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Episode 310 - 7/1/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 310 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:35
  Happy Tuesday, another day here in the arena, guys.
• 0:38
  More importantly, welcome to the month of July.
• 0:42
  That's right, we turn the page from June, June to July.
• 0:45
  We're getting into the dog days of summer, guys.
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  It's another hot 1 here in New England.
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  If you're like me, we're back into the 90s.
• 0:51
  So here I am trying to stay in the AC and bet on sports and
• 0:54
  stay cool but also stay hot in the in the sports betting arena
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  which is hopefully sign of things to come as last night to
• 1:03
  finish off the month of June a nice little sweep, bust out the
• 1:06
  brooms and not only was it a three and O but it was a three
• 1:09
  and O + 3.31 unit night because we had some dogs that were
• 1:13
  barking for us last night. Guys had a great hit there with
• 1:16
  the Toronto Blue Jays getting it done public was all over the
• 1:20
  Yankees. If you look in the sports
• 1:22
  betting Hall of Fame and look up reverse line movement, that's
• 1:25
  going to be in a picture of Toronto from yesterday, which
• 1:28
  because if you look at kind of the the betting splits and the
• 1:30
  way that line moved 72% of bets from the Yankees, but the
• 1:34
  Yankees fell -150 down to -135 So why did the line move toward
• 1:39
  Toronto if everyone's playing Yankees?
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  Well, it's good. Smart money.
• 1:43
  Had Toronto and the Jays nailed it down.
• 1:45
  I got nervous because Mr. Hoffman who was blown I think 22
• 1:49
  saves for us this year, I'm like, OK, you better not blow
• 1:52
  this one. Luckily shut the door.
• 1:54
  So thank you Hoffman. Toronto was a nice plus money
• 1:56
  winner and then had Arizona late night.
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  The snakes, who are very hard to to understand.
• 2:03
  They just they when they're big favorites, they lose.
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  And then last night you're kind of an unpopular dog and you win
• 2:08
  another sharp RLM play plus 135 down to around plus 1:20.
• 2:12
  And then we also had a dog to pick them or even slate dog to
• 2:16
  fave sharp line move with the Pirates.
• 2:18
  Pirates were a nice 17 nothing again.
• 2:21
  They went from plus 110 to -110 so anytime you get a three and O
• 2:26
  hey, you'll take it, but especially with some plus money,
• 2:28
  even bigger payout. So great end to the month of
• 2:31
  June. Hopefully a good omen as we
• 2:34
  shift into the month of July. Now looking toward today guys
• 2:37
  going to get right back to Major League Baseball.
• 2:39
  A three pack I have lined up for you here, including a couple big
• 2:43
  favorites as well as a very, very kind of short, modest
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  favorite. But as always, we're going to
• 2:48
  try to go 2 in one each out of winning day.
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  That is always the case and always the goal.
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  So with that being said, without further ado, let's get right
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  back to doing what we love to do.
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  Breaking down sharp reverse line moves, steam moves, bet split
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  system matches in the sports betting world, specifically when
• 3:05
  it comes to betting baseball and grinding baseball.
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  So first one on the board that caught my eye, 7:15 PM Eastern
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  Time. First pitch tonight let's go
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  down to Atlanta where the Braves are hosting the LA Angels and an
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  interleague series matchup. So setting the stage for this
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  one. The Halos are 41 and 42 did just
• 3:22
  lose two or three against the Nats though they lost the series
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  finale on Sunday 7:00 to 4:00 and extras as a -130 home
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  favorite. Similarly, the Braves 38 and 45
• 3:32
  on the air. They just cannot seem to get
• 3:33
  back to 500 just lost two or three against the Phils They
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  lost that series finale 2 to one as a -165 home favorite on
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  Sunday. So pitching match up here.
