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'That's a big swing!' Analysts wowed as red-state survey forecasts disaster for GOP

Republican Party. (Photo credit: danielfela / Shutterstock)

Alaska’s Polling Shock Is a Verdict on Republican Power, Not Democratic Branding

The Incumbents Own the Conditions

Republicans hold the presidency, Dan Sullivan holds Alaska’s Senate seat, and their party exercises the institutional power voters can punish. An AARP-commissioned poll conducted by Democratic pollster John Anzalone and Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio found Democrat Mary Peltola leading Sullivan 46% to 41% before ranked-choice tabulation and 53% to 47% afterward. That is one survey, not an election result. But it places…

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