Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | January 6, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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NBA Quick Hit | January 6, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

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All system's gone clear the left off. What's up guys, real here,
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gonna be talking through this small four game slate Saturday, December sixth, trying
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something new. I'm gonna do this screen share with our projections loaded in here.
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Yeah, but as always, we appreciate the support and make sure to
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hit that like and subscribe button on your way in. And let's get right
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into it. First off, we have the New York next taken on the
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Washington Wizards Nicks favored by ten with a two thirty nine over under. We
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know how it's going to play out. Wizards a dead last and defensive rating
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and pretty much towards the bottom and every defensive metric that matters on the season.
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So the one that we should definitely focused on is their rim defense.
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They're dead last and points allowed at the rim and Nicks of a couple of
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guys that attack the basket pretty efficiently, so I think we know how to
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attack them on that side. On the Knicks end, their defense has held
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up pretty nicely without Mitchell Robinson out of the lineup about fifteenth overall, midle
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of the pack. Rim defense slightly towards the bottom of the half three point
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defense so that's kind of where we'll be looking to attack them. But over
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the last fourteen games, they're about that's how many games Mitch Robinson has missed.
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They're about about even with their their season totals, but a slightly bigger
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rim funnel on the season without Mitchell Robinson. But yeah, on the Nick
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side, let me go over to this game. On the Knick side,
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definitely have a ton of interest in Julius Randall. I think he'll have a
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good chance to bounce back here after the terrible shooting night last night against the
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Sixers, shot one for eleven. But if you just look at his recent
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game long, I mean, he's been scoring the ball really well lately thirty
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five, thirty nine, eight, twenty five, twenty four, so he's
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been, you know, consistently in the mid twenties. Always adds some rebounds
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to his totals as well. And this is one of the better spots for
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interior scores. I like the spot here a lot for Julius Randall. Jalen
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Brunson also in a really good spot. We've seen the Wizards getting beat up
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by lead ball handlers all year long. They struggle in the pick and roll
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and Yeah, they're allowing the six most points per possession to ball handling pick
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and roll men, so definitely good spot for him. Their Wizards are dead
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last and dvpts the point guard position on the season, so Brunson in equally
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as good of a role, but in good of a spot. But I
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think I sawly prefer Randal two hundred dollars more. I like the spot for
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him. Oh jinnanobi is he kind of just profiles as fine to me six
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point five K. He hasn't really done enough on this Knicks team to really
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earn that price. Deck hasn't shown huge upside. Minutes are going to be
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there. He's got the Tom Thibodeau cardio plan where he's going to be playing
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upper thirties minutes on a nightly basis, but just hasn't really shown the upside
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thirty one, twenty eight, and sixteen and turning in the wrong direction.
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So I'm I'm okay getting away from him. But if it's like a last
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man in type situation, I think that he's fine. I really like this
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matchup. Frise Hardenstein. We know how bad the Wizards are against opposing centers.
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This is the best matchup for opposing big men going against this Wizards team.
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Hardenstein has a couple of things going for him. Won the matchup.
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Obviously, it's great for centers to Tom Thibodeau seems to trust Hardenstein a lot.
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He's going to play him heavy minutes and three. Thibodeau does not trust
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Precious Atua, who they just got in that quickly Arjia Beartrade, so they're
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really running out there. Hardenstein for a ton of minutes or now thirty nine
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in the first game after the quickly trade, thirty seven last game or two
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games ago, and then thirty five last night against these sixers, and that
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was in a blowout, so he might have lost some extra one. I
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think we saw Precious get a few minutes. Yeah, he got thirteen minutes,
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and that was in a blowout scenario. So I think that in a
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closer game you'll see Harnstein creep up to upper thirties minutes, and this is
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a great great spot for him. Josh Hart also seems way too cheap right
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now at four point five k. I would much prefer him to Dante DiVincenzo
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for nine huge cheaper looking at less enough point difference in their projection. His
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rebounding totals have been up a lot. Ladies got three games of at least
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double digit rebounds. Got there with fifteen rebounds and six assists last night,
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So I don't I would not expect that on a nightly basis, But his
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rebound he's always been a really solid rebounder, So I think this is a
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pretty good spot for him. You would definitely take the twenty five to twenty
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eight fantasy points at four point five K have a little bit of interest in
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Miles McBride if you're looking to play from a blowout angle got fifteen minutes last
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night, he's going to play the backup point guard minutes. They obviously see
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something with him. They after they shipped off quickly and RJ Barrett, they
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wasted no time and signed him to a three year deal. So I think
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that they obviously have some trust in him and he should be fine to play
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into a bowout if the game does bowout, and if not, then he'll
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probably see twelve to fourteen minutes in the backup point guards. But so I
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think that he's definitely in play on the Wizard side. Don't really have a
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ton of interests. Obviously they're one of the worst teams in the league,
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but they struggle offensively as well. I think that if you're playing from this
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game, for this game to be a close, playing like the a close
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game type angle, I think Kuzma makes a ton of sense. Usuld just
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come down a lot. Obviously, fantasy scoring has come down a lot.
