Latest / Toadstool Sports / Friday BEST BETS | Bad Beats | MLB & WNBA | 8/7/26

Transcript

Friday BEST BETS | Bad Beats | MLB & WNBA | 8/7/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm man, a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chicks, black coffee on the felt.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man. But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: Your name steal mean something in somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass.
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: Down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: No, hold on, hold on nothing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: Nice now, hold on, hold on.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Me for.
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: That, but it'll get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: Now, what's up, everybody?
• 1:28
  Speaker 4: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports for Friday,
• 1:33
  Speaker 4: whatever day it is, August seventh, one and two on
• 1:37
  Speaker 4: the show yesterday it should have been two and one.
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: I don't know what else to say about that. The Pirate, well,
• 1:43
  Speaker 4: the Pirates could have done it as well. I mean,
• 1:46
  Speaker 4: they tied the game. They were down to nothing. They'd
• 1:49
  Speaker 4: given up two runs in the first inning. I think
• 1:52
  Speaker 4: on one hit it was. There was a two run
• 1:54
  Speaker 4: home run I think in the first inning. I want
• 1:57
  Speaker 4: to say, and then after that Ash settled down for
• 2:00
  Speaker 4: a while. Okay, so then the Pirates actually tied the game.
• 2:04
  Speaker 4: I think in the top of the fourth.
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: I want to say something like it was two two.
• 2:09
  Speaker 4: I think it was two two in the fifth inning,
• 2:11
  Speaker 4: and then they decided to blow it and allow three
• 2:14
  Speaker 4: runs I'm pretty sure in the fifth innings, so they
• 2:16
  Speaker 4: were on the verge of at least pushing.
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: That bet, and then that didn't happen. Toronto was one
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: of the worst beats that you'll ever see.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: Dylan Cee was excellent in the game.
• 2:26
  Speaker 4: He went I think he went seven innings in the game,
• 2:29
  Speaker 4: I want to say, maybe even longer than that, and
• 2:31
  Speaker 4: if we went first five we would have won because
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: they were winning one nothing at the time. But they
• 2:35
  Speaker 4: out hit the Cubs massively in the game, like they
• 2:38
  Speaker 4: had going into the ninth inning. I think Toronto was
• 2:41
  Speaker 4: winning the hit battle like ten to four in the
• 2:44
  Speaker 4: game or something like that, but Toronto only had two
• 2:46
  Speaker 4: runs to show for it.
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: Still, it was two.
• 2:49
  Speaker 4: Nothing with two outs in the bottom of the ninth
• 2:52
  Speaker 4: with Varland, Toronto's closer in the game.
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: There. I don't think he'd blown a save all year.
• 2:58
  Speaker 4: If I'm not mistaken, although this was him pitching two
• 3:01
  Speaker 4: days in a row, but he's done that before anyway.
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: Two outs, two outs. You're up to NP thing.
• 3:07
  Speaker 4: All you have to do is get one of the
• 3:09
  Speaker 4: next two guys out and don't allow home run.
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: That's literally all you need to do.
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: You can allow a single there, it could be two
• 3:16
  Speaker 4: to one, and then you can still get the next
• 3:17
  Speaker 4: guy out.
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: What does he do? No, he allows a two run
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: home run to Bregman.
• 3:22
  Speaker 4: Then Toronto doesn't score in the top of the tenth
• 3:25
  Speaker 4: of the ghost Runner. And once that happens, you know
• 3:27
  Speaker 4: they're gonna lose, because you know the Cobs are gonna
• 3:29
  Speaker 4: score their ghost Runner.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: And that was it, absolutely brutal bad beat.
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: Toronto was clearly the right call in that game, and
• 3:38
  Speaker 4: I thought they had the advantage for the full game.
• 3:40
  Speaker 4: I didn't love the first five necessarily because I thought
• 3:44
  Speaker 4: both starting pitchers might actually do okay there, which actually
• 3:47
  Speaker 4: did happen. Peterson again wasn't really that bad in the game,
• 3:51
  Speaker 4: although he kind of got lucky in some ways. Obviously
• 3:55
  Speaker 4: he got outpitched by Cease. I thought Toronto was gonna
• 3:59
  Speaker 4: have the bullage based on the usage patterns or whatever,
• 4:02
  Speaker 4: and they should have one out away Man with a
• 4:05
  Speaker 4: two run lead, one out away like what do you want?
• 4:09
  Speaker 4: And then Las Vegas was able to kind of do
• 4:12
  Speaker 4: the opposite. If you saw that game in WNBA, we
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: got the win with Vegas. If you played the spread,
• 4:17
  Speaker 4: you kind of looked out, but you won the minus
• 4:20
  Speaker 4: one and a half.
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: They won by two in overtime.
• 4:23
  Speaker 4: If you saw that game, yeah, I wasn't paying attention
• 4:26
  Speaker 4: to it, but Vegas was losing by twenty in the
• 4:29
  Speaker 4: second quarter and then they scored twenty.
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: Two to one inser points.
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: It took the lead, and I think once they did that,
• 4:35
  Speaker 4: you kind of knew, Okay, they're gonna win this game.
• 4:38
  Speaker 4: And once they had done that, they had the lead
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: for most of the rest of the way, but they
• 4:42
  Speaker 4: couldn't really pull away. They had the lead for the
• 4:45
  Speaker 4: majority of the second half. It was a close game,
• 4:47
  Speaker 4: close game statistically, but Vegas wound up winning, and I
• 4:50
  Speaker 4: think it was really defense that did it. It was
• 4:52
  Speaker 4: a lower scoring game than what Indiana wants. Indiana wants
• 4:56
  Speaker 4: to run up and down and score a ton, and
• 4:58
  Speaker 4: that was looking like what they were gonna be able
• 4:59
  Speaker 4: to do early in the game if you look at
• 5:02
  Speaker 4: like the game floor, whatever. But Vegas was able to
• 5:04
  Speaker 4: put a stop to that and prevent Indiana. Of course,
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: When that twenty two to zero run happened, Indiana did
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: not score for a prolonged period of time. There, Vegas's
• 5:14
  Speaker 4: defense was kind of able to get the job done,
• 5:16
  Speaker 4: and that one is the better defense.
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: So there you go. All right, we're gonna have three
• 5:21
  Speaker 2: plays today. I feel like that's kind of my wheelhouse.
• 5:24
  Speaker 4: That's what I do. It's all baseball for me today.
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: I'm not gonna do anything with the WNBA today.
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: Baseball. It's all three sides.
• 5:32
  Speaker 4: We're gonna have to lay some juicy money lines this time,
• 5:35
  Speaker 4: so you better be ready for this. But we're gonna
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: be playing on three teams that I think have a
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: situational edge here, plus the starting pitching edge in all three.
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: So we better get these wins here, man, dirty sock,
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: what's up, Garrett?
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: What's up? Yeah?
• 5:50
  Speaker 4: And enjoy that the Braves until they get absolutely smoked
• 5:55
  Speaker 4: in today's game.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: All right, op some WB here. We have all evening
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: games here because it's Friday, Mets Pittsburgh. I'm gonna give
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: out a play on this.
• 6:07
  Speaker 4: You probably know what it's gonna be already, and I
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: hope we can get this one. I'm gonna trust my
• 6:16
  Speaker 4: man Zach Thornton one more time. We're gonna take the
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: Mets on the money line here plus one twenty three.
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: We'll go full game on this.
• 6:23
  Speaker 4: The Mets have the better bullpen, so I'm gonna say
• 6:26
  Speaker 4: let's do that that way.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 6:28
  Speaker 4: Thornton has one more chance to get back on my
• 6:31
  Speaker 4: good side here after he sucked ass in his last game.
• 6:34
  Speaker 4: But he's pitched well prior to that, and he's going
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: up against a Pittsburgh bullpen game. So I think we
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: have a bunch of advantages here. I think we have
• 6:41
  Speaker 4: the better starting pitcher, we have the better scenario the
• 6:44
  Speaker 4: situation because Pittsburgh's are turning home from a road trip,
• 6:48
  Speaker 4: and this road trip they were gone for more than
• 6:50
  Speaker 4: a week. And you know I talk about teams are
• 6:52
  Speaker 4: turning home from road trips.
• 6:53
  Speaker 2: It's bad. You have to get back to home life.
• 6:55
  Speaker 4: It could be a distraction, like do you really want
• 6:57
  Speaker 4: to come back home and play the Mets, one of
• 6:59
  Speaker 4: the lesser teams in baseball this year? After look at
• 7:03
  Speaker 4: the way that Pittsburgh their road trip played out, man
• 7:06
  Speaker 4: terrible road trip. They lost three out of four in
• 7:08
  Speaker 4: Cincinnati and then they proceeded to lose three out of
• 7:11
  Speaker 4: it was an eight game road trip. Then they proceeded
• 7:13
  Speaker 4: to lose three out of four in Milwaukee that basically
• 7:17
  Speaker 4: ended their season. Like I think this might be like
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: a dream crusher scenario for Pittsburgh, Like they had had
• 7:23
  Speaker 4: Milwaukee's number this year and they went in and Milwaukee's
• 7:26
  Speaker 4: a good team. But they went in and they lost
• 7:29
  Speaker 4: all but one of those games. After winning the first
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: game that series, they lost the last three.
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: This is brutal man Pittsburgh. They're done. They can't win
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: with Paul Skins on them mound. They're not going anywhere.
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: I know they're back at home where their offense is better,
• 7:42
  Speaker 4: but this is not gonna work out for them.
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: In my opinion, I think this is a negative spot.
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: It's a bad spot. It's a distraction spot.
• 7:50
  Speaker 4: And the Mets, even though they sold it the trade deadline,
• 7:54
  Speaker 4: they're winning right now.
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: They just swept Cleveland.
• 7:56
  Speaker 4: They're coming in from Cleveland, so they actually have a
• 7:58
  Speaker 4: better travel spot. Here to Pittsburgh is a pretty quick trip.
• 8:02
  Speaker 4: And I know, I don't necessarily want to play in
• 8:04
  Speaker 4: a team that scored thirteen runs yesterday like the Mets did.
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: Their offense is not that good.
• 8:08
  Speaker 4: They're not gonna put up thirteen runs again this time
• 8:11
  Speaker 4: and Foster Griffin, Yeah, it looks like his debut for
• 8:15
  Speaker 4: Cleveland did not.
• 8:16
  Speaker 2: Go well at all.
• 8:19
  Speaker 4: I thought that game was gonna be way lower scoring
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: than that. I don't know what happened in that game,
• 8:23
  Speaker 4: but yeah, I still think the Mets they're The thing
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: is they're playing well right now, like they're not showing
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: signs that they're.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: Not motivated, you know what I mean.
• 8:32
  Speaker 4: That's what you need to look for after the trade
• 8:34
  Speaker 4: deadline when you have a team that's had a bad season.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: The thing about the Mets.
• 8:38
  Speaker 4: Is they knew that they were gonna be sellers of
• 8:41
  Speaker 4: the trade deadline for a long time, so I don't
• 8:43
  Speaker 4: think that came as to any surprise.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: So they're just playing out the stretch. But it looks
• 8:47
  Speaker 2: like they're.
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: Trying to win games right now, and they're may be
• 8:50
  Speaker 4: kind of an undervalue team because of that. So I
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: like all that we're getting them as an underdog. Here
• 8:55
  Speaker 4: we get Zach Thornton on the mound. I think it's
• 8:57
  Speaker 4: still under the radar young pitcher, but he hasn't really
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: thrown that many innings yet, so I'm not really worried
• 9:03
  Speaker 4: about that. He's got a two point eight eight ERA
• 9:05
  Speaker 4: one point zero five whip.
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: He's been worse on the.
• 9:09
  Speaker 4: Road in away three point four to eight roady array,
• 9:11
  Speaker 4: but his opponent batting average is one ninety four, so
• 9:14
  Speaker 4: he's still been effective on the road. He's only made
• 9:16
  Speaker 4: two bad starts. When was his first start of the season,
• 9:19
  Speaker 4: which was on the road at Washington, and last time
• 9:22
  Speaker 4: out against Miami, where I believe we lost on an
• 9:25
  Speaker 4: under in that game. Maybe I'm wrong about that.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: I don't remember.
• 9:29
  Speaker 4: He wasn't good in that start, but he's been good
• 9:31
  Speaker 4: in all of his other starts, so I'm not I'm
• 9:33
  Speaker 4: not about to write him off yet, and he's done
• 9:36
  Speaker 4: well against some good offenses in here, like Atlanta Milwaukee.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: He's got a low hit rate.
• 9:40
  Speaker 4: He doesn't really walk many guys, but he also doesn't
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: strike guys out, so I know the advanced analytics guys
• 9:46
  Speaker 4: aren't gonna like that he doesn't get that many strikeouts,
• 9:48
  Speaker 4: but I'm willing to back him in a spot like
• 9:51
  Speaker 4: this against who I think is an inferior pitcher and Pittsburgh,
• 9:55
  Speaker 4: even though they were a good offense. Thornton has never
• 9:58
  Speaker 4: faced the before, so that should be an extra advance
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: to a young talented pitcher. Usually they have an extra
• 10:03
  Speaker 4: advantage when the hitters have to like figure them out
• 10:05
  Speaker 4: on the fly. So that's what we're gonna go with here.
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: I forgot to go through all the stuff here. By
• 10:10
  Speaker 4: the way, We're gonna go through all the rest of
• 10:11
  Speaker 4: this stuff real quick. Both teams did play yesterday. The
• 10:14
  Speaker 4: Mets used three relief pitchers, just normal usage from them.
• 10:17
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh also normal with three. But the Mets have the
• 10:22
  Speaker 4: better bullpen, Like I said, that's why we're going full game.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: They're number six in bullpen.
• 10:26
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh's is a bullpen that you usually want to avoid,
• 10:31
  Speaker 4: like I did yesterday at their twenty third.
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: Although I think their bullpen wasn't really that.
• 10:35
  Speaker 4: Bad in the game yesterday, but whatever, And in fact,
• 10:39
  Speaker 4: I think they used their better Oh no, they did
• 10:41
  Speaker 4: in Milwaukee.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Was what am I saying? Milwaukee one that was gonna
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: say to Pittsburgh use their better relievers. I don't really
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: think so.
• 10:46
  Speaker 4: I think Milwaukee did, but whatever. Anyway, Carmen mode Zinsky
• 10:52
  Speaker 4: is getting the start for Pittsburgh here. Oh yeah, and
• 10:55
  Speaker 4: offensively at Pittsburgh's obviously better like I said, but I
• 10:58
  Speaker 4: like pitching to counter good hitting. You know Pittsburgh's number
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: four in hitting. We know the Mets are not very
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: good at twenty seventh, but whatever situation and pitching man,
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: we're gonna fame Loadzinsky here, who's getting a start, because
• 11:12
  Speaker 4: I actually don't know why he's getting the start here.
• 11:15
  Speaker 4: I think it's gonna be a bullpen ish game for
• 11:17
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh because Motzinsky's made starts before, so he might actually Actually,
• 11:22
  Speaker 4: this is what I'll say. I think when you play
• 11:23
  Speaker 4: this game, he should pick Thornton must start, But don't
• 11:25
  Speaker 4: pick a starter for Pittsburgh because they might put some
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: opener in front of Loadzinsky and have him go like
• 11:31
  Speaker 4: three innings behind an opener. You don't know what they're
• 11:34
  Speaker 4: doing here, but it's gonna be some sort of bullpen
• 11:36
  Speaker 4: ish game.
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: Although Moodzinsky might actually.
• 11:39
  Speaker 4: Start because he has been starting some some games. Three
• 11:43
  Speaker 4: point one five ERA for him, but one point three
• 11:45
  Speaker 4: to one whip indicates his ERA should be higher than that.
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: He puts some guys on. Basically, he's been.
• 11:50
  Speaker 4: Decent at home three point two ERA better opponent batting
• 11:53
  Speaker 4: average at home. He's not pitching poorly recently. But again,
• 11:57
  Speaker 4: these are relief appearances, you know. I think sometimes they
• 12:01
  Speaker 4: use them in certain matchups and stuff like that as well,
• 12:05
  Speaker 4: and against the Mets. This was kind of the clincher
• 12:07
  Speaker 4: for me. He's not very good against the Mets. They
• 12:09
  Speaker 4: have twenty five at bats against him, two eighty average,
• 12:12
  Speaker 4: seven to seventy nine oh ps, seven of four strakehot
• 12:15
  Speaker 4: walk ratio. So if you're gonna get a few innings
• 12:18
  Speaker 4: out of him, I don't think they're gonna be completely
• 12:20
  Speaker 4: clean here. So yeah, let's take the Mets as the
• 12:23
  Speaker 4: underdog here. The money seems like it might not agree.
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: With me on this.
• 12:27
  Speaker 4: Fifty seven percent tickets, sixty percent of the cash on Pittsburgh,
• 12:30
  Speaker 4: and about minus one thirty.
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: But the line initially did drop.
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh was minus one forty something and then it dropped
• 12:37
  Speaker 4: to minus one thirty. That might have been because they
• 12:39
  Speaker 4: announced Motzinsky as the starter. I don't really know, but whatever,
• 12:44
  Speaker 4: that's what we're doing. The money is also hitting the
• 12:46
  Speaker 4: under in this game at eight or eight.
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: And a half.
• 12:50
  Speaker 4: I don't have as good of a feel for that,
• 12:52
  Speaker 4: but yes, I like the Mets in that game, So
• 12:55
  Speaker 4: that's what we're gonna do there. Yeah, good luck with that,
• 13:00
  Speaker 4: the Yankees are gonna win that game by like several runs.
• 13:03
  Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure, John Daily, it's a it's a common meme.
• 13:08
  Speaker 4: I'm surprised. I'd be surprised if it hasn't already been done. Uh,
• 13:13
  Speaker 4: the exact meme that I posted. It's definitely on my card.
• 13:17
  Speaker 4: I'm giving you the Yankees as a play if you
• 13:19
  Speaker 4: if you actually want to win money, the Yankees are
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: an absolute play in this game today, mister Pinsey, what's up?
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: Okay, Uh, Freed facing Atlanta is one reason why I
• 13:31
  Speaker 4: liked that game.
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: From nine months ago. Yeah, because nine months ago. Probably
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: it's it's because I'm about to have this baby. Man,
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: that was before I got pregnant.
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: No, nine months ago, I mean what it was football season.
• 13:47
  Speaker 4: I was, I was hot, I was probably doing well
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: then nine months ago, right when was that?
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: That was? Yeah?
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: That was during football season. No wonder why all right,
• 13:56
  Speaker 4: Toronto and Philadelphia. My first instinct on this game was
• 14:00
  Speaker 4: to play this game under.
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: But I started.
• 14:02
  Speaker 4: I said it yesterday on the show. I said, this
• 14:04
  Speaker 4: looks like it's going to be an under game. And
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: I said the same thing about Atlanta and the Yankees.
• 14:09
  Speaker 4: So that was because it was supposed to be Chrissale
• 14:11
  Speaker 4: for Atlanta, and yet it is not going to be now.
