Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Strategic Bitcoin Reserves SPREADING To the Rest of the World | EP 1455
Transcript
- 0:02Donald Trump's Bitcoin warning is going global.
- 0:07We've all been distracted lately, but three countries just
- 0:10quietly advanced their strategic Bitcoin reserve plans.
- 0:14A central bank in Asia is planning to dump their gold and
- 0:17buy $350 million of Bitcoin. Another hidden Bitcoin country
- 0:23instructed their government to have state sanction Bitcoin
- 0:26mining and Brazil, the largest country and economy in South
- 0:30America, just made an interesting move to attract more
- 0:35bitcoins to the country. And this comes weeks after they
- 0:39advance a strategic Bitcoin reserve bill to buy a million
- 0:43Bitcoin. Sounds a lot like what the US is
- 0:45doing. So look, love or hate Donald
- 0:48Trump, he really kicked off the nation state Bitcoin race.
- 0:53And it is. It did happen slowly, but it
- 0:57seems to have picked up. It seems to have actually
- 0:59started to catch on again, maybe a lot slower than a lot of us
- 1:03had wanted, had imagined. But there is movement around the
- 1:08world globally in people taking Bitcoin very seriously.
- 1:12So I will start with the Brazil news because this one is pretty
- 1:16interesting. Of course, this did happen a
- 1:18couple of weeks ago and we didn't really talk about it.
- 1:21And I think the reason I didn't bring it up on the show is
- 1:24because I personally have gotten a little worn out with the idea
- 1:29of, of bills being proposed for Bitcoin.
- 1:32Last year in the US in particular, we, I think every
- 1:36other week we were getting a new bill proposed to stack Bitcoin,
- 1:39to protect Bitcoiners, you know, to protect Bitcoin mining And
- 1:44it, it just felt like OK, you know, proposing a.
- 1:46Bill like whatever it it. Until it passes, until something
- 1:52significantly happens, until something actually happens.
- 1:56Better put, it's like, OK, whatever.
- 1:58Like we've heard this before, another bill is being proposed,
- 2:02but I think this one is a little interesting and I have been kind
- 2:06of waiting to bring this on the show because it does show that
- 2:10the, again, the nation state Bitcoin adoption or Bitcoin race
- 2:14is going into overtime. And the fact that this is being
- 2:16proposed now, just that fact alone is very interesting.
- 2:21Again, here's the headline from Bitcoin Magazine.
- 2:24Brazil proposes national Bitcoin reserve targets 1,000,000
- 2:27Bitcoin over five years. It's literally saying the same
- 2:30exact thing that Senator Lummus has proposed in the Bitcoin Act.
- 2:34Now, again, it is just a bill proposal.
- 2:36So this is, you know, nothing concrete.
- 2:40They didn't they didn't pass this.
- 2:41I, I don't even think it will get far enough to even get voted
- 2:45on. But again, the idea of another
- 2:48nation state saying, hey, look, this is a good idea.
- 2:52We also want to try to get to 1,000,000 Bitcoin.
- 2:55I think that's the signal here. That is the big point.
- 2:58We have come a long way in the adoption or rather maybe just
- 3:02the mental perspective of Bitcoin that countries are
- 3:07seriously proposing stacking a million Bitcoin a year ago, two
- 3:13years ago, or rather, you know, in November of 2024, before the
- 3:17Trump midterm or sorry, presidential campaign, I don't
- 3:22think any of us would have really thought that countries
- 3:25would be proposing this type of legislation trying to acquire a
- 3:29million bitcoins. So we've gotten to the point
- 3:31now, yes, it's being proposed in the US.
- 3:33It probably is not going to pass this, this bill in Brazil is
- 3:37probably just as much of A long shot to pass as it is in the US.
- 3:42But again, that's besides the point in my opinion.
- 3:44I think the fact that they're proposing this seriously and not
- 3:48necessarily tongue in cheek, it's not a troll.
- 3:51It's not engaged, you know, clickbait farming on Twitter.
- 3:55It it's not just, you know, AI Photoshop stuff.
- 3:58They're seriously proposing trying to stack a million
- 4:00Bitcoin again, probably won't pass, but this does go into what
- 4:07they actually did propose and what they're actually doing in
- 4:10Brazil. And This is why the story of
- 4:13nation state Bitcoin adoption with.
- 4:15All of these pieces is. Showing that it is spreading
- 4:18globally. There is real conversations at
- 4:21the highest levels talking about trying to build or in various
- 4:26different ways make a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 4:31I think we've come a long way. Yes, this is narrative trench
- 4:34warfare. Yes, you might be saying, hey,
- 4:37you know, I thought this was a bottom up revolution.
- 4:40I thought we were separating money from state.
- 4:42How come Opti and the simply Bitcoin guys are always out here
- 4:45cheerleading the state, acquiring Bitcoin guys, We're a
- 4:49new show here. We're just covering what is
- 4:52happening for good and for bad. Yes, I may talk about these
- 4:56things, but you guys know when I come on this and I and I come on
- 4:59the show, I am usually hypercritical of any of these
- 5:03movements and so we cover the headlines and then I give you my
- 5:07takes. Anyways, this actually did
- 5:09happen. I am on a sort of sketchy
- 5:11website, but I can't confirm it is happening.
- 5:14It's just the other websites were just not in English.
- 5:17So you know, even if I do translations, it still doesn't
- 5:20look as good. But anyways, Brazil is set to
- 5:24put to 0 the import import duties on, as the headline says,
- 5:28high high efficiency Bitcoin miners.
- 5:31But Brazil's Foreign trade Council set import duties at 0%
- 5:36for a narrow class of high efficiency Bitcoin mining
- 5:39servers until January 2028. Of course, other taxes may
- 5:43apply. So they literally dropped all
- 5:45import duties on Shaw 256 miners.
- 5:48So, so I, I don't know if they understand.
- 5:53I, I don't know if the Brazil's Foreign Trade Council fully
- 5:56understand Bitcoin miners themselves.
- 6:00Maybe they use? The the the.
- 6:03Wording at least in in Portuguese or crypto miners and
- 6:06then that's why they had to specify Shaw 256.
- 6:09But they're they're basically saying the same thing like
- 6:12Bitcoin miners do. Use Shaw 256 so it.
- 6:15They basically dropped all import fees on Bitcoin mining
- 6:19computers, Bitcoin mining ASICS, which I think is a huge move.
- 6:23Obviously tariffs have all been in the news.
- 6:26We've all been hearing what the states have been doing around
- 6:28tariffs. It's it's one of the biggest
- 6:30kind of topics right now, whether this is good or bad.
- 6:33But on the flip side, for at least Brazilians, they're like,
- 6:37hey, we want Bitcoin miners to be in Brazil.
- 6:41How can we do this? They're like, we're just
- 6:44literally going to drop all taxes on Bitcoin ASIC.
- 6:47So therefore more Bitcoiners want to mine in Brazil, and of
- 6:51course more Bitcoin capital or more Bitcoiners with capital,
- 6:55more capital allocation will get attracted to Brazil.
- 6:59It really goes into one of the very big theories and narratives
- 7:03and perspectives of Bitcoiners that hey, where capital is
- 7:06treated best, that's where money flows.
- 7:09I would say that Brazil, this is a pretty big move.
- 7:12If they are trying to actively build up the amount of Bitcoin
- 7:17miners in Brazil, this is a pretty solid move from a game
- 7:21theory perspective, from an economic perspective, trying to
- 7:24attract bitcoiners into your country, especially the Bitcoin
- 7:27miners, solid move. I know Bitcoin mining isn't as
- 7:31sexy as all of the other topics that most people like to talk
- 7:34about, but we always got to remember without the Bitcoin
- 7:37miners, we wouldn't be here. The network wouldn't be what it
- 7:40is so huge move to start off here from Brazil.
- 7:44Yes, there was a proposition. If you guys have been following
- 7:47this story, yes, they did propose this a couple of months
- 7:50ago. I think it was, was the end of
- 7:522025 in December. But now they just doubled down
- 7:56and it's basically official. They're like, Yep, this is
- 7:58what's going on. We want to track Bitcoin miners
- 8:00into our country. So if you're trying to buy ASICS
- 8:02in Brazil, no import duties on it, no taxes on it.
- 8:06Well, other taxes may apply, but the import tax is dropped 0% on
- 8:12Bitcoin ASICS solid move, honestly, solid move here.
- 8:17Now the next story is pretty interesting as well.
- 8:20This I did see on Twitter earlier this week and it's by
- 8:25Daniel Batten. He he quote tweeted this.
- 8:28I do have an article here from Bitcoin Mag to kind of break
- 8:31break this down a little bit, but he goes, Justin Paraguay has
- 8:35just followed the lead of Bhutan using wasted hydro energy to
- 8:39mine Bitcoin for a likely national Bitcoin reserve.
- 8:43Reports indicate mine Bitcoin will likely be held as a state
- 8:47asset or the National Treasury potentially used to fund
- 8:50infrastructure. Now, of course, oh, I didn't
- 8:53pull it up. Of course, we talked about the
- 8:55Bhutan story and we haven't really brought any more updates
- 8:59on the Bhutan story. And maybe if you've been
- 9:02following along on Bhutan's National Strategic Bitcoin
- 9:06Reserve, you may have gotten a little disappointed because they
- 9:09have used those funds to, you know, there, there's been some
- 9:13selling from Bhutan. They have been using those funds
- 9:16to build their infrastructure up, which on the one hand, from
- 9:19like a hardcore Bitcoin perspective, you're like,
- 9:22they're supposed to huddle the Bitcoin.
- 9:24On the other perspective of, hey, Bitcoin is money.
- 9:27And if you're on a, you know, state level, you probably want
- 9:30to use wherever your profits are coming from so that you can
- 9:33actually build up the infrastructure so that your
- 9:34country gets better. So I think this is.
- 9:36From from in in particular to baton.
- 9:39I think that's a good move for them.
- 9:40Obviously small country. They made a lot of money mining
- 9:44Bitcoin secretly. We only heard about this because
- 9:46there was, you know, they had to report about their Celsius
- 9:51holdings. Then we all found out, hey,
- 9:54they're a Bitcoin country. Yes, they may be small, but they
- 9:57are mining Bitcoin on a state level and they made a strategic
- 10:01Bitcoin reserve. Yes, they're using their money.
