Latest / The Death Of Journalism / Episode Sixty Three: Dr. Jay Bhattacharya and Trump Fumbles
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to episode number sixty three of the Death of Journalism podcast. My name
- 0:04is John Zigler. I'm your host on today's program. The Trump de Santis
- 0:08battle over the COVID response gets even more bizarre. A Democratic congressman says the
- 0:14quiet part out loud about ending oil and gas use, and a great interview
- 0:20with Stanford professor and COVID contrarian doctor j Bardacharia. I'm known as the Dutch
- 0:26Digital marketing Man. I'm a digital advertising SEO and EMO marketing specialist that also
- 0:32happens to be a big fan of John Ziegler and the Death of Journalism.
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- 1:00Digital marketing Man dot com. And hey, thanks for sponsoring the show.
- 1:04In episode sixty two of this podcast to the Death of Journalism, I talked
- 1:10a lot about how Donald Trump had I believe opened the door and provided a
- 1:18massive gift to a fledgling Ronda Santis presidential campaign when he put out a video
- 1:25where he claimed and this is not the first time that he had done so,
- 1:27but to do so in video right after the Santis's announcement, I think
- 1:34was a very dramatic mistake by Trump to claim that New York and disgrace Governor
- 1:44Andrew Cuomo had done a better job in responding to COVID than Florida did under
- 1:51Ronda Santis. Now, in a rational world, that would be game set
- 1:57match winning a Republican presidential primary, regardless of who you are, And for
- 2:05Trump to do that is not just wrong and stupid and in factually incorrect and
- 2:10philosophically corrupt. It makes no sense from a political standpoint, especially when you're
- 2:17up by thirty five forty points nationally and you know your opponent. You know,
- 2:24while he has a lot of potential advantages that are scaring the crap out
- 2:29of you, it just had a campaign announcement that was mocked because of technical
- 2:36problems on Twitter. I'm going to stop talking about that because I know it
- 2:39irritates you, and it irritates me to even think about it. Although we
- 2:44do get into a little bit with our interview with doctor Bardacharia because he was
- 2:46part of that Twitter announcement with regard to ron De Santis. But here you
- 2:52have Trump, I believe, making a massive misstep, basically fumbling the football
- 3:00and the opening kickoff, at least in the terms of the Rhonda Santis campaign
- 3:05beginning and at a very key moment, giving the De Santist camp an opportunity
- 3:13to take advantage of this, because this should be their number one issue.
- 3:15I mean, if they're gonna win, the De Santist campaign has to understand
- 3:22that this is their issue. This is the number one way to create distance
- 3:29between you and Donald Trump, to contrast yourself with Donald Trump, and to
- 3:34do so in a way that should have a very positive impact on the average
- 3:39Republican primary voter. Well that was before Trump then doubled down on this claim,
- 3:47which is ludicrous from a substantive standpoint, and then Cuomo himself jumped in
- 3:57on behalf of Donald Trump. So what began as a fumble and a fantastic
- 4:02opportunity for the De Santis campaign, I believe, in the last couple of
- 4:06days has gotten to be an even greater opportunity for run de Santis to try
- 4:14to get back into the ball game. Here Trump posted on truth Social.
- 4:19This is after that video that we'd spent a great deal of time analyzing an
- 4:24episode number sixty two. Here was Trump on truth Social under run the sanctimonious.
- 4:31At least he's calling him run in this particular post, as opposed to
- 4:34Rob under run the sanctimonious. As governor, Florida was the third worst capital
- 4:42letters, so it must be true state in deaths by COVID. So why
- 4:47do they say that the sanctus did a good job? New York had fewer
- 4:54deaths exclamation point. Also, he shut down the state and even it's beaches,
- 5:00unlike other Republican governors. Now, the beach issue, I've never been
- 5:04able to get to the bottom of. I think he's referring to spring break
- 5:10situations because there was some well, there's a lot of controversy because when spring
- 5:16break hit, the beaches in Florida were not closed. And so I don't
- 5:20know one hundred percent. I never trust what Trump is saying as being factually
- 5:26accurate. But it's irrelevant. It's irrelevant. It doesn't matter what the Santists
- 5:30did in those first couple of months because he was being told to do that
- 5:34by Donald Trump. Trump was the one that was leading the national response,
- 5:41and he was listening to Trump's experts, specifically doctor Fauci, and he was
- 5:46believing the media. And it was only after he saw the data and realized
- 5:50reality and was able to reverse course that the Santists did things for which he
- 5:57deserves a lot of credit. But Trump and his supporters want to pretend that
- 6:00that's where it ended, somehow, that because the Santis trusted Trump at his
- 6:05leadership, that that somehows a negative towards the sand has figured it out.
- 6:11Trump didn't. But more importantly, this idea that New York did better than
- 6:15Florida. I cannot emphasize enough how that should be game, set, match,
- 6:24that should be checkmate, That that should be an unacceptable position for the
- 6:29Republican candidate for the GOP, the Republican Party in twenty twenty four. That
- 6:35should be it. That's a stick of fork in it. I mean,
- 6:39that's unacceptable. That's as disqualifying as it gets. It's disqualifying from a philosophical
- 6:45standpoint, and it's also disqualifying from a factual perspective, and even his so
- 6:50called data is absolutely ludicrous. This is at best first grade math. Donald
- 7:00Trump is using here when he claims that Florida was the third worst state in
- 7:05the country for death by COVID, He's just flat out wrong, and it's
- 7:11wrong just on the basic essence of math. He's not accounting for even population.
- 7:21California, by this measure, would be by far the worst because California
- 7:27has had the most COVID deaths. Well, of course they have because they
- 7:30have the largest population. And I'm obviously one of the biggest critics in the
- 7:36world of California's COVID response, but I would never say that they had the
- 7:43worst data with regard to deaths because it would be assinine to not control for
- 7:49population at the very least. And when it comes to Florida, you not
- 7:55just have to control for population, you have to control for the age of
- 8:00the population, because obviously age is the biggest factor with regard to whether or
- 8:03not you're going to die of COVID. And then there's the issue of taking
- 8:09a look at excess deaths in totality and doctor potachari It talks about this in
- 8:15our interview where Florida, as I said in the previous episode, is completely
- 8:18vindicated when you take a look at all cause mortality and how many excess deaths
- 8:26they had in comparison to what was expected in comparison to other states. So
- 8:31that's really the number that matters. The number that matters is Okay, how
- 8:37did you compare with regard to total deaths and how did you compare when you
- 8:43control for age of your population? And Florida did far better than average when
- 8:50you consider those two factors. But Trump is looking at this literally like a
- 8:54first grader, maybe even a kindergartener. I would like to believe that my
- 8:58kindergart Martin daughter Diana, if I explain this to her, even in a
- 9:03rudimentary fashion, would understand how ludicrous Trump's math here is. I mean,
- 9:11it's just that obvious, and yet he keeps doing it, and the conservative
- 9:16media, by and large, for what I have seen, is in no
- 9:20way shape or for him mocking him for it. Now, Ben Shapiro,
- 9:24we played a clip in the previous episode where he corrects Trump on it,
- 9:28very gently and mildly. But Trump should be being mocked for his math on
- 9:35this, and he should be being mocked for his conclusion, which is not
- 9:39just wrong, it's incredibly dangerous if the Republican presidential nominee is on the record
- 9:48in history after what we just went through as saying how New York handled COVID
- 9:54is better than how Florida handled COVID than it is all all over for America.
- 10:03That is not an exaggeration. That is not something from which we can
- 10:07ever come back. And if Trump gets nominated in spite of this massive mistake,
- 10:15this fumbling deep in his own end, and so far there's not been
- 10:20a touchdown scored by the De Santis side, which I'm going to get to
- 10:24momentarily, then I don't know what to tell you. There's nothing that can
- 10:30be done, because this is it, This should be the entire campaign right
- 10:33now. Trump has just opened the door to the Santis's greatest by far issue
- 10:41and his greatest weakness, and he doubled down on it. And he's wrong
- 10:46factually, and he's wrong philosophically. And then who jumps in but Andrew Cuomo
- 10:54himself. Andrew Cuomo goes to Twitter and the disgrace former governor of New York
- 11:01who killed people in nursing homes and shut down his state to know positive effect
- 11:05for far too long, and was forced to resign over allegations of sexual misconduct.
- 11:13But I believe that without his pathetic COVID response, probably would have been
- 11:18able to survive those allegations. He tweeted quote, Donald Trump tells the truth.
- 11:26Finally, New York got hit first and worst, but New Yorkers acted
- 11:31responsibly. Florida's policy of denial allowed COVID to spread, and that's why they
- 11:39had a very large second wave. I gotta tell you, as bad as
- 11:46Trump's math is, Andrew Cuomo's logic might be even dumber. I know that's
- 11:54a very tough bar. But the idea that we're still talking about in second
- 12:00waves in twenty twenty three, at what we now know about COVID and how
- 12:05many different waves there were, and how it had nothing to do with behavior.
- 12:11We don't even know for sure if it had to do with weather,
- 12:13except for the fact that during both winters of the pandemic, including well act
- 12:18of the vaccine was widely distributed, we had nationally massive waves and New York's
- 12:28wave at the beginning was the worst. And guess what. Guess what?
- 12:31It was so bad at the beginning for New York that waves that occurred in
- 12:37the future didn't impact them quite as much. Why because all they're vulnerable people
- 12:41were already dead, or at least a lot of them were. I mean,
- 12:48when you look at this, in the totality of the three years,
- 12:52human behavior and government action had very little to do. Restrictions had nothing to
- 13:00do with how states or nations ended up doing statistically over a three year period.
- 13:09It all basically even down when it came down to it. It was
- 13:13basically just a symbol of an equation that included luck with regard to timing.
- 13:20It included the demographics of your population, how old they are, how many
- 13:24smokers, how many obese people. That's what determined how many people died over
- 13:31a three year period of time. And I will say it again because it's
- 13:35incredibly important. But if the Republican presidential nominee believes that death by COVID is
- 13:43the only metrics, or even the primary metrics by which we determine what was
- 13:48a good COVID response versus what was a bad COVID response, then my god,
- 13:54stick a fork in all of us, because that is a liberal perspective.
- 14:00Even if you accept their premise which I don't. It is a liberal
- 14:05idea that that's the only way to evaluate a good COVID response and a bad
- 14:11COVID response. There are far more factors than that, and doctor j Bartachari
- 14:16and I get into that in our interview later on in this episode, which
- 14:20I urge you to listen to, especially given the context of how important what's
- 14:26going on here is with regard to Trump claiming New York did better than Florida,
- 14:31and Andrew Cuomo now hopping on the Trump bandwagon. So here we have
- 14:35Trump accepting this liberal plant premise that somehow deaths are the only real way to
- 14:45determine how good or bad a COVID response was using totally factually inaccurate quote unquote
- 14:54data. It's even a stretch to call it data because it's just wrong numbers.
- 15:00And he has Andrew Cuomo siding with him. And here Andrew Cuomo on
- 15:05the left is more than happy to side with the guy that they view as
- 15:11the devil incarnate because their self interests are merged on this issue of COVID,
- 15:20because the main issue here is protecting the narrative, protecting the idea that we
- 15:26didn't all crap to bed that the entire COVID response was not an epic catastrophe
- 15:33that was not needed and did no good and had all sorts of massive negative
- 15:37consequences that are obvious to anybody with a functioning brain. So now Trump and
- 15:46Cuomo are aligned on the biggest thing that has ever oppened in the modern history
- 15:54of America. And somehow this is not stating to the Trump campaign, and
- 16:03most baffling and most frustratingly, it doesn't seem to be an issue of extraordinary
- 16:08urgency for the De Santist campaign. I mean, this is manna from heaven.
- 16:17If you're the De Santist campaign, You've got Trump right at the start
- 16:22of your and actual campaign. You announce you get an opportunity to move past
- 16:29the technical glitch Twitter situation, get into the substance. And you've got Trump
- 16:34offering up on a silver platter, an opportunity to attack him in a very
- 16:42clear and over and obvious and powerful way on your strongest issue and on his
- 16:49weakest issue. And now you've got Andrew Cuomo, of all people, aligning
- 16:55himself publicly with Trump. So Trump doubles down, Andrew Cuomo jumps on the
- 17:03Trump bandwagon on this and you combine that with past statements not all that long
- 17:11in the past, where Trump is praising Gavin Newsom to Tucker Carlson and saying
- 17:15he can't hit him because he's been so nice to him, and you all
- 17:19these similar statements that Trump has made against the Santists that sound like he's echoing
- 17:25Gavin Newsom. So my question is, where the hell is the the Santist
- 17:30campaign ad blitz with a commercial mocking Trump and his bromance with Andrew Cuomo and
- 17:40Gavin Newsom. This is your opportunity. I mean, you can't get people
- 17:47who are less trusted and more despised on the right other than maybe Nancy Pelosi,
- 17:53than Gavin Newsom and Andrew Cuomo. You can't ask for this kind of
- 18:00opportunity if they're Desantist campaign. The ad writes itself, it can be done
- 18:07in a matter of hours and this has got to be the time to do
- 18:12it. Why And I have people arguing with me about this on Twitter all
- 18:18the time, But John, why would you blow your ad money now?
- 18:22And the voting doesn't start for many months now? This lack of urgency by
- 18:29the DeSantis supporters and seemingly at least on this issue by the Desantist campaign,
- 18:34which I'm learning more and more about on a daily basis, much to my
- 18:40great chagrin, is incredibly frustrating to me, because, as I have said
- 18:47continually on this podcast, you have to be a borderline imbecile to not understand
- 18:53where we're headed with this. There's not gonna be a normal I Mary process
- 19:00if Desanders doesn't close the gap in the next few weeks or the least the
- 19:06next month or so, because the first thing that's going to happen, and
- 19:08Trump's already signaled this is he's gonna bail from the debates, and if he's
- 19:14still ahead by thirty five forty points nationally, he's gonna get away with it.
- 19:18He might even get applauded by elements of the conservative media, even though
- 19:22it's against their personal self interest. Because everyone in the media loves the debates
- 19:26and they love the primaries. They're not going to criticize him for it.
