Latest / Three For The Money / Fun with Futures, College Football Rules, CFB Week 1 Picks
Transcript
- 0:003 for the money is brought to you by the Trend
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- 1:03off a premium membership. Football's back. Football's
- 1:08back. I'm going to speak for everyone and saying,
- 1:13thank God, you know, we're back. We have something
- 1:16to look forward to on our, on our week of, you
- 1:19know, our jobs and doing the things that we do
- 1:24on a daily. I have something to look forward
- 1:25to at the end of the week. Um, this week being,
- 1:29you know, mid week, I guess, uh, with all the
- 1:33college football we have, cause week zero is
- 1:34over and now we're onto week one. Now we're onto
- 1:37shit. There's so much, there is so much football
- 1:41for Thursday, Friday, Saturday. Is there, is
- 1:46there football on Sunday? Yeah, no, there's,
- 1:51there's two college games on Sunday and one on
- 1:54Monday. Oh my God. It's like I have something
- 1:58to do every day. Yeah, you do. Wow, that's wild.
- 2:03We're back, football's back. We're so fucking
- 2:06back. We're so back, baby. Let's do a little
- 2:13recap of week zero. Then we have some NFL futures
- 2:18we'll go over. Then we'll go over some college
- 2:21picks for this upcoming week, week one. Don't
- 2:27know about everyone else, but I mean I I went
- 2:30I went five and oh, I don't know about you guys
- 2:33But I am I'm here. I'm back and I'm ready. I'm
- 2:36ready to fully embrace What what's what's currently
- 2:42happening on my television and and my my my very
- 2:45very few betting apps I went five and oh shout
- 2:49out the Trends Center Shout out the research
- 2:51that I did Dude I'm stoked. This is like, name
- 2:57a better way to start off week zero. You can't
- 3:00do it. So, uh, don't mean to pump my own time.
- 3:04Six, you know, I guess I could, I guess I could
- 3:08have, um, no, no. How many games were there?
- 3:17There were like five. Hey, that's, you could
- 3:20have, you could have double dipped. Yeah, I mean,
- 3:23I guess I could have but I'm just a man. So let
- 3:26me have this. Chris, how did you do? I went all
- 3:30right. I had six bets that I gave out that went
- 3:33three and three on that I gave out on Twitter
- 3:36Saturday morning. I my personal record was worse
- 3:42because I live bet UNLV I believe three times
- 3:46during that game. And They fucking suck. I don't
- 3:54state like it's not some like, oh, they're a
- 3:56good FCS team like they make the play. I don't
- 3:58say is a bad FCS team and they were doing almost
- 4:02whatever they wanted. Like that entire game.
- 4:06It wasn't for three boneheaded interceptions.
- 4:10They would have won that game. But whatever.
- 4:14Yeah, you and I'll be fucked me. But close it
- 4:18out. Just how every college football gamer wants
- 4:21to close out of Saturday. You're sweating out
- 4:23of bed on the island. It comes down to a walk
- 4:26off field goal and it hits. I mean, that makes
- 4:30you feel like you like you went five and up.
- 4:34That's just college that that happened that I
- 4:37saw that which the kid who kicked it is incredible.
- 4:42He's from Japan. You can barely speak English.
- 4:45He learned to kick off YouTube like this kid
- 4:48is Insane. He spent a year in Ohio. Yeah, like
- 4:51Juco. He must have been amazing. I don't know
- 4:57how he got in Hawaii's radar, but transfers to
- 5:00Hawaii, Hawaii, his game winning kick covers
- 5:03the spread also. As a ball went through the uprights,
- 5:08I was like, you know what? I mean, college football
- 5:10is so fucking back. This is how Saturday was
- 5:13meant to end. And you know what bank account
- 5:16wasn't great, but The vibes are at an all -time
- 5:20high for college football right now. Can't take
- 5:23it with you. No, can't. So fuck it. Might as
- 5:26well put it all on a Japanese kid who can barely
- 5:28speak English. He made like two really clutch
- 5:32field goals too. So I forget his name. That kid,
- 5:36he's like my favorite college football player
- 5:38of all time right now. So I love that kid. But
- 5:41yeah, doing pretty good. They don't ask how,
- 5:44they ask how many. Damn straight. Sean, how did
- 5:48you do? I went four and one on my picks. But
- 5:55I also double unit Hawaii spread and boosted
- 6:02it to plus 137. So. I essentially went five and
- 6:08now. That was a little bit of a sweat. Yeah,
- 6:12it was terrifying. Yeah, Stanford was just running
- 6:16it down their throat. the entire fourth quarter.
- 6:19Shout out to whoever calls plays to make that
- 6:22dipshit quarterback try to throw one when they
- 6:24were just running the ball the entire drive doing
- 6:28whatever they wanted. Like, yeah, you know what?
- 6:30Fuck it. We'll throw one. And then that Hawaii
- 6:33linebackers made an incredible pick. That was
- 6:35that was awesome. Oh, yeah. Four and one. And
- 6:39then Ben Benton some some footy, which was. Let's
- 6:45just talk about the Newcastle Liverpool that
- 6:47we all rode, or I guess, Will, did you ride that?
- 6:51No, I was busy. Electric. Absolutely electric
- 6:57ending. Busy. What else are you doing in the
- 6:59middle of the day on a Monday? I was cleaning
- 7:06the old house. Wish could have given that one
- 7:09out. That was a group chat play, but yeah, that
- 7:12was. Uh, yeah, but, uh, I said yesterday, uh,
- 7:18I was, I've been betting a little bit on baseball,
- 7:21just doing some, some trends. Um, I'm officially
- 7:24done with baseball. Baseball is no more. It is,
- 7:28uh, I'm, I'm sorry, trend center, but your baseball,
- 7:33they're not the, they're not the greatest trends.
- 7:36Uh, I just always seem to not pick the right
- 7:39one. I'll say that. Also, well, I was gonna say
- 7:45the one that you, at least that you sent in the
- 7:47group chat last night was not, that was just,
- 7:50I mean, as the old saying goes, that's baseball.
- 7:53I mean, you had, I can let you tell it. Yeah,
- 7:57I had the Braves, Marlins under eight. It was,
- 8:04was it two, two at the top of the ninth. Braves
- 8:08scored nine runs, top of the ninth. Nine runs
- 8:13at the top of the ninth. That's rough. I didn't
- 8:16see that happen. That's enough to just be like,
- 8:19I'm done. I'll see you in March, whenever football's
- 8:24over. End of February, whenever football's over.
- 8:27I'll see you then. Or they don't even play in
- 8:30March. Well, they start at the end of March.
- 8:33It's like the last week. Yeah, I'll see you in
- 8:35March. Whatever. Whenever you start, I'll be
- 8:37there. But I'm done. Done until March. But yeah,
- 8:44that's enough to make a grown man cry. Yeah.
- 8:48That's a, that's what they say in the biz, a
- 8:52bad beat. Yeah. Definitely. Classified is that?
- 8:58I would say that I feel like mid -season baseball
- 9:03is prime picking for the trend center, I would
- 9:07say. Every every team right now is trying to
- 9:10do that that playoff push right now. Who's not
- 9:13already in a playoff spot. So it is like The
- 9:16things are a bit skewed. I think I would say
- 9:19there so That's not your fault. No your fault.
