Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Favorites - Best Bets NFL Week 10

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The Favorites - Best Bets NFL Week 10 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandel because They're
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  Speaker 1: I win, I get paid fast. So use promo code
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  Speaker 1: Favorites and download the FanDuel app today to make every
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  Speaker 1: moment more this football season. Must be twenty one or
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  Speaker 1: older and in select states called one eight hundred gambler
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  Speaker 1: or visit FanDuel dot com slash r g in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan,
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  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Virginia one eight hundred next
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: step or text next step to five three three F
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: two in Arizona one eight eight seven eight nine seven
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org slash chat
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: in Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it in Indiana,
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: visit ks gambling help dot com. In Kansas call one
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight hope and why or text hope
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: and why four seven three six nine. In York, Tennessee,
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: redline is one eight eight nine called one eight hundred
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: five to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming or
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  Speaker 1: visit www Dot one gambler dot net in West Virgine.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Mellman, chief content Officer of the Action Network.
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: If you are listening to us live on AMP, Welcome.
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: I am joined as I am every episode by my
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: co host, my companion, my bff, my compadre professional better,
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon Hello. Chat on the road. I'm
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: on the road. So if it sounds a little bit quirky,
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: or if you're watching it on video, at some point
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: it looks a little bit quirkier than usual traveling this week,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: but that doesn't keep us from doing what we do know,
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: which was recording our follow up episode, the second episode
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: of the week, to talk about Week ten NFL. As
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: a reminder, we will get through and finalize get closer
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: to finalizing our final five. We will give away our
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: big Balls Better the Week for the second week in
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: a row. I will have to yell big Balls Better
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: the Week from hotel and maybe maybe someone next door
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: is going to get a lucky break. We will pick
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: our scoot Roulette had a couple of complaints. We forgot again.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: We were on the road last week. We forgot I
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: guess to put the scoot roulette in the app. No,
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: you know why because Matt Mitchell was putting scoot trow
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: putting our picks into the app while we were waiting
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: for our uber at Keenland, and he was asking me
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: what the picks were, and he asked me like seventeen times,
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: at the point where I thought I was talking to
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: one of my children. All right, all right, let's move on.
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: I didn't honestly notice that. But that's the exact reason
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: why we missed. Well, won't we won't listen again this
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: week and then check getting a lot of questions from
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: new listeners about who we are, what's our relationship? How
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: how did this show come about? And it's always funny
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: when you're constantly getting new listeners and people asking the
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: Chads my boss, So I would start with this chat
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: is my friend first. I look at Chad with sports
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: Spending as my little brother, but in media is my
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: big brother. I do have a contract with Action. I
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: work with Action Network. I do multiple shows with Action,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: but I do work for a betting syndicate. I'm under
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: contract with a group. So I don't sell pics. Everything
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: I do is for free. Someday I might sell out.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: I have no idea, but I am under contract where Yeah,
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: that'd be great to have a thousand people sign up
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: for my website, give me a hundred bucks each, Like,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: who doesn't want a hundred k a week? But I
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: don't sell pics. Anyone that acts like they're me on
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: Twitter selling pics, that's never me. I've never sold picks,
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: never would on Twitter. Me and Chad's deal is show
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: up at these times, do the work that you're supposed
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: to do, and we never have any problems. So Chad
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: has never had to be a boss to me really
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: because I do my work. Chad's never, luckily had to
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: really yell at me. But we're friends first, So this
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: is your four which is crazy. We made the money
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: two years ago on Pace again to make the money
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: in the contest. So if I missed a show and
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: Chad had to give me a serious call, give me
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: a licking. I deserve it because he is my boss.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: That's so interesting. I always forget that there will be
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: new people listening to what we're doing. So for Context
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: Action Network, which is the platform that Simon and I
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: work with. We launched four years ago. We are a
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: sports betting media company. We have an incredible app where
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: people track their picks. You can link out to sports
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: books to make your bets. We have this incredible partnership
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: with Fandel where you can get in linked directly to
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: Fandel and not have to search for the games that
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: you want to bet through a technology called quick Slip.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: I've been doing a podcast about sports betting for ten years.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: I was at ESPN forever. I was get in chief
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: of the magazine. I ran ESPN Digital and then when
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: I left ESPN to help launch Action, Simon reached out
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: to me DM me on Twitter and I called him
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: and I loved his story and he started come and
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: on the podcast for fifteen minutes at a time, and
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: the next season he was coming on every single week.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: And he's been co hosting with me now for three years. Yeah. Uh.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: He truly is might be ff. And Matt Mitchell is
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: our producer and he's brilliant at all of it. Anyways,
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: good round up, good reminder, Just to reminder that everything
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: we do here is free. We're not here to sell
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: you stuff. Sure, we would love you download the Action app.