- 19:30He'll get away with it. If I was advising Trump and he was up
- 19:36by thirty five points or so in a couple of weeks, I would be
- 19:40telling him, don't you dare do the debates. It's the only thing that
- 19:44could get De Sander is back in the race. And what he's gonna do
- 19:48is he's going to compare what's happening on the Democratic side where Biden is not
- 19:53going to debate RFK Jr. And the polling data is gonna look somewhat similar
- 20:00to his race with De Santis and others, and he's going to say,
- 20:03well, why the hell am I supposed to debate? Why are we doing
- 20:07this? This is stupid, This is helping Joe Biden, and people will
- 20:11accept that there will not be massive blowback for Trump if he doesn't do the
- 20:17debates. And if he doesn't do the debates and he still has that kind
- 20:21of a lead, De Santis is in a no win situation and the whole
- 20:25process gets at the very least greatly distorted or truncated, if not completely shut
- 20:33down. The whole situation is going to be stunted at best. And people
- 20:40don't seem to understand this urgency. And it wouldn't bother me that much if
- 20:44it was only you know, De Santis supporters on Twitter that didn't understand the
- 20:48urgency. It's very clear to me, both from what I'm seeing publicly,
- 20:52is what I'm hearing as well as what I'm hearing privately, that even the
- 20:56campaign itself doesn't understand the urgency, and they particularly don't seem to understand the
- 21:00urgency or the opportunity that this particular issue is offering them, which is baffling
- 21:08to me. It's stupefying to me. I am getting indications that there is
- 21:15a struggle within Team to Stantis as to whether or not COVID is really even
- 21:21their main issue or even one of their main issues. And if that really
- 21:27is the case, and it seems to be, all indications I'm getting are
- 21:32that there is not unanimity within Team to Santis that this is our issue,
- 21:37then what the fuck are they doing in the race to begin with? Because
- 21:41there is no argument to be made none, There is no argument to be
- 21:48made for Rhoda Santis. If you're not going to raise COVID as an issue,
- 21:52If you accept that it's just a minor policy disagreement that Trump believes New
- 21:59York did better than Florida did on COVID, that I can't help you,
- 22:04because that's the whole ball game. That's not just the whole ball game for
- 22:10your campaign. If you're a team to Sanders, that's the whole ball game
- 22:14if you're the Republican Party, or even if you're the United States of America,
- 22:18because as I cannot say this enough, if that is set in stone
- 22:23quote unquote conservative Republican policy, that New York did better than Florida, that
- 22:30I'm not a Republican anymore, and there's no need for the Republican Party because
- 22:36there's no bigger issue that separates Democrats and Republicans. Then how we responded to
- 22:42COVID and New York was among the worst in every way, and Florida was
- 22:48probably the best in most ways, certainly among the big states. And so
- 22:55how Trump can get away with this without even a massive backlash from the decantist
- 23:00campaign is completely baffling to me, beyond frustrating and gets me almost to the
- 23:07point where I'm like, this is laughable. What's the what is why are
- 23:11we even bothering with this? This is an absolute joke because you cannot ask
- 23:18you could not ask for a better situation. If you're to de Santis people
- 23:22right now, the timing of this is perfect because, by the way,
- 23:26one of the problems with the COVID issue, and I'm i am one of
- 23:30those people who understands that. You know what, I've said this numerous times
- 23:33on the podcast. COVID may not be that potent issue that would be depressing
- 23:38as hell and very very problematic on a number of levels. I am open
- 23:44to that possibility. But if that is the case, you're not going to
- 23:49win anyway, unless literally Trump dies. I'm not even sure him being physically
- 23:59in prison because it would happen too late, would would allow you to win.
- 24:04If COVID is that much of a non issue. I mean, it's
- 24:10it is literally the Santis is identity, it's it's his number one qualification.
- 24:18And if the DeSantis people don't understand that, and if they really think that
- 24:22COVID doesn't resonate, then why the hell did they get in the race to
- 24:26begin with. And it is quite possible that they're right. I have said,
- 24:33and I will repeat again. I think part of what has happened with
- 24:37the polling data over the last several months is that the midterms and COVID de
- 24:44santis is two strongest issues and Trump's two weakest issues have somehow bizarrely, aggravatingly
- 24:52frustratingly faded from most people's memories. Well, yeah, it faded from memory,
- 25:00which makes it more difficult to make it an issue without it looking like
- 25:04you're dredging up the past, which I can't stand that. I mean,
- 25:08it just doesn't get bigger than how we responded to COVID, and it only
- 25:11happened a couple of years ago, so it's not like you're dredging up irrelevant
- 25:15elements of the past. But okay, fine, well now it's not the
- 25:19past. Trump just made it a news story. You're not gonna get this
- 25:25kind of a news hawk very often, if ever again. And you know,
- 25:30to waiting for these debates which may or may never happen to attack Trump
- 25:36on this is ridiculous. You may never get that opportunity unless you close the
- 25:41gap and reduce Trump's leverage now, because Trump is a master at using leverage.
- 25:49His whole life is about this, and if he has the leverage to
- 25:53skip the debates, he will use it and it will work for him.
- 25:59You only you have a very short window to take away that leverage. You've
- 26:03got to close the polling gap. This is why the polls matter now,
- 26:08It's not about predicting what the actual vote will be. Once these primaries and
- 26:15caucuses actually begin. It's about how we're gonna get there and what the process
- 26:21is going to be, and what the narrative is going to be. And
- 26:25yes, there's the one benefit. There's one benefit the Trump taking this massive
- 26:29lead, which is if you close the gap and that becomes the narrative.
- 26:33Now, all of a sudden, Trump has to deal with this idea that
- 26:37his campaign is imploding, that he's a paper tiger, he's never been hit
- 26:41before. There's blood in the water. The Santa says momentum, that is
- 26:47a real possibility. That's the only path where this actually works. And this
- 26:53is a way to make that at least start to happen at the perfect juncture.
- 27:02And I'm seeing very little sign, if any, that this is gonna
- 27:07happen. I keep being told be patient, be patient, No, this
- 27:11is it, this is it. You must strike now. Andrew Cuomo just
- 27:17supported Donald Trump. The ads with the Cuomo Newsome Trump bromance right themselves.
- 27:27You cannot ask for anything better. And it's on a topic that has impacted
- 27:32every single American and every single Republican or almost every single Republican in a way
- 27:37that will resonate. Now, maybe the focus groups have shown that they don't
- 27:42think that this is the issue that can work for them. Again, if
- 27:47that's the case, then why bother? Why bother? Because there's new polling
- 27:53out from Mammoth that indicates that there's no topic on which Republicans favor the Santis
- 28:02over Trump. In fact, Trump dominates every single topic the economy, immigration,
- 28:10foreign policy, social issues. They didn't even ask about COVID. It's
- 28:15Trump dominating the Santis is who they favor on any particular issue. So this
- 28:22is it. And if it's not this, I don't I don't know what
- 28:26is. I don't know what your strategy is. So this is incredibly infuriating,
- 28:32both from the standpoint of history and what it means about the future response
- 28:37to similar situations. But it's also absolutely exasperating when it comes to the topic
- 28:45of how the de Santist campaign is responding to this. And you know,
- 28:52I am I'm about to toss up my hands and go, okay, you
- 28:56know, what the hell are you going to do here? This is this
- 29:00is almost laughable. This is laughable. The lack of urgency is just astonishing
- 29:07to me. And I get so criticized an attack by all sorts. Oh
- 29:11you're panicking, John, Relax, calm down. You know, why are
- 29:17you being such a such a whoosy. I'm not being a whoosy. I'm
- 29:21telling you what the situation is. I'm telling you that there is a need
- 29:27for urgency because if we if the gap doesn't get closed, then there's no
- 29:33way to close it in the future because Trump is going to use this and
- 29:38the debates are going to be He's already signaled this that he's not going to
- 29:42do the debates. When I say this, the sendens people on Twitter.
- 29:47They think I'm insane. I'm like, have you not been paying attention for
- 29:51the last seven years? And it's just incredibly frustrating. And so I hope
- 29:59I'm wrong. I hope that information I'm getting both publicly and privately is wrong.
- 30:03But as of this point, it certainly seems as if that as Santa's
- 30:07camp looks at this as yeah, we should defend our record, but we're
- 30:11not going to make this the be all end all of our Trump response.
- 30:17And it's also consistent with this idea that they're not hitting Trump all that hard
- 30:22or all that directly. I mean, they're doing so more than anybody else
- 30:26has, but it's not as if this is you know, all out warfare
- 30:32and a blood bath and we're really attacking Donald Trump where it hurts the most.
- 30:37None of that that has not happened as of yet. And you know,
- 30:42look, when need be, I am as patient a person as exists
- 30:48on the planet. But there needs to be urgency here. This needs to
- 30:53happen, and it needs to happen in some way, shape or form now,
- 30:57otherwise what happens in the future is likely to not matter at all.
- 31:03And you know, it's fascinating to me from a psychological standpoint, this idea
- 31:08that the Trump supporters are so invested in Trump and that when it comes to
- 31:14even COVID, they will believe anything he says. He can revise history in
- 31:18whatever way he wants. He can claim that the Santis was bad on COVID
- 31:22and the Andrew Cuomo was good, and there's zero blowback. And there's a
- 31:30very common thread that connects the Trump cultist and the covidiots. The covidiots,
- 31:40the people who believe everything we did on COVID was correct. They still believe
- 31:44in mandates. They don't believe we panicked. They believe we should do exactly
- 31:48the same thing again, the covidiots mentality and the Trump couldest mentality are incredibly
- 31:55similar, not just because they're basically religious cult members, but it's because was
- 32:00neither of those groups is willing to admit that they were wrong. And in
- 32:06a weird way, for the strong Trump supporter to abandon Trump now, they
- 32:15would have to admit that they were wrong about him at some level. And
- 32:21it's a lot like the covidiots with vaccine or mask mandates. They are too
- 32:25invested to ever admit that they were wrong, so they would rather just continue
- 32:30to live under this delusion that they were right. And so it's a very
- 32:37similar dynamic, and it's basically a hopeless cause in a lot of ways to
- 32:44try to ever convince these people that they were wrong. And as long as
- 32:50now that Trump is the leader and the front runner and winning in the polls,
- 32:53it becomes even more difficult because that view is being substantial by all this
- 33:00news that they're getting. Well, everybody else in the Republican Party is still
- 33:06with Trump. Why would I abandon him now? I don't want to contemplate
- 33:09the idea that he was the wrong guy all along, or that there's someone
- 33:14else who's better than him. This guy Rohnda Santis, who Trump is telling
- 33:17me is horrible. That doesn't compute. So the intellectual and psychological dynamic is
- 33:25remarkably similar between the Trump cultist and the covidiots. They are too invested in
- 33:34a fairy tale to ever be convinced or persuaded otherwise. And I still believe
- 33:42that the biggest issue with regard to Trump siding with Andrew Cuomo and New York's
- 33:49response to covid is what it says about what we're going to do in the
- 33:52future here, because the left is telegraphing that they will not only respond the
- 33:59same way the next time we have a pandemic that they're going to do so
- 34:02with regard to the issue of climate changing, global warming, it is as
- 34:08clear as day that that's what they're gonna do. I said that in the
- 34:13previous podcast. There's been evidence of it just in the last couple of days.
- 34:19I mean to take New York State for instance. Here they are they're
- 34:23banning new gas stoves in New York, even after we were told by the
- 34:28media that that's a conspiracy theory, that's a crazy right wing conspiracy theory that
- 34:32gas stoves are vulnerable to being banned. Well, New York, they're doing
- 34:37everything they can to do it in the not too distant future. And then
- 34:42a New York Congressman, Jamal Bowman, went on C and N this week
- 34:47in an interview with Wolf Blitzer and flat out declared, flat out declared that
- 34:54we need to end the use of oil and gas because our use of oil
- 35:00and gas is causing all sorts of weather extremes. And well, if Blitz
- 35:07are just sat there as if what was being said was not completely insane,
- 35:13and here's what that sounded like. Number one, we need to stop drilling
- 35:16for fossil fuels completely. But number two, we need an expedite a way
- 35:22to get us a clean, renewable energy or we will continue to have these
- 35:27severe weather events that we have been having for quite some time and because of
- 35:31the warming of the planet. I don't even really know how to respond to
- 35:36that. But this is what happens when people buy into fairy tales, which
- 35:38the media promote and then never push back on, no matter how insane the
- 35:45conclusions are that people make based upon the fairy tales they've been fed. This
- 35:52whole thing began with this idea that you know what, over the next hundred
- 35:57years or so, we might have a slight increase in temperature and we should
- 36:00be prepared for that, I mean, which I never bought. But okay,
- 36:04fine, And now this has gotten to the point where we've got congressmen
- 36:09on live cable news channels saying unequivocally we need to ban oil and gas because
- 36:19because of what extreme weather, extreme weather which there's no evidence that's even happening.
- 36:25But see, this is why this is such a powerful narrative to stupid
- 36:31people. Because we live in a very large and diverse globe, and on
- 36:37a large and diverse globe, there's gonna be extreme weather at any particular moment.
- 36:43And so if you have now been trained to believe that extreme weather never
- 36:47happened previously and that it is now happening because of man made influences, specifically
- 36:55fossil fuels, you connect in your little brain the use of oil and gas
- 37:02to things that are perfectly natural but which now seemed to you because you're seeing
- 37:07it through this prism of this focus narrative as being correlated and caused by man,
- 37:15and oil and gas is now suddenly causing what I don't even understand what
- 37:21these extreme weather events supposedly are. Hurricane activity is actually down in the last
- 37:27decade or so. We've already I've talked many times about how wildfires have absolutely
- 37:32nothing to do with climate change, global warming. By the way, we're
- 37:37now in like eighteen months since we've had major wildfire here in California, which
- 37:42is supposed to be the epicenter of the whole wildfire phenomenon due to alleged global
- 37:47warming and climate change. I mean, I don't even know what they're talking
- 37:52about. It's so But yet here's a congressman who truly believe this like a
- 38:00child, and it's now coming to the conclusions and unabashedly saying it on national
- 38:07television to ban oil and gas period. To do what to do? What
- 38:14We're suddenly going to all go to electric cars, which is impossible. This
- 38:21idea that electric cars are magic is just beyond insane. And I mean,
- 38:28first of all, the electrical grid can't handle it. There's not nearly enough
- 38:32charging stations, There's there's no nowhere near enough minerals to make this happen right
- 38:39now. If we all went to electric cars immediately, the unintended costs and
- 38:45consequences of electric cars are astronomical and have been largely censored by the news media.
- 38:54This is partially why I don't trust Elon Musk, because obviously he's at
- 38:58the forefront of this entire movement, and they really want to get rid of
- 39:02oil and gas. They want to change our lives, which is exactly what
- 39:07they did with COVID. They want to stop the way we get around,
- 39:12they want to stop the way we eat. You know, in Ireland,
- 39:16this is astonishing. They're gonna spend a gazillion dollars killing two hundred thousand cows.
- 39:23They're gonna slaughter two hundred thousand cows in Ireland. Why because they think
- 39:28it's gonna help stop global warming and climate change by cutting down on cow emissions.
- 39:36You cannot make this crap up. Well, that's what's that gonna do.
- 39:40They're gonna take away meat. This is what they're gonna do, folks.
- 39:45They're gonna take away the way you cook, the way you drive,
- 39:50what you're allowed to eat. And they're all doing it on a fairytale,
- 39:54a fairytale that is largely media created, that is almost exactly I think it's
- 40:00way worse than the COVID thing. At least COVID was a real virus that
- 40:05killed people. There's no evidence at all that man is killing anybody with regard
- 40:09to climate change and global warming, but don't tell that to the media.