• 14:15
  Speaker 4: So No, but this Soriano Wheeler game on the surface
• 14:20
  Speaker 4: to me, it looks like it's an under game to me,
• 14:22
  Speaker 4: and maybe it will be. I'm not putting it on
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: my card though. Philadelphia just beat Washington. Philadelphia is hot
• 14:29
  Speaker 4: right now, although I still don't think they're as good
• 14:31
  Speaker 4: as the record looks. I think Washington's kind of just
• 14:33
  Speaker 4: falling off here. It looks like Washington's offense is not
• 14:36
  Speaker 4: doing as well now. Philadelphia used four relief pitchers yesterday.
• 14:40
  Speaker 4: I don't like Philly's bullpen, but Anaheim's is worse. Anaheim
• 14:43
  Speaker 4: only used three. Anaheim is coming off a or what
• 14:48
  Speaker 4: am I saying? Anaheim Toronto? I'm thinking Sriado is still
• 14:50
  Speaker 4: in Anaheim. Toronto is coming off that bullshit makeup game
• 14:55
  Speaker 4: loss against.
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: The Cubs two outs in the fucking ninth inning, man
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: so with a two run lead.
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: Louis Varland should personally send me some money for that bullshit.
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: Toronto used four relief pitches as well.
• 15:08
  Speaker 4: Toronto is the better bullpen here though, but they've used
• 15:11
  Speaker 4: viraland two days in a row, so he's not going
• 15:12
  Speaker 4: to be available here. But I don't like Philly's bullpen.
• 15:15
  Speaker 4: They are where are they at their twentieth Toronto's the
• 15:19
  Speaker 4: better bullpen. They're fourteenth, so I would still consider Toronto's
• 15:23
  Speaker 4: to be the better bullpen despite the usage yesterday, though
• 15:26
  Speaker 4: it was kind of similar between the two teams yesterday.
• 15:30
  Speaker 4: Philly's offense they're getting a little bit better, but their
• 15:33
  Speaker 4: twentieth right now, which is still not very good, although
• 15:35
  Speaker 4: they're better at home, Toronto's is awful. They're dead last thirtieth.
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: Jose Soriano making his Toronto debut here. How excited is
• 15:44
  Speaker 4: he going to be?
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: Man to go from one bad team to another, I
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: don't really know. I don't really know.
• 15:49
  Speaker 4: Why the Blue Jays did that. I mean, Soriano's not
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: an old guy. Though they might have him under contract
• 15:55
  Speaker 4: for a while now. I'm not sure. Soriano's been alright.
• 15:58
  Speaker 4: A three point twenty ninety RA one point two five
• 16:01
  Speaker 4: whip is not really great, but he's been alright. But
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: the one thing that we know about Soriano is he's
• 16:06
  Speaker 4: good on the road. Two point eight to eight Roady Ira.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: Last couple of seasons, he's been a considerably better pitcher
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: on the road this year.
• 16:15
  Speaker 4: He does have a better ERA by like a run
• 16:17
  Speaker 4: on the road, but his opponent batting average is almost
• 16:19
  Speaker 4: the same this year, so he's not really that different
• 16:22
  Speaker 4: home and away.
• 16:23
  Speaker 2: But he is a good road pitcher. He's been pretty
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: good recently.
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: Other than the walks kind of being a little bit
• 16:28
  Speaker 4: of an issue recently. Again, he might still get excited
• 16:32
  Speaker 4: for pitching for his new team here, He's got a
• 16:34
  Speaker 4: low hit rate, his walk rate is too high, though
• 16:37
  Speaker 4: his strikeout rate is also high, so the walks are
• 16:40
  Speaker 4: really the one major issue with him. And he's a
• 16:42
  Speaker 4: ground ball pitcher for what that's where he gets a
• 16:45
  Speaker 4: lot of grounders.
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: He'll be going up against who did I Who are
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: we talking about? Philly?
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: This is where I kind of don't want to come
• 16:52
  Speaker 4: in and play the under because Philly hits three thirty
• 16:54
  Speaker 4: three off him with an eight twenty four oh ps
• 16:57
  Speaker 4: and twenty seven at bats five to two strike out
• 17:00
  Speaker 4: walk ratio. Obviously he could come in and pitch well here,
• 17:03
  Speaker 4: you know, like I still kind of lean under in
• 17:05
  Speaker 4: this game, but this keeps me off of it as
• 17:08
  Speaker 4: far as the play because Soriano has not done well
• 17:11
  Speaker 4: against Philadelphia in the pass. Zach Wheeler is pitching for Philly.
• 17:14
  Speaker 4: But if you want to Backfilly in this game, you
• 17:16
  Speaker 4: have to pay a huge price for it. Probably too
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: big of a price, because you get the you're playing
• 17:21
  Speaker 4: the team with the better record that has something to
• 17:23
  Speaker 4: play for. With an ace pitcher on the mound, Wheeler
• 17:27
  Speaker 4: has a two point four to ninety ra point nine
• 17:29
  Speaker 4: to one whip.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: Really good.
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: He's slightly worse at home, sort of two point seven
• 17:34
  Speaker 4: to four hom He doesn't really matter.
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: That's good. His last start was only a two winning outing.
• 17:39
  Speaker 4: That was a weird like range shortened game, so I'm
• 17:41
  Speaker 4: wondering if it started raining. They took him out of
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: the game because of the rain delay, and then they
• 17:46
  Speaker 4: tried to finish the game and the game ended only
• 17:48
  Speaker 4: going six innings. Against Baltimore, I don't know what happened
• 17:51
  Speaker 4: in that game, but he had two clean innings in
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: that one. He was bad in the start before that
• 17:56
  Speaker 4: against Miami, but he said he was sick, and I
• 17:58
  Speaker 4: guess there was.
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: An illness going around the locker room there.
• 18:02
  Speaker 4: He was infecting everybody with COVID. Zach Wheeler patient zero. No.
• 18:07
  Speaker 4: I have no idea. But I'm not worried about about
• 18:10
  Speaker 4: Wheeler here. He's a veteran pitcher. He looks like he's
• 18:12
  Speaker 4: still got his stuff, Like I think he's gonna be
• 18:15
  Speaker 4: good here. He's got a really low hit rate, really
• 18:18
  Speaker 4: low walk rate, too high strikeout rate. All good numbers here,
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: numbers against Toronto. They're a bad offense, but they also
• 18:26
  Speaker 4: have not done well against Wheeler and one hundred and
• 18:28
  Speaker 4: fourteen at batts twenty eight to two strikeout walk ratio
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: is ridiculous. Two twenty eight to average, five to seventy
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: five ops Philly. You can't really play Philly here, even
• 18:39
  Speaker 4: though they probably do have the advantage here, but that's
• 18:41
  Speaker 4: factored into the line.
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: The matchup advantage there minus two ten.
• 18:45
  Speaker 4: Here it dropped for minus two twenty six, eighty six
• 18:48
  Speaker 4: percent of the tickets and eighty eight percent of the
• 18:50
  Speaker 4: cash on them. I think probably still like a first
• 18:54
  Speaker 4: five under because I don't like the Philly bullpen. I
• 18:57
  Speaker 4: don't like Toronto, not in the greatest either, so i'd.
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: Avoid the bullpens.
• 19:01
  Speaker 4: But I still think a first five under maybe makes
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: some sense in this game. Obviously, you know my concerns
• 19:07
  Speaker 4: with it. Soriano not good matchup numbers here. I don't
• 19:10
  Speaker 4: have any concerns with Wheeler really totals at eight for
• 19:13
  Speaker 4: the full game, so it's probably about four I would
• 19:16
  Speaker 4: imagine in the first five, which is a reasonable number
• 19:20
  Speaker 4: for a game like this. I still think that would
• 19:21
  Speaker 4: be my best approach for this game. I mean, if
• 19:26
  Speaker 4: you wanted to lay like a run line with Philly,
• 19:29
  Speaker 4: I mean, I think Philly should win that game, but.
• 19:33
  Speaker 2: It's I wouldn't.
• 19:35
  Speaker 4: I would not want to do it. I mean, I
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: think the price is just way too high. So that's
• 19:39
  Speaker 4: those are my thoughts on that dirty sock.
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: Thank you for the Jewels. Garrett, Dude, you think I
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: want the Yankees to win? I hate the Yankees. I
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: hope they lose every fucking game.
• 19:49
  Speaker 4: Like I'll be happy if the Yankees lose. It's just
• 19:52
  Speaker 4: not gonna happen. It is not happening. SOB, what's up?
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: I have? I am in agreement.
• 19:59
  Speaker 4: One of those is on my well, one of those
• 20:01
  Speaker 4: sides is on my car, but I'm playing it in
• 20:05
  Speaker 4: a different way. I don't There's no way I'm gonna
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: give out Kansas City. I'll tell you that, there's no
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: possible way. I don't know if I really love Seattle either.
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: White boy, what's up? Man? You're not going four?
• 20:23
  Speaker 4: And oh, I'm guaranteeing you're not going four And Oh,
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: you'll get the play right that I'm giving out, though
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: maybe I'm giving it out in a different way though.
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: All right, Atlanta, Oh no, wait, we have to talk
• 20:34
  Speaker 4: about Washington. What am I talking about? Cincinnati and Washington
• 20:37
  Speaker 4: and Cincinnati has not decided on a starter here. Cincinnati's
• 20:40
  Speaker 4: in some real trouble here. Man Hunter Green is injured again,
• 20:44
  Speaker 4: So Cincinnati. I don't know if it was his turn
• 20:46
  Speaker 4: of the rotation or not, but Cincinnati, they are lacking
• 20:50
  Speaker 4: starting pitching big time.
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: Other than Chase Burns, they got nobody.
• 20:55
  Speaker 4: Washington is returning over from a road trip here, and
• 20:57
  Speaker 4: it looks like their season is over. They've been playing
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: horrific baseball recently. Their offense is falling off a cliff.
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: They just lost almost every game on the road trip.
• 21:06
  Speaker 4: They only won one game, which was an extra innings
• 21:08
  Speaker 4: win against Philly, where they've scored more runs than it
• 21:11
  Speaker 4: looks like they did. I think they only had three
• 21:13
  Speaker 4: runs in the first nine innings in that game. Now
• 21:16
  Speaker 4: they're returning home from that awful road trip. Seems kind
• 21:19
  Speaker 4: of similar to that Pittsburgh return spot, you know what
• 21:22
  Speaker 4: I mean, where it's like your returning home could be
• 21:24
  Speaker 4: a distracted spot. You're playing against a bad team and
• 21:28
  Speaker 4: you just don't really have that much left to play
• 21:30
  Speaker 4: for at this point. It seems like a bad spot
• 21:32
  Speaker 4: to me for Washington here.
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 21:34
  Speaker 4: However, they're going to have a starting pitching advantage here,
• 21:37
  Speaker 4: so I can't come in and play the Reds here
• 21:39
  Speaker 4: when you just have no idea what the pitching situation
• 21:43
  Speaker 4: is gonna be and what you're back. And what you
• 21:45
  Speaker 4: do know is that these bullpens are both bad. The
• 21:48
  Speaker 4: Reds use three relief pitchers yesterday Washington used two. But
• 21:51
  Speaker 4: these are still bad bullpens. I would avoid both of them.
• 21:55
  Speaker 4: Cincinnati's twenty fifth washington twenty sixth inn bullpen. Washington's number
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: two offense still, but you can see their offense has
• 22:02
  Speaker 4: been bad recently. Cincinnati is still worse at twentieth, tied
• 22:06
  Speaker 4: with the Phillies. But you might see poor offense on
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: both sides here today, actually believe it or not. Even
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: though Washington, you think over when you see a matchup
• 22:17
  Speaker 4: like this with two bad bullpens. I'm not so sure
• 22:20
  Speaker 4: in this one, but again we have no idea what
• 22:22
  Speaker 4: Cincinnati's pitching is gonna look like.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: Here. K Cavali is getting the start for Washington. He's
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: not bad.
• 22:28
  Speaker 4: A three point five two ERA, one point two to
• 22:30
  Speaker 4: nine whip is still a little bit high, but he's
• 22:32
  Speaker 4: pitching pretty well recently, although he actually is worse at
• 22:35
  Speaker 4: home though three point eight to two home home ERA
• 22:38
  Speaker 4: here pretty good over the last month plus though, he's
• 22:42
  Speaker 4: allowed three or few earned runs in every start going
• 22:44
  Speaker 4: all the way back into mid June, so that's pretty good.
• 22:48
  Speaker 4: His hit rate is still around one per inning, which
• 22:50
  Speaker 4: is a little bit high. His walk rate is pretty low,
• 22:52
  Speaker 4: strike out rate is high, so he does strike guys
• 22:55
  Speaker 4: out and he induces a lot of grounders as well,
• 22:57
  Speaker 4: so he's got a pretty good pitching profile here. His
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: numbers against Cincinnati, they really don't have much experience against them,
• 23:06
  Speaker 4: only Blade and Freido have faced them before, and they're
• 23:09
  Speaker 4: two for four with a double, which is freeidole with
• 23:11
  Speaker 4: that hit there, two strikeouts, no walks.
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: There's not a lot to take away from that.
• 23:15
  Speaker 4: I mean, the numbers don't look good, but Cavali is
• 23:18
  Speaker 4: mostly unfamiliar to the Reds, so I think he does
• 23:20
  Speaker 4: have a starting pitching advantage here.
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: It's a bad spot for.
• 23:25
  Speaker 4: Washington, but they they're gonna have the starting pitching advantage here.
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: So this game I'm definitely leaving alone.
• 23:31
  Speaker 4: The money is backing Cincinnati and like just playing the
• 23:35
  Speaker 4: spot here basically without even knowing what Cincinnati is doing.
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: Fifty per ticket, sixty six percent of the cash on Cincinnati,
• 23:41
  Speaker 4: you're getting like a pick them price on this. That's yeah,
• 23:46
  Speaker 4: no thanks for me, But the money is indicated towards Cincinnati. Again,
• 23:51
  Speaker 4: I think Washington's going to have the edge and the
• 23:53
  Speaker 4: starting pitching at least, though, like a first five playing
• 23:56
  Speaker 4: might make sense on Washington here, I don't know. I
• 23:58
  Speaker 4: think if you're playing either side, I think you might
• 24:00
  Speaker 4: want to make it a first five play. But again,
• 24:04
  Speaker 4: are you really gonna have a starting pitching edge with
• 24:06
  Speaker 4: whatever Cincinnati is doing?
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: I don't really think so.
• 24:08
  Speaker 4: So Washington first five maybe makes the most sense to
• 24:11
  Speaker 4: me here, still not gonna do it because they're in
• 24:13
  Speaker 4: a terrible spot. Money's also hitting the under nine here.
• 24:19
  Speaker 4: I mean, if you wanted to play an under I mean,
• 24:21
  Speaker 4: like I said, Washington, their offense has not.
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: Been good recently.
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: Maybe I don't know, man, I mean it's risky, like
• 24:27
  Speaker 4: maybe you go first five under and maybe you get
• 24:29
  Speaker 4: there with that one. I wouldn't want to deal with
• 24:31
  Speaker 4: the Bullpens. You could do like a Cincinnati under their
• 24:35
  Speaker 4: team total if you want to, or like get really
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: granular with him. To do Cincinnati first five under their
• 24:40
  Speaker 4: team total, you'll need them to score probably two or
• 24:43
  Speaker 4: less though against Cavali, but that definitely could happen. Quick thoughts.
• 24:48
  Speaker 4: What's up, man? Yeah, I like to watch. That's correct.
• 24:53
  Speaker 4: Everybody knows that, all right. The next game is one
• 24:56
  Speaker 4: of my plays, Atlanta and the Yankees. I'm gonna be honest.
• 24:59
  Speaker 4: I think this is a cheap price, even though it
• 25:02
  Speaker 4: looks juicy, but.
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: I don't think that it is.
• 25:05
  Speaker 4: We're taking the Yankees on the money line at minus
• 25:07
  Speaker 4: one forty five here. I don't want to do it.
• 25:10
  Speaker 4: I fucking hate the Yankees. I hope they lose, but
• 25:13
  Speaker 4: this is what I'm doing. I think if you want
• 25:14
  Speaker 4: to make it a run line play, you could do
• 25:16
  Speaker 4: that as well and get the price down by making
• 25:18
  Speaker 4: it a minus one run line. But I'm just like, whatever,
• 25:21
  Speaker 4: if it's below minus one fifty. I tend to just
• 25:24
  Speaker 4: go with the money line on this, and you know
• 25:26
  Speaker 4: the professionals would be like, you can't lay the run
• 25:29
  Speaker 4: line with the home team because they won't battle the
• 25:31
  Speaker 4: night didning necessarily, and the Yankees offense hasn't been good recently.
• 25:35
  Speaker 4: Yeah that's true, but look at this pitching. You gotta
• 25:38
  Speaker 4: be kidding me with this pitching matchup. Also, the Yankees
• 25:41
  Speaker 4: have a rest advantage, so the Yankees have another advantage here.
• 25:44
  Speaker 4: They're also staying at home, and they just had a
• 25:46
  Speaker 4: bad series against a pretty bad Saint Louis team. The
• 25:50
  Speaker 4: Yankees are gonna get up for this game. I'm sorry,
• 25:53
  Speaker 4: but yeah, that's gonna happen. They had yesterday off that
• 25:56
  Speaker 4: they're not traveling yesterday might help them disrupt this losing
• 25:59
  Speaker 4: more momentum they have and Lanta looks way too hot
• 26:02
  Speaker 4: right now. They've won eight games in a row. They
• 26:05
  Speaker 4: just beat Washington in Miami. But give me a break.
• 26:07
  Speaker 4: Those teams they blow, give me a break. Neither of
• 26:10
  Speaker 4: those teams are gonna be in the playoffs. Yankees are
• 26:13
  Speaker 4: a step up from those teams. Even though the National
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: League is better, the National League has had the upper
• 26:17
  Speaker 4: hand in the inn League play whatever. And I know
• 26:20
  Speaker 4: the Braves are starting a road trip, which is typically
• 26:22
  Speaker 4: a good spot. But again, we're fading a We're taking
• 26:27
  Speaker 4: a pitching advantage and a rest advantage here.
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: Man. Okay, Atlanta does have a decent.
• 26:31
  Speaker 4: Bullpen, but they used five guys out of the bullpen yesterday,
• 26:34
  Speaker 4: and the Yankees have the better bullpen over the Braves
• 26:38
  Speaker 4: as well, So we get the better bullpen and we're
• 26:40
  Speaker 4: rested bullpen with the Yankees here.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: In addition to.
• 26:43
  Speaker 4: The better starter and the overall rest edge here, Tyler
• 26:49
  Speaker 4: Molly is making his debut.
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: For the Braves. Yeah, good luck with that. This guy sucks.
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: I don't know why they picked him up at the
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: trade deadline. He's not good.
• 26:58
  Speaker 4: Five point one to three ar one point three to
• 27:00
  Speaker 4: nine whip. You might argue he'll get pumped up because
• 27:03
  Speaker 4: he just went from the Giants to the Braves. So yes,
• 27:06
  Speaker 4: that is something to consider that he might be excited
• 27:09
  Speaker 4: to be on a team that's a contending team, but
• 27:12
  Speaker 4: he's just not good enough. He's not good and he's
• 27:14
  Speaker 4: absolutely horrific on the road. Look at his roadyra this
• 27:18
  Speaker 4: year eight point oh four. Is that something you want
• 27:21
  Speaker 4: to back three twenty six opponent batting average. It's in
• 27:24
  Speaker 4: a decent sample size too. This guy gets murdered on
• 27:28
  Speaker 4: the road. He fucking sucks, and he just pitched horribly
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: on the road at San Diego, a terrible offense and
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: a pitcher friendly park. Now he's going to a hitter
• 27:37
  Speaker 4: friendly park in an offense that is capable of he erupting,
• 27:41
  Speaker 4: which is the Yankees.
