Latest / HEATED / The myth of “forest management”
Transcript
- 0:01SPEAKER_01: This is an LA Times Studios podcast.
- 0:05[music]
- 0:10SPEAKER_00: This past summer, it was impossible to escape the news about it.
- 0:15SPEAKER_01: Fires seemed to be burning everywhere, from Canada to France to Indonesia.
- 0:19SPEAKER_00: Here in the United States, disasters were just as prevalent.
- 0:23SPEAKER_00: Skies turned orange in parts of New York City,
- 0:26SPEAKER_00: and smoke blew from eastern Ontario as far west as Chicago.
- 0:30SPEAKER_01: It was a real-life wake-up call about the impacts of climate change.
- 0:34SPEAKER_01: But the main thing I kept hearing from officials wasn't about global warming
- 0:38SPEAKER_01: or increased carbon in the atmosphere.
- 0:41SPEAKER_01: It was instead this.
- 0:43SPEAKER_03: One of the things that's contributing to forest fires is a lack of cutting,
- 0:47SPEAKER_03: is a lack of pre-commercial thinning,
- 0:49SPEAKER_03: a lack of cleaning out the forest and the forest floor.
- 0:53SPEAKER_00: This week, we're doing a special collaboration between Boiling Point and Heated.
- 0:57SPEAKER_00: Together,
- 0:58SPEAKER_00: we'll break down assumptions about fire management,
- 1:00SPEAKER_00: hear from experts and aim to find common ground on how to tackle one of
- 1:04SPEAKER_00: the biggest challenges facing humanity in a warming world.
- 1:08SPEAKER_00: I'm Miranda Green.
- 1:10SPEAKER_01: And I'm Emily Atkins.
- 1:17SPEAKER_01: So Miranda,
- 1:18SPEAKER_01: as you know,
- 1:19SPEAKER_01: I've been working on a series for my podcast,
- 1:21SPEAKER_01: Heated, trying to debunk some common bad ideas about climate change.
- 1:27SPEAKER_00: Yes, I've heard about it.
- 1:29SPEAKER_01: And one of the myths that I really wanted to tackle was that,
- 1:32SPEAKER_01: quote unquote,
- 1:34SPEAKER_01: forest management can solve all of our increasingly horrible wildfire problems.
- 1:40SPEAKER_00: Yeah, that's a pretty interesting way of getting at it.
- 1:43SPEAKER_00: I mean, whenever there's a destructive,
- 1:45SPEAKER_00: horrible fire,
- 1:46SPEAKER_00: we do tend to hear the same explanation,
- 1:48SPEAKER_00: that forests have been overgrown,
- 1:50SPEAKER_00: that we don't do enough to clear the brush and remove trees.
- 1:54SPEAKER_00: We just don't manage them well enough.
- 1:56SPEAKER_00: But why do you think that's a myth?
- 1:58SPEAKER_01: Well, I think it's a myth that forest management is all that needs to happen.
- 2:02SPEAKER_01: Like, it's the only thing that needs to happen.
- 2:05SPEAKER_01: And I also think that for some politicians,
- 2:08SPEAKER_01: especially Republican politicians,
- 2:10SPEAKER_01: treating forest management like this catch-all solution is really just an excuse not
- 2:16SPEAKER_01: to talk about climate change.
- 2:18SPEAKER_00: Okay, I get where you're going with this.
- 2:20SPEAKER_00: It's almost like they're making it too simple.
- 2:22SPEAKER_00: They're describing what we need to do to keep fires from burning in the future
- 2:27SPEAKER_00: without acknowledging the root of the problem, which is climate change.
- 2:31SPEAKER_01: Right,
- 2:31SPEAKER_01: and I've talked to so many scientists over many years about how we can't solve
- 2:35SPEAKER_01: the wildfire crisis without tackling the reason it's getting worse every year.
- 2:41SPEAKER_01: So I thought because of that that this was going to be a pretty straightforward episode.
- 2:45SPEAKER_01: Like, I'd just explain that, yes,
- 2:47SPEAKER_01: of course,
- 2:48SPEAKER_01: taking better care of the forests can play a big role in lessening wildfire risks,
- 2:52SPEAKER_01: but this can't solve all our problems by itself.
- 2:55SPEAKER_01: We also have to be tackling climate change.
- 2:57SPEAKER_00: That sounds simple enough.
- 2:58SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 3:00SPEAKER_01: But actually, I ran into a lot of trouble and that's not how it went.
- 3:05SPEAKER_01: As soon as I started digging into it,
- 3:08SPEAKER_01: I realized that,
- 3:09SPEAKER_01: oh my God, these questions are so much more complicated than I assumed.
- 3:14SPEAKER_01: Like, what even is forest management?
- 3:17SPEAKER_01: When politicians are talking about that, what do they mean?
- 3:19SPEAKER_01: And it just sent me into such a weird and controversial rabbit hole about how
- 3:25SPEAKER_01: to actually manage forests.
- 3:29SPEAKER_00: I can understand that.
- 3:30SPEAKER_00: I mean, out here in California,
- 3:32SPEAKER_00: I've been covering wildfires and it's a complicated and contentious issue.
- 3:36SPEAKER_00: It seems like everyone has a different opinion about what needs to be done,
- 3:40SPEAKER_00: what should have been done,
- 3:42SPEAKER_00: what we should be doing now to prepare for the next big fire.
- 3:45SPEAKER_00: So I can get why that one led you down some paths you weren't expecting.
- 3:51SPEAKER_01: Well, and that's why I was so happy when you reached out to me about doing
- 3:54SPEAKER_01: a crossover episode because I really needed a research partner on this question.
- 4:00SPEAKER_00: Well, I was happy to help.
- 4:02SPEAKER_00: Even just out here, we've had awful fires and they're getting bigger.
- 4:05SPEAKER_00: Nine out of 10 of the largest fires in California's history all occurred since 2017.
- 4:11SPEAKER_01: Cheese.
- 4:11SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 4:12SPEAKER_01: I know that internationally this summer,
- 4:14SPEAKER_01: fires burned in France,
- 4:16SPEAKER_01: Spain, Belgium, Northwest Territories, British Columbia, and Canada.
- 4:21SPEAKER_01: I mean, Indonesia is fighting its worst wildfire in a decade right now.
- 4:25SPEAKER_01: So essentially,
- 4:26SPEAKER_01: we know this is going to continue year over year,
- 4:29SPEAKER_01: and people are stumped about what to do about it.
- 4:31SPEAKER_01: So I really wanted to speak to some experts, and we did.
- 4:36SPEAKER_00: So what were some of the main takeaways you had from these experts you spoke to?
- 4:40SPEAKER_01: So I found out that there are three big talking points when it comes
- 4:44SPEAKER_01: to wildfire management that people feel very strongly about.
- 4:49SPEAKER_01: They are,
- 4:50SPEAKER_01: number one,
- 4:51SPEAKER_01: we have to be raking the forest, thinning the forest, and logging the forest.
- 4:58SPEAKER_01: Number two, we have to stop all wildfires immediately when they start.
- 5:03SPEAKER_01: And number three, we need to be using more prescribed burns, so intentional burns.
- 5:09SPEAKER_00: So you and I decided to divvy this up.
- 5:12SPEAKER_00: We each talked to an ecologist and a scientist who had some different perspectives.
- 5:17SPEAKER_00: And what we came away with is that it's going to take a lot
- 5:20SPEAKER_00: to really protect forests and communities in this rapidly warming world.
- 5:25SPEAKER_00: Climate will impact every corner of the world,
- 5:27SPEAKER_00: and any conversation leaving that out is not telling the full story.