- 40:13How just this morning, as I was getting ready to do the podcast,
- 40:17The Guardian put out a headline climate change to blame for up to seventeen deaths
- 40:23on Mount Everests Wait for it. Experts say, oh my god, I
- 40:30thought I had gotten away from that phrase when COVID was over. I mean,
- 40:35how many hundreds of times bullshit headlines ended with the phrase. Experts say,
- 40:43well, we now know those experts are full of crap, and they're
- 40:45even more full of crap here. There's no there's no rationale at all that
- 40:50somehow these deaths on Mount Everest were caused by climate change. The Paul's head
- 40:55of Tourism. This is the subheadline. The Paul's Head of Tourisms says variable
- 41:00weather on the mountain has led to one of the deadliest years on record.
- 41:06This whole article is bullshit. The reason people are dying is because too many
- 41:10tourists are going up to Mount Everest. That the specific deaths they refer to
- 41:16are almost all related to stupidity and have nothing to do with climate change.
- 41:21And then the part they really won't tell you is this variable weather. Here's
- 41:25what happened. This month has been extremely cold, colder than normal at Mount
- 41:34Everest, and that people weren't prepared for that, and that helped cause some
- 41:38of these deaths. So even when it's too cold, that's why they changed
- 41:43into climate change. Global warming was too specific, too easily refuted. So
- 41:47now it's climate change because it's cold on Mount Everest. Somehow that's climate change
- 41:52killing people. No, it's human stupidity and no evidence whatsoever of global warming
- 42:00or climate change. It's all bullshit. But this is all, This is
- 42:05all what's gonna happen, folks, And Trump doesn't get it. Now.
- 42:09Sandis doesn't talk a lot about climate change, but he talks about it enough
- 42:13for me to know he gets it, and he's gonna connect it or I'm
- 42:15sure already does to what happened with COVID. But we're gonna go through this
- 42:20exact same thing. This is not an issue that is theoretical. One of
- 42:23the life problems with the way the Sandus's campaign is responding to Trump's alliance with
- 42:29Andrew Cuomo is that they're saying, well, this proves that Trump will double
- 42:35down on his COVID response and do it again in the future. That's okay,
- 42:39But to most people, they're not gonna think we're gonna need to worry
- 42:44about another COVID response. They're wrong about that, because if they get any
- 42:50excuse at all, the left is gonna use it to shut us down again.
- 42:53But we already know what the next virus is. It's here already.
- 42:59It's global warming, climate change, and Trump doesn't get any better on that
- 43:04issue than he did on COVID, and De Santis does, and De Santis
- 43:07has shown he'll stand up and stop the madness, or at least curtail the
- 43:12madness, because this might even be more devastating than COVID, because at least
- 43:17COVID people understood was going to end eventually. Climate change global warming will never
- 43:25end, never ever, ever, ever end. It's the universal pandemic that
- 43:32has no end date. So this is not a theoretical issue about what's going
- 43:37to happen in the future. This is happening now. The Left is making
- 43:40it as obvious as it possibly could be, and Trump is not going to
- 43:46get this. The Santis will and this is going to be far more devastating
- 43:52in the longer run than COVID ever was, because there's no way to stop
- 43:57it, there's no end date, there's no doubt to be able to disprove
- 44:01that it's that it's real, or to say that we're coming out of the
- 44:06woods because and by the way, even if by chance temperature increased stops,
- 44:13they're gonna say, well, it's because of our response, So we need
- 44:15to keep doing it. We need to continue to not use fossil fuels,
- 44:20or eat cow meat, or do any other number of things that for some
- 44:24reason liberals don't like. This is huge and people don't seem to be getting
- 44:30it now. Now there are a lot of people do understand it, but
- 44:34I don't think similar to the Santa's campaign on Trump, I don't think people
- 44:37get the urgency. And this is to me, the issue of our time.
- 44:45And Trump ain't the guy. He's proven that already. The Santis is
- 44:50as good as it's going to get on issues like this. By the way,
- 44:53when it comes to Trump and his missteps, he also stepped in it
- 45:00with regard to his attack. He was trying to attack to Santis and try
- 45:02to tout his own poll numbers. But what he really did was he attacked
- 45:07his former press secretary. And I'm referring here to Kaylee mcinaney. You may
- 45:15recall that Kaylee mcinaney is a very attractive woman, well educated, very good
- 45:22press secretary. She did a great job for Trump while he was in the
- 45:25White House for an extended period of time, and she was commenting on some
- 45:31polling data where in Trump's mind, she didn't give Trump as much credit at
- 45:36a season as he deserved for how much he was winning in the polls.
- 45:42And so he posted on truth Social the following content, Kaylee quote unquote milk
- 45:51toast mcinaney. Now, first of all, she's not milk toast. She's
- 45:57rather dynamic and very attractive, as of already implied. But he misspelled milktoast.
- 46:02Milktoast was actually trending on Twitter because Trump mixmisspelled milktoast. You don't spell
- 46:09it with M I lk milktoast. So he doesn't even understand what he's saying.
- 46:15Typical of Trump, but he wrote, Kaylee milktoast mcinate. He just
- 46:20gave out the wrong poll numbers on Fox News. I'm up thirty four points
- 46:24on the sanctimonious, not twenty five. While twenty five is great, it's
- 46:28not thirty four. She knew the number was corrected upwards by the group that
- 46:31did the poll. The rhinos and globalists can have her. Fox News should
- 46:37only use real stars. Exclamation point, exclamation point, exclamation point. Now,
- 46:42this is a woman who was loyal to Trump, did a great job
- 46:45for him while he was in the White House as his press secretary, and
- 46:50he has the audacity to attack her, calling her milktoast, misspelling it,
- 46:55saying she's not a real star, calling her a rhino and a globalist,
- 46:59or at least that she should be with the rhinos and the globalists, all
- 47:02because he didn't like how much praise she heaped on him for him winning in
- 47:09the polls, by the way, polls that Trump shouldn't even be trusting,
- 47:15Right, this guy doesn't even believe at election day poles. Now, all
- 47:17of a sudden, these theoretical polls in May, many many months before the
- 47:23primaries even technically begin, or somehow so sancrosanct and so credible that he's willing
- 47:31to throw one of his most loyal supporters in the past under the bus simply
- 47:37because she didn't bow down enough for his liking when it came to reporting on
- 47:44poll numbers. Again, what a freaking hypocrite. This guy doesn't even believe
- 47:49in poles. He believes all poles are rigged, except those that somehow say
- 47:52what he wants. And this is really upset a lot of people. Now,
- 47:55I don't think it's a game changer. I think it's an indication of
- 47:59who Trump is. And I think it's also a reminder of one of the
- 48:04issues that I've been trying to harp on, which is who the hell's going
- 48:07to work for Trump if he wins. I would really like that to be
- 48:12another issue that the Santist campaign tries to get an answer on. Tell us
- 48:16who's gonna work for you, Donald Trump? Because I would love to see
- 48:21some names. I would love to see the names of the people who are
- 48:25willing and able and remotely qualified to work in a Donald Trump administration, whether
- 48:30that's as press secretary or that Secretary of State or Secretary of Defense or other
- 48:36positions in the cabinet, or who's going to be as Vice president, which
- 48:38will obviously be a critical position given his age. So I can't even imagine
- 48:45who these people are going to be. It's going to be the D List
- 48:47team. And for Trump to even try to answer that question would be comical,
- 48:54especially since he's thrown everybody under the bus, even Kaylee mcintie, who's
- 49:00about as a competent as you get when it comes to Trump supporters. Now,
- 49:05since Trump mentioned these polls, I do want to take a couple of
- 49:07moments to illustrate the polling reality. And again, this poll came out before
- 49:14De santiss or was done before De Santis's announcement, so keep that in mind.
- 49:19But there was a mammoth national poll. Mammoth meaning the outlet that did
- 49:24the poll wasn't that particularly large of a pole, but the results were I
- 49:30think interesting and give some insight as to how bad the situation is nationally when
- 49:37it comes to the gap between Trump and DeSantis, because there are some De
- 49:42Santis people who actually thought that this poll was positive for De Santis because they
- 49:47measured net favorability of all the major candidates, and De Santas leads. He
- 49:55has a net favorability of sixty one percent. Trump is next at six percent.
- 50:00No one else is even close. By the way, Chris Christie,
- 50:02who bizarrely hilariously is going to announce he's running as well. He's going to
- 50:08add his name to the list of those who are running for the Republican nomination
- 50:13in twenty twenty four. Chris Christie is at minus twenty six percent net approval
- 50:19among Republicans in this Mammoth poll minus twenty six percent, and he thinks he
- 50:23can run for president minus twenty six percent. No one's even close to that
- 50:29bad even Asa Hutchinson is plus three percent, but no one's close to the
- 50:35Santist or Trump. Well that seems like good news, right, I mean,
- 50:38De Santis is weather the storm. This is before he has even announced.
- 50:43He's got, you know, one point better net approval than Trump.
- 50:46Well, here's the problem. Number one is that since the last time Mammoth
- 50:52did this favorability of polling, De Santis has lost seven points on his net
- 50:59favorability and that can only be because of the attacks by Donald Trump. So
- 51:04that's concerning. But even more troubling is the fact that since March Trump has
- 51:12gained ten points in his net favorability among Republicans, which they again goes to
- 51:19this whole concept of what that indictment in New York did, among other things,
- 51:24for Donald Trump. So Trump has gained ten points and the Santis has
- 51:29lost seven. And you know, obviously now the campaign changes because de Santis
- 51:35is an official candidate. But that is a very, very troubling trend.
- 51:39But those aren't even the worst numbers because in March, Trump was up by
- 51:44fourteen points when it came to preference. Now he's up by twenty four points,
- 51:49which, by the way, happens the match exactly with Trump's increase in
- 51:53his net favorability. He gains ten points in net favorability, and he gains
- 51:59ten points when it comes to his margin over Rhonda Santis. But that's not
- 52:04even the worst news. The worst news is because you know, there're been
- 52:07to Santa's people, and I'm among them who say, well, this is
- 52:12all about the fact that there's too many candidates in the race. There needs
- 52:15to be a head to head matchup. And once all these other candidates finally
- 52:19leave, whether it's after Iowa or after New Hampshire or heading into South Carolina
- 52:23and it's just the Santis versus Trump, then all will be solved. Because
- 52:29Trump, while in some polls he's hitting over fifty percent in many national polls,
- 52:34he's still in the forties. And if he's in the forties and you're
- 52:37not for Trump, now the thinking goes that, you know, De Santis
- 52:42will get all those other votes and because Trump is under fifty percent, to
- 52:45Santis will be over fifty percent, and he'll come back and he'll win the
- 52:50nomination. I've never bought into that level of optimism, but this result in
- 52:54the Mammoth poll completely torpedoes that. Because even though Trump is in the forties
- 53:00currently, when it comes to preference in the multi candidate race, when they
- 53:06narrow it down to Trump versus decand not even Trump versus De Santis, they
- 53:12when they narrow it down between Trump and DeSantis in a two way race,
- 53:17it's fifty six thirty five Trump. So Trump goes from forty three percent current
- 53:27support among all the candidates in a multi candidate race, Trump gets forty three
- 53:30percent. De Santis gets eighteen I'm sorry, nineteen percent, So more than
- 53:36twice as many people support Trump as De Santis. So that's a significant margin
- 53:40there, twenty four percent lead for Trump in a multi candidate race. But
- 53:45when you go to a two rave race, it's fifty six thirty five Trump,
- 53:52So he's still winning by twenty one points and he's over fifty percent.
- 53:59Obviously, things can happen and perceptions change. But even if you eliminate right
- 54:05now all the other people in the race, Trump is still beating the Santis
- 54:08in this national poll by twenty one points. And then there's the final nail.
- 54:15And I'm not gonna say it's the coffin because I'm not ready to completely
- 54:17declare the Santi is dead at this point, especially since again this poll was
- 54:22done before the official announcement by Ron de Santis. But they asked which Republican
- 54:28has the best chance to beat Joe Biden, and sixty three percent said Donald
- 54:34Trump, thirty two percent said someone else. So they could have chosen to
- 54:39Sandis or Nicky Haley, or Tim Scott or Mike penns or Ravage Ramaswamy or
- 54:47no one would have said Chris Christy. I can assure you that. But
- 54:50they could have picked anybody they wanted. And on that issue, the key
- 54:53issue who's gonna beat Biden, it was Donald Trump sixty three percent, someone
- 54:59else, anybody else thirty two percent. That's a thirty one point margin on
- 55:05the biggest question that there is. And this is the same Paul. I've
- 55:07already referenced that as Trump blowing the doors off of the Santis when it comes
- 55:13to who they favor on any particular issue, and I would say that this
- 55:15is one of those issues that's maybe the most key to the whole race who's
- 55:22going to beat Biden, and right now Trump is dominating. So these numbers
- 55:27are terrible even in a situation where when it comes to net favorability, who
- 55:32you like, in other words, how many people have a positive opinion of
- 55:37you minus those that have a negative opinion of you. Just Santis does very
- 55:40very well. He beats Trump even by one point. But the trend line
- 55:45there is terrible. And so I continue to be very much in the pessimistic
- 55:52camp when it comes to how this is all going to turn out, And
- 55:55I continue to believe that the next couple of weeks are absolutely lootely, positively,
- 56:01incredibly important for that gap to at least be closed in some substantial way.
- 56:09Doesn't have to be all of it or even half of it, It's
- 56:13just got to be significant. There has to be a change in the trend
- 56:16line. Otherwise Trump is going to use this leverage to shut down the entire
- 56:21process. Now, I have not mentioned anything about the debt ceiling deal,
- 56:27mainly because I really only like talking about things that I know a lot about
- 56:30and have an opinion that is different or unique, or I bring something to
- 56:36the table that maybe no one else is, and so I don't have anything
- 56:39that I would consider to be an expertise or a unique perspective on the debt
- 56:45ceiling deal. I'm kind of given up on this entire issue because we lost
- 56:51the argument. We lost the argument on spending. Republicans gave up the argument
- 56:55on spending. Now it's just a matter of how much, and it's is
- 57:00the media to find, you know, cutting spending as you know, somehow
- 57:05inherently negative that you're cutting back on programs and oh my god, you're putting
- 57:09people in the streets and you're harming old people or veterans or whatever. No
- 57:14matter what you do, you're not allowed to cut spending. Once that rule
- 57:19has been accepted, even by Republicans and wave the white flag on this,
- 57:23all you're really just doing is kicking the can down the road, and the
- 57:29best you can do is have as little damage as possible. Given the current
- 57:32circumstances. And while Kevin McCarthy is getting crushed in conservative circles for the deal
- 57:38he made with Joe Biden, I look at this and they go, Okay,
- 57:42I'm sure the deal sucks. I mean, I don't even have to
- 57:45look at the deal. I know what's going to suck. Because Republicans have
- 57:47no leverage. They have an incredibly tiny majority in the House. Obviously,
- 57:54Democrats control the Senate, Democrats control the White House, they control the media.
