so here, so they're gonna resume that game.
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: Houston at my Boston Red Sox playing an early game
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: in about an hour from now eleven thirty five am Eastern.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know why there is a game this early.
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: Man like used to never see a game this early
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: in Boston, except for the one on Patriots Day.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: They always play early on Marathon Monday.
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: But whatever, Houston and Boston again Red Sox are on
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: the verge of a sweep. Well, actually, wait a minute,
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna wait to talk about this game. Actually, no,
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: I can't wait to talk about it.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: Fuck it.
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: You're gonna get one of my best bets early. It
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: is Houston minus one fifteen. I can't wait to talk
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: about it because by the end of the show the
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: game might start. So I'm gonna try to get through
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: all these games before that happens.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: But we will see. But I'm gonna give it out now.
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: Houston is gonna be my play in this game minus
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: one fifteen. We can look at the market read on
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: this here, which let me see if we have that
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: here here it is Houston's seventy three percent of tickets,
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: eighty five percent of the cash. And yes, by the way,
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: fucking pregame man, they still have not fixed their shit,
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: so you still don't see any of the market percentages.
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: So thanks pre game. So I'm looking at wager talk.
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: Here we see seventy four percent of tickets eighty five
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Houston. Now the line has
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: gone up for minus one fifteen to the point where
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: it's at minus one thirty at some books now, including
• 15:36
  Speaker 2: book makers. So that's kind of the better the more
• 15:39
  Speaker 2: that's the book that caters more to the professionals. That
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: I'm kind of looking at as more of like a signal.
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: But generally the line has just gone up everywhere. It
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: looks like the public is on Houston and the uh,
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: the professional money is on Houston as well.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox have won four in a row. They
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: are on the verge of a sweep.
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: Here. Yesterday's game got a little bit crazy as the
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: bench is cleared after a neris intentionally balked.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: He was a relief He's a relief pitcher for Houston.
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: He balked. Trevor's story over to third.
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: Base, which is kind of stupid just to yell at
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox third base coach because Houston was accusing
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox of stealing signals, which is also kind
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: of crazy because Houston and Boston are the two teams
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: that were known for stealing signals over the last several
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: years or whatever it's been these two teams, So it's
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: like pot calling the kettle black basically there. I don't
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: even know if there was any signals stealing, but the
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: bench is cleared.
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: It was stupid, it was crazy. So these teams do
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: not like each other. Man.
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: I still like the like the Astros more than I
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: like the Yankees, though, so I don't even hate Houston,
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: to be honest. I've gone to one of their games
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: there Boston anyway. Yeah, the Red Sox are on the
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: verge of the sweep though, so Houston might come out
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: with a little bit more fire in this game. And
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: there is a reason why Houston is a favorite in
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: this game against the Red Sox. Houston had less bullpen
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: usage yesterday as well, and they have the better bullpen,
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: so he Houston used four relief pitchers yesterday. The Red
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: Sox actually used six so the Red Sox only have
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: two relief pitchers that didn't pitch yesterday, which is ridiculous.
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: So Houston has the better bullpens slightly anyway. As you
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: can see here, they're actually second and bullpen whip in
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: all of Major League Baseball. The Red Sox not bad either, though,
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: with a better ERA and at sixth than Whip, but
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: still Houston has the advantage here because they're more rested.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: Boston probably has the slight hitting edge with Houston having
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: some injuries right now, Red Sox fifth in overall ops.
• 17:42
  Speaker 2: Houston has dropped down to eleventh. But I'm looking at
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: I weigh the pitching more strong more strongly than I
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: weigh the hitting man, and I'm gonna go with from
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: Er Valdez here.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's still pretty much dominating start in like
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: every start, basically started in and started out with two
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: point six two ERA, one point one to one WHIP.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: He has a three point seven to one R in
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: the road, So yes, he's a little bit worse on
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: the road, but it doesn't even really matter that much.
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: And Houston had won thirteen games in a row with
• 18:11
  Speaker 2: him on the mound, I believe until their last game
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: where against Washington he went six innings one earned run,
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: allowed three.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: Hits, allowed twelve strikeouts.
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: Two walks, and they didn't win that game because his
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: team only scored one run behind him and they wound
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: up losing later in the game. Absolutely ridiculous. So he
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: pitched easily well enough to win that game. Two, he's
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: just on a tear man. I mean he's allowed more
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: than two earned runs twice, going all the way back
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: to Earth three times, I guess you, three times, all
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: the way back going to going all the way back
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: to mid April, ridiculous, two point one sixty RA this
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: past month, thirty three to five strike out walk Radio Valdez.
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: He's still pitching really well. He's still completely informed. Red
• 18:54
  Speaker 2: Sox don't have a lot of guys who've seen him before.
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: They have twenty eight at bats against him five to
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: four strike out walk ratio, but he's held into a
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: two fourteen to average and five ninety eight ops so
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: Valdez has been really, really good against the Red Sox.
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: Lucas Gilido, pitching for the Red Sox, not as good.
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: Three point eight ERA, one point two five whip. He
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: has a four point eight four ERA at home, so
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: he is worse at home, so the splits are kind
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: of going against both teams here. Yes, the Red Sox
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: have won five of his last six starts. I understand
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: that he started pitching a little bit worse more recently though,
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: Eve though he has a three point four to one
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: ERA over the last month twenty six to eight strikeout
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: walk ratio. But he did have a couple of bad
• 19:39
  Speaker 2: starts and there, I know they were on the road
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: against the Cubs in Philly. Both teams hit pretty well,
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: but he did allow nine runs across nine to third
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: innings there. He might be starting to kind of slide
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: a little bit. And Houston is a step back up
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: offensively from these teams that he actually pitched well against.
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: He pitched well against Washington, Colorado, Minnesota. Sure Toronto was
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: in that mix as well, but still Houston definitely better
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: offensively than Washington, Colorado and Minnesota. So he is having
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: a step back up in class and Houston it's him
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: decently in eighty nine at bats eighteen to eleven strike
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: out walker year, they have eight home runs off him
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: and Correa has three of those. And he's back on
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: Houston seven for twenty seven with three home runs not
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: a great batting average, but still he has a lot
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: of home runs off him and three walks two seventy
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: average overall for Giolito nine thirty four ops allowed to
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: of the Red Sox there, So I'm gonna go with
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: Houston there. Minus one fifteen I founded at Massachusetts.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: MGM.
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: Maybe it was either MGM or CAS or some of
• 20:41
  Speaker 2: these books lagged way behind. Minus one thirty five is crazy.
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: I mean, the line keeps going up, man, because I
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: think I'm on the right side. But I thought you'd
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: at least be able to find like minus one twenty
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: something at various places.
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: I would still do it or I.
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: Mean, I don't know, man, if you want to lay
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: the run line or just stay off of it because
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: of the price. But I also have to do my Dude,
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: I have to do my Instagram video too. This is
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: ridiculous because this I'm not gonna be done with this.
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: Do you think I can get my Well, we'll see
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: how it goes. Let's see if I can get done
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: with all of this before I have to do the
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: Instagram video here to try to get that out la
• 21:15
  Speaker 2: at Tampa Bay.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Here man Tampa Bay.
