Latest / Toadstool Sports / Thursday BEST BETS | Zigging and Zagging | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/23/26

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Thursday BEST BETS | Zigging and Zagging | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/23/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's what I'm gonna start off this show.
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: don't know what day it is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: until I die at least oh and two yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday did not go well for me. Own five the
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slump series, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: End it all. What's up? Everybody's toed back with you?
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: Toadstool sports? It is Thursday? Is that what it is?
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: Uh?
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: April twenty third? Did I get that right? Yeah? I
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: think I did.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: We went one one and one on the show yesterday.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: I'm not thrilled about that, but that's what it was.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: It was a small win if you bet the exact
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: numbers that I had, because the underdog was the loser,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: so that was the Pittsburgh Penguins. The game was closer
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: statistically than the final score made it look. I mean,
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: there was an empty net goal at the end. Just
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: some kind of crazy stuff happened near the end. It
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: was a one goal game pretty close to the end.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: I can't even get my camera to adjust. Let's come on, hello,
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: all right, there we go.
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous?
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: Yeah?
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: Whatever, I mean, I have the Flyers winning into my bracket.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: I don't like the Penguins so whatever, I guess that's
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: what it is. The Seattle Mariners. They won, so at
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: least we pushed that. I might have gone into extra innings.
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure they won by one. They probably should
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: have won the game more easily, though, like they got screwed,
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: like almost right out.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: Of the gate.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: There was one of the weirdest plays that you'll ever see,
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: a rule that I have never heard of before that
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: makes no sense to me. If you guys don't know
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: what I'm talking about, didn't see that game. It was
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: like the first or second inning. Logan Gilbert pitching for Seattle,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: who obviously we liked. As part of that handicap, I
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: don't know who the hitter was. One of the batters
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: hit the ball right back towards the pitcher, and the
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: ball landed in Gilbert's jersey, so like he caught it
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: in his jersey.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: So what's the ruling there? Well, apparently, according to the Major.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: League Baseball rules that have never heard of before that
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: never ever have gotten applied before as far as I know.
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: The ruling is that it's a single.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: I've never heard of that before, Like if you catch
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: it in your hat, it's an out. But if you
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: catch it in your jersey, it's a single? What are
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: we doing here?
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: What are we talking about?
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: So that wound up being a single, and it also
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: could have potentially injured Gilbert, so lucky for him it
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: was caught in his jersey. But still it's completely insane.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: You can go watch the footage of that. I don't
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: think the announcers knew what was going on either. I
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: think that should be an out. The ball was in
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: the air, It's like catching a line drive. Why does
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: it matter if you catch it in your mitt, your hat, your.
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: Jersey, whatever. It makes no sense to me.
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: That was a single and that really kind of threw
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: it off because who are we playing against there, the A's.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: The A's wound up scoring one or two runs basically
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: because of that, so I think. So, I don't know,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: that was very, very bizarre. That game wound up being
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: a push or if you just played it on the
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: money line, you wound up winning. And then we did
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: get an easy win in the NBA game with the
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: Detroit Pistons. The money did come in my way. If
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: you watch the market as the night went on, all
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: the actual money came in on Detroit. So I was
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: like Okay, that made me feel better about it. That
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: kind of confirmed that I was on the right side there.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: I did make that one of my actual bets, because
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: as you know, I'm trying to not be totally crazy
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: with my money right now. But I felt pretty strongly
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: about that one. So there is that. So the Detroit
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: Pistons got there. All right, let's get let's get into today.
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: But yeah, yeah, I mean, I'm endorsing everything I do
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: on the show. I need to get back to actually
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: just making plays on every single one of these things,
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: Let's do today.
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: We have a short, shorter Baseball card, although it's still something,
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: and then NHL and NBA. Of course, as usual, I
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: will have one Baseball play which is a total, and
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: one NBA play. That's what I'm gonna do today, Tyson,
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: what's up? They start hanging out all right? Major League Baseball?
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: It's getaway day for most of the rest of these teams,
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: well for some of them. So we have some series
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: that are ending. Actually I think every one of the
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: series that's being played today's ending, I'm pretty sure. So
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: it's basically getaway day for all these teams. Kind of
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: weird a couple of them have night games though, although
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know if maybe those particular series are actually continuing,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: I'm not even sure. But anyway, Atlanta and Washington they're
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: finishing this series today. That's the first game up at
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: one oh five pm Eastern.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: TV.
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: Only these teams are playing a four game series. Atlanta
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: has won two of the three, including yesterday. Does that
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: mean Atlanta's gonna overlook Washington in this final game?
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: Probably not.
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think you really want to split
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: a series against the team that you're supposed to beat.
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: Washington's not really that good. Atlanta does play Philadelphia next,
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: which normally could be a look ahead, but Philadelphia's playing
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: very bad baseball right now. Washington likely will get up
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: for this game, though you would have to imagine. But
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: Washington is not that good. I think they've been overrated.
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: To start the season.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: I think looking at the bullpen usage Washington, well, first
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: of all, other bullpen's not good. Is my internet working?
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: What's going on here? The site's not even loading. Washington
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: used two relief pitchers yesterday, Braves used four. But the
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: Braves have the better bullpen pretty significantly, so, even though
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: they use a couple more relievers in Washington. I still
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: think the Braves have a bullpen edge. They're ranked number
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: one in bullpen whip, even though I think they're not
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: totally the best bullpen, but they've been good and Washington's
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: is not good. I think we know that they're like
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: a bottom six or seven bullpen.
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: Bad bullpen. Both teams have had good offense this year.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: I feel like I just repeat myself, but you know,
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: I just go through how I break down the game
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: every day. Atlanta second in ops, Washington fifth. I think Washington.
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: I really think both of these offenses might see some
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: regression happen here. I don't know if I fully buy it.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Starting pitching is a little bit interesting here. Atlanta has J. R.
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: Ritchie making his major league debut. He is what does
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: that make him? That makes him twenty two years old?
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: I think is what he is. I believe he's already
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: had Tommy John surgery. Though he's an interesting case because
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: I looked at his his minor league numbers, there's not
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: a lot to go on this year. He was pretty
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: much dominant throughout the miners, but he had that elbow injury,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: so he had Tommy John surgery. He looks like he's
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: good this year, though, Like I looked at his numbers
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: at Triple A, he's got like a two era. His
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: whip is I think, like barely above one, and he's
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: been almost unhittable in Triple A. But the problem is
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: that he's wild tails old as time man. He has
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: too many walks in Triple A this year. But other
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: than that, he's been really good, and his strikeout stuff
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: is good, and he has a deep arsenal. He throws
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: like six or seven different pitches. I think he has
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: like a mid to high nineties fastball, cutter, curve, slider, change.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what else he throws, but he has.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: He definitely has like a major league arsenal with all
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: those different pitches that he can mix in there, so
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: he might actually be good.
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: I actually prefer.
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: Him over the other There are two guys making their
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: major league debuts today, and I think I prefer him
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: over the other one, which is I don't even see
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: the other one on here. And oh Christian Scott, Yeah
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: for the Mets. We'll get to him in a minute.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: But yet Ritchie seems to me in the better form
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: right now. And of course he has the advantage the
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: fact that Washington's never seen him before, so the unfamiliarity
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: is an advantage to a pitcher that does have good stuff.
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: But there's a chance he might be shaky in his
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: major league debut. You never really know.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: Washington has Kate Cavali pitching. He has not done great
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: this year. Four point one two era looks okay, but
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: one point seventy to three whip is not gonna cut it.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: Very bad whip, although he did pitch a little bit
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: better in his last game against San Francisco, at least
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: as far as he didn't walk anybody, and his walks
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: were a huge issue prior to that, so maybe he's
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: getting them under control. But Washington's lost four straight games
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: that he's appeared, and granted three of them were extra
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: inning games though, so they were not out of any
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: of those games except for one of them where he
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: got absolutely rocked at Pittsburgh, but the bullpen also was
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: a huge problem in that game.
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: Overall, though, eighteen to.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Twelve strike out walk ratio more than one hit per inning.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: I can't trust this guy right now. Atlanta doesn't have
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: much experience off of him. Only two hitters has seen
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: him before combined two for six with one hit a
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: double from Farmer, who is the only batter that has
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: any hits off him. Yeas is over three off him,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts, no walks. Overall, it's a three thirty three
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: average eight thirty three ops allowed, but in such a
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: small sample you can't really figure that out. The money
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: is backing Washington here. Atlanta's down to minus one thirty
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: five on the money line here ninety percent of the
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: tickets and only eighty five percent of the cash on them,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: So it looks like money is coming in towards Washington.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I would agree, you know, I
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: think I would prefer Atlanta in this one. I mean,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: we know they have the better offense and the better
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: bullpen here, although the offenses are close, I guess. But Cavali,
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: we kind of know what he is, and I don't
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: think he's that backable here. Richie I think has a
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: wide variance here. Like I think his ceiling is definitely higher.
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: He could actually come out to do well here, or
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: he could come out of just stink. I have no idea.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: So that's the gamble here with this one. But yeah,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with the market in that one
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: money also backing the under it appears in this game
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: to some extent. I probably would not do that. I
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: don't really have a good feel for that. Actually, you
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: know what I would do though, probably because Richie is
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: such a mystery here. Atlanta over their team total makes
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: some sense to me here, and though you're gonna need
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: them to probably score six runs probably in the game,
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: but they might be able to do that against Cavali
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: and Washington's bullpen, Atlanta over team total does make some
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: sense in that game. Next up, Milwaukee at Detroit. These
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: teams have split the first two games of the series,
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: so I think both teams are gonna show up in
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: Detroit won yesterday. We do have.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Quite an interesting pitching matchup here, though that could potentially
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: be very one sided as far as the bullpens are concerned.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: Detroit used three relief pitchers yes today, not really concerning there.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee used two, so kind of normal usage out of
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: the bullpens. The bullpens, neither of them have been that great,
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: though Milwaukee's all the way down to twenty second and
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: bullpen whip their era is a little bit better than
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: all the teams around them, but their whip indicates they're
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: putting way too many guys on base over one and
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: a half. Not really a trustworthy Brewer bullpen here right now.
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: Detroit's has been.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Debatably worse actually, with the same whip and a little
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: bit worse ERA, So not great bullpens as it stands
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: right now. I kind of expect them to do a
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: little bit better. I expected those bullpens to be more
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: like middle of the pack, but we will see. Milwaukee
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: has had the slightly lesser offense as well, but I
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: think some of that has to do with the injuries
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: they've been dealing with. But the injuries are still in
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: play right now. Both offenses have been decent, though at
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: least above average. Brandon Sproute is pitching for Milwaukee. He
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: finally had a good start. His numbers are bad this
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: year so far, six point eight eight ERA, one point
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: seven to one WHIP, which probably makes Mets fans feel
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: a little bit better about the fact that they got
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: rid of this guy. But he had a good start
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: in his last outing against Toronto, and he looks like
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: he's improving as the season goes on. In fact, each
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: start has been better than the last so he's trending
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: in the right direction here, at the very least six
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: to one strike a walk ratio in a six and
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: two third inning, one run, four hit performance against Toronto
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: in his last outing. Overall, though, his numbers still are
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly. Sixteen to eleven strike at walk ratio is bad.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: More than one hit per inning is bad. But he
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: does appear to be trending in the right direction. Can
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: he pitch well here? Yeah, it's possible. Detroit has never
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: seen him before, so that is an extra advantage sometimes
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: to these young pitchers. As I always say, as I
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: already said with Ritchie a little while ago, there is
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an advantage to a pitcher who
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: is unknown to the opposing hitters. They have to figure
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: him out. However, he's gonna have to go up against
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: Tarik Skubo here, who is the best pitcher in baseball
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: two point eight ra point nine to six whip. Yeah,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think we really have to go
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: into it too much here. He has a thirty three
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: to six strikeout walk ratio this year, well below.