- 58:00The media is going to carry their water on whatever narrative comes out of
- 58:02this whole thing. So the best Republicans can hope for is there not to
- 58:07be a disaster. And while I don't trust anybody in plusitally Thomas Massey,
- 58:14libertarian congressman from Kentucky, who I really like, he has actually voted this
- 58:19out as of this taping out of committee in a key vote. I don't
- 58:23know what's gonna end up happening, whether it ends up passing ultimately or not,
- 58:29but it certainly sounds to me as if it's a crappy deal, but
- 58:34it probably could have been worse. And interestingly, Ronda Santis has come out
- 58:37against it, which is interesting because Thomas Massey is clearly a the Santis supporter.
- 58:43He voted for it. The Santist I think politically and understandably thinks that
- 58:49there's benefit to him in deciding that it's something that he should be against,
- 58:53especially since obviously McCarthy is Trump's guy, and you know, he doesn't want
- 58:59to be part of any situation where McCarthy is being attacked from the right and
- 59:04he's not part of that. And so I think they probably think that this
- 59:07puts Trump in a little bit of a bind, but his people will never
- 59:09see it that way. That's one of the many, many benefits of being
- 59:13Donald Trump and why I'm so pessimistic about this whole situation. So anyway,
- 59:20that's the ceiling circumstance, and you know, I'll update you in future podcasts
- 59:25as that situation goes along. The highlight of today's podcast is an interview that
- 59:32we just taped with Stanford professor and COVID contrarian doctor j Batacharya, who has
- 59:42made a lot of news over the last couple of years because as a disease
- 59:47expert, he has really been courageous and speaking out against what he saw as
- 59:54the overreach when it came to the governmental COVID response, and he and I
- 1:00:00spoke for a little bit over an hour, and we hit on an awful
- 1:00:05lot of topics that I think you're gonna find very interesting, including his participation
- 1:00:10in the RHN de Santis twitter announcement, as well as the battle between Donald
- 1:00:16Trump and Rhonda Santis over our COVID response and how New York did in comparison
- 1:00:22with Florida. So I think you're going to find that his comments on that
- 1:00:27are very, very relevant and very much on point. So make sure you
- 1:00:31listen to this interview again, it's about an hour long. It's me and
- 1:00:37Stanford professor doctor j. Bodacharia, Doctor j. Bardacharia. Welcome to the
- 1:00:42Death of Journalism podcast. Thank you for having me on, John, pleasure
- 1:00:45to be with you. Well, this is really something I'm very interested in
- 1:00:50doing an interview with you for a lot of different reasons. But I want
- 1:00:52to begin because you played a role in the recent Rohn de Santis, a
- 1:01:00campaign announcement that was done over Twitter and created a bit of controversy because of
- 1:01:05the technical glitches. I'm curious as to the behind the scenes on that.
- 1:01:10Were you officially part of that announcement. Did you know you were going to
- 1:01:15be asked to speak when you were part of that? And what was it
- 1:01:17like actually participating? And it did it feel as glitchy to you as it
- 1:01:23did to the public and to the media. So yeah, I was asked
- 1:01:28that to ask a question, but the question wasn't scripted, and I actually
- 1:01:32I stole a second question that wasn't you know, I wasn't supposed to ask
- 1:01:38and so and I thought he did a really good job answering. So I
- 1:01:42asked him about censorship and the government efforts to sense or scientific discussion, and
- 1:01:46uh, you know, I thought, I thought the governor did a fantastic
- 1:01:49job answering it. I so in one it So it was I was asked
- 1:01:52to do this, but I was very happy to do this because I did
- 1:01:55actually work with Governor of Santis during the pandemic on a wide range of issues
- 1:02:01regarding COVID policy, and we were actually censored. So it was I thought
- 1:02:06good for the public to see some of that, because I think it's important
- 1:02:08to know how he deals with important, difficult scientific issues, how he interacts
- 1:02:13with his scientific advisors, as far as like the glitchiness, you know,
- 1:02:16that was a little annoying. I have to say, uh, you know,
- 1:02:20it turns out that that elon just has too many followers, I guess
- 1:02:23is what could cause the glitch. But just a more broader perspective, the
- 1:02:28whole thing felt momentous, Like it felt like we were, uh, you
- 1:02:31know, talking to the public in a very direct way outside the filter of
- 1:02:37of you know, traditional media. And in that sense, it felt like
- 1:02:39it was something, something different, something new. I got the idea in
- 1:02:45concept, it seemed like a really cool idea, but because of the nature
- 1:02:51of this campaign, and particularly because Trump is the opponent, and because DESANDUS
- 1:02:55is going to be held to such a high standard and everything, I was
- 1:02:59frustra rated that the glitches became a huge part of the narrative and that Trump
- 1:03:05was able to take advantage of it. Did it feel as you were going
- 1:03:08through it that oh my gosh, what's happening here? Did it? How
- 1:03:12did it feel when you were participating? Annoying if just for a couple of
- 1:03:15minutes until they figured out how to you know, how to how to make
- 1:03:19it work. Um, but it was just you know, it's like it's
- 1:03:22these kinds of glitches happen all the time in my experience with media and with
- 1:03:27actually just I teach classes right for at Stanford, and sometimes people are laid,
- 1:03:30sometimes guest speakers don't show up on time, and you know, things
- 1:03:34don't go exactly the way you plan. To me, the more important thing
- 1:03:37is a substance. And I thought the substance. I mean, I'm curious
- 1:03:39with you thought job, But I thought the substance was quite good. Certainly
- 1:03:42the answers to my questions. I thought we were excellent. I mean,
- 1:03:45I think Governor of Santist has quite a bit to brag about in his COVID
- 1:03:49response. Um, you know, in particular, like Florida children didn't miss
- 1:03:53school in twenty twenty, you know, in follow twenty twenty, unlike many
- 1:03:59other places, on the basis of good scientific reasoning. That's something really important
- 1:04:04for the elector to know that he's going to follow good scientific reasoning even when
- 1:04:10it's unpopular. Well, look, I no one wishes we lived in a
- 1:04:15world where substance really mattered and won the day more than me. But I'm
- 1:04:18more of a realist, and I'm unfortunately I understand that perception often becomes reality,
- 1:04:25especially when it comes to politics. One last thing on that episode and
- 1:04:30that event. Are you do you have some official role former role with the
- 1:04:35de Santis campaign or are you a supporter? Where does? Where do the
- 1:04:39things stand on that front? No, I do not have a formal role
- 1:04:42in the campaign. I do like the governor quite a bit. I don't
- 1:04:45as I'm a public health guy. I do a professor, I don't have
- 1:04:49any I've never endorsed the presidential can of my life, and I don't.
- 1:04:53I don't see why anyone would care who I endorse or don't endorse. And
- 1:04:57actually, I think in public health it's important to be able to speak to
- 1:04:59everybody. So for instance, of a Democratic candidate were to ask me to
- 1:05:01speak, I would happily say yes, because I think I owe the public
- 1:05:06my honest thoughts to anybody who, no matter the politics regarding public health matters.
- 1:05:12All right, Now, let's go back to COVID specifically, and in
- 1:05:16your role in this as what I would call a COVID contrarian, that that
- 1:05:21would be a fair assessment of your You know, John, I may have
- 1:05:26said that in October twenty twenty. Now I'm not so sure. I think
- 1:05:29I think we kind of have most people on our side nowadays? Well,
- 1:05:33that's an interesting question. Maybe we'll get to after we lay the foundation here.
- 1:05:39But take me back to March of twenty twenty and here and here you
- 1:05:43are an expert in the field, a Stanford professor, and the world seems
- 1:05:46to be panicking over COVID. What was your assessment at the time and when
- 1:05:53was the first moment if you remember that you started to think, wait a
- 1:05:58minute, what is going on here? So take us back to that time
- 1:06:00period. Yeah, so, I actually I think Bloomberg asked me to be
- 1:06:04on TV, first time I'd been on TV in like ten years or something,
- 1:06:09in February twenty twenty, asking about the economic consequences of this possible pandemic
- 1:06:15it was, and you know that I didn't know what to say because we
- 1:06:18knew I didn't know a lot about whether the pandemic was going to spread really
- 1:06:23widely or is it was going to be something like stars one. I said.
- 1:06:26What I emphasized was there's a tremendous amount of uncertainty in February twenty twenty
- 1:06:30about the nature's pandemic and specifically on the consequences on scott stock markets, and
- 1:06:34so on, it's really very speculate as what I said. Of course,
- 1:06:39I said we had to take the pandemic seriously and do scientific work. And
- 1:06:43I had this idea in early March twenty twenty looking at the data out out
- 1:06:46of it, out of Italy and out of China and the Diamond Princess Cruise
- 1:06:51that you know, the disease was probably much more widespread than we realized.
- 1:06:55It looked like a hiary highly infectsus. These much more infects US than STARS
- 1:06:59one. And I remembered also back to the H one N one pandemic and
- 1:07:03not two thousand and nine, this wine flu pandemic. And there there were
- 1:07:08a whole bunch of studies very early on that found that they were for every
- 1:07:12person that was identified as a case, you know, that showed up in
- 1:07:15the hospital or something, um, there were two hundred or two hundred people
- 1:07:17that had antibodies floating around the population that never showed up into medical care because
- 1:07:24it was wells clearly mild. So I thought, well, this is a
- 1:07:26highly infected disease. It looks it's a coronavirus, which has this very wide
- 1:07:30range of clinical manifestations. We're seeing the worst of it in the hospitals of
- 1:07:35course, like people dying in hospitals, but maybe there's a lot more people
- 1:07:39out there that have been infected in recovery. So I just had that hypothesis
- 1:07:43wrote or not bed in Wall Street Journal in March or twenty twenty, middle
- 1:07:45of March twenty twenty, essentially saying this hypothesis and calling for a study to
- 1:07:50resolve it. Um, you know, And and it was like changed my
- 1:07:56life, John, I mean like I went from like a quiet scientist who
- 1:07:59was very happy arguing with two other scientists about each paper to to like a
- 1:08:03public figure. It's just it's been a it's been a striking thing. Well
- 1:08:08you said a lot there, but before I want to get further into your
- 1:08:13experience and how you became part of this whole issue and the censorship that you
- 1:08:18endured and how we handled it. You mentioned something that I've always felt is
- 1:08:24incredibly underrated. There's so many elements of this whole situation that have been ignored,
- 1:08:29but you mentioned the cruise ship situation. And you know, I'm not
- 1:08:32unlike you. I'm I'm no expert. I'm just somebody who looks at data
- 1:08:38with an open mind and tries to figure out what the heck's going on.
- 1:08:41And when I looked at the cruise ship data, I thought, my gosh,
- 1:08:45here we have a nearly perfect situation to you know, where these these
- 1:08:48ships were full. They had no warning, they had no precautions, they
- 1:08:53had no restrictions. It was almost a perfect Petrie dish for determining just how
- 1:08:58dangerous as virus was. And while it was clearly dangerous, it was not
- 1:09:03as dangerous as it was being portrayed. And frankly, and this is much
- 1:09:08more in your area of expertise than mind. But when I look at the
- 1:09:11data, I go, it's not even as infectious as we're being told.
- 1:09:15Because percentage wise, you would think that almost everybody would have gotten COVID on
- 1:09:19those cruise ships, and nothing close to happen to that ended up happening.
- 1:09:25So can you tell us a little bit about how how significant you think that
- 1:09:30data was and why it was ignored for all intents and purposes. Yeah,
- 1:09:33so that those data for sure documented very important facts about COVID's lethality. Almost
- 1:09:42all of the deaths I think all of the deaths on that cruise ship were
- 1:09:44in the oldest population, and uh, and the mortality rate depends, of
- 1:09:47course on the denominator also how many people are infected. But my estimates and
- 1:09:54the letality rate of it from the cruise ship data was there was actually you
- 1:09:57know, like one or two or three or four in a thousand, maybe
- 1:10:02five in a thousand. Again, it depends on the denominator. Now,
- 1:10:06that cruise ship, it had a lot of old people on it. We
- 1:10:10knew from from the from China and also from the cruise ship data that it
- 1:10:14kills old people at much higher rates than young people. I mean it could
- 1:10:17you could you could convince me that the cruise ship death rate was high,
- 1:10:19as high as as three or four percent, but it was for the old
- 1:10:24people. The young people is near zero on the cruise ship. The other
- 1:10:28thing from the cruise ship, I'm not sure I agree with you, John,
- 1:10:30from the cruise ship that it didn't infect everybody. So I ran a
- 1:10:33study very early on in Santa Clara County, California, where we measured antibodies
- 1:10:38in the population, and at the same thing we're in another sister study in
- 1:10:43La County. We found almost the same result. It turns out that about
- 1:10:46forty or fifty percent of the people that were infected, had antibodies, could
- 1:10:51not recall ever being sick in the last three or four months at all,
- 1:10:56not one symptom. This disease produces a very wide range of clinical manifestations.
- 1:11:01So you're saying, you're saying that just because not that many people percentage wise
- 1:11:06tested positive from the two cruise ships that were kind of caught off guard by
- 1:11:13COVID, that doesn't mean that other people weren't infected and during the same time
- 1:11:18periods that French stand they did. I don't. I didn't see any antibody
- 1:11:21data, so we didn't know if they'd been infected and recovered. So,
- 1:11:26you know, you couldn't tell simply from the active PCR test that was available
- 1:11:30at the time that we that we captured everybody that was actually had been infected.
- 1:11:34We just a PCR test picked people that were, you know, sort
- 1:11:39of had the virus or some viral fragments in them at the time. So
- 1:11:42I don't, I just don't. I think it's it's it's why I called
- 1:11:45for the SERA problem study in that March twenty twenty op ed in the Wall
- 1:11:47Street Journal, because I was looking at those time. Princess stated just like
- 1:11:49you were, John, I was looking at other data and I didn't know
- 1:11:53for certain what the death rate was. It was not possible to tell.
- 1:11:57There was so much uncertainty around who was in effected that it was. I
- 1:12:01didn't know what the def you know, a death rate as a numerator and
- 1:12:04a denominator. I didn't know what the denominator was, right. But you're
- 1:12:08trying to look at it from a scientific standpoint, and it's clear, you
- 1:12:13know from the way you're talking, that politics had nothing to do with how
- 1:12:16you were evaluating the situation. You're trying to figure out how bad is it
- 1:12:19and what's the best way for us to react to it. It was very
- 1:12:24clear to me, very early on that science was not driving the bus on
- 1:12:30this, even among people who claimed to be scientists, that it was much
- 1:12:35more political. At what point did you start to realize, Holy cow,
- 1:12:41this is really not about science. This is about politics. I mean,
- 1:12:45my natural inclinations just think like a science That's what I've done my entire life.