- 9:24Well, I should also apologize to our friends
- 9:26at the trend center. I Didn't mean to catch me
- 9:30make y 'all catch a stray like that. It's not
- 9:32your fault. It's it's pure user based and I'm
- 9:36a user So it's it's okay. It's it's football
- 9:40season. You know now is now is yeah, it's it's
- 9:44a good time to pivot. Yes a great time to pivot
- 9:48great But before we Before we get into to college
- 9:55for some some picks that we have for for week
- 9:58one Let's briefly touch on Some NFL futures that
- 10:03we have we're continuing our fun with futures
- 10:05series We're gonna kick it off with some division
- 10:09winners Some season -long futures, I guess I
- 10:13will kick it off My I only have three futures
- 10:19for today's episode one of them is a division
- 10:21winner that division winner is The 49ers to win
- 10:26the NFC West at plus 160 There's a lot of question
- 10:32marks just in that division alone I still think
- 10:37the 49ers have the best defense in that in that
- 10:41division And there's a lot there's there's questions
- 10:44on offense for every single team in that division
- 10:47if you if you just look at it the Niners Cardinals
- 10:52Seahawks the other one It was name escape these
- 10:58Rams Yes, the Rams we don't know what the fuck
- 11:02is going on with Matt Stafford and They lost
- 11:06Cooper Cup. He's going to this the Seahawks There's
- 11:09there's questions on every single offense on
- 11:12on each team in in this in this NFC West division
- 11:16But what remains constant is the Niners still
- 11:21have the best defense in the NFC West And at
- 11:26plus 160 I think this is pretty good value it
- 11:29is definitely a chalk pick because they are,
- 11:32you know, they're favored. But I mean, I see
- 11:38this as a they don't fuck shit up in a bad way
- 11:43on offense, because I mean, you got Brock Purdy,
- 11:46you got you got the role player. And you have
- 11:49your other role players. And, you know, people
- 11:52will say whatever they want to say about Christian
- 11:54McCaffrey. But I mean, at the end of the day,
- 11:56he's a damn good player. Let's not get it twisted.
- 11:59Um, and so that is my division winner. Uh, are
- 12:02there any thoughts before I throw it to someone?
- 12:05I like it. Um, kind of just like you, like you
- 12:09said, they are definitely the, the one team that
- 12:13is coming, like that, like they have question
- 12:15marks, like, I mean, life without Debo, you know,
- 12:18Debo kind of was my non factor last season, Christian
- 12:21McCaffrey's health, but also like every other
- 12:23team in that division is like the Seahawks. I
- 12:26don't think Sam Donald is very good. So I think
- 12:28they're going to kind of stink. Matt Stafford
- 12:31might not even be with us anymore. They could
- 12:34be a clone. We don't know what they're doing
- 12:36over there. We don't know. Kylo Murray, you don't
- 12:39know what the fuck is going to happen. We don't
- 12:41know. It's like of all the question marks in
- 12:46that division, the Cardinals are the Cardinals.
- 12:49The Niners have the least amount. And yes, barring
- 12:53any injuries. Obviously the defense is by far
- 12:56the best. So yeah, I like it especially like
- 12:59plus 160 like That's still good. Like yeah for
- 13:03chalk Yeah, it's chalk, but it's like Dude, I'm
- 13:09I'm getting more than even money like Call spade
- 13:12to spade here, but that's my division winner
- 13:15Chris I know that Sean has a complicated one,
- 13:19so we'll save him for last, but Chris, did you
- 13:22have a division winner or something like that?
- 13:25I don't have a division winner. I have a team
- 13:29to miss the playoffs, and I believe it was either
- 13:33last week or a couple weeks ago. It's going to
- 13:35go against one of your picks, Will, and I do
- 13:37apologize. I have the Denver Broncos to miss
- 13:40the playoffs at plus 135. Went back through I
- 13:45know they won ten football games last year. That's
- 13:47great, especially where they were two years ago
- 13:49Went back through their schedule of their ten
- 13:51wins Would you care to guess how many of those
- 13:56ten wins came against? Quarterbacks who are going
- 13:59to be starting in the NFL this season One more
- 14:07time, sorry, okay, so they won ten games last
- 14:09year right of those ten wins How many of those
- 14:12came against quarterbacks who will be starting
- 14:14week one of the NFL season? Well, I don't have
- 14:18last year's schedule, so I do not know. But OK,
- 14:20just throw out a guess. Eight. OK, now. What
- 14:28is it? It's four. And one of them is Spencer
- 14:32Rattler. And he's he's just started by default.
- 14:37He played for. Any of the other 31 teams he would
- 14:41not be starting and he probably won't be starting
- 14:44very long this year They're just I think they
- 14:48They they were a good team last year. I'm not
- 14:51discrediting that but they also took advantage
- 14:53of a very weak schedule I Don't I I think the
- 15:00sophomore slump is real. I think we could see
- 15:02that for Bo Nicks. I Especially like and then
- 15:07and I pretty loaded a FC. I can see them Still
- 15:10being decent, but also miss like they can win
- 15:13seven eight games and also like definitely miss
- 15:15the playoffs So I think plus 135 I'll take that
- 15:19Sean I see you have a question. Yeah. Are you
- 15:21counting the Chiefs game from week 17? Yes, because
- 15:26Carson went start that game Okay, that guy fucking
- 15:29sucks and he's backing up JJ McCarthy, which
- 15:31he will probably get a starter to Minnesota this
- 15:37year, but yeah that counts Because it was one
- 15:40of the ones All right, well That is a fair assessment.
- 15:46Oh does that oh Does that poo poo on what you're
- 15:50about to say? Both of y 'all's things kind of
- 15:53poo pooed on Hey, it's okay. We're all about
- 15:59having fun Yeah, okay. I mean one of us is bound
- 16:03to be right about something. Yeah, listen the
- 16:07Denver Broncos can You can go over nine and a
- 16:10half wins and still miss the playoffs. Yeah,
- 16:13that's that's a fact Yeah, but they can't win
- 16:17the division and miss the playoffs Okay, well
- 16:22Let me let me let's let's hear what you got.
- 16:25Let's hear what you got. It's a division winner
- 16:27parlay. Okay Okay Well, I got the Denver Broncos
- 16:34winning the AFC AFC West. Hey, that's good for
- 16:37me Sure, hot take, but I think they'll be better.
- 16:46I think this division is getting wise against
- 16:50the Chiefs. And I think that as this Chiefs team
- 16:55grows older and finds their hitches in their
- 17:00armor, with this Broncos defense, I think this
- 17:05is the only reason why they can win the division.
- 17:09I think they can split with the Chiefs and still
- 17:12come out as division winners. They can definitely
- 17:16split with the Chiefs. Yes, as they did last
- 17:20year in week 17, but that didn't really count.
- 17:23All right, we're just going to run it down. All
- 17:26right, AFC North, Baltimore Ravens. I think that's
- 17:31just the safest pick over that dumpster fire
- 17:35of a division right now between It's really between
- 17:38the Ravens and the Bengals, however you want
- 17:40to look at it. But Joe Burrow's gonna get sacked
- 17:42a million fucking times. Their defense is still
- 17:46terrible too. Yeah, and their defense is awful.
- 17:49They should come to no surprise, AFC East, Buffalo
- 17:52Bills. This was easily like the most juiced division
- 17:58winner there is. They're like minus like 260
- 18:01to win this division. Oh shit. Yeah. I mean,
- 18:05this division sucks. Oh, it's terrible. It's
- 18:07terrible. Yeah. I think it'd be in the twos.
- 18:12Yeah. AFC South, Texans. Just go and chalk. Just
- 18:18go and chalk on that. It's the safest one. If
- 18:24you pick. I just don't see another team winning
- 18:32this division other than the Texans right now.
- 18:34I mean, yeah, I don't blame you. Yeah. I mean,
- 18:38it's yeah, no other team is good. Yeah, exactly.
- 18:43Unless Trevor over here. Yeah. I mean, I don't
- 18:47want to shit on the Titans, but like even if
- 18:49Kim Ward is amazing, the defense is not good.