• 27:42
  Speaker 2: Yeah, good luck.
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: He did have nine strikeouts in that game, so I'll
• 27:46
  Speaker 4: give him that. But other than that, yeah, this is
• 27:48
  Speaker 4: nothing that you want to back. He's he's allowing more
• 27:50
  Speaker 4: than one hit per inning. His walk rate is bad,
• 27:53
  Speaker 4: his strikeout rate is mediocre, and you know what's coming.
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: He's not good against the Yankees either.
• 27:58
  Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure well batting average against is OK to
• 28:02
  Speaker 4: forty four, but they have an eight to twenty three
• 28:04
  Speaker 4: zero ps off him.
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: They hit him for power. Gold Schmidt and McMahon both
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: destroy this guy.
• 28:09
  Speaker 4: So the guys that used to be in the National League,
• 28:11
  Speaker 4: basically both the guys that have the most at bats
• 28:14
  Speaker 4: against him in the Yankees lineup both have wrecked him.
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: They have eighty two at bats against him, twenty four
• 28:19
  Speaker 4: to eight strike out walk ratios.
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: Nothing specially either.
• 28:22
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna fade Molly here and we're gonna back
• 28:24
  Speaker 4: Max Freed. You want to talk about a motivational edge, Well, yeah,
• 28:28
  Speaker 4: Molly's gonna be excited, maybe to pitch for his new team.
• 28:31
  Speaker 4: Max Freed has not faced the Braves since being off
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: of the Braves, so this is gonna be his.
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: He didn't Actually, yeah, no, he hasn't. I checked.
• 28:39
  Speaker 4: I looked at his schedule last year. He has not
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: faced the Braves. Unless he faced them this year, I
• 28:44
  Speaker 4: don't think he did. No, So Max Freed, you can
• 28:48
  Speaker 4: check me if I'm wrong, correct me if I'm wrong.
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: But I believe this will be his first time facing
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: his former team, which is a big deal when it's
• 28:55
  Speaker 4: a big team like the Braves and he spent his
• 28:57
  Speaker 4: entire career with the Braves. Him go the Yankees, I
• 29:01
  Speaker 4: think he might have been was he a free agent?
• 29:03
  Speaker 4: I don't remember, but the Yankees picked him up. This
• 29:05
  Speaker 4: will be his first time facing his former team, which
• 29:07
  Speaker 4: I think is a motivational angle. I think he'll be
• 29:09
  Speaker 4: pumped for this. Freed has been good on the season.
• 29:12
  Speaker 4: He's obviously the way better pitcher here. Three point one
• 29:15
  Speaker 4: two ERA point nine to nine whip. He's not as
• 29:18
  Speaker 4: good at home. I admit a four point four to
• 29:20
  Speaker 4: three home ra but if you look at his peripherals
• 29:22
  Speaker 4: and whatever here, the numbers aren't even bad at home.
• 29:25
  Speaker 4: So I don't know how his ra is that high. Like,
• 29:28
  Speaker 4: the home run rate is really low. He's literally allowed
• 29:30
  Speaker 4: one home run on the season. It looks like here,
• 29:33
  Speaker 4: so he doesn't allow home runs. His walk rate is
• 29:36
  Speaker 4: I guess the problem y has. That's that is it.
• 29:39
  Speaker 4: I guess his walk rate has been higher at home,
• 29:41
  Speaker 4: but he has a very small home sample size so far. Yeah,
• 29:45
  Speaker 4: he's allowed one home run on the season. He's got
• 29:47
  Speaker 4: a low hit rate, his walk rate. If you want
• 29:50
  Speaker 4: to pick at him, the walk rate is like the
• 29:52
  Speaker 4: one problem that he has.
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: It's not great.
• 29:54
  Speaker 4: But the strikeout rate is like, Okay, he's not a
• 29:56
  Speaker 4: huge strikeout pitcher.
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: He has faced some of the Braves hitters before.
• 30:00
  Speaker 4: They have sixty five at bats against them, actually, and
• 30:03
  Speaker 4: they have a one sixty nine average against them.
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: Is that good? Yeah? No, no, it isn't. Uh, it's
• 30:10
  Speaker 2: good for him, it's not good for them.
• 30:13
  Speaker 4: Four sixty seven opponent ops against, thirteen to three strike
• 30:17
  Speaker 4: out walk ratio. So, yeah, we get a bunch of
• 30:20
  Speaker 4: edges here. We're playing the Yankees. Let me see what's
• 30:24
  Speaker 4: uh what does the market look like here? I think
• 30:27
  Speaker 4: I made a pretty strong case for it. Fifty six
• 30:29
  Speaker 4: percent of tickets, eighty one percent of the cash on
• 30:31
  Speaker 4: the Yankees.
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: So the market read is saying the Yankees.
• 30:34
  Speaker 4: I have no clue why the line dropped from minus
• 30:36
  Speaker 4: one fifty five to minus one thirty something here. You
• 30:38
  Speaker 4: might be able to find a better price than I'm
• 30:40
  Speaker 4: giving out right now, let me see, did the price
• 30:42
  Speaker 4: actually go down? There's no way, Like, dude, this is like,
• 30:48
  Speaker 4: I can't believe you're getting the Yankees at this cheap
• 30:50
  Speaker 4: of a price. To me, yeah, you can get them
• 30:51
  Speaker 4: at minus one thirty right now.
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: You got to be kidding me. And it looks like
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: the money according to this wager Truk screen, the money
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: is actually on the Yankees, even though it's dropping, Like
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: is there there's not a pitching change, is there? If
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: you're playing this game, pick the starters must start. Obviously,
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: Molly and Freed both must start for this one. Okay,
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: if I don't specify otherwise, that is what I'm telling
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: you to do. Is pick. Both starters must start.
• 31:17
  Speaker 4: But yeah, this line's down to minus one thirty. All right,
• 31:20
  Speaker 4: give me a better number on it. Yeah, okay, let's
• 31:23
  Speaker 4: do it. Yankees' money line is the play in that one.
• 31:26
  Speaker 4: I seen no reason to not do that. Clint did
• 31:32
  Speaker 4: not betraying me. Fuck you, you don't know anything about
• 31:34
  Speaker 4: what's going on, dude, Fuck you, Get the fuck out
• 31:37
  Speaker 4: of my chat. Stop talking about shit. You have no idea,
• 31:40
  Speaker 4: you have no clue what you're talking about. I like
• 31:43
  Speaker 4: all those guys still, I'm not taking sides one way
• 31:46
  Speaker 4: or the other. You don't know what the fuck even happened.
• 31:50
  Speaker 4: I think both of them were Clinton Top were both
• 31:52
  Speaker 4: wrong in various ways. Okay, so yeah, Like I have
• 31:57
  Speaker 4: nothing else to say about that. I like all those
• 31:59
  Speaker 4: guys still, I'm friends with all of them. Still, get
• 32:01
  Speaker 4: the fuck out of my chat. I'm not picking sides here.
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: No pregame pregame could suck my dick. Pregame is fucking
• 32:09
  Speaker 4: dead to me. They're never gonna fix their shit. It's
• 32:11
  Speaker 4: about to be football season.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: They had the best free odd screen and that hasn't
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: been working since fucking April. Fuck pregame.
• 32:20
  Speaker 4: The guys that run like the guys that are in
• 32:21
  Speaker 4: charge of running that site, they seem to be like
• 32:23
  Speaker 4: just totally absent. They're doing fucking nothing except they're trying
• 32:27
  Speaker 4: to still sell their picks. Good luck with that, because
• 32:29
  Speaker 4: all the better handicappers are at this site wager talk.
• 32:33
  Speaker 4: So I'm not advertising for anybody. I'm just telling the
• 32:36
  Speaker 4: truth here, all right. Next game up is Anaheim and Miami. Miami,
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: they're dead and they're returning home from a road trip.
• 32:44
  Speaker 4: So we have a few teams that are like this,
• 32:46
  Speaker 4: like teams that are like, yeah, you're not making the
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: playoffs now, buddy, and you're returning home from a road
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: trip that basically sealed your fate. It's not a good
• 32:55
  Speaker 4: spot from Miami returning home from that. They just got
• 32:58
  Speaker 4: swept by Atlanta. That was a huge seat. They couldn't
• 33:00
  Speaker 4: get a game they lost or excuse me, they won
• 33:03
  Speaker 4: the series in New York before that against the Mets,
• 33:05
  Speaker 4: but whatever, it's the Mets. Do we really want to
• 33:08
  Speaker 4: back Anaheim here? Probably not. But Anaheim did play yesterday.
• 33:14
  Speaker 4: Both teams played yesterday. Anaheim did win yesterday against Baltimore,
• 33:17
  Speaker 4: So Anaheim is still putting in some effort. I think
• 33:19
  Speaker 4: Ryan Johnson actually must have pitched well in that game yesterday.
• 33:26
  Speaker 4: Anaheim used three relief pitchers yesterday. Miami does have the
• 33:29
  Speaker 4: better bullpen. They used four, though, but Miami is the
• 33:33
  Speaker 4: better bullpen. Miami is ranked fifth, although I don't think
• 33:35
  Speaker 4: they're quite that good, as I keep saying, Anaheim's not
• 33:38
  Speaker 4: good at twenty first, So yeah, Miami definitely is the
• 33:41
  Speaker 4: better bullpen.
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: Miami's been the better offense as well. They're eleventh.
• 33:45
  Speaker 4: We're looking at a pitcher friendly park here, but Anaheim
• 33:47
  Speaker 4: has definitely struggled offensively at twenty sixth, and they got
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: rid of some of their hitters at the trade deadline.
• 33:53
  Speaker 4: Anaheim is going with George Klassen, which is an interesting
• 33:58
  Speaker 4: He's an interesting case here.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: He's really young, twenty four.
• 34:02
  Speaker 4: His numbers look awful so far, and this is his
• 34:04
  Speaker 4: rookie season. Eleven point five seventy RA, three point six
• 34:08
  Speaker 4: to four whip is horrific. And you know why that's
• 34:11
  Speaker 4: the case. It's because he walks everybody. He's only made
• 34:14
  Speaker 4: a couple of starts so far, two starts in his
• 34:17
  Speaker 4: career so far.
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: He's thrown way too many pitches.
• 34:20
  Speaker 4: He hasn't completed three innings, Yet he's allowed more runs
• 34:23
  Speaker 4: than innings, pitch more hits than that, and he's allowed
• 34:26
  Speaker 4: more than two walks per inning. Yet you can't do that.
• 34:30
  Speaker 4: But if you look at the scouting report on this guy,
• 34:32
  Speaker 4: this guy throws like one hundred miles an hour. So
• 34:34
  Speaker 4: this guy has like an elite like. He has like
• 34:38
  Speaker 4: elite fastball velocity. The problem is he's completely out of control.
• 34:42
  Speaker 4: He walks everybody in His pitch mix isn't really that deep.
• 34:46
  Speaker 4: So I think he might need to wind up being
• 34:48
  Speaker 4: a relief pitcher because he throws one hundred miles an
• 34:50
  Speaker 4: hour on his fastball. His second best pitch is a
• 34:53
  Speaker 4: slider that kind of moves like a cutter, so I
• 34:55
  Speaker 4: assume it's kind of a hard slider. And then he
• 34:58
  Speaker 4: has a curve ball, and then I guess he has
• 34:59
  Speaker 4: a chain that's not good at all. That's his arsenal.
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: So he seems like more of a relief pitcher than
• 35:05
  Speaker 4: a starter to me. I don't know what he's gonna
• 35:08
  Speaker 4: look like in this game. Obviously, he does have an
• 35:10
  Speaker 4: unfamiliarity edge here, and he's capable of getting guys out.
• 35:14
  Speaker 4: I would say at the major league level, if he
• 35:16
  Speaker 4: can somehow fix his command. Miami won't have seen him before,
• 35:20
  Speaker 4: but things have not gone well for class and so
• 35:22
  Speaker 4: far so Closs and Pickles what so, I don't think
• 35:26
  Speaker 4: he's backable here. Tyler Phillips is pitching from Miami.
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: Here. They basically converted him into a starter.
• 35:33
  Speaker 4: He's a converter reliever and he's been okay three point
• 35:37
  Speaker 4: five three ERA one point three to five whip is
• 35:39
  Speaker 4: not really that good, but he's been good at home
• 35:41
  Speaker 4: one point six y three home. He RRA and he's
• 35:43
  Speaker 4: continuing to not allow that many runs, so he's kind
• 35:46
  Speaker 4: of getting you like four or five innings when he
• 35:48
  Speaker 4: goes out there, and he's keeping you in the game
• 35:49
  Speaker 4: and not allowing that many runs, which is good, although
• 35:53
  Speaker 4: he's not He doesn't have like elite stuff or anything.
• 35:56
  Speaker 4: He can't strike guys out. His hit rate is decent.
• 35:58
  Speaker 4: His walk rate is not really that good though, so
• 36:01
  Speaker 4: he doesn't strike guys out. He walks too many guys,
• 36:03
  Speaker 4: but he isn't really that hittable, which is kind of
• 36:06
  Speaker 4: a weird combination. I guess gets guys into a lot
• 36:09
  Speaker 4: of soft contacts. So again, advanced analytics guys will be like, yeah, no,
• 36:14
  Speaker 4: we don't like this guy. Anaheim only has three hitters
• 36:17
  Speaker 4: who have faced him, and they're only one for six
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: Offen with no extra base hits, one strikeout, no walks,
• 36:23
  Speaker 4: So Phillips might actually do okay here.
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: My read on this game is not strong.
• 36:31
  Speaker 4: The money is coming in against Miami, and again it's
• 36:33
  Speaker 4: probably because of the price and the situation. They open
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: minus one seventy two, Like I don't think they should
• 36:38
  Speaker 4: be that heavy of a favorite with Phillips on the mound,
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: probably against anybody.
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: But the line did drop to like minus one sixty two.
• 36:45
  Speaker 4: We got eighty two percent of the tickets seventy nine
• 36:47
  Speaker 4: percent of the cash on Miami, So they're a public side.
• 36:50
  Speaker 4: With the money coming in against them, the public will
• 36:53
  Speaker 4: want nothing to do with Anaheim with a picture with
• 36:55
  Speaker 4: horrible numbers right now that they don't know who he is.
• 36:58
  Speaker 4: But he's class and at least has his fastball alone
• 37:02
  Speaker 4: at least tells you that he's probably at least better
• 37:05
  Speaker 4: than his numbers look. But in this game, I mean,
• 37:08
  Speaker 4: we're looking at some pitching that's not very good here.
• 37:12
  Speaker 4: There might be more indicators towards an over here, and
• 37:14
  Speaker 4: the money is coming in on the over sixty four
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: percent of tickets on the under eighty one percent of
• 37:18
  Speaker 4: the cash on the over eight and a half. Do
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: what you want with that info.
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: But whatever. By the way, I also, dude.
• 37:27
  Speaker 4: I like Clint and I'm gonna see Clint fairly soon.
• 37:31
  Speaker 4: By the way, I don't know if I'm allowed to
• 37:33
  Speaker 4: say that or not. It's a very yeah, it's a
• 37:35
  Speaker 4: very homo erotic situation. No, but I was, dude. I
• 37:39
  Speaker 4: wasn't even kissing anybody's ass. I made a joke about
• 37:42
  Speaker 4: liking to watch That's all I fucking said. And then
• 37:44
  Speaker 4: you're gonna come at me because I'm not gonna slander somebody.
• 37:47
  Speaker 4: Fuck you get it, get out of my chat. My
• 37:52
  Speaker 4: favorite handicapper is not myself, So Marco DiAngelo is my favorite.
• 37:58
  Speaker 4: I've mentioned him on the show where I've been following
• 38:00
  Speaker 4: him for two decades. Probably at this point. He's on
• 38:04
  Speaker 4: wager He was at pregame he's one of the founders
• 38:07
  Speaker 4: of wager Talk, because I think things were probably not
• 38:10
  Speaker 4: going well at pregames, so he was like, no, I'm
• 38:13
  Speaker 4: gonna start my own thing, do it my own way,
• 38:16
  Speaker 4: and like, bring over some guys that I like and trust.
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: Or whatever. Yeah, I like Marco.
• 38:21
  Speaker 4: I mean he handed he handicaps all the major sports,
• 38:24
  Speaker 4: and he also does horse racing and is a horse
• 38:29
  Speaker 4: owner I believe as well, like a racing horse owner,
• 38:32
  Speaker 4: and he's done that for a long time.
• 38:34
  Speaker 2: So yeah, he's he's my favorite. I liked he. I've
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: learned the most from him.
• 38:38
  Speaker 4: He's a situational handicapper, so I like the way that
• 38:41
  Speaker 4: he handicaps. And even before I was like an Austrian
• 38:44
  Speaker 4: economist and was getting into oh, human behavior makes sense
• 38:47
  Speaker 4: here and how it affects, like like how human behavior
• 38:51
  Speaker 4: like operates basically, and how that is really like the economy,
• 38:55
  Speaker 4: but he kind of does that in his handicapping.
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: I put two and two together.
• 39:01
  Speaker 4: After I started reading Austrian economics, I'm like, oh shit,
• 39:04
  Speaker 4: that's crazy, Like the way I handicap is actually like
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: an Austrian economic approach. But it was just what made
• 39:11
  Speaker 4: the most sense to me, like way back twenty years ago,
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: and I started listening to him and I'm like, oh, yeah,
• 39:16
  Speaker 4: this makes sense. I was trying to figure out, like
• 39:18
  Speaker 4: how do I pick football games? That's how I got
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: into it. I was playing poker for a bit when
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: I was in college and then the government made it
• 39:26
  Speaker 4: illegal to do that online, so I was in the
• 39:29
  Speaker 4: poker scene for a little while back then I did
• 39:31
  Speaker 4: some live tournaments as well.
• 39:33
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I switched over to sports partially because you
• 39:37
  Speaker 2: could still do it, although you had to do I don't.
• 39:41
  Speaker 4: Even know if I'm allowed to say it here, but
• 39:43
  Speaker 4: you had to find certain ways of doing that.
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: The sports betting whatever.
• 39:49
  Speaker 4: But I did it also because I wanted to be
• 39:51
  Speaker 4: better at predicting games to win, like my pick them
• 39:54
  Speaker 4: leagues and stuff. So I don't think he's retired, no,
• 39:58
  Speaker 4: I mean he's on wager Time channel doing videos like
• 40:02
  Speaker 4: multiple times a week and whatever, and no, he's he
• 40:04
  Speaker 4: sells his picks on there and whatever. He's definitely not retired.
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: I mean he he bets for a living, so I'm
• 40:09
  Speaker 4: sure he's still betting as well. But he's he gives
• 40:12
  Speaker 4: out his picks on that on that or doesn't give
• 40:15
  Speaker 4: them out, he sells them on that site. But he
• 40:18
  Speaker 4: also gives out free ones as well, and he still
• 40:22
  Speaker 4: does the the bet on It show, which I watch
• 40:25
  Speaker 4: every week from football season.