- 1:12:48I'm a professor at Stanford because I'm a scientist, not because I know
- 1:12:51anything about politics. But I wrote that oup ed in the Wall Street Journal
- 1:12:58in March twenty twenty and started getting death threat I started getting accusations from colleagues
- 1:13:01in mind that I cared more about economics because I have a PhD in economics
- 1:13:05as well as my MD, that I care more about economics than about about
- 1:13:09human life, even though I didn't say one word about economics in that in
- 1:13:12that op ed um, I started getting you know, like somebody defriended me
- 1:13:16on Facebook, a friend of them. I mean, it was just it
- 1:13:17was it was just I think this is just crazy. And then with that
- 1:13:21Santa Clara study, and they were like hit pieces and BuzzFeed against on my
- 1:13:27wife. They were they were like scurleosus attacks on my on like you know,
- 1:13:31so the part of the funding for the study, most of the it
- 1:13:34was like a very cheap study, that Santa Clara's study, but we got
- 1:13:38funding from like small dollar donations from a lot of people. Almost all almost
- 1:13:43all of it went to Stanford to offset the cost of the study, including
- 1:13:46the founder of jet Blue put five thousand dollars in study. And the BuzzFeed
- 1:13:50wrote a hit piece saying basically implying that I changed the study results or something
- 1:13:56because of five thousand dollars to Stanford offset. The whole thing was just the
- 1:14:00ridiculous. I mean it was just and you know, I just had never
- 1:14:02experienced anything like that in my life. I published one hundred, you know,
- 1:14:05scores and scores of papers, I think one hundred and sixty at the
- 1:14:09time, and I've written a couple of books. I mean, none of
- 1:14:12that, all of that was met with scientific reasoning. You know. I
- 1:14:15sometimes people read that, sometimes disagreed that we'd have like conversations and I changed
- 1:14:20the paper in response. This was nothing like that, John. It felt
- 1:14:25like a like an excommunication, like a like a like I'd done something deeply
- 1:14:30wrong by just asking this scientific question. So this was worse than politics.
- 1:14:34This was some semblance of religion that was driving the thinking here. And by
- 1:14:41the way, for people who may not remember, have not heard your Santa
- 1:14:44Clara's study, if I recall correctly, basically was arguing that this has been
- 1:14:48around for longer than we are pretending, and that people have antibodies, and
- 1:14:55that while it's dangerous and we need to take precautions, that things may not
- 1:14:59be quite as bad as they appear. Is that a fairer recollect I think
- 1:15:02that that's a pretty good characterization of the implications of the state. So with
- 1:15:06the result. The actual result was that we found three percent prevalence of antibodies
- 1:15:11in Santa Clara County four percent prevalence in LA County. Now that doesn't sound
- 1:15:15like a lot, but that is a very big number for something supposedly very
- 1:15:19early in a pandemic like it was early April twenty twenty, the lockdowns had
- 1:15:24happened for about three weeks. Supposedly, it had been in country for about
- 1:15:27since late January, right, so in what like one or two months,
- 1:15:30two or two or two two months, we basically had four percent of the
- 1:15:33population of LA already infected and recovered. Um, that's a big number.
- 1:15:39So that had some implications. One, as as you said, it probably
- 1:15:42arrived much earlier than the start the official start date certainly December might have been
- 1:15:46November twenty nineteen m and I started getting emails from people telling me about,
- 1:15:51you know, I was really sick in November after Thanksgiving. I was really
- 1:15:56you know, And I was like looking at it, going, yeah,
- 1:15:57that's probably COVID, but I can't tell you for sure because there was no
- 1:16:00tests available. Um. And then the second implication is that that the pandemic
- 1:16:05really still had quite a long way to go, right, two or three
- 1:16:09percent, that's still very far from from uh you know, um. And
- 1:16:15in fact, it's the pandemics like this, Whether you have highly effects diseases,
- 1:16:18it's one of two things happens. Either you find it very very early,
- 1:16:23as soon as it leaks in the lab you could you suppress it and
- 1:16:25you have zero, or you have pretty close to one hundred eventually, and
- 1:16:30if you're three percent, it's going to go to one hundred. Right.
- 1:16:33Well, but I think that's even I'm sure you've thought about this, But
- 1:16:36to me, there's so many implications of what you guys did with that study
- 1:16:42that the media completely ignored. Number one is it has been here already for
- 1:16:46an extended period of time. And why that was so significant, especially in
- 1:16:51California where we both live, is that February before the panic began, was
- 1:16:59an increase probably busy time period for public gatherings in California. In Santa Clara
- 1:17:05County, the San Francisco forty nine ers were playing playoff football games with no
- 1:17:11one having any concerns at all about COVID. You know, we had the
- 1:17:15Academy Awards in Los Angeles. We had the Los Angeles Marathon in Los Angeles.
- 1:17:18All these things are happening normally, and no one is noticing anything that's
- 1:17:24happening. And if, in fact, you know, which I believe is
- 1:17:28true, that your study is indicating that hold on people. This has been
- 1:17:32here for quite a while, a lot of people have already gotten this and
- 1:17:35we didn't even notice it. The implications of that are extraordinary. And was
- 1:17:42that what was going through your mind? Jay, That's exactly what was going
- 1:17:45through online. I mean, that's exactly what the implication study was. It's
- 1:17:46been open here a while. It was very I mean in the study it
- 1:17:50was it was deadly. You know, we had a point two percent infection
- 1:17:54retality rate, but it was much higher for old people, you know,
- 1:17:57four or five percent for people over the age of eighty. Um, so
- 1:18:00it and yeah, it had been here without us panic. And I remember
- 1:18:03there was like a like a New Year's a Chinese New Year's celebration, and
- 1:18:08Nancy Pelosi made a specific uh, like your show of like making sure that
- 1:18:12to show up there because he didn't want anti Chinese bias. Because of this,
- 1:18:16this virus had come out of China um. And you know, President
- 1:18:18Trump, I didn't help think help matters by by by emphasizing the Chinese,
- 1:18:25like calling it the Chinese. I think what that led to like a counter
- 1:18:28counter reaction among scientists to somehow deny the fact that it actually did come out
- 1:18:32of China. And very likely it's probably a lab league supported by by American
- 1:18:40research funds in collaborations. So it's it's so in a sense, it was
- 1:18:44like the whole the whole thing was just you. You. You are much
- 1:18:46more perceptive about the SNY was at the time. John. I didn't see
- 1:18:49the politics. For me, it was a scientific question at the time,
- 1:18:53but I very quickly became engulfed in the politics, and I didn't know how
- 1:18:56to. I mean, I just I wanted to still do science. I
- 1:18:59also do health, Paul, I do health policy that might might have a
- 1:19:00health economics textbook. I also saw what was happening in the poor countries of
- 1:19:05the world when we started locking down. I was born in a very poor
- 1:19:10country. My mom was born was born and grew up in a Calcutta slum.
- 1:19:15And I knew from with one hundred percent certainty that the lockdown policies we
- 1:19:19were following, We're going to have tremendous damage to the poor people of the
- 1:19:23world. In the last forty years, a billion people had been lifted out
- 1:19:29of poverty because we globalized our economies. What that meant was all these poor
- 1:19:32countries reorganized their economies to fit into the West. And so when the West
- 1:19:38lockdown, what that meant was that those economies, those poor countries are going
- 1:19:42to suffer, and it was going to be the poorest in those poor countries
- 1:19:45are going to suffer. And so in the World Bank was saying one hundred
- 1:19:48million people would be thrown into poverty. The UN World Food Program was saying
- 1:19:53that the one hundred and thirty million additional people would starve, would would face
- 1:19:59severe food and security as a consequence of the economic dislocations to the lockdowns.
- 1:20:04This is like like, this is like they're saying this in April twenty twenty.
- 1:20:09I mean I saw that coming in March, so I knew that the
- 1:20:12policies had to we couldn't follow these policies. It was gonna be tremendously damaged
- 1:20:15to do the poor. The school closures, I knew We're gonna hurt hurt
- 1:20:18children, and it wasna wasn't gonna equal. It's gonna be like it was
- 1:20:20gonna be portial, and they're gonna hurt the most. And that's exactly what
- 1:20:25came to pass. I saw. I saw that very clearly. I gave
- 1:20:29an interview to Routers in late March early April twenty twenty saying things like this,
- 1:20:33domestic violence would go up. I knew because you stay at home and
- 1:20:38there's no one to like help, or a child abuse would go up.
- 1:20:42It because he's called schools. Child abuse often picked up in schools, Depression,
- 1:20:46anxiety. I mean, all of these things were entirely predictable. In
- 1:20:49fact, I predicted them in early April twenty twenty in that interview there in
- 1:20:55Rooters at early April twenty twenty, I thought the lockdowns were just a catastrophe.
- 1:20:59Then well, I couldn't agree with you more. But I also want
- 1:21:02to talk to you specifically about your experience with the media. This is the
- 1:21:05Death of Journalism podcast, and it is my very strong belief that the media
- 1:21:12was one of the main institutions that failed catastrophically when the panic struck because there
- 1:21:18was no debate, there was no contemplation, there was only narrative, and
- 1:21:25it was one sided narrative that was being driven I believe far more by politics
- 1:21:30and agenda than by science. What was so you write this piece in the
- 1:21:35Wall Street Journal and you do some interviews. What was the reaction to you
- 1:21:41in with regard to media and censorship and how did that compare to what you
- 1:21:45expected it would be. Well, the Wall Street Journal piece produced I think
- 1:21:50a mixed set of reactions. On the one side, there were people that
- 1:21:55were just vilifying me thing I was minimizing the disease. I was d dangering
- 1:21:58people's lives by questioning whether we knew the death rate, and I was what
- 1:22:02I was calling for is a new study. Right That struck me as hyperbolicum
- 1:22:06And there were also other reactions to it which were actually quite positive, like
- 1:22:10in fact, the Santa Clara study came out of that Wall Street Journal piece
- 1:22:14because there was a guy, Dan Eichner, major League Baseball, who runs
- 1:22:17who helps runs testing for Major League Baseball. He had ordered a whole bunch
- 1:22:20of antibody test kits and he phoned up me and my colleagues up and said,
- 1:22:26look, I'd like to use these for science instead of for money.
- 1:22:29Of our commercial purposes, and so he offered them up. The Santa Clarair
- 1:22:32study wouldn't have happened without without that help. Um, And that was in
- 1:22:36part I mean I saw at firsthand the power of the media. I mean
- 1:22:40I had no idea though in the old ways of getting funding or or like
- 1:22:45help for these things would be like to write a grant proposal to the NIH
- 1:22:47and then wait for three years and hope that someone liked it. They hear
- 1:22:51you write a piece in a Wall Street journal and people offer you help to
- 1:22:55do this important study. That was remarkable. I mean I still like I
- 1:22:58still this day, and let me by the power of the media to make
- 1:23:02things like that happen. Sorry no, but I but also I'm sure with
- 1:23:08regard to the criticism of you got I mean people like you, and you
- 1:23:11weren't alone. You were you were partable of a lot of different people in
- 1:23:15the in the realm of science who tried to speak out, but whose voices
- 1:23:18were at best muted and if not directly censored because you didn't did not fit
- 1:23:26with the accepted, approved narrative. So tell us about that experience. But
- 1:23:30that was that was remarkable, right, So there are nine versions of this.
- 1:23:34So and I talked to that reiter's reporter, who I really like.
- 1:23:36Actually he was doing that story on on like collateral harms potential potentially from the
- 1:23:43from the lockdowns, like the child abuse and so on. Um. I
- 1:23:45told him as a quote, I said, look, I think this is
- 1:23:48the single worst public health, peacetime public health mistake in history, the lockdowns.
- 1:23:55And he didn't put that quote in the piece. And I've talked to
- 1:23:59Matthew, So I talked to my editor and they said, if I put
- 1:24:01that in there, your career is going to be destroyed. I was gonna
- 1:24:04I was. I left it out to protect you j which I think was
- 1:24:09was kind of him, actually because because my career did get when I started
- 1:24:13saying that in other settings, it really it really blew up. Um the
- 1:24:16I saw. I remember there was a there was an interview not not of
- 1:24:20me, but of this this scientist at Yale, David Katz on CNN,
- 1:24:26and he was saying very reasonable things in like March late March twenty twenty,
- 1:24:30saying, um, look up, we see Basically he was saying something close
- 1:24:32to the Great Barrington Decoration. Let's do focused protection of vulnerable people. We
- 1:24:36can see that's really older people that are at risk. Let's not lock down.
- 1:24:41And there was this New York Times science writer Don O'Neill who just absolutely
- 1:24:47scoriated him, like essentially accused him of wanting to kill grandma. He donald
- 1:24:51neil had written this piece in the New York Times saying, which you'd get
- 1:24:54medieval on the virus um and uh it was. It was really remarkable.
- 1:24:59Like any one that said anything a little bit skeptical about the lockdowns, they
- 1:25:03were absolutely vilified and destroyed. I wrote that Santa Clair piece, and you
- 1:25:08had to You had pieces in like uh, you know, basically hit pieces
- 1:25:12in the New York Times, Uh, accusing accusing us of like you know,
- 1:25:16misusing science like saw some opted calling for like control over the public messaging
- 1:25:23about science and the media and using the Santa Clair study as an example of
- 1:25:27that. Um. Ye had you had like uh, you know, like
- 1:25:30there are these opinion journals on the left, like The Nation essentially accused all
- 1:25:33of Stanford of being this corrupt organization because we published the study. Um.
- 1:25:39And of course Scott Atlas started speaking up and that really politicized things. When
- 1:25:43when Scott was you mentioned you met by President Trump as his advisor. That
- 1:25:48really ramped up. Well, you you mentioned you yourself have experienced career harm.
- 1:25:59Talk to me about that. Well, how has your career been damaged
- 1:26:01by this? Well? I mean, I think, I think, um
- 1:26:06from I mean, I've wrote several and H proposals during the pandemic, and
- 1:26:12you know none of them were funded. Uh, I don't, I don't,
- 1:26:14I don't. I don't know for certain that's re linked. Um,
- 1:26:15it's hard to get an H funding in any case. Um. But the
- 1:26:19kind of vilification I received, both in academic and in non academic circles,
- 1:26:24essentially like smearing and and attacks, I don't know that my my scientific work
- 1:26:31will be will receive the same kind of of like fair minded scrutinied at once
- 1:26:35did before before I was so before I was a public figure. I mean,
- 1:26:39I don't, I don't see how that's possible. Um. And And
- 1:26:42there have been people I'll give you one direct thing that happened that that's just
- 1:26:45sort of hard to still hard to fathom. Um. When I wrote the
- 1:26:48Great Barrington Neckorition in October twenty twenty, it was October fourth, twenty twenty,
- 1:26:54that great parenton decoction was a call written for focused protection of vulnerable people
- 1:27:00and lifting of lockdowns. And it was written with Sunetro Gupta of Oxford University
- 1:27:04in Martin Couldo from Harvard University. So as you know, Stanford, Harvard,
- 1:27:09Oxford. Tens of thousands of scientists signed it, including Nobel Prize winners.
- 1:27:13There was there was a there was a there was a you know,
- 1:27:15almost a million people assigned it to signed it. Almost a one viral,
- 1:27:18very rapidly. It's a one page document, very short, very easy to
- 1:27:21understand. We wrote it for the general public. Forty you know, we
- 1:27:25got people sending us translations from forty different countries. Um, I mean,
- 1:27:29it's it was just it was like a it was a phenomenon, right.