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  This is interesting because originally so here, let me
• 3:47
  phrase it this way. I guess the pitching matchup is
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  the Angels going with the lefty Tyler Anderson two and five 4.41
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  ERA and the Braves are going to go with the ready Grant Holmes
• 3:57
  four and seven 3.7 O ERA. But that doesn't tell the whole
• 4:01
  story because originally we saw this line open Atlanta around a
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  -, 160 home favorite Los Angeles Angels, a + 135 row dog.
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  However, originally we thought that it was going to be the
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  Braves going with the ready Didier Fuentes, who's O and two
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  with a 10.8 OERA. When I went to bed last night,
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  he was expected to be the starter.
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  But then there was a tweet that came out if you guys want to
• 4:26
  follow and you don't follow me yet, I think the best Twitter
• 4:29
  follow from Major League Baseball starting lineup.
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  So they come out pitching changes.
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  All that kind of stuff is underdog MLB.
• 4:36
  It's just at underdog MLB. They do a really good job of
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  giving the line UPS immediately. Scratch starting pitchers.
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  I just saw a tweet right before the pod started, you know,
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  Padres, Phillies expected to be postponed Tuesday due inclement
• 4:48
  weather. Just a great Twitter follow if
• 4:50
  you're not following yet. But anyway, we thought it'd be
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  Fuentes, but then we saw a tweet at around 9:00 AM saying, Nope,
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  it's going to be Grant Holmes. So as soon as we saw that switch
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  from Fuentes to Holmes, a massive, massive overload of
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  steam, big smart money across the marketplace got down hard on
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  the Braves, steaming the Braves -160 all the way up to now as
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  high as -198 at FanDuel. Some shops -200 some shops -2 O
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  5 SA huge steam move here. I got Atlanta -190 little bit
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  earlier today. I believe that was a bet MGM, I
• 5:24
  think -198 at FanDuel might be your best price.
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  Try to find anything sub -200 if you can to remember if you're
• 5:31
  going -198 FanDuel, you're not risking 1.98 units to win one
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  unit. You're just risking your one
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  unit trying to get a little more than 1/2 unit back.
• 5:40
  But aside from that huge steam with the pitching change in
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  favor of Atlanta, we have some really good bet splits at Circo.
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  This one really kind of jumped out to me.
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  Only 13% of money line bets at Circa in Vegas are taking the
• 5:52
  Braves, but it accounts for 82% of the money.
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  So Publix probably saying hey, Braves have kind of stunk this
• 5:58
  year. LA is close to 500.
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  It's a big number, might as well take the plus money Angels.
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  But Nope, low bets, higher dollars.
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  That discrepancy in Vegas is really showing up in favor of
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  the Atlanta Braves. I have 11 system matches on
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  Atlanta here. Some of the top ones both teams
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  coming off a loss, which is the case here.
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  The team receiving $0.10 of line movement or more in their favor
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  has gone 32 and 19 this year, 63%, 9% ROI.
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  Home favorites who made the playoffs the previous year
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  taking line movement in their direction, 182 and 8768 percent,
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  7% ROI. Both teams coming off a day off,
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  the favorite is 84 and 4665% with a 5% ROI.
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  Then you have just some classic interleague favorite betting
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  system, match value on Atlanta, lack of familiarity benefiting
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  quote UN quote the better team. Now I'm going to bank on the
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  Braves hopefully get to Anderson here tonight.
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  The Braves are hitting 258 at home this season.
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  That's 10th best in baseball. Angels only hitting 2:30 on the
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  road, that ranks 25th. Basically bottom of the barrel.
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  And if we dig into these pictures a little bit more,
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  Anderson who actually pretty pretty good year last year,
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  Remember he had a really good year with the Dodgers and sign
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  with the Angels. He started this year pretty good
• 7:13
  as well, but he's really struggled here.
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  In the month of June, he made 5 starts in an ERA of nearly 76.93
• 7:20
  to be exact. And if you look at at home, he's
• 7:23
  pretty good, 2.66 ERA, but on the road, 6.26 ERA.