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: One hit per inning and thirty to third innings.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: Whatever, we know he's an elite pitcher against Milwaukee. He
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: has elite numbers as well, and forty at bats sixteen
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: to two strikeout walk ratio one fifty batting average allowed
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: three to ninety ops. Likely that he's gonna give you
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: a good game. Sprote is a complete mystery here. I
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: was kind of leaning first five under in this game,
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: and the total is really low for a reason it's
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: at seven, So, I mean, part of that is obviously schooble,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: but the oddsmakers are kind of telling you they expect
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: both pitchers to actually factor into that equation. Here seventy
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty one percent of the cash on
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: the over.
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: Though.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: Now, as I told you, I don't like the bullpens
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: in this game though, so if I was gonna go under,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: it would be first five inning under, which, by the way,
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: I was correct about that in the Anaheim and Toronto game,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: which I think was yesterday maybe the lower Soriano one.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: I think that was yesterday, because that game was well
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: under I think in the first five and then the
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: bullpen's got totally blown up in that game. So that
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: was one of the ones that makes you feel pretty good.
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: Although that was not on my card, and I said
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: the same thing with Milwaukee Detroit yesterday that was not correct.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: The game went over both in the first five and
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: full game. I'm pretty sure, but whatever in this game,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: I would have the same type of opinion.
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: Under first five makes sense.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee under their team total also makes sense because sprote
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: is really way more of a question mark here. I
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: think if you want to just bank on Schooble doing
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: really well in Milwaukee under their team total, but then
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: you have to deal with Detroit's bullpen, Milwaukee first five
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: under their team total, but then you're probably gonna need
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: to be held to one run, although Schooble could do that,
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: but that's obviously risky because one fluke could just totally
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: mess that thing up. Or if you want to dip
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: into like player prop markets, which I don't really do,
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: but you could look for school Ball. You're never really
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: gonna get value on him, but this looks like a
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: good matchup for him, so you could go with him
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: to and maybe the value will be a little bit
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: better because Milwaukee is seen as a good offense, so
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: maybe that will help. But you could go with school
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: Ball to go a certain amount of outs in the game.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: Is what I was about to say, like books will
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: put that out as a prop like how deep is
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: this pitcher going to go into the game?
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean, if it's a reasonable number.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: At least like you'd probably be likely to get Like
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: he probably is gonna get you into. I would imagine
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: the seventh inning at the very least in this game,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: because that's what he does. But I don't know for sure,
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: but that might be another approach to look at Philadelphia
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: at the Cubs. The Cubs are on the verge of
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: a sweep. They're the hottest team in baseball probably right now.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: They've won eight games in a row, but against the
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: Mets and Philadelphia all of those games.
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: I think it's the Mets and the Phillies the teams.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: With the biggest losing streaks at baseball. Though, the Mets
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: finally ended Theirs in a game where I said, I
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: didn't really like it as much for the Mets yesterday,
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: but I was like, of course that's gonna be the
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: one where they actually do it barely, but they did.
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: But anyway, does that mean the Mets and the Phillies stink?
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: Or does that mean that the Cubs are just really
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: good right now? I'm gonna lean more towards the ladder. Actually,
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: I think the Cubs are very good, and I think
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: the Mets and the Phillies are not as bad as
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: they look at the very least right now. But will
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: the Cubs be able to complete the sweep peer, I
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: don't know, because they've already won the series. They won
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: seven to two yesterday, and the Cubs play the Dodgers next,
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: so that could be a major look ahead spot. I'm
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: pretty sure they do. So the Cubs, yeah, might get
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: caught looking ahead.
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: They have to play the Dodgers starting tomorrow in a
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: weekend series. Yeah, because Friday, every team plays. So I
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: don't love the spot for the Cubs here at all.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Situational spot does not look good for them.
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: Bullpen. The Cubs used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Let me see, Phillies, they've had the lesser of the
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: bullpens they used to relief pitchers.
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: I think we'll give the Cubs a bullpen edge anyway.
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: They're eighth right now in bullpen whip.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: Their bullpen has been improving decent bullpen Phillies.
• 18:21
  Speaker 2: They're in the middle of the pack. Their era is
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: a bit worse.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: Than where their whip has them landing. They're not as
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: good of a bullpen as the Cubs, that's for sure. Offensively,
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: the Phillies still have been struggling. Man, They've been one
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: of the offenses that has shockingly been bad. It's like
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: I mentioned yesterday, them the Red Sox, kind of the Mariners,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: the Mets.
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: Like those offenses have enough.
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: Talent they should all be significantly better than what we've
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: seen here. Maybe the Phillies will break out of that
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: at some point. But the Cubs have been a really
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: hot offense. They're fourth in offense and they are a
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: good offense. So we are gonna have to give the
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: Cubs the offensive edge here as well. So the Cubs
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: do have some matchup edges here that I don't love.
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: Even though I like the situation for Philadelphia. You can
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: definitely make the argument for Phillies starting pitching having the
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: edge here. With Christopher Sanchez, who has a one point
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: five to ninety RA, but his whip is concerning one
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: point four to one. That is indicative that his ERA
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: should be significantly higher than this. Like, you cannot keep
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: putting guys on base like this and getting away with it. Man, Overall,
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: his numbers do look good though, Like the walk number
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: isn't really that bad. Thirty nine strikeouts, eight walks in
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to the third innings, that doesn't look bad.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: He's got an extreme ground ball rate. The hits are
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: really where the issue comes in. He's a lot too
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: many hits, more than one hit per inning, but a
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: lot of it came in one outing against San Francisco
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: and he still held all of.
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: The opponents to two or fewer runs.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say Sanchez is bad right now, even
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: though I don't like his whip right now. I mean,
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: you look at his numbers. It just to me it does.
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: Not look bad.
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: So San I'm not going to necessarily say that, you know,
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: you should avoid him here. But the Cubs did just
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: see him, so there is some familiarity here. All of course,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: he's been in the league for a while, so everybody
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: is kind of familiar with him anyway at this point.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: But he did just pitch at home against the Cubs
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: two starts ago, and he went six innings, allowed two
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: earned runs, eight strikeouts, three walks. It was a pretty
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: good start from him. However, his numbers against the Cubs
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: are not great.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: In forty eight innings.
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: Forty eight excuse forty eight at bats innings forty eight at bats,
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: twelve to seven strike out walk ratio, too many walks
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: two seventy one.
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: Batting average allowed eight twenty two ops.
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, I like the situation for Phillium, and when
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: I looked at the starting pitching matchup, I'm like, yeah,
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: we might be able to make Philly a play here,
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: but I'm not so sure, man. I think Sanchez is
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: probably more trustworthy the Cabrera. I kind of like both
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: pitchers here, though in the matchup numbers they're not the
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: greatest for Sanchez. For Edward Cabrera, he's been pitching pretty
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: well this year two point three eighty RA, one point
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: two eight whip. The walks are still an issue for
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: him though, seventeen strikeouts eleven walks in twenty two and
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: a third innings. Only eighteen hits allowed, though, so he's
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: not allowing a lot of hits really. Last two outings
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: he did allow more hits, though. The walks are really
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: the issue though, multiple walks in every start except his
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: first start. I think he's a pretty good pitcher, but
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: it is concerning that his strikeout rate has gone down
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: as well, because usually he has strikeout stuff and that's
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: how he kind of overcomes the wildness that he has.
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: Some concerns here from Cabrera here, but he did not
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: face Philadelphia in the last series, so he has a
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: little bit of an advantage over Sanchez there because the
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: Cubs offense just saw Sanchez, so they might be able
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: to just quickly adjust to it. Cabrera did not just
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: pitch against Philly, so Philly hasn't seen him for a while,
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: and when they did see him, his numbers were a
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: little bit better than Sanchez is eighty five at bats,
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: seventeen to fourteen strike out walk ratio. That is not good, though,
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: again Cabrera, he walks too many people. Two forty seven
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: batting average seven to sixty five ohps is a little
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: bit high, not quite as bad as what we see
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: out of Sanchez.
• 22:14
  Speaker 2: I think we got to stay away from this game.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean to Philadelphia though, I like the situational
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: setup and I don't think there's a huge matchup edge here.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: Sanchez could definitely outpitch Cabrera.
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: Here, though, if you want to go first five innings Philly,
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: that makes sense because Philly's bullpen is definitely that's like
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: the most like disadvantageous aspect of this game is that
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: Philly's bullpen is not as good as the Cubs. So
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: if you want to exclude that, you could do that.
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: But I think based on the situation, in the fact
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: that I don't think it's a huge bullpen disparity here,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: I would probably go Philly full game. Here, they're at
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: minus one sixteen. They did flip to the favorite, but
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: the money looks like it's coming back on the Cubs.
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: So it's really difficult to market read this because it's like, well,
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: was that line move like early?
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: Was that a setup? And now the money is coming
• 23:05
  Speaker 2: back in on.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: The Cubs Because basically you can see what happens is
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: like sometimes professional money will hit the market. They'll flip
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: the favorite intentionally just because they want to play that
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: other team is the underdog, you know what I mean,
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's what happened here. Sixty five percent of tickets
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: on Philly, fifty percent of the cash on the Cubs.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the Cubs. I lean Philly
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: in this game, though. The situation is what gets gets
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: me there on that one, mister Pensy Kyle.
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: What's up? Everybody? Wait?
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Who had a hot Asian girlfriend? What are we talking about?
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: That guy seems like the evil version of me or something.
• 23:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: The bizarrero O meme roots for the Yankees. Well, I
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: should fight that guy to the death. San Diego at Colorado.
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: This is where my play is actually gonna be. I
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: kind of like this one, obviously because it's on my card.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: I think it's the best baseball play of the day.
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: So let's do it.
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: And I told you this is a total and it's
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: in course field, so you probably know where this is headed.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: Over eleven and a half Padres Rockies. And I know
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: these offenses are pretty questionable, but San Diego has enough
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: talent in their offense and I think they should be
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: able to put up some runs here, especially against the pitching.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: We're fading the pitching here. Obviously, Colorado they hit better
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: at home. I know, again, both offenses are not that good,
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: but when you get really bad pitching or very questionable
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: pitching in a very hitter friendly ballpark, overs can definitely happen.
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: And we did see this game go over yesterday, I think,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: But actually no, I think it stayed under actually, because
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: I think the total was twelve and it landed eleven.
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: Colorado hilariously won the game, by the way, so San
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: Diego might be in kind of bounced back mode after that.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: But I'm not really paying attention to the side because
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: I don't really see a good way to play the
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: side here. As far as the hitting is concerned, yeah,
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: I mean the hitting is concerning that San Diego is
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: twenty fourth and the Rockies are seventeenth in ops. But
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: San Diego, like I said, they have enough offensive talent,
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: and you know, their offensive numbers get kind of pushed
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: downward because they play in a very picture friendly park
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: and that's not where we are today. So I think
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: it's okay. And then Colorado again, they hit better at home.
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: Their offense has not been miserable this year, and this
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: is an afternoon game, so we get a better situation
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: for an over here, I think, because it's gonna be
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit warmer out.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: It's only gonna be.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: In the sixties though, so it's not gonna be that hot.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: But I still like the over here. The bullpens. Of course,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: we're gonna fade the bullpens. I don't like the bullpens.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, I don't like Colorado's bullpen. I do like
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: San Diego's bullpend my mistake, But when I go over,
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: the starting pitching like basically sets the tone, you know
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: what I mean. So when the starting pitching is bad,
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: you usually the bullpens. You're not gonna see the best
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: bullpen arms come into the game, you know what I mean.
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: Because the game is so out of control, you usually
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: see some of the lesser relievers get into the game.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: So but for Colorado, I think their bullpen has just
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: been massively overperforming. You know these two relief pitchers yesterday,
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: that's whatever San Diego used three. Although San Diego's better
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: relievers are all available today. But I still think if
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: this game starts getting out of control early, the bullpens
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: aren't gonna matter. Even though, yeah, San Diego probably has
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: the best bullpen in baseball. I think they do have
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: the best ERA and the second third best whip right now,
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: but they are I believe the best bullpen. Colorado's bullpen
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: has been surprisingly pretty good. They're at tenth right now,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: but again I think these are Colorado's bullpen is definitely fadeable,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: and again I think the situation will set up here
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: gets us to a situation where the bullpens are going
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: to be not in the best spot because I think
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: both starters.