- 1:27:31So four days after we wrote it and put it on the web, the
- 1:27:36head of the NIH, Francis Collins, wrote an email to Tony Faucci,
- 1:27:41calling me Martin at Sunetra, the primary author of Stanford, Harvard, Oxford,
- 1:27:45a fringe epidemiologist, and then calling for a devastating takedown of the premises
- 1:27:49of the declaration. Tony Facci then responded with an email a couple days later
- 1:27:54to a Wired magazine article essentially smearing us, accusing us at wanting to let
- 1:28:00the buyers rip, when what we were calling for was was a was focused
- 1:28:03protection of vulnerable elderly people. Um Tony Fauci and Francis Collins used their connections
- 1:28:09with the media to destroy our reputations in order to get to create this illusion
- 1:28:14of consensus that that that that their lockdown policies. We were supported by all
- 1:28:19scientists our our declaration because it was written and so prominent and with with people
- 1:28:26that were actually at you know, some somewhat I don't know if I call
- 1:28:29them reasonable anymore, but somewhat reasonable places at the time. Um uh,
- 1:28:31that would they They they viewed that as a threat to their authority and they
- 1:28:36abuse their power as the head of these massive scientific agencies funded by the American
- 1:28:43taxpayers to destroy anyone who's who's who's who who dared to sign the thing.
- 1:28:48People lost their jobs because they signed it. People lost their their ability to
- 1:28:54work with colleagues. That it was. It was like an active courage to
- 1:28:58sign that great parenting decloration for an academic And what is obviously most outrageous about
- 1:29:03this is I think you would agree with this assessment you guys were not just
- 1:29:09vindicated a little bit by reality, you were completely vindicated by reality. And
- 1:29:15yet there's no sense at all that there's any correction of the damage that was
- 1:29:21done to careers. And you yourself seemed to think that you have a scarlet
- 1:29:26letter next to your name now for eternity within academia because you dared to be
- 1:29:31a contrarian when it mattered. Is do you agree with that assessment that?
- 1:29:35I just think it's I mean, I don't know, I don't know if
- 1:29:38it's permanent, but it's it seems feels though. I mean, I consciously
- 1:29:42decided to not take on graduate students after I started to get become a public
- 1:29:46figure because I didn't want my notoriety to impact the career of the graduate students
- 1:29:53that I trained. Um, So I just yeah, I don't I don't
- 1:29:56know if that'll ever go back to normal, but it was, it was,
- 1:29:59it was VISI and the media played a pretty bad role in this,
- 1:30:01John, I have to say, unfortunately, I mean it they amplified.
- 1:30:05So after we wrote that great Branch decoration, you start to see all these
- 1:30:09pieces where like every single time, every single time, it's like Fauci says,
- 1:30:13this is nonsense. They want to let the virus rip. It's going
- 1:30:15to kill people with no response for me, because they didn't come and ask
- 1:30:18me. They Faucci used his connections with the media to amplify his message,
- 1:30:26and it was a false message. You're absolutely right, John, he Fauci
- 1:30:29was wrong. The lockdowns didn't protect people. In fact, they killed people,
- 1:30:32and a focused protection alternative would have been better. And you can tell
- 1:30:36because you can look at what happened in Sweden in the fall of twenty twenty.
- 1:30:41They didn't follow these lockdowns. They didn't lockdown, and in fact they
- 1:30:45have lower all caused excess death rates than almost all of Europe, much much
- 1:30:50lower than the United States. Florida, which follows something closer to focused protection,
- 1:30:57has lower all caused death rates, just all caused death races in California
- 1:31:00through the pandemic lower. It is my belief, Jay, that the media
- 1:31:09not vindicating Sweden is not just an act of massive media malpractice after having destroyed
- 1:31:16Sweden at the beginning. I think it has a massive impact on, for
- 1:31:23instance, the Republican presidential race, because if Sweden had been vindicated by the
- 1:31:29media and by connection Florida would be vindicated by the media. Ron de Sandus
- 1:31:36would be able to make a much better argument against Donald Trump. And instead
- 1:31:41we have this bizarre specter where this campaign begins after the Sandus's announcement and Donald
- 1:31:47Trump makes the claim that New York did a better job than Florida, which
- 1:31:54he could never possibly get away with in a world where facts irrationality mattered,
- 1:31:59or where the media had done their job and vindicating Sweden and Florida. What
- 1:32:02is your take on on that subject. It's ridiculous to say New York did
- 1:32:08better. I mean I saw that claim and I just like looking at it,
- 1:32:10going what what kind of mathematics produced such a such a claim. I
- 1:32:16mean, the all cause excess death rates in Florida are lower than New York,
- 1:32:23the lower than California. Um, New York kids didn't go to school
- 1:32:28for extended periods of time, Tremendous numbers of people lost their jobs because of
- 1:32:32force vaccine mandates. I mean, I went to New York. It was
- 1:32:34during the pandemic. It was miserable. It was like this, like you
- 1:32:39know this, this lockdown is the right word. Um. Whereas if you
- 1:32:44went to Florida, it was joyous during the pandemic. I don't know if
- 1:32:46you ever got to visit. I mean it was it was people were people
- 1:32:50were behaving like they like, you know, like at somewhat close to normal
- 1:32:56in Florida, whereas like in New York it was it was miserable. Now,
- 1:33:00why did Florida have a good response a good result? In part because
- 1:33:04the governor systematically deployed resources to protect vulnerable older people. I just give you
- 1:33:11one example. In the summer of twenty twenty one, when there was this
- 1:33:15massive wave of cases in Florida. There's there's a therapy called monocole antibodies.
- 1:33:20Monocle antibodies had been shown in clinical trials to be very very effective if given
- 1:33:26relatively early via it's been given by IV infusion. So you got to generally
- 1:33:30have to go to a hospital to get it. Governor to scientists put in
- 1:33:34a hotline and then if you had got COVID, the older people could call
- 1:33:39and they would have people visit them and infuse the end of the monocle antibodies
- 1:33:45at the home. So like, he used this resource that saves lives and
- 1:33:51made it more available to the people who were most likely to die if they
- 1:33:55get infected. That's exactly the right response. That's focused protection, right.
- 1:34:00Um. I was actually shocked. John. I don't if you know about
- 1:34:02this incident, but like in like a couple of months after that delt wave
- 1:34:06started, there was all these deaths from COVID in Florida and the South.
- 1:34:11Um, yet descantists using these antibodies, the ze monocle antibodies to try to
- 1:34:15treat the disease. The Biden administration reduced the allocation of these monocle antibodies to
- 1:34:20the South and particular Florida pretty sharply, claiming that they wanted to save the
- 1:34:27antibodies for later. They called it temporal equity. That probably killed a lot
- 1:34:31of people in Florida. Um, I mean, And in the irony is
- 1:34:34that when the when when the waves started hitting the rest of the country,
- 1:34:39it was a different variant and those monocle antibodies that were saved were no longer
- 1:34:43effective against that variants. That I was unfamiliar with that story, And that's
- 1:34:47that's remarkable now. So, um, do you agree, by the way,
- 1:34:53with my political analysis, not that you're a politician, but the impact
- 1:34:57of the media's lack of vindication of Sweden in Florida and how it favors Trump
- 1:35:03in the Republican race from a narrative perspective, do you agree with that?
- 1:35:08I mean, the funny thing about I agree with you that that that that
- 1:35:11the media failed in not in not like telling people that the sex success story
- 1:35:16of Sweden success story of Florida. That is absolutely a failure. And it
- 1:35:20seems to me obviously political because it's not as if the epidemiological data are all
- 1:35:25that ambiguous about this um so. And in terms of political implications, I
- 1:35:30have to actually I wonder about Trump, like why is he why does he
- 1:35:34have to go after de santists on on COVID, Like couldn't he couldn't he
- 1:35:41just claim success like he was the president he enabled to Santist to like do
- 1:35:45this thing. It was a joint success. I mean, that's what I
- 1:35:48would recommend it. It just seems really weird to like defend Andrew Cuomo's completely
- 1:35:54failed response to COVID in a Republican primary. Now, I don't I know
- 1:35:58nothing, as you said, John, I don't know anything of the politics.
- 1:36:00I've missed. I've missed forecast ten of the last ten presidential elections at
- 1:36:05this point. So you know, take everything I say about polities of a
- 1:36:09grain of salt. I'm just I'm just a fringe eupit to me, all
- 1:36:12just you know, well, all right, but let's go back to the
- 1:36:16beginning of COVID because I want to get your take on my theory about what
- 1:36:20actually happened, because I think figuring out how this happened is important to stopping
- 1:36:28it again in the future. And some of this I was not surprised by,
- 1:36:31and some of it, I have to say even I was why was
- 1:36:34stunned by at least by the level to which it occurred. See. I
- 1:36:39think that when COVID hit that the media and the quote unquote scientific elites saw
- 1:36:46all this through the prism of two things. Their political agenda, which was
- 1:36:53to stop Donald Trump's reelection, not necessarily consciously, but at least subconsciously.
- 1:36:59Everybody knew. Everybody knew that shutting down the world was going to be bad
- 1:37:02for Donald Trump's reelection. Everybody knew that. And number two, since almost
- 1:37:10all these people are very liberal, in the media elite and the scientific elite,
- 1:37:15they saw this as fantastic for the agenda of government controlling people's lives of
- 1:37:23them having more power. I mean, the media was never more powerful than
- 1:37:27when the world was shut down and everyone was watching television all of a sudden,
- 1:37:30and all of a sudden, you know, their ratings increased and their
- 1:37:33influence increased. But I have to say, doctor Boicharia, the part of
- 1:37:39this that really scared me to death, especially here in California, was learning
- 1:37:44who these countywide or statewide health directors were. And these people are not just
- 1:37:53Marxists, They're insane. These are people who have almost a a spiritual and
- 1:38:00sexual orgasmic reaction to be able to determine what you're going to do with your
- 1:38:08life. And I don't say that in an exaggerated fashion. I have dealt
- 1:38:12with these people. I've been to meetings, I've watched them carefully. These
- 1:38:15are h show A directors on steroids. These people, they really want to
- 1:38:20run your life, and they don't have a they don't have a clue about
- 1:38:27the actual science of this, and so it was in their personal self interests.
- 1:38:32They've never been more important in their entire existence. They have waited their
- 1:38:36entire lives for the opportunity to be this important, and that this all created
- 1:38:42a perfect storm of politics and media and an out of control scientific elite and
- 1:38:48a panicked public that had never been through this before that was willing to go
- 1:38:54along with it. And once the narrative is created, there's no going back
- 1:38:59because then people like you are criticized and destroyed as being pro virus or pro
- 1:39:04death, and there's no way to get around with that, around that situation.
- 1:39:09What do you make of my analysis on what really happened here? Doctors?
- 1:39:12So I agree with it in part, but I want to add another
- 1:39:15element. Okay, So I think that the international elements really important here,
- 1:39:18John, because so many countries lockdown. Basically it was an international thing,
- 1:39:24and it was both left wing governments like there were some like the Swedish governments.
- 1:39:27A left wing government it was like a social democratic you know, essentially
- 1:39:30socialist party, a government that decided to abase public health advice and not lockdown.
- 1:39:38You had a right wing government like in the UK, which did lockdown,
- 1:39:43and of course in Italy we got a very famously left wing government that
- 1:39:45lockdown very early, and the Chinese left wing government lockdown. So you have
- 1:39:49this mix of left and right. So I think the way I think about
- 1:39:55this is you're you're absolutely right about about the politicization of it. But I
- 1:39:58think of that as an opportunity, mystic thing that happened on top of the
- 1:40:00panic first created by public health, first created, I think by a campaign
- 1:40:08it by Chinese public heal authorities to to sort of project that their lockdowns in
- 1:40:13January had been successful. In February twenty twenty, there was a World Health
- 1:40:18Organization mission to China where they came back, including one of Tony Facci's deputies,
- 1:40:26came back and wrote a report saying what the Chinese had done had worked,
- 1:40:30that they'd locked down at great cost, they'd stopped the virus from spreading,
- 1:40:33and you know, gosh, we should do this too, the whole
- 1:40:35world to do this too. There's a World Health Organization wrote this that plus
- 1:40:41some really bad modeling by some some epidemiologists, led the world. And then
- 1:40:46and then looking at Italy and all the horror that had happened there in February
- 1:40:49twenty twenty when their healthcare system was overwhelmed, that that contrast, led the
- 1:40:56world a lockdown. And then a lot of political interests, a lot of
- 1:41:00a lot of like moneyed interest took advantage of the panic around that absolutely took
- 1:41:04advantage of the panic. I mean that I think there's something more to what
- 1:41:09you said than what I've said, because like that politicization was happening even before,
- 1:41:12right Remember in February, I think Trump shut down travel from China,
- 1:41:18and that got politicized. You got accused of being a racist or something because
- 1:41:23he shut travel down from China. I think that was an epidemiological mistake.
- 1:41:28It was already too late, because the disease was already in country that did
- 1:41:30nothing. But the problem wasn't that he was a racist, but and that
- 1:41:33politicization just carried all the way through the pandemic. I think political interest,
- 1:41:38like you said, absolutely took advantage of the sort of the hapless response to
- 1:41:43the uncertainty around the pandemic. And I think a lot of the a lot
- 1:41:47of the narrative that built up around that has been tremendously damaging. Exactly the
- 1:41:51way you said, John, I just want to address your issue of the
- 1:41:55international element clearly in the timeline. You know, what what happened in Italy
- 1:42:01was incredibly influential and scared the crap out of a lot of Americans. But
- 1:42:06as someone who has grown up believing in American exceptionalism and that we were supposed
- 1:42:13to be different. It was incredibly offensive and will always be incredibly offensive to
- 1:42:17me that because Italy did something, or if France did something, or if
- 1:42:24even Great Britain did something, that meant I mean, this is where the
- 1:42:28statue of liberty is for a reason. I mean, we were supposed to
- 1:42:31be different. And in the part of that argument, Doctor, and I
- 1:42:34think you'll agree with me on this. It really bugs me because I get
- 1:42:38this all the time. But John, you know almost everybody, first of
- 1:42:41all, not almost everybody did it. We've mentioned Sweden many times, a
- 1:42:45left wing government. They decided not to go along with the crowd here.
- 1:42:48But if United States of America had stood up and said, no, we're
- 1:42:57not going to give up civil liberties, We're not going to lose our minds,
- 1:43:00We're going to be sensible about this, I gotta believe a lot of
- 1:43:03other nations in the world would have followed our lead. Do you not agree
- 1:43:08with that? I think I think it depends on the way we did it.
- 1:43:12Like if we'd done it very early on and said, look, the
- 1:43:15lockdowns are not the right way to manage this kind of thing. Here's what
- 1:43:17the risks are, and then we've done made a good argument. Right,
- 1:43:20here's this if we just said that the great something like the Great Barrington Declaration
- 1:43:26I think would have had a lot of tremendous effect at the world if the
- 1:43:28US it stood up. The UK tried to do that very early on.
- 1:43:32Boris Shawnson tried to do that and then he got swamped m and switched magic.