- 18:53So like I came work could be amazing. This team
- 18:57still wins like five games. The Jags. I just
- 19:00don't try one. It stinks. Uh, and then they have
- 19:04the Colts and the Colts with Daniel Jones. Yeah.
- 19:07I mean, I think I saw like an Instagram post
- 19:09that was like, who's winning the AFC South? And
- 19:13people are like, are people really picking the
- 19:15Colts over every other team in this division?
- 19:18Like, and that's just, that's crazy to me. The
- 19:22Colts will never not be like the trendy underdog
- 19:27like pick to win the AFC South. No. And they're
- 19:31proving it. Can see people picking the the Jags
- 19:35because like yeah, there's a lot of you know,
- 19:38I don't want to say questions but like The the
- 19:42Travis Hunter factor is is there They didn't
- 19:46do really much in the offseason, but it's their
- 19:50coach Oh, I forgot Peterson. Oh, no, it's the
- 19:56box OC from last year. Are you got fired? What
- 20:00was that guy's name? So it's with an E, I think.
- 20:05He was like, Duval. Oh, yeah. Liam Cohen. Yeah,
- 20:10Liam Cohen. Obviously, again, Eric Cohen. You're
- 20:13right. You're right. Yeah, yeah. Jesus Christ.
- 20:16Oh, fuck. I forgot about that. God. See, that
- 20:19right there, that's just like, you're done. You're
- 20:22done before you started. That was not a good
- 20:24moment for not ago and it was the Jags. So nobody
- 20:27cares. So it's like he can still, I think he's
- 20:30a great coordinator. I think he's a good coordinator.
- 20:34Um, but they suck. So yeah, it's the Texas. Yeah.
- 20:38Yeah. All right. We're going to move on. Yeah.
- 20:42It's the, I think it's the Texas, but, uh, now
- 20:44we're going to NFC, NFC East. We're going to
- 20:47go with the Superbowl champs, Philadelphia Eagles,
- 20:51chalk pick, but I mean, What else are you going
- 20:53to do? NFC North, Hot Take, Detroit Lions. I
- 20:59don't think they'll be as good as they were this
- 21:02year. I agree. Or last year, but I think they
- 21:06could still get it done and go back to back in
- 21:08that division. I agree. It's between them or
- 21:11the Packers. I was going to say the Packers.
- 21:13Packers are close, but yeah. It was close last
- 21:17year. I'm still going to go with the Lions. NFC
- 21:22South going with the Bucs. This is a very safe
- 21:25pick for this division. This division also stinks
- 21:29and the bake show is, he's coming back and I
- 21:36love it. I love it that he's like actually on
- 21:38a team that is cool. Not like the Browns. The
- 21:42Browns are not cool. Browns are not a cool team.
- 21:44Fucking Panthers. Yeah. I think the Panthers
- 21:48are cool, but Like they're just not good. They're
- 21:52not good. They weren't when he played for them.
- 21:54They were... Oh, oh, yeah. I totally forgot about
- 21:57that when they were playing. I mean, yeah, it
- 21:58was like half a season. Baker has come into this
- 22:04offense that wasn't built for him, but he's got
- 22:10really good players around him, and he's made
- 22:13this team his own. And it's pretty awesome to
- 22:17see. Bucks, easy winner. And then I'm going with
- 22:21the Rams, the NFC West. I know 49ers would have
- 22:30been a safer pick, but it takes one injury from
- 22:36the 49ers, and they're done. They go down a slope.
- 22:42They lose seven games in a row off of one guy.
- 22:46Like they're built very top -heavy I For sure
- 22:52it it seems like the past I don't know like eight
- 22:57years. It's One year the Niners are literally
- 23:02the best team in the league and then the next
- 23:05year they have about 15 injuries and and they
- 23:10get a lottery pick and and then the next year
- 23:15They're amazing again. And then maybe the next
- 23:18year, they're also amazing. But then the year
- 23:21after that, it's injury city. And so they didn't
- 23:29make the playoffs last year, did they? I don't
- 23:32think so. Yeah. At one point, they were like
- 23:35five and seven or something. Yeah. At one point,
- 23:38they were not doing well. Yeah. So I think this
- 23:42might be the Be a good year for the Niners, but
- 23:46I definitely see where you're coming from and
- 23:49I think that statement is also true throughout
- 23:52the entire NFC West like it only takes One thing
- 23:55to go wrong for that entire division and it's
- 23:58anyone's game at that point. So That's my thought
- 24:03process behind it. I know there's There's heavy
- 24:06question marks big red question marks around
- 24:09the Rams and Matt Stafford right now, but Who
- 24:15knows it's something with his back right like
- 24:17Yeah, yeah, and that's not it's not good. Yeah,
- 24:22it's not good for a guy like that. It's not good
- 24:25Especially when you're like, let's face it old
- 24:27or older Five right something like that. He's
- 24:32old in the NFL. Oh, yeah NFL age he's old. He's
- 24:37old anyways Yeah, you ever known someone to have
- 24:45a who used to have a bad back No, no They have
- 24:51a bad back That's how that shit works Okay Any
- 24:59that's what I got hell yeah that but then We
- 25:02can move on to player stuff. What's the? What's
- 25:06the line on that? Oh, yes, it is plus forty forty
- 25:10four thousand seven hundred and forty three $5
- 25:13to win $225. Wait, one more time. That'd be pretty
- 25:19cool. Not too shabby. $5 to win $25 ,000? $2
- 25:26,500. $2 ,250. Okay. Hey, why not? Yeah, why
- 25:38not? Who cares? Why not? It's only money. I have
- 25:43something I just want to throw out there. Not
- 25:44a bet, but it's just something that popped into
- 25:47my brain when you're talking to vision winners.
- 25:50This is going to sound gross, but hear me out.
- 25:54I just want to talk it out and feel free to tell
- 25:56me I'm a dumb ass. That's all we do here is just
- 25:59talk it out. The Carolina Panthers are plus 475.
- 26:03We're not doing this again. We're not doing this
- 26:07again. You did this two years ago? No, I didn't
- 26:12do this. I said, I didn't think they're going
- 26:14to be as bad as they were. I'm pretty sure you
- 26:18bet the Carolina Panthers to win that division
- 26:20in like, I think I bet their win total over.
- 26:24Maybe that was it, but that had, it was nowhere
- 26:28close. No, it wasn't. And I'm just saying, I
- 26:33don't think it'll happen, but I think plus four
- 26:3575, it could be worth a flyer. Bryce young, after
- 26:37he came back from getting benched, looked pretty
- 26:40good. I have done zero research on if they improve
- 26:43their defense at all. So this is this was just
- 26:45something that popped into my brain. It was traded
- 26:48out in Thielen, too. I mean, fine. I mean, it's
- 26:52like it's. But I mean, I'm just saying, like,
- 26:55that's like anxious guy is. I mean, he didn't.
- 27:00He had his old games last year. He's yeah. We're
- 27:03talking about old is for white wide receivers.
- 27:07He's 60. He's going back to Minnesota, retire
- 27:14a Viking. That's gotta be it. But I was just
- 27:18throwing that out there. I'm not going to take
- 27:22it, but it's just something that I was like,
- 27:25Hey, because like the box, like, Hey, what if
- 27:28God forbid Baker gets hurt? What if like just
- 27:32the offensive coordinator? I still don't think
- 27:34Todd Bowles is very good head coach. What if
- 27:36something bad happens? Um, the Falcons, what
- 27:39if Pinnix sucks then They have nothing unless
- 27:43Kirk Cousins, I guess, could still play. I guess
- 27:47he's still employed by them. I don't know if
- 27:51he's there. He's their backup. But like, is it
- 27:55kind of like a Deshaun Watson thing? Obviously
- 27:56nowhere near the same scenario. Don't want to
- 28:00throw that out there, but it's like, yeah, he's
- 28:02on the team, but like. He doesn't want to be
- 28:06there. We don't really want him here like he's
- 28:10just kind of here. We kind of like that situation.