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: But the goal of this we just want to give
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: out good info and have you think differently. I feel
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: like we've accomplished that goal where we're not out here
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: ben all the favorites. We're been ugly dogs usually week
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: the week, and we've proven it wins nine straight winning weeks.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: The haters really can't say much like people love the show.
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: I've really been back us, supporting us, and it's actually
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: paying off for all of them. So reminder, our foxhol
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: pick this week Packers plus five, Simon says, was Brown's
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: plus four. It's down to two and a half. Exact
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: decision by Chad was Bears minus two and a half.
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: That's up to three. We will do Scooch Roulette, we
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: will do the money line round Robin, we will do
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: the big balls. Before we get to all of it,
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: we gotta go shark calls. What did the wise guys
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: call us about this week? Simon, Hello, who's there? I'm talking? Yeah,
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: a lot of calls. Actually, I would say the most
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: interesting thing was the pros are all over that Rams news.
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: I know a couple of pros that. Yeah, and we
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: liked that number two. We were talking about that. We
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: liked it at three. We liked it at three and
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: a half. I didn't really get why there was a
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: lot of guys bigger bets, but clearly they knew that
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: there was something going on with Stafford there. So we've
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: seen that actually only dropped to minus one and a half,
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: which is like a little telling the no one really
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: knows that Stafford is gonna play or not. So that's
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: a game we're gonna break down because again, it feels
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: like if you can get that in your contest at
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: three three and a half the Cardinals, that'd be hard
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: to pass on that when you know that Stafford is
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: not gonna play. Um, so that's that's when you can't
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: really bet now. But for contests, it's interesting. Chad was
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: spot on with his love for Pittsburgh. Again, I wasn't
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: on that one. A lot of pros I talked to
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: love this spot for pitts Burg. They're on that one
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: this week. Um maybe cha, Yeah, the same maybe Chack.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: Before we came on, I said you, there's one game
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: that I felt like we didn't dig into deeply enough,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: and I didn't tell you what it was. It was
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: the Steelers and the Steelers. When we spoke on Tuesday
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: was three. Now it's one and a half. Well, this
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: group that you know, I've got two guys that work
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: their NFL side and they're really sharp. Guys take smart
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: positions right there. Not in every weekend better they do
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: bet right, but they take positions on certain weeks. They
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: took three big positions this week, and this is the biggest.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: One was Pittsburgh. So that jumped out to me where
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: it's like a game that was really my radar. And
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: then I'm hearing this group's on. It's like, Okay, that's
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be a smart side this week. So Mike
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: might be able to be convinced on that one. And
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: then again we touched on denver Um. Three different really
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: really really big money groups came in on them, and
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: I'm shocked it's still two and a half. I thought
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: he'd be down to two one and a half by now.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: We'll see, we'll see what that number does the rest
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: of the week, but I can promise you that's gonna
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: be most likely in our contest. Just the the fact
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: that so many guys have come in on it, it
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: just feels like it's a smart number. Got scared where
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: I No One, No one's uh no, one's back in
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: our Green Bay love. Um, and the boys I talked to,
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: they love Cleveland at four. They still like the three
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: and a half, but they're just they think four is
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: the key number there with this Miami team. So, UM,
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: didn't get the news I wanted on Cleveland and the
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: Green Bay side because I thought everyone be on Green Bay.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: I think they're looking at it like Rogers legit cooked
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: like something's wrong with that team. He doesn't look right. Um,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: they could be right, but I just can't get over
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: how nice of a pot spotted this. So I would
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: definitely dive in more into that one. Um, But yeah,
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: interesting here in a lot of the biggest, biggest place
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: I heard this week, where Pittsburgh, Denver, Um, Arizona and
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: actually forty Niners, which we can also talk about because
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: we're on the other side of that one. God, I
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: don't like that. I don't like that at all because
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: I love the Chargers this week, all right, Um, so
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: let mean, look, we can start breaking it down. Let's
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: go to the Bears for a second, because I love
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: the Bears at two and a half. I don't know
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: what line we're going to get in the contest. And
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: again for people who are new to this and Simon,
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: it's makes a good point. Simon and I will enter
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: a contest high stakes contest every year. We will. You
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: gotta put in five picks. UM. You can follow those
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: picks in the Action Network app, follow the phase five.