- 1:43:36If the UK it stood its ground or or as you said, if
- 1:43:41the US has stood its ground. Um, now with with Trump, I
- 1:43:45don't know if you've read a Debbie Burks's book. Burks was his was the
- 1:43:48advisor to President of Trump and the head of the US the datask Force.
- 1:43:54It's like she writes it as if she's like her job is to like is
- 1:43:59to trick Trump into lockdown. Well, it wasn't that difficult, apparently,
- 1:44:04Yeah, I mean she just scared him, right, And I talked to
- 1:44:08I've talked to like governors. She essentially Pence and the White House Task Force
- 1:44:13center around the country scaring the living daylights out of governor saying you can better
- 1:44:17lockdown here, or a whole bunch of people in your state are going to
- 1:44:19die, and they locked a listened to her and then you know, like
- 1:44:24she gets the two weeks of lockdown, she's like, she's writes in the
- 1:44:26book, it's like this triumphant thing. It's like it's I mean, you
- 1:44:29use terms I probably wouldn't use in public, but that's that's what it reads
- 1:44:31like like she was. She was like really, you know, exultant that
- 1:44:34she'd gotten the two weeks of lockdown, and then immediately she's like a hot
- 1:44:39The job was to try to make sure that Trump saw data that would make
- 1:44:42sure to make him want to lockdown longer. So as a disaster when he
- 1:44:46says, oh, we're going to open up by easter, that's a terrible,
- 1:44:50terrible disaster for him. Well, my view, Trump was all over
- 1:44:56the map on almost a dailier weekly basis because he he was enduring this battle
- 1:45:01between his instincts and what people were telling him. And I think he bought
- 1:45:06into Fauci and Burgs, and I think it was a massive mistake and then
- 1:45:12he couldn't we couldn't correct course, unlike the Santists, because Trump's ego is
- 1:45:17too large, and Desantist was able to look at the data and he had
- 1:45:21apparently a very interesting conversation with Burgs, which was something that led him into
- 1:45:27realizing, wait a minute, these people don't know what the hell they're doing,
- 1:45:30and he went in a completely different direction. Trump doesn't have that kind
- 1:45:33of makeup, which is why one of the many reasons why I'm a desantist
- 1:45:36supporter in the Republican nominating process. There's so many different elements to what we
- 1:45:42just talked about there, doctor, But I'm struck by as you, as
- 1:45:47a scientist and a doctor and a Stanford professor, I wonder what your thoughts
- 1:45:53are on this issue of the lack and loss of trust in the so called
- 1:45:58expert class. Because not that I'm anybody important, but I think I'm an
- 1:46:03interesting case study here because I'm a conservative, but I have I've grown up
- 1:46:09within the establishment. I went to school at Georgetown. I have a lot
- 1:46:13of very elite friends, liberal friends, you know, Democrats and Congress I
- 1:46:19mean, so I'm somebody who I am not in the bubble. Before COVID,
- 1:46:25I accepted the idea of experts. I expected accepted the idea that the
- 1:46:30establishment is not always wrong. And I gotta tell you, doctor, after
- 1:46:33COVID, I will never ever, ever, kever believe anything these people say
- 1:46:42unless it is proven beyond any shadow of a doubt. And I don't think
- 1:46:46I'm I'm wrong about that. How devastating do you think COVID has been to
- 1:46:53trust in the so called expert class, the elites and the establishment. Let's
- 1:46:59just stick with public health. I think I've never seen in my career such
- 1:47:02low confidence in the in public health by the public like public trust for public
- 1:47:09health has shattered, and its shattered in a partisan way too. It's I
- 1:47:12mean both about Republics and Democrats. I think have much less trust to public
- 1:47:15health than they did before the pandemic. But for Republicans it is gone.
- 1:47:19It is utterly gone. And I have to say, John, it's deservedly
- 1:47:23gone. That public health made tremendous scientific and policy mistakes through the pandemic.
- 1:47:28It maybe I'll give you one example, Like you remember the Black Lives Matter
- 1:47:32of protests public health. A thousand public health of people signed a letter saying
- 1:47:39it was good for public health in June of twenty twenty, that they're they
- 1:47:41be these protests right after they've gone through, saying that that that people who
- 1:47:45were doing these anti lockdown protests were were irresponsible and bad for public health.
- 1:47:50You know, I think that public health needs to respect the the the deep
- 1:47:58seated uh passions or desires of people like you. If you have something that
- 1:48:05moves you to go out in the street and protest because you don't, you
- 1:48:09think it's it's a deep injustice. It is good for public health to allow
- 1:48:13that to happen. But that's true whether it's Black Lives Matter, or it's
- 1:48:15true if it's if it's anti lockdown protests. Those people were anti lockdown protesting.
- 1:48:20We're saying, look, I'm losing my jobs, I can't send my
- 1:48:23kids to school. It's you're hurting our families. And what they're not allowed
- 1:48:28to protest, whereas the injustice around around the Black Lives Matter, that that
- 1:48:33that they are allowed to protest, Why that part doesn't divide um. And
- 1:48:38so I think that kind of behavior by American public health has led to this
- 1:48:42complete collapse and trust. And I think in what in some ways it's it's
- 1:48:46let me just say one particularly where I think it's terrible that trust in public
- 1:48:50is important for certain things that public health where there is good data and good
- 1:48:55evidence, right so childhood vaccinations, is really really important, like specifically,
- 1:49:00like you know, the measles vaccines and so on, those are very important.
- 1:49:02When public trust collapses, people stop doing that, and that's bad for
- 1:49:08kids. So it's in that sense it's bad. Um. In another sense,
- 1:49:13it's good, like American Public Health active as if they were kings and
- 1:49:16queens. They they they imposed all these kinds of crazy, non anti scientific
- 1:49:25positions on us, closing schools, plastic barriers everywhere that six you know,
- 1:49:29little circles to make us stand six feet apart from each other, to make
- 1:49:32each other think like we're biohazards to each other. Um. That's a that's
- 1:49:36a violation of trust. Um. And until American Public Health acknowledges that they
- 1:49:42did wrong and reforms you, I don't see why you would trust them again.
- 1:49:46And and it's it's really tragic because there are some negative consequences the health
- 1:49:50of the public that flow down from that lack of trust. Well, there's
- 1:49:57no question doctor that the Black Lives Matter sit you. For a lot of
- 1:50:00people was eye opening, Like the hypocrisy was too obvious to get past many
- 1:50:05people in the general public, and the media played right into that. But
- 1:50:09for me, for me, the moment that I was like, Okay,
- 1:50:14this is bullcrap. Was Fauci's flip on masks. And I mean that that,
- 1:50:20to me was so transparent, so obvious. The media just pretended that
- 1:50:27he hadn't mocked masks as the pandemic was beginning, and he clearly flipped out
- 1:50:33of total politics. And it's my view, doctor that what happened on masks
- 1:50:38is that in Fauci wasn't alone, he was just the most prominent. That
- 1:50:42the so called expert class always knew that masks would be useless in a situation
- 1:50:46like this. They always knew that. And they also thought that they knew
- 1:50:50that Americans would never go along with mask mandates because we're the country of freedom
- 1:50:57and liberty, and that it would be preposterous to even proposed this. You
- 1:51:00would get crushed if you proposed mask mandates in America. But then, because
- 1:51:06of the panic, and because I believe in this gets a little more controversial.
- 1:51:11I believe that we have this intellectual insecurity about Asia, and because Asia
- 1:51:16was masking, that we somehow think that they're the smart people. So therefore
- 1:51:20we're doing we're not doing the right thing because we're not masking and because the
- 1:51:25so called health experts felt like they need to do something dramatic, and the
- 1:51:30mask became this symbol that we're in this unprecedented situation. By the way,
- 1:51:33I think it also became a virtue signal for liberals and an anti Trump virtue
- 1:51:39signal at that. So it becomes you have this political perfect storm where all
- 1:51:43of a sudden on the left, masks become very popular. Fauci sees the
- 1:51:47left as his fan base, and he completely flips and now all of a
- 1:51:51sudden, masks go from being mocked to being mandated in schools with little kids,
- 1:51:58and America largely was along with it, and the media completely goes along
- 1:52:01with it. What do you make of my analysis there? The doctor so
- 1:52:05that, I mean, there's there's a lot to that. At just said
- 1:52:08at a couple of data points. So first, the US was really an
- 1:52:11outlier on mass We recommended two year olds massed the World Health Organization that even
- 1:52:16they said no one under six should be masked, and the European CDC said
- 1:52:20no one under twelve. So we went we really went much further. I
- 1:52:26completely agree with you, but that the pre existing uh sort of consensus among
- 1:52:30scientists was that mass mandates do not do very much, do not work because
- 1:52:33and this was based on solid evidence a dozen randomized studies with the flu,
- 1:52:39including including things like where they randomize people doing going on the Muslim Hodge pilgrimage.
- 1:52:45They randomized tents. One tent got mass, another tent got no mass,
- 1:52:49and the FLU rates were similar even though in the mask update wasn't great
- 1:52:51because that both lessons were learned in that. Um, so you had like
- 1:52:58pre existing knowledge that FACTI was telling the truth when he first said mass don't
- 1:53:00work, absolutely telling the truth. Now then he says, he flips and
- 1:53:06says mass work, and then he admits to lying. He says, I
- 1:53:10lied to you because I wanted to use the mask to save them for the
- 1:53:14for well, like, once you have a public health authority that says that
- 1:53:18they've lied to you, why should you trust them again on anything? Right?
- 1:53:21But the irony is that he was in a sense there was like two
- 1:53:26lies embedded in that one lie. Right, he says he admits to lying.
- 1:53:30He says mass now work. Well, that's a lie. He has
- 1:53:32no new evidence of mass work. Um, there's another another thing. The
- 1:53:36thing that I think is really interesting about the psychology. Let me stop you,
- 1:53:40doctor, Let me stop you right there, because it's there's there's even
- 1:53:43one more level of insanity because in the PBS documentary about doctor Fauci, it's
- 1:53:48the only subject on which he is admitted he was wrong, which was when
- 1:53:54he said masks don't work, which was the only time he was actually right.
- 1:54:00And this is the only time he's ever acknowledged he was wrong. I
- 1:54:02mean, you just can't make this up anyway. I'm sorry, So continue
- 1:54:09with you where you ran it after that. I mean, I'm trying to
- 1:54:11like count the things he was wrong on. It's truly shocking. Um.
- 1:54:15I mean, he was like he had so much experience. It's it's anyways,
- 1:54:17that's um he So let me let me, let me go back to
- 1:54:21the mask because I think there's one other really interesting thing about the psychology of
- 1:54:25the masks. Uh. They do two things. Actually, they first,
- 1:54:30they remind everybody that they're in a pandemic, right, right, If everyone's
- 1:54:33wearing a mask, you think you're like in you're you're in a movie like
- 1:54:36contage in some movie, or you're a dramatist range movie, and so you're
- 1:54:42scared, right. It induces fear, that induced fear was part of the
- 1:54:46public health strategy. Right, It's why I was viciously attacked like I do
- 1:54:50a Santa Clair side. He says, the death rate two out of a
- 1:54:53thousand, not you know, three out of one hundred, and all of
- 1:54:56a sudden, I'm the bad guy because I'm I'm counteracting the fee or fear
- 1:55:00was part of the strategy. And the masks augment the fear. It reminds
- 1:55:04everybody there in the middle of a pandemic. But at the same time,
- 1:55:11and this is like this paradoxical thing they give Some people give people this thing
- 1:55:16that they have some sense of control over that fear. It addresses the fear.
- 1:55:23Right, So if I wear the mask, I'm no longer risk to
- 1:55:26you or others. And so you were you take this like fear, and
- 1:55:31you change it in a way where like now I have control over it and
- 1:55:35I can moralize it, right I I if I now, if I'm wearing
- 1:55:40it, now I'm a good person. My mask protects you, your mass
- 1:55:42protects me. Even though there's no scientific eviance that either either is happening,
- 1:55:47That disease is spread by aerosols, is not spread by droplets mass don't drop
- 1:55:51it or don't protect it against aerosols very effectively. So so you have this
- 1:55:57like weird psychological effect of this policy embraced by public health both to cause fear,
- 1:56:03make people take the disease seriously, and also to sort of reduce reduce
- 1:56:08the panic around it and the opportunities for a political The politicization of it's just
- 1:56:14tremendous because you have this thing that is now a moral thing. You're a
- 1:56:16good person. If you're a mask, you're a bad person. If you
- 1:56:18don't. Politicians are going to make hay with that. Well, I'll take
- 1:56:23that one step further, doctor, And I don't know if you've ever thought
- 1:56:26about this, and I would put the vaccines in this category. But masks
- 1:56:31and vaccines were the two most overt things that politicians and specifically on the left,
- 1:56:40used to pretend that this is now the reason we can get back to
- 1:56:45normal. See in the big picture, what I think happened here is everyone
- 1:56:49panicked and they were wrong, and this was not the level of emergency that
- 1:56:57we were told that it was. Gavinue some shutdown California, claiming that over
- 1:57:01twenty five million people would get COVID in eight weeks and nothing remotely even close
- 1:57:05to that happened. So they were wrong. But they can't then say,
- 1:57:10oops, we were wrong. They need excuses for why we will eventually get
- 1:57:15back to normal. After Trump is taken care of and after we win the
- 1:57:20twenty twenty elections, then we can get back to normal because the masks and
- 1:57:25the vaccines allow us to get back to normal without having to admit that we
- 1:57:30crapped the bed in a panic. And if you look at the data,
- 1:57:33and I know you have, it is one of the more astonishing realities that
- 1:57:41we had more infections and more death in America by far in January of the
- 1:57:48year after the vaccines came out. So it's not as if suddenly everything was
- 1:57:55wonderful and we could go back to normal. This was, in my view,
- 1:57:59a psychologic go crutch to be able to get around the fact that the
- 1:58:02experts have been wrong at the beginning and that we needed an explanation for why
- 1:58:08we were finally going to get back to normal, and masks combined with the
- 1:58:11vaccines were it. What do you make of that take? I think there's
- 1:58:14a lot to that analysis. So like and I think the vaccines are interesting
- 1:58:17because unlike masks, they're not visible. Right, So you remember this very
- 1:58:23weird thing where like Tony Facci gets up and says, I think it's like
- 1:58:28February twenty twenty one, well we think you should wear a mask even though
- 1:58:31you're vaccinated. And I was listening to that going and because I actually was
- 1:58:35thinking all lines you were thinking, it was like, okay, we get
- 1:58:38the vaccines in place that will essentially allow everybody to like lift the fear and
- 1:58:44go back to go back to you lift the lockdown. I wrote an OpEd
- 1:58:47and again in the Walls Re Journal in December twenty twenty saying, look,
- 1:58:50once you've vaccinated the vulnerable older people, what justification is there for a lockdown,
- 1:58:57and then encouraged vaccination of old people as a result. The problem with
- 1:59:00the vaccines, though, is it's not visible. You don't go around with
- 1:59:04this visible symbol that you're clean and so so then Fauci says, oh,
- 1:59:11well no, no, you've had the vaccine where you still still shouldn't mask
- 1:59:14because you have to like still tell people you're clean. The thing that you
- 1:59:17said that I also thought might happen, which is like, okay, this
- 1:59:20is just going to end now because the politics are over, the we have
- 1:59:25the vaccines, vaccines or the fear can be over. The weird thing is
- 1:59:29that that the fear mongery continued for a full year or more afterwards. The
- 1:59:33stand of emergency only just ended. John, How is that possible? So
- 1:59:40you, instead of like reaping the rewards of having ended the pandemic, Biden
- 1:59:45actually continued the pandemic. No, it's just it's well my view, my
- 1:59:50view on that doctor was they thought at first, the reason why the left
- 1:59:58became so invested in the vaccines is they thought the timing of this was going
- 2:00:01to be so perfect that they would take office and immediately the virus would go
- 2:00:08away and they would be able to say, see, we did it.