- 28:13I don't know if you remember this, Chris, but
- 28:14we did briefly talk about the trends on like
- 28:18the the Carolina Panthers making the Super Bowl
- 28:21this year. Do you remember this conversation?
- 28:25I do. Yeah, I forgot the parameters, but it was
- 28:30something, but it was something cosmic. It was
- 28:33like the past two times that JLo has gotten a
- 28:38divorce. The Carolina Panthers go to the Go to
- 28:41the Super Bowl. I think there was something else
- 28:43there, too. Yeah, there was something like actually
- 28:45more concrete than that. But that was just an
- 28:48extra. I'd have to I'd have to look that one
- 28:51up. But but yes, we we did talk about this. And,
- 28:57you know, we're going to make the Super Bowl.
- 28:59They might as well win the division. You know,
- 29:04that ain't going to happen. But it just it popped
- 29:07in my brain. I was like, hey. Something about
- 29:09the Carolina Panthers, man. I just can't. And
- 29:13like even before you said it, I knew that's where
- 29:15you were going. If I'm being totally honest,
- 29:17like I was like, he's going to talk about the
- 29:19goddamn Carolina Panthers right now. Just saying
- 29:22they talk about JLo. Bryson played really well
- 29:25last few games of the season. They still didn't
- 29:28win very many games, but. Well, all I can say
- 29:32is good luck to him. Yeah, I mean that ain't
- 29:36happening But if they win the Super Bowl it would
- 29:42be you heard it here first Yes, you definitely
- 29:46heard it here first Clip this clip this clip
- 29:49this. Yes Okay All right, cool Moving on God.
- 29:56Yeah, sorry Jesus Give me a break here I'm gonna
- 30:04give one player prop Real fast here, then we'll
- 30:10move on to player props for all of us Moving
- 30:14on I'm gonna take DK met calf over six and a
- 30:19half receiving touchdowns at minus 130 Listen,
- 30:23okay He's on the Steelers Aaron Rodgers. Yes,
- 30:28he's like 70 years old and He trips acid on the
- 30:35reg But let's call a spade a spade here last
- 30:38year the Jets not a very good team Garrett Wilson
- 30:43had seven receiving touchdowns Aaron Rodgers
- 30:47is a perennial. I have my guy and he's going
- 30:51to get fed DK Metcalf is the best receiving threat
- 30:56on the Steelers and I'm betting DK Metcalf is
- 31:00gonna get over six and a half receiving touchdowns
- 31:04and find us 130 Yeah, that's that's the bulk
- 31:10of it. I mean the Jets aren't even a competent
- 31:12organization Not a when's the last time they
- 31:16had a coach that lasted more than five years
- 31:18now Aaron Rodgers has Arguably one of the best
- 31:23coaches in the league maybe even ever you know
- 31:29let's call it okay well you know it's no it's
- 31:34a no not ever he's he is one of the best coaches
- 31:39right now yeah he's one of the best spot he's
- 31:43a top five coach right now yes because he's a
- 31:46top 32 coach right now listen very good coach
- 31:52no he's really good at going 500 Above the roster
- 31:58that he's got for some of these like yes, I'm
- 32:01just saying He's got we're just joking around
- 32:05Just joking around that has gone above 500 He
- 32:10is a competent smart football mind proven football
- 32:14mind Now we has Aaron Rodgers now. He has DK
- 32:18Metcalf feed DK Over six and a half receiving
- 32:24touchdowns, and I feel like that is a Pretty
- 32:27good bet. I don't know if we have some comments
- 32:30here before we move on But no, I mean you made
- 32:34some very compelling arguments, and I think that's
- 32:37a good bet Hell yes one. I did not think about
- 32:41yes So speaking of the Steelers I do have Aaron
- 32:47Rodgers under 3200 passing yards I feel like
- 32:53just with this, like this new offense is going
- 32:58to be expected to be a very run heavy approach,
- 33:01especially like under our shout out Arthur Smith
- 33:05as OC. We all know that, you know, he loves to
- 33:10run the ball and the Steelers have not had a
- 33:14single quarterback to throw for over 3000 passing
- 33:16yards since Ben Roethlisberger in 2021. Damn,
- 33:23he was the most recent. Yes. I feel like Ben
- 33:28Roethlisberger's been out of the league for like
- 33:2910 years. Yeah, that's yeah. All right. He said
- 33:3421. I was like, no, he played during like the
- 33:36COVID days and that. Yeah, I don't remember that.
- 33:41I'll take it. I just don't remember it. I know
- 33:43that's that's factual, but that just like hearing
- 33:46that like shit. Like, I feel like, again, especially
- 33:50when I see clips of him now, I feel like he's
- 33:5350 years old. I feel like it's been decades without
- 33:58Ben Roethlisberger. Yeah. And, you know, he's
- 34:02also 41 years old and behind a O -line that really
- 34:06isn't. It's average at best. I'll say it's average.
- 34:14But I'm gonna go under his his passing yards
- 34:17for this season that makes I think that's fair.
- 34:20I like that is fair What's the line on that?
- 34:24It is I don't know if you said it minus 120 I
- 34:31Did not that's good. That's fair All right, well
- 34:36let's break then yes, let me get some more water
- 34:41Moving on to other player props. Chris, do you
- 34:45have any player props for us? Yes, I've got two.
- 34:50My first one is kind of in the same vein as Sean's.
- 34:53It is also a quarterback total passing yards
- 34:56under. I'm going with JJ McCarthy under 3 ,600
- 35:02and a half passing yards. I don't know why this
- 35:07line is so high. I know he has the best receiver
- 35:10in football. Arguably on his team But JJ McCarthy
- 35:14sucks He's I don't know what he did in high school
- 35:20he never passed for more than 3 ,000 yards in
- 35:23a season in college I know it was a very run
- 35:26-heavy offense, but still Your you expect me
- 35:29to believe he's gonna throw for over 3 ,600 yards
- 35:33at the hardest level of the sport in his first
- 35:38year I'm not buying it. I know, um, Vikings coach,
- 35:44Kevin McConnell, correct? I was blanking it.
- 35:47That's his name, right? Now you got me second
- 35:50guessing. Yeah, I think so. Yeah. Yeah. I think
- 35:54the Vikings head coach is very good at turning
- 35:57kind of just made quarterbacks into pretty damn
- 36:01good. As we saw with Sam Darnall last season,
- 36:03I just, I just don't see it. I mean, I think
- 36:07he's just not a very good quarterback. And also
- 36:09he's coming off of a ACL injury where he missed
- 36:13all of last season, some sort of leg injury where
- 36:15he missed all of last season. So, I just don't
- 36:19see him throwing for 3 ,600 passing outs or 3
- 36:23,601 passing outs. He can throw for 3 ,600. He
- 36:28tore his meniscus. Meniscus, that was it. What
- 36:31was the line on that? Minus Hold on one ten I
- 36:40Am the literally about to take that right now
- 36:43Yeah, I if you if you factor in like dude He
- 36:48didn't even like he played a couple preseason
- 36:51games and then that's where he got injured and
- 36:53you know He got hurt and practice less. It wasn't
- 36:56even a priest. He got hurt practice out and I
- 36:59don't I haven't been following Vikings preseason
- 37:01I don't know if he's played at all I mean, I
- 37:06even had to would have played even if he has
- 37:07like who gives a shit it's preseason. Like, I
- 37:11just I don't see it that line just feels outrageously
- 37:14high. It really does. And I'm I'm literally about
- 37:20to say this right now. When we even when you
- 37:23factor in Jordan Addison, I mean, he's gonna
- 37:25be suspended for the first four games. That's
- 37:28a he I mean, he's gonna be behind the eight ball.
