Latest / Conversations: Special Guests with Preston Scott / Florida's 2024 Legislative Session Begins January 9th - Here's A Preview
Transcript
- 0:12Welcome to the third hour of the morning show. I'm Preston Scott. That's
- 0:18Grant Allen. It is Monday, December the eleventh show, fifty sixty three.
- 0:22It's great to be with you. And as the original Batman on TV
- 0:27said, we haven't a moment to lose, and so we begin Salnowzo with
- 0:32us vice president of Policy with the James Madison Institute. Had your boss on
- 0:37last week? I heard him. Yeah, we were, doctor Bob.
- 0:39He's been a minute. Yeah, he was talking to debate. He's out
- 0:43all over the place. It is rare that we're in the office at the
- 0:47same time this year, I guess. So, yeah, Yeah, there's
- 0:50a lot to do. We have our National Blueprint Florida initiative, and we
- 0:56actually have some folks staffed for that, and he's out all over the country
- 1:00now, is even not just the state of Florida kind of helping to promote
- 1:03that and do what needs to be done. I interface with our team on
- 1:07that regularly. My travels take me all over. So I want to say,
- 1:12I think I've seen him in person in the same room maybe a half
- 1:17a dozen times in the last several months. Well, it was good to
- 1:21have him on the program. One of the things we talked about was the
- 1:23debate between Governor Rond DeSantis and California Governor Gavin Newsom. Not trying to create
- 1:30waves here, I don't think it was a good idea. Doctor McClure thought
- 1:34it was a good idea, and maybe from a broader perspective, conservative versus
- 1:37I liberal, it is a good idea to get the ideas out there articulated
- 1:41on national television. Yeah. I think it is a great idea to debate
- 1:46conservative versus progressive state governance systems, and I think from that vantage point it
- 1:52was great and it would have been better had Gavin Newsom actually defended his own
- 1:56state. With that being said, politically speaking, I think it it almost
- 2:01seem like DeSantis was trying to punch down, and that's not a political tactic
- 2:07that I think is usually advisable. With that being said, I think he's
- 2:13continuing to look for ways that he can kind of chip away at what seems
- 2:20like an almost insurmountable Trump lead in a number of the early states. I'm
- 2:24curious, in your opinion, how does the governor balance his campaigning for you
- 2:30know, it's certainly going to take place through this legislative session, with the
- 2:35fact that we have a legislative session. It's a great question, and I
- 2:38don't know the answer to it because we've never really experienced this when jeb Ran
- 2:45he was out of office. We have not had a sitting governor as a
- 2:50you know, as a candidate at this level. So it's something very intriguing
- 2:54to me. I did notice it seemed like he submitted his budget request or
- 3:00his budget proposal a little earlier than normal, So he may have been trying
- 3:05to kind of front load some of the work when he had some time before.
- 3:08I think it's because of the proximity of the holidays. It could be
- 3:12it could be that as well. And the other thing is you also have
- 3:16kind of this, at least from my vantage point, I'm trying to gauge
- 3:21what the governor's policy priorities are going to be and where there's alignment or overlap
- 3:27with what Jmi's kind of policy agenda is. So those are some things that
- 3:31given where he's at in the campaign when Iowa and New Hampshire and South Carolina
- 3:38are are going to be a big question. Let's talk about the budget a
- 3:40little bit. Sure, budget comes in the governor's budget proposal is one hundred
- 3:46and fourteen billion dollars. Now, this is so double what the deficit is
- 3:52in California. Yeah, it's it's a. I mean, you can't even
- 3:55compare what Florida's state government operation is to California, New York, any of
- 4:02the progressive states. We are leaner, meaner, more efficient, more effective.
- 4:08But it's notable in respect to our prior budget because it's two billion dollars
- 4:14less than what the legislature sent to him and he signed last year. So
- 4:19too often I think we hear about budget cuts at the federal level, and
- 4:24all that that really means at the federal level is a reduction in the growth
- 4:28rate, so instance, so like talking about a reduction in the amount of
- 4:30the deficit. Yeah, it is a. At the federal level, budget
- 4:34cuts are a we were going to spend five billion more, but we're only
- 4:40going to spend four billion more, So we cut a billion dollars. That's
- 4:43not the case in Florida. We had a budget of one hundred and sixteen
- 4:46billion. The governor is proposing one hundred and fourteen billion. He is vice
- 4:56president of Policy with the James Madison Institute Salnuzo, and you're kind of getting
- 5:00you ready for the legislative session because it matters. It matters a lot.