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: Shut out win yesterday four nothing after they got shot
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: out five nothing the game before that. Tampa Bay has
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen over LA, so they probably get the
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge. Although LA they only used three relief pictures yesterday.
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay used three relief pictures as well, so Tampa
• 21:39
  Speaker 2: Bay I'll give them a bullpen edge here. LAS isn't
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: very good, but LA has the better starter with the
• 21:44
  Speaker 2: Yamamoto on the mound two point six three ERA one
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: point zero five WHIP one point seven eighty RA, so
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: he is better on the road. Thirty two to eight
• 21:53
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio on two point seven ERA over
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: the past month, so he is in really good form
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: In the Rays have barely know only two hitters have seen.
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: It before, and they're one for four off him, even
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: though yes one of them is a Kim home run,
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: but they.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: Also have two strikeouts.
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: So overall, I expect Yamamoto should come out and ya
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: Ma Moto Tampa Bay's hitters down. I would imagine Joe
• 22:16
  Speaker 2: Boyle is pitching for Tampa and he's very difficult to predict.
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: Young pitcher Joe Boyle two point eight two ERA point
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: eight five WHIP really nice numbers this year in a
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: point ninety ra at home, even though this is a
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: hitter friendly stadium. But he did not do well last
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: time out in a similar stadium in the Bronx, getting
• 22:35
  Speaker 2: tagged for four and runs, three walks, four hits. Did
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: still have six strikeouts, but the Yankees tagged him. And yes,
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: I know the Yankees are a good hitting team, but
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: so are the Dodgers. I don't know if we could
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: trust boyle Man. He's probably not going to go that
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: deep into this game. Last four outings. He's gone four
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: innings or less over the last four each. So I
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: think Yamamoto is pretty clearly going to go deeper into
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: this game than Boil. So I'm gonna have a slight
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: lean to the Dodgers in this game. Uh, yesterday, I
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: believe I gave out first five inning under in that game.
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: Is what I gave out yesterday, right, So I believe
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: that was a correct call yesterday in that game with
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: I know it was Rasmussen. Oh, it was rastless in
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: against Snell in his return from the d L and
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: Snell got outpitched, but he was okay enough and Rasmussen.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Was very good in this game. Where's the Dodgers here
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: they're up.
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: They have sixty six percent of the tickets ninety one
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash, but they've dropped from one minus
• 23:30
  Speaker 2: one ninety all the way down to the minus one
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: fifties range. So a big line moved down towards Tampa.
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: Even though it looks like the cash is coming in
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: on Tampa, the under getting subtraction as well, eighty nine
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash compare to eighty two percent of
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: the tickets. I wouldn't really disagree with the under necessarily.
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: I still think maybe playing the Dodgers in some way
• 23:50
  Speaker 2: makes more sense in this game, maybe playing Tampa under
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: their team total because it's expected to be a low
• 23:55
  Speaker 2: scoring game, and if you like the Dodgers don't want
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: to lay the price on the road, maybe that's the
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: way to do it. But I mean, Tampa could certainly
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: score against the Dodgers defense though, or Dodgers' bullpen, excuse me,
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: although their defense I don't think is that great either
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: with the bullpen, So all things to keep in mind.
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: There, Freeman over four wait, Frankie over four and a
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: half hits? What are we talking about it?
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: No way, I mean that's almost impossible, right, You must
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: be getting like plus like what like, what are you
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: getting on the odds on that? Like probably should be
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: like forty to one, although you probably would not get
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: anywhere near the odds on that.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: Under eight and a half. I would agree.
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: I agree with the under in that game generally, but
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: I don't trust the Dodgers' bullpen really bets three plus runs.
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: I don't like any of those alternate prop lines. Man,
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: I mean, there's just no way it's gonna hit. I
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: don't agree with it.
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: I mean, we're expecting it to be a lower scoring
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: game too, which is, you know, not good for hit
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: or props Montas. I mean, I'll talk about him, we
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: get to it. I think maybe I agree with that one.
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think Montas is facing a team that
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: hits him well in Milwaukee at Washington here.
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: This game.
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: Washington's just been getting absolutely wrecked in this series. They've
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: lost four games in a row. Washington, we know their
• 25:17
  Speaker 2: bullpen is worse, so I think Washington has a disadvantage
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: all across the board here. Washington only used three relief
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday, but we know their bullpen is horrendous. Especially
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: after the trade deadline. They got rid of some of
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: their other players. Milwaukee, their bullpen's been getting better, and
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: their bullpen usage has not been high recently. Mizierowski is
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Brewers. Excuse me, two point seventy RA
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: point nine six whomen. We know he's been really, really
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: good in his rookie campaign so far, but he's been
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: worse on the road four point seven to three ERA.
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: Oh wait, he's not pitching anymore. Never mind that it's
• 25:51
  Speaker 2: Logan Henderson. Now, oh shit, let.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: Me see is that actually right? Hold on, yep, you're right.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: My mistake.
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: So on Milwaukee seventy four percent of the cash, seventy
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets. Still, but it's not miss Zerosk.
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: I was gonna say, Missierowski. He's been an issue man
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: like recently. He just hasn't been going deep into games,
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: even though he's a huge strikeout guy's and walking too
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: many guys. So now Logan Henderson is pitching. Maybe that's
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: not a good thing here of his Well, his numbers
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: are still good one point seven to one E RA
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: point nine to five whip.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: He's a really young guy. To twenty three.
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: He's made four starts in his career all this season.
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: I totally forgot about this guy. Two point seven Roady Ira.
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: That's still pretty good. This is why the line hasn't
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: moved that much, man, because he's still been really good too.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: He has a crazy twenty nine to six.
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: Strike a walk ratio this season and only fourteen hits
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: all out in twenty one innings. He's been really good
• 26:44
  Speaker 2: as well. He's gone five innings or more in every start.
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee's won all four of his starts, but they were
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: against A's, Cleveland, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh, so the best offense
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: that he faced was the A's. But Washington's not a
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: great offense either, So I'm still gonna say Milwaukee has
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: the edge of across the board here. Brad Lord pitching
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: for Washington, I mean he's basically a converted reliever. Three
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: point two seven e RA one point two whip that's
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: not good. Three point nine three ERA in the season
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: also not very good. Oh wait, excuse me, what am
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: I even saying? Three point two seven RA one point
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: two whip Those are good numbers.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: Excuse me.
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: I'm out of my mind right now. I'm trying to
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: get through this real quick. Three point nine three ERA
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: at home is good, but it's worse. He has worse
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: numbers at home. My apologies, but yeah, he's a converted
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: reliever basically, so he's only gone four innings or more
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: in his last two outings when he entered the starting rotation.
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: But he's not striking guys out. He's not a strikeout guy.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: He is holding guys off the base pass though he
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: doesn't walk a lot of guys, doesn't give up a
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: lot of hits. So he comes in kind of keeps
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: his team in the game. Brewers are er for eight
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: with a strikeout off him. So Lord might do okay
• 27:51
  Speaker 2: while he's in there, but as soon as he's out
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: and the bullpends come in, I think it's gonna be hell.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Yes, the line has dropped. It was minus one to eighty.
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: I think probably with miss being the starter, we're all
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: the way down into the minus one fifties.