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  So he's been bad in June and bad on the road and hey, he's on the
• 7:32
  road tonight. Meanwhile, Holmes has a 3.51 ERA
• 7:37
  posted in five June start. So he pitched much better last
• 7:40
  month and he has a three-point O 8 ERA at home versus 4.46 on the
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  road. By the way, LA 21 and 22 on the
• 7:48
  road, slight losing record. Atlanta 23 and 17 at home,
• 7:52
  decent winning record. Lastly, I popped open the Juice
• 7:55
  Reel app and it's nothing huge, but I did notice a 5% sharp mush
• 8:00
  edge in favor of the Braves. That tells me that people who
• 8:03
  have downloaded Juice Reel, synced up their sports books,
• 8:06
  made real bets with real money. They're leaning in favor of
• 8:10
  Atlanta here, which is where I want to be.
• 8:12
  I was going to be with the sharps and with the sharp line
• 8:14
  move. So even though this line has
• 8:15
  kind of gotten pretty high here, hopefully, maybe if you sign up
• 8:18
  to get the all systems go best bet picks for $4.99 a week on
• 8:23
  Juice Real, You would have gotten this alert when I put it
• 8:24
  in earlier at -190 again, if you want to play it now, I think
• 8:29
  FanDuel -198 might be your best bet.
• 8:32
  But let's go Braves next one for you.
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  Let's go to Wrigley Field, 8 O 5:00 PM Eastern Time First
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  pitch, the Cleveland Guardians visiting the Chicago Cubbies.
• 8:42
  Now the guardians come in 40 and 42 on the year just got swept by
• 8:45
  the Cardinals. They lost that series finale 7
• 8:48
  to nothing as a -1 O 5 home dog. Meanwhile, the Cubbies 49 and 35
• 8:54
  just lost two or three against the Stroh's.
• 8:56
  They lost that series finale 2 to nothing as a + 110 a road
• 9:00
  dog. Now for tonight's interleague
• 9:02
  series opener, Guardians are going to go with the ready Gavin
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  Williams. He's five and three, 3.68 ERA.
• 9:08
  Cubs are going to go with the lefty Matthew Boy.
• 9:10
  He's been really good, seven and three, 2.65 ERA.
• 9:13
  What have we seen across the market here?
• 9:16
  Well, if you like Atlanta, you like the Cubs.
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  Cubs have had some massive steam in their favor.
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  They open this game -165 Cleveland around plus 140.
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  We've now seen the Cubs get steamed up -165 up to now -185
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  some shops even as high as -190 once again sign up for those
• 9:35
  best bets on Juice Real support the pod because I put the Cubs
• 9:39
  in at -180 earlier today. Shop round.
• 9:42
  Looks like ESPN Bet and Bet MGM currently have your best prices
• 9:46
  at -185. But aside from that, Steam Cubs
• 9:49
  have a really good bet split at circa 79% bets, 87% dollars.
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  So a low bets, higher dollars, good pro and Joe split and
• 9:58
  figure of Chicago from the sharps out in the desert.
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  And then I have 7 system matches on Chicago.
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  Here's some of the best ones. Both teams are coming off a
• 10:06
  loss. The team with $0.10 of line
• 10:08
  movement in their favorite or more.
• 10:09
  This just match with the Braves, 32 and 1963 percent, 9% ROI.
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  Both teams are coming off a day off favorite is 84 and 4665
• 10:20
  percent, 5% ROI. And then in particular, if we
• 10:23
  isolate the Cubs in the spot, they've been very, very good to
• 10:26
  bet on. Cubs are 39 and 1868 percent,
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  11% ROI as a favorite. That makes them the best chalk
• 10:34
  team in baseball. Chicago was also 24 and 875
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  percent, 33% ROI off a loss. That makes them tied with the
• 10:43
  Astros as the best quote UN quote bounce back team in
• 10:46
  baseball. So when they're laying a minus
• 10:48
  number and when they're coming off a loss, they're winning, you
• 10:51
  know, 2 out of 3. Three out of four times.