- 37:31I mean, who's he got? Yeah, like for the first
- 37:33four, he's got Justin Jefferson, obviously phenomenal,
- 37:36but like when he's really the only receiving
- 37:39threat you have for the first four games, I mean,
- 37:43they're just going to double them. And I don't
- 37:45trust JJ to throw in a double coverage. I barely
- 37:48trust him to throw in a single coverage. So yeah,
- 37:52this is probably my favorite preseason prop just
- 37:56because. Holy shit. I just think he's bad. I
- 38:00have to place this right now. Yes, do run, run
- 38:04to the window. I actually don't really, it's
- 38:05been this this line for a week because I bet
- 38:08it a week ago and it's the exact same. JJ McCarthy
- 38:12under 3599 .5 rushing yards. Receive or passing.
- 38:20Jesus Christ will. We're falling apart. I said
- 38:23receiving. I'm literally play I'd literally just
- 38:28placed it right now. Um, that is a gem of a Of
- 38:34a pick right there. That's there's no if fans
- 38:37or buts This is I think this is up there with
- 38:41one of Chris's Hall of Fame Hall of Fame picks
- 38:45as your your your Michigan What was it? over
- 38:50ten and a half wins when they That was that was
- 38:54stupid easy. That was a that was funny. Who cares
- 38:58if they were cheating the whole time though?
- 39:02I feel like they really didn't even need to.
- 39:04I mean they were the best team in college football.
- 39:08They were and I mean the whole cheating thing
- 39:11is. Say we will. I think it's blown out of proportion,
- 39:14but whatever that's a conversation for. I guess
- 39:17a couple months ago in the summer when we had
- 39:19nothing to talk about, but yeah, yeah. And also
- 39:22JJ was on that team. So maybe I'm just a Michigan
- 39:27whisperer. I had one bet on them too. So I'm
- 39:32not, but yeah, JJ McCarthy under 3 ,600 and a
- 39:37half passing. Wow. That is, um, that's a gem
- 39:42right there. I just laid that shit all in the
- 39:46line. Um, hell yes. This is why we do it. because
- 39:50we help each other make money and we help the
- 39:53people make money. OK, moving on. I have a Super
- 40:00Bowl winner. I don't know what you guys have
- 40:02left. More player props, more OK, I have two
- 40:07player props like I just got them. Yeah, I can
- 40:10get them real quick. I don't know what Sean's
- 40:11there, but yeah, you guys do your player props
- 40:14and then I guess I'll wrap it up with this with
- 40:16a Super Bowl pick. That sounds good. Sean, do
- 40:21you wanna go first? Yeah, give me one second.
- 40:25I'm trying to pull mine up. I guess whoever gets
- 40:28there first can go. God damn. Sorry, I was, I
- 40:31got locked out of my FanDuel account. All right.
- 40:34I mean, Shman Shmole account. All right, I got
- 40:39mine. The hometown boy, Calvin Ridley. wide receiver
- 40:44one for our favorite Cameron Lord over 925 and
- 40:47a half passing or receiving yards. Good Lord.
- 40:49Receiving yards. Um, he had a thousand yards
- 40:54last season with Will Levis and Mason Rudolph.
- 40:57If he can't get 926 with the number one overall
- 41:01pick, what the fuck are we doing here? This is
- 41:05pretty much, is he going to be healthy? Because
- 41:07not only is he the best receiver on the team,
- 41:09he is kind of like the only, at least as of now.
- 41:13Prior to week one, really the only reliable wide
- 41:17receiver on the team. So I think just based on
- 41:22volume alone, he should crush this. So yeah,
- 41:26Calvin really over 925 and a half receiving yards.
- 41:29I agree, but I do think Elick, Ayo Manor. Uh,
- 41:34I think that guy's going to be a stud. Everything
- 41:36I've heard. It seems like this guy's going to
- 41:38be a stud and I need something to look forward
- 41:41to for the future. Like, yeah, he's good. Like,
- 41:44I think it'll be good. But like, as of now, like
- 41:46I don't... Oh yeah, there's nothing to base off
- 41:50of right now. Yeah. It's like Ridley is wide
- 41:52receiver one, like, and there's not really a
- 41:58two or three. No question. No question. So, yeah,
- 42:03it's really just a, he's going to get, I would
- 42:07say, at least... 60, 70 % of the targets every
- 42:11game. So, it's a volume pick, really. And then,
- 42:17I have my other one, if you want me to do that.
- 42:19I don't know if Sean's still... No, because we're
- 42:23already on you. On Smanshmul, JJ McCarthy's at
- 42:293575. Oh, well, that's Schmaffschmings. He said
- 42:35the one I got. All right. I'll probably do, I'll
- 42:38probably do it on Schmaf Schminks instead of
- 42:40Schman Schmool. I really like this bit that we
- 42:44do. I, I, I placed my, my under bet on Schmet
- 42:48Schme Schmick Schmive. Ah, okay. My, my other
- 42:55future bet is purely a vibes play. AJ Brown over
- 42:59seven and a half receiving touchdowns at plus
- 43:01120. Um, Feel like if you can give he hasn't
- 43:06he's had seven even his last the last two seasons
- 43:08But I think he is one of the best ward receivers
- 43:12in all football So if you can give me to get
- 43:15eight touchdowns at plus money, I'm gonna take
- 43:17it That it's a it's a vibes play there's not
- 43:21really a whole lot of research into it is pretty
- 43:23much strictly a vibes play Hell yeah, I have
- 43:28on my fantasy team so Not that that is important,
- 43:33but hope he sucks every ever. Hope he's great
- 43:37every week other than the week I play you. I
- 43:43hope he's great every week. As you should, I
- 43:48still got love for the guy. I hope he crushes
- 43:50it, but. Right, John John, how we doing over
- 43:53here? Yeah, we're good. You seem we're good.
- 43:55You seem puzzled. Yeah, one of the lines moved
- 43:59on mine. I was going to take David Montgomery
- 44:03under nine and a half rushing touchdowns, but
- 44:06it's moved to eight at even money. So is he still
- 44:12in the Lions? Yeah. Yeah. Which is like it's
- 44:16it's year three of the, you know, Sonic and Knuckles
- 44:18thing that they're doing. But also Jameer Gibbs
- 44:22is a lot better than David Montgomery is. So
- 44:26David Montgomery is the more like goal line back,
- 44:29though. Yeah, yeah. Like you get inside the 10.
- 44:33He's a vulture. More or less, yeah. He's the
- 44:38vulture. But also no Ben Johnson this year. So
- 44:42maybe the new guy really likes Gibbs. I don't
- 44:44know. I mean, I'd like Gibbs more than Irene.
- 44:48But I will say I will be taking Devontae Smith
- 44:52over 850 and a half receiving yards this season.
- 44:59Yeah, I mean 50 yeah How many is he had in years
- 45:06prior you're right, I'm not sure but all right
- 45:12Well, cuz I have no idea like I that does seem
- 45:15low but you could have told me he had 800 yards
- 45:17last year You know what? I kind of believe it
- 45:19cuz I think it was hurt. Yeah, I think every
- 45:22receiver that's worth the shit like They get
- 45:25like a thousand yards every year like Oh, well,
- 45:27there's also, there's two wide receiver ones
- 45:29on that team. You're right. You got to factor
- 45:32that in. That's really the only thing that's,
- 45:35and I obviously health, but that kind of goes
- 45:37without saying for everyone. And, uh, just cause
- 45:43you know, just for the hell of it, I am going
- 45:46to take Mike Evans over a thousand and a half
- 45:49receiving yards because. Oh, is it a thousand
- 45:52and a half? It's a thousand and a half. I'm taking
- 45:54that. Yeah. That's... What are we talking about?
