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Georgia Expert EXPOSES TRUTH before UGA vs Florida Gators Football Game! · SEC Football Addiction

0:00
Speaker 1: Let's finish with this one. The world's largest indoor cocktail
0:04
Speaker 1: party presented by prize picks. Um, I guess the party's
0:06
Speaker 1: still outside, but the game indoor. So we'll, we'll see.
0:10
Speaker 2: He's always, always outside.
0:13
Speaker 1: So in the dome this week, it's weird. It is.
0:19
Speaker 1: It sucks. Let me just preface by saying I hate
0:21
Speaker 1: every athletic director in the country. Equally all 138, 39
0:24
Speaker 1: of them. Not personally. I don't really know many of
0:28
Speaker 1: them personally, just a few. But yeah, it sucks. They're
0:33
Speaker 1: not being an opportunity for this game to be between
0:34
Speaker 1: the hedges and then in the swamp next year is stupid.
0:37
Speaker 1: I live in Tampa. I'm literally selfishly glad that it's
0:40
Speaker 1: in Tampa for me next year because I'll go. But
0:43
Speaker 1: it is annoying to me that this game is not
0:46
Speaker 1: on the campuses. But again, if you're watching this as
0:49
Speaker 1: a fan of either of these teams, your AD doesn't
0:50
Speaker 1: care about you. They care about money, and so does
0:53
Speaker 1: everyone else that runs this sport. Graham and I care
0:54
Speaker 1: about you, and that's why we're going to talk about
0:56
Speaker 1: the actual game and tell TJ to shut up and
0:58
Speaker 1: stop ranting about the games played. We care about you.
1:03
Speaker 1: Can we do the heart emoji? I'm not a girl,
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Speaker 1: so I don't, I don't really know how to do
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Speaker 1: that well. So yeah, yeah, that's it. You gotta, you know, Taylor, um,
1:12
Speaker 1: we were talking off air, uh, Georgia, absolutely elite to
1:14
Speaker 1: steal from you at, uh, Contact yards allowed a metric
1:19
Speaker 1: is metrics, baby. Yeah. Dog central.com Georgia elite on both
1:23
Speaker 1: sides of the ball, Florida, very average, not, not bad,
1:25
Speaker 1: not good. Just in the thirties on both.
1:28
Speaker 2: Right.
1:28
Speaker 1: When you look at all the power for teams, they're,
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Speaker 1: they're kind of middle of the road on both. So
1:33
Speaker 1: what can Florida do? Because I don't really know that.
1:36
Speaker 1: I believe like, Oh, you just, you just play up
1:39
Speaker 1: because it's a big opponent. Every, I know this is
1:41
Speaker 1: a big opponent. It's a rivalry every week's big in
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Speaker 1: the sec. Like, you know, like you just, this idea
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Speaker 1: of like, Oh, we'll just play better because Georgia is
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Speaker 1: not going to against Florida, like a good Florida team.
1:51
Speaker 1: That's top 20. Like, like Georgia is just going to
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Speaker 1: be like, Oh yeah, well, yeah, it's just Florida, you know?
1:56
Speaker 1: So I want to know what Florida does to, to
2:03
Speaker 1: compensate for that because Georgia is really, really good at it.
2:06
Speaker 1: And if, if, if that's what this game comes down to,
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Speaker 1: certainly I like the dogs in this, but I do
2:12
Speaker 1: think that that's a big question I have. What stands
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Speaker 1: out to you the most in this one?
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Speaker 2: I'm very curious about Florida's quarterback situation and what they're
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Speaker 2: going to do here with all of that. I am
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Speaker 2: not a Florida football insider, but I, I had questions
2:30
Speaker 2: as they went into that Texas game, like is Philo
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Speaker 2: hurt or are we saying that he's dinged up so that,
2:37
Speaker 2: This isn't talked about in the media and the fan
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Speaker 2: base as like a, you know, we're going to the
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Speaker 2: backup type situation. And I don't know the answer to that.