- 5:31SPEAKER_00: But we found,
- 5:32SPEAKER_00: according to these experts that we spoke to,
- 5:34SPEAKER_00: that there are some techniques and strategies that we can be using
- 5:38SPEAKER_00: to make this better.
- 5:39SPEAKER_01: And we're going to talk about that more after the break.
- 6:17SPEAKER_01: All right, so,
- 6:18SPEAKER_01: Miranda,
- 6:19SPEAKER_01: the whole reason I wanted to get into this subject is that we've been hearing
- 6:23SPEAKER_01: so much lately about the different kinds of fire management.
- 6:28SPEAKER_03: The relationship between forest management and the wildfire crisis is clear.
- 6:32SPEAKER_01: Practices like prescribed burning,
- 6:34SPEAKER_01: selective thinning,
- 6:35SPEAKER_01: and maintaining strategic fuel breaks have also proven effective
- 6:38SPEAKER_01: in lowering wildfire risk.
- 6:40SPEAKER_00: Yes, I know President Trump has been focused on cleaning up the forest floors
- 6:45SPEAKER_00: and getting those fuels off the ground.
- 6:47SPEAKER_01: So, okay, Miranda, when you hear all of that, what sounds legitimate and what doesn't?
- 6:54SPEAKER_00: Well,
- 6:55SPEAKER_00: I have to admit that every time I hear about the idea of raking the forest floors
- 7:01SPEAKER_00: and raking leaves as a fire prevention tactic, I'm pretty skeptical.
- 7:05SPEAKER_01: Yes, and this is something that President Trump says a lot.
- 7:09SPEAKER_00: But we don't have forest fires because
- 7:11SPEAKER_03: we clean the floor,
- 7:11SPEAKER_03: we sweep the floor of leaves of dead debris.
- 7:16SPEAKER_01: So I spoke to Chad T. Hansen.
- 7:19SPEAKER_01: He's the director and principal ecologist at the John Muir Project,
- 7:23SPEAKER_01: which is a forest conservation group.
- 7:25SPEAKER_02: I've been a fire scientist for over 20 years.
- 7:30SPEAKER_01: And he agreed.
- 7:31SPEAKER_01: The idea of sweeping every acre of forest is indeed ridiculous.
- 7:37SPEAKER_02: No one's going to go rake up, you know...
- 7:40SPEAKER_02: Hundreds of millions of acres of forest.
- 7:42SPEAKER_02: And you shouldn't do that.
- 7:44SPEAKER_02: It would be idiotic to try to do that and try to stop fire in the forest.
- 7:48SPEAKER_02: First of all, it wouldn't work.
- 7:49SPEAKER_02: You can't do that.
- 7:50SPEAKER_02: That material,
- 7:51SPEAKER_02: the dry leaves,
- 7:53SPEAKER_02: the dead pine needles,
- 7:55SPEAKER_02: the twigs on the forest floor,
- 7:58SPEAKER_02: that material will reaccumulate within two or three years.
- 8:03SPEAKER_02: So what are you going to do?
- 8:04SPEAKER_02: You're going to rake every acre of the forest every two years?
- 8:08SPEAKER_01: Now, Chad did make one important distinction immediately around people's homes.
- 8:14SPEAKER_02: You know, in the 30 feet, 60 feet around the homes, you actually do want to do that.
- 8:20SPEAKER_02: You want to rake up the dry leaves and the twigs and remove the dry grasses because
- 8:26SPEAKER_02: that can carry flames to the house.
- 8:28SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I've heard similar things in my reporting and I spoke to an expert too.
- 8:32SPEAKER_00: His name is Hugh Safford and he's a retired former ecologist from the US Forest Service.
- 8:38SPEAKER_00: And he runs a fire ecology lab at UC Davis.
- 8:41SPEAKER_00: And he pretty much agreed on that point about raking.
- 8:45SPEAKER_03: Tree and grass litter,
- 8:47SPEAKER_03: et cetera, around your home is one of the most important things you can do.
- 8:50SPEAKER_03: Now,
- 8:51SPEAKER_03: in terms of like being able to scale that up to do like entire national forests,
- 8:55SPEAKER_03: that's not quite as practical.
- 8:58SPEAKER_01: Okay, so raking the forest, not really a practical, scalable thing.
- 9:03SPEAKER_01: But what about this term I hear all the time, thinning, thinning the forest?
- 9:09SPEAKER_01: How does that sound to you as a solution?
- 9:12SPEAKER_00: Thinning sounds a bit more reasonable to me.
- 9:14SPEAKER_00: I mean, as I understand it,
- 9:16SPEAKER_00: it's selectively removing some of the vegetation that can carry a fire.
- 9:20SPEAKER_00: These are kind of the smaller trees and the branches and the brush that grows
- 9:25SPEAKER_00: between larger trees and forests and terrain.
- 9:28SPEAKER_00: So I get the idea of wanting to thin out forests to be able to get rid of some of that kindling.
- 9:33SPEAKER_01: Yeah, it sounds like a bit more reasonable.
- 9:36SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I mean,
- 9:37SPEAKER_00: logically,
- 9:37SPEAKER_00: when you think about it,
- 9:38SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 9:38SPEAKER_00: when you're making a fire,
- 9:40SPEAKER_00: you're using some of this stuff to kind of start a fire yourself when you're camping
- 9:43SPEAKER_00: or something.
- 9:43SPEAKER_00: So the idea of getting rid of that fuel so that bigger trees don't burn makes sense
- 9:48SPEAKER_00: from, you know, a basic perspective.
- 9:51SPEAKER_00: And when I talked to Hugh,
- 9:52SPEAKER_00: he actually pointed to a fire that burns near Lake Tahoe called the Calder Fire back
- 9:57SPEAKER_00: in 2021 as an example of where thinning actually worked.
- 10:02SPEAKER_03: They didn't have a single structure burned down when this massive fire burned
- 10:05SPEAKER_03: through Lake Tahoe,
- 10:06SPEAKER_03: which was due largely to mechanical and hand thinning that had been done.
- 10:12SPEAKER_03: There were some places in the landscape where they had piled fuels
- 10:15SPEAKER_03: that had been created by the hand thinning and they had not disposed of them by
- 10:19SPEAKER_03: the time the fire hit the landscape.
- 10:21SPEAKER_03: And in those places, the fire burned just as severely as if they had not even done any work.
- 10:26SPEAKER_03: So that's an issue.
- 10:28SPEAKER_00: But here's the important thing.
- 10:30SPEAKER_00: Hugh said that even though thinning does work,
- 10:33SPEAKER_00: it's not really something you can do on the large scale.
- 10:36SPEAKER_00: It's really something that is more beneficial around homes or in immediate areas
- 10:40SPEAKER_00: where humans live.
- 10:41SPEAKER_00: And it's not something that you can really expect forest service workers
- 10:45SPEAKER_00: or firefighters to do at forest at large.
- 10:48SPEAKER_03: Hand and mechanical thinning is a really, really important part of the mix.
- 10:51SPEAKER_03: And where it's mostly important,
- 10:52SPEAKER_03: Miranda,
- 10:53SPEAKER_03: is within a relatively small radius of human habitation, right, around structures.
- 11:00SPEAKER_01: That makes total sense.
- 11:20SPEAKER_01: But I will say what's interesting about this is that Chad Hansen,
- 11:24SPEAKER_01: the expert I spoke to,
- 11:25SPEAKER_01: he actually gave me a very different picture of what he thinks projects
- 11:29SPEAKER_01: that are labeled thinning actually look like.