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: I still think it would be Milwaukee or you pass
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: this game. I mean, I think Milwaukee still has the
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: edge across the board.
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 28:10
  Speaker 2: Probably Milwaukee run line does make sense, even though we
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: do see the cash percentage now going against them at
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of the cash sixty six percent of the tickets.
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee team total over.
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I love that just because Lord
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: might be able to hold them down earlier in the game.
• 28:28
  Speaker 2: I don't know, though, because Lord has gotten me. I've
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: faded him in both of those starts, and I think
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: I those were both losers for me, So I'm a
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: little bit worried about that. Although Milwaukee's bull I mean,
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: excuse me, Washington's bullpen could certainly give it up Toronto
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: with a four to two win yesterday. Toronto has the
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: better bullpen generally over Kansas City only use three relief
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: pitchers yesterday. At Kansas City has a lot of bullpen
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: rest two relief pitchers used yesterday and the rest of
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: their bullpen hasn't pitched since Wednesday, so the Royals do
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: have a bullpen edge in this game. Ugo pitching for
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: the Royals three point zero three ERA one point one
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: to three whip. He's continuing to do well a little
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: bit worse on the road three point four to four ERA.
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: He's won four of the last five starts, five of
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: the last six starts, or he hasn't won all of them,
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: but his team has won them. Good numbers against Toronto
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: as well. Twenty eight at bats two fourteen average, five
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: eighty three oh ps, seven to five strikeout walk ratio
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: isn't very good, but the rest of his numbers are
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: quite good Against Toronto.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: I have no idea if the roof is open or not.
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: I would guess it probably is because it's probably not
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: that hot up there. It hasn't been that hot up
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: here recently in Boston. Where's the weather report on this thing?
• 29:43
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it says game information. We have
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: no weather report on this. I'd have to go to
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: the weather site. I mean, I don't know, but I
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: don't even factor it in really at all.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: Chris Bassett pitching.
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: For Toronto four point two four ERA one point three
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: to four whip. His numbers are getting worse, although he's
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: way better at home two point sixty five home ERA
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: is way better this month, though pass a month four
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: point eight RA not very good, even though twenty eight
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: to five strigo.
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: Walk ratio was good.
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: Toronto did win four of his last six starts, but
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: his last couple outings.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: The last outing he got wrecked.
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: By Baltimore, and I gave out Baltimore first five innings
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: on this show.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: In that game and that was a correct one.
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: He'd give up two omers, six earned runs and two
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: and a third in that game. Bassett might be kind
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: of falling out a form here, a little bit man
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: not pitching quite as well recently, giving up whatever that
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: was seven earned runs in the last two starts combined.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: Not exactly great. I don't know, nine excusing nine earned
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: runs against the Royals, surprisingly because the Royals offense is
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: way worse than Toronto's fifty eight at bats two ninety
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: three average allowed in seven to sixty three ohps. So
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: Bassett actually has not done well against Kansas City. So
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: that's one knock against Bassett. I'm gonna lean towards Kansas
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: City in this game.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 30:57
  Speaker 2: We have sixty two percent of the tickets in only
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: fifty six percent of the cash on Toronto LINEUS moved
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: up for minus one thirty five, up a bit. I
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: see it at minus one fifty at Caesars here, but
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: Bookmaker has it down at minus one thirty nine. So
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: again I think book Maker the Sharper book kind of
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: agreeing with what I'm kind of talking about there. I
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: would lean to Kansas City in that game. Minnesota at Cleveland,
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: Cleveland with the win yesterday, four games in a row
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: that they've won. Man, I told you I leaned to
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: Cleveland yesterday. That did happen five to four, though it
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: was a close game. I think they won an extra
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: innings and I think we saw a ton of bullpen
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: usage in that game. Well, Cleveland used four relief pitchers yesterday,
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: Minnesota only.
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: Actually I'm wrong. I was thinking of a different game.
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: My apologies.
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: Minnesota only used Pearson Ole, who I believe might have
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: made one start against the Red Sox that they used
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: him for a bunch of innings out of the bullpen.
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: Minnesota's bullpen is pretty much clear coming into this game,
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: but it's not a very good bullpen. But they do
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: have a bullpen rest edge in this game at least,
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: but they're gonna need.
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: It because they're probably going with a bullpen game here.
• 31:59
  Speaker 2: Urine is the listed starter for the Twins five point
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: four e RA, one point five to three Whip six
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: point nine to seven road ERA, which is really not good.
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: He's been all over the place this year.
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: Literally, he was on the Mets, then he was on Toronto,
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: then he was on the Dodgers, and now he's gonna
• 32:17
  Speaker 2: be I guess making his first appearance for who is
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: he on now the Twins? For the Twins here, so
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: I guess the Twins made a trade with the Dodgers,
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: so he's now over here with the Twins. Yeah, he's
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: been all over the place. These teams don't want him,
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: by the way, I'm when I talked about Carlos Carrasco,
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: that was his first start with I believe Atlanta's where
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: he's at now. I didn't even remember he was actually
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: on the Yankees, I believe, to begin this season, so
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: I totally forgot about that. For Carrasco anyway, Urania, he's
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: basically a converted reliever though, I mean, as you can
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: see here where he is basically a reliever, So he's
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be an opener here. He hasn't gone deeper
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: than four and a third innings in any of these outings.
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: He's probably only gonna go a couple innings in this game.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: Twins with at least a pretty rested bullpen. They're gonna
• 33:04
  Speaker 2: go with a bullpen game here, which is maybe.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Not a good thing for the Twins.
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: Uran has thirty one at bats against only three Cleveland
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: hitters two twenty six average seven sixty six ohps, six
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: to four strike a walk ratio. So his numbers a
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: little bit hard to read into against Cleveland because a
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: lot of them haven't seen him before. But he's gonna
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: be out of the game pretty quickly. Cantio for Cleveland
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: four point one four ERA, one point four to four
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: whip four point nine to five ERA.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: At home, So he's worse at home over this past month.
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: Not great numbers here, actually, twenty seven to fourteen strike
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio four point five seven e RRA, and
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: he's walked at least three and four of the five outings,
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: walking eight over the last nine innings across two outings.
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: Not good.
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: He's not going deep into games. He's only gone at
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: least five innings and two of those outings.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: Can'tio.
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, he was a guy that I kind of
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: trusted a bit recently, but I don't know if I
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: trust him here. Although Minnesota has good numbers again, excuse me,
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: he has good numbers against Minnesota, excuse me. Fourteen at bats,
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: one forty three average allowed, six ninety ops. So the
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: seven to four strike a walker issue is not very good.
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: But overall he has been good against this Minnesota lineup.
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: Neither of these lineups are that good. Zach, what's up man,
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: Let's go Royals. Yeah?
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: Uh so in this game. I don't even know if.
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: I have that much of an opinion here, but maybe
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: Cleveland just still because I think Cantillo will at least
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: get them deeper into the game Minnesota. I never like
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: these bullpen games. Man, so slightly to Cleveland. Katio at
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: least does pitch well against Minnesota. Seventy eight percent of tickets,
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: ninety three percent of the cash on Cleveland. The money
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: looks like it's headed towards the over as well, seventy
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: seven percent of tickets on the under and fifty three
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure I totally agree with that.