2:47
Speaker 2: I really don't. But now Florida has put Trammell Jones
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Speaker 2: on tape, and that's a different animal if you look
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Speaker 2: at numbers. I mean, like if I see a team
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Speaker 2: that's fielding a new quarterback in the middle of a
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Speaker 2: season that nobody's ever seen play in a game before,
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Speaker 2: that's an almost automatic– take the points with that team
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Speaker 2: spot for me because it's really hard to game plan
3:12
Speaker 2: for a guy that you've never seen before. Well, Florida's
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Speaker 2: got both these guys on tape now. On one hand,
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Speaker 2: I think from what we've seen from the Florida offensive
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Speaker 2: line at times that you need the mobility of Jones,
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Speaker 2: but on the other, I just don't know that you
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Speaker 2: traditionally see guys who are going to tear apart a
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Speaker 2: Kirby smart defense without being able to kind of like
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Speaker 2: show some savvy and poise and, and get through some
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Speaker 2: reads and all of that. And I don't know that
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Speaker 2: Philo is the best in the country at that, but
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Speaker 2: just from the small sample sizes we've seen of both,
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Speaker 2: I think he might be a little bit more apt to,
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Speaker 2: to like beat Georgia on the backside of cover too,
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Speaker 2: and do some things that I think you often have
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Speaker 2: to do if you want to have success through the
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Speaker 2: air against the Kirby smart defense. Cause I think they
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Speaker 2: have to be able to stay balanced. You know, they
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Speaker 2: can't just put it all on ball. That's not going
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Speaker 2: to be the recipe in store. Sorry. Go ahead.
4:10
Speaker 1: No, no, you're good. Um, Florida getting their full compliment
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Speaker 1: of wide receivers back for this game, Singleton Wilson and, uh,
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Speaker 1: Vernel Brown. Although I believe there's some concern around where
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Speaker 1: Bailey Stockton is. He's certainly their, their fourth option. Um,
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Speaker 1: but he's been productive and, and had some, some big moments.
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Speaker 1: So I don't want to minimize him. they've got all
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Speaker 1: the weapons in the world on offense. I wonder what
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Speaker 1: their offensive line looks like because it did a freaking
4:35
Speaker 1: good job. I'll say against the Texas front that Colin
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Speaker 1: Simmons played more than 75% of the game. He went
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Speaker 1: down early in the fourth quarter. So it's not like
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Speaker 1: you just got to not see him.
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Speaker 2: Right.
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Speaker 1: And they still have talent even without him, their offensive
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Speaker 1: line did a really good job there. Can they do
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Speaker 1: that again? The two questions that I have had for
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Speaker 1: Florida all season quarterback, I think it has a very
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Speaker 1: clear ceiling, but it's not, the, like, I don't think
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Speaker 1: the quarterback play has been bad. Um, but I do
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Speaker 1: think that like the, the questions that I have for them,
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Speaker 1: offensive line and secondary, can Georgia take advantage of that?
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Speaker 1: Can Georgia's pass rush? Can their defensive front continue to
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Speaker 1: limit the run? Can they get pressure on Jones or Philo?
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Speaker 1: Whoever's playing in this thing and, and can gunner rebound
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Speaker 1: from the Auburn game to take advantage of a, a
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Speaker 1: not very good secondary at times this year, they looked
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Speaker 1: better against Texas. I'm not taking any credit away, Florida fans,
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Speaker 1: but also arches a dumpster fire at times. So their
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Speaker 1: offense is just at best inconsistent, plenty talented. I think
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Speaker 1: Georgia's offense is certainly more consistent. So that's a big
5:47
Speaker 1: question I have for the, for the Florida Georgia game
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Speaker 1: is can the offensive line hold up against Georgia's front?
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Speaker 1: Can their secondary hold up against gunner and this offense?
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm curious a little bit. You know,
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Speaker 2: you look at Florida's passing game. You just talked about
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Speaker 2: all those weapons that they have, and I'm in total agreement. Like,
6:15
Speaker 2: across the board, they have the ability to stretch you.
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Speaker 2: You go back and look at that Texas game. They
6:19
Speaker 2: ran 94 plays in that game.
6:23
Speaker 1: That's insane.
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Speaker 2: Yeah, they really controlled the ball. They had 12 drives.
6:29
Speaker 2: You know, they– average starting field position on their own 34,
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Speaker 2: which is great over that many drives. And they averaged
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Speaker 2: almost seven plays a drive. So like they were able
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Speaker 2: to ground it out. They were not very explosive. They
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Speaker 2: only had four explosive plays in the football game, but
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Speaker 2: situationally they were very, very good. And their red zone
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Speaker 2: success rate was 58% versus 25% for Texas. And that
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Speaker 2: was sort of the difference in the football game. I
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Speaker 2: do think Jones's legs are, helped them a lot as
7:00
Speaker 2: the field shrinks for those wide receivers. Because one thing
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Speaker 2: that I don't know that we think about a lot,
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Speaker 2: because they do have such talent on offense, if you
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Speaker 2: look at their season and then you look at pass attempts,
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Speaker 2: they've got 14 completions all year that had 12-plus air
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Speaker 2: yards on a pass attempt, which is not a lot.