- 11:34SPEAKER_02: Most people, they hear thinning, they think pruning shears, right?
- 11:37SPEAKER_02: They think,
- 11:37SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 11:38SPEAKER_02: people out there in their Forest Service uniforms,
- 11:40SPEAKER_02: you know, pruning, you know, lower branches and some seedlings and saplings.
- 11:44SPEAKER_02: A thinning project is an industrial logging project.
- 11:48SPEAKER_02: You're talking about heavy machinery.
- 11:50SPEAKER_02: You're talking about feller bunchers and bulldozers and big chainsaws.
- 11:54SPEAKER_02: You're talking about killing and removing upwards of 70 or 80% of the trees in
- 11:59SPEAKER_02: a given stand, including many mature and old growth trees.
- 12:04SPEAKER_00: Okay, so that's really interesting.
- 12:05SPEAKER_00: So Chad essentially says that there's no real distinction between thinning and logging.
- 12:10SPEAKER_00: He thinks of them as one and the same.
- 12:12SPEAKER_01: He thinks that it's a branding issue.
- 12:14SPEAKER_01: So he thinks that a lot of logging projects are actually greenwashed as thinning.
- 12:19SPEAKER_01: And he actually claims that more than 95%
- 12:22SPEAKER_01: of thinning projects are actually just commercial logging projects.
- 12:26SPEAKER_00: Is that true?
- 12:28SPEAKER_01: Well, I could not find evidence supporting that specific number,
- 12:32SPEAKER_01: but I do think his point is that it's a branding thing.
- 12:36SPEAKER_01: Politicians often talk about thinning as this gentle thing and as if it always means
- 12:41SPEAKER_01: the same thing, but it doesn't.
- 12:44SPEAKER_01: It can mean pruning with shears or it can also mean industrial logging of the forest.
- 12:50SPEAKER_00: I mean, I think I understand where he's coming from because you
- 12:52SPEAKER_00: and I have also been confused by this.
- 12:54SPEAKER_00: Oftentimes,
- 12:55SPEAKER_00: politicians or even just scientists don't do a really good job
- 12:58SPEAKER_00: of explaining exactly what they mean when they talk about this stuff.
- 13:03SPEAKER_00: One person's thinning could be another person's logging.
- 13:07SPEAKER_00: What I understand is from the Trump administration,
- 13:10SPEAKER_00: when they mean logging, though, they mean big force management.
- 13:14SPEAKER_00: They mean cutting down giant redwoods or the types of trees that you can make furniture out of.
- 13:19SPEAKER_00: And those are the solutions that the Trump administration really has been pushing
- 13:22SPEAKER_00: for wildfires right now.
- 13:24SPEAKER_01: Yes, that's correct.
- 13:25SPEAKER_01: So in March of last year,
- 13:27SPEAKER_01: Trump signed an executive order and it was called Immediate Expansion
- 13:31SPEAKER_01: of American Timber Production.
- 13:34SPEAKER_01: And it ordered agencies to expand timber harvest 25 percent over the next four to five years.
- 13:43SPEAKER_01: The next month,
- 13:44SPEAKER_01: he issued another executive order called Empowering Common Sense Wildfire Prevention
- 13:49SPEAKER_01: and Response that framed logging and thinning as the fix
- 13:54SPEAKER_01: for catastrophic wildfires fueled by, quote, dense trees and undergrowth.
- 13:59SPEAKER_01: Essentially,
- 14:00SPEAKER_01: the school of thought in the Trump administration is
- 14:02SPEAKER_01: that logging will reduce excessive vegetation that fuels catastrophic wildfires and
- 14:07SPEAKER_01: And there are over 80 million acres of national forests that are at risk
- 14:11SPEAKER_01: of severe wildfire and need active forest management, a.k.a.
- 14:16SPEAKER_01: logging.
- 14:18SPEAKER_03: And we're going to clean the forest.
- 14:19SPEAKER_03: We're going to start cleaning them.
- 14:20SPEAKER_03: We're going to get rid of dead wood and we're going to have a whole new system.
- 14:25SPEAKER_03: And it's called forest management.
- 14:27SPEAKER_00: Okay, but we are seeing something else happen, on the other hand, coming out of Congress.
- 14:32SPEAKER_00: There's a bipartisan bill that's making its way through called
- 14:35SPEAKER_00: the Fix Our Forest Act,
- 14:37SPEAKER_00: and it's being built around expanded thinning and logging as
- 14:41SPEAKER_00: a wildfire mitigation tool.
- 14:42SPEAKER_00: Thank you so much.
- 15:04SPEAKER_00: Which has been cynically masquerading as a community wildfire protection measure.
- 15:09SPEAKER_00: And I have to be honest, Emily, it's got really mixed support.
- 15:14SPEAKER_00: We have the logging industry that is backing this.
- 15:16SPEAKER_00: And we have environmental groups like the Nature Conservancy backing it too.
- 15:20SPEAKER_00: But then we also have groups like those that I think are aligned with Chad,
- 15:24SPEAKER_00: like the Sierra Club,
- 15:26SPEAKER_00: that say this is a no-go, that these trees shouldn't be touched.
- 15:29SPEAKER_01: Yeah, so I think we're now starting to get to the point where your experts' views
- 15:34SPEAKER_01: and my experts' views start to drastically diverge.
- 15:39SPEAKER_00: Yeah, because while Hugh isn't exactly a fan of Trump's,
- 15:43SPEAKER_00: he does agree with the basic premise behind the kind of forest management
- 15:46SPEAKER_00: that he is proposing.
- 15:48SPEAKER_00: And he actually believes that thinning and logging are important fire prevention tools.
- 15:53SPEAKER_03: I do want to be on record as saying that Now,
- 15:55SPEAKER_03: I know that a lot of people out there think that nothing
- 15:57SPEAKER_03: but ridiculous stuff comes out of the White House these days,
- 15:59SPEAKER_03: but that was one of the least ridiculous things that Donald Trump has ever said
- 16:03SPEAKER_03: between you and me.
- 16:04SPEAKER_03: It actually demonstrated an understanding of cause and effect.
- 16:07SPEAKER_03: Maybe not,
- 16:08SPEAKER_03: maybe he just reparted somebody,
- 16:09SPEAKER_03: but someone in that office seems to know a little bit about a cause and effect,
- 16:13SPEAKER_03: which is that fuel drives fire.
- 16:16SPEAKER_03: And if you can remove fuel on the surface of the forest,
- 16:19SPEAKER_03: you can have a pretty important impact on the way that a fire is going to operate.
- 16:25SPEAKER_01: Yeah, and that's probably the most common position that I hear among wildfire scientists.
- 16:31SPEAKER_01: But Chad and other scientists like him reject that premise entirely.
- 16:37SPEAKER_00: That's interesting.
- 16:38SPEAKER_00: Why would removing trees make a fire spread faster?
- 16:42SPEAKER_00: I'll let Chad explain.
- 16:44SPEAKER_02: What most of the science now is telling us,
- 16:47SPEAKER_02: the biggest studies,
- 16:48SPEAKER_02: the ones that involve dozens of fires,
- 16:50SPEAKER_02: hundreds of wildfires,
- 16:51SPEAKER_02: thousands,
- 16:52SPEAKER_02: what the great majority of those studies are telling us is
- 16:55SPEAKER_02: that denser forests actually tend to burn at lower intensities,
- 17:00SPEAKER_02: not higher intensities than wildfires.
- 17:02SPEAKER_02: And that seems counterintuitive to a lot of people because if you have more trees
- 17:06SPEAKER_02: and more biomass in the forest, you think, well, there's more fuel to burn.