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: I like to compare my thinking with theirs, you know
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: what I mean.
• 40:32
  Speaker 4: So I like when I'm in line with them, all right,
• 40:36
  Speaker 4: a's in the Red Sox. If you guys saw the
• 40:39
  Speaker 4: Red Sox game last night, yeah, I don't want I
• 40:43
  Speaker 4: don't want anything to do with either Socks team after
• 40:46
  Speaker 4: that game last night.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: It was completely ridiculous.
• 40:49
  Speaker 4: Wilson Contreres still didn't play, by the way, because he
• 40:52
  Speaker 4: was sick. He got pulled from the previous game due
• 40:54
  Speaker 4: to an illness, missed yesterday's game. Hopefully he's back because
• 40:58
  Speaker 4: he's one of the Red Sox best hitters, although I guess.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: They didn't need him yesterday. But I came out.
• 41:04
  Speaker 4: I was at a concert last night sort of in
• 41:07
  Speaker 4: the Fenway Park area, and I walked down to the
• 41:10
  Speaker 4: Fenway area and it was like almost midnight and the
• 41:12
  Speaker 4: crowd was just getting out. I'm like, what the fuck,
• 41:14
  Speaker 4: because like the game was like seven o'clock, so I'm like,
• 41:17
  Speaker 4: usually the game's gonna end ten o'clock, like at the latest,
• 41:21
  Speaker 4: and I'm like the game is just getting out right
• 41:23
  Speaker 4: now and it's like midnight. What the fuck happened in
• 41:25
  Speaker 4: this game? Well, the game went thirteen innings. The Red
• 41:29
  Speaker 4: Sox became the first team ever to score in five
• 41:34
  Speaker 4: innings in a row in an extra innings game that's
• 41:38
  Speaker 4: never happened before. They scored in the ninth, tenth, eleven, twelfth,
• 41:41
  Speaker 4: and thirteenth. The Red Sox scored runs in all of them,
• 41:44
  Speaker 4: although again that's partially because of the ghost Runner. You
• 41:46
  Speaker 4: gotta get rid of the ghost Runner, man, because again,
• 41:48
  Speaker 4: this was like a game that everyone's gonna be talking about,
• 41:51
  Speaker 4: a historic game. Everybody loves these games to go into
• 41:55
  Speaker 4: massive amounts of extra innings, you know what I mean,
• 41:57
  Speaker 4: because they're epic, epic.
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: Games, and you don't like it day.
• 42:00
  Speaker 4: You don't want to be a fan of that team
• 42:02
  Speaker 4: the day afterwards, though, you know, at least they won
• 42:04
  Speaker 4: the game, the Red Sox did, but I don't like
• 42:07
  Speaker 4: their situation coming into the game today, you know what
• 42:09
  Speaker 4: I mean. The bullpen is just absolutely shredded after that game.
• 42:13
  Speaker 4: So it's a bad thing, but it makes for like
• 42:16
  Speaker 4: really good entertainment and people. You could tell people love
• 42:20
  Speaker 4: that shit like that was one of the most epic
• 42:22
  Speaker 4: games in the last couple of seasons. It's probably the
• 42:24
  Speaker 4: most epic one since the ghost Runner era. And people
• 42:29
  Speaker 4: don't want more of that. Well, you're gonna get more
• 42:31
  Speaker 4: games like that if you get rid of the Ghost Runner, man,
• 42:34
  Speaker 4: even though you'll have fewer runs being scored, but the
• 42:36
  Speaker 4: game people like them. When that game keeps going longer
• 42:39
  Speaker 4: and longer and it's suspense and like who's gonna win,
• 42:42
  Speaker 4: it's crazy.
• 42:43
  Speaker 2: The other thing the Red Sox did in that game.
• 42:45
  Speaker 4: Is they because of the Ghost Runner again, the Red
• 42:49
  Speaker 4: Sox erased seven separate deficits in that game, although five
• 42:54
  Speaker 4: of them were in the late innings you know whatever.
• 42:57
  Speaker 4: But the Red Sox were losing seven different times in
• 42:59
  Speaker 4: the game, including losing four to nothing early in the game,
• 43:03
  Speaker 4: and they wound up coming back and tying the game
• 43:05
  Speaker 4: I think at five, then fell behind again. The Red
• 43:07
  Speaker 4: Sox tied the game of the night and it was crazy, dude.
• 43:11
  Speaker 4: The Red Sox are playing.
• 43:14
  Speaker 2: With a lot of like a lot of intensity, man.
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: That's what I gotta say. They keep winning games. I
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: don't know what to tell you. I don't think they're
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: this good.
• 43:22
  Speaker 4: I don't think there's value on them in like the
• 43:24
  Speaker 4: future market at this point or anything like that. Like
• 43:26
  Speaker 4: I said yesterday, they're the favorites now to win the
• 43:29
  Speaker 4: al odds on favorites. I wouldn't play that because they're
• 43:33
  Speaker 4: just over hyped right now. But the good thing for
• 43:35
  Speaker 4: them is they get to play the A's here, and
• 43:37
  Speaker 4: the A's are not a good team, so maybe the
• 43:39
  Speaker 4: Red Sox will be able to win this series. But
• 43:42
  Speaker 4: I don't like the setup coming off of that epic
• 43:45
  Speaker 4: game last night, and you think it would be a
• 43:47
  Speaker 4: letdown for the Red Sox. The thing is, I can't
• 43:49
  Speaker 4: really come in and play the A's here either. Red
• 43:52
  Speaker 4: Sox might have the better starting pitcher here and whatever, still,
• 43:57
  Speaker 4: so I don't really want to do that. The A's
• 43:59
  Speaker 4: are playing some bad baseball, so this is a streak
• 44:02
  Speaker 4: versus a streak. At least maybe you do come in
• 44:05
  Speaker 4: and play the A's here. Man, the A's have lost
• 44:08
  Speaker 4: eight games in a row and the Red Sox I
• 44:09
  Speaker 4: think have one eight or nine games in a row.
• 44:12
  Speaker 4: So you have two streaks going in opposite directions here
• 44:15
  Speaker 4: that are colliding here. But the Red Sox use everybody
• 44:18
  Speaker 4: out of their bullpen yesterday, even though I know they
• 44:20
  Speaker 4: have the best bullpen in baseball. They gave up some
• 44:23
  Speaker 4: runs yesterday, but here, yeah, they used eight relief pitchers yesterday.
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: They used everyone. So this is not good.
• 44:29
  Speaker 4: The Red Sox is gonna need totally to get them
• 44:32
  Speaker 4: deep in this game today. Man, he has the ability
• 44:35
  Speaker 4: to do that.
• 44:35
  Speaker 2: But we'll see.
• 44:36
  Speaker 4: The Red Sox are still number one in bullpen though
• 44:38
  Speaker 4: they still have a really low ERA and whip, and
• 44:41
  Speaker 4: the A's are a terrible bullpen twenty eighth. They're the
• 44:45
  Speaker 4: worst bullpen era. Red Sox are actually now ahead of
• 44:49
  Speaker 4: the A's and offense, the Red Sox are fifteenth now
• 44:52
  Speaker 4: and the.
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: A's are eighteen.
• 44:53
  Speaker 4: So this Red Sox offense all of a sudden not
• 44:57
  Speaker 4: putrid at least at this point. A's offen has been
• 45:00
  Speaker 4: worse recently. Now, the A's might have a little bit
• 45:03
  Speaker 4: of a revenge modeve or something. The Red Sox might
• 45:06
  Speaker 4: overlook them because the Red Sox just went into Sacramento,
• 45:09
  Speaker 4: into that terrible stadium and won three out of the
• 45:11
  Speaker 4: four games there, although every game was close, So you
• 45:14
  Speaker 4: could take that kind of two ways, right, Like, the
• 45:17
  Speaker 4: Red Sox might overlook the A's a little bit because
• 45:19
  Speaker 4: they just beat them on the road three out of four,
• 45:21
  Speaker 4: but they might take them a little bit more seriously
• 45:23
  Speaker 4: because every game was close. But yeah, I mean, it
• 45:27
  Speaker 4: could go either one of those ways, I guess, is
• 45:29
  Speaker 4: what I'm saying.
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: So I don't know. Jack Perkins is getting the start
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: for the A's and he did pitch pretty well against
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox in that series, and I think he's
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: better than his six point seven two eras suggests. He's
• 45:41
  Speaker 2: got a one point four whip.
• 45:42
  Speaker 4: Which is still not really that good, but he's got
• 45:46
  Speaker 4: strikeout ability. Man, He's still pretty young, and he the
• 45:49
  Speaker 4: fact that he could strike guys out tells you that
• 45:51
  Speaker 4: he's got some talent there. He's been better on the
• 45:54
  Speaker 4: road at least, although five point nine to seven e
• 45:56
  Speaker 4: RRAs still not good, but he's better away from that
• 46:00
  Speaker 4: horrible as stadium. He pitched well in that game against
• 46:03
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox, like I said, although he was a
• 46:04
  Speaker 4: little bit wild, but he won hit the Red Sox.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: He did the sixth inning.
• 46:08
  Speaker 4: Red Sox still won the game, but Perkins was difficult
• 46:12
  Speaker 4: for them to hit.
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: And Perkins struck.
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: Out a lot of guys in his last outing against Detroit,
• 46:17
  Speaker 4: but he gave up a lot of runs in that one.
• 46:19
  Speaker 4: He was definitely hittable in that one, and that's kind
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: of been his problem as he's actually been too hittable.
• 46:24
  Speaker 4: Usually when you get guys that strike guys out at
• 46:26
  Speaker 4: a rate like he does. He has a really high
• 46:28
  Speaker 4: strikeout rate. Usually the walks of the problem, but with
• 46:31
  Speaker 4: him that's not really the case. His walk rate is
• 46:35
  Speaker 4: somewhat okay. His hit rate is a bit high, so
• 46:37
  Speaker 4: that's kind of an issue. And yeah, he's allowed.
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: A lot of home runs.
• 46:41
  Speaker 4: But even though this is a hitter friendly park and Fenway,
• 46:44
  Speaker 4: it's not the A's stadium. At least Perkins has faced
• 46:48
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox. Now, now that might mean the Red
• 46:50
  Speaker 4: Sox might hit him better this time, right, because the
• 46:52
  Speaker 4: Red Sox hadn't seen him before the first time they
• 46:55
  Speaker 4: faced him, and there's that unfamiliarity edge that a pitcher
• 46:58
  Speaker 4: might have the first time he faced as an offense.
• 47:01
  Speaker 4: But now that the Red Sox just saw him, the
• 47:03
  Speaker 4: Red Sox got to look at him, and now the
• 47:04
  Speaker 4: Red Sox might hit him better, you know what I mean.
• 47:07
  Speaker 4: But they didn't dwell against him in that other game.
• 47:09
  Speaker 4: They have twenty at bats against him, actually, so they
• 47:11
  Speaker 4: may have actually seen him other than that one out.
• 47:14
  Speaker 4: He looks like they saw him maybe in like a
• 47:16
  Speaker 4: relief appearance or something as well. But the Red Socks
• 47:19
  Speaker 4: only have a one hundred average against him, five eighty
• 47:21
  Speaker 4: ops five to five strike out walk ratio though, so
• 47:24
  Speaker 4: they were able to draw walks against him. But yeah,
• 47:27
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox haven't done well against him. And actually
• 47:29
  Speaker 4: one of the hits, the home run that's against him,
• 47:33
  Speaker 4: is one of the Red Sox trade deadline acquisitions, Jake Rogers,
• 47:37
  Speaker 4: who didn't leave his mustache either. Man, what's wrong with him?
• 47:40
  Speaker 4: He grew out a full beard. When he used to
• 47:42
  Speaker 4: have this crazy mustache that made him look like he
• 47:45
  Speaker 4: belonged in the seventies, but.
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: Now he grew a full beard.
• 47:48
  Speaker 4: Come on, man, Not that I mind the beard, but
• 47:50
  Speaker 4: the mustache had had an aura to it, you know.
• 47:54
  Speaker 4: But it's hilarious that Rogers, the backup catcher that the
• 47:57
  Speaker 4: Red Sox had as a they got him with right
• 48:00
  Speaker 4: tremand in a throw in. I think Rogers was a
• 48:02
  Speaker 4: kind of a throw in in that deal. I'm pretty sure,
• 48:05
  Speaker 4: something like don't know, Yeah, I think Rogers was on Baltimore.
• 48:08
  Speaker 4: I forget because I remember him being on Detroit. But
• 48:11
  Speaker 4: Rogers is on the Red Sox roster right now as
• 48:13
  Speaker 4: their backup catcher, and maybe they should actually have him
• 48:15
  Speaker 4: start today because he has a home run against Perkins
• 48:19
  Speaker 4: and he was not on the Red Sox when the
• 48:21
  Speaker 4: Red Sox faced Perkins before, so that's kind of funny.
• 48:24
  Speaker 4: Red Sox is going with Peyton Totley here. He's been
• 48:26
  Speaker 4: good and he's dude, this guy gets fired up.
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 48:30
  Speaker 4: I like his I like his fire. He's in the dugout,
• 48:34
  Speaker 4: you know, when he's not pitching. He's in the dugout
• 48:36
  Speaker 4: during all these Red Sox games. He's getting all fired
• 48:39
  Speaker 4: up when the Red Sox are doing well and getting
• 48:41
  Speaker 4: all pumped up, and he's one of the first guys
• 48:44
  Speaker 4: out of the dugout when they win and just going
• 48:46
  Speaker 4: crazy on the field. I'm like, fuck yeah. I like
• 48:48
  Speaker 4: this guy's energy. I like his stash. I like big
• 48:52
  Speaker 4: men that like to eat steak like Peyton Totley does.
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: Fuck yeah.
• 48:56
  Speaker 4: Three point three r A for him, one point one
• 48:58
  Speaker 4: five whips the number for him are good as well.
• 49:01
  Speaker 4: He is a little bit worse at home though, three
• 49:03
  Speaker 4: point seven to two Homier Rab's still not bad. He
• 49:06
  Speaker 4: pitched in that A's series and he did reasonably well
• 49:08
  Speaker 4: in that one. He pitched against Jack Perkins actually and
• 49:11
  Speaker 4: wind up getting the win in that start, and he
• 49:14
  Speaker 4: slightly outpitched Perkins in that game. Mostly just because he
• 49:18
  Speaker 4: had more strikeouts and fewer walks. Totally back that up.
• 49:22
  Speaker 4: He followed that up with a good start at the
• 49:24
  Speaker 4: Dodgers as well, so totally's doing some damage against some
• 49:27
  Speaker 4: good offenses here. That's a good sign. Going up against
• 49:31
  Speaker 4: the A's. Of course, they basically only saw him in
• 49:33
  Speaker 4: that one start. He sell him to a TWOA at
• 49:36
  Speaker 4: average six ninety eight oh ps six to one strikeout
• 49:38
  Speaker 4: walk ratio twenty four at bats. I think maybe the
• 49:43
  Speaker 4: only approach he could really take here maybe is to
• 49:46
  Speaker 4: go first five under in this one and just go
• 49:48
  Speaker 4: with the starting pitchers to use their talent to work
• 49:52
  Speaker 4: their way through that. The full game totals eight and
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: a half, you're probably gonna be looking at about four
• 49:57
  Speaker 4: maybe four and a half in the first five, which
• 49:59
  Speaker 4: isn't too bad out of a number. Sixty one percent
• 50:01
  Speaker 4: of tickets on the under, though fifty four percent of
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: the cash or the over money looks like it's kind
• 50:06
  Speaker 4: of backing the over here, but I think first five
• 50:08
  Speaker 4: under makes some sense. I would avoid both bullpens though
• 50:11
  Speaker 4: Red Sox bullpen just they're way too overworked here. A's
• 50:16
  Speaker 4: bullpen is something you could never back in my opinion.
• 50:19
  Speaker 4: Red Sox are also just way too heavy of a favorite.
• 50:21
  Speaker 4: Their minus two sixty. I mean, after the Red Sox
• 50:25
  Speaker 4: burned out their whole bullpen. I mean I understand how
• 50:27
  Speaker 4: bad the A's bullpen is. Yeah, I mean that price
• 50:31
  Speaker 4: is just not right. Like, should the Red Sox win
• 50:34
  Speaker 4: this game, hopefully, but they're in a tough spot coming
• 50:39
  Speaker 4: off the way that game went last night, huge emotional win.
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: To come back repeatedly in a game like that and
• 50:45
  Speaker 4: go thirteen innings. I want nothing to do with the
• 50:47
  Speaker 4: Red Sox here. They got ninety four percent of the
• 50:49
  Speaker 4: tickets seventy six percent of the cash on them, so
• 50:51
  Speaker 4: the money is fading them.
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: And I guess taking the shot with.
• 50:54
  Speaker 4: The A's here, if you do play the A's, you're
• 50:57
  Speaker 4: just playing them to kind of keep it close. I
• 50:58
  Speaker 4: would still probably only do it the first five though,
• 51:01
  Speaker 4: and maybe it could be a low score that kind
• 51:03
  Speaker 4: of goes along with that under in the first five.
• 51:05
  Speaker 4: If it's a low scoring game, it might mean the
• 51:07
  Speaker 4: underdog is kind of hanging around in that game, all right.
• 51:11
  Speaker 4: Next game up is my last play of the day,
• 51:19
  Speaker 4: So you know, this is the one where I agree
• 51:20
  Speaker 4: with Pinzie. But I'm just playing the Cleveland money line
• 51:22
  Speaker 4: here minus one thirty eight. I know, I don't love
• 51:26
  Speaker 4: that price range, really, but I think it's reasonable enough
• 51:29
  Speaker 4: and I think we have a lot going for us
• 51:30
  Speaker 4: year with Cleveland. First of all, we're fading the White
• 51:33
  Speaker 4: Sox because they were also involved in that game with
• 51:35
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox yesterday. Brutal, absolutely brutal. They that would
• 51:39
  Speaker 4: have been huge if the White Sox beat the Red Sox.
• 51:41
  Speaker 4: The White Sox are now owned six against the Red
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: Sox this year. White Sox also had a chance to
• 51:46
  Speaker 4: end the wind streak, the current win streak for the
• 51:49
  Speaker 4: hottest seam in baseball basically, and the White Sox almost
• 51:53
  Speaker 4: had it.
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: It looked like they had.
• 51:55
  Speaker 4: It like seven different times basically in the game and
• 51:58
  Speaker 4: blew it every single time. That's gonna be brutal for
• 52:01
  Speaker 4: the White Sox to come off of that. Plus, they're
• 52:03
  Speaker 4: also returning home from a road trip or they went
• 52:05
  Speaker 4: to Tampa Bay and Boston played some big games there.
• 52:09
  Speaker 4: Now they're coming home and they have a three game
• 52:10
  Speaker 4: lead over Cleveland, who they're playing here.
• 52:12
  Speaker 2: Now. Cleveland might have a little bit of extra motivation
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: here for that reason too, because Cleveland's behind them in
• 52:17
  Speaker 2: the standings and still trying to win this division. Chicago, Minnesota,
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: and Cleveland are all still trying to win this division.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: Detroit's actually still playing with effort too, hilariously, even though
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: they sold off of the trade deadline. It would be
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: just it would be very Al.
• 52:32
  Speaker 4: Central if Detroit won this one the division despite selling at.