• 26:55
  Speaker 2: Are not gonna get us there.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: Matt Walls during his pitching for San Diego, this could
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: get ugly.
• 27:01
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: I know he's got a fourteen point seven to three
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: RA two point.
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: Four to five whip.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: Obviously those numbers are unsustainably bad. He's only made one
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: start this season. He got knocked around by Anaheim, though,
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: and that's another hitter friendly ballpark Anaheim. They have had
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: a good offense this year though, But he gave up
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: six runs eight hits, did have four strikeouts in only
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: one walk though, in three and two thirds innings. But
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: here's the thing about Waldron. He's a knuckleball pitcher. And
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: if that knuckleball is just kind of floating there in
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: the zone, I don't think the knuckleball plays well in
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: high elevation like this in course field.
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: I think it's a disaster waiting to happen.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: Because if that knuckleball is not moving and it's just
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: kind of sitting there, that thing is gonna get jacked
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: out of the.
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: Yard, you know what I mean.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: He only made one start last year and it wasn't
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: good at all. Back in twenty twenty four, his last
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: start in course Field, which was in August, he got
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: lit up. He gave up two of them runs, seven
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: in runs and five and two thirds innings despite having
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: a one strike out walk ratio. It might not be
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: a good environment for him mental though. He did pitch
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: incorse Field earlier that year and did only allow one
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: run in that one, which was on a home run.
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: But overall, if we.
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: Look at his numbers here, man, I don't trust him
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: right now. I don't think he's fully back because he
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: missed almost the entire season last season. Last time he
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: pitched in Corps it went really poorly. And Colorado has
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: teed off on this guy. Their current lineup in thirty
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: nine at bats, four to ten batting average against him
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: in oneenty sixteen ops, nine to three strike out walk ratio,
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: and yes, a lot of the damages Jake McCarthy five
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: for ten with two doubles, a strike out in a walk,
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: but it's kind of dispersed throughout the lineup.
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: Waldron, I don't think he's trustworthy here, man.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: I think the knuckleball could be bad in this game
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: and could go awrye. He's going up against Ryan Feltner,
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: and while I don't think he's the worst pitcher that
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: the Rockies have here, in fact.
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: He's probably one of the better ones.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: We're talking about the Rockies here, that's not necessarily a
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: great thing, even if you're one of their better pitchers.
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: He's got a six ERA one point five whip this season.
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: That's not good. Fourteen to seven strike out walk ratio,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: twenty hits a lout in eighteen innings. He's allowed five
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: home runs already. So we're looking at two pitchers, by
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: the way, that have extreme fly ball rates too.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: Like if you look at.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: Waldron his last full season fly balls, it makes sense
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: that's what happens with the knuckleball. It usually gets hit
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: in the air. Both of these pitchers give up way
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: too many fly balls. That's not good in course field.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: We could definitely see some long balls in this one man.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: Speaking of which, Yeah, dude, I haven't been doing many
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: drops recently, but I think it's time for a drop.
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: I would definitely recommend switching to a style of underwear
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: with no flying.
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: No fly zone.
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: Is that what you're telling Lebrim I'm not wearing that
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: under it. Okay, you gotta do it. Man.
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: You got long balls there, long balls, got only ass balls.
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: I've got long balls his balls, right?
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: Would you say my balls are un usually long.
• 30:04
  Speaker 3: They're a bit more distended than the average testicles got long.
• 30:08
  Speaker 2: Ass balls, Ley long ball Learing, that's a new name.
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: I've got long balls. Long balls change the drawls. Okay, fine,
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: long balls is what I think we're gonna get in
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: this game, man Feldner. Last year he actually was slightly
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: better at home than on the road, So that does
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: kind of go against what I just said. But it
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: is still true that he gives up a ton of
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: fly balls, so I think that's a problem. And against
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: San Diego his numbers are not good. In sixty four
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: at bats fifteen to nine, strike a walk race, you're
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: three to fifty nine average allowed, nine to fifty four ops. Yeah,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see runs in this game.
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: Man. It's gonna start with the starting pitching and go
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: from there.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, we're gonna do it. We'll go over the
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: eleven in this one. I think the game is gonna
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: get a little bit out of hand.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: Total.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: Initially I was at twelve and a half, and it
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: dropped all the way to eleven, which is better for
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: us because eleven is a key number in baseball. Dude,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: every odd number is key because if you have a
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: five to five game, the eleventh run is required. Eighty
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the cash on
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: the over.
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: That's where we're going. We're going over with this.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: As far as the side, san Diego dropped from minus
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: one sixty five to minus one forty five here eighty
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: eight percent of tickets, ninety six percent of the cash
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: on San Diego. On the one hand, yes, san Diego
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: might take Colorado seriously because they lost yesterday. But I
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I can't trust either starting pitcher here.
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna look at the side, I would
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: actually probably lean to Colorado. I think Waldron he's the
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: pitcher that's less familiar with pitching in course field, and
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: I think that knuckleball is.
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: Pretty scary to try to back here.
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: So I might actually try to back Colorado, maybe maybe
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: just in the first five innings if I was gonna
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: go with the side. But I don't want to do that,
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: and of course San Diego does have the way better bullpen.
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: I think I think Colorado's bullpen is a little bit
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: untrustworthy despite.
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: What have done so far this year. But we're going over.
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: That's my only baseball play padres Rockies over the eleven,
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: which you can find out there at a pretty good
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: price right now. I saw it at minus one o eight,
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: So that's what.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: We're doing there.
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: I would not want to go over the eleven and
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: a half if I could help it, you know, But
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: I think you'll get a fine number on the eleven,
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: maybe even ten and a half. Probably not though, unless
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: you pay extra for it, Jamie, And what's up? Thanks
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: for hanging out all right. Also, by the way, the
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: bizarrow me with an Asian girlfriend. Asian women are not
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: really my things, so he's definitely bizarrow me like, he
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: looks like me, but he's the complete opposite in every way,
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: so that's interesting to me, all right. They're too submissive, man,
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: It's what gets me into trouble because I like women
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: that are gonna, you know, be total brats and like
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: give me a ton of pushback. I'm sorry, but that's
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: what I like. I'm an Italian for Austin, man, what
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: do you expect?
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: You think?
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: I like women that are just gonna lie there. No
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: Chicago at Arizona.
• 33:11
  Speaker 2: This game.
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: Eleven to seven and eleven to five were the two
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: finals here. Arizona's had three straight really high scoring games
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: and was on the losing end of two of them,
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: but they won yesterday to bounce back against the White Sox. Now,
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: both teams probably will show up here because I think
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: they both want to win this series. However, I should
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: have mentioned, by the way, with San Diego and Arizona,
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: they might have a little bit of an extra look
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: ahead component to this because they have to go play
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: in Mexico City. So I think San Diego and Arizona
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: actually are not playing tomorrow because they're playing a weekend
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: series that's only Saturday Sunday in Mexico City, which is
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous. And dude, I'm gonna have fun like seeing
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: what the totals are gonna be in that San Diego Arizona,
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Like you're gonna see total that are probably like fourteen
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: in Mexico City, because if you don't know, Mexico City
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: is at almost twice the elevation in the course field
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: is so yeah, like we should we should have a
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: total of twenty in those games.
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: I think those.
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: Games are gonna have a lot of home runs. So
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: we'll get to it when we get to it. But yeah,
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: it could be a look ahead for both San Diego
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: and Arizona here. They might both be looking ahead, so
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: that's kind of a concern. I think Arizona still might
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: want to win this series though, you know what I mean.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: You don't want to lose a home series to the
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: White Sox, so I think they still might show up.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: I still don't trust Arizona's bullpen. They used four relief
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: pitchers yesterday, which is something White Sox also used four.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: I would not want to trust either bullpen here. Arizona's
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: dropped to fifth now in bullpen Whip. I think they're
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: going down though. Man, this Arizona bullpen, they've been the
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: one that's overperformed the most this season in their era already,
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: is kind of indicating that, even though I think is
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: a better indicator. I know who Arizona has in their bullpen,
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: and they're not that good, So I don't trust their bullpen.
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: The White Sox definitely don't trust their bullpen.
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: They're actually dead last in whip right now and they're
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: one of the worst ras as well, tied for second
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: worst RA with Houston and worst.
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: Being the Rockies.
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we might get some more offense in this game.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: It's definitely possible because the pitching looks like it's not
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be very good. Arizona is seventh in offense. Now,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: I told you Arizona's offense would come around, and we're
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: looking at a very hitter friendly park in Arizona here
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: as well, their offenses come around, and the White Sox
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: offense has started to do pretty well. They're at seventeenth,
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, and they were literally at the
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: bottom like a week ago, and now they're seventeenth. That's
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: what happens early in the season. Man White Sox, just
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: because they have what's his name, Murakami or whatever. The
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: dude is just launching balls out of the yard.
• 35:54
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: He's not hitting well for average, but he's hitting a
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: lot of homers. So yeah, there might be some more
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: offense in this one. I don't know if we trust
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: these pitchers. Davis Martin is pitching for the White Sox.
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: His numbers do look good, two point one six CRA,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: one whip. I don't know all of a sudden think
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: he's like an excellent pitcher, though at the age of
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: twenty nine, his strikeout stuff is not great. Nineteen strikeouts
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: and twenty five innings, but he's only allowed six walks
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: nineteen hits. I mean he's allowed three or fewer earned
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: runs and every outing two or fewer in his last
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: two including having to pitch in the A's stadium, which
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: is very hitter friendly, and he did really well in
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: that game. So I don't know, Man Martin, I mean, yeah,
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: he's pitching well this year. I think he's gonna regress
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: a bit. He is a fly ball pitcher, so I
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: don't know. He was so able to escape in that
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: A's game with a really good performance. Maybe he'll do
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: it again here. Maybe he'll do bad here. I don't know,
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: because this is another hitter friendly ballpark. Arizona doesn't have
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: much of a track record against him. Four of their
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: hitters have faced him before. They're only a combined two
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: for six offen with two strikeouts and no walks, so
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: not a whole lot that you could see there going
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: up against Michael Saraka, who is pitching well this year
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: as well. Two point seven to eight ERA one point
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: six whip he's allowed two or fewer earn runs and
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: three of his four starts as well. He has a
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: really good strikeout rate twenty eight strikeouts in twenty two
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: and two thirds innings, only six walks allowed, eighteen hits allowed.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: But he also tends to give up way more fly
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: balls than ground balls, which again might not be good
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: here at home, but he's pitched well at.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: Home so far.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: In fact, his only start where he did give up
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: more than two hour runs this year was his only
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: road starts. He's been really good at home this year,
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: despite the hitter friendly nature of this ballpark. The White
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Sox don't have much of a track record against him either. However,
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: they're hilariously they're three for three offen between Ben and
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: Tendy and McGuire, no extra base hits though, no strikeouts,
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: no walks, So like, what do we even do with
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: this game? Because yeah, it looks like you could definitely
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: fade the bullpens here. It looks like, you know, there
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: could definitely be some hitting here. But on the other hand,
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: both starting pitchers are in pretty good form right now.
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: The money is hitting the under in this game.
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: It's gone down from nine to eight and a half,
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: cash on the under. You know what I'm gonna lean,
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: I'll lean under first five innings in this game. I
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: think both pitchers, you know, they're in good enough form
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: right now. Maybe these starting pitchers do actually get you
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: there in the first five. I would not want anything
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: to do with the bullpens though, So if you're gonna
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: go under first five is what I would do in
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: this game, might you get a decent number on that.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: As far as the side, like I said, I do
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: actually lean to the White Sox. Arizona down for minus
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: won seventy five to minus one fifty two, ninety one
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them, seventy seven percent of the cash.