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: The lines on these contests lock in the middle of
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: the week. We don't have to put our picks in
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: until Sunday, so we often wait because that's when we
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: can get some of the best value in the line
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: or the worst. When we've we've taken numbers, like child
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: Will said, they're awful numbers. But we just like that side.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: But we try to narrow down the games in these
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: podcasts and give people real time info. Uh. And so
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: the games that we're talking about are all games that
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: we end up betting. Like I can tell you right now,
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: I've bet the Bears. I've bet the Packers, I bet
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: the Browns, I bet the Chargers, I bet the Steelers. UM.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: So we're not saying anything that we're not betting. But
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: let's talk about the Bears. Everything I see about this
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: game makes me continue to love the Bears even more.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: They are just getting better and better. UM. And in
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: a game in which I think the running game is
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: going to be a big difference, and they are still
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: getting in some places less than a field goal. I
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: don't know how you don't take the Bears with a
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: dominant rush offense. Yeah, and no surprise, the pros aren't
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: touching this game just because they probably viewed as we're
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: buying high right now in Justin Fields after he just
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: did something historical last week? Right, did he not break
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: Mike Vix's Russian record? Um? He said the single season
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: Russian record for most yards gained by a quarterback on
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: the ground in NFL history in a single game. Yeah,
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: so um, they could be right, But I feel like
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: everything means touched on it. So true about this Lions team,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: there are a different team outside. They played different We've
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: seen they're often struggle outdoors. They have a bunch of
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: injuries to that team, where the Bears they don't really
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: have any injuries like right now. Yeah, they're not good,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: but they're healthy that they and with Justin Fields playing
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: that the level is playing, that feels like such a
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: huge advantage to me. So I knew coming into it,
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: no pros and beyond it and just be it. Would
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: be one of those chalk plays that me and Chad love,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna be gaud of it, Like, I
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: just think it's a great number, especially at two and
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: a half. Scary, of course that's not at three, and
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: as it stated three that some books are still letting
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: you get the two and a half because again it's
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: gonna be the most bad public side this week. But
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: I'm with chat, I'm willing to pay for this loss. Um,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: that's what I feel like. We're doing the Bears here.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: It's like, Okay, we know it's a sucker bet, but
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: sucker bets do win every now and then. The lines
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: have proven me nothing these last couple weeks that they
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: should only be catching three points here. Again, we think
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: this line would be much bigger. They dropped that game
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: to the Green Bay, which they easily could have and
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: the Bears could easily could have won their matchup. So
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: I feel like we're getting free points here, at least
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: half a point. That it's still under three. You're not
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: wrong of the bets of the money on the Bears,
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: and this thing is bringing up two and a half.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: So that's all the everything you need to know that
• 12:08
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  Speaker 1: Virginia one eight hundred next step or text next step
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  Speaker 1: to five three three four two in Arizona one eight
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  Speaker 1: eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or
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  Speaker 1: visit c CpG dot org slash chat in Connecticut one
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  Speaker 1: eight hundred nine with it in Indiana, k S Gambling
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  Speaker 1: help dot com in Kansas one eight seven seven seven
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: seven zero stop in Louisiana one eight seven seven eight
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Hope NY or text hope n Y. In New York,
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  Speaker 1: Tennessee redline is one eight hundred eight eight nine one
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: five hundred in Wyoming, or visit www one eight hundred
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  Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. I listened to the
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: Action Network podcast with Raybond and Stuckey that came out
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: this morning. Stucky loves the Packers in this spot, and
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: he's not the only one. I've heard a lot of
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: people who you and I both respect, really loving the
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: Packers in the spot. That the Packers are basically an
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: average team, and that if you look at the Packers
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: when they were playing against the Bills a few weeks ago,
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: the delta between what the line is for then and
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: what the line is now would basically say that the
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: Cowboys are even to the Bills at from Frank, which
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: they're not. So you're getting probably two points of value here.