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: The trade deadline.
• 52:38
  Speaker 4: That seems like something that would happen in the Al
• 52:41
  Speaker 4: Central if you remember last year Cleveland did that. Last
• 52:43
  Speaker 4: year Cleveland sold at the trade deadline, I'm pretty sure
• 52:46
  Speaker 4: and lost like some of their bulpen arms to gambling
• 52:49
  Speaker 4: or whatever.
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: Then Cleveland wound up winning the division somehow. Just completely ridiculous.
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: It might happen with Detroit here.
• 52:58
  Speaker 4: But anyway, it's a bad spot for the White Sox
• 53:01
  Speaker 4: the return home spot. Even though you're playing against the
• 53:03
  Speaker 4: team that's battling you in your division, you have a
• 53:06
  Speaker 4: three game lead over them, So I think the team
• 53:08
  Speaker 4: that has the three game lead might have the tendency
• 53:10
  Speaker 4: to take their foot off the gas a little bit
• 53:12
  Speaker 4: in a matchup like that, And I think it's just
• 53:14
  Speaker 4: brutal for the White Sox to be coming off that
• 53:16
  Speaker 4: extra inning game no time off having a return home
• 53:19
  Speaker 4: from the road. Cleveland has an easier travel spot because
• 53:23
  Speaker 4: they're starting a road trip coming in from Cleveland.
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: That's a better spot.
• 53:26
  Speaker 4: And when things aren't going well for you, like you
• 53:28
  Speaker 4: get swept at home by the Mets, that's what happened
• 53:31
  Speaker 4: with Cleveland, one of the best things for you leave
• 53:34
  Speaker 4: go out on the road. Don't listen to what the
• 53:36
  Speaker 4: media is saying whatever, just leave and go focus on baseball.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: That's what Cleveland's gonna do here.
• 53:41
  Speaker 4: Yesterday was an embarrassing loss for them, thirteen to six
• 53:45
  Speaker 4: to the Mets. Doesn't get much worse than that, so
• 53:47
  Speaker 4: I think they're gonna be in a bounced back spot here.
• 53:49
  Speaker 4: So I really like the situation for Cleveland here. But
• 53:53
  Speaker 4: I also like the starting pitching and we'll go full
• 53:56
  Speaker 4: game on it because the situation is good enough. Plus,
• 53:59
  Speaker 4: the White Sox have a burned out bullpen. They used
• 54:01
  Speaker 4: everyone except Nukeomb yesterday. Duke nukemb Sean Nucomb was on
• 54:05
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox for a little while. Actually, Nucomb is
• 54:08
  Speaker 4: kind of a long relief man, so he's not really
• 54:11
  Speaker 4: anything special. And Eric Fetti only threw five pitches, so
• 54:15
  Speaker 4: he might find his way into this game today too,
• 54:17
  Speaker 4: but that's not a good thing if you're the White Sox.
• 54:19
  Speaker 4: Fetty also took the loss in the game yesterday. I'm
• 54:22
  Speaker 4: pretty sure he was in that last inning there. Brian Bao,
• 54:25
  Speaker 4: expert relief pitcher. Brian Bao got the win in the game.
• 54:29
  Speaker 4: I think he did get charged with one run last night.
• 54:32
  Speaker 4: Maybe he didn't, but he got the win. He pitched
• 54:34
  Speaker 4: the last couple of innings there.
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: Ridiculous.
• 54:37
  Speaker 4: Brian BeO is one of the best relief pitchers in baseball,
• 54:40
  Speaker 4: but he sucks ass as a starter anyway. I'll bet
• 54:44
  Speaker 4: Cleveland's bullpen here. Even though they used five guys out
• 54:46
  Speaker 4: of the bullpen, they didn't really use any of their
• 54:49
  Speaker 4: better relievers for the most I mean, they didn't use
• 54:51
  Speaker 4: Gaddis at least he's their closer or Smith, who I
• 54:54
  Speaker 4: think is one of their better relief pitchers as well.
• 54:57
  Speaker 4: So I think Cleveland sets up better in the bullpen here.
• 55:00
  Speaker 4: You could debate through the better bullpen anyway. I think
• 55:02
  Speaker 4: it's close. Cleveland's nineteenth, but their erays below four, so
• 55:06
  Speaker 4: it's not really that bad. The White Sox are fifteenth.
• 55:09
  Speaker 4: They do have the better ERA, but it's not by much.
• 55:11
  Speaker 4: And again the situation is just really ugly for them here. Offensively, yes,
• 55:16
  Speaker 4: I know Cleveland's offense is bad. They're twenty ninth, but
• 55:18
  Speaker 4: I like good pitching to overcome good hitting. White Sox
• 55:21
  Speaker 4: are sixteenth right now and hitting tied with the Rangers.
• 55:26
  Speaker 4: They did put up some runs yesterday, but they were
• 55:28
  Speaker 4: struggling in the series prior to that.
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: Of course, it was against the Red Sox.
• 55:31
  Speaker 4: The Red Sox have good pitching, but good pitching is
• 55:34
  Speaker 4: what the White Sox are going to be facing here
• 55:36
  Speaker 4: because Parker Messik is pitching for Cleveland. He actually took
• 55:39
  Speaker 4: the loss I think in the first game in that
• 55:42
  Speaker 4: Mets series. Cleveland couldn't get the job done behind Messick.
• 55:46
  Speaker 4: They get another chance to get a win here behind
• 55:47
  Speaker 4: Messick here. Though Messic has had a good season two
• 55:50
  Speaker 4: point five to seven ERA, one point oh six whip,
• 55:53
  Speaker 4: he's been even better on the road two point two
• 55:55
  Speaker 4: roady are with a below two hundred batting average on
• 55:58
  Speaker 4: the road.
• 55:58
  Speaker 2: That's really good.
• 56:00
  Speaker 4: He struggled in that game against Arizona, but he threw
• 56:02
  Speaker 4: too many pitches. He struck out a lot of guys.
• 56:05
  Speaker 4: He only allowed one a in runs, so he wasn't
• 56:07
  Speaker 4: really that bad.
• 56:08
  Speaker 3: Oh.
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: Actually, sorry, he didn't pitch in the Mets series. My mistake.
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: I was thinking of this Arizona game. Cleveland Sema lost.
• 56:13
  Speaker 4: This game against Arizona, but it wasn't really Messi's fault.
• 56:17
  Speaker 4: Although he was inefficient with his pitches for sure, but
• 56:20
  Speaker 4: he only allowed one er and run and the fielding
• 56:22
  Speaker 4: wasn't very helpful behind him. Prior to that, he was
• 56:24
  Speaker 4: pitching really well. Now, the one issue is his pitch count,
• 56:28
  Speaker 4: his innings pitch because he's a young guy who hasn't
• 56:30
  Speaker 4: thrown this many innings before. He's up to about one
• 56:33
  Speaker 4: thirty now, so you might have to start worrying a
• 56:35
  Speaker 4: little bit about that. But I think he might bounce
• 56:37
  Speaker 4: back here. Man, he's not throwing that many pitches like.
• 56:40
  Speaker 4: They don't regularly have him thrown a hundred or whatever,
• 56:42
  Speaker 4: So I'm not too concerned about this yet. He's got
• 56:45
  Speaker 4: a low hit rate, pretty low walk right here as well,
• 56:48
  Speaker 4: decent strikeout rate. All his numbers look pretty good here.
• 56:51
  Speaker 4: And against the White Sox they have seen him a
• 56:54
  Speaker 4: couple of times. They have forty eight at bats against them.
• 56:56
  Speaker 4: They have not had success against them. They have a
• 56:58
  Speaker 4: one to eighty eight to average of five sixty two
• 57:01
  Speaker 4: ops off him thirteen to four strikeout walk ratio, So
• 57:04
  Speaker 4: Messk has had the better of them, and he's the
• 57:06
  Speaker 4: better pitcher here. He's going up against another young guy,
• 57:09
  Speaker 4: Noah Schultz. I think Schultz might eventually be good, but
• 57:13
  Speaker 4: he's struggling right now, especially with his wildness. He's got
• 57:15
  Speaker 4: a five point eight two ERA one point three to
• 57:18
  Speaker 4: eight whip isn't that bad, Like it kind of indicates
• 57:21
  Speaker 4: his ERA should be a little bit better, but it's
• 57:23
  Speaker 4: not great either. Schultz is better at home. I'll give
• 57:26
  Speaker 4: him that five point one to four home ra. He's
• 57:28
  Speaker 4: been tough to hit at home. And he did just
• 57:30
  Speaker 4: pitch well in Tampa Bay last time I which is
• 57:33
  Speaker 4: a decent sign, and they didn't overwork him. They took
• 57:36
  Speaker 4: him out after five innings, low pitch count in that one.
• 57:38
  Speaker 4: He was very efficient in that game, so that does
• 57:41
  Speaker 4: look good. But he was really really struggling prior to that,
• 57:44
  Speaker 4: and he's really been struggling with the walks man, so
• 57:47
  Speaker 4: I don't know if one start is really signaling a
• 57:49
  Speaker 4: complete turnaround for him. He's been pretty difficult to hit,
• 57:52
  Speaker 4: so that's good, but his walk rate is quite high,
• 57:55
  Speaker 4: which is bad.
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: His strike out rates is not really that high.
• 57:59
  Speaker 4: Want to I want him to do well, you know,
• 58:01
  Speaker 4: maybe not in this game because I want to get
• 58:02
  Speaker 4: this pick right, but I want him to do well
• 58:05
  Speaker 4: just because I kind of like.
• 58:06
  Speaker 2: His profile and I like tall guys, guys that are
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: at six', ten you know WHAT i. MEAN i want
• 58:12
  Speaker 2: him to. Succeed and Because i'm not an? Asshole what
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: do you? Want you THINK i, am But i'm. Not
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: BUT i don't know about this.
• 58:20
  Speaker 4: Man cleveland hasn't seen him, before Though Joe adell faced
• 58:23
  Speaker 4: him and his zerover two with two. Strikeouts they got
• 58:26
  Speaker 4: a dell over from My. Anaheim so, Yes schultz is
• 58:29
  Speaker 4: unfamiliar To cleveland and their offense isn't really that, good
• 58:31
  Speaker 4: so he does have an unfamiliarity yet. Here but you
• 58:34
  Speaker 4: saw what the situation looks. Like it's a situational advantage For.
• 58:37
  Speaker 4: CLEVELAND i know the price tags a little bit high
• 58:39
  Speaker 4: here on the. Road it's gone up for minus one
• 58:42
  Speaker 4: twenty four into the minus one thirty something. Range here
• 58:46
  Speaker 4: the money looks like it's agreeing with me on. This
• 58:48
  Speaker 4: seventy three percent of tickets fifty three percent of Tickets
• 58:51
  Speaker 4: excuseuly seventy three percent of the cash On.
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: Cleveland SO i.
• 58:54
  Speaker 4: Think we're getting market agreement at least on these. Two
• 58:57
  Speaker 4: AND i thought we were getting agreement on The mets as,
• 58:59
  Speaker 4: well ALTHOUGH i guess we're. Not that's the WEAKEST i
• 59:02
  Speaker 4: think of the three. Plays MAYBE i shouldn't be on The,
• 59:05
  Speaker 4: mets but it is what it is at this. Point
• 59:08
  Speaker 4: let's try to at least go two and one, today,
• 59:10
  Speaker 4: man and we want to get these favorite plays.
• 59:13
  Speaker 2: Right you, know as long as we go two and,
• 59:15
  Speaker 2: one will still have a winning.
• 59:16
  Speaker 4: Day But i'd rather get the favorites right than the,
• 59:19
  Speaker 4: underdog you, know just because you're paying more for. It but,
• 59:22
  Speaker 4: yes the money looks like it. Agrees we'll do. It
• 59:24
  Speaker 4: we'll Take cleveland. HERE i think it's a good spot
• 59:27
  Speaker 4: to do.
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: IT i think we have the.
• 59:28
  Speaker 4: Pitching edge there and hopefully the bullpen advantage as.
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: Well so let's do.
• 59:33
  Speaker 4: It minnesota At. Milwaukee this is kind of a weird
• 59:37
  Speaker 4: match up. Here milwaukee is coming off that big series Against.
• 59:40
  Speaker 4: Pittsburgh maybe it could be a little bit of a
• 59:42
  Speaker 4: letdown because that was still a pretty big divisional series From.
• 59:45
  Speaker 4: MILWAUKEE i don't know if they're really going to pay
• 59:47
  Speaker 4: that much attention To. Minnesota minnesota is trying to win their,
• 59:50
  Speaker 4: division they might be a little bit more. Focused and
• 59:53
  Speaker 4: they just ended a four game losing. Streak they beat
• 59:56
  Speaker 4: The royals, yesterday so both teams did play. Yesterday minnesota
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 4: might be the team with a little bit more focus,
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 4: here though obviously they have a big bullpen disadvantage. Here
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 4: minnesota used three guys Yesterday, minneso so Did, milwaukee And
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 4: milwaukee actually didn't use Mic gail even though it was
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 4: a safe situation they had a three run. Lead i'm
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 4: pretty Sure milwaukee's definitely the better.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: Bullpen they ranked. Ninth they have one of the best
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 2: bullpen e.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 4: Rays, still they're like top four in bullpen e, ray,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 4: which by the, WAY i forgot to actually point Out
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 4: yankees are number two in bullpen e ray And braves
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 4: are number. Three by the, way just to clarify WHAT
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 4: i said, earlier The yankees have a considerably better bullpen
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 4: e array Than, atlanta by the, way and they rested,
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 4: anyway what WAS i talking?
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: About oh, yeah the bullpen for what are we talking? About?
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: Minnesota they. Sucked they're twenty ninth, yeah Obviously milwaukee has
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 2: the better bullpen. Here milwaukee probably has the.
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 4: Better offense To they're, Eighth minnesota, twelve tied with The
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 4: yankees and The, Giants but, YEAH i Think milwaukee does
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 4: probably have the edge throughout this, game probably in the
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 4: starting pitching as. Well minnesota's going with Zebulon matthews again
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 4: here five point two TWO, era one point three to
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 4: one whip not too, bad but not great, either And
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 4: zebi has been really bad on the road seven point
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 4: three to three ROAD, era so you do not want
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 4: to back him on the road, typically though he did
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 4: actually do fairly well in his last road. Start it
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 4: was in a pitcher friendly park In, seattle and he
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 4: had ten strikeouts in five, innings which is pretty, impressive
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 4: although he threw too many, pitches but he was able
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 4: to strike a bunch of guys, Out so there's that
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 4: strikeout stuff THAT i kind of thought that he. Had
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 4: over the course of the, season his strikeout rate has
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 4: not been very, high though his hit rate is right
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 4: around one per, inning which is. Mediocre his walk rate's
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 4: not too bad, though BUT i thought that he was
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 4: a better strikeout pitcher than what.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: He's shown this.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 4: SEASON i don't really Trust zebbi here, though AND i
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 4: don't know WHY espn doesn't have his batter versus Pitcher.
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 4: Tabob it looks like they send him to the, miners
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 4: but he pitched On july, thirty first in The major so.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: It's not like he's had that much time. OFF i
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: don't know what that. Was Against.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 4: Milwaukee he's actually been pretty good against, them but they
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 4: only have five hitters w have faced. Him seven at,
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 4: bats five, strikeouts two, walks one forty three average four
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 4: to seventy six oh. Ps the one hits a single From.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 4: YELLICK i got nothing really on. That it's a small sample,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 4: size But matthews has done alright Against milwaukee when he
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 4: has faced.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 2: Them milwaukee's going With Shane drohan.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 4: Here he's had a pretty good season three point four
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 4: to eighty ra one point one seven whip still not
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 4: good enough FOR espn to actually give him a photo,
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 4: here Though drohan has been slightly worse at home three
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 4: point seven to Three homie ra is still not. Bad
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 4: had a nice bounce back start last time after he
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 4: kind of struggled against The. Rockies got kind of unlucky
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 4: in that, one though he pitched better again Against anaheim last.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: TIME i don't. Know that's not that.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 4: Impressive anaheim not a good. Offense But drohan has been
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 4: pretty good all. Season low hit rate, here, decently low walk,
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 4: rate high strikeout rate as, well so good numbers here from. Him,
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 4: Again he's another one of the pictures The Red sox let,
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 4: go which doesn't make me feel too. Good minnesota has
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 4: never Faced drohan, before so he does have an unfamiliarity
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 4: edge here, too SO i think he does have the
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 4: advantage in this pitching matchup. Here Maybe matthews will kind
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 4: of turn it around after being sent to the miners.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 4: HERE i wouldn't necessarily disagree with the first five under.
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: HERE i wouldn't really want to deal With minnesota's bullpen
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: full game totals at eight we have fifty percent of
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: tickets on the over seventy eight percent of the cash
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: in the.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 4: UNDER i could see the argument for the first five under.
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 4: Here maybe both pitchers actually do okay enough. Here milwaukee
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 4: should have the advantage everywhere in this game that you're
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 4: paying for. It they're up to minus one eighty, something
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 4: ninety one percent of tickets ninety percent of the cash on,
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 4: them so they're a very public, side BUT i wouldn't
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 4: be able to Play minnesota, here you. KNOW i, MEAN
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 4: i guess it's all about the. Price and if you
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 4: do want to Play, MINNESOTA i think you have to
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 4: take them in the first five because they have a
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 4: big bullpend. Disadvantage MAYBE zebi can battle kind of keep
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 4: you in there in the first.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: Five their bullpen.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 4: SUCKS i see no way of back in their bullpen,
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 4: though SO i, think, yeah full. Game it seems Like
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 4: milwaukee has kind of too many advantages. There it's a
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 4: stay away from. Me this game, is this show is
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 4: taking a, while But i'm getting TO i interact with
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 4: the audience.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: Though so there you, Go cubs And royals. Here The
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: royals lost.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 4: Yesterday in A Minnesota royals not doing, well but they
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 4: are staying at home.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: Here at.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 4: Least the clubs had that makeup game where they got
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 4: that bullshit win with the two out to run home
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 4: run in the ninth inning yesterday to beat our, play
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 4: Which i'm fucking pissed, about especially because the first five
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 4: would have won AND i THINK i handicapped that game.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 4: Correctly The cubs use four guys out of the bullpen.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 4: Yesterday they're still better than The royals, bullpen who was
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 4: not good and use five relief.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: Pitchers cubs have a decent. Bullpen they're.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 4: Thirteenth royals are ranked dead last and whip and they're
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 4: the second WORST era to The a's not. Good cubs
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 4: are pretty good, offensively their third really good offensively. Recently
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 4: royals twenty, Seconds so The royals are definitely the worst
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 4: offense here as.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: Well sab likes The royals. HERE i do.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 4: NOT i don't see the argument for. It Kevin gussman
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 4: will be making his debut.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: For The cubs.
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 4: Here he was starting to struggle With, toronto but he's
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 4: been pretty good over the last couple of, seasons and
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 4: he's a, veteran SO i don't think he's done, Yet
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 4: and maybe getting traded to a contending team might help
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 4: him get pumped up, again you know WHAT i. Mean
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 4: he might be motivated in his first start with his
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 4: new team because they're in, contention so he might get.