- 10:03But anyways, Paraguay apparently is falling suit, though when you
- 10:08look into the specifics of this, it might not make you feel as
- 10:14good as say the Bhutan story where they're like, hey, we
- 10:18we're just mining Bitcoin. This one is is a little
- 10:21trickier. It's not as black and white, but
- 10:24hey, they Paraguay is also building a strategic Bitcoin
- 10:27reserve or rather mining Bitcoin.
- 10:30So to potentially build a strategic Bitcoin reserve, and
- 10:33if you've been around here on the show or you've been
- 10:35following any of the Bitcoin mining companies, you know
- 10:39there's a lot of Bitcoin miners in Paraguay.
- 10:42It is one of the places right now that is looking very good to
- 10:46Bitcoin miners, cheap energy, a lot of land.
- 10:49The government is pretty favorable around Bitcoin.
- 10:52But that's where we get into this story.
- 10:54Here's the headline from Bitcoin Mag that happened again the
- 10:58beginning of this week. And it goes Paraguay exploring
- 11:01using C's miners for state-run Bitcoin operation.
- 11:04Paraguay state utility is teaming up with more flare to
- 11:08turn C's miners into the country's first government run
- 11:11Bitcoin operation. So this isn't the first time
- 11:15we've seen this happen, but in Paraguay it seems like it's
- 11:18happening. They're going to create a
- 11:21state-run state sanction Bitcoin mining farm so that they can of
- 11:26course mine Bitcoin. So paragraph state owned
- 11:29electricity monopoly the administration national de
- 11:34electricity dad my Spanish sucks guys or Andy has signed a
- 11:39memorandum of understanding with Morphware setting the stage for
- 11:43a government LED Bitcoin mining program built around thousands
- 11:47of CS mining machines and unused hydroelectric.
- 11:50Power. This is where actually let me
- 11:54let me read this more and then I'll, I'll do kind of my, you
- 11:57know, pros and cons of this. So there's this agreement
- 12:00formalizes cooperation between Andy and Morph Ware, positioning
- 12:03Morph Ware as a technical and advisory partner for regulated
- 12:06Bitcoin mining operations in Paraguay.
- 12:09At the center of the deal is a growing stockpile of confiscated
- 12:11Bitcoin miners that Paraguayan authorities have seized from
- 12:14illegal operations across the country.
- 12:17According to morfwire founder and CEO Kenzo trabing traubing,
- 12:21the government is holding Bitcoin miners that were taken
- 12:23from operators accused of stealing electricity or falsely
- 12:26registering as other types of businesses to secure lower power
- 12:29rate quote. They're literally stacked to the
- 12:32ceiling describing government warehouses filled with idle
- 12:35machines. The wow.
- 12:38The pilot program will redeploy 1500 of the seized Bitcoin
- 12:42miners at Andy. Controlled sites, of course.
- 12:46Paraguay has become a a hotspot for Bitcoin mining.
- 12:49Now the probably hardcore Bitcoiners are looking at this
- 12:54and they're like, OK, you know, state's going to do what state's
- 12:58going to do. They're going to steal hardware
- 13:00and then they're going to use it to profit themselves.
- 13:02Now that's where my more cynical view of this kind of comes
- 13:06about. And it really reminds me of what
- 13:08we saw happen in Venezuela, not saying Paraguay is Venezuela per
- 13:13SE. And, and by that I mean, I don't
- 13:16know, obviously Paraguay is a South American country and if
- 13:19you know anything about Latin American countries is there is a
- 13:22lot of rampant corruption from the government level.
- 13:25So this is where I, I'm kind of maybe being a little cynical or
- 13:29maybe I'm being a realist or a pragmatist or whatever you want
- 13:32to call it. But this does, in my opinion,
- 13:36lead to the incentive structure of them potentially making it
- 13:40seem like all Bitcoin miners are having illegal mining
- 13:44operations, even if they do have the right paperwork.
- 13:48I think Paraguay, though, from what I understand and from the
- 13:52conversations I've had with, you know, say Frank Holmes or Kent
- 13:56from SAS Mining, it seems like the Paraguayan government is
- 14:01very excited and adamant about becoming a Bitcoin hotspot.
- 14:06Obviously a lot of hydroelectric power there that is unused.
- 14:10They, they are really trying to incentivize miners to come down
- 14:13there. But again, we have seen examples
- 14:17like this happen in the past. And again, I'm not saying
- 14:20Paraguay is as corrupt as Venezuela is, you know, I'm just
- 14:25saying there's a, there's a chance for corruption to occur.
- 14:29And by that, the game theory or maybe the attack vectors here is
- 14:33obviously now that they have a state sanctioned mining
- 14:37operation that's about to deploy, who knows what kind of
- 14:40shenanigans might happen once they realize how profitable it
- 14:44actually is for them to use basically 0 energy.
- 14:48You know, it's state sanctioned energy, state subsidized energy.
- 14:51It's basically free to them, even though no such thing is
- 14:54free in the world. And then they go around and they
- 14:57just start shutting down the competition.
- 14:59They start stealing Bitcoin miner corporations,
- 15:02infrastructure. They start, you know,
- 15:03confiscating more ASICS so that they.
- 15:07Can build a bigger state-run Bitcoin mining facility so that
- 15:12they can of course stack more Bitcoin.
- 15:15So hey. Interesting moves happening
- 15:18right now, obviously, I think it's pretty safe to say that if
- 15:23they are going to start mining Bitcoin on a state level, that
- 15:29they're probably going to do something on the lines of
- 15:32huddling the Bitcoin that they are stacking.
- 15:35I mean, yes, they could, you know, use the excess energy from
- 15:41their hydroelectric power plants and they, you know, can turn
- 15:44that into profits and they'll sell off a lot of that Bitcoin.
- 15:48I think it's a pretty safe bet or, you know, non zero chance
- 15:51that they will huddle a lot of that Bitcoin as well.
- 15:54So maybe on the one hand, in the first story, Brazil is trying to
- 16:00do a, you know, million Bitcoin strategic reserve, but they're
- 16:04just trying to incentivize Bitcoin miners to come down in
- 16:07Paraguay. Looks like they're going to do a
- 16:09state sanctioned Bitcoin mining operation, which will most
- 16:12likely lead to a strategic Bitcoin reserve or a nation
- 16:16state bag of Bitcoin. I I don't think that's too big
- 16:19of a stretch to say, as we are seeing around the world, the
- 16:23Bitcoin conversation, the promise of what Bitcoin is, the
- 16:28understanding that you might want to add Bitcoin to your
- 16:30balance sheets, whether you're a individual, corporation or a
- 16:34nation state. That conversation is slowly
- 16:37ramping up. It is becoming a real
- 16:39conversation. People are taking Bitcoin very
- 16:41seriously. Whether they like.
- 16:43Bitcoin or not, whether they think Bitcoin is money like we
- 16:46do, whether they need something that is neutral money that is
- 16:50not a political money, who knows exactly what they're thinking,
- 16:54But we do have concrete facts here.
- 16:57They are building a state sanctioned Bitcoin mining
- 17:00infrastructure. I'm, I'm pretty sure soon enough
- 17:04once this starts going, we will see coming out of Paraguay that
- 17:08they are huddling that Bitcoin, they built a strategic Bitcoin
- 17:12reserve. And again, as Daniel said,
- 17:15Daniel Batten said in the beginning, they're following the
- 17:18Bhutan lead, the the Bhutan play mod playbook here.
- 17:21And we know what Bhutan did. They have a strategic Bitcoin
- 17:25reserve. It might not be the biggest one.
- 17:26They are a small country, but OK, they're probably building 1
- 17:33as well. OK, now the probably big
- 17:36interesting news for this morning is we officially, well,
- 17:41actually it's not official per SE, but we're on the verge of
- 17:45seeing the second central bank to add Bitcoin to their balance
- 17:51sheet. I mean, we just heard literally
- 17:53earlier this week Ray Dalio saying I don't think central
- 17:56banks will ever hold Bitcoin. You know, it's not it's not
- 17:59private enough. Well, you know, I don't know if
- 18:02Ray Dalio knows, but there already is a central bank that
- 18:05holds Bitcoin and that is in the Czech Republic.
- 18:07Now we're on the verge or rather it's pretty much concrete sent
- 18:11stone that this is what they're going to do.
- 18:13We have the second central bank in the world saying we are going
- 18:18to add Bitcoin to our balance sheet.
- 18:20And who am I talking about? It's not a, you know, sexy name.
- 18:24It's not even the biggest country out there.
- 18:26But it is a country, so #2 soon enough will be on the board.
- 18:31And it is Kazakhstan. So Kazakhstan now says that they
- 18:37will diversify. This Kazakhstan Central Bank
- 18:41says they will diversify from gold and plans to invest in
- 18:45crypto in May. There's a lot to unpack with
- 18:50just this headline alone, but let me read this article a
- 18:53little bit coming from Yahoo finance.
- 18:55So Kazakhstan central bank has raised up to 350 million from
- 18:59its gold and foreign exchange and of course is planning to buy
- 19:05some Bitcoin, though this is saying plan to invest in crypto
- 19:09and actually this headline from Yahoo news and from what I did
- 19:13do some, you know, rudimentary research again, I, I'm, I'm
- 19:18using English headlines here and English journalists here to kind
- 19:22of paint the picture for me it they're they're using crypto
- 19:28right now. There is a debate to be had of
- 19:32whether when they say crypto, they mean Bitcoin and shit coins
- 19:35or when they use crypto doesn't mean Bitcoin.
- 19:38You know my boy, my my, the reigning cash Maxie on Rumble
- 19:41JJ, he's always like Opti always puts Bitcoin when they say.
- 19:45Crypto. Well, unless they specifically
- 19:49say Bitcoin and other things, when I hear people say crypto,
- 19:53it usually means Bitcoin. They just, you know, people use
- 19:56the term crypto to really say mean Bitcoin.
- 20:00Then they just I in my opinion, probably don't know any better.
- 20:03But hey, you know, I'm mind reading here anyways.
- 20:06The the bank plans to make these investments by May.
- 20:09So two months from now, the bank's deputy chair.
- 20:13Aaliyah Modabkova revealed that they are also looking to invest
- 20:18in crypto focus companies. Now this is where this article
- 20:23did does get a little confusing and and I'll I'll bring that up
- 20:27later. So Kazakhstan central bank is
- 20:29looking to invest in crypto assets as it diversifies its
- 20:32reserves from just gold. The bank has already raised up
- 20:35to $350 million from its gold and foreign exchange reserves,
- 20:39and it plans to invest in quote crypto assets, according to a
- 20:43Reuters report. This was on Reuters.
- 20:45But again, I, I don't have a Reuters paid account.