• 10:54
  Cubs also have in the league favorite value, lack of
• 10:56
  familiarity benefiting the better team.
• 10:58
  They also have some correlative betting value to say low total
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  of 8. I do see a couple shops juicing
• 11:03
  up the under under 8 -, 115. So fair amount of expected runs
• 11:07
  scored. More likely to come from quote
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  UN quote that better team. If we look at the offense or the
• 11:14
  respective offenses of these teams.
• 11:16
  Hopefully the Cubs can get to to Cleveland because Chicago is
• 11:19
  hitting 256 on the year, 124 home runs, 453 runs scored.
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  Cleveland hitting 226, only 81 homers, only 303 runs scored.
• 11:31
  Dive into these pictures a little bit more.
• 11:33
  I really want to back Matthew Boyd.
• 11:35
  Boyd has a reposted a 1.78 ERA in five June starts.
• 11:40
  He was really good in the month of June.
• 11:42
  Hope that continues here as we put the page to July.
• 11:46
  But in particular at home, he's 6 and O with a 2.41 ER as pitch
• 11:50
  very well at Wrigley Field. Meanwhile, with Cleveland going
• 11:54
  up against a lefty, you might say, how do the Guardians hit
• 11:57
  against southpaws? Well, they're pretty bad.
• 11:59
  They ranked 28th in baseball, only hitting 220 against
• 12:02
  lefties. So I want to back Boyd,
• 12:04
  especially at home. I want to fade Cleveland doesn't
• 12:07
  hurt. The Cubs are 25 and 15 at home,
• 12:09
  one of the better home records in baseball.
• 12:12
  Guardians only 20 and 22 on the road.
• 12:14
  Slate losing record. And oh, by the way, pop open
• 12:17
  Juice Reel. Nothing huge, but 3% sharp mush
• 12:21
  edge in favor of the Cubbies, 3% more of the winning batters who
• 12:24
  have downloaded Juice Reel and synced up their apps to the
• 12:27
  sports books. They they're going Cubs.
• 12:29
  That's where I want to go. So again, you like Atlanta, you
• 12:32
  like Chicago. Very similar opening, opening as
• 12:35
  a relatively heavy favorite, becoming an even heavier
• 12:37
  favorite. But maybe you jumped on this
• 12:39
  little bit earlier -180 that's what I got the Cubs at sharp
• 12:43
  round looks like -185 again, is your best price on Chicago at
• 12:47
  bet MGM and ESPN Bet. Last bit of the night.
• 12:50
  Let's go out to the Pacific Northwest.
• 12:52
  Let's get some sushi. I tell you what guys, one of my
• 12:55
  one of my bucket list is to go to a Red Sox game when they
• 12:59
  visit the Seattle Mariners and I would love to try.
• 13:02
  This is like so cliche, But you know how that you go to the fish
• 13:05
  market and you like hold a a big piece of I don't even know what
• 13:10
  is it like wrapping paper or, or, or, you know, like paper.
• 13:16
  I don't even know what it is, but they throw the fish and you
• 13:18
  got to catch it at the fish market.
• 13:20
  I want to do that one day. I'd like to catch it and not let
• 13:22
  it hit the floor. Anyway.
• 13:24
  Side note, Kansas City Royals visiting the Mariners 9:40 PM
• 13:28
  Eastern Time tonight. Let's set the stage.
• 13:30
  I'll give you my play for this one.
• 13:32
  Mariners come in 44 and 40 on the year.
• 13:35
  They won the series opener last night against KC, six to two,
• 13:39
  took care of business as a -165 home favorite.
• 13:42
  So in tonight's rematch, the Royals, who are 39 and 46,
• 13:45
  they're going to go out, send out the ready Michael Lorenzen.
• 13:48
  He's four and eight with a 4.91 ERA.