- 17:10SPEAKER_02: It doesn't work that way.
- 17:12SPEAKER_02: A denser forest, yeah, it has more trees.
- 17:15SPEAKER_02: But what it has, because it has more trees, is more canopy cover.
- 17:20SPEAKER_02: When you have more canopy cover, you have more cooling shade.
- 17:24SPEAKER_02: When you have more cooling shade, then there's less sunlight in the understory.
- 17:27SPEAKER_02: And the most combustible vegetation,
- 17:29SPEAKER_02: grasses,
- 17:31SPEAKER_02: little seedlings, twigs,
- 17:34SPEAKER_02: the shrubs,
- 17:36SPEAKER_02: the understory vegetation,
- 17:38SPEAKER_02: there's less of it because all that vegetation needs almost 100% sunlight
- 17:42SPEAKER_02: to survive.
- 17:43SPEAKER_02: When it gets shaded out, it dies back and it disappears.
- 17:45SPEAKER_02: The lower limbs on the trees die back.
- 17:49SPEAKER_02: And it's more difficult to have a more intense fire
- 17:54SPEAKER_01: Is he right about that?
- 17:56SPEAKER_01: Well,
- 17:57SPEAKER_01: I will say that there is real evidence for his claim that some denser forests burn
- 18:02SPEAKER_01: at lower intensities in wildfires.
- 18:05SPEAKER_01: Several large studies have found that older protected
- 18:09SPEAKER_01: and closed canopy forests can burn less severely than younger,
- 18:14SPEAKER_01: more open or intensely managed forests.
- 18:19SPEAKER_01: Now, I couldn't find any evidence that denser forests always burn less severely or
- 18:24SPEAKER_01: that removing trees never helps.
- 18:27SPEAKER_01: And importantly, Chad did clarify that not all dense forests burn less severely.
- 18:32SPEAKER_01: But from what I could see looking at the evidence,
- 18:35SPEAKER_01: it seemed to really depend heavily on the type of forest and the type of,
- 18:41SPEAKER_01: quote unquote, management that is happening in the forest.
- 18:45SPEAKER_00: Okay, that makes sense.
- 18:46SPEAKER_00: I mean, that's essentially what he was telling me too.
- 18:49SPEAKER_00: He told me that the cooling effect that Chad described can absolutely happen
- 18:53SPEAKER_00: in wetter forests,
- 18:54SPEAKER_00: like what we see in the Pacific Northwest,
- 18:56SPEAKER_00: but that Chad was applying his position a little bit too broadly.
- 19:01SPEAKER_03: Not in most California forests.
- 19:02SPEAKER_03: In wet forests, absolutely.
- 19:04SPEAKER_03: Paper after paper after paper,
- 19:06SPEAKER_03: science out of my lab,
- 19:07SPEAKER_03: out of many other labs,
- 19:08SPEAKER_03: shows that under severe wildfire conditions where we can't stop wildfires,
- 19:13SPEAKER_03: The places that burn hottest are the North Slopes with the densest vegetation.
- 19:17SPEAKER_03: There's just a stack of papers that show that.
- 19:20SPEAKER_03: Really, in the scientific community,
- 19:21SPEAKER_03: the real scientific community,
- 19:23SPEAKER_03: there's no debate about the fact that one has to reduce fuel in a lot
- 19:26SPEAKER_03: of these Western landscapes.
- 19:28SPEAKER_01: All right.
- 19:29SPEAKER_01: But what was the deal with the whole real scientific community thing then?
- 19:35SPEAKER_01: Why was he throwing such shade?
- 19:38SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I mean, Shade's a really good way of putting it, Emily.
- 19:41SPEAKER_00: He wasn't subtle about it.
- 19:43SPEAKER_00: I mean, look,
- 19:44SPEAKER_00: it looks like Chad's views are pretty controversial amongst
- 19:47SPEAKER_00: the wildfire scientist community.
- 19:48SPEAKER_00: I found this article in the Sacramento Bee from 2021 that said
- 19:52SPEAKER_00: at least 111 scientists have co-authored 41 scientific papers that rebut Hansen's
- 20:00SPEAKER_00: and his colleagues' findings that forests need to be essentially left alone and
- 20:04SPEAKER_00: that we shouldn't be removing material from them.
- 20:07SPEAKER_00: And one person I spoke to recently who works in fire management policy responded off
- 20:12SPEAKER_00: the cuff when I mentioned Hans' name.
- 20:14SPEAKER_00: And he told me, quote unquote, F that guy.
- 20:17SPEAKER_00: So he's made some enemies in the fire science space.
- 20:23SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 20:23SPEAKER_01: I mean, I will admit that I do know about this,
- 20:27SPEAKER_01: but I did not know about it before I interviewed Chad.
- 20:31SPEAKER_01: It actually came up in fact checking.
- 20:33SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 20:34SPEAKER_01: And I saw this,
- 20:36SPEAKER_01: that there was a lot of scientific opposition to his claims and that it seemed
- 20:41SPEAKER_01: to be pretty heated.
- 20:44SPEAKER_00: I mean, there were some juicy quotes in that article, too,
- 20:47SPEAKER_00: with one scientist describing Hansen's assessment as,
- 20:50SPEAKER_00: quote, unquote, self-serving garbage.
- 20:53SPEAKER_00: And another scientist comparing Hansen and his allies to early climate change deniers.
- 20:59SPEAKER_00: And Hugh actually compared them to flat earthers.
- 21:02SPEAKER_00: That was a term he called them.
- 21:04SPEAKER_01: I mean, I don't think it's fair to compare him to a climate denier.
- 21:09SPEAKER_01: I mean, he's actively publishing in peer-reviewed journals making these arguments.
- 21:16SPEAKER_00: I think what maybe is so testy amongst these two groups is that they're all trying
- 21:22SPEAKER_00: to fix the same problem, right?
- 21:23SPEAKER_00: I don't think anyone wants to be seeing these catastrophic fires occur.
- 21:28SPEAKER_00: But they all have different opinions on how to fix them and also how What to protect, right?
- 21:34SPEAKER_01: Yeah, and I can imagine why it would get so intense because both
- 21:38SPEAKER_01: of these groups are essentially trying to save the forest,
- 21:41SPEAKER_01: save people, like you said, right?
- 21:42SPEAKER_01: So if they think that another group of scientists or environmentalists or ecologists
- 21:47SPEAKER_01: or whoever are standing in the way of that, I can imagine getting pretty angry.
- 21:53SPEAKER_01: I mean, going back to what I said earlier,
- 21:56SPEAKER_01: I do think that, like, He is actively publishing in peer-reviewed journals.
- 22:02SPEAKER_01: I don't think that that means that that automatically makes him right,
- 22:05SPEAKER_01: but it does make his claims worth examining.
- 22:09SPEAKER_01: And what we're unearthing here is a scientific debate that we don't ever really hear
- 22:14SPEAKER_01: in the mainstream political discussion.
- 22:16SPEAKER_01: So I do think it's worth talking about in the context of we're hearing
- 22:20SPEAKER_01: a political discussion that has largely said logging is the answer,
- 22:24SPEAKER_01: and that is not what's happening in the scientific community.
- 22:27SPEAKER_00: Okay, well, does Chad know how others feel about his research?
- 22:32SPEAKER_00: Did you ask him about the criticism?
- 22:34SPEAKER_01: Oh, yeah.
- 22:35SPEAKER_01: Yeah, he has an explanation for why all these scientists disagree with him,
- 22:41SPEAKER_01: and it's pretty spicy.