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: I feel like, to me, this is a no brainer
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: for the contest. I love it. It is, and I'm
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: glad we were walking together. But it's the definition of
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: a sharp trap. And I just I just thought it
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: was interesting that no real pros are on it where
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: it's like all of us the minions are are on
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: it where they're like picking the other games. They're just
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: they're they're better spots where it's like, I don't know,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: like I said, a couple of guys, how can you
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: not take green Bay here? Like you just said, this
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: is as low as it can get. We're getting at
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: least two points of free value just because green Bay
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: has been on absolute tailspin. Their view of it is,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: why do you think the tailspin ends here? Like, why
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: won't they just keep you know, being horrible? You know
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: easily could see this game being twenty four to seven,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: twenty four to six. Dallas just dominates green Bay because
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: the Dallas their defense is incredible. But I feel like
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: chat And nailed it where it's just like this is
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: the spot where you take Green Bay and a Dallas
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: team that I'm not gonna say they're gonna sleepwalk, but
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: they're coming out of a bye week playing an inferior
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: team in the game they think they're gonna dominate, and
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: that's usually where you get caught against the packersteam that
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: this is it, Like we're gonna talked about it last week.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: So yeah, four and a half, five, five and a half,
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: whatever it is in the contest, I'm sure, I mean,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Chad will end up having it in there. It's just
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: a nice home ugly dog that we're the only ones
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: that are gonna be on it. Like he just said,
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: no one's betting this. No one is betting this. There's
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: gonna be a very small amount of us betting this number. Um,
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: I can't avoid it. There Again, there's a couple of
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: games this week we're gonna talk about. There's just some
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: games I feel like I can't avoid. This is one
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: of them. It's like we have finally have a losing
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: weekends because of this match up here. Won't be shocked,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: but it's just this is what's got us this point.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: We keep playing these numbers in these positions, and it's
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: been good to us this year. Can we agree if
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: we have a losing this week this week, for those
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: who are listening, you have to take at least one
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: bye in this contest. Let's agree that if we have
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: a losing week this week, are we taking a bye
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: like the following week? Um? I don't. I wouldn't do that.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Like to me, that's like our get out of jail
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: thing where it's just like we're eventually gonna hit a
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: hit a week where we just hate and we can
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: finally use it. Um, we've just been so hot. That's
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: why I don't want to use it. It's just like
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: we're rolling right now, if we go two and three,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we should use it like that. Yeah,
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: that's a losing week, But I come on, that's that's
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: nothing for us two and three. So yeah, I know
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: we have to use it, Chad. That's that's the thing
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: to me. I was looking at the final week that
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: has the six teams on buy. So I think it's
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: either weeks Week thirteen or week fourteen. There's six teams
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: on a bye. That's what I was really saving A
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: four It's all right, that's the worst week. That's three
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: less games we normally get. Um, that's where I was
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: going to use it most likely, But now I just
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: gave out game three tery. When I was playing our contests,
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: I was just gonna say, I think we're gonna have
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: a couple of games in our contest this week in
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: our final five that are pretty ugly that other people
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: won't play. So this this could be moving week for us. Yeah. Again,
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: and that's towards the end of the year. Um, I
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: know Chad's probably ten percent believe what he said. We said.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: He carried me through the first early a couple of weeks,
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: which is why I love chat. But like I had
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: in June. I had our first four weeks mapped out
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: where like I knew that five in June, Like I
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: literally have no life. This is my life. As the
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: weeks go along, I feel like it was gonna get easier,
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: and surprisingly it adds right Like I feel like most
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: weeks here we get the three and two, we get
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: the four and one. Um, this these the next couple
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: weeks coming up. I've looked at the lines. It just
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: feels tough. So that's why I like, I'm comfortable with
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: what you're talking about using to buy coming up here,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: because there are some tough weeks coming up. The books
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: are just getting sharper, all right. Um, still like the Bears,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: still like the Packers, as guys liked the Browns. Plus
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: three and a half plus four. Hopefully you can get
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: that plus four, Hopefully you can get it. For the record,
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: I bet at three and a half because I didn't
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: see any fours out there anymore. And the pros keep
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: buying every time it hits four, Like it hit four
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: this morning, I texted my runners. I grabbed that draft
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: Kings four. I just checked. Now it's already gone. So
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: the four pops up. It's gonna keep disappearing. You're probably right. Look,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: the the Dolphins are five and oh and games decided
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: by six points or less. Um, justin Fields just said
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: a QB rushing record against Miami. What can Nick Chubb do?