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: We see eight and a half at a bunch of places,
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: well eight and a half at Bookmaker, though, where it's
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: eight at some of the other books, so I guess
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: that's a little bit of an indicator, and even all
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: over the board between minus one in the minus one
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: fifties all the way up to minus one seventy, which
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: is at Caesar's. Interestingly, so maybe Cleveland run line might
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: make sense there.
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: But we will see new York at Miami. The Yankees
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: at Miami.
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: The Yankees are on the verge of getting swept, and
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: again I will say the one thing, Minnesota might still
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: come out with some fire just because they want to
• 35:24
  Speaker 2: avoid getting swept. So that sweep avoidal spot does still
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: give you some motivating motive, some motivation here. Washington is
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: in that type of spot as well. New York at Miami.
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: This is gonna be interesting. Miami actually won the first
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: two games yesterday, had two nothing shot out and I
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: believe I said I liked the first five innings under
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: in that game as well. Juri Perez really good in
• 35:46
  Speaker 2: that game yesterday from Miami. Schlittler wasn't bad for the
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: Yankees either. Yankees have not that great of a bullpen,
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: though they used three relief pitchers yesterday, which isn't that bad.
• 35:57
  Speaker 2: Miami used some of their better relievers. I believe they
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: only three relievers as well, but they use some of
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: their better relievers to finish the game off, so maybe
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: the Yankees have a slight bullpen edge here.
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: Louis Heel is pitching for the Yankees.
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: He is coming off being injured since last season. He
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: has not pitched yet this season. Last season, he had
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: good numbers overall, three point five ERA, one point one
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: to nine WHIP. He was the same pretty much home
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: and away didn't really matter. His issue was always that
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: he walked too many guys. Man, he's a hard thrower.
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: He strikes a lot of guys out. He walks way
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: too many guys, but overall he does get the job
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: done with decent numbers, and Miami has never seen him
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: before him, we'll have to see man because with a
• 36:37
  Speaker 2: guy like him, he's so young or like I mean,
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: he hasn't pitched much in the majors at all, Like
• 36:41
  Speaker 2: he's only he's only pitching in the Major since twenty
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: twenty one, missed the entire twenty twenty three season. He
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: really didn't have a full season until last year. So
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: I don't know how he used to being injured like
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: this he is, although it looks like he was injured
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: for the entire twenty twenty three season, so maybe he
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: is used to doing this and coming back.
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: But I don't know what we're gonna get out of
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: him in this game.
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: And if he is in his form that he was
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: in last year, he should pitch well in this game.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: But I don't know if I would want to bank
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: on him.
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: Edward Cabrera from the Marlins is pitching well three point
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: three five ERA, one point two to three WHIP three
• 37:15
  Speaker 2: point three ERA at home. Excuse me, So he's been
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: better at home this month, two point four to three ERA,
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: twenty seven to four strikeout walk ratio, though he had
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: walked three in his last outing. That was three of
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: those four walks, but his walk rate was still really low.
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: So he's a wild guy. Usually.
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: He throws hard as well, walks a lot of guys usually,
• 37:34
  Speaker 2: but he had kept the walks down for a while.
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: But maybe that wildness is kind of seeping back in.
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: But I still think he is in good form right now,
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: and he is pitching well, has decent numbers against the
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: Yankees in twenty six at bats, twelve strikeouts, is a
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: high strikeout rate, five walks two thirty one average a
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: lot seven to thirty nine oh ps allowed. So this game,
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: I'm kind of thinking under looking towards some sort of
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: under might make sense of this game. You have seventy
• 37:59
  Speaker 2: two percent of tickets, eighty one percent of the cash
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: in the under totals already down from eight to seven
• 38:03
  Speaker 2: and a half. I would maybe even be looking first
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: five innings, because I don't know if I really trust
• 38:09
  Speaker 2: the bullpends that much. But if you do that in
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: the first five innings, it's gonna be a low number, man,
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: like probably three and a half maybe, which is a
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: little bit a little bit dicey to do that. Yankees
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: have fifty nine percent to take a seventy two percent
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: of the cash, where they've dropped from minus one twenty
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: down to the minus one ten range. I think laying
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: a price like that with the Yankees on the road
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: is a little bit much to pay, even though I
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: know he'll the way he pitched last year, he could
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: do He potentially could do well in this game, and
• 38:36
  Speaker 2: I do think he probably will. But it's a little
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: bit iffy, man. You tend to pay at tax for
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: the Yankees, So I worry about that a little bit.
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: Giants at the Mets.
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: The Mets got back at the Giants after they lost
• 38:49
  Speaker 2: the return home spot, which I gave out the Giants
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: on the show. The Mets won yesterday twelve to six.
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: Really high scoring game there. This was the game I
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: was thinking of. The Mets used a bunch of relievers,
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: five relievers they used, or no, it was Texas. Seattle
• 39:05
  Speaker 2: used a bunch of relievers too, but we'll get to that.
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: Mets use five relievers, San Francisco only used three. I'm
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: gonna give San Francisco the bullpen edge here. Generally they
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: do have the better bullpen, so they should have the
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge. Hear. Mets obviously have an offensive edge here.
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: Wiz' Hunt is pitching for San Francisco and he's only
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: made one start in his career. Last time out, he
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: was very mediocre against a pretty bad Pittsburgh offense who
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: maybe the worst offense in all of baseball. Five innings pitched,
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: three strikeouts, two walks, that's not very good to be
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: honest for, and runs allowed. I mean, it was okay
• 39:40
  Speaker 2: at least, I guess, for your first start in the majors.
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: But given that it was against Pittsburgh, I give him
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: a little bit less credit for it because Pittsburgh is
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: not that good. Although yes, it was his first start.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: Maybe he will do better here. Of course, the Mets
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: have never seen him before. Wizen Hunt doesn't throw hard.
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: He's a change up specialist. He has like an elite
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: change up and he has some other pitches to go
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: with it. But he's a guy that tries to fool
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: you with like movement and like kind of masking his pitches.
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: So we will see what happens in that game. Man,
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm ready to trust him though
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: Montas is pitching. Jymin Here, you go, your guy. Montas
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: numbers for the Mets here not very good. Five point
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: four to six ERA, one point four.
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: To five whip.
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: He's got a where's this home ERA here three point
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: three one, so he has been better at home.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: So that's one.
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: Positive for Montas here, But he didn't do well his
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: last time out this month sixteen to fourth or last
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: month sixteen to four strikeout walk, right, he is not
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: that bad, but five point two to three.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: ERA not that good.
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: Last time out at a pitcher friendly San Diego, Parky
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: gave up five earned runs, which is not very good
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: against San Francisco. Fifty one career of bats, three point
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: thirty three average ALON and nine nineteen ops. So I
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: might agree with you on the Montas over his hits allowed.
• 40:56
  Speaker 2: I'm not really much of a prop guy, so I
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: don't really get into the prop market that much. But
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: his numbers specifically against the Giants are not very good,
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: and because the Giants definitely have a bad offense, so
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: you are having to deal with that. But you might
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: be okay doing this because Montas might be out of
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: the game. I don't really love the Mets bullpend that much,
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: so you might actually get there. Or no, wait, you're
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: talking about Montas specifically giving up four and a half
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: in a run four and a half hits.