7:27
Speaker 2: And so that is the interesting piece to me. Buster
7:31
Speaker 2: has always been good at attacking Georgia. And that really
7:36
Speaker 2: started obviously in 2024 when, when he had Haynes King
7:39
Speaker 2: and Georgia tech and they sort of pushed Georgia into
7:41
Speaker 2: that eight overtime game that, that Georgia tech should have won, honestly. Yeah.
7:47
Speaker 2: But that football game, you go back and look at it.
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Speaker 2: And what they did was they were able to, protect
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Speaker 2: King at times. They were able to run him at times,
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Speaker 2: but they were able to freeze Georgia enough with play
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Speaker 2: action and protect Haynes King enough. And honestly, his legs
8:06
Speaker 2: were part of this, just extending plays to allow these
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Speaker 2: late crossers to develop and get Georgia's linebackers singled up
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Speaker 2: in space against shifty guys like Eric Singleton. And I'm
8:21
Speaker 2: curious to see, because that's kind of what Auburn just
8:24
Speaker 2: did to Georgia. And I historically have been of the
8:29
Speaker 2: opinion that if Georgia gets beat a certain way, that
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Speaker 2: that's what it is. But like, they're not going to
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Speaker 2: get beat the same way twice, usually in a short
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Speaker 2: period of time, like Kirby smart. He's a really good coach.
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Speaker 2: And one of the reasons why is if something's broken,
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Speaker 2: he usually fixes it quickly. So I'm curious what Buster does.
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Speaker 2: in this game and sort of how he attacks Georgia. Does,
8:58
Speaker 2: does he try to force the ball downfield more? Cause
9:00
Speaker 2: we have seen Demelo Jones be a little bit shaky
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Speaker 2: for Georgia at the boundary corner position in terms of
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Speaker 2: getting his head around and maybe it's just a free
9:09
Speaker 2: 15 yards, but, but it keeps your offense on the field.
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Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, I, I just, I don't know. Yeah.
9:15
Speaker 2: I was talking to Allie about this yesterday a little
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Speaker 2: bit when, when she and I recorded the, And I
9:24
Speaker 2: said to her, kind of like, well, what's been the
9:26
Speaker 2: big difference in good Florida and bad Florida? You know,
9:31
Speaker 2: I mean, like, what's been the big difference in their
9:34
Speaker 2: ability to play in some of these games and be
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Speaker 2: very successful offensively or very unsuccessful offensively? And it's kind
9:44
Speaker 2: of hard to... Understand that a little bit, right? I mean,
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Speaker 2: I think it all comes down to their offensive line
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Speaker 2: at the end of the day. And can they protect?
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Speaker 2: And for Georgia, their pass rush has been better this
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Speaker 2: year than it was last year. year.
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11:13
Speaker 2: And it was actually quite good against Auburn, despite the
11:15
Speaker 2: fact they lost that game. But this feels like a
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Speaker 2: game where, like, they have to challenge their defensive line
11:21
Speaker 2: and be like, all right, look, all you guys are
11:23
Speaker 2: former five-star and high-ranked four-star recruits, and it's on you
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Speaker 2: to go out and beat blocks and beat the man
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Speaker 2: in front of you and not overstress our linebacking core
11:35
Speaker 2: that's filled with high-level future NFL athletes too much to
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Speaker 2: where they can't be effective enough doing all the things
11:42
Speaker 2: that we ask them to do. Like it's your job
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Speaker 2: to keep them from getting paper stretched out. And if
11:48
Speaker 2: you can, then I think Georgia can play on their
11:50
Speaker 2: toes and be aggressive defensively and that they have a
11:53
Speaker 2: shot to not like shut Florida down by any means, but,
11:58
Speaker 2: but turn Florida into a little bit more boom or
12:03
Speaker 2: bust where, yeah, maybe they hit a 20 yard play,
12:06
Speaker 2: but then they, they get two yards over the next
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Speaker 2: three plays and they punt that kind of thing. So
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Speaker 2: that is the matchup to me really is Georgia's defensive
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Speaker 2: line versus Florida's offensive line. Cause I, you can tell
12:21
Speaker 2: me you're down in Florida. You have a good pulse
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Speaker 2: on that program, but it feels to me like it
12:25
Speaker 2: would be a little bit unrealistic to expect Florida's defense
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Speaker 2: to shut Georgia down in this game. Is that fair?