- 5:05You don't have time to have a New Year's kind of fog over you.
- 5:11You need to be paying attention. We're here to kind of highlight what's coming
- 5:14our way. You talked about the budget. Where are the governor's priorities?
- 5:18Sure, And before I walk into that, I want to emphasize the point
- 5:21that you just made, because I say this often, dollar for dollar,
- 5:26you do not have a more You do not see more impact than you do
- 5:30in your state legislature or in whatever state you are. Congress does not do
- 5:35much, if anything, they don't even pass budgets anymore. Dollar for dollar,
- 5:41you should pay attention to what your state legislature does, regardless of where
- 5:46you're listening to. So in Florida, it's remarkable to me that with this
- 5:50one hundred and fourteen billion dollar budget, with a two billion dollar reduction,
- 5:55the governor still has over a billion dollars in tax relief, a one year
- 5:59exemption on fees related to homeowners insurance premiums. That's going to be very important,
- 6:03as we know, and we've talked about many times. The property insurance
- 6:09challenge in the market is winding its way and it's going to take a while
- 6:13before we get some relief there. You also have a bunch of sales tax
- 6:17holidays in Florida. We prefer apparently, and I know the reason for this,
- 6:23but we prefer sales tax holidays as opposed to just lowering the rate altogether.
- 6:30And the reason for that is a vast amount of our sales tax receipts
- 6:33are paid by tourists from other states. So the legislature tries to target tax
- 6:39relief at actual residents. And so that's one of the reasons why we have
- 6:43sales teace. Ostensibly, a resident knows it's coming and can target their purchasing
- 6:46in that season exactly, and they're advertised in the state. It makes a
- 6:50lot of sense in Florida and maybe Hawaii to do it that way. But
- 6:55you've got like a three month freedom summer holiday for outdoor rec and entertainment activity.
- 7:00You've got the back to school holidays. One that's notable because we'll probably
- 7:04revisit this in future segments when we get into the meat of the session.
- 7:09A doubling of the sales tax allowance for businesses. Now, what this means
- 7:14is businesses are required to collect and then remit the sales tax that requires compliance
- 7:19costs, you've got to prepare for legal, for tax, for all of
- 7:24this other stuff. Well, the state allows businesses to keep a portion of
- 7:30the sales taxes that they collect in order to accommodate to such offset. The
- 7:33amount that they allow businesses to keep is thirty dollars a month, and so,
- 7:39as you can imagine, three hundred and sixty dollars a year is not
- 7:42a whole lot of money, especially if you're a small business, sure,
- 7:45and it's going to cost you seventy five eighty thousand dollars if you get audited.
- 7:48So there's a proposal in there to double that. Okay, you've got
- 7:51one hundred and seven million for the My Safe Florida Homes, which is matching
- 7:56grants to help harden homes for storms. Education. One hundred and seventy five
- 8:01dollars per student increase in state education funding, which brings it to eighty eight
- 8:05hundred and forty two dollars per pupil. This is really important because of the
- 8:11ESA program because this corresponds to what parents get if they choose to take the
- 8:16Education Scholarship Account program one point twenty five billion for teacher salary increases and more
- 8:24than five billion in higher ED plus just shy of two hundred million to better
- 8:30focus workforce and vocational training programs. This is a challenge area for Florida.
- 8:35Everyone stresses for your degrees. We're a gross state. We have shortages in
- 8:39skilled vocations, plumbers, h VAC technicians, all of those traditions. Yeah,
- 8:46the trades need it. So transportation you got fifteen billion dollars. This
- 8:52one I paid attention to because I'm wondering about are the fights for tourism marketing
- 8:58over one hundred and five million visit Florida, four hundred million for housing,
- 9:03a billion for the Everglades, and three hundred million for water quality. And
- 9:07then the governor, i think wisely, is put in four hundred and fifty
- 9:11million for the care of pregnant women and children in need. This is one
- 9:16where you hear a lot from the left about you know, the right cares
- 9:20about children before they're born, but then doesn't care for them after. This
- 9:24is a very wise move. And lastly, my favorite line item in the
- 9:30budget a million for legal expenses, to sue whoever needs to be sued for
- 9:35the tragedy, travesty, abomination that was keeping the Florida State Seminoles out of
- 9:41the college football playoff. I think it's a waste of money. I'd rather
- 9:45do other things. It's a waste of money. I am totally okay with
- 9:48Okay, all right, back with more with Salnuzzo on the Morning Show with
- 9:52President Scott Back with Salnuzo, James Madison Institute. We're trying to get you
- 9:58ready. For example, the last segment, if you're a business owner,
- 10:01man, that's helpful. You're getting some information on some things that are being
- 10:05proposed in the budget that might be useful to you. This is why we're
- 10:09letting you know so that you can be busy advocating with your elected leaders.