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: Excuse me?
• 41:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I could see that happening. But again,
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: it's gonna depend how long he lasts in the game, too,
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: so but if he doesn't last that long, it probably
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: means he did give up a lot of hits.
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: So generally I probably agree with you.
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: And it's probably a little bit of a soft number
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: because San Francisco's offense is bad. But it looks like
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: Montas probably won't do that well in that game based
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: on his matchup numbers. At least we do see minus
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: one sixty basically almost across the board, with the line
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: on the Mets hasn't really moved seventy percent ticket seventy
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash money on the over as
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: well fifty nine percent of tickets seventy eight percent of
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: cash on the over total is still kind of just
• 41:57
  Speaker 2: sitting at eight and a half though, so not a
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: lot of line movement on that game at all. I
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: might have a slightly into grabbing San Francisco, to be honest,
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: because they think they have they may you could argue
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: they have the pitching edge across the board in the game,
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: so I might look maybe San Francisco run line in
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: that game.
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: Baltimore at the Cubs at Wrigley.
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: The Cubs lost yesterday after taking the season opener, won nothing.
• 42:18
  Speaker 2: They lost by one yesterday, four to three. Cubs have
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen in the better offense. Cubs some light
• 42:25
  Speaker 2: bullpen usage, not a ton three relievers used yesterday. Baltimore
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: used four, and they already have the worst of the
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: two bullpens. So not looking good for Baltimore in this analysis.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: Already.
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: Brandon Young pitching for Baltimore. He could get better. I mean,
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: he's a young guy with good stuff, but numbers this
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: year are bad. Six point six three ERA and one
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: point six' nine. Whip he's been a little bit better at,
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: homes but that's. Relative six point two to THREE, era
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: twenty three to seven strike a. Walk rasio over the
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: past a month isn't. Bad but a six point three
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: to eighty r is very high, obviously so that's not.
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: Good but he's he getting a little bit. UNLUCKY i don't, know.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Man he's a, lot a lot of hard. Hits he's
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: a lot too many. Hits he's been too hit.
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: Able thirty hits this past month and twenty four, innings
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: six home runs. Allowed good start last time out Against,
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: toronto six. Innings that was the first time he went
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: more than five and a third in any start in his.
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: CAREER i guess in the, majors had six, strikeouts two,
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: walks so he is coming off his best start as
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: a major league or. So maybe that's the start of something.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: Good but he Is that sounds like a. Song something tells, me,
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: man just something. Good he's pitching against a really Good
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: cub line up, here though The CUBS i think are
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: pretty good at home, too so might not be good
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: for him in this.
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: Game J. C what's up? Man thanks for hanging.
• 43:43
  Speaker 2: Out Colin ray pitching for The cubs. Here four point
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: two FIVE, rra one point three to two. Whip those
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: numbers are not, great and you, know you know, ME
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: i don't Love ray that. MUCH i, mean he's a
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: little bit worse at, home but pretty similar numbers over
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: this past. Month he hasn't really been going deep into games,
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: recently five or fewer innings in his last three. Outings
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: nineteen to nine strike out walk ratio of the past
• 44:07
  Speaker 2: month isn't that. Great doesn't strike out a lot of
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: guys really three point Ninety ray is. Fine so he
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: is not only that many, runs but the last couple
• 44:14
  Speaker 2: of starts to give up nine runs and nine innings
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: or nine earned runs in nine innings against K c
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: who's not a good offense at, all and Then, milwaukee
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: who do have a good, offense But ray kind of
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: struggling in these recent.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: Starts he does have good numbers Against.
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: Baltimore but it's a small seventeen at bat sample, size
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: but nine, strikeouts two, walks one seventy nine average six sixteen.
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: Ops So ray does decently Against.
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: Baltimore so you could definitely argue That ray is the
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: better of the two starters Against young, here it's difficult to,
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: gauge LIKE i Think young has the higher ceiling, Though
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: so that's WHY i kind of get confused by this
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: game a little bit and looking at the numbers, here you,
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: know probably probably a pretty big favorite line on The.
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: Cubs here they're, up they're actually down from minus one
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: eighty five down to minus one seventy, three so not
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: a huge. Line eighty three, PERCENT i think is ninety
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on. Them total is at.
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: Eight so it looks like the wind is in a
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: huge factor in this game At. Chicago probably too heavy
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: a price to lay on The cubs. THOUGH i just
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: don't love ray on the hill. There but it's it's
• 45:18
  Speaker 2: a tough game to really figure, out man for, Me,
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: yeah very very. Difficult The cubs do have an advantage
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: pretty much across the board in the, game, though SO
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: i would probably still not really want to Play, Baltimore, Pittsburgh.
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: Colorado i'll save that one for the end of the
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: show because that's my other play THAT i. Have it's
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: a first five inning play and you're probably not gonna like,
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: it but you have to wait for that great matchup
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: With pittsburgh And. Colorado how about That a's and The.
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: Diamondbacks The as won the first game of the series
• 45:47
  Speaker 2: and then lost, yesterday so they lost a win streak.
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: Yesterday And arizona actually ended a lost, Streak so the
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: momentum is actually in favor Of arizona here because they
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: just broke a low. Streak But i've been saying their
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: headspace probably is it, right because they know they're not
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: going for it this. Year they sold off at the,
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: Break but maybe that win will help give them some
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: momentum going. Forward, like, okay, guys like let's win some.
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: Games let's play, baseball you know WHAT i. Mean a's
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: obviously have the worst, bullpen even Though arizona's bullpen is,
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: bad but these, bullpens The a's are the worst bullpen
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: in all baseball though The.
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: A's is that? Right it looks like The a's used
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: no relief pictures. Yesterday is that?
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: CORRECT i guess that must be, Correct And arizona used,
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: three so The a's have a rested bullpen at least after.
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: Yesterday that's. Insane The a's didn't use any relief. Pictures
• 46:36
  Speaker 2: they just let their STARTER i guess get.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: Shelled what did they do? Yesterday, no that's not.
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: Right they use four relief, Pitchers so thank you rode
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: A wire for misleading. Me.
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: YEAH Jt gin didn't last in that, game that's. Right,
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah so four relief. Pitchers, wait WAS i was looking At?
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: Atlanta, oh, sorry my MISTAKEN i, Apologize rode, awire my.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: MISTAKE i was looking At. Atlanta, yeah four relief.
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: Pitchers so, Yeah arizona has the bullpen, edge which rarely
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: do you say. THAT E rod is pitching for The diamondbacks.
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: Here five point six THREE, era one point sixty five
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: whip At Eduardo rodriguez not. Good, numbers five point eight
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: FOUR era on the road this year not. Good this
• 47:15
  Speaker 2: is a hitter friendly park as. Well this past month
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: seven point four E Ra arizona lost all four of
• 47:21
  Speaker 2: those starts for, him and five starts in a row
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: they've lost. Us he had an eighteen to seven strike
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: a walk. Race you give up an abysmal thirty four
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: hits in twenty to two thirds innings at seven home,
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: runs which doesn't bode well for. Him pitching in a
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: hitter friendly ballpark, here and he doesn't have good numbers
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: against THE a is either forty six at bats three
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: or four, average eight twelve, ops twelve to two strike
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: a walk ratio is not that, bad but it looks
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: not good FOR E rod. Here he's going up Against Jack,
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: perkins whoever the hell that is for The.