- 46:00I mean, they've proven... Proven he can do it.
- 46:04That they will get it to him. Yeah, no matter
- 46:07what, if he's within 100 of it, going into week
- 46:1118, if he's healthy, they will force feed him
- 46:14the football. What was it, the last play with
- 46:18three seconds left? They got him like five yards
- 46:22to get over. There's like 1001 yards. Yeah. And
- 46:27I could see that. That's awesome. I can't remember
- 46:30exactly the scenario. Like that is what happened,
- 46:32but I don't remember. I don't remember who they're
- 46:35playing. It was obviously a meaningless game
- 46:37because I won the division, but like handedly,
- 46:40but I was, I'm trying to remember like who they're
- 46:42playing. If they just kind of let them get it
- 46:44because like, Everyone in the league loves Mike
- 46:47Evans, I feel like. Aside from Marshawn Latimore
- 46:49if he's still playing football. But it's like,
- 46:56you let him get a thousand yards if there's a
- 46:57chance. Yeah. Right. Okay, so I pulled up the
- 47:01Devontae Smith numbers. Last year he had 833
- 47:06yards. But the two years prior to that he had
- 47:09over a thousand and then 2021 he had 916 so his
- 47:15rookie year. He had 916 yards So he's only had
- 47:18one year where he hasn't cracked that was a 875
- 47:23850 yeah, he's only had one year that he hadn't
- 47:28even cracked that 850 and even then he was okay.
- 47:31He was Like he missed like he missed he missed
- 47:34the last three games of the sea. Yeah Yeah, yeah,
- 47:38that's right. So it's kind of like if he's healthy
- 47:41then He's he's good, so I think I'm also gonna
- 47:46drink that Player is frequency Hell yes Look
- 47:55at us. Look at us. Just making just cooking fun
- 47:59with futures Just we're we're having fun with
- 48:02futures and it's only minus 110 Man. All right.
- 48:10Is there any more player props before I do my
- 48:12Super Bowl pick? That's all I got. No, I think.
- 48:16Okay. So we had, let's just recap it real quick.
- 48:20Chris, you had the J .J. McCarthy. Mm -hmm. I
- 48:24had Aaron Rodgers under, DeFonte Smith over,
- 48:28Mike Evans over. Also had Calvin Ridley over
- 48:319 .25 and a half. I'll take that. And I had DK
- 48:35Metcalf over six and a half receiving touchdowns.
- 48:39Oh, and I had AJ over seven and a half receiving
- 48:41touchdowns. You did have that. For the vibes.
- 48:45Okay. There's your, uh, there, there's your DK
- 48:51Metcalf. Sorry. Sorry. You're good. Um, all right.
- 48:56So my Superbowl pick, uh, it is chalk, but it's
- 49:01also not chalk. It is there. They're tied with
- 49:06the most favored. It's the Buffalo Bills at plus
- 49:10650 I hate to be that guy but it I I think this
- 49:19is I Think this could potentially be the year
- 49:24that this is this is the last kind of year that
- 49:28that the chiefs are fucking unbeatable And it's
- 49:35I hate being this guy because every time someone
- 49:38is this guy the Chiefs are Unstoppable they win
- 49:44three more Yeah, yeah, it's it's I hate it. It's
- 49:49stupid. But at the same time. It's like it had
- 49:54it's it's either like Yeah, the Ravens could
- 49:57win the Super Bowl. I guess but it's It's just
- 50:02like the Bills The bills like they are they've
- 50:05been building for this for so long and it's It
- 50:10just feels like one of those off years That the
- 50:13Chiefs don't make the Super Bowl. That's just
- 50:17what it feels like It it feels like we're We're
- 50:25on a downturn of of Chiefs teams I haven't done
- 50:29a ton of research on on the Chiefs roster as
- 50:32of late, but um it's just kind of like it's either
- 50:37the if the bills don't run into the chiefs on
- 50:43in the playoffs i think i think it's guaranteed
- 50:47i think it's guaranteed i i see this as a as
- 50:51a capitals getting out of the second round situation
- 50:55as soon as the caps got out of the second round
- 50:58literally nothing was stopping Like, yeah, like
- 51:02Tampa Bay forced a game seven, but it didn't
- 51:05matter. It didn't matter because the Caps got
- 51:08out of the second round. They're going all the
- 51:11way. It just feels like if the Bills get out
- 51:16of the AFC, get out of the AFC either beating
- 51:22the Chiefs or just not even playing the Chiefs,
- 51:27it's done. it's done there it is because it's
- 51:32it's just and I hate to be this guy because as
- 51:36soon as someone fucking says that the Chiefs
- 51:38are not gonna win the Super Bowl they win the
- 51:40Super Bowl and it's just it is so hard to be
- 51:43this dominant in in this era of the NFL and like
- 51:49The Eagles could very well win the Super Bowl
- 51:52and go back to back But at the same time dude,
- 51:56it is so hard to go back to back in this in this
- 52:01era of the NFL. And I it is a chalk pick, because
- 52:08like they're they're tied with with being the
- 52:11most favored with the Ravens at plus 650. But
- 52:15dude, I, I want the bills to win the Super Bowl.
- 52:20I want the bills to win the Super Bowl. It's
- 52:25I don't I don't want to see anyone else win the
- 52:28Super Bowl, except maybe the Titans, but that's
- 52:30not going to happen. Maybe. I mean, yes, there's
- 52:34not. There's a there's a non zero chance that
- 52:37the that the Titans win the Super Bowl. There's
- 52:39a non zero chance. But if I'm if I have a chance.
- 52:44Yeah, no, there's a non zero. There's there's
- 52:45a non zero. Maybe one one. There's everyone going
- 52:52into the NFL season has a chance to win the Super
- 52:55Bowl. That's a fact that is a that is a known
- 52:58fact. We don't know Anything about any of these
- 53:01teams we can we can we can diagnose preseason
- 53:04all we want and we could diagnose offseason moves
- 53:08But there is a there is a chance that every single
- 53:11team has a shot to win the Super Bowl They do
- 53:15have I'm going to hammer the New Orleans Saints
- 53:17to win the Super Bowl this year. I Wouldn't recommend
- 53:21that but they do have a shout They do have a
- 53:25chance. They've got half a chance. They have
- 53:27half of a percent of a chance based on what we
- 53:32know about them. But everything we know about
- 53:35them could be wrong. So I'm taking the bills
- 53:39and I'm going to get off my soapbox and we can
- 53:42move on. If you guys want to say something, you
- 53:44can. If not, we're going to move on. I like it.
- 53:49I'm with you. I really want to see the bills
- 53:51win one. That's just it's a fan base that needs
- 53:55it and Yeah, and it's also like a soil sort of
- 54:00like a lot of averages like at some point the
- 54:02chiefs like They got to get balanced and like
- 54:05did the division around at some point and it's
- 54:08also like the bills They got a breakthrough at
- 54:11some point. So we all thought last year was the
- 54:15year I mean A lot of people are wrong a lot.
- 54:21So fuck it. Why not this year? Right, okay, it's
- 54:26Sorry, go ahead Sean. No here. Here's what I'll
- 54:30say I Want if anybody in the league besides the
- 54:36Titans is going to win the Super Bowl I would
- 54:38want it to be the Buffalo Bills. Oh A thousand
- 54:41use them or the Lions, but yeah them or the Lions
- 54:44just a misery franchise needs to win the Super
- 54:47Bowl but What comes with misery when a team finally
- 54:55You know crest that hill to get there comes suffering
- 55:00So we got to think about that. So It's gonna
- 55:06sound really mean but During your wedding weekend
- 55:11when you had all the family over at our place
- 55:14and they were hammering you about being a Titans
- 55:17fan Dude, the chiefs were dog shit. Dog shit
- 55:24for years. And now they think they are the highest
- 55:29of the high. They are gone. And that is insufferable.