- 10:15You know when he was talking about you get more for your state dollar than
- 10:18you do for your congressional dollar. And the biggest thing you get is access.
- 10:24You really can reach out to these people and email them and call them
- 10:30and go see them. You can't do that so much with members of Congress,
- 10:33very much so. And it is not uncommon for a constituent to arrange
- 10:39for a meeting with their lawmaker to get a callback from their lawmaker and say
- 10:43hey, i'd love to get together. You meet with your lawmaker, and
- 10:46at the end that lawmaker gives you their cell phone number. Now that does
- 10:50not happen with a member of Congress. Now you have to go through hoops
- 10:54and jump through all kinds of things just to get a meeting with staff.
- 11:00And I would contend that the decisions that the legislature makes every session, regardless
- 11:05of state, have more of an impact on your day to day life than
- 11:09anything Congress does most years. Federalism. Yeah, let's talk about the legislature.
- 11:16Yeah, So, speaking of money, the legislature has one requirement,
- 11:20a balanced budget. We probably won't see their proposals till roughly the midpoint of
- 11:26session, and then they'll go through the budget conference process from there. My
- 11:31guess is that they're going to come in a little bit higher than where the
- 11:35governor is, but I'm just not sure how much higher. We advocate for
- 11:39what we call the conservative floorid to budget, which is taking the inflation rate
- 11:45for the country and then the population growth percentage and don't let your state budget
- 11:50in total go grow more than that figure. So, and they've adhered to
- 11:56that over the last ten twelve years. Is there a historical trend in the
- 12:00final year of a House Speaker or a Senate President in this case Renner Pasadomo
- 12:05in terms of how they aggressively budget, not that I'm aware of. It's
- 12:09a good question what I may want to take a look at, but I'm
- 12:13not as knowledgeable of that specific kind of mind frame on when they're kind of
- 12:20on the tail end and the new House Speaker and Senate President are on the
- 12:24ascension. But currently we've got about eight hundred and twenty bills that have been
- 12:30filed. On an average session, you may have as many as twenty five
- 12:33hundred the thirty five hundred, maybe even more. So I would expect a
- 12:37lot more to come between now and the filing deadline, which is I believe
- 12:41January fifth. A lot of what's been filed lately has been things like relief
- 12:48bills, some statutory cleanup language, but there have been a number of substantive
- 12:54policy bills that have been filed. Okay, So what I figured might be
- 12:58helpful as if we kind of divide these into a series of buckets and then
- 13:03kind of walk through what I'm seeing and where it's going. And so first
- 13:05off, let's tackle I guess education. We had a huge transformational year last
- 13:15year with HB one, and so what I'm imagining my listeners. HB one
- 13:20was, Yes, HB one was the Universal School Choice Bill, education savings
- 13:26accounts for all parents who want them. You can choose to continue with your
- 13:31public school, or you can choose to use that money in a variety of
- 13:35ways to educate your child. As is the case with something as monumental and
- 13:39as massive as that, there's inevitably going to be some challenges, some things
- 13:45that you find out some better ways of doing certain things. The Department of
- 13:50Education has been having to promulgate rules and regulations on what you can use the
- 13:54money for. My guess is that you're going to see a series of small
- 13:58bills that may turn into one larger bill that's going to be kind of clarifying
- 14:03and maybe expanding on HB one specifically, things like the online virtual education requirements.
- 14:11You know, some things along what parents can avail themselves to, whether
- 14:16it's you know, oculus headsets or virtual reality. There's a lot of online
- 14:20curriculum that are available and that are growing right now, and some other pieces
- 14:26of the program that you know, you see, there's been some concerns among
- 14:31homeschool parents as to how much state oversight they're going to have to be a
- 14:39part of if they take that scholarship money and use it to homeschool their kids.