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: A's he's a young.
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: Guy twenty five two point seven FIVE ra point nine
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: two whip on the. Season worse at home, though can
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: you BLAME i mean this stadium, Again rex pitchers for
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: the most part five.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: Point four home y are not.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: Great looks like it's gonna be a bullpen game for
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: The a's Because perkins is gone at most three and
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: a third innings in any of his outings this. Year
• 48:12
  Speaker 2: So perkins is gonna be an opener most likely. Here
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: not go that deep into this. Game arizona's never faced him,
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: before and he has pitched fairly well this year in short,
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: stints BUT i just don't think he's gonna be that.
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: Trustworthy we're gonna get The a's bullpen into this. Game
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: we know both bullpens. Suck both starters look pretty bad
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: in this. Game so you know Where i'm going with.
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: This it would be over for me in this. GAME
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: i think that's the only way to really look at this.
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: Game we see sixty percent tickets on the. Under for some,
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: REASON i don't know how the public is on an under, Here,
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: uh fifty three of the cash on the, over though
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: the total is reasonable for An a's home game at
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: ten and juice to the under. Too so, Yeah I'm
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: i'm leaning towards the over in this, game even though
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: bookmaker does have it at ten juice to the under as.
• 48:57
  Speaker 2: Well but that's the way That i'm looking in that
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: game and the slight home favorite at most.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Books fifty two ticket seventy two percent of the cash on.
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: Them it's basically a pick the winner type of scenario.
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: There but there's no way THAT i would trust The a's.
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: PEN i don't THINK i trust their pitching scenario at.
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: All in the, MOMENTUM i would actually go against. THAT
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: i would actually disagree with. THAT i would lean To.
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: Arizona BUT i think the much stronger way to play
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: that is an over seven straight under the In Sacramento.
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: Stadium, yeah that's, interesting that's.
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: True, yeah the oddsmakers are always putting up a really
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: high total. There i'm actually surprised both of these games
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: have gone. Under with a matchup Between arizona and The.
• 49:36
  Speaker 2: A's it might just be that both teams know they're
• 49:38
  Speaker 2: out of it, now so they're just not focused on hitting.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: Anymore arizona traded away some of their, bats but still
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: and then these other. GAMES i Mean, houston, Well houston
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: was on the, road never. Mind but the games Against, seattle,
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: YEAH i mean that's kind of surprised Because seattle does
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: hit better on the. Road White sox At, Anaheim, andrew
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: here's Your angels team. Here they've lost three in a.
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: Row they're on.
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: The verge of getting swept after losing one nothing. Yesterday
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: BUT i think they might get swept, here, MAN i,
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: mean you know, ME i don't Like anaheim's. Bullpend they're
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: one of the worst bullpens In Major League. Baseball they
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: used four relief pitchers, yesterday which is not a good
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: sign For anaheim.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: Either only two relief pitchers came out for The White sox.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: Yesterday so even though The White sox bullpen's not good,
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: EITHER i think you got to give the bullpen edge
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: to The White sox, here AND i think they also
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: have the starting pitching. Edge and The White socks actually
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: have pitched well on the road or excuse you have
• 50:30
  Speaker 2: hit well on the road. Recently so The White, sox
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: even though they're the worst of these two. Offenses anaheim
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: has a decent, offense but STILL i think The White
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: sox that the edge That anaheim has might be a
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: little bit less because The White sox have been hitting
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: surprising as well. RECENTLY i think The White sox have
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: the better starter on the hill, too Is Sean. Burke
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: four point one SEVEN era one point four whip is
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: not good one point four to. One he's worse on
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: the road to four point SEVEN era on the, road
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: SO i do hesitate a little. Bit he's failed to
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: go five innings in each of his last two, starts
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: which does worry. Me his walk rate has been a
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: bit too. High his strikeout rate's been okay over the
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: last month twenty five strikeouts more than one per, inning eleven,
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: walks though it is definitely too many four point zero ONE,
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: era but he's basically kept the opposing runs down in
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: his how many starts is? This in his last seven,
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: starts he's only allowed more than two hour in runs one,
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: time so he is keeping runs off the. Board Against,
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: anaheim he has pretty good numbers in a small fourteen
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: at bats sample size only one, strikeout no, walks but
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: two fourteen batting average, allowed five hundred. Ops burke has
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: done pretty well just in general Against, anaheim SO i
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: think he has the upper Handover Jack, kohanowitz WHO i
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: don't think is very good at. All five point seven
• 51:50
  Speaker 2: FIVE era and one point six to TWO whip not,
• 51:52
  Speaker 2: good worse at home, too with a six E ra at.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: Home he's just not getting it.
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: Together Man anaheim sent him to the minors recently and
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: he came. Back in his first start, back he walked
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: six guys Against. TEXAS i only gave up one hit
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: and he didn't give up any earned, runs but he
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: put a ton of guys on. Base was out of
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: the game in four and two thirds. Innings he was
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: not pitching very, efficiently struck out. THREE i, mean it
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: was not a good outing for. Him over the the past,
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: month when he has pitched seven to, eleven strikeout walk
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: ratio is seven to, eleven not very convenient in this.
• 52:26
  Speaker 2: Case he hasn't pitched well man seven point eight TWO
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: era over that. Span it's not going well for, him
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: AND i don't really expect it to go particularly well from. Here.
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: Though it is a Weak White sox.
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: Lineup still twenty seven at bats against, them they only
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: have five, hits no extra base, hits five, strikeouts no,
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: walks one eighty five average and three seventy ops against.
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: Them So kohanowitz does have good numbers against.
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: The White.
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: Sox The White sox had fifty seven percent to, tickets
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: only fifty one percent of the cash line has dropped,
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: though from minus one forty into the minus one twenties On,
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: anaheim AND i AGAIN i agree with. THEM i would
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: lean to The White sox on the money line. Here
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: could potentially look for an under in the first five
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: innings as, well BECAUSE i think both starting pitchers actually
• 53:09
  Speaker 2: might do okay in this. Game BUT i still don't
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: know if you could Trust. Cohanowitz but maybe in this one,
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: game maybe he does okay just because he has the
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers that are. Okay but we see money on
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: the over fifty three percent. Tickets eighty eight percent of
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over total is gone down, though
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: from nine and a half to nine basically at most.
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: Places so, YEAH i, MEAN i guess read into that
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: what you, Will BUT i still think the strongest lean
• 53:34
  Speaker 2: there Is, chicago probably just on the money. Line San
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: diego's Hosting Saint Louis San diego lost yesterday after winning
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: the first game of the, series losing eight to five.