• 13:51
  Mariners, meanwhile, going to go with Emerson Hancock, fellow
• 13:53
  righty. He's three and four with a 5.4 O
• 13:56
  ERA or 5.3 O, excuse me, ERA. What have we seen across the
• 14:00
  market here? Well, if you like Atlanta and
• 14:04
  you like Chicago, I think you like Seattle.
• 14:06
  It's not quite as expensive of a price, but it's another home
• 14:10
  favorite becoming a bigger home favorite.
• 14:12
  So we open this game Seattle -130 at home, Kansas City plus
• 14:16
  110 on the road. We've not seen the Mariners get
• 14:18
  steamed up -130 up to around -140 or even -145.
• 14:24
  I jumped on Seattle -136 at FanDuel.
• 14:28
  I believe that is still available at FanDuel, but again,
• 14:30
  check cuz some shops as high as -140 -, 145.
• 14:34
  But aside from that, steam in favor of the Mariners, about 10
• 14:37
  or 15 cents. Circa has a really good bet
• 14:40
  split on the Mariners. They're only getting 44% of
• 14:43
  money line bets, but 73% of money line dollars.
• 14:47
  That's a pretty good low bets higher dollar split in favor of
• 14:50
  Seattle at home once. I've a few system matches here,
• 14:53
  but the one I really like sweet spot home favorites.
• 14:57
  If you're between -130 and -150 and you're playing an opponent
• 15:00
  who made the playoffs the previous year.
• 15:02
  Those teams are 50 and and 2765 percent 12% ROI thought there to
• 15:09
  me is a little bit the angle that really makes it a winning
• 15:11
  system is that you got to play a team who made the playoffs.
• 15:13
  So maybe it's a little bit of a contrarian angle like, hey, you
• 15:16
  know, that team's good. Maybe it also, you know, gets
• 15:18
  you motivated to play well at home when you're expected to
• 15:20
  come through. But that's been a good system
• 15:23
  this season. 12% ROI. You also get non division home
• 15:26
  favorites who won the opening game of the series.
• 15:28
  They've gone on to go 64 and 3763 percent, 2% ROI.
• 15:33
  Nothing crazy, but profitable in the second game of the series.
• 15:37
  Now the Seattle Mariners aren't an interleague favorite, but
• 15:39
  they are a non division favorite.
• 15:41
  Lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
• 15:44
  They're also offering some correlative betting value
• 15:47
  favorite in a low total game with a total of 8.
• 15:50
  So fair amount of expected run scored more likely to come from
• 15:53
  quote UN quote that better team. I'm going to bank on Seattle's
• 15:56
  offense hopefully getting to Lorenzen tonight.
• 15:58
  Seattle has the more explosive offense between these teams.
• 16:01
  They've hit 110 home runs. Obviously we know Cal rally the
• 16:04
  big dumpster guys incredible here.
• 16:07
  I actually saw he's got like the fourth most home runs ever prior
• 16:10
  to the All Star break. But 110 homers, 386 runs scored
• 16:15
  for Seattle, Kansas City, only 58 homers, 279 runs scored.
• 16:21
  Excuse me now, Hancock numbers. Hancock's numbers aren't
• 16:24
  amazing, but Lorenzen, he's been a little bit worse.
• 16:29
  If you'll get Lorenzen 6.31 ERA and five June starts and on the
• 16:33
  road he's only two and five with a 5.68 ERA.
• 16:37
  A little home Rd. splits Mariners 21 and 19 at home.
• 16:40
  Nothing crazy, but slightly winning record Royals 19 and 22
• 16:43
  on the road and oh, by the way, pop open juice reel again,
• 16:47
  nothing huge. That's kind of the theme of the
• 16:48
  day. 5% sharp mush edge on Seattle. 5% more of the winning
• 16:53
  players who have synced up their their sports books to the app
• 16:57
  are going Seattle here. So we got a line move.
• 16:59
  We got some good bet splits. We got some good system matches.