- 20:49I don't even have an account on there and I can't use archive.
- 20:52So I, I can't confirm this is true.
- 20:54It's just I'm using this article so that you guys could read
- 20:57along with me again. According to the Reuters report,
- 21:00the central bank's governor Timor Suleimanov revealed that
- 21:04they have formed a portfolio of up to 350 million from gold and
- 21:07foreign exchange reserves, which they plan to use to invest in
- 21:09crypto assets. Quote.
- 21:11We are currently developing a list of instruments in which we
- 21:15will invest. This includes not only
- 21:18cryptocurrency itself. So I mean, you know, strange,
- 21:23strange kind of framing here, but it looks like they're
- 21:27probably going to diversify into other things besides quote UN
- 21:30quote crypto or in my opinion, Bitcoin.
- 21:32But anyways, the governor of the Kazakhstan central bank
- 21:34suggested they would also invest in crypto stocks.
- 21:38He noted that the investment portfolio will include shares of
- 21:41high tech companies related to crypto assets, index funds and
- 21:45other instruments that exhibit similar dynamics to crypto
- 21:48assets. The set, this one, this is where
- 21:50this instance that I'm going to quote from her, this is the one
- 21:55that I, I believe yeah, yeah, I think this is the one that.
- 22:00Is is a weirdly weirdly. Framed It Goes Central bank's
- 22:05deputy chair Aaliyah Moldebakova stated that the instruments will
- 22:10investments will begin in April or May.
- 22:12We are quote. We are not talking about any
- 22:14large investments in crypto currencies.
- 22:17So I don't know, it seems to kind of contradict the headline
- 22:20and the other governor. We are currently selecting
- 22:23companies that deal with digital assets, for example, those
- 22:26involved in cryptocurrency infrastructure and we are
- 22:29currently in the process of selecting such companies.
- 22:34So from those two different quotes, it does sound like two
- 22:40different things, or like two different narratives are kind.
- 22:43Of playing out. The official, what it was the
- 22:46official governor of the Bank of Kazakhstan, Central Bank of
- 22:50Kazakhstan is like, yeah, we're going to diversify from gold
- 22:53into crypto assets into not just crypto, but, you know, crypto
- 22:59stocks, crypto assets. So I'm guessing some shit coins.
- 23:03And then the deputy chairs like, yeah, well, we're actually going
- 23:07to invest in companies that deal with digital assets.
- 23:10So is that going to be like micro strategy metaplanet, some
- 23:18like a Coinbase Bitcoin mining companies, ETFs, No clear kind
- 23:26of details on exactly what they're going to be buying, but
- 23:30maybe this is just PR headlines and and watch it when this
- 23:34actually happens in what is it? May it's going to be like, yeah,
- 23:38we, we bought some shit coin ETFs or something.
- 23:42I don't know. We we really, we don't have much
- 23:44information here. But anyways, this move comes as
- 23:47government's warm up to crypto with the US already planning to
- 23:50set up a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
- 23:52It also makes a growing trend as central banks begin to adopt
- 23:55Bitcoin as a reserve assets, of course, mentioning the Czech
- 23:58National Bank acquiring $1,000,000 worth of Bitcoin.
- 24:01So they are starting small, but hey, they said it was never
- 24:05going to happen and it's happening now.
- 24:08Of course, Deutsche Bank last year also said central banks
- 24:11could adopt Bitcoin alongside gold as a reserve by 20-30.
- 24:15And actually, one last tidbit here that I really wasn't
- 24:18familiar with. Again, I'm not a Bitcoin miner.
- 24:21I'm not totally in, you know, informed in every detail around
- 24:27Bitcoin mining. But this was pretty interesting
- 24:29that Kazakhstan ranks third in Bitcoin mining, just behind the
- 24:32United States and China. That's pretty huge.
- 24:35So third largest Bitcoin mining country is now saying, yeah, we
- 24:39we, you know, we like this Bitcoin thing.
- 24:41We see the profits that Bitcoin mining is brought to our country
- 24:45and we as a central bank want to diversify into Bitcoin.
- 24:51So the nation state, Bitcoin adoption, it is happening
- 24:55slowly, but it is happening now. I think the most interesting
- 25:00aspect of this headline and it does kind of connect with the
- 25:04Brazil bill proposal for a strategic Bitcoin reserve is it
- 25:10sounds exactly like the Senator Lummis playbook or the Senator
- 25:14Lummis Bitcoin Act. Of course, the Brazil strategic
- 25:19Bitcoin Reserve bill literally uses the same verbiage.
- 25:22It literally says the Senator Lummis bill, the Bitcoin Act
- 25:25says we want to acquire a million Bitcoin over five years,
- 25:29exactly what Brazil said. Now, the second part that we've
- 25:33all been talking about is in terms of the quote, budget
- 25:36neutral ways to acquire Bitcoin. And that's where this Kazakhstan
- 25:41news is interesting to me. Not just because it's a central
- 25:44bank saying we want to add Bitcoin to our balance sheet,
- 25:47but because they literally did exactly what we were talking
- 25:50about yesterday with Paul and exactly what Senator Lummus says
- 25:54we should probably be doing with our gold that's taken some gold
- 25:58profits and rolling it over into Bitcoin in the US.
- 26:01It's this idea that hey, we need to re evaluate our gold holdings
- 26:06again. The gold prices of EU s s
- 26:09supposed Bitcoin in Fort Knox is pegged at $35, which if you are
- 26:17somewhat awake you you remember that gold is currently priced at
- 26:21somewhere around $5000 per oz. EU s s gold is valued at $35.00
- 26:27an ounce. So Senator Lummis has been
- 26:29saying, hey, we just revalue the gold.
- 26:34You know, that that expands our balance sheet, that makes our
- 26:36balance sheet look good. And then we take some of that
- 26:39gold and we buy Bitcoin with it. Well, Kazakhstan is doing that
- 26:43as we speak, minus the revaluation part.
- 26:47They, I'm guessing, are using the spot price of gold, but
- 26:51they're taking some of the gold profits or, you know, the Fiat
- 26:54gains of gold. They're going to sell a little
- 26:57gold and they're going to start to diversify their central
- 27:01bank's portfolio into quote crypto assets, whatever that
- 27:05really means. The only real move here for them
- 27:08would be to acquire Bitcoin, in my opinion.
- 27:10I guess maybe strategy, you know, one of these Bitcoin
- 27:14treasury companies might also be a semi smart move here.
- 27:17I wouldn't be surprised if it's an ETFI wouldn't be surprised if
- 27:21they buy some shit coin stocks or you know, it, it ends up in
- 27:25some shit coins. Obviously, you guys remember we
- 27:28do have a supposed sovereign wealth fund in the United States
- 27:33with some, you know, fine print saying that yeah, we could buy
- 27:37some shit coins if we wanted to. So again, the ideas though, it's
- 27:42something I've been saying on the show for the last couple of
- 27:46weeks when I become very critical of what Donald Trump
- 27:49has been doing. It's that again, love or hate
- 27:52the guy, he has totally started the nation state Bitcoin race
- 27:59domino. It's fallen it it is.
- 28:01You can't put that back in the bag now.
- 28:04Whether you think the Trump administration is serious about
- 28:07buying Bitcoin, whether they will buy Bitcoin, whether they
- 28:10are currently silently buying Bitcoin, the conversation is
- 28:15happening. And again, you know, out of the
- 28:19deal, Trump. Just.
- 28:21Mega brain, Giga brain level, you know, deal making.
- 28:26He's been doing this forever. So you plant the idea, maybe
- 28:29it's an extreme idea. Then you come back and you
- 28:32basically compromise and you get what you initially wanted.
- 28:35It's really Hegelian. Dialectics, but just in a, you
- 28:38know, deal making capacity, well, we're seeing it play.
- 28:43Out Everyone is taking Trump's word that they want to stack a
- 28:48million Bitcoin or, you know, whatever, however much Bitcoin
- 28:52that they really want to buy Bitcoin in whatever capacity
- 28:55they can. So that the.
- 28:56Taxpayers don't have to, you know, foot the bill and they're
- 29:00taking that threat. Seriously, whether it's a threat
- 29:03or not, you, you could argue whichever way you want, but
- 29:07they're taking the idea of stacking Bitcoin seriously.
- 29:10And now we're seeing globally, other countries are like, yeah,
- 29:14we are not going to get left behind.
- 29:16We are going to. At the very.
- 29:18Least. Adopt to the new landscape here
- 29:22and take this Bitcoin idea seriously.
- 29:25So it's happening, totally happening, which is where I've
- 29:29been saying for the last couple of weeks again, when I've become
- 29:33probably a little more disillusioned with politics, you
- 29:36know, the last year for a little bit and it's like, oh, politics
- 29:39is all the rage. Let me let me try to sharpen my
- 29:41political chops here because again, maybe it's because I'm
- 29:44getting older. Maybe it's because it's what was
- 29:46all in the headlines, Bitcoin and politics.
- 29:50But Trump has definitely, at the very least started the idea of
- 29:56Bitcoin, and I think that is a great idea.
- 30:01I know where the show of separation money and state, but
- 30:04if any country is going to compete in the 21st century,
- 30:08they need to embrace Bitcoin. The idea of countries embracing
- 30:11Bitcoin, I think is a very good idea.
- 30:14Not just for me as a bag holder, not someone actually I don't own
- 30:18Bitcoin, right. Not not, not just for us that
- 30:22are. Bitcoin enthusiasts, but because
- 30:25if you are not first in this game, you are going to be last.
- 30:30And if you know anything about the science of money, about how
- 30:34money works. Where it is treated best, it
- 30:37will flow and we're seeing there is a lot of economic troubles
- 30:43around the world. So if you really want to have a
- 30:45leg up amongst your competition against your competition, it's
- 30:50in your best interest to embrace Bitcoin.
- 30:54I truly believe that the more that politicians fight Bitcoin,
- 30:58the harder. It is for.
- 30:59Them to maintain their position of power.
- 31:03Now I know. We're a little early.
- 31:04In this game, but I think for the next decade at least,
- 31:08obviously going further, it will be, can I say the word, the S
- 31:16word? It will be a political detriment
- 31:22to your rise in power if you are fighting Bitcoin.
- 31:25Again. It is early.
- 31:27I think we are still the vocal minority amongst the population
- 31:32that are pro Bitcoin and even further the ones that are 1
- 31:36issue voters around Bitcoin. It's like what's your Bitcoin
- 31:39stance then? I like you.