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: Browns are one in four in games decided by six
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: points or less, So you know, I think these teams
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: are more evenly matched then the bookmakers are giving credit
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: to the Browns four. So even at three and a half,
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: you're still getting I think an extra half point of value.
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: The floor is better, but still like it at three
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: and a half. I just and honestly, the biggest reason
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: I love this spot is it feels like we're so
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: overdue for a bad too. Again this guy has had
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: every time I'm watching his game film, the amount of
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: drop picks he keeps getting away with it. Again, maybe
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: it's his throwing style, the way his ball comes in
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: there because he is a left ye I believe, Um,
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: maybe that throws off the Dbs. But in a matchup
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: like this, I just can't see Miami pulling away where
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: their defense isn't good enough to be fair by how
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: many points where they, like Chad just said, they give
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: up the Russian yards they can give up the passing
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: yards teams to move the ball on this Miami team
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: where flip the other side like Miami's offense. I love
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: it right like there the Wattle Tyreek kill. Thing. That
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: was by far the most fun game to watch last
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: week was watching that Bears Miami game. Just both offense
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: removing the ball up and down the field. I love
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: what they're doing. At the same time, you're one dimensional.
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: They're a one dimensional team Miami right now. So and
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: the match up here with Cleveland, they had an extra
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: week to prepare for this, right coming off their bye week.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: I like that that they can scheme up against McDaniels
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: in this offense. So, um, that was the big, big
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: reason I love the three and a half. Just annoying
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: me right that it hasn't gone back to four. We
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: couldn't get it to four again. Um, but happy to
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: take the three and a half. I would take it
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: all way down to three. Uh, Miami, this is a
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: huge game for them, right, We're like, we're all assuming
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: the Bills are probably gonna drop this game here to
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: the Vikings. Um, it's a big deal. They're gonna have
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: a backup in there. That would be huge Miami, they
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: would take a lead in the division. Uh insane to
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: think at this position right, a new head coach to
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: all the stuff going on in the summer, the whole
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: thing going on, Tom Brady, the I'm trying to get
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: him in there, um incredible, how well Too has played
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: and the Tyre Kill move. I mean we haven't even
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: talked about it really, but he's like up there now
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: for Offensive Player of the Year. Incredible and like the
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: whole thing is just crazy. Where usually those things don't
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: work out for teams, It's all worked out for Miami
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: from this offseason. Dude, He's not just up there. I mean,
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: is he number one? He's I think pretty sure. I'm
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: checking in the Action Network app right now, but I
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: thought it Hurts would still be one fairly certain that
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: I'm checking right now. Player of the Year Tyreek Hill
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: plus three Wow, Tyreek Hill at fan Duel plus two
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: fifty Jalen Hurts plus four fifty. Yeah, now that's that's
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: that's crazy. So yeah, Tyreek, I think it's an awful bet.
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: He's a He's a day away from a hamshig being pulled.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: People forget this is the guy that has soft soft
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: tissue injuries. But it's working right now. So crazy if
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: you got him fifty two one or better. Uh for
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: the season. All right, let's talk about the Steelers for
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: a second. First. It the other day and I was
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: disappointed because I said on the pod that I liked
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: it and we didn't dig into it. The line has moved.