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Only seen twenty five to twenty three minutes, but in a close game you
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saw it against Atlanta put up thirty one shots, thirty eight real points,
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fifty eight draftings points, So that's kind of what you're playing into. If
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you're playing Kuzma, I would definitely want to pair him with one of Bronson
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or Randall on the other side and hope that this game stays close. Slightly
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preferred Denny Abo though he's sixteen seven hundred dollars cheaper, and he's actually shown
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a safer floor and pretty solid upside in close games as well, really solid
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rebounder, and I think that his minutes are just a little bit safer than
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Kuzma's even if the game were to blow out. But he yeah, Danny
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always, he always starts off really hot. I remember this game a couple
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of nights ago against Cleveland, I saw a bunch of people and then eight
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eighty eight played Denny and he started off really hot. I think he had
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like twenty Fantasy points in the first quarter and then that's like pretty much what
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he finished with. So he definitely has a low floor. But I like
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the ceiling on Denny a little bit more, and you're not spending almost eight
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K for him. A solid matchup for Gafford as well, mentioned that the
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Knicks are struggling with their their rim defense since Mitchell Robinson has gone down.
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Do prefer hard inside for two hundred dollars cheaper, but he's a fine option.
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I think tys Jones is pretty interesting too, though. The Knicks also
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struggle with pick and roll ball handers. We just saw Tyree s Maas.
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He put up twenty seven to four and nine on this team last night,
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and that was gonna blowout. The Knicks are bottom seven and pick a roll
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points allowed per game, So Tyas and Gafford they got a little, a
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nice little two man game going. So I don't mind that I'm not playing
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Jordan Poole. I don't care that he's projecting as a positive value. Guys
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just so bad right now, I would much rather play but loll Kolibally for
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or eleven hundred dollars cheaper. He's seen back to back games of thirty three
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plus minutes. He's shown some pretty good upside in some games earlier in the
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season when he was getting the minutes when they were a little bit thinner.
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So I think I would prefer him, and I think that he will definitely
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play in a blowout. It makes sense to get him more minutes, just
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with them investing heavily into their rookies in the draft. So I like Kolabally
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over Jordan Poole. That's gonna do it for this game, over to the
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next one. I got Boston taken on the Indiana Pacers with a two forty
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nine over under bust and favored by seven. Both these teams should be pretty
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well rested after the blowout victories last night. We know how this is going
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to play out. Pacers is going to play fast. They give up a
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ton of rim points and they're going to look to take away the three point
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line. Celtics are a top three rim defense, but they're allowing the seventh
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and most three pointers per game, So I think with all they considered,
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we have a good idea of how to attack this on the Boston side.
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Jason Tatum, great spot for him here. This reminds me of a lot
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of what Tambo would say whenever he's on the show, talking about how Jason
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Tatum is kind of the guy that will get up for these bigger matchups,
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and I think this kind of profiles is one of those spots here. The
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Pacers are an emerging team in the East. They've beaten the Bucks four times
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this year already, so I think that the Celtics will definitely take notice of
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that look to come out hot in this game. Tatum puts up a pretty
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big score here in a pace matchup. Pacers are dead lasting DVP to power
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forwards on the season as well, and the Pacers could be without Aaron Smith
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tonight, who is one of their better wing defenders. So I love the
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spot for Tatum here. I think he puts up a really big score.