- 31:41I think we're still early in that game, but there is coming a
- 31:45time very soon where if you fight Bitcoin, you're you're
- 31:49literally actively fighting against the best interests of
- 31:52the people. Now that probably brings another
- 31:54can of worms here of whether politicians actually care about
- 31:57what the people think. But if they do.
- 32:00If they want to keep that myth alive, keep that narrative
- 32:03alive. They're going to have to embrace
- 32:06Bitcoin. So look, we're seeing it happen.
- 32:09It's happening in real time, guys.
- 32:11It's not just us doing click bait.
- 32:13It's not just us. As my boy Down Under Blues is
- 32:16saying, being propagandist about Bitcoin, It is happening.
- 32:20There is a fundamental shift in people's perspective of Bitcoin.
- 32:24It is slow. They have to go through their
- 32:27paces. They have to actually understand
- 32:28what this Bitcoin thing is, but it is happening.
- 32:31They're taking the idea of Bitcoin seriously.
- 32:34So in the face of all of the, I don't know, the, the, the Dumer
- 32:40Bitcoin takes, the demoralization around Bitcoin,
- 32:45one thing is true. They're having conversations
- 32:49about Bitcoin at the highest level.
- 32:50Hold on. Excuse me.
- 32:53Sorry, guys. I felt like I got a hair in my
- 32:54throat. It's happening OK, so hey maybe
- 32:59we're who knows where this bear market ends, but they're taking
- 33:05and they is the mythical they you know whoever's in power the
- 33:10the governments around the world, the politicians around
- 33:13the world they have to take this idea.
- 33:15The institutions around the world better better put are
- 33:18having to take Bitcoin semi seriously, whether they.
- 33:21Believe in it or not. It's besides the point.
- 33:24They have to seriously consider Bitcoin in some capacity.
- 33:29So we've come a long way. It's not perfect.
- 33:32It's never perfect. I I'm always up here saying,
- 33:35yeah, you know, I wish it was better, but at least it's kind
- 33:38of happening. I think it's only going to
- 33:40increase. OK, guys.
- 33:43Well, oh, I'll, I'll see if I can get it.
- 33:47Oops. I forgot to upload my video for
- 33:50you guys today guys. OK whatever whatever.
- 33:53I I saw an interesting clip. From Tucker Carlson, I'm again,
- 33:58you know me. I'm not the biggest Tucker
- 33:59Carlson fan, but he is a huge platform and he did this
- 34:03interesting new video I haven't fully watched.
- 34:06It but you get enough from the trailer and he's calling it the
- 34:11great Gold scam. Interesting, interesting video
- 34:16here. And since we're a Bitcoin show,
- 34:17you know, we have this love hate relationship with gold.
- 34:20Well, not necessarily with gold, but with the gold promoters like
- 34:24Peter Schiff. And then in the news, I do have
- 34:27another update on the Clarity act.
- 34:29I actually found this tracker on the Iran war that I think is
- 34:33very interesting. It it brings up a lot of ideas
- 34:36of the money printers coming back on.
- 34:38And I know I said I might have a meme review for you guys, but I
- 34:42didn't find any good memes guys, so I got some Mahopium for the
- 34:45end of the show. All right, so you're going to
- 34:47want to stick around. On that note, I'll be right back
- 34:49after our first commercial break.
- 34:53Today's episode is brought to you by Bitcoin Well Infinite.
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- 37:03All righty then guys, let's see. All right, I'm, I'm trying to
- 37:08upload the video for you guys. I'm behind the scenes so
- 37:10hopefully it uploads quick enough.
- 37:13The current Bitcoin price is $68,340 per Bitcoin.
- 37:19The discount from all time high is 45.8% the market cap.
- 37:26We're back in the threes bro. I don't know why the 1.3
- 37:32trillion just makes me feel so sad.
- 37:36Every time I see it, it makes me feel sad.
- 37:37Anyways, the market cap is 1.37 trillion and the block height is
- 37:42939,615 six point. 159396.15 is the block height.
- 37:50OK, let me see, Let me see. Am I close?
- 37:53Not really. OK, whatever.
- 37:54We'll have to go. We'll have to go the OG way so.
- 37:59I saw this clip again. I'm not the biggest Tucker
- 38:02Carlson fan personally. He's a great broadcaster.
- 38:06I do respect him as a broadcaster 100%.
- 38:09I respect him as a broadcaster. I just I'm not the biggest fan
- 38:13of his. Maybe it's because I know he I,
- 38:17I just, I don't know about him. OK, something about him feels
- 38:20fishy to me. But that's that's besides the
- 38:21point. He just did this video.
- 38:24It just came out yesterday. It's called the Great Gold Scam.
- 38:28And here's a tweet and it goes, people you thought you trusted
- 38:32are partnering with bad actors in the gold industry to scam
- 38:35you. And I saw this from Mike
- 38:37Germano. So shout out Mike Germano now at
- 38:40pub Key formally at Bitcoin magazine.
- 38:42He goes, Tucker Carlson expose the huge margins behind gold
- 38:46dealers and how those profits fund conservative media
- 38:48personalities. This will paralyze gold
- 38:50advertising and normies will look for new alternative assets
- 38:54with transparency, making a massive opening for Bitcoin
- 38:57exchange advertising. So super interesting.
- 39:00OK, it uploaded. I, I wasn't, I wasn't
- 39:02filibustering for it to upload. I really wasn't OK.
- 39:06And so this is how I saw. This is what it brought to my
- 39:09attention. And then I watched.
- 39:10The you know, the trailer, I will actually watch this episode
- 39:13so I can fully, you know, understand the the mechanisms,
- 39:17but you get enough from the trailer and you know, I I am
- 39:22going to bring this back home for me.
- 39:23So here's the clip and then I will chat a little bit about it.
- 39:29The gold industry bankrolls a lot of conservative media.
- 39:33Much of the gold IRA business is not actually about selling gold
- 39:37at all. It's about selling massively
- 39:39marked up coins to people who trust the voices delivering the
- 39:42pitch. Why is gold a hedge?
- 39:45I've decided to partner with the top rated precious metals
- 39:47company. American Heart for.
- 39:49Gold. But it's the fine print that
- 39:50matters, and what the average person listing doesn't know is
- 39:52how much these pitchmen are getting paid to tell you that
- 39:54the. Companies have the exclusive
- 39:57control over these coins. They can manipulate the price of
- 40:00the coins at any time. So.
- 40:01Then the question is, how can a gold company afford to pay a
- 40:04pitchman millions of dollars when it's gold?
- 40:06It's a commodity. It's price to set in the
- 40:08international market. I bought about $186,000 worth of
- 40:12gold and silver. 400,000 left in my 4 O 1K.
- 40:16The price was so high, exorbitantly high.
- 40:19How do they have margin that big to pay millions to sell their
- 40:22product? And that's when I realized
- 40:24something was terribly wrong. That's the dark side of it.
- 40:28What he said was these coins might be the best opportunity
- 40:31for me because you don't get as much of a loss and they tend to
- 40:36really accelerate when the market goes up, which obviously
- 40:39sounds so good to be true. We know this is happening
- 40:42because we talk to people who work inside these companies.
- 40:44The reality is there is no regulation.
- 40:47It's like putting a Band-Aid over a a a gunshot wound.
- 40:50And then we talked to people who lost their savings with these
- 40:52companies. They were pumping this company
- 40:54and I trusted them. And what we found is truly
- 40:58cynical. Trust in media is weaponized.
- 41:01They said 34%. There is no way.
- 41:06I heard 34%. I heard 4%.
- 41:09Commissions are so extreme that Americans losing their savings
- 41:13even as the price of gold rises. Why?
- 41:17Because they bought it for so much more than it's actually
- 41:19worth it. They can't redeem it.
- 41:20It's. So crushing I can't tell it's.
- 41:24A great gold scam. What's happening is widespread,
- 41:28it's legal, and almost nobody is talking about it.
- 41:30We are. Watch it now at Tucker.
- 41:32All right? You're going to watch the whole
- 41:35thing. I I will actually probably watch
- 41:37this one just so you know, I can understand it.
- 41:40Obviously we're in media. We had, we have advertisers as
- 41:45well, though we're bitcoiners and not gold bug shells.
- 41:50That's probably the stark contrast here.
- 41:52But I can tell you upfront, you know, Full disclosure, full
- 41:56transparency, you know, with our partners, they pay us to
- 42:01advertise you Bitcoin products. You guys know the product?
- 42:04Some of you love most of them, some of you don't love some of
- 42:07them, but for the most part, all of our partners.
- 42:11Are basically ways for you to either secure or use your
- 42:15Bitcoin in a better more Safeway.
- 42:17That's that's kind of our ethos here.
- 42:19But I have wondered and I've seen I've, I don't know if you
- 42:23guys watch, you know, conservative content or you
- 42:27know, other talking heads political content, but I did
- 42:31always wonder like. And and some of my favorite
- 42:34content creators, you know, you know me like, whether you love
- 42:38the guy or not, like Alex Jones is the GOAT.
- 42:40You know, he's one of the he's one of the greats at content, at
- 42:43least from our quote UN quote conspiracy cited, you know,
- 42:47alley of the Internet And I I would watch him every once in a
- 42:50while. And and this is not the, you
- 42:52know, take shots at Uncle Alex here, you know, like without
- 42:56him, we probably wouldn't be here.
- 42:58You know, we we jokingly call Nico, Nico Jones because he
- 43:00loses his shit like Alex Jones. But this is the only one that I
- 43:04can really Remember Me watching, that I watch occasionally or
- 43:07more than just occasionally. And I always wonder why they
- 43:10shield these gold products. So I'm I'm very interested in
- 43:15actually watching this so I can kind of break down the mechanics
- 43:17of this. But from just that short
- 43:19trailer, it seems, you know, like the scam is pretty now
- 43:23maybe scam is a little harsh per SE.
- 43:28You know, that's how that's how they get people to click it.
- 43:30That's what got my attention. Is, you know, they, they sell
- 43:33you these coins, they are sold with a premium and you have to
- 43:38buy a lot of them. So you're buying a chunk at a
- 43:40time and it's got a premium. But when you actually sell to
- 43:45redeem the gold in dollars when you actually need it, that whole
- 43:49premium vanishes and. You're barely making above
- 43:53market, if not less than market price, which you know, in
- 43:57Bitcoin doesn't happen at all. It's like if you buy Bitcoin
- 44:00from an exchange, yes, there's sometimes a float.