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: I still like it. Mike Tomlin came out this week
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: said he was optimistic that t J. Watt was going
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: to come back. This is a significantly different when t
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: J Watt is playing. This is the top five defense
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: in the league when he's playing. Uh. I think Kenny
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: Pickett has been a gamer. Uh. He came in against
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: the Jets in the second half nearly beat him. That
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: looks more impressive given how well the Jets have played
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: too close against Miami. He beat the Bucks. You give
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: this guy the two weeks now after a bye week
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: to get a little more comfortable. They're playing at home
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: against a not very good Saints team, especially away from
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: the Dome. Uh. Rob Rob Mike Tomlin, when he's a
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: dog in this spot after week five, coverance any percent
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: of the time, that's a big data set. It's not
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: five games screaming you know what this is. I don't
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: think so actually really got another one you like better
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: than this maybe, but if you want to do this one,
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: I'll do this one. This doesn't feel honestly taking the
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: Steelers as home dogs with Mike, Tomlin and t Ji
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: coming back against the Saints team, that's it. That's that
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: doesn't feel like it takes big boss that. I'm right
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: there with you. I honestly didn't like it, just because
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: the Saints team has just been not that I want
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: to say you've been unlucky, but they really have. Like
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: they're just they've had bad injuries, they've had bad QB play.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: But Chad's right, like, this is the spot you take
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh every time Tomlin is a home dog. It's it
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: sucks it down in one half. I'd still take it there,
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: though hopefully you can get two and a half or
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: two in the contest. Um, you're right, Like I again,
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I overlooked in the sense that it's probably my of
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: of the Saints here, but the Pittsburgh historically trends to
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: point to this is always a good spot to take
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: Tomlin and this Pittsburgh team. Now you bring in the
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: fact that what it's going to be back. That changes everything.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: Like again, I did not see him coming back this week.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: I think that's honestly the movement. I don't know if
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: it's professional money movement on line. I think it's the
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: Watt news because he's he's worth in my in my math,
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: he's worth at least a point and a half to
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: a point. So that's a big deal, even if he's
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: not even fully healthy. He's that dominant of a player
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: and he means that much of that team. You can
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: look at their record with him and without him, it's
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: a big discrepancy. So I'm going with each other. I
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: could put this one in and comes on to all Right.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: I like it, so then the next one we can
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: go back to Denver. But I'm gonna say this. I
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: said it last week with Tennessee. I'll say it this
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: week with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Big balls better the week.
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars plus nine and a half. Look, dude, we
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: talked about it on Tuesday. It's ugly. We know it's
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: the right spot. We know Mahomes doesn't cover as a
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: huge favorite at home. This is a team that has
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: been struggling to beat bad teams. At home. Look what
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: they did against Tennessee. Look what they did against the Raiders,
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: Look what they did against the Chargers. They lost to
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: a good team at home in the Bills. The Jags.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: We love the Jacks. Yeah. The only question to me
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: is do we wait and try to get it at
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: ten because we know comes Sunday the public is gonna
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: come in on the Jags. But I think we gotta
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: be thinking Jacks right now. Yeah, and again that one
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: of them were talked about games this week from the boys.
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: I know one group that loves it as well. A
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: couple of guys listen to the show live now that
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: our pros and that I was an instinct text I
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: got afterwards was you're taking the Jags after a win?
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: And again I get I get that it's probably historically
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: terrible because they what they've had. She's man, they've had
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: what three or four wins, five wins the last two years.
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: I mean even going back last four or five years.
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: I can't imagine having more than twelve wins. It's been bad.
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: I get it, But like Chad just said, this is
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: more of a play on my homes right, like him
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: and these big spreads, he does not perform well. They
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: usually don't cover such big numbers like this. They usually
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: take the foot off the gas and the Jaguars can
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: move the ball. We've seen them with Travis etn move
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: the ball. If you look at early season the success
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: on the ad on offense, it sounds crazy, but it
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: ran through Christian Kirk. They were getting Christian Kirk the
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: ball and they were getting first downs moving the ball.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: They went away from the middle of the season, we
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: saw they dropped a bunch of games. He said two
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: weeks ago they're gonna try to get in a nine
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: in ten touches per game. It's a big difference. Like
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: he's a performer for them and and again in this matchup,
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: this will be a good matchup for Christian Kirk. So
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: I hate it. So that's probably a great, great bet
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: for us Chad because it's like twisting my stomach, just
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: like Tennessee was going against my homes here, we gotta
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: do it. It's a big number. I would still take
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: the nine a half. I just don't see it getting
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: back to ten because I think the pros will buy
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: it again at ten. But yeads right, like come Sunday,
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: you might better get that bump. But if you want
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: to take the nine and a half just to be
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: safe in case it drops down to nine eight and
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: a half, I gotta know what you're doing it right now,
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: because I do think it could it could drop well,
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Christian Kirk, that's a great point. Last week he had
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: nine targets, eight receptions, and he was a game changer
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: in that in that Raiders game. Yeah, and that's that's
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: Doug Peterson being aware of his faults, like that's my
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: favorite thing, and people being humble, being honest, and he was.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: He was just like their team is messing up. It's
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: on me. I need to get our guys touches, like
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: that's how you can flip these things around. And yes,
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: he's gotten Christian Kirk touches. He's gotten Travisy etm more touches.