12:32
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I agree. I think, I mean, Florida has
12:35
Speaker 1: not been very happy with their defense. I thought that
12:38
Speaker 1: they were happy with the way that the Texas game
12:42
Speaker 1: went down. But not, not incredibly happy with a lot
12:49
Speaker 1: of the other. a lot of the rest of the
12:53
Speaker 1: season defensively, they did plenty against Ole Miss. They, and
12:58
Speaker 1: that was really impressive, but a lot of the rest
12:59
Speaker 1: of the season, they, you know, some are always been
13:01
Speaker 1: complaining about it. Um, the fan base has been complaining
13:04
Speaker 1: about it. You know, the, the defense hasn't been good enough. I,
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Speaker 1: I don't want to sit here and say that I
13:11
Speaker 1: think Georgia can just score at will because their defense
13:13
Speaker 1: does make plays. And McCrae was really good against Texas. Um,
13:18
Speaker 1: Jaden Woods is still there. I like their linebackers. There
13:21
Speaker 1: is talent in the secondary. It's certainly the weakest position
13:25
Speaker 1: group of the team, probably that or offensive line, but
13:28
Speaker 1: it's certainly of the defense. And so there are plays
13:30
Speaker 1: to be made. But yeah, I don't know that they
13:34
Speaker 1: can consistently shut Georgia down. I think Georgia gets into
13:38
Speaker 1: the 30s in this game. I don't think it's a
13:41
Speaker 1: blowout by any means because Florida's offense can score at
13:43
Speaker 1: times too. But I think Florida's defense is If they
13:49
Speaker 1: can show it to me again, which I think, again,
13:51
Speaker 1: they did it against a really inconsistent, again, at best,
13:55
Speaker 1: Texas team. But I like Georgia's defense here. Or I
14:00
Speaker 1: like Georgia's defense way more. Georgia's offense, sorry, way more
14:04
Speaker 1: than I like Florida's defense.
14:07
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a little bit of an interesting spot. You know,
14:12
Speaker 2: the total in this game only being 56.5 points surprises
14:16
Speaker 2: me a bit. That total is a little bit higher
14:22
Speaker 2: than the total in that Ole Miss-Texas game last Saturday night.
14:29
Speaker 2: I don't know if that speaks to the high level
14:35
Speaker 2: of variance that we've seen from Florida's offense and just
14:37
Speaker 2: kind of not knowing exactly what you're going to get
14:39
Speaker 2: from them, but it is a little bit intriguing to
14:45
Speaker 2: me that even coming off that Texas win and Georgia
14:49
Speaker 2: coming off the lost South Carolina, you're in a spot where,
14:53
Speaker 2: you know, UGA is favored by as much as they
14:56
Speaker 2: are favored by. And then I, but I also look at,
15:01
Speaker 2: I mean, some of the metrics for Florida, man, I'm
15:03
Speaker 2: just going to list them off here. Like past success
15:06
Speaker 2: rate allowed their 6% tile and all of the FBS
15:12
Speaker 2: and you, you know, 99 would be like number one. Uh,
15:16
Speaker 2: yards per drop back allowed 37th percentile pass expected points
15:20
Speaker 2: added per play 16th percentile rush explosive percentage allowed fourth
15:26
Speaker 2: percentile pass explosive percentage allowed 10th percentile, uh, explosive percentage
15:32
Speaker 2: overall out first percentile. They've been okay in the red zone,
15:39
Speaker 2: 49th percent. They've been okay with line yards, but we
15:42
Speaker 2: just talked about some of those numbers, uh, They don't
15:45
Speaker 2: stuff runs. Their average third down distance allowed has been 6.3 yards.
15:53
Speaker 2: That's 121st in the FBS. The late down success rate
15:55
Speaker 2: allowed has been 56.6%, which is 134th in the FBS.
15:57
Speaker 2: If Georgia loses this game, it feels like it's a
16:00
Speaker 2: failure of it's likely a failure of Mike Bobo and
16:18
Speaker 2: Gunnar Stockton and that kind of marriage, the run game,
16:22
Speaker 2: whatever the, the Georgia offense to capitalize on a defense
16:27
Speaker 2: that certainly looks like it should be had now against Texas,
16:33
Speaker 2: Florida to their credit said like, we're not going to
16:36
Speaker 2: get beat on our heels. And they blitzed the ever
16:40
Speaker 2: loving shit out of Arch Manning. Yeah. And, and they,
16:44
Speaker 2: created a couple turnovers and like created some panic and uncomfortability.