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: Yesterday San diego does have the better bullpen, here bullpen.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: Usage Saint louis used two relievers, yesterday which is not,
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: bad although they sold off at the trade deadline And
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: San diego added relief. Pitchers they Added Mason miller over
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: from The A's San diego has four used four relievers,
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: yesterday but you still got to give the bullpen hetch
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: To San. Diego in my, OPINION i think it's that much.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: Better they have one of the best bullpens in. Baseball
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: Andre polante pitching For Saint louis not good four point
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: six TWO era and one point three to one whip
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: worse on the road four point eight two ROAD. Era
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: coming up a really nice seven, inning one hit shutout
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: Against miami four, strikeouts one, walk but the rest of
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: his starts this month were. Bad he gave up five
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: or more runs in the prior three, starts SO i
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: don't know that this is the start of, anything, really.
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: Because overall he has not been.
• 54:35
  Speaker 2: Good sixteen to eight strike out walk ratio over that
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: last month five point one SIX, era that's not. Good
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: Against San diego's numbers aren't. Good he, either in forty
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: four at bats nine to six strike out walk ratio
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: three eighteen average allowed eight fifty five, ops so bad
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: numbers overall For polante Against San. Diego SO i don't
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: think you can really trust him, here even though it
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: is a pitcher friendly. Park that affects both pitchers here
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: And dylan seas is pitching for The padres big.
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: Time disappointing this.
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: Season four point seven NINETY, ra one point three to
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: four whip not, good but he has been better in
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: this stadium with a three point nine to ninety ray
• 55:11
  Speaker 2: better at, home although his last start at home was
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: not good against The, mets five earned, runs didn't even
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: make it four and didn't even make it five, innings
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: four and two thirds, innings pitch one hundred and two pitches.
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: Thrown he's throwing way too many. Pitches.
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: Man he has a very high strikeout rate thirty six
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: to eleven strike a walk ratio this past month and
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: twenty seven, innings but seven home runs. Allowed it's way
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: too many home, runs way too many. WALKS i, mean
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: he's been. Wild he's walked eight over the last nine
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: and two thirds innings across two. Starts that's not good.
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: Either very high strikeout ray for, him so he's still fooling.
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: Hitters but five point six to seventy ray over that
• 55:47
  Speaker 2: span two he's still not pitching well man Against Saint.
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: Louis his numbers aren't good, either in forty two at
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: bats three eighty one batting average nine ninety four oh.
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: Ps that's pretty. Bad and given That San diego did
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: you some of the. YESTERDAY i know their bullpen is really,
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: good but If cease doesn't last in this, game they'll
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: have to use more relievers as. Well i'm thinking over
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: is the right way to go in this. Game we
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: have fifty nine, percent take us fifty four percent of
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: the cash on the under total kind of just sitting at.
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: Eight it was just to the.
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: Over it is down to eight a, bookmaker BUT i
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: kind of disagree with that.
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: ONE i think the, OVER i think that's actually kind
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: of a low.
• 56:22
  Speaker 2: TOTAL i know it's a very picture friendly, park but
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: both starting pictures don't look. Good and maybe over first
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: five innings you could do as, well which is kind
• 56:29
  Speaker 2: of a rarity for, me just to Avoid San diego's
• 56:32
  Speaker 2: bullpen and the fact that they're actually. Good San diego
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: down for minus one eighty five to into the minus
• 56:37
  Speaker 2: one seventies at some of the, books which seems to
• 56:40
  Speaker 2: be a little bit of a move Against San.
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: DIEGO i would not really agree with.
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: THAT i still Think cease has the edge Over, Polante
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: texas At. Seattle see IF i can get this done
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: and then still do My instagram video. Here seattle won
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: the first two games of the series and then lost
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: yesterday six to. Four that was the game with a.
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: Ton it was an extra inning, game a ton of bullpen.
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: Usage texas used six, RELIEVERS i think is what that,
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: is And seattle used more than. That seattle use, SEVEN i,
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: think although they're carrying an extra reliever right now in the,
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: ROSTER i guess BECAUSE i Guess thornton is on the D.
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: L i guess that's. Why so they're not really carrying extra,
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: relievers so they only have one relief pitcher that didn't pitch.
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: Yesterday so the bullpen scenario is bad for both of these, teams.
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: But the starting pitching could Be. Okay de gram is
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: pitching for The. Rangers he's been more than.
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: Okay two point five to FIVE era point nine two
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: whip really, good a little bit worse on the road
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: three point two to EIGHTY. Ra but this is Still
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: seattles pitcher friendly. Park over the last, month As era
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: was up a little bit to four point. One he
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: only allowed more than torn runs. Twice his last outing
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: Against anaheim was just not. Great he had eight strikeouts
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: still in one, walk but he gave up two on
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: them runs.
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: Which kind of hurt.
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: Him five runs still overall over the past month thirty
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: six to six strike out walk. Ratio i'm not ready
• 57:57
  Speaker 2: to say that de gram is all of a sudden
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: like out of four or. Anything although he did a
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: lot of seven home runs over the last, month but
• 58:04
  Speaker 2: this is not a very home run conduce of. BALLPARK
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: i think he should do. Fine his numbers Against seattle are.
• 58:09
  Speaker 2: Alright De grom's been good pretty much throughout the entire.
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: YEAR i mean he's really. Good sixty nine at, bats
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: has sixty nine Against, seattle twenty one to seven strike
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: at walk, ratio two thirty two average around and seven eight.
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: Ops so, oh, yeah he was on THE. Dl, yeah
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: that information is no longer on THE. Dl that's, Right.
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: Jamie they call it the I l now as. Well
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: BUT i don't like this because you can't call it disabled.
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: Man i'm gonna call it THE rl the retaded.
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: List De grom does have pretty good numbers, overall though Against,
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: seattle LIKE i, said seven o eight ohps not, BAD
• 58:44
  Speaker 2: i expect.
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: Him to do.
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: Well Logan evans is hard to gauge man young starter
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: from The mariners. Here four point two TWO, era one
• 58:52
  Speaker 2: point four to FOUR whip not great, numbers but he's
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: been pretty good at home two point six HOME era
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: five point six THREE era over the past, month, though
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: with a twenty to eleven strikeout walk ratio and multiple
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: walks in four straight, starts and he only hit the
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: five inning mark in one of those, starts so that's.
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: A little bit.
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: Alarming although three of those starts are on the, road
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: uh at The A's stadium and at The bronx against The,
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: yankees so those are obviously not easy outing to deal,
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: with and he did give up six or runs in
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: each of those, outings So texas is definitely a weaker,
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: offense but he has not been good Against texas in
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: twenty three at bats four to thirty five, average allowed
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: eight to ninety three oh. Ps SO i know it's
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: a small sample. Size texas offense is really not that,
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: good But, EVANS i think you got to trust De
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: grom more Than evans. HERE i mean we know who he,
• 59:38
  Speaker 2: is but you're laying a price for De. Grom it's
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: down for minus one to forty five to into the
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: minus one thirties bookmakers still is one of the higher
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: numbers on it, though uh sixty four percent of tickets
• 59:47
  Speaker 2: on them on The texas, side but fifty three percent
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: of the cash coming in against them On. Seattle so
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: the money is actually looking like it's coming in On.
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: Seattle very low total at seven and a half with
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: juice on the under sixty three. Percent send the tickets
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: on the under seventy six percent of the cash on the.