- 14:43Prior to this, they just homeschooled their kids and they did not have
- 14:46to worry. So a number of different things. One other bill I'll call
- 14:50out is HB five zero one. It's important to the listening area. Representative
- 14:56Jason Chof Senator Corey Sigmon has it in the Senate aiming TCC to Tallahassee State
- 15:01College. Was it an inevitability? I think so. I think they wanted
- 15:05to hold off as long as possible because TCC has such a brand recognition in
- 15:11this area. But inevitably they just kind of have to adopt what all of
- 15:16the other state colleges around the state are doing. Thirty five pass sal Newzoh,
- 15:28no time to waste talking about the legislature which is coming into session January
- 15:37the ninth. It's literally right, we are less than thirty days away,
- 15:43and we're now in the healthcare bucket. Healthcare bucket, So just to set
- 15:48it up, Florida's got a big challenge in healthcare, and really it's kind
- 15:52of we're a victim of our success. We've got about nine hundred people moving
- 15:56to the state every day. More than two thirds of our population is over
- 16:00the age of sixty, which is the cohort of the population that requires the
- 16:03most healthcare. When you look at the numbers on healthcare providers, primary care
- 16:07doctors, nurses, specialists, et cetera, we're woefully short. Now,
- 16:14the House and the Senate are both making it a priority at the leadership level,
- 16:18and they're calling it the Healthy Live Healthy Initiative, which the Senate President
- 16:23announced last week. It's going to turn into a series of concrete proposals.
- 16:27I believe there's two bills right now. Senator Gail Harrol's got at least one,
- 16:33and I know Colleen Burton is also heading up parts of this. What
- 16:38they want to do is address supply side. So looking at residency slots,
- 16:45we need more people in residency slots in Florida because they're more likely to stay
- 16:51in the state when they do their residency. Here is there room they need
- 16:56to create more dollars for more residency slots. So in addition, to that,
- 17:03continuing to expand the what's called scope of practice. There's some bills on
- 17:07that that I'll get you, recognizing licenses from across other states, price transparency,
- 17:14so you've got a few bills. Senator Wright has got SB two twenty
- 17:18eight health insurance cost sharing. Now this is related to pharmacy benefit managers,
- 17:23but it's also in line with those proposals. HB two fifty seven Mike gel
- 17:27Lombardo Autonomous practice for registered nurse anesthesis, so expanding how how autonomously a nurse
- 17:37anesesis can practice without kind of direct oversight from a doctor, getting them practicing
- 17:41at the top of their field. SB eight ten from Senator Angolia further expands
- 17:49it for registered nurses, and then Senator Gail Harreld's got SB five eighty four
- 17:56on healthcare services. Right now, it's just really related to some Uh,
- 18:02it's a short bill, it's only a couple of pages, and it's likely
- 18:04to be a shell for more that will be amended on later. In your
- 18:07opinion, is there a silver bullet bill out there that can really move the
- 18:11needle or are we dealing with a series of dominoes that you have to do
- 18:15this this, this, this, and start toppling things the ladder. Okay,
- 18:18there are there's a saying I use when I speak to groups about healthcare.
- 18:23Health insurance does not equal healthcare does not equal health. And what the
- 18:29way I analogize this is I have very good health insurance through JMI. I
- 18:33have also very good healthcare. I have good doctors and nurses and whatnot.
- 18:37We're in a great spot. I have horrible health because I love McDonald's French
- 18:41fries and I will eat them all day long. And each of those buckets
- 18:47have different policy solutions that meet what the challenges are in them, and so
- 18:52it is an try. I have a policy bucket, you you can do
- 18:57a number of things at to incentivize people to live healthier lifestyles. Okay,
- 19:07I'm just tending not to listen to them, and yeah, I see what
- 19:11you're saying. Yep. Onto the business bucket. So, Florida still the
- 19:15best place in the country to start and build a business. However, in
- 19:21order to maintain that ranking, the business climate will inevitably involve, evolve,
- 19:26and we're just going to have to continue to do things. So HB thirty
- 19:30five from doctor Rudman and chev Jones requiring most brick and mortar businesses to accept
- 19:37cash. This is one I feel pretty strongly about in favor of SB forty
- 19:41two from Linda Stewart barber's and cosmetologist licenses. It also falls into the criminal
- 19:48justice reform bucket. You've got Senator Cheney SB forty nine. Pay attention to
- 19:53this when it's going to be controversial, allowing sixteen and seventy seventeen year olds
- 19:59to work thirty plus hours a week. And Senate Bill two eighty from Senator
- 20:06to Seglee, We're going to try and tackle vacation Renolds once again. Final
- 20:14segment for today with Sal Newso of the James Madison Institute, where he's vice
- 20:19president of Policy. We're looking at the legislative session and bills that have been
- 20:25filed. This is just scratching the surface of what likely is coming. Yes,
- 20:29indeed, government government, we get a lot in government. How much
- 20:32of this is useful? Is it scaling back or is it expansion? A
- 20:36little bit of both. Okay, you got Hjr. Nineteen from Rep.