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: So the money is fading Arizona here, and they're very
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: public side. Even though Soroka he is the better picture
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: I think over Martin. I mean, he has the better
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: strike out stuff, whatever. But again, I think Arizona could
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: potentially get caught looking ahead to having to travel to Mexico.
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens here man.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: And hilariously, it's the two Southwest teams in the US
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: that are gonna be playing in Mexico. I think that
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: was intentional because the travel is gonna be less bad
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: for Arizona and San Diego.
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: But whatever it is.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't have a good feel for the game
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: here though, But yeah, those would be my leans White Sox.
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: You could potentially go, you know, split bet, run line
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: money line on that or first five under. Actually, it
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: would probably be what I would look at in those games.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: In that game there you need some pushback. Yeah, that's right.
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: You gotta yeah knock them down. Man, That's how you're
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: able to show your actual dominance. It's too easy to dominate.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: A submissive elevation is crazy in Mexico. Yes, in Mexico City.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: I believe they're at like I want to say, they're
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: at a nine thou ten thousand feet something like that.
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: I'd have to look it up, but I think it's
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: something like that. People don't seem.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: To really realize that Dodgers at Giants. I first looked
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: at this starting pitching matchup, but I'm like, this is
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: a good starting pitching matchup. So this is the last
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: afternoon game, and I'm like, man, this looks like it
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: could be an under.
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: San Francisco is a good pitcher park here.
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: San Francisco is on the version of a sweep by
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: the way. They've won the first two games against the Dodgers,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: and the Dodgers have scored one run in these two games,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: which really surprised me. Yesterday's game really surprised me. You know,
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: I gave out the unders of play in the first game,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: so that didn't surprise me that much. But yesterday Molly
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: giving up no runs, that definitely surprised me. Can the
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: Giants complete the sweep. I think they're gonna try, but
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: I think they'll show up for this game. But the
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: Dodgers might have something to say about that. I think
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers are going to show up because they do
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: not want to get sweeped by their rival, the San
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: Francisco Giants, especially when the Dodgers are the better team here. Now,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers do have a disadvantage in the bullpen. They
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: only these two relief pitchers yesterday, though, but San Francisco's
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: bullpen is the better one. Which is that was the
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: case last year, but it's starting to show up this
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: year too. The Dodgers have fallen off a bit bullpen wise.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: They're eleventh now in bullpen whip. Their ERA is over four.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: They might have some bullpen issues like they did last year.
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: I still think not quite as bad as last year.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: But the Giants, I think do have the better bullpen.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: They're up to ninth now in bullpen whip, pretty good ERA.
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: They got some good arms in the bullpen. As far
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: as the hitting, yeah, obviously, the Dodgers are the better
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: hitting team. They're far and away the best offense in baseball.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: Giants are one of the worst. Giants are bottom five
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: right now. Tyler Glas knows pitching for the Dodgers. I
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: think he probably is the better of these two pitchers here.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: He's got good numbers this year three point twenty four
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: ERA point eight four whip, nice strikeout rate twenty nine
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: and twenty five innings, only fifteen hits, allowed six walks.
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: He had one questionable outing at home against Texas, but
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: kind of got unlucky because he allowed two of them
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: runs in that game. At seven strikeouts one walk overall,
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's been pretty dominant overall, including last time out.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: He had to pitch incourse field and he had no
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: issue with that at all. Dodgers won every one of
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: his outings, so far, his numbers against the Giants are
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: not as dominant as you would think. They're not horrible,
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: but they're not great. In one hundred and five at bats,
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: so they've definitely seen a lot of them. Twenty eight
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: to thirteen strikeout walk ratio that is a little bit sketchy.
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's more walks than you'd expect from him.
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: Sixty seven batting average, seven to twenty eight ops.
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: Not the greatest numbers there.
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Logan Webb, who is I think
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: the best starter of the Giants have. Although his numbers
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: are not that good this year right now, five point
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: four ERA, one point four whip. But he's a veteran.
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's very consistent for the most part. We
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: know pretty much what is. His numbers are going to
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: improve from that so far, though, twenty seven to eleven
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: strike out walk razio it's not that impressive. He's not
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: as much of a strikeout guy. He doesn'tduce a ton
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: of ground balls though. He has allowed more than one
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: hit per inning this year. Though, But you know, I
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: mean he's had to face the Yankees. That was his
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: worst start, first start of the season two and that's
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: skewing his numbers a bit. I think he's been fine
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: since then. For the most part. He's allowed four or
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: fewer earned runs and the rest of his outings and
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: he's only had one other outing at home, and he
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: is usually better at home. So I'm not ready to
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: say that he's going to be bad in the start
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. His numbers against the Dodgers are
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: not that good though, two hundred ten at bats, they've
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: seen a lot of them. Forty four to twenty five
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: strike out walk race yeo, that's pretty ugly. Three hundred
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: batting average, allowed eight to fifty five ops. Webb just
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: he doesn't do that well against the Dodgers.
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: Man, So.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: I think the leand in this game is the Dodgers.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers are going to avoid the sweet pier.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: You're getting the better team, you know, maybe not at
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: the worst value, because everybody knows Web is a good pitcher,
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: so you know, I think maybe the Dodgers are not
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: as heavily priced as they normally would be there at
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty three. Here they're public eighty percent of
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: the tickets, but ninety six percent of the cash. And again,
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: you get the better team trying to avoid a sweep.
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: Peer probably the better starting pitcher on the mound here.
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: That's probably the way I would go. You could go
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: first five innings with it as well, if you want
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: to avoid the bullpens, because San Francisco does probably have
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen.
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: I would also still lean under in this game.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: I think both bullpens are rested enough and fine enough
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: to get you there with.
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: Both starting pitchers that they could do well here.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: But again, I do worry about Web a bit more
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: than I worry about glasnow here. Although it is a
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: low total, seven and a half juice to the under,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: money looks like it's hitting the over though sixty seven
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets and eighty eight percent of cash on
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: the over.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: I still kind of like under in the one.
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think I prefer the Dodgers side to finally,
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: uh not lose to the Giants for once here. Josh,
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: what's up Penguins? Fuck them obviously? Yeah, I think you're
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: you're spraying the board too much though, man, but five
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: for six is good Cleveland, what they're nine to one
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: off of the loss? Cleveland's not playing today? What are
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: we talking about? You mean tomorrow?
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: I have no idea. I have to look at the matchup.
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: I I'm not gonna do anything if the matchup doesn't
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: support it, even though if the situation supports it. I
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: want the situation and the matchup to both line up,
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: and then I'm gonna fire away, dirty sock.
• 45:45
  Speaker 2: What's up man?
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out all right?
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: What are we at?
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: Oh? Yeah, we're at Yankees Red Sox. Yeah, just great
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. This is a disaster, dude. Mostly the Red
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: Sox offense is what the disaster or is? They got
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: to just fire all the coaches. Fire the hitting coach,
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: Fire the pitching coach, even because the starting pitching has
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: been way worse than it should be.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: Fire Alex Korra. The fundamentals have been awful on this team.
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: They can't base run, you know, they can't field, even
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: though like two or three years ago, the Red Sox
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: were one of the best base running and fielding teams.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: So what the fuck happened?
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: I can't tell you.
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this is getting really bad, but maybe the Red
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: Sox will show up because they're trying to avoid the
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: fucking sweep here and they've scored one run in this series.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: The Yankees have not really unloaded offensively in this series.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: So the one thing that's keeping the Red Sox alive
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: this season basically is the bullpen. That and some of
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: their starting pitching has been good. Yankees only as one
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: relief pitcher yesterday, but I think the Red Sox also
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: did know the Red Sox used two still yank Red
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Sox have a better bullpen than the Yankees. That's their
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: only advantage in the series. Red Sox are and bullpen whip.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Yankees are nineteenth and worst bullpen e RA as well.
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: Hitting wise, obviously, the Yankees have started to come around
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: their sixth in offense. Now we know they have a
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: powerful lineup. The Red Sox offense has been absolutely pitiful,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: third worst, so this offense they should do better than
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: this though for the remainder of the season. Like you
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: know who they have in their lineup, they can't possibly
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: be this bad. This game is Fox Fox Sports. Won
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: Cam Schlitzer, the Trader is on the mound for the
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: Reds for.
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: The Yankees too the Yankees today.
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: He is from Weymouth, mass which is why I call
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: him the Trader and why Red Sox fans do not
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: like this guy.
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: But he also seems like he's a complainer dude.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: Like he comes out and he says he's getting death
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: threats from Red Sox fans.
• 47:50
  Speaker 2: I don't even know if that's true.
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: Red Sox fans are issuing death threats against their own
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: players basically this win. They all hate Jaron Duran, they
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: don't care about Cam schlitz So. I don't know what
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: the fuck this is. I think maybe he's making it up.
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: I have no idea. He's been really good this year.
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: One point nine to five e rrazo, point seven to
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: six whip, thirty six to three, strikeout walk ratio, eighteen hits,
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: a lout in twenty seven to two thirds innings. I
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: think he's a better pitcher than Max Freed, Like just
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: looking at his numbers, they're better.
• 48:20
  Speaker 2: That's just the way that it is.
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: He is coming off a shutout against Kansas City or
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: Their offense is bad, but so is the Red Sox,
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: and the Red Sox I have not been able to
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: hit him. Although I think this is mostly I'm assuming
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: that wild Card game where Schlitzler out. Schlitzler won the
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: game basically against them, if you remember that, I think
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: that's mostly where these numbers came from twenty eight bats.
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox only have three hits, no extra base hits,
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: eight strikeouts, no walks, so it's a one fifty average
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: three hundred ohps. The Red Sox have not done well
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: against Schlitzler, although maybe they'll do a little bit better
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: this time because part of the reason why maybe they
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: were so bad against them the first times because they
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: were unfamiliar with him, you know. So once you get
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: more familiarity with a pitcher, you were able to hit
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: him a little bit better. But he's so good that
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: the Red Sox still might suck against him. Red Sox
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: are going to go with Peyton Tolly, who has been
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: called back up.
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: He made his major league debut.
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: With the Red Sox last year and his first start
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: was pretty good. Then they put him in the bullpen
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: for a bit at the end of last year and
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: he wasn't as good. What are we gonna get out
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: of him today, I honestly have no idea.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: We basically know what he is at this point.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: He's a giant basically on the mound. Well, not as
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: big as some of these other guys maybe, but he
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: does way.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: More than some of these other guys.
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: I don't even think he's listed on the Red Sox
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: roster yet right now, but he has been called up
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: for this game. He is a six six, two fifty
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: burly dude who looks exactly like Reid cover Daaleo, except
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: bigger dude.
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: I love this guy, to be honest, I think he's awesome.
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: If you watch video him, you know, trying to hype
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: up the team and all this shit, and you know,
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: ripping his shirt off and swilling beer, and you know,
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: being an American from Oklahoma. I love this guy. The
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Red size gotta hang on to him. He does throw
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: really hard. He throws upper nineties to one hundred fastball.
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: He does have a decent pitch mix, although they might
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: think that he might be more of a relief pitcher
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: than a starter. So I honestly don't know what we're
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of him in this game. You could
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: see what he did last season. His numbers overall were
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: not actually good six point oh six ERA, one point
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: five to nine whip, but if you kind of dig
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: into that a little bit more, I mean he had
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: a nineteen to eight strike a walk ratio. Really, the
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: walks were concerned and the home runs were concerned. He
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: allowed five home runs. That was kind of the issue
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: after he had a pretty good start in his first
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: start against Pittsburgh. I believe he made another start or two,
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: but I mean, look at what he had to do.
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: He had to play.
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: He had to start in Arizona and in uh Sacramento,
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: and those are two very hit friendly ballparks, So I
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: think that kind of led to why he allowed so
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: many home runs. Four of those five home runs came
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: in those two outings. Those are very home run produce
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: the ballparks, so you might be able to give him
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: a bit of a pass for that, even though I
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: don't like that. He's kind of a fly ball pitcher
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: and he's now pitching in Fenway, which is also a
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: hitter friendly ballpark. But totally might do all right here
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: Man against the Yankees. They basically have never seen him before.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: I think only Grisham has ever seen him before. Yeah,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: he's over one against them. Totally might actually do okay
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: here Man. Again the unfamiliarity, plus, I think he was
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: not as bad as his numbers looked last year. He
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: definitely has good stuff. He's one of the Red Sox
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: top prospects. They brought him back up he's I don't
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: know what his numbers look like in Triple A this year.