- 55:35And I just want one for the bills. That's it.
- 55:41Did you know about this, Chris? Oh, yes. I know.
- 55:45Did you like the day after I got married? I didn't
- 55:50know. Yeah, yeah, I know. I know they just give
- 55:53you shit all the time. I didn't know. Oh, they
- 55:56do. They do. I didn't know there was like another
- 55:58specific instance. Yes, this is an isolated incident.
- 56:02I mean, I guess it wasn't isolated, but the day
- 56:05after I got married. 30 people came over to my
- 56:09house and I had to grill for them and. Well,
- 56:13first, yeah. I would've been like, you grill
- 56:16for me. I just got fuckin' married. It was not
- 56:21an option. It was not an option for me. I didn't
- 56:24buy the food, she bought the food, Koda's mother
- 56:27bought the food. Okay, okay. I just had to grill
- 56:30it, which was fine, whatever. You do anything
- 56:34for family. And you know, they gave me some shit
- 56:38about being a Titans fan, it's like, I'm fuckin'
- 56:41from here. Lick my ass. I don't and it's it's
- 56:47just like listen like if I was a fan of a team
- 56:51and they were dogshit for like my whole life
- 56:54much like the Titans like and they they were
- 56:57like the most dominant team they were they became
- 57:00the New England Patriots it's like of course
- 57:03I would literally tell everyone to suck my fucking
- 57:06dick like Like eat my ass. I'm better than you
- 57:11Totally get it, but like yes, you were dogshit
- 57:16Don't You whatever the idea it's if I've ever
- 57:23about this, but do you ever say like hey you
- 57:27do know before Angie Reed you guys were the laughing
- 57:31like not the laughing stock, but I Mean just
- 57:35a perennial losers. Okay, they bring it themselves.
- 57:37Okay, as long as they admit that I mean, yeah
- 57:40Yes, Juice fans are the fucking worst. But as
- 57:46long as they admit that, that's passable. I will
- 57:52say, the Preds were catching strays in that house,
- 57:55too, which was not cool. Well, they weren't really
- 57:58catching strays. They were catching a little
- 58:00strays. Okay, it wasn't really it's not a thing
- 58:03for them. Yeah, but they don't they were like,
- 58:06oh you did like they were just like I don't know
- 58:08I only heard like a few things, but I was like,
- 58:12yeah I'm going to bed. I'm not They saw the president's
- 58:17trophy banner and they were like, what is what
- 58:20does that mean? I'm like, they're the best team
- 58:21in the regular season and they're like, what
- 58:23is what does that mean? How is that different
- 58:25from the Stanley Cup and I was like Is that alone
- 58:29you have no rights talk about hockey If you don't
- 58:32know the difference between playoffs and regular
- 58:33season I was like Stanley Cup is the playoffs
- 58:38President's trophy is the best team in the regular
- 58:41season and they're like, oh, okay Did they win?
- 58:45No, no actually like really bad now like oh kind
- 58:48of like the Titans and I'm like, yes kind of
- 58:50like the Titans And it was just okay, let's let's
- 58:56stop talking about this let's move on Uh, I don't
- 59:00know how much more time we have. Let's get into
- 59:03college. Well, I can talk about this for the
- 59:06rest of the episode. Last thing I'll say, giving
- 59:09the keys to the Bills, like fan base, off of
- 59:14a dominant, off of like a dominant, like sort
- 59:18of franchise, like the Chiefs are, is so dangerous.
- 59:23Just one. It's this year and it's this one. That's
- 59:27what I don't know. I feel like the bills have
- 59:30enough just misery ingrained in them Kind of
- 59:34much like the Lions. I feel like They will net
- 59:38they they will net. Yes, they will be obnoxious
- 59:40because every fan base of a dynasty is obnoxious
- 59:44But I can kind of get they could probably be
- 59:47like a hey We were dog shit for 20 years and
- 59:52that's great fine. We get that but also Yeah,
- 59:57we're gonna be like, again, like every fan base
- 1:00:00of a dynasty is the worst. So but I feel like
- 1:00:04the bills have a chance to be plus they're just
- 1:00:06fun as fuck. So I think they have a chance to
- 1:00:09be the most sufferable if they do become some
- 1:00:12sort of dynasty. Right. Oh, so become the most
- 1:00:17insufferable. No, the most sufferable. I mean,
- 1:00:20they also do have the chance to become the most
- 1:00:22insufferable. I think it's the latter. I think
- 1:00:26it's the latter, honestly. Like if you give a
- 1:00:28mouse a cookie, you give a mouse a cookie, dude.
- 1:00:31Like, you know, that's fair. I'm saying they
- 1:00:36can have this one. If they get another one, it's
- 1:00:40over. Like it's like I will probably forever
- 1:00:44hate the bills like they will be. That's when
- 1:00:46they will become unsufferable. Okay, let's get
- 1:00:49into college insufferable. Let's get into college.
- 1:00:52I think we're running out of time Well, we're
- 1:00:54not running we can do another one We can sir.
- 1:00:56I just want to circle back to this if we have
- 1:00:58time, but I think we need to get to college I
- 1:01:00don't think I don't think we will Okay, whatever
- 1:01:04all right moving on Okay, so week zero went fairly
- 1:01:10well for two out of three of us Moving on to
- 1:01:15week one. I I don't have really any specific
- 1:01:20plays that I love I'll just I mean, I guess I'll
- 1:01:24just go over a minor. I don't I have USF Plus
- 1:01:29five and a half for Thursday's game. There was
- 1:01:33a trend on it. I'm blindly taking it They play
- 1:01:37Boise State. Is that who it is? Yes. Yeah I think
- 1:01:43that's it's Okay, so all the trends on trend
- 1:01:48center are Blatantly pointing to taking every
- 1:01:52single underdog in every single under which if
- 1:01:57you look at the trends and You and you just follow
- 1:02:01them you you're gonna make you're gonna end up
- 1:02:03in the green so USF was one of them and I'm taking
- 1:02:08them I will say so the number one trend for This
- 1:02:14week in college football. It's titled the week
- 1:02:17one primetime moderate favorite unders and these
- 1:02:22are over unders that are less than 58 and this
- 1:02:27trend is 52 and 16 9 and 1 in the last 10 and
- 1:02:33Those trends are Central Michigan San Jose State
- 1:02:36under 50 and a half LSU Clemson Under 57 and
- 1:02:41a half Southeast Louisiana and Louisiana Tech
- 1:02:46under 49 and a half Yes, that is a yuck in Idaho
- 1:02:52and Washington State under 50 and a half I'm
- 1:02:58taking those four plays those four unders as
- 1:03:01well as USF plus five and a half and the Vols
- 1:03:04minus 14 because Go Vols. And that's, I mean,
- 1:03:08that's really all I have to say. I really don't
- 1:03:10have anything else to add to what I have so far
- 1:03:20for this week one in college football. Chris,
- 1:03:26you go because I know that Sean Doesn't have
- 1:03:31anything currently so Chris Please enlighten
- 1:03:35us with some actually well -informed thoughts
- 1:03:37Alright, I'll try my best. I guess I have USF.