• 17:03
  I'm going to see if hopefully Seattle can come through tonight
• 17:05
  in the Pacific Northwest. So again, I got Seattle -136
• 17:09
  shop around some books as high as -140 -, 145 S the Braves, the
• 17:14
  Cubs and the Mariners. We find a way to get 2 out of 3
• 17:18
  and go 2 in one each out of winning night.
• 17:20
  That is of course the goal. So that about does it for
• 17:23
  episode 310 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 17:27
  powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 17:29
  where we wrap things up and I start first by saying thank you.
• 17:33
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
• 17:35
  busy lives. I know it's the dog days of
• 17:37
  summer. You got a lot going on with the
• 17:39
  fact that you guys, TuneIn, find a way to give you give yourself
• 17:42
  20 to 30 minutes to put on headphones or listen in the car
• 17:46
  in the train or the bus, whatever.
• 17:47
  And when you're making dinner or coming home from work to listen
• 17:51
  to the pod. It really does mean a lot to me.
• 17:53
  So thank you. Thank you for listening.
• 17:55
  If you do enjoy the pod, if you enjoy the breakdowns, whether
• 17:58
  you pick, tail fade, pick and choose, sit back and just like
• 18:01
  the breakdowns, whatever the case may be, if you want to help
• 18:04
  me to grow the pod, would you consider giving it a five star
• 18:07
  review on Spotify or iTunes? If you want to leave a nice
• 18:11
  comment under the review section or click the follow button or
• 18:14
  recommend the pod to a friend, that would all be very much
• 18:18
  appreciated. Next, if you enjoy the style of
• 18:21
  bedding breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian bedding.
• 18:25
  Again, we're not making bets based on what we think or want
• 18:28
  or hope will happen. We're going into every day with
• 18:30
  an open mind and saying, OK, let me see what the market, how it's
• 18:34
  reacting. And let's try to identify smart
• 18:36
  bets by piercing the the puzzle pieces together.
• 18:39
  All the clues. I remember that game clue.
• 18:42
  It was Mr. Mr. Mustard with a hammer in the in the bathroom.
• 18:45
  And we're looking for clues trying to figure out where the
• 18:47
  smart money's at with hopefully no bias involved.
• 18:51
  But if this style of betting, you've kind of seen some fruits
• 18:53
  of the labor, it's helped you to make some some smart bets.
• 18:57
  Maybe you never would have played, you know, Pittsburgh
• 18:59
  last night or Arizona or Toronto, but you saw those sharp
• 19:01
  line moves and they came through.
• 19:03
  Well, if this style of betting has appealed to you, you want to
• 19:06
  learn more about data-driven betting.
• 19:08
  You have a friend or colleague or someone who is maybe looking
• 19:12
  to break into betting but doesn't know even know how to
• 19:14
  start. Or maybe you know someone who
• 19:16
  likes to bet and loses a lot and they could really use some
• 19:19
  data-driven tips. Well, if any of those are the
• 19:21
  case, I'd love for you guys to go to Amazon.com and type in the
• 19:25
  Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 19:27
  That's the first book ever wrote.
• 19:28
  I'm very proud of it. That's got everything I've
• 19:30
  learned in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
• 19:33
  they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
• 19:35
  action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to shop
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  for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, how
• 19:42
  to go contrarian chapters, and all the major sports.
• 19:44
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• 19:47
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• 19:48
  everything guide on Amazon, don't just X out and log out.
• 19:51
  Stay on Amazon and then at that toolbar at the top, type in the
• 19:54
  NFL sharp betting playbook. That's my second book.
• 19:58
  Very proud of this. It's calm before the storm about
• 20:01
  to hit the the book sales or the bookstores, but you can
• 20:05
  pre-order my new book, the NFL sharp betting playbook on
• 20:07
  Amazon. Make me very happy, make my
• 20:10
  publisher triumph books very happy.
• 20:12
  And who knows, maybe I'll see you at a book signing event and
• 20:14
  and I'll sign it for you, but I'll sign.