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming they're good enough if they're bringing him back up.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: Here eighty nine percent of tickets and only seventy three
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Yankees, So the market
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: Reid has been on the Red Sox every game in
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: the series, and of course the Red Sox are about
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: to get swept, so the market Reid has been wrong
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: throughout the entire series.
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna go with the side here. Man.
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: Yankees did drop for minus one sixty five to minus
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: one forty one. The market Reid is saying the Red Sox,
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: if totally can duel Schlitler and get us to the bullpens,
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: and it's a close game, the Red Sox do have
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: a chance, and getting them as an underdog kind of
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: makes sense here.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: But I would go under in this game.
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: Probably the total is at eight here, fifty eight percent
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and eighty nine percent of the cash
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: on the under I know both games in the series
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: have gone way under, but I think both starting pitchers
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: might have an advantage in this one. Red Sox bullpen
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: is decent enough I think in the Yankees bullpen is
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: rested and maybe not horrible. Though if you wanted to
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: go first five inning under, you could do that as well.
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: You know, just to focus just on the starting pitching
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: totally is a bit more of a mystery.
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: Though, for sure. So if you want to go Red
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: Sox first five under their.
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: Team total or something, just go with the Red Sox
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: to not be able to hit Schlitler.
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: That might happen as well. So those are my thoughts
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: on that game.
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: What No, Fenway Park is an extremely hit or friendly
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: ballpark because of the Green Monster.
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: The Green Monster, it's the the Red Sox have.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: The Fenway Park has the shortest left field in baseball.
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: It's like three twenty down the line. The only reason
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: they're not like a million home runs there is because
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: the wall is so tall that it kind of negates
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: the fact that that the.
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: The like distance.
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: It's such a short distance to left field, let's just say.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: But the fact that the wall is like thirty something
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: feet high negates that a little bit. But still, what
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: it means is that balls that are gonna be home
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: runs in other stadiums, they're gonna go off the wall.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: You know what, I mean, so there's still it's still
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: gonna be a hit, Like there are a lot of
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: singles and doubles off of that wall. So yes, it's
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: a very hit her friendly ballpark and right field directly
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: down the corner Pesky Pole is at three to oh two.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: I think the right field corner is the shortest corner.
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: In baseball too, although it immediately goes all the way
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: out to like three eighty in the right field corner,
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: but if you hit it right down the line, you
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: could sneak it around the pole and get like the
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: shortest home run in baseball around Pesky's pole.
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: Rip Johnny Pesky.
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: I met him once, by the way, or maybe more
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: than once, because I used to go to a lot
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: of games with my dad. Would show up Burley and
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: watch some batting practice and Pesky would hang out. He
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: would just sit there watching batting practice and be like
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: a few rows behind home plate. So yeah, we just
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: talked to him once I got his autograph. He was
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: a nice dude man. He used to be in the
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: dugout like during Red Sox games. He's a former Red
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: Sox player. If you guys are unaware of that, I
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: believe he was an infielder, and he did. He was
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: he infield and outfield. Maybe I don't know he was
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: before my time, but I think he was like kind
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: of a speed and fielding guy. But yeah, I'm assuming
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: the foul poll is probably named because he hit a
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: home run off that pole or something like that would
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: be my guess I should know as a Red Sox fan,
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: and I'm not one hundred percent sure about that, but yes,
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: Fenway Park is a very hitter friendly ballpark. Yankee Stadium
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: is pretty hitter friendly. I think the most hitter friendly though,
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: is Coursfield, then this shitty Triple A stadium that the
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: A's are playing in right now, then maybe Arizona. Then
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Fenway is definitely up there, and then the Yankees are
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: somewhere up there as well. I don't know the exact order.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, it might be a little bit subjective, but yeah,
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: something like that. But yeah, I think Fenway's probably like
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: in the top several hitting ballparks. Wrigly could be one,
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: but it depends on the wind. When the wind is
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: blowing out. Wrigley is one of the most hitter friendly, which,
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: by the way, I forgot to mention, and the total
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: in that game is at nine. By the way, in
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: that Philly and Chicago game there, I could see some
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: arguments for an under in that game. By the way,
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I mentioned that, but Sanchez versus Caberera,
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: you know, and under somewhat makes sense in that game.
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: Total being at nine.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: Is weird to me because usually the wind is usually
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: so extreme and regularly that it's either like seven and
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: a half or ten. Maybe that means there's is no
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: wind today, all right, Minnesota at the Mets, the Mets
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: finally won. They ended a twelve game losing streak I think,
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: with a win yesterday, and they had to do it
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: an extra innings.
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: It was close. You know.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: It was a decent start from pre lip in the
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: game yesterday, although Holmes out pitched him because he made
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: it way deeper into the game. I didn't think Holmes
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: would do that well. But even with him doing that well,
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: the Mets offense is still so bad that they had
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: to go to extra innings to win the game. They
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: finally did though, And you know, I know what I
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: talk about. When a team ends a losing streak like that,
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: a lot of times it's like, Okay, that's a sign.
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: You know, you breathe a sigh of relief. The losing
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: streak is over. People can't make fun of you as
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: much now, you know what I mean. Like, when you're losing,
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: it's like this cloud over you. It's this whole mental
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: thing where it's all you think about, oh my god,
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: we keep losing.
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: Now that you won, it's like that.
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: Cloud is lifted and you can just play with less pressure,
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean.
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: So I think that's good.
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: I think that could start some new momentum for the
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: Mets coming into this game. I think both teams are
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: gonna show up here. They've split the first two games
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: of the series, obviously. As far as the bullpen's, like
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: I said yesterday, I think the Mets the one real
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: advantage they have here is their bullpen is better than
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: the Minnesota one.
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: Minnesota stinks.
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: The Mets have used two relief pitchers just and in
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: Minnesota used four. Minnesota's bullpen is near the bottom, their
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: fourth worst in whip, and their ERA is not terrible,
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: but definitely not good. The Mets bullpen a little bit
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: iffyither era looks pretty good. Their whip is a bit
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: higher than that though, but they're in the middle of
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: the pack. They do have the better bullpen. The Mets
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: offense is still last. They only scored three runs in
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: an extra inning game yesterday, so that did not improve
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: their offensive numbers much. Pretty bad stuff from the Mets offense.
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: Minnesota has had the better offense this year. They are
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: where are they at? They're at sixteenth, their middle of
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: the pack. I think Minnesota is a slightly below average
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: offense though in my opinion, the Mets, if they're gonna
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: try to win this game, though, they're gonna be kind
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: of up against it here because they're gonna have to
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: go against Joe Ryan, who is Minnesota's ace three point
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: two to ninety ra point eighty eight whip. He has
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: had one bad outing at Kansas City, and other than that,
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: he's allowed two or fewer earned runs and every outing
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to six strikeout walk ratium eighteen hits, a
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: lout in twenty seven to third innings. I mean, we
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: know we've seen enough of Ryan over the years. He
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: is really good. I don't like that he has kind
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: of an extra dream fly ball rate though, but we're
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: not talking about a particularly hit or friendly ballpark here.
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: I don't believe his numbers against the Mets are actually
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: really good and sixty one at bats thirty two to
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: eight strikeout walk ratio, so basically more than half of
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: the at bats have resulted in a strikeout.
• 59:18
  Speaker 2: MJ.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: Melendez is one for fifteen with ten strikeouts against him
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: and four walks. Probably don't expect to see him in
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: the starting lineup if that's the case. One fifteen batting
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: average allowed in three ninety eight ops allowed, so really
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: good numbers for Ryan against the Mets.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: He is going up against Christian Scott, who.
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: Is making his major league debut even though he is
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: what is this, he's twenty six years old? Is that?
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: Did I do that math? Right? A little bit old
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: to me? Making your major league debut?
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: Men, And now we are talking about two pitchers making
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: their debuts here JR. Ritchie I already talked about. I
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: think Ritchie is the better of the two. He looks
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: better this year in Triple A. He's still younger. Both
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: these pitchers have had to have Tommy John surgery. But
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: Scott's career really got derailed.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: By that man.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: He didn't even pitch in the minors. I think over
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: the course of like an entire season. I think, like
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: last season, and then I looked at what he did
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: this season in Triple A and I believe his numbers
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: were not good. I think his era is like five
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: in Triple A.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 2: This season. So to me, he seems a little bit
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: less trustworthy. Man.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: I think he has less of a deep pitch mix
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: than Ritchie, who we talked about earlier as well. It
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: seems like Scott is more of like a three pitch
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: type of guy. Like he throws like a mid to
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: upper nineties fastball, which I mean everybody does that. Now
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: you need to be able to mix your speeds on.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: I think he throws a I want to say he
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: has slider and change.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: I want to say it is other two pitches. I
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: don't know. Man.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: To me, it seems like more of a relief arsenal.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know how good he's really gonna be now. Yes,
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: he has an unfamiliarity edge here, which sometimes that can
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: help when the hitters have to figure a picture out,
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, and they have never seen
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: the guy before, they could be a little bit of
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: a disadvantage. Both of these pictures are righties. By the way,
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: I think a lot of times, the lefty has a
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: little bit more of an edge early on because the
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: hitters are less used to facing lefties, and lefties usually
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: throw it kind of a more deceptive arm angle. It's
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: just for whatever reason, that's just kind of the way.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: Because you know, lefties are the spot of Satan. That's
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: why I'm allowed to say that as a as a righty,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: I could say that because I'm not one of them.
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: No, I don't know.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: I know, I don't have their lived experience. Man, I
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: don't know. My sister is a lefty though. Anyway, she's
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: the devil.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 2: Anyway.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I could. I could see a scenario
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: where this is a lower scoring game. Again here, the
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: money is hitting the under pretty hard. It's the totals
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: at seven and a half. It's been driven down a
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: little bit, seventy one percent of tickets on the over,
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash on the under. I
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: think under, you know, it's it's risky. Like if you
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: want to go under, I would probably go Mets under
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: their team total. If you want to do anything with
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: an under here, I don't know how much we could
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: trust Scott here.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna I would not go over here, you
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: know what I mean.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: Like, I'll agree with the under generally, but probably the
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: better way to do it is to take that question
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: mark out of the equation and go with Joe Ryan
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: to just burn through the Mets lineup, you know what
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: I mean.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 2: Maybe if you could.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: Find a first five team total under, that makes a
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: lot of sense going under first five with the Mets there,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: because Ryan has a huge advantage against him, it looks
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: like and the Minnesota bullpen does not. Now, the line
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: initially dropped on the side from minus one twenty five
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: to minus one oh six sixty two percent of the tickets.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: It's seventy percent of the cash on the Twins. They're
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: a public side, but it looks like they're starting to
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: get some of the money after the line got driven down.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know about that, you know, I might lean
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: to the Mets just because it's a momentum spot and
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: they finally ended that losing streak, and if Scott can
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: pitch well enough to duel Ryan and keep the game close,
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's bullpen could lose this game like that is definitely
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: a possibility. Now, I don't know if the Mets have
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: Sodo back, even though one guy shouldn't mattered that much,
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: but he is their best hitter, and it does seem
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: like without him their lineup really really struggles. They're also
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: without Polanco right now. Soto is back, so there is that.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: It looks like Lindore is day to day as well,
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: but I don't know how to probably expect him to
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: play Sodo.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: Oh, what do you know? Soto came back yesterday and
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: they won the game. What do you know?