16:49
Speaker 2: I think Georgia's offensive line is better than Texas's, but
16:51
Speaker 2: I also think Gunnar Stockton is a better decision maker
16:54
Speaker 2: and game manager than Arch Manning in terms of, Hey,
16:57
Speaker 2: if I see blitz, I'm not just going to automatically
16:59
Speaker 2: chuck it 40 yards downfield and hope that it's, there's
17:02
Speaker 2: not a safety sitting back there. So we'll see if,
17:06
Speaker 2: you know, I think this will be an interesting spot
17:08
Speaker 2: for Gunnar though. Like how does he manage having a
17:11
Speaker 2: bad game against Auburn? Right. Like how healthy is he?
17:14
Speaker 2: He had the stinger against Auburn. I know people had
17:17
Speaker 2: questions about where he was, you know, in that game.
17:21
Speaker 2: But I think it kind of comes down to him.
17:26
Speaker 2: This is not to be cheesy, but this is kind
17:29
Speaker 2: of a legacy game for any Georgia quarterback, like the
17:34
Speaker 2: chance to go 2-0 against Florida in your career and
17:38
Speaker 2: the chance to win a ranked-unranked Georgia-Florida game for the
17:41
Speaker 2: first time since 2020, I think. that we've seen that.
17:46
Speaker 2: So it, it's an opportunity for him to kind of
17:49
Speaker 2: make a statement. I think that we saw one week
17:52
Speaker 2: anomaly that was maybe due to some, some injury type stuff.
17:56
Speaker 2: And he really is one of the better quarterbacks in
17:59
Speaker 2: the country, the way we thought he was that night
18:02
Speaker 2: in Tuscaloosa.
18:04
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. It's a, it's a massive opportunity for
18:06
Speaker 1: both teams. I want to say this, I've said this
18:07
Speaker 1: on a couple of shows, so I don't mean to
18:08
Speaker 1: be repetitive, but everybody's talking about Texas could get in
18:11
Speaker 1: at nine and three. If, Florida was to win this
18:16
Speaker 1: game and, and, and, and they only have two losses,
18:20
Speaker 1: but let's say they go on the road and lose
18:21
Speaker 1: to Kentucky who I think we, you know, as of today,
18:24
Speaker 1: we would have Kentucky in the playoffs. We'll see how
18:26
Speaker 1: their last month finishes up. But if Florida is nine
18:28
Speaker 1: and three and has three top 10 wins, including a
18:33
Speaker 1: head to head with Texas, including an old miss team
18:36
Speaker 1: that came down to the swamp and they just decimated
18:38
Speaker 1: and including number two, Georgia, like Texas credit for beating
18:42
Speaker 1: number one, Ohio state. If Florida goes to beat Georgia
18:46
Speaker 1: in the state of Georgia, and I know it's a
18:47
Speaker 1: neutral site, but if they go beat them in Atlanta,
18:52
Speaker 1: I think they deserve that 9-3 and then lose to
18:55
Speaker 1: Kentucky or lose to Oklahoma, whatever. I think they deserve
18:58
Speaker 1: that credit for being the nine and three team to
19:00
Speaker 1: go to the playoff more than Texas does because they've
19:02
Speaker 1: got the head to head on. Texas still is going
19:05
Speaker 1: to have wins against, like we just mentioned, Ohio state.
19:08
Speaker 1: They'll have a win against LSU on the road. They'll
19:11
Speaker 1: have a win in Neyland against Tennessee and they'll have
19:15
Speaker 1: the Ole Miss game too. So I guess the question
19:17
Speaker 1: would come down to what's more impressive for ranked. Well,
19:20
Speaker 1: I guess Florida will have Missouri as well. but four
19:23
Speaker 1: ranked wins or four highly ranked wins or three highly
19:26
Speaker 1: ranked wins and a head to head. My gut would
19:29
Speaker 1: say that Florida at nine and three, they beat Georgia,
19:32
Speaker 1: lose to Kentucky. They get, they should get it.
19:33
Speaker 2: All right. Well, so spin that the other way. If
19:37
Speaker 2: they lose this game, but went out, I mean, I
19:40
Speaker 2: still would argue that wins over Texas Ole Miss and
19:43
Speaker 2: Kentucky are as good as any big Ten team's resume.
19:47
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. I think, yeah, I don't
19:49
Speaker 1: think that's wrong. I just think that what would put
19:51
Speaker 1: Florida over the top, because Florida's having a fight, and again,
19:56
Speaker 1: this shouldn't be this way, but Florida's having a fight
19:59
Speaker 1: their way up. Well, I guess Texas is too right now.