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Christops Porzingis and a good spot too. Facer's bottom two in rim defense this
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season, and Porzingis adds pretty good upside with the blocks and steals. The
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Pacers love to attack the rims. I think that will provide him with a
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lot of opportunities to get some blocks. He saw a three block game a
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couple of games ago against OKC and they kind of similar. They like to
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attack the rim a lot, so I think we could see something similar like
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that tonight for Porzingis Jalen Brown also in play. Definitely like him when like
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him much more when it's around this price tag and you see like a two
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thousand dollars difference between him and Tatum. It's nineteen hundreds almost two thousand.
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But yeah, like I said, it's a really good spot for interior scores,
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and Jalen Brown is up to eleven drives per game on the season,
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I think he'll have plenty of success when he looks to attack the rim,
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so he'll see a weaker defender on him also, so I don't mind him
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for the salary savings. And on a small four game slate, I think
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you that nineteen hundred dollars could go a long way as far as the guards
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go, though Derek White Drew Holliday don't have a ton of interest in them,
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just much rather look to get up to these top three guys, not
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looking to play. Al Horford at sixty five hundred either and on the Indiana
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side, Yeah, Tarry's Haliburn is gonna have to carry a huge offensive workload
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here like he does every single night. I think that he could see his
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minutes creep up to forty. I'm just checking us if we got any injury
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news nothing for these games, but yeah, the Pacers could. They're already
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without Bruce Brown here, who takes a little bit of ball handling. Andrew
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nem hartless questionable with the back injury. He's kind of dealt with a plethora
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of injuries. I think that he has a good chance to miss here as
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well. So they could be left with just Tarrys Haliburn and Tjer McConnell as
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their lead ball handlers. They'll be really thin at the guard spot. And
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yeah, match why it's pretty tough against Drew Holliday Derek White, two really
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solid defenders. Kind of seen Drew Halidy get beaten up a little bit.
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He's it looks to have lost a little bit of a step. Still a
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really solid defender, but he's given up a few big games to Steph Curry,
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Kate Cunningham, Shay Gilgis all really solid players. But yeah, Ali
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Burn's just playing out of his mind right now. His assist numbers are through
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the roof. His assists turnover ratio is really solid. Saw him get there
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in twenty five minutes last game, almost put up a trouble double, so
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he's definitely in play. I think he's gonna have to definitely gonna have to
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take more than six shots here against Boston with the scene being so thin,
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But if he can get the threes to fall, I think he could put
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up a really big score, and like him as one of the better spind
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up options on the slate, Miles Turner could see really big minutes in this
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one as well. Isaiah Jackson got downgraded to questionable. I think he has
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a hairline fracture in one of his fingers, so that's that's pretty tough to
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play through as a big man where you're grabbing rebounds and playing with your hands
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a lot. So I think that that could give Moser a pretty clear pathway
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to mid thirties minutes. And I think he has pretty big upset at sixty
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six hundred. Even in a bad matchup, I would not mind him at
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all. And as far as these all these secondary guys go, it's really
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dependent on the injury news for Nie Smith Nemhard. I already have Bruce Brown
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own obviously, but if Nemhart is out, I think you see a pretty
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big workload from Beneck Matheren at almost six k. I think that he's going
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to have to play pretty big minutes and he's a pretty solid shooter, so
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I think this is a fine matchup for him. But his yeah, his
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minute ceiling could be really big here if if nem Hart is out, I
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think that if Nie Smith is out, that would affect guys like Buddy Hild
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Jalen Smith will be topping a little bit. Buddy Heald's kind of in the
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middle of the trade talks right now for the Pacers, so I don't know
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how much they really want to run him out there, but with the scene
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being so thin, they may have to run him out there for pretty big
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minutes. I don't think that they want to play these these guys in this
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lower range to Kennell Brown, Jordan Awara, Jerris Walker. I think they'll
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probably stick to their main rotation pieces, so they may have to run him
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out there for pretty big minutes, and in that case, I would have
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interest in him. At fifty three hundred. Pretty good matchup for three point
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shooters as well. But if if Nie Smith misses, I like this spot
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for Obi Top and again here, I had him in my core last night,
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look to have a really big game and then obviously the game just blew
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out. He wasn't really needed for heavy minutes, but just the coach speak,
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I mean, recall I was really talking him up a bunch, saying
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that he's been really impressed with how well he's been playing lateies. I think
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that he's kind of earned more minutes, and his size and athleticism could definitely
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be needed in this matchup versus Jason Tatum and Jalen Brown. So I like
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him a good bit tonight. Move over to the Utah and Philadelphia seventy six
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ers game two thirty eight and a half total, with Philly favored by eleven
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points. Yeah, I mean, the Jazz is gonna be really outmatched here.