• 20:16
  I'll meet you at the sports book.
• 20:18
  You can bring the everything guide in the Sharp Betting
• 20:20
  playbook. I'll sign up for you.
• 20:21
  Buy a beer or ginger ale. We'll get some nachos and sweat
• 20:24
  some games together. Sounds pretty good to me.
• 20:27
  Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
• 20:30
  My two favorite sports betting apps on the market.
• 20:33
  They're all about the data and they help me win.
• 20:35
  And I'm pretty confident they're going to help you win.
• 20:37
  I considered Juice Reel and Rhythm as just another toolbox
• 20:40
  to check off when you're when you're trying to figure out
• 20:43
  where the smart money's at when you're building a case like a
• 20:45
  lawyer, like Slip and Jimmy, you know, trying to, trying to,
• 20:48
  trying to, trying to convince a jury and the jury is you
• 20:51
  yourself deciding whether or not to place the bet.
• 20:53
  Have you built up a strong enough case of evidence to to
• 20:57
  warrant making a play? But if you haven't done it yet,
• 21:00
  download rhythm. Great for their AI backed models
• 21:03
  and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 21:05
  Obviously we have baseball and WNBA live in the rhythm app and
• 21:10
  then also go download Juice Reel.
• 21:12
  Juice Reel has so many great different features, but of
• 21:15
  course this is a part of the pod where I'm going to pass the hat.
• 21:17
  If you have a $5.00 bill, you'd like to support the pod.
• 21:21
  Again, this pod is free. It cost you nothing.
• 21:23
  If you had some good winters last night or the pod has helped
• 21:25
  you to become a sharper, better, drop in a $5.00 bill by signing
• 21:29
  up to get the All Systems Go Best Bet picks exclusively,
• 21:32
  officially and only on the Juicer lap.
• 21:35
  You can only get the best bets two ways by listening to the pod
• 21:39
  and by if you don't have the time to listen to it or you just
• 21:41
  want to support the pod, get them from from Juice Reel for
• 21:45
  $4.99 a week. Hopefully you'll get some better
• 21:47
  numbers like Atlanta and the Cubs today.
• 21:50
  But aside from that, you're going to get the Robo Jackson
• 21:52
  best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays,
• 21:56
  the shop for the best line futures.
• 21:58
  Sync up your sports books to the app.
• 22:00
  All those great features available when you downloaded
• 22:02
  Juice Reel. So download rhythm and download
• 22:04
  Juice Reel. Give them a five star review in
• 22:06
  the App Store next. Do you have a live odds page?
• 22:10
  If you don't, man, I don't know how you're betting every day
• 22:13
  because it's very hard without a live odds page.
• 22:15
  You're pretty much going blind. It's like if I tell you to drive
• 22:18
  cross country and you don't have GPS or a map, you're not going
• 22:22
  to get that far. Or maybe you will get far, but
• 22:24
  it'll be in the wrong direction. But anyway, as better as the
• 22:27
  first thing we got to be able to do if we're data-driven betters
• 22:30
  is have access to data and track the market because the market is
• 22:34
  so important to tell us, you know what the line opened at how
• 22:37
  it's moved, which direction was there a point of buyback?
• 22:39
  What's the juice leaning one way or the other, especially with
• 22:43
  totals and spread sports baseball getting the best money
• 22:45
  line price. But the best live odds page
• 22:48
  around is is odds logic. Odds logic is going to give you
• 22:52
  all the books, even the books you may not have an account at,
• 22:54
  but our big market setting books that when they move, you know
• 22:57
  your books about to move. That would be pinnacle, Chris,
• 23:00
  Bookmaker, circa or even bet online.
• 23:04
  But also the page gets lit up in red as soon as anything changes.