- 22:43SPEAKER_01: He says that a lot of the science that supports logging and thinning is funded by
- 22:50SPEAKER_01: the Forest Service,
- 22:52SPEAKER_01: which he sees as financially entangled with the logging industry.
- 22:57SPEAKER_01: Basically,
- 22:59SPEAKER_01: because the Forest Service sells timber from public lands to private companies and
- 23:05SPEAKER_01: then some of that revenue comes back to the Forest Service,
- 23:09SPEAKER_01: Chad thinks that that is creating a financial incentive
- 23:13SPEAKER_01: to promote cutting down trees.
- 23:16SPEAKER_02: For folks who don't know,
- 23:16SPEAKER_02: the United States Forest Service is part of the logging industry and has been for
- 23:20SPEAKER_02: a long time.
- 23:22SPEAKER_02: The number one thing they do in terms of Land management is sell public trees
- 23:26SPEAKER_02: to private logging companies and keep the revenue for their budget.
- 23:29SPEAKER_02: So they are very much in the industry.
- 23:32SPEAKER_00: Okay, that's a pretty interesting perspective.
- 23:34SPEAKER_00: I assume you ran a fact check on that?
- 23:37SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 23:37SPEAKER_01: So the Forest Service does sell public timber and it does retain some of the revenue.
- 23:43SPEAKER_01: I couldn't substantiate that it's the agency's number one activity.
- 23:49SPEAKER_01: In 2025, the Forest Service timber sales were worth about $153 million.
- 23:53SPEAKER_01: But its entire budget is $9 billion.
- 23:55SPEAKER_01: So it is like a small amount.
- 24:04SPEAKER_00: It's not very big in the grand scheme of things.
- 24:06SPEAKER_00: No.
- 24:06SPEAKER_01: And I did put that to Chad.
- 24:09SPEAKER_01: I was like, it's not that big of a percentage.
- 24:11SPEAKER_01: And he said that his bigger concern is actually congressional funding.
- 24:16SPEAKER_01: So he believes that...
- 24:19SPEAKER_01: When the Forest Service promotes logging as wildfire prevention,
- 24:22SPEAKER_01: that is what helps the agency secure billions from Congress because Congress,
- 24:28SPEAKER_01: many members of Congress have allies in the logging industry.
- 24:30SPEAKER_01: So there's a few claims there.
- 24:33SPEAKER_01: And the financial incentive totally may exist,
- 24:34SPEAKER_01: but I couldn't prove that it has distorted the science.
- 24:39SPEAKER_00: OK, well, that is definitely something that he would probably take some umbrage with.
- 24:44SPEAKER_00: I think his perspective actually is that
- 24:46SPEAKER_00: the Forest Service does not have enough funding from the federal government,
- 24:49SPEAKER_00: both from the Trump administration and from the money it makes off
- 24:54SPEAKER_00: of these commercial sales or specifically coming from Congress
- 24:57SPEAKER_00: and what Congress has appropriated.
- 24:58SPEAKER_03: Their claims that the federal government and
- 25:01SPEAKER_03: the Forest Service are basically evildoers and they're in the pockets
- 25:04SPEAKER_03: of that's bullshit.
- 25:05SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I mean,
- 25:06SPEAKER_00: Hugh's argument is that there essentially has to be some sort of economic benefit to
- 25:10SPEAKER_00: the activity of logging or the Forest Service wouldn't essentially be able
- 25:14SPEAKER_00: to do what it does, which is log to prevent fires.
- 25:19SPEAKER_00: You know,
- 25:19SPEAKER_00: they have to contract out their work and oftentimes work with private sawmills
- 25:23SPEAKER_00: because the U.S. no longer owns any of its own sawmills.
- 25:26SPEAKER_00: And if they cut down these trees and leave them there,
- 25:29SPEAKER_00: Well, then it's just perfect kindling for any sort of forest fires.
- 25:32SPEAKER_00: So he essentially makes the argument that logging isn't even as functional
- 25:36SPEAKER_00: as it used to be and that it needs more financial support,
- 25:40SPEAKER_00: whether it's making the money itself by selling these trees or
- 25:44SPEAKER_00: from congressional funding.
- 25:46SPEAKER_03: Like if you think,
- 25:46SPEAKER_03: for example,
- 25:47SPEAKER_03: let's just do the numbers in the Western U.S.,
- 25:50SPEAKER_03: You'll see different estimates,
- 25:51SPEAKER_03: but the estimates are along the lines of tens of millions of acres of forest
- 25:56SPEAKER_03: that require some level of fuel reduction if we want to let them be able
- 25:59SPEAKER_03: to safely burn and survive where climate is taking us.
- 26:02SPEAKER_03: Well, it costs in most parts of the Western US between $500 and $4,000 an acre to do that work.
- 26:09SPEAKER_03: Okay, multiply 10 million by 4,000.
- 26:13SPEAKER_03: Do you think Congress is going to drop billions and billions and billions
- 26:16SPEAKER_03: and billions on the Western US just to get rid of fuels?
- 26:19SPEAKER_03: And remember, Fuels regrow.
- 26:21SPEAKER_03: So you can never stop that investment.
- 26:23SPEAKER_03: It will go on for the rest of time.
- 26:25SPEAKER_03: They're not willing to do that work.
- 26:27SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 26:27SPEAKER_01: So the claim is essentially like, no,
- 26:30SPEAKER_01: the science shows that logging helps and it's good that
- 26:34SPEAKER_01: the Forest Service makes money off of it because
- 26:36SPEAKER_01: then it just it helps us hire more people to do it.
- 26:39SPEAKER_01: It helps bring more funding to the agency.
- 26:43SPEAKER_01: It's a good circle.
- 26:45SPEAKER_00: But what I will say is that Hugh is a realist,
- 26:48SPEAKER_00: and he did acknowledge to me that we are only human.
- 26:52SPEAKER_00: And because the U.S.
- 26:53SPEAKER_00: Forest Service is so much smaller these days than it has been in the past because
- 26:57SPEAKER_00: of budget cuts, so much of the work it does is with federal contractors.
- 27:03SPEAKER_00: And he doesn't deny that as soon as you contract out something,
- 27:06SPEAKER_00: you can lose control of the quality of that contract.
- 27:10SPEAKER_03: Well, what I can tell you is I have certainly seen projects
- 27:13SPEAKER_03: where contractors took bigger trees than they were permitted to take.
- 27:16SPEAKER_03: Definitely.
- 27:17SPEAKER_03: Absolutely.
- 27:18SPEAKER_03: Definitely seen that.
- 27:20SPEAKER_03: But, I mean, you know, I don't know what to say about that.
- 27:23SPEAKER_03: That happens a lot.
- 27:25SPEAKER_01: And I think in the forest conservation community specifically,
- 27:29SPEAKER_01: seeing contractors take bigger,
- 27:31SPEAKER_01: older trees than they were supposed to in the name
- 27:33SPEAKER_01: of wildfire management is probably pretty enraging.
- 27:37SPEAKER_00: Sure.
- 27:38SPEAKER_00: Of course.
- 27:38SPEAKER_00: I mean, that is the worst case scenario.
- 27:41SPEAKER_00: But when you're in the forest, no one's really paying attention to you.
- 27:45SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 27:45SPEAKER_00: And that's something he says sometimes does happen.
- 27:47SPEAKER_00: But when it comes to what the Trump administration is proposing,
- 27:50SPEAKER_00: which is a dramatic increase in logging to benefit the country economically.
- 27:56SPEAKER_00: I mean, I think fire prevention is maybe an aside here.
- 27:58SPEAKER_00: He really does make it seem like it's an economic issue.