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Just I'm expecting a huge blowout. The Jazz are one of the worst
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teams in the league and they're not gonna have any answers for Joel Embiid and
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company. I have to keep an eye on the injury report throughout the day
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because Joel Embiid did did look pretty banged up last night against the Knicks,
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but he's kind of always battling some sort of injury. I would expect him
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to play though, and be a full go and likely go back to his
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ways of scoring seventy plus DK points mean he had. The Knicks had a
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really good answer for him defensively, only put up fifty four, but I
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think on a regular night and this type of matchup, he probably gets closer
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to seventy when he sees his normal workload in normal usage. I think I'd
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slightly have an interest more interest in Tyres Maxi in this one though, just
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thinking through the the way that the rotations are going to shake out for the
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Sixers. We know Joel Embiid is going to play his full first quarter and
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third quarter rotations and then likely check game around the six minute mark of the
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second and fourth quarter. And a lot of the times when you look at
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Embiad's numbers when you see these thirty minute games thirty one, thirty, twenty
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nine, thirty, obviously he still puts a big fantasy scores, but you're
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not getting the huge the seventy sevens to eighty from him when he gets thirty
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six minutes, and the reason being just they they played it really smart where
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they will obviously run him out there for full quarter stints and then they can
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kind of assess be like, Okay, if we're up by twenty twenty five
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at this point in the fourth quarter, we don't really need to bring him
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back in, so they won't extend him and push him. But Tygers MAXI
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he's gonna run the second unit. He's going to start the second and fourth
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quarter. He's going to demand all that usage. Obviously won't have any Dantony
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Melton or Tobias Harris here to take any sort of usage away from him in
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the second unit. So I like him to kind of put up a big
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score and play into blowout a little bit. At a point three K,
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I think he's got a really solid matchup just with the Jazz being such a
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big three point funnel and they're dead last and transition defense and that kind of
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plays right into Tyre's Maxie's game. So I like him a lot. Eight
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point three K really saw a price dife for him. I think Kelly Uber
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could be a pretty interesting option at five point AK as well, with Tobias
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Harris already rolled out here. I'm gonna have to play pretty heavy minutes if
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the game were to stay close. But they do have a lot of depth
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at the small forward power forward position, so he's likely going to start,
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but I'm not sure how much upside he really has. Have a little bit
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of interest in Daniel House. I don't know what the starting rotation is going
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to be. I would assume probably Marcus Morris steps in there, but Daniel
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House he saw twenty two minutes last game when Tobias Harris got ruled out in
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the third quarter or whenever. It was a little bit of a revenge spot
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too, if you want to get into that. But that's really what I'm
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looking to On the Philly side and on the Jazz side, I'm not really
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looking to play anybody, but if you are, it's probably gonna be Lorie
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Clarkson, Sex and Kessler the main guys, and I think that you would
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probably want a sixer guy, a Maxi embiid. On the other side,
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if you're playing any one of these guys, I doubt they're gonna be able
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to keep this game close. I'm expecting a pretty big blowout, So not
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really looking there, but that's it for that game. And next one,
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we got the Milwaukee Bucks ticking on the Houston Rockets two twenty eight over under
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with Milwaukee favorite by six and a half. Yeah, the Rockets pretty surprise,
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like just how well they played this season. One of the better defenses
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in the year, top four and D rating. They allow the least transition
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points in defense, so the pretty sound defensive team. The Bucks bottom nine
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defense right now, bottom ten rim defense, but they're a top five three
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point defense. Kind of kind of flip the script on what Milwaukee has been
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the last couple of years. Usually really solid rim defense, but a words
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three point defense, So kind of interesting to see how that's been playing out.