- 2:00:11Trump didn't do it, and you know, we're the people that understand science
- 2:00:15and and and you know that that's why you should be voting for us in
- 2:00:20the future. But that didn't happen. The vaccines worked for a couple of
- 2:00:25months, and then all of a sudden, the transmission rate and the death
- 2:00:28rate went skyrocketing from there, and so they couldn't So then they had to
- 2:00:32reverse course and go back into a war footing and then eventually, once people
- 2:00:39got tired and once Florida proved to the rest of the world that all this
- 2:00:43was nonsense, they couldn't get along get away with it any longer. And
- 2:00:45then they had the mid terms coming up. So the mid terms are what
- 2:00:49I think really ended the so called emergency, even though technically it just ended.
- 2:00:55But from from an actual real life perspective, it was the mid term
- 2:01:00elections of twenty twenty two that ended the pandemic, not the vaccines. And
- 2:01:04on the vaccines, doctor, I'm very curious because I am really on the
- 2:01:10fence here. I got vaccinated, but I didn't get the m on ourn
- 2:01:14A, I got the Johnson and Johnson, I didn't bother with any of
- 2:01:16the booster shots. I've never gotten sick since I got COVID towards the beginning
- 2:01:23of this whole thing. In my life, my wife and I and our
- 2:01:26family have lived normal lives and we've had no issues. I have looked very
- 2:01:30closely at the excess death data, and at the end of last year it
- 2:01:35was very confusing to me as to why we were still having excess deaths that
- 2:01:40were way above the COVID death rate. And I wondered, Okay, is
- 2:01:45this because of the vaccines? I mean, after all the lockdowns are over
- 2:01:49with, you can't argue that this is you know, drug overdoses or lack
- 2:01:54of medical care or suicides. And then that excess death rate at the beginning
- 2:01:59of this year seem to fade away and go back to just simply the normal
- 2:02:03death rate plus COVID and so I have never taken a strong position on what
- 2:02:10the impact of the vaccines are, say, with regard to the death rate
- 2:02:15or adverse effects. I don't know the answer. Do you have an assessment
- 2:02:18of what impact the vaccines had both in a positive and a negative direction?
- 2:02:25Yeah, I think when the data shake out and that people are still looking
- 2:02:29into this. But this is my casult from what I've read scene of the
- 2:02:33data in my own data data analysis. I think the vaccines very likely save
- 2:02:38the lives of older people in twenty twenty one. And the reason I say
- 2:02:42that is careful eptimological studies from places like Qatar, Denmark and elsewhere where.
- 2:02:47They take people who are vaccinated, track people who are unvaccinated, and then
- 2:02:51just see over time what happens to them, and you see the efficacy against
- 2:02:56infection drop very sharply, just as you said after two or three or four
- 2:02:59months. I mean I got vaccinated in April of twenty twenty one and got
- 2:03:01COVID in August of twenty twenty one, So that's actually a pretty common occurrence.
- 2:03:08Like nine the American population that there was an estimate out of Harvard in
- 2:03:13November of twenty twenty two had COVID. Vaccine obviously didn't stop people from getting
- 2:03:17COVID. On the other hand, I do think that it reduced the death
- 2:03:20rate. Now why did I stay focused on older people? I think the
- 2:03:24death rate for younger people from this virus is very, very very low,
- 2:03:27So the absolute reduction mortality risk is capped from above by that low death rate.
- 2:03:33So the vaccine, I think, is that very little benefit in terms
- 2:03:36of saving the lives of younger people, whereas it may have had some benefit
- 2:03:41and saving lives of older people. The all cause excess death rates are very
- 2:03:45interesting. They've continued into twenty twenty three, John, And there's three possible
- 2:03:51reasons I can think of. One is COVID, But you would have expected
- 2:03:57the vaccines, given how widely vaccinatee we are, have had had some effect
- 2:04:01on that two is the is the is the vaccines themselves. Excess death as
- 2:04:08a cause of the vaccine caused by the vaccine. I'm a little skeptical about
- 2:04:12that because the all cause excess death rates in Sweden are so low and they're
- 2:04:15very heavily vaccinated population. I'm not saying that doesn't happen, but I just
- 2:04:19don't believe that that's likely to end up to be the most important explanation.
- 2:04:24Might it might even be that they say, you know, I think it's
- 2:04:26likely they'll save save some lives, especially for older people. So the third,
- 2:04:31I think is the only is the one that makes the most sense to
- 2:04:34me, because it's the lockdown harms. And the reason I'll tell you why,
- 2:04:39John, is it's lockdowns are not one of these things where like the
- 2:04:43harms play out immediately and then you're done, they have a long tail.
- 2:04:47Just to give you a sense of the time scale of this, you quote
- 2:04:50we close schools. In spring of twenty twenty, there was there was a
- 2:04:55paper written by the editor of Jamma Pediatrics where he estimated how many life years
- 2:05:00were lost for American school at school kids as a consequence of that school closure,
- 2:05:05and he estimated that we had cost our children five and a half million
- 2:05:09life years. It's based on the social science literature that the reason is simple.
- 2:05:13It's like, you know, if you don't, if you skip short
- 2:05:15even short prades of school in your in your childhood, it has long term
- 2:05:19consequences. You end up being poorer, you end up being unhealthier, you
- 2:05:24end up living less long. That's true for it was like fantastic literature looking
- 2:05:29at like what happened when we made school mandatory update sixteen compared to states they
- 2:05:32had only at fifteen, and the men like that extra year of schooling made
- 2:05:36a huge difference in the health of people of kids over the lifetime. So
- 2:05:40those those lockdown harmes will play out over a lifetime of these kids five and
- 2:05:44a half million life years. We skipped cancer screening. Somehow cancer was more
- 2:05:49dangerous, less dangerous than COVID. Right now people showing up with late days
- 2:05:55cancer they should have been picked up earlier. We skipped diabetes management, We
- 2:05:59skipped heart disease care. We told people stay inside and like hide instead of
- 2:06:02exercise and get sun. You know, and so are The health of our
- 2:06:08population is worse than it was, much worse. Thanks to the lockdown.
- 2:06:12That has consequences that will play itself out over a long time, and I
- 2:06:14think it plays is about now and suicide. I agree. I'm sorry interrupt
- 2:06:17you. I agree with what you said there, but I still don't think
- 2:06:20the numbers make sense. I mean, there were some months at the end
- 2:06:24of last year in the beginning of this year where the excess death numbers so
- 2:06:29dramatically exceeded the COVID death number that it really demanded an explanation. And I
- 2:06:34just don't know that people not getting cancer screenings from two years prior explains all
- 2:06:41that I mean. And I guess my biggest concern here is this goes back
- 2:06:45to the trust issue. I have zero trust and in the health establishment in
- 2:06:49the media to get to the bottom of it. Esupposedly, when they're trying
- 2:06:53to tell us that Damore Hamlin had a heart attack on an NFL football field
- 2:06:57because of Commodio Cortes, which is there's absolutely no chance it was commodioc cords,
- 2:07:01but they would never even question that, and so so I guess you
- 2:07:05can understand why someone like myself would be questioning what the heck's going on here?
- 2:07:12Right? Yeah? I mean, I I don't want to speak about
- 2:07:14a specific person, but I can please share your lack of trust. I've
- 2:07:16said, I've not seen a convincing data analysis that that decomposes the pauses.
- 2:07:21Um Like, if you look at the that who's dying, it's a lot
- 2:07:26of young people are dying, and sometimes the cause of deaths are like you
- 2:07:29know, fentanyl overdoses that have skyrocketed all of that. I mean, you
- 2:07:33know, one in four young adults seriously considered suicide according to a CDC study
- 2:07:38in July of twenty twenty. That kind of depression leads to uh, you
- 2:07:43know, leads to people up taking fentanyl and abusing themselves with drugs. And
- 2:07:47I think there's a lot of like I mean, the lockdowns that were such
- 2:07:51a catastrophic thing for our society. I mean I almost thought of it like
- 2:07:56the way you know, in World War one, word, the whole war
- 2:08:00felt felt to the people that were in it like civilizational suicide, but they
- 2:08:05just decided to give up as a civilis The lockdown has had a little bit
- 2:08:07of that flavor, all of the all of the loss and trust in basic
- 2:08:11institutions. There's a lot of like echo of what happened during World War One,
- 2:08:16in the lockdown and the things that we faced the last three years.
- 2:08:20All right, doctor, you've been very generous with your time. I want
- 2:08:22I want to finish with something that you said at the beginning of this interview,
- 2:08:26which was I called you a COVID contrarian, and you said you now
- 2:08:30think that maybe we're in the majority. I wish that was the case.
- 2:08:33I don't believe that that's the case. I think that if that was the
- 2:08:37case, Rond de Santis would be, you know, doing much better in
- 2:08:41the Republican race for the presidential nomination against Donald Trump right now. But where
- 2:08:48do we go in the future, Because to me, as depressing as the
- 2:08:52lockdowns and everything that went along with it were, I'm actually more depressed by
- 2:08:56the lack of backlash that there's not been anybody who has been punished, no
- 2:09:01one who's been held accountable. The governors that were the worst got essentially rewarded.
- 2:09:09You know, I can't It's hard to even pinpoint anywhere in America,
- 2:09:13at least other than Ron de Sand's winning by twenty points, where someone was
- 2:09:18rewarded for taking your position and someone was punished for being wrong and that means
- 2:09:24it's going to happen again, because human beings respond to stimuli in that fashion.
- 2:09:28If you're rewarded for doing something, more humans are going to do it.
- 2:09:31If you're punished for doing something, fewer humans are going to do it.
- 2:09:35And I am terrified that this is going to happen again, whether it's
- 2:09:39another viral pandemic or with regard to climate change, global warming, whatever excuse
- 2:09:45they can come up with to restrict our freedoms and to run our lives.
- 2:09:50Where do you stand on my pessimism with regard to where we're going next on
- 2:09:54it? Well, let me agree with you about one part of the pessimism.
- 2:09:58I think as things currently stand, the way that the leaders of the
- 2:10:01scientific community that push just into lockdown think that we will absolutely have another lockdown
- 2:10:07if there's another pandemic again, we absolutely will adopt the same playbook that is
- 2:10:13now the standard playbook is I think a very clear danger to civilization as we
- 2:10:18know it, because, uh, you know, you think you can send
- 2:10:22your kids to school, well that you know it's very likely that that will
- 2:10:24be interrupted because we're gonna have a lockdown. You think your business is going
- 2:10:28to be able to run no plan for another lockdown. It was that that
- 2:10:33is part of the standard now public health playbook. That power is there,
- 2:10:37and unless there is pushback by by governments against it, specifically restricting the power
- 2:10:43of public health to put these emergency into place without much better information and data,
- 2:10:48much better oversight checks and balances, it will absolutely happen again. So
- 2:10:50I share your pessimism about that. Let me let me counter with a tiny
- 2:10:54bit of optimism if I can. I don't think most of the scientific community
- 2:11:01things that we did right. Basically everyone agrees that we did it was a
- 2:11:05terrible failure. There are differences of opinion about what the sources of the failure
- 2:11:09are, and usually that leads to like honest conversations among scientists when it's out
- 2:11:18of the limelight that lead to like actual consensus. What we have now is
- 2:11:22a scientific leadership that utterly failed, that's patting itself on the back, giving
- 2:11:28itself awards. But it's just unseemly right. The public sees it as like
- 2:11:33ridiculous. They've lost trust in those scientific leaders. It's an equaliterating they can't
- 2:11:37last. So either the scientific community and the public health community reforms conducts an
- 2:11:41honest evaluation of what went wrong, kind of like after you do after a
- 2:11:46plane crash, right, or the public stops supporting it. The widespread support
- 2:11:54for the NIH funding, for instance, in the American public, that's going
- 2:11:58to collapse. The widespread support the old for for for for for public health
- 2:12:03generally is going to collapse. And I don't understand. I don't think that
- 2:12:07the scientific leaders that are currently in power, if they see it, they
- 2:12:09don't care because they think they'll like be able to last long enough to to
- 2:12:13get get through the other side of it without having to, you know,
- 2:12:16without their reputations being harmed. But I just don't see that that's possible.
- 2:12:20What they did was so catastrophically wrong. What what and the policies we followed
- 2:12:24on their recommendations led to so much harm it cries out for some kind of
- 2:12:28political response. One one political note in Canada yesterday or a couple of days
- 2:12:35ago, there was a vote in Alberta and the conservative part the UCP,
- 2:12:39which had been led by this man named Jason Kenney, that pushed lockdowns.
- 2:12:45Well, he'd been essentially deposed by this woman named Danielle Smith, who was
- 2:12:48deeply anti lockdown and there was a very hotly contested election with the UCP against
- 2:12:56the socialist NDP party led by Rachel Notley where and they were like Pauls were
- 2:13:01saying that they were like even even though Albert is generally very conservative, while
- 2:13:05Daniel Smith's just wanted a great victory. And it's I think largely in part
- 2:13:09because of her opposition to lockdowns. So I think, I don't know.
- 2:13:13I think that there's some there's some like rumblings. We'll see, it's going
- 2:13:18to have to have. You're the Paul you know a much more about politics,
- 2:13:22Chyle, never than I'll ever know. But I don't see how like
- 2:13:24when you have such a catastrophic thing, it doesn't have some really important political
- 2:13:31ramifications. Maybe eventually, Well, doctor, I sure hope you're right.
- 2:13:35I I you know, I wish I could share your optimism. But I
- 2:13:39do want to thank you very much, not just for your time in this
- 2:13:41interview, but for having the courage and the intellect to stand up for what
- 2:13:46was right when it mattered. And I'm very appreciative for your work on that,
- 2:13:50and thanks so much for doing this interview. Thank you, John,
- 2:13:54great, great fun to talk with you. Thanks again to doctor Baricharia.
- 2:13:58I hope you enjoyed listening to that as much as I did doing the interview
- 2:14:01itself. That'll do it for this episode of the Death of Journalism podcast,
- 2:14:05episode number sixty three. Please remember to subscribe, share rate, and review
- 2:14:09the podcast. If you share it on social media, tag me and I'll
- 2:14:13be happy to share it with my Twitter followers and Facebook friends. Until next
- 2:14:18time, thanks so much for listening. My name is John Ziegler.