- 28:02SPEAKER_00: Hughes says that that just doesn't really seem like something that's feasible
- 28:05SPEAKER_00: in his perspective.
- 28:06SPEAKER_00: You know,
- 28:06SPEAKER_00: Trump is trying to open up large parcels of forests that have never been logged
- 28:11SPEAKER_00: before, especially in Alaska.
- 28:14SPEAKER_00: These forests don't have roads.
- 28:16SPEAKER_00: Even if the Forest Service or their contractors were able to get there,
- 28:20SPEAKER_00: how are they going to get those logs out?
- 28:22SPEAKER_00: How are they going to be able to do any sort of logging in a capacity
- 28:25SPEAKER_00: that is either economically beneficial or beneficial to fire management?
- 28:31SPEAKER_00: And so he says that he believes that more logging and prescribed burning needs
- 28:35SPEAKER_00: to happen,
- 28:36SPEAKER_00: but these kind of broad swing pushes that we're seeing from
- 28:39SPEAKER_00: the Trump administration just aren't going to cut it.
- 28:41SPEAKER_01: Okay, so I think one of the big things that we've learned is that forest management,
- 28:45SPEAKER_01: this amalgamous term that we hear all the time, it is not one thing.
- 28:50SPEAKER_01: It could mean raking, it can mean thinning, it can mean logging on a big scale.
- 28:56SPEAKER_01: And none of these strategies work in every forest for every fire.
- 29:03SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I mean, there's no one-size-fits-all strategy here.
- 29:06SPEAKER_00: And in fact,
- 29:07SPEAKER_00: there's debate about whether they even work at all,
- 29:10SPEAKER_00: which is wild because you never hear that in the political discussion about some
- 29:14SPEAKER_00: of these strategies just not really being effective.
- 29:18SPEAKER_00: And as we've learned, that scientific debate is super spicy.
- 29:21SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I would love to report more on it, but we do have to move on.
- 29:26SPEAKER_01: Everything that we've discussed so far is about what happens before a fire begins.
- 29:33SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 29:34SPEAKER_00: What happens once one actually starts?
- 29:36SPEAKER_00: Do we put it out or do we let it burn?
- 29:40SPEAKER_01: And I'm happy to report that on that question,
- 29:42SPEAKER_01: it seems like our two experts might have some common ground.
- 29:47SPEAKER_00: More after the break.
- 30:12SPEAKER_01: The Smokey the Bear mantra has only become more and more part of the Forest Service
- 30:18SPEAKER_01: and the national strategy of fighting wildfires since then.
- 30:24SPEAKER_01: So here's an interesting statistic.
- 30:26SPEAKER_01: In 1995, wildfire, like firefighting work accounted for 16% of the agency's budget.
- 30:34SPEAKER_01: By 2015, it consumed more than half.
- 30:40SPEAKER_01: And over that same period, the Forest Service more than doubled its firefighting staff.
- 30:46SPEAKER_01: It had roughly 5,700 firefighting employees in 1995 and more than 12,000
- 30:55SPEAKER_01: And it cut the workforce devoted to everything else by nearly 40%.
- 31:02SPEAKER_01: And I believe that when Trump imposed budget cuts on the Forest Service,
- 31:08SPEAKER_01: firefighters were exempted.
- 31:11SPEAKER_01: So it's just an example of how important wildland firefighting and just firefighting
- 31:17SPEAKER_01: in general is to our current political wildfire prevention strategy.
- 31:24SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 31:24SPEAKER_00: And as you mentioned, Emily, that's something we've been seeing since the 40s.
- 31:27SPEAKER_00: And Hugh had something to say about that legacy.
- 31:31SPEAKER_03: Smokey the Bear was one of the more successful of the public relations campaigns on
- 31:36SPEAKER_03: the planet, but Smokey went way too far.
- 31:39SPEAKER_03: Smokey didn't help people understand how fire was actually an important ecological process.
- 31:45SPEAKER_03: Smokey helped people think that they needed to stop fire under all conditions.
- 31:49SPEAKER_03: And we continue to do that.
- 31:50SPEAKER_03: And it is one of the main creators of the problem that we're facing right now.
- 31:54SPEAKER_01: So why did you say that putting out fire is one of the main reasons that we have big fires now?
- 32:02SPEAKER_00: I think the main point there is that by putting out all these fires
- 32:05SPEAKER_00: without letting them naturally burn,
- 32:07SPEAKER_00: we've gotten ourselves to this place where we have really dense forests with trees
- 32:12SPEAKER_00: that haven't seen fire in decades.
- 32:15SPEAKER_00: And that's not good because when we do have fires, those trees burn for a very long time.
- 32:22SPEAKER_00: If those fires had been allowed to burn a little bit longer,
- 32:26SPEAKER_00: they would have naturally thinned out the forest on their own.
- 32:30SPEAKER_01: Yeah, it's so interesting because Chad,
- 32:32SPEAKER_01: the expert I spoke with,
- 32:33SPEAKER_01: Chad Hansen,
- 32:34SPEAKER_01: he does agree that we are putting way too much resources into firefighting,
- 32:42SPEAKER_01: particularly in like the wildlands and deep forests.
- 32:46SPEAKER_01: But it's not because of that buildup of material.
- 32:48SPEAKER_01: He has a completely different reason.
- 32:51SPEAKER_02: And high-intensity fire,
- 32:52SPEAKER_02: these patches where the flames reach the tops of the trees and kill most of all
- 32:57SPEAKER_02: the trees.
- 32:58SPEAKER_02: People think that's got to be bad.
- 33:01SPEAKER_02: But the reality is that's always been a part of forests, many plant and animal species.
- 33:06SPEAKER_02: Completely depend on that for their survival to reproduce.
- 33:09SPEAKER_02: Different tree species have to have high intensity fire.
- 33:12SPEAKER_02: It kills the entire stand.
- 33:13SPEAKER_02: And that's how they reproduce.
- 33:15SPEAKER_02: And they reproduce in spectacular fashion.
- 33:17SPEAKER_02: Lots of species do that.
- 33:19SPEAKER_02: Lots of animal species depend on stands of fire-killed trees.
- 33:24SPEAKER_01: So Chad likes to talk about these areas of burned trees
- 33:27SPEAKER_01: that he calls snag forest habitat because they're filled with snags.
- 33:32SPEAKER_01: Snags are standing dead trees.
- 33:35SPEAKER_01: And while that might look jarring,
- 33:38SPEAKER_01: Chad says that those snag forests support this entire chain of life.
- 33:44SPEAKER_01: For example,
- 33:45SPEAKER_01: after a fire,
- 33:46SPEAKER_01: wood-boring beetles fly towards the burned area and they lay their eggs beneath
- 33:51SPEAKER_01: the charred bark.
- 33:53SPEAKER_01: Their larva then becomes food for woodpeckers,
- 33:58SPEAKER_01: which then excavate cavities in the softened dead trees,
- 34:03SPEAKER_01: which then become homes for other animals.
- 34:07SPEAKER_01: And he says the forests can regrow on their own, that it's part of the life cycle.
- 34:14SPEAKER_02: It's funny because people,
- 34:15SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 34:15SPEAKER_02: they see these scenes of fire,
- 34:18SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 34:18SPEAKER_02: it's always on the TV news, you know, it's like the hundred foot flames, right?
- 34:21SPEAKER_02: And the fire kilt stands and they'll go in there and then take the footage after
- 34:25SPEAKER_02: the fire is burned and you've got charred ground and blackened
- 34:29SPEAKER_02: And people think that's the way it's going to look forever and nothing's going
- 34:32SPEAKER_02: to regenerate, but nothing could be further from the truth.