- 44:02Yes, there's a little discrepancy from when you buy
- 44:07the Bitcoin at whatever price to what you receive, you know,
- 44:10fees, etcetera, etcetera. But for the most part, as the
- 44:14meme goes, one Bitcoin equals one Bitcoin.
- 44:16I I, I know I fight with you guys in the chat about this
- 44:18sometimes. I'm like our self referential
- 44:21value. It really means nothing to just
- 44:24the average person. I know it means something to us,
- 44:26but for an average person, they're like, what the hell did
- 44:28the one Bitcoin, one Bitcoin equal 1 Bitcoin mean?
- 44:31That means nothing to me. And that's why I usually batter
- 44:34you guys. You guys are always like, you
- 44:36guys are Fiat Maxis. I thought you're Bitcoiners, but
- 44:38you price Bitcoin in dollars and I'm like, what else do you price
- 44:43things in like jars of Mayo? Like what are we talking about
- 44:47here? Yes, I get one Bitcoin equals
- 44:49one Bitcoin. It's a good meme, but in reality
- 44:52and practicality in the real world, that means nothing to
- 44:55most people. I get it, $1.00 equals $1.00.
- 44:59Sure, but what dollar are we talking about in one year?
- 45:03In what year? In terms of purchasing power,
- 45:07'cause that's totally different, but apparently, yeah.
- 45:10Anyway, I I digress, I digress. But if you do watch political
- 45:14content, you do see a lot of people shilling gold and silver.
- 45:19And so again, I'm very interested in watching this one.
- 45:23But from what I gather from this, it does seem a little
- 45:27nefarious. Yes.
- 45:29You guys yell at us for the ads. I get it.
- 45:31But we're running a business. We're running a media business
- 45:34and everything. We, we, everyone we partner with
- 45:39is basically a way for you guys to secure your Bitcoin or use
- 45:42your Bitcoin so that you guys can stack more Bitcoin.
- 45:46That's what it's all about. Like we don't, you know, there's
- 45:48no fine print with us. It's just, hey, we like these
- 45:52Bitcoin products. We use these Bitcoin products.
- 45:55We think you should use them too.
- 45:58It seems like there is a little more nefarious incentive
- 46:02structure coming from a lot of these talking head shows in
- 46:06regards to their gold contracts. And like Mike was saying, Mike
- 46:11Germano, it really makes you wonder why a lot of these
- 46:16political pundits are really anti Bitcoin when if they do
- 46:22believe in populism, if they do believe in the, you know, we the
- 46:25people, you know, government by the people, for the people, you
- 46:28think they would start talking about Bitcoin more favorably?
- 46:34Maybe now we know at least one of the root causes, they might
- 46:38have an incentive to just show gold because they make more
- 46:41money doing that. Like really there's not that
- 46:42much money in in Bitcoin. As you know, it's very hard to
- 46:46have a profitable business in Bitcoin.
- 46:49It's not that much profits in telling people, hey dude, you
- 46:54don't even need me, just stack Bitcoin, take it into self
- 46:58custody and repeat the process. Like there's not that much money
- 47:02in in telling people to do that. That's why a lot of people pivot
- 47:06from Bitcoin into shitcoins because you can make a lot of
- 47:09money shilling garbage to people because they either get, you
- 47:13know, a part of the pre mined coin or you know, they make some
- 47:18money off of every trade you do. And so they're incentivized to
- 47:22keep you on the hamster wheel. In reality, what we're doing
- 47:26here is I'm, I'm literally like, I'm working my way out of a job
- 47:31here. Because once you understand,
- 47:33hey, all I need to do is buy Bitcoin, take it into self
- 47:37custody. You literally don't need to come
- 47:39back. I've said that so many times on
- 47:41this show. I'm like, look, come hang out
- 47:43with us at Simply Bitcoin once you become a Bitcoiner.
- 47:48Once you understand that basic process, if I need to constantly
- 47:50be buying Bitcoin and securing that Bitcoin, it's like you
- 47:54don't have to watch this ever again.
- 47:55If you don't like us, once you get the message bro hang up the
- 47:58phone. But with that being said, I I do
- 48:01appreciate the fact. That you guys love hanging out
- 48:04with us, that you guys chill with me every single day.
- 48:07You know, I, I say it all the time and I mean it like I love
- 48:11you guys. I really appreciate the guys
- 48:13that hang out with you. I appreciate the guys that
- 48:15criticize us because I take it in, I try to make this show
- 48:18better for you guys. But it is very interesting to
- 48:21know that there might be a little more of a nefarious
- 48:24incentive structure for a lot of these big talking heads, big
- 48:29podcasters to be shilling gold. As the saying always goes,
- 48:34follow the money. Maybe that's why a lot of people
- 48:38aren't talking about Bitcoin. It's not that profitable to be
- 48:41like, just fucking buy Bitcoin and store the Bitcoin.
- 48:44It's really not that hard. So look, looks like we have a
- 48:48lot of uphill battles here as Bitcoiners to try to get more
- 48:51Bitcoin into the hands of people.
- 48:53And some of the people we might like might knowingly or
- 48:57unknowingly be part of the problem and, and slowing down
- 49:02Bitcoin adoption. That might be a bit of a
- 49:03stretch. You know, I I do like some of
- 49:05the people that and I maybe not some of the people that were
- 49:10shown in that clip, but I do like some people that do have
- 49:14gold sponsors on this show. It you know, but now I'm like,
- 49:18all right, I guess I have to watch this Tucker Carlson video
- 49:21here, But I'll get back to you if there's anything more than
- 49:25what we just heard in in that little trailer.
- 49:28Anyways, I do want to talk about a recent update on the clarity
- 49:33act. The short of it same place we
- 49:36were before. Nothing's really dude, nothing
- 49:39ever happens. Bros fell for it again.
- 49:42Award. Nothing ever happens award.
- 49:45I just, I got to update you, but I did find or actually shouts at
- 49:48the TFTC, they did find an interesting tracker, war tracker
- 49:54that we'll kind of talk about now.
- 49:56I think I will kind of talk about how this might relate to
- 50:00Bitcoin per SE, you know, how it relates to liquidity, what the
- 50:03Fed might do. So with that being said, I will
- 50:07be right back. I want to give a shout out to
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- 52:30That's BITKEY dot world with the code.
- 52:34Simply Hey, guys, I'm feeling the love in the chatter.
- 52:44I love you guys. I love you guys.
- 52:45I appreciate it. OK, let's let's get into a
- 52:50couple of news stories. The first one I I am going to
- 52:53read my girl. I she's not my girl.
- 52:55I don't know. I've never met her again, I've
- 52:57never met her. All right, let's not start any
- 53:00more rumors here, but I really do like her recent coverage.
- 53:04I think she's. Been doing a really good.
- 53:06Job. That's why I keep bringing her
- 53:08up on the show. I highly recommend you guys
- 53:09follow her. It is, of course, Eleanor
- 53:12Terret. She works for Crypto America.
- 53:15Again, I feel like I'm repeating myself constantly about where
- 53:17she works. Anyways, here's the recent
- 53:20update. This did come out yesterday
- 53:22night. So if you care about the Clarity
- 53:25Act, if you think it's going to do any good, if you are black
- 53:29pilled like me about it and you're just like whatever, let's
- 53:32just get on with it at this point.
- 53:35Either it fails or I guess something passes.
- 53:39Let's just like move on from this whole conversation.
- 53:43But again, I'm here to keep you updated on all of the different
- 53:47workings happening right now. So here's Eleanor's tweet.
- 53:50She goes new a post check on crypto market structure from a
- 53:53handful of conversations with industry sources today.
- 53:57So hot out the press. Well, hot off of last night's
- 54:00it's it's day. It's day old stale croissants.
- 54:02OK, so yesterday, OK goes. First on yield the Paul the the
- 54:08ball appears to be in Senator Tom Tillis's court.
- 54:11The North Carolina Republican was shaping up to be a holdout
- 54:14in January when the Banking GOP committee was preparing for a
- 54:17markup amendment from Tillis and Senator Also Brooks that
- 54:21restricted the scope of stable coin rewards issued by crypto
- 54:25firms were later cited by Coinbase as one of the several
- 54:28reasons it withdrew support of the bill.
- 54:32We did later hear that COIN base Brian Armstrong said, hey, you
- 54:35know, there is some compromise. We're coming to the table.
- 54:38And this is kind of what she relays here later on in this
- 54:41tweet. She goes now the White House has
- 54:44shared legislative text quote the result of the past month
- 54:48negotiation or sorry parentheses the result of the past month's
- 54:51negotiation with crypto and banks with Tillis's office,
- 54:54which has been meeting with industry and White House reps in
- 54:57recent days with talks described as.
- 55:00Quote A moving in the right direction.
- 55:04I've heard that before. Anyways, this tracks with my
- 55:07earlier reporting that there may never be a quote Eureka moment
- 55:11where crypto and the banks reach full agreement and right off
- 55:14into the sunset. Instead, it looks like language
- 55:16is being drafted around the minimum both sides can tolerate,
- 55:19with the ultimate goal of quickly getting something back
- 55:22to the Banking Committee to get the ball.
- 55:23Rolling again. So from this it goes into what I
- 55:29was kind of saying about compromise.
- 55:31You know, it's the common compromise meme is like if both
- 55:35negotiate, you know, both negotiators leave the table kind
- 55:38of unhappy, then it's probably a good compromise.
- 55:42It seems like maybe that's where we are.
- 55:44So I would say that that is probably healthy.
- 55:47We'll see what actually happens. Anyways, finishing up this tweet
- 55:50per Digital Chamber CEO Cody Carbone, quote, Senator Tillis
- 55:55has been very receptive to our discussions about stable coin
- 55:58yield. I'm optimistic we will find a
- 56:00way to get to a quote yes vote on the bill.
- 56:02And we appreciate his work to try to advance market structure
- 56:05rules of the road. To wrap this up, she goes even
- 56:09if no Democrats vote yes on the Clarity actor in the next
- 56:11Banking Committee markup, it could still pass along party
- 56:14lines. But Tillis's vote will be
- 56:16crucial. If there's no Democratic quote,
- 56:18buy in. Meanwhile, other industry
- 56:21stakeholders focus on different parts of the bill.
- 56:23Tell me the yield issue has quote, taken a lot of oxygen out
- 56:25of the room, leaving other sticking points mostly around
- 56:29defy out to pasture. Of course, there's this whole
- 56:31conversation about ethics and morals and defy, you know, she
- 56:35says here ethic concern will likely also remain top of mind
- 56:38for some of the Dem members. Anyways to end this she goes.