• 23:07
  Soon as a you know what the team gets steamed or a number of
• 23:10
  moves, it gets lit up in red and then I think it's or yellow and
• 23:14
  then green. But it's shopping for the best
• 23:16
  price, getting live scoring when the game gets going, getting
• 23:20
  live in game wagering odds and just having your live odds page
• 23:23
  up. Like when I'm sweating my games,
• 23:25
  I'm watching the game and I have my Odds Logic live odds page in
• 23:29
  front of me tracking it, seeing if there might be an end game
• 23:32
  betting opportunity. If I bet, you know, a team at
• 23:36
  -120 and they're up 3, nothing, and now they're -400 on the live
• 23:39
  line, hey, that makes me feel better.
• 23:41
  Obviously sometimes it goes the other way and you don't feel as
• 23:43
  good, but it's all about tracking the market and being
• 23:46
  able to get the best price and that's what Odds Logic allows
• 23:49
  you to do. So I'd love for you guys to give
• 23:51
  Odds Logic a shot. You can just go to the special
• 23:54
  link Odds logic.com/josh 123. Make sure it's slash Josh 123 at
• 24:01
  the end. That way you get a 7 day free
• 24:03
  trial and then 50% off your first month of service.
• 24:05
  So what about does it for episode 310 of the ASG pod on a
• 24:10
  big Tuesday? Last two final thoughts.
• 24:12
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 24:16
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 24:18
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 24:21
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield and my
• 24:25
  neck of the woods in around Boston.
• 24:28
  Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
• 24:30
  or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the lowest true as
• 24:33
  possible is found at the South Point or sweating sharp
• 24:35
  contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 24:38
  When you cash a big ticket at Circa, wherever it may be,
• 24:41
  you're going to walk up to me and we're going to we're going
• 24:43
  to see each other from across the the sports book.
• 24:46
  We're going to both pop open the janitor's closet, bust out the
• 24:49
  broom, do a little dance like Fred Astaire.
• 24:52
  Show me an Arizona Snakes ticket, Toronto Blue Jays
• 24:55
  ticket, Pirates ticket. First one's on me guys, next
• 24:58
  one's on you. We'll post about the book,
• 25:00
  hopefully grind out some winners here for tonight.
• 25:03
  So as always, 3 and OO and three, two and one, one and two,
• 25:07
  get great night sweeping the board.
• 25:09
  Terrible night, you know, getting swept somewhere in the
• 25:12
  middle. Hot, cold, you know, when we're
• 25:14
  red hot, whenever as good as we think, when we're ice cold,
• 25:16
  whenever as bad as we think, we're always somewhere in the
• 25:18
  middle. And we can never let a good or
• 25:20
  bad day talk us into or out of a bet the next day.
• 25:24
  I know we're all human. We have emotions, we have
• 25:25
  biases. We just got to stick to the
• 25:27
  state of driven model guys and play it long term, Manage our
• 25:30
  bankroll, flat betting, risking 1 unit 3% per play.
• 25:34
  If we can do that, bet games with our head and not our heart
• 25:37
  and bet on games that fit the model and then just avoid the
• 25:40
  games that don't, then I think we're going to be successful
• 25:43
  sports bettors. So at this at this point, you
• 25:46
  might have it down now, but it's games that are simultaneously
• 25:49
  against the public with the house, with the pros, Flat bet,
• 25:53
  avoid parlays and get that CLV again.
• 25:55
  If we can do that, we're going to be successful betters.
• 25:58
  So have a great Tuesday night, everybody.
• 26:00
  Happy first day of July. I'm still looking at the hot dog
• 26:03
  contest. Joey Chestnut still 71 1/2 under
• 26:07
  -125 still leaning under there. But we will.
• 26:10
  We'll see how that moves between now and 4th of July, which is
• 26:14
  what I think it's on Friday. Yes, it is.
• 26:17
  But anyway, guys, have a great night.
• 26:18
  I will see you tomorrow for Episode 311 of the All Systems
• 26:22
  Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 26:25
  Good luck everybody and have a great Tuesday night.