- 34:35SPEAKER_02: Come in a year after the fire, the first spring, come in two years, five years.
- 34:39SPEAKER_02: If it hasn't been logged,
- 34:41SPEAKER_02: it's going to be one of the most amazing places you've ever seen,
- 34:43SPEAKER_02: especially if you like birds,
- 34:45SPEAKER_02: you know, come in in the morning, early in the morning in May or June.
- 34:48SPEAKER_02: Oh my God, it's incredible.
- 34:50SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 34:50SPEAKER_00: I mean, that's a really compelling argument, but it doesn't seem to cover the whole story.
- 34:55SPEAKER_00: Like what Chad says about the way forests burn,
- 34:58SPEAKER_00: many scientists,
- 34:59SPEAKER_00: they say he's right that forests can come back and
- 35:02SPEAKER_00: then obviously fire is somewhat good for forests,
- 35:05SPEAKER_00: but that doesn't always work across the board in every single place.
- 35:10SPEAKER_00: You know, for in California, that doesn't work that way, at least according to Hugh.
- 35:15SPEAKER_00: He says you have to consider whether the landscape can handle the kind of wildfires
- 35:18SPEAKER_00: that we're seeing today.
- 35:20SPEAKER_00: And keep in mind,
- 35:21SPEAKER_00: the wildfires that we are seeing today are not the same as
- 35:23SPEAKER_00: the wildfires we saw 10 years ago.
- 35:26SPEAKER_03: What the science is showing is that ecosystems are not recovering from this kind
- 35:31SPEAKER_03: of really,
- 35:32SPEAKER_03: really severe burning, particularly when it happens multiple times within a decade.
- 35:37SPEAKER_03: The capacity of the forest to regenerate via,
- 35:40SPEAKER_03: when we're talking about conifer dominated forests in this case,
- 35:44SPEAKER_03: hardwoods,
- 35:45SPEAKER_03: broadleaf species like oaks and maples and madrone,
- 35:47SPEAKER_03: et cetera, they largely re-sprout.
- 35:49SPEAKER_03: And so you can knock them back and damage them permanently
- 35:54SPEAKER_03: if you burn them too often, but they'll re-sprout, at least in the short term.
- 35:58SPEAKER_03: And whereas conifers in California generally don't,
- 36:00SPEAKER_03: and I'm not counting redwood and a couple of other species.
- 36:04SPEAKER_01: Yeah, this is just another area of deep scientific debate in the giant sequoias
- 36:12SPEAKER_01: because Chad actually very vehemently argues
- 36:15SPEAKER_01: that high-intensity fire can produce extraordinary regeneration in
- 36:20SPEAKER_01: the sequoia groves.
- 36:22SPEAKER_02: The reality is that's the only place where the giant sequoias are vigorously regenerating.
- 36:28SPEAKER_02: We just did a study in one of the biggest high-intensity fire patches
- 36:32SPEAKER_02: in Redwood Mountain Grove in Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Park.
- 36:36SPEAKER_02: It's one of the key places that the public's being told that the fire burned too hot
- 36:41SPEAKER_02: and the forest can't regenerate.
- 36:43SPEAKER_02: And these big crown fire areas We found an average of 8,000 giant sequoia seedlings
- 36:49SPEAKER_02: and saplings per acre at four years post-fire in these areas where
- 36:54SPEAKER_02: the public is being told that there's little or none.
- 36:57SPEAKER_00: Yeah, and I think that makes sense,
- 36:59SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 36:59SPEAKER_00: but other scientists have found much weaker regeneration
- 37:02SPEAKER_00: in some severely burned groves.
- 37:04SPEAKER_00: So the disagreement isn't really over whether sequoias need fire.
- 37:08SPEAKER_00: It's really whether today's most severe fires are creating the next generation
- 37:14SPEAKER_00: And allowing those trees to grow back,
- 37:16SPEAKER_00: or if they're killing mature trees faster,
- 37:18SPEAKER_00: then the forest can replace them,
- 37:21SPEAKER_00: which means that,
- 37:22SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 37:22SPEAKER_00: will we see giant sequoias like this again in our lifetime,
- 37:26SPEAKER_00: in our children's lifetime?
- 37:27SPEAKER_00: That's the ultimate question.
- 37:29SPEAKER_00: And with climate change, it makes it even harder for these species to return.
- 37:34SPEAKER_03: Some of the poster children of that are in California, Yosemite.
- 37:38SPEAKER_03: Sequoia and Kings Canyon and the wilderness areas on the Sequoia
- 37:43SPEAKER_03: and Inyo National Forest in particular, the southern end of the Sierra Nevada.
- 37:47SPEAKER_03: They are very proactive and they allow naturally ignited,
- 37:50SPEAKER_03: you know, lightning ignited fires to burn under certain conditions.
- 37:53SPEAKER_03: They have a really clear rubric that they go through to determine whether they ought
- 37:56SPEAKER_03: to let it burn and whether it's likely to have more beneficial outcome
- 37:59SPEAKER_03: than negative outcome.
- 38:00SPEAKER_03: So that happens.
- 38:01SPEAKER_03: And it happens in other places in the Western US as well.
- 38:05SPEAKER_03: But we've known at this point for 60 plus years that the lack of fire in a lot
- 38:11SPEAKER_03: of Western ecosystems was an ecological disaster waiting to happen.
- 38:14SPEAKER_03: And it's happening right now.
- 38:17SPEAKER_00: All right, Emily.
- 38:19SPEAKER_00: What are our experts' perspectives on prescribed burns?
- 38:22SPEAKER_01: Okay.
- 38:23SPEAKER_01: So prescribed burns are when you intentionally set a fire and And you don't wait
- 38:30SPEAKER_01: for one to ignite naturally or you don't wait for someone else to ignite it
- 38:35SPEAKER_01: and get out of control.
- 38:36SPEAKER_01: You sort of manage the forest by using burning.
- 38:39SPEAKER_01: This is a common indigenous forest management practice.
- 38:43SPEAKER_01: I will say that Chad is more of a fan of prescribed burning than he is
- 38:48SPEAKER_01: for any other forest management activity.
- 38:52SPEAKER_01: He said that it does work in a limited sense.
- 38:56SPEAKER_01: Prescribed fire will reduce subsequent wildfire severity for a short period of time.
- 39:00SPEAKER_01: He said the longest effect,
- 39:02SPEAKER_01: he said he believes the longest effect of prescribed burning lasts roughly three
- 39:07SPEAKER_01: to four years and disappears by about six or seven years,
- 39:10SPEAKER_01: but that it can be effective.
- 39:14SPEAKER_00: Oh, that's really interesting.
- 39:15SPEAKER_00: So Hugh calls and characterizes prescribed burns as smaller,
- 39:20SPEAKER_00: carefully timed burns that clear undergrowth.
- 39:23SPEAKER_00: They support plants and soils that can make later wildfires less destructive.
- 39:28SPEAKER_00: And this is something that, you know, we've seen indigenous communities use throughout history.
- 39:33SPEAKER_00: And in more recent times,
- 39:36SPEAKER_00: a lot of those tribes and tribal lands are allowed now to do more prescribed burn.
- 39:41SPEAKER_00: They've been advocating for it,
- 39:42SPEAKER_00: especially in California,
- 39:43SPEAKER_00: and now they're finally getting the rights to be able to do that on some
- 39:45SPEAKER_00: of their tribal lands.
- 39:47SPEAKER_00: But there are still some pretty restrictive burning policies out there.