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 4: Excited he's got a four point three to EIGHTY ra
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 4: one point two to nine.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: Whip those numbers have gotten worse.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 4: Recently goussman struggled on the road this year five point
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 4: three to Three Rody. Ra but he pitched okay last
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 4: time out Against Saint. Louis that was In, toronto, though
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 4: and he's kind of on his regular schedule, here SO
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 4: i actually think that's good that he's pitching on his regular,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 4: schedule has the right amount of days, off so that's not.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: Bad he was a little bit too hittable in that
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: started Against.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: Sat.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 2: Louis, really he wasn't bad in his last two.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 4: Outings he was decent against The Red sox in the
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 4: start before that, too but he got absolutely.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: No run support in that.
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 4: One what else is new does have kind of a
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 4: high hit rate on the, season which is a little.
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 4: Concerning his walk rate's not bad, though strake gut rate
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 4: is not bad, Either so really he hasn't been.
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: Bad he's going.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 4: Up against The cubs, here, though who are definitely a
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 4: lineup that can. Hit The cubs haven't done well Against goussman, though.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Or, no he's going up against The. Royals i'm an.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: Idiot what AM i? Saying gausman is on the? Cobs my. Mistake,
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: sorry he's going up against The. ROYALS i think The royals.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 4: Actually have hit him well kind of in seventy five
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 4: at bats to sixty, seven BECAUSE i was gonna SAY
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 4: i don't remember that to sixty seven average against them
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 4: seven to sixty two.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: Oh ps is a little bit.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 4: High in seventy five at bats twelve to three strake
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 4: out walk. Ratio they still don't really like totally destroy, him,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 4: though Although marte And wit both hit him pretty. Well
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 4: SO i don't really want to Back gussman, here BUT
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 4: i Think sob is insane for trying to Back Kansas.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 4: CITY i think if you're gonna play this, game you
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 4: probably shouldn't pick a starter For Kansas city here because
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 4: it's gonna be a bullpen game For Kansas. City is
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 4: that really what you want to? Back by the, way
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 4: one of the worst bullpens in baseball going with a
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 4: bullpen game against a good offense like The.
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: CUBS i wouldn't do. That Daniel, lynch the fourth looks
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: like he's getting the start for The, royals as at
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: least that's the way it looks. Now but, again IF
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: i was gonna play this, GAME i wouldn't pick a
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: starter for The royals. HERE i would just Pick gusman must,
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: start but not pick the starter for The. Royals lynch
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: has been, Good there's no doubt about. That but he's
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 2: not gonna give you that many innings.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 4: Here he's a relief. Pitcher he typically goes about. Winning
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 4: he has started before in his, career so he might
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 4: pitch more than one inning, here and if he, does.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: You, know that will.
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 4: HELP i think keeping the rest of The royals bullpen
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 4: out of this is probably gonna help for as long
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 4: as they. Can But, LYNCH i, mean The cubs have
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 4: seen him only for a couple of it, bats But
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 4: bregman does have a hit off. Him, BREGMAN i don't
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 4: even want to talk about it any more at this. Point
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 4: a guy who's no longer on The Red sox and
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 4: destroyed our bet that should have won On toronto, yesterday
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 4: Although i'm more mad At varland for that. ANYWAY i
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 4: don't trust A Kansas city bullpen, game, Man i'm. SORRY
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 4: i think the way to play this game is to
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 4: just play it over the. Total, gusman you, know doesn't
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 4: have great numbers Against Kansas. CITY i don't expect much
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 4: out of A Kansas city bullpen. Game the money's back
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 4: in the. UNDER i don't agree with. That season four
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 4: percent of tickets ninety three percent of the catch on the.
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 4: Under the toll is pretty high at nine or nine
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 4: and a. Half although it Is Kansas. City they moved
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 4: the walls, in so it's not that high for A
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 4: Kansas city game at this. Point but STILL i think
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 4: that's HOW i would do that is probably to play the.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 4: OVER i think the runs will come home in that,
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 4: one all. Right baltimore And. Texas on the, surface to,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 4: me this actually looked like it might be potentially an,
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 4: under another one of Those texas home. Unders texas is
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 4: staying at. Home they've started playing some more low scoring
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 4: games recently at. Home two out of the three Against
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 4: San francisco went on with two offenses that aren't really that.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 4: Good texas is staying at home. HERE i Believe texas
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 4: had yesterday off as, well So texas has a rest advantage.
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 4: Here baltimore lost To anaheim yesterday and they have to.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 4: Travel although they're starting a road, trip there's an advantage
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 4: For texas still Because texas is rested after. Yesterday so
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 4: we'll see if that helps their bullpend that hasn't been
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 4: pitching well. Recently baltimore used three guys out of the bullpen.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 4: Yesterday baltimore has been the better bullpend. Generally other ranked.
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 4: Twelve texas is ranked, eighteenth But texas was better last
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 4: year Than baltimore, was and given the rest, EDGE i
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 4: think it's close between the two bullpens here in this.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 4: ONE i think it's close between the offenses as. Well texas,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 4: Sixteenth baltimore. Nineteenth we'll, see But, texas, again they do
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 4: have the rest advantage of staying at. Home Shane boss
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 4: is pitching For. Baltimore he's actually been pitching reasonably well.
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 4: Recently he's got a three point eight six e rail
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 4: those whips still is good one point three to. Seven
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 4: he's been a little bit worse on the road ray
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 4: wise four point oh, one but he's been less hittable
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 4: on the, road so. Interesting his walk rate goes up
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 4: on the, road but his batting average against goes. Down
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 4: he pitched really well last time out at home Against.
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia decent. Sign he's been bitching okay, recently although some
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 4: of these outings not going that deep into, them but
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 4: he hasn't really had an actual bad outing for a while,
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 4: here so he is pitching pretty well right. Now his
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 4: hit rate is still kind of high on the, season,
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 4: though which isn't. Good his walk rate is STILL i would,
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 4: say kind of slightly high as. Well strike out rate
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 4: is still not really that good, either ALTHOUGH i thought
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 4: he was a decent strikeout. Pitcher but he does have
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 4: good numbers against the who's he facing Again? Texas, right, Yeah.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 4: Texas boz has been good against. Them nineteen at. BATS
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 4: i know it's not a big. Sample six hitters have faced,
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 4: him one fifty eight, average five oh one oh ps
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 4: allowed five to two strike out walk. Ratio SO i
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 4: would Say boz does have the upper hand herethan he
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 4: evolved he his pitcher For. TEXAS i don't know what's
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 4: going on with The. Evaldi it's been the home runs
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 4: have just killed him this. Year the rest of his
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 4: numbers are really, good but the home runs make him look.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 4: Bad four point three to ONE, era one point two
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 4: to ONE, WHIP i guess isn't really that good at
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 4: this point. Either he was way better last, year but,
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 4: again if you look at his numbers, overall he's still
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 4: not really that. Bad he's been better at, home although
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 4: a four point one FOUR era isn't exactly, good but
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 4: two twenty two opponent batting average at home is. Good
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 4: and again it's been the home, runs which kind of
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 4: makes no sense because he pitches in a pitcher friendly.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 4: Park he did get shelled last time on the road Against,
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 4: houston BUT i Believe houston typically does hit him, well
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 4: So i'm not gonna really put that much weighted to.
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 4: That but he did struggle a bit and a few
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 4: of his recent starts, here like two of his last
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 4: three have been, bad but they were both on the.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 4: Road one was against The, braves So houston and The
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 4: braves both those teams can hit better Than. Baltimore ken
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 4: Really evaldi on the. Season his hit rate is still
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 4: not really that, high As walker is pretty. Low he
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 4: doesn't really walk. Guys he still has his strikeout. Stuff
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 4: and the weirdest thing is he's a ground ball. Pitcher
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 4: he gets a lot of ground, balls yet he's a
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 4: lot a ton of home runs this year, too which
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 4: really makes very little sense to. Me but WHAT i
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 4: can really kind of sink my teeth into here is
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 4: That evaldi is actually horrific Against. Baltimore baltimore has thirty
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 4: eight to bats against. HIM i thought it would be
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 4: more because The evaldi pitched for The yankees for a.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 4: WHILE i thinking for the Red sox so he was
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 4: In baltimore's. Division But baltimore in those thirty eight at
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 4: bats they have a four to forty seven average against
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 4: him in a one thousand and one oh FIVE, ops
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 4: ten to three strike out Walker, Racier Gunner henderson particularly
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 4: destroys him and has the most of bats against. Him
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 4: SO i don't want to Back evaldi. Here texas does
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 4: have the rest edge, here so it seems like a
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 4: spot where he'd want to Back texas Because texas is
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 4: going to be more motivated as. Well they've finally gotten
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 4: back on track with two. Wins texas is right there
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 4: in The Al west right, now, Man So texas has
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 4: something to play for As baltimore. Doesn't, REALLY i don't
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 4: think it's enough. THOUGH i just can't Back evaldi given
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 4: what the matchup numbers look. Like seventy percent of, ticket
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 4: seventy nine percent of the cash On texas, though so
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 4: the money is back In, texas they're around minus one.
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: FORTY i, MEAN i gave you the arguments For.
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 4: Texas if you do want to do, it the arguments
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 4: would be rest, advantage motivational, advantage that's what you're, getting
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 4: and GENERALLY i would Say evaldi is better than, bos
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 4: but in this, MATCHUP i don't think he. Is SO
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 4: i Think boz does have the matchup. Edge the money
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 4: is still backing the, under for whatever that's. Worth it's
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 4: seven and a, half and, MAYBE i, MEAN i don't
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 4: think i'd play an over in this.
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: GAME i think you do have at.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 4: LEAST i think you might actually have two all, right
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 4: bullpens here still at the very, least and both starters
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 4: are capable of.
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: Doing well in this.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 4: Game PLUS i don't think the offenses or anything that,
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 4: Special so, YEAH i. COULD i think there are more
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 4: arguments for an under than an over still in that.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 4: One and the total is low for a reason if
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 4: it's seven and a. Half but there's not a lot
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 4: of leeway there given what you, have all these numbers look,
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 4: like and the fact THAT boz could potentially be shaky
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 4: at any given. Point All, Right i'll take a. Break
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 4: i'll be right back finish the rest of this off,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 4: snoop what's up, Man thanks for hanging, Out thanks for
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 4: checking out the.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 2: Show all, Right i'll give me a. Second i'll be right. Back. Yep,
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: INSIDE i want to kill.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 4: Myself we were on own seven run over the last
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 4: two days after, tonight.
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: It was just complete.
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 4: Bullshit so that's That's i'm gonna start off this show
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 4: Horrible sunday one and.
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: FIVE i don't even know what to tell you above.
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 2: THAT i just don't want to do this.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 4: ANYMORE i have never seen anything like. This man with
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 4: the slump. Continuing two straight, losses not a good day at,
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 4: all own four next have not had a good. Season
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 4: man with wookends.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: Slump i'm on and the slump. Continues i've reached a new. Peak,
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 2: Actually i'm trying.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 4: To burn my browins Hat, MAN i don't know what
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 4: is going on with the bruins arch?
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: Hape is that what it? IS i don't even know
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 2: it's It's march, NINTH i think who even? Knows, MAN
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: i don't.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: Know what day it is.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: ANYMORE i don't even know what day it is.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 4: Anymore, man back with you after the worst day THAT
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 4: i could possibly, Have back with you AS i always
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 4: am UNTIL i, die at least oh and two yesterday
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 4: and yesterday it did not go well for. Me oh
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 4: and five the worst month That i've ever had in
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 4: my eighteen years doing.
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: THIS i don't know what to even tell you about
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 2: this anymore to the.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 4: Slumps the slump, discontinuous the slump.
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 2: Continues somebody fucking.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 4: Kill, me. PLEASE i don't even know WHAT i should
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 4: do at this, point other than potentially end it.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 2: All what's? Up all, right we're back.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 4: Getting some good traction on the show this. Morning by the,
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 4: way MAYBE i need to yell at my viewers. More all,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 4: Right colorado And Saint. Louis this is a pretty ugly series.
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 2: Between two teams that are not going anywhere in my.
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 2: Opinion Saint.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 4: Louis, oh but we're only fifteen games back in the. Division, no,
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 4: yeah good luck trying to get a wild card in THE.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 4: Nl Saint louis did just win a series against The.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 4: Yankees they're returning home from the. Road they do have
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 4: a day, Off i'm pretty. Sure but it's a bad.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 4: SPOT i think it's a letdown spot potentially For Saint
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 4: louis after beating The yankees two out of three and
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 4: returning home from the, road going To toronto and The
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 4: yankees And colorado an easy team to overlook as, Well
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 4: SO i think in a distraction spot in the return
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 4: home like, that plus playing a bad, OPPONENT i don't
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 4: think it's a very good spot For Saint. Louis, COLORADO
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 4: i believe also had yesterday off and they're starting a road,
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 4: trip which might be good because they just got swept
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 4: at home By Tampa. Bay they're going out on the
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 4: road now should be more of a positive spot for,
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 4: them just forget about what happened at home going on the,
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 4: road although their offense might take a dip here because
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 4: they're going from very hit or from the Courts field
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 4: to very pitcher friendly Bush stadium or whatever the hell
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 4: it's called. Now so both bullpens are, rested BUT i
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 4: still would not trust either. Bullpens Saint louis is the
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 4: better one at twenty, Second colorado twenty.
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 2: Seventh still don't like either one, though even if they are.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 4: Rested colorado has been the better offense at fifth thoough
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 4: LIKE i, said they might not hit as well in this.
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 4: Stadium Saint louis has been pretty weak offensively though at twenty,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 4: fifth and they got rid of some of their guys
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 4: at the trade. Deadline colorado's Got Ryan feltner on the.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 4: Mound i'm not sure THAT i really want to back
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 4: him in order.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 2: To Fade Saint.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 4: Louis it would be really about the spot if you're
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 4: gonna do. It feltner five point seventy five. V one
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 4: point four to six whip not very good, because of
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 4: Course colorado cannot attract good. Pitching As i've been, Saying
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 4: feldner is actually worse outside of Course, Field believe it or.
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 4: Not his roads are, worse which is. Crazy six era
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 4: on the road in a three to h nine opponent batting.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 2: Average, yeah that's. Bad that also makes me not want
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: to come in and pack The rockies.
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 4: Here it's difficult to find a pitcher who you really
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 4: want to back with The rockies Man.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: Feltner has.
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 4: Been he was okay in his last start Against Kansas
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 4: city in Course, field by the, way but he struggled
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 4: in the two starts prior to. That he's got kind
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 4: of a high hit rate. Here his walk rate isn't
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 4: really that. Great he's allowed a decent amount of home runs,
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 4: here though some of that is course field of, course
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 4: low strikeout rate kind.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 2: OF i, mean none of this is really very.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 4: Good, HOWEVER i do think he actually does pitch well
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 4: Against Saint, louis and they're not a very good, offense
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 4: so he might do okay here given that it's a
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 4: pitcher friendly park in a weak. Offense they have twenty
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 4: one at bats against him across five. Hitters one extra
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 4: base hit is a home run From mason, win but
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 4: they only hit one forty three Off feltner with a
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 4: four to twenty NINE ops six zero strikeout walk, ratio.
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: So feltner at least draws a decent matt.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 4: Here Saint louis is going With Kyle lahy and he's
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 4: kind of turned a season.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 2: Around he's been better.
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 4: Recently he's got a three point four to FOUR era,
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 4: now AND i was taking fun of him a lot
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 4: early in the, season although he's still not as good
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 4: as HIS zra makes him. Look his whip is one
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 4: point three to, three which is not. Excellent he's been
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 4: pretty good at home, though two point nine to five
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 4: home HE, ra and he's been pitching well. Recently LIKE i,
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 4: said he's going deeper into some of these. Outings he's
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 4: just getting absolutely no run support. Here but he's allowed
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 4: very few runs, recently two or fewer earned runs allowed
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 4: in whatever this, is seven straight. STARTS i think that's pretty.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 4: Good one was a shortened, outing but the rest were
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 4: all like full. Starts, yeah he's he's actually pitching fairly
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 4: well right. Now his hit rate is still above one
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 4: per inning on the, season, though which isn't, great but
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 4: his walk rate's not really high at this. Point his
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 4: strikeout rate IS i would, say kind of. Mediocre doesn't
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 4: really strike guys, out but he is kind of pitching
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 4: effectively right. Now numbers against The rockies pretty, good seventeen at.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 4: Bats they don't have too many at bats against, him
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 4: but they have seven, strikeouts one, walk one.
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 2: To eighteen average FOUR h two.
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 4: OPS i think first five under is the way to
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 4: play this game, man so Pitcher Friendly. Park both pictures
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 4: look like they actually match up. WELL i don't think
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 4: anybody's gonna want to back the under in a game
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 4: with these two starters on the, momb but the money
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 4: seems like it agrees with me on.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 2: THIS i wouldn't include.
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 4: The bullpens, THOUGH i, mean the bullpens are just, awful
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 4: although at least they are. Rested full game totals eight
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 4: and a. Half but, YEAH i would go first five
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 4: under IF i was gonna play this. One sixty six
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 4: percent of tickets on the, over eighty four percent of
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 4: the cash on the, Under so the money seems to
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 4: be agreeing with me on the UNDER i, mean of,
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 4: COURSE i do have some concerns with, it Like feltner
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 4: sucks in general and sucks on the. Road and that's
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 4: also kind of WHY i wouldn't want to Back. Colorado
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 4: although the money is coming in On, colorado some of
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 4: it is the. Price, Again Saint louis has gone all
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 4: the way up into the minus one seventy range, here
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 4: eighty five percent of the tickets on. Them of, Course
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 4: colorado gets no respect in the. Mark they're The rodney
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 4: Danger field and they're hilarious in how bad they. Are,
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 4: sorry dirty. Sock sixty nine percent of the cash On.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: Colorado.
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 4: There it kind of makes sense because again it's about
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 4: the situation being bad For Saint, louis and it's about
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 4: the price as. Well if you want to try to Back,
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 4: COLORADO i would only do it in the first five,
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 4: though and you'd be backing them to just keep it
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 4: close as an underdog, there you know WHAT i, mean
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 4: like a half run on the run line or. Whatever all, Right,
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 4: Houston San. Diego San diego's returning. Home but they were
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 4: only on a single series road trip In, arizona but
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 4: it was a big. Series they're like locked in a
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 4: battle With arizona right now in THE Nl, west battling
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 4: for a wildcard, spot basically because The dodgers are still
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 4: gonna run away with THE Nl. WEST i thought they
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 4: were gonna win this division by twenty. Games it looks
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 4: like they're not going to, now but they're still gonna
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 4: win the. Division San, diego, though, yeah that was a big.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 4: Series so even though it's a only quick return home,
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 4: spot still kind of difficult because that was a big
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 4: series Against arizona and now they're facing A houston team
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 4: that's out of a league here an interleague, game not
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 4: out of their. League, Yeah houston is starting a road,
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 4: trip but it is A West coast, trip and you
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 4: KNOW i talk about these More Easter league teams going
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 4: Out west for a late night. Game sometimes it messes
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 4: with their biological, clock WHICH i don't, like because starting
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 4: a road trip normally is a, positive BUT i don't
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 4: really like the time zone. Shift Although houston getting out
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 4: of home might be good because they did just lose To,
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 4: toronto they also had yesterday. OFF i Believe San diego.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 4: Didn't If i'm not, MISTAKEN i think Does houston have
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 4: a hold on Yes i'm Right.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: Houston houston does have a rest advantage.