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 2: Under BUT i don't see how you can play an
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: under full game with the bullpens being so tax, here
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: AND i don't know IF i Trust evans, Again SO
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: i still kind of lean To texas in this, game
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: but it's still too much of a price to lay On. Texas,
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: yeah and then the bullpen, Scenario LIKE i, Said texas
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: does have the better bullpen, overall and that's slightly more
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: rested as. Well, again if you go under in this,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: GAME i wouldn't disagree with him in the first five,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: innings just with the starters out, there BUT i worry
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: About evans matchup numbers and, again, YEAH i mean it's
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: gonna be a really small, number like three and.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: A, half SO i don't really love. That SO i
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: still Think texas is the preferred.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 2: Side and then THE Espn Sunday night game is a
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: good matchup Between detroit And. PHILADELPHIA i, mean that's a
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: good matchup between these two, teams but the starting pitching
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: matchup doesn't look like it's very enticing. Here these two
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: teams are, good which is why it's ON. Espn philadelphia
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 2: won the first game lost, yesterday so it is a
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: rubber match as, well which is, gonna you, know help
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: the advertisement of. It Probably detroit only his two relievers,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: yesterday and they have the better, bullpen even Though philadelphia
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: did Add duran uh before the all before the trade,
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: deadline it's Using philadelphia used four relief pitchers, Yesterday SO
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 2: i give the bullpen edge To. Detroit they have the better,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: bullpen but do they have the better.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: Starter. No Charlie morton was traded over To detroit From.
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: Baltimore he will make his debut five point four TWO,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: era one point five to six whip not good. Numbers
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: he's making His tiger debut, here he's been worse on
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: the road as. Well six point three NINE roadira very not. Good,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 2: although As i've been pointing out With, morton since they
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: threw him to the bullpen and then they brought him
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: back into the starting, rotation he actually has been good
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: and his team With, baltimore they only lost three games
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: going all the way back to like Late may when
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: he returned to the starting. Rotation he only allowed more
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: than three on runs twice over that entire, span so
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: he was actually pitching. Serviceably but he ree walks from
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: more in four straight out and he's four point nine
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: ONE era over the past. Month twenty four to fourteen
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio doesn't give me a lot of
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 2: confidence in. Him six home, runs allowed more than one
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: hit all out per. INNING i don't love it Against.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: Philly decent numbers huge two under twelve at bat sample size,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 2: two sixty nine, average seven to twenty four oh. Ps
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: those are not great numbers for The philly, offense sixty
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: seven to twenty seven strike out walk. Ratio but Still
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: morton obviously is the worst of the two starters Against Christopher,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: sanchez who's having an elite season two point five FIVE
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 2: r and one point zero nine whip For philadelphia a
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 2: very similar home in a, way only slightly worse at
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: home past, month really really good numbers one point nine
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: to FIVE, rra thirty six to five strike out walk.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: Ratio so you know which of these pitchers is better
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: and in the better. Form And detroit only has two
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: hitters we've ever seen him. Before torres has a home
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: run offen but one sixty seven average allowed in eight
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: thirty three ops. Allowed SO i gotta lean To sanchez
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: here man probably first five innings BECAUSE i do think
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: the bullpen edge shifts To detroit a little. Bit first
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: five inning run line On philly makes sense to me
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 2: in this, game although we see fifty percent of tickets On,
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 2: philly eighty percent of the money On, detroit so the
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: money is coming in On. Detroit philly is a big
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 2: favorite and down for minus one eighty five to minus
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: one seventy, one so the money moved Against. Philling we will.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: SEE i mean, AGAIN i kind of lean To philly
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: in the first five innings though at that starting pitching.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: Matchup but Maybe morton will come out excited because he
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: is on a new team that is a. Contender let's
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: go to the best bets. Here i'm gonna try to
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: get this done and then get my video done real.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: Quick.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: Here my last best bet, is you're not gonna like.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: This it's The Colorado rockies run line plus one twenty
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: in the first five innings only BECAUSE i don't like the.
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: Bullpen pittsburgh's bullpen is actually, Okay So i'm gonna take
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 2: The colorado bullpen. Out we have sixty nine percent of
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: the tickets On, pittsburgh but seventy nine percent of the
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: cash coming in On. COLORADO i think this is sneaky, Man.
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: Colorado so, YEAH i know they're on the verge of Sweeping.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh So, pittsburgh maybe he should come out with like
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: a little bit of fire. HERE i don't know why
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: this isn't. Loading come, ON. ESPN i gotta get this, done.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: DUDE i HOPE i didn't like lose everybody.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: Here it looks like is my internet? Dead what's going on? Here? Man,
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: no it's, fine all.
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: RIGHT i don't, know But colorado very high scoring games
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: two seventeen to sixteen and eight to.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: Five colorado won both. Games, yes we know, This.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: Colorado let's see they use five relief Pitchers. Jesday so,
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: AGAIN i don't want any part of their. Bullpen pittsburgh
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: only used three and they have the better. Bullpen we're
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: going with just the starting pitching. Matchup but and on the,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: surface it's, like what are you?
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: Doing?
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: Man Mitch keller is obviously the way better starter here
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: three point six NINETY ra one point two. Whip, YEAH
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: i understand that better on the road three point three ONE.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: Era but this is not just any road. Start this
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: Is corsfield, man and it looks like they're whinding him
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 2: down a bit and he's not pitching. Well six walks
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 2: over the last eight Innings across the last two. Starts
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 2: he only went two innings Against San, francisco not great,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: either and he threw seventy three, pitches an unbelievably high
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 2: pitch count for that. Start so even though he was
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: good over the past month or, so he kind of
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: started trailing off getting a little bit wild there At.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: Colorado colorado forty five at, bats they have a four
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: to twenty two average against him in nine to sixty nine.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: Ohps SO i Know colorado not a good hitting, team
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 2: but Against, keller, specifically they rake against, Him so this looks.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: Interesting to, me and Then blaylock pitching for The rock
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 2: is bad. NUMBERS i get at seven point zero NINE
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 2: era one point six to four whip bad, numbers very
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: bad at, home TWELVE. RA i understand all that it's not,
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: good but over the past among three, STARTS i, know
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: not a good strikeout ray with eight but in seventeen,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: names but only one walk and he only allowed three
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: earned runs across those seventeen names across two.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: STARTS i know only one of them was at home
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: and that was the worst of the.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: Three but still he's actually in better form right. Now
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 2: one point FIVE ninetyra over that. Span of, Course pittsburgh
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: very bad. Offense they're actually the worst of the two offenses,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: HERE i, believe and they have not seen him. Before
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 2: So blaylock might actually have a little bit of an.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: EDGE i might actually be able to get this thing.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 2: Done so that's Where i'm. Going i'm Going colorado first
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: five innings and then the other. Play LIKE i, said
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: coming up very, Shortly. Houston got to try to get
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: My Instagram vio video out real.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: Quick.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: Here that's gonna do, it. Man those are the two plays.
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: Today thanks for hanging, out. Everybody see IF i can
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: get the share off learn to toad On twitter and On.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 2: Instagram better Off dad YouTube audio. Platforms check it all.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: Out covered in yuke on YouTube as, Well patreon dot,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: com slash learn To. Toad thanks everybody for hanging out
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: and peace. Out it's gonna do. It