- 56:41One crypto trade exec said they're now considering
- 56:43alternatives if a Senate Banking markup slips further into the
- 56:46calendar year, but remains cautiously optimistic that the
- 56:50the next three weeks will produce enough progress on yield
- 56:52slash rewards and other issues for the Banking Committee to
- 56:55reschedule a markup in late March.
- 56:58OK, so like I said, to start this, the Senate, the the
- 57:05cynical fields, the pessimistic fields view is dude, nothing
- 57:08ever happens like and I'm not really convinced this is going
- 57:14to come out good and favorable for us, but.
- 57:17It does seem like they are on the end of March timeline at
- 57:21least. That's kind of holding up.
- 57:23Of course we covered it earlier in the week.
- 57:25Trump did pull put his hat in the ring and said hey, the banks
- 57:29need. To compromise, they need to kind
- 57:31of step back and let this Clarity Act pass because we are
- 57:35very serious about America becoming the crypto capital of
- 57:38the world. So maybe the pressure from Trump
- 57:41is kind of, you know, a little pushback on the banks and
- 57:45they're like, OK, shit. Like we have to, we have to pass
- 57:48something. Again.
- 57:49That's the kind of concern we have.
- 57:52To pass something doesn't necessarily mean it's going to
- 57:55be good, but they want to at least have the political win, in
- 57:58my opinion, of them passing something.
- 58:01Again, midterms are coming up. A lot of votes came for the
- 58:06quote, you know, crypto lobby from the crypto enthusiast.
- 58:09Of course, that was one of Trump's kind of campaign
- 58:12promises. So I think they want to get a
- 58:16political win, like a narrative political win here and get
- 58:20something passed. Again, maybe nothing is better
- 58:23than something, but it seems like they do want to get
- 58:26something passed by the end of March.
- 58:29Now, this is where the timeline does get interesting, OK?
- 58:36Which is if they don't get something passed by March again,
- 58:41they they're going to do this markup bill.
- 58:43Apparently they're going to reschedule at some point towards
- 58:46the end of March. But if they don't get this
- 58:48passed by March, it does feel like they're just going to
- 58:51continue to kick the can down the road.
- 58:53And if you know anything about politics, basically after June,
- 58:58like this year's session is all but over.
- 59:02Like, you know, in June, the politicians basically take a
- 59:06break and then they come back for a very short period.
- 59:09I believe it's about 3 weeks towards the end of the year.
- 59:12And on top of that, it is going to be the midterms.
- 59:16So probably nothing's going to happen from a federal level
- 59:20perspective. So the timeline is getting tight
- 59:23here. What?
- 59:24It's March we got. April, May, June, maybe 3 months
- 59:28here. Maybe two months if this doesn't
- 59:32pass into March and we know how slow the machine moves.
- 59:37So the the timeline is getting tight guys.
- 59:40If this doesn't pass within the next three, we're like we don't
- 59:42have till the end of 2026 to get this passed.
- 59:45We, we, you know, once the midterms start to happen.
- 59:49As we've kind of been covering, it doesn't seem like the
- 59:51Democrats are that favorable towards anything Bitcoin at this
- 59:54point. Yes, it's not a monolithic, you
- 59:57know, entity. There's there's some pro Bitcoin
- 59:59Democrats. But from the rate that things
- 1:00:05are going for the Trump administration, it does seem
- 1:00:08like Trump is most likely going to lose the House.
- 1:00:11Or rather, the Republicans are probably not going to maintain
- 1:00:15the, you know, majority in the House.
- 1:00:18And if the Democrats get in, I doubt anything's going to happen
- 1:00:22from 2026 onwards until 2028. So there's about 3 months to get
- 1:00:29this passed. We'll see if anything, if
- 1:00:32there's a significant breakthrough in the next couple
- 1:00:36of weeks before the end of March.
- 1:00:37But again, if this doesn't pass or does the market bill doesn't
- 1:00:41even get approved by end of March, I don't see this passing
- 1:00:47after June. So that's the timeline here,
- 1:00:49guys. If nothing happens by June, I
- 1:00:53think, you know, another OPTI vindicated award here.
- 1:00:58I don't think anything's going to happen.
- 1:00:59So again, maybe pessimistic, maybe cynical.
- 1:01:02It is what it is. All right, I do want to, I do
- 1:01:04want to bring up 11 little thing here.
- 1:01:07Before I I give you guys some opium at the end of the show,
- 1:01:10but TFTC posted this and I had to search for the actual
- 1:01:14website, thewebsiteisiran-cost-ticker.com
- 1:01:20and it is the cost for the Iran war since what, Saturday?
- 1:01:28So we're on day six of the war and it's cost the US about $6.6
- 1:01:36billion so far. So it seems like they're burning
- 1:01:40through about a billion dollars per day.
- 1:01:44Now why is this important? We what's the implications here?
- 1:01:47Rather is actually, let's see, let me let me go.
- 1:01:51And so they're spending 11 point $5000 per second, 41 point
- 1:01:56641.666 million per hour, and about a billion dollars per day.
- 1:02:04So a billion dollars per day for Operation Epic Fury, which is
- 1:02:09not a war. It's just an operation because
- 1:02:11legally they can't call it a war because there's some hot water
- 1:02:14around the fact that Congress didn't approve a war.
- 1:02:17And now they're doing like they're trying to limit Trump's
- 1:02:20power over there. But legally it's an operation.
- 1:02:23It's not a war, though it is starting to look like it's going
- 1:02:28to be a prolonged war. It's, it seems like I, I have
- 1:02:31friends, you know, one of my buddies, he's Iranian and he's
- 1:02:34like, trust me, it's not going to be a forever war.
- 1:02:38And I, you know, I really want to believe him.
- 1:02:40I, I, I liked his perspective. But when you listen to what the
- 1:02:47Trump, Oh, oh, sorry, I didn't pull it up, guys.
- 1:02:50When you listen to what the Trump administration has been
- 1:02:54saying since the start of this operation, it really feels like
- 1:03:01they have no, no effing plan here.
- 1:03:04It feels, you know, I think they initially thought this was going
- 1:03:08to be a Venezuela scenario where they would get in, you know,
- 1:03:12Friday night, it would be done by Monday before the markets
- 1:03:15close. And then Monday rolled around
- 1:03:18and they're like, oh, this might be 4 or five days and we're
- 1:03:22like, OK, you know, whatever. Then it went to like 2 to 4
- 1:03:26weeks and everyone's like, oh, OK, two weeks to stop the
- 1:03:28spread. I think I've heard this before.
- 1:03:30And then they went to four or five months and then the latest
- 1:03:34thing we've heard is it's going to be 100 day war and.
- 1:03:38Probably at minimum going to. Last until September so they
- 1:03:43continue to spend a billion dollars a day and this lasts
- 1:03:49till September. 100 day war. Then I guess it's pretty safe to
- 1:03:54say that at minimum they will spend about $100 billion for
- 1:03:58this operation in the middle Middle East.
- 1:04:01Now what is all of you think about?
- 1:04:06I think they have a plan bro. I just don't think it's going as
- 1:04:10they planned it is what I'm saying.
- 1:04:12Based on their rhetoric, it seems like every other day
- 1:04:17they're changing what is happening and it, you know, it's
- 1:04:20almost like they're trying to get a narrative that sticks is
- 1:04:24all I'm kind of saying. Obviously, I think they had a
- 1:04:26plan. But anyways, I, I digress.
- 1:04:29So again, if we take the latest numbers that were given to us
- 1:04:36yesterday about or maybe it was sorry, it might have been 2 days
- 1:04:40ago. No, it was yesterday.
- 1:04:42I think it was yesterday about we're probably going to be in
- 1:04:45Iran for 100 day war. So they're probably going to
- 1:04:50spend about $100 billion on this operation minimum or so it
- 1:04:57seems. And then I don't know if you
- 1:04:59guys saw this morning, but Trump did just tweet this morning that
- 1:05:03they have no plans of pulling out And the only thing they are
- 1:05:08looking for is like here, actually, let me let me pull it
- 1:05:13up so I can I can I won't butcher it.
- 1:05:16You guys know I I suck at quoting things.
- 1:05:18I butcher things all the time. But on true social this morning,
- 1:05:23Trump did tweet about the war latest update, you know, hot off
- 1:05:26the press. Let me see.
- 1:05:28I think should have it right here.
- 1:05:32I guess I don't have it right here.
- 1:05:34Let me, let me pull it up real quick.
- 1:05:38Bear with me, guys, bear with me.
- 1:05:41Let's go here. So here we are.
- 1:05:43I'm on Truth Social and here is the latest update which happened
- 1:05:51this morning. Dude, True Social's kind of ass,
- 1:05:55right? Sorry, I thought that said
- 1:05:59Michelle weekly. I'm like, what's all right
- 1:06:02anyway? Anyway, all right, sorry, don't
- 1:06:04blame me. This is this is true social just
- 1:06:06being ass tweet so much Where where was it?
- 1:06:11Where was it? Did I scroll past it?
- 1:06:16No, I think it's right here. Sorry guys, I should have had
- 1:06:18this up, but I didn't think I was going to cover it at the
- 1:06:22honestly, I thought I'd remember it better.
- 1:06:26Here we go. Five hours ago, latest update.
- 1:06:30Donald Trump says there will be no deal with Iran except
- 1:06:33unconditional surrender. After that and the selection of
- 1:06:37a great and acceptable leader, we and many of our wonderful and
- 1:06:41very brave allies and partners will work tirelessly to bring
- 1:06:43Iran back from the brink of destruction, making it
- 1:06:46economically bigger, better and stronger than ever before.
- 1:06:48Iran will have a great future. Make Iran great again.
- 1:06:51Miga. Yo, hey, yo, hey yo chill bro,
- 1:06:56hey yo, chill. OK, anyway, right, So what why,
- 1:07:02why am I bringing this up? Really obviously, you know the
- 1:07:06meme, you know Fiat is the money of war.
- 1:07:08They got to where do they get the money?
- 1:07:11You know, wars cost money. Where do they get the money?
- 1:07:13They get print the money out of thin air.
- 1:07:15That's where the money comes from.
- 1:07:17It's not like we have a war chest that you know, we that
- 1:07:22runs out when we. Run out of money and the war is
- 1:07:25over. You know what?
- 1:07:27What do you say? Again, unconditional surrender,
- 1:07:29sorry. And so anyways, the reason I'm
- 1:07:31bringing this up today is because I think the implications
- 1:07:34here in regards to Bitcoin are very interesting.