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: That's gonna turn their season around if they're able to
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: do that. Humility, honesty, humor. Simon, if I'm your media
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: big brother, I'm telling you right now, you follow the
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Triple H cocktail, you will do just fine. This is
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: the Triple H Podcast. Humility, honesty, um um, all right,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: you got to be a scientologist. Oh Jesus christ uh
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: I guess we should talk about the Chargers plus seven
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: and the Niners minus seven. We gave the big balls, um,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: But because I love the Chargers in this game, I
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: think it's going to be a slow game. I know
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: the Chargers are missing so much, so many offensive weapons,
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: but I think that the I think it could be
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: a three point game, like I think it could be
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: seventeen fourteen. Yeah, And I just don't get it though,
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: Like it's I've seen the numbers, right, I've seen Herbert
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: he is dead last and getting the ball down the
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: field this season. Again I talked about I think his
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: coachings are the coaches failing him, but it's also the
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: key now and like Williams injuries like those are the
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: two big body guys who goes downfield too, they've been out.
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: So I'm trying to take too much away from a chat,
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: but it does give me pause. When you know a
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: guy I really respect, he's like, no, that's I'm taking
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: a huge stand this week on the fourth Niners. This
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: is a great matchup, great spot for them. And I
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: even said to him, said, have you ever looked at
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: the numbers of Shanahan as a favorite, and Shanahan in
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: prime time. It's it's not good. So I'm with you,
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: chat like it's gonna be really hard for me chat
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: on Sunday if this is seven and seven a half
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: in our contest to pass on it. Um, but fishy, fishy,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: fishy fishy, because again, what you just talked about so true.
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: The Charges are always in all their games. Like the
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: issue for us is when the Charges are favorites, that's
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: when we like the fade to Chargers. But as dogs,
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: they always come back. I mean, just think about that
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Chiefs game was that week two. Um, they were dead
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: in the water and they said came all the way back,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: even the coaching was such a blunder and it was
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: stupid as hell, they still came all the way back
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: and covered the three and a half. And it's just
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: that's the kind of team they are where you know,
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: fourth and five, fourth and twelve, it doesn't matter to them.
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: That's annoying as hell. When you need them as a
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: favorite as a dog, we love that. It's like, yeah,
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: go for it, you're the dog here. So variance yea
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: variance and Chargers coaching decisions, you count them out as
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: big underdogs and you just nailed it. It's why we
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: don't like them as favorites. That's why we do like
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: them as underdogs, especially really big underdogs. Um. I think
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: we've got a really interesting collection of games to make
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: decisions from on Sunday. Uh, we like the Bears two
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: and a half. We like the Packers plus five, Browns
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half. Uh, Steelers plus one and
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: a half, Jack's plus nine and a half. Ah, and
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: so this is interesting. No, like a lot of games
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: this week. Again, we didn't even talk about it, but
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: games will might be. You might if you're in a contest,
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: right and you're looking at the lines that have moved
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: and you think there's good value. There's some good trap
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: games this week that me and Chad might walk right into.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: And one of them is being the Vikings. If we
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: could get six six and a half, how do we
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: not take that right? If we could get Cardinals three
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: three and a half. Now they're down to one, could
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: be even down to a pick. But if it is Stafford,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: that's out. We know the data. We know that the
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: Rams are twelve and one straight up against this Cardinals team,
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: their last thirteam. Like I get all those trends, It's
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: hard to not take those numbers though, when the value
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: is that good, like you're getting four points in some
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: of those games of value. So games. Just keep our
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: eye on in case people are shocked that we have
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: in there because we didn't really talk about them. Could
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: have great value in the car knows what Stafford out
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: could have great value on the vikings with Josh Allen
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: might be out. We don't know yet, right the coach
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: is kind of keeping close to his chest. Um. The
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: last one we didn't talk about because I don't know
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: what we're gonna do with it, because again we we
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: liked it was the Houston movement. Um, I don't know
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: who bet that. I I reached out to a bunch
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: of different guys and who's moving this line. No one's
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: taking credits, so that means no one did it. So
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: something something has happened with the books just adjusted off
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: their own lines, or someone I don't know hit that
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: and moved at a full point and a half two
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: points a big deal. Um, not sure why? Right? Damian Pierce, uh,
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: the best player on Houston, came up on injury port
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: this week. Um, yesterday line backed up to five, So
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to do with it. People have
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: been asking about it. I have no idea. I don't
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: know who bet it. Um don't go off of just
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: simply what I said last week. I thought that was
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: a good number. Or on Tuesday, that's a good number
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: at six and a half, like that's what I would
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: have taken Houston at down a four and a half five.