20:04
Speaker 1: But Florida's having a fight their way up.
20:06
Speaker 2: Ask beat though. That's going to be the problem when
20:08
Speaker 2: they get into that room is not that they lost
20:11
Speaker 2: those games, but the way they lost those games by,
20:14
Speaker 2: you know, four touchdowns is bad.
20:17
Speaker 1: The, if they can beat Oklahoma, I think that would
20:22
Speaker 1: be a big help because you'd have a head to head,
20:24
Speaker 1: another common opponent. Um, they be old miss in a
20:29
Speaker 1: much different way than Texas beat old miss. So, um,
20:32
Speaker 1: I agree with you. The Florida losses are bad. The
20:35
Speaker 1: Texas losses, I guess we would ask where the third
20:39
Speaker 1: one comes from, right? What's going to be that third loss?
20:43
Speaker 1: Is it at A & M, which is a bad loss,
20:44
Speaker 1: or is it at LSU, which takes away one of
20:46
Speaker 1: your quality wins? It's going to be a mess. If
20:54
Speaker 1: both teams are 9-3, both teams have four or five
20:56
Speaker 1: ranked wins, both teams beat a top three team, I
21:00
Speaker 1: think it's hard to not say that that head-to-head should
21:02
Speaker 1: mean quite a bit because they're going to be right
21:04
Speaker 1: next to each other.
21:05
Speaker 2: Well, and remember a couple years ago, the first year
21:09
Speaker 2: of the 12 team, when there was that group of Alabama,
21:11
Speaker 2: Ole Miss, South Carolina, all from the SEC, all at 9-3,
21:16
Speaker 2: and none of them got in. But they were all
21:19
Speaker 2: sitting there on the outside looking in, and there was
21:22
Speaker 2: a whole conversation that sort of occurred amongst the committee
21:25
Speaker 2: where they said, oh, well, head-to-head doesn't matter anymore. at
21:29
Speaker 2: this point, because we've got a big group of teams,
21:31
Speaker 2: so we're not just comparing two teams, right? They make
21:34
Speaker 2: this shit up as they go, but it'll be interesting
21:37
Speaker 2: to see from a Florida perspective, it would suck for
21:42
Speaker 2: them if they get screwed on that Texas win because
21:44
Speaker 2: of some scenario like that where it's like, oh, well,
21:47
Speaker 2: we're just comparing four, five, nine, and three teams at
21:52
Speaker 2: this point, so we're not really considering that. We're looking
21:57
Speaker 2: at the entire body of work because Texas would get
22:01
Speaker 2: the nod with that Ohio State win, unless Ohio State
22:03
Speaker 2: craters out, which is not entirely impossible.
22:08
Speaker 1: I also don't think that shouldn't count against Texas, though.
22:13
Speaker 2: No, it shouldn't count against them, but it will change things.
22:16
Speaker 2: You and I both know it will change things. There's a.
22:23
Speaker 2: An emotional optical thing that happens, I think to the
22:26
Speaker 2: people in that room where it is a different process
22:29
Speaker 2: for them saying, Oh, well, Ohio state was, you know,
22:34
Speaker 2: the number one team in the country when this happened
22:36
Speaker 2: versus Ohio state is still a top five team or,
22:41
Speaker 2: you know, a playoff team or whatever. Like those are
22:43
Speaker 2: two different conversations. And we see that every year for
22:46
Speaker 2: better or worse, you know?
22:49
Speaker 1: Yeah. I, I, I agree. They, but I do think
22:53
Speaker 1: that win should still count as the number one win.
22:57
Speaker 1: I'm not big on, I think it's a delicate balance,
23:00
Speaker 1: just big picture on is a team, is a team
23:03
Speaker 1: what their record or their rating was when you play
23:05
Speaker 1: them or at the end of the season. I go
23:09
Speaker 1: back and forth on that because Georgia tech and Boston
23:12
Speaker 1: college got credit for top 10 wins against Florida state
23:15
Speaker 1: when they went two and 10. And I think we
23:17
Speaker 1: can all say that that wasn't a top 10 team.
23:19
Speaker 1: They just happened to be ranked there in the preseason.
23:21
Speaker 1: I know Ohio state was there early in the preseason.
23:24
Speaker 1: The one thing I changed my thinking on with that
23:27
Speaker 1: is injuries. If an injury happens and a quarterback goes down,
23:32
Speaker 1: that's where I'm willing to say, okay, Ohio state was
23:34
Speaker 1: a top. We all, there's still power rating team. So
23:38
Speaker 1: I'd leave Texas.