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: I didn't realize he was coming back. But you know,
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: reverse injured player theory is still kind of a thing though,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: right Like when a guy comes back from a long
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: layoff like that, I wouldn't expect him to hit that
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: well right away, you know what I mean.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: He was one for three with a walk yesterday.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: But Sodo is back, so that does make the Mets
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: lineup more dangerous than it would be without him, obviously,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: But still I still support what I said though. I
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: think Mets first five under still makes sense and possibly
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: a lean to the Mets to us somehow win this
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: game in the full game. If they keep it close
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: getting into the bullpens, then we have Pittsburgh and Texas.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: These teams will split the first two games of this series,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: with Texas winning the first game Pittsburgh winning yesterday. Bubba
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: Chandler is gonna be on the mountain today, man, our
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: our guy, Bubba. Pittsburgh's bullpen only used two relief pitchers
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: yesterday Texas used four, although I think Texas is the
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: better bullpen here. They used my man Jalen Beeks yesterday.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: Man the dude who's parents I did karaoke with that time.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: Pitching wise, yeah, the bullpens here, Texas they have a
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: good bullpen. Man, just like last year. Again, Texas they're
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: all about pitching. They're pitching is good. They're in a
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: pitcher friendly ballpark though, but that is where they are today.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: They're in Texas. Texas has the seventh best bullpen whip.
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's has been falling off a bit. They're eighteenth right now.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: Their bullpen looked pretty good early on. I'm not convinced
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: that their bullpen is really that good. Texas is definitely better.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's offense is probably the better offense here, though their
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: offense seems to be keeping it up. They have improved
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: it a bit this year. Didn't expect them to be
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: eighth overall, but I think they're at least like an
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: average to maybe slightly above average offense. Texas, I think
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: they're below average, even though they're sitting around average right
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: now at fourteenth. But I don't think Texas's offense is
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: really that good. Pittsburgh's is probably better. Bubba Chandler pitching
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: for Pittsburgh three point one five ERA this year is solid.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: One point three whip is a bit too high, but
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: that was because he had some really bad walk numbers early.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: But he's getting the walks under control, and in fact,
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: the walk number has gone down in every start, so
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: he is trending in the right direction. Every start has
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: basically gotten pretty much better than the previous one, except
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: that when we played him in his first start, he
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: didn't give up any runs.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: Got a little bit lucky, maybe, but he allowed no.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: Hits, so you know, but he pitched well against Tampa
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: last time out. His strikeout rate is in that high
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: though seventeen and twenty innings, and the walk rate is
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: still too high at thirteen. But like I said, he
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: walked ten in his first two starts and he's only
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: walked three in the last two starts, so maybe we
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: have to kind of dial it back on how bad
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: that strikeout walk ratio looks because he is walking fewer
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: guys now. He's only allowed thirteen hits in the twenty innings,
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: so he is not a very hittable pitcher. He's still
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: really young, twenty three. I think he's pretty talented. He's
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: got some good stuff. His numbers look good at the
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: end of last year, which I pointed out a couple
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: of times this year, like his last three starts last
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: year were really good, and only Danny Jansen on Texas
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: has ever faced him before. He is won for one
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: with a double and a walk off him, but I'm
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: not gonna put that much weight into that. I think
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: Chandler could definitely go out and pitch well here. It's
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: a pitcher friendly ballpark and not the most intimidating offense.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: He's gonna have to go up against Jacob though, so
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: the young guy meets the veteran here, a huge experience
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: disparity between these two pitchers. deGrom is having another good
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: season so far two point twenty ninety RA, one point
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: zero seven whip. He's allowed no more than one are
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: in run in each of his last three outings, and
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: Texas has won all four of his outings, twenty five
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: to six strikeout walk ratio, only fifteen hits allowed in
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: nineteen to two thirds innings.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: All those numbers are solid.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: Way too many fly balls for myase, though, I mean,
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: he's not a ground ball pitcher. But then again, I
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: don't like the extreme ground ball guys either, because they
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: tend to walk too many guys and get away with it,
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: which I don't like. I do prefer these strikeout guys.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: So I mean, de Grom is an elite pitcher man.
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: He's gonna be in the Hall of Fame. We know this,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: and he's not done yet as far as his career
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: is concerned.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know what happened in his last outing, because
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: he had gone through four shutout innings at Seattle.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 2: I think there might have been a rain delay. Was
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: that that game?
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: I think we might have had a play in this game, right?
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: I think we had the under in this game?
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: Is that right?
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: Maybe I don't remember. I think maybe we won on
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: this game. I'm pretty sure there was a rain delay
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: in this game. Maybe I'm wrong, though, because Gilbert went
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: five and a third and de Grom got I don't
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: know what happened with de Gram he got pulled out
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: for four innings, though I don't know what the deal
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: is with that, but but apparently he's fine and ready
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: to go in this game, so I don't know. And
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: I believe he's pitching on schedule too, so I don't
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna be messed up or anything, because you know,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: I talk about pictures. When they're off schedule, it can
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: kind of hurt their rhythm a little bit. It seems
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: like he's basically on schedule though, Plus he's a veteran,
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: so whatever. Now, de Grom's numbers against Pittsburgh are actually
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: not that good, though they're not horrible, and eighty one
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: at bats twenty eight to three strike out walk ratio
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: is totally dominant, but two seventy two average a lot
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: in seven thirty oh ps. That's not bad, but it
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: is not as good as you would think. Money is
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: coming in on Pittsburgh and this one Texas down for
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: minus one sixty to my one f ninety two percent
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: of tickets on them, sixty six percent of the cash
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: on Pittsburgh. I don't know, man, I mean, I worry
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: about Pittsburgh's bullpen. I think if you want to go
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh here. I think you gotta go first five innings
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: with it, and maybe Chandler does have the chance of
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: out pitching to Graham here because of the unfamiliarity aspect,
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: he's solid. I think my preference would probably be to
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: go under in this game, though maybe you go under
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: verst five. The full game totals at at eight sixty
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets seventy seven percent of the cash on
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: the under, so the money is coming in towards the
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: under here. Uh you know, yeah, I mean maybe first
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: five inning makes more sense because Pittsburgh's bullpen is bad
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: or not great, But then again there, I mean, their
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: bullpen hasn't been the worst though. In Texas bullpen is
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: quite good and it's a pitcher friendly park, so I
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: don't really have an issue with full game under here. Really, Uh,
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: maybe that is a better reproach here. Yeah, maybe that's
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: actually probably my preference. Although the money looks like the
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: strongest market reads Pittsburgh here as the underdog.
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: But I don't know.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: I think my preference would probably be under in that game.
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: But you got my play. My only play is over
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: in the Colorado game, all right, I'm gonna take a
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: quick break, and then we'll talk playoffs here, playoffs NHL
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: and NBA, and I do have one play in the NBA,
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: skipping the NHL board today, but I will talk about
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: all three games as usual, and I'll be right back.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 3: Playoffs. Don't talk about playoffs, You kidding me?
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: Playoffs?
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 3: I just hope we can win a game another game, all.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: Right, NHL playoffs. First game is Buffalo and my Boston Bruins,
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: as we shift the series back to Boston. Series tied
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: one to one. Bruins won the second game here, and
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: they were pretty dominant in that game in some ways.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: They're winning the game four to nothing, so the final
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: score was a bit not really totally indicative of what
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: happened in this game, although Buffalo did have more shots,
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: but I think that was because Buffalo was losing the
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: game four to nothing, so they started, you know, inspiration shooting,
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: which I'm not gonna put that much weight into. The
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: Bruins won the physicality battle, and that is expected.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: I think the Bruins are on the more physical team here.
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: They won the faceofs You know, I picked the Bruins
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: to win this series in my bracket. They caught a
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: game on the road. Now the Bruins are at home,
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: and the Bruins are much better at home. But the
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: Bruins are gonna have to get the job done here
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: at home. Maybe they can. They're very good at home
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: twenty nine to eleven and one. Buffalo was pretty good
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: on the road though, twenty four to thirteen and four,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: so they're not like a bad road team here.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: Now. I do think Buffalo is a little bit overrated.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: They're kind of new to this, and I do think
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: the Bruins again, I think the Bruins have the edge
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: as far as like physicality. I think they have the
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: better deepfense. I think they have the better goaltending with Swaymen.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: Bruins have more experience because they've been in the playoffs
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: basically every year recently except last year. Yeah, the money
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Bruins. I don't have a
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: good feel for this game, really. I mean, if you
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: like the Zigzag, you would kind of lean towards Buffalo
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: here on the zigzag because they didn't do well in
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: the last game.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: But I don't know, man, the Bruins are just so
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 2: good at home.
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: Fifty seven percent of tickets are on Buffalo eighty five
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Bruins. Both teams are
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: likely to show up here, and under might make sense here.
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: You know me, I hate hockey unders.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: I don't do much with totals at all, but fifty
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets in eighty six percent of the
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: cash on the under. In this one Tide series, a
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: lot of times you just see real intense defense. Uh
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: these teams, I don't believe. Do they have an extra
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: day off? Maybe they did, I don't know. Sometimes you
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: have an extra day off when you shift to the
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: new venue. I'm not so sure about it in this
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: case though. But yeah, the money is saying Bruins and under.
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a strong reason to disagree with that.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: I just hope the Bruins win because they're my team.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: So that's what I'll say about that. Carolina and Ottawa.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: Carolina is up too. Oh, and you would think that
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: that would mean this is a zigzag spot and that
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: you want to look towards Ottawa, right, Because when a
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: team wins the first two games at home and then
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: they have to go on the road, that team that's
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: down two finally at home, it's like their last gas. Basically, rather,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: you cannot go down three to zero and expect to
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: win the series, even though, like I said, in hockey
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: it has happened a few times, whereas in the other
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: sports you're pretty much completely cooked. I mean, you're still
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: pretty much cooked. Though if it happens in Sabers cooked,
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: what now they're not? Why would people say the Sabers
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: are cooked. That's an overreaction to how good the Bruins
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: looked in that game. But yeah, obviously I do think
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: the Bruins have a decent chance of winning that series,
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: which I thought going into it as well.
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: Anyway, Carolina is up two.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: Oh here, I hesitate to want to go with the
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: Zigzag here with Ottawa though Ottawa, you know, they're pretty
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: decent at home twenty three, twelve and six. Carolina was
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: really good on the road too though, twenty four to
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: twelve and five.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: That's a pretty good road record.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Carolina, you know, I think they're probably the best
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: team in the East, even though I know I went
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: with the Lightning to win the whole thing in my
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: bracket just based on fading public sentiment. But Carolina, I
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: thought also could be a choice. Looks like they should
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: win the series. At this point, but Ottawa they're gonna
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: give Ottawa will come out with a ton of motivation
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: and give Carolina to their best shot here. So that
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: is why the zigzag works a lot of times. And
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: sometimes the team it's up two to ozho will just
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: come out a little bit complacent, you know what I mean,
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: because they think.
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 2: The series is over.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: My issue would be, I don't want a zigzag this
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: one because the last game went into overtime.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 2: That was a brutal loss for Ottawa.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: Both of the games were kind of close, but this game,
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: Ottawa could have won the game.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: Man, it went into overtime. I believe Carolina had.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: Initially thought they had won earlier in overtime and the
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: goal got taken off the board because.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: They were off sides.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: I was watching it at the time. I was like,
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: this is crazy, dude. It was the right call, but man,
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: to have what you think is a game winning goal
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: taken away on that that is crazy. It was like
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: it was barely off sides. I mean it was, but man, like,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: just yeah, that was insane. But anyway, for Autawa to
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: lose the game like that, I don't know that they're
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: necessarily definitely gonna be able to bounce back here after
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: that brutal double overtime game, and Carolina is probably not
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: going to overlook them after that. That's the issue that
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: I have with one to zigzag this with Ottawa here,
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. And coming into this series, yeah,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: we said Ottawa, they know who their goalie is, all Mark.
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: They do have an advantage in net with all Mark.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: Carolina looks like they've figured it out though. They're going
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: with Anderson and that's it. Anderson is the more experienced goalie.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: They decided to not go with Bussy, the very inexperienced
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: young guy. They decided, hey, you know, let's give it
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: to the old guy who has been our goalie, you know,
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: in like, Anderson has a ton of playoff experience and
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: he's been up to the task so far. And that's
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: a good sign for Carolina because they're goaltending question mark.