- 1:07:38Again, if you read between the lines, a lot of things are
- 1:07:43pointing to the money printer is going to turn on.
- 1:07:46Not only are we going to go into the midterms and there is this
- 1:07:51idea circulating that they're going to basically buy off the
- 1:07:55voters because Trump has the lowest, you know, polling right
- 1:07:59now than ever before. So people are not that happy
- 1:08:02with what he's doing. Though the polls for from the
- 1:08:06Republican side of, you know, going to war is very favorably.
- 1:08:10I think it's up to like 80%. So most Republicans are OK with
- 1:08:13going to war. Trump's overall ratings are the.
- 1:08:17Lowest he's ever been, anyways. And I, I think it's pretty safe
- 1:08:21to say that the money printer is turning on in a, in a big, big
- 1:08:25way. And I, I don't want to be like
- 1:08:28the normie, you know, normie political pundit here and be
- 1:08:33like, oh, you know, Iran war is just Iraq War 2 point O that's
- 1:08:38not what I'm saying here. But historically, when the
- 1:08:43government gets into trouble, they usually find an excuse to
- 1:08:48go to war so that they can turn on the money printer and they'll
- 1:08:52blame the war. If this is a prolonged
- 1:08:55operation, 100 days plus, the money printer is going to turn
- 1:09:02on. OK, You want to protect
- 1:09:04yourself, you need to save in something that they cannot
- 1:09:06debase. Obviously, we are Bitcoin
- 1:09:09advocates here. This is a Bitcoin show.
- 1:09:12I think you need to buy Bitcoin. It looks like the liquidity is
- 1:09:15going to expand. It looks like they're going to
- 1:09:18print a lot of money, whether that's for this war or whether
- 1:09:21that's the buy off votes for the midterm.
- 1:09:24The money printer is all but secured.
- 1:09:26It is turning on. Remember, we are no longer in
- 1:09:29QT. We are in not QEQE.
- 1:09:33So it's it's, it's, it's building, it's going to happen.
- 1:09:36They haven't turned it on yet, but it's definitely warming up.
- 1:09:39You know, it's like, it's like my old truck.
- 1:09:41You know, you got to turn it on, let it warm up for a little bit
- 1:09:43so you don't mess up the car anymore.
- 1:09:46I I think that's where we are right now.
- 1:09:48OK, That's, that's my political, that's my simply politics for
- 1:09:52you guys today. And it goes back to the same
- 1:09:54thing. They're going to turn on the
- 1:09:55money printer. The money printer is coming back
- 1:09:57on now. You guys could, you know, call
- 1:09:59me a boomer, whatever you want. You call me an army.
- 1:10:03But again, we talk about topics cultural, political, usually
- 1:10:11economically, usually with a Bitcoin bet.
- 1:10:14And that's what I'm seeing when I'm raining this stuff.
- 1:10:16When you see the Iran cost tracker, when you see only
- 1:10:20unconditional surrender. The war seems to be spreading
- 1:10:24out. The timeline seems to be
- 1:10:25extending. Just knowing a little bit of
- 1:10:28history, when we go into war, you print money usually, you
- 1:10:32know, you could argue what the reasons are for the war, But a
- 1:10:34lot of times when the economy is not doing so hot, you start a
- 1:10:38war so that you can, you know, inject a lot of money, print a
- 1:10:41lot of money and get the GDP up. Anyways.
- 1:10:45I look, I don't see the money yet either.
- 1:10:47I think it's just warming up, bro.
- 1:10:49I think it Fiat never runs out. Exactly, exactly.
- 1:10:53All right guys, I will wrap up today's show with a little bit
- 1:10:56of opium. You guys know I've become a Wick
- 1:10:59off Maxi? Barely know what that means but.
- 1:11:03Hey. I like a little opium and I did
- 1:11:05cover it on the show before and I thought my models or my I
- 1:11:10guess it's Tai know I said TI it doesn't work, but I'm going to
- 1:11:14make the case that maybe the wake off accumulation is still
- 1:11:18in play. Oh wait, Actually, before I go,
- 1:11:20I do. I do have to give a huge shout
- 1:11:23out to our boys over at Bitcoin magazine.
- 1:11:26Shouts out to Nick Cam mine. I know he doesn't own the
- 1:11:29company, but that's my boy. We will be at.
- 1:11:32Bitcoin 2026 in Las Vegas April 27th through.
- 1:11:36The 29th at the Venetian in Las Vegas.
- 1:11:40Taking over Las Vegas again, I believe, if I remember
- 1:11:43correctly, this might be the last year in Vegas.
- 1:11:47They might it might be one more year, but I'm I'm almost
- 1:11:50positive that it's going to be the last year in Vegas.
- 1:11:52So if you want to see bit corners take over Las Vegas,
- 1:11:55make sure you get your tickets today.
- 1:11:57If you use the promo code simply, you will get 10% off.
- 1:12:01Of course, get your tickets now before you start following at
- 1:12:07the last minute. And tickets are more expensive.
- 1:12:10Take it now and you never know. Maybe you could?
- 1:12:12Get some more stats for it later.
- 1:12:16All right, guys. All right, guys, I'll be right
- 1:12:18back. I want to give a shout out to
- 1:12:20our partner Hive Digital Technologies.
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- 1:12:54Hive Digital Tech or at Hive Digital Tech dot.
- 1:12:57Com all righty then guys so before you yell at me because
- 1:13:05yesterday I did you know play that Sam druckenmiller video of
- 1:13:09him saying T as ass and it doesn't work anymore wait I
- 1:13:14forgot this is a family friendly show that TA is astrology for
- 1:13:19mend and your lines. Your magic lines on the chart
- 1:13:23don't mean anything. I know I said that yesterday,
- 1:13:27OK, I know, I know I'm I'm acknowledging the fact that I
- 1:13:32said that yesterday, OK, and this is Friday, but let's see.
- 1:13:39I I I triggered some people over the Iran war stuff.
- 1:13:42My bad. Deep stink.
- 1:13:43Let me see. Hold on a bit, dude.
- 1:13:48You know I'm left side of the bell curve, bro, come on.
- 1:13:51You're you're dude, water is wet.
- 1:13:53Come on. OK, anyway, I'm fighting in the
- 1:13:56I'm fighting in the Jack. OK, this tweet.
- 1:13:59So I actually found this tweet after I was looking at the
- 1:14:05actually here. Let's let's start with the
- 1:14:06chart. No, no, we'll start here.
- 1:14:08I don't know. This guy is some shit corner.
- 1:14:11I'm guessing he's ATA. He's ATA.
- 1:14:14Guru. Let's go.
- 1:14:16Wow. I'm cooking myself.
- 1:14:18Anyways, you know, making the case here because Wickoff died
- 1:14:22in 1934, but his map is drawn on this chart right now.
- 1:14:26You know, he's saying every green box, every red box, the
- 1:14:29same pattern repeating for five years across every cycle Bitcoin
- 1:14:31has ever had. You know, whatever you can make
- 1:14:34the case that he's wrong. I I know some bit corners that I
- 1:14:37like and respect that we're making.
- 1:14:39Oh no, was that what's the wave 1 Elliott wave?
- 1:14:43OK, no, sorry. They were Elliott wave Maxis.
- 1:14:45If you know, you know, and anyways, you guys, this is not a
- 1:14:47this is not a coincidence. It's happening right now.
- 1:14:51Remember I I did bring this up a couple of times the last couple
- 1:14:54of weeks. I'm like, maybe it's happening
- 1:14:56like, you know, you guys want some opium here.
- 1:14:59This Wick off accumulation seems to maybe be playing out.
- 1:15:02That's why I'm like I'm a Wick off accumulation maxi right now
- 1:15:05because I I need the opium. All right?
- 1:15:07I I really, I just don't want Niko to be right.
- 1:15:09And it goes into the 40K SII want to I want to be like, see,
- 1:15:12hey, look, you were right 126 at the top, but you were wrong.
- 1:15:16So I could be like, you were wrong about it going to 40.
- 1:15:18Ki told you it's going to go up. It's going to go sideways.
- 1:15:21It's going to go up again. OK, so this is really for me.
- 1:15:24I I'm holding myself accountable here, but really I'm trying to
- 1:15:27hold Niko accountable and really I just, I just want him to be
- 1:15:31wrong, OK? I just want him to be so effing
- 1:15:33wrong. So if you take that smug look
- 1:15:37off, it says all right, Anyways, here's the real question Now the
- 1:15:43question every trader or all of us need to ask ourselves.
- 1:15:47Are we seeing an accumulation phase and then we'll see the
- 1:15:50next leg up? Or are we seeing a
- 1:15:52redistribution phase and we're going to see another leg down or
- 1:15:56this a dead cat bounce? And I think that's that's the
- 1:16:00that's kind of the debate. Actually.
- 1:16:02I, I do want to bring this meme up.
- 1:16:04I finally found the meme that I was that I was telling you guys
- 1:16:09about. And this is literally Nico and I
- 1:16:12on this show constantly. Let me dude, I I knew I should
- 1:16:16have saved this bro. I am all over the place today.
- 1:16:18My bad guys, But there's this meme.
- 1:16:21It's a perception is everything and it is of a guy watching a
- 1:16:28line documentary and a guy. Wow, dude, is this this better
- 1:16:32not be up. These these Twitter searches are
- 1:16:36yo, these Twitter searches are crazy.
- 1:16:40OK, I can't find it. I'm glad to wait.
- 1:16:43Let me. Yeah, OK, I'm glad this is not
- 1:16:45on the screen. Yo, this is crazy.
- 1:16:47All right, anyways, you're you're just you're just going to
- 1:16:51have to take. Here's my meme review for the
- 1:16:53day. OK, there's this meme, and it is
- 1:16:57a picture of a lion attacking an antelope.
- 1:17:01On the left. It says lion documentary.
- 1:17:04And it's a guy like, yeah, when the lion is, you know, attacking
- 1:17:08the antelope. And then on the flip side is the
- 1:17:11same exact picture, but on the top it says antelope
- 1:17:15documentary. And the guy's like, oh, no.
- 1:17:18And I think that's why I wanted to bring this up today, because
- 1:17:23this is what you're seeing on the show.
- 1:17:25I'm kind of on the view of like, it looks like we might be doing,
- 1:17:29you know, an accumulation phase and we're gonna go higher.
- 1:17:32Nika's like, it looks like we're probably gonna go lower.
- 1:17:35We're doing a, a redistribution phase, therefore going lower.