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 4: Here houston did not play, Yesterday San diego, did so
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 4: both teams are having to travel a little, bit But
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 4: houston has a rest advantage, here so that might help
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 4: them a little bit Because San diego normally has the better,
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 4: bullpen but they used four guys, yesterday Including Mason, miller
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 4: although he might be available agains today because he didn't
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 4: pitch for multiple days prior to. That houston's been pretty
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 4: good out of the bullpen, recently though they ranked, eleventh
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 4: San diego, eighth so there's not that much of a
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 4: gap between the two, bullpens and given the rest in,
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 4: AREA i think the bullpens are pretty. Close houston is
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 4: the better offense the rank. Six San diego is twenty
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 4: fourth th Though San diego has gotten a little bit better.
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 4: Recently this is a pitcher friendly ballpark, here though In San.
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 4: Diego houston's going With Ronelle, blanco who has bad looking
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 4: numbers so far this, year but it's in a small sample.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 4: Size seven point three six era one point three whip
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 4: is not, great but it does indicate HIS era should
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 4: be lower than the HIDEOUS era that he does. Have
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 4: blanco is kind of interesting because he's not, young hasn't
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 4: pitched in the league that, much but he did actually
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 4: pitch well back in twenty twenty. Four he had a
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 4: really good season With, houston but it's kind of hard
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 4: to tell if that was a fluke or. Not last
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 4: year he did pitch pretty well For houston as. Well
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 4: then he got injured and he's kind of struggled so
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 4: far this. Year he's made three, starts hasn't really done
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 4: well in any of them so. Far he's hard to
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 4: trust right. Now his strikeout stuff is. There he's striking
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 4: out more than one guy per, inning so that's a
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 4: good sign that he does have his, stuff but he's been.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 4: Wild that's been his main concern. Here he's walking too many.
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 4: People so if he stops doing, THAT i think he'll
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 4: turn it around a. Bit he does have a reasonably
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 4: low hit rate, here BUT i don't know if he's
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 4: fully trustworthy right. Now even though you are getting the
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 4: rest advantage With, houston if you do want to play them,
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 4: here he is getting To he's drawing a decent matchup
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 4: here Because San diego is not a great offense and
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 4: this is a pitcher friendly. Park San diego only has
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 4: three guys to have faced, him and they're zero for
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 4: nine offen with two strikeouts in one.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: Walk so he's done well against them when he has faced,
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: them and he might do well.
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 4: Here San diego is gonna go With Robbie, ray who
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 4: they picked up from The giants at the trade. Deadline
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 4: Robbie ray going to a divisional rival. HERE i don't
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 4: really Think ray is really that good, man to be,
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 4: honest but he might be pumped up because he's pitching
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 4: for a team that's at least kind of in, Contention
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 4: so leaving The giants The padres might pump him up
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 4: a little. Bit and one good thing is that he
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 4: did pitch well at home when he was on The,
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 4: giants which i'll show you in a. Minute the splits
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 4: going from a pitcher friendly park In San francisco to
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 4: another picture of friendly park.
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 2: In San diego should be okay for, him you.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 4: Know and he's it's a park that he's familiar with
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 4: pitching in because it's in the, division so that might.
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: Help him out a little.
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 4: Bit his overall numbers are not too bad, here three
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 4: point EIGHTY r one point two nine whip does indicate
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 4: his the ra should be higher than that.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: Though but LIKE i, said he pitched well at.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 4: Home With San francisco two point two two home he
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 4: are able with a one ninety two opponent batting, Average
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 4: so if he can he can continue Doing if he
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 4: can continue doing that here In San, diego he might
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 4: be able to keep that up well. Obviously uh, yeah
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 4: that's a redundant, statement you know WHAT i, mean he
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 4: might be able to do.
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: That, uh he just.
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 4: Pitched his last start was actually In San, diego so that's.
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 4: HILETER i hope he just stayed. THERE i hope he
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 4: just took some time, off just hung out around In San.
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: DIEGO i don't, know but he literally just pitched.
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 4: In San diego Against San diego and his last start
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 4: with The, giants and he did well in that, Start
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 4: so that's a decent. Sign he has a pretty low
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 4: hit rate, here but his walk rate is too. High
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 4: the walks have been the issue with. Him his strike
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 4: out rate is just kind of, mediocre but he's got
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 4: to fix the walk. Issue that's the one thing that's
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 4: really holding him. Back he'll be going up Against houston,
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 4: here which is a pretty good, offense better than The
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 4: San diego offense he just, faced which is now backing.
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 4: Him he's not been good Against. Houston he has fifty
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 4: four at bats against. Him only six hitters have faced him.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 4: Though eight to six strike out walk ratio is not.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 4: Good five home runs allowed is not. Good three point
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 4: fifteen average, allowed one thy sixty nine oh.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: Ps none of that is. GOOD i THINK i gotta
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: Lean houston. Here.
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 4: Man it looks like they have the better pitching match up,
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 4: here and they might be a little bit under the
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 4: radar for that. Reason houston's got the rest advantage here
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 4: In San, diego is returning at least from a quick road,
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 4: trip and it was a big series for. Them the
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 4: money's indicating On San, diego BUT i don't really see.
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 4: It fifty eight percent of the tickets On San.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: Diego sixty six percent of the.
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 4: Cash they're at about minus one seventeen. Here they've dropped
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 4: a little bit since their opener in the minus one,
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 4: twenty so it looks like some of the money initially
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 4: did come in On.
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 2: HOUSTON i think that's WHAT i would.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 4: Do and maybe you're okay to back the bullpen here,
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 4: too because they do have the rest At, bullpen so
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 4: it might be a situation where you can get away
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 4: with going Against San diego's. Bullpen, there you could go
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 4: first five With houston. Two if you wanted to just
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 4: focus on the starting pitching, matchup maybe that's still the
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 4: better approach because you'll Get San diego early in the
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 4: game and they might be struggling with the return home
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 4: a little.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: Bit BUT i still don't really Love.
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 4: Houston you, know obviously it's not on my, car but
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 4: YOU i, MEAN i already gave you the negatives With,
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 4: houston like the travel out west is not necessarily, great
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 4: And blanco just has struggled so.
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: Far so do what you want with all. That dodgers At, Arizona,
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 2: dodgers they got to turn something around. Here.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 4: Man they don't Want arizona to get too close to.
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 4: Them this might be the time where The dodgers say
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 4: enough is. Enough you, Know arizona's in second place right,
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 4: now behind them in this. Division this might be the
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 4: spot where The dodgers come out and actually win and
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 4: stop their.
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: Opponent D.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 4: Backs they're not going to Overlook la, obviously and they're
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 4: staying at. Home but the D backs did play. Yesterday
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 4: they played a tough series Against San. Diego The dodgers
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 4: have a rest. Advantage The dodgers didn't play. Yesterday dodgers
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 4: are coming in From, chicago, though so they are having
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 4: to travel From, chicago but or having to travel across
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 4: a couple of time, ZONES i should, say or at one,
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 4: time SO i don't know what the fuck time zone
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 4: Is arizona even IN i have no.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: Idea but The dodgers have lost six games in a
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: row to The Red sox and The.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 4: Cubs although those are two teams that are playing well right,
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 4: now they're probably both.
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: Better teams Than arizona.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 4: Is arizona did have to use some of their bullpen,
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 4: yesterday so they might be a little bit of a disadvantage.
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 2: There they use three guys out of the.
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 4: Bullpen dodgers bullpen has been struggling, recently so they got
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 4: to fix whatever's going on with. Them they're ranked tenth right,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 4: now not the greatest bullpen for The. Dodgers diamondbacks are,
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 4: seventh but they still have a worse the ra than
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 4: The dodgers and they're, unrested so The dodgers may still
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 4: have a bullpen advantage. Here dodgers is still number one in.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 4: Offense they obviously have a big offensive. Edgend they're good
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 4: on the road as. Well, Offensively arizona's twenty, third which
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 4: is a lot worse Than La LA's going With Roki
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 4: sasaki here though he's been pitching fairly well, recently so
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 4: he's kind of gotten back into a groove here and
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 4: maybe he's finally doing, it, man and you're finally figuring
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 4: out how to be a. Starter he's got a four
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 4: point six to four Y arra one point three. WHIP
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 4: i know those are not great. Numbers he's been still
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 4: worse on the road four point eight to One Roady,
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 4: ara but he's been getting better and LIKE i, said
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 4: recently he's been pitching a bit. Better The dodgers have
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 4: won his last five, stars so that's not a bad.
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 4: Sign he's definitely been pitching. Better he's got a reasonably
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 4: low hit rate here is walk grade's still a little bit,
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 4: high but not too. Bad his strike out rate is fairly,
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 4: high so he strikes out more than one guy per,
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 4: in which is not battle. Though some of this was
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 4: bullpen work as, well although when he was working out
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 4: of the bullpen he was mostly throwing a lot of
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 4: innings still out of the. Bullpen the major concern with
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 4: him really is actually the home. Runs he's allowed too
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 4: many home. Runs even though he's not really a huge flyball,
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 4: pitcher he's somewhat of a flyball pitcher and maybe have
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 4: to be a little bit concerned about that In Arizona.
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 4: Stadium But sasaki has been good Against arizona so. Far
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 4: they have fifteen at bats against. Them of, those, yes
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 4: that does mean that now that they've seen, him maybe
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 4: they'll hit him, better but they only have a one
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 4: thirty three average against him six thirty five ops two
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 4: to two strike a walk.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: Ratio, Sasaki, yeah.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 4: He might do well, here and he's going up Against
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 4: Meryl kelly For. Arizona, kelly it looks like his career
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 4: might be.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: Ending. Man this season has not gone well for. HIM
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: i thought he was gonna turn it, around and it
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: looked like he was doing, that but maybe not the.
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 4: CASE a five point zero FOUR, era one point four
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 4: to nine whip not. Good he's been really bad at
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 4: home six point three to Three Homie. Ira he failed
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 4: to get out of that ending the fifth inning last,
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 4: time BUT i tried to back the under in the
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 4: first five in his last game Against, cleveland and he
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 4: unraveled in the fifth, inning blew it for, us and
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 4: then they The unders still hitting the full. Games that
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 4: really really pissed me. Off, Kelly, yeah had some walk issues,
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 4: there didn't go well though he was pitching reasonably well
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 4: leading into. That, man which is part of the reason
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 4: WHY i backed, him is he had a really good
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 4: month Of, july so he was actually in good. Form
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 4: maybe he's fallen out of for. Me and he has
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 4: kind of a high hit rate on the, season which isn't.
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 4: Good he's a lot a lot of home runs to
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 4: his walk rate also isn't really that. Good his strike
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 4: up rate is, low so there really isn't much to like. Here,
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 4: overall none of these numbers are, Good so MAYBE i
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 4: shouldn't have fully backed him in that. ONE i don't, know,
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 4: man and he's going up against a tough lineup. Here
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 4: The dodgers are Not. Cleveland The dodgers have Hit kelly pretty.
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 4: Well they have one hundred and seventy seven at bats.
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 4: Against they're very familiar with him because he's been On arizona.
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: For most of his.
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 4: Career thirty two to twenty one strike out walk ratio
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 4: against it that is a really bad ratio to eighty
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 4: two batting average allowed eight to seventy eight.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: Ops none of those numbers are.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 4: Good SO i think if you're gonna play this, GAME
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 4: i think you gotta find some way of back in
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 4: The dodgers. HERE i think they're gonna bounce, back but they're,
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 4: public and they have a really high price tag on
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 4: them at minus one seventy basically, here which is pretty
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 4: difficult to actually back that, with you, Know sasaki being their.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 2: Starter eighty nine percent.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 4: Of tickets and cash on The dodgers makes it pretty
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 4: difficult to. Do and Maybe sasak is a bit of
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 4: a wild card here, Still SO i guess what you
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 4: could do is maybe play The dodgers team total over
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 4: just to find a way to play The dodgers to
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 4: bounce back in some, way but just play them to
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 4: to unload On Merril kelly and then This arizona bullpen
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 4: that's not really rested here and not really that. Good
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 4: that might be WHAT i would, do although you're probably
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 4: gonna be asking The dodgers to score at least six
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 4: in this game if you do, That but they are
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 4: a better road offense as, well so they're certainly capable
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 4: of getting it done in that, one all, Right so
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 4: that would be my recommendation.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 2: There APPLE tv has this two game event.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 4: Here the games are gonna Overlap Baltimore texas And Tampa.
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 4: Seattle my guess Is Tampa seattle is probably gonna get
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 4: the bigger viewing audience here since it's two teams that
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 4: are in contention.
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: Here seattle just had another hideous loss To.
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 4: DETROIT i, mean this is getting. Ridiculous eleven to, Nothing
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 4: what the? Hell what is going on With seattle? Man
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 4: two miserable shutout losses To detroit at? Home This detroit,
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 4: team LIKE i, said that sold at the trade, deadline
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 4: but they're still trying to win.
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: Games this could be.
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 4: A bounced back spot For, seattle though they're staying at
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 4: home off just a horrendous looking, loss and they need
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 4: to get some wins fast because they're the only way
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 4: they're gonna make the playoffs is by winning their division
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 4: at this, point and they got to start turning something.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: Around as far as that's Concertn.
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 4: Tampa bay is certainly gonna make the playoffs at the
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 4: very least they'll be a wild. Card but they also
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 4: have a pretty nice lead in The Al east right,
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 4: Now yankees have been losing some games. Recently The Red
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 4: sox are climbing up the standings, obviously But Tampa bay
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 4: is hanging on in that, division which kind of surprises.
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 4: ME i still kind of think The yankees are gonna
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 4: wind up winning the division. Somehow But Tampa, bay they're
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 4: starting a road trip, HERE i, Think, no my. Mistake
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 4: they're in the middle of a road, trip so that
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 4: actually makes it easier for. Them they're coming in From,
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 4: colorado and they also didn't play. YESTERDAY i believe both
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 4: teams are off, Yes, No, No, seattle my. Mistake seattle played,
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 4: yesterday my. Mistake So tampa has a rest advantage, here
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 4: so that should Help Tampa bay out a little.
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: Bit, Yes seattle used three relief pitchers.
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 4: Yesterday SEATTLE i think is the better bullpen, though even
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 4: Though Tampa bay's ranked, Third seattle is ranked.
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 2: Sixteenth But seattle's era is.
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 4: BETTER i think they're the better, bullpen but it's, close
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 4: And tampa's the more rested bullpen, here so that it's
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 4: close between the two. Bullpens tampa's the better. Offense they're ranked,
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 4: ninth tie With. Detroit, Hilariously seattle's twenty. Eighth their offense
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 4: still hasn't figured it. Out WHEN i first looked at this, game,
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 4: THOUGH i thought was this is gonna be an under
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 4: on my, card but WHEN i looked into the, MATCHUP
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 4: i wasn't able to do. It but looking at this starting,
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 4: pitching this really looks like an under game to, me
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 4: even though it looks like it should be a bounce
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 4: back For seattle as. Well when you look at the numbers,
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 4: here they're both off the table from.
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: Me Drew raspison is pitching For Tampa.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 4: Bay he's been good two point nine to ONE era
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 4: point nine three whip really, good and he's not that
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 4: much worse on the road. Either three point oh seven
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 4: roadyrm plus this is a pitcher friendly park here In.
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 4: Seattle rasmussen has been really good recently, too no runs
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 4: allowed in each of his last two, starts two shutout,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 4: wins or he didn't even get like any run. Support
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 4: it's still gotta win in both of. Them so he's
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 4: playing in some under games here. Too he's got a
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 4: low hit, rate low walk, rate a high strikeout rate.
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 2: Too rasmussen's good man just.
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 4: Across the, board and he's also good Against seattle for
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 4: the most. Part two twenty two average a lot seven
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 4: oh six. Ops maybe not, great but not. Horrible in
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 4: forty five at, bats twelve to one strike out walk
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 4: race yio is. Good so everything's still looking good for
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 4: that under until you look At Logan gilbert here For,
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 4: seattle even THOUGH i think he is generally. Good he's
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 4: got a three point four to SIX era point nine
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 4: to nine. Whip he struggled at home this year four
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 4: point one to two home y, area but if you
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 4: look at his overall numbers at, home it's been, fluky
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 4: big time.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: Fluky it's been the home run. Ball he's allowed sixteen
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: of the seventeen home runs he's allowed at home in
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: This mariner, stadium which is not even a home run
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: conduce to.
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 4: Stadium it makes no. Sense but he's completely turned it
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 4: around if you look at what's. Happening ALTHOUGH i know
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 4: he allowed two home runs last time at, home but
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 4: he only allowed three runs Against, minnesota and he's really
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 4: had like five pretty good home starts in a, row
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 4: so he's pitching better at, home SO i think that
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 4: was a little bit unlucky for. Him he's got a
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 4: low hit ran on the, season low walk rate on the.
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 4: SEASON i, know the home runs a little bit of a. Concern,
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 4: still high strikeout rates, Still so these numbers do all
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 4: look pretty good across the.
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 2: Board. Here the problem is he's not good Against Tampa.
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 4: Bay and that's WHERE i have to put an end
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 4: to all this talk about maybe wanting to Play seattle
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 4: or an under. HERE i just can't do it because
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 4: he's got fifty four at bats Against tampa and they've
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 4: had the upper hand against. Him they have a two
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 4: ninety six average at seven to eighty two ops against,
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 4: them eleven to five strike on walk.
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: Ratio So i'm gonna.
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 4: Leave this game. ALONE i would still lean towards an
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 4: under in this. Game it still looks like an under to.
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 4: Me money seemingly kind of disagreeing though the total is really.
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 4: Low it's at, seven and AGAIN i always say it's
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 4: low for a. REASON i think give two good enough boltpens,
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 4: here two good enough, starters that it should be a
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 4: low scoring. Game sixty three percent of, tickets fifty nine
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 4: percent of the cash on the under them do it
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 4: that when you, Want BUT i still think the under
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 4: might be the best approach. Here the money is coming
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 4: in On, seattle seventy five percent of tickets On tampa
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 4: sixty eight percent of the cash On. Seattle AND i
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 4: think the public is going to, say, Well Tampa bay
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 4: is an underdog and they're the better record With rasmussen
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 4: on the, mount it looks, really really easy to Play
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 4: Tampa bay with like their best starter on the, mound
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 4: being an underdog and having the better. Record, yeah the
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 4: public is gonna be all over something like. That so
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 4: it looks way too easy to Play Tampa. Bay and you,
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 4: KNOW i don't like it when it looks too. Easy
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 4: more often than not that's not the, case and that's
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 4: part of the reason why the money's Playing.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 2: Seattle but you just saw the matchup. Numbers the matchup
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: numbers just take it off the table for, me, Man i'm.
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 2: Sorry And Tampa.
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 4: Bay does have a rest advantage to LIKE i, said
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 4: so that also kind of Hurts seattle a little.
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 2: Bit. HERE i can't do.