23:39
Speaker 2: Away from our ratings. Yeah. Still in Vegas, Vegas has,
23:43
Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think that that injury adjustment has
23:46
Speaker 2: really occurred yet because we haven't had a a full
23:48
Speaker 2: game of it, but it'll be interesting how that, that
23:51
Speaker 2: plays out over the long haul for sure. Um, but yeah,
23:55
Speaker 2: I'm with you, man. I'm, I'm a hundred percent in
23:57
Speaker 2: agreement with where your mind's at here. I, I agree
24:01
Speaker 2: that there is a, uh, a little bit of a,
24:05
Speaker 2: I mean, there's so many things that can play out
24:07
Speaker 2: at this point that I don't know how useful it
24:09
Speaker 2: is to imagine all of the scenarios, but I, I
24:14
Speaker 2: do think that these, uh, The win that Texas had
24:18
Speaker 2: against Ohio State should carry the weight that it probably
24:23
Speaker 2: would have carried if Julian Zane didn't get hurt. Now,
24:27
Speaker 2: I'm of the belief that Ohio State probably loses to Indiana.
24:34
Speaker 2: Not loses to Indiana, but I'm of the belief that
24:36
Speaker 2: Ohio State was capable of losing another game on this
24:40
Speaker 2: schedule with or without Julian Zane. right so if they
24:44
Speaker 2: lose another game like i don't know that's a huge
24:45
Speaker 2: difference in what we would have seen but if they
24:48
Speaker 2: bottom out and miss the playoff or something like that
24:50
Speaker 2: after this then that feels like something that needs to
24:54
Speaker 2: be taken into consideration.
24:56
Speaker 1: Yeah for sure florida is a 10 and a half
24:59
Speaker 1: point dog here back to the actual game for a
25:01
Speaker 1: moment um or the last moment florida's a 10 and
25:04
Speaker 1: a half point dog i like them to cover i
25:06
Speaker 1: like georgia to win i like something like 31, 24, 34, 28,
25:13
Speaker 1: something like that. Like I think Florida, I think Georgia
25:14
Speaker 1: gets into the low thirties. I don't have as much
25:17
Speaker 1: faith in that Florida defense. I think Florida puts up
25:20
Speaker 1: some points, but I've got more confidence in Georgia's defense.
25:23
Speaker 1: So 34, 27, 34, 28, 31, 28, something in there, right?
25:28
Speaker 1: Like I think it's a three to seven point game.
25:30
Speaker 1: They do cover the spread, but Georgia wins.
25:32
Speaker 2: I thought it was interesting. Kirby smart. Let's slip. I
25:37
Speaker 2: don't even really let slip. I think he said it
25:39
Speaker 2: intentionally on Monday that they've been showing their defense clips
25:43
Speaker 2: of Jaden ball all season long and sort of saying,
25:48
Speaker 2: are you practicing to tackle the running back that you're
25:51
Speaker 2: going to play this week? Or are you practicing to
25:53
Speaker 2: tackle the best running backs in college football? And he
25:57
Speaker 2: was very praiseworthy. You know, he gave a lot of
26:00
Speaker 2: compliments to Bob. I know he thinks highly of him.
26:02
Speaker 2: I know Georgia recruited him as a linebacker at one
26:04
Speaker 2: point and he's a Georgia kid. But I find that
26:09
Speaker 2: a little bit interesting and informative that that's kind of
26:14
Speaker 2: been the standard or the idea of the test for
26:18
Speaker 2: this Georgia defense for a little while. They have not
26:21
Speaker 2: tackled well in the last couple weeks. They missed, I think,
26:24
Speaker 2: 15 tackles against Auburn. That is super uncharacteristic from a
26:28
Speaker 2: Georgia defense. They come off the bye week. I think
26:32
Speaker 2: they'll tackle better, which I think is what you have.
26:34
Speaker 2: to do against a Buster Faulkner offense. If you can't
26:36
Speaker 2: tackle in space, you're going to be in trouble. I
26:39
Speaker 2: think they'll get it right in that regard. This game,
26:43
Speaker 2: to me, does feel like there's a wide range of outcomes.
26:47
Speaker 2: If Georgia is able to win up front on the
26:51
Speaker 2: defensive line like we were talking about in the beginning
26:53
Speaker 2: of this and whip some blocks and get pressure with
26:58
Speaker 2: four and do some of those things, this could be
27:00
Speaker 2: a long day for Florida. If they aren't, then all
27:05
Speaker 2: of a sudden Florida's stretched you out. You've got time.