- 1:17:40And then he goes, you know, whatever, whatever the pattern
- 1:17:44is always the same because human behavior is always the same.
- 1:17:48From 1934 to 2026. Fear and greed do not change.
- 1:17:51That's kind of I think the bigger idea here is I I don't
- 1:17:55really think our lines on the chart mean anything like Tai
- 1:17:59think is kind of ass. You could say that this is TA,
- 1:18:03but that idea, like human psychology hasn't changed.
- 1:18:08And say what you know, whatever, whatever your, your human
- 1:18:13history book that you believe in tells you whether we've been
- 1:18:16around for hundreds of thousands of years or whether it's 6000,
- 1:18:22humans haven't changed. Like, yes, our bodies might
- 1:18:26become a little more advanced, but our brains pretty much
- 1:18:29haven't changed. Anyways, why am I saying all
- 1:18:31this? This is where the opium comes
- 1:18:34in. All right, I'm going to I'm
- 1:18:35going to flip back and forth on a few things here.
- 1:18:38So this is what you're seeing here.
- 1:18:42Actually, let me go back. So you know, it's saying this
- 1:18:45chart is saying it's redistribution, but this re
- 1:18:48accumulation phase thing, or rather maybe this one here after
- 1:18:53kind of a blow off top accumulation, big money loads up
- 1:18:56quietly. This is kind of the pattern, you
- 1:19:00know that you'll see on the chart, but this is like the
- 1:19:02official view of it from a Wick off accumulation perspective.
- 1:19:09You know, it'll hit a point, bounce up again, it'll drop
- 1:19:11down, it'll go a little higher, but not as high.
- 1:19:14It'll come back down but not as low, and then it goes back up to
- 1:19:18where it started and then it comes back down a little lower
- 1:19:20and then it goes sideways. A spring, a test, yadda, yadda,
- 1:19:23yadda. Why am I bringing this up?
- 1:19:26Because guys, I don't know, man, I don't know.
- 1:19:30It's looking here, let me take these off.
- 1:19:32It's looking like we might we might be seeing exactly that
- 1:19:36happen. So here's my hope in for the
- 1:19:38day. I'll put these charts so you
- 1:19:39can, I guess see a little while these these these lines here,
- 1:19:42these boxes that there's has nothing to do with the wake off
- 1:19:45accumulation, you know, pattern, but it it gives you a better
- 1:19:50little better framework here. So you know, again, it's it's
- 1:19:55reality. So it's not as perfect as the,
- 1:19:58you know, the form of a wake off accumulation.
- 1:20:02But comes down to a deep level again, here we go.
- 1:20:06It comes down and then it pops back up a little bit.
- 1:20:10Come back up, you know, pops back up a little bit.
- 1:20:13Notice notice it's height and then you know it does a little.
- 1:20:18Squiggly and then it shoots back up again, you know, comes out a
- 1:20:22little squiggly shoots back up again, and then it comes back
- 1:20:25down. This is this is TA, this is,
- 1:20:28this is what you get. This is what you pay.
- 1:20:31For in my paid the TA group here it comes out, it comes back down
- 1:20:36anyways, and then there's a spring, which we didn't really
- 1:20:39see a spring, but we did see it kind of go lower.
- 1:20:43You know, it didn't go this slow, but it's lower than all
- 1:20:45these other ones. Anyways.
- 1:20:47The reason I'm starting to be even more of a Wick off believer
- 1:20:51is because the implications, it's implications.
- 1:20:54It's this SOS line where we finally get a breakout and I'm
- 1:20:59you know, I don't know, we might be going lower.
- 1:21:00This could be a suckers rally, could be the breakout.
- 1:21:04This part is looking, at least to me again, TA is looking at
- 1:21:10the same chart with a different perspective.
- 1:21:14Honestly, it feels like maybe this is where we are so breakout
- 1:21:19above this initial kind of point and then it corrects.
- 1:21:24So if we see here, let me let me do this.
- 1:21:27Dang. Oh, here we go.
- 1:21:29If we see something like whoa, what's going on here?
- 1:21:34Color is this dude, I'm so blind.
- 1:21:38OK, if we wait, wait, wait, wait.
- 1:21:40Let me let me do let me do that again.
- 1:21:43Oh, wait. OK, OK, so if we see something
- 1:21:46like boom, damn, boom, boom up. I don't know if it'd be that
- 1:21:53high, but you, you, dude, my lines are so good.
- 1:21:57OK, that that's so ugly. That's crazy.
- 1:22:01All right, let me let me do it while we're done.
- 1:22:04This is fun. All right?
- 1:22:06I'm having fun. I don't care if you guys are.
- 1:22:08I'm having fun right here. OK, All right, So if we see
- 1:22:11something like, you know, pop up, damn, boom, up here to
- 1:22:19there, kind of, you know, whatever.
- 1:22:21That one looks a little better. I don't know, man.
- 1:22:25Am I smoking the opium? Are we smoking the opium
- 1:22:29together? You literally not making any
- 1:22:32sense. I don't know.
- 1:22:35I thought I made some sense there.
- 1:22:38Traitor. It's true.
- 1:22:39All right, Well, can you draw the Opti whack off?
- 1:22:42Why the it's white? Whatever, dude.
- 1:22:53As you can tell, I'm not a dude. I'm so color blind, guys.
- 1:22:58All right, whatever, whatever, whatever, dude, whatever.
- 1:23:00It's Friday. The TLDR is we might be seeing a
- 1:23:04little bit of volatility up in this.
- 1:23:06What range in the about 74 to 68 range.
- 1:23:19So if we kind of do a little, you know, a little wait, I mean
- 1:23:25how do I do it backwards? Wait, no, the other way, a
- 1:23:27little boom, boop, come back up, something like that.
- 1:23:32So for the next few days, basically, the short of it is we
- 1:23:38might be seeing a little volatility in the next few days,
- 1:23:42but I think probably by this time next week, we might, we
- 1:23:47might like all I'm saying, all I'm saying guys, is we might, we
- 1:23:52might be out of the woods is what I'm hoping.
- 1:23:55It's not just what I'm saying, it's what I'm hoping.
- 1:23:57So we are in this together. We are drinking the orange
- 1:24:01kool-aid. We are smoking the pure hydro
- 1:24:05opium. It's a family show.
- 1:24:09It's a family show, all right. What catalyst do you foresee do
- 1:24:14what catalyst do you forecast for us getting to your
- 1:24:17progression projections? Just, you know, buying it's,
- 1:24:21it's really, it's really all the institutional buying that we're
- 1:24:24seeing you guys stacking. I think the general uncertainty
- 1:24:27of what's going on in the geopolitical macro markets, I
- 1:24:33think watching what is happening in the in the broader market.
- 1:24:37So not just Bitcoin is I know you guys don't like to do that,
- 1:24:41but it's something we should be doing.
- 1:24:43Like if you're looking, if you're watching stocks and gold
- 1:24:46and silver right now, you are at least all of this week, you're
- 1:24:52starting to see that potentially they are pricing in what a
- 1:24:58quote, UN quote forever war might mean.
- 1:25:01And again, if you're looking at S&P 500, QQQ, Dow, they're
- 1:25:07looking pretty toppy. They've been crashing.
- 1:25:11I think they are finally pricing in what the, you know, a
- 1:25:16prolonged war in the Middle East actually means not looking too
- 1:25:21good. Hence they might be looking for
- 1:25:25a, you know, an escape to safety, Bitcoin neutral, scarce
- 1:25:29money, which we're seeing the Iranians do, or rather sorry, my
- 1:25:32friend told me they like they're they're called Persians.
- 1:25:35What we're seeing the Persians do currently by buying a lot of
- 1:25:39Bitcoin in Iran and taking it off the exchanges.
- 1:25:44It could, you know, actually, I think I brought this up on the
- 1:25:47show and, and this is where I ended.
- 1:25:48I'm I'm filibustering. I'm not I'm rambling.
- 1:25:53Me and Sophie were were kind of trolling on Monday when we saw
- 1:25:59Bitcoin kind of pump instead of dump on that Monday market open.
- 1:26:03We were like, wait, is World War Three actually good for Bitcoin?
- 1:26:07Like, whoa, OK, that kind of flips all of our narratives on
- 1:26:12its head. You'd expect Bitcoin being the
- 1:26:13most liquid 24/7 thing to trade that it would trade very badly
- 1:26:20when there's bad news. But for the first time when
- 1:26:22we've had bad news, Bitcoins actually reacted pretty good.
- 1:26:26And then when you look at since Saturday morning of last week,
- 1:26:33Bitcoin's been performing better than gold and the S&P 500.
- 1:26:37Just kind of the general metrics of where people are putting
- 1:26:40their money. I don't know.
- 1:26:42It's it does seem like Bitcoin is acting very strong, very,
- 1:26:48very resilient when you'd kind of expect it to dump, which
- 1:26:52really goes into more of like the trolling of it where it's
- 1:26:56the idea of like we've already dumped so hard.
- 1:26:58Who's who's dumping Bitcoin right now?
- 1:27:01We're like we're stacking bro, we are stacking.
- 1:27:05OK, anyways, let's see, let's see gold down 5% of the week
- 1:27:11price in Bitcoin. Let's go.
- 1:27:12That signal, that is the signal by 2020 hats, it would be
- 1:27:16straight strike. Lol OK, all right guys.
- 1:27:20Anyways, anyways, you guys are tuning out so I've rambled
- 1:27:23enough for you guys today. I will be back on Monday of
- 1:27:27course, roughly around 12:40 PMI know I posted the show at 12:16.
- 1:27:34You know, come come at, give me, give me like a 5 minutes.
- 1:27:37Come come at 12:35 just so I see, So I see that there's
- 1:27:43people here so I don't have to panic about Dang, I didn't get
- 1:27:48people to want to watch the show.
- 1:27:49I feel bad about myself. I know dude, that sad shots that
- 1:27:55is blasphemous. That is that I do not condone
- 1:27:58that. Do not condone anyway.
- 1:28:00Anyway, all right guys, I. Love you have a good.
- 1:28:02Weekend, eat some good food, get get your 10K steps in if you
- 1:28:06can, if it's not freezing where you are right now, if it's nice
- 1:28:09just get a walk in, eat some good food, stack some sads, call
- 1:28:14your loved ones, all that good stuff.
- 1:28:17I'll see you on Monday guys. I love you.
- 1:28:19I appreciate you. Have a good weekend.
- 1:28:22We'll be back at it next week. Peace out.
- 1:28:24Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
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- 1:28:31independence.