- 20:40Saltzman and Senator and Golia County commissioned term limits. Now this would go on
- 20:45the ballot. So if it passes and the governor. I think if just
- 20:48if it passes, the governor doesn't have a say in this one, it
- 20:52would go on to the ballot it. Do you see anything careful what you
- 20:56wish for in that bill? I do too. Yep, yep. With
- 21:02Thomas Ole said it brilliantly. There are no one solutions, there are only
- 21:07trade offs. So it's one where they're considering the trade OFFFS on one side
- 21:14better than the trade OFFFS on another. Okay, set a bill fifty four
- 21:17from Anna Maria Rodriguez and David Smith on the House side expunction. This is
- 21:22an important bill for the political dynamic. It passed both chambers unanimously. I
- 21:27think it only got one no vote in a committee. The governor vetoed it.
- 21:33So this is one where if they're going to override a veto or a
- 21:40thread of a veto, I think this may be one to pay attention.
- 21:42And this is all about records of juvenile offenders, no adults. It is
- 21:48if you have if you have one conviction during a certain timeframe, and you
- 21:55have done four or five different things to get your life back in order and
- 22:00on track, and you've got a clean record after this one conviction you are.
- 22:03You can petition to get your record expungent. It's not automatic, but
- 22:07you can petition. Is that the problem though? That the petitioning sort of
- 22:11like the you know, the the clemency Board is a group of you know,
- 22:18it's the governor. And I don't think it's through the clemency Board.
- 22:22I think it's for by a judge, but I'll have to read out a
- 22:25little bit more specifically to make sure. But because that's cumbersome in the state
- 22:29of Florida, it's it's clunky and cumbersome. I agree with you there.
- 22:32I think the process from last year's bill was was much more streamlined. Okay,
- 22:37HB one seven, this is one we're paying attention to from Representative Esposito
- 22:41Eve License fees now, yeah, shifting two ways to fund transportation, which
- 22:48is usually done through the gas tax, so an electric vehicle doesn't do that.
- 22:51So it's a two hundred dollars a year for an electric fifty dollars a
- 22:55year. First enough, it's maybe a start. Now, remember, because
- 23:00it's a tax increase or a fee increase, it's going to require two thirds
- 23:03of both chambers to vote it through. So starting where it needs to start
- 23:07fifty dollars for hybrids, twenty five for electric motorcycles. Senator Aaron Gral's got
- 23:15Senate Bill four sixty four repeal of PIP trying again for auto policies. There,
- 23:21we'll see what happens with some of the bad faith reforms that have been
- 23:26talked about. That's really the pairing that they need there. Senate Bill four
- 23:30seventy two from Senator Broter Sovereign immunity levels. How much you can sue the
- 23:33government for. I'm in favor of upping. I think you should be able
- 23:37to sue for a lot more. With the time left, I need you
- 23:40to pick the best of the best. All right, let's most important.
- 23:42Let's shift to tech because I expect two issues to emerge in tech. One
- 23:48is age verifications, keeping kids safe online, and the other is going to
- 23:52be artificial intelligence. What is it, what's its potential, and what is
- 23:56the government's role in regulating it? You think Florida needs to take a step
- 24:00and lead on this vers since the Feds aren't one hundred percent. So you've
- 24:03got Senate Bill four fifty four from Ileana Garcia. It's the first of I
- 24:07expect a couple of these that are going to pop up on social media regulation
- 24:11for children, requiring age verification for all social media platforms. And then you've
- 24:18got Senate Bill six seventy six from Jen Bradley Food Service Platforms. Now,
- 24:22this is really a bill aimed at data privacy. It pre empts local governments
- 24:26from regulating things like Uber Eats and door dash to collect all of that data
- 24:30to be able to use on a person at a later date. The rest
- 24:34we will cover in our day before the start of the session. We had
- 24:38a lot left on the paper. We will kick it back in come January.
- 24:42Good to see them always, A plus Christmas you as well, my
- 24:45friend, Happy New Year, all those things. Yeah, forty seven past
- 24:49the hour. Sound news are with me from the James Madison Institute.