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 4: It, YEAH i think IF i was gonna play the
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 4: game at, all i'd probably take the. Under but, Yeah
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 4: i'm not gonna be able to do. It detroit At
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 4: San francisco is the last game, here and this is
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 4: gonna Be Tyler molly starting For San francisco and instead
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 4: he's pitching for The, braves And San francisco might be
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 4: happy about. That by the end of the, Day San
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 4: francisco is not playing well right now that they sold
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 4: off of the trade. Deadline their offense has kind of
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 4: falling back into their role bad, ways and they're returning
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 4: over from a road. Trip they went To San diego And,
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 4: texas so they're having to travel back to The pacific
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 4: coast time and play a late game that's not. Good
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 4: So San francisco's at numerous disadvantages. Here why AM i
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 4: not Playing detroit in this game is the. Question it
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 4: looks LIKE i should be On detroit. Here San francisco
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 4: returning over from a road, trip bad negative. Spot they're
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 4: a bad, team WHICH i think makes the spot even.
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 4: Worse detroit looks like they're still playing motivated baseball And
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 4: San francisco might not, Be so that's another indicator Towards.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 4: Detroit San francisco's having to travel across time zones here
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 4: and go back to The west and adjust to a
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 4: late night time, here which is also going to be
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 4: a disadvantage Because detroit is already in that time. Zone
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 4: detroit was just In sacramento and then they went up To.
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 4: Seattle now they're coming back down to The Bay area
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 4: And detroit's won five of their last six, games so
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 4: they're still playing. Well so, YEAH i Think detroit makes
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 4: a lot of sense to look at in this game
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 4: for a whole bunch of, reasons already adjusted to the
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 4: time zone as. Well detroit did play yesterday, though so
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 4: that's one. Thing San francisco does have a rest advantage,
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 4: Here so that is one thing that takes away from
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 4: it a little bit is That detroit is not rested
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 4: In San. Francisco Is detroit on these two relief pitchers yesterday.
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 4: Though so they're bullpens in decent, shape AND i think
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 4: they're probably the better. Bullpen they're ranked. Seventeenth San francisco's
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 4: kind of struggled out of the. Bullpen they're twenty fourth
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 4: and got rid Of Eric miller AND i think a
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 4: couple of their other relief arms as. WELL i don't
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 4: buy That San francisco's twelfth in, offense tied With minnesota
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 4: and The. YANKEES i again think they're gonna have another
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 4: drop off. Here their, numbers in my, opinion are being
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 4: skewed by some of the huge offensive outputs they've had
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 4: in some of these road, games and that's not what
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 4: this game. Is and they're going up against a Decent
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 4: detroit pitching staff. Here detroit is ranked ninth offensively by the,
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 4: way so they've been better offensively anyway Than San. Francisco
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 4: detroit's going With Kidner montero, here and he's been pretty
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 4: good for.
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 2: Them he's back in their starting.
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 4: Rotation he's been in their starting rotation quite a bit
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 4: and also doing like long relief. Stuff but he's been
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 4: good either. Way three point one seventy RA a one.
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 4: Whip he's been really good on the road two point
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 4: one to ONE roadyra one seven opponent batting, average that's all.
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 4: Nice pitched pretty well on the road last time at
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 4: The A's, stadium which is a good. Sign he shut
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 4: them out for six. Innings pitching in that stadium and
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 4: doing well, there that's a good. Sign he bounced back
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 4: from a bad start the prior start Against, baltimore so
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 4: he seems to be kind of regaining form. Here you
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 4: have to be, aware, though the bunch of his numbers
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 4: are coming out of the, bullpen Though jose what's up,
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 4: Man thanks for hanging out getting a. Lot do we
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 4: get a lot Of we're doing a lot of numbers this.
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 4: Morning what's going on?
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: Here? Man, oh thank, you thank you for the?
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 4: Jewels sir uh showing me the family jewels. AGAIN i
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 4: need to come up with a better joke than.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 2: That. Man Maybe i'll start us singing a jose will
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 2: say mass.
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 4: So we'll start singing some. Jewel that's her, RIGHT i
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 4: can't sing as. Well JEWELS a seriously a talented.
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: Singer.
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 4: Man if people were alive in the nineties for, that
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 4: she's still. ALIVE i just don't know what she's doing.
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 4: Now Keeter montero, overall he's got a low hit rate,
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 4: here low walk.
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 2: Rate his strikeout rate's not good.
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 4: Though he doesn't strike anybody, out but he does keep
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 4: guys off the. Bases he probably should do okay in
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 4: a picture friendly park against The San francisco team that
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 4: isn't good offensively and hasn't really seen.
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 2: Him they've six at bats against him across three.
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 4: Batters Only Jung Ho lee has a hit against, him a,
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 4: single one, strikeout no. Walks so, YEAH i Like detroit.
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 4: HERE i don't know What i'm, thinking why AM i
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 4: not Playing detroit? Here San francisco has not decided on a.
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 4: START i have no clue who it's gonna. Be detroit
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 4: does look really easy to play though in really public.
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 4: Here ninety one percent of, tickets ninety five percent of
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 4: the cash on. Them oh, yeah then there are. Again
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 4: it is the rest disadvantage in. There all, right, Fine
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 4: i'll leave this one off my, card BUT i Like
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 4: detroit in this. ONE i think if we're gonna play,
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 4: it just Play detroit on the money line either at
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 4: about minus one thirty or so. Here so that's gonna
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 4: do it for the baseball slate, Here, no, Sir i'm.
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 2: Not i'd already be down. There i'd have to be
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: down there already IF i was gonna do.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 4: That everybody is upset That i'm not doing, It but
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 4: we got birthdays suff from my mom going on this,
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 4: weekend so, No i'm not gonna be. There only two,
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 4: Likes yeah that's. Right listen To Dirty, sock. Everybody, yeah
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 4: hit the. Likes i'm Hoping i'm giving you guys winners.
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 2: Today. MAN i know we're kind of treading water right,
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 2: now but you, Know toronto should have been a winter.
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 4: Yesterday that was fucking BULLSHIT. WNBA i, mean we got
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 4: to talk about. It it makes money on the, show
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 4: so that's why we do IT, wnba even though it's.
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: A crap, league crap.
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 4: SPORT i don't have anything in THE wnba, tonight THOUGH
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 4: i was right about all three games last. Night by
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 4: the way outright win FOR la Over. Minnesota it was
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 4: a crazy, result BUT i did SAY i LIKED la
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 4: plus the points in that, One so if people played
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 4: that and put some on the money, line they did
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 4: pretty well. There connecticut Against phoenix is the first game.
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 4: Up connecticut probably the worst team in the, league and
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 4: they're in a really bad. Spot they're returning home from
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 4: a road trip where it's not as long as it
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 4: looks like because The All star break was in, here
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 4: but they're still returning home from a week long road
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 4: trip more than a. Week they've been away Since july twenty.
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 4: Eighth they went To, Washington, Chicago dallas lost all three
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 4: games on the road trip return, home and they debatably
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 4: have a bigger game next Against atlanta because it's An
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 4: Eastern conference, game and Then New york after. That SO
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 4: i don't think it's a good spot For connecticut return home.
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 4: SPOT i would kind of be looking towards fading them.
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: Here they did actually Beat phoenix.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 4: Once on the road before The All star break and
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 4: then immediately lost to them after, that WHICH i THINK
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 4: i actually gave Out phoenix as a play in that second,
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 4: game maybe as a zigzag.
• 1:44:55
  Speaker 2: SPOT i can't, Remember SO i don't. KNOW i don't
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: know If phoenix is gonna overlook them or not.
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 4: Here the other thing to be aware of Is Britney
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 4: griner might come back For connecticut in this, Game so
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 4: if he slash she comes back in this, game it
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 4: might be reverse injured player theory spot Because grinder is
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 4: still one of the better players On, connecticut so that
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 4: might affect the line a little bit and you'll get
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 4: less value On connecticut if you're gonna be looking at
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 4: it that. Way SO i kind of don't Like connecticut.
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 4: HERE i kind of Leave. Phoenix phoenix is coming off
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 4: a loss To, atlanta so they probably want to bounce
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 4: back off.
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 2: That it wasn't a close.
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 4: Game it was a big game Against, atlanta pretty Good atlanta.
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 4: Team but, again they're probably gonna want to get a
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 4: game here on this road. Trip they're one and one
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 4: on the road trip right, now they're probably gonna want
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 4: to take the lead on the road. Trip for lack
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 4: of a better way of phrasing that here, Whoa i'm
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 4: getting woozy, here man.
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: Light Edit oh, Shit oh, crap hold, on, man need
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 2: some water.
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 4: HERE i don't know what's going on vertigo or. SOMETHING
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 4: i think it's my. Siege meds are just, LIKE i don't,
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 4: know doing something weird to me. Here, Anyway the money
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 4: does not Like phoenix at, all though they're public eighty
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 4: five percent of tickets on. Them phoenix does Have Kelsey plumb,
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 4: now so they kind of stacked their roster a little
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 4: bit with, her although they're probably not even gonna make the.
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 4: Playoffs BUT i do think they're a better team than
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 4: what they look like record. Wise that they have eighty
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 4: three percent of the cash on, them so they're a
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 4: public team with less money on, them laying like six
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 4: and a half. Here BUT i THINK i would still
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 4: lean towards laying the points With phoenix in that. One
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 4: there's no Way i'm actually gonna recommend doing, it, though
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 4: but that would be my lean. There atlanta is gonna
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 4: be At. Washington this would be an interesting. Game it's
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 4: a defensive battle in my opinion, here although it's not
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 4: the lowest total on the, board which is interesting because
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 4: both of these teams are known for good. Defense washington's
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 4: been playing. Well they've won five games in a row
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 4: and against some pretty good teams in here, Too so
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 4: This washington team they're making a surge. Here, man then
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 4: they might make the playoffs. Here they just Beat dallas,
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 4: twice pretty good, there But washington does have kind of
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 4: an advantage stylistically Over dallas Because dallas doesn't play any
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 4: defense In washington. Does atlanta's gonna be kind of a
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 4: different animal. Here Although washington did actually Beat atlanta here
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 4: at home back On july, second so they're certainly capable
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 4: of doing that and playing a tough game here Against.
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 4: Atlanta they're coming off a couple of tough games here
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 4: as well, though so maybe a little bit of a
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 4: difficult spot for. Them atlanta's coming up Beating phoenix that
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 4: was an easy. Win atlanta doesn't have a big game
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 4: up next, either so it's a weird single game road
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 4: trip For. Atlanta they're going up To, washington so kind
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 4: of one of those weird one off travel spots.
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 2: Here i'm not convinced that they're really gonna Overlook.
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 4: Washington here, though might be a defensive, battle but the
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 4: money is actually coming in on the over in this,
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 4: one which seems a little odd to me Because i'm
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 4: expecting again defense throughout this. Game the totals around minus
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 4: one seventy or excuse, me the total is around one
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 4: seventy and a. Half atlanta has gone up to about
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 4: a five and a half point favorite from a three
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 4: and a half point, favorite so that usually is kind
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 4: of a signal there's some injury situation going on. HERE
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 4: i don't, know BECAUSE i don't really know these players well,
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 4: enough but it doesn't really look like there's anything going
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 4: on in the injury, reports so kind of weird that
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 4: the line moved up two points On atlanta. Here washington
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 4: looks like they're getting the money although they look like
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 4: they're public ninety one percent of tickets ninety three percent
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 4: of the cash On, washington although the public doesn't play
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 4: THE wnba, heavily so that might kind of be a
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 4: signal that the real money might actually be On. WASHINGTON
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 4: i don't, know, man and getting a lot of points
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 4: in what's WHAT i think is going to be a defensive.
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: Battle here seems like maybe the way to. Look but
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 2: in this, GAME i don't.
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 4: KNOW i think the spot might be a little bit
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 4: better For atlanta because they're coming out of an easier game
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 4: And washington's having to play like a third straight big
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 4: game in a, row you, Know SO i don't, know
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 4: maybe slightly In atlanta there actually towards laying the, points
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 4: and then maybe you're actually fading the public there, TOO
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 4: i don't.
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 2: Know and then the last game Is Golden State.
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 4: Dallas a pretty Big West coast or excuse, me a
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 4: pretty Big Western conference matchup. Here dallas is returning home From,
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 4: washington but it was a single game road, trip kind of.
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 4: Weird but at least they're not returning on from a road,
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 4: trip like a long road, trip BECAUSE i think that
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 4: would be a negative spot, obviously where you have stuff
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 4: that's built up at home that you need to. Do
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 4: they might be in a bounce back spot, though because
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 4: it was kind of an ugly loss To. Washington they're
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 4: not gonna Overlook Golden, state although they do have a
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 4: big game next Against, minnesota the best team in the.
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 4: League SO i guess you could argue maybe the look
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 4: ahead to, that BUT i don't think, so Because Golden
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 4: state's a really strong team as, well AND i don't
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 4: think they're gonna Overlook Golden. State they played them once
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 4: this year In Golden, state it looks, like and they
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 4: lost that. Game Golden state is definitely good at. Home
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 4: as far as like the road versus, Home Golden state's
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 4: not as good on the, road so that's one. Thing
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 4: they're more vulnerable on the road at the very. Least
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 4: so Though dallas isn't actually that good of a home
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 4: Team Golden state as far as their, situation they're coming
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 4: in off of Beating toronto twice and starting a road,
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 4: TRIP i believe. SO i think it's a positive spot for.
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 4: Them toronto is not a good. Team Golden state's got
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 4: some momentum here starting a road, trip two game road.
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 4: Trip even though the next game is ON, espn it's AGAINST.
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 4: LA i think this is the bigger game Against dallas
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 4: Because dallas has been an up and coming. Team they're
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 4: a better team IN la right, now and in this
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 4: Game Golden. State the one thing they really have going
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 4: for them is they're the better. Defense and this is
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 4: a really low total for A dallas game at one sixty.
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 4: Three actually it's down to one sixty one and a.
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 4: Half that's a really Low dallas total to do Because
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 4: dallas they like to play, fast they have a good,
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 4: offense and they don't really play well on. Defense Golden
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 4: state is a better all around team and they play
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 4: kind of a strange offensive style and they play really well.
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 4: Defensively so the low total with the money coming in
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 4: in the, UNDER i think that is correlated With Golden,
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 4: state which is kind of weird that the money's actually
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 4: coming in On. Dallas like those are counter signals to,
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 4: Me LIKE i Think Golden state in the under are
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 4: definitely correlated here because, again better defense if you like,
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 4: that that team that tends to signal like that tends
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 4: to be correlated to a low scoring game obviously if
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 4: you like the better. Deepfense sixty percent of the tickets
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 4: On Golden state though eighty five percent of the cash On.
• 1:51:10
  Speaker 2: DALLAS i THINK i Lean Golden state.
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 4: THOUGH i think they're the better team and the better,
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 4: deepfense and that's usually WHAT i. Like and you're getting
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 4: like one one and a half points, there so you, know,
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 4: me if the spot isn't really anything. SIGNIFICANT i like
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 4: the better deepfense getting points, usually so that's the WAY
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 4: i would lean In the under again seems to kind
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 4: of back that, Up So i'm kind of surprised that
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 4: the market read on the side and the totals seem
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 4: to be just totally conflicting with each other. There and
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 4: that's gonna do. It that's the show for. Today let's
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 4: get some wins. Today in, baseball, man we have The
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 4: triple playing.
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 2: Baseball we have The mets money, line Which i'm starting
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 2: to really not.
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 4: Like come, On Zach, thornton just bail me, out. Baby
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 4: the other GAMES i like. Better we're gonna be on
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 4: The yankees money, line. UNFORTUNATELY i think we have a
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 4: lot of advantages in that. One and THEN i also
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 4: really like the spot For cleveland as, well so we're
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 4: gonna be on The Cleveland indians on the money line as.
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 4: Well those are the three players. Today they're all full
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 4: game money lines this. Time to keep it, simple AND
• 1:52:05
  Speaker 4: i did say that in The mets, One i'm saying
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 4: to not pick a starting pitcher For pittsburgh just in
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 4: Case In blodzinsky isn't the first guy out for. Them
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 4: but for all the rest of the pitchers that we
• 1:52:15
  Speaker 4: have involved in those, GAMES i would, say pick those,
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 4: starters must. Start that's gonna do. It learn it tone On,
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 4: Twitter learn it tone On. Instagram thanks for hanging out.
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 4: Everybody it's been a nice show as far as the audience,
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 4: today SO i appreciated, everybody except for the dude in
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 4: the chat that's a Bashing.
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 2: Clint don't tell me what to, think, Man learn it
• 1:52:35
  Speaker 2: to on On, Twitter learn it tone ON instagrama, like subscribe
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 2: to the channel here and we're gonna have more football. Content,
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 2: man it's exciting. Times football is about to starting in
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 2: college football coming up really.
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 4: SOON nfl already preseason. Started that was a crazy game last.
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 4: Night close Game carolina did. Win SO i was wrong
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 4: about the game. There SHOULD i should have said the.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 4: OH i didn't think it was gonna be anywhere near
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 4: that high scoring.
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 2: Though that was.
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 4: Crazy but, yeah both Quarterbacks beck And Haines king both
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 4: looked pretty good in that.
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: Game so it's pre.
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 4: Season it doesn't matter that, much and some of it
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 4: is against backup. Defenders but still do with that what you. Want.
• 1:53:11
  Speaker 4: Man as far as what those guys looked like, yesterday
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 4: BUT i thought they both looked pretty good on the stat. Sheet,
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 4: anyway what else we got going on? Here we're On, Audio, Apple, Spotify.
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 4: Spreaker check it out over. There that helps me out.
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 4: Too covered in yuk is my ukulele YouTube. Channel you
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 4: can check that out page round dot, com slash learned
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 4: to toad if you want to support me that. Way
• 1:53:31
  Speaker 4: it's all in the link tree as. Well loser cast
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 4: Every tuesday, night The New York giants G spot. PODCAST
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 4: i gotta circle back With ben and figure that shit.
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 4: Out maybe Even Adam nutt Maybe Adam nutter will actually show.
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 2: Up for those. EPISODES i have no Idea Adam nutder
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 2: actually showing up for a. Podcast that never. Happens so
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 2: though those the other two Podcasts i'm, monitoring the one
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 2: That Adam nutder never shows up, for and then the
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 2: one that maybe he will always show up. FOR i
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 2: have no. Idea DID i forget any? THING i don't
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 2: think so you'll find everything link, Tree learn to Toe
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 2: that's where everything.
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 4: Is if you see me On, twitter the link tree
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 4: is there. Too it's in the show notes for all
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 4: these shows. Too that's gonna do.
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 2: IT i appreciate. Everybody let's have a good start to the.
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 2: Weekend everybody have fun In. Florida Bro grove.
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 4: Too it would definitely be fun IF i was there
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 4: man and get to See owen, again that would be. Awesome,
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 4: unfortunately it's a no go for me. HERE i do
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 4: get to save money at least by not doing, it
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 4: but WHICH i kind of need to right. Now that's
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 4: gonna do. It let's turn this thing around. Here, man
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 4: we're only running it like fifty eight. Percent now that's
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 4: not that's not good. Enough but, no like if you're
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 4: running fifty five, percent you're good in this. Business so
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 4: let's get back on the winning side. Here that's gonna do.
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 1: It. Peace if the doc starts, talking hand me the,
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: phone that's somebody and so let somebody know you, Do
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: i'd have.
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 3: To lose this round. Lone hold, on hold on nothing
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 3: nice not, now hold, on hold, on let me pull
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 3: you are that bad luck by, time but it don't
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 3: get the. Crown hold, on.
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 2: Hold on't stay with, me, now.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 3: Hold, on hold, on you're still.
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: Here you