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: Goaltending was a question mark for Carolina coming into the playoffs,
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: which is also part of the reason why I kind
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: of wanted to go with Tampa over Carolina because we
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: know Tampa is going with Vasilevsky and that's it. But yeah,
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: Carolina looks like they figured it out. The money is
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: actually coming in on Carolina in this game, and going
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: against the zig Zag, Ottawa is favored. They're up to
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty six here. And you know I talk
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: about usually the oddsmakers are kind of telling you something
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: with that, the fact that they're favoring the team that
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: everybody considers to be the worst team that's down two here,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: and that's why the Zigzag works a lot of times.
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: But I just told you why I have a lot
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: of reservations with that. And the money is coming in
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: on Carolina at least as far as as far as
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: what it looks like right now. But again, remember these
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: numbers could definitely change, like both games I talked about
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: yesterday actually changed. The late money started coming in somewhat
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: on the flyer side yesterday, which worried me a bit
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: on that one, and then the money did agree with me.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: On Detroit. I still liked the Pittsburgh side yesterday. Though
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: this game, though, I'm not quite so sure. Sixty five
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on Ottawa, sixty four percent
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Carolina. The way that I do
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: the situational handicapping, they're conflicting factors here. The money is
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: saying Carolina, and the money is somewhat saying under and
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: it is a low total of five and a half.
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: We've seen both the game. Both games in this series
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: have been very low scoring so far. It might happen
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: again if both goaltenders are hot again here, you know
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: that remains to be seen. Yeah, I don't have a
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: good read for the total in that one though, but yeah,
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: the money is saying Carolina pretty strongly though in that game.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: You know, if they do then I'll have it right
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: in my bracket.
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: But we'll see.
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: And then Colorado at La this is another series where
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: some similar things can.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: Be said about it.
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: Colorado's up two to oh, so you would think, okay,
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: this is gonna zigzag. Now they're having to travel to La.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: Colorado's minus one sixty. Everybody knows Colorado is the better team,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: and in this case they are favored because they're that
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: much better. But I hesitate again to want to zigzag
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: this as you know, as I've been saying all year,
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: La has been terrible at home. They're actually better on
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: the road than at home. They're fifteen seventeen and nine
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: at home. That's really, really bad, really bad home record.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know how that's the case, but they're like
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: the Rangers of the West. Like I said, I don't
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: even know how they made the playoffs, to be honest,
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: it's because Nashville sucks that bad and San Jose was
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: too inexperienced, so LA snuck into the playoffs. They might
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: get swept out of this series at this point, man,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: I'm just I don't know. Colorado really good on the
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: road twenty nine to seven and five. And as I
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: was about to say, I think the zigzag might not
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: work here because the games in Colorado both finished two
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: to one. LA was in both of these games, including
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: the last game. The last game went into overtime. So
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: just like I said with the other game, and I
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: think it's an even bigger factor here the fact that
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: LA was able to as a.
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: Huge underdog, almost win this game.
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: They're winning in the third period, they gave up a
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: late goal to tie the game lost in overtime. That
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: is such a brutal way to lose when you could
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: have stolen one on the road as a huge underdog.
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: And LA is worse at home than they are on
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: the world. Like I said right here, Yeah, the road
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: record is barely below five hundred, including all the overtime
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: losses they've had. I just don't know if LA is
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to do it here, man coming off
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: a game like that, and.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: That might scare Colorado.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: The fact that Colorado almost lost that game, I think
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: that means that despite being up two to oh, Colorado
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: is not gonna take them lightly. I like Colorado in
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: this game. This is my strongest opinion in hockey here.
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: I almost wanted to put it on my card. They're
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: at minus one sixty. I don't know if I want
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: to do that with a road team, but if there
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: was any situation to do something like that, I think
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: it would be this the Kings.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 2: Well, it would be better if Colorado was.
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: Down two, then I'd say, yeah, then like, look, just
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: completely unload on it.
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: Uh, sixty percent of tickets on LA, eighty seven percent
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Colorado.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 2: The money is back in Colorado very strongly.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: I'm shocked that the public seems to be leaning towards
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: the Kings here. I guess just because they want that
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: underdog price.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: Uh. It would have to be like you'd have to
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: lay the puck.
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: Line though, and the money is supporting the over in
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: this one, though to some extental though's at five and
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: a half. Both of the first two games are very
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: low scoring. You know, maybe the way that you go
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: about this is to go Colorado over their team total.
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's what you do here, because maybe LA's defense
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: will just lapse a little bit at home after, you know,
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: in what could be almost kind of a letdown spot
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: coming off of that.
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 2: I could see that being the case.
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Colorado, you won't need them to score that many
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: goals if you want to do that, and after two
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: low scoring games, maybe that will happen here. Colorado over
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: their team total makes sense. Laying them. You know, if
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: you play Colorado, I'd probably just say just go honey
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: line on it, even though I know it's juicy.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: At minus one sixty.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: You could do the thing that I do with a
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: split bet puck line money line, but playoff hockey is
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: such a close game and whatever.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: I don't know, just going money line on it might
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: make sense.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: Maybe I should have done that with Tampa Bay the
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: other day, but that was like a minus one eighty
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: something price. Those are my thoughts on the hockey board, though,
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: Dirty Sock, Yes you're an Avs fan, I know you
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: like the Nuggets as well, and they're also playing tonight NBA.
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: I am gonna have one play in the NBA, and
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: it is in the first game here.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: These games are all on Amazon Prime.
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: Which the hockey games I believe, we're all on TBST
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: and t HBO Max New York and Atlanta.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: This is my actual play. Let's do it. This play is.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Knicks, unfortunately because I do
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: not like the Knicks, but we're gonna go Knicks money
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: line minus one ten.
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: You can find it just straight up pick the winner.
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: This is a game where the Knicks are like minus
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: one right now, so I would look at both markets
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: to see what the best number you can get on
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: this is like the money line was just literally just
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: a straight up So I was like, all right, let's
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: just do it that way. If you want to lay
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: the minus one that's fine as well. One and a half,
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: I guess is okay. But obviously if you're giving me
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: the same minus one ten price basically and you just
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: need him to win the game, that's what I'm gonna do.
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: This price was at I forget which book it was.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: It might have even been DK.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: I forget even though it looks like DK has the
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: spread at one and a half. But they're separate markets here.
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: But I like the Knicks for a number of reasons.
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: The series is tied, and you would think that, well,
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: if the Zigzag.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: Holds up, then the Knicks are the way to go.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: And that's kind of why I like it here because
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: the Knicks lost Game two. But the way that they
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: lost Game two is really what I'm looking at here, Like,
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: look at what happened in this game. If you look
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: at the box score of this game, the Knicks were
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: winning this entire game.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: I have no idea how they lost, even though I
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: liked it.
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: Atlanta to cover this game, and I thought they were
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: the most likely to pull off the upset on that day,
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: even though the Tea Wolves also did. But the Knicks
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: didn't have a particularly good shooting game. Atlanta shot almost
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: fifty percent from the field. That's probably not gonna happen again.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: The Knicks were also miserable from the free throw line
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: sixty three percent. And well, I don't think the Knicks
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: are the greatest free throw shooting team. I mean, no
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: team could be. When they have Mitchell Robinson. I think
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: it is who would if you've ever seen that guy
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: shoot free throws. It's an absolute joke. But even so,
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: the Knicks probably shoot in the seventies from the free
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: throw line sixty three percent. That's not gonna happen again,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: So I think that's gonna regress towards the positive. The
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: Knicks are not going to be that bad from the
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: free throw line again. The Knicks lost the turnover battle
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: at home, which kind of led to this as well.
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: And the Knicks dominated the rebound battle dude plus eleven
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: and rebounds, and they were winning for ninety one percent
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: of the game, winning by double digits by as many
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: as fourteen, and winning by eleven in the fourth quarter.
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: This took an absolute outlier of an implosion from the
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: Knicks here. Man, the Knicks were the better team in
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: this game all the way through. So that's why I
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: like them here. Plus they have the experience. Yeah, the
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: Hawks were hot down the stretch with the Hawks did
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: not win you know, too many games against good teams here.
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: The Hawks actually were unable to beat the Knicks in
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: some of those games. So I think the last time
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: they played at home. Yeah, the Hawks did lose at
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: home by three to the next last time they're here, which, yeah,
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: that could mean that maybe the Hawks will play better
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: in this one, but we're in the playoffs in a
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: tied series, man, so I just don't think that matters much.
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: Now, both teams are gonna.
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: Show up for this game, and I think the experience
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: plus the zig zag spot here is gonna win out.
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: The fact that the Knicks were like a six point
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game and now they're one on the road.
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: That seems like a little bit of an over adjustment
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: as well. I know in the playoffs you probably have
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: to give a team a little bit more home court
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: advantage than normally you would, but NBA has very all
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: home court advantage, like one and a half probably maybe
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: two in the playoffs. So it seems like this line
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: is a little bit over adjusted towards Atlanta here. And yes,
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: Atlanta could get hot from three. That's the one thing
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: that we have to dodge here, is that if Atlanta's
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: gonna put up some outlier three point performance, they're probably
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: gonna win this game. But if that doesn't happen, then
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna happen.
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: And also By the way, Kat.
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: Towns, I don't believe he went to the free throw
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: line at all in this game here, And by the way,
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: it wasn't even Robinson missing those free throws, so it
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: was Annabe, who's actually a really good free throw shooter.
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: He was four for eight and I think he's over
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: an eighty percent free throw shooter. So that's definitely gonna
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: see some positive regression. He's not gonna miss half of
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: his free throws. But the other thing is Towns didn't
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: go to the line at all, Like, when do you
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: ever see that?
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: You're big man. I know, Towns. I do think he's soft.
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's physical enough, but he's not gonna
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: go to the free throw.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: Line no times again, you know what I mean.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: So I think that's gonna probably see some sort of
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: regression as well, although he's probably not gonna shoot eight
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: for twelve from the field again either, But he can
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: make up the difference by actually getting to the free
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: throw line whatsoever here, which I think will probably happen
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: this time.
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go with the Knicks. Yeah, I think that's all.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: That's all I got about it, Although yes, the Knicks
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: have not been good on the road. That is true
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: twenty two and nineteen. The Knicks are much much better
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: at home, but we're in the playoffs.
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: This is this exact spot.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: Atlanta was not exactly like a dominant home team twenty
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: four and seventeen, and the Knicks did win one of
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: those road games at Atlanta. Like I said, so the
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: Knicks aren't gonna be intimidated by this or whatever. So
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: the Knicks will be the play there. Cleveland at Toronto.
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's up two to zero in the series, and it
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: looks way too easy to take.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: Cleveland at minus three here.
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: But the money, oh, by the way, I forgot the
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: money is backing the Knicks here seventy one percent of
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: the tickets and seventy eight percent of the casual on
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: the Knicks.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 2: I forgot to mention that.
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: So the money is backing the Knicks here, and it's
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: backing the under with a total slipping down a little
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: bit to two sixteen and a half, sixty five percent
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the over, fifty five percent of the
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: cash on the under. I think the under is correlated
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: to the Knicks in that game. Before I'm completely off
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: of that game, the Hawks kind of need it to
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: be a high scoring game for the most part to
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: actually do what they want to be able to do.
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: So if the Knicks are able to slow it down
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: a bit, play defense, whatever, I think the Knicks should
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: win this game.
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 2: Money is supporting it.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: Like I said, now, the money is also backing the
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: Calves here. I'm a bit less bullish on them here,
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: but fifty three percent of tickets, sixty nine percent of
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Calves. The Calves won each of
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: the first two games easily, and I think they covered
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: both of them.
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: Or yeah, I believe they.