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I can back Houston at that number.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Foxhole Packers plus five. Simon says, Browns plus four, three
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: and a half, Exact Decision, Bears minus two and a half,
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: Big Balls, Jackson plus nine and a half. Simon, last
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: week you had Seattle plus two. I had the Bears
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: plus I think four. Whatever it was, Yeah, we both
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: want scootch Roulette. You were still on the lead. You
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: go first when all hope is lost, all this left
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: is relief. Let's plays Roulette eleven and two in the season.
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: Chad having in two? Does that mean? What does that
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: make me three and four? Your four and five or
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: five and four? How can I not do it? I
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: loved it, The pros love it. They're betting it. I
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: wish it was still a plus three, but I'll take
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: it anyway. Denver plus two and a half. All right,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: I thought you were going to take the Steelers, and
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: now that's yours. I don't want to steal that. I
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: told you on Tuesday I was leaning towards the Saints.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: But everything you said so true. It's like that, these
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: are the times you take Tom one. I'm taking this.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: You're taking Denver plus two and a half. I'm taking
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: the Steelers plus one and a half. Let's do our
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: money line run robbin dog, your dog, your dog blocks dog.
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, I love this week. We haven't had a
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: good run here. We're like the dogs. They've been covering.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: They just haven't win. In. Let's start off with Minnesota,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: how queen not if Josh Allen's out, throw them in,
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: throw Cleveland in, I gotta throw the Chargers. And I
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: love that big number. I just we we see it
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: time and time again, the forty Niners when they when
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: they lose, they lose bad. Do you want to do
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: green Bay? Chack? Are you going to say we have
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: to do green Bay? We do? Right of course? Yeah
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: that's good. And then I think, um, so Minnesota, Cleveland, Denver,
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: Green Bay Chargers, Minnesota, Cleveland, or you do want to
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: do Denver? Because I would do the charge. I would
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: do the Steelers. Yeah. It's such a short number though,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: all right, so do Denver. It's what's a plus one
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: or nine in the app? Okay, Denver is that's not
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: that much better? Plus one sixteen? Yeah, we can do
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: that if you want to switch out Denver, throw Pittsburgh.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: I feel better about a home team as a dog.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: All right, let's stay clean out. Let's stay Cleveland out though. Okay,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's out, Denver's in Pittsburgh is So for those listening live,
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: I know Matt is putting these in the chat right now.
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: Minnesota ripping his air out, Minnesota, Denver, Chargers, Green Bay, Pittsburgh. Alright, listen.
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Last week, Simon, we were right about Foxhole. We were
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: right about Simon Says, we were right about exact decision,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: We were right on Scooch Roulette, we were right on
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: big Balls Better. The week we went four in one
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: of the contests. Things can only get worse, am Honestly,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: the only way they can get better is if we
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: do all this and go five and oh and the contest.
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: So I feel bad for anyone who's just listening for
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: the first time this week because we were so brilliant
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: last week, though, That's it. This has been the favorites
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: from the Volume podcast Network. I am Chad Millman. He
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: is Simon Hunter, producer, Extraordinarires Matt Mitchell. Download us from
• 35:34
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• 35:38
  Speaker 1: leave us five stars, keep us in the top one hundred.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: You guys have been doing it all season long. We
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: really appreciate it. Give us the five stars, say whatever
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time. W