- 39:51SPEAKER_00: That are limited in a lot of places and a lack of resources to be able
- 39:55SPEAKER_00: to do these prescribed burns in the way that they should.
- 39:58SPEAKER_00: And a lack of resources to be able to do these prescribed burns in the way
- 40:02SPEAKER_00: that they're the most effective.
- 40:05SPEAKER_03: Prescribed fire is, I have to be clear, in the U.S., it's a very niche thing.
- 40:10SPEAKER_03: It gets used a lot in the Southeast and in the Midwest, mostly on private properties.
- 40:15SPEAKER_03: There's a culture there.
- 40:16SPEAKER_03: People have been using it forever.
- 40:17SPEAKER_03: The ecosystems are very productive.
- 40:19SPEAKER_03: They grow fuels very quickly.
- 40:21SPEAKER_03: In order to protect structures,
- 40:22SPEAKER_03: to protect ecosystems,
- 40:23SPEAKER_03: to reduce fuels for habitat for certain wildlife,
- 40:26SPEAKER_03: for the right kinds of plants under the right conditions.
- 40:29SPEAKER_03: People burn all the time.
- 40:32SPEAKER_01: And it's interesting because, like,
- 40:33SPEAKER_01: I don't think I hear very much from,
- 40:36SPEAKER_01: let's say,
- 40:37SPEAKER_01: the Trump administration about prescribed burns being
- 40:40SPEAKER_01: a good forest management strategy.
- 40:42SPEAKER_01: Like, I think so far,
- 40:44SPEAKER_01: if we're looking at the issue of forest management and the different strategies
- 40:50SPEAKER_01: so far, we see the most agreement about this one being a good one, right?
- 40:56SPEAKER_01: So, but I don't feel like I hear that a lot in our political discourse.
- 41:00SPEAKER_00: Yeah, Emily.
- 41:01SPEAKER_00: I mean, I definitely think that when we're talking about the messaging coming out of
- 41:06SPEAKER_00: the White House,
- 41:07SPEAKER_00: we are really hearing logging as the only firefighting scenario,
- 41:12SPEAKER_00: the only firefighting tool.
- 41:14SPEAKER_00: And we're definitely not hearing stopping burning fossil fuels as a suggestion
- 41:18SPEAKER_00: for fixing fires either.
- 41:20SPEAKER_00: But I will say from Congress, we are seeing some action.
- 41:23SPEAKER_00: You know,
- 41:23SPEAKER_00: that bipartisan bill that we mentioned earlier,
- 41:25SPEAKER_00: the Fix Our Forest Act,
- 41:27SPEAKER_00: One of the things it intends to do is to change Clean Air Act calculations so
- 41:31SPEAKER_00: that it can include more prescribed burns so that that can be a tool
- 41:35SPEAKER_00: that can be used across the country as a way to protect,
- 41:40SPEAKER_00: as a way to prevent forest fires.
- 41:42SPEAKER_01: Well, that's interesting.
- 41:43SPEAKER_01: I didn't know that.
- 41:46SPEAKER_01: I know that there's so much debate over those bills,
- 41:49SPEAKER_01: but it's, I guess, maybe heartening to see some
- 41:56SPEAKER_01: I don't know.
- 41:57SPEAKER_01: I mean, this issue is so contentious.
- 42:00SPEAKER_01: I do think it is interesting how one of the biggest solutions to protecting
- 42:07SPEAKER_01: the forest is cutting down part of the forest.
- 42:12SPEAKER_00: Or one of the best ways to fight a fire is by starting a fire.
- 42:17SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 42:18SPEAKER_01: There's a...
- 42:20SPEAKER_01: It's very counterintuitive stuff.
- 42:24SPEAKER_01: And the fact that I think overall what I've realized in this episode is that
- 42:29SPEAKER_01: the fact that our political discussion often flattens these issues
- 42:36SPEAKER_01: into just clear cut issues
- 42:42SPEAKER_01: is one of the worst things we can do for actually trying
- 42:45SPEAKER_01: to solve the problem.
- 42:47SPEAKER_00: Well, I want to say thank you for pulling me into this mess,
- 42:50SPEAKER_00: Emily, because now I'm thinking about fires in a way I've never thought of before.
- 42:54SPEAKER_00: But it's forced me to really weigh the pros and cons of a lot of these tools.
- 42:58SPEAKER_00: And I think I'm going to be thinking about the policies that I'm seeing coming out
- 43:02SPEAKER_00: of California, coming out of Congress much differently than I did before.
- 43:06SPEAKER_00: I mean, I think I'm still going to be skeptical of forest raking.
- 43:11SPEAKER_00: But I might not be as skeptical of logging as I used to be,
- 43:13SPEAKER_00: or I might not be as skeptical of prescribed burns and the idea that
- 43:17SPEAKER_00: when I see smoke, it's maybe a good thing.
- 43:21SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I think ultimately the myth that I tried to debunk turned out to be bigger
- 43:28SPEAKER_01: than I expected or assumed.
- 43:31SPEAKER_01: You know, I expected it to be that forest management is solution.
- 43:35SPEAKER_01: I expected the myth to be forest management is the solution to wildfires.
- 43:40SPEAKER_01: And I still think that that is a myth.
- 43:43SPEAKER_01: Like, obviously, forest management is not the one solution to wildfires.
- 43:48SPEAKER_01: But the other myth is that forest management is sort
- 43:51SPEAKER_01: of one universally effective solution or one universally designed thing.
- 43:58SPEAKER_01: Or that forest management can compensate for a warming climate and communities
- 44:03SPEAKER_01: that remain in wildfires path.
- 44:05SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I mean,
- 44:06SPEAKER_00: I think you went down a rabbit hole and you came back out
- 44:10SPEAKER_00: and you realized like many things that the life is complicated
- 44:14SPEAKER_00: and multiple things can be true at once.
- 44:16SPEAKER_01: Yeah, and part of me wants to go back down into the rabbit hole.
- 44:21SPEAKER_01: But I'll say breathing up here for a little while.
- 44:23SPEAKER_00: Well, on that note, Emily, thank you so much for this collaboration.
- 44:27SPEAKER_00: It was so great joining you on heated.
- 44:29SPEAKER_01: Yes.
- 44:30SPEAKER_01: Thank you so much for diving into this with me.
- 44:33SPEAKER_01: It was really helpful.
- 44:35SPEAKER_01: And thanks for having me on Boiling Point.
- 44:44SPEAKER_00: If you like this show, please rate and subscribe.
- 44:47SPEAKER_00: It really does help us and our team.
- 44:49SPEAKER_00: And if you want to see more behind the scenes content or videos of our interviews,
- 44:53SPEAKER_00: you can follow me on Instagram at Randy underscore Green or on YouTube at Miranda C.
- 45:00SPEAKER_00: Green.
- 45:04SPEAKER_00: Thank you for listening to Boiling Point.
- 45:06SPEAKER_00: I'm your host, Miranda Green.
- 45:09SPEAKER_00: My producers are Mary Knopf and Jonathan Shifflett of Studio Phonic.
- 45:13SPEAKER_00: Additional production help from Audrey Ngo.
- 45:16SPEAKER_00: Sound design by Jonathan Shifflett.
- 45:19SPEAKER_00: Monty Morin and Ingrid Lobet are our editors.
- 45:22SPEAKER_00: Director of post-production is Patrick Stewart.
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- 45:33SPEAKER_00: Our Senior Media Manager is Kelsey Rodriguez.
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- 45:41SPEAKER_00: Special thanks to LA Times Studios president, Anna McZonian.
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- 45:55SPEAKER_00: Boiling Point is executive produced and co-created by Darius Derikshan.