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: Were like eight and a half nine point favorites in balls,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: so they won by thirteen and ten. Now, this could
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: be this exact spot where you know you're probably gonna
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: get gonna get Toronto's best effort here, because this is it, right, Like,
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: if Toronto goes down three, it's all. They're not winning
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: the series. I don't think they're gonna win anyway. Though normally, yes,
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: I would say this is the zig zag and I
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: might actually slightly lean towards Toronto here. But there are
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: just some things I don't love about it.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think Toronto was I just really don't think
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: they're that good, and they weren't that good at home
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: twenty four and seventeen. Cavs are pretty good on the
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: road twenty five and sixteen. I know Toronto won all
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: three regular season matchups, but those were all in October,
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: November whatever. Cleveland didn't have James hard and yet different team.
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: I just don't think Toronto could do it.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: Man Like, even though I might lean to Toronto in
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: this game slightly, I don't want to have my money
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: on that.
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on the over as well,
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 2: for what that's worth.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: Both games went over so far, I think, or no,
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: the second game went under. Yeah, the first game went over.
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: The second game went under, which, by the way, I
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: should have pointed that out. The second game went under.
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: If you looked into the box score of the first game.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: Both teams shot ridiculously in the first game. So both
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: teams had outliers shooting ORMs is in the first game,
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: and they went to the free throw line a ton.
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: So that was why there were a lot of professional
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: guys that like the under in the second game. And
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: I neglected to mention any of that when I handicap
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: that game, because I.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: Don't really do totals. But yeah, it was.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: It made a lot of sense to play the under
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: in the second game of the series, and it worked out.
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: It won just because it was such an outliering game one.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: But I don't love the unders in those quick turnaround
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: times because the deepfense can be a little bit more
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: tired and the offenses can kind of have gotten in rhythm.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 2: But it did go under. Now the money is coming
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: in towards the over again here. Raptors.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: By the way, they were a very good under team
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: as a road underdog, but maybe not so much at home.
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: And by the way, at home, like I said, as
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: I was pointing out, the Raptors are just not really
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: that good at home. Uh, seventy two percent of tickets
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash on the over for
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: what that's worth, totals up to two twenty two and
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: a half. Yeah, and we see fifty three percent of
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: tickets as sixty nine percent of the cash on the
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: calves at minus three. I'm staying off of the game though,
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: it's not one that I'm really interested in. Yeah, I mean,
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: I don't think I have much else to say about that,
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: but yeah, Cleveland, I think this is just a mismatch series, dude.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: I mean the fact that Toronto could shoot as well
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: as they did in the first game and still lose
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: by thirteen points. I know Cleveland also had an outlier
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: shooting before, so that's just not good. I think Toronto
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: just doesn't have the bodies on the interior to really
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: doing enough either against Allen and Mobley. For Cleveland, yeah,
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: I think this series might wind up being a sweep.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: If Cleveland wins tonight, I think it's gonna be a sweep.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: But we will see.
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: Those games when a teams down three to zero are
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: very difficult to handicap. Denver at Minnesota is the last game.
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: This could be a zigzag. I mean, this is a
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: game where, you know, I don't think it's quite the
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 1: same thing as the end the Knixt situation, because the
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: Knicks clearly dominated that entire game. But Denver is coming
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: off a home loss as a seven point favorites. You
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: would think that should mean that they should bounce back
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: and play better on the road, and I understand that sentiment.
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: I agree with it, actually that Denver should bounce back
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: and play better on the road. Denver is actually a
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: decent road team too, and they're not particularly great at home.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: This game, Denver was winning early on by nineteen points,
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: but it was a close game for pretty much the
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: entire second half, although Denver did have the lead multiple times.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: Their biggest lead in the second half I think was six.
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: But they did have a huge lead in the first
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: half of nineteen and totally blew.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: That before the first half was even over.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: Now, when we look at this box score, though this
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: box score, I don't really see as many like outliers
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: that could lead us towards a play on Denver. Here,
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: like I saw in the Knicks box score, Minnesota out
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: rebounded Denver, the game was close for the entire second half.
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: Denver won the turnover battle, and Minnesota was horrible at
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: the free throw line sixty three percent from the free
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: throw line. That's abysmal. Obviously, no NBA team shoots that bad.
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: Obviously there's room for improvement there. So Yeah, there were
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: some things I don't like, like the fact that Denver
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: won the turnover battle, still lost, Minnesota won the rebound battle.
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: Minnesota could have been better from the free throw line too. Now,
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: the one outlier I guess you could point at is
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: that Minnesota did hit forty one percent of their threes,
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: which is probably gonna regress, although Denver took way more threes,
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: so they actually hit one more. I can't quite get
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: there with this. I think I will need slightly to
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: Denver here, but the money is disagreeing with it. Like
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: I think the zigzag does kind of make sense, but
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: diving into that box score worries me about the way
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: that Denver played there, and the dude, both these teams
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: are experienced, you know what I mean. These two teams
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: have had some playoff series in the past that have
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: been crazy, like back and forth series. You never know
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: what's gonna happen. Denver is at minus two here, fifty
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the tickets on them, fifty five percent
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Minnesota. So the money is coming
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: in on Minnesota and it is backing the over as well,
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: with the public seemingly being on the under at eighty
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets and sixty nine percent of the
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: cash total moved up to two thirty three and a half.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: I understand the move.
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: It's mostly because the Nuggets are an elite offense and
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: they don't play defense, so that's kind of the problem here.
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 2: Man. That's Another problem with liking the.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: Nuggets here is that you're still getting the Twolves at
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: home as the better deepense as an underdog, you know
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: what I mean, and that is tempting. I like getting
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: the better defense as an underdog, so that is a
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: factor here as well. I'm staying away from this one.
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna slightly lean to the Nuggets just because of
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: the zigzag, but maybe it doesn't happen. I think the
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: Knicks are the strong play that we have on the
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: NBA board today, so that's what we're doing. That's gonna
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: do it for the show man. Thanks everybody for hanging
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: out one more time being selective. Two plays are the
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: over in Padres Rockies. Hopefully we get some corse Field
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: long balls going on here. Long Ball Larry hopefully shows
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: up for us here, although he's a Dodger fan, so
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: he's not gonna be at the game unless he's against
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: San Diego and he's in Denver for some reason. And
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: then we're gonna go with the Knicks money line or
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: minus one, whichever. Let's get it done, man, Yesterday was
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: not the greatest day, but we're still on this nice
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: thirty three, fourteen and four run here, so some of it,
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: you know, those pushes me being a pussy with those
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: run line and puck line split plays.
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 2: But that's the way that it is. Man, Let's get
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: it done.
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, learn a tone on Instagram,
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: Like subscribe to the channel here. You're get notified when
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: I go live. The NFL Draft is tonight. By the way,
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: one of you guys asked me, I apologize, I missed that.
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: I forget.
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Brad, I'm sorry I missed your comment. I saw
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: it and then I forgot to talk about it.
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: Brad.
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I don't bet on the NBA draft. I
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: just I don't mess with it. It's way too unpredictable.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: And the thing that is predictable is that Mendoza is
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: gonna go first. But you want to lay minus three
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: thousand or whatever on him going first. There's no value
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: in that. So I mean, if you really really are
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: like in the loop and know what's going on, you
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: might be able to find some value. Like it would
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: be like bets, like you want to like fade this
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: guy to get drafted in the first round or something
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: like that, or go with this guy to get drafted
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: over this guy. You know what I mean like that
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: might be there might be some value in plays like that,
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: but you never really know. Teams might just do something
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: ridiculous that you don't expect, you know. So I don't
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: really have too many predictions on it. But we will
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: see what happens with the draft. But that's what reminded
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: me because I was gonna say, if you subscribe, you'll
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: see when I go live. I'm gonna do an NFL
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: win totals show again at some point after the draft
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: is over. So it'll be the draft takes a few days,
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: I think, so it'll be at some point after that,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: but be on the lookout for that.
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 2: My win totals were good last year. Man.
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: The top three that I gave out the San Francisco over,
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: Washington under, and Kansas City under. All three of them
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: were right. So we'll see if we could do it
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: again here. I have some ideas of what I want
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: to do. You probably already know what at least one
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: of them might be, because yeah, if I've been saying
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: that a team is massively overrated and overperforming, I'm probably
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: gonna like they're under season win total in the next year,
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: So you probably know who I'm talking about I have
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: to see what the number is though, and see what
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: they do in the draft. But that's gonna do it.
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: Enjoy the games that I enjoy the draft. Everybody, yes,
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: like subscribe here. We need to get more subscribers here, man,
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: we're stagnant. Got to do something different, you know, or
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: just get more people, get more eyes on this.
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: Somehow.
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: We're on audio as well, Apple, Spotify, give me good
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: reviews over there, et cetera. Covered in you because my
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on YouTube. All this is on my link, Trase,
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: you could check that out as well. That link is
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: on my Twitter. I believe it's in the description of
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 1: every one of these shows as well. But yeah, we
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: have the Yuke covers going on there, Patreon, dot com,
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: slash learn to toad where I am not paying anywhere
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: near enough attention.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 2: Again, I apologize.
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: Most of my focuses on this and trying to figure
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: out what I'm gonna do, you know, as far as
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: my career whatever.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: Man, we're in Flux.
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: I would like to do this, but you know, it
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: might not work out for the best.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: And then we have my other show's Loser Cast every
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: Tuesday night. If you missed that this week. It was fun.
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: You can go check that out, and we had and
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: we talked about some sports in that one, particularly.
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 2: The Mets being losers.
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: And g Spot the Giants podcast. We did a draft
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: preview there. It was me with Ben Weir and Adam Nutter,
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: who were both Giants fans. I'm a Jackson Dart fans.
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: You can go check that out as well. That will
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: be probably a more regular show. Yeah, once the NFL
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: season starts, they'll be I don't know. We might live
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: stream during the games, do like watch parties, and we'll
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: probably do game recaps and stuff like that. So be
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: on the lookout for that once the dude NFL season.
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: You know, I like betting the NFL.
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: We had a good NFL season this year, so I'm
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: looking to do that again. I give you guys all
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: my picks against the spread on the show as well,
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: and I do really well with that.
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: So looking forward to that. Although it's months away, we're.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: Gonna be in the summer lull where it's just baseball
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: for a while.
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: After these playoffs are over.
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: The WNBA will be starting with some new teams that
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know anything about, so be on the lookout
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: for that as well. The WNBA will begin And I
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: had a successful w NBA season the first season I
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: started actually doing it on the show, the same handicapping
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: technique supply, and no, I don't even know any of
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: the players pretty much.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 2: We still did well.
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 1: We were up you know, at least I think, you know,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: four if you have my unit sizes, you know, the
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: three hundred or whatever, we're up at least four or
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: five units, I think on the season, which I'll take it.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: It's acceptable, I think, so hope to do that again
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: as well. Talking about the Dallas Wings, who this is
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: what the WNBA is man the Dallas Wings, if you
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: didn't know, they had the number one overall draft pick
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: two years in a row, and they took a pair
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: of lesbian lovers from Yukon. They drafted Paige Becker's last year,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: and this year they drafted her girlfriend, Asi Fudd or whatever.
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: Her name is.
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: Sounds like a bad idea, Oh, but but they have chemistry.
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: Can you imagine that being a case in the NBA. Oh,
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: we're gonna we're gonna pick two two dudes.
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: We're in a gay relationship.
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: Imagine if Akeem Elijahan and Ralph Sampson were in a
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: relationship together and the Rockets draft them back to back years.
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: The Twin Towers in Houston. Oh, though those are some
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: Twin Towers man. Not a fan of Sampson by the way,
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: always a dick and a very very cheap player. Gotten
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: fights with the Celtics and such as well. I like
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: Elijah Wan though definitely a fan of Akeem Olajahan.
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: Anyway, I'm rambling. That's gonna do it.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: But yeah, ridiculous what we're getting in the w NBA. Man,
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: I could imagine that being a negative, Like if what
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: if their relationship is like on the Rocks or something,
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: and then they have to try to play with each
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: other on the court. Yeah, good luck with that. Terrible,
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: terrible idea, so stupid.
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: But whatever. Oh but they have chemistry for now. Man.
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: All right, that's gonna do it. I'm rambling. Have a
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: good day, everybody. Peace,