27:08
Speaker 2: You've got all these big toys in space from a
27:12
Speaker 2: wide receiver standpoint. So I could see this being a
27:16
Speaker 2: three-point game, and I could see this being a Georgia
27:21
Speaker 2: wins kind of comfortably type of game. So I do
27:25
Speaker 2: think Georgia wins this football game. I'm going to pick
27:28
Speaker 2: them to cover because I– I'm going to believe in
27:32
Speaker 2: Kirby smart off a loss until I get shown otherwise. Right.
27:37
Speaker 2: But you know, I mean the, the 10 and a
27:40
Speaker 2: half and the hook right there, that's a, that's a,
27:44
Speaker 2: you could lose by half a point very easily. I
27:48
Speaker 2: would probably take a little Georgia alt line in this
27:52
Speaker 2: game too, to win by like a big number. Cause
27:55
Speaker 2: I do think that that's possible with the, the DLOL
27:59
Speaker 2: stuff we were talking about, if that breaks down the
28:01
Speaker 2: wrong way for Florida. But, yeah, the total in this
28:08
Speaker 2: game makes me feel more confident about Georgia, to be
28:13
Speaker 2: honest with you. Just, you know, I think the recipe
28:16
Speaker 2: for Florida to win this game is probably to turn
28:20
Speaker 2: it into a little bit of a shootout, unless you're
28:22
Speaker 2: just going to get another three turnovers from Georgia or
28:25
Speaker 2: something like that. And if that's the case, well, you know.
28:28
Speaker 2: you normally lose football games and you're minus two, minus
28:30
Speaker 2: three in the turnover column. Yeah.
28:32
Speaker 1: I think that's, it can be impossibly as the, the equalizer.
28:36
Speaker 1: I mean, it's why, you know, the shots Auburn for
28:38
Speaker 1: making the plays, but it's why Auburn won two weeks ago.
28:42
Speaker 1: I also think like the bi-week here is really interesting.
28:47
Speaker 1: I tell you, I agree with you. I like Kirby
28:49
Speaker 1: coming off a loss, uh, I really would have liked
28:51
Speaker 1: Kirby coming on the loss if there wasn't the bi-week
28:53
Speaker 1: in between it. And I would have really hated Florida
28:56
Speaker 1: coming off of a huge win on the road in Austin.
28:59
Speaker 1: If you know, the bi-week I think mitigates some of that.
29:03
Speaker 1: I don't know what percentage, 10%, 20%, 30%, whatever. The
29:06
Speaker 1: bi-week mitigates a little bit of that because you're, you're
29:12
Speaker 1: not as high. Maybe if you were, if, if you're
29:14
Speaker 1: in Florida shoes, you're not, maybe not as low. You've
29:16
Speaker 1: had two weeks to get over that loss to, to Auburn.
29:20
Speaker 1: So it maybe mitigates a little bit of it on
29:21
Speaker 1: both sides, but the way that both teams will have
29:24
Speaker 1: handled it is interesting. I know you'll cover this inside, outside,
29:28
Speaker 1: upside down, around all the places over on Dog Central.
29:31
Speaker 1: So make sure that people are subscribed there or at
29:34
Speaker 1: least following it. I, we referenced some metrics, but the,
29:37
Speaker 1: the trenches, um, the dog central.com backslash trenches is I
29:41
Speaker 1: use it on just about every show that, that I
29:43
Speaker 1: ended up doing. So go check that out. If you
29:46
Speaker 1: charge people for, uh, for that page, which it is free.
29:49
Speaker 1: If you charge people for that page, I'd have to
29:50
Speaker 1: buy a subscription, uh, because I'm, I'm using it on everything,
29:53
Speaker 1: but I do try and tell people about it. So
29:56
Speaker 1: Graham coffee on social media on dog central, man, we
30:00
Speaker 1: appreciate you a ton for, for hanging out with us
30:02
Speaker 1: another week. Next week's a big one. We'll have like 18, um,
30:05
Speaker 1: 18 games we're talking about. So make sure you are
30:08
Speaker 1: subscribed everywhere.
30:09
Speaker 2: An hour show next week.
30:10
Speaker 1: Oh yeah. I'll just be literally in the office all week, but, uh,
30:15
Speaker 1: appreciate you for hanging out, man. We'll talk to you soon, bud.
30:18
Speaker 2: Absolutely. Thanks for having me, man.