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But don't have a ton of interest in this game, especially on the
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Bucks side. I mean, obviously, Giannis is a great spand I do
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prefer MB for two hundred cheaper. But Giannis has been been playing really well
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lately, seeing sixty plus in six straight games, eight out of his nine,
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eight out of the last nine games for him, he said six or
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more as well, so he's just on a really good streak right now.
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But we'll see Jabari Smith Junior on defense, and Jabari Smith kind of profiles
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to me as somebody that could give Giannis a little bit of trouble. He's,
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you know, he's like six' ten, really long wingspan, really
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athletic kid. So obviously a matchup doesn't really matter as much when you talking
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about Giannis. But the Rockets are really solid riom defense, so there is
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a little bit of downside to him from a scoring perspective. David Lillard doesn't
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really have that good of a matchup. He did have a bounce back game
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against these Spurs last time, going for twenty five and ten, but only
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got up to forty nine DK points in thirty nine minutes. So losing a
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lot of usage to Giannis right now, matchup is not all that great for
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him. So I slight prefer I mean I heavily prefer Tigers MAXI for five
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hundred dollars cheaper in a much better spot. Outside that though, don't only
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have interest in any of these guys me Middleton ever, know if he's gonna
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see thirty three minutes or or fifteen minutes. I mean, he got rolled
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out a halftime last game. Obviously been you know, he's been scoring really
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well. He's always been a really solid fantasy point per minute guy, but
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seventy five hundred seems a little steep for me. I think brook Lopez can
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make her Playpool has always got just a sneaky upside with the blocks and the
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steels. He can knock down some threes if he's if he's hot, I
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don't love it at sixty four hundred outside that don't only have much interest on
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the Buck side, on the Rocket side, I don't love to attack brook
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Lopez with the posing centers. But I mean Segun obviously he's kind of the
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the centerpiece of this offense right now. Got pretty solid assist percentage, good
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usage, so I think he's a fine option at eight point six K.
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I think I slide prefer Fred van Fleet though we've seen I mean all year
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we've been attacking the Bucks with the posting guards, just with them having Malik
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Beasley Damian Lillard out there trying to defend these guys, they've really struggled bottom
19:56
seven and DVP to the point guard position on the season. So I think
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close game we should see Fred van Fleet near forty minutes, and I think
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you have a pretty big upside in that case. Jaalen Green's been playing much
20:07
better but he's just so scoring dependent you look at the peripheral stats, doesn't
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really add much. Had a couple of spike games at the eight and four,
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but I mean, really, he's going to be around four to five
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rebounds probably less. Doesn't really get a ton of assists, so you really
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need the thirty points from him. Price site hast come down matchup is good,
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but I don't love it. I think I like Jabari Smith a little
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bit better now that Tory Easton has been ruled out, so you know you
20:32
can ignore the projection on him. He was already ruled out, so that
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that will give Jabari Smith a higher minutes floor. Bucks have really struggled with
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the interior defense this year and their bottom nine and DVP to power forwards surprisingly,
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so I think he has some sneaky upside and should not come with a
20:47
lot of ownership. You have seeing less than ten percent right now. Last
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guy i'll mention as a value pieces Amon Thompson. They've been getting him more
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run seeing three Shake games with twenty plus minutes showing to be a pretty solid
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fantas to produce For me, he's getting the minutes to add some steals to
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his game. Adds the rebounds just like his brother. Yeah, the coach
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has been talking him up to saying that he's gonna be a regular rotation piece.
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I think they're kind of looking to get him some minutes, trying to
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find places that they can so I think he makes your playpool at four K
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as well. But yeah, that is going to do it for this one,
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nice little four games slate easy Saturday. Got some football going on,
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got Week eighteen tomorrow, so I hope everybody has a good weekend and I'll
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see you guys later. And then is the nether any fumes and the