- 1:03:41I haven't plus six and a half I was able to get
- 1:03:44it. I got it at an alt line But it was right
- 1:03:47as it moved that plus five and a half was still
- 1:03:50even money I got plus six and a half and minus
- 1:03:52113 still worth playing. I would play to five
- 1:03:56and a half to I had Boise without Ash and Gentie,
- 1:04:00new offensive coordinator, traveling across the
- 1:04:02country. It's going to be like 95 degrees or
- 1:04:04something like that. Humid as fuck. We saw Boise
- 1:04:07State in a similar spot last season. They're
- 1:04:10playing Georgia Southern. I believe that game
- 1:04:12ended like 56 to like 48 something like some
- 1:04:16Boise won, but it was a That shit crazy game
- 1:04:19and action ginger ran for like 260 yards and
- 1:04:21six touchdowns. They don't have action gente
- 1:04:23this year. I'm not taking them. Uh, like usf.
- 1:04:27Um, I have keeping with Thursday night. I got
- 1:04:31Buffalo plus 17 and a half against Minnesota.
- 1:04:34I just don't think Minnesota is very good. I
- 1:04:36think Buffalo is kind of an under, they're very
- 1:04:38much under the radar team. They are, they have
- 1:04:41the best defense and the Mac. I think they can
- 1:04:43hold just like a middling. Minnesota offense
- 1:04:46to not a lot of points. Um, and I think they'll
- 1:04:49cover 17 and a half. Like they're not going to
- 1:04:51win. They, but they don't, I don't even want
- 1:04:54to keep it within 18 points. Um, last Thursday
- 1:04:59play Nebraska minus six and a half. This is a
- 1:05:03trend center play from this beauty. This is called
- 1:05:06phase Cincinnati as a dog since 2021 when Cincinnati
- 1:05:10is an underdog. Obviously since 2021 and the
- 1:05:13total is less than 59 like it is on Thursday
- 1:05:16night. Cincinnati or the team playing Cincinnati,
- 1:05:20I should say is 13, three and one against the
- 1:05:24spread. So I'll be taking Nebraska minus six
- 1:05:26and a half. Um, do you want me to do Friday plays
- 1:05:29too? I got two of those. Sure. Two. Okay. Uh,
- 1:05:35Georgia tech minus four and a half against Colorado.
- 1:05:37Georgia tech. is pretty good. They're returning
- 1:05:40a lot of talent from last season, including quarterback,
- 1:05:44running back, second best wide receiver. Colorado,
- 1:05:50obviously no Shador Sanders, no Travis Hunter.
- 1:05:52They're rebuilding. I think they're going to
- 1:05:54be pretty bad this year. And Deion might retire.
- 1:05:57Um, so yeah, Georgia tech minus four and a half
- 1:06:00and then UNLV Sam Houston over 60 with 60 and
- 1:06:04a half UNLD UNLV's defense is fucking terrible.
- 1:06:09Idaho state did pretty much whatever they wanted
- 1:06:11almost the entire game. Um, Sam Houston put up
- 1:06:16some points against Western Kentucky obviously
- 1:06:18didn't win, but they were able to hold their
- 1:06:19own on offense. So I think, and I think UNLV's
- 1:06:23defense is worse than Western's. So let's take
- 1:06:26the over 60 and a half. It was the same line
- 1:06:29that WKU Sam Houston was last season or last
- 1:06:32week. So yeah, like that. And those are my Thursday
- 1:06:35and Friday plays. Keep a lookout for on the Twitter
- 1:06:39for Saturday, because there will be a lot. I
- 1:06:41love the board. I just haven't locked him in
- 1:06:43yet. Oh, yeah. Actually, boots on the ground.
- 1:06:47Tennessee minus 13 and a half. I'll be in Atlanta
- 1:06:49for that one. So go balls. The balls are playing
- 1:06:56Syracuse. It's a neutral. It's a neutral site
- 1:06:59game. Yeah, they're playing in the Falcon Stadium.
- 1:07:02Mercedes -Benz. Mercedes -Benz. I did not know
- 1:07:04that. Yes, I will be boots on the ground. So
- 1:07:07Volsma is 13 and a half. That kind of sucks though.
- 1:07:12I mean, Syracuse is fucking, they're not. Yeah,
- 1:07:14it's just like not, it's just having your season
- 1:07:17opener away. Like neutral site is dumb. I've
- 1:07:23always wanted to go to that stadium though. It's
- 1:07:25I saw Metallica there. It's pretty cool. I mean
- 1:07:28I heard they have like very cheap concessions
- 1:07:31So that's gonna be cool. Oh, dude, the Chick
- 1:07:33-fil -a will be open. Oh fuck. Yes. I know what
- 1:07:37I'm getting for lunch. Let's go Also, it'll be
- 1:07:40my first football game inside I don't know how
- 1:07:45I feel about that It's you'll know how to feel
- 1:07:51after All right. Yeah, that's true. And I need
- 1:07:53to know how to feel because the Titans are going
- 1:07:55to be playing inside. So, yeah, but we'll never
- 1:07:57get to go to those because they'll cost a million
- 1:07:59dollars. We'll figure it out. To go to. We'll
- 1:08:02figure it out. It's still like two years away,
- 1:08:05though. So, yeah, I guess that is true. But yeah,
- 1:08:09so. But yeah, follow us on our 13 and a half.
- 1:08:12Keep a lookout for the Twitter because I'm going
- 1:08:13to have a lot. Yes, I will say check out the
- 1:08:16Twitter for my picks as well. I'm going to try
- 1:08:19and get my picks in. I got a busy day of work
- 1:08:22working for a beer company on a holiday weekend
- 1:08:25is not going to be fun. It is Labor Day weekend.
- 1:08:30Uh, so I will probably be pretty busy, but check
- 1:08:34the Twitter. I'll get some bets in at least.
- 1:08:37Yeah. There's like, was it like 94 college football
- 1:08:42games? Oh man. It's every, it's every, it's every
- 1:08:46team. It's every single. Every FBS team is fun.
- 1:08:50Yeah. It's empty schedule. They play awesome
- 1:08:54P. Oh, this weekend? Yeah. 6 o 'clock. You going?
- 1:09:04Good. We play this constant this year. Oh my
- 1:09:07God. Yeah, next week. That's not going to be
- 1:09:10good. We got to go to some. We got to go to these.
- 1:09:16Missouri State and Jacksonville State, I believe
- 1:09:18are two, uh, Wednesday night games. We need to
- 1:09:20go to those. And I play hockey on Wednesdays.
- 1:09:22Well, all right, well, you and me are going to
- 1:09:24those. Okay. Sounds good. All right. Will, uh,
- 1:09:31middle in WK, you were playing your birthday
- 1:09:34in Bowling Green. Road trip? No, I don't want
- 1:09:39to go bowling green for my birthday. It's like
- 1:09:41an hour and a half away. It's fine. I don't want
- 1:09:43to fucking go there. That's a nice campus. Good
- 1:09:47school. This is a pretty nice stadium, too. Yeah,
- 1:09:50the stadium is nice. The stadium is nice. We've
- 1:09:53been there. Really nice basketball arena, too.
- 1:09:56They got club seats in their basketball arena.
- 1:10:00Interesting. Conference USA. That's bananas.
- 1:10:05That is anyways, I am interested in this FIU
- 1:10:07middle. November 8th at 2 p .m. I am interested
- 1:10:11in that one. Is that in here or the pit bull?
- 1:10:15Pit bull bowl. This one or Sam Houston. That'd
- 1:10:21be cool. Those Saturdays? Yes, it should be Saturdays.
- 1:10:28We'll see. They're at 2 p .m. so I assume they're
- 1:10:31not Wednesdays. That'd be crazy. I'm gonna wrap
- 1:10:48this shit up Thank you so much for listening
- 1:10:51and watching really appreciate it Like comment
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- 1:11:27Yeah. All right.